Free Week 12 Prediction: Bears vs. Lions NFL Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Lions on Thursday November 25th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(3-7) Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (0-9-1)
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 2021
Time: 12:30 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: Bears -3(Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: Bears -165| Lions +140
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: 41.5
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If there’s ever a time for Detroit to get their first win of the season, it’s on the short week Thursday afternoon against a Bears team in total disarray. Chicago is not only very banged up, there were reports going on during the week that their coach Matt Nagy will soon be fired.
Make no mistake, the Lions aren’t exactly killing it in dysfunctional category. Both Cleveland and Pittsburgh have tried to give games away to Detroit the past two weeks only for the Lions to pick up a loss and a tie.
Chicago will likely be without QB Justin Fields (ribs) on Thursday, but that might not necessarily be a bad thing. The rookie has shown signs of brilliance at times, but also has the growing pains you’d expect from a young QB. Fields leads the NFL in fumbles, and has 4 TD passes to 8 INT on the year.
Instead of Fields, it’s Andy Dalton that takes over the reins at QB (again). Dalton was playing well against the Bengals in week 2 before injuring his knee and also instantly gave Chicago a spark with a 60-yard TD pass to Darnell Mooney.
The experienced Dalton is likely a better fit to run Nagy’s offense, but either way Chicago should look to get their ground game going. David Montgomery got just 14 carries last week even in a close 16-13 loss to the Ravens and rookie Khalil Herbert had just one tote.
For as horrible as their offense is (31st in total yards, 32nd passing) it’s the defense that has huge concerns on Thursday. Baltimore went 72 yards in five plays (1:19) with under 2 minutes left to get a 16-13 win on Sunday – and that was without Lamar Jackson (illness).
The Lions had multiple chances to beat the Steelers, but missed an extra point in the 3rd and another field goal in OT before settling for a 16-16 tie. Detroit was right in the game last week too, ultimately falling 13-10 to the Browns.
The Lions offense didn’t look great last week, with a 57-yard D’Andre Swift TD run being their only real potent play. That could change on Thursday against a Bears team missing Khalil Mack as well as likely Eddie Jackson, Akiem Hicks, and Duke Shelley due to the short turnaround.
Detroit’s Tim Boyle was just 15/23 passing vs. Cleveland with only 77 yards and 2 INT. He should have some confidence coming into the meeting with the Bears though considering Chicago was just beaten by Baltimore’s Tyler Huntley in his first career start.
Even with all their injuries, Chicago does still have some talent on defense. They got after Huntley for six sacks last week (3.5 from Robert Quinn) and 17 tackles by Roquan Smith. Even so, Swift has ran for 130+ in two straight games so the Lions have some potential.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bears are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs. team with losing record
- Bears are 1-6 ATS last 7 vs. NFC
- UNDER is 7-2 in Bears last 9 overall
- Lions are 1-5 ATS last 6 following ATS win
- UNDER is 7-1 in Lions last 8 overall
- Lions are 2-5 ATS last 7 head to head meetings
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Under 41.5
Forget the tryptophan, these two offenses are going to do plenty to put people to sleep early on Thanksgiving morning. Blough looked pedestrian last week against Cleveland, and Chicago’s pass rush can put on the pressure even with Mack out.
Chicago probably does have a better chance of winning with Dalton at QB, and it never hurts that Nagy is likely coaching for his job here.
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