Free Pick: Celtics vs. Cavaliers Odds
Looking for Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Celtics taking on the Cavaliers on 3/8 at Rocket Arena in Cleveland. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Celtics Cavaliers free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers
(42-21) Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (39-24)
Date: Mar 8, 2026
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
NBA Moneyline Odds: Celtics +100 | Cavaliers -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Celtics +1 | Cavaliers -1
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 223.5
Here’s why I’m backing underdog Boston as per below in my Celtics Cavaliers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Celtics vs. Cavaliers Gameday
Sunday serves up a full 10-game slate of NBA action, including the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers in a matinee affair.
The Celtics last played on Friday when they welcomed Jayson Tatum back to the court in a winning 120-100 effort versus the Mavericks. Six Celtics scored in double-figures, led by Jaylen Brown with 24 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists.
Cleveland has been off since Tuesday, when they outlasted the Pistons 113-109 to capture an impressive victory. Four Cavaliers scored in double figures, led by Jaylon Tyson with 22 points.
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Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last year, the clubs split the regular season series, each winning twice. This season, the Celtics are up 2-0 in the series.
In the last five contests, the Celtics are 4-1 and on the season sit second with a 42-21 record. Boston is 3.5 games back of the Pistons and 1.5 games up on the Knicks.
Cleveland is 3-2 through the last five and is 39-24 on the season. They sit in the fourth seed, trailing the Knicks by 1.5 games and up 3.5 games on the Raptors.
The Cavaliers are favored to win by one point with an over/under of 223.5 points.
Celtics Stats
Boston ranks second offensively (119.9), sixth defensively (111.7), and second in net rating (+8.2) while running a pace of 95.37, which ranks 30th in the association.
The East’s second-place Celtics average 24.5 assists (29th) and 46.4 rebounds (fourth). Boston scores 114.5 points per game while its opponents average 107.0 points.
Team leaders* in the key categories are Jaylen Brown for scoring (28.8 points), Neemias Queta for rebounds (8.4), while Derrick White is tops in assists (5.7), blocks (1.5), and steals (1.2).
Seven Celtics shoot above league average from the perimeter while the team averages 36.3% from deep.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Cavaliers Stats
With 63 games in the pocket, Cleveland ranks fifth (117.4) on offense and 13th on defense (113.1). Additionally, the Cavs rank seventh in net rating (+4.3) and run the 12th quickest pace (101.05).
The East’s fourth-place Cavaliers average 28.4 assists (eighth) and 44.4 rebounds (12th). Cleveland scores 119.1 points per game while their opponents average 114.9 points.
Team leaders* for the Cavs are Donovan Mitchell for points (28.5) and steals (1.6), James Harden for assists (7.9), while Evan Mobley is tops for rebounds (8.7) and blocks (1.8).
As a team, the Cavaliers shoot 36.0% from the perimeter with five players shooting above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers bottom line:
With the stretch run occurring, teams are jockeying for placement on the seeding board. In the case of the Celtics, they have a shot at catching the Pistons for first in the conference now that Tatum is back.
In his first action of the season, he looked sharp, registering 15 points, 12 rebounds, seven assist,s and a steal in 27:10 of playing time.
Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Basketball Betting Trends
- Boston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston’s last 8 games.
- Boston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games.
- Also, Cleveland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games against Boston.
- Additionally, Cleveland is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Celtics Cavaliers Free Pick: Celtics +1
Here is my Celtics Cavaliers free pick. As per above, the Celtics have already won the initial two meetings between the clubs, so a win today would give them the tiebreak.
Baylor Scheierman has been moved back to the bench with Tatum returning. Watch to see if that change impacts his output or enhances it.
In the prior two meetings the Celtics easily handled the Cavaliers scoring 127 points per 100 possessions.
The timing of Tatum’s return feels almost scripted for Boston to finish the season strong and try to win the Conference.
Cleveland is still adapting to James Harden, which could take time to gel. With that in mind, I’ll take the points and the Celtics.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
I really can’t get over it
Jayson Tatum has recovered from one of the most dehabilitating injuries in modern sports and has come back, in his first game, moving fluidly and acting like he’s never left
Yes, there’s some rust
But this is awesome to see pic.twitter.com/qqNuASYCHd
— Point Made Basketball (@pointmadebball) March 7, 2026
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