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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-25-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Houston at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Tuesday night. The last game narrowly stayed 'under' the total, thanks in large part to a 38-point third quarter. With their backs against the wall, I'm confident we'll see the Thunder push the tempo for four quarters on Tuesday night. The Rockets certainly won't shy away from a track meet here, noting that they average over 117 points per game at home this season. Houston wasn't even all that sharp in Sunday's Game 4 matchup, yet still managed to score 113 points. James Harden didn't connect on a single three-point attempt in that game. We've seen a split in terms of the o/u in this matchup this season. The oddsmakers have held the total steady over the last several games, but I believe the number will prove to be too low on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-24-17 | Blue Jays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
NOTE: Pitching change. Nolasco for Chavez (Angels). Play on the 'under' stands. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Anaheim on Monday night. The Jays busted out for six runs in Sunday's victory - their second of the series. Keep in mind, all six of those runs came from the eighth inning on as they took advantage of an ineffective Angels reliever, Brooks Pounders, who was making only the 14th appearance of his big league career. Francisco Liriano will counter for Toronto. He's pitched well in his last two outings after getting lit up in his first appearance of the season. Liriano allowed two earned runs over six innings in a start here in Anaheim last September. Both of these teams have trended to the 'under' this season. I'll stick with the trend. Take the under (10*). |
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04-24-17 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 192 | 93-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'under' in Game 3 of this series before laying off on Saturday's Game 4 matchup - a contest that easily stayed below the total. We're dealing with the lowest posted total of the series on Monday night as the scene shifts back to Toronto. I believe it will prove too low. Keep in mind, the Raptors are giving up 103 points per game at home this season. They're by no means an elite defensive squad. Meanwhile, Milwaukee allows just shy of 104 points per game on the road, while averaging north of 101 points itself. We saw one regular season matchup between these two teams on this floor total 222 points. While I'm not calling for that sort of track meet here, I do believe the two teams will do their part to get the final 'over' the low total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the opener of this series before laying off Game 2. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 3, however. The Warriors offense has certainly found its groove through the first two games of this series and should face little resistance in Game 3, even with the scene shifting to Portland, where the Blazers give up nearly 107 points per game. The good news for the Blazers is, they have been a better offensive squad here at home, averaging just shy of 110 points per contest. They gave the Warriors all they could handle the last time these two teams squared off on this floor, ultimately falling by a 113-111 score. The 'over' is 6-3 in the last nine meetings in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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04-22-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and New York at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at MSG on Saturday night. This series has been ruled by the two goaltenders, and I expect a similar story to unfold in Game 6 on Saturday. Were it not for Carey Price, the Habs would likely already be golfing. He's bailed them out time and time again in this series, and I'm confident we'll see him bring his 'A' game again on Saturday night. Meanwhile, Henrik Lundqvist has proved his doubters wrong following a disappointing regular season. We can expect the Habs to throw everything they have at King Henrik in this one, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to crack the King's armor. There's a reason we're dealing with a juiced out total in this one. Take the under (10*). |
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04-21-17 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 207.5 | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Chicago at 7 pm et on Friday. I believe the total will prove too high in Chicago on Friday night. We've seen back-to-back 'over' results to open this series but I don't think that's a sustainable trend, noting that the Bulls have been one of the best 'under' bets in the league this season, posting a 34-49-1 o/u mark. Chicago knows that if it is going to grab a 3-0 stranglehold in this series, it can't get involved in a track meet. The Celtics haven't found their offensive groove yet in this series, and the Bulls certainly don't want to crack open the door. Keep in mind, the 'under' went 4-0 in four regular season meetings between these two teams. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196.5 | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Milwaukee at 8 pm et on Thursday. On most nights, both of these teams struggle to break the 100-point plateau. With that being said, I believe this total will prove too high on Thursday night. While the Raptors haven't exactly hung their hat on their defense this season, they have been fairly consistent both at home and on the road - in other words, they haven't suffered much of a dropoff at all in their defensive play on the highway. The same can be said for the Bucks - they're not an elite defensive squad by any means, but they have held steady both at home and on the road, and I continue to see this as a matchup they can handle. Keep in mind, the 'under' has gone 5-2 in the last seven meetings in this series. After a relatively high-scoring Game 2 (206 points scored), I'm expecting a return to "normal" on Thursday. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens UNDER 4.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
NHL First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Montreal on Thursday night. I get the feeling this game will struggle to get to three goals, let alone five. Of course, goaltending has been the big story of the series so far with both Carey Price and Henrik Lundqvist turning in stellar performances. I don't expect anything to change in a pivotal Game 5 on Thursday night. Note that only one of four games in this series has seen a power play goal scored (the Habs potted two in their 3-1 Game 3 victory on Sunday). Neither team will be willing to give an inch on Thursday night and both are more than comfortable playing a 2-1 type of game. This is a low posted total to be sure, but I'm willing to get involved given the generous plus money return. Four of the last six meetings in this series have totaled four goals or less in regulation time. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 223 | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Houston at 8 pm et on Wednesday. The first game in this series was lower scoring than anticipated thanks to a no-show by the Thunder. I expect some push-back from Oklahoma City in this one, and I believe the total will prove to be too low. I certainly don't expect to see the Thunder held to 37% shooting again on Wednesday. Nor do I anticipate the Rockets being held to 30% from beyond the arc. Keep in mind, the last game between these two teams prior to this series came just three weeks ago, and the result was a 137-125 Rockets victory on this floor. Take the over (10*). |
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04-17-17 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Boston at 11:05 am et on Monday. I'm expecting plenty of offense as the Rays and Red Sox do battle on Patriots Day in Boston on Monday. Blake Snell will take the ball for the Rays. He's labored through his first two starts this season, allowing only five hits in 11 1/3 innings but walking eight. His last game totaled 12 runs - an 8-4 setback at the hands of the Yankees in the Bronx. Things won't get any easier against the Red Sox on Monday. Steven Wright will counter for Boston. Perhaps not surprisingly he's fallen back to Earth after a terrific 2016 campaign. In two starts here in April he has been tagged for 15 hits and 12 earned runs in only eight innings of work. The Rays have scored 16 runs in the first three games of this series and I'm confident they'll put up some runs against Wright on Monday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 220 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Golden State at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. I don't expect the Blazers to offer much resistance against the Warriors on Sunday afternoon in Oakland. With that being said, I do believe Portland will be able to stick around, and it does that by scoring points by the bucket load. The Blazers have allowed 110 points per game on the road this season. As a 10-point or more underdog they give up 118 points per game. Fortunately they do average 106 ppg on the highway themselves. Meanwhile, the Warriors have put up just shy of 119 points per contest at Oracle Arena. I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-14-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Not only are the Jays not scoring, but their opponents haven't been doing much at the dish either. I expect that to change on Friday night as Toronto hosts Baltimore. Wade Miley will get the nod for the Orioles. Miley tossed five shutout innings in his season debut but don't be fooled, he didn't pitch all that well, issuing seven walks along the way. If he starts issuing free passes on Friday night, I'm confident we'll see the Jays bats take advantage. Toronto will hand the ball for Aaron Sanchez. He was not surprisingly terrific in his first outing of the season. However, the Orioles will be facing him for the sixth time since the start of last season and he hasn't always performed well against them. Look for the O's to do their part to help this one up and over the posted total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-12-17 | Brewers v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Full MLB writeups will return on Thursday. Obviously a big bounce-back spot for the struggling Jays after dropping their home opener last night. The Brewers bats will be in tough against Marcus Stroman, but I'm confident they'll do enough to help this one 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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04-11-17 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cleveland at 4:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in the Indians home opener against the White Sox on Tuesday afternoon. James Shields will take the ball for the Sox. He struggled with his command in his season debut, but gave up just two hits and one earned run over 5 1/3 innings of work in an 11-2 win over the Tigers. I don't expect him to be so fortunate here. Carlos Carrasco will counter for Cleveland. He pitched well, and efficiently, in a 5 2/3 inning outing against the Rangers in his first start, giving up only two earned runs. He has struggled against the White Sox in the past, however, allowing eight earned runs in 10 1/3 innings pitched in his last two trips to the hill against them. The 'over' is 4-1-1 in his last six outings against Chicago. Take the over (10*). |
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04-10-17 | Red Sox v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Monday. This has all the makings of a tremendous pitcher's duel between new Red Sox ace Chris Sale and veteran Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander. Sale got his Red Sox career off to an outstanding start, not allowing a single earned run over seven innings against the Pirates last week. Meanwhile, Justin Verlander picked up right where he left off at the end of last season, posting double-digit strikeouts against the White Sox. Note that despite the Red Sox offensive prowess, Verlander has held them to one earned run or less in each of their last five meetings. Meanwhile, Sale is familiar with the Tigers from his days in the A.L. Central with the White Sox. He's held them to two earned runs or less in three straight starts against them. Take the under (10*). |
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04-07-17 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 206.5 | Top | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Friday night. The Heat have been wildly inconsistent lately, but I look for them to turn in a strong offensive performance in this spot. Note that they've scored 113 and 112 points in splitting their last two contests. The Raptors haven't slowed anyone down lately but the good news is, they got Kyle Lowry back in the lineup on Wednesday night in Detroit, and he helped them to a come-from-behind 105-102 victory. Note that the Raps are giving up over 103 points per game on the road this season while averaging north of 111 points themselves. This has been a fairly low-scoring series this season with each of the previous three meetings staying 'under' the total. That only serves to keep the total in check here, however. Take the over (10*). |
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04-06-17 | Wolves v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in the T'Wolves last game on Tuesday night in Oakland and I'll go right back to the well with the same play on Thursday night. Minnesota scored 107 points in a losing effort against the Warriors last time out - a game that would have been much higher scoring were it not for the outcome being virtually decided before the fourth quarter. The T'Wolves have now scored at least 100 points in seven straight games. Note that they are giving up north of 109 points per game on the road this season but do put up 104 points themselves. The Blazers got blasted by the Jazz in Utah on Tuesday, scoring only 87 points in the process. A return home should help their cause, as they've averaged just shy of 111 points per game on this floor. Keep in mind, we saw this same matchup in Minnesota on Monday night, and the result was a 110-109 T'Wolves victory. I'm anticipating an even higher-scoring affair in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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04-05-17 | Warriors v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. We cashed a ticket on the 'over' in Oakland last night, and despite the back-to-back situation, I won't hesitate to go back to the well on Wednesday. Of course, the Warriors will give Andre Iguodala and Draymond Green the night off at the very least. That's why we're dealing with a considerably lower total than we saw in the last matchup between these two teams. Keep in mind, that contest totaled 247 points. I do expect the Suns to push the Warriors here and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair. Note that Phoenix is giving up over 112 points per game on its home floor. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged over 109 points per contest here themselves. Take the over (10*). |
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04-04-17 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 218 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. Make it four straight 'over' results for the T'Wolves following last night's 110-109 win over the Blazers. I'm expecting more of the same on Tuesday night in Oakland. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 3-0 in this matchup so far this season. That helps to keep this total in check. Golden State has gotten back on a roll and it has done so on the strength of a tremendous scoring run. The Warriors are averaging 115 points per game on better than 51% shooting over their last five contests. Meanwhile, the T'Wolves are giving up over 112 points per contest on nearly 52% shooting over that same period. Things obviously won't get any easier here, but I do expect them to hang tough thanks to an offense that averages around 104 ppg on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
NCAA Tournament Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Gonzaga and North Carolina at 9:20 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in the national championship game on Monday night. Gonzaga suffered a lapse in the second half against South Carolina on Saturday but still managed to survive and advance to this showdown with North Carolina. The Bulldogs are an excellent defensive team, even if they didn't show it for a stretch in the second half against the Gamecocks. Gonzaga has held the opposition to just 36.5% shooting this season. They've routinely kept opponents under 60 points, including in three out of five contests in this tournament. The Tar Heels are known for their offensive prowess, but they can play a little defense as well, and I believe they match up well with the Bulldogs in that regard. Note that UNC held a terrific Oregon squad to just under 37% shooting in Saturday's semi-final matchup. We're dealing with a relatively high total here, due in large part to the fact that both Final Four matchups played 'over' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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04-01-17 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 222 | Top | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Portland on Saturday night. The Suns are coming off a tough 124-118 loss in Los Angeles (against the Lakers) two nights ago as they continue to have no luck slowing down the opposition on the road. Phoenix checks in giving up a whopping 114 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers are putting up over 110 points per contest while giving up around 107 per game at home. This has been a competitive series in recent years, with the most recent meeting here in Portland totaling 245 points back in November. Their next matchup reached only 211 points, helping keep this total in a more reasonable range. I'm anticipating a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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03-31-17 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Manhattan on Friday night. The Penguins are having a tough time getting the ball rolling in the right direction right now, largely due to a number of key injuries. They've scored just seven goals during their current four-game slide. After allowing 11 goals over their last two games, they know they need to tighten things up defensively here. The Rangers are back home following a three-game California road trip that saw them pick up just three of a total six points. Like the Pens, they've also given up 11 goals over their last two games. The 'over' has cashed in each of the last four meetings in this series. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 2-0-1 in the Pens last three contests, and they've been one of the best 'over' bets in the league this season. I'll take the contrarian route here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-17 | Stars v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Montreal on Tuesday night. The Stars are suddenly playing some smart hockey, winners of four of their last six games, allowing 2, 3, 0, 2, 1 and 1 goal over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Habs bounced back from consecutive losses with a 3-1 home win over the rival Senators on Saturday night. Carey Price has rounded back into form and the Habs have been locking down opposing offenses. I expect more of the same here. The last two meetings in this series have totaled seven goals with the help of overtime. That's helping to keep this total at 5.5, giving us value with the 'under'. Take the under (10*). |
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03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina OVER 153 | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Butler and North Carolina on Friday. With Butler coming off two reasonably low-scoring games and North Carolina checking in after a struggle against Arkansas, I believe we’re dealing with a nice situation to back the ‘over’ as the two teams square off on Friday night. The Bulldogs regularly scored north of 80 points this season but only managed to get into the 70s in wins over Winthrop and Middle Tennessee State. Butler was able to overwhelm both of those opponents defensively but will be hard-pressed to do the same against a highly-motivated Tar Heels squad. In order to win this game, the Bulldogs know they’re going to have to score, and I believe they can do that against a sometimes vulnerable UNC defense. After busting loose in their opening matchup, the Tar Heels got off to a quick start but couldn’t sustain it against Arkansas last time out. North Carolina was very fortunate to come out on top in that game, despite some extremely sloppy play with the basketball in the second half. I look for a much sharper performance from the Tar Heels this time around as their offense once again gets in gear and helps this one ‘over’ the very reasonable total. Take the over (10*). |
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03-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Ottawa at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Penguins are a bonafide offensive juggernaut but the Senators haven't been scoring with any consistency lately. I'm expecting a playoff-type atmosphere at the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday and will back the 'under' at a plus money return. Pittsburgh is a bit of a battered unit right now. Evgeni Malkin could miss a third straight game on Thursday. The Pens lost Sidney Crosby's linemate Jake Guentzel to a concussion in Tuesday's game in Buffalo. I'm just not sure we see the high-scoring affair the oddsmakers and bettors alike are calling for here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-23-17 | Michigan v. Oregon UNDER 148 | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
NCAA Sweet 16 Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Michigan and Oregon at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Thursday's first Sweet 16 matchup featuring the Wolverines and Ducks. The last meeting in this series was less than three years ago and the result was a 70-63 Michigan win. Most are expecting a much higher-scoring affair this time around, but I'm not so sure. The Wolverines offense has certainly been in top form through the first two games of this tournament. Save for a shaky start against Louisville, Michigan has shot well. However, a change of venue and a bit of a layoff, not to mention facing a good defensive team in the Ducks (they hold the opposition to 40.8% shooting on the season) should see their returns diminish here. Oregon, like Michigan, thrived offensively through its first two games of the tournament, scoring 93 and 75 points. But it faced the likes of Iona and Rhode Island. I believe things get tougher here. Note that the Wolverines have held opponents to just north of 66 points per contest this season. Bettors are flocking to the 'over' in this one, but I believe we're dealing with an inflated number. Take the under (10*). |
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03-21-17 | Canucks v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Vancouver and Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Chicago on Wednesday night. The Blackhawks exploded offensively in the third period against Colorado on Sunday, rolling to a 6-3 come-from-behind win. Prior to that, they had scored 0, 2, 4, 4, 2 and 1 goal in regulation time. So it's not as if they've been consistently hanging crooked numbers on the scoreboard. Trades and injuries have taken their toll for the Canucks and they've scored three goals or less in each of their last seven games, the last six of those resulting in losses. They've been shut out twice in their last four contests. The 'over' has cashed in each of the previous two meetings between these two teams this season. I don't see the same story unfolding on Tuesday, however. Take the under (10*). |
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03-21-17 | Flyers v. Jets OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Winnipeg on Tuesday night. The Flyers have seen the 'over' cash in five of their last seven games. The Jets haven't been on the same type of 'over' run, but have seen their home games average well north of six total goals this season. Note that the first meeting between these two teams this season totaled seven goals. I don't seen any reason for either team to clamp down defensively in this one. I'm anticipating an entertaining back-and-forth affair in Winnipeg. Take the over (10*). |
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03-19-17 | South Carolina v. Duke OVER 141.5 | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between South Carolina and Duke at 8:40 pm et on Sunday. South Carolina entered this tournament on an 0-3-1 o/u run but in its opener the 'over' cashed with ease as the Gamecocks rolled to a 93-73 win over Marquette. I expect another relatively high-scoring affair on Sunday as they shift their attention to the Duke Blue Devils. Duke has seen the 'under' cash in back-to-back games following its 93-83 win over North Carolina in the ACC Tournament. I'm confident the Blue Devils can break through a South Carolina defense that has held the opposition to just north of 40% shooting this season. But I'm not sure the Blue Devils can hold the Gamecocks offense down, noting that Duke has allowed the opposition to shoot right around 46% from the field away from its home floor. I simply feel this total will prove too low. Take the over (10*). |
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03-19-17 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 208 | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Philadelphia at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. We're starting to see Celtics totals come down thanks to their recent run of 'unders'. We missed the mark with the 'over' in their last game on Friday night in Brooklyn but I won't hesitate to go back to the well as they head to Philadelphia to face the 76ers on Sunday afternoon. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 3-0 in this series this season. The last meeting produced 220 total points. The Celtics are just one game removed from a 117-point performance against Minnesota. They're averaging 106 points per game on the road while the 76ers give up just shy of 106 points per contest on their home floor. Philadelphia has scored 118, 104 and 116 points in its last three games. Take the over (10*). |
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03-17-17 | Sabres v. Ducks OVER 5 | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Anaheim on Friday. The Sabres offense has run dry on this road trip, scoring just one goal in total in stops in San Jose and Los Angeles. I look for them to bounce back here though, as the Ducks continue to play without regular starting goaltender John Gibson. Yes, Jonathan Bernier has performed well in place of Gibson, but for how long can he keep it up? The Sabres gave up a whopping 77 shots in those two losses to the Sharks and Kings. More often than not they've been able to fire at least 30 shots per game on goal themselves and I look for them to get back to that pace on Friday. The last meeting between these two teams totaled seven goals back in February. Take the over (10*). |
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03-17-17 | Celtics v. Nets OVER 219.5 | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The first meeting between these two teams totaled just 203 points but that came way back in November. We're actually dealing with a higher posted total than we saw on that night this time around, but ti's warranted in my opinion. The Celtics saw their long run of 'unders' come to an end last time out as they defeated the T'Wolves by a 117-104 score. They'll hit the road here, where they average over 106 points per game but also give up 105. The Nets have been terrible defensively, giving up north of 112 points per game here at home. The good news is they're just a game removed from scoring 120 points in a victory over the Knicks. Expect a wild, high-scoring affair on Friday night. Take the over (10*). |
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03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Iona and Oregon at 2 pm et on Friday. We're looking at one of the highest posted totals in the opening round of this tournament in this matchup but it's warranted in my opinion. I believe we're in for a track meet as the Gaels take on the Ducks on Friday afternoon. Iona knows it can run with Oregon, averaging over 80 points per game this season. The Gaels' issue, however, is they're not capable of slowing down the Ducks, allowing over 81 points per contest away from their home floor. Oregon fell just short in the Pac-12 Tournament, losing by three points but putting up 80 points against NCAA Tournament two-seed Arizona. The Ducks have shot better than 48% as a team this season and they'll face little resistance in setting the tempo here. Take the over (10*). |
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03-15-17 | Mavs v. Wizards OVER 208 | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Mavs have really struggled offensively over their last two games but I'm confident we'll see them bounce back in that regard, and get involved in a high-scoring affair in Washington on Wednesday night. Keep in mind, the Wizards are giving up over 105 points per game at home this season. That hasn't been much of an issue for the Wiz as they've put up north of 110 points per contest at home themselves. There's little reason to expect the Mavs to offer much resistance in this one. Dallas has seen the 'under' cash in its last three contests but runs into a Wiz squad that has posted a 7-0 o/u mark over their last seven games. Expect the latter to win out in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 215 | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Cleveland on Tuesday night. The Pistons haven't slowed many teams down on the road this season, giving up right around 105 points per game. I don't expect them to offer much resistance against what will be a highly-motivated Cavs squad on Tuesday night. Cleveland let one slip away against the Rockets in Houston on Sunday, blowing a halftime lead en route to a wild 117-112 loss. The Cavs should bounce back here at home where they average a whopping 113 points per game this season. On the flip side, the previously defensive-minded Cavs have given up 104 points per contest on their home floor. These two teams played 'under' the total in last week's meeting, but we're dealing with a lower posted total this time around. I'm not sure the move is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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03-13-17 | Penguins v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Penguins have seen their last two games on this road trip stay 'under' the total and I expect more of the same on Monday night in Calgary. Both of these teams are getting outstanding goaltending right now. While the Pens have been one of the best 'over' bets in the NHL this season, the 'under' has actually gone 4-3 over their last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Flames have won nine games in a row and haven't allowed a single goal in their last two contests. The 'under' has gone 3-1-2 over their last six games. The last meeting between these two teams in February totaled only four goals in regulation time. Take the under (10*). |
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03-13-17 | Wizards v. Wolves UNDER 214.5 | 104-119 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Monday. We're dealing with a fairly high total in this matchup. Of course, it's not hard to figure out why as the Wizards have seen each of their last six games go 'over' the total. I don't see that streak continuing here, however. In fact, I'm confident we'll see one, if not both of these teams struggle a little bit offensively. For the Wiz, they'll be wrapping up what has already been a successful five-game road trip. How much can they have left in the tank after consecutive overtime games in Sacramento and Portland? Well beneath most bettors' radar, the T'Wolves have seen the 'under' cash in each of their last six contests. The first meeting between these two teams this season went 'over' the total, but we're dealing with a higher number this time around as a result. I don't believe it's warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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03-12-17 | Cavs v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. While this sets up as a track meet on paper, I believe the total will simply prove to be too high. The Cavs were involved in an up and down affair in Orlando last night, ultimately winning 116-104 and I'm not sure they'll be all that interested in a break neck pace here on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Rockets have quietly been trending to the 'under' lately, posting a 3-4-1 o/u mark over their last eight contests. The first meeting between these two teams totaled a whopping 248 points back in November but we're dealing with a much higher posted total this time around. Take the under (10*). |
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03-11-17 | Penguins v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Vancouver on Saturday night. The Canucks are not a good offensive team by any stretch of the imagination. They've scored more than three goals just twice going all the way back to January 15th. They have, however, held the opposition to three goals or less in eight of their last nine contests. The Penguins have been one of the best 'over' bets in the league this season but I don't see this as an ideal spot for them to get involved in a high-scoring affair. This will be their third game of a six-game road trip that continues on Monday night in Calgary. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled only four goals as the Pens delivered a shutout win in Pittsburgh. Take the under (10*). |
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03-08-17 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 205.5 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Indiana at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Indiana on Wednesday night. We actually won with the 'under' the last time these two teams met, right here in Indiana back in early February. The Pacers won that game in a blowout. I'm anticipating a more tightly-contested affair on Wednesday, and that lends itself to a higher-scoring contest as well. The Pistons are fresh off back-to-back wins, scoring 136 and 109 points in the process. Note that Detroit is giving up just under 105 points per game on the road this season, which should open the door for a bounce-back performance from the Pacers offense. Indiana averages just shy of 107 points per contest here at home. While the Pacers have been lagging offensively, I look for them to pick up the pace here and set the tone early. We're dealing with a lower posted total than the last meeting, but I don't believe the shift is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-17 | Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 7:35 pm et on Monday. The Rangers aren't scoring right now. Meanwhile, the Lightning are essentially already playing playoff hockey as they try to claw their way back into playoff position in the Eastern Conference. I'm expecting a tightly-contested affair on Monday night in Tampa. The Rangers haven't scored more than three goals in a game in regulation time since February 11th against Colorado. They've been giving up their share of goals, with Henrik Lundqvist struggling between the pipes, but I'm confident we'll see them clamp down on the Lightning on Monday, noting that Tampa Bay has scored two goals or less in regulation time in three of its last five contests. The Lightning have held their own defensively in recent weeks, allowing 2, 0, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 1 in their last 12 contests. Take the under (10*). |
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03-05-17 | Pelicans v. Lakers OVER 214 | 105-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' at Staples Center on Sunday. The Pelicans have been wildly inconsistent lately, and maybe that's to be expected after bringing DeMarcus Cousins into the fold prior to the trade deadline. I do expect to see New Orleans enjoy plenty of offensive success in this game, however, as the Lakers haven't slowed anyone down, allowing nearly 109 points per game at home this season. The Pelicans haven't been much better in that regard away from home, giving up just shy of 105 points per contest. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment to this total after the last matchup between these two teams yielded only 193 points. However, it's worth noting that their first matchup this season reached 225 points. Take the over (10*). |
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03-05-17 | Sharks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Minnesota at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Minnesota on Sunday. We've seen some high-scoring games between these two teams in recent years, but I'm not anticipating that type of contest here. Here are the Wild's goals allowed in all games since the start of February; 1, 2, 4, 6, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1. So clearly we see a few outliers but for the most part, Minnesota has been doing a great job of keeping the puck out of the net. The Sharks pose a significant challenge, averaging just north of 2.8 goals per game on the road this season. However, both teams have been idle for the last two days, and I don't expect either to give an inch in this one. Note that the last meeting here in Minnesota totaled just three goals last April. Take the under (10*). |
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03-03-17 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219.5 | 115-95 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. I don't expect to see much defense played in this East-West matchup on Friday night. The Celtics are coming off a hard-fought victory over the Cavs that turned out to be considerably lower-scoring than most expected, including myself. I do look for a return to form here, however, noting that the C's have posted a 31-28-2 o/u mark this season. Note that Boston is allowing around 105 points per game, while averaging north of 106 ppg on the road this season. The Lakers certainly haven't enjoyed much defensive success, allowing over 108 points per contest on their home floor. Offensively, they've been lagging a little bit of late, but I'm confident they can bounce back against a C's squad that is in a letdown spot on Friday. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 220 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Portland's last game - a wild 120-113 overtime loss in Detroit on Tuesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. The Thunder have seen the 'over' cash in six of their last seven games overall. Their defense has lagged lately and has struggled all season on the road, giving up 108 points per contest. Meanwhile, the Blazers won't shy away from a high-scoring affair as they average 109 ppg themselves while giving up right around 108 ppg here at home. The first two meetings between these two teams this season have cruised 'under' the total. I expect a different story to unfold here. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-17 | Predators v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -131 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Montreal on Thursday night. This game has been circled on a lot of calendars as it marks the return of P.K. Subban to Montreal. I'm expecting an energetic affair with both teams displaying offensive efficiency. Few teams are hotter than the Preds right now, especially from an offensive standpoint. Nashville has scored a whopping 28 goals during its current 5-1 run. The problem is, the Preds are also giving up over three goals per game on the road this season so they're no strangers to wild, high-scoring contests. The Habs were held to a single goal - in overtime, no less - against the Blue Jackets on Tuesday. They've now won three games in a row, needing extra time to do so on each occasion. I expect them to have a little more jump in their step on Thursday night with a number of new additions to the lineup. Montreal prevailed by a 2-1 score in overtime in the first meeting between these two teams this season. Look for a higher-scoring affair this time around. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-17 | Panthers v. Flyers OVER 5 | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Philadelphia on Thursday night. The Panthers have lagged a little bit offensively of late after getting a major boost from the return of Sasha Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau from injuries. With that being said, I'm confident they'll come out with plenty of energy against the Flyers on Thursday, buoyed by the addition of another goal-scorer in Thomas Vanek. The Flyers are coming off a shutout victory over the lowly Avalanche on Tuesday but performances like that haven't been the norm as they had allowed 6, 2, 4 and 4 goals over their previous four contests. The 'under' has gone 1-0-1 in two previous meetings between these teams this season so it's no surprise that we're seeing another '5'. I believe that total will prove to be too low. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-17 | Rangers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Boston on Thursday. This has certainly been a high-scoring series in recent years with the 'over' cashing at a 5-1 clip in the last six meetings. I expect a different story to unfold here, however. The Rangers are coming off a disappointing 0-2 homestand that saw them allow a whopping nine goals. While the Bruins will pose a significant challenge, I look for the Blueshirts to settle down defensively. The B's are hot right now, winners of seven of their last eight games. They've been finding the back of the net with consistency in recent weeks but still average under three goals per game on home ice. They've allowed a goal or less in four of their last six games overall. Take the under (10*). |
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03-01-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 221.5 | 99-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Boston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers continue to raise this total but I'm not sure they've set it high enough in this, the third matchup between the Cavs and Celtics this season. The 'over' has cashed in three straight meetings in this series going back to last year, and I look for that trend to continue here. The Cavs turned in a stellar defensive effort against the Bucks last time out - that performance coming on the heels of a rough stretch defensively. But it's worth noting that they've allowed over 108 points per game on the road this season. The Celtics were flat at home against the Hawks in their last game, but should bounce back with a strong performance here. Note that they're averaging just shy of 110 points per contest at home this season. After dropping their first two matchups against the Cavs I look for them to give Cleveland a run here, and that lends itself to a high-scoring affair in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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03-01-17 | Penguins v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. When you think of these two teams, the first thing that usually comes to mind is offense. Both teams are loaded with offensive talent but I'm not sure we're in for a barn-burner on Wednesday night in Chicago. The Pens have been trending to the 'under' lately. Three of their last five games have totaled five goals or less and they've topped three goals only once over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks have been involved in some high-scoring affairs lately but have only managed to score three goals in regulation time against the Pens once in their last five matchups. The 'under' is 4-0-1 in those most recent five meetings. I'll stick with that trend in this spot. Take the under (10*). |
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02-28-17 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Florida at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Miami on Tuesday night. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled just five goals as the Canes skated to a 3-2 victory. However, the last two matchups here in Florida have reached exactly seven goals with the Panthers scoring six and five. I look for the Panthers to bust out of their slump with another big performance against Carolina on Tuesday. The Cats have dropped three games in a row with their offense running dry over that stretch. But they're more than capable of responding and know the importance of this contest. The Canes haven't been scoring either but do average over two goals per game on the road and face a Panther squad that allows nearly three per game at home. Take the over (10*). |
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02-28-17 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' at the Palace of Auburn Hills on Tuesday night. The Blazers are coming off a spirited but ultimately a losing effort in Toronto on Sunday. Despite their struggles to find the win column, the Blazers have continued to perform well offensively for the most part. Here, they'll face a Pistons squad that couldn't get the stops they needed down the stretch against the Celtics last time out. Detroit is putting up just shy of 104 points per game at home this season while Portland has given up a whopping 111.8 points per contest on the road. The first meeting between these two teams this season came in January - a game the Pistons won by a 125-124 score in overtime in Portland. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-17 | Wolves v. Kings OVER 211.5 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Sacramento at 10:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Sacramento on Monday night. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Kings blowout loss to the Hornets at home on Saturday. However, I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this spot. The T'Wolves are coming off a loss to the Rockets that saw a grand total of 272 points scored. They're giving up around 109 points per game on the road this season so that should open the door for the Kings to bust out again offensively. Remember, Sacramento scored 116 points in their first game back after the break - at home against the Nuggets. The Kings aren't doing much to stop anyone at home, giving up just shy of 106 points per contest. Things won't get any easier against the high-flying Wolves. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-17 | Heat v. Mavs OVER 199.5 | 89-96 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Monday night. Despite the fact that the 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings in this series, this total has held steady since a low-scoring affair in their first matchup this season. I'm anticipating a more offensive-minded contest here. The Heat are rolling right now. We won with them in Friday's rout of the Hawks in Atlanta and they followed that up with a big home win over the Pacers. They've scored at least 106 points in 10 straight games. Meanwhile, the Mavs have been involved in a number of slugfests lately but should find some room to operate on Monday against a Heat squad that allows over 102 points per game on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-17 | Kings v. Wild UNDER 5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' as the Wild come off their 'bye week' on Monday night against the Kings. Minnesota gave up five goals in its last game - a 5-3 setback at home against the Blackhawks. I expect it to turn in a much stronger defensive effort this time around. Of course it helps that the Wild are facing a Kings squad that averages only 2.1 goals per contest on the road. L.A. bolstered its goaltending by adding Ben Bishop from the Lightning on Sunday. The Kings welcomed back Jonathan Quick on Saturday and he played well in a 4-1 win over the rival Ducks. The last two meetings in this series have been high-scoring but prior to that we saw plenty of defensive battles. Take the under (10*). |
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02-25-17 | Hornets v. Kings OVER 208.5 | 99-85 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Sacramento at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Sacramento on Saturday afternoon. The Hornets saw their five-game under streak come to an end last time out. Of course, that result against the Pistons needed overtime to get 'over' the number. I don't believe we'll need any extra time on Saturday. The Hornets are averaging 104 points per game on the road this season and face a Kings squad that gives up 106 points per contest at home. The Kings played with plenty of jump against the Nuggets on Thursday, thanks in large part to newcomer Buddy Hield. Sacramento has now won five of its last six games overall. The last meeting between these two teams totaled 215 points in January and while we're dealing with a higher total this time around, I believe it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Let's try this again, shall we? The last time these two teams met two weeks ago we backed the 'under' and just missed as the Wild tied the game late in the third period before the Blackhawks prevailed by a 4-3 score in overtime. I expect to see a tighter-checking affair on Tuesday night. The 'Hawks are lighting the lamp with consistency but they've also faced a fairly light schedule over the last couple of weeks. Here, they'll be up against a Wild squad that gives up just two goals per game on home ice this season. The 'under' had cashed in the Wild's previous two games before Saturday's 5-2 home win over the Predators. Of course, the Preds have been involved in a number of high-scoring affairs lately so that wasn't all that unexpected. We're being given another 5.5 to work with here thanks to that recent 4-3 game between these two rivals. Take the under (10*). |
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02-18-17 | Lightning v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Saturday night. The Lightning are on the outside looking in as far as the Eastern Conference playoff picture goes right now, but they're not out of contention by any means. Tampa Bay has shown signs of rounding into form, recording three victories in its last four games. Ben Bishop has gotten on a bit of a roll between the pipes but I believe he'll be in tough against a Stars squad that has had a tough time lately, but always seems to produce offensively on home ice. Meanwhile, Dallas can't keep the puck out of its own net, having allowed 13 goals in its last three contests - all losses. The 'over' is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings in this series and I expect that trend to continue here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-16-17 | Flyers v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. While both of these teams are known for their offense, neither has been finding the back of the net with any consistency in recent weeks. The Flyers have scored two goals or less in five straight games and I don't see them breaking through on the road, where they average under 2.3 goals per contest this season. Also note that Oilers home games have averaged just a shade north of five total goals. Edmonton potted five goals on its own in its most recent contest - a landslide win over the Coyotes at home. Prior to that, the Oilers had scored a grand total of five goals over the course of a 1-4 slide. While they have struggled as a whole lately, it hasn't been the fault of Cam Talbot between the pipes. They've allowed two goals or less in six of their last eight games overall. Take the under (10*). |
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02-16-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 212 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Chicago at 8 pm et on Thursday. The last time these two teams met they combined to score 207 points. Yet, we're actually dealing with a higher posted total this time around. I do believe it's warranted, however. The Celtics have been one of the best 'over' bets in the NBA this season. They come into this game on a roll having won four games in a row, scoring at least 111 points in each of those contests. I'm confident they'll keep it rolling against a Bulls squad that while known for its defense in recent years, has allowed north of 101 points per game at home this season. The Bulls responded well following a three-game losing streak, posting a 105-94 win over the Raptors on Tuesday. That was a relatively low-scoring result by this year's NBA standards, but it was almost entirely due to an abnormally offensively-challenged first quarter. Add in the fact that the Raps have been sputtering offensively. The Bulls won't be afforded the same breather against the Celtics here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-16-17 | Rangers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between the Rangers and Islanders at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Brooklyn on Thursday night. The Rangers are on a roll right now, having won six games in a row, allowing three goals or less in all six of those contests, and two or less in four of them. The Islanders had been playing reasonably well prior to dropping an ugly 7-1 decision in Toronto on Tuesday. I do expect to see them respond favorably against the rival Rangers. Note that the previous two meetings between the Rangers and Isles this season have totaled eight and six goals, helping keep this number inflated. Prior to a 4-2 Isles win in December 2016, the previous three matchups in Brooklyn/Long Island had totaled four goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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02-15-17 | Panthers v. Sharks OVER 5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and San Jose at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in San Jose on Wednesday night. The last three meetings between these two teams since the start of last season have totaled 7, 3 and 6 goals. The one low-scoring affair came in Florida. The Panthers offense has certainly got rolling since getting Sasha Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau back in the lineup. Florida has scored 18 goals over its last four contests. Meanwhile, San Jose has been one of the best 'under' bets in the NHL this season. However, the Sharks most recent road trip saw the 'over' cash at a 2-1-1 clip. They've been a defensive force at home this season, giving up just north of two goals per game but I believe they'll have their hands full in this spot. The Panthers are giving up 2.7 goals per game on the road and haven't exactly been a stout defensive squad lately, allowing 16 goals over their last four games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-15-17 | Blues v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Detroit at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Detroit on Wednesday night. The Blues have turned things around in goal lately, allowing a grand total of only three goals over their last four games. Now they head to Detroit to take on an offensively-challenged Red Wings squad. Detroit has actually scored seven goals in its last three contests. I don't believe it will be interested in getting involved in a high-scoring affair here, however. Note that the Wings are averaging a very pedestrian 2.5 goals per game on home ice this season. The Blues haven't been much better on the road, averaging under 2.7 goals per game. The 'under' is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in this series and only three of those contests featured totals of 5.5. Take the under (10*). |
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02-15-17 | Heat v. Rockets OVER 222 | Top | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Wednesday night. The Heat are coming off back-to-back high-scoring affairs - both losing efforts against the 76ers and Magic. They continue to light up the scoreboard, having put up at least 106 points in seven straight games. They should have little trouble keeping that up against a Rockets defense that allows over 105 points per game at home and certainly doesn't shy away from track meets. To say that Houston has scored at will at home this season would be an understatement. Here, the Rockets are averaging 116 points per contest. The first meeting between these two teams this season wasn't exactly a barn-burner as the Heat prevailed by a 109-103 score at home. We're dealing with a slightly higher posted total this time around, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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02-14-17 | Ducks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Anaheim and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Minnesota on Tuesday night. The Wild are coming off a high-scoring affair on Sunday as they defeated the Red Wings by a 6-3 score. The last time we saw them face the Ducks the result was also high-scoring as Minnesota skated to a 5-3 victory in January. That was an anomaly in this series, however, as the 'over' hadn't cashed in any of the last five meetings in this series. The Wild are giving up just a shade over two goals per game on home ice this season and I don't see the Ducks breaking through on Tuesday night. On the flip side, Anaheim gave up six goals in Washington last time out but should respond well after back-to-back off days. Take the under (10*). |
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02-14-17 | Sabres v. Senators OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Ottawa at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Ottawa on Tuesday night. The Sabres are coming off a disappointing 4-2 home loss to the Canucks on Sunday night, which came on the heels of a big road win over the rival Leafs on Saturday. Buffalo has certainly been involved in its share of high-scoring affairs lately, with three of its last four games reaching 9, 7 and 6 goals. The Senators, on the other hand, have seen the 'under' cash in each of their last two contests. They've been an 'under' squad this season but they're also more than capable of hanging a crooked number on the scoreboard. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled just four goals as the Sabres cruised to a 4-0 victory. The last time they hooked up in Ottawa they combined to score nine goals. Take the over (10*). |
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02-13-17 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 217 | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Washington at 8 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Washington on Monday. The Thunder are coming off an emotionally-charged loss to the Warriors at home on Saturday night and could certainly come out flat in this spot, but I don't see it happening. Despite their poor road record, the Thunder are still scoring over 100 points per game away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Wizards have been one of the league's best 'over' bets, giving up just under 105 points per contest at home, while averaging north of 110 ppg themselves. The first meeting between these two teams this season reached 241 total points, but needed overtime to get there. Note that the last matchup between these two in Washington totaled 226 points last season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-12-17 | Pistons v. Raptors OVER 211 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Toronto at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Sunday. These two teams played 'over' a much lower posted total back in October - we won with the Raptors on that night. So we're dealing with a higher number this time around but I believe it's warranted. The Pistons have been inconsistent at both ends of the floor lately but looking at the entire campaign, they've been pretty miserable defensively, particularly on the road. I don't see them slowing down the Raptors here. Toronto on the other hand has allowed 109 and 112 points over its last two contests, and gives up just under 104 points per game at home this season. Note that Detroit has scored at least 107 points in five of its last seven meetings with Toronto. Take the over (10*). |
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02-12-17 | Stars v. Predators OVER 5.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Nashville at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. 5.5's have been the norm in this series over the years and rightfully so. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled only three goals but since then two meetings have produced a total of 14 goals - seven in each contest. I'm anticipating another high-scoring affair on Sunday afternoon. Both of these teams were involved in high-scoring affairs on Saturday afternoon. The Stars once again can't keep the puck out of their own net while the Preds have scored 11 goals over their last three contests. Dallas' offense hasn't been all that consistent lately but did bust out yesterday, setting itself up for a big game here, against a Preds team it has defeated in four of the last five meetings in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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02-12-17 | Red Wings v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Minnesota at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Minnesota on Sunday afternoon. We've been involved in each of the Wild's last two contests so we have a pretty good read on them heading into this one (lost with the under on Wednesday and won with Minnesota on Friday). The Wild continue to play well, and Devan Dubnyk remains one of the best goaltenders in the league this season. Meanwhile, the Red Wings continue to struggle to score goals, most recently falling by a 2-1 score in Columbus yesterday. Things won't get any easier here. Note that you would have to go back over two years to find the last time these two teams combined to score more than five goals in a game. Take the under (8*). |
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02-11-17 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 203.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Utah at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the Celtics last game - a 120-111 win in Portland on Thursday night. Boston was undermanned in that game but persevered. I expect another strong performance from the Celtics on Saturday night, but I'm not convinced they can hold off the Jazz, who will be highly-motivated following a tough overtime loss in Dallas last time out. Utah is in strong form offensively, having scored over 100 points in five straight games. Of course, the Celtics have been high-flying all season, averaging nearly 107 points per game on the road. The problem is, they've also given up right around 106 points per contest away from home. The Jazz are an excellent defensive team but they gave up 115 points in their first meeting with the C's this season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-10-17 | Lakers v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Milwaukee on Friday night. The Bucks may have lost Jabari Parker, but they should have little trouble scoring at will against a hapless Lakers defense. Los Angeles is giving up a whopping 112.2 points per game on the road this season. Note that Milwaukee is averaging just shy of 109 ppg at home. The problem for the Bucks here is that the Lakers are playing pretty good offensive basketball right now, having scored over 100 points in five straight games. The Bucks are giving up around 106 points per contest at home. These two teams simply haven't played 'over' a total this high in recent years, but we're talking about two different Lakers and Bucks squads right now. I believe the seemingly lofty total is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-09-17 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Boston and Portland at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the ‘over’ the last time these two teams met back in January as the Blazers pulled out a wild 127-123 overtime victory. I’m anticipating another high-scoring affair on Thursday night as the scene shifts to Portland and while we’re dealing with a higher posted total, I believe it’s warranted. The Celtics are coming off an ugly loss in Sacramento last night but let’s not get down on them as it was their first loss in their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Blazers are fresh off a thrilling 114-113 win in Dallas on Tuesday night. Portland did lose Evan Turner to a broken hand in that one and his absence will be felt. I’m just not sure it makes a difference in terms of tonight’s outcome as the Blazers should be able to take advantage of a C’s squad playing the second of back-to-back nights. Expect an up and down affair for four quarters. Take the over (10*). |
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02-08-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Chicago and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the ‘over’ in Minnesota’s 4-2 win over the Jets in Winnipeg last night. However, I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the ‘under’ as the Wild return home to host the Blackhawks on Wednesday. While both of these teams command plenty of respect for their defensive play, it is their offense that first comes to mind for most bettors - a big reason we’re dealing with a total of 5.5 rather than 5 in this particular situation. The ‘Hawks are coming off back-to-back high-scoring affairs to open their current road trip, but have been idle since Saturday’s 5-3 win in Dallas, and I believe that helps our cause with the ‘under’ here. For the Wild, they’ve seen each of their last five contests reach at least six goals. I don’t believe they’ll be interested in getting involved in a high-scoring back-and-forth affair against the rested ‘Hawks’ tonight though. Look for both teams to treat this one with playoff-level intensity as they take center stage as the only game on the ice. Take the under (10*). |
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02-07-17 | Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Full writeups will return on Wednesday. The Jets can't keep the puck out of their own net right now but the good news is, they're back home, where they average over three goals per game. The Wild are usually stout defensively but that hasn't really been the case lately. Expect a high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-07-17 | Nets v. Hornets UNDER 219 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Full write-ups will return on Wednesday. Both of these teams are capable of enduring defensive lapses - in fact, it's been the norm this season. But both are preaching tightening things up defensively and I believe the number will be too high on Tuesday night in Charlotte. The Hornets need to play with a sense of urgency on the heels of seven straight losses, and that lends itself to a lower-scoring affair I believe. Take the under (10*). |
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02-04-17 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 210.5 | 84-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Let's try this again. We've missed the mark with the 'over' in the Pacers last two games but I'm confident the third time will be a charm so to speak. Detroit isn't stopping anyone right now, but it is playing well offensively, and as a result comes in off back-to-back victories including a win over the T'Wolves just last night. Meanwhile, the Pacers are brimming with confidence off five consecutive wins, fueled by back-to-back strong defensive efforts against the Magic and Nets. I do believe they'll face a tougher test here, however. The last meeting between these two teams came early last month and totaled a whopping 237 points. As a result, we're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, and it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-03-17 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 221 | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Brooklyn on Friday night. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Pacers most recent game - a 98-88 victory over the Magic on Wednesday night. Indiana slogged its way to a victory in that one, but wasn't all that sharp offensively. Still, the Pacers managed to put up just shy of 100 points, a number they should have little trouble improving on against the Nets, who are giving up nearly 112 points per game at home this season. Of course, Brooklyn will have its opportunities as well, facing a Pacers squad that owns a losing record on the road, giving up 108.6 points per contest. Note that the last meeting between these two teams totaled 230 points back on January 5th. Both teams have leaned to the 'over' this season and that's a trend I see continuing here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-02-17 | Canadiens v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Thursday night. The Habs busted out for five goals in a win over the Sabres on Tuesday night. They've certainly performed well offensively on home ice lately, but haven't been quite as explosive on the road, scoring just five goals in their last four games. Meanwhile, the Flyers may be known for their offensive prowess, but they've found the back of the net only eight times in regulation time over their last six games. This is a big game for both teams and I don't expect either to give an inch. Take the under (10*). |
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02-01-17 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 211.5 | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Orlando on Wednesday. The first meeting between these teams totaled 221 points back on New Year's Day, but we've only seen a slight adjustment to the total as a result. The Pacers aren't stopping anyone defensively right now, but for that matter, neither are the Magic. Indiana checks in allowing just shy of 110 points per game on the road. For their part, Orlando is giving up nearly 103 points per contest at home. Interestingly enough, the Magic offense has struggled here at home, averaging just north of 97 ppg. I do anticipate them finding plenty of open looks against a non-existent Pacers defense, however. Take the over (10*). |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214 | 98-115 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Portland on Tuesday night. The Hornets have seen the 'over' cash in their last two games and check in having allowed 106 points per game on the road this season. That should open the door for a Blazers team that averages just shy of 109 points per contest at home, and one that has gotten more efficient with each passing game during its current homestand. Portland fell just short in a 113-111 decision at home against the Warriors last time out. The Blazers are 2-1 since returning home last week, and while the 'under' went 2-1 in those three contests, they've still posted a 28-21 o/u mark this season. The last time these two teams met back on January 18th, the Blazers were essentially a no-show in a 107-85 setback. We're dealing with a lower posted total this time around, but I don't believe the shift is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-29-17 | Rockets v. Pacers OVER 225 | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Indiana at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Indiana on Sunday evening. The Rockets are coming off a wild 123-118 win over the 76ers on Friday. That, of course, was nothing out of the ordinary as they've been involved in so many track meets this season. Houston is giving up over 110 points per game on the road this season and should be vulnerable against a Pacers squad that averages over 107 ppg at home. The Pacers have seen the 'under' go 5-2 in their last seven contests but have still posted a 26-20 o/u mark this season. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season and I'm not sure the oddsmakers can set the total high enough. Take the over (10*). |
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01-29-17 | Wizards v. Pelicans OVER 218 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and New Orleans at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in New Orleans on Sunday. The Wizards have posted a lopsided 28-18 o/u mark this season and I look for that trend to continue in this spot. Washington is on fire offensively and shouldn't be slowed by a Pelicans defense that allows just shy of 108 points per game at home this season. On the flip side, the Wiz are giving up just under 107 points per contest on the road. Washington gave up only 86 points in a rout of the Hawks on Friday night, but here I believe it will face a tougher test as the Pelicans are gaining confidence having won five of their last nine contests. Take the over (10*). |
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01-26-17 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 229 | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Denver at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. This is by far the highest total in this series this season but it's warranted in my opinion. The Suns are coming off a heartbreaking last second loss to the T'Wolves at home on Tuesday. They continue to play some of their best offensive basketball of the season but haven't shown any signs of turning things around defensively. While they're averaging over 106 points per game on the road, they're also giving up a whopping 112.3. Of course, that plays right into the hands of the Nuggets, who average nearly 113 ppg at home while allowing north of 112 as well. They did limit the Jazz to only 93 points last time out but don't count on a repeat performance here. The last meeting between these two teams in late November totaled 234 points. I believe this one has the potential to finish even higher than that. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-17 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 204 | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Wednesday night. The Knicks have seen both teams score over 100 points in each of their last six games and that's a trend I see continuing here. Note that New York is giving up over 110 points per game on the road this season. While the Mavs offensive numbers haven't been great this season, they've been playing some of their best basketball in that regard lately, most recently putting up 122 points in a rout of the Lakers here at home. We saw only 170 points in the first meeting between these two teams this season but that came back in November. That result only serves to keep the number in check in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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01-24-17 | Lightning v. Blackhawks OVER 5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Chicago on Tuesday night. Both of these teams should come into this game with some positive energy, albeit for different reasons. The Lightning have been struggling and certainly know they need to start making a move if they want to get back in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. They did score three times in their last game - topping the two-goal mark for the first time in five games - and fired 48 shots on goal. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks have won three games in a row, scoring 11 goals over that stretch. I do expect to see the 'Hawks set the tone in this one, noting that they're averaging over three goals per game on home ice while the Lightning allow just shy of 2.9 goals per contest on the road. The 'under' is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings in this series going back to their Stanley Cup Final series two years ago. That helps keep this number in check. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks OVER 223 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Rockets are one of the best offensive teams in the league and they're coming off another tremendous effort, scoring 119 points against the Grizzlies last time out. The Bucks haven't played much defense at all lately and I don't see that changing here. However, Milwaukee should stay in this game on the strength of an offense that averages nearly 109 points per game at home. The first meeting between these two teams this season came less than a week ago as the Rockets delivered a lopsided 111-92 home win over the Bucks. We're dealing with a lower posted total this time around but I'm not sure it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-17 | Flames v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Monday night. The Leafs are coming off a rare low-scoring affair against the Senators two nights ago - a game they lost by a 3-2 score in a shootout. I do expect them to bounce back offensively against the Flames. Note that Calgary was torched for seven goals against the rival Oilers on Saturday night. The Flames have seen the 'over' cash in three straight games while the 'over' is 7-2 in the Leafs last nine overall. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-17 | Spurs v. Nets OVER 216 | 112-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Brooklyn on Monday night. The Spurs are coming off a wild overtime win over the Cavs in Cleveland on Saturday night. They're suddenly surging and while a letdown could be in order against the lowly Nets, I don't expect their offense to face much resistance. If anything they could come out a little lax at the defensive end of the floor and open the door for another high-scoring affair. Note that the Nets are giving up nearly 113 points per game at home this season. Brooklyn has held its own offensively though, scoring almost 105 ppg here at home. The first meeting between these two teams this season produced 231 points back on December 10th. Take the over (10*). |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics OVER 220 | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Boston at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. Quick turnaround for the Blazers here after playing in Philadelphia on Friday night, but I still expect them to show up offensively and for this one to sail 'over' the total. Note that the Blazers are getting torched for around 113 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging over 107 points per contest while giving up 105 per game at home. We're talking about two of the better 'over' bets in the league in this matchup, and despite the early start, I don't expect them to disappoint. The last meeting in this series totaled 225 points. Take the over (10*). |
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01-19-17 | Suns v. Cavs OVER 219 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll call the oddsmakers' bluff in this one. When these two teams met in Phoenix last week, they combined to score 236 total points. But we're actually dealing with a slightly lower total this time around. The thinking here is that the Suns won't enjoy the same level of offensive success while the Cavs are banged-up with Kevin Love possibly forced to miss this game on Thursday night. I'm not sure it matters. Keep in mind, the Suns are giving up 113.5 points per game on the road while the Cavs average right around the same number offensively at home. But we haven't really seen the Cavs clamp down defensively at home they way they have in recent years. They're still giving up almost 103 ppg here at the Q. This hasn't been a particularly high-scoring series with the 'under' going 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings. I expect a change of pace here, however. Take the over (10*). |
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01-19-17 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Senators have been involved in plenty of high-scoring affairs lately, and I don't see that changing on Thursday night in Columbus. Note that the last three meetings between these teams here in Columbus have totaled seven, 10 and six goals. The Blue Jackets have allowed a single goal in each of their last four victories but that's a streak that could be in jeopardy here - that is if they can secure a win at all. The Senators have won three of their last four games, scoring at least four goals in each of those victories. Ottawa is giving up just shy of three goals per game on the road while Columbus averages nearly 3.8 goals per contest at home. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-17 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 227 | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. This game will obviously garner a lot of attention and for good reason. Kevin Durant faces his former team and while the first meeting between these two teams this season was a bit of a dud with the Warriors running away and hiding, I'm anticipating a more competitive affair here - and that lends itself to the 'over' as far as I'm concerned. The Thunder were crushed by 22 points against the Clippers in L.A. last time out. I expect them to respond favorably here. They're averaging over 103 points per game on the road this season and will face a Warriors defense that gives up over 105. Golden State won't be short on confidence after crushing the Cavs on Monday night here at Oracle Arena. They're putting up over 121 points per game at home this season and won't face much resistance here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-17 | Coyotes v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Winnipeg on Wednesday night, despite the fact that we just cashed a 10* ticket on the 'over' the last time these two teams met last week. Both teams have struggled to score goals since, combining for just five goals in four games. The Jets are clearly feeling the effects of the absence of rookie sensation Patrik Laine while the Coyotes are without young budding star Max Domi. Note that the Coyotes are averaging right around 1.9 goals per game on the road this season so they could be facing an uphill battle here. The Jets know that they need to tighten things up defensively, and between the pipes, where they have recalled veteran Ondrej Pavelec to help 'stop the bleeding'. Take the under (10*). |
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01-18-17 | Blazers v. Hornets OVER 215 | 85-107 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in the Hornets' Nest on Wednesday night. We won with the 'over' in the Blazers last game as they fell in blowout fashion in Washington on Monday afternoon. Portland was essentially a no-show in that game. I expect to see it put forth a better effort here, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. The Hornets have dropped five games in a row so they'll certainly be up for this one. They haven't been an offensive juggernaut by any means this season, averaging just north of 105 points per game at home this season, but they should be able to bust out against a Blazers defense that gives up 113 ppg on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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01-17-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 228 | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Los Angeles on Tuesday night. The Nuggets are on quite a run of 'overs' right now, having posted a 7-0 o/u mark over their last seven contests. I don't believe that streak will be in jeopardy on Tuesday. Denver is giving up just shy of 109 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Lakers are averaging over 108 points per contest at home. However, they haven't scored more than 97 points in any of their last four games. But here they should be afforded the opportunity to do so. They've put up at least 105 points in each of the last four meetings in this series. On the flip side, don't count on the Lakers to offer much defensive resistance here. The Nuggets have routinely approached or eclipsed the 120-point mark in this series over the years and the Lakers certainly haven't gotten any better defensively. We're dealing with a very high total here but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-17 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 220 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Washington at 2:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in the nation's capital on Monday afternoon. The Blazers aren't stopping, or even slowing down anyone on the road this season, giving up nearly 113 points per game. The good news is, they have held their own offensively, even on the highway, scoring around 107 points per contest. I believe they can make some headway against a vulnerable Wizards defense here. Washington is giving up 104 ppg while scoring 108 ppg at home this season. The Wiz have caught favorable matchups in their last two home games, hosting the Bulls and 76ers. Things get a little tougher against an up-tempo opponent here. The Blazers should be in a foul mood following a 115-109 home loss to the Magic last time out. Take the over (10*). |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 44.5 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Pittsburgh and Kansas City at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘over’ in Kansas City on Sunday night. We missed the mark with the ‘over’ in the Steelers blowout win over the Dolphins last Sunday. That was a tough roll of the dice as there were plenty of opportunities to send that one ‘over’ the number but turnovers essentially did us in. I expect a different story to unfold this week as the Steelers travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs. This total has been dropping and it likely has a lot to do with the weather forecast, which is calling for cold temperatures and some precipitation. I’m not all that concerned about that. I think the key here is that the Chiefs offense is being underrated by the betting marketplace – at least in my opinion. The emergence of the versatile Tyreek Hill down the stretch made a big difference for this group and with Jeremy Maclin back to full strength as well, this is suddenly a team that doesn’t have to rely on its defense and ground game to grind out victories. The Steelers defense looked good against the Dolphins last week but let’s not get carried away as they were facing the likes of Matt Moore at quarterback. I do expect Pittsburgh to stick around in this game thanks to its own explosive offense, even if Big Ben isn’t 100% healthy. This is the first time Pittsburgh has had both Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell healthy for the playoffs, and their presence was certainly felt last week, and should be again here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-15-17 | Rockets v. Nets UNDER 232 | 137-112 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Brooklyn at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Brooklyn on Sunday evening. I just don't believe that we'll see both offenses 'show up', or at least bust out in this matchup. The Rockets are off surprising back-to-back losses. They're quite simply giving up too many points right now while their offense has faced some sudden resistance following an incredible run. Meanwhile, the Nets have lost nine games in a row, scoring over 100 points only three times over that stretch. They allowed a whoppoing 132 points in their last game in Toronto on Friday night. I don't think they'll be all that interested in another track meet against Houston, knowing full well they won't be able to keep up for four quarters. Take the under (10*). |
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01-14-17 | Texans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | 16-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Houston and New England at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I’ll back the ‘under’ in Foxborough on Saturday night. This play essentially comes down to the fact that I don’t believe the Texans are capable of producing much offense at all in this matchup. We did cash a ticket with the ‘over’ in their rout of the banged-up Raiders last week, and it had everything to do with a big first half from the Houston offense. But there’s no question it was the play of the defense that really set up the offense early on. While the big lead had something to do with it, the fact is, QB Brock Osweiler and the offense did very little in the second half. I like the Texans defense, but I don’t like their offense at all, plain and simple. The Patriots are known for their offense of course, and while I do expect them to hang a crooked number on the scoreboard on Saturday night, I’m not sure it will be enough to topple this total. There’s no reason for New England to go over the top in terms of running up the score, not here in the Divisional Round. The Texans defense will at least offer some resistance and I don’t see Bill Bellichick showing up Bill O’Brien – no different than we saw in the regular season meeting between these two teams – a game that could have been even more lopsided than it was – even without Tom Brady at the Pats’ disposal (note that we cashed a ticket on the ‘under’ in that game). Take the under (10*). |
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