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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-30-17 | Middle Tennessee -1 v. UAB | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State @ UAB 5:00 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -1.0 (5*) MTSU is 8-4 to start the season. However, all 4 of their losses came by 6 points or less versus quality teams in Miami Fla., USC, Auburn, and Belmont. The Blue Raiders are also a perfect 4-0 in true road games. This is a battle tested club that’s been to the past 2 NCAA Tournaments and accounted themselves extremely well. UAB is 8-0 at home this season. Nonetheless, they’ve feasted on weak competition, and their strength of schedule has been vastly inferior in comparison to MTSU. |
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12-30-17 | Villanova v. Butler +5 | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Butler 4:00 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Butler +5.0 (5*) Butler has traditionally had one of the stronger home courts in college basketball throughout the past decade. This year has been no different as the Bulldogs are a perfect 8-0 at home at Cole Field House, and that includes 6-1 ATS in lined games. Butler has averaged 86.5 points per game, shot a blistering 53.8% from the floor, and converted a very good 39.8% of their 3-point attempts on its home floor this season. I’m not going to poke holes in the 13-0 and top ranked Villanova Wildcats. However, they’ve yet to be seriously tested in anything resembling a close game this season. Bet on Butler plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1.5 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ William & Mary 4:00 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: William & Mary -1.5 (5*) William & Mary is capable of being an explosive offensive team and especially at home. They’re a perfect 5-0 at home this season and have outscored those opponents by an average of 25.0 points per game while averaging 101.0 points per contest, shooting 58% from the floor, and making an off the charts 55.9% of their 3-point tries. Hofstra has played the tougher schedule thus far in comparison to William & Mary. Nevertheless, they’ve suffered 2 bad losses to Siena and Manhattan. Bet on William & Mary for a 5* wager. |
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12-28-17 | Oakland -1.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Oakland @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Oakland -1.5 (5*) Oakland is coming off an 86-81 win over Eastern Michigan in their previous game. Oakland has a +0.3 point per game differential this season, and Wisconsin-Milwaukee is +0.1. Any road favorite or pick (Oakland) that’s coming off a game in which there was a combined 155 points or more that were scored, and both teams have a +3.5 to -3.5 point per game differential, resulted in those road teams going 24-4 ATS (85.7%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 28 contests was 2.9, and the road teams had a comfortable +9.9 points per game differential. Bet on Oakland for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-17 | North Texas +8.5 v. Georgetown | 63-75 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
North Texas @ Georgetown 7:05 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: North Texas +8.5 (5*) Georgetown benefitted from a cream puff of a schedule on their way to an 0-8 start. They finally were given a stern test this past Saturday at home against unranked Syracuse. The Hoys blew a 16-point 2nd half lead in that contest, and eventually lost in overtime. During the past 2 seasons, Georgetown has been a dismal 4-16 ATS at home, and that includes 0-5 ATS this season. Georgetown has scored 76 points or more in 8 straight games. North Texas is coming off an 86-83 upset win at San Diego in their last game, and they accomplished that feat as a 10.0-point underdog. The Mean Green has scored 79 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Any road underdog of 3.5 to 8.5-points (North Texas), coming off 3 straight games in which they scored 75 points or more, versus an opponent (Georgetown) coming off 4 straight games that they scored 75 points or more, resulted in those road underdogs going a very profitable 28-8 ATS (77.8%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-17 | South Dakota +7.5 v. UCLA | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
South Dakota @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: South Dakota +7.5 (5*) was way overrated to start the year, and the off the court issues which involved the suspension of 3 players has surely had a somewhat negative impact on them. UCLA enters tonight on a 2-game losing streak, and faces #6 Kentucky on Saturday. This is a very good South Dakota team that currently owns a stellar 11-3 record. As a mater of fact, their only losses came by 5 at presently undefeated TCU, to Northern Colorado by 1, and accounted themselves very well in a 16-point loss at Duke. It wouldn’t shock me in the least to see an upset at Pauley Pavilion, but I’ll take advantage of this generous point-spread for an additional bonus. Bet on South Dakota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-17 | Western Illinois v. Eastern Illinois -4.5 | 77-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois 8:30 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Eastern Illinois -4.5 (5*) This will be just the 3rd home game of the season for Eastern Illinois, and they’ll be looking to revenge an earlier season 56-54 loss at Western Illinois. Eastern Illinois has clearly faced a tougher non-conference schedule than Western Illinois has, and that will pay dividends in tonight’s game. Don’t be fooled by the lousy 2-7 record of Eastern Illinois. They saw 4 of those defeats come by 4 points or less. This is an Eastern Illinois team that sustained narrow defeats at Nebraska by 4 and by 3 at Marquette in overtime. Bet on Eastern Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-17 | Belmont +6.5 v. Western Kentucky | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Belmont @ Western Kentucky 8:00 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Belmont +6.5 (5*) Belmont is coming off 2 straight wins by scores of 82-63 over Wisconsin-Milwaukee and 79-62 versus Pepperdine. Belmont has more than held its own against power conferences teams this season. They own a win over Vanderbilt, lost at Providence by 1, lost by 4 at Washington, and played currently undefeated TCU very tough in an 11-point road loss. Belmont has averaged making 12 three-point shots per game over its last 5 contests. Conversely, Western Kentucky has allowed their last 5 opponents to convert on 40.7% of their three-point shots. The three-point shot is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. Bet on Belmont plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Fresno State -2 | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Oregon @ Fresno State 6:00 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*) This is still a good Oregon team. However, they’re not one of the high caliber Ducks that we’ve witnessed in recent season. Today will be Oregon’s first true road game of the season. Fresno State is an experienced club that will up the challenge of hosting a power conference team. Fresno is 6-0 at home this season and had an average victory margin of 18.9 points per game. The Bulldogs offensive numbers thus far have been extremely impressive. They also play solid defense in allowing a mere 62.2 points per game. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-12-17 | Albany NY +1.5 v. Memphis | 58-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Albany @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Albany +1.5 (5*) Memphis is a very deceiving 6-2 thus far. The Tigers barley eked out home wins against Northern Kentucky by 2, Mercer by 2, and Samford by 1. Conversely, many would be surprised to find out that Albany is 10-1 this season, and has been dynamic offensively. Granted, they’ve done so against a very soft schedule, but they’ll be the more inspired team tonight. This point-spread says it all to me, and I’m sure many will fall for the trap of taking the team with the more recognizable brand. Play on Albany for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-17 | Minnesota v. Arkansas -4 | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Arkansas 6:45 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Arkansas -4.0 (5*) Minnesota got off to a hot start but has cooled of late. The Gophers have lost 2 of their last 3 games. They were a favorite in each of those defeats against Miami Fla. and in their previous outing at Nebraska. Arkansas is a perfect 4-0 at home to start the year, and they covered on 3 of those occasions. They’ve defeated Oklahoma by 9, Connecticut by 35, and Bucknell (Patriot League favorite) by 28. This is an explosive Razorbacks to that averages 87.2 points scored per game and makes a stellar 39.9% of their 3-point attempts. Arkansas will also be out to revenge last season’s 85-71 loss at Minnesota. Bet on Arkansas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-17 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | Top | 78-66 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Wichita State @ Oklahoma State 4:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Oklahoma State +5.5 (10*) There’s no denying how good Wichita State is. So, I won’t waste time poking holes in a team that has very few flaws. However, I do choose to recognize the betting value on the home underdog in this contest. Oklahoma State is 6-0 at home this season, and has an average victory margin of 26 points per game. Oklahoma State’s lone loss this season came against nationally ranked Texas A&M. This game will go right down to the wire, and the points we’re being afforded on the home underdog will come in quite handy. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary +15 v. Ohio State | 62-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
William & Mary @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: William & Mary +15.0 (5*) William & Mary enters this contest on a 5-game win streak. The Tribe has converted on a superb 47.3% of its 3-point shots this season, and that’s good for #2 nationally in that specific category. They say the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is the ability to knock down shots. If that’s indeed the case, then William & Mary fits the profile. During this current win streak, William & Mary pulled off a pair of upset wins against George Mason and Old Dominion. Ohio State opened their Big 10 Conference schedule this past week by defeating Michigan and at Wisconsin. As a matter of fact, they won those 2 previous games quite handedly. It would be hard for me to imagine the Buckeyes being mentally sharp when hosting a mid-major immediately after winning 2 conference games. Bet on William & Mary plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Akron +2 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
IUPU-Fort Wayne @ Akron 7:00 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Akron +2.0 (5*) There’s ample betting value on the home side in my eyes. Akron is a perfect 3-0 at home this season, and Fort Wayne is 1-3 SU&ATS in true road games. Lastly, Akron is a sizable +4.4 over Fort Wayne regarding my strength of schedule ratings. Bet on Akron for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-17 | Texas A&M -1 v. Arizona | 64-67 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Texas A&M vs Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Texas A&M -1.0 (5*) There were high expectations for Arizona headed into this season, but those high hopes have simmered a bit after the Wildcats went 0-3 SU&ATS in a 3-day period at the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. The Wildcats just barely squeaked out a 3-point overtime win at UNLV in their previous game. The #7 Texas A&M Aggies are the real deal. They have a nice blend of experience and youth that’s led them to a 7-0 record thus far. The Aggies own quality wins over West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Penn State, and USC. Bet on Texas A&M for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-17 | South Dakota State +19 v. Wichita State | 85-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
South Dakota State @ Wichita State 8:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: South Dakota State +19.0 (5*) This shapes up to be a trap game for Wichita State. The Shockers are coming off a 69-62 win at #23 Baylor in their previous game, they’ll travel go on the road to take on a very formidable Oklahoma State team next. South Dakota State already owns wins over Iowa and Ole Miss this season. However, they’re coming off a disappointing 73-53 loss to Missouri State as a 2.5-point home favorite. By the way, South Dakota State won at Missouri State earlier this season. Any road underdog of 10.0 to 19.5-points, coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 15 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a road win, resulted in those road underdogs going 35-11 (76.1%) since 1997. Play on South Dakota State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-17 | Vermont +3.5 v. Marquette | 81-91 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Vermont @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Vermont +3.5 (5*) Marquette is a terrible defensive team that relies heavily on its 3-point shooting prowess. Recently they barely escaped with a 3-point overtime win against Eastern Illinois, and they didn’t come close to covering as an 18.0-point home favorite. In their most recent outing, Marquette lost by 7 at home to Georgia in a game they were a 6.0-point favorite. Marquette is allowing their opponents to shoot 48.4% from the field this season. This is a better than advertised and very experienced Vermont team. The Catamounts are 6-2 which includes a narrow 4-point loss at Kentucky in their season opener. They won’t be intimidated by playing a power conference school on the road, and I base that on that near upset before better than 23,000 at Rupp Arena in Lexington. Bet on Vermont plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-04-17 | Florida State +10 v. Florida | 83-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Florida 9:00 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Florida State +10.0 (5*) Florida State is off to a 6-0 start, and they’ve scored 78 points or more in each of their last 4 games. Florida is 5-1 with its only loss coming by a narrow 3-point margin against top ranked Duke. The Gators have scored 84 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Despite their offensive explosiveness, Florida is also allowing an alarming 80.7 points per game. Any road underdog (Florida State) that’s scored 75 points or more in 2 straight contests, and is facing an opponent (Florida) who’s scored 80 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those road underdogs going 74-35 ATS (67.9%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-17 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Kansas | Top | 60-76 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Syracuse vs. Kansas 5:30 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Syracuse +10.5 (10*) Kansas is a terrific 3-point shooting team that’s converting on better than 45% of its long-range attempts. However, they will be facing Syracuse’s vaunted zone defense, and the Orange have lots of length on the perimeter that will make life a bit more difficult for Kansas’ sharpshooters. The Orange are allowing 59.7 points per game and holding opponents to a mere 35.7% shooting thus far. Syracuse also has an ability to neutralize Kansas on the boards, and I base that on their current +13 rebound per game differential. I’m not going to go out on a limb and call for an outright upset, but I very confident when taking the sizable amount of points being afforded to the underdog. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 10* Top Play pick. |
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11-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Minnesota -5.5 | 86-81 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Miami Fla, @ Minnesota 9:15 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Minnesota -5.5 (5*) Minnesota heads into this game with a perfect 7-0 record, and Miami is unbeaten as well at 5-0. Minnesota has faced the tougher opposition compared to who Miami to this point. The Gophers also have an edge in experience and overall depth in this matchup. This will be Miami’s first true road game of the season. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-17 | Evansville +7 v. New Mexico | 59-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Evansville @ New Mexico 9:05 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Evansville +7.0 (5*) The great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is an ability to convert 3-point shots. Well if that’s indeed the case, Evansville certainly fits the bill. The Aces have made a terrific 47.3% of their 3-point shots thus far. They’re also an outstanding 77.2% from the free throw line. Furthermore, Evansville is holding opponents to a paltry 58.2 points and 50 field goal attempts per game. The Aces are 5-1, and their only loss came by just 2 points against currently undefeated Louisiana Tech. Meanwhile, New Mexico has lost 4 straight, and that includes a 104-96 home defeat at the hands of Tennessee Tech. |
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11-29-17 | UNLV v. Northern Iowa | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
UNLV @ Northern Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Northern Iowa (5*) The only 2 losses that Northern Iowa has sustained came against nationally ranked North Carolina and Villanova. They also own quality wins over SMU and NC State. UNLV has been impressive to start the season. However, UNLV has faced far more inferior opponents than Northern Iowa went up against. Wednesday will be the Rebels 1st true road game, and they’ve gone a dismal 5-15 ATS in away contests over the past 2 seasons. Bet on Northern Iowa for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-17 | Florida State v. Rutgers +5 | 78-73 | Push | 0 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Rutgers 7:00 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Rutgers +5.0 (5*) This game is part of the Big 10/ACC challenge. Both these clubs come in undefeated with Florida State at 5-0 and Rutgers 6-0. Florida State is a dynamic and up tempo offensive team. This will be the Seminoles first true road game. Rutgers has been superb defensively and on the boards. The Scarlet Knights are holding opponents to a paltry 47.2 points per game and limiting them to 33.2% shooting from the field. Additionally, opponents of Rutgers have averaged a ridiculously low 9 free throw attempts per game. Rutgers style of play can potentially frustrate an up-tempo team like Florida State, and I’m banking on that being the case. Bet on Rutgers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-17 | Davidson +6.5 v. Nevada | 68-81 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Davidson @ Nevada 10:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Davidson +6.5 (5*) This is an experienced Davidson team with 4 returning starters, and the finished last season by covering 7 of their last 8 games. Davidson is coming off an impressive 108-81 win at UNC-Wilmington in their previous game, and that improved its record to 2-0. Any team (Davidson) coming off a road win, playing in their first 5 games of the season, and they finished last season off by covering 7 of its last 8 games, resulted in those teams going 21-9 (70%) straight up since 1997. Since Davidson is a decent sized underdog tonight in Reno, Nevada, those straight up results from the Previously mentioned betting angle takes on added meaning. Bet on Davidson plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-17 | UC-Santa Barbara +5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 62-70 | Loss | -127 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
UCSB @ Pittsburgh 7:00 ET Game# 725-726 Play On: UCSB +5.5 This is a vastly inexperienced Pittsburgh team, and that’s been apparent during their first 2 games of the season which both resulted in losses. It wasn’t the losses that were as bothersome than who they came against. Pittsburgh lost 71-62 at Navy and then 2 days ago were knocked off 83-78 at home by Montana. Not exactly the types of losses that an ACC team should be enduring, and especially so in consecutive games. UCSB will be playing their 2nd game of the season. They opened with a convincing 85-66 win over South Dakota State while easily covering as a 2.0-point home favorite. Bet on UCSB plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-13-17 | Minnesota v. Providence -2 | 86-74 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Providence 6:30 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Providence -2.0 (5*) We have 15th ranked Minnesota has a road underdog against unranked Providence. Whenever I see these types of situations this early in the season, the odds-makers are either telling us one team (Providence) is either underrated, the other (Minnesota) is overrated, or it’s a combination of both. Whatever the case may be, I know Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks aren’t that generous, and they’ve set a trap in this matchup. Bet on Providence for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-17 | Niagara v. St Bonaventure -9.5 | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Niagara @ St. Bonaventure 8:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: St. Bonaventure -9.5 The Western New York rivalry games between St. Bonaventure, Niagara, Canisius, and Buffalo are usually closely contested regardless of each team’s record. However, St. Bonaventure will be one of the top teams in the Atlantic 10 Conference this season, and the Bonnies will feature one of the best backcourt tandems in the country. Wouldn’t be shocked at all to see St. Bonaventure to go dancing in March. They will be especially be tough in the quaint confines of the Reilly Center in Olean, New York. Bet on St. Bonaventure minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina v. Gonzaga +1.5 | 71-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
North Carolina vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Gonzaga +1.5 (10*) North Carolina is very fortunate to be playing tonight. They barely escaped with 1-point and 2-point wins in their last 2 games against Kentucky and Oregon. The Tar Heels are a good but not great shooting team. They’ve could mask that somewhat average shooting by their ability to average a nation’s best 14 offensive rebounds per game. They’ll be hard pressed to be that dominant on the offensive glass against Gonzaga. Gonzaga is one the very few teams in the country that can match North Carolina’s frontcourt size. Gonzaga can be a potentially explosive offensive team on any given night. However, the most underappreciated part of their game is its stout defensive play. The Bulldogs are #7 nationally in scoring defense by allowing a mere 61.2 points per game, #2 in field goal percentage defense (36.5%), and #5 in 3-point defensive field goal percentage (29.4%). Gonzaga is coming off a 74-70 Final Four win over South Carolina. They’ve allowed 70 points or more in consecutive games on only 1 occasion this season. Gonzaga has held its first 5 NCAA Tournament opponents to a paltry 34.6% shooting and that includes an anemic 26.2% from 3-point territory. Gonzaga is also an extremely efficient offensive team as well. They’re 2nd nationally in field goal percentage offense (50.8%). The Bulldogs are very balanced offensively. They possess 5 players that average 10.0 or more points per game. Play on Gonzaga for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +5 v. North Carolina | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. North Carolina 8:49 PM ET Game# 813-814 Play On: Oregon +5.0 (5*) This will be North Carolina’s second consecutive Final Four appearance. They lost in last year’s national championship game to Villanova in heartbreaking fashion. I know that should certainly serve them well from a motivational and experience standpoint. However, that doesn’t mean that Oregon is just going to lay down and hand them a win today. The Tar Heels needed a buzzer beating shot to win by Kentucky. Additionally, during the South Regional Semifinal they need to overcome a 5-point deficit with less than 5 minutes to play against Arkansas. The Tar Heels are the best offensive rebounding team in the nation, and they certainly haven’t disappointed in that regard during this NCAA Tournament. Nevertheless, Oregon will present them with a stiff challenge in that regard. The Tar Heels will still get their good share of offensive rebounds tonight, but they won’t completely dominate that aspect like they’ve become accustomed to. This will be just the 6th time that Oregon has either been a pick or underdog this season. They went 4-1 ATS and 3-2 straight up on the first 5 occasions, and that includes covering 4 straight in that specific role. Since starting the season 2-2, Oregon has somewhat quietly gone 33-3 during their nest 36 games. During their first 4 NCAA tournament games, Oregon has averaged 77.8 points scored per contest, and shot a combined 50.0%. The Ducks are also very disciplined defensively. They’ve averaged committing just 14 personal fouls per contest during their last 5 games, and allowed their opponents just 7 offensive rebounds per outing. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-01-17 | South Carolina v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
South Carolina vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Gonzaga -6.5 (5*) The South Carolina Gamecocks unexpected run to the Final Four has been a nice story line. Nevertheless, reality will prevail today and their dreams will come to screeching halt. The Gamecocks have played way over their head offensively during its 4 NCAA Tournament wins compared what they exhibited leading up to the Big Dance. South Carolina is about to face the best defensive team they’ve seen in this tournament, and arguably better than any all season. South Carolina was just 3-5 versus teams that made it to the field of 68 teams, and also sustained 5 losses against non-qualifiers. Like South Carolina, Gonzaga will be playing in its first ever Final Four. That’s where the similarities end. The Gonzaga program has been knocking on the door of greatness for the last 19 season, and their moment has arrived. They’re not happy just to be here, and are primed for an over the top performance. Gonzaga’s season resume includes wins over St. Mary’s (3 times), Florida, Iowa State, Arizona, and West Virginia. As a matter of fact, the Bulldogs have gone a perfect 10-0 this season versus teams who made the NCAA Tournament. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-17 | St. Peter's -3.5 v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 8:00 ET Game# 525-526 Play On: St. Peter’s -3.5 (5*) I very rarely lay points on the road. However, this is an exception to that rule. St. Peters has won 10 of its last 11 games, and that includes going 6-0 SU&ATS (+13.2 PPG) in their previous 6 true road games. St. Peter’s is coming off an impressive 71-51 win over Furman during the CIT Semifinals. That’s significant considering the Peacocks are 10-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed 55-points or less, and won by a decisive margin of 14.8 points per game. St. Peter’s has allowed a paltry 50.0 points per contest while holding its opponents 36.9% shooting in its first 3 games of this College Insider Tournament. Texas A&M-CC has been very good at home this season, but has done so against a less than inspiring schedule. Bet on St. Peter’s minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-30-17 | Georgia Tech v. TCU -4 | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech vs. TCU 8:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: TCU -4.0 (5*) Georgia Tech is an offensively challenged team that relies heavily on their stout defensive play. Conversely, TCU is the much better offensive and rebounding team. The Horned Frogs played in the strongest and most competitive conference (Big 12) from top to bottom this season. TCU also holds a sizable edge in terms of player experience, and this will be the Horned Frogs Jamie Dixon’s 27th career game as a head coach at Madison Square Garden which includes his long tenure with Pittsburgh. Bet on TCU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-26-17 | Kentucky +2.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Kentucky vs. North Carolina 5:05 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Kentucky +2.5 (10*) Sometimes as a handicapper you need to just rely on the old fashion eye test, and especially so when we get this deep into the NCAA Tournament. Both teams looked outstanding during their March Madness “Sweet 16” wins over Butler and UCLA. However, I was extremely impressed with Kentucky’s freshmen guard tandem of De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk more than anything else. Fox has averaged 24.0 points per game in 3 NCAA Tournament contests, and that includes a 39-point explosion against UCLA on Friday. Meanwhile, Monk is averaging 15.7 points during those same 3 contests. It must be noted, Monk scored 47 against North Carolina earlier this season, and had 33-points or more on 4 separate occasions this year. North Carolina is the best offensive rebounding team in the country hands down, and they rely heavily on that aspect of their game for success. Nevertheless, Kentucky is fully capable of neutralizing the Tar Heels in that area, and they’ll have an edge over North Carolina in the backcourt. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | 74-60 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Kansas 8:49 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Kansas -6.5 (5*) You just can’t look any better than Kansas has during its first 3 NCAA Tournament games. The Jayhawks covered each of those contests as a favorite, and won by a massive average of 30.0 points per game. While doing so, they’ve averaged 96.0 points scored per contest, shot a sizzling hot 54.7% from the field, and owned a +11.0 rebound per game differential. The game is being played in Kansas City, Missouri. For all intents and purposes it might as well be a Kansas home game, and that will be further proven by a large contingent of Jayhawks fans in attendance. Oregon escaped with narrow wins over Rhode Island by 3 and Michigan by 1 to reach this stage of the tournament. Despite winning their last 4 games, Oregon surrendered 75.0 points per contest, and allowed its opponent to shoot a cumulative 48.4% which is well above their defensive season averages. Bet on Kansas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga -7.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Xavier vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Gonzaga -7.5 (10*) The one aspect of Gonzaga’s game that’s been overlooked during their spectacular 35-1 season has been its defensive prowess. The Bulldogs have allowed a mere 61 points per game and held its opponents to 36% shooting. During their first 3 NCAA Tournament games, Gonzaga has allowed a paltry 33.2%, and that includes holding West Virginia to 26.7% in Thursday night’s Sweet 16 win. The Zags will be additionally inspired by the prospects of reaching their first ever Final Four appearance in school history. Failing to reach that pinnacle of college basketball has been somewhat of a black eye for a program which has otherwise enjoyed enormous success over the past 17 seasons. I applaud Xavier for reaching this point, but with all things being considered they’ve vastly and their overachieved. Their Cinderella run will come to a screeching halt on Saturday. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-17 | Wisconsin v. Florida | 83-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Florida Gators 9:59 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Florida (Pick) (5*) Florida is a terrific 19-8 ATS (70.4%) as a favorite this season. If you take away a trio of head scratching straight up favorite losses to Vanderbilt, Florida was 19-5 ATS as a favorite versus all other teams besides the Commodores. Conversely, prior to their stunning upset win against top seeded Villanova on Saturday, Wisconsin was 0-3 ATS as an underdog during this 2016-2017 college basketball campaign. These teams are pretty much a mirror image of one another. Each is stingy defensively, neither plays at what’s considered to be a quick offensive tempo, and both are good but not great shooting teams. The deciding difference for me comes via my personal eye test. In my professional opinion, Florida has an edge in terms of overall athleticism. Bet on Florida for a 5* wager. |
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03-24-17 | UCLA -1 v. Kentucky | 75-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
UCLA vs. Kentucky 9:35 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: UCLA -1.0 (5*) As per usual since John Calipari has arrived, Kentucky is a very young team with freshmen that are future NBA players. On the other hand, UCLA returned 5 starts back from a season ago, and then added super talented freshmen Lonzo Ball. Despite not playing the same conference, these teams have played one another in each of the last 2 seasons. UCLA won both of those contests, and that includes a 5-point win at Kentucky which really wasn’t as close as the final score indicates. UCLA shot a sizzling hot 52.9% in those contests, and converted on an excellent 44.5% of its 3-point attempts. UCLA was flawless in their first 2 NCAA Tournament games regarding protecting the basketball. The Bruins committed only a combined 9 turnovers in those pair of wins. Bet on UCLA for a 5* wager. |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3 | 70-50 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Baylor Bears 7:29 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Baylor -3.0 (5*) South Carolina won’t have the luxury of playing 103 miles from their campus, in addition to a 90-minute ride like they enjoyed in Greenville, South Carolina during their first 2 NCAA Tourney wins. For all intents in purposes those were unofficially South Carolina home games. Baylor played a difficult non-conference schedule prior to beginning their Big 12 slate, and went 7-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS in games against teams that ultimately were chosen or qualified for the 2017 NCAA Tournament. They added to that impressive resume by winning their first 2 March Madness games over New Mexico State Aggies and USC Trojans. They covered against the Aggies as an 11.0-point favorite. However, they failed to cover as 5.5-point chalk against USC by way of a meaningless Trojans tip in at the buzzer which resulted in the final 4-point margin. They held a combined 73-50 rebounding advantage in those first 2 NCAA Tourney contests. Additionally, during their previous 5 games, Baylor has averaged a substantially high 13 offensive rebounds per contest, and shot a sizzling hot 49.3%. Play on Baylor minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-24-17 | Butler +7 v. North Carolina | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Butler vs. North Carolina 7:05 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Butler +7.0 (10*) Here’s what I found interesting about the tendencies of both teams this season. North Carolina has a +14.8 point per game differential during their first 35 contests. Butler is a terrific 12-2 ATS this season when facing an opponent with a +8.0 point per game differential. Butler has a +8.0 point per game differential during their 2016-2017 campaign. North Carolina is a dismal 1-7 ATS this season in away or neutral site games versus teams with a +4.0 or better point per game differential. This will be just the 6th time this season in which Butler is either a pick or underdog, and they were 4-1 SU&ATS during the first 5 occasion. Prior to the start of March Madness, Butler was a perfect 6-0 against teams (Northwestern, Vanderbilt, Arizona, Cincinnati, Vermont, Bucknell) against teams that made the 2017 NCAA Tournament. That trend has continued with their recent victories over Winthrop and Middle Tennessee State. Furthermore, they had quality non-conference win over Indiana and at Utah. Lastly, Butler went 2-0 this season against defending national champion Villanova. North Carolina is a terrific offensive rebounding team that ranks #1 nationally in that category. Conversely, Butler is a very good defensive rebounding team that allows just 7 offensive boards per game. Bet on Butler plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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03-23-17 | Xavier v. Arizona -7.5 | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Xavier vs. Arizona 10:09 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Arizona -7.5 (10*) Kudos to Xavier and their ability to reach the Big East Final and now a Sweet 16 appearance. Especially since they went a dismal1-6 SU&ATS during its final 7 regular season games, and their only win in that sequence came against Big East cellar dweller DePaul. The Musketeers suffered significant personnel losses that seemingly was a huge blow to a team lacking quality depth to start with. However, they’ve had a few players overachieve during the past 2 weeks, and that will catch up to them this evening against an opponent (Arizona) which has its sights set on a national championship, and isn’t just happy to reach the Sweet 16. Arizona is a sizzling hot 6-0 SU&ATS over its last 12 games which included a PAC-12 Tournament title. The Wildcats only 4 losses this season have come at the hands of Butler, Gonzaga, UCLA, and Oregon. All 4 of those teams have made it to the Sweet 16. Arizona has shot an outstanding 50% or better in 6 of their last 8 games. Bet on Arizona minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-17 | Purdue +5.5 v. Kansas | 66-98 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Purdue vs. Kansas 9:39 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Purdue +5.5 (5*) There’s no denying when teams reach the March Madness “Sweet 16” stage, stakes get higher, and opponents become much tougher. That’s certainly the case for Kansas’ opponent in this Midwest Regional Semifinal. Purdue has a stellar 27-7 record while playing in one of the nation’s strongest conferences (Big 10). Furthermore, 6 of their 7 losses have come by 9-points or less, and its worst defeat was by 12 in late February at red-hot Michigan. Purdue has seen 11 of their 34 games (32.4%) this season decided by 5-points or less, and they went a stellar 7-4 during those contests. The experience and success they had in those numerous close games will pay dividends tonight. By the way, Purdue is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS this season when playing on a neutral floor. Bet on Purdue plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-17 | Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Oregon 7:09 PM ET Game# 813-814 Play On: Oregon +1.5 (5*) Michigan has won 7 straight and 12 of its last 14 games. They appear to be a team of destiny. However, the Wolverines depend on hitting a high percentage of their shots to overcompensate for its glaring rebounding weakness. They’ve done exactly that over the past month. Nevertheless, they’re traveling on a slippery slope with that formula for winning, and it will eventually catch up to them. I’m predicting that to transpire against an Oregon team which was a combined +21 on the boards during their first 2 NCAA Tournament wins. In direct comparison, Michigan was -26 during its first 2 games in the Big Dance. Oregon will enter tonight’s game having gone 29-3 over its last 32 games. The Ducks saw 2 of those 3 defeats come by 3-points each against Arizona and UCLA who are both in the Sweet 16. They’ve been without their top big man Chris Boucher who was lost for the year due to a late season knee injury. That’s unlikely to diminish its chances tonight against an opponent that struggles mightily on the boards. Bet on Oregon for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5.5 | 74-66 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss 9:00 ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Ole Miss -5.5 (5*) Georgia Tech isn’t the same team on the road as they’ve been at home this season. Tech is 2-10 in true road games, and that includes losing 7 straight. Georgia Tech has been excellent defensively at home, but for whatever reason, that aspect of their game hasn’t been close to be that successful during away games. Ole Miss is coming off 2 impressive road wins to start the NIT. The Rebels defeated a very good Monmouth team, and then knocked off Syracuse who was a #1 seed on their side of the NIT bracket. Ole Miss has produced stellar offensive numbers during their previous 5 outings, scoring an average of 81.8 points per game, and they made an exceptional 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Ole Miss minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-20-17 | Akron v. Texas-Arlington -5 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Akron @ UT-Arlington 8:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: UT-Arlington -5.0 (5*) UT-Arlington is a high quality mid-major team that’s 26-8 this season, and that includes an unblemished 13-0 on their home floor. Arlington that earned an unexpected home game in this NIT despite being a #6 seed, and resulted from a first round upset win at BYU. As a matter of fact, they not only defeated the #3 seed Cougars, they won by a decisive double-digit margin, and were in control from the opening tip. They also own another quality non-conference win against nationally ranked St. Mary’s. Akron has enjoyed a very successful despite falling 1 win short of a NCAA Tournament automatic bid. The #7 seed Zips are coming off a first round win at Houston, and did so as a sizable 7.5-point underdog. They’ll get more than they bargained for tonight and then some. Bet on UT-Arlington minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-17 | USC v. Baylor -5.5 | 78-82 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
USC Trojans vs. Baylor Bears 7:45 PM ET Game# 725-726 Play On: Baylor -5.5 (5*) The Baylor Bears are 7-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS this against non-conference opponents that are in the NCAA Tournament. The latest of those victories came on Friday during an 18-point win over New Mexico State. The Bears covered that contest as a sizable 11.0-point favorite despite trailing by 2 at halftime. The remaining 6 of those wins came against Florida Gulf Coast, VCU, Oregon, Louisville, Xavier, and Michigan State. The latter of the 4 have advanced to the “Round of 32”. Conversely, USC has faced just 1 non-conference opponent that made it to the “Big Dance”, and that was SMU whom they beat twice. That’s certainly nothing to make light of considering the year SMU had. However, Baylor’s overall strength of schedule will pay dividends in a matchup such as this one. Conversely, the Trojans recent flair for dramatic comebacks will come to a screeching halt. Bet Baylor minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-17 | Wichita State +4.5 v. Kentucky | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Wichita State vs. Kentucky 2:40 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Wichita State +4.5 (5*) Wichita State comes in red-hot having win 16 straight and 22 of their previous 23 games. The Shockers are a superb 3-point shooting team, outstanding defensively, and with a 31-4 overall record they check all the boxes in terms of underdog betting value. An additional asset that Wichita State possesses has been their dominance on the boards this season. Considering the length of Kentucky and their own rebounding prowess, an ability to neutralize them on the boards is crucial to stay highly competitive against them. Wichita State isn’t your typical #10 seed. The Shockers have quality depth, can match or surpass the physicality of any major conference team, and won’t be intimidated against an imposing opponent such as Kentucky. Bet on Wichita State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-18-17 | Virginia v. Florida -2 | 39-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Virginia vs. Florida 8:40 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Florida -2.0 (5*) Florida and Virginia are among the elite defense teams in the nation, and it makes that specific category a wash. It didn’t take me very long to conclude that Florida had a slight edge in terms of offensive capabilities compared to those of Virginia. For starters, the Gators are averaging 78.3 points per game compared to 66.9 for Virginia. Although from a percentage standpoint Virginia is a better 3-point shooting team than Florida, they only average 1 more made 3-pointer per game. Both teams shoot an identical 71% from the free throw line. However, Florida averages 6 more attempts per game. From what I’ve witnessed over the course of this season, and more important over the past month, Florida has more athleticism than Virginia, and is much better equipped to come from behind than Virginia is. Bet on Florida for a 5* wager. |
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03-18-17 | Middle Tennessee +3.5 v. Butler | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee State vs. Butler 7:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Middle Tennessee State +3.5 (10*) Butler is coming off a solid performance in their NCAA Tourney opening game win against Winthrop. However, the Bulldogs are a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6-games as a favorite of 8.5 or less. They’ve also have sustained 3 bad losses this season against Indiana State, St. John’s, and Georgetown. All 3 of those defeats came against teams that finished with a losing record. Middle Tennessee State is 31-4 and 18 of those wins came at a neutral site or in a true away game. The Blue Raiders own quality non-conference wins over Vanderbilt by 23, NC-Wilmington by 5, at Ole Miss by 15, and on Thursday defeated Minnesota by 9. This will be just the 4th time this season that MTSU will be an underdog, they went 3-0 ATS in the first 3, and won 2 of those 3 games straight up. Their only loss in that sequence was a narrow 3-point setback at VCU. This isn’t a #12 seed caliber team, and the sportsbooks have clearly indicated that. Quite frankly, I trust professional odds-maker’s evaluation over an NCAA Tournament Committee 7 days a week and 365 days a year. Bet on Middle Tennessee State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -6 | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Xavier vs. Florida State 6:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Florida State -6.0 (5*) Xavier has gone 4-1 in their last 5 games. Nonetheless, 2 of those wins came over a terrible DePaul team, and they couldn’t have asked for a better draw in the opening NCAA Tournament game against slumping Maryland. Truth be told, head coach Chris Mack has done a remarkable job of getting his Musketeers to this point, and is on the cusp of another “Sweet 16” appearance. However, they’ll fall short of that mark in 2017. Florida State can be scary good when they’re on their game. The Seminoles are arguably the deepest team in the country in terms of quality depth, and they’ll be facing an opponent on Saturday that goes primarily with 6 players who can provide quality minutes. I look for Florida State to eventually wear down Xavier, and pull away down the stretch for a double-digit win. Bet on Florida State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-18-17 | Northwestern v. Gonzaga -11 | 73-79 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern vs. Gonzaga 5:15 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Gonzaga -11.0 (5*) Northwestern is a nice feel good story. They captured their first ever NCAA Tournament win on Thursday in a thrilling 68-66 victory over Vanderbilt. Nevertheless, here’s the harsh reality. They were extremely fortunate to come out on top in that contest. If not for a huge mental gaffe by a Vanderbilt player who intentionally fouled with a 1-point lead and only 12 seconds left to play, mistakenly thinking his team was behind by 1 instead of ahead, Northwestern’s historical win very well could’ve been reversed. By the way, this just in, Vanderbilt isn’t in the same class as Gonzaga. The West Region top seed Gonzaga Bulldogs were very flat in the first half of their 20-point win over #16 seed South Dakota State on Thursday night. Additionally, Gonzaga came up short of covering as a large 23.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs have rarely put together back to back uninspiring performances this season, and obviously their 33-1 record would support that notion. As a matter of fact, Gonzaga has gone an extremely profitable 7-1 ATS this season in lined games following an ATS loss, and won all 8 contests straight up by an enormous average of 27.5 points per outing. The pundits will tell you that Gonzaga was a beneficiary of playing a weak WCC schedule, and there’s a degree of truth to that comes with that logic. However, they own high quality non-conference wins over Florida, Arizona, and Iowa State. All 3 of those teams are still alive in the NCAA Tournament. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6 | Top | 64-58 | Push | 0 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
Dayton vs. Wichita State 7:10 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Dayton +6.0 (10*) A lot of people were shocked to see Wichita State seeded so low (#12). After all, the Shockers are 30-4 and have won 15 in a row and 21 of their last 22 games. However, 20 of those last 21 wins have come against a very weak Missouri Valley schedule. The Shockers have played 4 games this season against current NCAA Tournament teams, and went a less than inspiring 1-3 SU&ATS during those contests. Their lone win came against the #16 seed in the West Region South Dakota State Jackrabbits (17-16). They went 0-3 SU&ATS against Oklahoma State, Louisville, and Michigan State. Those losses came by an average of 10.7 points per game. Dayton has gone 5-1 ATS and 4-2 straight up as an underdog this season. This current point spread marks the highest amount of points that Dayton has received as an underdog all season long. This is also an experienced Dayton starting lineup that’s been involved in their fair share of big games in their Flyers career. Dayton is one of 3 teams from the Atlantic 10 Conference in the NCAA Tournament, with the other 2 being VCU and Rhode Island. Conversely, Wichita State is the lone representative from the Missouri Valley Conference. Bet on Dayton plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-17-17 | USC v. SMU -6.5 | 66-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
USC vs. SMU 3:10 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: SMU -6.5 (5*) USC began their NCAA Tournament on Tuesday night in Dayton against Providence. The Trojans weren’t only able to overcome a huge 17-point 2nd half deficit and come away with a 75-71 victory, they also managed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. On a negative note, despite coming out on top, USC allowed Providence to shoot 49%. The SMU Mustangs enter the NCAA Tournament having gone a superb 26-1 during their last 27 games. Additionally, 19 of those 26 wins came by 10-points or more. As a matter of fact, SMU is a remarkable 20-3 ATS in their previous 23 lined games, and they were a favorite on 22 of those occasions. Furthermore, SMU is a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS in their last 11 games this season as a favorite of 9.5 or less. You can’t play much better than SMU has over their previous 5 games. The Mustangs have shot a blistering hot 55.7% during that time frame, and converted on an incredible 47.5% of its 3-point attempts. Conversely, they held those last 5 opponents to just 64.8 points per game, and limiting them to a miserable 36.4% shooting. Additionally, if SMU needed an extra motivational factor, they can use their earlier season (11/28/16) 5-point loss at USC as added inspiration. SMU is coming off a 71-56 win over Cincinnati in the AAC championship game, and limited the Bearcats to a horrible 31.1% shooting day. SMU is a very good 3-point shooting team, and that’s proven by their stellar 40.6% conversion rate on those attempts. Meanwhile, USC has canned 36.3% of its 3-point shots this season. When combining the previously mentioned statistical data, it qualifies for a lucrative college basketball betting system. Any neutral site favorite (SMU), coming off a game in which they held their opponents to 33% or less shooting, and has made 36.5% or better of their 3-point shots for the season, versus an opponent (USC) that’s made between 32.5% and 36.5% of their 3-point shots, resulted in those favorites going 34-9 ATS (79.1%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 43 games was -7.0, and the favorites had a sizable +11.9 point per game differential during those contests. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-17 | New Mexico State v. Baylor -12.5 | 73-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
New Mexico State vs. Baylor 12:40 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Baylor -12.5 (5*) Before thinking a 28-5 New Mexico State team is an absolute steal as a double-digit underdog, let’s talk about the level of competition they’ve faced. None of their 28 wins have come against teams that are part of this year’s March Madness brackets. As a matter of fact, New Mexico State hasn’t faced a team that’s in this 2017 NCAA Tournament all season long. They’ll certainly be stepping up in class on Friday when facing an opponent that earlier this was ranked #1 in the country for a short time. Contrary to Friday’s opponent, Baylor has played an extremely tough schedule, and has more than held their own in doing so. How strong a schedule was it? I’m glad you asked. Baylor played 16 of their 32 games this season against teams who made this year’s NCAA Tournament. Furthermore, they went a perfect 6-0 in the non-conference portion of their schedule versus NCAA Tournament teams. New Mexico State has been an excellent rebounding team this season. Nevertheless, Baylor is better in that regard, and is relentless on both boards. The Bears are #3 nationally in defensive rebounding, and have also averaged a massive 14 offensive boards per contest over their previous 5 games. Lastly, Baylor is excellent defensively, allowing 62.7 points per game which is 16th best in the country. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-16-17 | Nevada +6.5 v. Iowa State | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Nevada vs. Iowa State 9:55 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Nevada +6.5 (5*) Iowa State made an improbable run to win the Big 12 Conference Tournament, especially considering they had to potentially contend with heavyweights, Kansas, West Virginia, and Baylor. They were beneficiaries of Kansas and Baylor being upset in the quarterfinal round, and then they defeated West Virginia as a 4.0-point underdog in the championship game. My past experiences have proven to me that teams that unexpectedly win a major conference postseason tournament, more times than not are flatter than a pancake in a NCAA Tournament opening game. Nevada enters the NCAA Tournament having gone a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 games, and won by an average of 15.0 points per contest. Granted the Wolfpack will be stepping up in class versus opponent form a major conference, but they’re more than capable of holding its own in that regard. Bet on Nevada plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee -1 v. Minnesota | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State vs. Minnesota 4:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -1.0 (5*) The line in this contest speaks volumes. We have a #12 seed in MTSU that opened as a mere 1.0-point underdog against #5 seed Minnesota. At the time of this writing, MTSU has moved to a 1.0-point favorite, and that’s even more telling. As you may or may not recall, MTSU knocked off Michigan State in last year’s NCAA Tournament and did so as a #15 seed. They have 3 returning starters from that squad, and the Blue Raiders appear to a stronger team compared to a season ago. You can make a strong case that Minnesota overachieved a bit this season. An experienced mid-major team that’s already enjoyed a small degree of NCAA Tournament success can make for a very dangerous opponent. Bet on Middle Tennessee State for a 5* wager. |
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03-16-17 | East Tennessee State v. Florida -10.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State vs. Florida 3:10 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Florida -10.5 (5*) For starters, East Tennessee State has been a trendy pick for an upset by the talking heads in the media. That’s almost assuredly the kiss of death. ETSU owns a notable non-conference win at Mississippi State. However, they went 0-2 SU&ATS against non-conference foes who are in this year’s “Big Dance”. They lost road games to Dayton by 14 and NC-Wilmington by 9. Florida is better than both of those teams. I’m of the opinion that Florida (24-8) is well equipped to make a deep postseason run, and that’s despite losing its top big man John Egbunu to a late season ending knee injury. Florida has displayed very good chemistry as the season progressed, and is an unselfish team which shares the ball with a high degree of precision. ETSU may give Florida all they can handle for 30 minutes. Nonetheless, I firmly believe Florida will wear them down late in this contest, and pull away down the stretch for the cover. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-17 | USC -2.5 v. Providence | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
USC Trojans vs. Providence Friars 9:10 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: USC -2.5 (5*) Providence head coach Ed Cooley has done a great job in leading his team back to the NCAA Tournament for a second consecutive year. It was expected to be somewhat of a down year for Providence. After all, the Friars lost last season’s star players Kris Dunn (16.4 PPG/6.2 APG) and Ben Bentil (21.1 PPG/7.7 RPG) to the NBA. In a nutshell, the Friars have vastly overachieved this season. Ironically, it was Providence that eliminated USC in last year’s NCAA Tournament during the ‘Round of 64”. It was a gut wrenching 70-69 loss to Providence, and I’m sure that defeat will provide added motivation for a USC team that returned 3 starters from a season ago. USC was a perfect 13-0 this season in non-conference games. Included in that past unbeaten streak was quality wins over SMU (30-4) and BYU (22-11). The Trojans finished a very respectable 5th in a very strong PAC-12. USC gave the South Region #3 seed UCLA all they can handle in their conference tournament quarterfinal game before coming up short 76-74. Lay the small number on USC for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-17 | Ball State +4.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 80-88 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Ball State @ IPFW 7:00 ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Ball State +4.5 (10*) IPFW enters the CIT having lost 3 of their last 4 games and failed to cover in any of those contests. During that 4-game stretch, IPFW allowed an alarmingly high 89.0 points per contest and opponents shot a sizzling hot 49.4% against them. Ball State is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games this season as an underdog, and won straight up on 6 of those occasions. The Cardinals have also gone a stellar 6-2 SY&ATS during its previous 8 games overall. Additionally, Ball State is an impressive 5-1 ATS and 4-2 straight up during their last 6 true road games. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-14-17 | St. Francis (PA) +4 v. Jacksonville | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
St. Francis Pa. @ Jacksonville 7:00 PM ET Game# 577-578 Bet On: St. Francis Pa. +4.0 (5*) Jacksonville enters the CIT having gone 4-9 during its last 13 games, and that includes losing their previous 3 contests. Jacksonville has been horrible defensively during its last 5 outings. Through that 5-game stretch, they permitted opponents to make 51.8% of its field goal attempts and covert on 42.1% from 3-point territory. St. Francis has gone 9-4 during their previous 13 games overall, and a stellar 7-3 in its last 10 road games. St. Francis has been stout defensively over its last 5 contests by allowing opponents to shoot a mere 16 free throw attempts per game. In that precise time frame, St. Francis converted on a superb 41.1% of their 3-point shots. Bet on St. Francis Pa. plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -1 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. SMU 4:15 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: SMU -1.0 (5*) Both teams going in with identical and excellent 29-4 records. However, my personal eye test regarding both teams indicates to me that SMU is clearly playing the best basketball compared to Cincinnati in recent games. Cincinnati has struggled shooting the basketball over its last 5 games, and that’s proven by their dismal 39.5% shooting percentage during that time span. SMU has gone 25-1 during their previous 26 games, and that includes a current 15-game win streak. Both teams are superb defensively, but SMU has proven to be the more dynamic offensive team of late, and that will be the deciding difference in my eyes. During their previous 5 outings, SMU has shot 54.7%, made a terrific 46.6% of its 3-point shots, and had an extremely impressive 17:9 assist to turnover ratio. Bet on SMU for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-17 | Michigan +2 v. Wisconsin | Top | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Wisconsin 4:00 PM ET Game# 889-890 Play On: Michigan +2.0 (10*) Michigan is an impressive 9-2 SU&ATS during their last 11 games and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in its previous 4 outings. The Wolverines have won those previous 4 games by an average of 16.7 points per contest. The Wolverines have shot 50% or better in 5 of their last 8 games, and went a sparkling 19-44 (43.2%) during their 2 contests versus Wisconsin this season. Wisconsin has shown signs of being the team that they were project to be and started out as during their last 3 outings. However, I’m going with the time that’s been more consistent over the past 4 weeks. Bet on Michigan for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-11-17 | UC-Davis v. Cal-Irvine -5 | 50-47 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
UC-Davis vs. UC-Irvine 11:30 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: UC Irvine -5.0 (5*) UC-Davis is averaging just 60.3 points scored per game and shot 35.7% from the field during their previous 3 contests. That’s not good news considering for Davis since they’ll be facing a stout defensive opponent in this Big West Conference Tournament Final. During its last 5 games, Irvine has allowed a paltry 61.8 points per contest, and permitted their opponents to shoot a miserable 36.2% from the floor. As a matter of fact, Irvine held Davis to a combined 35.6% shooting, and held a decisive 91-68 rebounding advantage. Davis was a dominating 11-0 at home this season, and went a mediocre at best 10-12 in the rest of their contests. Bet UC-Irvine minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-10-17 | Memphis v. UCF -1.5 | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Central Florida vs. Memphis 2:30 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Central Florida -1.5 (5*) UCF enters today riding a 5-game win streak. The Golden Knights are one of the best defensive teams in the country, and that goes a long way at this time of year. During their 2 games against Memphis in regular season action, UCF held a substantial 81-63 rebounding advantage. Memphis has gone 1-5 in their last 6 games. Bet Central Florida for a 5* wager. |
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03-10-17 | UTEP +9 v. Middle Tennessee | 56-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
UTEP vs. Middle Tennessee State 12:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: UTEP +9.0 (5*) UTEP has been a huge money maker since the calendar turned to 2017. The Miners are a perfect 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games, and covered on 11 of those occasions. UTEP split their 2 regular season games against #25 Middle Tennessee State. This game will be a lot more interesting than this point spread indicates. Bet UTEP plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-17 | Virginia -3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 58-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Notre Dame vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Virginia -3.0 (10*) These teams met once during the regular season in South Bend, and Virginia walked away with a dominating 71-54 road win. They held a huge 38-22 rebounding advantage in that contest, and held an excellent 3-point shooting team from Notre Dame to 3-18 from long distance territory. Virginia finished the regular season by going 4-0 SU&ATS in its last 4, and won by an average of 15.5 points per game. The Cavaliers are back to playing stifling defense, holding opponents to a meager 51.4 points per contest, and limiting them to a miserable 35.3% shooting over their past 5 games. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play pick. |
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03-09-17 | Creighton v. Providence +2.5 | 70-58 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Creighton vs. Providence 9:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Providence +2.5 (5*) Creighton hasn’t been the same team since losing star point guard Mo Watson to a season ending injury. That’s further proven by their uninspiring 5-7 record over their last 12 games, and that includes a poor 1-3 SU&ATS during its previous 4 outings. Providence enters the conference tournament riding a huge wave of momentum. The Friars won their last 6 regular season games and covered 5 of those contests. Bet on Providence for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-17 | CS Sacramento +6 v. Eastern Washington | 70-89 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Sacramento State vs. Eastern Washington 8:35 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Sacramento State +6.0 (5*) Sacramento State has been an absolute money maker over the last 5 weeks. They’ve managed to go a superb 11-2 ATS in its last 13 and 8-1 ATS during their previous 9 games. Additionally, Sacramento State is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and won 3 of those contests straight up. They lost both regular season meetings this season against Eastern Washington, but both defeats each came by narrow 5-point margins. The deciding difference in both contests was Eastern Washington’s combined 64 free throw attempts. It’s highly improbable that type of frequent march to the charity stripe will occur again this evening. Bet on Sacramento State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-17 | Duquesne -4 v. St. Louis | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
No analysis on today's picks. |
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03-08-17 | Wake Forest -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
No analysis on today's picks. |
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03-06-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State -10 | 106-116 | Push | 0 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Central Michigan @ Kent State 7:00 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Kent State -10.0 (5*) Central Michigan enters tonight’s game having lost 7 straight and failed to cover in 6 of those contests. The usually high scoring Chippewas have shot just 37.6% over their previous 5 games. Central Michigan is also at a -10 rebound per game differential in their last 5 contests. Kent State will be out to atone for a 7-point home loss to Central Michigan in late January. The Golden Flashes are a stellar 5-1 in their last 6 and 9-4 during its previous 13 games. They’ve also been solid defensively throughout their previous 5 games, holding opponents to just 41.3% shooting, and limiting them to 279% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Kent State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-04-17 | Montana State +7.5 v. Weber State | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Montana State @ Weber State 9:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Montana State +7.5 (5*) Weber State is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Furthermore, Weber State is a dismal 1-12 ATS during their previous 13 games and that includes 0-9 ATS during their last 9. Conversely, Montana State enters tonight’s contest on a 5-game winning streak. During that 5-game stretch, Montana State has scored a lofty 78.8 points per contest and converted on a red-hot 40.2% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on Montana State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-04-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -6.5 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Duke @ North Carolina 8:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Pick: North Carolina -6.5 (5*) For starters, North Carolina will be out to avenge an 8-point loss at Duke earlier this season. The Tar Heels are a perfect 14-0 at home and have outscored their opponents in Chapel Hill by a whopping 23.6 points per game. North Carolina has been stout defensively during its previous 5 outings by allowing just 59.6 points per game, and they held those opponents to a paltry 37.6% shooting. Conversely, Duke is just 3-5 in ACC away games, and failed to cover on 6 of those 8 occasions. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-04-17 | Colorado State +6.5 v. Nevada | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Colorado State @ Nevada 8:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play on: Colorado State +6.5 (10*) Colorado State enters today’s contest riding a 7-game win streak, and they covered on 6 of those occasions. The Rams are a very profitable 7-1 ATS during conference road games this season, and won 6 of those contests straight up. As a matter of fact, Colorado State is 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 away games, and 10-1 ATS in true road games for the season. Furthermore, they were an underdog in each of those last 5 road contests, and won by a convincing margin of 9.2 points per game. Nevada will be the team to beat in the upcoming Mountain West Conference Tournament. However, covering today’s sizable number against a red-hot opponent is a tall order. Bet on Colorado State plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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03-04-17 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara +1 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Santa Clara vs. San Francisco 6:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Santa Clara +1.0 (5*) When it comes to an even matchup such as this one in conference tournament games, experience can become a vital determining factor. Santa Clara has far and away the advantage over San Francisco in terms of experience. Furthermore, San Francisco is a very good defensive team, but they struggle offensively. As a matter of fact, during their previous 5 games San Francisco has scored just 61.0 points per contest, and shot a miserable 34.7% from the field. Meanwhile, Santa Clara has allowed only 60.0 points per game over its last 5 outings. During that same 5-game stretch, Santa Clara has shot an impressive 49.6% from the floor, and converted on an excellent 43.7% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on Santa Clara for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-17 | Pacific -5 v. Pepperdine | 89-84 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
No analysis for picks on 3/3 due to time constraints. |
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03-02-17 | Manhattan v. Rider -6 | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Manhattan vs. Rider 9:00 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Rider -6.0 (5*) Rider finished the regular season by going 3-0 SU&ATS in its last 3 games. One of those victories was a 93-82 home win over Manhattan in a game they held a huge 41-27 rebounding advantage. Rider went 3-1 straight up and 4-0 ATS in their previous 4 games on the road. They’re only defeat came by a narrow 2-point margin at Fairfield. Conversely, Manhattan was a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their final 5 regular season road games, and lost by a substantial average of 19.4 points per contest. Although this game tonight will be played a neutral site, I can’t ignore how either team did on the road down the stretch. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-02-17 | Drake v. Bradley -3.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Drake vs. Bradley 9:30 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Bradley -3.5 (5*) Drake enters the MVC Tournament having lost 9 games in a row, and 8 of those defeats came by 7 points or more. Bradley comes into conference tournament action having gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their last 3 regular season games, and that included an 82-74 win at Drake. Bradley also defeated Drake at home 79-72. Bet on Bradley minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-02-17 | North Florida +9.5 v. Lipscomb | 91-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
North Florida @ Lipscomb 8:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: North Florida +9.5 (5*) This is a very strange line with all factors being considered. After all, North Florida won both regular season meetings against Lipscomb by scores of 90-84 and 93-82. During those pair of victories, North Florida shot a combined 56.1% and made a stellar 42.1% of its 3-point attempts. Lipscomb relies heavily on their 3-point shooting, and that’s proven by their average of 28 three-point shot attempts per game this season. Nonetheless, in their 2 losses versus North Florida, Lipscomb went a dismal 19-73 (26%) with their 3-point attempts. I know it’s tough to beat the same team 3 times during a single college basketball season. Lipscomb may very well be able to get their revenge tonight at home in this Atlantic Sun Tournament Quarterfinal, but covering as a substantially sized favorite is asking a bit too much of them. Bet on North Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-02-17 | Rice +3 v. Marshall | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rice @ Marshall 7:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Rice +3.0 (10*) Marshall is a stellar 12-2 at home this season. However, both of those losses occurred in their last 3 games played in Huntington, West Virginia. The Thundering Herd have also gone just 3-5 during their previous 8 games overall. Rice has gone a red-hot 7-1 SU&ATS during their previous 8 games, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in its last 3 road contests. As matter of fact, Rice is 5-1 during their last 6 conference road contests, and is 8-3 ATS in true away games on the season. Marshall likes to play a fast tempo style of basketball which is very entertaining to watch. The flip side to that occasion, they’ve given up a plethora of points on numerous occasions this year. Specifically speaking, Marshall has allowed 79 points or more during 7 of their previous 8 games. Conversely, Rice has scored 80 points or more in 6 of its last 8 games. I wouldn’t consider Rice to be a good defensive team per say, but they’re much better than Marshall in that regard. Bet on Rice plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-01-17 | Ole Miss +4 v. Alabama | 55-70 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Mississippi @ Alabama 8:30 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Mississippi +4.0 (5*) The Ole Miss Rebels have played very well of late, proven by them winning 4 of its last 5 and 6 of their previous 8 games. It’s also worth noting, Ole Miss has gone a lucrative 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in road games during the past 3 seasons. You can certainly make a logical case, Alabama is a more logical bet in conference road games this season as opposed to those at home. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone a disappointing 1-3 SU&ATS during their previous 4 SEC home games, and their only win during that sequence came against last place LSU. Bet on Mississippi plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-01-17 | VCU +4 v. Dayton | 72-79 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
VCU @ Dayton 8:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: VCU +4.0 (5*) VCU had their 9-game win streaked halted in their previous outing at Rhode Island. Although Rhode Island is a very good Atlantic 10 team themselves, VCU was clearly looking ahead to tonight’s showdown against Dayton, and Wednesday’s winner will likely be the #1 seed in the upcoming conference tournament. This is a very good defensive team from VCU. As a matter of fact, the Rams have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 38% or less shooting from the field. Those types of defensive numbers help to create a good amount of underdog betting value. VCU defeated Dayton at home earlier this season, and did so despite going a miserable 2-15 from 3-point territory, and allowing the Flyers to shoot 48.1 %. The deciding difference in that contest was VCU having a dominant 41-24 rebounding advantage, and that included a massive 17 offensive boards. Bet on VCU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-01-17 | Arkansas +11 v. Florida | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Arkansas +11.0 (5*) Arkansas enters this SEC showdown with Florida after going 5-0 SU&ATS during their previous 5 games. During this current win streak, the Razorbacks have averaged 84.8 points scored per game while making an impressive 48.6% of its field goal attempts, and they also went a superb 82.4% from the free throw line. Arkansas will also be out to atone for a 9-point home loss to Florida during their 2016-2017 SEC opener. I really like this Florida Gators team. So much so, last week I made them one of my early March Madness predictions to reach this year’s “Final Four”. Nevertheless, they’re being asked to cover a sizable number on Wednesday against a red-hot opponent, and that’s a tad much to ask in my professional opinion. Although Florida has won 7 of their 8 conference home games, they’re also just a mediocre 4-4 ATS in those contests. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-17 | Buffalo +4.5 v. Ohio | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Ohio 6:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Buffalo +4.5 (5*) You can certainly make a case that Buffalo has been better on the road than at home in conference play. The Bulls are coming off a 89-83 home loss to Akron (23-6) who currently has the best overall record in the MAC. Buffalo is 7-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed 80 points or more, and won by a decisive average of 15.0 points per game. Furthermore, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 straight up in their previous 4 road games, and their only defeat came by a 1-point margin at Akron. Ohio has gone just 2-3 SU&ATS in their last 5 road games. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-27-17 | West Virginia +1 v. Baylor | 62-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Baylor 7:00 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: West Virginia +1.0 (5*) These teams met earlier this season and it came just 2 days after Baylor was voted in as the #1 team in the country. West Virginia proceeded to blow out Baylor in Morgantown by a decisive 89-68 score. The Mountaineers tenacious full court pressure defense forced a massive 29 Baylor turnovers in that contest. There’s a fine line between playing with revenge, and simply not matching up well with a specific opponent. Since the start of last season, West Virginia is 3-0 SU&ATS versus Baylor, and each of those victories came by 11-points or more. Speaking of Baylor, they’ve gone an uninspiring 3-5 in their last 8 games, including dropping 3 of its previous 4. The Bears are a dismal 1-7 ATS this season during conference home games. Bet on West Virginia. |
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02-25-17 | San Diego State v. Colorado State -1 | 55-56 | Push | 0 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Colorado State 8:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Colorado State -1.0 (5*) Colorado State has gone a red-hot 8-1 SU&ATS during their previous 9 games, and that also included 5-0 SU&ATS in its last 5. They won those last 5 contests by a decisive margin of 14.0 points per game. San Diego State has been a tad bit erratic at times this season in terms of consistency. A major contributing factor to that inconsistency is they’ve struggled offensively at times. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing a Colorado State team that’s been airtight defensively during their current 5-game win streak. During that stretch, the Rams have allowed only 58.4 points per game and held their opponents to just 37.0% shooting. Colorado State hasn’t beat themselves in recent games, evidenced their average of just 7.9 turnovers committed per game over their last 7 outings. Bet on Colorado State for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-17 | Northwestern +4 v. Indiana | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Indiana 8:00 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Northwestern +4.0 (5*) Indiana has come totally unglued of late. The Hoosiers are 1-7 during their last 8 contests, and it includes a current 5-game losing streak. Their only win during that sequence came at home against Penn State, and they needed overtime to do so. Northwestern is on the cusp of securing their first ever NCAA Tournament bid. Although they’ve struggled a bit recently, they’re more than capable of leaving Bloomington with a win. The Wildcats easily defeated Indiana by a convincing 13-point margin earlier this season. They held a very good shooting Indiana team to a paltry 32.1% from the field in that win. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-17 | Alabama +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama @ Texas A&M 8:00 PM ET Game# 585-586 Play On: Alabama +3.5 (10*) Texas A&M hasn’t exactly been a good bet at home lately, evidenced by the Aggies going 1-4 during their previous 5 games played in College Station. As a matter of fact, Texas A&M is only 4-7 ATS at home this season, and lost straight up on 4 separate occasions. This young Alabama team has quietly put together a nice season, and will enter Saturday’s game with a more than respectable 9-6 conference record. What’s intriguing is they’ve been better on the road than at home during Big 12 action. The Crimson Tide has gone just 4-4 in Tuscaloosa compared to an impressive 5-2 during away games. Alabama is coming off a disappointing 5-point home loss to Georgia on Thursday. Nonetheless, Alabama is 4-0 this season in conference road games following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Alabama plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-25-17 | UTEP -1.5 v. Florida International | 90-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
UTEP @ FIU 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: UTEP -1.5 (5*) I’ve attained success betting on UTEP of late, and let’s continue to ride that money train. UTEP is 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 and 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, after getting off to a brutal 2-13 start to the season, UTEP has won 10 of their last 12 games. Conversely, FIU is 3-18 during its last 18 games, and that includes 1-7 during their previous 8 outings. Sometimes it’s just better to keep it simple and not overanalyze. Bet on UTEP for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-17 | SMU v. Connecticut +5.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
SMU @ Connecticut 12:00 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Connecticut +5.5 (5*) This hasn’t been a banner regular season for Connecticut by any stretch of the imagination. However, the Huskies have won each of their last 6 conference home games. They’ve struggled offensively for most of the season but that hasn’t been the case as of late. During their previous 5 contests, they’ve converted on 47.4% of their 3-point attempts, and possessed a stellar 16:11 assist to turnover ratio. Furthermore, Connecticut has been extremely stout defensively at home, allowing a paltry 60.4 points per game, and have held opponents to just 36.3% shooting. The combination of all this data adds up to home underdog value regardless of the quality of opposition. Bet on Connecticut plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-17 | Georgia +6 v. Alabama | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Georgia @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Georgia +6.0 (5*) Alabama is coming off 2 straight wins and covers. The Crimson Tide are a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games following 2 straight win, and lost by a substantial 17.3 points per contest. The Crimson Tide is also 1-7 ATS this season in lined games after covering in their previous outing. Georgia is a perfect 7-0 ATS this season in conference road games. Granted they’ve gone just 3-4 straight up during those contests. However, those 4 defeats came by a combined 17 points, and that includes 3 by 4-points or less. The Bulldogs are also an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-17 | Jacksonville State -1.5 v. Eastern Kentucky | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky 7:00 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Jacksonville State -1.5 (5*) Eastern Kentucky has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games, and lost by an average of 9.6 points per contest. Conversely, Jacksonville State is 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games, and their only setback came at the hands of conference leader Belmont. Based on each teams previous 5 games played, Jacksonville State should have a decided rebounding advantage this evening. Bet on Jacksonville State for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-17 | Providence +7 v. Creighton | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Providence @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Providence +7.0 (5*) Creighton is just a mediocre 4-4 during its last 8 games. Quite frankly the Blue Jays haven’t been the same team since losing star point guard Moe Watson to a season ending injury. Providence is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Friars are also 3-2 straight up and 5-0 ATS during their previous 5 games played. Providence has plenty of momentum from wins over Butler and Xavier in each of their last 2 outings. Bet on Providence plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-17 | Oklahoma State +3.5 v. Kansas State | 80-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (5*) Kansas State is a dismal 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 games, and that includes 0-3 SU&ATS at home. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS and just 2-3 straight up as a conference home favorite. Conversely, Oklahoma State is a red hot 8-1 in their previous 9 games, and covered on 7 of those occasions. As a matter of fact, the Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in its last 6 conference away games, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-17 | Louisville v. North Carolina -8 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Louisville @ North Carolina 9:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: North Carolina -8.0 This hefty number being given to a Top 10 team like Louisville seems as if the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. However, I’m not falling for the bait. North Carolina is a perfect 13-0 at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 24.3 points per game. That includes 6-0 versus ACC opponents in Chapel Hill with an average victory margin of 21.0 points per contest. The Tar Heels have shot a sizzling 51.1% over their last 5 games, had a sizable +12 rebound per game differential, and a brilliant 18:9 assist to turnover ratio. Louisville has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8%. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-17 | Duke v. Syracuse +4 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Duke @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Syracuse +4.0 (10*) Granted Duke has been red-hot of late. Nevertheless, the Blue Devils are just 3-3 straight up and 2-4 ATS in ACC road games. Duke has also permitted 3 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50.7% or better. Syracuse has gone an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Their only blemish came in its last home contest against Louisville. Even then it was a narrow 4-point defeat in overtime, and the Orange barely missed covering as a 3.0-point underdog. There’s a huge disparity between Syracuse’s defensive numbers at home compared to that on the road. Syracuse is allowing a paltry 64.8 points per game and held their opponents to a mere 38.3% shooting. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-21-17 | South Carolina +8.5 v. Florida | 66-81 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: South Carolina +8.5 (5*) If this game was scheduled 2 weeks ago, Florida would’ve been a 4.5 to 5.0-point opening line favorite instead of 9.5. However, South Carolina is just 2-3 straight up during their previous 5 games, failed to cover on each of those occasions, and hence the large number. Nevertheless, the Gamecocks are a stellar 5-2 SU&ATS in conference road games, and already defeated Florida by 4 at home. As a matter of fact, they held the Gators to a miserable 29% shooting in that win. I chose Florida as one of my “Final Four” predictions just last week, and my mind hasn’t changed in that regard. Nonetheless, I don’t like them to cover this hefty number against a quality opponent like South Carolina. The Gators are 6-1 in conference home games this season, but have only gone 3-4 ATS during those contests. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-21-17 | George Mason +12 v. Dayton | Top | 70-83 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
George Mason @ Dayton 7:00 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: George Mason +12.0 (10*) This pick isn’t about poking holes in an extremely impressive Dayton Flyers resume. I just firmly believe that George Mason is grossly undervalued in this spot. George Mason has gone a terrific 7-1 SU&ATS as a road underdog this season. In fact, 2 of those 7 wins came as a double-digit underdog. Furthermore, the Patriots are 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS during their previous 5 games overall. During that most recent stretch, they converted on a superb 49.8% of their field goal attempts, and amassed a massive +14 rebound per game differential. George Mason has many of the ingredients I look for in assessing underdog betting value, and especially so when considering this sizable point spread. Bet on George Mason plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -2.5 | 82-80 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Texas Tech -2.5 (5*) Texas Tech is just 2-3 over their previous 5 games. However, 2 of those defeats came by exactly 1 point at TCU and in a home game against Kansas. Their other loss came on Saturday in double overtime at West Virginia, and they were a perfect 5-0 ATS in those last 5 contests including an upset win over #4 Baylor. The Red Raiders are a stellar 15-2 at home during this 2016-2017 regular season campaign. Iowa State has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games when the line is +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Texas Tech for a 5* wager. |
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02-18-17 | UTEP +8.5 v. Rice | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
UTEP @ Rice 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: UTEP +8.5 (5*) Rice has played extremely well over the past few weeks. Nevertheless, with all things being considered, I believe they’re a tad bit overvalued today. UTEP has won 8 of their last 10 games, and that includes covering in each of its previous 9 contests. The Miners are allowing just 59.2 points per game during their last 5 outings, and have held conference opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting this season. Furthermore, when college basketball betting odds have displayed UTEP as an underdog, they’ve gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5, and won 3 of those contests straight up. Bet on UTEP plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-18-17 | William & Mary v. Delaware +7 | 85-64 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
William & Mary @ Delaware 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Delaware +7.0 (5*) William & Mary has fared very well at home this season, but the same can’t be said of their road performances. As a matter of fact, William & Mary is 1-7 in conference road games, and that includes losing 6 straight in that role. Delaware enters today riding a wave of momentum created by them going 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. The Blue Hens have also gone 4-1 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3. Bet on Delaware plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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