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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-04-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona -10.5 | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Arizona 9:30 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Arizona -10.5 There’s no analysis on this game. |
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01-04-20 | Oral Roberts v. Nebraska-Omaha +1 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts @ Omaha 8:00 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Omaha +1.0 (5*) There’s no analysis on this game. |
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01-04-20 | Iowa State v. TCU -3.5 | 79-81 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ TCU 6:00 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: TCU -3.5 (5*) There’s no analysis on this game. |
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12-19-19 | Wofford +17.5 v. Duke | 57-86 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Wofford @ Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Wofford +17.5 (5*) Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games which includes a loss to Stephen F. Austin. They won the other 3 straight up against Georgia State, Georgetown, and Winthrop with all those victories coming by 13 points or fewer. This will be Duke’s first game since a win over Virginia Tech 13 days ago so don’t be surprised if they come out of the gate a bit rusty. Wofford is coming off Sunday’s huge 68-64 upset win at North Carolina. That victory was their 5th in a row. During this current unbeaten streak, the Terriers have allowed just 61.6 points per game while limiting their opponents to a lousy 38.4% shooting and 26.2% from 3-point territory. Bet on Wofford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-18-19 | Utah State -8.5 v. South Florida | 76-74 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
South Florida vs. Utah State 7:45 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Utah State -8.5 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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12-18-19 | Richmond -4 v. Old Dominion | 62-59 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Richmond @ Old Dominion 7:00 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Richmond -4.0 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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12-17-19 | Purdue v. Ohio +8 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Purdue @ Ohio 9:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Ohio +8.0 (10*) Purdue is 1-3 on the road and at a neutral site this year. The Boilermakers are coming off a shocking 70-56 loss at Nebraska in a game they were a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Purdue center Matt Haarms went down with a concussion in that contest and is doubtful for today’s game. Haarms is averaging 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season. Ohio is currently on a 4-game win streak which has improved their overall season record to 7-3. It’s rare that a team from the MAC gets to host a power conference school so look for that to provide added motivation for Ohio. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-14-19 | Memphis v. Tennessee -6 | 51-47 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Tennessee 3:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Tennessee -6.0 (10*) #13 Memphis is an extremely talented yet very young team. However, they’ll be headed into a hornet’s nest in Knoxville today. #19 Tennessee is 7-1 and has outscored their opponents by 14.3 points per game. The Volunteers are also a perfect 5-0 at home and had an average victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Tennessee is laying as sizable number despite being ranked 6 sports below Memphis in the latest AP Poll. That raises a huge red flag for me since I unequivocally trust odds-makers over college basketball rankings. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-11-19 | Michigan v. Illinois -1 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*) This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-10-19 | Indiana v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*) The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul +2 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*) Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked. DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-25-19 | Northwestern v. Bradley -3 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Bradley vs. Northwestern 8:30 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Bradley -3.0 Northwestern has started the season with an uninspiring 2-2 record. Alarmingly, the Wildcats 2 losses have come against the likes of Merrimack and Radford with both occurring on their home floor. Northwestern has shot 37.7% or worse in 3 of their first 4 games. Since losing their opening game against St. Joseph’s, Bradley has strung together 4 wins in a row. The Braves also faced Radford, but unlike Northwestern, they came away with a 70-61 win. Bradley is averaging 81.0 points and 13 offensive rebounds per game thus far. The Braves are also converting on a sizzling hot 45% of its 3-point attempts and has gone an excellent 80% from the free throw line. Bet on Bradley minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Oregon State +2.5 | 77-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Oregon State 11:30 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Oregon State +2.5 (5*) Oregon State returns 4 starters from a team that went 18-13 last season. The Beavers are off to a fast start going 2-0 SU&ATS out of the gate. They’re coming off an impressive win over Iowa State during their previous outing. Thus far, Oregon State possesses a stellar 20:11 assist to turnover ratio. Conversely, although Oklahoma is also 2-0 SU&ATS, the Sooner assist to turnover ratio is a poor 11:12. Bet on Oregon State plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Texas-Arlington +5.5 v. Nevada | 73-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
UT-Arlington @ Nevada 10:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: UT-Arlington +5.5 (5*) Arlington is coming off an impressive 73-59 win over Tulsa in a game they easily covered as a 1.5-point favorite. This is an experienced Arlington team that returned all of its 5 starters from a team that went 17-16 a season ago and that includes 12-6 in the Sun belt Conference. They won’t be intimidated considering they already own a win over an AAC team. Additionally, this core group last year faced stern road tests at Indiana, Arkansas, Gonzaga, Missouri, and Texas. My point being is the moment won’t be to big for them against a Nevada program that advanced the NCAA Tournament “Elite 8” this past March. It must be noted, Nevada had to replace all 5 starters from last year’s elite team, and Steve Alford has taken over as head coach after Bill Musselman left for greener pastures. Bet on UT-Arlington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Long Beach State +13 v. Stanford | 58-86 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Long Beach State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Long Beach State +13.0 (5*) Long Beach State gave UCLA all they can handle at Pauley Pavilion in their season opener while losing by just 4 as a large 17.0-point underdog. The 49ers followed that up with an impressive 74-62 home underdog win and cover over San Diego. Long Beach forced 43 turnovers through its first 2 games. Stanford is 2-0 SU&ATS thus far after win over Montana and CS-Fullerton. However, they were a -13 combined in the rebounding department with both opponents holding an edge on each occasion. Bet on Long Beach State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-19 | Drake +11.5 v. Cincinnati | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Drake @ Cincinnati 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Drake +11.5 (5*) Cincinnati lost their season opener 64-56 at Ohio State last Wednesday and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bearcats showed very little scoring depth as 3 players accounted for 36 of their 56 points (64.3%) and none scored more than 13. They also went a dismal 14-23 (60.9%) from the free throw line. Drake returns 4 starters from a team that went 24-10 a season ago and was regular season co-champions of the Missouri Valley Conference. So, they won’t be intimidated whatsoever in a venue which has been tough to win at over the past 2 decades. Drake is coming off a convincing season opening 87-55 win over Kennesaw State and the Bulldogs easily covered as a 15.0-point home favorite. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is its ability to knock down 3-point shots at a high percentage. Having said that, Drake went 17-29 (58.6%) from 3-point territory during their season opening win. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class tonight against a Bearcats program which has prided itself on playing suffocating defense. But the Bulldogs will keep themselves inside the number by knocking down it share of long-range shots. Bet on Drake plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-19 | Cincinnati +6 v. Ohio State | 56-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Ohio State 8:30 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Cincinnati +6.0 (5*) Cincinnati returns 3 starters from last season’s 28-7 team. Yet, they’re the unranked team in this matchup when going up against #18 Ohio State. Furthermore, 1 of those 7 losses from last year was a 64-56 home defeat to Ohio State in their season opener. The Bearcats will be looking for revenge in what will be the basketball program’s first trip to Columbus since 1921. One of Cincinnati’s returning starters is last season’s AAC Player of the Year Jarron Cumberland (18.5 PPG). I expect Cumberland to be a key component in us cover this game. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-19 | Kansas -2 v. Duke | 66-68 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 687-688 Play On: Kansas -2.0 (5*) Duke loses Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish from last year’s 32-6 team who all became early first-round selections in the 2019 NBA Draft. They have another strong class of freshmen that once again ranks among the best in the country. However, they’ll be facing an experienced and #3 ranked Kansas team. That experience will pay dividends in what will be the season opener for both teams. Bet on Kansas for a 5* wager. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics. Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan State 8:49 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (5*) I just love the way Texas Tech has competed during this NCAA Tournament. That’s especially the case on the defensive end of the floor. The Red Raiders have allowed a mere 57.0 points per game and held their opponents to 37.3% shooting during this NCAA Tournament march to the Final Four. That’s nothing new to Texas Tech fans who witnessed their team being #2 nationally in field goal percentage defense (36.9%) and #10 in 3-point defense (29.3%) this season. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -6 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*) The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Lipscomb vs. Texas 7:00 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Lipscomb +1.5 (5*) In case you haven’t heard of the Lipscomb Bison, they enter this NIT Championship Game with an outstanding 29-7 record. They own quality non-conference wins this season over SMU, TCU, Vermont, Davidson, UNC-Greensboro, NC State, and Wichita State. They also sustained narrow losses against NCAA Tournament teams Belmont and Louisville with each coming by a 4-point margin. This is a veteran Bison team that will also be seeking revenge stemming from last season’s 80-57 loss at Texas. Bet on Lipscomb plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1 | Top | 58-44 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*) This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting. TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*) Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players. Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | 75-80 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Purdue vs. Virginia 8:49 ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Purdue +4.5 (5*) Virginia has failed to cover in 2 of their 3 NCAA Tournament games. Furthermore, they barely earned their lone cover in a 12-point win as a 10.5-point favorite versus Oklahoma. On the other hand, Purdue has been exceptional in covering each of their first 3 games during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Additionally, during their previous 2 wins, the Boilermakers averaged 93.0 points scored per contest while shooting a sizzling hot 53.8%. Any Elite 8 underdog of 5.0 or less who covered in each of their last 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going an unblemished 10-0 ATS since the 2005 NCAA Tournament. Bet on Purdue plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%). Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Duke | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*) Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite. Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Michigan State | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
LSU vs. Michigan State 9:39 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: LSU +6.5 (5*) Despite losing their head coach Will Wade late in the year due to an indefinite suspension stemming from a rule’s infraction, LSU players haven’t let that affect their play on the court. The Tigers are an extremely profitable 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5. This is a very athletic and underrated LSU team. The Tigers have what it takes to give Michigan State all they can handle and then some. Play on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech +2 v. Michigan | Top | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*) Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games. Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma +11 v. Virginia | Top | 51-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*) Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Auburn -2 v. Kansas | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET Game# 849-850 Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*) Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor. Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Villanova v. Purdue -3.5 | 61-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Villanova vs. Purdue 8:40 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Purdue -3.5 (5*) St. Mary’s gave Villanova all they can handle in the opening round before falling 61-57 to the defending champs. It’s been quite apparent for quite some time now that this isn’t the same Villanova team which has captured 2 of the last 3 national championships. The Wildcats finished their regular season slate by going 3-6. They did win the Big East Tournament but 2 of their 3 wins came against teams not participating in this season’s Big Dance, and the other was by a slim 2-point margin over Seton Hall. Purdue has gone 17-4 in their last 21 games and entered the NCAA Tournament well rested after being upset in the Big 10 Tournament quarterfinals by Minnesota. As a matter of fact, all 4 of their losses during that previous 21-game stretch came against teams in the 68-team field. The Boilermakers are very good defensively and have held 6 of their last 9 opponents to less than 40% shooting. They will be facing a Villanova team today that has shot 41% or worse in 7 of its last 10 games. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Baylor +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 7:10 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Baylor +14.5 (5*) I’m not going to waste mine or your time trying to conjure up ways to poke holes in Gonzaga’s resume. Quite frankly, the Bulldogs have very little if any weaknesses. Baylor has gone a very profitable 11-4-1 ATS as an underdog this season. As a matter of fact, the Bears have gone an even better 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.0-point or more. Today will be far and away the biggest underdog that Baylor has been all season. Their previous high was as a 10.0-point underdog at Iowa State when the Bears walked off with a 73-69 upset win. It’s also worth noting, Baylor is 8-1 straight up during the past 2 seasons when playing their 2nd game in 3 days. Baylor has also recorded 7 wins this season against teams that made this year’s NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Gonzaga was just 4-3 versus teams in the 68-team field while going a perfect 27-0 versus those that failed to make it. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Wofford +6 v. Kentucky | 56-62 | Push | 0 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Wofford vs. Kentucky 2:40 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Wofford +6.0 (5*) Kentucky will once again be without P.J. Washington (foot) due to injury. Washington averages 14.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. The Wildcats didn’t miss him in the first round against an outmanned Abilene Christian team. However, Wofford will present a much tougher challenge. Wofford won’t be in awe of Kentucky or intimidated by the bright lights. Personally, I didn’t think they played their best against Seton Hall on Thursday but still walked off with a decisive 14-point win. Wofford is 30-4 this season and 3 of their only losses came against Kansas, Oklahoma, and Mississippi State who were all part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Wofford also won at South Carolina by 20. The Terriers have won 21 games in a row and have covered 8 straight contests. Wofford is one of the best shooting teams in the country and is 30-1 this season when they shoot 40% or better. Bet on Wofford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Arkansas v. Indiana -5 | 60-63 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 853-854 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) Indiana lost at Arkansas 73-72 earlier this season and did so as a 3.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers won their NIT opening round game by a score of 89-72 over St. Francis (Pa.) and managed to cover as a 16.0-point favorite. This sets up a very favorable betting angle supporting the favorite Hoosiers which is illustrated below. Any college basketball favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Indiana) that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from and away favorite straight up loss, and they’re coming off a cover as a double-digit favorite, resulted in those favorites going 32-10 ATS (76.2%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show |
Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*) Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests. Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4. Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-19 | Georgia State +12.5 v. Houston | 55-84 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgia State vs. Houston 7:20 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: Georgia State +12.5 (5*) Houston has shown to be a terrific team this season and may possibly even go deep in the tournament. However, Georgia State will be a very dangerous first round opponent and especially when being a double-digit underdog. Georgia State owns non-conference wins over St. Bonaventure who lost in the Atlantic 10 Final, East Tennessee State which was a NCAA Tournament bubble team and blew out Georgia by 24 on the road. The Panthers average 10 made three-point shots per game and have connected on 38.8% of those long-distance attempts on the season. The ability to make 3-point shots successfully is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. Georgia State defeated Texas-Arlington 73-65 in the Sun Belt Championship Game and held them to just 35.9% shooting. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS during the past 2 seasons following a game in which they held their opponents to 37% or worse shooting. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Washington +3 v. Utah State | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington vs. Utah State 6:50 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) The PAC-12 regular season champion Washington Huskies finds themselves as an underdog against arguably the 2nd best team from the Mountain West Conference. I realize that it’s been a down year for the PAC-12 but being an underdog in this game should provide plenty of incentive for the underdog Huskies. Washington loss in the PAC-12 Tournament Final to Oregon. However, the Huskies have gone a perfect 7-0 straight up this season following a loss. Washington has also been a huge money-maker under second year head coach Mike Hopkins. During his tenure, the Huskies have been an extremely profitable 38-20 ATS (65.5%). Washington will be facing a Utah State team that has shot a noteworthy 47.4% this season. Since 16, Washington is a perfect 12-0 ATS when facing an opponent which has a season shooting percentage of 45% or better. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -2 | 72-54 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Wisconsin 4:30 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (5*) Granted, Oregon has gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 games, and that includes winning 4 games in 4 days during last week’s PAC-12 Tournament. However, the level of competition in the PAC-12 compared to the Big 10 was far inferior this season. This is a very experienced Wisconsin team which has won 12 of their last 16 games. The Badgers have been solid defensively while allowing 67 points or fewer in 16 of its last 17 games. Bet on Wisconsin minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | Old Dominion v. Purdue -12.5 | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Old Dominion vs. Purdue 9:50 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Purdue -12.5 (5*) Old Dominion won the Colonial Conference Tournament but has really struggled offensively of late. During their previous 5 outings, ODU has scored only 56.4 points per game while shooting a miserable 36.4%. Conversely throughout their previous 5 contests, Purdue has allowed 62.4 points per game while holding its opponents to just 39.6% shooting while facing much stiffer competition compared to ODU. Purdue got off to a slow 6-5 start to the season. Since that time, they’ve gone 17-4. ODU will be able to hang around for awhile due to its stout play on the defensive end. However, Purdue will wear them down and pull away during the latter stages of this game. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | Northeastern v. Kansas -6 | 53-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Northeastern vs. Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 783-784 Play On: Kansas -6.0 (5*) Northeastern is the #13 seed in the Midwest Region and is currently on a 7-game win streak. However, all 7 of those wins came as a favorite against Colonial Conference competition. The Huskies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog this season. They’re also 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS this season versus 2019 NCAA Tournament teams (Vermont, Syracuse, Virginia Tech). Kansas is coming off a loss to Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament Finals. They’ve gone 7-1 this season following a loss. This is one of those rare years over the past 2 decades in which the Jayhawks enter the NCAA Tournament with just modest expectations. It’s also the first time in 13 years they were unable to capture a Big 12 regular season title. Beware of the wounded animal. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Kansas) that facing an opponent (Northeastern) that’s a #13 through #16 seed that’s coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in the favorites going 47-17 ATS (73.4%) since 1997. Bet on Kansas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State +6 v. Auburn | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*) Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-20-19 | Harvard +6.5 v. Georgetown | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Harvard @ Georgetown 7:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Harvard +6.5 (5*) This is a very experienced Harvard team that won’t be in awe of playing on the road against a major conference opponent. They’re coming off a disappointing 97-85 loss to Yale in the Ivy League Tournament Final. However, Harvard is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games following a loss. The Crimson is also an extremely profitable 7-1 ATS this season in true road games as an underdog of 9.5 or less. Georgetown has been plagued by inconsistency this season. You never know what Hoyas team is going to show up. The one who’s beaten the likes of Marquette and Villanova, or a team that recently (3/6) lost to DePaul by 32. Georgetown has lost 5 times at home this season and 4 of those defeats have come in the last 9. Bet on Harvard plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-19 | Dayton +4.5 v. Colorado | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Colorado 11:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Dayton +4.5 (5*) Something must give in this one. Dayton is 7-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season and that includes a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 away tilts. On the other hand, Colorado is an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home. Nevertheless, I like the consistency that Dayton has displayed on both ends of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, The Flyers are shooting an impressive 50% and have also allowed only 58.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, Dayton has shot 48% or better in 8 of their last 9 games. The Flyers are coming off an upset loss to St. Louis in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. Dayton is 8-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons following a straight up favorite loss and outscored their 9 opponents by an average of 10.0 points per game. Bet on Dayton plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-16-19 | Florida State +8 v. Duke | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*) Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake. Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-19 | Colorado +3.5 v. Washington | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*) Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests. Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-14-19 | CS-Northridge +5.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
CS-Northridge vs. UC-Santa Barbara 3:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: CS-Northridge +5.5 (5*) Northridge lost both of their regular season games against UCSB. However, those defeats came by narrow margins of 2 and 6 points which enabled them to cover on both occasions. Northridge has averaged 76.6 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 41.6% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. Conversely, UCSB has allowed their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.1% of its 3-point shots. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make a high percentage of their 3-point shots. Well, that certainly is applicable in this game. Bet on UC-Northridge plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-19 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Florida | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs. Florida 1:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Arkansas +3.5 (5*) Arkansas enters SEC Tournament action on a 3-game win streak. During that successful stretch Arkansas averaged 80.0 points scored per game while shooting a red-hot 50.3%. They closed their regular season slate out with an 82-70 home victory over Alabama. The Razorbacks are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season following a home win by 10 points or more. They outscored those 7 opponents by a decisive average of 10.7 points per contest. Arkansas will be facing a Florida team that comes into postseason play on a 3-game losing streak. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3.5 | 83-66 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Iowa State 12:30 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Baylor +3.5 (5*) Iowa State limps into the postseason by having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS during their previous 6 games. Baylor went 2-0 SU&ATS in their 2 regular games against Iowa State this season and held a huge 77-54 rebounding advantage in those contests. Throughout the past 2 seasons, Iowa State has gone a dismal 1-8 straight up when playing with same season revenge. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | Oklahoma State +4.5 v. TCU | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. TCU Game# 667-668 Play On: Oklahoma State +4.5 (5*) TCU has lost 2 of their last 3 and 6 of its previous 8 games. The Horned Frogs are a dismal 0-5 ATS during their last 5 games as a favorite. Oklahoma State has covered in 4 straight and won their last 2 games straight up. Oklahoma State went 1-1 against TCU during regular season action but covered on both occasions. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | Massachusetts v. George Washington +4.5 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
George Washington vs. Massachusetts 1:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: George Washington +4.5 (5*) Let’s face it, both these teams stink, and it’s highly unlikely that either will advance beyond the next round. However, one of these teams is going to cover this contest. Massachusetts has gone an abysmal 1-12 ATS this season as a favorite and was outscored in those contests by 4.3 points per outing. The Minutemen will be facing a GW teams which is being outscored by 8.4 points per game this season. Nevertheless, they’re 0-10 ATS during the past 2 seasons when facing teams that are being outscored by 4.0 or more points per game. GW has committed 9 turnovers or fewer in each of their previous 3 appearances. The Colonials are a very profitable 7-1 ATS this season after committing 14 turnovers or less in each of its last 3 games. Bet on George Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-19 | Villanova v. Seton Hall +3.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Seton Hall 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Seton Hall +3.5 (5*) Villanova has gone into bit of a late season swoon. As a matter of fact, the defending national champions have lost 4 straight road games. Conversely, Seton Hall has won 4 of its last 5 at home. The Pirates will be out to revenge an 80-52 blowout loss at Villanova earlier this season. Bet on Seton Hall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-19 | Manhattan v. Canisius -4 | 65-69 | Push | 0 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Manhattan vs. Canisius 9:30 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: Canisius -4.0 (5*) This is Metro Athletic Association Conference Tournament quarterfinal game. These teams split the 2 regular season games played against one another with the road team winning on each occasion. Canisius will have a decided advantage tonight based on rest. The Golden Griffins haven’t played since last Friday’s 68-62 win over Siena. That victory improved their MAAC record to a very respectable 11-7. Conversely, Manhattan is coming off yesterday’s first round 57-53 upset win over Fairfield. The Jaspers will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days. Bet on Canisius minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-06-19 | St Bonaventure +5 v. Davidson | 46-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: St. Bonaventure +5.0 (5*) St. Bonaventure enters today’s contest riding an impressive 6-game win streak. The Bonnies are also 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 road games and won by a decisive 12.6 points per contest. They will be out to revenge a 75-66 home loss to Davidson back on 2/1. The Bonnies have been highly efficient offensively and extremely stout defensively throughout their current winning run. Davidson is just 2-2 in their last 4 including 0-2 SU&ATS following a win. Bet on St. Bonaventure plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-05-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wright State -8.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
IUPUI @ Wright State 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Wright State -8.5 (10*) IUPUI has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. IUPUI has been terrible on the defensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.9% and that includes an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Wright State team tonight that’s made an impressive 48.4% of its field goal attempts over their last 5 outings. Wright State is also a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and already has defeated IUPUI twice during regular season action. Bet on Wright State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-04-19 | Texas +8 v. Texas Tech | 51-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Texas +8.0 (5*) I used Texas on Saturday during their blowout win over Iowa State and let’s come right back to them tonight. Texas was a sizzling hot 15-25 (60%) from 3-point range during that victory. The Longhorns are just 5-4 during their last 9 games. However, they covered on 8 of those 9 occasions, and their 4 losses came by a combined 12 points. Texas will also be out to revenge a 6-point home loss to Texas Tech earlier this season. Texas Tech is an outstanding defensive team that’s allowing 58.4 points per game while holding opponents to a paltry 36.7% shooting this season. They will be facing a Texas team this evening that’s made 44.3% of its free throw attempts this season. Any college basketball road underdog that’s shooting 42.5 to 45.0 from the field for the season, and they made 50% or better of their 3-popint shots during their previous game, versus a team holding their opponents to 40% or worse shooting for the season, resulted in those road underdogs going 32-10 ATS (76.2%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 42 contests was 8.3. Bet on Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-19 | Michigan v. Maryland +1.5 | 69-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Maryland 3:345 No analysis today. |
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03-02-19 | Iowa State v. Texas +1 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas 2:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Texas +1.0 (5*) Iowa State is coming off a 78-61 win over Oklahoma in their previous game. However, the Cyclones are a dismal 1-6 straight up during the past 2 seasons following a conference win by 10 points or more. Despite the Oklahoma win, Iowa State is an uninspiring 2-3 straight up in their last 5 and failed to cover 5 of its previous 7 games. Texas will be out to revenge a 65-60 loss at Iowa State earlier this season. The Longhorns have gone just 4-4 in their last 8 games but covered on 7 of those 8 occasions. Their 4 straight up losses in that span have come by only a combined 15 points. Texas is an impressive 9-1 during Saturday home games throughout the past 2 seasons. Bet on Texas for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-19 | Washington State +8.5 v. Stanford | Top | 50-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Washington State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Washington State +8.5 (10*) No analysis on this game. |
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02-27-19 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Marquette @ Villanova 9:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Villanova -5.0 (5*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-27-19 | Duquesne v. St Bonaventure -6.5 | 47-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure 7:30 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: St. Bonaventure -6.5 (5*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-27-19 | Tennessee v. Ole Miss +6 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET Game# 795-796 Play On: Mississippi +6.0 (5*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-26-19 | San Diego State v. Utah State -8 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:30 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Utah State -8.0 (10*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-23-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV +1 | Top | 60-59 | Push | 0 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
San Diego State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: UNLV +1.0 (10*) San Diego State is coming off a huge home upset win as an 8.0-point underdog over #6 ranked Nevada 924-2) in their previous game. The Aztecs will be facing another elite Mountain West Conference team in Utah State (21-6) next. Sandwiched between is tonight’s contest versus 15-11 UNLV. This certainly shapes up as a flat spot for the Aztecs. Speaking of UNLV, they’re currently on a modest 3-game win streak. The Rebels will be out to revenge a 17-point loss at San Diego State earlier this season. Despite that decisive defeat, the game was clearly decided by free throws. San Diego State was able toi get to the charity stripe 30 times and made 24 of those attempts. Conversely, UNLV was awarded just 14 free throws and converted only 6 of those attempts. That’s a highly unlikely scenario to occur again. Bet on UNLV for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-23-19 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -2.5 | 53-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
North Texas @ Louisiana Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Louisiana Tech -2.5 (5*) North Texas got off to a great start to the season but has recently sputtered. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. During that stretch, North Texas scored just an average of 55.0 points per game while shooting a miserable 36.5% from the field. Louisiana Tech has gone a perfect 14-0 at home this season. That unblemished home mark can’t be ignored considering the small number they’re being asked to cover. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered all 7 of their conference games played at home. Louisiana Tech will also be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season 4-point loss at North Texas. Bet on Louisiana Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-19 | Towson v. Northeastern -11.5 | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Towson State @ Northeastern 12:30 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Northeastern -11.5 (5*) Towson State is coming off a 91-82 overtime loss at Hofstra. However, they covered that contest as a 14.0-point underdog. Conversely, Northeastern suffered a 75-72 upset loss at Towson State on 1/24 in a game they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. The combination of these 2 results sets up an extremely profitable college basketball betting angle which is shown below. Any college basketball favorite (Northeastern) that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss as a favorite of 7.0-points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Towson State) who’s coming off a straight up loss but covered as an underdog, resulted in those home teams going 22-3 ATS (88%) during the past 5 seasons. There was an average point-spread in those 25 contests of 12.3 and the favorite win by 18.1 points per game. Bet on Northeastern minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-20-19 | New Mexico v. Utah State -14.5 | Top | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
New Mexico @ Utah State 11:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Utah State -14.5 (10*) New Mexico has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 Mountain West Conference road games. The Lobos lost those 5 contests by a decisive average margin of 18.4 points per game. Utah State is 11-1 at home this season and has outscored their opponents by a massive average of 21.7 points per game in those 12 contests. Utah State has converted on a superb 43.1% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-18-19 | Illinois +10 v. Wisconsin | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Wisconsin 8:00 PM ET Game# 853-854 Play On: Illinois +10.0 (10*) Wisconsin has traditionally owned one of the strongest home court advantages in all of college basketball. However, the Badgers are just 3-3 over their last 6 games played in Madison. They’ll also be entering tonight’s contest having lost 2 in a row. After beginning the season by losing 14 of its first 19 games this young and extremely talented Illinois team has really started to gel of late. The Illini are 5-1 in their last 6 and that includes a current 4-game win streak. Illinois is coming off a 63-56 upset win at Ohio State in their previous game. They’ve also defeated nationally ranked Michigan State and Maryland during this recent hot run. Bet on Illinois plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-16-19 | Fresno State -2 v. New Mexico | Top | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Fresno State @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*) New Mexico has gone an uninspiring 7-6 at home this season. The Lobos are coming off a 92-60 win at Mountain West cellar dweller San Jose State. However, they’ve gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. As a matter of fact, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10 overall and 2 of those wins came against opponents (San Jose State/Wyoming) who’ve combined to go an abysmal 9-38 this season. Fresno State is 16-4 in their last 20 and that includes 5-1 during true road games. They’re also 4-1 in their previous 5 games with their lone defeat coming by 1 against a very good 19-6 Utah State team. Thru that 5-game stretch, Fresno State has shot a stellar 47.8% and made an outstanding 40.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-16-19 | Temple v. South Florida -1 | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Temple @ South Florida 6:00 Game# 697-698 Play On: South Florida -1.0 (5*) After beginning the season by winning 14 of its first 17 games, Temple has gone just 4-4 during their previous 8 contests. The Owls have shot a terrible 35.7% throughout their previous 3 road games. South Florida is a stellar 13-2 at home this season. As a matter of fact, the Bulls are 10-1 in its last 11 at home and their only loss came against #9 Houston. South Florida will be out to revenge a narrow 2-point loss at Temple earlier this season. The Bulls were a miserable 10-25 from the free throw line during that defeat and ultimately that cost them the game. That’s highly unlikely to occur once again. Bet on South Florida for a 5* wager. |
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02-16-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Nebraska-Omaha -3.5 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
IPFW @ Nebraska-Omaha 5:30 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Nebraska-Omaha -3.5 (5*) IPFW is a terrible defensive team. They’ve allowed 81 points or more in 6 of its last 8 and 8 of their previous 11 games. That’s not good news considering their opponent this evening has shot 50% or better in 5 of its last 7 contests. IPFW is coming off a 94-81 win at Denver in their previous game. However, they’re 2-13 ATS during over the last 3 seasons after allowing 80 points or more in their previous game. Omaha is coming off an 85-84 upset win over South Dakota State on Thursday night. They overcame a 16-point 2nd half deficit in that contest against the Summit Conference’s best team. Omaha has ow gone a red-hot 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 games. Bet on Nebraska-Omaha minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-16-19 | Clemson +6.5 v. Louisville | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Louisville 12:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Clemson +6.5 (5*) Louisville is coming off a deflating 71-69 home loss to Duke in a game they blow a seemingly insurmountable 23-point lead with 10 minutes left to play. The Cardinals have now lost 3 of their last 4 albeit against all nationally ranked opponents. Nevertheless, I can’t imagine there won’t be a lingering effect as a result of their complete meltdown against Duke. Clemson is 4-2 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Their only 2 losses during that stretch came by a combined 3 points at NC State and at Miami. The 15-9 Tigers are desperate for some signature wins if they hope to make the NCAA Tournament. They’ll have ample opportunity to do so against Top 25 teams Louisville and Florida State in their next 2 games. As I previously alluded to, Clemson may be catching Louisville at a most opportune time. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-15-19 | Monmouth v. Rider -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Monmouth @ Rider 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Rider -7.5 (10*) This qualifies as one of those situations in which using a contrarian approach would is the most logical thing to do. Monmouth has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games played. One of those wins was over Rider and they do so as a 4.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Rider is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests. As a matter of fact, Rider has failed to cover in 9 straight games. Yet, Rider opened as a 5.5-point favorite and it’s since moved to 7.5 despite better than 60% wagers being made on Monmouth thus far. If it looks like a trap and seems like a trap, then it’s a trap. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-09-19 | Wisconsin +6 v. Michigan | 52-61 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Wisconsin +6.0 (5*) Wisconsin has gone a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 games. The Badgers have converted on an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point attempts over their last 5 contests. During that same 5-game stretch, they’ve held opponents to a paltry 53.8 points scored per outing, 34.6% shooting, and 25.8% from 3-point territory. That would seem to bode well against a Michigan team which has shot just 38.7% throughout their previous 5 games. The Badgers are 12-4 ATS in conference road games the past 2 seasons and that includes 4-1 SU&ATS during this 2018-2019 campaign. Bet on Wisconsin plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-06-19 | LSU +3 v. Mississippi State | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
LSU @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 823-824 Play On: LSU +3.0 (5*) Mississippi State is coming off an emotional 6-point win at Ole Miss in their last game. That victory avenged their only home loss they suffered this season. Today’s game is a very probable flat spot for the Bulldogs. LSU is coming off a home 80-79 upset loss to Arkansas. That snapped the Tigers 10-game win streak. LSU has gone a perfect 4-0 in conference away contests this season and won by an average of 10.3 points per game. The Tigers have averaged an enormous 31 free throws per contest over their previous 5 outings and made an extremely impressive 81.9% of those attempts. By the way, Mississippi State has allowed teams to average 24 free throw attempts per game throughout their last 5 outings. During that previously mentioned 5-game stretch, LSU has an eye-popping +11 rebound per game advantage over their opponents. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-06-19 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +2.5 | 56-51 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (5*) Minnesota is a 12-1 at home this season. That alone certainly provides home underdog betting value. The Gophers are coming off a 73-63 loss to Purdue in their previous game. Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 this season following a loss. The Gophers are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games this season as an underdog and they won 3 of those contests straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-06-19 | Notre Dame +3.5 v. Miami-FL | 47-62 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Miami 7:00 PM ET Game# 783-784 Play On: Notre Dame +3.5 (5*) Miami has lost 8 of its last 9 games and that includes each of their previous 5. Their only win over that span came over a Wake Forest team which is currently 2-8 in ACC action. The Hurricanes are 1-5 straight up at home this season in lined game, and their only win came against you guessed it, Wake Forest. Notre Dame has failed to cover in 6 of their last 8 games. However, Miami is 1-8 straight up this season when facing teams that failed to cover in 4 or 5 of their previous 6 games. Notre Dame snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 79-73 win at Boston College in their previous game. That victory improved their season record to 12-10 (.545). Any road team (Notre Dame) that’s failed to cover 6 or 7 of their previous 8 games, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Miami) with a losing record, resulted in those road teams going 37-11 ATS (77.1%) during the previous 5 seasons. Those underdogs also won 31 of those 48 contests straight up. Bet on Notre Dame plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-05-19 | Kansas v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Kansas State -2.5 (10*) Kansas is 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 true road games. This is a Kansas State team that is finally healthy and returned 5 starters from a team that advanced to an NCAA Tournament Regional Final last March. The Wildcats appear to be peaking in time for another late season run. Bet on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-02-19 | Syracuse -3 v. Pittsburgh | 65-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh 6:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Syracuse -3.0 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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01-29-19 | Kansas v. Texas -1 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Texas -1.0 (10*) These teams met a little over 2 weeks ago in Lawrence, and Kansas walked away with a narrow 80-78 win. Texas is coming off a disappointing 98-88 loss at Georgia in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite. Any college basketball team (Texas) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-5 SU&ATS (84.4%) since 1997. Bet on Texas for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-26-19 | Arizona State +1.5 v. USC | 67-69 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ USC 8:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Arizona State +1.5 (5*) There will be no analysis provided today. |
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01-21-19 | Old Dominion v. Charlotte +7.5 | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Old Dominion @ Charlotte 4:00 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Charlotte +7.5 (5*) Charlotte has gone just 2-3 during its previous 5 games and they’re 5-12 (.294) for the season. However, they covered each of those contests and their 3 straight up losses al came by 3 points or less. Throughout their last 4 contests, Charlotte has allowed a mere 58.0 points per game, and held their opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. Charlotte has also converted on an impressive 40.9% of their 3-point attempts over its last 5 games. Old Dominion enters today with a sparkling 14-5 record and this looks to be a potential flat spot for the Monarchs. Any college basketball underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Charlotte), coming off a straight up win by 10 or more and did so as an underdog of 6.0-points or greater, and they have a win percentage of .200 to .400, versus an opponent with a winning record, resulted in those underdogs going 47-17 ATS (73.4%) since 1997. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-19-19 | Kentucky v. Auburn -4 | 82-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Auburn 4:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Auburn -4.0 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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01-19-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -7.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse 2:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Syracuse -7.5 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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01-16-19 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -8 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Georgia Tech @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Clemson -8.0 (10*) Granted, Clemson has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games. However, those losses have come against #1 Duke, #2 Virginia, and Syracuse who just upset Duke as a 17.0-point underdog this past Monday. The Tigers average just 55 field goal attempts per game. Georgia Tech is coming off an upset win at Syracuse last Saturday which improved their season record to 10-6. The Yellowjackets have held their last 2 opponents to a mere 31% and 29% shooting for the game. Any favorite (Clemson) that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) playing after game 15 of their season that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, and they held each of their last 2 opponents to 37% shooting or worse, resulted in those favorites going 23-4 ATS during the past 5 seasons. |
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01-15-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss -3.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
LSU @ Mississippi 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Mississippi -3.5 (10*) This will be just the 2nd true road game of the season for LSU. The Tigers lost by 6 at Houston in their only other away contest. Ole Miss is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 20.1 points per game. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is a red-hot 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games overall while winning by 15.2 points per contest. Some will have the concern that the Rebels are coming off an upset win at in state rival Mississippi State in their previous game. However, this is a team that’s proved their preseason critics to be completely wrong thus far and is playing with a massive chip on their shoulders. I’m riding the hot hand. Bet on Mississippi minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +6 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Florida State @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 869-870 Play On: Pittsburgh +6.0 (10*) Florida State has struggled offensively during 1-2 start in ACC play by shooting a dismal 39.4% and making only 27.0% of its 3-point attempts. The Seminoles are coming off of Saturday’s 80-78 home loss to Duke. Florida State has gone 0-6 ATS on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home game in which both teams scored 75 points or more. Pittsburgh enters with a very respectable 11-5 record and that includes a profitable 11-4 ATS (73.3%) mark. The Panthers have been stout defensively throughout its previous 5 games by holding opponents to 40.9% shooting and allowing them to make just 27.4% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-19 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Auburn @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: Mississippi +3.5 (10*) No analysis today. |
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01-05-19 | BYU v. St. Mary's -7 | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
BYU @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: St. Mary’s -7.0 (5*) Both teams enter this contest with 9-7 (.563) records. However, St. Mary’s is much better than their record may indicate. The Gaels have seen their last 6 losses all come by 6 points or less. Furthermore, St. Mary’s is 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home and they won by a lopsided average of 23.6 points per game. BYU has allowed an enormous 87 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, the Cougars have gone over the total in their last 2 contests by a convincing 21.0 and 29.5 points. Any college basketball home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (St. Mary’s) that has a win percentage of .510 to .600, facing an opponent (BYU) which also has a win percentage of .510 to .600 and who went over the total by 12 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 30-8 ATS (78.9%) since 1997. Bet on St. Mary’s minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Colorado @ Arizona State 6:00 ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Arizona State -6.5 (10*) Colorado has scored 68 or less and allowed 70 points or less in each of its previous 3 games. The Buffalos are averaging 77.8 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Arizona State is allowing 73.9 points per game. This sets up a terrific college basketball ATS betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home favorite that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game, versus an opponent 9Colorado) that allows 74 to 78 points per games and they’re come off 3 straight outing in which both teams scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1997. The average line in those 28 contests was 6.4 and the favorite outscored those underdogs by 14.6 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-18 | Penn State v. Duquesne +5.5 | 73-67 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Duquesne 7:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Duquesne +5.5 (5*) Penn State is 0-2 SU&ATS in their only true road games played to this point. As a matter of fact, the Nittany Lions have lost 3 of their last 4 and failed to cover on each occasion. Duquesne is a perfect 8-0 at home this season. The Dukes are also an unscathed 6-0 ATS during the last 2 seasons as a home underdog of 6.0-points or less. Bet on Duquesne plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State +8 v. Wichita State | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State @ Wichita State 8:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Jacksonville State +8.0 (5*) This is a decent Wichita State team but no where near the caliber of where they’ve been over the past decade. The Shockers have already sustained a loss at home this season during a 13-point defeat at the hands of Louisiana Tech. The Shockers enjoy playing an up-tempo style which is evidenced by their average of 61 field goal attempts per game. They’ll have a willing dance partner tonight in Jacksonville State that also is hoisting up 61 shot attempts per contest. Jacksonville State began the season by losing its first 3 games. Since that time, they’ve won 5 straight and cover in all 3 lined games during that stretch. They’ve also held each of their last 3 opponents to 35.8% shooting or worse. Any college basketball road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s held each of their previous 2 opponents to a 37% or worse field foal shooting percentage, and each team in the contest is averaging 60 or more shot attempts per game, resulted in those road underdogs going 29-6 ATS (82.9%) since 1997. Those road underdogs also went a stellar 22-13 straight up in those contests. Bet on Jacksonville State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-04-18 | South Dakota State +4 v. Memphis | 80-88 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
South Dakota State @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: South Dakota State +4.0 (5*) |
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12-04-18 | Wofford +16.5 v. Kansas | 47-72 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Wofford @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Wofford +16.5 (5*) |
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12-04-18 | Miami-FL v. Pennsylvania +6.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Penn 7:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Penn +6.5 (5*) |
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11-28-18 | Montana +7 v. Creighton | Top | 72-98 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 799-780 Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*) Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain. Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games. Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Villanova 8:49 PM ET Game# 813-814 Play On: Villanova -5.0 (5*) Villanova is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the country. However, what often gets overlooked is their ability to lock down defensively. Through 4 NCAA Tournament games, the Wildcats are giving up 64.0 points per contest and have allowed their opponents to shoot a miserable 36.7%. Conversely, Kansas has allowed 76 points or more during their previous 3 NCAA Tournament wins. In a NCAA Tournament that’s been filled with plenty of surprises, Villanova and Kansas have held true to form as the #1 seeds in their regions. Villanova has a decisive +16.4 point per game differential this season while Kansas isn’t to bad either at +10.1. Any favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Villanova) that’s facing an opponent (Kansas) which has allowed 75 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and both teams have a point per game differential of +8.0 or more for the season, resulted in those favorites going 56-21 ATS since 1997. The average line in those 77 contests was 6.0 and the favorites outscored those underdogs by an average of 10.6 points per game. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan | Top | 57-69 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
Loyola-Chicago vs. Michigan 6:09 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Loyola-Chicago +5.5 (10*) The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are the true definition of a Cinderella darling. However, when looking inside the numbers, there’s nothing fluky about how they arrived at the Final Four. The Ramblers are 32-5 and that includes 21-1 in their last 22 in addition to a current 14-game win streak. Even more impressive is their 4-0 SU&ATS record this season against power conference teams (Florida, Miami, Tennessee, Kansas State) with all those victories coming as an underdog. Furthermore, they’ve gone 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in lined games this season. Loyola has shot a red-hot 52.5% in their 4 NCAA Tournament games. During those 4 NCAA Tournament wins, Loyola has allowed 28 points or less in the first half in each of those contests. The Ramblers are 11-0 ATS (+12.1 PPG) following 2 straight games in which they allowed 30 points or less in the first half. Bet on Loyola plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-18 | Illinois-Chicago +9.5 v. Northern Colorado | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Illinois-Chicago @ Northern Colorado 7:00 ET Game# 781-782 Play On: Illinois-Chicago +9.5 (5*) Illinois-Chicago is coming off a 67-51 win at Liberty on Wednesday, and they did so as a 4.58-point underdog. They’ve now gone a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 true road games. Both teams in this matchup have shot the ball extremely well of late. One key handicapping component which can’t be overlooked in this CIT Championship Game is free throw shooting. Northern Colorado has allowed its last 5 opponents 24 free throw attempts per game. Over their last 5 games, Illinois-Chicago has made an outstanding 76.2% of its free throws. Meanwhile, Northern Colorado has converted just 59.8% of their free throws during their last 5 outings. Any road team that’s playing in March and is coming off a straight up underdog win by 15 points or more has gone 55-21 ATS (72.4%) since 1997. The road team average line in those 74 games was +6.4. The road team also won straight up on 37 of those occasions. |
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03-29-18 | Penn State v. Utah +4 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Utah 7:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Utah +4.0 (5*) It’s ironic that the 2 most maligned power conference this season are represented in the NIT Final. Both teams are playing extremely well, but I’m convinced the betting value lies with the underdog in this spot. Utah is 10-2 during its last 12 games. During their last 5 games the Utes have shot a stellar 50.2% and made 39.2% of its 3-point attempts. Utah has been stout defensively during that identical 5-game span by allowing just 64.0 points per contest while permitting their opponents to shoot a combined 39.2%. The good news for Penn State is they’ve knocked down 40.2% of their 3-point shots over their last 5 games. The bad news is they’ll be facing a Utah team that’s limiting its last 5 opponents to a mere 31.0% from 3-point territory. Bet on Utah plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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