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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-18 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 206.5 | 101-98 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Boston and Philadelphia at 5 pm et on Saturday. The first two games of this series have gone ‘over’ the total and that’s been the norm in all four second round playoff series’ so far. I expect to see a bit of a shift on Saturday, however, as this series moves to Philadelphia for Game 3. The 76ers are down 2-0 in the series but they’re not about to throw in the towel. A wise man once said a series doesn’t truly begin until the home team loses (or something to that effect). Here, I look for a determined effort from the 76ers as they do a much better job of defending the perimeter and preventing all of those easy Celtics looks that we saw in the first two games of the series. On the flip side, I think what you see is what you get from the 76ers offense. Ben Simmons is likely to play better, but I do still believe they’re in tough against a scrappy Celtics defense. Boston will continue to pester Philadelphia’s go-to guys and keep the score within reason in this matchup. Take the under (10*). |
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05-04-18 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 7 | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and San Diego at 9:10 pm et on Friday. It's been a while, but Major League Baseball has played four games all-time in this stadium in Monterrey, Mexico, with those four contests totaling 25, 10, 8 and 10 runs. I'm anticipating another relatively high-scoring game as the Dodgers and Padres square off in the opener of their series on Friday night. Walker Buehler will take the ball for the Dodgers. He has pitched well in two starts and will now join the rotation on a more extended basis with the injury to Hyun-Jin Ryu. He hasn't been stretched out too far, working just five innings in each of his first two outings this season. Fellow rookie Joey Lucchesi will counter for San Diego. He'll be making his seventh start of the season. Opposing hitters have had some success getting on base against him recently, with Lucchesi allowing nine hits and issuing six walks over his last two starts, spanning 10 2/3 innings of work. Take the over (10*). |
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05-03-18 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Arizona at 3:40 pm et on Thursday. A solid matchup between two left-handed pitchers on Thursday afternoon in Arizona as the Dodgers send Alex Wood to the hill against Patrick Corbin. Wood checks in 0-3 with an ERA north of four, but those numbers are largely due to one bad start against the A's. He's not going to beat himself with just three walks issued and two home runs allowed in six starts this season. Meanwhile, Corbin has been mowing down opposing lineups, having struck out 55 while walking only seven in six starts, posting a 2.25 ERA along the way. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last three trips to the hill. Both lineups are missing some key pieces due to injuries right now. Neither have really been rolling along. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-18 | Predators v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Winnipeg at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams on Sunday night in Nashville - perhaps the most entertaining game of the playoffs to date. I expect the scoring to settle back down on Tuesday, however, as the scene shifts to Winnipeg for Game 3. This has actually been a high-scoring series for much of the season. I don't see that trend continuing as this series wears on though. The tone was set early in Game 2 as the Preds were in desperation mode after dropping the series opener at home. I don't expect either team to give an inch early in Game 3 on Tuesday. We're getting solid value with the 'under' based on Sunday's result. Take the under (10*). |
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05-01-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Despite Indiana pushing the pace for much of the series, we still saw the 'under' cash in five of the Cavs seven games in the opening round. The 'over' came through in the final two games of that series, only after the oddsmakers made considerable adjustments to the total. Here in Game 1 of this much anticipated showdown between the Cavs and Raptors I don't expect Lebron James to find the going nearly as easy as it was in Game 7 against the Pacers. Despite dealing with muscle cramps, Lebron still managed to have his way with Indiana but will face a significant challenge against the Raptors on Tuesday. On the flip side, the Raptors are likely to face more resistance than they saw against the Wizards. Save for Games 3 and 4 in Washington, when Toronto simply didn't bring its 'A' game, the Raptors were able to cruise past the Wizards, scoring at will at times. We've seen some high-scoring affairs between the Raps and Cavs this season but I expect to see a different type of contest play out in the series opener. Take the under (10*). |
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04-21-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Columbus and Washington at 3:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Washington on Saturday afternoon. Sergei Bobrovsky is in position to bounce back between the pipes for the Blue Jackets following a subpar performance in Game 4. Of course, he didn't get a great deal of help in that contest but I look for him to rebound well nonetheless. Meanwhile, the Caps are playing with confidence since making the switch to veteran Braden Holtby in goal. Holtby has been terrific in the last two games and I'm confident we'll see him keep it going back at home on Saturday afternoon. Take the under (10*). |
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04-21-18 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 215 | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Miami at 2:35 pm et on Saturday. We've seen three consecutive high-scoring affairs to open this series but I'm looking for the defenses to settle in a little bit on Saturday afternoon in Miami. The 76ers welcomed Joel Embiid back to the lineup in Game 3 and didn't miss a beat, putting up 128 points in a victory. I do believe we may see a misstep from the 76ers in this matchup on Saturday, however, as the Heat will certainly bring more intensity than we saw on Thursday. Note that the two regular season meetings here in Miami totaled only 203 and 207 points. Take the under (10*). |
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04-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards UNDER 218 | 103-122 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Washington at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Washington on Friday night. The Raptors have controlled this series from the opening tipoff, taking both games in Toronto before the scene shifts to Washington. We've missed the mark with the 'under' so far in this series but I won't hesitate to go back to the well here as I expect to see both teams step up their defensive game in what becomes the pivotal game of the series to date. The Wizards need to pick up the intensity at the defensive end of the floor first and foremost after offering no resistance at all in the first two games. I'm confident they'll do just that back at home, and Toronto will follow suit. Take the under (10*). |
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04-19-18 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 107 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
MLB A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and New York at 6:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in the Bronx on Thursday evening. The Blue Jays are coming off an offensively explosion against the Royals yesterday, scoring 15 runs in their fourth consecutive victory. Here, they face a tougher challenge, however, as they go up against CC Sabathia. The big left-hander will be making just his third start of the season and he hasn't exactly been dominant. But I do expect him to perform well on Thursday night, noting that he allowed just one earned run in five innings of work against the Jays earlier this season. Aaron Sanchez will counter for Toronto. Like Sabathia, he's capable of pitching better than he has so far this season, but I look for a solid outing in a big spot here. Note that Sanchez is coming off his best start of the campaign, allowing just three hits and one earned run over eight innings against the Orioles. Take the under (10*). |
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04-18-18 | Rockies v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 2-10 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Wednesday afternoon as I feel both starting pitchers have plenty of upside heading into this one. Neither Kyle Freeland or Chad Kuhl's numbers are going to blow you away, that's for sure. But both have showed flashes of brilliance in the early going thi season and let's face it, neither of these clubs are tearing the cover off the baseball right now. This total has been set a shade higher than it should be as far as I'm concerned. Take the under (10*). |
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04-17-18 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -124 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. Not exactly an enticing pitching matchup on tap on Tuesday night at Miller Park as the Reds send Sal Romano to the hill against the Brewers Junior Guerra. Romano has seemingly been getting worse with each passing start and you have to wonder how much longer he'll stick around in the struggling Reds rotation. Things won't get any easier for him on Tuesday as the Brewers will be eager to bounce back from a poor showing at the plate on Monday. Guerra earned a second start for the Brew Crew after tossing 5 1/3 effective innings in his season debut against the Cardinals. Despite pitching well enough to earn his team the 'W', Guerra didn't exactly show great command of the strike zone and I do think the Reds are poised to bust out at the plate at some point this week - why not in this spot? Take the over (10*). |
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04-17-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Columbus at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. We've seen a couple of relatively high-scoring games to open this series with the Blue Jackets winning both by way of overtime in Washington. With the scene shifting to Columbus and the Capitals likely switching to Braden Holtby between the pipes, I look for a lower-scoring affair on Tuesday night. Holtby will certainly have a lot to prove in this one. He hasn't had a banner year by any means, hence why the Caps went with Phillip Grubauer to start this series. But it's the right move going back to Holtby now as the Caps find themselves in a virtual must-win situation. Of course, Blue Jackets goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has been playing out of this world, turning aside almost 60 shots in Sunday's victory. Take the under (10*). |
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04-17-18 | Wizards v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 119-130 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in the opener of this series on Saturday as the Raptors rode a barrage of three-pointers to a 114-106 victory. It was an admittedly sloppy performance from the Wizards defensively, one that I expect them to clean up a bit on Game 2 on Tuesday night. On the flip side, the Raptors didn't do a great job of containing the Wizards dynamic duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal - Wall in particular, as he scored 23 points and added 15 assists. Look for the Raps to do a better job of matching the Wizards speed on Tuesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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04-16-18 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 215 | Top | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
NBA First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Philadelphia at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I really like the way this total sets up on Monday night. We saw 233 total points in the series opener on Saturday with the 76ers facing little resistance en route to a 130-point performance. For their part, the Heat looked various shades of awful, struggling to knock down shots for much of the game. Yet, they still managed to score 103 points. I certainly expect to see the Heat improve offensively on Monday night but I'm not convinced they can do anything to slow down Ben Simmons and the 76ers offense. Philadelphia won't get center Joel Embiid back for this game and that actually works well for our purposes with the 'over'. The scoring will die down a bit as this series progresses, especially if the 76ers have to adjust to bringing Embiid back in the lineup but that won't happen on Monday. Take the over (10*). |
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04-16-18 | Lightning v. Devils UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New Jersey at 7:40 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Newark on Monday night. We've seen a couple of high-scoring affairs to open this series with the Lightning leading the way en route to back-to-back victories. I expect things to settle down a bit as the scene shifts on Monday, however. Devils goaltender Keith Kinkaid was pulled after allowing five goals on Saturday afternoon but should bounce back here. With that being said, I'm not sure the Devils have the firepower to avoid digging a deeper hole before the end of Game 3. They were fortunate to score as many goals as they did in Tampa, with a few favorable bounces along the way. I'm calling for a tightly-contested affair on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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04-15-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Boston at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Fenway Park on Sunday afternoon as the Orioles and Red Sox send their aces to the hill for the third game of this series. We've seen a couple of high-scoring games between these two clubs so far, with the Red Sox winning both contests in convincing fashion. The O's should do a better job of keeping the Sox bats in check on Sunday as they hand the ball to Dylan Bundy, who is off to a tremendous start this season having allowed only three earned runs in 20 innings of work. Meanwhile, we know what we're going to get from Red Sox ace Chris Sale as he has given up a grand total of two earned runs in 17 innings pitched this season. Look for a stark contrast after yesterday's offensive onslaught. Take the under (10*). |
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04-14-18 | Wizards v. Raptors UNDER 211 | 106-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Toronto at 5:35 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Air Canada Centre on Saturday evening. The Wizards easily disposed of the Raptors in four games three years ago, the last time these two teams met up in the playoffs. Obviously both teams are in much different places now with the Raptors heavily favored to return the favor. I'm not sure that we're going to see a track meet right out of the gates. The Wizards didn't exactly finish the regular season with a full head of steam, while the Raptors playoff history, particularly early in the postseason leaves a lot to be desired. Look for the Raptors to do a fine job of locking down on the Wizards this time around. If this were the regular season this total might look a little low, but in a playoff game between two familiar foes, I expect to see some defense. Take the under (10*). |
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04-12-18 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Twins are coming off a wild victory over the Astros on Wednesday afternoon but I expect to see a return to 'normal' on Thursday night at Target Field. The White Sox got off to a fine start at the plate this season but have certainly cooled off since. They're going to need a better performance from Lucas Giolito on the hill on Thursday after he struggled in his first two outings. The Sox do have high hopes for the young righty and I believe he can handle this matchup with the Twins. Jose Berrios has been making a name for himself in the Minnesota rotation and has posted a 3.29 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in 13 2/3 innings of work this season. He has also recorded a stellar 13:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio in the early going. Take the under (10*). |
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04-11-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 107 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. This has been a low-scoring series so far with the first two games totaling just 11 runs. I expect more of the same on Wednesday night at Camden Yards. Marco Estrada will take the ball for Toronto. He's been cruising early on, allowing just four earned runs in 13 innings of work through his first two starts. He's catching a slumping Orioles lineup at the right time. Kevin Gausman will counter for Baltimore. After struggling in his season debut against Minnesota, Gausman bounced back nicely tossing five solid innings against the Yankees last week. He'll be tasked with helping the O's avoid the series sweep here and I expect him to pitch well. Both bullpens are in ok shape heading into this one, helping our cause with the 'under'. Take the under (10*). |
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04-11-18 | Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Winnipeg at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I can't help but think this is the last time we'll see 5.5's on the board in this series. Both of these teams are capable of playing hard-nosed, physical playoff-style hockey (it is the postseason after all) but I'm confident we'll see the offenses win out on Wednesday night. The Wild quietly earned their ticket to the postseason thanks to a strong offensive attack led by veteran Eric Staal, who enjoyed a renaissance season of sorts. With Zach Parise coming on of late as well this is a team well-positioned to surprise the Jets in the opening round. Meanwhile, perhaps no team has the scoring depth that the Jets possess heading into the playoffs. Winnipeg will be energized playing in front of a frenzied 'white-out' crowd. Something tells me we'll see the Jets fall behind early but rally. This has the makings of a barn-burner. Take the over (10*). |
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04-10-18 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 10 | 5-2 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Diego and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' at Coors Field on Tuesday night. We're dealing with a considerably lower posted total than we saw in the Rockies weekend series against the Braves. Two of three games in that series stayed 'under' the total and we split a pair of plays on the 'over'. I won't hesitate to go back to the well here as the Padres roll into town. San Diego will hand the ball to Joey Lucchesi. He's worked 9 2/3 innings this season, striking out eight along the way. I'm just not sure he misses as many bats in this contest. Tyler Anderson has also been strikeout hungry for the Rockies, whiffing seven over 8 1/3 innings. With a 7.56 ERA and 1.56 WHIP, Anderson has obviously been laboring. Things won't get any easier here. Take the over (10*). |
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04-10-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-14 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. I simply believe this total has been set a full run too high as two of the best pitchers in the American League, or should I say all of baseball, go head-to-head on Tuesday night. Luis Severino is off to a terrific start for the Yankees. He was nearly untouchable against the Rays last time out and while he'll face a tougher challenge here at Fenway Park, he will benefit from Xander Bogaert's absence. Severino has allowed just six hits and two earned runs over eight innings of work through two starts. Red Sox ace Chris Sale had his start pushed back to Tuesday night. He's been even better than Severino, having given up just six hits and one earned run while striking out 15 in 11 innings pitched. The Yankees obviously have a tough lineup to navigate but Sale should be up to the challenge. Take the under (10*). |
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04-07-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating a track meet in Oakland on Saturday night. The Pelicans are battling for their playoff lives and fresh off a 122-point performance in Phoenix I'm confident they'll be able to get out and run again in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Warriors are coming off a loss in Indiana and should have little trouble bouncing back against a porous Pelicans defense on Saturday night. We're dealing with a high total in this matchup, but it's certainly warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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04-07-18 | Braves v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' at Coors Field yesterday and I won't hesitate to make the same play on Saturday. The Braves exploded early and often in yesterday's game, ultimately prevailing by an 8-3 score. Colorado didn't exactly hold up its end of the bargain offensively in that contest but should bounce back here against Braves starter Anibal Sanchez. I simply feel that the Braves offense remains undervalued right now while the Rockies are poised for a breakout at the dish. Take the over (10*). |
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04-06-18 | Braves v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Colorado at 4:10 pm et on Friday. There's a good chance this game may not take place due to weather, but for the time being it's a go, and regardless of the wintry weather, I believe we'll see plenty of runs on the board. The Braves have been led by a number of unheralded hitters in the early going this season but there's no denying they're getting the job done. They just took care of business against one of the N.L.'s best clubs in the Washington Nationals and now they turn their focus to the Rockies. Colorado is off to an uneven start but should get rolling against a middle of the road Braves pitching staff this weekend. Brandon McCarthy gets his second start of the campaign for Atlanta. He was good but certainly not great against a relatively weak Phillies lineup last Saturday. Things certainly won't get any easier here. Take the over (10*). |
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04-05-18 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 224.5 | 96-100 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Denver at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Denver on Thursday night. I'm not sure where the defense is going to come from in this matchup. Keep in mind, the most recent meeting between these two teams finished up 128-125 in favor of Minnesota back in late December. The T'Wolves have been struggling a bit offensively of late but should bounce back against a porous Nuggets defense on Thursday. Denver, meanwhile, continues to roll along having put up 100 points or more in every game going back to March 19th. The Nuggets have scored over 120 points on four different occasions over that stretch. Expect a track meet in the late game on Thursday night. Take the over (10*). |
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03-30-18 | Blues v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Las Vegas at 10:35 pm et on Friday. This game has playoff atmosphere written all over it as the Blues battle for a playoff spot and the Golden Knights try to bounce back from a tough loss to the Coyotes on Wednesday. St. Louis has been playing playoff hockey for weeks now, but so have the Golden Knights. We've seen the Knights lock down the opposition with some tough defensive hockey, not to mention the fact they've received terrific goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury. Both teams are comfortable banging in a low-scoring contest at this stage of the season. While we're dealing with a rare 5.5 in a game involving the Knights, I believe that relatively low number is warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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03-29-18 | Jets v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. The Jets are already in playoff mode but off a couple of high-scoring affairs, I look for them to tighten things up considerably in Chicago on Thursday night. Meanwhile the Blackhawks are simply playing out the string. They'll put up a fight as they try to play spoiler against a playoff-bound opponent but rather than back them at a healthy underdog price, I'll instead back the 'under' at what I consider solid value. Take the under (10*). |
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03-28-18 | Flyers v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Denver on Wednesday night. Both of these teams are essentially playing playoff hockey every time they hit the ice right now. The Avalanche are coming off back-to-back tight, low-scoring games in a home-and-home set against the Golden Knights. I expect more of the same against the Flyers on Wednesday, as Colorado could desperately use the two points having fallen back in the Wild Card pecking order in the West. The Flyers can score with the best of them but having failed to pick up two points in three of their last four games, and playing on back-to-back nights on the road, they're going to need to tighten things up with a tough schedule down the stretch. The only previous meeting between these two teams back in November resulted in nine total goals, but that only serves us with an inflated total here. Take the under (10*). |
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03-27-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans OVER 221.5 | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Blazers last game, a narrow victory over the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Sunday night. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday, however, as the Blazers continue their trip in New Orleans. Portland may be a little road weary but it catches a break facing a weak defensive squad in the Pelicans here. On the flip side, New Orleans will want to use this as a measuring stick game and I certainly don't expect it to hold anything back. Both of these teams are accustomed to getting involved in track meets and I expect nothing different in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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03-26-18 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Las Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Sin City on Monday night. The Golden Knights have been involved in low-scoring game after low-scoring game lately. This is a team that is already playing playoff hockey under the guidance of head coach Gerard Gallant, who continues to preach responsible defensive hockey. After just meeting in a 2-1 shootout result on Saturday afternoon in Colorado, I'm anticipating another relatively low-scoring affair here on Monday. This could very well turn out to be a playoff preview and I expect both teams to play it close to the vest. With strong goaltending once again, this one stays 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (10*). |
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03-26-18 | Nuggets v. 76ers OVER 223 | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Philadelphia on Monday night. The last meeting between these two teams came in late December and feels like an eternity ago now. That contest totaled just 209 points, which helps keep this total in check. A lot has changed for both squads and both come in playing with confidence and ready to get out and run. Simply put, don't count on a lot of hard-nosed defensive play in this contest. The 76ers have scored at least 118 points in five of six games during their current winning streak. Look for them to set the pace again in this one, and for the Nuggets to follow suit. Take the over (10*). |
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03-25-18 | Blazers v. Thunder OVER 216 | Top | 108-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Oklahoma City at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Oklahoma City on Sunday night. Neither team is coming off a tremendous offensive effort, but I expect both to respond positively in this key late season Western Conference showdown. Both teams have certainly been putting up big points in recent weeks, and throughout the season. Yet, the last time they met back on March 3rd we saw only 208 total points in an eight-point Blazers victory. That's a big reason why this total hasn't gotten to an unreasonable level. Prior to being held to just 100 points last time out, the Blazers had scored at least 111 points in six of their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Thunder have scored just 100 and 105 points in their last two contests, but had put up 119, 121 and 132 points in their previous three. Take the over (10*). |
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03-21-18 | Wizards v. Spurs OVER 203.5 | 90-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and San Antonio at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in San Antonio on Wednesday night. The Wizards have scored north of 100 points in six straight games and I believe they'll be able to bait the Spurs into a high-scoring affair on Wednesday as well. San Antonio is coming off a sloppy game against the undermanned Warriors on Monday night, scoring just 89 points in an eventual victory. The Spurs did hold the Warriors to only 75 points but Golden State was missing Curry, Durant and Thompson among others. Here, the Spurs won't be so fortunate. I'm expecting both offenses to show up in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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03-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 206 | 75-89 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and San Antonio at 9:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in San Antonio on Monday night. The Warriors are of course without a number of key cogs, including Steph Curry, Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson. They still managed to put up 120+ points last time out, however, cruising past the Suns in Phoenix on Saturday. While I'm not sure they'll be able to keep up with the Spurs for four quarters on Monday night, I'm also not sure that San Antonio warrants being in such a steep pointspread range. With that being said, I am confident we'll see a high-scoring affair between these two Western Conference rivals. The Spurs have reeled off three straight wins, scoring 117 points against a quality T'Wolves squad last time out. They're not likely to ease up on the Warriors as I expect to see them push the pace at every opportunity. Take the over (10*). |
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03-13-18 | Stars v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Montreal at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Stars have been playing 'playoff hockey' lately. Their last five scorelines have been; 3-2, 3-2, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1. Expect more of the same on Tuesday night, even as they take on a 'non-playoff team' in Montreal. The Canadiens are in a tough spot, playing their third game in four nights, and the second of back-to-backs after coming out flat against the Blue Jackets on Monday. I do think we'll see the Habs play with some spirit on Tuesday night back at home, but I'm not sure it will be enough to secure a victory as they simply don't have the offensive horses to compete on a consistent basis right now. Take the under (10*). |
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03-12-18 | Golden Knights v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Golden Knights talked about playing 'playoff-style' hockey on their current road trip and we've seen exactly that so far with a number of low-scoring affairs. I look for that trend to continue on Monday night in Philadelphia. The Flyers are coming off a relatively low-scoring game of their own on Saturday afternoon against Winnipeg. I don't see them suddenly lighting it up against a Golden Knights squad that is playing fundamentally-sound defensive hockey when it matters most (and getting solid goaltending as well). The posted total is quite simply too high in this matchup. Take the under (10*). |
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03-10-18 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 207 | 102-129 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. I don't think anything will come easy for the Wizards on Saturday night in Miami. The Heat have played their best basketball of the season since re-acquiring Dwyane Wade and are fresh off a big home win over the 76ers on Thursday night (we won with Miami in that contest). I certainly don't expect the Heat to back down from Saturday's challenge against an uneven Wizards squad. On the flip side, I'm not sure that the Heat are quite as efficient offensively as they looked in the second half against the 76ers. Look for them to suffer some offensive regression in this matchup. In what should be a tightly-contested affair, I'll back the 'under' on Saturday night. Take the under (10*). |
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03-10-18 | Capitals v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and San Jose at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll take a shot with the 'over' in San Jose on Saturday afternoon. The Capitals are coming off a low-scoring affair in Los Angeles on Thursday night but I expect a different story to unfold in this matchup. The Caps goaltending has surprisingly been perhaps the weakest part of their game this season and I don't see that changing down the stretch. The Sharks are obviously a potent offensive squad and come into this one rested. I do think we'll see the Caps find some offensive success after being stymied last time out. I get the sense this could play out as a 'first to four wins' type of affair on Saturday afternoon. Take the over (10*). |
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03-09-18 | Rockets v. Raptors OVER 220 | Top | 105-108 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Rockets are coming off a relatively low-scoring game, by their own standards, in Milwaukee on Wednesday night but I expect a return to form on Friday as they square off against the East-leading Raptors in Toronto. The Raptors aren't going to back down from the challenge at hand, as they come in playing some of their best basketball of the season. The last time they faced a real step-up game on their home floor they fell against the Warriors so you can be sure they'll be up for this one. I don't think we'll see the Raps shy away from a potential track meet here either. Unlike previous years, Toronto has the scoring depth to keep up with a team like the Rockets. This has the potential to be one of the most entertaining games of the season and we'll grab a piece of the 'over' at what I would consider a reasonable number. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-18 | Rockets v. Thunder OVER 222.5 | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. As long as the oddsmakers continue to dangle relatively low totals in games involving the Rockets we'll continue to play the 'over'. We won with that play in Saturday's wild back-and-forth affair between Houston and Boston and I won't hesitate to go back to the well as the Rockets hit the road to challenge the Thunder on Tuesday. The Rockets play at such a ridiculous pace and hoist up so many three-point attempts, it takes an awfully sloppy performance to keep a game 'under' the total, regardless how high the number is. I certainly don't expect to see the Thunder back down in this one. Look for another wild, high-scoring affair between two of the Western Conference's best teams. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is the road trip where I expected to see the Golden Knights start to show that they're capable of playing 'playoff hockey' and so far, so good as they're coming off a narrow 3-2 win over the Devils in Newark on Sunday. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair on Tuesday as their trip continues in Columbus, where the Blue Jackets return home following a less than impressive road trip, albeit one that did end on a high note with a win in San Jose on Sunday. Columbus hasn't had an easy time scoring goals lately and I wouldn't count on it breaking loose in this contest either. We're dealing with a high posted total but I don't believe it's warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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03-03-18 | Celtics v. Rockets OVER 216.5 | Top | 120-123 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Houston at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Saturday night. The Rockets are somewhat surprisingly coming off back-to-back relatively low-scoring affairs. I look for a different story to unfold on Saturday, however. The Celtics put up north of 130 points in their last game - a rout of the Hornets at home. Having won four games in a row, I don't believe they'll miss a beat here. Keep in mind, the Rockets have won a whopping 14 games in a row so they're obviously the 'hunted' at this point. They're also brimming with confidence and certainly won't back down from the Celtics. Look for this to be a highly-competitive matchup, with the final score soaring 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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03-01-18 | 76ers v. Cavs UNDER 223 | 108-97 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll keep my analysis short and sweet for this play on Thursday night. The Cavs are coming off a predictably high-scoring game against the Nets on Tuesday - a game that was closer than most expected. Here, I look for Cleveland to set the tone with a stronger defensive effort, catching the 76ers in a tough spot, a little road weary off a gut-wrenching loss in Miami on Tuesday night. I don't anticipate seeing peak efforts offensively in this particular spot, yet we're dealing with a very high posted total. Take the under (10*). |
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02-28-18 | Pelicans v. Spurs UNDER 219.5 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pelicans have been absolutely rolling offensively over the course of their six-game winning streak but I do expect them to face some resistance against the Spurs on Wednesday night. That's not to say they can't hang tough in this game, or even keep their winning streak going, but I think we're going to see a different pace of play than the breakneck one they've settled into lately. The Spurs are coming off a big blowout win in Cleveland on Sunday afternoon, snapping a four-game losing streak in the process. Note that they had been struggling mightily defensively, but that performance against the Cavs, allowing only 94 points, should give them a bit of a shot in the arm. Look for a tightly-contested affair all the way on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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02-27-18 | Predators v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Preds last game as the scoring halted after the second period in a 4-0 Nashville victory. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday, however, as the Preds head to Winnipeg for a potential Western Conference Final preview against the Jets. The Blues didn't offer the Preds much of a challenge at all on Saturday but a different story should unfold here as the Jets are absolutely loaded offensively, adding another piece in Paul Stastny prior to yesterday's trade deadline. While Nashville is sometimes known better for its hard-nosed defensive play, the fact is, the Preds have been one of the best offensive teams in the league and I look for them to keep it rolling here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-26-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Blue Jackets have gotten back to their preferred style of hockey in winning two of their last three games. All three of those contests were decided by a single goal, with the winning team topping out at three goals (only once, mind you). Sergei Bobrovsky hasn't had a banner year between the pipes but has allowed just five goals on 84 shots over his last three games. Same goes for Caps goaltender Braden Holtby who has had what many would consider a down year by his standards, but he continues to battle and having dropped his last five starts, I look for him to come up with a solid performance on Monday night. Take the under (10*). |
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02-25-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets OVER 228 | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Denver at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Rockets last game, a win over the T'Wolves on Friday night at home. That game wasn't ultimately as competitive as I thought it would be, and as a result wasn't able to get up and over the lofty total. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday night in Denver, however. The Rockets are certainly coming off a strong offensive showing and I don't expect them to miss a beat here but they'll without question face a challenge from a strong Nuggets offense that won't back down on its home floor. We're dealing with an even higher total than we saw on Friday, but it's warranted in this case. Take the over (10*). |
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02-25-18 | Blues v. Predators OVER 5.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Nashville at 12 noon et on Sunday. Ordinarily I would say we're headed for a low-scoring affair between these two Western Conference foes, especially considering the early start time. However, the Preds are absolutely rolling along offensively right now, while on the flip side, the Blues will be highly-motivated to break out of their funk, especially coming off a shutout loss last time out. Note that the most recent meeting between these two teams resulted in seven total goals, snapping a six-game 'under' streak in the series. Take the over (10*). |
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02-23-18 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Friday night. The Jets are coming off a wild 4-3 home loss to the Kings earlier this week while the Blues will be highly-motivated to bounce back from four consecutive losses. These two teams just met on the Jets most recent homestand, with the Blues skating to a 5-2 victory. I'm not anticipating that sort of wide-open affair on Friday, however. We should see a matchup between two of the league's best goaltenders this season in Connor Hellebuyck and Carter Hutton. The Jets have been involved in four consecutive high-scoring games but I look for that to end here as they hit the road for the first time in what seems like an eternity. Take the under (10*). |
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02-23-18 | Wolves v. Rockets OVER 225.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Friday. No need to get too carried away with my analysis of this play. The fact is, both of these teams want to push the pace at every opportunity and it's unlikely we see much in the way of defense on Friday night. The last time they met on February 13th, the Rockets rolled to an 18-point victory. I expect a more competitive affair on Friday night and that lends itself to an even higher-scoring contest as far as I'm concerned. Yes, we're dealing with a high posted total but it's warranted in this case. Take the over (10*). |
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02-22-18 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 220.5 | Top | 110-103 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Cleveland on Thursday night. Both of these teams went into the All-Star break firing on all cylinders offensively. It remains to be seen whether the break costs them their positive momentum but I'm willing to bet both pick up right where they left off and we see a track meet on Thursday night. The Wizards have actually been pushing the pace even more since losing John Wall to injury with Bradley Beal really stepping up in his absence. On the flip side, the Cavs have looked like a completely different team since their flurry of trade deadline deals. Count on an entertaining affair on Thursday. Take the over (10*). |
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02-21-18 | Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Vegas at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Las Vegas on Wednesday night as the Golden Knights aim to bounce back against the Flames, who are eager to get back on track themselves. The Knights have been involved in more low-scoring affairs than high scoring ones of late, and are fresh off a 2-0 home loss to the Ducks on Monday. This will be the sixth game of a seven game homestand that wraps up on Friday night against the Canucks. Note that on this homestand they've also been held to just one goal against the Flyers. Their other three contests came against non-playoff foes in the Blackhawks, Oilers and Canadiens and I take those results, in which they scored a whopping 15 goals, with a grain of salt. The Flames suffered a 2-1 overtime loss to the Bruins on Monday afternoon and have been held to three goals or less in regulation time in eight of their last nine games. In other words, breakout performances offensively have been few and far between in recent weeks. With goaltender Mike Smith still on the shelf they'll need to continue to keep things tight defensively and I don't think they'll be interested in getting involved in a run and gun affair against the opportunistic Knights. Take the under (10*). |
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02-16-18 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Carolina at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Islanders have been involved in three straight 'unders' but I don't believe that's a sustainable trend by any means. Thomas Greiss is expected to get the start between the pipes for the Isles on Friday night in Carolina and he's been awful this season, with a GAA north of four and a save percentage under .890. The Hurricanes followed up a blowout win over the Kings at home with a tough 5-2 loss on the road against the Devils last night. While I do expect them to bounce back offensively I'm not convinced they'll be able to slow a motivated and talented Islanders offense. Expect a barn-burner here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-14-18 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Portland at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I really feel that this play comes down to whether you think the Blazers show up or not. IÂ believe they will coming off an ugly home loss to the Jazz on Sunday. Portland certainly won't be short on motivation having dropped the last seven meetings in this series. And the pointspread really says it all as the Warriors are only laying a few buckets in this matchup. Golden State ran up the score against the lowly Suns on Monday night, scoring 129 points in a 46-point rout. I don't think they'll face a great deal of resistance against the Blazers defense on this night. We're dealing with a high posted total, but it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-13-18 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 207 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Tuesday night. The Heat are coming off a low-scoring affair at home against the Bucks on Friday, with Goran Dragic hitting just 1-of-11 shots in that contest. Expect a bounce-back offensively here, but I'm not sure Miami will have any answers for a rolling Raptors offense. Toronto absolutely blew the doors off of Charlotte on Sunday afternoon and should have little trouble keeping it rolling back at home, where it averages nearly 113 points per game this season. The Heat are averaging over 100 points per contest on the road themselves and they won't back down in this matchup. Take the over (10*). |
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02-12-18 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Monday. This is a matchup of two teams going nowhere right now. The Blackhawks are a disaster by franchise standards so far this season. The common line of thinking is that they'll bounce back against arguably the league's weakest team on Monday night in Glendale, but I don't believe a win will come easy. The Coyotes are coming off yet another loss, this one of the shootout variety on Saturday night against the Flyers. Arizona has had a tough time lighting up the scoreboard, regardless whether at home or on the road this season, and will obviously be up against a highly-motivated Blackhawks squad on Monday. Expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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02-11-18 | Penguins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 101 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
NHL TV Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 12:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in St. Louis on Sunday afternoon. The Blues have scored 11 goals in their last two games after being held to only four in their previous three contests. Here they'll be facing a Pens squad that should be highly-motivated to bounce back after suffering two losses in their last three games. The 'over' has cashed in five of Pittsburgh's last six games overall. The Blues have been involved in three straight 'over' results following five consecutive 'unders'. In this very early Sunday start I expect goals to come at a premium. Take the under (10*). |
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02-07-18 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. Late add. No writeup. Play is on now that the Kings have announced Darcy Kuemper as the starter in goal. Take the under (9*). |
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02-07-18 | Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and New York at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The case can be made for the Bruins as the best team in hockey right now and they're coming off another win last night, 3-2 over the Red Wings in Detroit - the B's third consecutive victory. Meanwhile, the Rangers continue to struggle in what is quickly becoming a lost season. We can expect a sell-off from New York prior to the trade deadline but as many have pointed out, it's tough for this team to tank for a high draft pick when they still have one of the game's best goaltenders in Henrik Lundqvist. He's expected to get the start in goal tonight while the B's will turn to backup Anton Khudobin. That doesn't represent a considerable downgrade for Boston, however, as Khudobin has gone 10-3-4 with a 2.36 GAA and .924 save percentage this season. I expect the Rangers to give the Bruins a run in this one and that should lend itself to a relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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02-06-18 | Rockets v. Nets OVER 218 | 123-113 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Rockets are in a clear letdown spot after cruising to a 32-point rout of the Cavaliers on Saturday night. While they may let down their guard defensively and allow the Nets to hang around in this contest, I don't believe we'll see Houston let up one bit offensively, where they've obviously been extremely consistent this season. The Nets have lost back-to-back games after opening their current homestand with an impressive 116-108 win over the 76ers. This is precisely the type of spot where Brooklyn tends to show up and surprise the opposition. I'm not all that interested in grabbing the points but will call for a high-scoring track meet at Barclay's Center. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-18 | Lightning v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Lightning are coming off back-to-back relatively high-scoring affairs in which they scored a combined 11 goals but I look for things to settle down a bit as they continue their western Canada road trip in Edmonton on Monday night. Tampa Bay has certainly gotten back on track on its current jaunt, having gone 5-1 over its last six contests. Here it will face an Oilers squad that still can't get out of its own way, having won just once in its last three games, with that victory coming by way of a shootout. With that being said, the Oilers have at least been playing competitive hockey and I expect them to hang tough against the Bolts in this spot, leading to a relatively low-scoring affair on Monday night. Take the under (10*). |
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02-02-18 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Sharks are missing something right now and that something is the heart and soul of the franchise, Joe Thornton. San Jose simply can't get out of its own way and its going to find the sledding tough on a Friday night in Columbus. The Blue Jackets have fallen on hard times as well and I don't think they're going to climb out of it by getting involved in a fire fight with the Sharks. Instead look for the Jackets to focus on slugging it out, and relying on goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to bail them out if needed. This total is already juiced-out to the 'under' and that's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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02-01-18 | Panthers v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Florida and Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Panthers are coming off a 4-1 win over the Islanders on Tuesday but prior to that had dropped three in a row and four of their last five. They've been sputtering offensively and I'm not anticipating a strong showing against a Sabres squad that has actually been fairly stingy of late, giving up just four goals in regulation time over their last four contests. After scoring nine goals in back-to-back shutout victories, Buffalo was held to just one tally in Tuesday's loss to the Devils. Expect a tightly-contested affair here. Take the under (10*). |
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01-31-18 | Flyers v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Washington at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Flyers aren't scoring with any consistency right now and they'll head to Washington to face a Capitals squad that plays a stingy brand of hockey on home ice. I'm confident we'll see a 'first to three wins' type of scenario unfold in this one, giving us solid value with the 'under'. Note that Washington entered the All-Star break having scored three goals or less in regulation time in seven of its last eight contests. Familiarity generally lends itself to relatively low-scoring hockey at this time of year, and I'll stick with that angle here. Take the under (10*). |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons UNDER 207.5 | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Detroit at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at the Palace of Auburn Hills on Saturday afternoon. We won with the 'over' in the Thunder's most recent contest - a 121-112 win over the Wizards on Thursday night. I won't hesitate to switch gears here, however. Oklahoma City is scoring at will right now. But it will run into a highly-motivated and well-rested Pistons squad on Saturday. Detroit has lost six straight games and unlike the Thunder, the Pistons aren't scoring with a great deal of consistency. Note that Detroit is allowing just a shade over 100 points per game at home this season so it is capable of keeping opposing offenses in check. In fact, these two teams have combined to post a 39-54-1 o/u record this season. The 'under' has cashed in seven straight meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 220 | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Chicago on Friday night. The Bulls have quietly been involved in a number of high-scoring games lately, with their last five averaging just shy of 230 total points. While we're dealing with a relatively high total here, I believe it could be even higher. Note that the Lakers are playing with some confidence, having won three games in a row, scoring 127 and 108 points in their last two contests. The problem is, L.A. has also allowed at least 107 points in four of its last five games. The Bulls will be looking to get loose following a three-game road trip that saw them drop a couple of games, but still manage to go 2-1 ATS. Chicago is 6-1 ATS over its last seven contests. Expect a competitive, high-scoring affair on Friday night. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-18 | Wizards v. Thunder OVER 213 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We're dealing with a high total in this matchup but it's warranted in my opinion. The Wizards were a complete no-show in Dallas last time out, scoring 75 points in a blowout loss. I do expect them to bounce back in a big way offensively against a Thunder squad that has offered little defensive resistance of late. Oklahoma City has scored 114, 148 and 109 points in its last three games, all victories, but has also allowed 124 and 108 points over its last two contests. Note that the Wizards have scored over 100 points in five of the last six meetings in this series. In fact, the 'over' is 5-1 in the last six matchups between these two teams as well. Expect a track meet on Thursday night. Take the over (10*). |
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01-24-18 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 215.5 | 108-93 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We've seen a couple of fairly low-scoring games between these two teams this season and as a result we're dealing with a lower total than we saw in their last meeting back in late December. The Raptors aren't a good defensive road team by any means. They've allowed at least 110 points in each of their last six road contests. On the flip side, we know the Raptors can score. They're averaging just shy of 110 points per game away from home this season. Atlanta is playing with some confidence right now, having posted victories in three of its last four games overall. The 'under' has cashed in the Hawks last four contests, but again, that only serves to give us a more reasonably priced total in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-18 | Panthers v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Florida and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Tuesday night. Florida is scoring with some consistency again, having found the back of the net 7, 2, 3 and 3 goals in regulation time over its last four contests. The problem is, the Panthers are also giving up their share of goals, allowing 5, 4, 2, 4, 4, 3 and 4 goals over their last seven games. Note that the first meeting between these two teams totaled six goals in regulation time (Florida won 4-3 in a shootout) back in November. The Stars are coming off a seven-goal outburst in Buffalo on Saturday and have scored at least four goals in regulation time in four of their last seven games overall. Take the over (10*). |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles UNDER 39 | 7-38 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Minnesota and Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. We’re dealing with a very low total by today’s NFL standards in this one, but I believe it’s warranted. The Vikings were ultimately involved in a high-scoring affair on paper in last week’s thrilling victory over the Saints, as the two teams combined to score 53 points, with 19 of those points coming in the final 3:01 of the fourth quarter. Up until that point, that game could have been classified as a defensive slugfest. Here, I’m expecting more of the same, minus the late explosion. Of course, the venue has to be considered here as the game will be played outdoors rather in the perfect offensive conditions we saw in Minnesota. I expect both teams to lean heavily on their ground attack, with a few shots through the air sprinkled in. We’re talking about two elite defensive teams, and it’s not as if we’re going to see a sudden identity shift with a trip to the Super Bowl hanging in the balance. Both quarterbacks deserve all the credit they’ve been receiving this week, but I don’t think we’ll see either squad put it all on their shoulders in this spot. Take the under (10*). |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Conference Championship Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Jacksonville and New England at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘under’ on Sunday afternoon in Foxborough. Both of these teams lit up the scoreboard in their respective Divisional Round games last weekend. The Jaguars were buoyed by a number of Steelers turnovers and took advantage of excellent field position throughout the game, an advantage they’re not likely to enjoy against the Pats this Sunday. Meanwhile, New England faced no resistance against a middle of the road Titans defense last Saturday night. Jacksonville’s defense is undoubtedly on another level by comparison. That’s not to say they’ll shut down the Pats vaunted offense by any means, but we don’t really need them to with the total set where it is. While the New England offense gets most of the credit, we’ve seen the defense come up big time and time again and I expect no different here as they take away Jacksonville’s best offensive weapon, RB Leonard Fournette, and force QB Blake Bortles into obvious passing situations. I believe there’s a good chance we see the winning side score in the 24-27 point range here, which puts us in good position to cash our ticket. Take the under (10*). |
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01-20-18 | Lightning v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Minnesota on Saturday night. The Lightning aren't scoring right now. They've managed only two goals in their last two games and have been held to three or less in five of their last seven contests overall. Meanwhile, Minnesota has given up two goals or less in regulation time in four straight games. The Wild have scored more than two goals themselves only once in their last five contests. It's also worth noting that the 'under' is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in this series with all six of those matchups reaching five goals or less. Take the under (10*). |
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01-20-18 | Rangers v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Colorado at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Rangers are coming off four consecutive 'over' results but I look for that to turn around on Saturday afternoon as they take on the red hot Avalanche in Colorado. While New York has scored nine goals in its last two contests it has to realize that is a pace it can't keep up. Note that the Rangers had scored only nine goals combined in their previous five games. The Avalanche have won an incredible eight games in a row and they're doing it thanks to some clutch offense and excellent defensive play. Here, I do expect them to face some resistance, however, noting that the Rangers have held them to two goals or less in four of the last five meetings in this series. Colorado hasn't allowed more than three goals in a game since December 16th, which speaks to its consistency in recent weeks. Take the under (10*). |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 208 | 83-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This has been a high-scoring series at times in recent years and I'm anticipating a similar result on Friday night in Toronto. The Spurs are of course without Kawhi Leonard so they're going to need to learn how to run their offense efficiently once again. They've sputtered offensively of late, but I'm confident they can get loose against a vulnerable Raptors defense on Friday night. Toronto scored only 96 points in perhaps a less than impressive win over the Pistons on Wednesday. Prior to that they had scored 133, 125 and 111 points in their last three games, however. Note that they're averaging just shy of 115 points per contest at home this season. The Spurs are a good defensive team but I'm not sure they'll be able to resist getting involved a high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-18 | Maple Leafs v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Philadelphia on Thursday night, as the Flyers retire Eric Lindros' number 88. The Leafs have been involved in a number of low-scoring games lately as Mike Babcock has tightened the screws on his squad in an effort to improve their defensive play. I do expect to see the Leafs open things up a little bit in this matchup, however, noting that they've blown late leads only to lose in overtime in each of their last two contests (we successfully went against them in both contests). The Flyers saw their four-game winning streak grind to a halt on Tuesday night against the Rangers. Keep in mind, they had scored at least four goals in each game during their four-game winning streak. Note that each of the last three meetings in this series have totaled exactly six goals. I believe this one could go even higher. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-18 | Stars v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' at Little Caesar's Arena on Tuesday night. I liked the way the Stars played offensively on Monday, even if it wasn't a true breakout performance in a 3-2 overtime victory. I expect to see them stay aggressive as they play the second of back-to-back games on the road on Tuesday night in Detroit, noting that they've scored nine goals in their last two meetings with the Red Wings. Detroit is coming off a shutout victory in Chicago on Sunday afternoon. The Blackhawks came out flat in that contest and the Wings took full advantage. I'm not sure they'll be so fortunate on Tuesday, however. Detroit has plenty of confidence right now, having posted victories in five of its last seven games overall. Take the over (10*). |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers OVER 41 | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Jacksonville and Pittsburgh at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' at Heinz Field on Sunday afternoon. The Jags certainly didn't put their best foot forward offensively against the Bills last Sunday, QB Blake Bortles in particular. However, they still managed to win the game, and now they have a shot at accomplishing something truly great in Pittsburgh. I look for a much better showing by Bortles and the offense in general. Keep in mind, RB Leonard Fournette ran wild against the Steelers back in early October, gaining 181 yards and punching in a pair of touchdowns on the ground. Ben Roethlisberger threw five interceptions against the Jags defense on that afternoon, but I expect a much different story to unfold this time around. Big Ben will have all-world WR Antonio Brown back at his disposal, and with Martavis Bryant stepping up down the stretch as well, this aerial attack is truly loaded. We're dealing with a low total, but I don't believe it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 41.5 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Philadelphia at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. This is a low total when it comes down to it but I'm not sure it's been set low enough. The Falcons are the best 'under' bet in the league this season. Despite all the talent they possess, their offense continues to struggle to find consistency. There's little reason to expect them to suddenly light it up against an elite, well-rested Eagles defense on Saturday. On the flip side, I have little faith in the Philadelphia offense with Nick Foles at the helm. Like the Falcons, they do have plenty of talent, but without Carson Wentz, I don't believe they're going anywhere. The Falcons defense is an underrated unit to be sure, and I'm confident they'll show up again in the divisional round. Take the under (10*). |
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01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Phoenix at 10:35 pm et on Friday. I fully expect a track meet between the Rockets and Suns in Phoenix on Friday night. Of course, the Rockets have been scoring at will all season long. There's little reason to expect the Suns will offer much resistance on Friday. Note that Houston has scored at least 123 points in winning each of the last five meetings in this series. The Suns aren't likely to back down, however, as they boast an explosive fast-paced offense of their own. Phoenix is coming off a big home win over the Thunder, scoring 114 points in that contest. The Rockets are allowing right around 110 points per game over their last five contests so the door is open for the Suns to turn in another strong offensive showing. Take the over (10*). |
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01-10-18 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the T'Wolves last game - a rout of the Cavaliers on Monday night. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday, as they welcome the Thunder to town. Lost in that blowout win by Minnesota was its exceptional defensive effort against not just Lebron James (he was held to 10 points) but the entire Cavs offense. Yes, Cleveland did end up reaching 99 points but that was thanks only to a big fourth quarter after the T'Wolves had already solidified a positive result. Here, I'm anticipating a more tightly-contested affair, and that should lend itself to tougher defense throughout. The Thunder are known for their offense, but here they're going to need to tighten things up defensively in order to bring an end to a two-game slide. After giving up 114 and 117 points in back-to-back flat performances against Phoenix and Portland I expect them to do just that on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
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01-10-18 | Mavs v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Neither of these teams should be considered defensive stalwarts by any means, but that doesn't mean that a track meet is a sure thing on Wednesday night in Charlotte. The Hornets are playing their first game back home following a long road trip, and I expect them to suffer some ill effects as a result. As for the Mavs, they're in a back-to-back spot following a 114-point outburst in a win over the Magic at home last night. This is one of those tough to get up for one game trips, against a non-conference opponent no less. It's not that I'm anticipating a defensive slugfest here, I simply feel that both offenses will have a tough time sustaining high productivity levels for four quarters. We're dealing with a lofty total here as well. Take the under (10*). |
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01-09-18 | Blackhawks v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Ottawa at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in this non-conference tilt on Tuesday night. The Blackhawks took care of business against the reeling Oilers, allowing just one goal in an easy victory on Sunday night. We cashed the 'over' in their wild 5-4 loss to the Golden Knights this past Friday but Sunday's contest brought an end to their five-game 'over' run. The Senators have seen their last two games play 'over' the total but it's worth noting that they haven't posted three straight 'over' results since November 4th to 11th. They've scored 12 goals in posting back-to-back wins but they have to realize that they won't be able to keep up their free-wheeling ways. Look for them to settle things down against a dangerous 'Hawks squad on Tuesday. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 45 | 26-23 | Loss | -101 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Alabama and Georgia at 8:10 pm et on Monday. We saw a real contrast in styles in last week's semi-final matchups as Georgia was involved in a wild 54-48 overtime win over Oklahoma while Alabama dominated defensively in a 24-6 rout of Clemson. I'm not anticipating a shootout in the national championship game on Monday as these two SEC foes should be involved in a tightly-contested affair from start to finish. Save for a 56-point outburst against FCS squad Mercer, Alabama hasn't really been all that explosive offensively, scoring 31 points or less in its four other games over the last two months. Georgia is a better defensive team than it showed in last week's victory over the Sooners. On the flip side, I'm confident the Crimson Tide defense can hold its own against another terrific offense here. While Georgia freshman QB Jake Fromm has been outstanding this season, you have to give the edge to the Tide defense in this particular matchup. We're dealing with a low total, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves OVER 220 | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'm not anticipating much defense in this showdown between the Cavs and T'Wolves on Monday night. The Cavs will be a popular play in this one, but there's no question Minnesota is capable of giving them a run. The T'Wolves score here at home, averaging north of 109 points per game. Likewise, the Cavs are putting up just shy of 110 ppg on the road. Also note that the most recent meeting between these two teams, last February, totaled 224 points. The Cavs are easing Isaiah Thomas into the fold, and he scored 19 points in only 22 minutes last time out. Expect a track meet here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Jacksonville on Sunday afternoon. We saw two relatively low-scoring affairs in Wild Card action yesterday but I expect to see a different story unfold as the Bills battle the Jags in this one. There are a lot of questions around whether either of these playoff rookie quarterbacks can perform on the postseason stage. I'm actually confident we'll see both turn in solid performances. It's easily overlooked that the Jags offense actually came to life down the stretch with the emergence of a number of young WR talents. On the flip side, Bills QB Tyrod Taylor has played with a chip on his shoulder since being benched earlier in the campaign. While I have respect for both defenses, I don't see them ruling the day on Sunday. We're working with a low total in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs UNDER 44.5 | Top | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Tennessee and Kansas City at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. I’ll back the ‘under’ as the NFL Playoffs kick off in Kansas City on Saturday afternoon. While the Chiefs did close out the regular season with their offensively seemingly humming along, the fact is, neither of these offenses was all that consistent this season. Note that the Titans haven’t allowed more than 27 points in a game since Week 11, when they suffered a 40-17 loss in Pittsburgh, playing just four days after a 24-20 home win over the Bengals. Meanwhile, the Chiefs allowed 15 points or less in their last three games that mattered (they gave up 24 points in last week’s meaningless win over the Broncos – we won with the ‘over’ in that contest). There’s really no need to overthink things here. I’m just not sure that either quarterback really gets rolling, nor do I believe the ground games will run wild in the first of this weekend’s four Wild Card matchups. Take the under (10*). |
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01-05-18 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Vegas and Chicago at 8:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Chicago on Friday night. Vegas is coming off a low-scoring affair in St. Louis on Thursday, suffering a 2-1 loss to bring an end to its eight-game winning streak. I do expect to see the Golden Knights bounce back offensively here, but I'm not sure they'll be able to hold off a Blackhawks squad that has scored 12 goals over its last three contests. Chicago goaltender Anton Forsberg has struggled this season, posting a 1-5-3 record with a GAA well over three and a save percentage hovering around .900. He's expected to get the call between the pipes tonight. Take the over (10*). |
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12-31-17 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 37.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Denver on Sunday afternoon. I'm confident we'll see both offenses open things up in this somewhat meaningless Week 17 matchup. The Chiefs will give rookie Patrick Mahomes a chance under center and I believe we'll see him perform well. Meanwhile, the Broncos offense has been a mess all season long but can take a step toward next season with a strong finish in front of the home faithful. Both defenses have had their ups and downs this season, but in reality there have been more downs than ups. Familiarity generally lends itself to lower scoring football games, but I believe the oddsmakers have gone too low with this total. Take the over (10*). |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State OVER 64.5 | 7-24 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between USC and Ohio State at 8:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Friday night's Cotton Bowl. The Buckeyes are the favorite in this matchup, and rightfully so. However, I don't expect the Trojans to roll over in this one. USC comes into this game having won five straight, scoring at least 28 points in all five of those contests. They'll be up against it here as the Buckeyes possess a tremendous defense, but not an impenetrable one. Meanwhile, USC's defense hasn't impressed me at all, and as long as Ohio State brings the right mindset into this game, and I believe it will, it should have little trouble marching up and down the field. The last meeting between these two teams totaled just 33 points, but that has little relevance here as that game took place back in 2009. Take the over (10*). |
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12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU UNDER 49 | 37-39 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between TCU and Stanford at 9 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Thursday's Alamo Bowl between Stanford and TCU. We have two quality defenses going head-to-head here and neither offense really closed out the regular season firing on all cylinders. I can't help but think the defenses will remain ahead of the offenses as they prepare to go toe-to-toe on Thursday night. A key here will be the Horned Frogs run defense, which has held the opposition to only 2.9 yards per rush this season. If they can keep the Cardinal ground game in check they should be in the driver's seat in this one. With that being said, I'm confident the Stanford defense will hold its own against a wildly inconsistent Horned Frogs offense. Take the under (10*). |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa UNDER 45 | 20-27 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Iowa and Boston College at 5:15 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in the Pinstripe Bowl on Wednesday afternoon. Iowa closed out the regular season with a 56-point outburst against Nebraska but now following a full month off, I look for the Hawkeyes to return to form so to speak. Keep in mind, this is a team that had been held to 17 points or less in four of its previous five games prior to that rout of Nebraska. Like Iowa, Boston College also closed out the regular season on a high note offensively, scoring 81 points in its final two contests. But the Eagles were also prone to offensive droughts over the course of the season. I'm not convinced the winning side eclipses the 20-point mark in this one. Take the under (10*). |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois v. Duke OVER 47 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Duke and Northern Illinois at 5:15 pm et on Tuesday. We have the perfect conditions for a shootout between the Blue Devils and Huskies on Tuesday afternoon. Duke has been one of the best 'under' bets in the nation this season, posting a 3-9 o/u mark. I like the fact that Blue Devils closed out the regular season with back-to-back wins, scoring 43 and 31 points in the process. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois was rolling offensively for much of the latter part of the regular season, but struggled in its finale against Central Michigan, on the road in less than ideal conditions. I expect to see the Huskies bounce back here. Note that the 'over' has cashed in five of their last six games overall. Take the over (10*). |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans OVER 44.5 | 34-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Houston at 4:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Christmas Day. This game has shootout written all over it. Last week, the Texans fell behind early and never recovered, scoring only seven points in a blowout loss in Jacksonville. I do expect to see them bounce back against an undermanned Steelers defense, however. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh was held down, relatively speaking, by New England last Sunday but should have little trouble responding here in Houston. Look for a big game from Le'Veon Bell, not to mention the Steelers receiving corps, even without Antonio Brown. Take the over (10*). |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars v. 49ers OVER 42 | Top | 33-44 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Jacksonville and San Francisco at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The betting marketplace still hasn't caught up with these two rejuvenated offenses, at least considering this relatively low posted total. The Jags have seemingly come out of nowhere to become a contender in the AFC this season and while their defense has led the way for much of the campaign, it has been their offense that has really shouldered the load lately. A host of emerging talents at wide receiver have helped lift up QB Blake Bortles and I expect to see continuation of that strong play here in San Francisco. Meanwhile, the 49ers have found their QB of the future in Jimmy Garoppolo. In fact, he's proving to be their QB of the present as well. This will be Garoppolo's toughest test since taking over the starting job for the Niners, but I'm confident he'll exceed expectations. Take the over (10*). |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Central Michigan and Wyoming at 4 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Boise on Friday afternoon. I simply feel the oddsmakers have gone too low with this total. Wyoming didn't necessarily put its best foot forward offensively during the regular season. The Cowboys stunk on that side of the football for much of the campaign. That was in spite of the Cowboys having a potential number one overall NFL draft pick in QB Josh Allen. Allen missed the team's final two contests, but is expected to return here, and could make amends so to speak, perhaps improving his stock with a strong performance against the Chippewas. Central Michigan closed out the regular season on a high note, riding a five-game winning streak, scoring points in bunches along the way. While the layoff won't help their cause here, I do expect them to find some success moving the football and putting points on the board against Wyoming. Take the over (10*). |
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International UNDER 57.5 | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Temple and Florida International at 8 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Thursday's Gasparilla Bowl in St. Petersburg. Temple finished the regular season on a high note, securing three wins in its final four games, scoring at least 34 points in each of those wins. However, they haven't played a game since November 25th so any of that positive momentum has essentially been wiped out. Likewise, Florida International scored a whopping 104 points in its final two regular season games. In fact, the 'over' went a perfect 4-0 in the Panthers final four contests. That only serves to give us a more favorable total here, however. I don't feel that the quarterback play on either side warrants much confidence here. We're dealing with a lofty total and I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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12-19-17 | Canadiens v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. It might be tough for the Canucks to generate offense in the short-term picture with rookie standout Brock Boeser sidelined with a foot injury. Boeser isn't expected to miss a considerable amount of time but his absence will certainly be felt in the meantime. As for the Habs, they continue to do nothing offensively, scoring a grand total of three goals over their last three games. Things really can't get much worse at this point, and I suspect we'll see them look to Carey Price to try to salvage something on this western road swing. Totals set at 5.5 have been the norm this season, but in this case, I believe that number will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 65 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Akron and Florida Atlantic at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Tuesday's Boca Raton Bowl. Neither team has had much trouble scoring this season but that has provided us with a lofty total to work with here. Akron's defense has been extremely opportunistic with 19 interceptions and four touchdowns on the season. Florida Atlantic is certainly well aware of the Zips knack for creating turnovers, however, and Lane Kiffin has had plenty of time to drive that point home to his players. The Owls rely heavily on sophomore RB Devin Singletary, who racked up nearly 1,800 yards and 29 touchdowns on the ground this season. You can be sure Akron has watched plenty of game film of Singletary leading up to this one and will do everything it can to at least slow him down. I believe we'll see plenty of long drives in this one, ultimately chewing enough clock to keep the final score 'under' the inflated total. Take the under (10*). |
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12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs OVER 48 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
NFC South Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Tampa Bay at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I don't believe either of these teams will have trouble moving the football on Monday night. The Falcons stumbled last week against New Orleans, but still managed to prevail in a rather ugly 20-17 affair. I expect them to bounce back in a big way offensively here - QB Matt Ryan in particular. Meanwhile, the Bucs have had some success putting points on the board against the Falcons, even if it hasn't resulted in much success in the win column. Note that Tampa Bay has scored at least 20 points in four straight games. With that being said, it has lost three games in a row and will be highly-motivated to respond here. Keep an eye on Bucs RB Peyton Barber in particular in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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