Free Week 5 Prediction: Cardinals vs. Eagles NFL Odds
Looking for Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles Free NFL Week 5 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Eagles on Sunday, October 9th, 2022 at State Farm Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Arizona – Philadelphia matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
Arizona Cardinals (2-2) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (4-0)
Date: Sunday, October 9th, 2022
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: Cardinals +5 (-110) | Eagles -5 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 5 Moneyline Odds: Cardinals +180 | Eagles -226
NFL Week 5 NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Arizona managed winning on the road at Carolina to draw back to a .500 team. Philly overcame a slow start and an early deficit to Jacksonville to become the NFL’s last undefeated team.
In Catch Me If You Can, Christopher Walken’s character, Frank Abignale Sr. in referencing his life struggles offers us a metaphor for life.
“Two little mice fell in a bucket of cream. The first mouse quickly gave up and drowned. The second mouse, wouldn’t quit. He struggled so hard that eventually he churned that cream into butter and crawled out. Gentlemen, as of this moment, I am that second mouse”
I noted last week that Kliff Kingsbury was the chalk on first coach fired odds. He’s staved that talk off for another few weeks with a win on Sunday in Charlotte, proving to be that second mouse. Though he may not make it for the long haul — a win against a deficient Panthers squad doesn’t clear him — it’s a good start for the Arizona head coach.
Nick Sirianni doesn’t share the same concerns as Kliff, as a matter of fact, he’s more likely in line for the NFL Coach of the Year award. The Eagles were a popular preseason pick to take the NFC East (+160) but are looking like they make just take the NFC entirely. The question we’re all wondering though is when does Philly finally take a loss? Is this the week?
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona owns two data points this season where they were home underdogs; the Chiefs in week 1 easily dispatched the Cardinals and week 3 was a struggle against the Rams. The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread as home dogs by an average of 10.8 points and something we need to consider in this week 5 matchup.
Kyler was responsible for a pick six in Carolina but was fine beyond that. He was involved on all three of Arizona’s touchdowns, throwing for two and rushing for one. Though, the 25th passing offense by DVOA is not what you expect from a QB that just signed a mega extension.
Rondale Moore made his return but didn’t produce much. It may be a few weeks before he’s back up to speed and his normal self, but Marquise Brown has proved to be a heady acquisition. The Cardinals also look forward to getting DeAndre Hopkins back in week 7 but will have to do without for the meantime against Philly’s #2 passing defense by DVOA.
The rushing attack is mostly handled by James Conner but has seen Eno Benjamin get some opportunities. They’ve been just average in rushing, but Kyler’s mobility is hard to overrate, especially as they face an Eagles pass rush that is leading the NFL in pressure rate.
Arizona’s defense has been nothing to write home about. They rank dead last in defensive adjusted sack rate and now face the mobility of Jalen Hurts. It could be a long day for the Cards without stopping Hurts and taking on AJ Brown and Devonta Smith with their 28th ranked pass D.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles fought back from an inauspicious start against the upstart Jaguars, falling behind 14-0 before deciding to pull it together. Winning the turnover battle 5-1 certainly didn’t hurt as they were able to put away the Jags 29-21.
Hurts had his worst game of the year, barely eclipsing 200 passing yards and failing to throw for a touchdown. This should be a bounceback week though as he faced a much stronger pass defense in week 4 with bad weather to boot.
Miles Sanders looked like his old self, posting a prolific day on the ground with 134 yards and two scores. Philly changed their gameplan to a much more rushing centric attack in the bad weather but this week that may change as they swap the Linc for an indoor stadium.
The Eagles boast the league’s fourth best passing attack and AJ Brown and Devonta Smith look to rebound after combining for only 8 catches. Dallas Goedert has been involved but has possibly the league’s lowest ADOT at 3.2.
Philly generated plenty of pressure and got home on Jacksonville with 4 sacks. We certainly can’t count on recovering 4 fumbles again but the defense has been up to the task, allowing less than 18 points per game and limiting teams under double digit scoring twice. The Eagles are vulnerable though in their run defense, something Arizona must look to exploit.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
- Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Eagles -5
Philadelphia as a road favorite was 2-2 ATS, covering by an average of 8.3 points in 2021. They’ve split this year, going 1-1 and covering by an average of 3.8 points. The Cardinals have been conversely awful as home underdogs, which plays itself well to the Eagles number.
Arizona has struggled in pass defense while the Eagles have been quite prolific through the air, yet another bad matchup for the Cards.
My gut feeling here is that 5 points is a lot of points to cover on the road, but all the data that I can look through tells me the Eagles are the right pick this week, even if early line movement indicated the Cards were being hit. The Eagles have the better offense, defense, coach and ATS trends in this matchup.
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