Free Pick: Knicks vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Knicks taking on the Spurs on 6/5 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Knicks Spurs free pick.
2026 NBA Playoffs Handicapping – New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
(1-0) New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs (0-1)
Date: June 5, 2026
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Knicks +185 | Spurs -220 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Knicks +5.5 | Spurs -5.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 214.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorite as outlined below in my Knicks Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Knicks vs. Spurs Gameday
The NBA Finals got underway on Wednesday as the New York Knicks erased a 14-point deficit to win Game 1 over the San Antonio Spurs 105-95.
New York has now won seven consecutive road games and is unbeaten in their last 12 matches. Four Knicks scored in double digits, led by Jalen Brunson with 30 points, although he needed 31 attempts to reach that mark. Karl-Anthony Towns was arguably the best player on the court, collecting a double-double of 18 points and 12 rebounds with four assists.
Like their counterpart, the Spurs stars struggled in Game 1 as four players scored in double figures while Stephon Castle needed 16 shots to score 17 points and Victor Wembanyama scored 26 points on 6 of 21 from the field. Wemby also had 12 rebounds, six turnovers, and three blocks.
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New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head this season, the teams split their two-game series but played a third time in the midseason tournament, with the Knicks prevailing to clinch the Emirates Cup. That sets up the potential for the first double victory (Cup and Larry O’B) since the inception of the Emirates Cup.
Also of note, the last time the Knicks reached the Finals (1999), they faced the Spurs, who won the title beginning their Tim Duncan era, where they won five championships. In all the Spurs won five titles with the last one coming in 2013-14 (Heat)
New York had a relatively easy road to the NBA Finals, playing clubs that were either inferior or were plagued by injury. To wit, they bested the Hawks in Round 1 by a 4-2 margin and haven’t lost since that series as they swept the 76ers and Cavaliers, both of whom needed seven games to reach the next round.
San Antonio had a tougher route to the Finals, particularly in the Conference Finals against the reigning champions. The Spurs bested the Trail Blazers in a gentleman’s sweep in Round 1, took out the Timberwolves and a hobbled Anthony Edwards 4-2 in Round 2, and needed all seven games to dispel the champs, who were missing two of their top three players.
The oddsmakers are favoring San Antonio to win by 5.5 points with an over/under of 214.5 points.
Knicks Stats
New York ranks fourth (118.7) offensively, seventh defensively (112.3), fifth in net rating (+6.4), and runs the 25th-ranked pace in the association (97.71).
The Knicks are averaging 116.5 points per game while their opponents average 110.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New York averages 27.4 (13th) and 45.6 (seventh), respectively.
New York’s team leaders* are Jalen Brunson for scoring (26.0 points) and assists (6.8), Karl-Anthony Towns for rebounds (11.9), OG Anunoby for steals (1.6), and Mitchell Robinson for blocks (1.2).
The Knicks produce above the league average from the perimeter, shooting 37.3% as a team, while nine* players shoot above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it is second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averages 119.7 points per game while its opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line:
Oddly, Spurs head coach Mitch Johnson made some mistakes he’d avoided in these playoffs as he went away from the hot hand (Dylan Harper) and didn’t work to get Julian Champagnie more shots in the second half.
Wemby carried the blame for the loss, citing a terrible performance while the Spurs, in general, seemed fatigued in the closing frame (with credit to the Knicks for playing their best two-way ball in the fourth quarter).
Johnson will need to make those adjustments for Game 2, being ready to make tweaks with the flow of the game, and it’s pretty much a guarantee Victor will show up focused and driven to even up the series.
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- New York is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York’s last 6 games.
- New York is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
- Also, San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio’s last 13 games.
- Additionally, San Antonio is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games played in June.
Knicks Spurs Free Pick: Spurs -5.5
Here is my Knicks Spurs free pick.
So much for rust as the Knicks did what they’ve done throughout the postseason campaign, saving their best efforts for late in the contest. They’ll be looking to steal another game now that they lead the series.
Conversely, we’ve witnessed Wemby be a different player following losses so I’d anticipate a much more dialed-in Victor on Friday.
As for the specifics, the Knicks elected to go right at Wemby (a strategy the Thunder avoided), which paid dividends.
Steph Castle had arguably his worst performance of the playoffs and he’ll need to be more aggressive on offense for the Spurs to get back on track.
The numbers confirm the arrival of both sqauds who have feasted this postseason. To wit, New York ranks first in offense (123.3), defense (103.5), and net rating (+19.8). In comparison, the Spurs rank third in postseason offense (115.4), second in defense (104.4), and also second in net rating (+11.0).
In terms of the statistical advantages, the teams played a fairly close contest, with New York winning points in the paint and scoring off turnovers, while San Antonio won fast breaks and rebounding.
I anticipate a more aggressive Spurs squad in Game 2, with Castle and Wemby in particular leading by example. Much will come down to the in-game adjustments, where Johnson needs to be better.
To that end, I do believe the Spurs will bounce back and take the win, and I’m cautiously also picking them to cover the spread.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The New York Knicks have outscored their opponents by 272 points in the past 12 games
That’s the best 12-game stretch from any team in NBA history, regular season or playoffs pic.twitter.com/BxQEJjDUca
— Lev Akabas (@LevAkabas) June 4, 2026
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