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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-11-14 | USC -2.5 v. Arizona | 28-26 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 26 m | Show | |
USC -2.5 The Arizona Wildcats host the USC Trojans on Saturday in Week 7 of the college football season. Arizona got by a rising but still middling Texas-San Antonio squad by only three points, a bad Nevada team by seven points, and then they needed a Hail Mary to escape in a home game against Cal. In fact, they didn’t cover the spread in a single game for the entire month of December, and their cover against Oregon was their first since their season opener. That’s not a recipe for success, which is why we’ll be running, not walking, to the windows to put in our plays for this one before the oddsmakers get to their senses.USC is 5-0 ATS in its last five games coming off a loss. Take USC. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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10-11-14 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -2 | 35-20 | Loss | -106 | 100 h 8 m | Show | |
Texas A&M -2 The Texas A&M Aggies host the Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday in an SEC clash as part of Week 7 of the college football season. A week ago, the Aggies were painfully over-ranked at No. 6 in the AP poll, and the team fell on the road against an underrated Mississippi State squad. Now it seems the team has been written off altogether as they are getting little respect on their home turf, playing a team that comes in riding a wave of emotion. As for Ole Miss, they're coming off one of the biggest wins the program has enjoyed in years, and that figures to mean a letdown come Saturday when they head out onto the road and into the unfriendly confines of College Station. In each of the last two years, Kevin Sumlin's Texas A&M squad has gone on the road and downed Ole Miss in Oxford, scoring 30, and 41 points in those two wins respectively. With the venue shifting over to College Station, those national rankings go right out the window, and there will be another shift of power in the SEC. The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss. Take Texas A&M. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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10-11-14 | San Francisco Giants +114 v. St. Louis Cardinals | 3-0 | Win | 114 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants ML We're not too sure what oddsmakers see here to have installed the Cardinals as favorites. Madison Bumgarner takes the hill for the Giants and to say that he's been outstanding would be an understatement. The southpaw has 1.13 ERA in two starts this postseason and has been dominating away from home all season long. Bumgarner's 2.85 season ERA is amazing, but his 2.07 ERA and .951 WHIP on the road are out of this world. It's no wonder that the Giants won 14 of Bumgarner's 19 starts away from home this year. Bumgarner also gives the Giants a bat in the nine hole, hitting .258 with 4 HRs and 15 RBIs this season; a dimension that the Cardinals don't have with Wainwright. Adam Wainwright was a major disappointment in his start against Clayton Kershaw in the NLDS, which ended in a 10-9 final. Wainwright admitted that he aggravated an elbow injury, and subsequently, we have no issues playing against the pitcher that is less than 100%. Like Bumgarner, Wainwright was actually more dominant on the road this year, boasting a 3.27 ERA at home; 0.70 higher than his season ERA. The Giants are 20-7 in their last 27 playoff games and 7-2 in Bumgarner's last 9 starts. The Cardinals are just 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite between -110 and -150. Take San Francisco. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-11-14 | Connecticut v. Tulane UNDER 45.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 42 h 31 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. UConn UNDER 45.5 The UConn Huskies have been playing well on the defensive end of the ball with Bob Diaco as the new head coach. UConn is rallying to the football in a big way on the defensive end, and they have enough skill to slow down most offenses. There’s nothing impressive about the Tulane offense, and it looks like they will be without their starting quarterback this week. Tanner Lee might not be a terrific quarterback, but he is better than anyone else Tulane is going to put on the field. Without him, they should have trouble putting together consistent drives. The Tulane defense has been a bit disappointing so far this season, but they were the main reason the Green Wave were so impressive last year in a year where Tulane was one of the most improved teams in the country. This Tulane defense has played against some high quality offenses this year, but UConn doesn’t have the talent on offense. Tulane’s defense should look much better this weekend. UConn lost their starting quarterback a few weeks ago as well, and with Whitmer at quarterback they are a mess on the offensive end. Two ugly offenses and two defenses that play hard should equal a low scoring contest. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* NCAAF O/U Play |
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10-11-14 | East Carolina -15.5 v. South Florida | 28-17 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 41 m | Show | |
East Carolina -15.5 The East Carolina Pirates played an ugly game last week against SMU. While East Carolina beat SMU 45-24, they were favored by 40.5 points so they clearly played a disappointing game. It was quite obvious from last week’s showing that East Carolina wasn’t prepared to play against a terrible SMU team. I think that poor showing by East Carolina ended being a very good thing for the team, especially when it pertains to this game. Ruffin McNeill now has tons of ammunition to get his team ready to go for this week’s game against South Florida. East Carolina should be far more focused in this game than they would have been, and that makes this a much better looking selection. South Florida has a strong front seven, but the Bulls secondary is questionable at best. The Bulls secondary hasn’t been tested by many teams yet, but they’ll be tested in a big way by Shane Carden and the Pirates pass heavy offense. East Carolina is a much better team than South Florida. The Bulls don’t have the type of offense that can keep up with East Carolina if the Pirates are ready to play. East Carolina playing poorly last week makes them show up ready to play here. Take East Carolina. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* CFB ATS Play |
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10-11-14 | Montreal Canadiens v. Philadelphia Flyers -104 | 4-3 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Flyers ML We played against the Flyers when they hosted New Jersey on Thursday night, but we're ready to reverse our course of action. Philadelphia lost a heartbreaker in Boston on opening night and you can't fault them for a marginal loss as a 60-cent underdog. They were in tough the following night having to play back-to-back against a tough Devils team that is a lot better than a season ago. This time around, there is no situational angle working against Philadelphia as both the Flyers and Habs are playing their third game in four nights. Montreal sits at 2-0 but could easily be 0-2. They're late winner against the Leafs on opening night was of the extremely lucky variety. They followed that up with a 2-1 victory in Washington after getting outshot 15-2 in the first period. Dustin Tokarski stole that game for the Habs. Head coach Michel Therrien is already juggling his line combinations, a clear indicator that the team isn't playing great hockey right now. After allowing six goals last time out, expect a better defensive effort from the Flyers, who hung their goaltender Steve Mason out to dry. Mason is 3-0-0 with a 1.63 GAA and .936 save percentage in his career against Motnreal, so a bounce back tonight seems in order. Meanwhile, Habs goaltender Carey Price is 2-8-0 with a 3.46 GAA in his last 10 starts against the Flyers, with six straight losses in Philadelphia. The Habs are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. The Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing 5+ goals in their previous game. The home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take Philadelphia. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play [UPDATE: Ray Emery is the confirmed starter for Philadelphia. We still advise a play on the Flyers.] |
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10-11-14 | Washington v. California OVER 69.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -106 | 40 h 36 m | Show | |
Cal vs. UW Over 69.5 The Cal Golden Bears play in a ton of really high scoring games. Look at the last three games for Cal: 49-45, 59-56, and 60-59. The Cal Golden Bears have a tremendous offense and a terrible defense. The other thing that makes Cal games very high scoring is the fact that they play so fast. At this point in the season, Cal is playing at a faster pace in between snaps than any other team in the nation. Sonny Dykes has his team absolutely putting the foot on the gas, and it has been tough for the opposition to slow down. Washington’s defense hasn’t played as well as expected this year, and I can’t imagine them having too much success slowing down Cal. The Huskies offense has been worse than expected as well, but I think this is a nice chance for them to get it going against a Cal defense that isn’t any good. Cyler Miles is a better quarterback than he has shown in the first few games of the year, and Miles could have a coming out party in this game. The Golden Bears secondary tends to make everyone look good. Both offenses should have a field day in this contest. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* CFB O/U Play |
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10-11-14 | Central Michigan +9 v. Northern Illinois | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 38 h 27 m | Show | |
Central Michigan +9 The Northern Illinois Huskies aren’t the same team they have been in recent years. In the past few years they have had Chandler Harnish and Jordan Lynch quarterbacking the team. Neither of those guys are around this year, and Northern Illinois is struggling to even find an acceptable replacement at quarterback. We are nearly halfway through the season, but Northern Illinois hasn’t settled on a quarterback. That is never a good sign. The Huskies are totally reliant on being able to run the football, and they don’t even have a quarterback who is a good runner like they have had in the past. While Stingily is a solid running back, Central Michigan should be geared up for him here. The Chippewas played short-handed much of the year with Titus Davis and Thomas Rawls missing action. Davis is the best wide receiver in the MAC, and he is one of the best in the nation. Rawls has been putting up massive numbers at the running back spot, and he transferred over to CMU from Michigan, so you know he has the talent. Central Michigan actually has far more weapons than does Northern Illinois. Why is Northern Illinois such a big favorite? It’s all in the name. Northern Illinois is getting far too much credit for what they have done in the past. Take Central Michigan. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* NCAAF ATS Play |
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10-11-14 | Duke +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 47 h 35 m | Show | |
Duke +3.5 There aren't many people looking to step in front of Georgia Tech's 5-0 start right now, but we think this team is way overvalued and that this situation sets up very favorable for Duke. The common thought process believes that because Georgia Tech beat Miami, and Miami beat Duke, this should be an easy win for the Yellow Jackets. But styles make matchups, and the Blue Devils match up well here. Georgia Tech's offense lives and dies with their triple-option rushing attack, but we don't envision much success this week. Duke already boasts a stellar defense, limiting opponents to just 13.6 points per game and 367.6 yards per game this season. The Blue Devils have had two full weeks to prepare for this option, and we like their chances of shutting it down. As for the Duke offense, we're not that concerned about their poor showing against Miami. This is still a team that can score in bunches, having topped the 34 point mark in every one of their games this season prior to the loss to the Hurricanes. Quarterback Anthony Boone is also a good protector of the football, having tossed only three interceptions in five games this season. With the Blue Devils' defense keeping the Yellow Jackets' offense in check, look for Duke to score enough points to come out on top here. The Blue Devils are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. The Yellow Jackets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record. Take Duke. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-10-14 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +5 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 24 m | Show | |
New Mexico +5 The New Mexico Lobos have a difficult offense to stop. Coach Bob Davie has done a nice job putting in a unique offense which is a nice blend of a triple option attack as well as a pistol/spread type offense that runs it almost every time from the shotgun. Because the Lobos offense is so unique, it is tough for opposing coordinators to prepare for. New Mexico has Cole Gautsche back, and they got much better quarterback play last week in their surprising 21-9 win at UTSA. If they keep getting that kind of quarterback play, this team could surprise a lot of people this year. San Diego State quarterback Quinn Kaehler is out with an injury right now and so is star receiver Ezell Ruffin. The Aztecs are short on weapons offensively to start with, and without these two guys they are in real trouble on this side of the ball. Rocky Long is a quality coach, but his Aztecs team is missing some key pieces. San Diego State at full strength might deserve to be this kind of a favorite at New Mexico, but not San Diego State in its current form. This is a nice price on the home underdog. Take New Mexico. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* CFB ATS Play |
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10-09-14 | New Jersey Devils +109 v. Philadelphia Flyers | 6-4 | Win | 109 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
New Jersey Devils ML We have the Devils pegged as a major sleeper coming into this season, and we'll gladly back them at an underdog price in their opener. Philadelphia played last night in Boston, losing 2-1 on a goal late in the third period. We don't completely buy in to tired teams this early in the season, but they're definitely at a disadvantage having to return home on no rest coming off of a hard fought loss. Wayne Simmonds will play tonight for the Flyers but he suffered a lower body injury in last night's game and won't be at 100%. Philadelphia also put in a strong defensive effort last night and struggled to replicate that in their following game a year ago. The Flyers were 0-5 to close out the season in games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. The Flyers will have major issues dealing with the forward depth of the Devils. New Jersey brought in Mike Cammalleri in the offseason to round out a deep forward crew, that sees Adam Henrique centering a third line. New Jersey is also solid at the back end and plays the type of offense stifling game that can frustrate this Flyers squad. It's this type of play that has led to New Jersey winning in five of their last six trips to Philadelphia. We think the better team is in the better situation tonight. Take New Jersey. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-08-14 | Vancouver Canucks -109 v. Calgary Flames | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
Vancouver ML Oddsmakers have priced this game as if this is the same Canucks team from last year, and we'll gladly take advantage of this generous price. Vancouver had a down season last year but that can largely be attributed to the coaching of John Tortorella, who had the Canucks playing a style of play that wasn't suited to their personnel. Tortortella was axed in the offseason and Vancouver brought in head coach Willie Desjardins, who is poised to have the Canucks return to the run & gun team that made them very successful in years past. With the addition of winger Radim Vrbata, the Canucks finally have another legitimate first liner to play alongside the Sedins as well. The goaltending carousel that plagued Vancouver for much of last season has also been resolved as Ryan Miller is a bonafide number one between the pipes. As for Calgary, this team has some major depth issues, particularly at forward. The Flames first line of Sean Monahan, Curtis Glencross, and Jiri Hudler is the least scary first line in the league. Former Leafs rejects Joe Colborne, Matt Stajan, and Mason Raymond round out a forward group that is downright awful. Jonas Hiller is an upgrade between the pipes but he'll be peppered with shots on a nightly basis, and he'll have to play out of this world to keep Calgary in games. Vancouver swept their season series with Calgary a year ago despite having a down year. They were prices at -113 and -145 in their two games in Calgary, and are priced lower than that this season even though the talent discrepancy between these teams has widened. Take Vancouver. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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10-07-14 | Washington Nationals -134 v. San Francisco Giants | 2-3 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Washington Nationals ML It's not too often that you get pitching mismatches this big in the playoffs, but that's exactly the case here on Tuesday night. Gio Gonzalez is a stud. His 3.57 ERA isn't stellar, but that number should actually be better than it is with his 1.197 WHIP and 162 strikeouts in 158.7 innings pitched. Gio has been even better as of late, pitching three straight strong starts heading into the postseason. He battles a Giants squad that was just 30-30 against lefties this season, despite having a 91-75 record in all of their games (including postseason). San Francisco hits just .248 as a team against LHP, averaging 0.4 less runs per game. The Giants send Ryan Vogelsong to the mound, and although his numbers are respectable, he's still a class below his pitching counterpart. The Giants were just 6-10 in Vogelsong's 16 home starts this season, and the veteran right-hander enters this game in poor form, posting a 5.06 ERA in losing his last three starts. Vogelsong has also been awful in his career against Washington, posting a 7.94 ERA and a whopping 1.897 WHIP in five career starts against them. The Nats can hit right-handers and their 46-36 record away from home this season is encouraging as well. The Nationals are 50-21 in their last 71 games as a road favorite and 14-3 in their last 17 road games against a team with a winning home record. Washington is also 20-8 in Gonzalez's last 28 starts as a road favorite. The Giants are 2-8 in Vogelsong's last 10 home starts and are just 8-20 in their last 28 games as an underdog. Take Washington. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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10-06-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
St. Louis & Los Angeles under 7.5 It's not too often that we vehemently disagree with the total in a baseball game, but that's definitely the case here. We think that this number has come in way too high because of a variety of factors that are simply false. Public perception is that John Lackey is nothing more than a mediocre pitcher, which is probably true if you take into account all of his starts, but definitely not the case when you look at his home numbers. We'll throw out Lackey's home numbers with Boston because they really don't mean much and instead delve deep into his home numbers with the Cards. Since going over to St. Louis, Lackey has started five games at Busch Stadium and hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of those contests. He's also struck out 27 batters in those five starts, indicating that his success hasn't been the product of luck. Meanwhile, Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, enjoying a ton of success on the road. Ryu's 3.03 ERA and 1.116 WHIP away from home are actually better than his home numbers, which is one of the main reasons that 9 of his 13 starts on the road have stayed under the total. Ryu has started three games in his career against the Cardinals and has surrendered a total of 3 earned runs, for a sparkling 1.29 ERA. His only start in St. Louis came last year, a 5-1 victory in which he pitched 7 innings of shutout ball. The under is 6-2-2 in Ryu's last 10 road starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 5-2 in the Cardinals last 7 home games and 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss. The under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-05-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. San Francisco 49ers -5 | 17-22 | Push | 0 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers -5 The San Francisco 49ers got a key win last week against Philadelphia. The 49ers had disappointed through the first three weeks, but they showed a lot of resilience last week. Jim Harbaugh is a quality coach and he knows how to get his team ready for the game. Kansas City is coming off a massive win over New England. Some might say that helps them come into this game with momentum, but I look at it the other way. Kansas City played Monday night at home in a national television spotlight game. The Chiefs played as well as they could ever play, and now must take on a good San Francisco team with less preparation than normal. It’s a letdown spot for Kansas City. The 49ers defense has really been terrific all year. It has been the 49ers costing themselves with ridiculous turnovers and penalties that has them sitting at 2-2 coming into this one. The 49ers defense should control the Chiefs running game here, and if you do that you have a great chance at beating Kansas City. The 49ers are in a good spot here, and I think they are simply the better team as well. That’s a good combination that makes this a strong play. Take San Francisco. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-05-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Denver Broncos -7 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 96 h 33 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos -7 The Denver Broncos host the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon in Week 5 of the NFL season. Both teams are returning to action following their bye week. The Cardinals bring an undefeated record with them to Mile High, but they’ve needed a lot of smoke and mirrors to get there. The Cardinals first needed a late comeback win to down the San Diego Chargers, and have since scraped by in back-to-back games with Drew Stanton occupying the quarterback spot. As Carson Palmer continues to battle shoulder injuries, there doesn’t appear to be a lot of hope around the Arizona quarterback situation entering a game in which they’re going to need to score points. Interestingly enough, the Broncos haven’t even been at their best on offense quite yet this season, as both Montee Ball and Demaryius Thomas have yet to really get their legs under them. That was an issue the team surely worked on during the bye, and they also surely focused on reincorporating Wes Welker back into the offense. The Broncos also have the added motivation of getting this game off a loss after dropping their Super Bowl rematch with the Seattle Seahawks in Week 3. That’s a spot they’ve fared quite well in with Manning at the helm. The Broncos are going to put up points in this one and the Cardinals simply don’t have the horses to keep up. The Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. Take Denver. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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10-05-14 | Houston Texans +7 v. Dallas Cowboys | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 92 h 25 m | Show | |
Houston Texans +7 The Dallas Cowboys host the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon in Week 5 of the NFL season. The Texans are coming off a win over the Bills while the Cowboys took down the Saints in their last outing. The New Orleans game was one the Cowboys surely had circled on their calendars entering the season, and coming off the high of that emotional win, expect to see them come out flat on Sunday. The Cowboys have been running injury-prone back DeMarco Murray ragged in the early going, and that’s going to catch up with them eventually, and an aggressive Texans front looks ready to deliver Dallas a wake-up call. On the other side of the ball, the Texans have been ultra-efficient moving the ball with a conservative game plan, and that’s the last thing an injury depleted Cowboys defense wants to see. Losing Bruce Carter is devastating for a Cowboys front already down Sean Lee. Texans running back Arian Foster should find plenty of lanes to run through on Sunday en route to an easy cover. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Take Houston. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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10-05-14 | Chicago Bears v. Carolina Panthers -2.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
Carolina Panthers -3 The Carolina Panthers host the Chicago Bears on Sunday afternoon in Week 5 of the NFL season. It’s been a tale of two teams with this Carolina squad this season. At times they’ve looked dominant, and at others they’ve looked just ordinary. Expect to see the good Panthers squad show up on Sunday against a Bears team that is a near-perfect matchup for them. No team has been worse at defending the run than the Bears have been under Marc Trestman, and that’s exactly where the Panthers will be looking to attack. With both DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart healthy, Carolina has the horses to run the Bears ragged on the ground. On the other side of the ball, the Panthers can be exploited through the air, but Chicago’s injury-depleted receiving corps showed a week ago that they simply aren’t healthy right now to beat teams through the air after failing to do so against an inferior Packers secondary. This is a good Bears team, but with injuries to their receiving corps and in their defensive front seven, they simply don’t have the horses to compete with the Panthers at the moment. The Panthers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, while the Bears are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-05-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
Steelers –6 |
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10-04-14 | California +3.5 v. Washington State | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show | |
California +3.5 We're often looking to exploit overreactions to recent performances, and that's precisely what we'll do here as we've been gifted with a very generous line on the Bears. Washington State has looked solid in the past couple of weeks, nearly upsetting No. 2 Oregon and rallying for a win on the road at Utah last weekend. But this is still a team with many flaws. The Cougars are producing plenty of yards through the air. Connor Halliday has thrown for over 2,300 yards and 20 touchdowns, which is mighty impressive, but their incessant need to air it out also makes them susceptible to turnovers. Halliday has thrown seven picks on the season. California also likes to throw the ball but they're not even close to the Cougars in terms of pass attempts. Washington State has thrown the ball a whopping 301 times this season, while no other team in the nation has topped 250 pass attempts. Cal will also have some revenge on their minds after losing 44-22 against Wzzou a year ago. That final score was also extremely misleading as the Golden Bears actually outgained the Cougars in that contest. Cal QB Jared Goff has also improved a lot since last season, where he was thrust into the fire as a freshman. Goff's 17:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio is one of the better ratios in the country. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take California. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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10-04-14 | UNLV v. San Jose State -10 | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
San Jose State -10 The San Jose State Spartans have played a tough schedule this year. San Jose State was beaten up by Minnesota and Auburn, and they lost a tough game last weekend against a solid Nevada team. You better believe the Spartans are excited to step down in level of competition this week as they take on UNLV. The UNLV Rebels had a rare winning season last year as Coach Hauck’s team made it to a bowl game. This year’s team isn’t even close to as talented. Caleb Herring meant everything to this offense last year, and with Blake Decker under center instead of Herring, the Rebels are just a disaster on this side of the ball. The problems are even worse on defense for the Rebels. UNLV wasn’t very good defensively last year, but they were able to outscore teams. This year they aren’t good enough to outscore many teams. The defense is giving up big numbers every single week, and San Jose State moved the ball at will against UNLV last year. This is a great opportunity for San Jose State to start feeling better about themselves again. After several tough weeks against high quality teams, the Spartans will bounce back with a big win over the lowly Rebels. Take San Jose State. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play |
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10-04-14 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -5 | Top | 19-24 | Push | 0 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
Virginia -5 The Virginia Cavaliers are a much better team in 2014 than almost anyone expected them to be. Pittsburgh looked good early in the season, but they have been exposed in their last couple games. While many believe the Panthers will bounce back here, I don’t see it that way. Pittsburgh has a good running back in James Conner, and a terrific wide receiver in Tyler Boyd. The problem for the Panthers is those guys are their only playmakers. Quarterback Chad Voytik just isn’t good enough to win games for this team if they can’t run the ball effectively. Pitt’s inability to win without running the ball down the opposition’s throat is precisely the problem with their chances against Virginia here. The Cavaliers have an excellent front seven that has stuffed the run well all season long. It’s highly unlikely that Pittsburgh will just be able to line up and run the ball at will. Virginia’s defense was solid last year, but their offense was terrible. This year the Cavs offense is much better than it was last season. The Cavs have gotten solid quarterback play, and they run the football well. Virginia is a much more balanced offense than Pittsburgh. Virginia has the better balanced offense as well as the stronger defense. The Cavaliers win this one comfortably. Take Virginia. Good Luck, Razor Ray. RARE 10* Top Play ATS Selection |
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10-04-14 | UL-Monroe v. Arkansas State UNDER 52 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Louisiana Monroe vs. Arkansas State Under 52 |
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10-04-14 | Toledo v. Western Michigan OVER 63.5 | 20-19 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
Toledo vs. Western Michigan Over 65 |
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10-04-14 | Stanford -1 v. Notre Dame | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Stanford -1 The Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the Stanford Cardinals on Saturday in Week 6 of the college football season. The Irish are 15-1 in their last 16 home games, but it's not often they bring in a team with the level of talent that the Cardinal offer. The Stanford defense has been terrific thus far, even posting a pair of shutout victories, allowing all of 26 points through their first four games. That's going to post a major problem for a Notre Dame offense that is ultra-reliant on quarterback Everett Golson. The Cardinal have done a great job of pressuring opposing quarterbacks, with 10 different players on the roster recording a sack. Golson has looked the part of a Heisman caliber quarterback thus far, but he came crashing back down to Earth a week ago, throwing his first two interceptions of the season against a pedestrian Syracuse offense. Now he'll be taking a major step up in class against a Stanford's defense which currently ranks tops in the nation. That unit has helped Stanford to wins in four of its last five meetings with Notre Dame, with the lone loss coming in the Irish's undefeated 2012 regular season. As for Notre Dame's vaunted defense, Stanford didn't meet much resistance against that unit in last year's meeting, churning out 261 yards on the ground. The Cardinal are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games. Take Stanford. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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10-04-14 | Ohio v. Central Michigan -4 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Central Michigan -4 The Central Michigan Chippewas are a much different team when playing on their home field. The Ohio Bobcats have struggled to match up with the Chippewas for several seasons, and this year’s Ohio team is the weakest it has been in several years. Central Michigan has star running back Thomas Rawls and star wide receiver Titus Davis both back now, and with those guys playing their offense is much more dangerous. The Bobcats defense is decent, but I do expect Central Michigan to be able to bust a few big plays throughout the course of this game. Ohio’s offense was excellent a couple of years ago, but their playmakers are now gone. Derrius Vick is their starting quarterback, but he is dinged up and might not be able to play in this contest. If Vick does play he’ll be less than 100%. If he doesn’t play, the Bobcats don’t have a good second option at quarterback. Central Michigan is underrated by the oddsmakers right now because of their poor play in a couple games earlier this year. With their top playmakers back in the fold, this Central Michigan team should make some noise in the MAC. Lay the short price here on the home team. Take Central Michigan. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play |
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10-04-14 | New Mexico v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 54.5 | 21-9 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
New Mexico vs. UTSA Over 54.5 The New Mexico Lobos defense is dreadful, and Coach Bob Davie knows it. New Mexico is dead last in the nation in rushing defense. Davie said after last week’s game that his defense just isn’t fast enough to pursue plays the way they need to. It’s not often you hear a coach talk that negatively about their defense, but Davie is absolutely right. New Mexico is regularly giving up 35 points or more. They did it last season and it’s happening yet again this year. They just don’t enough speed or talent on the defensive side. UTSA’s offense wasn’t able to get going until last week’s game against Florida Atlantic. In that game, the Roadrunners offense ran smoothly and rolled up a bunch of yards. The timing is perfect for them to face a defense like New Mexico’s. I see UTSA putting up their second straight impressive offensive output this week. The New Mexico defense is awful, but their offense isn’t bad. They should have Cole Gautsche back at quarterback for this game, and he is their best runner at the quarterback position. New Mexico runs a mixture of the pistol and triple option offense, and it’s tough to stop. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play |
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10-04-14 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State -1.5 | Top | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 74 h 2 m | Show |
Mississippi State -1.5 With so many college football games per week, oddsmakers are bound to make a mistake every once a while, and we think they've hung a terrible number here. Texas A&M took down Arkansas 35-28 in overtime last week, but we were not too impressed with that performance. The Aggies barely outgained an inferior squad at home, and probably would have lost that game if it weren't for a big fourth quarter collapse by the Razorbacks. A&M dominated South Carolina on the road back in Week 1, but that win looks less and less impressive with each passing week, as the Gamecocks lost outright to Missouri this week, a week after putting in a poor performance against Vanderbilt. All in all, we feel as though this Aggies squad is extremely overvalued. Texas A&M's two victories over other SEC foes have seen them run the ball fairly well, but that will be nearly impossible against a stout Bulldogs defense. South Carolina has limited opponents to just 2.4 yards per carry this season, and shut down LSU's ground game in their last contest. The spot also strongly favors Mississippi State, as they've had two weeks to prepare for this game. We would ordinarily fear a Bulldogs letdown after their win over LSU, but with two weeks in between, that should be a non-issue. The Aggies, meanwhile, are playing their third consecutive road game, and this one comes at an early start time. That is simply not a good spot for even the best of teams. The Aggies are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall, and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning road record. Take Mississippi State. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* TOP PLAY |
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10-03-14 | San Diego State v. Fresno State -3 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
Fresno State -3 The Bulldogs looked awful in their first three games of the season, and that has allowed for us to grab a very favorable line with the better squad in this matchup. Fresno State surrendered 166 points to USC, Utah, and Nebraska in their first three contests, but it's important to note that those are all quality teams; vastly superior to San Diego State. Since then, the Bulldogs have reeled off back-to-back wins including an impressive 35-24 victory at New Mexico last Friday. Having played on Friday, the Bulldogs have an extra day of preparation for this contest and are also gained some familiarity with playing on a weeknight. San Diego State's stock is probably higher than it should be thanks to a tightly contested loss at North Carolina three weeks ago, but as we've seen in recent weeks, the Tar Heels aren't very good. Last week, the Aztecs took down a UNLV squad that had the longest injury report that we've ever seen for a college football game. Needless to say, we weren't all that impressed. The Aztecs are 0-2 on the road this season and will be hard pressed to find that win without starting QB Quinn Kaehler, who is doubtful with a should injury. Backup QB Nick Bawden has been highly touted in the press, but this is a tough stage for a frosh backup. We'll grab the short price with the home team. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Take Fresno State. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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10-03-14 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 69 h 50 m | Show | |
St. Louis RL +1.5 We're not going to sit here and convince you that Clayton Kershaw is going to get lit up on Friday night. Kershaw is the most dominant pitcher in baseball, but with that dominance comes a very steep price tag, and we'll gladly jump on the Cardinals at this price. The total set for this game is 5.5, which is a clear indicator that oddsmakers don't expect many runs, and that will make it difficult for the Dodgers to create separation in this matchup. The Cardinals send Adam Wainwright to the mound in this one, and to say he's been lights out lately would be an understatement. Wainwright was a perfect 5-0 in September, posting a sparkling 1.38 ERA. He enters this matchup coming off of back-to-back shutouts and has surrendered just 2 earned runs in his last four starts. Wainwright started once against the Dodgers this year; a 1-0 loss on the road in which he pitched eight full innings, surrendering just five hits. St. Louis doesn't boast the best offense in the league, but they're well equipped to hit left-handed pitching: With numbers like that, we just can't pass on the Cardinals at this price. Take St. Louis on the run line. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-28-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers -4.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 33 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers -4.5 |
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09-28-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars +14 v. San Diego Chargers | 14-33 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 39 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars +14 The San Diego Chargers host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday afternoon in Week 4 of the NFL season. The Chargers are coming off a 22-10 win over the Buffalo Bills, while the Jaguars were beaten up by the Indianapolis Colts this past weekend, 44-17. For the Chargers, they’ve quietly been able to overcome some injuries in the early going this season, but expect those injuries to finally catch up with them on Sunday. The team has skewed heavily towards the run since the middle part of last season with huge success, but now the team is shorthanded in the backfield with both Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead out of commission. Woodhead has also been credited with rejuvenating Philip Rivers and being an overall big part of the team’s passing game. While the Jaguars have had trouble on defense, that isn’t something we expected to see from them in the lead up to the season, as Gus Bradley knows how to coach defense, and the team added some good horses on that side of the ball. Expect that unit to come out and show some professional pride in what projects to be a favorable matchup for them. As for the offense, the Chargers’ main weakness is through the air, and that’s exactly where Blake Bortles and the team’s army of young, talented wide receivers will look to attack. The Chargers were able to shut down opponents that skewed towards the run in the Seahawks and Bills, but fell to a Cardinals team that leans heavy on its aerial attack. The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against opponents with a winning home record. Take Jacksonville. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-28-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon in Week 4 of the NFL season. The Steelers are coming off a 37-19 win over the Carolina Panthers, while the Buccaneers were blown away by the Atlanta Falcons in their last outing, 56-14. The Steelers enter this game coming off a back-to-back prime time games against superior opponents, and are due for a major letdown following their big win over the Carolina Panthers on Sunday night. The Panthers were flat in that game, and that allowed the Steelers to hide a defense that has been downright atrocious this season. Not only have they been bad at stopping opposing offensive attacks, they only figure to get worse, as the deal was dealt a litany of injuries on that side of the ball Sunday night. As for the Buccaneers, they’re due to show some professional pride after getting blown out of the water in their last outing. The public and oddsmakers are overreacting to that last game, forgetting that the Bucs kept their first two games within one score. Now, with some extra time to prepare, expect Lovie Smith to have his boys ready, and for them to come out running. They also made the right move at quarterback, even if they were forced to, as Mike Glennon looked a lot better Thursday night than Josh McCown has at any point during the season, and that spells trouble for the Steelers’ depleted secondary. The Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played in the month of September. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-28-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 40.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -102 | 43 h 14 m | Show | |
Panthers vs. Ravens Under 40.5 The Carolina Panthers and Baltimore Ravens are both teams built around their strong defenses. Carolina’s defense led them to their amazing run a year ago. Baltimore’s defense has been one of the best in the NFL for many years, and they were the reason that Baltimore won the Super Bowl two years ago. While Joe Flacco and Cam Newton both get a lot of attention, it truly is the defenses that lead the way. Both of these defenses are extremely aggressive and physical. Nothing will come easy for either offense in this game. Look for this one to be one of those games where both teams leave beat up pretty badly. Carolina’s offense has been hurt badly by the loss of star receiver Steve Smith, who now plays for the Ravens. Carolina simply doesn’t have enough play makers surrounding Cam Newton for him to be successful. Newton is a good runner, but in the NFL it’s very hard for a quarterback to make a living running the ball. Newton is still questionable as a passer. The Carolina defense will send lots of blitzes and make Flacco uncomfortable in this one. The Ravens aren’t likely to be able to run the ball against this strong Panthers defensive front. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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09-28-14 | Green Bay Packers -1 v. Chicago Bears | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 37 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers -1 The Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon in Week 4 of the NFL season. The Bears are coming off a 27-19 win over the New York Jets, while the Packers fell to the Detroit Lions in their last game, 19-7. This is a series the Packers have dominated in recent seasons, winning seven of the last eight meetings between the teams, with the lone loss coming in a game that saw Aaron Rodgers leave on the Packers’ opening drive. Even still, they’re only short favorites in this one because of perceived weaknesses they have. They’ve killed the number when facing Chicago, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, and 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. The Packers’ offensive line certainly hasn’t done a great job of holding up opposing rushes this season, but this week they line up against a Bears front that not only is inept, but is dealing with injury. That’s going to mean time for Aaron Rodgers to pick apart a Bears secondary that is completely depleted at the moment, with injuries all up and down the depth chart. Also, expect Eddie Lacy to come alive against a Bears run defense that has been atrocious under Marc Trestman. The Bills, 49ers, and Jets have all been able to move the ball on the ground with ease, and don’t expect those problems to be resolved on a short week after just getting gashed by Chris Ivory on Monday night. With the oddsmakers getting this number wrong, we’re happy to bump this play up to our top rating, and recommend a play on a line as high as -3. The Bears are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Green Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* Play |
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09-27-14 | Baylor v. Iowa State +23 | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa State +23 It's not easy to bet against this Baylor squad right now, but our thoughts are that they are extremely overvalued heading into this week. There's no doubt that the Bears are a strong team and that they have the ability to light up anyone on any given day, but let's not overreact to their insanely easy schedule to start the season. Baylor has had one of the easiest schedules in the nation, so it's no wonder they've been able to win each of their games by a minimum of 42 points. Now we catch Baylor in a tough scheduling spot. They're better than Iowa State and will look past them with next week's big showdown with Texas looming large. This is a Bears squad that did not return a lot of last year's players but is still being valued that way. To make matters worse, Iowa State has big time revenge on their mind after being destroyed 71-7 by Baylor just a season ago. This Cyclones squad is no pushover either; giving Kansas State some major problems in Week 2 and winning on the road at Iowa a week ago. The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 September games. The home team is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings between these two teams. Take Iowa State. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-27-14 | Maryland v. Indiana -4 | 37-15 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Indiana -4 Maryland went out on the road and beat Syracuse 34-20 last week, but that final score is extremely deceiving. The Pins were outgained by 220 total yards and frankly, didn't deserve to win that game. Maryland's defense is a complete train wreck and they've now given up 59 first downs and nearly 1,300 total yards in their past two games. This is Maryland's debut in the Big Ten and they'll find it difficult to keep up with a very physical Indiana squad. We give the Hoosiers a pass for their loss to Bowling Green a couple of weeks ago as they were in a clear look ahead situation. We think the Hoosiers are closer to the team that upset Missouri a week ago, and while we're always hesitant to play teams off of an upset, we'll make an exception in this case. Indiana has a major edge in the trenches in this one and we haven't seen anything to indicate that they won't be able to get their running game going. That spells trouble for a Maryland squad that could be looking ahead to a big home contest against Ohio State next weekend. The Terrapins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. The Hoosiers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Indiana. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-27-14 | Western Michigan v. Virginia Tech -20.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -114 | 58 h 22 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech -20.5 The Virginia Tech Hokies went to Columbus and upset the Ohio State Buckeyes earlier this year. Virginia Tech was immediately considered a major contender and one of the most surprising teams of the year. Since then, Virginia Tech has lost home games to both East Carolina and Georgia Tech. The Hokies likely had a bit of a hangover from their Ohio State win in that East Carolina game, and they really had no business losing to Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets took advantage of some ugly turnovers by Virginia Tech in that one. While people were likely too high on Virginia Tech at one time, I believe they are now too low on the Hokies. They won’t be playing a team like Georgia Tech or East Carolina this weekend. Instead, they’ll be playing the lowly Western Michigan Broncos. Western Michigan is one of the worst teams in the MAC. The Broncos haven’t played anyone good all year, while Virginia Tech has had a very difficult schedule to this point in the season. Western Michigan allowed 43 points against Purdue, and the Boilermakers offense is no good. Virginia Tech will be ready for this one, and we’re getting a good price here based on the Hokies recent struggles. Take Virginia Tech. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play |
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09-27-14 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Penn State | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 58 h 59 m | Show | |
Northwestern +10.5 The Penn State Nittany Lions are unbeaten, but are they really as good as some people are making them out to be right now? I’m confident the answer is no. Penn State has yet to beat a good team this season. There has been talk around State College of running the table, and that is just ridiculous. This team is going to lose several games. Northwestern has started the season out playing some ugly football. The Wildcats do matchup well with Penn State though. Pat Fitzgerald is a quality coach and he knows the Penn State front seven is the strength of their defense. The Wildcats will be airing it out in this one. The Nittany Lions secondary isn’t very good. Northwestern should be able to move it through the air in this one. Defensively, Northwestern has improved in their last couple games. Penn State has a good quarterback in Christian Hackenberg, but he doesn’t have enough play makers around him. Penn State was extremely fortunate to get out of Rutgers with a win in their last game, and time should show that Rutgers isn’t a good team. Perception has driven this line too far in the direction of the Nittany Lions. The underdog is the play here. Take Northwestern. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play |
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09-27-14 | Iowa -9 v. Purdue | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
Iowa -9 |
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09-23-14 | Tampa Bay Rays -125 v. Boston Red Sox | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays ML Alex Cobb has been absolutely dealing of late. Cobb is a young pitcher who struggled a bit early in the year, but he has found his command in the past couple months. He had a no-hitter late into the game at Yankee Stadium a couple starts ago, and he has been lights out against everyone in the past few weeks. Clay Buchholz has an ERA above 6 at home this year. Buchholz has good stuff, but unlike Cobb he hasn’t been able to find his command this year. Buchholz is an inconsistent pitcher, and he threw very poorly in his last outing at Pittsburgh. Several Rays hitters have a nice career average against him as well. Neither of these teams have anything to play for, but the Red Sox appear to be fighting less late in the year than the Rays. Tampa Bay still has a winning road record for the year, and the Red Sox have been awful at Fenway Park this season. Cobb should be a significant favorite here against Buchholz and a very undermanned Red Sox lineup. Take advantage of the nice odds here on the road team. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 9* MLB ML Play |
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09-22-14 | Chicago Bears v. NY Jets -2.5 | 27-19 | Loss | -115 | 78 h 17 m | Show | |
NY Jets -2.5 We'll applaud the Bears for their great come from behind victory in San Francisco on Sunday night but we see them falling flat on their faces on Monday. This is Chicago's second straight primetime game which is just a terrible spot to be in (see Indianapolis LW). To make matters worse for the Bears, they don't match up well with the Jets at all. New York loves to pound the rock. They've accumulated 358 rushing yards through two weeks and they'll have no problem continuing that success against a Bears' defense that's surrendered 322 rushing yards in that same span. Geno Smith will be working out of favorable situations all night long and shouldn't have any issues gashing a defense that is flat out awful. Conversely, the Jets defense is built to exploit the Bears' biggest issue on offense; their offensive line. Chicago struggles mightily in pass protection. It didn't bite them in San Francisco last week but they'll have issues containing the Jets' strong defensive front seven. Jay Cutler is known for being extremely inconsistent, so we're not counting on a repeat performance from the former Vanderbilt product. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win and just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 250+ passing yards in their previous game. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Miami Dolphins -3.5 | 34-15 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami -3.5 The results of last week's games have provided a ton of value on the home side this week. Kansas City looked great in Denver, taking the Broncos right down to the wire, but falling 24-17 on the road. The Chiefs had the advantage of playing Denver off of a tough Sunday Night Football win, and also have a lot of familiarity with the Broncos, playing them twice a year. They put a lot of stock into that game and we believe they'll be flat following that loss. Miami, meanwhile, got routed in Buffalo, but that final score was not indicative of how the game unraveled. The Dolphins' defense was strong once again, limiting the Bills offense to just one touchdown. Unfortunately, Miami surrendered a kick return touchdown to C.J. Spiller which killed any chance that they had of making a comeback. That was a terrible spot for Miami coming off of an emotional victory over the Patriots, and taking on a strong home team in their home opener. The Chiefs are depleted on both sides of the ball. LB Derrick Johnson and DE Mike DeVito are already on injured reserve, and Kansas City's injury report looks like an opus. LB Tamba Hali is questionable with a leg injury, S Eric Berry is questionable with a heel injury, OL Jeff Allen is questionable with an arm injury, and RB Jamaal Charles is doubtful with an ankle injury. The Chiefs will be starting a handful of backups and that simply doesn't bode well against a talented Dolphins' team. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their 6 home games. The Chiefs are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss. Take Miami. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-21-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 45.5 | 44-17 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 4 m | Show | |
Jacksonville & Indianapolis under 45.5 The Colts’ offense has been inconsistent at best thus far this NFL season, and a big part of that has been the team’s insistence on forcing the ball to Trent Richardson, who has done absolutely nothing with the touches he’s been given. Now the team opposes a Jaguars team headed by coach Gus Bradley that prides itself on its defense. That unit should all but shut down the Colts’ running game down and limit the effectiveness of the team’s offense. Jacksonville gave up 41 points to the Redskins last week, but there were a number of factors that led to that outcome. The Jags spent an entire week preparing for Robert Griffin III but were predictably caught off guard when Kirk Cousins replaced the former Baylor product. The Jags offense also couldn't get anything going whatsoever, leading to great field position for the Redskins all day. As we just mentioned, the Jaguars’ offense has been stuck in the mud in a major way, with the main reason being the woeful play of the team’s offensive line. The guys up front have done a terrible job of blocking for Chad Henne, who was sacked 10 times last week. The running game has been even worse, with highly touted feature back Toby Gerhart averaging only around two yards per carry thanks to the offensive line’s poor play. Indianapolis' defense is nothing spectacular, but they should be able to limit the damage this week. The under between these teams has been great for bettors in recent years, and it looks to be again when these two inconsistent offenses square off. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-21-14 | Green Bay Packers +2.5 v. Detroit Lions | 7-19 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Packers +2.5 |
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09-20-14 | Miami (Fla) +8 v. Nebraska | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
Miami FL +8 Perception of these two teams could hardly be further from reality. Nebraska is off to a 3-0 start, but how much can we really take away from three wins against FAU, McNeese State, and Fresno State? Not much, as those teams are a combined 1-7 SU thus far. In fact, the Huskers' inability to put away McNeese State actually leads us to believe that this squad is quite overvalued headed into this week. Nebraska lost three times on their home field a year ago, and it's not difficult to foresee them losing here. Meanwhile, Miami is a lot stronger than most give them credit for being. The Hurricanes won nine games a year ago, but many remember their struggles down the stretch. What most people forget is that the Hurricanes lost WR Phillip Dorsett and RB Duke Johnson late in the season; two of their biggest weapons of offense. Any team is going to struggle when they're void of talent offensively, and that was the case with Miami. Both are fully healthy this year though and give Miami a puncher's chance to pull off the outright upset on Saturday. One matchup we particularly like in this contest is Miami's rush defense against the Huskers' running game. Nebraska's bread and butter is pounding the rock, but the Hurricanes have a very stingy front seven. Miami has given up just 2.0 yards per carry this season and have all the tools to shut down the Huskers' ground attack. Don't fear a letdown from Miami. The Hurricanes are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a win of 20+ points. The Huskers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Miami. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-20-14 | UNLV v. Houston OVER 62 | 14-47 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
UNLV vs. Houston Over 62 |
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09-20-14 | Idaho v. Ohio OVER 56.5 | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Idaho vs. Ohio Over 56.5 |
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09-20-14 | Middle Tennessee State v. Memphis UNDER 61 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
MTSU vs. Memphis Under 61 |
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09-20-14 | Indiana +14 v. Missouri | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Indiana +14 Indiana certainly won't be a popular pick this weekend. The Hoosiers don't have many trends in their favor and now battle a Missouri team that has been a covering machine in the past couple of years. We're looking to capitalize on public perceptions of these teams following two very different performances last week. The Hoosiers are coming off of a disappointing loss as a 7-point favorite last week, but let's not read too much into that matchup. Bowling Green was looking for revenge after being crushed 42-10 a year ago, and the Hoosiers should have won that game if it weren't for Tevin Coleman's fumble at the Bowling Green 12 late in the game. The Hoosiers defense was poor all around, but we believe that Indiana may have been looking ahead to this big matchup this week. On the other side of things, Mizzou crushed UCF 38-10, but that final score is not indicative of how the contest played out. The Knights shot themselves in the foot with four turnovers but actually picked up more first downs and held the ball longer than the Tigers. Missouri is only outgaining opponents by 48 yards per game this season and that's a major red flag for us. With Missouri facing a huge revenge game at South Carolina next week, we wouldn't be surprised if they underrate this Hoosiers' squad. Take Indiana. Good Luck, Razor Ray 6* Play |
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09-20-14 | Rutgers v. Navy -6 | 31-24 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
Navy -6 |
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09-20-14 | Georgia Tech +8 v. Virginia Tech | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech +8 We were rather unimpressed with Georgia Tech's 42-38 victory over Georgia Southern last weekend, but that poor performance allows us to grab a very favorable line this week. The Yellow Jackets are not as poor as they looked last week, and still enter this week's contest having won their first three games of the season. All the talk heading into this week is how well Virginia Tech usually fares against the Jackets' rushing attack, but we're not interested in past years. It's always difficult to prepare for the option in just one week, especially now that Georgia Tech actually has a decent quarterback in Justin Thomas. The Hokies are also the favorites in this contest, meaning that they have to score enough points to win and cover, which we don't see happening. Virginia Tech has only scored 37 points combined in their last two meetings with Georgia Tech; an early indication that the Hokies may have trouble covering the number here. They've managed just 602 total yards in those two contests, and judging by their performance against East Carolina last week, points could once again be at a premium. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two squads, including four outright upsets. The Hokies have been very poor against the spread, covering just 13 of their last 42 games overall, including just 1 of their last 5 conference games. Take Georgia Tech. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-17-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 | 1-9 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Boston vs. Pittsburgh Under 7 The Boston Red Sox lineup is a total disaster right now. Dustin Pedroia is out for the year, and David Ortiz will likely miss this game as well. Boston has plugged in a bunch of minor leaguers in this lineup. Not surprisingly, their offensive output has been terrible in the last few weeks. Pittsburgh’s offense isn’t the strength of their team, and quietly Clay Buchholz has been pitching really well of late. Buchholz has put together six very good starts in his last seven outings. Buchholz is clearly a better pitcher than he was showing earlier this year, and we are beginning to see that show up in his recent form. Francisco Liriano has an ERA below one in his last three starts. He is rounding into form at the perfect time of the year for the Pirates as they chase a playoff spot. I find it unlikely that this weakened Red Sox lineup will get to Liriano in any significant way. Both pitchers are throwing very well, and the two bullpens in this game are solid. The offenses should have a tough time getting anything going Wednesday night in Pittsburgh. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 9* MLB O/U Play |
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09-16-14 | Detroit Tigers -127 v. Minnesota Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers ML The Detroit Tigers are in the middle of a hot AL Central race with the Kansas City Royals. Detroit jumped out to a big lead last night in Minnesota before giving it all back and needing a ninth inning rally to win it. That made four straight victories for Detroit. Minnesota is one of the teams that has nothing to play for the rest of this year. The Twins are just playing out the string at this point in the season. Minnesota starts Ricky Nolasco in this one, and Nolasco has been one of the worst starting pitchers in all of baseball this year. The Tigers lineup is great, and they are likely to hit Nolasco hard here. He has an ERA of nearly six this year, and he doesn’t have the kind of command to consistently get top notch hitters out over the course of a game. Rick Porcello has been a bit shaky at home this year, but he has been excellent on the road. Porcello is on the road here against a weak lineup that has nothing to play for, so I like this matchup for him. The Tigers need a win here, and I expect them to get it. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 9* MLB ML Play |
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09-14-14 | Chicago Bears v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 48.5 | 28-20 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 37 m | Show | |
San Francisco & Chicago over 48.5 The San Francisco 49ers host the Chicago Bears on Sunday night in Week 2 of the NFL season. The Bears were involved in a fairly high scoring game in their opener, and they look to be in line for a big one on Sunday. The team played to north of 40 points a week ago against the Bills, and they could be in store for a 70-plus point game on Sunday. The 49ers have a lot of issues on defense, though the Cowboys weren't able to exploit those issues on Sunday. The 49ers' problems start with a lack of a pass rush, and Jay Cutler has excelled with the Bears when he hasn't had guys in his face. On the other side of the ball, the Bears have been dreadful against the run in their last 17 games, and that plays right into the 49ers' strength, which will make for a long night for Bears defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli, who watched his defense surrender 193 yards on the ground against the Bills a week ago. Add in the extra dimension of Colin Kaepernick's scrambling ability, and the Bears defense will be in trouble. The over is 13-3 in the Bears' last 16 road games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-14-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Cincinnati Bengals -5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 10 m | Show | |
Cincinnati -5 The Cincinnati Bengals host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday in Week 2 of the NFL season. The Falcons are a decent bounce back candidate for this season, and came up with a big win in their opener, downing the division rival New Orleans Saints on their home turf, but Week 2's matchup against the Bengals will be a whole different ball game. The Falcons are a dome team, and going out on the road to take on tough opponents hasn't been good for them even in the best of times. Over the last three seasons, the Falcons are 3-10 straight up and 4-8-1 against the number. As for the Bengals, they're riding high coming off a big win in the division, and will look to carry that momentum into their season opener. The big concern with the team was whether or not the defensive line could continue to play at a high level, which it needed to so as to cover up the team's deficiencies in the secondary. Now, going up against a shorthanded Falcons offensive line, the Bengals should again be able to disrupt things on defense, while the offense will be just fine against a Falcons defense that surrendered north of 30 points on their home field a week ago. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take Cincinnati. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-14-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 43 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Dolphins vs. Bills Under 43 The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills both picked up impressive wins in week one. The Dolphins blanked the New England Patriots in the second half to win at home. Buffalo’s defense looked strong in a big week one win at Soldier Field in Chicago. Miami’s Ryan Tannehill has improved, but he is far from an elite quarterback. The running game looked pretty good last week against New England, but the Buffalo front line is much better than New England’s. I’m not sure Miami will be able to run the ball much in this one. E.J. Manuel shows promise, but inconsistency is the name of the game for him. Manuel just isn’t able to consistently make the throws necessary to move the team. The Bills running game is solid, but I’m not sure the Bills offensive front will be able to win the battle in the trenches here. The Dolphins have an underrated front seven on defense. Both of these defenses are up to the task. The last few games between these two teams have been totally dominated by the defenses. There’s really no reason to expect anything different in this one. Both offenses are still a little behind the curve while the defenses have continued to improve. Take the under Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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09-13-14 | Rice v. Texas Aandamp;M OVER 71 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 24 m | Show | |
Rice vs. Texas A&M Over 71.5 The Rice Owls like to play at a quick tempo, and that will work right into the hands of the Texas A&M Aggies. Most of the teams in the SEC won’t run and gun with Texas A&M, but the Aggies will get their wish with lots of snaps in this game. Rice moved the ball really well when these teams met last year. The Owls put up 31 points in that game and had over 500 yards of total offense. I’m not convinced they’ll do that again, but I do think they’ll get their points against a relatively bad Aggies defense. Kenny Hill “Kenny Trill” has been amazing in his first couple games under center for the Aggies. Hill lit up a South Carolina defense that many expected to be pretty good, and then he torched Lamar. Rice’s secondary is a weak spot, and you better believe that Hill is going to expose that weakness. Kevin Sumlin’s teams move the football on anyone, and they’ll have a great game plan set up to put up a big number here. I don’t see Rice slowing them down often at all. In fact, it won’t surprise me a bit if Texas A&M gets to 55 points or more. Lots of points in this one. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 9* NCAAF O/U Play |
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09-13-14 | USC v. Boston College +17 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston College +17 The Boston College Eagles host the USC Trojans on Saturday in the second week of the college football season. The Eagles are simply getting too many points in this one, particularly after all points of the match are factored in. USC comes to town riding high off a win over Stanford, but they are in for a major letdown now, particularly with a bye week on deck. Additionally, USC may have emerged victorious, but they had a ton of trouble moving the ball on the road against a tough defense last week, and they'll find themselves right back in a hostile environment against a good defense in this one, which will pose problems, particularly with the team playing their second road game in a row. The Boston College offense has also functioned better than we've come to expect in recent years, as quarterback Tyler Murphy has done plenty of damage with his feet. When he takes to the air, big wide receiver Dan Crimmins, who stands 6-foot-5 will pose a matchup nightmare for the Trojans secondary, though the team won't need to score many points to cover this spread. The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Take Boston College. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-13-14 | Georgia v. South Carolina +7 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
South Carolina +7 The South Carolina Gamecocks host the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday afternoon in the second week of the college football season. The Bulldogs head out to Columbia as the favorites, but they've had a ton of trouble there in recent seasons. Georgia hasn't scored more than 20 points at Williams-Brice Stadium in 20 years, spanning nine games. Things won't be easy on them Saturday when they get a South Carolina team desperate for a win after a rough start to the season. All eyes will be on Georgia star running back Todd Gurley, but South Carolina counters with a star running back of their own in Mike Davis. The difference in this game is going to come down to the defenses. While Georgia has plenty of talent on offense, that isn't matched by their defensive unit, so expect Steve Spurrier's methodical offense to pick that unit apart, particularly given how effective quarterback Dylan Thompson has been this season. As for Georgia, their offensive struggles in Columbia have been well documented, and we've yet to see how quarterback Hutson Mason can handle pressure, as the team held a comfortable lead the entire second half against Clemson. Going into a hostile environment will be a whole different ball game. Georgia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Take South Carolina. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-13-14 | Air Force -11.5 v. Georgia State | 48-38 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 20 m | Show | |
Air Force -11.5 The Air Force Falcons had a rough season last year, but I see a much improved Falcons team in 2014. Air Force has a good coach in Troy Calhoun, and they have a much more veteran team than they have had in a long time. They are a team I believe everyone should keep an eye on to surprise in 2014. The Georgia State Panthers won on a last second field goal over Abilene Christian in their season opener. While it was nice for the team to get a win, the fact that it took a last second field goal to win by a point over Abilene Christian speaks volumes. Georgia State’s defense was gashed incessantly by a bad New Mexico State offense last week. This will be the first decent offense that Georgia State has faced all year, and I don’t expect the results to be pretty. Air Force’s triple option is tough for a good defense to stop, and for a bad defense with a major weakness in the front seven it is almost impossible. Georgia State’s defense is going to get winded in this game. Look for Air Force to rack up some big yardage totals in this game and win big over an extremely weak opponent. Take Air Force. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play |
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09-13-14 | GEORGIA SOUTHERN +17 v. Georgia Tech | 38-42 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern +17 The Georgia Southern Eagles are a much more veteran team than they were last year, and last year’s team went into the Swap and beat the Florida Gators. It was a down year for the Gators, but still for a team like Georgia Southern to win on the road in a place like the Swamp was extremely impressive. Most impressive about that win was the Eagles ability to run the football on a very strong front seven. Georgia Southern runs an option style offense just like Georgia Tech, and that works to their advantage on the defensive side. Typically, you see lower scoring games when it is two triple option attacks up against each other. The defense is familiar with the play, so it is often less effective. This makes the underdog a much more intriguing bet, because in a low scoring contest 17 points is a lot to be laying. Georgia Tech hasn’t proven they are a power in the past couple years, and Georgia Southern is going to walk into this game with a lot of confidence. Remember, Georgia Southern nearly knocked off NC State in Raleigh earlier this year (losing 24-23). The Eagles are a strong play in this situation. Take Georgia Southern. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play |
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09-09-14 | San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Padres vs. Dodgers Under 7 The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet tonight in LA. San Diego has had the worst offense in the league all year long. Their top hitters (who aren’t particularly good themselves) are out for the year, and this lineup is extremely week here in the month of September. The Los Angeles Dodgers offense has been up and down all season long, and they’ll face a very good young pitcher here in Andrew Cashner. Cashner is absolutely capable of shutting down any lineup in the majors when he is on. Roberto Hernandez isn’t a great pitcher, but he can pitch well against lesser opponents and in the friendly confines of Dodger Stadium. In a game played at night like this one where the weather is cool, the ball doesn’t fly very well at Dodger Stadium, and that helps a guy like Hernandez. It certainly helps facing a lineup as weak as the Padres as well. A total set at 7 might seem low, but when the San Diego Padres are involved that number isn’t low. The under is 87-51-5 in the Padres games in 2014. On the road, the under is 45-24-3 in Padres games. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray Tuesday 7* MLB O/U Play |
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09-09-14 | Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 4-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta & Washington under 7 We sometimes take caution when a play looks a little too easy but it's impossible for us to pass on this generous total tonight. Our projections have this number far too high, and we'll look to cash in with an under play here. The Braves' hitting woes are well documented. They've hit just .239 with an abysmal .299 OBP on the road this season, and they've been absolutely pathetic in the last week, averaging just 2.1 runs per game. Things don't get any easier for Atlanta tonight as they battle Jordan Zimmermann and his sparkling 2.80 home ERA. Zimmermann is a model of consistency, rarely having a poor outing, and has gone three straight games allowing exactly 2 earned runs, while working deep into the ball game. Zimmermann has also dominated the Braves throughout his career, posting a 2.92 ERA and 1.127 WHIP in 9 career starts against Atlanta. As long as the Nationals don't go off here, we feel we have a good opportunity to cash this under. Ervin Santana is coming off of a subpar outing against the Phillies but his recent form has been strong other than that. Santana has a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts and has pitched into the 6th inning in all three of those outings. Washington is hitting just .236 as a team in the last week which is an added bonus as well. The under is 10-4-4 in the Braves last 18 games overall and 9-3-2 in the Braves last 14 games against a right-handed starter. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Washington. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-08-14 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers -147 | 6-4 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers ML The Miami Marlins will start Brad Penny in this one, and there aren’t many starting pitchers in the major league worse than him. He was out of baseball for a long time, but now he is back and he’s been getting hit around once again. At one point in his career, Penny was a decent pitcher, but that was a very long time ago. Now, Penny is 36 years old and the velocity is much lower than it used to be. Penny has no margin for error, and he allows far too many base runners. Milwaukee’s lineup is pretty good, and I expect them to get to Penny in this one. Yovani Gallardo is a solid pitcher, and he’s had a very good season for the Brewers this year. Gallardo is at his best when pitching at home. No one in this Miami lineup has had all that much success against him in the past. The pitching mismatch in this one is striking, and the moneyline has gotten cheap enough that I’m willing to lay the price here. Milwaukee needs a win badly, and with Gallardo on the hill against Penny I expect them to get it. Take Milwaukee. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Brewers ML |
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09-08-14 | NY Giants +6 v. Detroit Lions | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 29 m | Show | |
NY Giants +6 The Detroit Lions host the New York Giants on Monday night in the opening week of the NFL season. The Lions have a lot of talent on offense, and their ability to help players in their fantasy leagues is overshadowing how poor this team actually is. The team has a slew of deficiencies beyond their defensive line on that side of the ball, and the Giants have what it takes to exploit those deficiencies. The Giants had issues in the running game a year ago after the team let Ahmad Bradshaw walk, David Wilson got the yips, and Andre Brown suffered a broken leg. Now the team has brought in Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams to solve that problem. They also brought in Ben McAdoo to run a more simplified offense that will limit Eli Manning's gunslinging ways in an effort to cut down on his turnovers. Add all of these things up, and it does not equal a touchdown margin for the Lions. The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, while the Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-07-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 | 20-14 | Loss | -125 | 91 h 3 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay -1 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Carolina Panthers on Sunday in Week 1 of the NFL season. The Buccaneers were a real disappointment last season. The team’s roster is loaded with talent, but former head coach Greg Schiano was never able to get the most out of his players, and now he’s out of a job. The team has brought in highly respected coach Lovie Smith, who had plenty of success in Chicago, and knows how to coach the kind of defensive style that made the Buccaneers great in their glory days. The Tampa defense has an edge in this one in that they’ll be taking on an injured Cam Newton, as the former Auburn star suffered fractures to his ribs in the preseason, and will battle though the injury in this one. On the flip side, the Tampa offense will be all systems go with a returning Doug Martin, and new quarterback Josh McCown throwing to elite wideouts Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans. The Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games played in Week 1, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-07-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -1 | 23-16 | Loss | -120 | 88 h 40 m | Show | |
Baltimore -1 The Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday afternoon in Week 1 of the NFL season. If there is one thing the Ravens have done well under John Harbaugh, it is defend serve on their home field. The Ravens are ready to get back in contention, and have a chance to make a big statement with a win over last year’s AFC North champions. As for the Bengals, they’ve got some major issues to be concerned about. The team’s secondary has been a point of concern for a while now, but that issue has been covered by strong defensive line play. That’s not going to be the case in this one, as the two key cogs in that group won’t be as much this week. Michael Johnson has moved on to Tampa Bay, and Geno Atkins has looked bad in preseason, just 10 months removed from tearing his ACL. The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 1, while the Bengals are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 1. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams. Take Baltimore. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-07-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 43 | 26-10 | Loss | -104 | 88 h 35 m | Show | |
Kansas City & Tennessee over 43 The Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans on Sunday in Week 1 of the NFL season. The Chiefs know how to score points, and it starts with all-world running back Jamaal Charles. Charles should have a field day against an ordinary Titans front, while Andy Reid finds ways to get him into space in the passing game to exploit the Titans’ linebackers. The Chiefs are also going to reveal top tight end talent Travis Kelce to the world, as Kelce should light up a Titans secondary that was vulnerable to tight ends last season. The Titans will hold their own on the scoreboard as well. The team has a dynamic group of wide receivers and an underrated quarterback in Jake Locker to get them the ball. The Chiefs have a weakness at the quarterback position, and that plays right into the Titans’ hands. Tennessee also has a strong offensive line which can hold up to Kansas City’s pass rush. The over is 6-1 in the Chiefs’ last seven games overall, and the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-07-14 | Washington Redskins v. Houston Texans -3 | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
Houston Texans -3 The Houston Texans went 2-14 last year, but it wasn’t because they didn’t have enough talent. Houston was a classic case of sometimes once the ball gets rolling the wrong way, it just can’t be stopped. The negativity surrounding last year’s team was mind-boggling. A change in schemes and the coaching staff should be a big help. If you look at the Houston defense, it is scary good. If there is a better front seven in the NFL, it isn’t by much. Clowney right next to Watt is going to make opposing offensive lines shake in their boots all year long. Washington’s line hasn’t been great the past couple years, and I expect Houston to be able to exploit that weakness bigtime. The Washington Redskins offense looked shaky in the preseason. RG3 has loads of potential, but he still doesn’t look like the RG3 from two years ago. Washington isn’t likely to be able to run the football on Houston here, so he’ll have to be good throwing it. The Redskins defense was near the bottom of the league last year. Houston has a question mark at quarterback, but the running back spot and pass catchers are very good. Houston is going to be much better this year under Bill O’Brien. They get things started with a win and cover. Take Houston. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-07-14 | New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +5 | 20-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins +5 |
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09-06-14 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Cleveland & Chicago under 7 Neither of tonight's starting pitchers are in strong form, and that allows us to get in on a total that should be at least a half run lower in this contest. Corey Kluber is arguably one of the league's top five pitchers. His name recognition isn't strong and the betting public keeps expecting him to fall off, but all of his advanced metrics indicate that he's here to stay. Kluber comes off of a start against the Tigers where he didn't make it through 3 innings, giving up 5 earned runs in the process. While that was certainly an ugly start, the lack of innings allows for his arm to recover for a less potent White Sox lineup. The White Sox have had their fair share of problems against Kluber as well. As a team, they've struck out 26 times in their last three games against the Indians' ace, with two of those three contests staying under the total. On the other side of things, Jose Quintana has been roughed up a bit recently as well, but it's important to note that that damage has come at home, where Quintana hasn't pitched as well this season. The southpaw now gets to get back out on the road, where he sports a very strong 3.26 ERA this season. The Indians also struggle to hit lefties, producing just 3.6 runs per game against southpaws, compared to 4.3 runs per game on the season. The under is 6-2 in Quintana's last 8 road starts and 19-7-3 in Quintana's last 29 starts on 5+ days of rest. The under is 19-7 in the Indians last 26 games against a left-handed starter. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-06-14 | Idaho v. UL-Monroe UNDER 52.5 | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Idaho vs. Louisiana Monroe Under 52.5 In their first game of the season Louisiana Monroe played to a 17-10 final. It was a horribly ugly game that happened to be put on ESPNU where quite a few college football fans watched it. After the game, most of the people that watched the game thought it had been one of the uglier games they had ever seen. Louisiana Monroe had control of the game all the way through when it came to moving the football, but they couldn’t capitalize on their scoring opportunities. Defensively, Monroe totally dominated against Wake Forest. By the end of the game, Wake Forest had a grand total of 94 yards of total offense. While not all of their games will be that ugly, I do think there is a pretty high likelihood that Louisiana Monroe is going to play in a lot of games that are low scoring this season. They are a much better defense than offense, and they don’t have a running game to rely on in the red zone on offense. Idaho didn’t get to play last week because of the weather in Florida. The Vandals will need time to get the cobwebs shook out on offense, and this offense isn’t any good to start with. I see plenty of reason to believe this will be a low scoring contest. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play |
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09-06-14 | Maryland -13.5 v. South Florida | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
Maryland -13.5 This game has all the makings of a huge mismatch. Simply put, USF is a bad football squad. While the Bulls got it done against Western Carolina last week, it was far from impressive, as their defense allowed a whopping 454 yards and 27 first downs. This defense simply has no chance against a Maryland squad that put up 52 on James Madison in Week 1. To make matters worse for the Bulls, they're stuck playing at Raymond James Stadium where they have virtually no home field advantage. There is clearly some home edge factored into the point spread here but we don't believe USF has any edge whatsoever. Maryland went out on the road late last season and trounced N.C. State 41-21 as a short 3-point favorite and pulled off an outright upset of Virginia Tech 27-24 as a hefty 15-point dog. This is a team capable of putting in a strong effort on the road, and with the significant mismatch in talent here, we don't foresee any issues on Saturday. Don't expect a letdown from Maryland here either. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of 20+ points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are an awful 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 home games and a pathetic 5-20-1 in their last 26 non-conference games. Take Maryland. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-06-14 | Fresno State v. Utah -11.5 | 27-59 | Win | 100 | 37 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah -11.5 This matchup has all the makings of a blowout as the Utes simply have too much firepower for a weak Fresno State squad. The Bulldogs were in a very favorable spot against USC last week, looking for revenge after getting beat down by the Trojans in the Las Vegas Bowl last year, but they were trounced from start to finish. Fresno State has learned that life without Derek Carr is not going to be fun. Their quarterbacks combined for just 160 yards, 0 TDs, and 4 INTs last week. To make matters worse, they now have to play the second of back-to-back road games and have to do it in a tough, elevated environment that is not very forgiving. The Utes destruction of Idaho State last week doesn't really tell us much, but this is more of a play against a bad Bulldogs squad anyways. Fresno State gave up over 700 yards last week, and there's not much of a chance that they can correct that porous defense in just one week's time. The Bulldgos are 6-21-2 in their last 29 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bulldogs also don't handle adversity very well, as they're a measly 14-37-2 in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Utes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games against a team with a losing record. Take Utah. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-06-14 | New Mexico State v. Georgia State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 52 m | Show | |
New Mexico State pk The Georgia State Panthers host the New Mexico State Aggies on Saturday in the second week of college football action. Both teams won over lesser opponents in their opener, but there is no reason for these teams to be considered equal entering this contest. Georgia State eked out a win on a last-minute field goal in their opener, despite playing down in competition against an FCS opponent. The Panthers are just one season removed from playing in the FCS themselves, and they don’t quite measure up to the conference competition themselves. As for New Mexico State, they’re heading in the right direction, and while they didn’t win a lot of games last season, they have a far more favourable schedule this season. The team churned out 197 yards on the ground in their opening win over Cal Poly. Facing a porous Georgia State defense will lead to another big day. The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. Take New Mexico State. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-06-14 | South Alabama -3 v. Kent State | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
South Alabama -3 The South Alabama Jaguars have a great coach in Joey Jones. He has helped this program go from one that wasn’t even an FBS program to a real contender in the Sun Belt Conference in very little time. South Alabama has a lot of talent at the skill positions, and this is a team that could make some noise in 2014. Kent State is in a really difficult position. A starting lineman from the team tragically passed away right before the start of the season. That’s something that is very understandably hard to deal with as a team. On the field, the team looked very poor in their opening game against a mediocre Ohio Bobcats team. The biggest problem for Kent State is they don’t have a running game right now. Trayion Durham and Dri Archer were a nice one-two punch the last couple years for the Golden Flashes, but Archer is in the NFL now and Durham is injured. If Kent State can’t run it, they aren’t going to be able to score much at all. Reardon isn’t the type of quarterback that will put up big statistics through the air. South Alabama has the edge here. Take South Alabama. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* NCAAF Play |
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09-06-14 | UAB v. Mississippi State -27.5 | 34-47 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
Mississippi State -27.5 The Mississippi State Bulldogs won 49-0 in their season opener over Southern Miss. UAB is on a very similar talent level as Southern Miss. Dan Mullen’s Bulldogs have a nice history of taking care of non-conference opponents, and I believe this year’s team will be the best Mullen has had at Mississippi State. UAB is probably thought of a little bit higher than they should be because of their big win last week at home over Troy. While it was a nice win, I’m not sure anything they did against Troy translates into this game. Needless to say, there is a whole different level of athletes on the field when you play Mississippi State. This is one of those cases where UAB beating up on a poor opponent last game gives us line value here. Mississippi State has a future star in Dak Prescott at the quarterback spot, and he has a bunch of very good wide receivers on the outside too. The Bulldogs have typically been a little bit offensively challenged, but that shouldn’t be the case this season. I’m excited to see how they can do with a little more on the offensive end. This is a mismatch all the way around, and we’re getting lots of line value. Take Mississippi State. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* NCAAF Play |
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09-06-14 | Buffalo v. Army -3 | 39-47 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Army -3 The Army Black Knights are on an upward trajectory. This is a program that appears ready to make the leap to bowl eligibility this season. If you look at the types of runners they have in their backfield, it is going to be really hard for anyone to stop them. In Baggett, Dixon, Santiago, and quarterback AJ Schurr the team has four excellent runners. Army isn’t going to throw it very often, but they’ll be able to run it even when teams are expecting it. Remember, defending the triple option is something that teams rarely have to do, and that makes it very difficult to stop. Buffalo had a great season last year, but the Bulls aren’t the same team this year. They lost what might have been the two best players in the history of their school. Khalil Mack, who was a top five NFL Draft pick, was the heart and soul of this defense. Without him, they won’t be the same. Branden Oliver was the main man at running back. The Bulls are likely to slide back down into mediocrity now. Last week’s game vs. Duquesne certainly was a worrisome sign for Buffalo Bulls backers. Buffalo only beat Duquesne 38-28, and the defense was torched. Look for Army to gain the advantage early and run it well all day. Take Army. Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 9* NCAAF Play |
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09-05-14 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +5 | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Boston College +5 Pitt is coming off a 62-0 destruction of lowly Delaware and that allows us to grab the Golden Eagles at a favorable price here. The Panthers outgained Delaware 501-57 with an insane 409-26 edge in rushing yards, but this game is absolutely meaningless in terms of providing any insight into Friday's outcome. On the other hand, we view Boston College's 30-7 beatdown of UMass as an impressive victory. The Golden Eagles were 17-point favorites in the contest, but they're notorious for laying eggs on the road, and they did the exact opposite. BC outgained UMass by over 300 total yards, and held the ball for a whopping 42 minutes. It's almost important to note that they held the Minutemen to a measly 2.5 yards per carry. If the Eagles can take care of business on the road, we sure as hell like their chances at home where they've covered their last five home games by a combined 50.5 points. Pittsburgh is also in a very unfavorable spot, having given up less than 20 points in their last game. They're 0-4 in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 in a game. The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Take Boston College. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 46 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 51 h 30 m | Show | |
Seattle & Green Bay over 46 After watching the NFL preseason turn into a debacle with constant illegal contact and defensive holding penalties, we're looking to play a lot of overs in the early going. Seattle won the Super Bowl last season by playing a hard hitting, physical brand of football, but the NFL seems poised to not allow that to happen again. Seattle's defense is used to getting away with a lot of clutching and grabbing, but that's not going to fly this season with the officiating crackdown. Subsequently, the Packers' talented group of wideouts should be able to find some space against the Seahawks defense. Seattle will also be susceptible to the rush in this one, after losing a big run stopper, Red Bryant, in the offseason. The Packers finally have a legitimate rushing threat in Eddie Lacy, and we don't think they'll have any issues scoring into the 20s in this contest. With that being said, Green Bay's defense is a huge liability and Seattle should be able to move the ball with ease as well. The Packers have been bounced in the playoffs by the 49ers in back-to-back seasons mainly because they couldn't contain Colin Kaepernick. Defensive coordinator Dom Capers seems to have no answer for dual threat quarterbacks and that simply won't change with the lack of quality personnel on defense. Seattle also should be able to move the ball on the ground with Marshawn Lynch, as the Packers are without their stud nose tackle B.J. Raji, who was placed on IR earlier this week. The over is 8-2 in the packers last 10 road games and 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-04-14 | St. Louis Cardinals -107 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
St. Louis Cardinals ML The St. Louis Cardinals are starting to kick it into gear. This is a Cardinals team that has tons of postseason experience on their roster, and they are looking like a team that could be a dangerous matchup in the postseason again in 2014. For much of the season, St. Louis has been surprisingly mediocre, but now that they are getting healthy this team is looking like the real deal again. Yadier Molina returned to the lineup a few days ago, and he is the guy that makes this offense (and pitching staff) go. Molina’s return is extremely big for this team. Michael Wacha returns for the Cardinals in this one, and Wacha has been amazing in his young career. While some might be concerned that he is coming off an injury and only threw a couple innings in the minors, I’m confident the Cardinals brass wouldn’t have allowed him to pitch in this one if they weren’t confident in the way he’s throwing it. The Brewers are fading fast down the stretch, and this is a team that doesn’t have the experience that St. Louis has. In September, we often see teams like the Brewers fade and teams like the Cardinals take advantage. The Brewers are 0-8 in their last 8 games. Take St. Louis Good Luck, Razor Ray Thursday 8* MLB ML Play |
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09-04-14 | Arizona v. Texas-San Antonio +7.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
UTSA +7.5 We backed UTSA last week in their upset victory over Houston and we're going right back to the well on Thursday night. We pegged the Roadrunners as a BET ON team to start the season and we will continue to do so until the market catches up. The Roadrunners returned 20 starters to their lineup this season and that's clearly paid dividends in the early going. UTSA's defense limited Houston to just 208 yards of total offense. Obviously stopping Arizona will be a much tougher task than stopping Houston, especially after the Wildcats put up over 700 yards against UNLV last week, but we think UTSA is up to the task. The Roadrunners traveled to Arizona last season and weren't treated too kindly, getting pounded 38-13 by the hosts. This is a game that they've had circled on their calendars for some time as they look to extract a measure of revenge. Arizona allowed 371 yards of offense to a weak UNLV squad last week, so there's definitely hope for UTSA in this one. The Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of 20+ points. The Roadrunners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Take UTSA. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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09-03-14 | Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -116 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians ML Justin Verlander continues to be overpriced because of his past results, and we'll gladly fade him once again in a great spot for the Indians. Verlander has had an awful season. His 4.62 ERA is a far cry from the numbers that he posted when he won a Cy Young two years ago, and he's been even more atrocious as of late. Verlander's last three starts have seen him yield 9 ER in just over 12 innings of work, for an ugly 5.93 ERA. Of even more concern is the insane 2.048 WHIP that he's posted in those three contests. Verlander limited the White Sox to 1 ER last time out, but that number is extremely misleading as the White Sox simply couldn't hit with runners in scoring position, wasting their 11 base runners. To make matters worse for Verlander, he now has some off the field distractions thanks to the nude photos that were released of himself and his girlfriend earlier this week. Our bet is that baseball is the last thing on Verlander's mind right now. Verlander battles an Indians' lineup that is very tough on righties, scoring 4.5 runs per game. The Indians are also a strong hitting team at home, where they've amassed a solid 39-27 record. Verlander has notoriously struggled against Cleveland, posting a 4.28 ERA in 38 career starts against the Indians, including many starts where Verlander was one of the league's elite pitchers. Cleveland sends Danny Salazar to the hill, and his 4.23 ERA in extremely misleading. Salazar has been a different pitcher since being recalled from the minors, posting a stellar 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last three starts. Even through his struggles earlier in the year, Salazar posted a solid 3.52 ERA at home, with the Indians going 5-2 in his 7 home starts. The Tigers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a road underdog and 4-10 in Verlander's last 14 starts as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. Take Cleveland. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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09-03-14 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Atlanta & Philadelphia under 7.5 In our opinion, the oddsmakers have set this total a full run too high. This matchup pits two average to above average ptichers against two of the league's worst offenses. David Buchanan gets the call for the Phillies, and while Buchanan is certainly not a top tier pitcher, this looks like a good matchup for him. For starters, Buchanan is from the Atlanta are so we fully expect him to be pumped up for his first start in his hometown. Buchanan has been solid in his last three starts, surrendering just 5 ER; good for a 2.55 ERA. He's also been better on the road this season where he boasts a 3.77 ERA and a stellar 1.103 WHIP. The under is 6-1 in Buchanan's 7 road starts. Buchanan should have no problems against a Braves' lineup that is downright awful. Atlanta has managed just 1 run in their last 4 games. To make matters worse, they've been awful in day games this season, hitting just .226 as a team; well below their season average of .244. The Braves can rely on some solid pitching from Ervin Santana though. Santana has been lights out in his last two starts limiting the Reds and Marlins to just one run each, striking out 7 in each of those contests. Santana has also been solid at home this season with a 3.34 ERA, and he's enjoyed a lot of success against the Phillies in his career. Santana has started 5 times against Philadelphia and boasts an outstanding 2.56 ERA in those contests. The under is 9-3-1 in Buchanan's last 13 starts as an underdog. The under is 7-1-2 in the Braves' last 10 games against N.L. East opponents. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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09-02-14 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Miami & NY Mets over 7.5 Tuesday evening's N.L. East matchup pits a mediocre starter against a below-average starter and we believe that this game will produce a lot of runs. Jonathan Niese gets the call for the Mets. Niese boasts a 3.48 ERA on the season but has been slightly worse on the road where his ERA jumps to 3.74 and his WHIP rises to 1.337. We have nothing against Niese, but we believe that this Marlins lineup poses some major issues for the left-hander. Miami has been raking against lefties all season long, scoring an average of 5.0 runs per game against southpaws. That's over a full run higher per game than against righties. The Marlins have seen Niese 14 times in his career, and 9 of those games have played over the total. On the other side of things, we have very little faith in Brad Penny. The aging veteran looked decent in his return from a two year absence against Cincinnati, but faltered in his second start, giving up 4 ER in 5 IP against the lowly Diamondbacks. New York is one of the few teams in the Majors that actually hits better on the road than they do at home, and they shouldn't have much of an issue tagging Penny for some runs tonight. The over is 10-1-2 in the Mets' last 13 road games and 3-0-2 in Niese's last 5 starts overall. The over is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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08-31-14 | Utah State +6.5 v. Tennessee | 7-38 | Loss | -106 | 195 h 34 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies +6.5 The Tennessee Volunteers host the Utah State Aggies on Sunday night in the opening game of the regular season for both sides. One of these teams comes from a second-rate conference, and one of these teams come from the highly-praised SEC, and it seems that is all that oddsmakers took into account when setting the number for this game. The Volunteers haven’t been able to keep pace with college football’s top programs, winning only the easy games on their schedule with few exceptions in recent years, and this hardly classifies as an easy game. It seems bettors have forgotten that the Aggies get back quarterback and top offensive weapon Chuckie Keeton. He’s back now, and it’s hard to imagine the team not going on a strong run to begin this season with a favorable schedule. This is a team that will be looking at double-digit wins if they stay healthy, so an opening game against a rebuilding Tennessee program is hardly a game in which they should be getting nearly a full touchdown. The Aggies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games, while the Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. Take Utah State. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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08-30-14 | Florida State -18 v. Oklahoma State | 37-31 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Florida State -18 |
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08-30-14 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 169 h 29 m | Show | |
Ohio Bobcats +3 The Kent State Golden Flashes host the Ohio Bobcats on Thursday evening in the opening game of the regular season for both sides. The home side is giving away points in this one, but it has little to do with the roster and everything to do with the fact that they get the game at home. Ohio figures to be a contender in the MAC East this season, and an opening day game against Kent State is just a stepping stone to bigger and better things for them. As for Kent State, the team came crashing down to Earth a year ago after an impressive 2012 campaign. The Golden Flashes had plenty of trouble moving the football, and will now have to operate without top offensive weapon Dri Archer, who has moved on to the NFL. This is a team that will struggle to get to .500 this season, yet the memories of 2012 have bettors thinking they’re something they’re not, and that gives us a prime opportunity to fade before the public catches up. The road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these teams, and the Golden Flashes are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Take Ohio. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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08-30-14 | Clemson v. Georgia -7.5 | 21-45 | Win | 101 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs -7.5 Last year, Clemson beat Georgia 38-35 in the season opener for both teams. Clemson had a veteran team full of guys who knew all the systems very well. Things are very different this season. Clemson is without quarterback Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins, and those are huge losses for this offense. While Georgia lost Aaron Murray as well, the fact that Hutson Mason got playing time late last year is very beneficial to this year’s offense for the Bulldogs. It doesn’t hurt to have a backfield surrounding you of superstars like Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall either. Those guys are elite, and if they can stay healthy Georgia should be able to run the football against everyone on their schedule. Clemson’s Cole Stoudt isn’t going to be able to make this offense run right away, especially since he lacks the play makers that Mason has around him at Georgia. While the Georgia defense gave up a lot of yards and points last year, this Bulldogs defense is much more experienced and I expect some significant improvement under new defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt. Georgia has revenge on their minds from last year, and they are in a great position to deliver it. Georgia makes a statement here. Take Georgia Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 8* Play on Georgia -7.5 |
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08-30-14 | Boston College v. UMass UNDER 48 | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Boston College vs. UMass Under 48 |
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08-29-14 | Texas-San Antonio +10.5 v. Houston | 27-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
UTSA +10.5 We have our eyes on the UTSA Roadrunners as a big play on team this season, and we love catching a favorable line tonight. UTSA got shellacked by Houston last season, but a closer look at that game reveals that the Roadrunners actually outgained the Cougars. That result and a combination of other factors allows us to grab a line that simply shouldn't exist. UTSA returns a whopping 20 starters to their lineup this season. The Roadrunners showed some drastic improvement down the stretch last year, winning five straight games to close out the season and limiting opponents to just 13ppg in that span. There are 38 seniors on this UTSA squad; all of whom will remember the beatdown they suffered against Houston last season. On the other side of things, Houston doesn't impress us at all. Their defense has allowed over 450 yards per game in the last two seasons under head coach Tony Levine, and we expect them to be just as bad on the defensive side of the ball once again. Many are concerned about the quarterback situation for UTSA, but we were never high on Eric Souza, whose 12:11 TD to INT ratio was hardly impressive last season. The Roadrunners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take UTSA. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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08-29-14 | Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh & Cincinnati under 7.5 The Reds enter Friday's action off of back-to-back 7 run efforts against the Cubs, but we're not buying Cincinnati's recent uptick. Even with Cincinnati's recent success, they're still batting just .209 as a team over the last week, producing 3 runs per game. The Reds took advantage of some favorable conditions at Wrigley, and are now set to battle a pitcher that is flying under the radar. Edinson Volquez is known for being erratic at times, but he's quietly put together a solid season. The righy has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.305 WHIP; not as high as you'd expect for someone who is known to experience control issues. Volquez's last three starts have seen him shut down the Tigers, Nationals, and Brewers---three of the best hitting lineups in the Majors. Volquez worked into the sixth in each of those starts and didn't surrender more than 2 runs in any of them. Meanwhile, Mike Leake is coming off of a strong performance against the Braves, and has been decent away from home, posting a 3.77 ERA in 14 starts. The Pirates have been known to struggle within their division where they hit 11 points lower as a team and are just 26-32 this season. Leake is also a streaky pitcher, with the under going 13-6 in his last 19 starts after he allowed less than 2 earned runs in his previous start. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 home games and 4-1 in Volquez's last 5 home starts. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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08-28-14 | Temple +14 v. Vanderbilt | 37-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
Temple +14 The Temple Owls showed a ton of improvement down the stretch last year. Temple started going in the right direction as soon as PJ Walker was inserted as the team’s starting quarterback. Walker threw for 20 touchdowns and just eight picks in his freshman season. Temple covered the number in seven of their final eight games last year. I expect Walker and the rest of the offense to be much better in a second year in Coach Matt Rhule’s system. Walker showed good he can be in his freshman season, but I expect more consistency from him this year. The Owls are opening up the passing game now, and we’ll see big numbers for Walker. Vanderbilt has had a couple great seasons the last two years. Unfortunately for them, James Franklin is now the head coach at Penn State, and the Commodores are left to rebuild. Vanderbilt returns only four starters on defense, and that is a unit that has helped them win a bunch of close games the last couple years. Jordan Matthews was the playmaker on offense for the Commodores, and he’s no longer here. Vanderbilt isn’t the type of team that can put up a bunch of offense against a decent team, so I don’t understand them getting this much respect. Take Temple Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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08-28-14 | Rutgers v. Washington State OVER 61 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 126 h 37 m | Show | |
Washington State & Rutgers Over The Washington State Cougars host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights on Thursday in the season opener for both sides. The Cougars return quarterback Connor Halliday, fresh off a record-setting season in which he threw for a school record 4,597 yards – the second-most in Pac-12 history. He also matched a school record with 34 touchdown passes. Scoring points won’t be an issue while he’s around, particularly not at home, where the team scored an average of 33.5 points per game a year ago. With all key faces in the team’s receiving corps returning, the offense should hit the ground running. The problem for the team will be on the other side of the ball, where their defense was absolutely putrid last season, and figures to be again this year. In their final four home games last season, the team allowed a whopping 49.8 points per game. A lot of that damage came through the air, and that’s exactly where Rutgers will look to attack, behind a healthy and motivated Gary Nova. The over is 15-3 in the Cougar’s last 18 home games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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08-28-14 | Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston & Texas under 8 Texas exploded for 12 runs against the Mariners yesterday afternoon and that's created a total is simply too high tonight in Houston. The Rangers' 12 runs against Seattle were impressive but they came against a poor left-handed starter in Erasmo Ramirez; a situation where Texas has been raking all season long. Tonight they take on a right-handed pitcher and they've managed just 3.5 runs and a .301 OBP as a team against righties this season. Collin McHugh isn't just an ordinary right-handed starter either; he's one of the most undervalued starters in the league. McHugh's 3.02 ERA would garner much more attention if he weren't pitching for the lowly Astros. In McHugh's last three starts, he's surrendered just 4 ER while working into the sixth inning in all three ball games. Meanwhile, the Astros bats continue to struggle. Houston has averaged just 2.6 runs per game in the last week while hitting a pathetic .176 as a team. Nick Tepesch is a mediocre starter at best, but he too has been consistently undervalued by oddsmakers this season, and that's why the under is 9-5-2 in his 16 starts this season. Tepesch has also been very sharp against Houston, posting a 3.31 ERA in three starts against the Astros over the past two years. The under is 12-5-1 in the Rangers last 18 road games and 20-7-3 in their last 30 games as an underdog. The under is 10-2 in the Astros last 12 games as a favorite and 6-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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08-27-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates +126 | 1-3 | Win | 126 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Pirates ML Adam Wainwright is one hell of a pitcher, but we're catching a great price with the Pirates here. Wainwright's 2.52 ERA on the season is outstanding, but he simply hasn't been that overpowering as of late. In Wainwright's last three starts, he's posted a 4.50 ERA and the Cardinals have won just one of those three games. Reports indicate that Andrew McCutchen will be back in the Pirates lineup today and his presence alone is worth at least 10 cents. While Pittsburgh looks like a mediocre team with a 67-64 mark on the season, it's important to note that they've faltered without McCutchen's bat in the lineup and glove in the field. It's also important to note that the Pirates are solid at home, posting a 40-27 mark and hitting .272 as a team; 16 points higher than their team average in all games this season. Jeff Locke has been solid for the majority of the season, and his numbers could actually be better than they look. Locke has a 3.78 ERA in 8 home starts this season, but a WHIP of 1.070 suggests that he's probably unlucky to have an ERA that high. The Pirates are 6-2 in Locke's 8 home starts this year. Locke has also been solid in back-to-back outings, limiting the Nationals and Brewers to two combined runs in over 11 innings of work. The Pirates are 21-9 in their last 30 home games, 14-5 in their last 19 home games against a right-handed starter, and 5-2 in Locke's last 7 starts as a home underdog. The Cardinals are just 6-13 in their last 19 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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08-26-14 | Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas City and Minnesota Over The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday night in the opening game of their three-game set at Kaufmann Stadium. The Twins have scored the most runs in baseball in the month of August. The Twins have cashed in 135 runs in the month of August. That puts them leaps and bounds ahead of everyone else. The team has also surrendered 126 runs in the month of August. That’s the second highest total for the month of August. That’s led to a nice tidy profit for over bettors that had the foresight to hope on this bandwagon at the start of the month. The Twins are now coming off a four-game set against the Detroit Tigers which saw all four games in the series soar well over the total. The big reason for the team’s improved offensive play has been an uptick in production from some unexpected sources. First baseman / designated hitter Kennys Vargas has been tearing it up since getting the call-up to start the month. The team’s hot scoring stretch has coincided with that date which isn’t surprising, as he’s hit .322 with four home runs and 23 RBI in 23 games. Tuesday’s pitching matchup hardly lends itself to a turnaround in this area. Ricky Nolasco has been pitiful on the road this season, while Danny Duffy’s number appear better than they are because of some unearned runs. The over is 15-8 in the Twins’ games in the month of August.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play |
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08-25-14 | Miami Marlins v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Marlins vs. Angels Over 8.5 The Miami Marlins and Los Angeles meet on Monday night. It will be Jarred Cosart against Wade LeBlanc on the mound in this contest. Cosart has pitched well of late, but I think his numbers are a bit inflated. LeBlanc is in the rotation only because Garrett Richards went down with a season-ending injury. Cosart is a guy that allows a bunch of baserunners because of his poor control. He can make that work against a lot of teams, but it will be tough against the Angels. This Angels lineup is one of the best in baseball, and they are seeing the ball really well right now. Wade LeBlanc has been nothing better than average in Triple A this year. In the past, he hasn’t been a good big league pitcher. I can’t imagine him all at once becoming a good pitcher in the bigs after many failed experiments here in the past. Miami’s offense has been firing on all cylinders of late. With these two pitchers on the hill, we should see plenty of baserunners in this game. As long as these teams cash in on a decent amount of their opportunities this coasts over the total. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray Monday 8* MLB O/U Play |
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08-24-14 | San Diego Padres -108 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
San Diego Padres ML The San Diego Padres have lost the first two games in this series. Arizona has been terrible at home all year and the Diamondbacks have a lineup that is extremely weak right now. San Diego obviously doesn’t have a good lineup either, but the Padres bats have woken up a bit of late. San Diego has Ian Kennedy on the mound in this game. Kennedy has had a nice bounceback season for the Padres. He was a very good pitcher for Arizona a few years ago, and I have a feeling there is a little extra motivation for Kennedy in this one. Without Paul Goldschmitt, the Arizona Diamondbacks have a lot of trouble scoring runs. Arizona doesn’t have a good bullpen and Chase Anderson is nothing better than mediocre at this point in his career. San Diego is looking to avoid the sweep which is a strong betting strategy in and of itself, and the Padres have a pitcher going against his former team. San Diego finds a way to win an ugly game here between two bad teams. Take San Diego Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 7* MLB ML PLay |
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