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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-28-14 | San Jose Sharks v. Los Angeles Kings -113 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Kings ML The Los Angeles Kings host the San Jose Sharks on Monday night in Game 6 of their opening round playoff series. Los Angeles is coming off a 3-0 win in Game 5 of the series on Saturday, cutting San Jose’s series lead to 3-2. This series never had any business seeing either side take a 3-0 lead, as these teams are far too evenly matched. The Kings came away with a shutout win in San Jose on Saturday, and if that doesn’t strike fear into the hearts of the Sharks and their fans, nothing will. The Sharks have been a strong home team all season, and to lose a game like that only serves to feed the seed of doubt planted in the backs of their minds. The Sharks have had trouble closing out series in recent seasons, and no team has been a bigger thorn in their side than the Kings. With the Kings no holding home ice advantage on Monday along with all the momentum in the series coming off back-to-back wins, the Kings enter this contest with a significant edge. The Sharks are 1-9 in their last 10 games played in Los Angeles. Take Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Los Angeles Kings ML |
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04-28-14 | Cleveland Indians +115 v. Los Angeles Angels | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians ML Play The Cleveland Indians are slumping a bit at the start of the season, but this is still a quality team. Terry Francona has proven himself to be one of the best managers in the business, and this team is unlikely to continue its poor start all season long. Justin Masterson is the clear ace of this Indians rotation. Masterson has all the necessary pitches to get outs even against the bets lineups he faces. The Indians are 4-0 in Masterson’s last 4 starts against the Los Angeles Angels, so this is a team he has fared well against in the past. Tyler Skaggs is a youngster with a very high upside, but Skaggs is getting a little overvalued at this stage of his career. Skaggs hasn’t gone out and proven himself on a consistent basis like a pitcher like Masterson has. Skaggs will be up against a Cleveland team that has been good against left-handed pitching in the past. Los Angeles is in a tough spot here as well. They played late on Sunday Night Baseball in New York and flew back very late last night. The Indians were in San Francisco before this, so the Indians will be the rested team here. I like the underdog. Take Cleveland. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB ML Play |
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04-28-14 | Colorado Avalanche v. Minnesota Wild -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
Minnesota Wild ML The Minnesota Wild host the Colorado Avalanche in Game 6 of their Western Conference matchup on Monday night. This series returns to Minnesota tonight and based on what we've already seen out of the Avs on the road in these playoffs, this is a huge bargain with the Wild. Minnesota outshot Colorado by a combined 44 shots in Games 3 and 4 of this series, and have actually outshot the Avalanche in 9 of their 10 meetings this season. Colorado has been winning games with smoke and mirrors; having tied two games in this series with their goalie pulled (one on a play that was offside) and then winning in overtime. Colorado also took advantage of Minnesota's weak goaltending early in this series, but goals have been much tougher to come by since the Wild turned to Darcy Kuemper between the pipes. Kuemper has saved 78 of 83 shots in this series; a stellar .940 save percentage. Matt Duchene could possibly suit up for the Avalanche in this contest, but we don't expect him to make an impact even if he does play. Duchene has missed a month with a knee injury and head coach Patrick Roy has already stated that he'll only see fourth line action if he indeed does return to the lineup. At the end of the day, the Avalanche have been on the right side of some "puck luck" in the postseason and as the saying goes, "luck runs out". The Wild are 5-1 in their last 6 home games, while the Avalanche have dropped four straight on the road. Take Minnesota. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Minnesota Wild ML |
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04-28-14 | Atlanta Hawks +7 v. Indiana Pacers | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
Atlanta Hawks +7 The Indiana Pacers host the Atlanta Hawks on Monday night in Game 5 of their opening round playoff series. Indiana is coming off a 91-88 win in Game 4 of the series on Saturday. The Hawks have looked every bit the part of Goliath-killer in this series, with guard Jeff Teague really coming into his own as the series has progressed. The Pacers, meanwhile, haven’t looked like the team that claimed the East’s top seed, and that largely has to do with the regression of Roy Hibbert, who has taken a major step back, with reports indicating he may have suffered a concussion towards the end of March. Saturday’s Game 4 went right down to the wire, despite a major shooting discrepancy. The Pacers shot 48.1 percent from the floor, while the Hawks shot just 35.7 percent, yet the Pacers still needed some big three-pointers down the stretch to eke out a win. Expect a regression back towards the mean in this one. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, while the Pacers are 3-10 AS in their last 13 home games. Take Atlanta. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Atlanta Hawks ML |
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04-28-14 | Pittsburgh Penguins -135 v. Columbus Blue Jackets | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Penguins ML The Pittsburgh Penguins and Columbus Blue Jackets will head back to Nationwide Arena following Pittsburgh’s 3-1 win on its home ice in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. The Blue Jackets are clearly overmatched in this series. After scoring the first goal in Game 5, the team sat back and did all they could to keep the Penguins from finding the back of the net, and even that wasn’t enough to slow an always potent Penguins attack. Even competent goaltending from Fleury is enough for the Penguins to rack up wins in this series. The Penguins have been down this road before, and they simply want no part of a Game 7, even if it would be on their home ice. Expect them to put their foot on the throats of the Blue Jackets and keep it there, as the veteran side prevails in this one. The Penguins are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams, and 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams overall. Take Pittsburgh. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Pittsburgh Penguins ML |
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04-27-14 | Anaheim Ducks v. Dallas Stars -122 | 5-4 | Loss | -122 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
Dallas Stars ML The Dallas Stars host the Anaheim Ducks on Sunday night in Game 6 of their opening round playoff series. The Ducks won Game 5 in the series by a score of 6-2 to take a 3-2 series lead. We cashed a ticket on the Stars in Game 4 of this series, and we’ll get behind them again with the series shifting back to Dallas. This has been a real homer series, with the home side winning each of the first five games, but we’ll back the Stars in this one as they have dominated play, even looking at the games played in Anaheim, outshooting the Ducks 36-23 in Game 5. Now the series shifts back to Dallas, where we can expect the Stars to break through and tie this series on Sunday. The Ducks have historically struggled in Texas, posting a .290 win percentage in their last 55 games in Dallas. Given the struggles the team has endured on the road this past season, there is little reason to expect to see a change when these teams hit the ice on Sunday. The Stars are 7-1 in their last eight home games. Take Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Dallas Stars ML |
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04-27-14 | ST. LOUIS GM6 v. CHICAGO GM6 -145 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Chicago Blackhawks ML The Chicago Blackhawks host the St. Louis Blues on Sunday afternoon in Game 6 of their opening round playoff series. The Blackhawks won Game 5 of the series in overtime on Friday, 3-2, taking a 3-2 series lead. We cashed a ticket on the Blackhawks in Game 5 and we will go right back to that well in this one, backing the underpriced Blackhawks as they look to close out this series on home ice. Chicago has outplayed St. Louis at every step, but some bad luck has let this series last longer than it probably should have. On Sunday, the Blackhawks will surely bring an A-effort, as they will want no part of a return trip to St. Louis. The Blackhawks have all the momentum in the world entering this contest, with three consecutive wins. Even in the first two games, which went in as losses, the Blackhawks remained competitive, bringing each game to overtime. Friday’s win seemed like a nail in the coffin type loss for the Blues, and the Blackhawks want nothing more than to deliver the final blow on Sunday. The Blues are 6-20 in their last 26 games in Chicago. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Chicago Blackhawks ML |
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04-27-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 6.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Pirates vs. Cardinals Over 6.5 A total set at 6.5 is pretty rare. It is usually reserved for teams between two excellent pitchers and two bad offenses. I don’t think this one should be so low. Adam Wainwright definitely qualifies an elite pitcher, but the team he has struggled with most in his career is the Pittsburgh Pirates. He has an ERA above 4 in his career vs. this team. Most of the Pittsburgh lineup has good numbers against Wainwright. Edinson Volquez starts for the Pirates. While he has been very good so far this season, he cannot be trusted. In his career, he has an ERA of just above 6 at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. This Cardinals lineup is one of the best in baseball, and I don’t see Volquez continuing his hot start to the season here. If this game gets to 3-3, then we have a winner with the over 6.5. The Cardinals are capable of putting up a big number against Volquez, and this total is set too low based on all the question marks surrounding the pitchers here. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-27-14 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Milwaukee & Chicago under 7.5 The Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs on Sunday in game three of a three-game set. Wily Peralta gets the nod for the Brewers in this one. He’s been outstanding for Milwaukee this season, and that shouldn’t come as a surprise given the way he closed out last season. In his last 21 starts, Peralta has pitched like an ace, posting a 2.88 ERA. In those games, he’s started 12 times at home, posting a 2.72 ERA in those contests, with the under cashing in eight times in those 12 home starts. Jason Hammel gets the nod for the Cubs. He’s been outstanding for the team thus far, posting a 2.60 ERA with a 0.69 WHIP and .151 BAA this season. Hammel should be particularly successful against the Brewers when throwing his slider. He hasn’t allowed a hit on his slider yet this season, with opposing hitters going 0-for-16 in such at-bats. The Brewers have struggled with the pitch, hitting .157 on at-bats ending in sliders this season. The under is 13-1 at Milwaukee’s Miller Park this season, and 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Milwaukee & Chicago under 7.5 |
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04-27-14 | Oakland A's -130 v. Houston Astros | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Oakland Athletics ML The Houston Astros host the Oakland Athletics on Sunday afternoon in game four of a four-game set. One key to the American League West division is how other teams in the division have handled playing against the Astros. That was cited as a key to the division when the team joined the division a year ago, and it’s no surprise that the team has had the easiest time with the Astros won the division a year ago, and is atop it again this season. The Athletics have gone 22-5 in their last 27 meetings with the Astros, including scoring 22 runs in the first two games of this series. Now they get to face Collin McHugh, who came out of nowhere to throw a gem against the Mariners, but the Mariners have ranked as the worst offense in baseball against right-handed pitchers this season, while the Athletics ranks as the second-best offense against right-handers, and McHugh should come back down to Earth in this one. He’ll be opposed by southpaw Tommy Milone, who has helped the Athletics to a 4-0 record against the Astros in that span. The Athletics are 12-2 in their last 14 games played in Houston. Take Oakland. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Oakland Athletics ML |
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04-27-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Washington Wizards OVER 182.5 | 89-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago & Washington over 182.5 The Washington Wizards host the Chicago Bulls on Sunday afternoon in Game 4 of their opening round series. Chicago claimed Game 3 in the series on Friday by a score of 100-97, cutting Washington’s series lead to 2-1. This series is one we are having trouble figuring out. We cashed a ticket on the over in Game 1, then cashed a ticket on the over in Game 3. In total, over bettors have gone 3-0 in this series, yet the total has remained relatively unchanged throughout the series. It was even bet down in the lead up to Game 1. Clearly bettors are reading too much into Chicago’s strong defensive ways, as that just hasn’t translated to the opening round of the playoffs, as the over has cashed in in each of their last seven conference quarterfinal games. The Wizards are a prime opponent for high-scoring games, giving their fast pace on offense, and their utter disregard for sound defensive play. The over is 5-0 in the Wizards’ last five games overall, and it is 6-1 in the Bulls’ last seven games overall. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Chicago & Washington over 182.5 |
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04-27-14 | PHILADELPHIA GM5 v. NY RANGERS GM5 -150 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
New York Rangers ML The New York Rangers host the Philadelphia Flyers on Sunday at noon as the teams continue their opening round playoff series. The Flyers took Game 4 in the series to even it at two games apiece. The Rangers have been the far superior team throughout this series, yet some bad luck has seen them win just half of the games in the series thus far. The Rangers absolutely dominated Game 1 on their home ice, outshooting the Flyers 36-15 in a 4-1 win. The team dominated Game 4 as well, outshooting the Flyers 38-25, but simply couldn’t catch a break, failing to cash in on any of their four power play opportunities. Now, with the series returning back to Madison Square Garden, there is every reason to believe that the better team will prevail. The Flyers have just a single win in their last 10 games at the Garden, and the Rangers are in prime position to get back on top in this series. The Rangers are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these teams. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on New York Rangers ML |
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04-26-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189 | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
Memphis & Oklahoma City under 189 The Memphis Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night. Memphis is coming off a 98-95 win in Game 3 of this series on Thursday night, giving the team a 2-1 series lead. A pair of overtime contests have many thinking this series has been more offensive than it has been, with each of those two overtime games playing over the total, while the game that ended in regulation stayed under the number. The Grizzlies really pride themselves on their ability to play defense, with the crowd really getting behind them when they are at that end of the court. Their support really helped the team to shut down the Thunder in Game 3, with the game set to play well under the number prior to a late collapse by the Grizzlies. Another overtime session shouldn't be counted on this time around, while the Grizzlies can be expected to stifle the Thunder once again. The under is 4-0 in the Thunder's last four games played on a Saturday. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Memphis & Oklahoma City under 189 |
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04-26-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies +3 | 92-89 | Push | 0 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies +3 The Memphis Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night. Memphis is coming off a 98-95 win in Game 3 of this series on Thursday night, giving the team a 2-1 series lead. The Grizzlies seem to have things trending in the same direction as last year's playoff series between these teams, when they lost Game 1, then came back to win each of the next four games to win the series. The Grizzlies dropped Game 1 in this year's series, and now have back-to-back wins. Notably, the team absolutely dominated in the first 40 minutes of Game 3, but their late collapse allows us to get in on this one at a very fair number. The Grizzlies have won 15 home games in a row, and there's no reason to think that another late collapse is in the cards, as the team should have things figured out by the time they throw the ball up on this one. The Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games, while the Thunder are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Memphis. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Memphis Grizzlies +3 |
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04-26-14 | Minnesota Wild +125 v. Colorado Avalanche | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Minnesota Wild ML The Colorado Avalanche host the Minnesota Wild in Game 5 of their Western Conference matchup on Saturday night. To say that Colorado has been outplayed in this series would be a massive understatement. The Avalanche are lucky to be tied 2-2 in this matchup after being outplayed in both home games and then completely dominated in Minnesota. The Wild have outshot the Avalanche 78-34 in the last two games of this series and are simply playing at a different level right now. Puck possession was a major issue for the Avalanche throughout the regular season, but matters have been made even worse with Matt Duchene out due to injury. The Avalanche simply don't have the depth to match up with a Wild squad that can use all four lines effectively. Colorado is also missing a huge impact player on defense with Tyson Barrie expected to miss a minimum of four weeks after taking a cheapshot knee-on-knee hit from Matt Cooke. The x-factor in this contest will be Wild goaltender Darcy Kuemper. Minnesota may have been able to steal a game in Colorado if they received average goaltending in Games 1 or 2, but Ilva Bryzgalov was subpar. Kuemper has posted much stronger numbers this season and has given the Wild a boost of energy in the past couple of games. The Wild are 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game and are 6-1 in their last 7 games on 1 days rest. Take Minnesota. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Minnesota Wild ML |
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04-26-14 | Philadelphia Phillies -125 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies ML The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday in game two of a three-game set. The Phillies trot out Cliff Lee. He was hit hard in his first start, but boy has he settled down since, posting a 1.02 ERA over his last four starts. Now he draws an Arizona team that has been a major disappointment, will be without a key right-handed bat in Mark Trumbo, and has struggled against Lee in the past. In his career against the Diamondbacks, Lee has posted a 2.93 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP, taking the win in four of six starts. The Diamondbacks counter with Bronson Arroyo, who looks lost in Arizona. He hasn't lasted through the fifth inning in either of his two home starts, posting a 9.50 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, and .372 BAA in his time with the Diamondbacks. He has a 5.12 ERA in five starts against the Phillies over the last three seasons. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games against NL West opponents. Take Philadelphia. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Philadelphia Phillies ML |
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04-26-14 | Miami Marlins v. New York Mets -136 | 7-6 | Loss | -136 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
New York Mets ML The New York Mets are playing much better baseball than most people expected so far this year. New York has some very good young pitchers on their roster. Jenrry Mejia may be the most unheralded, but I think he has pitched the best. Mejia has a 1.99 ERA so far this year. He has had to face Cincinnati, St. Louis, and Atlanta already this year, so it isn’t like he has skated through by facing bad offenses. This is a young guy who has exciting stuff on the mound, and he is capable of putting hitters away with multiple pitches. The Miami Marlins are better this year, but they have been winning their games at home. The Marlins are still dreadful on the road. I think the oddsmakers are giving them too much love on the road in this one. Kevin Slowey hasn’t been consistent in his career on the mound. The Mets have the better offense from top to bottom, and they definitely have the better starting pitcher on the hill. This price is more than fair on the home team. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB ML Play |
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04-26-14 | Columbus Blue Jackets v. Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh & Columbus over 5.5 The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Columbus Blue Jackets in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Playoff matchup on Saturday night. Getting takeback on the over in this game is simply too good to pass up. Each of the first four games in this series has ended in a 4-3 final score, and none of those games were short of scoring chances. Pittsburgh has tremendous firepower up front and they're seemingly content to trade chances with the less powerful Blue Jackets. Columbus is no slouch though; their forecheck has been causing huge problems for the lackluster Penguins defense and created plenty of scoring opportunities. Another big factor in this game will be the play (or lack thereof) of Penguins netminder Marc-Andre Fleury. Fleury made a huge giveaway that led to the Blue Jackets' game-tying goal in Game 4 and then surrendered a pathetic goal in overtime on a shot from the blue line. He's had major issues with his confidence in the past, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him come completely unglued in this matchup. At the end of the day, we simply don't agree with the oddsmakers' assessment of this total. The over is 4-1 in the Blue Jackets last 5 games following a win and the over is 4-1 in the Penguins last 5 home games. The over is also 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Pittsburgh & Columbus over 5.5 |
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04-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs -3.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 108-109 | Loss | -103 | 43 h 2 m | Show | |
San Antonio Spurs -3.5 Write-up coming shortly Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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04-25-14 | Tampa Bay Rays -130 v. Chicago White Sox | 6-9 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays ML The Chicago White Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday night in game one of a three-game set. The White Sox will send out Erik Johnson for this game, and that's going to pose a problem. Rays manager Joe Maddon loves to attack pitchers based on their weaknesses, and Johnson's is crystal clear. Through his first four starts, left-handed batters are hitting for a .343/.478/.600 slash line against him, which is absolutely astounding. Maddon is surely going to put the likes of Joyce, Zobrist, DeJesus, and Loney in prime position to succeed. The Rays counter with Chris Archer. Archer continues to be undervalued despite leading the Rays to victories in three of his first four starts on the year. The youngster hasn't shown any reason to be concerned about backing him on the road just yet, as he posted a 3.48 ERA away from home a year ago. The Rays are 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams, and they are 6-2 in Archer's last eight starts. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Tampa Bay Rays ML |
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04-25-14 | Detroit Tigers -117 v. Minnesota Twins | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers ML The Detroit Tigers are a much better baseball team than the Minnesota Twins. That statement seems pretty obvious, but we are getting the Tigers at an exceptionally short price today. Minnesota might not get to 75 wins this year, so seeing them as a small underdog to the best team in the American League is interesting. Rick Porcello has been up and down throughout his career, but he has been very good at Target Field. He has an ERA below 3 against the Twins on the road. Minnesota’s offense strikes out quite a bit, and Porcello is a good strikeout guy. Kevin Correia is going downhill this year. Correia has never been a terrific pitcher at all, but his velocity is slipping and he no longer has the stuff to put away good hitters. The Twins also play bad defense behind him, and that’s a bad combination with the Tigers strong offense coming to town. Detroit is fully capable of winning a high scoring game if Porcello doesn’t have his best stuff, but history tells us he should fare well against this Twins lineup. Great price here on the Tigers. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-25-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Washington Wizards OVER 181.5 | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 45 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington & Chicago over 181.5 The Washington Wizards host the Chicago Bulls on Friday night in Game 3 of their opening round playoff series. The Wizards won Game 2 in the series on Tuesday night, 101-99 in overtime. We cashed a ticket on the over in Game 1 of this series, and it cruised easily over the total by 15 points, with some bettors’ tickets cashing by 16.5 points after the total was bet DOWN! Yet, even following another over in Game 2, the total remains relatively unchanged, offering us a prime opportunity to go right back to that well. The series shifting back to Washington is only reason for more confidence in the over, as the Wizards will surely get their points on their homecourt, with the Bulls forced to pick up their play as well just to keep up. The Wizards averaged 105.3 points per game in their final three regular season home games. The over is 4-0 in the Wizards’ last four games overall, and 5-1 in the Bulls’ last six games overall. The over is also 6-0 in the Bulls’ last six conference quarterfinals games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Washington & Chicago over 181.5 |
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04-25-14 | Chicago Blackhawks +102 v. St Louis Blues | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
Chicago Blackhawks ML The St. Louis Blues host the Chicago Blackhawks on Friday night in Game 5 of their opening round series. The Blackhawks won Game 4 in the series in overtime on Wednesday, 4-3, evening the series at two games apiece. The Blue entered the postseason riding a six-game losing strike, and now find themselves facing some trouble in this series, with the Blackhawks coming to town riding plenty of momentum. At first glance, it would appear that this is a homer series, with both sides winning each of their two home games, and the road sides failing to pull off a victory. However, upon closer inspection, the Blackhawks were right in the thick of both games in St. Louis, while the Blue failed to play to that same level in Chicago. The Blackhawks are the superior playoff team, and now have a chance to make a real statement in this series by pulling off a win in St. Louis. Don't expect them to let the opportunity pass them by. The Blues are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Chicago Blackhawks ML |
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04-25-14 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees UNDER 9 | 13-1 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
NY Yankees & LA Angels under 9 The New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Angels on Friday in game one of a three-game set. The Yankees will send out Hiroki Kuroda for this contest. He's been strong against the Angels in his career, posting a 1.78 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP against them since his rookie season (5 starts). The under went 4-1 in those starts. Kuroda's been somewhat shaky in the early going thus far, but expect him to turn things around in a big way in his home ballpark. The under is also 21-9-1 in his last 31 starts at Yankee Stadium. The Angels counter with C.J. Wilson. He's gained a reputation as a Yankee killer. In five starts against the Bronx-bombers over the last three seasons, Wilson has posted a 2.08 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP. He's settled down after a poor first start to the year, and should keep the good times rolling against a Yankees lineup that struggles against him. The under is 5-1 in the Yankees' last six home games. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on NY Yankees & LA Angels under 9 |
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04-25-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
Toronto & Boston under 8.5 The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox on Friday in game one of a three-game set. In his last 20 starts, Mark Buehrle is 12-5 with a 3.11 ERA, The numbers that may not completely jump off the page, but keep in mind he’s done it while pitching in the always tough AL East. Even still, His numbers this season, well, they do jump off the page. Through four starts, Buehrle is 4-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.93 WHIP, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 19-5. With Buehrle pitching as well as he has been, the under has been cashing in at a high rate in his starts, going 24-5-1 in his last 30 starts. He takes the hill Friday against Jake Peavy and the Boston Red Sox. In Peavy’s lone start against the Blue Jays a year ago, he surrendered just two runs on five hits in six innings of work. In fact, in his last five starts against the Blue Jays, Peavy has posted a 2.29 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP. The under is 10-2 in the Red Sox last 12 road games, and 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Toronto & Boston under 8.5 |
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04-25-14 | NY Rangers -105 v. Philadelphia Flyers | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 38 m | Show | |
New York Rangers ML The New York Rangers host the Philadelphia Flyers on Friday night in Game 4 of their opening round playoff series. New York holds a 2-1 lead in the series after taking home a 4-1 decision in Game 3 on Tuesday night. It’s getting harder and harder to imagine a Flyers comeback in this series, as they have been far overmatched in this series, getting outshot 92-72 through the first three games, needing a pair of power play goals to help them eke out a win in Game 2. The Flyers’ goaltending remains shaky, with Ray Emery clearly not a viable option between the pipes, and Steve Mason surely to come in rusty whenever that goes down. Whoever has been between the pipes, it’s tough for them to be very confident in the group in front of them given the way the team has been outplayed by a superior Rangers squad. The Rangers are 24-8-2 in their last 34 road games, and 15-5 in their last 20 meetings with the Flyers. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on New York Rangers ML |
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04-25-14 | NY Rangers v. Philadelphia Flyers OVER 5 | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 37 m | Show | |
Philadelphia & NY Rangers over 5 The New York Rangers host the Philadelphia Flyers on Friday night in Game 4 of their opening round playoff series. New York holds a 2-1 lead in the series after taking home a 4-1 decision in Game 3 on Tuesday night. These teams have generated no fewer than five goals in each of the first three meetings between these sides, and with a some different bounces in this one, an over can be expected. It’s no secret that these teams don’t like one another, and the officials have taken notice, attempting to nip any potential scuffle in the bud by issuing a penalty. That’s led to a whopping 25 power plays through the first three games. The Flyers’ goaltending remains shaky, with Ray Emery clearly not a viable option between the pipes, and Steve Mason surely to come in rusty whenever that goes down. The Rangers have been strong at that end of the ice, averaging 3.3 goals per game, and can be expected to again put pressure on the Flyers’ goaltender in Game 4, as they look to take a stranglehold on the series. The over is 4-1-2 in the Flyers’ last seven home game, and 5-2-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Philadelphia & NY Rangers over 5 |
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04-24-14 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Philadelphia Phillies aren’t a very good team this year. The Los Angeles Dodgers are one of the two best teams in the National League this season (Cardinals being the other). Philadelphia is in for a long season, while the Dodgers are going to win a bunch of games. Kyle Kendrick has an ERA of 8 in his career against the Dodgers. Yasiel Puig has owned him in his few at bats against him, and the majority of the Dodgers lineup has hit him very well. Kendrick is a guy who is capable of getting absolutely bombed at any time, and I think that will be today. Dan Haren has been a bit inconsistent in recent years, but lately he looks more like the Haren of old. Haren has a lot of very good pitches, and this Phillies offense isn’t patient enough to wait him out like they need to. The Dodgers have a huge lineup advantage in this one. It won’t surprise me at all if the Dodgers jump on Kendrick early and this game gets out of hand. Take the Dodgers -1.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* MLB RL Play |
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04-24-14 | Colorado Avalanche v. Minnesota Wild UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Minnesota & Colorado under 5 The Minnesota Wild host the Colorado Avalanche on Thursday night in Game 3 of their opening round playoff series. Minnesota is coming off a 1-0 overtime win over the Avalanche in Game 3 of the series on Monday. This series has been turned on its head with the insertion of goaltender Darcy Kuemper between the pipes for the Wild. He was far better than Ilya Bryzgalov during the regular season, and stopped each of the 22 shots he faced in Game 3. He'll look to continue to shut things down for the Wild on their home ice. As for the Avalanche, they are great at shutting things down in their own end as well, with legendary goaltender and current coach Patrick Roy offering up a prime strategy to help the team's netminder be successful. It took an outstanding individual effort from Mikael Granlund to break a scoreless draw. The under is 5-2 in the Avalanche's last seven road games, and 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Minnesota & Colorado under 5 |
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04-24-14 | Oakland A's -1.5 v. Houston Astros | 10-1 | Win | 111 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Oakland A's -1.5 The Houston Astros are still the worst team in baseball in my opinion. The Diamondbacks may have the most losses in the league right now, but at the end of the season I expect the Astros to have the worst record in the majors once again. Oakland is a fundamentally sound team that does a great job beating teams they are supposed to beat. Look at their past history against the Astros. Oakland is 23-5 in their last 28 games overall against Houston. The A’s are 10-1 in their last 11 games at Houston. Brett Oberholtzer starts for the Astros, and I’m not sure he is a major leaguer in the long run. His minor league numbers weren’t very good. He has done pretty well in the majors so far because of his delivery and deception, but I think that will end sooner rather than later. Hitters are going to get used to his style. Scott Kazmir is the real deal at this point, and his stuff is electric. The A’s have a terrific bullpen, while the Astros bullpen may be the worst in the majors. Oakland coasts here. Take Oakland -1.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB RL Play |
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04-24-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | 85-98 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers -2 The Atlanta Hawks host the Indiana Pacers on Thursday night in Game 3 of their opening round playoff series. Indiana is coming off a win in Game 2, 101-85. The Pacers enter the postseason as the East's top seed, yet they give away just two points in this one. The Pacers dropped off significantly down the stretch, even giving away Game 1, and endured some tough media reports on Wednesday. With all that said, the Pacers showed more than enough in Game 2 to lead us to believe they have turned things around for the better, and are set to go on a run, and we are more than happy to get in on the ground floor. The biggest changes for the Pacers took place at the defensive end of the court. The team finally made adjustments to the Hawks' pick-and-roll, namely, they had Roy Hibbert move away from the basket to cover his man, and that gave the Hawks fits. Expect more strong adjustments from the East's top seed as they prove their worth. The favorite is 26-10-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings between these teams. Take Indiana. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Indiana Pacers -2 |
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04-24-14 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland & Kansas City under 8.5 The Cleveland Indians host the Kansas City Royals on Thursday afternoon in the fourth game of a four-game set. Cleveland is coming off a 5-3 win in the third game of the series on Wednesday. The teams meet on Thursday with the Indians looking for a series win. They'll send out Corey Kluber in hopes of accomplishing that feat. Kluber pitched well against the Royals a year ago, posting a 3.28 ERA while limiting the Royals to a .217 batting average against him. He should again fare well against a Royals team that has scored the fourth-fewest runs per game in baseball. The Royals counter with Bruce Chen. He has had some tough luck thus far, notably with his .417 batting average on balls in play, but he's been strong against the Indians. A year ago, he posted a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five appearances against them. Expect continued success against an Indians lineup that has the second lowest batting averages against southpaws this season. The under is 4-1 in Chen's last five starts against the Indians. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* Play on Cleveland & Kansas City under 8.5 |
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04-23-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets -6 | 112-105 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets -6 The Houston Rockets host the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night. Portland won Game 1 in the series in overtime on Sunday, 122-120.
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LaMarcus Aldridge took over for the Trail Blazers in Game 1, in a game in which he was mostly guarded by Terrence Jones. That allowed him to post a career-playoff high in scoring. This time around, the Rockets can be expected to do a better job of defending their own basket. The team now faces a virtual must-win on their home court, and it is tough to envision the team not giving forth an A-effort in this one.
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Dwight Howard has said he plans to spend more time covering Aldridge, while also taking more control at the offensive end after controlling the paint at the offensive end to the tune of 27 points and 15 total rebounds in Game 1. Expect the Rockets to show up with a better game plan in Game 2 than they did in Game 1.
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The Trail Blazers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine conference quarterfinals games.
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Take Houston.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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8* Play on Houston Rockets -6 |
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04-23-14 | San Diego Padres v. Milwaukee Brewers -137 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers ML The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Diego Padres on Wednesday in game three of a three-game set. San Diego won game two in the series on Tuesday, 2-1.
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The Padres claimed a rare road win in game two, and that's only going to lead to a more focused Brewers club in game three as they look to clinch the series win. The Brewers send out Kyle Lohse, who has been consistently good for the team since arriving. He has posted a 2.67 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through his first four starts this season, picking up the win in each of his last three starts.Â
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San Diego counters with Tyson Ross. Ross has enjoyed pitching in the cozy confines of Petco Park, but he's been a different man on the road. In his lone road outing this season, he surrendered seven runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
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The Brewers are 4-1 in Lohse's last five starts, and 10-4 in his last 14 home starts, while the Padres are 1-5 in Ross's last six road starts, and 4-9 in his last 13 starts overall.
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Take Milwaukee.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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9* Play on Milwaukee Brewers ML |
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04-23-14 | Anaheim Ducks v. Dallas Stars -116 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas Stars ML The Dallas Stars host the Anaheim Ducks on Wednesday night in Game 4 of their opening round playoff series. Dallas is coming off a 3-0 win in Game 3 of the series on Monday.
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This series had all the makings of one in which home ice was of vital importance, as the Stars are a strong home team, but more importantly, the Ducks have one of the worst home-road splits in all of hockey. The Ducks have been dominant on their home ice this season, but have been very ordinary when leaving the friendly confines of their pond in California.
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The Stars played strong in Anaheim, giving the Ducks plenty of trouble on the road, but with the series shifting back to Dallas for Game 3, the Stars were able to take command and pick up their first win of the series. With the venue staying the same, it's reasonable to expect a similar result from what we saw in Game 3, when the Stars came away with a three-goal win.
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The Stars are 6-1 in their last seven home games, and the home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams.
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Take Dallas.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Dallas Stars ML |
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04-23-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Miami Heat OVER 186 | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami & Charlotte over 186 The Miami Heat and Charlotte Bobcats will continue their opening round playoff series in South Beach on Wednesday night. Miami handily won Game 1 in the series on Sunday, 99-88.
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The Heat simply have the Bobcats’ number, and they’ll be looking to put an exclamation mark on this series before taking to the road. The Big three have dominated the Bobcats to a tune of a 16-0 record since their arrival in South Beach, and Wednesday’s meeting should be no different with so much on the line. Dwyane Wade also showed no ill effects of the injuries that plagued him during the year, scoring 23 points and adding five assists while knocking down 10 of his 16 shots from the field.
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With that being said, expect Charlotte to get their points. The teams have played over the total in each of their last four meetings. The Bobcats also respond to losses with points, playing over the total in 19 of their last 26 games following a loss.
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The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams, and 10-2 in the Heat’s last 12 games against divisional opponents.
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Take the OVER.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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8* Play on Miami & Charlotte over 186 |
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04-23-14 | Cincinnati Reds +105 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Reds ML The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates continue their four-game set at PNC Park with game three in the series on Wednesday. Cincinnati won game two in the series on Tuesday, 4-1.
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Alfredo Simon has quietly been lights out for the Reds, posting a 0.86 ERA and 0.81 WHIP thus far this season. He now gets a Pittsburgh team that he has limited to a .284 slugging percentage in 21 1/3 innings. He'll look to continue his hot play against a Pirates team currently struggling to score runs.
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Pittsburgh counters with Charlie Morton. He hasn't fared well against the Reds in his career. The team's lineup has a career .305 batting average against him. He also has a 5.68 ERA against them in his last three starts. The Reds are beginning to turn things around, thanks largely to an uptick in the performance of Billy Hamilton.
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The Reds are 5-0 their last five times playing game three of a series, while the Pirates are 1-4 in Morton’s last five home starts.
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Take Cincinnati.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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7* Play on Cincinnati Reds ML |
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04-23-14 | Baltimore Orioles +113 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 10-8 | Win | 113 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Baltimore Orioles ML The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday in game two of a three-game set. Toronto won the series opener on Tuesday, 9-3.
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The Orioles squandered some opportunities on Tuesday night, including a prime opportunity to blow the game wide open in the seventh inning with runners at second and third and none out following a Nick Markakis double. The team was unable to score, and now find themselves looking to tie the series in its second game.
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They have a good chance to do so with ace Chris Tillman taking the hill. The Orioles win with pretty fare regularity when he takes the hill, and he has really picked up his effectiveness this season. Through four starts, Tillman has a 1.71 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, limiting opposing hitters to a .216 clip against him. He'll oppose Dustin McGowan, who has a 4.85 ERA, but he's been much worse than that, posting a 1.92 WHIP while allowing opposing batters to hit for a .333 clip.
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The Orioles are 17-7 in Tillman's last 24 road starts, and 14-3 in his last 17 starts as a road underdog.
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Take Baltimore.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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7* Play on Baltimore Orioles ML |
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04-23-14 | Pittsburgh Penguins -128 v. Columbus Blue Jackets | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Penguins ML The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Wednesday night in Game 4 of their opening round playoff series. Pittsburgh is coming off a 4-3 win over Columbus in Game 3 of the series on Monday.
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The Penguins were a sexy fade in the opening round, with many expecting the Blue Jackets to pull off the upset in this opening round series, but the Penguins have shown an ability to score on the Blue Jackets that few opponents have been able to do against them. Through three games, the Penguins have scored 11 times, including four-goal efforts in each of their two wins.
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The Blue Jackets rely heavily on their goaltending to win games, but Sergei Bobrovsky has been grossly overmatched against the talented Penguins forwards. The Penguins really dominated play in Game 3, outshooting the Blue Jackets 41-20. Expect the likes of Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin to again be too much for the Blue Jackets to handle
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The Penguins are 6-0 in their last six games played in Columbus, and they are 8-1 in the last nine meetings between these teams overall.
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Take Pittsburgh.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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9* Play on Pittsburgh Penguins ML |
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04-23-14 | San Francisco Giants -109 v. Colorado Rockies | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
9* Play On Giants -109 Write-Up Coming Shortly. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-23-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Chicago Cubs -125 | 7-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
9* Play On Cubs -125 Write-Up Coming Shortly. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* MLB ML Play |
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04-22-14 | San Jose Sharks v. Los Angeles Kings -129 | 4-3 | Loss | -129 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Kings ML The Los Angeles Kings host the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday night in Game 3 of their opening round playoff series. The Sharks dominated on their home ice in both games, winning Game 2 in the series on Sunday by a score of 7-2.
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The Kings are a prideful group, particularly head coach Darryl Sutter, so getting their asses handed to them so handily isn’t going to sit well with them. Now, with the series shifting back to Los Angeles, the team has an opportunity to really swing the momentum back over to their side. When these teams met in the playoffs a year ago, the home side went 7-0. Looking further back, the Sharks are just 3-10 in their last 13 road playoff games.
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The Sharks posted a stellar home record during the regular season, went 29-12 in their home games. On the flip side, the team went 22-19 on the road, and in all meetings between the Sharks and Kings over the last three seasons, the home side is 22-2. The Sharks are 1-10 in Los Angeles in that span, including 0-8 in the past two seasons.
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The home team is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings between these teams.
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Take Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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8* Play on Los Angeles Kings ML |
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04-22-14 | San Diego Padres v. Milwaukee Brewers -136 | 2-1 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers ML The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night in game two of a three-game set. Milwaukee is coming off a 4-3 victory in game one of the series on Monday.
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The Padres have had a ton of trouble scoring runs this season, with their 56 runs ranking as the fewest in baseball. The team entered the year as a hot dark horse pick to make some noise in the NL West, and bettors have simply been too slow to get off the bandwagon, allowing us some strong value in fading the team.
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As for Milwaukee, they are another team that bettors have been slow to react to. The Brewers have been one of the pleasant surprises this young season, compiling a 15-5 record. On Monday night, they took care of business against the Padres while giving All-Star catcher Jonathon Lucroy the night off. He’ll be back Tuesday. Additionally, Yovani Gallardo offers a significant edge on the mound, posting a 1.46 ERA so far this season.
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The Padres are 2-5 on the road this season.
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Take Milwaukee.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Milwaukee Brewers ML |
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04-22-14 | NY Rangers +110 v. Philadelphia Flyers | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 29 h 50 m | Show | |
New York Rangers ML The Philadelphia Flyers host the New York Rangers in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference series on Tuesday evening. The Flyers were victorious in Game 2 because of Ray Emery, who made 31 saves in their 4-2 victory. Emery played a great game, but we're doubtful that he can replicate that performance. Emery's .903 save percentage in the regular season was 43rd in the league out of 51 qualified goaltenders. He's not the same caliber goaltender that he was when he led the Senators to the Stanley Cup Finals in 2007, and he's not even close to the same caliber goaltender as Henrik Lundqvist. Philadelphia will also have difficulty with the Rangers' quality road game. New York won a franchise record 25 games away from home this season; achieving that feat with a great forecheck, solid goaltending, and superb discipline. The Rangers took the second fewest penalties in the league this season, while the Flyers racked up the second most. New York had a stellar 21.2 PP% on the road this season and they should be able to capitalize on Philadelphia's undisciplined play. At the end of the day, we feel the wrong team is favored in this game. New York let one slip away in Game 2 but they're better than the Flyers in every facet of the game. The Rangers are a remarkable 23-10 in their last 33 road games, while the Flyers are just 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on New York Rangers ML |
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04-22-14 | NY Rangers v. Philadelphia Flyers OVER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia & NY Rangers over 5 The Philadelphia Flyers host the New York Rangers on Tuesday night in Game 3 of their opening round playoff series. Philadelphia is coming off a 4-2 victory in Game 2 of the series on Sunday.Â
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Philadelphia will again be without top goaltender Steve Mason for Game 3. Ray Emery will get the nod once again, and while he does have a strong playoff pedigree, he took a major step backward this season. Emery’s 2.96 GAA is the second-worst mark of his career, and his .903 save percentage can’t instill much confidence in the players in front of him. In Game 1, he looked overmatched against a highly efficient Ranger offense, and in Game 2, he gave up a pair of early goals before the Rangers took their foot off the gas. Don’t expect them to make that mistake again.Â
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At the other end, Henrik Lundqvist has looked human. Now he has to get the start in a hostile arena against a Flyers offense that has been far more potent at home. The Flyers scored six times in New York’s two trips to the Wells Fargo Center this season.Â
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The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams in Philadelphia.Â
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Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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9* Play on Philadelphia & NY Rangers over 5 |
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04-22-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Toronto Raptors OVER 188.5 | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Toronto & Brooklyn over 188.5 The Toronto Raptors and Brooklyn Nets continue their opening round playoff series on Tuesday for Game 2. Brooklyn claimed Game 1 in the series on Saturday, 94-87.
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The Nets actually took a step backward in their shooting from distance in Game 1, hitting three of four three-point attempts to open the game, but then missing 19 in a row. The team’s bench players also missed all 12 of their attempts from beyond the arc.
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Additionally, the Nets should knock down some more of their long-range shots after struggling mightily in that department in Game 1, hitting on just four of 24 shots from downtown. The Raptors picked up their pace of play down the stretch, and another high-scoring effort appears to be in the cards for Tuesday.
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As for the Raptors, star guard DeMar DeRozan went just 3-for-13 from the field for 14 points, though he did get to the line eight times and knock down each of those shots. The Raptors could have used some more help from DeRozan in Game 1, and now that he’s gotten his first playoff game out of the way, he should be better this time around, leading to a more efficient scoring effort from the Raptors.Â
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The over is 6-1 in the Raptors’ last seven home games, and 4-1 in the Nets’ last five conference quarterfinal games.
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With the oddsmakers getting this total flat out wrong, we'll bump this play up to our top rating.
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Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray
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10* Play on Toronto & Brooklyn over 188.5 |
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04-22-14 | Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 6.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Marlins vs. Braves Under 6.5 The Miami Marlins have phenom Jose Fernandez on the hill for this one. Fernandez is capable of shutting down any lineup in the majors. This kid has it all, and I expect him to be a top pitcher in this league for many many years. Alex Wood is a newbie in the majors as well, and he has the stuff to be the Braves best pitcher in the coming years. Wood has been amazing so far this year, and the Marlins offense isn’t very good against quality left-handed pitching. Atlanta’s offense hasn’t hit Fernandez well in their first two tries. He has an ERA just above 2 so far against them. Atlanta has too many free swingers to be too successful against a pitcher like Fernandez. This is a guy who can rack up the strikeouts in a big way. The Marlins are certainly better than last year, but they haven’t won on the road at all and I don’t expect much from their offense against Wood. 6.5 is a very low total, but I expect a 2-1 type of game here. Take the under.  Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB O/U Play |
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04-22-14 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 v. New York Mets | 3-0 | Win | 103 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Cardinals -1.5 The St. Louis Cardinals were shut out by the New York Mets yesterday night. I’m not high on the Mets chances of being competitive this year, and I’m very high on the Cardinals. St. Louis may be the best team in the National League once again. Adam Wainwright finished second in the NL CY Young race to Clayton Kershaw last year. Wainwright is an absolute machine on the mound. He throws a bunch of innings and rarely gives up many runs. I don’t expect this Mets offense to have success against a pitcher the quality of Wainwright. St. Louis’ offense is tremendous, and I don’t expect them to have two bad nights in a row against mediocre pitching. Dillon Gee is inconsistent at best, and I don’t see his stuff getting through this Cardinals lineup multiple times tonight. This is a mismatch in every aspect of the game. The Cardinals have the much better starting pitcher, the better bullpen, and the much better lineup. Expect this one to be a comfortable winner. Take the Cardinals -1.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB RL Play |
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04-22-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toronto & Baltimore over 8.5 The Baltimore Orioles will make the trip north of the border to the Rogers Centre where they will take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The Blue Jays failed to complete a sweep of the Indians in their last game, a 6-4 loss in Cleveland, while the Orioles beat the Red Sox on Monday, while the Orioles beat the Red Sox on Monday, 7-6.Â
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R.A. Dickey has struggled this season, and Tuesday’s game against the Orioles could be another rough outing. Dickey issued five walks in his last start against Minnesota, upping his season average to 5.9 per nine innings, well above his career high.
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That will pose a problem against a patient Orioles lineup, that drew 10 walks in 18 â…” innings against Dickey a year ago. In those starts, Dickey posted a 7.71 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP, all while allowing Orioles batters to hit for a .301 clip.
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The over is 5-1 in the Orioles’ last six playoff games, and 7-2-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 10 home games.
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Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray
7* Play on Toronto & Baltimore over 8.5 |
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04-21-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies -123 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Colorado Rockies ML The Colorado Rockies host the San Francisco Giants on Monday in game one of a three game set. Colorado is coming off a 10-9 loss to Philadelphia, while San Francisco beat San Diego on Sunday, 4-3.
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For San Francisco, Sunday’s win halted a three-game losing streak. After initially coming out of the gate and scoring runs in bunches, the Giant offense has faltered against. Over their last eight games, the team has scored an average of just 2.1 runs per game, and that’s going to make it tough to keep pace with a Rockies team averaging 7.7 runs per game at home. Things will be even tougher on Monday, as the team is averaging just 3.7 runs per game against lefties, compared with 4.3 per game against righties.The Giants have also lost seven of their last nine at Coors field.
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As for the Rockies, they send out starter Jorge de la Rosa, and the team loves sending him to the bump in their own ballpark, because they are 18-2 in their last 20 home games when he starts, and 7-1 in his last eight home starts against the Giants. In this one, he’ll oppose Ryan Vogelsong, who has a 7.16 ERA in his last three starts against the Rockies.
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The Rockies are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss.
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Take Colorado.
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7* Play on Colorado Rockies ML |
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04-21-14 | San Diego Padres v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Milwaukee & San Diego under 8 The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Diego Padres on Monday night. Milwaukee is coming off a 3-2 win over Pittsburgh, while San Diego fell to San Francisco on Sunday, 4-3.
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The Padres have had a ton of trouble scoring runs this season, with their 53 runs ranking as the second-fewest in baseball, just one run ahead of the lowly Houston Astros. While doing that, the team has also allowed just 60 runs, the third-fewest in baseball. Not surprisingly, the under has been a common occurrence in their games, cashing in to the tune of a 14-4-1 record in their 19 games.
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Now we’ll see a battle of titans on the mound in this one, but pitchers who remain under the radar, allowing us to get in at a fair number. We should have seen Wily Peralta’s success coming, as Peralta posted a 3.05 ERA over his final 17 starts of 2013. That success has continued into 2014, with a 1.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP coming from his first three starts. Andrew Cashner’s been equally hot, posting a 1.27 ERA and 0.95 WHIP through his first four starts of the season, with the under cashing in each of those four outings, and now 10 of his last 11 starts.
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The under is 13-3 in the Brewers’ last 16 home games.
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Take the UNDER.
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9* Play on San Diego & Milwaukee under 8 |
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04-20-14 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls OVER 180.5 | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Chicago & Washington over 180.5 The Chicago Bulls host the Washington Wizards on Sunday night in game one of their opening round playoff series. The oddsmakers simply got this number wrong. The public perception of the Bulls is a team that plays smothering defense and can’t score the basketball, but the team made significant strides at the offensive end of the court in the latter part of this season, thanks largely to the development of Joakim Noah, and the emergence of D.J. Augustin as a viable scoring option off the bench – he could very well win the Sixth Man of the Year award. A year ago, a more offensively challenged Bulls team played over the total in five of its seven opening round series games against the Nets. This year, they draw a Wizards team that sure knows how to score the basketball, averaging 97.0 points in two trips to Chicago this season, with both contests playing over the total. The Wizards like to push the pace of their games, while largely ignoring their end of the court, which is going to lead to points in this one. They come in hot as well, averaging 112.0 points per game over their final three contests, including a 114-point effort against the Heat. The over is 4-0 in the Bulls’ last four conference quarterfinal games. Take the OVER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Chicago & Washington over 180.5 |
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04-20-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Yankees vs. Rays Over 8.5 The New York Yankees lineup is very good to start with, but they are even better against left-handed starting pitching. Tampa Bay has had no trouble scoring runs over the past couple years when playing against the New York Yankees. That is especially true when they are playing on their home field. Cesar Ramos and Vidal Nuno aren’t to be trusted at all. Ramos has just been thrown in the starting rotation because the Rays are desperate for a starter due to injuries. Nuno hasn’t been healthy of late and he still hasn’t proven himself long term in the majors. Both of these pitchers are more than capable of giving up a big inning, and I think that happens a couple times in this one. Since this game is expected to be very close, it wouldn’t be a shock to see it go into extra innings, which gives us more chances to see runs cross the plate. Two solid offenses and two pitchers who are absolutely unproven in this one. Getting plus money at this nice value price is a bonus as well. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-20-14 | PHILADELPHIA GM2 v. NY RANGERS GM2 -160 | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Rangers ML The New York Rangers host the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday in Game 2 of their opening round playoff series. New York won Game 1 in the series on Wednesday, 4-1. The home side has won each of five meetings between the teams this season. The 4-1 scoreline from Game 1 is not truly indicative of how dominant New York's performance was in the series opener. The team dictated play for the full 60 minutes, outshooting the Flyers 36-15, including a 13-1 edge in the deciding third period. Philadelphia will again be without top goaltender Steve Mason for Game 2. Ray Emery will get the nod once again, and while he does have a strong playoff pedigree, he took a major step backward this season. Emery’s 2.96 GAA is the second-worst mark of his career, and his .903 save percentage can’t instill much confidence in the players in front of him. In Game 1, he looked overmatched against a highly efficient Ranger offense.  At the other end, Rangers goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is a notorious slow starter, but this time of year is when he is really on his game, and given that they are playing on the road, goals should be hard to come by for the Flyers in this one.  The Flyers are 0-9 in their last 9 trips to New York, while the Rangers are 14-4 in the last 18 meetings between these teams. The Flyers are also just 1-8 in their last nine games against opponents with a winning record, while the Rangers are 5-1 in their last six home games.  Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on New York Rangers ML |
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04-19-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 86-100 | Loss | -104 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday night in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series.
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We were very active in backing the Grizzlies in the postseason a year ago, and we are going right back to that well with a woefully underseeded squad this year. Marc Gasol is the key here. In the games he missed, Memphis compiled a 10-13 record. By the time he returned to the lineup from the knee injury that sidelined him for 23 games, the Grizzlies were 17-19 and on the outside looking in of the Western Conference playoff picture.
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Upon his return, the Grizzlies hit the ground running, winning nine of 10, and closing the year on a five-game winning streak to clinch a playoff spot. The Grizzlies compiled a 33-13 record over their final 46 games of the season, good for a .717 winning percentage, which would have placed them third in the Western Conference had they maintained that mark over the course of the entire season.
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Now they get a Thunder team that they beat in the postseason a year ago, winning that series in only five games. The lone game they lost was by just two points.
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The Grizzlies are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams.Â
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Take Memphis.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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9* Play on Memphis Grizzlies +7 |
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04-19-14 | Atlanta Braves v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Atlanta & NY Mets under 7 The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves on Saturday in game two of a three-game set. Atlanta is coming off a 6-0 victory in the series opener on Friday. The under in Braves games has been a very profitable endeavor this far into the season. The team has gotten tremendous pitching thus far, with the team's starters posting a sparkling 1.47 ERA, while the bullpen has done its job as well, leading to a league-best 2.28 team ERA. One of the top contributors to that stat has been Ervin Santana. Santana turned down more lucrative offers to join Atlanta and pitch in the NL East for games just like this one. Santana is in Georgia on a one-year deal, looking to dominate the likes of the lowly Mets, Phillies, and Marlins, so he can sign a long-term deal in the offseason. This start offers us an opportunity to build our bankrolls together. The Mets counter with Bartolo Colon. His base ERA is misleading because of some bad luck, but that only affords us some extra value in this one. He sshould begin to get that number back down against an inconsistent and struggling Braves lineup.  Take the UNDER Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Atlanta & NY Mets under 7 |
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04-19-14 | CHICAGO GM2 +105 v. ST. LOUIS GM2 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Chicago Blackhawks ML The St. Louis Blues host the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 2 of their Western Conference matchup on Saturday afternoon. The Blackhawks brought their B-game in Game 1 and still were able to take the game to overtime. They actually led for much of the game despite looking stagnant for the majority of it. Having said that, Chicago completely dominated the first two overtime periods, and were unlucky not to emerge victorious. Both teams are going to suffer from the effects of playing nearly two full games a couple of nights ago, but a quick glance at the Blues' ice-time shows that Alex Pietrangelo, their stud defenseman, played over 44 minutes in that contest. Pietrangelo is a workhorse but expecting him to follow up that type of effort with some more heavy minutes here in Game 2 is just asinine. The Blues also chose to practice on Friday while the Blackhawks did not take to the ice at all. Chicago has been in this situation before. As goaltender Corey Crawford said after Game 1, "I don't think anyone's worried in our locker room". We think the Blackhawks' experienced and the fact that they're simply the better team in this series will get them into the winning column in Game 2. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Chicago Blackhawks ML |
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04-18-14 | Dallas Stars +167 v. Anaheim Ducks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
Dallas Stars ML The Anaheim Ducks host the Dallas Stars in Game 2 of their Western Conference matchup on Friday night. The Ducks got out to an early 4-0 in Game 1 before holding on to win 4-3, but that score line is very misleading. Although the Ducks were burying their chances early in the game, Dallas was taking the play to Anaheim, cycling the puck down low in the Ducks' end very effectively. As the game wore on, the Stars continued to impose their will and the Ducks were fortunate to not have the game go into overtime. Anaheim now has a couple of question marks heading into Game 2 as well. Ducks forward Ryan Getzlaf will play despite taking a puck in the face late in Game 1, but there's no doubt he'll have a target on his back. Anaheim will likely be without the services of forward Matt Beleskey, who provides a lot of energy. His absence will be a bigger factor than most people would believe. Player reactions to the first game tell a different story than the final score. Stars defenseman Alex Goligoski said "I don't think (Anaheim) had too many shifts where they were buzzing down there (in the Dallas end)". Ducks forward Andrew Cogliano said "The way they finished the game, it feels like we're even." These teams are much closer to even that this line would indicate. We'll gladly grab the GREAT price with the Starts tonight. Take Dallas. Good Luck, Razor Ray 6* Play on Dallas Stars ML |
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04-18-14 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 3-11 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Oakland & Houston under 7 The Oakland Athletics host the Houston Astros on Friday night in game one of a three-game set. Oakland is coming off a 5-4 loss to the Angeles, while Houston dropped its last game to Kansas City, 5-1.
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Runs have been hard to come by for the Astros, with the team scoring just 2.2 per game over their last six outings. Things won't get any easier on Friday when they face off with Sonny Gray, who has a sparkling 0.95 ERA on the season.
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He'll be opposed by Jarred Cosart. Cosart has been very effective when pitching on the road in his career, posting a 1.59 ERA, while limiting opponents to a miniscule .238 slugging percentage. In his lone start in Oakland last August, Coasrt threw six shutout innings, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out four. He should be able to continue that success against an Athletics team averaging just 3.3 runs per game while hitting .227 in their home ball park.
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The under is 6-2 in Gray's last eight home starts, and 6-2 in Cosarts's last eight road starts.
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Take the UNDER.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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8* Play on Oakland & Houston under 7 |
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04-18-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay & NY Yankees over 7 The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on Friday in game two of a four-game set. New York really got its bats going in game one of this series, a 10-2 victory on Thursday.
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The Rays are known for the depth they have accumulated in their pitching rotation, but injuries have plagued that rotation in recent weeks, and because of it, the team is being forced to send out journeyman Erik Bedard to face a very potent Yankees lineup. The Yankees have won five games in a row, averaging 5.0 runs per game in those contests, and after tagging lefty David Price for six runs in Thursday's game, they'll be licking their chops with another lefty on the mound on Friday.
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As for the Rays, they've been in a funk offensively, but they'll be happy to see Hiroki Kuroda coming to town. In his career against the Rays, Kuroda has posted a 7.36 ERA, while allowing Rays batters to hit for a .293 clip.
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The over is 21-6 in the Rays' last 27 games played on a Friday.
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Take the OVER.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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7* Play on Tampa Bay & NY Yankees over 7 |
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04-18-14 | Los Angeles Angels v. Detroit Tigers -112 | 11-6 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
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The Detroit Tigers host the Los Angeles Angels on Friday in game one of a three-game set. Detroit is coming off a 7-5 win over Cleveland, while the Angels beat the Athletics their last time out, 5-4.
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The Angels may be coming off a win, but they've struggled this season, bringing a sub-.500 record to Detroit with them. The Angels won all six meetings between these teams a year ago, and there is no way the Tigers are going to forget that. Detroit is one of the best teams in baseball, and while they have certainly been guilty of taking time off thanks largely to their comfortable spot in the AL Central, they will surely bring an A-effort in this one as they look to lay it on the Angels.
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The Angels' struggles are personified by Jered Weaver, who has a 5.79 ERA while guiding the Angels to losses in each of this first three starts. Now he'll have to face a very potent Tigers lineup looking to knock him out of the game early.
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The Tigers are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
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Take Detroit.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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7* Play on Detroit Tigers ML |
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04-17-14 | LOS ANGELES GM1 v. SAN JOSE GM1 UNDER 5 | 3-6 | Loss | -137 | 31 h 2 m | Show | |
Los Angeles & San Jose under 5 The San Jose Sharks host the Los Angeles Kings in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series on Thursday.
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The under has been commonplace when these teams take the ice. The over has cashed in only once in the last 10 overall meetings, and it went just 1-6 in the seven-game playoff series between these teams a year ago. The under also cashed in four of the last six times Los Angeles took the ice in the regular season, with the team struggling to score goals while also doing a great job of limiting their opposition’s chances down the stretch.
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Kings goaltender Jonathan Quick has had the Sharks’ number, posting a 1.47 GAA and .930 save percentage in three starts against them this season. At the other end of the ice, the Sharks’ coaching staff as spent the week trash-talking presumed starter Antti Niemi in an attempt to motivate the team’s top goaltender. Expect an A-effort from him on this night.
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The under is 5-0-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams in San Jose.
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Take the UNDER.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Los Angeles & San Jose under 5 |
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04-17-14 | CHICAGO GM1 +122 v. ST. LOUIS GM1 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago Blackhawks ML The St. Louis Blues host the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series on Thursday.
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There is simply no reason for the Blues to be favored in this contest. The Blues have been a strong regular season team under head coach Ken Hitchcock, but they’ve hit a wall come playoff time. The team dropped each of its final six regular season contests, scoring just five goals along the way, and allowing 3.7 per game.
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That’s going to pose a significant problem on Thursday when the team takes on a Blackhawks team getting back its top two forwards in Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane for this contest. The duo has helped the Blackhawks to a pair of Stanley Cups since 2010.
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The Blackhawks also won each of the two meetings between these teams in 2014, outscoring the Blues 8-2 in those two wins. With the Blues winning each of their final three home games, where this game is being played shouldn’t be enough to stop a Blackhawks team with a strong road pedigree.
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The Blackhawks are 4-1 in their last five games.
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Take Chicago.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Chicago Blackhawks ML |
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04-17-14 | PHILADELPHIA GM1 v. NY RANGERS GM1 -141 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
New York Rangers ML The New York Rangers host the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series. The home side won each of four meetings between the teams in the regular season.
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Philadelphia will be without top goaltender Steve Mason in this one, and that’s going to pose a problem for the team in this one. Ray Emery will get the nod, and while he does have a strong playoff pedigree, he took a major step backward this season. Emery’s 2.96 GAA is the second-worst mark of his career, and his .903 save percentage can’t instill much confidence in the players in front of him.
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At the other end, Rangers goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is a notorious slow starter, but this time of year is when he is really on his game, and given that they are playing on the road, goals should be hard to come by for the Flyers in this one.
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The Flyers are 0-8 in their last 8 trips to New York, while the Rangers are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings between these teams. The Flyers are also just 1-7 in their last eight games against opponents with a winning record, while the Rangers are 4-1 in their last five home games.
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Take New York.
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Good Luck, Razor Ray
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8* Play on New York Rangers ML |
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04-17-14 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 6.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee & Pittsburgh over 6.5 The Pittsburgh Pirates battle the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday evening. Yovani Gallardo and Edinson Volquez get the call for their respective clubs. These two same pitchers produced a 3-2 final score last Saturday, and that's created strong value on the over in this contest. These lineups will be seeing the opposing pitchers for the second time in less than a week, and won't fall victim to the same types of pitches that they did on Saturday. Edinson Volquez is not a good pitcher. He's posted an ERA above 5.70 in three of his last five seasons. The other two seasons were not particularly good ones either, as his ERA was in the lower fours. Volquez pitches against a Brewers lineup that has been stellar away from home to start the season. Milwaukee's wRC+ of 136 on the road leads the Majors and is one of the reasons that they're 6-0 away from home to begin the year. On the other side of things, Yovani Gallardo is a good, but not great pitcher. A game total of 6.5 is giving him far too much respect, especially since he has a tendency to struggle with his control. Pittsburgh's Andrew McCutchen is batting .325 against Gallardo in his career, and plenty of other Pirates have favorable numbers as well. The Over is 11-5 in Gallardo's last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Over is 5-0-1 in the Pirates last 6 games as a favorite. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Milwaukee & Pittsburgh over 6.5 |
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04-17-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Washington Nationals +135 | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Washington Nationals ML The Washington Nationals host the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday in game one of a four-game set. Washington is coming off a 6-3 win over Miami, while St. Louis dropped its last game in Milwaukee, 5-1.
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A quick look at the overall records for these teams shows identical 9-6 marks, but the way they've played hasn't indicated that we can expect a level playing field in this one. Even still, the Cardinals are listed as favorites of 50 cents or more in some spots, and it's hard not to say that the oddsmakers simply got the line wrong for this one.
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The Nationals have been a strong home side in their recent resurgence over the last few years. Winning 20 of their last 28 ball games in their home park. That's going to pose a problem for the Cardinals, who have had difficulty providing Adam Wainwright with run support, offering up just a single run in two of his first three outings.
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The Nationals are 4-1 in Jordan's last five home starts.
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Take Washington.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 6* Play on Washington Nationals ML |
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04-17-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants -120 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants ML The San Francisco Giants host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday afternoon in game three of a three-game set. San Francisco won game two in the series on Wednesday, 2-1.
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Madison Bumgarner gets the nod for the Giants in this one. He hasn’t pitched up to par in his first three outings of the season. Luckily for him he’s received 7.3 runs of support per outing, leading the Giants to wins in each of those outings. He’ll look to turn things around in this one against a Dodgers team that he had his best start of the year against. He allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings of work, striking out 10 and allowing eight hits in a win at Dodger Stadium. A year ago, Bumgarner posted a 3-1 record in four starts against the Dodgers, compiling a 1.93 ERA while limiting opposing hitters to a .155 batting average and posting a 0.64 WHIP in those contests.
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He’ll be opposed by fellow southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu in this start. Ryu’s season has been the opposite of what Bumgarner’s endured thus far. Ryu has made four starts thus far, and has been dominant in three of them, but was rocked in his start against the Giants. In his start against the Giants, Ryu lasted only two innings, allowing eight runs, six of them earned, surrendering eight hits, and walking three.
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The Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarner’s last six starts overall, and 5-1 in his last six starts vs. the Dodgers.
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Take San Francisco.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on San Francisco Giants ML |
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04-16-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
LA Dodgers & San Francisco over 8 The San Francisco Giants host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday in game two of a three-game set. San Francisco is coming off a 3-2 win in game one of the series on Tuesday.
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This number jumped up off the board at us when we initially broke down the board. Neither pitcher in this game instills much confidence. Both have an ERA at or above 8.00 on the season, with both pitchers averaging less than five innings per outing. That's going to pose a significant problem on Wednesday with the teams having gone to extras on Tuesday, leading to some tired arms in the bullpen, bullpens which should get significant use in this one.
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In six career starts at AT&T Park, Maholm has posted a 5.79 ERA, not a recipe for success against a Giants team that has really stepped up its offensive game this season. As for Vogelson, he has a career 4.15 ERA against the Dodgers, and surrendered four runs over four innings in his first meeting with the team this season.
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The oddsmakers simply got this number wrong, and in a game that should should soar over the total, we'll bump this play up to our top rating.
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The over is 14-3 in the Giants' last 17 games overall, and 12-4-2 in Vogelsong's last 18 home starts.
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Take the OVER.
Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* Play on LA Dodgers & San Francisco over 8 |
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04-16-14 | Dallas Stars +160 v. Anaheim Ducks | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas Stars ML Write-up coming shortly Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play |
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04-16-14 | Kansas City Royals v. Houston Astros UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -123 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Royals vs. Astros Under 9 The Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros both have offenses that have struggled to get going this year. Kansas City is likely to end up being decent on offense, but they have been dreadfully bad so far this year. Houston has what may be the worst offense in baseball this season. Dallas Keuchel is the type of pitcher who could give the Royals some issues with his deceptive delivery. He pitches much better at home, and the Astros have been more competitive at home. Jeremy Guthrie isn’t an elite pitcher, but I believe he is better than he is given credit for by most fans. Guthrie has quality stuff and generally has good control of his pitches inside the strike zone. I don’t expect a weak offense like the Astros to do much damage against him. A total set at 9 runs means the oddsmakers see some favorable matchups for the hitters. I don’t see it that way in this contest. Look for this one to be a 4-3 type of game that stays under the total. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB O/U Play |
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04-16-14 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Mariners vs. Rangers Under 7 It’s Felix Hernandez vs. Yu Darvish in Texas on Wednesday night. Those who like to see a bunch of runs scored probably shouldn’t watch this game. This has all the makings of a great matchup of two pitchers are completely capable of pitching a shutout deep into the game. Felix Hernandez is the type of guy that rises to the occasion when put into a matchup like this one. There will be all kinds of media and bright lights on this kind of a pitching showdown, but that doesn’t bother a guy like King Felix. Yu Darvish has ridiculously nasty stuff, and he has been amazing both in the Spring and in the regular season thus far. No one would want to face Darvish right now. He allowed only one hit in his last outing. Seattle’s offense has been better than expected so far this year, but that should change against a guy like Darvish. Texas’ offense just hasn’t come together yet, and the absence of Adrian Beltre hurts this team badly. This number is low, but it isn’t low enough to keep me off the under. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-16-14 | Montreal Canadiens v. Tampa Bay Lightning -125 | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Lightning ML Write-up coming shortly Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play |
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04-15-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants -103 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants ML The San Francisco Giants play host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday night. The Dodgers have won five straight games away from home, and subsequently, that's created some strong value with the home side tonight. San Francisco sends Tim Lincecum to the mound. Lincecum has struggled in his first two starts this season, but he has been very good in his career against the Dodgers. The former N.L. Cy Young winner boasts a 2.55 ERA in his last seven starts against Los Angeles include a stellar 2.18 ERA in his 10 starts at home against the Dodgers. Most importantly for Lincecum is that he has dominated Adrian Gonzalez in their head-to-head matchups. Gonzalez is on fire right now, having homered in five straight games, but his career numbers against Lincecum leave much to be desired. A-Gon is also batting just .188 with no home runs in his last 10 games at AT&T Park. Meanwhile, the Dodgers counter with Josh Beckett, who is on a huge decline. Beckett's velocity is down and he's no longer capable of pitching at a high level, even in the National League. He gave up five runs in four innings of work on Wednesday and we believe he's one of the strongest bet-against pitchers in the league. The Dodgers are 0-4 in Beckett' s last 4 road starts and 0-5 in Beckett's last 5 starts vs. National League West opponents. The Giants are 7-2 in Lincecum's last 9 starts and are a stellar 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Take San Francisco. Good Luck, Razor Ray 6* Play on San Francisco Giants ML |
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04-15-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers -115 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Brewers ML The Milwaukee Brewers are a totally different team this year. With Ryan Braun back in the lineup, this offense is whole different animal. Braun is one of baseball’s best hitters, and he makes everyone around him get much better pitches to hit. Milwaukee has the best record in baseball so far this year. The Cardinals took the first game of this series yesterday, but I think this matchup sets up well for Milwaukee. Shelby Miller has been great at home in his young career with the Cardinals, but he has had trouble on the road. Miller has looked way off in his last few starts, and I’m beginning to wonder if he is injured. Marco Estrada is a rising star for the Brewers. He does a good job keeping the ball down, and he has lots of different strikeout pitches to get rid of quality hitters. St. Louis has hit him well in the past, but I see him as a totally different pitcher at this point in his career. Milwaukee has had one of the best home field advantages in baseball in recent years, and seeing them at this short of a price at home is rare. Take Milwaukee. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB ML Play |
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04-15-14 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers -142 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers ML The Texas Rangers host the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday evening. There's no doubt that the Rangers are struggling with the bats right now, especially with Adrian Beltre on the DL, but that should turn around tonight. Blake Beavan is on the mound for the Mariners and we have no faith in his ability to compete at the Major League level. Beavan was 0-2 with a 6.13 ERA in a pair of starts and nearly a dozen relief appearances last season, forcing the Mariners to send him down to the minors for the rest of the season. Meanwhile, Robbie Ross takes the hill for the Rangers, and we've been impressed with what we've seen out of the youngster thus far. Ross has posted a 1.74 ERA through his first two big league starts, and that includes surrendering no earned runs against a potent Red Sox lineup. Ross has been dominant against Seattle in his appearances out of the bullpen, posting a 2.03 ERA in 12 relief appearances. At first glance, this seems like a steep price but we believe it's actually a bargain with the Rangers. Despite Texas' early season hitting woes, they have the stronger lineup and a huge edge in starting pitching in this contest. The Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rangers are 11-2 in their last 13 games as a home favorite and 49-21 in their last 70 games within their division. Take Texas. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Texas Rangers ML |
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04-14-14 | New York Mets v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Arizona & NY Mets under 9
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the New York Mets on Monday night. Arizona is coming off an 8-6 loss to the Dodgers, while the Mets dropped their last game to the Angels, 14-2. Joch Collmenter will make the start for the Diamondbacks in this one, getting his first start since 2011. Collmenter has served as a reliever for the team for the last couple years, though he was effective in his time as a starter. In 24 starts in 2011, Collmenter posted a 3.38 ERA. He should be able to continue his success on Monday when he takes on an inept Mets lineup that has had trouble scoring runs. Zach Wheeler counters for the Mets. He had a strong outing in his lone start against the Diamondbacks in 2013. In that outing, he threw 6 1/3 innings, allowing only six hits and one run. The Mets won that game 4-1 in Arizona, with the game staying comfortably under the total. The under is 4-1 in Zach Wheeler's last five starts following a Mets loss. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Arizona & NY Mets under 9 |
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04-14-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -120 | 7-7 | Push | 0 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Reds ML
The Cincinnati Reds host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday in game one of a three-game set. The Reds are coming off a 12-4 win over the Rays, while the Pirates dropped their last game at the Brewers, 4-1. The Reds have struggled out of the gate this season, but a win like the one they put together on Saturday could be a jumping off point for the team. They'll look to keep things rolling on Monday when they take on a Pittsburgh team that is having a ton of trouble scoring runs. The Pirates scored only five runs in their three-game weekend series, and that is music to the ears of Homer Bailey. Bailey's outings against the Pirates have been a mixed bag, but he's largely fared well against Pittsburgh, posting a career 2.91 ERA against them. His counterpart in this one, Wandy Rodriguez, hasn't fared quite as well against the Reds in his career, posting a 4.26 ERA against Cincinnati. The Pirates are 0-4 in Rodriguez's last four starts against the Reds. Take Cincinnati. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Cincinnati Reds ML |
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04-14-14 | Atlanta Braves -121 v. Philadelphia Phillies | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Braves ML
The Atlanta Braves are coming off a sweep of the Washington Nationals this past weekend. Washington is Atlanta’s top competition in the NL East, and that was a huge series win for the Braves. Atlanta now heads to Philadelphia to take on a Phillies team that used to be the cream of the crop in the division. Philadelphia is no longer even close to the quality of team they were a few short years ago. The starting rotation isn’t even close to as dominant, and the bullpen is a total disaster area. There are a couple power hitters here, but the lineup has no depth and this team isn’t good at stringing together hits. Atlanta has the best bullpen in the majors, and Ervin Santana is a pretty consistent starting pitcher at this point in his career. The Braves lineup is light years better than the Phillies lineup. Everyone in the Braves lineup is a dangerous hitter. Their strength from top to bottom is a major asset. Atlanta is the favorite here, but they aren’t favored by as much as they should be. The Phillies aren’t going to contend in the NL East this year, and the Braves are once again an excellent team. Take Atlanta. 7* MLB ML Play |
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04-13-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers -116 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers ML
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to complete the sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday afernoon. The Dodgers have dominated the D'Backs over the course of the past couple of seasons. Los Angeles has taken 11 of the last 14 games in the series including 7 of 9 at Chase Field. The main reason for the dominance has been superior pitching, and that's exactly what we get in this matchup again today. Dodgers starters have allowed just two runs in four starts against the Diamondbacks this season. It's safe to say that the Dodgers' coaching staff knows exactly to where to pitch the D'Backs hitters, and Dan Haren should be able to continue that success as his control has been on point to start the season. Haren also spent the better course of three seasons in Arizona and relishes the opportunities to pitch against his former team. On the other side of things, Trevor Cahill has been awful to begin the season. Cahill has produced a 7.90 ERA through three starts and things won't get any easier against a Dodgers lineup that has good numbers against the rightie. Adrian Gonzalez is 9-for-20 (.450) in his career against Cahill, and that's not good news for Arizona because A-Gon has homered in three straight games. The Dodgers are 23-9 in their last 32 games as a road favorite. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in Cahill's last 7 starts as a home underdog. Take Los Angeles. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Los Angeles Dodgers ML |
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04-13-14 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Minnesota & Kansas City over 8.5
The Kansas City Royals offense has been bad so far this year, but they aren’t as bad as their numbers would suggest. Remember, we have only seen a little less than two weeks of action at this point. That isn’t even close to determine how things will play out in the long MLB season. Kansas City has a favorable matchup here against Kevin Correia. Correia has been torched in his last five starts against the Royals. The Royals lost the first two games of this series, and they should be hungry for a win here. The Minnesota Twins do have some nice offensive pieces. Brian Dozier is showing some pop from the leadoff spot and Joe Mauer is one of the most professional hitters in the game. The depth of this lineup is better than most realize. Jason Vargas has a career ERA of over 8 against Minnesota. The Twins should put up several runs here. This is a game where we see two mediocre pitchers who have fared poorly against the opposing lineups in the past. No reason to expect that to change in this one. Look for plenty of runs in this contest. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Minnesota & Kansas City over 8.5 |
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04-13-14 | Washington Nationals -123 v. Atlanta Braves | 2-10 | Loss | -123 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Washington Nationals ML
The Atlanta Braves look to sweep away the Washington Nationals in their final game of a three-game set on Sunday. We produced an easy winner on Saturday taking the Braves over the Nats, but we're going to reverse our course of action on Sunday. Washington has a huge edge in starting pitching in this matchup. Gio Gonzalez has gotten off to a stellar start, posting a 2-0 record with a 0.75 ERA. Gonzalez is one of the stronger pitchers in the National League, and his numbers on the road last season indicate that he's built for success away from home. Away from home last season, Gonzalez had a K/9 rate of 9.15 and held opponents to a batting average of .220. Gonzalez has notoriously struggled against the Braves, posting an 0-5 record against Atlanta in his young career, but it's important to note that Gio only received six total runs of support in those five losses. The Nationals get Jayson Werth back in the lineup today and should be able to tee off on Aaron Harang. Harang has pitched well to begin this season but that's allowed for us to grab a reasonable price with the Nationals here. Harang is arguably the worst starter in baseball. He produced a 5.40 ERA in 26 starts last season and has declined rapidly in recent years. The Nationals are 16-2 in Gonzalez's last 18 starts as a road favorite. They're also 16-5 in their last 21 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. Take Washington. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Washington Nationals ML |
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04-12-14 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Seattle & Oakland under 7.5
The Seattle Mariners host the Oakland Athletics in an N.L. West battle on Saturday night. After a blistering start to the season, the Mariners bats have cooled in the last week. Seattle managed to put up six runs in last night's contest against the A's, but had managed to hit just .175 as a team in their previous five games. Dustin Ackley had three hits last night, marking the first time this season that a Seattle batter had managed three hits in a game. Hits won't be easy to come by against A's starter Sonny Gray. Gray has a sparking 0.75 ERA this season and an awesome 1.50 ERA in 3 career starts against the Mariners. Gray has struck out 18 Mariners in 18 innings of work, limiting Seattle to a .172 average. On the other side of things, the Mariners send Erasmo Ramirez to the hill. Ramirez's 5.73 ERA is less than stellar, but his SIERA is more than a full point lower, indicating that he has pitched much better than his numbers have shown. Manager Lloyd McClendon has been very high on Ramirez heading into this season, and we're banking on his to return to the form that we saw in his first start against the Angels. The Under is 5-0 in Ramirez's last 5 starts following a loss to the same team in his previous game. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Seattle & Oakland under 7.5 |
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04-12-14 | Detroit Tigers -135 v. San Diego Padres | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Detroit Tigers ML
The San Diego Padres host the Detroit Tigers on Saturday night. The Padres shut out the Tigers 6-0 on Friday, but tonight will be a completely different story. Detroit managed only 1 hit in Friday's loss, but with a lineup as potent as theirs is, we expect a huge bounce back tonight. Torii Hunter is expected back for the Tigers and that immediately bolsters a great lineup into a superb lineup. The Tigers have hit .384 as a team in their last three victories, and they should be able to tee off on Ian Kennedy, who has posted a brutal 5.84 ERA in 12 career interleague starts. Meanwhile, Tigers' former ace Justin Verlander has seemingly returned to the form that saw him win the Cy Young a couple of seasons ago. Verlander has posted a 2.57 ERA thus far and has a sparkling 2.56 ERA in 28 career interleague starts. Verlander hasn't lost to an NL opponent in over four calendar years. Prior to banging out 13 hits in last night's contest, the Padres were batting just .185 as a team at home. They'd also totaled just 20 runs in their last 9 contests. This price is extremely reasonable for the difference in pitching and batting in this matchup. The Tigers are 29-14 in their last 43 games against a team with a losing record. They're also 30-14 in Verlander's last 44 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Padres are 5-17 in their last 22 interleague home games against a team with a winning record. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray 10* Play on Detroit Tigers ML |
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04-12-14 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -129 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves ML
The Atlanta Braves host the Washington Nationals on Saturday evening. We are huge supporters of Braves' starter Alex Wood, and will frequently be looking to back the youngster at reasonable prices this season. This is one of those situations. Wood has been impressive so far this season, posting a 1.93 ERA in his first two starts of the season. He's also been dominant against the Nationals in his young career, compiling a solid 1.50 ERA in three starts against Washington. His job will be made even easier tonight as the Nats are expected to be without Jayson Werth, who tweaked his groin on Friday. Taylor Jordan gets the nod for the Nationals. Jordan's 3.41 career ERA is impressive, but advanced metrics like SIERA and xFIP indicate that Jordan is due for a regression. His SIERA of 3.94 much higher than his actual ERA, and his 4.97 K/9 indicates that he's not missing a lot of bats. We don't put a lot of stock into historical trends but for some reason or another, the Nationals have struggled mightily against the Braves over the past couple of years. Atlanta has won 20 of the last 27 meetings between these two squads. The Nationals are just 1-4 in Jordan's last 5 road starts. They're also just 15-36 in their last 51 games as a road underdog. The Braves are an unreal 28-5 in their last 33 games against a team with a winning % above .600. Take Atlanta. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Atlanta Braves ML |
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04-12-14 | Cleveland Indians -136 v. Chicago White Sox | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians ML
The Chicago White Sox play host to the Cleveland Indians on Saturday afternoon. Justin Masterson gets the call for the Indians and it's pretty safe to say that that's bad news for the White Sox. Masterson has absolutely owned Chicago in recent years. He's 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last 8 starts against the ChiSox, and won all four of his starts against them last year, including two shutouts. The White Sox are averaging 6.4 runs per contest through their first 11 games this season, but those numbers are inflated because of a recent road trip to Coors Field. Chicago was last in the American League in generating runs last season, so a regression is definitely due in the near future. Meanwhile, the ChiSox counter with Felipe Paulino. Paulino isn't even in the same realm as Masterson and is fresh off of giving up six runs in 4.1 IP in Colorado on Monday. Paulino has started just 41 games in the past three calendar years and his 4.29 ERA in those contests leaves much to be desired. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a road favorite. They're also 8-1 in Masterson's last 9 starts as a road favorite. The White Sox are just 2-7 in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Take Cleveland Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Cleveland Indians ML |
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04-11-14 | Detroit Tigers +102 v. San Diego Padres | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Tigers ML
The Detroit Tigers are arguably the best team in baseball right now. Detroit has a tremendous pitching rotation and an even better lineup. Ian Kinsler fits well into the lineup, and he gives them a good defensive second baseman as well. Detroit is going to win a bunch of games this year. The Tigers are the type of team that should win 95 games if they stay healthy. A team that will win that many games is almost never even money or an underdog. In this case, we get the Tigers as a tiny underdog, and there is lots of value here. Andrew Cashner starts in this one for the Padres, and Cashner is a very good pitcher. He will have to work hard though against this Tigers hitting order. It isn’t likely that San Diego’s offense will give him much run support, because he has ranked near the bottom of the majors in run support the last couple years. San Diego has the better starting pitcher here, but the Tigers are better in every other way. Getting the Tigers at this price will be very hard to come by this year. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB ML Play |
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04-11-14 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Nationals vs. Braves Under 7
The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves are very similar teams. They both have an excellent starting rotation and an even better bullpen. Putting up runs against these two teams is no easy task. Tanner Roark has been surprisingly dominant in his first few starts in the major leagues. Roark has a bit of a strange delivery, and major league hitters have struggled with that deception. The Braves have yet to score a run off Roark in his young career. Julio Teheran is one of the best young pitchers in the game. He was terrific all through the minors, and he had a breakout season in the majors last year. Teheran has an ERA of less than 3 in his career against the Nationals. It’s hard to imagine either of these teams running away with this game. Atlanta’s Turner Field is a pitcher-friendly park where it is tough to hit home runs. Neither of these teams is likely to put together a bunch of hits against quality pitching like they will see today. This is a low number, but it’s low for a good reason. Expect a very low scoring game. Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 8* MLB O/U Play |
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04-11-14 | Columbus Blue Jackets v. Tampa Bay Lightning -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Lightning ML
The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Columbus Blue Jackets on Friday evening. The Jackets are fresh off of clinching a playoff spot, and we see this as a big letdown spot for Columbus. It doesn't seem like Columbus is taking this game too seriously, even though they still have a chance to improve postseason positioning. The Jackets are set to start Curtis McElhinney in goal tonight as the far superior netminder, Sergei Bobrovsky, sits on the bench. This is a crucial game for the Lightning. They know that they'll be facing the Montreal Canadiens in the first round of the playoffs, but a win tonight would elevate them past the Habs in the standings, and into a position where they'd have home ice in the postseason. The Blue Jackets are just 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win. The Lightning are 7-3 in their last 10 home games and are 4-0 in their last 4 home meetings against the Jackets. Take Tampa Bay. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Tampa Bay Lightning ML |
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04-11-14 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -140 | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Baltimore Orioles ML
The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night in game one of a three-game set. The Orioles pushed back Bud Norris's start to Saturday, and will send out Chris Tillman in Friday's contest, greatly improving their chances of taking the opener in this contest. Tillman has quietly been a strong performer for this Orioles team, but his efforts haven't been reflected in the oddsmakers' lines for his starts. We cashed plenty of tickets backing Tillman a year ago, and will go right back to that well here. Tillman was strong in his first two outings of the year, allowing just one run in each of those starts, coming away with a 1.35 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Now he draws a Blue Jays team against whom he posted a 3.31 ERA while helping the Orioles to wins in his first three starts against them in 2013. Baltimore has the added benefit of playing with a day off, a scenario in which they've gone 26-13 over the last three seasons. Tillman will be opposed by Dustin McGowan. McGowan struggled in his first start of the year, failing to get out of the first inning. The Blue Jays are 8-22 in his last 30 road starts. The Blue Jays appear to have taken a step forward after a series in their home ballpark, but they played the lowly Astros, and now have to take a major step up in class against an Orioles team with wins in three of its last four games. The Orioles may be 4-5, but they've played the American League's elite teams in the Red Sox, Tigers, and Yankees. Now, they get a Blue Jays team that has dropped 13 of its last 18 games in Baltimore. The Orioles are 9-2 in Tillman's last 11 starts as a home favorite. Take Baltimore. 9* Play on Baltimore Orioles ML |
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04-10-14 | Cleveland Indians -123 v. Chicago White Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians ML
The Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Indians on Thursday in game one of a four-game set. Chicago is coming off a 10-4 loss to Colorado, while Cleveland split its double-header with San Diego on Thursday. John Danks gets the call for the White Sox, and he isn't happy to see the Indians come to town. In his last five home starts against Cleveland, Danks has an 8.65 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. The White Sox, not surprisingly, lost each of those five games. Things won't be any easier this time around, as the Indians will send Danny Salazar out to the bump. Salazar came into the season as a favorite sleeper among many pundits, and put together a quality outing in his outing, but apparently didn't impressive oddsmakers all that much. In two starts against the White Sox a year ago, Salazar gave up two runs over nine innings, and the Indians won each outing. The White Sox are 1-6 in Danks's last seven home starts, and 0-5 in his last five home starts against the Indians. The Indians are 11-1 in their last 12 road games in this series, and 20-6 in the last 26 meetings overall. Take Cleveland. 8* Play on Cleveland Indians ML |
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04-10-14 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Philadelphia Phillies -124 | 6-2 | Loss | -124 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Phillies ML
The Philadelphia Phillies dropped the first two games of this series to the Milwaukee Brewers. Milwaukee is a much improved team this year, but the Phillies have their stopper going in this one. Cliff Lee is the best pitcher on their staff by a large margin, and I expect him to help the Phillies avoid the sweep. The Brewers will start Marco Estrada, who has been decent throughout the past couple years, but he is inconsistent on the road. Philadelphia has gotten some nice production out of Ryan Howard so far this year, and if that continues I expect the Phillies to put up plenty of runs this season. Finishing off a sweep is no easy task to start with, and when you are up against an ace like Cliff Lee it is even tougher. Look for the Brewers bats to be much more quiet than they were in the first couple games of this series. It’s rare that you’ll find a chance to back Lee at this short of a price against a team that isn’t elite. Take advantage of the line value on the home team here. Take the Phillies. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* MLB ML Play |
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04-10-14 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees -105 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
New York Yankees ML
The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox in an A.L. East battle on Thursday evening. We're of the opinion that the Yankees are offering up tremendous value in this contest. Clay Buchholz put together a stellar 2013 campaign, posting a ridiculous 1.74 ERA in 16 starts; however, those numbers have made him massively overvalued headed into this season. Buccholz's SIERA and xFIP were both significantly higher than his low ERA, indicating that he benefited from a lot of luck in his starts and was due for a big regression this season. That regression began in his first start of the season when he surrendered six runs and 13 hits in just 4.1 innings of works against the Brewers. On the other side of things, Michael Pineda is still relatively unknown, missing a couple of years in the majors with a shoulder injury. Pineda was very impressive in his debut season in 2011, posting a stellar K/9 rate of 9.11. The young right-hander had a very strong debut against the Jays on the weekend and should be amped up for his home debut. The Yankees are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Take New York. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on New York Yankees ML |
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04-09-14 | San Jose Sharks +101 v. Anaheim Ducks | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
San Jose Sharks ML
The Anaheim Ducks host the San Jose Sharks on Wednesday night. Anaheim is coming off a 3-0 win over Vancouver, while San Jose fell to Nashville in their last game, 3-0. We’ve been very active in backing the Ducks at home this season, but a lot of the luster has come off their home record of late, and with a strong San Jose Sharks team coming to town, they could take another step backward. The Sharks were shutout in their last game, though don’t let that fool you into thinking they are struggling at the moment. The team managed 35 shots on goal in that one, but were denied by a hot goaltender. That shouldn’t be a problem on Wednesday when they take on a Ducks team that has surrendered 3.0 goals per game in losing two of their last three games. The Sharks have also been off for a bit of a break, and that has really helped this veteran team in the past. The Sharks are 21-5 in their last 26 games played on three or more days rest. The Sharks are 5-1 in the past six meetings between these teams. Take San Jose. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on San Jose Sharks ML |
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04-09-14 | Los Angeles Angels -108 v. Seattle Mariners | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Angels ML
The Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday in game two of a three-game set. Seattle is coming off a win in game one of the series on Tuesday, 5-3. The Angels will have an edge on the mound in this one. The Mariners send out rookie Roenis Elias, who, plain and simple, doesn’t belong in the majors just yet. A quick glance at his first outing against the Athletics shows a strong outing: five innings of one-run ball. However, a closer look shows that Elias had plenty of luck on his side, getting the help of a double-play early, then having Sam Fuld thrown out at the plate on a possible back-breaking inside the park home run ball. Elias struggled with his command throughout the day, walking three batters, a problem against a veteran Angels lineup. The Angeles counter with Garrett Richards. Richards quietly stepped up in a big way for the Angels down the stretch last season, and carried that over into this season with a dominant first start. Since last year’s All-Star break, Richards has posted a 3.48 ERA. The Angels are 4-1 in Richards’s last five starts as a favorite. Take the Los Angeles Angels. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Los Angeles Angels ML |
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04-09-14 | Detroit Tigers -107 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers ML
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday in game two of a three-game set. Los Angeles is coming off a win in game one of the series on Tuesday, 3-2. It was a walk-off win for the Dodgers on Tuesday, and that surely left a sour taste in the mouths of the Tigers players. The Tigers have surely been guilty of taking some days off in recent years, understandable considering how easily they’ve walked away with the AL Central crown in each of those years. Finding days where we’ll surely get an A-effort for them is reason to run, not walk, to the betting window, and this is one of those days. The Tigers will also have the added benefit of getting to tee off on Josh Beckett. Beckett was a train wreck last season, and this is hardly a favorable matchup for his first game back from injury. Beckett made eight starts for the Dodgers last year, posting a 5.19 ERA in those contests. Detroit counters with Anibal Sanchez. His play a year ago was far better than Beckett’s, winning the AL ERA crown. The Tigers are 6-1 in Sanchez’s last seven road starts, while the Dodgers are 1-7 in Beckett’s last eight starts. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Detroit Tigers ML |
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04-09-14 | Detroit Red Wings +136 v. Pittsburgh Penguins | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Detroit Red Wings ML
The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Detroit Red Wings on Wednesday night. Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby, and Chris Kunitz are all expected to be back in the lineup for Pittsburgh tonight, and that's created some extreme value with the visitors. This game is meaningless for the Penguins. They're locked into the #2 seed in the East and head coach Dan Bylsma won't be giving heavy minutes to his best players, risking injury before the postseason. Meanwhile, Detroit is holding on to one of the two Wild Card positions in the East and will clinch a playoff berth with a victory tonight. We're not only backing Detroit's motivation here though; this is a team that's playing very good hockey. The Red Wings have won five of their last six contests, with the lone setback being a very controversial 5-3 loss to Montreal on Saturday night. Detroit outshot the Habs 37-26 in that contest, and were unlucky not to come out on top as Montreal's go-ahead goal was scored with a player in an offside position. Detroit is one of the best puck possession teams in the league, and that statistic will only improve now that stud centreman Pavel Datsyuk is back in the lineup. Pittsburgh doesn't control the puck very well, and they could be very vulnerable in this matchup tonight. Take Detroit. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Detroit Red Wings ML |
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04-09-14 | Chicago Bulls -2.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls -2.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday night. Minnesota is coming off a 110-91 win over San Antonio, while Chicago beat Washington its last time out, 96-78. The Bulls are laser-focused right now, and we’re glad to get behind them at a reasonable price. Chicago has beaten each of its last four opponents by double-digits, and comes to town having won five in a row. Looking further back, Chicago has held 12 of its last 13 opponents under 100 points, limiting opponents to 88.4 points per game over the course of their five-game winning streak. As for the Timberwolves, they’ll be confident entering this matchup, having beaten San Antonio in their last game, and beating Chicago the last time these teams met. However, the win over San Antonio makes this a pretty good let down spot, while that win over Chicago came more than two months ago, and the Bulls were without Joakim Noak or Kirk Hinrich for that matchup. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Minnesota. Take Chicago. Good Luck, Razor Ray 9* Play on Chicago Bulls -2.5 |
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04-09-14 | Houston Astros v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 102 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Toronto Blue Jays RL -1.5
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Houston Astros on Wednesday night in game two of a three-game set. The Blue Jays are coming off a 5-2 win in game one of the series on Tuesday. With Toronto priced quiet heavily on the money line, we’ll go with a play on the run line in a game the Blue Jays should run away with. Morrow didn’t exactly dazzle onlookers in his first start, but going a little further back, he did shut down the Mets in his final exhibition tune-up in Montreal. He has what it takes to dominate a bad lineup, and with the Astros scoring averaging just 2.3 runs per game over their last six games, he should bounce back nicely. As for the Astros, they have dropped five of their last six games by multiple runs, and a turnaround from Lucas Harrell seems unlikely. Harrell is 6-18 with a 6.03 ERA since the start of the 2013 season, and faces a potent Blue Jays lineup in a bandbox of a stadium. The Blue Jays are 17-3 in Morrow’s last 20 home starts when the total is set between 9.0 and 10.5. Take Toronto on the run line. Good Luck, Razor Ray 7* Play on Toronto Blue Jays RL -1.5 |
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04-08-14 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners -121 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Seattle ML (-124)
The Seattle Mariners have James Paxton on the mound today. Paxton has been a top prospect in the organization over the past few years, and we have started to see why since he has been in the big leagues. He has amazing stuff and great control of all his pitches. Paxton completely shut down the Angels once already this year. Paxton pitched seven innings and only gave up two hits in that game. The Angels lineup has some big names in it, but they aren’t terribly deep. Mike Trout is a star, but the rest of this lineup is a bit overrated. Hector Santiago is on the mound for the Angels. Santiago has never established himself as a starting pitcher in the majors, and I don’t expect it to start now. He doesn’t have control at all, and he allows far too many base runners each inning. Solid offenses will always take advantage of those opportunities. Seattle has a lot of up and coming stars in their lineup. The Mariners are likely to be a team that overachieves vs. expectations this year because of guys like Dustin Ackley and Justin Smoak finally hitting their stride. Back the home team here. Take Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 9* MLB ATS Play |
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04-08-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 202.5 | 107-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Sacramento & Oklahoma City under 202.5
The Sacramento Kings play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday night. Both of these teams have a key injury that should affect the pace of this game. Thunder point guard Russell Westbrook is still battling knee issues and is expected to sit out this game for maintenance. Meanwhile, Kings point guard Isaiah Thomas has missed the last six games with a right quad injury and is expected to be sidelined once again tonight. Westbrook and Thomas are both great ball distributors and their absence on the court will affect scoring for both teams. Thomas has already missed seven games this season and the under is 5-2 in those games. Additionally, these two teams are quite used to playing low scoring games against one another. The series has gone under five straight times, with the Kings unable to crack the 95-point barrier in each of those five contests. The Under is 5-0 in the Thunder's last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Under is 16-5-2 in he Kings last 23 games vs. Western Conference opponents. Take the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray 8* Play on Sacramento & Oklahoma City under 202.5 |
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