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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-06-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Mariners vs. Angels Over 7.5 |
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05-06-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 213 | 109-115 | Loss | -102 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets host the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday night in the second game of their second round playoff series. These teams played over the number in Game 1 on the back of an uncharacteristically solid performance from Austin Rivers, and an incredibly efficient shooting performance from Matt Barnes. These are two things that are unlikely to be repeated in Game 2. Even so, oddsmakers have bumped the number up a couple points for Game 2. These teams met four times during the regular season, playing under the number each time, with Monday's game representing the first over in the season series. Expect a return to normalcy as the familiarity between the two sides leads to a greater effort from the Rockets' defense, helping guide us to a comfortable under. The under is 4-1 in the Clippers' last five games following a win of more than 10 games. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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05-06-15 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals -117 | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
St. Louis Cardinals ML |
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05-05-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 196.5 | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday night in the second game of their second round series. The Grizzlies have been kind to under bettors for years, and that's been no different in these playoffs. The under came through in three of the team's opening round games against the high-scoring Portland Trail Blazers. The Warriors have also been a sneaky good under team this season. While the Warriors' offense grabs all the headlines, the team's defense actually ranks as one of the most efficient units in the league. The under has cashed in three of four meetings between these teams this season. The Grizzlies were held under 90 points in two of those contests. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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05-05-15 | San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | 0-6 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night in the second game of a three-game set. The Padres haven't played anything like they have in the past, and entered the week ranking inside the top three in baseball in terms of runs scored. On Tuesday they'll face Ryan Vogelsong, who sports a 9.31 ERA and 2.02 WHIP. In his lone start against the Padres this season, Vogelsong allowed five runs and failed to get out of the fourth inning. The Giants have had trouble scoring runs this season, ranking near the bottom of the league, but should find some success on Tuesday against Andrew Cashner. Cashner sports a 2.61 ERA, but that number's helped out by the eight unearned runs he's allowed through five starts. Factor those in, and his line balloons to a far more pedestrian 4.94 ERA. The over is 5-2 in Cashner's last seven starts against N.L. West opponents. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play. |
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05-05-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Chicago White Sox -114 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Chicago ML The White Sox have lost five straight games and that allows us to get in on a big pitching mismatch at a very favorable price. Jeff Samardzija got roughed up in his last start, surrendering 7 ER in Baltimore. We're willing to give "the Shark" a pass. Samardzija is one of the league's more underrated pitchers and he already tossed a gem against the Tigers this season, surrendering just 1 ER through 8 IP on April 17. The White Sox are 2-0 in Samardzija's two starts at "the Cell" this season, as Samardzija has surrendered just 4 ER in those starts. As for Shane Greene, the wheels have fallen off after a tremendous start. Greene has given up 15 ER in his last two starts and he simply isn't fooling anyone at this point. The White Sox are 6-3 at home this season and their run production is a half run higher at home as well, so expect them to give Greene some difficult at bats. The Tigers' 17-9 start has them extremely overvalued in Chicago tonight, and we'll gladly lay the short price with the Sox. Take the White Sox. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* MLB ML Play |
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05-05-15 | Tampa Bay Rays +109 v. Boston Red Sox | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay ML The Rays aren't exactly the flashiest team in baseball, but they find a way to get the job done, and they're not deserving of being underdogs in Boston tonight. Drew Smyly gets the nod for the Rays. The lefty has pitched twice this season, surrendering just 4 ER in the process. Smyly has struck out 15 batters in 10.7 IP and that's an indicator of the type of stuff that he possesses. The BoSox are just 2-3 against left-handed starters this season, hitting only .244 as a team, and they'll likely be without Hanley Ramirez tonight after he injured himself making a play in left field last night. The Red Sox counter with Rick Porcello, who has not been good this season. Porcello is better than the 5.34 ERA that he's posted thus far, but Fenway Park is not the ideal park for him and his numbers will continue to suffer when he pitches there. Tampa's bats aren't exactly the deadliest group of bats in the league, but they'll make Porcello work, just like they did with Clay Buchholz last night. We've looked deep into this matchup and this price simply cannot be justified. Take the road team. Take the Rays. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* MLB ML Play |
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05-04-15 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals -140 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs on Monday night in the opening game of a four-game series. It’s been a tale of two seasons for Travis Wood, who has a 1.29 ERA at home and a 5.59 ERA on the road. Games against the Cardinals weren’t particularly great for Wood a year ago. He posted a 5.20 against them, but even that was aided by eight unearned runs. His ERA was 5.06 at Busch Stadium, but again, that number doesn’t tell the whole story, as he allowed three unearned runs in two starts. The Cardinals counter with Carlos Martinez, who has been tremendous since moving into the team’s starting rotation. Martinez has a 1.73 ERA and has recorded the victory in three consecutive starts. The Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 games against left-handed starters. Take St. Louis. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* MLB ML Play. |
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05-04-15 | NY Rangers v. Washington Capitals -110 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Washington ML The Caps return home with the series tied 1-1 and we see no reason not to take them in a pick'em range tonight. Washington took Game 1 in impressive fashion before dropping Game 2 in New York. The Caps were sleepwalking (sleepskating?) through most of the first period, but when they finally got things going, they looked to be the better team late in the game. Washington outshot New York 30-20 over the final two frames, despite getting three less powerplay chances in that contest. Now the Caps return home to a raucous crowd in Washington. The Caps lost just one of their four home games in the first round against the Islanders, and secured a Game 7 victory in an extremely impressive fashion, limiting Long Island to just 11 shots on goal. Washington outscored opponents by an average of 3.0 to 2.3 on home ice this season, and outshot opponents by an average of 2.9 shots per game. Braden Holtby is one of the few goalies in the league that can match Henrik Lundqvist between the pipes, and subsequently, we have to give the Caps the edge tonight. Take the Capitals. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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05-04-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Phillies vs. Braves Under 7 The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet in a battle of two of the worst offenses in the National League. Philadelphia doesn't have many batters in their lineup who can handle top lefties and Alex Wood is one of the better left handed starters in the NL. Chase Utley is going to have trouble getting much help this year, and the Braves will likely pitch around him here. Philadelphia just doesn't have many guys who can make Atlanta pay. On the other side, Aaron Harang continues to impress. Harang pitched well for Atlanta last year, and he is doing a nice job for the Phillies so far this year. The Braves lineup has hit the ball better than expected so far this season, but it isn't going to continue. They've had a lot of batted ball luck that can't continue. Harang can miss bats, and the Braves have a lot of strike out candidates. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* MLB Over/Under Play |
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05-04-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays -123 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees on Monday night in the opening game of a three-game set. The Blue Jays come in as only slight favorites despite taking two of three from the Yankees earlier in the year and coming into this one in better form and with an edge in the pitching matchup. The Blue Jays return home after bringing around nearly 30 runs in a four-game set in Cleveland. Now they get a favorable matchup against Chase Whitley, who has struggled against Toronto in his young career. In four appearances against the Blue Jays, Whitley has posted a 13.00 ERA and 2.78 WHIP. His counterpart in this one, R.A. Dickey, has faced the Yankees nine times since coming to Toronto, posting a 2.09 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in that time. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last five home games. Take Toronto. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* MLB Side Play. |
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05-03-15 | Minnesota Wild +125 v. Chicago Blackhawks | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Minnesota ML If we learned anything from Game 1 of this series, it's that these teams are extremely evenly matched. Minnesota lost that first game because of a poor start and some bad goaltending, but we're willing to give them a pass. The Wild got rocked 6-1 in Game 4 of their first round series. Devan Dubnyk was abysmal in that contest, but Minnesota rebounded with a huge 4-1 victory in Game 5 in St. Louis. We're looking for a similar bounce-back tonight. Dubnyk has posted a ridiculous .933 save percentage in 32 road starts this season, with his squad going 22-10 in the process. Meanwhile, we see some concerning trends with the Blackhawks right now. For starters, Chicago has been outshot by over three shots per game in the playoffs. The Blackhawks are outmatched between the pipes in this series, so getting outshot isn't exactly a recipe for success on a nightly basis. The Blackhawks and Wild met twice in the regular season after Dubnyk was acquired from the Coyotes, and the Wild won both of those games. Minnesota outshot Chicago 73-54 in those two contests, and surrendered just one goal. Again, we think Game 1 was a bit of an aberration, and we look for the Wild to bounce back in a strong way in Game 2. Take the Wild. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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05-03-15 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Boston & New York under 9 Fenway Park has long been known as a hitter's park---and it is---but these totals have been overadjusted early in the year because of a small sample size. We cashed an under yesterday and Fenway and we'll go right back to the well as people still cannot get over the BoSox's staggeringly bad ERA to start the season. Joe Kelly takes the mound for Boston tonight. Kelly is a low 4s ERA type of guy, but he's pitched around 5 this season. The Yankees' active roster has just a 93 wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the past two seasons, so you can say this is a favorable matchup for Kelly. Meanwhile, Adam Warren counters for the Yankees, and he too should find some success tonight. Similarly to Kelly, Warren is likely to end the season with an ERA hovering right around 4.00, but he's pitched slightly above that to start the year. Warren's LOB% of 68.7 is much lower than his career average of 77.9%, so we can expect him to improve over the coming months. The Yankees also have one of the league's best bullpens, so we're not too worried about the BoSox bats, who also happen to hit righties far worse than lefties. All in all, oddsmakers have posted yet another soft total at Fenway, and we're ready to capitalize once again. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* MLB O/U Play |
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05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs +2 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 109-111 | Push | 0 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers host the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night. The game may be played in Los Angeles, but home court advantage has hardly mattered in this series. The road team is 4-2, with wins in three straight. The Spurs have also won each of the last two games in Los Angeles. There's also the matter of experience, of which the Spurs have a bounty. While getting over the hump has proven difficult for the Clippers, the Spurs are proven winners. The Spurs were in this exact situation against the Mavericks last season, losing Game 6 with a 3-2 lead against the Dallas Mavericks before winning Game 7 by 23 points. Closing will particularly be an issue for Blake Griffin, who is shooting 20 percent from the field in the fourth quarter and overtime in the series. The Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. Take San Antonio. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NBA ATS Play. |
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05-02-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves host the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday evening. The Braves have been mashing the baseball of late, making the Washington Nationals' elite options look pedestrian. Now they get a chance to face ageing veteran Jason Marquis, who has a 5.48 ERA and 1.52 WHIP on the season. The Braves counter with Eric Stults, whose best days came in San Diego. He has a 4.03 ERA on the season - a number buoyed by an appearance at spacious Citi Field. His ERA at home is 4.96. A return back to Turner field isn't good news for Stults, particularly facing a Reds team that has been hitting the ball out of the ballpark with regularity - they hit four home runs in the opener of this series. The over is 10-2 in the Braves' last 12 home games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* O/U Play. |
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05-02-15 | Cincinnati Reds -108 v. Atlanta Braves | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Reds ML |
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05-02-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates +103 v. St. Louis Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh ML There's no denying that the Cardinals are a solid baseball team, but there are many angles leading us to play the Pirates in this one. For starters, Francisco Liriano owns St. Louis. The southpaw has posted a 2.09 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in nine career starts against the Cardinals, with Liriano's squad emerging victorious in seven of those nine games. The Cardinals were below average against left-handed pitching last season, so there's a good chance that Liriano can replicate his success again on Saturday. We also look at the Pirates to put together some tough at-bats against John Lackey. Pittsburgh's active roster has a combined wRC+ of 107 against right-handed pitchers over the last two seasons. They should make things difficult for Lackey, who has been decent, but not great thus far. The Pirates have also excelled in day games this season, where they're 5-2 and have been absolutely raking. Pittsburgh hits .277 during the day and averages 5.3 runs, which is far superior to the 4.0 runs per game they average as a whole. Wrong team favored here. Take the Pirates. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* MLB ML Play |
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05-02-15 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Boston & New York under 9.5 The talk of the Major Leagues seems to be about Boston's pitching staff and their insanely high ERA. There's no doubt that the Red Sox rotation has been a big disappointment thus far, but oddsmakers have made a major overadjustment here. Wade Miley gets the start for the BoSox. Miley has an awful 8.62 ERA through four starts, but those numbers are bound to improve. Miley boasts a career ERA of 3.91, including two seasons with an ERA of 3.55 or less in Arizona. The Yankees hit just .238 against left-handed pitching this season, so this could be a prime opportunity for Miley to get back on track. Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi is no slouch himself. Eovaldi has a 2.25 ERA in two road starts this season, and already put together a decent outing against Boston, working into the sixth inning and giving up just three runs. Eovaldi rocked a 4.37 ERA last season, but his 3.37 FIP suggests that he was incredibly unlucky to post an ERA that high. Both teams also boast two solid bullpens, so we don't fear this game blowing up after the starters are out. Simply put, this total is too high. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* MLB O/U Play |
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05-01-15 | Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres -134 | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
San Diego ML The Padres have lost seven of their past eight games, and that allows us to get in on San Diego at a very favorable price tonight. San Diego has run into some great pitching as of late. Four of their last six games saw them square off against Zack Greinke, Brandon McCarthy, Collin McHugh, and Dallas Keuchel; all of whom are well above average. Eddie Butler and his 3.27 ERA come to town, but there are major warning signs in Butler's case. Butler has been working out of major jams through his first four starts, but that's a recipe for disaster in the Major Leagues. Despite a solid 2.25 ERA on the road, Butler has a 1.625 WHIP, which indicates he has been more lucky than good. The Padres bats are a hell of a lot better than they were a year ago, as they average 4.6 runs per game this season. San Diego counters with Ian Kennedy, who was roughed up in his second outing of the season against the Dodgers. We won't put much stock into this small sample size, as we believe in Kennedy's abilities. We also like the fact that Kennedy has a 2.95 ERA in 18 starts against the Rockies, and that includes starts at run-heavy Coors Field. If this game took place a week ago, the Padres would be a 60-70 cent favorite. This is a great spot for them to get back on track. Take the Padres. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* MLB ML Play |
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05-01-15 | Oakland A's -148 v. Texas Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Athletics ML |
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04-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals -115 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Kansas City ML There may not be a more undervalued pitcher in the league than Danny Duffy. Duffy posted a 2.53 ERA in 25 starts last season, and although his numbers are up to start the year, he has been pretty unlucky. Duffy's BABIP is .324 which is way above his career average of .285. Simply put, when balls are being put into play, they are finding holes. Detroit has been hitting the ball hard to start the season. They average 4.9 runs per game and hit .288 as a team. With that being said, the Tigers have done most of their damage in day games. Detroit is just 4-4 in night games, and have hit just .235 as a team in those contests. To make matters worse, they've averaged just 2.4 runs per game in those eight night games. As fir the Royals, they boast a lineup that will make things difficult for any opposing pitcher. Alfredo Simon's 1.65 ERA is bound to come crashing down to earth sooner or later, and this could very well be the lineup that it happens against. The Royals hit .319 against right-handed starters, averaging a whopping 5.8 runs per game. Whenever the Tigers are installed as an underdog, people rush to the window to bet them, but in this case, we believe that the Royals are actually a short favorite. Take the Royals. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-30-15 | Washington Capitals +150 v. NY Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 150 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Washington ML It's rare to see such a heavy price tag on two pretty evenly matched teams, so we're gladly going to back the underdog Capitals here. New York disposed of Pittsburgh in five games in the first round. The general consensus is that the Rangers rolled their way through the Pens, but that couldn't be further from the truth. New York went three-for-three in overtime games in that first round, and history has shown that overtime games are a true coin flip. Simply put, they were lucky. And they played all of those close games despite Pittsburgh missing their top defenseman, Kris Letang. Washington will pose a much more difficult threat than Pittsburgh did. The Capitals are a very deep squad, and they're one of the few teams in the league that can match the Rangers' goaltending. Braden Holtby has emerged as one of the league's better goaltenders, and he was certainly on form in the Caps' first round series with the Islanders. The Rangers also have a key absence as Mats Zuccarello is out with a head injury. Zuccarello's injury leaves a hole on the Rangers' Zuccarello-Brassard-Sheppard line, which will leave the Rangers with some brand new line combinations for tonight's game. Employing new line combos in the playoffs is not usually a good strategy. We feel that both of these teams are relatively evenly matched. The Rangers deserve the favorite role for home-ice advantage, but this price tag on the Caps is too good to pass on. Take the Caps. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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04-30-15 | Chicago Bulls -3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 120-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks host the Chicago Bulls on Thursday night in the sixth game of their opening round series. The Bulls had a commanding lead in this series before taking their foot off the gas. Thursday presents a perfect opportunity for the team to close this series out, thanks largely to the extra rest they're getting in preparation for this contest. Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau is a master of the X's and O's, so the extra time to prepare will only help his squad on the court. Thibodeau also likes to run his players into the ground, so rest is more important for the Bulls than any other team - they're 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played on two or more days of rest. Bulls star Derrick Rose is the personification of this trend. When playing on two days of rest in this series he's scoring 28.5 points per game on 54 percent shooting - when playing on one day of rest he's averaging 14 points on 29.8 percent shooting. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these teams. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray Thursday 8* NBA ATS Play |
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04-29-15 | Kansas City Royals +110 v. Cleveland Indians | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
KC +110 The Kansas City Royals are playing far better baseball than the Cleveland Indians right now. What's the biggest difference between these two teams? Defense. The Royals have arguably the best defense in baseball, and the Indians have the worst. |
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04-29-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins host the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday afternoon. While Tigers starter Shane Green was roughed up in his last starter, he proved to be a masterful addition to the team's rotation in his first three starts. In those outings, he surrendered just one earned run in 23 innings of work, allowing only 12 hits. That includes one start against these very Twins in which he surrendered only four hits and one unearned run in eight innings of work. On Wednesday he opposes Phil Hughes. While Hughes may be 0-4, it's poor run support that's done him in. The Twins have provided Hughes with just four total runs of support in his four outings. Among those is a 4-0 loss to the Tigers. The under is 8-2 in Hughes' last 10 starts against A.L. Central opponents. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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04-28-15 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 v. Minnesota Twins | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
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04-27-15 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets on Monday in the opening game of a three-game set. We got a preview of this pitching matchup a couple turns ago as Jarred Cosart opposed Dillon Gee in the opener of the last series between these teams. New York won that game 7-5, with neither starter lasting through the sixth inning. The Mets scored 5.8 runs per game in that first series, but the Marlins have been hitting the ball quite well of late, and figure to be able to keep up. The Marlins have scored better than six runs per game over their last five outings. The over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings between these teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* MLB O/U Play. |
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04-26-15 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rangers vs. Angels Over 8 The Texas Rangers start Nick Martinez here, and he's a guy who is due for some serious regression to the mean. Martinez has an ERA of less than one, and he isn't even close to that good of a pitcher. The Angels have a strong offense, and Martinez already shut them down once this year. It shouldn't happen again on Sunday. Kole Calhoun has turned into a tremendous leadoff hitter for this team, and that helps Mike Trout have more run producing opportunities. Hector Santiago is nothing special, and the Rangers are much better against left handed pitching than right handers. Adrian Beltre is one of the big reasons why. He crushes lefties. Santiago has struggled with this Texas lineup in the past. Look for a lot of runs in this one. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-26-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 202 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs host the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday afternoon in the fourth game of their opening round playoff series. Offense has been at a premium in this series, and while oddsmakers have lowered the total in these games following each contest, they still haven't brought it down enough. The only game that did go over the total needed overtime to get there. In that lone over, the team's played to 188 points (18.5 points below the total) in regulation. In the lone game played in San Antonio, the teams played to 173 points (30.5 points below the total) in a game in which the Spurs shot 52.6 percent from the field. The under is 7-2 in the Clippers' last nine road games. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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04-25-15 | Washington Nationals -150 v. Miami Marlins | 0-8 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Washington Nationals ML The Washington Nationals lost a close one against the Miami Marlins last night. Stephen Strasburg takes the hill as they look to get back on track tonight. Washington started the season off playing some bad baseball, and then they got back to 7-7. Since that time, they've dropped three games in a row. It's been a disappointing start for the Nationals, but they are a quality team. They'll get it going. Strasburg faces a Marlins lineup that strikes out a lot, and that should prove beneficial to the Washington right-hander. Miami's lack of plate discipline has hurt them in a lot of games already this year, and this should be another of those spots. Tom Koehler is no better than average, and the Nationals offense should be able to do enough damage against him to carry the team to a victory. Take Washington. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* MLB Moneyline Play HUGE 5-0-1 run on last 6 premium plays. Heating up! |
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04-24-15 | Minnesota Wild v. St. Louis Blues UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
St. Louis & Minnesota under 5 The Blues potted six goals against the Wild in their Game 4 matchup, but we don't expect that to be the case again on Friday. When a team gives up a plethora of goals, as Minnesota did the other night, they focus on their defensive game in the next contest. The Wild will not give the Blues the same amount of space that they did last time out. Minnesota ended the regular season having not allowed more than three goals in a game in 35 straight games. No, that's not a typo. The last regular season game in which they allowed 4+ goals was on January 20 against Detroit. Devan Dubnyk did not look good last time out, but we consider that a one-off. Dubnyk started 30 road games this season and posted a stellar .933 save percentage. The Blues can also play some strong defense themselves. St. Louis gave up just 2.3 goals per game and 25.1 shots per game on home ice this year; two of the lowest marks in the league. Those numbers have actually decreased in the playoffs thus far as well. All in all, we don't expect much scoring here. Chances will be at a premium and Minnesota will pay extra attention to their defensive game after their awful Game 4 performance. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL O/U Play |
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04-24-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates -122 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates have Gerrit Cole on the mound tonight. Cole is a tremendous young pitcher who is really coming into his own. He's always had a lot of potential, but he's putting it all together now. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to have one of the worst records in the National League this year. Josh Collmenter is a hit or miss starter. He always has the potential of getting hit hard, and this Pittsburgh lineup is far better than they have shown in the early going. Chase Field is great for teams with power, and the Pirates are likely to show some extra power in this series. Pittsburgh has a lot more lineup depth than the Diamondbacks, and they certainly have both a starting pitching and a bullpen edge here. Nice price on the road team. Take Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls -2.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks host the Chicago Bulls on Thursday night in the third game of their opening round playoff series. While the bounceback theory will have many putting their money down on the Bucks in this one, that allows us to get in on the Bulls at a very favorable number. Chicago dominated on its home court in the first game of this series, winning Games 1 and 2 by a combined 21 points. Now with a scene change to Milwaukee, don't expect the Bucks to suddenly figure things out. They are vastly overmatched in this series, and any tactical changes made by Jason Kidd will be matched by Tom Thibodeau, who has the far greater personnel to work with. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between these teams. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* ATS Play. |
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04-23-15 | Tampa Bay Lightning -105 v. Detroit Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay ML Detroit may hold the 2-1 series lead here, but they've been far from the better team in this series. The Red Wings stole Game 1 in Tampa Bay, winning by a 3-2 margin, despite being outshot 46-14. That game looked a group of men competing against a group of boys. In Game 2, the Bolts answered back with a 5-1 destruction. The series shifted to Detroit for Game 3, where the Wings took a 3-0 decision, but the Bolts enjoyed the better chances at even strength. Detroit tacked on a PP goal and an EN goal in the period to make the decision look lopsided. At the end of the day, we have a hard time believing tonight's game is a toss-up. The Lightning finished with 47 regulation + overtime wins this season; not needing shootouts to accumulate their 108 points. They won 50 games, losing only 32. The Wings, on the other hand, won 43 games, and lost 39. Their goal differential of +14 is the third worst mark in the playoffs, while Tampa Bay's +51 was the second best. Tampa Bay is the deeper team, and although the Wings have a perceived edge in between the pipes, Petr Mrazek's sample size is nowhere near big enough to conclude that he's actually a good goaltender. Take the Bolts. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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04-23-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Washington Nationals UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Cardinals vs. Nationals Under 6.5 Wacha had some injuries last year, but he has been back in form this year. Wacha's movement on his fastball is tremendous, and he's developing some nice secondary pitches. Washington's offense is still a bit of a problem area. The Nationals don't have enough lineup depth right now. Scherzer is one of the top five pitchers in the game today. He has all the pitches, and he commands them all very well. St. Louis is a team that strikes out quite a bit against elite pitching, so he should rack up the strikeouts here. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* MLB Over/Under Play |
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04-22-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday night. A relatively low total for this one given the pitching matchup. Mike Pelfrey has been a disaster since making the move to the American League. He has a 5.51 ERA in his time with the Twins, including a 6.21 ERA over the last two seasons. He'll face a Royals team that's scoring 5.8 runs per game on the season. The Royals' hopes of keeping the Twins off the board doesn't look much better. In addition to having a depleted bullpen with Greg Holland and Kelvin Herrera both out, Jeremy Guthrie toes the rubber for Kansas City, and he gave up a combined nine earned runs in his two starts against Minnesota last year. The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Wednesday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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04-21-15 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies -107 | 7-6 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Colorado Rockies ML The Colorado Rockies are on a four game losing streak, but they are in a favorable position to bounce back tonight. San Diego is an improved offense, but the Padres offense isn't as good as they have looked in recent days. Colorado's offense is arguably the best in the National League, but they haven't played like it the last few days. That should change very soon. With Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki healthy in the middle of the lineup, no team in baseball has a better combination of players in the middle of the order. Tyler Matzek was a very highly touted prospect who is finally putting it all together. Matzek was tremendous at Coors Field last year. He has good enough stuff to make a lot of people miss. Brandon Morrow is extremely inconsistent, and he faces by far the best lineup he has faced this year. Take Colorado. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 7* MLB ML Play |
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04-19-15 | Montreal Canadiens v. Ottawa Senators -120 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Ottawa ML There's no question that the Sens were outplayed in their two games in Montreal, but a change of venue often makes a drastic difference in a playoff series. The Sens will almost certainly get a big boost from their home crowd, and they could also get a spark with Craig Anderson replacing Andrew Hammond in goal. Hammond's miraculous run as come to an end as he's starting to show signs of regression. Anderson is one of the more underrated goaltenders in the league, and will give Ottawa some much needed stability at the back end. The Habs' possession numbers were awful all season long, especially when they played away from home. Montreal's 47.5 Corsi For Percentage on the road was the seventh worst mark in the league, ahead of mainly teams that were involved in Saturday's Draft Lottery. Ottawa posted a 51.8 Corsi For Percentage at home this season, and that number improved as the year went on. Simply put, Ottawa is going to get more scoring chances in this contest. They'll direct more pucks at goal, and that's a recipe for success in this day and age. Behind Anderson and his 93.69 Even Strength Save Percentage, it's Ottawa's time to fire back. Take the Sens. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* NHL ML Play |
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04-19-15 | Cleveland Indians -120 v. Minnesota Twins | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins host the Cleveland Indians on Sunday in the rubber match of a three-game set. The Indians were picked by many to win the A.L. Central division this season, but a slow start has put them in a bit of a hole in that regard. The team is starting to turn things around now, winning two of three, and are in position to win another on Sunday. T.J. House gets the call for the Indians in this one. Many have been quick to write him off after a disastrous first start, but He's still one of the better arms on the team. In four starts against the Twins last season he went 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA. The Twins counter with Trevor May, and he's a guy that's just not ready to be in the bigs right now. In his first start this season, he gave up five runs before exiting in the sixth of an eventual 12-3 loss to Kansas City. That's not outside the norm for him, as he has a career ERA of 7.94, and an ERA of 8.38 in two career starts against Cleveland. The Indians are 10-1 in House's last 11 starts against teams with a losing record. Take Cleveland. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* MLB ML Play. |
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04-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Twins vs. Indians OVER 8.5 The Cleveland Indians are a better team than they have shown so far this year. Cleveland is a team that should contend for the MLB playoffs, and they have had some bad injury luck early in the year. The Minnesota Twins are going in the right direction, but it's a slow process. Minnesota has a lot of youngsters who are going to take a lot of time to develop. They have some of them in the majors already, and they aren't ready yet. Trevor May hasn't proven he is ready for the bigs. May has poor control and the Indians are a patient offense. T.J. House was crushed in his first start this year, but he was solid last year. Thing is...that was last year. Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 Sunday games. Over is 4-0 in Houses last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Over is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 11-3 in Twins last 14 games as a home underdog. We're playing the OVER on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* MLB O/U Crusher Play |
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04-18-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 122 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
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04-18-15 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays +101 | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
Rays +101 The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on Saturday in the second game of a three-game set. This is one of those cases where the public is slow to react and that allows us to get in at a favorable number. The Rays were picked by many to fall off in a big way this season, but the team has played some good baseball after a bit of a rough start. After losing three of their first four games, the Rays have won five of six, including taking three of four from the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays on the road. Now back home, the Rays look to get to Masahiro Tanaka, who has looked very ordinary as he works through an elbow injury. While Tanaka’s ERA is north of seven, his counterpart in this game, has been dealing so far. Jake Odorizzi has a sub-1.00 ERA in helping Tampa Bay to wins in each of his first two starts. Despite this discrepancy, the Rays are installed as short favorites, and that’s enough to get us running, not walking, to the ticket window. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-18-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Golden State Warriors OVER 204.5 | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
OVER 204.5 The Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday in the opening game of this first-round playoff series. The Warriors have been a great under bet this season, and we’ve cashed plenty of tickets on Golden State games this season, but this is a spot where we’ll be playing the over. With the combination of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, the Warriors know how to score the basketball, and they play a lightning quick pace, which certainly helps our cause. In four games against the Pelicans this season, the Warriors had no trouble scoring the basketball, averaging 113.0 points per contest. The Pelicans held their own as well. After being limited to 85 points in the first meeting way back early December, they averaged 107.0 points per game in their final three meetings with the Warriors. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* NBA O/U Play |
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04-18-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
UNDER 8.5 The Minnesota Twins host the Cleveland Indians on Saturday in the second game of a three-game set. Twins starter Phil Hughes has a pair of losses under his belt on the young season, but don’t let that dissuade you from buying into his abilities. Hughes went on the road for each of his first two starts and received a total of two runs of support. Now this fly ball pitcher returns home to the cozy confines of his spacious home ballpark. The Indians counter with Danny Salazar, who comes up from the minors to get this start. Salazar has the stuff to be in the bigs but was forced down due to the Indians’ wealth of starting pitchers. In three starts against the Twins last season, he limited Minnesota to an average of 2.3 runs per game. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 9* MLB O/U Play |
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04-17-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Boston ML The BoSox have enjoyed a strong start to the 2015 campaign, and we believe they're in a reasonable price range again on Friday night. Boston's bats have been on fire to begin the season. The Red Sox average a whopping 6.2 runs per game, and averaged 7.3 runs per game over three games against the Nationals this week. It's not like Boston has gone up against bad pitchers either, as they dismantled Jordan Zimmermann, Stephen Strasburg, and Gio Gonzalez. Tonight will seem like a major downgrade for the BoSox as they battle Ubaldo Jimenez. Jimenez pitched well in a victory over the Jays, but his struggles against Boston are well-documented. Jimenez is 1-4 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.982 WHIP in eight career starts against the Red Sox. The Red Sox send Joe Kelly to the hill. Kelly pitched twice against the O's last season, giving up three earned runs or less and working into the sixth inning in both starts. Kelly is by no means an elite pitchers, but he can give the Red Sox quality innings before they go to their solid bullpen. The O's, meanwhile, have a bullpen ERA of 5.24, and could be in for a long night if Ubaldo is wild. Take the Red Sox. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* MLB ML Play |
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04-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays -103 | 4-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto Blue Jays -105 The Blue Jays bats finally erupted last night as they hammered Tampa, a good sign. On the hill tonight will be rookie righty Aaron Sanchez. He may have got his feet wet in the bullpen last season but he admittedly was tight in his first start of the season on the road at Baltimore. He should be more comfortable and able to let his electric stuff fly in this one at home and against a lineup that is pretty light. I am expecting a dominating performance from Sanchez and all their top arms are lined up in the pen in support. In fact I wouldn’t be surprised if we see fellow rookies Miguel Castro and Roberto Osuna as well. This should be a crisp game and a crucial one for the Jays even though it is early. Good Luck, Razor Ray Thursday 6* MLB ML Play |
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04-16-15 | Milwaukee Brewers +130 v. St. Louis Cardinals | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Brewers ML The Milwaukee Brewers start Mike Fiers in this contest. Fiers has been tremendous against the St. Louis Cardinals in his career. In nearly 28 innings of work, he has a stellar 1.30 ERA against St. Louis. No one in this Cardinals lineup has been able to figure him out. |
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04-15-15 | Ottawa Senators +130 v. Montreal Canadiens | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Ottawa ML It's not to often that you can get 30-cents takeback on the better team, but that's precisely the case in Game 1 tonight. Montreal has won with smoke and mirrors all season. Their possession metrics stack up with the worst teams in the league, and they're simply all too reliant on their top goal scorer, Max Pacioretty, and their netminder, Carey Price. Well, only Price will be around for tonight's matchup as "Patches" is sitting out with an injury. Ottawa went 3-1 against Montreal this season with a 14-9 goal differential. Pacioretty scored four of the Habs' nine goals in the season series. Ottawa went on a torrid run to sneak into the playoffs. Backed by the "Hamburglar", Andrew Hammond, the Sens exhibited great confidence and good team hockey. They have essentially been playing playoff games for a month now, so this will be nothing new to them. The Sens' puck possession numbers since the Trade Deadline have been among the league's best, and they will have Montreal pinned in deep for the majority of this contest. Ottawa beat Montreal in five games back in 2013. They know how to play against this Habs team, and we know that they'll take it to Montreal for the majority of the game. If Carey Price plays out of his mind, then so be it. But at 30-cent price tag, the Sens are an extreme bargain. Take the Sens. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* NHL ML Play |
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04-14-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres -137 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 55 m | Show | |
San Diego Padres ML The San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday in the second game of a three-game set. The Padres will trot out Odrisame Despaigne in this one, and while the 28-year-old Cuban may not bring the name recognition that other top-flight starters do, he's been absolutely dominant in his home ballpark. In nine appearances at Petco Park (eight starts), Despaigne has posted a 1.69 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. In two career home starts against the Diamondbacks, Despaigne guided the Padres to 2-1 victories each time. With more offensive support in the lineup this time around, a win should be easier to come by for Despaigne and the Padres. They face Jeremy Hellickson, who looked awful in his first start with the Diamondbacks. He has a 6.23 ERA and a 2.54 WHIP on the young season. The Padres are 18-6 in their last 24 when playing the second game of a series. Take San Diego. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* MLB ML Play. |
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04-14-15 | Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -122 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
Marlins vs. Braves Under 7.5 The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves have two bad lineups. While Atlanta has been scoring a decent amount of runs so far this year, there's no way some of the guys that are hitting are going to keep up their recent pace. Miami has an elite hitter in Stanton, but he doesn't have enough support around him. The way this Marlins lineup is right now, no one in their right mind is going to pitch to Stanton in any key situations. Tom Koehler is an up and down pitcher, but his career numbers against the Braves are tremendous. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts vs. Atlanta. Trevor Cahill should fare well pitching in Atlanta compared to Arizona. He has a friendly park for pitchers now, and he has a good defense behind him. Both of these bullpens are very good, and that's an added benefit. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-13-15 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants -117 | 2-0 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
San Francisco ML The Rockies have gotten off to a hot start, but they still don't deserve to be in this price range on the road, especially with a major disadvantage on the mound. Eddie Butler gets the start for Colorado on Monday. Butler struck out five and walked four while giving up two runs over 5.2 innings in a no-decision Wednesday against the Brewers, but we're not buying into his stock. Butler has a plus fastball but still lacks the command to be an everyday starter. Three starts for the Rockies last season saw him post a 6.75 ERA, and his lone start in AAA was also awful. The Giants aren't known for their potent lineup, but they have several veterans who like to work the count, and that could be an issue for an errant Butler. The Giants counter with Chris Heston, who isn't a well-known commodity, but whom we trust far more than the opposing starter. Heston made significant strides in a full season of AAA ball last year, posting a 3.38 ERA. Heston has the ability to keep the ball in the park, and that is very important against a potent Rockies lineup. With that being said, the Rockies won't be playing in the friendly confines of Coors Field, and have seen their production dip drastically on the road in recent years. All in all, we feel as though this game has been mispriced. The Rockies have had to use three relievers in back-to-back games, and that could spell trouble if Butler isn't solid. Take the Giants. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-13-15 | Washington Nationals v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Nationals vs. Red Sox Under 8.5 The Washington Nationals offense is going to be a bit of an issue at times this year, but their pitching staff is unmatched in the majors. Jordan Zimmerman doesn't get enough credit for how good he truly is. While some of the Nationals other starters get far more attention than Zimmerman, he has been the most consistent performer for a very long time. He commands all his pitches well and avoids big innings. Rick Porcello will be on the hill for the Red Sox. Boston made a big investment in Porcello before the start of the season. He had a bumpy first start in Philadelphia, but he has the stuff to have a nice career in Boston. Two solid pitchers and good bullpens here are big boosts to the value of this play. Look for a low scoring battle all the way. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-11-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 214 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday night. The Warriors make plenty of headlines and highlight reels for their ability to play offense, but the team's defense really deserves plenty of credit for the success the team's had this season. Golden State rates among the most efficient teams in baseball at its own end of the floor. That's bad news for a Timberwolves team that has been having a lot of trouble scoring the basketball. Minnesota recently averaged just 89.0 points per game on its recent three-game homestand. Minnesota faced Golden State three times this season, and was limited to 91.3 points per game in those contests, with each of the three games playing under the total by an average of more than 22 points per contest. The under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* O/U Play. |
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04-10-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 205.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday night. Neither of these teams has anything left to play for, and neither has been scoring the basketball well of late. That's going to mean an ugly game Friday night, in which points will be at a premium. The Lakers failed to score 80 points in each of their last two home games. Now they get a Timberwolves team that they needed overtime to get to 100 points against in a 101-99 victory in the extra session. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have been held under 100 points in five of their last six games. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Friday 8* MLB O/U Play. Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115 Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115 |
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04-10-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds are two of the best defensive teams in the big leagues. While most want to only pay attention to the starting pitchers and the lineups, defenses are really important in baseball betting. Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115 Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115 |
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04-10-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 7.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on Friday in the first game of a three-game set. A pair of starters will be making their first appearances with their new clubs in this one, and they'll be getting a rude awakening in a series that has historically featured a lot of runs. Both pitchers are tabbed as integral parts of their respective rotations, but neither closed last season particularly well. Wade Miley had a 4.85 ERA over his last 10 outings, while Nate Eovaldi had a 5.51 ERA after the All-Star break. The Red Sox and their new offensive weapons were limited by playing in a National League park without the designated hitter in place to start the season, but they still managed to bring in 5.3 runs per game in Philadelphia, twice going over totals of 7.5 runs in that series. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Friday 8* MLB O/U Play. Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115 Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115 |
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04-10-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -115 | 8-4 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Cleveland ML Entering this season, we had targeted a handful of pitchers to fade in the early going, and Alfredo Simon tops that list. To say Simon had a lucky season a year ago would be a massive understatement. Simon's 3.44 ERA was the product of a 77.5% strand rate and a .265 BABIP (batting average on balls in play); both of which are simply unsustainable. Simon's sabremetrics were ugly, as he posted 4.33 FIP and 4.05 xFIP, and we expect him to suffer major regression this season. The Indians can hit. Their active roster has an average .322 wOBA and 112 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers; both well above league average. Simon posted a 5.82 K/9 ratio last season, his lowest since 2008 with the Orioles, so you can expect the Tribe to make consistent contact. On the other end of the spectrum, Zach McAllister is extremely undervalued. His 5.23 ERA in 86 IP last season was the product of extremely bad luck, as he posted a 3.45 FIP and 3.84 xFIP. We're not suggesting that McAllister is elite, but we expect a 1+ drop in his ERA this season. While Simon's BABIP was extremely low, McAllister's was an ungodly .332, which tends to even out over time. With home-field advantage and the better pitcher on the mound, we expect the Indians to come out on top this afternoon. Take the Indians. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* MLB ML Play Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115 Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115 |
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04-09-15 | Detroit Red Wings v. Montreal Canadiens UNDER 5 | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Detroit vs. Montreal Under 5 (-120) The Red Wings and Canadiens meet on Thursday and this one has Under written all over it. Canadiens goalie Carey Price is in prime form and is coming in off 3 days of rest. Montreal will also be with out leading point man Max Pacioretty, which will help this Under even more as he is their biggest goal scoring threat. This one will feel like a playoff type game with neither team wanting to make a mistake, especially early. Expect a defensive struggle in Montreal on Thursday with 1 or 2 goals being enough to win it. Under is 6-1-1 in Canadiens last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1-1 in Red Wings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings. Good Luck. Razor Ray Thursday 7* NHL O/U Play |
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04-08-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +16.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 91-116 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night. The Timberwolves haven't been playing their best basketball of late, but they're about to get a boost with a trip to take on the division rival Trail Blazers. Minnesota has fared quite well against Portland this season, winning the last two meetings between the teams. While the team gets this game on the second night of a back-to-back, they've won two of their last three games in that situation. As for the Trail Blazers, their minds will be elsewhere in this one. Portland plays this game on the front end of a back-to-back, and will make the trip out to Golden State to take on the Warriors once this contest is completed. They'll be more interested in getting out of town than building up a margin against a team outside of the playoff picture. The Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Northwest Division opponents. Take Minnesota. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* NBA ATS Play. |
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04-08-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros host the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday in the second game of a three-game set. The first game of this series went down just as last year's meetings between these teams played out - runs were at a premium in a game that stayed comfortably under the number. Since the start of the 2014 season, these teams have met eight times, and each time the game stayed comfortably under the number. In that time, the teams met in Houston five times, with an average total of combined runs of 3.4 scored in those games. On Wednesday, another pitcher's duel should be expected. Indians starter Carlos Carrasco has a career 0.56 ERA against Houston over three appearances (two starts), while Scott Feldman closed last season on a 5-0 under run and has quietly been one of the more consistent pitchers in the American League. Feldman limited the Indians to one run on four hits over eight innings of work in his lone start against them last season. The under is 14-3 in the Astros' last 17 games against AL Central opponents. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Wednesday 9* MLB O/U Play. |
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04-08-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
White Sox vs. Royals Under 7.5 The Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals both have very good left-handed pitchers on the mound Wednesday. Jose Quintana and Danny Duffy both fit the profile of quality pitchers who are underrated by most bettors. Quintana doesn't have nasty stuff, but he knows how to change speeds and hit his spots. His record has been hurt by the White Sox terrible bullpen in recent years, but he is a quality pitcher. Chicago's bullpen is definitely better this year as well. Danny Duffy has what might be the best defense in the majors behind him, and the Royals offense lost a key part when Billy Butler left. The under has been the play in Quintana's recent starts against the Royals (5-1 last 6). Also, 18 of Duffy's last 24 home games have stayed under the total. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-07-15 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's -148 | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Oakland A's ML The Oakland A's will send Jesse Hahn to the mound on Tuesday night. Hahn pitched really well in the minors and then burst onto the scene in San Diego last year. All of his peripherals suggest he has the stuff to be a very good starter in the major leagues. Hahn will be playing in a pitcher-friendly stadium, and he has one of the best defenses in the majors behind him. Also, the Athletics have a tremendous bullpen once again, which is a big boost. Oakland finds ways to manufacture runs, especially on their home field. Texas is going to have a long season. The Rangers offense isn't as dominant as it was in past years, and their pitching staff is terrible. The fact that Colby Lewis is their second starter tells you all you need to know about this rotation. Lewis has been awful the last two seasons. This is a little bit bigger price than we usually recommend you lay, but it's worth the juice. Take Oakland. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* MLB ML Play |
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04-06-15 | Wisconsin v. Duke | 63-68 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
Wisconsin -1 (Or play the ML if the line is better at your book) The Wisconsin Badgers stunned the college basketball world with their win over the previously unbeaten Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday night. While it could be argued that this is a difficult spot for the Badgers, there's plenty of reason to be confident in a team full of veterans who lead the way. The Duke Blue Devils had an easy game against a Michigan State team that simply overachieved in this NCAA Tournament. Duke was never really tested in that game. While that allows them to stay fresh, it also means the Blue Devils might have more jitters in this game since they will clearly be tested more here. Duke is a very talented team, but they are extremely young. The Blue Devils have been able to win some huge games this year, but there has never been more pressure on them than there is for this game. Wisconsin lost earlier this year to Duke, and the Badgers are unlikely to make the same mistakes they did in that one once again. The veteran team with tons of confidence is the play. Take Wisconsin. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday National Championship 7* ATS Play |
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04-06-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays -122 | 6-2 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay ML Not many people are high on the Rays this year, especially with the departure of manager Joe Maddon, but we believe this could be a sneaky good team. We especially like the matchup on Opening Day. The Rays send Chris Archer to the mound. Archer posted a solid 3.30 ERA last season, and while his numbers are likely to get a bit worse this season, he's still a mid 3s ERA type of guy. Baltimore's lineup can be potent when everyone is healthy, but both Matt Wieters and J.J. Hardy begin the season on the DL, which leaves a couple of voids. The O's counter with Chris Tillman, who posted a 3.34 ERA last year but is likely to see a major regression this season. Tillman's FIP was much higher than his ERA a season ago, an indication that he was rather lucky throughout the season. We project Tillman with an ERA in the low 4s, and that gives the Rays a huge starting pitching edge on day one. With home-field advantage, the far superior pitcher, and a pretty even lineup, we expect the Rays to emerge victorious on Opening Day. Take the Rays. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* MLB ML Play |
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04-04-15 | Utah Jazz +1.5 v. Phoenix Suns | 85-87 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns host the Utah Jazz on Saturday night. The Suns are favored in this one despite having lost five in a row. They're also in for a major letdown having gone a full 12 rounds with the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night and coming up short. Meanwhile, it seems the public has conveniently forgotten how well the Jazz are playing. Prior to a stretch in which they dropped five of six games - most in tough spots against high-end teams, Utah had won six in a row and 11 of 14. That stretch includes a 5-2 mark on the road. Now they get a Suns team that's had trouble scoring the basketball and is without center Alex Len. That's going to mean big things for Rudy Gobert and the Jazz frontcourt against a Suns team that's been outrebounded in four straight games. The Jazz are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 road games. Take Utah. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* NBA ATS Play. |
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04-04-15 | Wisconsin v. Kentucky OVER 131 | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. Kentucky Over 131.5 |
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04-03-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 200.5 | 107-77 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers host the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday night. Both teams have been scoring points in bunches, and that figures to lead to some fireworks for the Los Angeles fans on Friday night. The Trail Blazers are averaging 117.0 points per game over their last three contests, and a big reason has been the play of guard Nicolas Batum, who scored 21 points in his last game an is 19-of-29 from the floors in those three contests, including 12-of-18 from beyond the arc. Rookie Tarik Black has helped the Lakers up their scoring, as he's coming off a season-high 16 points against the Pelicans on Wednesday. With the Lakers well out of contention, they're playing loose and having fun at the offensive end of the court, which has seen their scoring improve dramatically. The over is 9-3 in the Trail Blazers' last 12 games overall. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Friday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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04-03-15 | St Louis Blues v. Dallas Stars -102 | 7-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Dallas ML The Stars have quietly been one of the best teams in hockey over the past month and a half, and we simply can't ignore them at a pick'em price in a great spot. Dallas has won eight of their last 11 games. The Stars dropped a 5-3 decision to Calgary on Monday, but that score line is as misleading as they come. The Stars had 100 shot attempts (Corsi) in that game as opposed to Calgary's 47 shot attempts. We chalk that loss up to bad luck, and don't believe that Dallas' resurgence is coming to an end. The Stars have the luxury of facing a tired Blues team who played at home last night against Calgary. Home to road back-to-backs late in the year are a disastrous spot for even the best teams in the league, and we don't think St. Louis will handle the situation very well. To make matters worse, the Blues are expected to be without top forwards Alex Steen and Vladimir Tarasenko due to injuries. The price in this game has been set based on St. Louis' reputation, but with Dallas playing improved hockey and coming in on three days rest, we expect a big effort from the Stars. Take Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* NHL ML Play |
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04-03-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies -5 | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies -5 The Memphis Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. This line looks short for the home team. Sure, Oklahoma City is fighting to be in the Western Conference playoffs, but we must remember that Memphis has plenty to play for as well. The Grizzlies were just knocked out of the second spot in the West by the Houston Rockets last night. Memphis has to right the ship before we get to the playoffs, and this should be a good spot for them to do it. Oklahoma City is playing no defense right now. How bad has it been lately? Oklahoma City has given up 130 points or more in two of their last four games. Neither of those games went into overtime. Memphis will take advantage and clamp things down on the Thunder. Take Memphis. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* NBA ATS Play |
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04-02-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 209.5 | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors host the Phoenix Suns on Thursday night. The Suns are currently sending out a completely different squad than the one that started the season. However, the public has been very slow to react to the team's newfound deficiencies when it comes to scoring the basketball. As such, the under has come through in 22 of the team's last 30 games overall. On Thursday they draw a Warriors team that plays sneaky good defense. While Golden State likes to play at a fast pace, it also ranks among the most efficient teams defensively. As such, the under has come through in three straight and four of the team's last five games. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams, and it is 22-4 in the Suns' last 26 games played on a Thursday. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Thursday 9* NBA O/U Play |
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04-02-15 | Tampa Bay Lightning v. Ottawa Senators -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Ottawa ML The Sens have drastically improved in the last month. When we're being offered Ottawa at home in a pick'em range against anyone, we have to strongly consider it at this point. Ottawa has won 10 of their last 14 contests, and is coming off of a 2-1 shootout victory over the Red Wings, in which they outshot Detroit by a whopping 34-17 margin. The Sens find themselves in the midst of a postseason push, and subsequently, each game is treated as if their season is on the line. The same cannot be said for the Lightning. While Tampa Bay can still improve postseason positioning, they are focused on not picking up any more injuries. Tyler Johnson, Victor Hedman, Jason Garrison, Braydon Coburn, and Andrej Sustr are all banged up, and won't be rushed back into the lineup at the risk of hurting the Bolts' playoff chances. Without their top four defensemen in the lineup, Ottawa will create many scoring chances. As good as the Lightning are, they're just 17-22 away from home this season, and that was with a healthy team. We caught a glimpse of Tampa's road woes when they fell 3-1 to the lowly Maple Leafs on Tuesday night. With tonight's game being their fourth game in six nights, we expect another sluggish effort. Take the Sens. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* NHL ML Play |
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04-01-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -7.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
New Orleans -7.5 The New Orleans Pelicans have a lot to play for, and the Los Angeles Lakers would be better off losing games. New Orleans is still in the hunt for the eighth spot in the Western Conference. They are healthy again now, and the team is playing good basketball. Los Angeles hasn't quit on the season as much as many expected them to, but the Lakers are at a major talent disadvantage here. Los Angeles has no one on their roster that has a shot at slowing Anthony Davis down. The Lakers defense has been hapless over the course of the season. Because the Lakers have had some success of late, this number is more affordable than it would have otherwise been. Look for Los Angeles to be outmatched all the way in this one. New Orleans wins by double digits. Take New Orleans. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 7* NBA ATS Play |
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03-31-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 214 | 110-106 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers host the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday evening. While both sides are known for scoring points in bunches, neither gets much respect for their ability to defend. Golden State in particular is one of the most efficient defensive clubs in all of basketball. Over its last four games, Golden State has limited opponents to 90.8 points per game, with the under coming through in three of those four games. A for the Clippers, they've limited their last three opponents to 94.7 points per game. In a game that will have a playoff-like feel to it, expect points to be at a premium, with both sides flexing their defensive muscles. The under is 5-2 in the Clippers' last seven home games, and it is 10-4 in the Warriors' last 14 road games. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Tuesday 8* NBA O/U Play |
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03-30-15 | Calgary Flames v. Dallas Stars -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Dallas ML It's been a fall from grace for the Stars this season, especially after having taken the Ducks to seven games in the first round of the playoffs last year. With that being said, Dallas is playing at an elite level right now. The Stars lead the league in 5v5 Score-Adjusted Scoring Chance For Percentage over the past month, indicating that they are generating much more scoring opportunities than their opponents. It may have taken a long time to figure it out, but Dallas has turned it around. The Stars have won 10 of their last 13 contests, and now catch the Flames playing the second of a back-to-back and their third game in four nights. Calgary has gotten by on smoke and mirrors all season, which makes it no surprise that they've fallen down to earth in March. The Flames are just 5-6 in their last 11 contests, and although they did beat the Preds yesterday, they did so with Nashville playing the second half of a back-to-back. The Flames may be in the middle of a playoff race, but they can't overcome the lack of talent on their roster. These teams met a week ago in Calgary, and the Stars emerged with a 4-3 shootout victory. Dallas blew a two-goal lead in that contest and took the play to Calgary for the majority of the game. We don't expect a different outcome on home ice tonight. Take the Stars. Good Luck, Razor Ray Monday 9* NHL ML Play |
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03-29-15 | Michigan State v. Louisville UNDER 128.5 | 76-70 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
UNDER 128.5 The Michigan State Spartans have gotten to the Elite Eight because of their much improved defense. Tom Izzo's team has found an identity at the right time of the year. It seems to happen every year in East Lansing, and that's why Izzo is one of the very best coaches in the country. |
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03-28-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz UNDER 195 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night. These teams have met three times this season, with the under cashing in each time. Neither side has eclipsed the 100-point in any of those meetings, and given the current state of each side, there's no reason to believe either is capable of shooting the lights out on this night. The Thunder got some bad news on Friday regarding Kevin Durant's injured foot, which means they'll continue searching for a second-fiddle for Russell Westbrook. As for the Jazz, they've really stepped up their play at the defensive end this month, and held Oklahoma City to just 81 points in the Thunder's lone trip to Utah this season. They also get this game on the second night of a back-to-back, a situation in which the under has come through four consecutive times in their games. The under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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03-28-15 | Buffalo Sabres +1.5 v. Colorado Avalanche | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Buffalo PL +1.5 There's no denying that the Sabres are an awful team, but that doesn't mean that we can find value in them on occasion. Buffalo's post-Trade Deadline play has actually improved drastically, but no one has really taken notice. The Sabres lose a lot of games; they did before the Deadline, and they still now. With that being said, they've played a lot of close games in recent weeks. Take a look at the margin of loss in Buffalo's last nine losses: 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 2, 1, 5, 1. With the exception of one blowout loss in Washington, the Sabres have remained highly competitive, and that includes one-goal losses to the Capitals, Senators, and Stars. As for the Avalanche, we really don't have much good to say about them. Similarly to last season, Colorado relies heavily on their goaltending, as they're outchanced and outshot on a regular basis. The Avs are also in a huge potential flat spot tonight as they return home from a grueling five-game road trip, and play their third game in four nights. With the situation favoring the Sabres, and Colorado not playing their best hockey right now, we'll seize the value on the puck line tonight. Take the Sabres +1.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* NHL PL Play |
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03-28-15 | Notre Dame v. Kentucky UNDER 137 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Kentucky Under 137 The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will take their shot at dethroning the unbeaten Wildcats. Notre Dame is an 11 point underdog here, and it's very likely that Mike Brey's team will choose to slow the game down here. Why wouldn't they slow it down? Do you really want Kentucky to be able to use their superior athleticism and depth to their advantage even more by attempting to run? Notre Dame will work the shot clock and rely on penetration and kick outs to try to win this game. Kentucky's defense is nothing short of amazing. Most times we have a number one seeded team it is the offense that gets the attention, but everyone knows how good this Wildcats defense is. Notre Dame has shot some very high percentages this year, but they haven't played a defense even close to as good as Kentucky's. The Wildcats offense in the halfcourt is probably their single biggest weakness. This game stays lower scoring than most think. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAB O/U Play |
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03-27-15 | Calgary Flames v. Minnesota Wild -170 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota ML Anyone that's followed our plays for a while knows that we very rarely recommended laying big juice on the ice. With that being said, we feel that it's warranted tonight. Calgary is in the middle of a playoff race right now, but that doesn't mean that they can play above their talent level. Make no bones about it, the Flames have been the luckiest team in hockey this season. Calgary gets outplayed on a nightly basis, but a ridiculously high, unsustainable shooting percentage has kept the team afloat. Even with the "need to win" factor late in the year, the Flames have dropped four of six games. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues their second-half dominance. The Wild have only lost three games in the last month, and each of those losses was a one-goal loss where they outplayed their opponent. Minnesota outshoots opponents by an average of 32.4 to 24.9 on home ice, and we can virtually guarantee that they will outplay Calgary badly tonight. The Wild also have arguably the best goaltending in the league right now. Since coming over from Arizona, Devan Dubnyk has been nothing short of spectacular. With an edge in skaters, goaltending, and home ice advantage, we're comfortable in saying that the Wild are underpriced tonight. Take the Wild. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* NHL ML Play |
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03-27-15 | NC State +3 v. Louisville | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
NC State +3 |
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03-26-15 | Xavier v. Arizona -11.5 | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Arizona -11.5 The Arizona Wildcats are essentially playing a home game here in Los Angeles at Staples Center. The Wildcats faithful will be packed into Staples Center, and this is going to be a really tough environment for Xavier. Xavier is a young team that has done a nice job reaching this point, but the Musketeers haven't had any success this year against the best teams they have played, especially away from their home floor. Xavier played Villanova three times this year and they lost by 13 points, 12 points, and 17 points. Villanova is the only team even close to the caliber of Arizona they have played this year. The Musketeers also lost by 12 at Butler. Xavier has some incredible shooting numbers in the NCAA Tournament thus far, but they haven't played a good defense yet. Arizona has one of the best defenses in the nation. The Wildcats make a statement. Lay the points. Take Arizona. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 6* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-26-15 | Montreal Canadiens v. Winnipeg Jets -126 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Winnipeg ML This is a case of two teams headed in opposite directions, but the market has been very slow to react. Montreal may be the league's biggest paper tiger. The Habs are a below average team with an elite goaltender in Carey Price, but when they're not getting elite goaltending, they have major issues. Enter Dustin Tokarski for tonight's matchup. Tokarski's numbers look good on the surface, but he's a far cry from Price, and that leaves Montreal in trouble. Winnipeg is playing outstanding hockey right now. The Jets dropped a 5-2 decision in Vancouver on Tuesday but we can hardly blame them for looking sluggish in their third game in four nights. Prior to that, the Jets had won five straight games, including big victories over Tampa Bay and St. Louis. Simply put, there is a lot separating these two teams. Montreal's 5v5 Scoring Chance For % since the Trade Deadline is the second-worst mark in the league, ahead of only the lowly Sabres. Allowing multiple scoring chances without Carey Price backstopping you is a recipe for disaster. Take the Jets. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* NHL ML Play |
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03-26-15 | Nashville Predators +140 v. Tampa Bay Lightning | 3-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Nashville ML As if often the case with the NHL betting market, the public is quick to look at results, rather than how a team is actually playing. In this instance, we're getting great value with Nashville because of public perception. The Preds went through an extremely tough stretch from mid-February to mid-March. Over that stretch, they were actually playing better hockey than they were earlier in the year, but the results just didn't come. Nashville's possession and scoring chance numbers are both among the league leaders, and things are slowly beginning to turn around with back-to-back victories. As for the Lightning, they've won four straight games, but let's no be quick to overreact. Their four victories came at home to Montreal, Detroit, Boston, and Florida; four teams struggling to find their form right now. Tampa's possession metrics are much worse since February 1st than they are for the entire season, and a dropoff is expected. These teams have met twice in the past two season, with the Preds securing a 3-2 victory in both contests. We're not suggesting that Nashville is an easy winner tonight, but we are suggesting that this game should be in a pick'em range instead of Tampa being a heavy favorite. Take the Preds. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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03-26-15 | Arizona Coyotes -110 v. Buffalo Sabres | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Arizona ML We're always hesitant to get involved in "meaningless" games, but in this case, we'll make an exception. Make no bones about it; the Coyotes are a bad hockey team. There's no denying that. But in the case of the post-deadline Buffalo Sabres, we're looking at a historically bad hockey team. Since the Trade Deadline, Buffalo owns a 39.9 Scoring Chance For % at 5-on-5, which is downright awful. To put that into perspective, the next worst numbers in the league since the Deadline is 43.3%. Arizona is coming off of a road victory in Detroit, and despite facing a brutal schedule in the last few weeks, the Coyotes have remained competitive. The same cannot be said for the Sabres who haven't topped three goals in a single game since mid-February. To make matters worse for Buffalo, Matt Hackett gets the start tonight. Hackett is 0-3 with a 4.34 GAA and .893 Sv% in limited starts this season. In a case of bad team against historically bad team, we'll side with the team that has actually shown some life as of late. Take the Coyotes. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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03-25-15 | Louisiana Tech v. Temple -3.5 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Temple -3.5 |
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03-25-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic OVER 201.5 | 95-83 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night. The Magic don't appear to have really upped their scoring of late, but a closer look at their home road splits tells a different story. In their last 10 games, the Magic are averaging 101.3 points per contest. Yet, in their last five home games the team is averaging 110.2 points, compared with an average of 92.4 point in their last five road games. Now they get a Hawks team that's had some big issues at the defensive end of the court of late. In its last four games, Atlanta has surrendered 113.5 points per game. However, the Hawks can hold their own on their side of the scoreboard, scoring 103.8 points per game in that time. Both sides are going to be happy to get out running in this one with fresh legs from both sides having had two days off, and that's going to keep the scoreboard operator busy on this night. The over is 6-0 in the Magic's last six home games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Wednesday 9* NBA O/U Play. |
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03-23-15 | Los Angeles Kings v. New Jersey Devils +135 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
New Jersey ML We've hit the point in the season where teams that are in the playoff hunt are consistently overvalued, and we'll gladly fade the Kings at a generous price tonight. Los Angeles is not playing good hockey. The Kings have lost three of their last four games, and they've been held to two goals or fewer in each one of those contests. New Jersey isn't the type of team that's going to help you snap out of your scoring drought. The Devils surrender just 2.1 goals per game on home ice, and have given up a measly seven goals over their past five games. The Devils have quietly been playing some good hockey, having won three of their last four games. Last time out, they dropped a 3-0 decision to the Islanders, but that was a 1-0 game until late in the third, and New Jersey held their own. The Devils have outscored opponents on home ice this season, and they've been backed by some stellar goaltending, as Cory Schneider boasts an outstanding 93.6 SV% on home ice. The Devils went into Los Angeles earlier this year and upended the Kings 5-3 as a +195 underdog. With the way both teams are playing right now, we can't pass up this price. Take the Devils. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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03-22-15 | West Virginia v. Maryland -1 | 69-59 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Maryland -1 The Terrapins matchup well against the Mountaineers. West Virginia typically does their damage by pestering point guards who can't handle the ball particularly well. The Terrapins have a great point guard in Melo Trimble and Richard Pack (backup) is very solid as well. If West Virginia isn't able to force turnovers, the pressure turns onto their offense to be good in the halfcourt sets, and that can be a major problem for the Mountaineers. Late in their game against Buffalo it nearly cost them the game. West Virginia isn't a good jump shooting team. WV constantly put opponents on the line, and Maryland shoots 75.6 percent from the line, so the Terps should be able to make them pay. The Big 12 has shown to be weak in the NCAA Tournament, and we'll fade them again here. Take Maryland. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-21-15 | Arkansas v. North Carolina -4.5 | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
North Carolina -4.5 The North Carolina Tar Heels and Arkansas Razorbacks both love to run, but North Carolina does it better. Arkansas may have been the second best team in the SEC this year, but that isn't saying much. The SEC isn't any good in college basketball outside of Kentucky. North Carolina plays in the loaded ACC, so they have gotten tough tests all year long. Both of these teams were nearly upset in their first game on Thursday. North Carolina squandered away a big lead and narrowly beat Harvard. Expect the Tar Heels to be far more comfortable here playing against a team that wants to run with them. Marcus Paige is the key to this game, and Arkansas and their fast pace style of play should be great for him. Paige is at his best out in the open court. The Tar Heels are a better defensive team than they often get credit for being. Lay the points. Take North Carolina. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-20-15 | Wyoming v. Northern Iowa -6 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 42 h 40 m | Show | |
The Northern Iowa Panthers were underseeded at a number five seed. This is a top ten team that is getting no respect right now. They'll go out and earn that respect with a strong performance here. Wyoming plays the same type of game that Northern Iowa does, but Northern Iowa is better at it. The Panthers are much more efficient on the offensive end with Seth Tuttle and Nate Buss. Washpun is a solid guard as well. Wyoming relies too much on two guys (Nance and Adams). Northern Iowa should be able to force someone else to beat them. Wyoming made a nice run in the Mountain West Tournament, but the Cowboys haven't shown the same consistency that Northern Iowa has shown this year. The Panthers should win this one by double digits. Lay the points. Take Northern Iowa. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-19-15 | Stephen Austin +7 v. Utah | 50-57 | Push | 0 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks pulled off an upset over VCU in the NCAA Tournament last year, and they are even better this year. Stephen F. Austin is a veteran team led by a very good coach, and they aren't going to be overwhelmed going against the Utah Utes. Utah was amazing at home this year, but away from home they were only mediocre. Utah also finished the season on a down note, losing twice to Oregon in the last couple weeks of the year. The Utes aren't playing the kind of basketball you'd like to be playing entering the Big Dance. Stephen F. Austin has played tough teams in the non-conference this year, and that is a big benefit here. We've waited and allowed this line to move up some with public money, and now we'll grab the underdog and the points. Take Stephen F. Austin Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-19-15 | Harvard v. North Carolina -10 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels have been playing much better basketball in recent weeks. North Carolina is a deep team that is able to continuously push the tempo because there is always someone else able to step in and keep playing at 100 percent. Harvard is a popular team with the public as a Cinderella since they have won each of the last two years as a double digit seed. This Harvard team isn't the same team though. They miss their long range shooters. They aren't able to space the floor, and against good defenses they struggle to score. They had 8 points at halftime against Virginia (and finished with 27). North Carolina is going to force the issue here, and Harvard shouldn't be able to keep up. Roy Williams' team is the best number four seed in the bracket, and they should take advantage of Harvard's weaknesses. Take North Carolina. Good Luck, Razor Ray Thursday 8* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-18-15 | Los Angeles Kings v. Anaheim Ducks -108 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Anaheim ML The playoffs are right around the corner, so naturally the Kings are playing their best hockey of the season. But that doesn't mean they deserve to be a pick'em in Anaheim tonight. Los Angeles has won three straight on the road, but victories over the Oilers, Avalanche, and Canucks are hardly impressive. Prior to that, the Kings had lost in Winnipeg, and dropped a 4-2 decision in Anaheim to these very same Ducks. With just 12 victories in 32 road games this season, Los Angeles is actually one of the worst road teams in the league. Meanwhile, Anaheim has followed up a rough three-game stretch with back-to-back victories. The Ducks knocked off the Wild 2-1 in Minnesota, which is hardly an easy task, and came from behind to down the Predators 4-2 on Sunday night. Anaheim has had two days off at home, the best situational spot that the NHL currently offers. The Ducks have won three of four games against the Kings, outshooting them and outchancing them in three of four as well. There's not a lot separating these teams, but with home ice, and a great situational spot, we like Anaheim to emerge tonight. Take the Ducks. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* NHL ML Play |
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03-17-15 | San Jose Sharks v. Winnipeg Jets -115 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Winnipeg ML On the surface, it may seem like the Sharks are playing better hockey as of late, but that's been a mirage. San Jose has played eight of their last nine games at home, and now head out on the road to battle a superior Jets team. Even with the Sharks' home-heavy schedule, they've managed to score three goals or more in just three of their last 12 games. The Sharks' top two goal-scorers, Logan Couture and Joe Pavelski, have gone cold, and this team simply doesn't have the depth to make up for their lack of goal scoring. San Jose is also dealing with some off-ice distractions as former captain Joe Thornton has engaged in a war of words with general manager Doug Wilson. The Sharks are in jeopardy of missing the playoffs for the first time since 2002/03 and this team is surely feeling the pressure right now. Meanwhile, the Jets are actually playing some pretty good hockey. Winnipeg finished their four-game road trip with a 2-2 record but they were unlucky not to have won all four games. Victories in Nashville and Tampa Bay were especially impressive. The Jets have also held five of their last six opponents to 21 or fewer shots. With Winnipeg fighting to hold on to a Wild Card spot in the West, we expect their best effort tonight. Take the Jets. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* NHL ML Play |
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03-17-15 | Hampton v. Manhattan OVER 140.5 | 74-64 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Manhattan likes to use full court pressure to speed the game up and get easy baskets in transition. Because of that full court pressure, Manhattan fouls more than just about any other team in the nation. Hampton doesn't have the strong backcourt needed to handle that full court pressure though, and Manhattan should score quickly on numerous occasions. Hampton isn't going to want to slow the game down either, because they are a team that doesn't know how to play any other way than ultra fast. They aren't particularly efficient on offense, but they'll get a bunch of shots up in this one. The pace as well as free throws puts this one over. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* NCAAB Over/Under Play |
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03-16-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208 | 105-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors host the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday night. The Lakers have curiously decided to slow their pace of late, and while that's a decision that doesn't necessarily mesh with the best interests of the team, it's great news for under bettors. The Lakers have failed to reach the century mark in scoring in each of their last six games, with the under coming through in five of those contests. The team has also limited opponents to 95.7 points per game in that time. On Monday they draw a Warriors team that ranks first in the league in defensive efficiency, yet we see a high total installed for two teams that have historically played high-scoring matchups. That's a great spot for us to get in. The under is 13-4 in the Warriors' last 17 games. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NBA O/U Play. |
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03-16-15 | Denver Nuggets +12 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Denver Nuggets on Monday night. The Nuggets have really stepped up their play since the firing of Brian Shaw. Denver has won four in a row and six of eight since the firing. While the team was involved in a double-overtime game on Sunday, some of the players were given rest days, which will allow them to get right into the thick of things in this one. The Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, while the Nuggets are 5-1 in their last six road games. In a game that isn't likely to feature many points, take the underdog. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against Western Conference opponents. Take Denver. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* ATS Play. |
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03-15-15 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Wisconsin -6.5 The Wisconsin Badgers are the class of the Big Ten, and it isn't close. Michigan State is playing better basketball in March thanks to Tom Izzo's tremendous coaching, but the Spartans are totally outclassed in this game. Michigan State beat a couple overrated teams in Ohio State and Maryland to get to this point. Wisconsin's complete destruction of Purdue in the second half yesterday was impressive. Bo Ryan isn't given enough credit nationwide. Ryan is a great coach too, and the Badgers play the style they want to play all the time. Wisconsin has the best player on the  court in Frank Kaminsky, and Michigan State doesn't have anyone who matches up well with him. Wisconsin will get it into the interior a bunch in this game, and Kaminsky should do a lot of damage. Look for Wisconsin to have a big advantage when it comes to turnovers as well. Lay the points. Take Wisconsin. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NCAAB ATS Play |
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03-14-15 | New Jersey Devils v. Arizona Coyotes UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
The Arizona Coyotes host the New Jersey Devils on Saturday night. Neither team has been scoring the puck much of late, and that's meant big money for under bettors. The under has come through in four of the Devils' last five games, and it has come through in each of the Coyotes' last five games. Over its last six games, Arizona has scored just six times. Stretch that back to the team's last 10 games, and they're scoring just 1.2 goals per game. Now they draw a Devils team that has five of its last 10 opponents to 1 goal or fewer. The under is 9-2-2 in the Devils' last 13 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* NHL O/U Play. |
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03-14-15 | Yale v. Harvard -1.5 | 51-53 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Harvard Crimson get another crack at the Yale Bulldogs. Yale looked like they had the Ivy League's NCAA Tournament bid locked up after their win at Harvard a week ago, but they lost on a buzzer beater the following night at Dartmouth. Harvard is the team who has been here before and is experienced at this. Yale was able to put together a perfect game last time these two met, but I expect Harvard's very good coaching staff to make some great adjustments for this game. You have to wonder how Yale's mindset is coming into this one. They were up five late at Dartmouth and looked to have the bid all sewed up. It didn't work out that way, and it could be tough to bounce back from that. Lay the very short number with the favorite. Take Harvard. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAB ATS Play |
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