Free Week 13 Prediction: Cowboys vs. Colts NFL Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts Free NFL Week 13 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Colts on Sunday, December 4th, 2022 at AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Indianapolis Matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
Dallas Cowboys (8-3) vs. Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1)
Date: Sunday, December 4th, 2022
Time: 8:20 PM EST
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: Cowboys -11 (-110) | Colts +11 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 13 Moneyline Odds: Cowboys -699 | Colts +470
NFL Week 13 NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
- *Click Here* Check out our Live Betting Odds for this game!
- *Click Here* Check out our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
- SCROLL DOWN FOR our Cowboys Colts Free Pick!
Dallas holds the #5 seed in the NFC and the best possible wild card spot. They would need a series of breaks to make it to the top of the NFC East. Indianapolis is starting to see the dissipation of the interim bump.
Dallas has vaulted themselves into the conversation of best teams in the NFC. By record, they’re the 3rd best team and they’re a veteran group that’s been together for some time. Mike McCarthy is often the source of jokes on Twitter but deserves credit for Dallas’ run.
I have faded the Colts all season long and I think I’ve finally caught up to them. They seemingly pull games out of nowhere; you can’t tell me if the Chiefs and Colts played again the Chiefs wouldn’t dismantle them entirely. Saturday finally hit a big bump in the road, so it’ll be interesting to see how they respond.
Dak’s job was handed away many times on the talking head shows but he’s done well to quiet concerns. It’s not just that the Cowboys are 8-3, it’s that they’ve looked the part too.
A 40-3 win over the Vikings was impressive and a Thanksgiving day win over the Giants was out of control more than the final score would indicate. The Cowboys have done well rotating Pollard and Elliot, and have found themselves at 6th in rushing offense by DVOA.
Michael Gallup looked impressive against the Giants, winning at the point of the catch and playing physically. CeeDee Lamb has come on in recent weeks too. Though they profile just average in the pass, there are positive signs that show they could be on their way up.
The defense is what makes Dallas a dangerous team in the playoffs though, ranking #1 in overall D, as well as being the best passing defense in the NFL. Micah Parsons leads a Dallas group that’s #1 in adjusted sack rate and lead the NFL in pressure rate.
Indianapolis is officially 1-2 since Saturday took over. They won their first matchup and then claimed a moral victory over the Eagles in a close 17-16 loss. Their most recent loss against the Steelers was closer, but was marred by Saturday’s curious clock management.
The Colts won’t scare anyone with their offense, which has lacked for most of the year. They have some outbursts in their schedule, but for the most part are toothless. Matt Ryan is 25th in adj. EPA/play so this will need to be a Taylor game if the Colts are to win.
The biggest culprit other than coaching was the lack of run defense on the part of the Colts. Pittsburgh rushed for 172 yards and won the possession battle 34-25. Indy is still the 11th best rush D per DVOA, but face the Cowboys o-line that ranks 7th in off. adjusted line yards.
Stephon Gilmore still rates out as a 75.2 by PFF which is an excellent season at his age. Kenny Moore doesn’t rank as well, but remains a critical member of the defense. The Colts have allowed 20.3 ppg, good for 11th in the NFL.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis’s last 9 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis’s last 17 games
- Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: u43.5
It doesn’t take detailed data analysis to know that Dallas is far and above a better team than the Colts. But the number puts us in an odd position. There just isn’t a ton of value in the number at 11.
I like the idea of the under though. Dallas has hit the under 55% of the time this year, and Indy is even higher at 9-3 (75%).
The number isn’t that high, but the story we can tell is that the game goes one of two ways: either the Cowboys dominate the game and Indy contributes next to nothing OR the Colts grind this game to a halt and Dallas doesn’t score as easy as we think. Either way, I don’t see the Colts playing to a 24-20 final, which means the under makes sense here.
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts Matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football Picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!