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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M -4 | 73-72 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Xavier vs. Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Texas A&M -4.0 (5*) Xavier has been impressive in the NIT Tournament. However, keep in mind that the Musketeers were a dismal 4-10 SU in their last 14 games prior to the NIT. Conversely, Texas A&M has gone 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games. Their only loss in that sequence came against Tennessee in the SEC Tournament Final when they were playing its 4th game in 4 days. The Aggies have been sensational defensively on the defensive end of the floor since the NIT began. During their 4 NIT wins, Texas A&M has allowed a mere 57.5 points per game and held opponents to a combined 36.2% shooting. Lastly, it’s seldom a bad idea to take the team that’s been more consistent over a longer period time than the alternative. Give me Texas A&M minus the points. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Miami vs. Kansas 2:20 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Kansas -5.5 (5*) The main reason we will win and cover this game is the huge edge that Kansas will have over Miami on the glass. During their first 3 NCAA Tournament games Kansas was a huge +11.0 rebound per contest. Conversely, Miami is a -9.3 rebounds per game throughout its 3 NCAA Tournament contests. The Jayhawks have also been suffocating on defense while holding each of their 3 opponents in the Big Dance to 35.6% shooting or worse. Lastly, the Jayhawks will enter this contest riding an 8-game winning streak. Give me Kansas minus the points. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Duke 8:49 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Duke -3.5 (10*) Arkansas is coming off a huge emotional upset win over the #1 ranked team in the country Gonzaga. Now with just 1-day of rest, they have to face another blue-blood in Duke with a legendary head coach is retiring at their season’s end. Granted that the Razorbacks win over Gonzaga was an impressive one. Nevertheless, let’s not forget that they had narrow 4 and 5-point wins over #12 seed New Mexico State and #13 seed Vermont during the first 2 rounds. Duke is a very well-balanced team. The Blue Devils are #2 nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 121.0 points scored per 100 possessions. Duke is 11th nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 90.4 points per their opponent’s 100 offensive possessions. Arkansas has been dominant defensively in their previous 2 games. However, Duke has averaged 82.2 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 54% from the field throughout its previous 9 contests. Comparatively, Arkansas has shot 39.4% from the field and made a dismal 25.7% of their 3-point shot attempts over their last 5 games. Arkansas also has scored 22.8% of their points from the free throw line this season which is 8th highest in the country. Conversely, Duke has allowed their opponents a mere 12 free throw attempts per game this season. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-26-22 | Houston -2.5 v. Villanova | 44-50 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Villanova 6:09 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Houston -2.5 (5*) For starters we have a #5 seed as a favorite over a #2 seed in an Elite 8 matchup. That speaks volumes to me in terms of what the odds-makers are thinking. Simply put, they are telling you that Houston is a slightly better team in this contest. Furthermore, Houston has been dominant in their 3 NCAA Tournament game with each win coming by 12 points or more. During their previous 2 games they knocked off #1 seed Arizona and #4 seed Illinois. Both teams entered those games versus Houston with impressive offensive season statistics. Yet, the Cougars held Arizona 60 points and 33.3% shooting and Illinois to 53 points and 34.0%. They also forced 17 turnovers versus Arizona and 14 against Illinois. The Cougars current NCAA Tournament run was preceded by going 3-0 SU&ATS during their own conference tournament. They won those conference tournament matchups by an average of 17.0 points per game and each came by double-digit margins. Simply put, Houston enters today as a red-hot team. Granted Villanova is also 3-0 SU&ATS in the NCAA Tournament, but they’ve faced a #15, #7, and #11 seed to advance. So, their level of competition they faced is nowhere near what Houston encountered. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-25-22 | Providence v. Kansas -7.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
Providence vs. Kansas 7:29 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Kansas -7.5 (10*) I have been harsh on Kansas all season. However, this matchup versus Providence suits them well and I’m calling for a decisive Jayhawks win and cover. Throughout their last 6 games, Kansas has allowed just 63.5 points per contest and limited their opponents to a combined 37.5% shooting. Additionally, Kansas is 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a neutral court favorite of 10.0 or less and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.8 points per game. This is a well-balanced Kansas team that #6 nationally in offensive efficiency and #27 defensively. Granted Providence shot 51.9% in their 79-51 blowout win over #12 seed Richmond in their previous game. However, it marked the first time since 1/23 that the Friars had shot 50% or better from the field. Furthermore, despite that good shooting game, Providence has made only 40.3% of their field goal attempts over its last 5 games. It also must be noted that providence faced a #13 and #12 seed in their 2 NCAA Tournament wins. They’ll be stepping up in class to take on the #2 seed Jayhawks (30-6). Give me Kansas minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Arizona 9:59 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Houston +1.5 (5*) This is exactly why I hate filling out brackets. Before the tournament began, Arizona was my pick to win it all. Now after watching both Houston and Arizona in their first 2 games of the tournament, I’m convinced this is a bad matchup for the Wildcats. Additionally, doesn’t it strike you as strange that a #1 seed like Arizona is just a 1.5-point favorite versus a #5 in the Sweet 16? The sportsbooks are begging you take take Arizona and I’ll gladly turn down the invite to do so. Arizona narrowly escaped with an overtime win over #9 seed TCU in their previous game. There was a huge red flag being waved despite that Wildcats win. TCU had an enormous 18 offensive rebounds in that contest despite being considerably outsized. Conversely, Houston has been one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country annually since Kelvin Sampson took over as their head coach. As a matter of fact, Houston is #3 nationally this season in that category while turning 37.3% of their missed field goal attempts into offensive rebounds. That relentless offensive rebounding prowess wears down opponents while forcing them to defend multiple offensive possessions on numerous occasions throughout the course of a game. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Texas Tech -110 (10*) We have the lower ranked and lower seeded team as a favorite in this contest. Public bettors have flocked to the window early to bet on Duke just as I expected. However, like I said on numerous occasions, my trust lies in the oddsmakers uncanny ability to set an accurate line 24/7 and 7 days a week over all else. The Red Raiders weren’t at their best in their 59-53 second round win over Notre Dame but still walked away with a win. Nevertheless, their calling card is on the defensive side of the floor. Notre Dame entered that 2nd round matchup having shot 50% or better in 5 consecutive games. Texas Tech forced the Fighting Irish into a horrible 32% shooting day. The Red Raiders have now held opponents to less than 40% shooting and 62 points or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games. Furthermore, Texas Tech is #1 nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 84.4 points per opponent 100 offensive possessions. How good a rating is that? The next best team in terms of defensive deficiency that’s part of the ‘Sweet 16 field is Gonzaga at 89.7. Give me Texas Tech for a money line wager. |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Texas A&M -2.5 | 52-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Texas A&M -2.5 (5*) A statistic that jumped off the page at me is the fact that Wake Forest has committed 16.7 turnovers per contest in their last 3 games. That’s a huge concern heading into this matchup versus a Texas A&M team that forces 17 turnover per game this season. Additionally, Wake Forest has allowed their opponents to attempt 24 free throw attempts per game over its last 5 contests. On the other hand, Texas A&M has gone an excellent 80.9% from the free throw line during its previous 5 games. Texas A&M is a red-hot 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS during their last 10 games. The Aggies lone loss in that sequence came in the SEC Tournament Championship Game versus #5 Tennessee when playing their 4th game in 4 days. Texas A&M have been terrific defensively throughout their previous 5 games while holding opponents to just 62.6 points per game and 37.4% shooting. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
TCU vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Arizona -9.5 (10*) TCU is coming off an extremely impressive 69-42 win over Seton Hall on Friday. However, the Horned Frogs have gone just 1-5 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a win in its previous game. Additionally, there’s a sizable disparity in the opponent they’ll face today compared to a Seton Hall team that was average at best over the 2nd half of their season. TCU has scored less than 70 points in each of its last 5 and 9 of their previous 11 games. That’s problematic when it comes to this matchup when considering Arizona has scored 81 points or more during its last 7 and 11 of their previous 12 games. The Wildcats have also shot 49% or better during 11 of its previous 13 games. Arizona is far the better team in this game and will walk away with a decisive win and cover. Give me Arizona minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Purdue 8:40 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Purdue -3.5 (5*) The Longhorns 1st round win came over a Virginia Tech teams that needed 4 wins in 4 days in the ACC Tournament to just make it to the “Big Dance”. That win over the Hokies also halted an 0-3 SU&ATS Texas skid. As good as Texas’ overall defensive number are, they did allow opponents to shoot 48% or better in 5 of their last 10 games. Purdue easily disposed of Yale during their 78-56 win in 1st round action. The Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards all season long which is further proven by their +10 rebound per game average. Purdue is also an excellent 3-point shooting team who has converted on 38.9% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 53-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech 7:10 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Texas Tech -7.5 (5*) Notre Dame will struggle versus an extremely physical Texas Tech team that is outstanding defensively. This will also be the Fighting Irish’s 3rd game in the past 5 days after coming off wins over Rutgers in overtime and a slumping Alabama team on Friday. As I previously mention, Texas Teach is outstanding on the defensive end of the floor. Throughout their previous 5 games the Red Raiders have allowed just 56.8 points per game and held their opponents to a mere 36.6% shooting. Texas Tech dismantled the Big Sky Conference champion Montana State in their opening round game 97-62 while shooting a blistering hot 66.2% in that contest. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. Wisconsin 6:10 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Wisconsin -4.5 (5*) The #11 seed Iowa State Cyclones upset LSU on Friday to advance. However, that was a LSU team that had their head coach and top assistant fired just a week prior to the start of the NCAA Tournament. They’ll be facing a more stable and better team on Sunday who won’t be vulnerable. Colgate gave Wisconsin all they can handle on Friday before the Badgers pulled away late for a 7-point win. For all intent and purposes, this will be a Wisconsin home game that will be played in Milwaukee. That specific factor will play a large part not only in the outcome of this game but also aid in a decisive win and cover for the Badgers. Give me Wisconsin minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Houston -4.5 v. Illinois | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Illinois 7:45 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Houston -4.5 (5*) This line tells me all I need to know. We have the lower seeded Houston Cougars as a 4.5-point favorite over #4 seed Illinois (23-9). Illinois was lucky to advance after a narrow 54-53 win over #13 seed UT-Chattanooga. The Illini led for just 30 seconds in that contest and in my eyes was thoroughly outplayed with all being considered. Illinois has been in an offensive funk over its last 4 contest while averaging only 62.8 points scored per game and shoot a poor 38.2%. That’s not good news for Illinois backers when considering their team will be up against one of the best defensive teams in the country that holds opponents to 59.1 points per game and a mere 37.6% shooting. #5 seed Houston (30-5) is coming off an extremely impressive 82-68 win over a very good UAB team. The Cougars have gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a favorite of 3.0 or more and outscored those opponents by an average of 17.4 points per game. Houston has also gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS this season on a neutral court. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | 70-60 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Murray State 7:45 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Murray State -8.5 (5*) Most people cheer for a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament, St. Peter’s certain qualifies in this regard. The #15 seed Peacocks are coming off a monumental upset over Kentucky in a game they closed as an 18.0-point underdog. Since the1990, NCAA Tournament teams with a seed of #13 or worse that are coming of a 1st round upset have been a huge fade in the following game. St. Peter’s will be facing a 31-2 Murray State team that survived and advance in an opening 92-87 overtime win over San Francisco. Any 2nd Round NCAA Tournament #13 through #16 seed that’s an underdog of 6.0 or greater, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better has gone 0-12 ATS since 1990. Additionally, they were beaten in those contests by an average of 16.8 points per game. Give me Murray State minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | St. Mary's v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs. UCLA 7:10 PM ET Game# 797-798 Play On: UCLA -2.5 (10*) St. Mary’s looked terrific in their 82-53 rout of Indiana on Thursday. Conversely, UCLA closed the game on a 15-4 run in their narrow 57-53 win over Akron in a game they were a sizable 13.5-points favorite. As a result, we’ve seen a plethora of early bets and money being wagered on St. Mary’s. I’m predicting UCLA will bounce back with a huge performance on Saturday. This is an experienced UCLA team that advanced to the Final Four a season ago and that will pay dividends in this matchup. Give me UCLA minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee -5.5 | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Tennessee 5:15 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Tennessee -5.5 (5*) Michigan overcame an early 15-point deficit to beat #6 seed Colorado State on Thursday 75-63. However, the Wolverines are a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS during their last 5 following a win in their previous contest and were outscored by an average of 9.8 points per game. Additionally, they allowed an alarmingly high 78.6 points per game throughout those 5 losses. That’s not good news for Wolverine backers when considering they’ll be facing a very good defensive team in Tennessee. The Volunteers have held their last 5 and 10 of their previous 11 opponents to 39.6% shooting or less. Tennessee has also allowed 64 points or fewer in 11 of its last 13 games. Tennessee has gone 13-1 SU in their previous 14 contests which includes a current 8-game win streak (+12.8 PPG). Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-18-22 | Colgate v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 60-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Colgate vs. Wisconsin 9:50 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Wisconsin -7.5 (10*) This is an experienced Colgate team that took Arkansas down to the wire in last year’s NCAA Tournament. However, this game will be played in Milwaukee which will for all intents and purposes be a Wisconsin home game. Unlike last year when a neutral site crowd energized the sizable underdog Colgate Raiders, that won’t be the case on Friday night. The Badgers were regular season co-champion in a conference that sent 9 teams to the “Big Dance”. Don’t expect them to be flat on Friday. It will be quite the contrary. Give me Wisconsin minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-18-22 | Iowa State v. LSU -4 | 59-54 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. LSU 7:20 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: LSU -4.0 (5*) I was on the local ABC and Fox networks here in Western New York for my predictions for the NCAA Tournament. When asked about this game, I not only predicted LSU would win, but they would hold Iowa State in the high 40’s to low 50’s while doing so. I stand by that statement as bold as that may have sounded. Much ado will be made about LSU firing their head coach and top assistant right after the SEC Tournament. However, this isn’t the spot that the Tigers will be affected by those decisions. Iowa State has been held to 54 points or fewer on 7 separate occasions this season and includes 2 of their previous 3 games. Conversely, LSU has held 7 opponents this season to 59 points or fewer. The Tigers have held opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting this season. Iowa State started the season 12-0 but has gone just 8-12 since. By the way, LSU went 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS in non-conference games this season. Give me LSU minus the points. |
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03-18-22 | Miami-FL +2 v. USC | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Miami vs. USC 3:10 PM ET Game# 755-756 Play On: Miami +2.0 (5*) USC is just 1 of 3 PAC-12 teams that made the NCAA Tournament. The other 2 were UCLA and Arizona who the Trojans went a combined 1-4 SU against. The strength of USC is their defensive play. Although, over their last 6 contests USC has allowed 76.0 points per game. Despite it being a down year for the ACC, I still consider Miami as being a vastly underrated team. The Hurricanes were knocked off in the ACC Tournament Semifinals when losing to #9 Duke 80-76. However, Miami has been resilient this season which is evidenced by them going 8-1 SU following a loss. During their last 6 games, Miami averaged 76.3 points scored per contest and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% from the field. Give me Miami plus the small number. |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -16 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Yale vs. Purdue 2:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Purdue -16.0 (5*) The Ivy League champion Yale Bulldogs are in over their heads in this matchup. During their non-conference portion of their schedule, Yale went 0-4 versus teams in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field (Seaton Hall, Vermont, St. Mary’s, Auburn) and lost by an enormous 23.3 points per game. Additionally, the Bulldogs were a -10.3 rebounds per game during those lopsided defeats. That’s not good news for Yale backers considering Purdue is one of the nation’s leading rebounding team at +9 per contest. Speaking og Purdue, they finished 3rd in the Big 10 regular season standing and only 1.0 game behind co-champions Wisconsin and Illinois. The Boilermakers also made it to the Big 10 Conference Tournament final where they fell to the red-hot Iowa Hawkeyes. Purdue went an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in non-conference games versus teams (North Carolina, Villanova, Wright State) in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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03-17-22 | Vermont +5.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
Vermont vs. Arkansas 9:20 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Vermont +5.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the screen at first glance. Here we have the #17 Arkansas Razorbacks from the powerful SEC 25-8 as just a 5.0-point favorite versus a team that won the America East Conference. However, this is a Vermont Catamounts team that has an outstanding 28-5 record and that includes 22-1 during its previous 23 games. The Catamounts also went 2-1 in non-conference play versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field. Their wins came versus the Ivy League champion Yale Bulldogs and the other against the Patriot League automatic qualifier the Colgate Raiders. Their loss came at #13 Providence by 10. The Catamounts defeated UMBC in the conference title game by a lopsided 82-43 score. Since the start of last season, Vermont has won 8 games by 30 points or more, and they followed the previous 7 by going 7-0 SU&ATS while winning by a substantial 24.6 points per contest. Give me Vermont plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-17-22 | Richmond v. Iowa -10 | 67-63 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Richmond vs. Iowa 3:10 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Iowa -10.0 (5*) Richmond entered the Atlantic Conference Tournament with just an 18-12 record and no whispers of being considered for an NCAA Tournament at-large-bid. So, they just went out and won 4-games in 4 days to capture an automatic bid. The only other A-10 team in the NCAA Tournament is Davidson. The Spiders didn’t face any team in the non-conference part of their schedule that is part of this year’s NCAA Tournament field. Iowa enters the dance having gone 12-2 in their last 14 games which included being the Big 10 Conference Tournament champions. That’s a noteworthy item since there’s 9 Big 10 teams in this NCAA Tournament field. The Hawkeyes are an offensive juggernaut and especially recently. Iowa has scored 80 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Give me Iowa minus the points. |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State +2.5 v. Providence | 57-66 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
South Dakota State vs. Providence 12:40 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: South Dakota State +2.5 (5*) This line confirms what I have believed for the past 2 months. The #13 Providence Friars aren’t as good as their #13 ranking indicates. Yes, they won the Big East regular season title which is no easy feat. However, in their conference tournament they were upset in the conference semifinals 85-57 by unranked Creighton in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. When doing a quick study on KenPom it further validates that Providence is a flawed team despite their stellar 25-5 record. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Providence is an abysmal 1-11 ATS when playing on a neutral court and were outscored by an average of 9.9 points per game. The Friars have gone 1-7 SU since 1997 in the NCAA Tournament. Speaking of stellar records, South Dakota State is 30-4 which includes a current 21-game win streak. The jackrabbits can flat out shoot the basketball which is proven by them shooting 50% or better in 23 of their previous 28 games. If the prerequisite for an NCAA upset in an underdog’s ability to make 3-point shots. Then South Dakota State emphatically checks that box while making 44.9% of their 3-point shot attempts for the season. The Jackrabbits are also averaging 86.7 points scored per game this season. With those types of offensive numbers, your seldom out of any game no matter the deficit. Give me South Dakota State plus the small number. |
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03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +1.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Colorado State 12:15 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Colorado State +1.5 (5*) Michigan somehow received an NCAA Tournament bid and 1st Round bye with an uninspiring 17-14 record. Furthermore, there are even a favorite in this matchup versus the #24 Colorado State Rams (25-5). This is a simple case of ignoring the recognizable brand in Michigan State and going with the underdog that I firmly believe is the better team. Colorado State is 1 of 4 Mountain West Conference teams made the NCAA Tournament field. They also captured non-conference wins over #18 St. Mary’s (25-7) and Creighton who is the #9 seed in the Midwest region. They also won both regular season meetings versus conference rival and #23 ranked Boise State Broncos. The Rams are very good! Give me Colorado State plus the small number. |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming +4.5 | Top | 66-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Wyoming vs. Indiana 9:10 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Wyoming +4.5 (10*) Indiana is certainly the bigger brand than Wyoming and plays in a better Conference. Which aligns itself with an enormous amount of early money being wagered on the Hoosiers. However, the Mountain West Conference was vastly underrated this season which is evidenced by their 4 NCAA Tournament berths and 2 of those teams (Boise State, Colorado State) being currently being ranked in the Top 25. It must be noted, Indiana has gone 2-8 SU in their last 10 games versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field. Wyoming is coming off a loss against #23 Boise State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Nevertheless, the Cowboys have been resilient this season which is proven by their 6-1 SU record following a loss. They were also an extremely profitable 7-3 ATS as an underdog. Give me Wyoming plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M +6.5 v. Tennessee | 50-65 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Texas A&M +6.5 (5*) The Texas A&M Aggies have caught fire at the right time evidenced by them going 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games. They were a longshot to make the NCAA Tournament at the end of regular season play. However, here they are playing their 4th game in 4 days and on an improbable run to winning a conference tournament championship and automatic NCAA Tournament bid. During the 3 games in the SEC Tournament the Aggies have held opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting. A&M has also shot a blistering hit 25-48 (52.1%) from beyond the 3-points line in 3 conference tournament games. Tennessee won both regular season games versus Texas A&M by comfortable margins of 10 and 14 points. The Volunteers were double-digit favorite on both occasions. Now they’re just a 7.0-point favorite versus the Aggies with 1 more day of rest and with a chance to win a SEC title. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the favorite in this spot. Thank you but no thank you. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-12-22 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Duke | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Virginia Tech +6.0 (5*) I haven’t been overly impressed with Duke’s performances in the ACC Tourney thus far. They’ve failed to cover on both occasions and each contest was in jeopardy heading into the final 2 minutes. That’s not to say they aren’t a great team because that would be a ludicrous statement. The Blue Devils have been less than stellar in their 2 games since arriving in Brooklyn while allowing 79 points to an undermanned Syracuse team and 76 to Miami last night. Duke has gone over the total in their last 5 games. Since the start of last season, Duke is 2-10 ATS after going over the total in each of their previous 3 contests and outscored those opponents by just 2.3 points per game. Virginia Tech has played with a high degree of desperation and urgency the last 3 days with the NCAA Tournament hopes hanging in the balance. They were dominant in last night’s semifinal 13-point win over a red-hot North Carolina team. The Hokies held the Tar Heels to just 59 points and 36.7% shooting. During their 3 ACC Tournament contests Virginia Tech has averaged 78.3 points per game and shot 49.3%. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points. |
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03-12-22 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Kansas 6:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (10*) I may be in the minority when I say that Texas Tech is the overall better team in this matchup. I also like their chances of a deep NCAA Tournament run far better than that of the higher ranked Kansas Jayhawks. These teams split the 2 games during regular season action with the home side posting blowout victories on each occasion. During their 2 Big 12 Tournament games versus Iowa State and Oklahoma the Texas Tech Red Riders have been dominant defensively. They held those opponents to only 48.0 points scored per contest and a mere 34.7% shooting. During their 2 regular season meetings versus Kansas, Texas Tech averaged 83.0 points scored per contest and shot an impressive 48.3%. Give me Texas Tech plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-11-22 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. North Carolina | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina 9:30 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Virginia Tech +2.5 (5*) North Carolina won both regular season meetings versus Virginia Tech by 8 and 10-point margins. Despite the #25 Tar Heels have 1 more additional day of rest than the Hokies and being the higher seed, they opened as just a 2.0-point favorite. The sports books are begging you to take the favorite in this matchup but I’m not obliging. Virginia Tech will be the more desperate and urgent team in this matchup as they need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Miami vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Duke -8.5 (10*) This is a Duke team which has shoot 48% or better in each of their last 6 games. Conversely, Miami has allowed its opponents to shoot 48% or better during 5 of its previous 6 contests. Duke will be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 76-74 home loss to Miami earlier this season in a game they closed as a 15.0-point favorite. The Blue Devils had a scare yesterday before pulling away late in a 9-point win over an undermanned Syracuse team that they blew out twice during regular season action. That’s not likely to occur again. Miami narrowly escaped with a 2-point overtime win over a hapless Boston College team in yesterday’s conference quarterfinals. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-11-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 | 69-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin 6:30 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Michigan State has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 2-7 SU&ATS during its previous 9 games versus all teams not named Maryland. Speaking of Maryland, Michigan State defeated them yesterday 74-70. However, since the start of last season, the Spartans are an abysmal 1-10 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer and were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game. Wisconsin is an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in neutral site games this season with victories over #17 St. Mary’s, #18 Houston, and Texas A&M. Those 3 teams currently have a combined 73-23 (.760) record this season. Furthermore, Wisconsin has gone 8-0 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread was anywhere from +3.0 to -3.0. Give me Wisconsin minus the points. |
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03-11-22 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -9 | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Texas A&M vs. Auburn 12:00 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Auburn -9.0 (5*) Texas A&M enters this SEC Tournament Quarterfinal on a 5-game win streak. However, they escaped with an overtime win over Florida yesterday in a contest they blew a 10-point lead with exactly 1:00 to play in regulation and had a 16-point lead with 10:45 left. Furthermore, all their wins on this current win streak came over unranked teams. Keep in mind, prior to their present 5-game win streak, Texas A&M went a dismal 1-9 in their previous 10 contests. The #4 Auburn Tigers enters the SEC Tournament with an outstanding 27-4 record and were the regular season conference champion. They lost 2 games in overtime against #20 Connecticut and #15 Arkansas. They also lost by 5 at #9 Tennessee and were upsets 63-62 at Florida. My point being, with a break or two the Tigers could have easily gone undefeated in regular season action. Auburn played Texas A&M just once during regular season action and won 75-58 at home while covering as a 12.0-point favorite. Additionally, they held the Aggies to a miserable 27.1% shooting day and were +7 on the boards. Give me Auburn minus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Rice v. North Texas -10.5 | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rice vs. North Texas 6:30 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: North Texas -10.5 (5*) For starters, Rice has gone a dismal 1-4 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog. The Owls were hammered in their 2 regular season games versus North Texas by scores of 67-44 and 75-43 while shooting a cumulative 31.8% from the floor. They were also -37 in the rebounding department in those 2 defeats. North Texas is coming off a 70-68 upset loss at UTEP in their regular season finale. That setback halted a 14-game North Texas winning streak. North Texas is 19-2 SU and 14-7 ATS in their last 21 games. The Mean Green finished 16-2 in CUSA play and allowed just 55.9 points per game while doing so. Give me North Texas minus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Oregon v. Colorado +1 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Colorado +1.0 (5*) You can make a strong case for Oregon being among the top underachieving teams in college basketball this season. The Ducks limp into the PAC-12 Tournament having lost 5 of their last 7 games. Conversely, Colorado finished regular season action on a 7-1 SU run and that included a lopsided 16-point win over #2 Arizona. The Buffaloes have averaged 78.1 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests and shot 48% or better on 6 of those occasions. Give me Colorado in this one. |
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03-10-22 | Florida v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Texas A&M +2.5 (5*) After going through an 8-game losing streak, Texas A&M finished the season on a 5-1 run which included 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. Florida went just 3-4 SU during its last 7 regular season contests. What really sticks out to me is the Gators previous 5 games in which they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.0% and make 40.8% of their 3-points shot attempts. Conversely, Texas A&M shot 50% from the field over their last 5 outings. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Indiana v. Michigan -2 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana vs. Michigan 11:30 AM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Michigan -2.0 (5*) Michigan has dominated their head-to-head series versus Indiana which is evidenced by 9 straight wins over the Hoosiers. The last 8 of those wins came by 11 points or more including an 80-62 victory at Indiana this season. The Wolverines figure to get an extra boost with head coach Juwan Howard returning from a 5-game suspension. During the 5 games without Howard, Michigan averaged 77.8 points scored per contest while shooting 49.0%, making 38.2% of its 3-point attempts, and 82.9% of its free throws. Conversely, Indiana finished their regular season by going a dismal 2-7 SU over its last 9 games. Give me Michigan minus the small number. |
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03-09-22 | Fairfield v. St. Peter's -5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Fairfield vs. St. Peter’s 9:30 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: St. Peter’s -5.0 (5*) St. Peter’s dominated Fairfield in both regular season matchups while winning by scores of 57-41 and 70-59. They held Fairfield to a combined 34-112 (30.3%) shooting in those contests. Speaking of good defense by St. Peter’s, they held their last 3 opponents to a mere 42.7 points per game and 26.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, St. Peter’s finished regular season action on a 4-0 SU&ATS run and won by a substantial 17.5 points per game. Conversely, Fairfield is coming off yesterday’s 72-50 win over Canisius. Since the 2019-2020 season, the Stags are 3-14 ATS after allowing 55 points or fewer in their previous outing and was outscored by 8.6 points per game. Give me St. Peter’s minus the points. |
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03-09-22 | Ole Miss v. Missouri +4 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Missouri 6:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Missouri +4.0 (5*) Let me preface my analysis by saying that both teams aren’t very good. Nevertheless, I feel strongly that the lesser of 2 evils is clearly the underdog in this matchup. Ole Miss is 1-8 SU in their last 9 which includes a current 4-game losing streak. Their only win during that stretch came over a terrible 6-25 Georgia team. Furthermore, Ole Miss has gone an abysmal 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season as a pick or favorite. Conversely, Missouri is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a pick or underdog of 5.5 or less. Missouri won and covered both regular season meetings versus Ole Miss. During those wins, Missouri averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 58.2%, made 52.4% of its 3-point shot attempts, and was a +9.5 rebounds per contest. Give me Missouri plus the points. |
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03-08-22 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -12.5 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Gonzaga -12.5 (10*) It’s apparent by current betting patterns that the public is wagering on St. Mary’s plus the sizable number like it’s an absolute cinch. After all, these teams just met on 2/28 in the regular season finale for both teams and St. Mary’s walked away with a convincing 10-point win as a 10.5-point home underdog. Additionally, the Gaels held Gonzaga to a season low 57 points and 36.7% shooting. I’m here to tell you that’s not happening again. Gonzaga was caught in a flat spot, and the Bulldogs will bounce back with vengeance tonight. The oddsmakers were certainly not deterred by that previous result based on the opening number of 13.5. Gonzaga will show their upper echelon class tonight in a revenge situation. Give me Gonzaga minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-08-22 | Canisius +3.5 v. Fairfield | 50-72 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Canisius vs. Fairfield 7:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Canisius +3.5 (5*) Fairfield won both regular season matchups versus Canisius. However, those wins came by just 4 and 6 points so it’s not as if they dominated them. Fairfield has been anemic offensively over their last 5 contests while averaging just 57.8 points score per game and shooting a terrible 37.6% from the field. The Stags are coming off a 57-41 loss at Saint Peter’s in their regular season finale. Since the start of last season, Fairfield is a dismal 1-8 ATS following a contest in which they scored 55 or less and were outscored by an average of 11.2 points per game. On the other hand, Canisius comes into to the MAAC Tournament riding the momentum of having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. Give me Canisius plus the points. |
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03-06-22 | Iowa +4 v. Illinois | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Illinois 7:30 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Iowa +4.0 (5*) I love the way Iowa is playing right now. The Hawkeyes have won their last 5 and includes 3-0 ATS in road games. All 5 wins have come by double-digit margins with the average margin of victory being by 16.2 points per game. Illinois is 4-2 SU in their last 6 at home but was just 1-5 ATS in those contests. Iowa lost to Illinois 87-83 at home in early December but is a much better team cuurently than they were 3 months ago. The great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is their ability to make 3-point shots. During their current 5-game win streak, Iowa has converted on an excellent 40.3% of their 3-point attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. This is nothing new for a Hawkeyes team which averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Since Game 16 of their season, Illinois is 0-6 ATS versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per game. Give me Iowa plus the points. |
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03-06-22 | Michigan +4.5 v. Ohio State | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:30 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Michigan +4.5 (5*) Michigan is coming off an 82-71 home loss to #24 Iowa. The Wolverines have gone a perfect 6-0 SU in their last 6 following a loss in their previous game. During its last 3 contests, Michigan has averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.9% from the field. Ohio State has allowed 75.5 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 47.1% over their last 4. The #23 Buckeyes are a mediocre 6-5 SU in their last 11 games which included a home loss to last place Nebraska on 3/1. Give me Michigan plus the points. |
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03-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M -2 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 8:30 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Texas A&M -2.0 (10*) Mississippi State has gone a dismal 1-8 SU in SEC road games this season with their only win coming versus a Missouri team which has a poor 4-13 conference record and is 10-20 overall. The Bulldogs are coming off a disheartening home overtime loss to #5 Auburn that for all intent and purposes eliminated them from a possible at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. It’s hard to imagine the Bulldogs recovering emotionally from that loss just 3 days later. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 0-4 SU&ATS this season within the point-spread parameter of pick to +4.0. Texas A&M starter the season 15-2 then proceeded to lose 8 straight games. Since that time, the Aggies have rebounded to win 4 of their last 5 and includes a present 3-0 SU&ATS run. As a matter of fact, Texas A&M is coming off a 10-point road win over #25 Alabama in a game they closed as a 16.0-point underdog. During their current 3-game winning run, the Aggies scored 84.7 points per contest and shot a blistering hot 55.8% from the field. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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03-05-22 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State -2 | 78-71 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Kansas State 4:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Kansas State -2.0 (5*) Oklahoma is an abysmal 1-8 SU in conference away games this season. During their previous 3 road games, Oklahoma allowed their opponents to shoot a combined 59.2% which is just atrocious defense. During those last 3 away games, the Sooners averaged a paltry 55.0 points scored per contest. Kansas State does come in on a 4-game losing streak. However, 3 of those 4 losses came by a combined 9 points. The Wildcats will be out to revenge a narrow 2-point loss at Oklahoma earlier this season. Give me Kansas State minus the small number. |
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03-05-22 | Kentucky v. Florida +5 | 71-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Florida 2:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Florida +5.0 (5*) #7 Kentucky has gone a perfect 18-0 at home this season. However, they’re a mediocre 6-5 in true road game which includes dropping its last 2 at Tennessee and Arkansas. Florida is attempting to make a late push for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They’ve won 3 of their last 4 including a home upset win over #5 Auburn. The Gators will also be out to avenge an embarrassing 21-point loss at Kentucky earlier this season. Expect a superb effort from Florida in front of a boisterous home crowd against an extremely talented opponent. Florida has won 6 of their last 7 at home and it’s lone defeat in that stretch came versus #14 Arkansas who’s won 14 of its last 15 contests. Give me Florida plus the points. |
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03-05-22 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -6.5 | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Tennessee 12;00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Tennessee -6.5 (5*) Arkansas has gone 14-1 in their last 15 games and their lone loss in that stretch was a 1-point defeat at #25 Alabama. Yet, here they are as a sizable underdog versus an opponent that’s only ranked 1 spot higher than them in the national polls. Furthermore, Arkansas defeated Tennessee 58-48 at home earlier this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot underdog in this spot. I’m not getting lured in. Tennessee Is an unbeaten 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, the Volunteers are 8-1 in their last 9 with their only loss coming versus Arkansas. The combination of senior day, revenge, and a raucous crowd will inspire Tennessee to a statement win and cover. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-04-22 | Morehead State v. Belmont -4.5 | 53-51 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Morehead State vs. Belmont 10:30 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Belmont -4.5 (5*) Morehead State (22-10) won an Ohio Valley Conference Tournament opening round game yesterday over Tennessee Tech. It must be noted, Morehead State is 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. Conversely, Belmont had an opening round bye due to a superb 15-3 conference record. Belmont (24-6) enters this postseason contest having gone 11-1 in their last 12 games with their lone defeat coming against Murray State (28-2) who is ranked #22 nationally. Give me Belmont minus the points. |
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03-04-22 | Richmond v. St Bonaventure -3.5 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure 5:00 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: St. Bonaventure -3.5 (5*) St. Bonaventure is coming off a blowout loss at VCU which halted a 7-game win streak. However, the Bonnies are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home and won by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Bonnies are also 25-10 (71%) ATS in their last 35 games as a conference home favorite. St. Bonaventure will also be out to revenge a 10-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. Give me St. Bonaventure minus the points. |
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03-03-22 | Iowa +2 v. Michigan | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Iowa +2.0 (5*) Michigan is coming off an 87-70 convincing win over in state rival Michigan State which revenge an earlier season 16-point defeat at East Lansing. The Wolverines exhibited a high degree of intensity and emotion during that victory as a result. It would be hard to imagine they can come close to matching that fever pitch tonight. Additionally, Michigan has gone 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Furthermore, keep in mind that win over Michigan State came versus a Spartans team that is now 2-6 during their previous 8 outings. Michigan State will be facing an Iowa team that has won 7 of their last 8 and each of its last 4. During the Hawkeyes current 4-game win streak they’ve won by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per contest. Iowa is also 3-0 in their last 3 road contests and won by 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Iowa will be out to revenge a 5-point home loss to Michigan in their first encounter of the season. Give me Iowa plus the points. |
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03-03-22 | Cincinnati v. SMU -7 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ SMU 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: SMU -7.0 (5*) SMU will be playing with big time revenge this evening versus a Cincinnati program that has defeated them in each of the last 10 meetings. One of those defeats came at Cincinnati earlier this season. However, SMU is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and with an average victory margin of 14.8 points per game. The Mustangs will be facing a Bearcats team that is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Cincinnati is also a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog while losing by 15.3 points per game. Give me SMU minus the points. |
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03-02-22 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +4 | Top | 81-68 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Auburn @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Mississippi State +4.0 (10*) Auburn has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Their only 2 SU wins came against the 2 worst teams in the SEC in Missouri and Georgia. As a matter of fact, those 2 wins came by a combined 3 points and they were favorites of 14.0 and 14.5 in those contests. Conversely, Mississippi State has gone 7-1 SU in conference home games this season. The Bulldogs have shot 49% or better in each of their previous 5 at home. Give me Mississippi State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-01-22 | Providence v. Villanova -9.5 | Top | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Providence @ Villanova 6:30 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Villanova -9.5 (10*) We have the higher ranked team in #9 Providence (24-3) as close to a double-digit underdog against #11 Villanova (21-7). Just as I expected, public money has been overwhelmingly in favor of Providence. I seldom if ever go with what can be perceived as the obvious choice. This betting situation certainly qualifies in the regard. Furthermore, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers more than those voters participating in the national polls. These teams met just 2 weeks ago at Providence and Villanova walked away with a 5-point win. This is one of those times that the revenge factor means very little to me. The Friars just don’t match up well against Villanova. I’m calling for a decisive win and cover by the home favorite Wildcats. Gove me Villanova minus the points for my Big East Game of the Year”. |
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02-28-22 | UCLA v. Washington +8.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Washington 11:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Washington +8.5 (5*) Washington was just 3-4 in their first 7 home games. However, since conference play began the Huskies are 6-1 at home and their only loss came to #2 Arizona. Conversely, UCLA is just 2-4 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games. Washington will also be out to revenge a 26-point loss at UCLA earlier this season. UCLA is clearly the better team on paper. Nevertheless, give me Washington plus the points. |
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02-28-22 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -12.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Texas Tech -12.5 (5*) Texas Tech is coming off a 69-66 loss at TCU. The #12 Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by 16.0 points per contest. Texas Tech will also be out for revenge after sustaining a 62-51 loss at Kansas State earlier this year. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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02-27-22 | Wichita State v. Memphis -8.5 | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Wichita State @ Memphis 2:30 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: Memphis -8.5 (5*) After being a major disappointment for the first half of the season, Memphis is playing like the team experts thought they would be down the final stretch of regular season action. The Tigers are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Furthermore, Memphis is 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a favorite of 3.5 or greater and with an average victory margin of 15.4 points per game. The Tigers are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference home games and won by 17.5 points per contest. Conversely, Wichita State has lost its last 4 conference away game. The Shockers also suffered a 82-64 blowout home loss to Memphis on New Year’s Day. Wichita State started the season 10-3 and has gone 4-8 since that time. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Boise State v. UNLV +1 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Boise State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: UNLV +1.0 (5*) UNLV has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. UNLV will also be out to revenge a 6-point loss at Boise State on 2/11. Boise State is 13-2 in conference play and UNLV is 9-6. Despite the Broncos being 4.0 games better than UNLV in the conference standings, the oddsmakers have virtually made this an even game. It’s seldom as easy as it looks when it comes to sports betting. Give me UNLV on Saturday. |
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02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Baylor 8:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Baylor -3.0 (5*) I may be in the minority, but I don’t think Kansas is as good as their record or ranking indicates. This is a golden opportunity for Baylor to make a huge statement and send a message to other Big 12 teams regarding the upcoming conference tournament. Baylor will be playing with big time revenge after sustaining an embarrassing 24-point loss at Kansas on 2/5. The Bears are coming off a 2-point win at Oklahoma State in a game they shot just 36%. However, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shote less than 40% and won by an average of 10.7 points per game. The oddsmakers are undeterred by Baylor’s blowout loss at Kansas based on this line and I concur with that mindset. Give me Baylor minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Florida State v. Virginia -7 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5*) These are two teams clearly headed in opposite directions. Florida State has gone any abysmal 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games. That includes going 0-5 SU&ATS during its previous 5 road contest and they lost by an average of 14.8 points per game. Virginia is coming off a narrow 4-point loss to Duke. Nonetheless, the Cavaliers are 10-0 this year following a loss which includes 7-0 ATS in the last 7 with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game. Virginia is also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite. Give me Virginia minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
Auburn @ Tennessee 4:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the page to me since #3 Auburn comes up as an underdog versus #17 Tennessee. Especially when considering, if this game were being played at Auburn, the Tigers would only be no more than a 3.0 or 4.0-point favorite. Since Auburn was ranked #1 for a first time in program history in late January, they’ve been dominant at home but very beatable on the road. Specifically speaking, during that time span Auburn is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS on the road. Additionally, their only 2 SU road wins in that stretch came over Missouri by 2 as a 14.0-points favorite and by 1 over Georgia as a 14.5-point chalk. Those 2 opponents are arguably the worst teams in the SEC this season. Conversely, Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. The Volunteers are #36 nationally out of 358 Division 1 teams in terms of home court advantage. Tennessee is also #3 nationally in defensive efficiency in giving up just 87.9 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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02-26-22 | Kentucky v. Arkansas -2 | 73-75 | Push | 0 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Arkansas 2:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Arkansas -2.0 (5*) Kentucky comes in with a stellar 23-5 record. Nevertheless, they’re just 1-4 SU&ATS in true road games when their point-spread is between -4.5 and +4.5. Arkansas is an outstanding 15-1 at home this season with an average victory margin of 15.1 points per game. Their most notable home wins coming over #3 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. The Razorbacks are a red-hot 12-1 SU&ATS in their last 13 games overall. Give me Arkansas minus the small number. |
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02-26-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Detroit -3 | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
IPFW @ Detroit 1:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Detroit -3.0 (5*) IPFW is 19-10 this season. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog versus a 13-13 Detroit team. Which is sure to give some public bettors a false sense of security when taking the underdog. I had Detroit on Thursday as a 1.5-point home underdog and they defeated Cleveland State (19-8) by 7. That win improved their record in lined home games to 7-0 SU&ATS this season and with a decisive victory margin of 13.0 points per contest. To use an overused cliché, “if it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Give me Detroit minus the points. |
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02-24-22 | Cleveland State v. Detroit +1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Cleveland State @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Detroit +1.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a 19-7 Cleveland State team as just a short favorite versus a 12-13 opponent. As a result, Cleveland State will undeniably be a heavily bet public side. However, going with the perceived obvious pick more times than not is the wrong decision. Besides, Detroit is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in line home games this season and with a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. The Titans average 81.9 points scored per game at home while shooting 47.0% and converting on an excellent 45.1% of their 3-point attempts. As a matter of fact, Detroit has averaged 14 makes from 3-point territory per game at home. Detroit will also be out to revenge a 2-point loss at Cleveland State earlier this season. Give me Detroit plus the small number. |
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02-23-22 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina +2.5 | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ South Carolina 6:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: South Carolina +2.5 (5*) South Carolina has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 while averaging 78.0 points scored per game and they shot an impressive 49.7%. The Gamecocks have held opponents to a mere 41.3% shooting this season and that’s noteworthy when it comes to today’s contest. Mississippi State is an abysmal 1-8 SU this season when facing teams that hold their opponents to 42% or less shooting on the year. Mississippi State is a terrible 1-7 SU in true road games this season and their lone win came in their previous outing by a slim 2-point margin versus Missouri who’s currently the 2nd worst team in the SEC. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Mississippi State is 0-6 ATS immediately following a conference win by 3 points or fewer and was outscored by a sizable 12.2 points per game. Give me South Carolina plus the small number. |
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02-21-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +5 | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: Oklahoma State +5.0 (5*) Oklahoma State is 3-0 in their last 3 and 5-1 during its previous 6 at home. The Cowboys have been extremely efficient offensively while shooting 47% or better in 7 of its last 8 games. Since 2019, Oklahoma State is 10-0 SU at home in February. As good as Baylor is, they’ve gone a disappointing 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. The Bears also lost to Oklahoma State on their home floor earlier this season in a game they were a substantial 14.0-point favorite. Give me Oklahoma State plus the points. |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -5.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Ohio State -5.5 (5*) Ohio State is coming off a 75-62 home loss ti Iowa on Saturday. It was the Buckeyes 1st home loss of the season. Ohio State is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Additionally, Ohio State will be playing with revenge stemming from a 67-51 loss at Indiana earlier this season. The Buckeyes have made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Indiana started the season 16-5. However, they’ve gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 while averaging a mere 59.0 points scored per game and a combined 37.8% shooting. The Hoosiers are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at Ohio State. Give me Ohio State minus the points. |
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02-21-22 | UTEP v. Middle Tennessee -5 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee State 7:00 Game# 865-866 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -5.0 (5*) MTSU is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Furthermore, the Blue Raiders 8-0 SU&ATS in their previous 8 as a favorite of 8.5 or less with an average victory margin of 10.9 points per game. UTEP has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to shoot 51% or better. That’s not good news since they’ll be facing an MTSU team which has averaged 76.6 points scored per game, shot 49.8% from the field, made 41.2% of their 3-point attempts, and converted on 81.1% of its free throws over their previous 5 contests. Give me Middle Tennessee State minus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Vanderbilt -3.5 (10*) Vanderbilt was very competitive in road losses at #2 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. They covered the Tennessee game and fell just short in a 14-point loss to Auburn as a 13.5-point underdog. The Commodores return home where they’ve won 3 straight and a much-improved team than we saw earlier this season. Conversely, Texas A&M started the season 15-2 and then since that time they’ve gone 1-8. Their lone victory in that sequence came by 1 at home over Florida. These are two teams heading in opposite directions. Give me Vanderbilt minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-19-22 | Tennessee v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-58 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Arkansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Arkansas -2.5 (5*) Tennessee is an unbeaten 0-4 at home this season but an uninspiring 5-6 SU in games played away from Knoxville. Arkansas is 14-1 at home this season and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6. Arkansas has held 9 of their last 11 opponents to shoot less than 40% and held them to 60 points or fewer 7 times. Give me Arkansas minus the small number. |
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02-19-22 | Auburn v. Florida +3.5 | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Florida 2:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Florida +3.5 (5*) We have unranked Florida (16-10) as just a 3.0-point underdog versus #2 Auburn (24-2) who is near perfect if not for sustaining 2 overtime losses. They’re begging you to take Auburn as a short favorite in this spot but I’m declining the invitation. Florida is in desperate need of a resume building win over a top opponent and the chance won’t get much glorious than this one. The Gators have won their last 5 at home. Furthermore, this will be the 4th road game for Auburn since they were ranked #1 for a first time in school history. They looked anything but dominant in the previous 3 while escaping with a 1-point win at Missouri and 2-point victory at Georgia. Those are arguably the 2 of the worst SEC teams this season. The Tigers also lost in overtime at Arkansas. Give me Florida plus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Alabama v. Kentucky -6.5 | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Kentucky 1:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Kentucky -6.5 (5*) #4 Kentucky will be in a sour mood after suffering a 13-point loss at Tennessee in their previous outing. The Wildcats return to the comforts of Adolph Rupp Arena where they’re 15-0 this season and outscoring opponents by 24.5 points per game. #25 Alabama has gone just 2-5 SU in true road games this season which included terrible losses to Missouri as a 14.0-point favorite and as a 14.5-point chalk at Georgia. We know that Alabama can beat of the best of the best when considering they have wins over 5 teams currently ranked in the Top 25. However, the only thing consistent about the Crimson Tide is their inconsistently. Give me Kentucky minus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Texas Tech v. Texas -3 | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Texas 12:30 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Texas -3.0 (5*) Texas is a terrific 15-1 at home this season and outscored their opponents by a decisive average of 19.8 points per game. Texas Tech is 16-0 at home this season but they’re only 2-5 SU in true road games. As a matter of fact, the Red Raiders have scored 60 points or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games. That can be highly problematic when facing a Texas team which is allowing a mere 50.6 points per game at home. Texas will also be playing with big time revenge after suffering a 13-point loss at Texas Tech. I’m betting the Longhorns even the score in this one by a comfortable margin. |
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02-17-22 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington +3.5 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Towson State @ UNC-Wilmington 6:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: NC-Wilmington +3.5 (10*) NC-Wilmington continues to not get much respect from oddsmakers despite going 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 games versus Division 1 opponents. Furthermore, the Seawolves have gone a superb 9-0 ATS and 8-1 SU in their last 9 as an underdog. Wilmington is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in lined home games this season, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Give me UNC-Wilmington plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-16-22 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -6 | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Alabama -6.0 (5*) Mississippi State has lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Bulldogs are also an abysmal 0-6 SU in true road games this season. During their previous 3 road contests, Mississippi State averaged a paltry 56.7 points scored per game and shot less than 40% in each contest. Alabama’s only 2 home losses this season came against #2 Auburn and #4 Kentucky. The Crimson Tide is coming off a 68-67 home win over #24 Arkansas. It was just the 4th time all season that Alabama failed to score more than 70 points. The previous 3 times that occurred, Alabama followed those sub-70-point performances by averaging 85.0 points scored per contest in their following game. Alabama also shot 39% in that win over Arkansas. It marked just the 5th time all season that Alabama shot less than 40% from the field. The first 4 times that transpired, Alabama bounced back to shoot 50% or better on each occasion. The Crimson Tide will also be playing with same season revenge stemming for an earlier season 2-point loss at Mississippi State. Give me Alabama minus the points. |
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02-15-22 | Utah State v. San Diego State -4.5 | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah State @ San Diego State 11;00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: San Diego State -4.5 (5*) San Diego State will be out to revenge an earlier season loss at Utah State. The Aztecs are 12-1 at home this season and allowed just 54.7 points per game and held opponents to a miserable 36.8% shooting. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2019 calendar year, San Diego State is 49-5 at home and that includes 30-4 versus conference opponents. Utah State has lost 2 straight games and that includes an 85-72 defeat as an 11.0-point home favorite against Nevada in its previous contest. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
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02-15-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +7.5 | 76-57 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Missouri 9:00 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Missouri +7.5 (5*) Arkansas is coming off a 1-point loss Alabama which halted their 8-game win streak. The Razorbacks are coming off grueling close games versus #2 Auburn and #25 Alabama in their last 2. They have #19 Tennessee up next after today’s contest and in between they face a subpar 10-14 Missouri team. Additionally, Arkansas is one of just a couple currently ranked Top 25 teams that hasn’t responded well immediately following a loss this season. Missouri may have a poor record and is one of the bottom feeders in the SEC. However, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 at home. Give me Missouri plus the points. |
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02-14-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -3.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Kansas State 7:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Kansas State -3.5 (5*) West Virginia has gone 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 true away games and were outscored by 15.0 points per contest. The most recent of those road defeats came on Saturday when they were routed by Oklahoma State 81-58. Furthermore, the Mountaineers are 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 as an underdog of 11.5 or less and they lost by an average of 14.6 points per game. Conversely, Kansas State has gained some confidence after winning 3 of its last 4 which included upset road wins over TCU and Iowa State. The Wildcats will also be out to revenge a 3-point road loss at West Virginia earlier this season in a game they easily covered as a 9.0-point underdog. Give me Kansas State minus the points. |
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02-12-22 | Ole Miss v. Missouri -2 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
Ole Miss @ Missouri 8:30 PM ET Game# 793-794 Play On: Missouri -2.0 (5*) These certainly aren’t 2 of the better teams in the SEC. Nonetheless, the home standing Missouri Tigers are the lesser of the 2 evils and they possess ample betting value in this matchup. Missouri has suffered 4 home loss this season and those defeats came by a combined 11 points. On the other hand, Ole Miss is 1-4 SU in true road games this season. Give me Missouri minus the small number. |
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02-12-22 | Ohio State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Michigan 6:00 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) My prediction is Michigan will be a heavily bet side in this matchup after their 82-58 home blowout over #3 Purdue on Thursday. It was far and away the best that Michigan has played all season. It would be a big ask to expect Michigan to turn in a similar dominating performance over another ranked team just 2 days later. It’s also unlikely the Wolverines will be able to match the emotion and laser like focus they displayed against Purdue. Conversely, #16 Ohio State will be in a sour mood after being upset 66-64 at Rutgers on Wednesday night. The good news for Buckeye backers is that their team is 5-0 SU this season following a loss. Give me Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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02-12-22 | TCU v. Texas Tech -10.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
TCU @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Texas Tech -10.5 (5*) #13 Texas Tech (18-6) is coming off a poor performance in their last game as they fell 70-55 at unranked Oklahoma. On the bright side, the Red Raiders are 5-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and they won by a decisive margin of 16.6 points per game. Included in those 5 bounce back wins were victories over #8 Kansas and #19 Tennessee. Furthermore, Texas Tech is an unbeaten 14-0 at home this season and 13 of those wins came by double-digit margins and the other was by 8 over then #5 Kansas. TCU has a stellar 16-5 season record which includes 4-1 SU in true road games. Yet, they’re unranked and come in as a heavy underdog. They’re begging you to take the sizable underdog in this spot. I won’t accept their seemingly generous offer. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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02-12-22 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State 2:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Oklahoma State -3.5 (5*) West Virginia is coming off a 79-63 home win over a struggling Iowa State team. That victory halted a Mountaineers 7-game losing streak. West Virginia is a terrible 0-5 SU&ATS in conference road game this season and were outscored by 13.4 points per contest. Oklahoma State is 3-1 SU in their last 4 at home and their lone defeat came in overtime. The Cowboys rank #19 out of 357 Division 1 teams in defensive efficiency while allowing 91.5 points per 100 defensive possessions. I look for that part of their game to pave the way for a cover. Give me Oklahoma State minus the points. |
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02-12-22 | Navy -3.5 v. Army | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Navy @ Army 1:30 PM ET Game# 011-012 Play On: Navy -3.5 (5*) Navy lost to Army at home and blew a massive 27-point lead in that contest. Yet, the Midshipmen find themselves as a road favorite in this current matchup and rightfully so. Since that epic comeback win over Navy, Army has gone a dismal 1-5. Navy is the top defensive team in the Patriot League from an efficiency rating standpoint. The Middies get their revenge on Saturday. Give me Navy minus the points. |
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02-12-22 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -12.5 | 58-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Auburn 12:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Auburn -12.5 (5*) #1 Auburn will be in a bad mood after losing in overtime at Arkansas in their previous game. They return home where they’ve gone a dominating 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS with an average victory margin of 18.8 points per game. They’ll get just what the doctor order in a Texas A&M team which has lost 7 consecutive games after starting the season 15-2. The Aggies have been poor defensively throughout their previous 5 games while allowing opponents to shoot 48.6% and convert on an alarmingly high 44.8% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me Auburn minus the points. |
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02-10-22 | Morehead State v. Belmont -9 | 47-48 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Morehead State @ Belmont 8:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Belmont -9.0 (5*) This line jumped off the board at me. Morehead State is 19-6 which includes 11-1 in Ohio Valley Conference action. Additionally, they already have an 83-74 home win over Belmont on their season resume. Yet, they opened as a 10.0-point underdog in this matchup. They’re begging you to take the underdog in this spot. However, upon further research, Morehead State is 0-6 ATS this season as a road underdog with an average margin of defeat coming by 16.3 points per game. Since their loss to Morehead State, Belmont has won 6 consecutive games and shot 49% or better in each of those contests. Belmont is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Morehead State and won by a decisive margin of 21.3 points per game. Give me Belmont minus the points. |
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02-10-22 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee -5 | 48-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee State 7:00 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -5.0 (5*) Old Dominion has gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference road games and lost by an average of 12.0 points per contest. Conversely, Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 10-0 at home with an average victory margin of 18.1 points per game. MTSU is also an extremely profitable 7-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. Give me Middle Tennessee State minus the points. |
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02-09-22 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State +1.5 | Top | 72-63 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (10*) #19 travels to Biloxi, Mississippi for what shapes up to be a tough matchup despite them facing an unranked opponent. The Volunteers are coming off an 81-57 blowout win at South Carolina. Since the start of last season, Tennessee has gone 0-4 SU following a conference win by 20 or more and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. The Volunteers are just 2-4 SU in conference away games this season. Mississippi State has displayed a strong home court advantage this season while going 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in those games. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season The Bulldogs are coming off a 63-55 loss at Arkansas in a game they shot just 35.3% from the field. Mississippi State is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shot less than 40% and has a substantial victory margin of 18.0 points per game. The Bulldogs are in desperate need of a signature win over a ranked opponent to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. Give me Mississippi State for a Top Play wager. |
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02-09-22 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +3.5 | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Rutgers 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Rutgers +3.5 (5*) Rutgers has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a conference home underdog this season. Included in those 4 victories was wins over #3 Purdue and #17 Michigan State. The Scarlet Knights are 13-9 SU this season. However, 5 of their 9 losses have come by 3 points or fewer. #16 Ohio State (16-5) has lost 3 of its last 4 conference road games. Give me Rutgers plus the points. |
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02-08-22 | Michigan v. Penn State +2 | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Penn State 9:00 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Penn State +2.0 (5*) Michigan is a disappointing 2-6 SU&ATS in true road games this season. The Wolverines have been terrible defensively during their previous 3 contests while allowing 79.3 points per game and opponents shot an alarmingly high 52.6% from the field. Penn State has gone a respectable 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. The Nittany Lions have also gone an impressive 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 this season as a home underdog of 8.0 or less. Give me Penn State plus the small number. |
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02-08-22 | Auburn v. Arkansas +2.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Auburn @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Arkansas +2.5 (10*) They’re begging you to take the #1 Auburn Tigers as a short favorite over an unranked team. Since being ranked #1 for the first time in school history 2 weeks ago, Auburn has played 2 road games and turned in uninspiring performances against arguably the 2 worst SEC teams. They escaped with narrow wins by 1 at Missouri and by 2 versus Georgia. Conversely, this is a red-hot Arkansas team that’s riding an 8-game win streak and they covered on 7 of those occasions. The Razorbacks are also 13-1 at home this season. Give me Arkansas plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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02-07-22 | Kansas v. Texas +1.5 | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Texas 9:00 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Texas +1.5 (5*) Kansas is coming off Saturday’s huge 83-59 home win over #10 Baylor. Now just 2 days later they have to travel to Austin, Texas to take on the #20 Longhorns. It’s only human nature that Kansas won’t be able to match the emotional intensity and sharpness they displayed versus the defending national champion Baylor Bears. The Jayhawks will be taking on a Texas team which has gone 14-1 SU at home this season while allowing a paltry 48.9 points per game. Texas has 4 returning starters from a team that swept Kansas last season and held them to only 34.1% shooting in those 2 contests. Texas is coming off Saturday’s 63-41 home blowout win over #21 Iowa State. |
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02-05-22 | Oregon -3.5 v. Utah | 80-77 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Utah 8:30 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Oregon -3.5 (5*) I very seldom go with a road favorite on the huge Saturday college basketball cards. However, this is one of those exceptions to the rule. Don’t be deceived by the 25-point home win by Utah over Oregon State on Thursday night. The Beavers are a terrible team. As a matter of fact, that victory snapped a Utah 10-game losing streak. On the other hand, is a red-hot Oregon team which has won 8 of its last 9 which includes an unscathed 4-0 on the road. Oregon is an unbeaten 8-0 in their last 8 games versus Utah. Bet Oregon minus the points. |
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02-05-22 | Kentucky v. Alabama +1.5 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Kentucky @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Alabama +1.5 (10*) The one thing that’s been consistent for Alabama this season has been their inconsistency. The Crimson Tide is coming off a resounding 100-81 road loss at #1 Auburn. That defeat dropped the Crimson Tide’s season record to 14-8. They have also suffered puzzling losses to Iona, Davidson, at Georgia as a 14.5-point favorite, and at Missouri as a 14.0-point chalk. Nonetheless, there are many positives. Alabama has posted wins over #2 Gonzaga, #6 Houston, #8 Baylor, #22 Tennessee, and #25 LSU. So, it’s unlikely they’ll be intimidated by taking on #4 Kentucky at home where Alabama has gone 10-1 SU. Their lone home defeat was by a narrow 3-point margin against top ranked Auburn. Give me Alabama plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-05-22 | Baylor v. Kansas -2 | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Kansas -2.0 (5*) The last time Kansas played at home was last Saturday when they were thoroughly embarrassed in an 18-point loss to #4 Kentucky. To their credit, the Jayhawks bounced back with a quality road win by 9 at Iowa State earlier this week. Speaking of last Saturday, #8 Baylor was upset by unranked Alabama. Kansas has lost back-to-back home games just once since 1990 and that occurred in December, of 2017 with both coming against non-conference opponents. The #10 Jayhawks learned a valuable lesson last week and they’ll be ready to bring their “A Game” to this one. Bet Kansas minus the points. |
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02-05-22 | Tulsa v. Temple -3.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Temple 2:00 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Temple -3.5 (5*) These are two teams headed in opposite directions. After a terrible start to their season, Temple has seeming righted the ship. The Owls have gone a stellar 5-1 in their last 6 games. Conversely, this is a Tulane team which has been atrocious in true road games this season while going 0-6 and losing by an average of 21.7 points per contests. These teams met at Tulane earlier this season at Tulane and Temple walked away with a 69-64 win as a 3.0-point underdog. It has always been pretty for Temple, but in 8 American Athletic Conference contests they’ve held their opponents to only a combined 38.4% shooting and a miserable 26.7% from 3-point territory. Give me Temple minus the points. |
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02-05-22 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +7 | 81-57 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ South Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: South Carolina +7.0 (5*) South Carolina is far from a great team. Nevertheless, the Gamecocks are a respectable 13-8 overall and 4-5 in the extremely tough SEC. They will be facing a #22 ranked Tennessee team that’s gone a dismal 1-4 SU during its previous 5 true road games. South Carolina will also enter this matchup with momentum after winning 3 of its previous 4 games. Give me South Carolina plus the points. |
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02-04-22 | San Diego State v. Colorado State -3 | 57-58 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Colorado State 9:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Colorado State -3.0 (5*) Think about this. San Diego State defeated Colorado State at home earlies this season in a 79-49 rout. Yet, the Aztecs are an underdog in the rematch versus an opponent who lost their last 2. The perceived obvious bet would seemingly be San Diego State, correct? I can only speak for myself when saying this line reeks of deception and perceived public perception. Colorado State is 10-1 SU at home this season and outscored opponents by 13.3 points per game. Since the start of last season, the Rams are 7-1 SU at home when playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss. Colorado State is also 8-2 SU this season versus opponents with a winning record. Considering the small number, we’re being asked to cover, those previous mentioned SU results are pertinent. Bet Colorado State minus the points. |
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02-04-22 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky +3.5 | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky7:00 PM ET Game# 899-900 Play On: Northern Kentucky +3.5 (5*) Oakland has proven to be the class of the Horizon Conference up to this point. However, don’t expect Northern Kentucky to roll over on their home floor. Since the start of last season, Northern Kentucky is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home underdog while outscoring opponents by 3.0 points per game. Here’s something that really stood out to me when handicapping this contest. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Oakland has averaged a robust 81.4 points per game. Nonetheless, they only made 41.8% of their field goal attempts, and converted just 30.1% of its 3-point shots. These are uneven offensive numbers that required further research. The caveat being, Oakland averaged 28 free throw attempts per game and made a sensational 85.5% of those. Conversely, during their previous 5 games, Northern Kentucky has limited its opponents to a mere 7 free throw attempts per contest. Give me Northern Kentucky plus the points. |
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02-02-22 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -6.5 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Illinois -6.5 (10*) This line makes little sense since Illinois is the lower ranked team at #19 and they’re favorite by a sizable margin against #11 Wisconsin. Additionally, the Badgers are an impressive 5-1 in true road games. Although, if you look inside the numbers, Illinois is a Top 10 caliber team when their star center Kofi Cockburn is available which is the case tonight. Additionally, another key play returns tonight in Andre Curbelo who had been sidelined recently due to COVID protocols. The Illini are 9-2 at home this season and their lone defeats came by 3 versus #7 Arizona and by 4 to #4 Purdue. This point-spread appears to be a trap to take the underdog. We aren’t falling for it. Bet Illinois minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-01-22 | Texas v. Texas Tech -4 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Texas Tech -4.0 (5*) We had Texas Tech on Saturday and they rewarded us with a 76-50 blowout win over a good Mississippi State team. That makes the Red Raiders 13-0 at home this season and 16-0 in their last 16 contests played in Lubbock dating back to last season. Texas tried everything they could to blow an 18-point lead with 10 minutes to play during a 1-point home win over Tennessee. It was especially puzzling considering how well the Longhorns play defense and that they play at a slow offensive tempo. I look for that poor finish to carry over into this contest. Bet Texas Tech minus the points. |
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02-01-22 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure -2.5 | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure 7:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: St. Bonaventure -2.5 (5*) There were lofty expectations for this St. Bonaventure team before the season began. As a matter of fact, when the first AP Top 25 Poll came out, they were ranked #16 and while being a clear-cut favorite to win the Atlantic 10 Conference. However, despite a solid 12-5 season record which includes 4-2 in conference action, a strong case can be made that they’ve underachieved thus far. Here’s a golden opportunity for the veteran laden Bonnies to come up with a statement game against a 17-3 Davidson team who had a short-lived stay in the Top 25 last week until suffering a home loss to VCU. That’s the same VCU team that the Bonnies walloped 73-53 at home a little over two weeks ago. Bet St. Bonaventure minus the small number. |
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02-01-22 | Creighton v. Connecticut -10 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Connecticut 6:30 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Connecticut -10.0 (5*) Creighton is coming off 2 straight poor performances during double-digit losses at home to Xavier and at Butler. The Bluejays are also 0-3 SU in their last 3 conference road games and with a substantial losing margin of 19.3 points per contest. Conversely, #17 UConn enters this matchup riding a 5-game win streak with an average victory margin of 14.2 points per contest. The Huskies will also be out to atone for going 0-3 versus Creighton a season ago which included a 59-56 defeat in the Big East Tournament. This is an extremely heavy number which will entice many college basketball bettors to bet the underdog. I won’t be one of those participants. Give me Connecticut minus the points. |
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