Free Pick: Thunder vs. Knicks Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. New York Knicks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Knicks on 3/4 at Madison Square Garden in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Knicks free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs New York Knicks
(48-15) OKC Thunder vs. New York Knicks (40-22)
Date: Mar 4, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder -170 | Knicks +170 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -3.5 | Knicks +3.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 222.5
Here’s why I’m taking the visiting favorites as outlined in my Thunder Knicks free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Thunder vs. Knicks Gameday
It’s a quieter day of NBA action with six matches on tap, including the OKC Thunder and New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden in a showdown of championship contenders.
Both clubs will enter this contest on the second game of a back-to-back set. OKC defeated the Chicago Bulls 116-108. Six Thunder players scored in double figures, led by Jared McCain in a reserve roll. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander did not play.
New York was in a battle that they dominated in the final three minutes to go up 4-0 against the Raptors (111-95), with one more meeting this season. All five starters plus Landry Shamet scored in double figures.
Jalen Brunson led the way with 26 points and 10 assists, while Karl-Anthony Towns also registered a double-double of 21 points and 12 assists.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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OKC Thunder vs. New York Knicks Odds & Last 5
The Thunder have owned the Knicks in recent years, sweeping the last two seasons. This is the first of two meetings between the clubs this year.
OKC maneuvered the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander riding .500 but remains in first place in the West with a 48-15 record. Their edge over the Spurs is three games. After this match, the Thunder will return home for a four-game stand.
New York keeps battling with the Cavaliers, but currently has the upper hand in the third seed with a record of 40-22. The Knicks trail the Celtics by 1.5 games and have a 1.5 game edge over the Cavaliers. After this match, the Knicks will head west for a five game stint on the road.
OKC is favored by 3.5 points, with an over/under of 222.5 points.
Thunder Stats
OKC ranks sixth (117.2) on offense and first on defense (106.1). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top net rating (+11.1) and rank 14th in pace (100.71).
The West’s top team averages 119.1 points per game while its opponents average 107.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 25.6 (18th) and 43.9 (14th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (31.8 points) as well as for assists (6.4), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (9.3), Cason Wallace for steals (2.0), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (2.0).
As for the perimeter, five Thunder players shoot above 36%, with the team shooting 36.2 overall.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Knicks Stats
New York ranks third (118.3) offensively, seventh defensively (112.0), fifth in net rating (+6.4), and runs the 23rd-ranked pace in the association (98.51).
The Knicks are averaging 117.1 points per game while their opponents average 110.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New York averages 27.2 (10th) and 46.0 (seventh), respectively.
New York’s team leaders* are Jalen Brunson for scoring (26.7 points) and assists (6.1), Karl-Anthony Towns for rebounds (11.8), Jose Alvarado/OG Anunoby for steals (1.7), and Mitchell Robinson for blocks (1.2).
The Knicks produce are strong from the perimeter, shooting 37.6% as a team, while seven* players shoot above league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA.
OKC Thunder vs. New York Knicks bottom line:
This should be a great matchup with what could potentially be a preview of the NBA Finals. New York will bring shooting and size via their glass wizards to the table. OKC will use defense and transition fast breaks to paralyze their opponent.
Ultimately, the perimeter may be where things are decided.
OKC Thunder vs. New York Knicks Basketball Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oklahoma City’s last 15 games.
- Oklahoma City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against New York.
- Also, New York is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York’s last 6 games.
- Additionally, New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Thunder Knicks Free Pick: Thunder -3.5
Here is my Spurs Knicks free pick.
New York has been on fire, collecting wins against elite teams lately, and would love nothing more than to follow up their win versus the Spurs (and Raptors) with a victory versus OKC.
The Thunder are also looking to send a message and have the advantage of resting SGA on Tuesday to keep him fresh for Wednesday.
Keep an eye on who wins the transition and glass battles, as fast break and second chance scoring will be factors in determining the winner.
New York is 23-8 at MSG while OKC is 23-8 on the road. Depth will be tested as both clubs utilize their reserves freely.
It’s the Thunder’s top-ranked defense against the Knicks’ polarizing offense and a much-improved defense (5th since the break).
Although both teams played on Tuesday, the advantage has to fall in OKC’s court with SGA fresh to play; therefore, I’ll take the Thunder to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Knicks win 40+ games 4 straight seasons for the first time in 3 decades pic.twitter.com/qPhPAWT15u
— New York Basketball (@NBA_NewYork) March 4, 2026
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