Free Pick: Spurs vs. Knicks Odds
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2026 NBA Playoffs Handicapping – San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks
(1-2) San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks (2-1)
Date: June 10, 2026
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs +110 | Knicks -125 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Spurs +2 | Knicks -2
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 216.5
Here’s why I’m taking the visiting underdogs as outlined in my Spurs Knicks free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Spurs vs. Knicks Gameday
Wednesday serves up Game 4 of the NBA Finals between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks. The Spurs got into the series, winning 115-111 in Game 3, meaning neither team has won on their home court yet.
Victor Wembanyama (32 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 blocks) was aggressive early, but it was the 2-way play of Stephon Castle and some veteran leadership from De’Aaron Fox that won the match.
Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 32 points, but he needed 25 attempts to register those points instead of getting Karl-Anthony Towns more involved or opting for OG Anunoby (28 points on 9 of 13) who was on a heater.
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San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head this season, the teams split their two-game series but played a third time in the midseason tournament, with the Knicks prevailing to clinch the Emirates Cup. That sets up the potential for the first double victory (Cup and Larry O’B) since the inception of the Emirates Cup.
Also of note, the last time the Knicks reached the Finals (1999), they faced the Spurs, who won the title beginning their Tim Duncan era, where they won five championships. In all, the Spurs won five titles with the last one coming in 2013-14 (Heat)
New York had a relatively easy road to the NBA Finals, playing clubs that were either inferior or were plagued by injury. To wit, they bested the Hawks in Round 1 by a 4-2 margin and haven’t lost since that series as they swept the 76ers and Cavaliers, both of whom needed seven games to reach the next round.
San Antonio had a tougher route to the Finals, particularly in the Conference Finals against the reigning champions. The Spurs bested the Trail Blazers in a gentleman’s sweep in Round 1, took out the Timberwolves and a hobbled Anthony Edwards 4-2 in Round 2, and needed all seven games to dispel the champs, who were missing two of their top three players.
New York is favored by two points, with an over/under of 216.5 points.
Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it is second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averages 119.7 points per game while its opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Knicks Stats
New York ranks fourth (118.7) offensively, seventh defensively (112.3), fifth in net rating (+6.4), and runs the 25th-ranked pace in the association (97.71).
The Knicks are averaging 116.5 points per game while their opponents average 110.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New York averages 27.4 (13th) and 45.6 (seventh), respectively.
New York’s team leaders* are Jalen Brunson for scoring (26.0 points) and assists (6.8), Karl-Anthony Towns for rebounds (11.9), OG Anunoby for steals (1.6), and Mitchell Robinson for blocks (1.2).
The Knicks produce above the league average from the perimeter, shooting 37.3% as a team, while nine* players shoot above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA.
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks bottom line:
Put the brooms away; this just became a series. Considering the Spurs gave Game 2 away, it’s not unreasonable to assume they have calmed down and figured some things out.
For two games, they looked like deer in headlights, but it was the Knicks on Monday who seemed out of sync and adversely affected by the weight of the moment.
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks Basketball Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against New York.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Antonio’s last 15 games.
- San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against New York.
- Also, New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York’s last 12 games against San Antonio.
- Additionally, New York is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games.
Spurs Knicks Free Pick: Spurs +2
Here is my Spurs Knicks free pick.
I don’t necessarily agree with Stephen A. Smith frequently, but I’m in total alignment with his comments that Brunson looked like he was playing for MVP instead of Larry O’B.
He’s yet to have a “typical” game, although he’s scoring. It just feels like he’s the one (not KAT as was often lamented throughout the season) that needs to learn how to sacrifice for the betterment of the team. KAT is the metronome to the best Knicks’ offense, so Mike Brown’s tweak should be getting him more involved.
Conversely, the Spurs didn’t seem phased at all in a must-win game and, in fact, left the court with a familiar swagger. One similar to how they left the court after Game 6 versus the Thunder.
The numbers confirm the arrival of both sqauds who have feasted this postseason. To wit, New York ranks first in offense (123.3), defense (103.5), and net rating (+19.8). In comparison, the Spurs rank third in postseason offense (115.4), second in defense (104.4), and also second in net rating (+11.0).
The best tweak Mitch Johnson made after Game 2 was taking Wemby off KAT in favor of Josh Hart so he can save his legs. Aiding that choice was Castle returning to form.
Even though Wembanyama was better in Game 4, he’s yet to have a standout performance, which feels like he’s due for. MSG has a habit of eliciting superstar performances, so I’m banking on him breaking out on Wednesday.
To that end, take the Spurs and the points.
P.S. I also like the over
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Statement from MSG Sports: “We have been told that the NYPD will once again implement the same ‘frozen zone’ restrictions for Game 4, which were supposedly to thwart any threats related to the President’s attendance…The actions of the Mayor and Police Commissioner, supposedly in… pic.twitter.com/wyHCyoTUwS
— Ian Begley (@IanBegley) June 9, 2026
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