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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-20-24 | St Bonaventure +2.5 v. George Mason | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason 2:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: St. Bonaventure +2.5 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | Marquette v. St. John's +1.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Marquette @ St. John’s 12:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: St. John’s +1.5 St. John’s is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played versus Creighton and Seton Hall. However, the Red Sorm are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home. Marquette is an excellent team but they’ve hit a bit of a wall of late. They’re 3-3 SU in their last 6. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 previous away games. Give me St. John’s in this one. |
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01-20-24 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +3 | 97-94 | Push | 0 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Seton Hall 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Seton Hall +3.0 Seton Hall is playing extremely well right now. They’ve begun their Big East Slate by going 6-1 which includes a current 5-game win streak. The Pirates have posted quality wins over UConn by 15 and Marquette by 3. Seton Hall is a stellar 8-1 SU at home this season. Creighton has been plagued by inconsistent play recently which is evidenced by an uninspiring 5-4 SU record over their previous 9 games. Give me Seton Hall plus points. |
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01-20-24 | Miami-FL v. Syracuse -1.5 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Syracuse 12:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Syracuse -1.5 The Orange are in much need of quality wins if they hope to make the NCAA Tournament. They do own Quad 1 wins over Oregon and Pittsburgh twice this season. This is another golden opportunity for them to shine their resume a little brighter against a formidable Miami team. Syracuse is a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season and is coming off a confidence building 11-point road win at Pittsburgh in their previous game. Syracuse is also an extremely profitable 5-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 5.0 or less and won by an average of 12.8 points per game. Miami has lost 3 of their last 4 and included a an upset shocking defeat to Louisville as a 16.0-point home favorite. They also lost in their previous outing to Florida State as a 5.5-point home favorite. Give me Syracuse to come out on top in this one. |
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01-18-24 | NC-Wilmington v. Elon +7.5 | 82-70 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
NC-Wilmington @ Elon 7:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: Elon +7.5 Elon has gone 6-1 SU at home this season while UNC-Wilmington is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 true away games. The adage is that the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is the ability to make 3-point shots. Elon is #66 nationally in offensive 3-point shot percentage at 36.1%. Additionally, Elon averages 10 three-point makes at home while converting on an excellent 40.1% of those long-distance attempts. As a matter of fact, Elon has averaged 88.1 points scored per game at home while shooting a superb 51.7% from the floor. Conversely, NC-Wilmington is #303 national when it comes to defensive 3-point shooting percentage defense at 36.1%. I love the home underdog betting value in this matchup. Give me Elon plus the points. |
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01-16-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Penn State 9:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Wisconsin -5.5 Despite playing against the 337th toughest schedule or 26th easiest whichever way you want to interpret it, Penn State still has an uninspiring 8-9 record. Conversely, Wisconsin is 13-3 while playing against the 5th strongest schedule in college basketball. The Badgers are also an impressive 6-2 versus teams in the Top 50 of KenPom rankings. The Badgers are #6 nationally in offensive efficient and #27 defensively. Give me Wisconsin minus points. |
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01-16-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +2.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
St. John’s @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Seton Hall +2.5 Seton Hall is 5-1 in Big East Conference Play and 3 of those wins took place on the road. The Pirates also own quality home wins over nationally ranked Marquette and UConn. Give me Seton Hall in this one. |
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01-13-24 | Portland v. San Francisco -16.5 | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Portland @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET Game# 767-798 Play On: San Francisco -16.5 Portland isn’t a good team whatsoever. They rank #248 in offensive efficiency and #292 defensively. Portland has suffered 5 losses this season that KenPom has ranked #220 or worse and were defeated by a sizable average of 9.0 points per game. Additionally, Portland hasn’t registered a win this season versus any team that ranks in KenPom’s Top 160. On the other hand, San Francisco has gone a perfect 8-0 at home this season with an enormous average victory margin of 30.4 points per game. The Dons will also enter tonight on an overall 5-game win streak in which they outscored their opponents by 26.8 points per contest. Give me Portland minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Temple v. North Texas -11 | Top | 51-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Temple @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: North Texas -11.0 Temple started the season 3-0 and has gone 5-8 since. Those struggles have occurred despite playing against a strength of schedule that ranks #217 according to KenPom. The Owls have also suffered bad losses at the hands of #235 Columbia, #262 Old Domion, #176 East Carolina, and #147 South Florida. On the other hand, North Texas is 7-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. The Mean Green is a very frustrating team to play against since they plat at one of the slowest offensive paces in the country and are an excellent defensive team as well. Give me North Texas minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -10 | 80-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Fordham @ Saint Bonaventure 2:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: St. Bonaventure -10.0 Fordham has an uninspiring 7-8 record this season while facing a soft strength of schedule that ranks #333 nationally. They’ve also sustained bad losses to #217 Abilene Christian, #260 Central Connecticut State, and #331 NJIT. They also among the nation’s worst in free throws allowed. Conversely, St. Bonaventure ranks 19th nationally in free throw percentage while making 77.5%. The Bonnies are also a very good 3-points shooting team ranking #34 in that category. Give me St. Bonaventure minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Wisconsin | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Wisconsin 8:10 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Northwestern +7.5 Wisconsin is an excellent team and well deserving of their ranking. But, Northwestern is more than capable of holding their own in this matchup if not pull an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and will take the generous number of points given to me. Northwestern already has quality wins this season over Dayton, Purdue, and Michigan State. The Wildcats are also 2-1 in true road games. They say the ability to make 3-point shots is the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog. This is certainly one of those situations I subscribe to that theory. Northwestern is #29 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. Conversely, Wisconsin is #280 nationally in 3-point defensive shooting percentage. Give me Northwestern plus points. |
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01-11-24 | UCLA +9 v. Utah | 44-90 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Utah 9:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: UCLA +9.0 Utah has certainly faced a very difficult schedule but has still gone 11-4 and is 8-0 at home. However, they come off road losses in their last 2 games to Arizona 92-73 and Arizona State 82-70. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season Utah is an abysmal 2-13 SU following a conference loss by 10 points or more. UCLA is off to an extremely disappointing 6-9 start to the season which includes losing 7 of their last 8. Nevertheless, the Bruins have seen all 9 of their losses come by 9 points or fewer so it’s not like their getting blown out by anybody. Their issues come on the offensive side where they’ve struggled for most of the season up until this point. However, they’re only allowing 62.1 points per game and holding their opponents to 39.1% which has kept them competttive throughout. Give me UCLA plus points. |
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01-10-24 | Butler v. Marquette -11.5 | 69-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Butler @ Marquette 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Marquette -11.5 Marquette is much better than their 11-4 even indicates. The Golden Eagles have faced the 7th most difficult schedule in the nation thus far. They own quality wins at Illinois (11-3) by 7, Kansas (13-1) by 14, Texas (12-3) by 21, and Creighton (12-4) by 5. Marqutte is coming off a loss at Seton Hall. Nevertheless, the Golden eagles are 3-0 following a loss this season while winning by a huge margin of 29.3 points per game. Butler enters this matchup having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and was outscored by an average of 11.0 points per game. Give me Marquette minus the points. |
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01-06-24 | St. John's v. Villanova -4.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
St. Johns @ Villanova 1:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Villanova -4.5 Villanova has endured some resume killing losses this season. Namely, they lost to Philadelphia Big 5 rivals Drexel, Penn, and St. Joseph’s. However, they’re 5-0 versus teams that are ranked in the Top 41 of KenPom rankings. The Wildcats are on a current 4-game win streak with wins over UCLA, North Carolina, Memphis, and DePaul. During those 4 contests their defense has been outstanding while holding opponents to 60.5 points per game and 36% shooting. With Rick Pitino and St. John’s and St. John’s coming to town I look for Villanova to be more than up to the challenge. Give me Villanova minus points. |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Connecticut @ Butler 6:30 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Butler +6.0 This will be just the 3rd true road game for UConn this season and they lost to Kansas by 4 and Seton Hall by 15 in the first 2. Butler is 10-4 but it’s worth noting that they’re 8-0 at home and considering their a sizable underdog in this spot that element can’t be ignored. Butler has also played the tougher schedule to this point compared to UConn which may not result in winning this game outright but certainly bodes well for them to be competitive throughout and stay inside the number. Give me Butler plus points. |
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01-03-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska -5 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Indiana @ Nebraska 9:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Nebraska -5.0 Nebraska is 11-2 and every good as their record indicates. The Cornhuskers have quality depth and are a very experienced team. Indiana is one of the youngest teams in the Big 10 Conference. It seems odd to see Nebraska as a favorite over Indiana in basketball. With that in mind, it most likely will produce a fair share of underdog bets just based on the perception of reach programs history on the hardwood. Give me Nebraska minus points. |
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01-03-24 | USC Upstate v. North Carolina-Asheville -10 | 67-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
USC-Upstate @ UNC-Asheville 6:00 PM ET Game# 306513-306514 Play On: UNC-Asheville -10.0 UNC-Asheville is very good offensively and especially so at home where they’re averaging 92.0 points per game. Asheville is also very adept at getting to the free throw line while averaging 26 attempts per game. That’s not good news for a USC-Upstate team that allows 24 free throw attempts per game. USC-Upstate is a poor 2-8 this season versus Division 1 competition and they’re also 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 12.0 or less. Asheville is coming off 3 consecutive non-conference games which saw them go 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS while hold those opponents to less than 40% shooting. Since last season, Asheville is 8-1 ATS at home following 3 consecutive non-conference games with an average victory margin of 25.1 points per contest. Give me UNC-Asheville minus points. |
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12-30-23 | West Virginia v. Ohio State -9 | 75-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
West Virginia vs. Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Ohio State -9.0 No analysis on College Basketball today. |
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12-30-23 | Wichita State v. Kansas -13 | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Wichita State vs. Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Kansas -13.0 No analysis on College Basketball today. |
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12-29-23 | McNeese State +10.5 v. Michigan | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
McNeese State @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 306535-306536 Play On: McNeese State +10.5 No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions. |
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12-22-23 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 97-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 873-874 Play On: Illinois -6.5 This game will be played at a neutral site at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis. Illinois is the more balanced team on both ends of the floor. The Illini are 8-2 with their only losses coming against Top 15 caliber teams in Marquette and Tennessee. They also own a 9-point at Madison Square Garden over an excellent Florida Atlantic (9-2) who has 5 returning starters from last season run to the NCAA Tournament Final Four. Missouri is 7-4 including a blowout home loss to Memphis and a 73-72 home defeat to Jackson State as a 22.5-point favorite. The Tigers have also dropped their last 2 games played versus Kansas and Seton Hall. Thus far Missouri is statistically one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the country. That’s certainly not good news and especially so against Illinois who ranks 43rd nationally in offensive rebounding. This isn’t a good matchup for the Tigers. Give me Illinois minus points. |
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12-22-23 | Canisius +8.5 v. High Point | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Canisius @ High Point 7:00 PM ET Game# 306661-306662 Play On: Canisius +8.5 Canisius has gone an extremely profitable 4-0-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 6.5 or greater. The Golden Griffins are coming off a hard fought 82-71 loss at Pittsburgh. Canisius is 3-0 SU&ATS this season versus Division 1 opponents following a SU loss. Canisius also gave Syracuse (9-3) all they can handle in a 12-point loss and upset St. Bonaventure (7-3) with both contests coming on the road. Canisius has faced a much more difficult schedule than High Point (9-4) has played against. Hence, the underdog value I love in this matchup. Give me Canisius plus points. |
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12-16-23 | Alabama v. Creighton -7 | 82-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Creighton 8:00 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Creighton -7.0 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-16-23 | Texas A&M +7.5 v. Houston | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Houston 2:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Texas A&M +7.5 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-09-23 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -5 | 64-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s @ Colorado State 6:30 PM ET Game# 697-695 Play On: Colorado State -5.0 St. Mary’s was ranked in the preseason AP Poll Top 25. At this current time, it’s safe to say they were vastly overrated. The Gaels are 4-5 which includes bad losses to Weber State at home, San Diego State by 25, and Xavier by 17. Conversely, Colorado State has lived up to their preseason billing by winning their first 9 games. Additionally, the Rams have covered in 7 of those 9 contests while also posting quality wins over Power Conference opponents like Washington, Colorado, Creighton, and Boston College. The Rams are an extremely efficient offensively while averaging 119.8 points scored per 100 offensive possessions and that’s 6th best in all of college basketball. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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12-09-23 | Cincinnati +1.5 v. Xavier | 79-84 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Cincinnati +1.5 The old cliché in rivalry games such as this one is to toss the records out the window. However, it doesn’t erase that fact that Xavier (4-5) enters this matchup losers of 3 straight games and all of which were played at home. There was no shame in losing to #1 Houston by 6. However, 2 of those 3 homes losses came as a double-digit favorite to mid-major conference teams Delaware 87-80 and Oakland 78-46. and neither team is currently rated in the Top 125 of College Basketball according to KenPom. Cincinnati has played a much weaker schedule than Xavier but has started the season 7-0 and is rated #24 by KenPom. The Bearcats have posted double-digit wins in 6 of those 7 contests. Give me Cincinnati. |
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12-01-23 | Fresno State v. BYU -14.5 | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Fresno State vs. BYU 9:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: BYU -14.5 This game won’t be played in Provo but it will take place in Salt Lake City which by all intents and purposes Is a BYU home game. BYU (6-0) is currently ranked #19 in the AP Poll. Nevertheless, I trust the KenPom rankings much more and they have the Cougars at #9. BYU is is extremely good on both ends of the floor. They’re 28th nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while Fresno State is #338 at defending the 3-point shot. Fresno is an uninspiring 2-3 versus Division 1 teams thus far with their only wins coming over Morgan State and New Mexico State who currently have a combined 1-12 record versus Division 1 competition. Give me BYU minus points. |
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12-01-23 | Quinnipiac v. Canisius -3.5 | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac @ Canisius 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Canisius -3.5 Quinnipiac is 5-1 but their wins have come over Coast Guard, Army, Stonehill, Central Connecticut State, and Albany. Their 4 Division 1 wins came over teams that currently have a combined 7-21 (.250) record. Conversely, Canisius owns quality wins over St. Bonaventure (4-2) and Western Kentucky (5-3). They also gave Syracuse (5-2) all they can handle in a 12-point road loss. Give me Canisius minus points. |
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12-01-23 | Liberty -4 v. College of Charleston | 67-76 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Liberty vs. Charleston 6:00 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Liberty -4.0 Liberty suffered their first loss of the season last night to #13 FAU. However, keep in mind, that was an FAU team that returned all 5 starters from a team that reached the Final 4 this past April. Additionally, that game was part of the Field of 68 Tournament which is being held on the home floor of FAU. The Flames own a quality win over a Top 100 team in Wichita State. These teams faced one common opponent and that was Vermont. Liberty defeated the Catamounts 71-61 while Charleston lost 77-69 on a neutral floor. Charleston is a mediocre 3-3 to start the season with 1 of those wins coming against a team that currently has a winning record. Libert has played the tougher schedule and is batter both offensively and defensively than Charleston. This is also an experienced Liberty team that went 27-9 a season ago and advanced to the 2nd Round of the NIT where they lost at Wisconsin 75-71 after advancing with a home win over Villanova. Give me Liberty minus points. |
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11-30-23 | Liberty v. Florida Atlantic -7.5 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Liberty @ FAU 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: FAU -7.5 Liberty comes into this matchup with a 6-0 record. However, they’ve faced a much easier schedule than FAU and has posted no victories over major conference teams. This will also be the Flames first true road game of the season. #13 FAU (6-1) sustained a massive upset loss earlier this season when they fell to Bryant as a 23.5-point home favorite. However, since that stunning defeat, the Owls have gone 3-0 with wins over noteworthy opponents the likes of Butler, Texas A7M. and Virginia Tech. During those 3 victories they averaged an impressive 90.3 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.3% from the field. Keep in mind, this is an FAU team which made it to the Final 4 a season ago and all 5 of last year’s starters returned for another run at a national championship. Give me FAU minus points. |
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11-29-23 | Colorado v. Colorado State -2.5 | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Colorado State 9:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Colorado State -2.5 Colorado State is a hidden gem at 6-0 and ranked #20. The Rams are coming off an extremely impressive 69-48 upset win over #15 Creighton as a 9.0-point underdog on a neutral floor. Colorado State is averaging 84.9 points scored per game while shooting a blistering hot 53.9% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the 3-point line. The Rams will be out for big time revenge stemming from a 93-65 blowout loss at Colorado last season. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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11-29-23 | Bradley -3.5 v. Murray State | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Bradley @ Murray State 8:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Bradley -3.5 Bradley is 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS to start the season. I know they haven’t exactly been blowing teams out, but they’re solid defensively and faced a respectful strength of schedule thus far. Murray State will enter this contest on a 3-game losing streak with many of their recent failures deriving from poor defensive play. Give me Bradley minus points. |
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11-29-23 | Oakland -7 v. Detroit | 65-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Oakland @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Oakland -7.0 Detroit has been horrible to start the season. The Titans are 0-6 with an average loss margin by 17.3 points per game and failed to cover on 5 of those 6 occasions. They’ve been especially brutal on the defensive end of the floor. Oakland is 4-3 and covered all 7 games. Oakland is coming off a terrific upset win over Xavier on a neutral floor in a game they were a 15.0-point underdog. They were very competitive in losses by 6 at Ohio State (5-1), by 11 at Illinois (5-1), and by 8 versus Drake (5-1). Give me Oakland minus points. |
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11-24-23 | Davidson +11.5 v. St. Mary's | 55-89 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Davidson @ St. Mary’s 4:00 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Davidson +11.5 St. Mary’s has vastly underachieved in the early portion of their schedule when considering they were a preseason Top 25 team. The Gaels have lost their last 3 including the previous 2 in blowout fashion versus Xavier and San Diego State. They began their current 3-game skid by losing to Weber State at home as a 15.5-point favorite. Davidson is 3-2 but owns a win over Maryland and lost to currently undefeated Clemson by just 3. Davidson posted a 69-45 home win over Boston U. in their previous game. Davidson has gone an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons following a win by 20 points or more. Give me Davidson plus points. |
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11-20-23 | Howard +4 v. Bryant | 61-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Bryant is coming off a massive 61-52 upset of nationally ranked FAU team and did so as a 23.5-point road underdog. That's an FAU team that returned all 5 starters from last season's Final Four team. However, now Bryant finds themselves as a short home favorite against a 2-3 Howard team. If it looks to goo to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. Give me Howard plus points. |
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11-20-23 | Purdue -4.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an experienced Purdue team that demolished Gonzaga 84-66 on a neutral court last season. The Boilermakers are 3-0 thus far and have outscored all 3 of those Division 1 opponents by a decisive margin of 29.6 points per game. Gonzaga's lone game versus a division 1 team this year was an uninspiring 15-point home win over Yale. Purdue is a terrific shooting and rebounding team. Expect a similar result to the one we witnessed last year. Give me Purdue minus points. |
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11-14-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas -6.5 | 84-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Kentucky vs. Kansas 9:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Kansas -6.5 There’s a bit of betting value which has diminished on Kansas since they opened as just a 4.5-point favorite. Nevertheless, I don’t think it’s going to matter. Kansas is the more experienced team in this matchup and has more cohesive to their game than Kentucky has at this early stage of the season. This line speaks volumes to me considering both teams are nationally ranked and each is a storied program. Yet, the #1 Jayhawks are a sizable favorite versus #17 Kentucky on a neutral floor to boot. They’re pleading with you to take the underdog here. My answer is no thanks and give me Kansas minus points. |
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11-14-23 | Duke -3.5 v. Michigan State | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Michigan State vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Duke -3.5 Both teams return 4 starters from a season ago and each is currently 1-1. However, Duke loss came at home to #3 Arizona by 5. Michigan State lost their season opener at home to then unranked James Madison and did so as a 16.5-point favorite. The Spartans have averaged 32 free throw attempts per game and made a somewhat mediocre 70% of those opportunities. Duke allowed 17 free throw attempts per game during their first 2 contests so it’s highly unlikely Michigan State will even come close to their season average today. These teams met last season and Duke won by 9 on a neutral floor and covered as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me Duke minus points. |
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11-10-23 | Yale +12.5 v. Gonzaga | 71-86 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Yale @ Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 859-860 Play On: Yale +12.5 This line and the ensuing line movement caught my attention in a big way. We have the college basketball powerhouse #11 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs as just a 12.5-point home favorite versus an Ivy League team. Furthermore, the number opened at 14.5 and was bet down to as low as 12.0 with some razor-sharp money. This will be the season opener while Yale already has a game under the belt in which they came away with a 102-53 win over Vassar who’s a division 2 school Vassar and they shot a sizzling hot 63% in that contest. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class tonight. However, Yale returns 4 starters from last season’s 21-9 team that lost to Vanderbilt in the NIT. This is also a Yale program which has gone a combined 85-36 over their past 4 seasons under current head coach James Jones and reached the NCAA Tournament twice. Give me Yale plus the points. |
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11-10-23 | Tennessee v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Wisconsin +2.5 Tennessee may be the most talented and athletic team in this matchup. However, the Badgers have traditionally had a strong home court advantage and return all 5 starters from last year’s 20-15 team which reached the NIT Semifinal. That type of experience coupled with a consistent winning culture will pay dividends against the #8 ranked Volunteers. Give me Wisconsin plus points. |
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11-08-23 | Jackson State +1.5 v. San Diego | 61-87 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Jackson State @ San Diego 10:00 PM ET Game# 306541-306542 Play On: Jackson State +1.5 This line jumped right off the screen last night and even more this morning. San Diego opened as a 2.5-point home favorite and that line has fallen to 1.5 as of this writing. San Diego plays in the WCC with the likes of nationally ranked Gonzaga and St. Mary’s. They’re led by veteran head coach Steve Lavin who’s had arguably more success as a television personality than a college basketball head coach. San Diego was less than impressive in their 68-64 home win on Monday over Sonoma State that plays at the Division II level. Jackson State returns all 5 starters from a team that began last season 1-12 and then finished 13-7 over their last 20 games. That poor start can be attributed to a an extremely tough non-conference schedule in which they managed to pull at upset as a 12.5 underdog at SMU. They also were extremely competitive in road losses to Michigan by 10, Mississippi State by 10, and Tulsa by 6. Despite that poor start to last season they were still 8-5 ATS during those contests. The opened this season on Monday with a 94-77 road loss to a very good Memphis team in which they covered as a 21.5-point underdog. Give me Jackson State. |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
Miami vs. Connecticut 8:49 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Miami +5.5 (10*) I really like this UConn team. Nevertheless, I believe this is a contest that will go down to the wire, and the Huskies will be hard pressed to cover a relatively high number with all considered. As a matter of fact, Miami has gone 9-1 ATS including 7-3 SU as an underdog this season. Additionally, if the Hurricanes were +3.5 or greater, they improved to 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU for the season. Furthermore, their last 3 wins in the NCAA Tournament all came as an underdog versus #21 Indiana, #2 Houston, and #5 Texas. Those 3 teams finished with a cumulative record of 84-24 (.778). So, it’s not like the Canes had an easy path to reach the Final Four. On the other hand, UConn has yet to be challenged in their 4 NCAA Tournament wins with all of them coming by 15 points or more. Miami is a very difficult team to blow out with 6 of their 7 losses coming by 7 points or fewer, and 4 of those defeats were by narrow margins of 3 points or less. Give me Miami plus the points. |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley +3 v. UAB | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State vs. UAB 9:30 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Utah Valley State +3.0 (5*) Despite Conference USA having 2 teams (UAB, North Texas) playing in the NIT Semifinals, and another (FAU) making it to the NCAA Tournament Final 4, Utah Valley State strength of schedule for the season grades out tougher than that faced by UAB. UVSU has recorded NIT wins at New Mexico (22-12), at Colorado (18-17), and Cincinnati (23-12) to reach this point. The Wolverines have won non-conference road games this season over Oregon (21-15) and BYU (19-15) while also losing in overtime at Wake Forest (19-14). Furthermore, UVSU is #30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. UAB has played the 301st toughest non-conference schedule. The Blazers 3 NIT wins have come over Southern Miss, Morehead State, and Vanderbilt. Not quite as strong of opponents that Utah Valley State has faced in the NIT thus far. Additionally, UAB has gone just 2-4 versus currently alive CUSA postseason teams North Texas and FAU. Give me Utah Valley State plus the points. |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State +2.5 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
San Diego State vs. Creighton 2:20 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: San Diego State +2.5 (10*) San Diego State is an elite defensive team with size, length, and athleticism. That will be the difference in the outcome of this game. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins over Charleston, Furman, and Alabama, San Diego State allowed just 57.7 points per game while those 3 opponents shot a terrible 32.2% from the field. The Aztecs will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 3-point loss to Creighton in last year’s NCAA Tournament. Creighton is coming off an 11-point win versus #15 seed Princeton and barely covered as a 10.0-point favorite despite shooting 58%. It will be a huge adjustment for them going from going up against the Ivy League champion to playing stingy defensive team like San Diego State. The Bluejays are averaging 9 three-point makes per game. However, San Diego State has gone 13-1 SU this season versus opponents who were averaging 8 or more 3-point shots made per game. Give me San Diego State. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Kansas State | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
FAU vs. Kansas State 6:09 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: FAU +2.0 (5*) Kansas State is coming off a thrilling 98-93 overtime win versus Michigan State in Sweet 16 action in what was arguably the best game of the NCAA Tournament to date. Now the 15th ranked Wildcats are just a 2.0-point favorite over an opponent from Conference USA. That point-spread jumped right off the page at me. FAU has been very good defensively in their 3 NCAA Tournament wins while allowing only 63.3 points per game and opponents shot just a combined 38.0% from the field. Although Kansas State has faced the far more difficult schedule compared to FAU, we shouldn’t ignore the fact that the Owls are still 34-3 this season which includes 33-2 in their last 35 games. Play on FAU plus the points. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5 | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Miami vs. Houston 7:15 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Houston -7.5 (5*) I consider this to be a heavy number. What I mean by that is Houston seems to be a much bigger favorite than I anticipated against a very good Miami team who won the ACC regular season title. The oddsmakers are making it extremely alluring to take the underdog in this spot. Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Taking Miami plus the generous number is a sucker bet in my opinion. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Alabama | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
San Diego State vs. Alabama 6:30 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: San Diego State +7.5 (5*) Alabama very well might win it all. However, this is a dangerous game for them against a long athletic team like San Diego State who’s capable of beating any team in the country right now. Regardless, I’m not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset and graciously take the sizable number being given. Give me San Diego State plus the points. |
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03-22-23 | Utah Valley v. Cincinnati | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State @ Cincinnati 9:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Utah Valley State (Pick) (5*) This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a mid-major conference team like Utah Valley State as a pick against a power conference school like Cincinnati, which is coming off impressive wins in the first 2 rounds of the NIT. The first question I asked myself is, why. Then after delving into both teams’ resumes, I was able to come up with more than satisfactory answers. At this point of the season, you would think Cincinnati would have faced a far tougher schedule than Utah Valley State. Although the Bearcats have played the tougher schedule, there’s not the sizable disparity I would have thought. As a matter of fact, Utah Valley State has quality non-conference road wins this season at Colorado, New Mexico, BYU, and Oregon. They also fell in overtime at Wake Forest, who had a winning season. UVSU has shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 7 games. They’ve also held opponents to 40% or worse shooting during 8 of its previous 10 games. Give me Utah Valley State. |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga -4 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Gonzaga 9:40 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (5*) Granted TCU comes from the Big 12 which has been widely recognized as the best conference in college basketball this season. However, the Horned Frogs started the season 13-1 and have gone an uninspiring 9-11 since. Furthermore, TCU has gone 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 immediately following a win which speaks to their inconsistent play during the season’s 2nd half. Yes, Gonzaga plays in the West Coast Conference that from top to bottom is much inferior to the Big 12. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs posted non-conference wins this season over NCAA Tournament teams Kent State, Kentucky, #13 Xavier, #1 Alabama, and Michigan State. As a matter of fact, 4 of those 5 opponents are in the Round of 32. The Zags also posted a pair of wins conference rival #19 St. Mary’s. They also faced #5 Texas, #11 Baylor, and #3 Purdue. So, they’re not going to be phased in the least going up against #22 TCU. Gonzaga has shot an extremely impressive 48% or better in each of their previous 14 games and 50% or better during 13 of its previous 16 contests. Give me Gonzaga minus the points. |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic -15 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Farleigh-Dickinson vs. FAU 7:45 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: FAU -15.0 (10*) The oddsmakers are begging you to take the sentimental underdog and #16 seed Farleigh-Dickinson in this matchup. I believe we’ll see a similar type of result on Sunday that we saw on Saturday when San Diego State blew out Furman. San Diego State wasn’t going to take the underdog Paladins who upset Virginia in Round 1 lightly, and especially so with a Sweet 16 berth on the line. FAU finds itself in a similar position on Sunday versus a #16 seed who pulled off the massive upset over #1 seed Purdue in Round 1. The upstart FAU Owls is in no position to take any game for granted in the NCAA Tournament with being on the cusp of a first ever Sweet 16 appearance. Ken Pomeroy has FDU ranked #275 in the country, #353 in adjusted offensive efficiency, and #361 regarding strength of schedule. Give me FAU minus the points. |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Maryland vs. Alabama 9:40 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Alabama -8.5 (10*) These teams met in the NCAA Tournament last season and Alabama walked away with a 96-77 win. I expect a similar type of result today. For starters, the game will be played in Birmingham which is about as close a home game for Alabama as you can possibly get, and I’m handicapping it as such. Alabama was a perfect 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 24.5 points per game. Conversely, Maryland has gone 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the road. Their only win came over Big 10 cellar dweller Minnesota. Alabama has been locked in defensively over their previous 5 contests while holding their opponents to a combined 32.7% shooting from the field. On the other hand, Maryland has averaged just 64.6 points scored per game while shooting an uninspiring 42.5% throughout its previous 5 games. Give me Alabama minus the points. |
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03-18-23 | Northwestern +7.5 v. UCLA | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
Northwestern vs. UCLA 8:40 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: Northwestern +7.5 (10*) I’m not going to poke holes in in the #7 UCLA Bruins (30-5) season resume because quite frankly there would be little to talk about. However, I do feel this will be a difficult number to cover. Northwestern possesses a veteran 3-guard veteran backcourt that’s very good and will be vital in us covering this contest. Furthermore, Northwestern has gone an extremely profitable 11-3 ATS this season as an underdog of 2.5 or greater and won 9 of those contests straight up. When tightening those numbers up even more, Northwestern improves to 7-1 ATS and 5-3 SU as an underdog of 2.5 or greater immediately following a SU win. The Wildcats are coming off Thursday NCAA Tournament 75-67 win over Boise State in a game they shot an impressive 49.1%. UCLA is #1 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Nonetheless, Northwestern is pretty good as well with a #18 national ranking in that identical category. Give me Northwestern plus the points. |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas v. Kansas -3.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -102 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs. Kansas 5:15 PM ET Game# 809-810 Play On: Kansas -3.5 (5*) Despite Thursday’s NCAA Tournament 73-63 win over Illinois, Arkansas has gone an uninspiring 4-6 throughout its last 10 games. The Razorbacks are a very good defensive teams but they have some shortcomings offensively. This Kansas team is jelling at the most opportune time of the season. They’ve gone 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS during their previous 12 games. Their only 2 losses during that stretch came versus #5 Texas. As a matter of fact, if you take away those 2 versus Texas than Kansas has shot 50.9% or better in 7 of its last 9 contests. The Jayhawks are extremely balanced while ranking #25 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #7 defensively. Give me Kansas minus the points. |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State -5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Furman vs. San Diego State 12:10 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: San Diego State -5.0 (5*) Furman has averaged 10 makes per game from 3-point territory this season. However, since Game 16, San Diego State is 9-0 SU&ATS versus opponents that average 8 or more made 3-point shots per games and won by an average of 9.7 points per contest. San Diego State is more athletic, bigger, and better defensively than Furman. The Aztecs have allowed a mere 54.8 points scored per game and held opponents to a cumulative 35.3% shooting throughout their previous 5 games. The Aztecs are #9 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Furman is #178 in that same category while facing a much softer schedule than San Diego State has faced. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
Kent State vs. Indiana 9:55 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: Kent State +4.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have #21 Indiana as just a 4.0-point favorite versus unranked Kent State winners of the MAC Tournament. However, Kent State has proven it can play with the big boys this season. They lost at #2 Houston (31-3) by 5, #9 Gonzaga (28-5) by 7, and at CAA champion Charleston (31-3) by only 2. The Golden Flashes are 22-3 in their last 25 and includes a current 6-game win streak. Indiana went just 5-4 in their last 9 games. The Hoosiers did most of their damage at home this season where they went 15-2. Conversely, they were just 7-9 in away and neutral site games. Give me Kent State plus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Grand Canyon v. Gonzaga -15 | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
Grand Canyon vs. Gonzaga 7:35 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Gonzaga -15.0 (5*) Gonzaga played an extremely strong non-conference slate in which they faced 7 teams that are part of the NCAA Tournament field. That included wins over Michigan State, Kentucky, #13 Xavier, and #1 Alabama. They also defeated #19 St. Mary’s twice. On the other hand, Grand Canyon (24-11) has faced only 1 team this season that made the NCAA Tournament and it resulted in a 13-point loss to Nevada. They also sustained 6 losses within their own conference as well. Give me Gonzaga minus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Iona v. Connecticut -9 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Iona vs. Connecticut 4:30 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: Connecticut -9.0 (5*) Iona led by legendary head coach Rick Pitino is likely to be a popular upset pick in this matchup. I don’t share that sentiment. UConn is the top offensive rebounding team in the country and that doesn’t bode well for Iona who’s #272 in defensive rebounding. Additionally, Ken Pomeroy’s analytics indicate that UConn is #6 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #19 defensively in that same category. Iona has faced only 1 team all season that is in the NCAA Tournament and it was America East Champion Vermont. Conversely, the Huskies have played 12 games this season versus current NCAA Tournament teams. That includes non-conference wins over #1 Alabama by 15 and Iowa State by 18. Give me Connecticut minus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
Kennesaw State vs. Xavier 12:40 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Xavier -12.5 (5*) This will be the first ever NCAA Tournament appearance for Kennesaw State so there’s bound to be some nerves and tightness from the team as a whole. Conversely, they’ll be facing an Xavier team that #16 nationally in terms of Division 1 experience and has played a far more difficult schedule. The Musketeers will be in a sour mood after turning in a an extremely disappointing performance in a 65-51 loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament Final. Xavier is #3 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while Kennesaw State is #234 defending in 3-point shooting percentage defense. Based on each team’s overall resume, Xavier will dominate the boards in this contest as well. Giver me Xavier minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Texas A&M 9:55 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Penn State +3.5 (5*) #17 Texas A&M finished 2nd to Alabama in the SEC regular season standings. Much of their success was due to some staunch defensive play. Nevertheless, they have struggled offensively of late while shooting less than 40% in 6 of their last 9 games. That’s not good news when considering that Penn State has held their opponents to less than 40% shooting during 4 of its previous 6 games. Penn State will enter the NCAA Tournament with a ton of momentum after winning 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 10 games. Their 2 losses came by only a combined 5 points. One of those defeats came by 2 versus #3 Purdue in the Big 10 Tournament Championship game. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and that includes winning 6 of those contests straight up. The great equalizer for a College Basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well, Penn State is #9 nationally when it comes to 3-point shooting percentage. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -11 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette vs. Tennessee 9:40 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Tennessee -11.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette owns an impressive 27-5 record and is currently on a 5-game win streak. However, there’s no team in the Sun Belt Conference they can pressure you defensively like the Tennessee Volunteers can do. Tennessee is #2 nationally in defensive efficiency. The Volunteers aren’t a good shooting team but they’re relentless on the offensive glass having pulled in 36.8% of its missed shots and wearing teams down with consecutive possessions. The overall athleticism on both ends of the floor will take its toll on the Rajun Cajuns in the 2nd half and enable them to pull away for a comfortable win. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
Boise State vs. Northwestern 7:35 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Boise State +1.5 (5*) Boise State is coming off a loss in the Mountain West Conference Semifinal versus Utah State. The Broncos are 7-1 SU this season following a loss and that includes 5-0 in their previous 5. The Boncos played in an underrated conference that has 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. They also posted impressive non-conference wins over #17 Texas A&M by 15, Colorado by 13, and Washington State by 10. The latter 2 teams are in the NIT field. Northwestern has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Give me Boise State. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 54 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts vs. Duke 7:10 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: Oral Roberts +6.5 (5*) Duke won the ACC Tournament will enter “The Big Dance” on a 9-game win streak. However, I’m not sold as the ACC this season and many experts share my opinion in that regard. Additionally, the Blue Devils non-conference schedule ranks #102 with regards to degree of difficulty. Oral Roberts enters the NCAA Tournament with a 30-4 record and that includes 27-1 in their last 28 games. They’ve also faced the 13th toughest non-conference schedule in College Basketball. As a matter of fact, 3 of those defeats came at #19 Missouri, at #2 Houston, and at Utah State who received an NCAA Tournament at large bid. They also defeated NCAA Tournament teams Texas Southern by 18 and Liberty by 14. This line tells me all I need to know. Mighty Duke who is sizzling hot right now is only a 6.5-point favorite against the Summit League champion. If it looks too good to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of such. Give me Oral Roberts plus the points. |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston v. San Diego State -5 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
Charleston vs. San Diego State 3:10 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: San Diego State -5.0 (10*) Charleston seems to be a popular pick when it comes to upsets on March Madness brackets being filled out by the public. After all, they’re 31-3 which includes 16-2 in conference play. However, as opposed to San Diego State, Charleston ranks #304 national in terms of strength of schedule and #232 with regards to its non-conference slate. San Diego State (27-6) is the Mountain West Conference Tournament regular season and conference tournament champion. That’s nothing to make light off since the conference will be represented by 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Aztecs have traditionally been an excellent defensive team. This season is no different since they rank #10 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Aztecs also played the 16th toughest non-conference schedule in the country. The Aztecs will also have a decided advantage when it comes to experience which should always be factored in when handicapping NCAA Tournament games. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Furman +6.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Furman vs. Virginia 12:40 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Furman +6.5 (5*) #14 Virginia advanced to the ACC Championship Game where they fell to the red-hot Duke Blue Devils. Yet, here they are as just a 6.0-point favorite versus an unranked Southern Conference champion Furman Paladins. The oddsmakers are certainly making it very appealing to take the single-digit favorite in this matchup. However, Furman is 27-7 on the season which includes 14-1 in their last 15 games. The Paladins average 10 made 3-point shots per game and are #1 nationally in 2-point shooting percentage (59.1%). Give me Furman plus the points. |
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03-15-23 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State @ New Mexico 10:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Utah Valley State +5.5 (5*) New Mexico got off to an 18-2 start to the season. However, the Lobos went 4-9 since that time. Rick Pitino Jr. coached teams faltering in the 2nd half of a season have become an all too familiar trend. Utah Valley State (25-8) won’t be in awe of stepping up in class. The Wolverines have posted wins at BYU (19-15) and Oregon this season. They also lost in overtime at Wake Forest (19-14). UVSU is #39 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and #3 in blocked shot percentage. Give me Utah Valley State plus the points. |
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03-15-23 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Cincinnati 9:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Cincinnati -5.0 (5*) Virginia Tech is a terrible 2-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season. As a matter of fact, their only road wins came over Notre Dame and Louisville who were a combined 15-49 this season which also includes 5-35 in ACC action. The Hokies started the season 11-1 and since have gone 8-13. Cincinnati has gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS at home this season. Their only home losses came versus #2 Houston, #13 Xavier, and #24 Memphis. Give me Cincinnati minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona vs. UCLA 10:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Arizona +1.5 (5*) This is a game in which UCLA will sorely miss the contributions of guard Jaylen Clark who recently was ruled out for the season due to an Achilles injury. Clark was averaging 13.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game on the season. UCLA is currently on a 12-game win streak in which they went a profitable 8-3-1 ATS. However, they’re just a 1.0-point favorite in the PAC-12 title game versus an Arizona team in which they finished regular season action 4.0 games ahead of in the conference standings. Give me Arizona. |
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03-11-23 | Duke -3 v. Virginia | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Duke vs. Virginia 8:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Duke -3.0 (5*) Virginia is the higher seed and ranked team in this matchup. However, Duke is the small favorite which speaks volumes to me. Duke is winners of 8 straight and is unequivocally playing its best basketball of the season at the most opportune time. As a matter of fact, the last Blue Devils loss was 69-62 at Virginia on 2/11. Duke knocked off 2 NCAA Tournament bound teams in #14 Miami (25-7) and Pittsburgh (22-11) in the first 2 rounds of this ACC Tournament. Give me Duke minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Marist v. Iona -14.5 | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Marist vs. Iona 7:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Iona -14.5 (5*) Marist entered the MAAC Tournament with a 10-19 record. Somehow, they’ve managed to win 3-games in 3 days to earn a berth in the Conference Championship Game. There’s little chance that Iona will take them lightly with an NCAA Tournament bid on the line and a seasoned head coach like Rick Pitino. Iona won the 2 regular season matchups versus Marist by 19 and 27 points. Iona is currently on a 13-game win streak and went 9-45 ATS in those contests. That includes 6-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite during that stretch. Give me Iona minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Tulane v. Memphis -6 | 54-94 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. Memphis 5:30 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Memphis -6.0 (5*) Tulane won both regular season meetings. Yet, Memphis is the sizable favorite in this AAC Tournament Semifinal. They’re begging us to take the underdog but I’m here to tell you don’t fall for the trap. Memphis has gone 12-3 in their last 15 games. Their only losses during that stretch was a pair of defeats to #1 Houston by 2 and 7 points, and a 1-point overtime loss to Tulane. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Penn State +4 v. Indiana | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Indiana 3:30 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Penn State +4.0 (5*) Penn State has shown a very high compete level over the past 3 plus weeks while going 4-0 in their last 4 and 7-1 during its previous 8 games. Even more telling is they’re 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Conversely, Indiana has gone 1-4 ATS and 3-2 SU in their last 5 as a favorite. Penn State routed Indiana 85-66 during the only meeting between these teams this season. Since last season, Penn State is 8-1 ATS in games played in March. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Arizona State v. Arizona -7 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona State vs. Arizona 11:30 PM ET Game# 859-860 Play On: Arizona -7.0 (5*) Arizona will be out to revenge a late regular season 89-88 home loss to Arizona State in a game the Sun Devils made a 60-foot 3-point shot at the buzzer to win it. Despite winning in each of the last 2 days, Arizona State is still a mediocre at best 7-8 SU and 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games. The Sun Devils have also shot worse than 40% in each of their previous 3 games. That will be problematic against an Arizona team which has scored 78 points or more in 10 of its last 11 and shot 49% or better in 8 of those games. Give me Arizona minus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Clemson +3.5 (5*) Clemson has won 4 of its last 5 with their lone loss at Virginia. The Tigers will look to revenge that lone defeat during that successful stretch in which they shot a combined 51.0% and 42.3% from 3-point range. As a matter of fact, Clemson has scored 80 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 5 of its previous 7 games. Furthermore, Clemson has gone 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in this season when their point-spread is +3.5 to -3.5. Give me Clemson plus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Xavier | 60-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Xavier vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET |
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03-09-23 | Arizona State v. USC -4 | 77-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
USC vs. Arizona State 11:30 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: USC -4.0 (5*) USC has won their last 7 games versus Arizona State which includes both regular season matchups this year. The Trojans have steadily improved as the season moved on while going 18-6 SU in their last 24 including 5-1 during its previous 6. During their 2 regular season wins over Arizona State they held the Sun Devils to an awful 33.8% shooting from the floor. Arizona State heads into the PAC-12 Tournement having gone 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. Give me USC minus the points. |
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03-09-23 | UNLV v. Boise State -5 | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Boise State @ UNLV 9:00 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Boise State -5.0 (5*) Despite this Mountain West Conference quarterfinal matchup being played on the home floor of UNLV, Boise State opened as a 3.5-point favorite and has since moved to 5.5. The Broncos have defeated UNLV 7 straight times which includes both regular season matchups this year. Boise State is coming off an 86-73 loss at Utah State in their regular season finale. The Broncos haven’t lost 2 consecutive games since late December and that was the only time it occurred all season. UNLV has shot poorly over their last 6 games while making just 38.4% of its field goal attempts. Give me Boise State minus the points. |
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03-09-23 | Penn State +2.5 v. Illinois | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Illinois 6:30 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Penn State +2.5 (5*) Illinois finished the regular season by going an uninspiring 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Conversely, Penn State has won 5 of its last 6 contests. The Nittany Lions swept the regular season series versus Illinois with decisive 93-81 and 74-59 wins. Penn State has made an average of 10 three-point shots per game throughout its previous 5 contests and converted on an excellent 39.2% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-07-23 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield -2.5 | 70-52 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Fairfield 7:30 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Fairfield -2.5 (5*) St. Peter’s is coming off a 73-72 upset win over Siena in their previous game. However, the Peacocks are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season immediately following a win. They have failed to win consecutive games since 12/18/2022. A far cry from a team that advanced to the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament a season ago. St. Peter’s has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 50% from the field and 43.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Fairfield won and covered both regular season meeting versus St. Peter’s by scores of 56-52 and 67-55. I look for more of the same type of result in this one. Give me Fairfield minus the small number. |
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03-07-23 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -9.5 | 58-63 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
UNC-Wilmington vs. Charleston 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Charleston -9.5 (5*) UNC-Wilmington is coming off yesterday’s 6-point upset overtime win over Hofstra. Despite that win, it must be noted that the Seawolves are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Charleston passed a stern test last night with a 5-point win over a very good Towson State (21-12) team. This is a Cougars team that can potentially pull an upset or 2 in the NCAA Tournament. This line is as heavy as its sis for good reason. They’re begging you to take the underdog, but I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Charleston minus the points. |
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03-07-23 | New Hampshire v. UMass Lowell -12 | 64-75 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
New Hampshire @ UMass-Lowell 6:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: UMass-Lowell -12.0 (5*) UMass-Lowell enters this America East Conference Tournament Semifinal home game with a stellar 25-7 (.781) season record. New Hampshire has gone a terrible 0-6 SU&ATS on the road versus opponents with a win percentage of .600 to .800 and lost by an average of 22.6 points per game. UMass-Lowell has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite with an average line of -10.9 and victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Lowell is also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 overall and outscored their opponents by 19.8 points per game. During that stretch they averaged 84.2 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 43.2% of its 3-point shot attempts, and converted on an excellent 77.9% of their free throws. Lowell avenged an earlier season upset loss at New Hampshire with a 92-55 home win on 2/25. Lowell is 16-0 SU and 10-3 ATS this season at home and won by 22.0 points per contest. Give me UMass-Lowell minus the points. |
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03-06-23 | South Alabama +2 v. UL - Lafayette | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
South Alabama vs. UL-Lafayette 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: South Alabama +2.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette swept the regular season series between these team. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by those results and lists them as a short favorite in today’s Sun Belt Conference Tournament Championship game. South Alabama started the season 7-13, but they’ve gone 11-2 SU&ATS since. During their 3 conference tournament wins, the Jaguars held opponents 62.3 points per game and a combined 38.3% shooting. Furthermore, South Alabama is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in neutral site games this season with their only blemish coming in a 62-60 loss to Towson State (21-11). Give me South Alabama. |
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03-04-23 | UNLV v. Nevada -8.5 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
UNLV @ Nevada 5:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Nevada -8.5 (5*) UNLV is coming off a terrible 25-point home blowout loss to Utah State in their previous game. The Rebels have now lost 4 of its last 5 while shooting a terrible 38.7% throughout that stretch. Nevada is coming off an 80-71 upset loss at Wyoming. However, the Wolfpack is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS following a loss this season. Nevada is also 14-0 at home and that includes 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS when facing conference opponents. The Wolfpack will be also out to atone for a 68-62 loss at UNLV earlier this season. Give me Nevada minus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -4 | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ West Virginia 2:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: West Virginia -4.0 (5*) This is a textbook trap game. We have #11 Kansas State which is currently on a 4-0 SU&ATS winning run as an underdog against an unranked 17-13 West Virginia team. However, the nationally ranked Wildcats are 1-5 in their last 6 conference road games. The Mountaineers are a solid 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS at home this season. If they want to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive, then this could be a statement game for the home side. Give me West Virginia minus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +1.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Texas A&M +1.0 (5*) Alabama is set up to fail in this spot. The Crimson Tide is coming off an extremely emotional 90-85 home overtime win versus bitter in state rival Auburn in their regular season home finale. Additionally, the Crimson Tide clinched the SEC regular season title with that win. This sets up as a textbook flat spot for Alabama. Now 3 days later they take to the road to play a Texas A&M team which has gone a successful 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Iowa State v. Baylor -7 | 73-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (5*) Iowa State was a nice story throughout the first 2/3 of the season. However, they’ve hit a brick wall of late. The Cyclones are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Additionally, Iowa State has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games and was outscored by an average of 8.5 points per contest. To make matters worse, they recently dismissed their 2nd leading scorer from the team. Baylor has played its best basketball during the 2nd half of the regular season, and especially so at home. Baylor is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home, and all against teams from the best conference in college basketball. Give me Baylor minus the points. |
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03-02-23 | Arizona State v. UCLA -11 | 61-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: UCLA -11.0 (5*) Arizona State is a trendy pick in this game according to the current public betting trends I’m staring at. The Sun Devils are coming off a huge upset win 89-88 at highly ranked Arizona in their previous contest and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Additionally, they won that contest courtesy of a 60-foot desperation 3-point shot that went in at the buzzer. It would be hard for me to imagine they can carry over even close to the same emotion on the road versus one of the current favorites to win a national championship. The Sun Devils are 0-6 SU&ATS this season following a game in which there was a combined 155 points or more being scored and they lost by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per game. UCLA is 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 21.3 points per game. The Bruins are on a current 8-game win streak which has saw them by 13.8 points per contest. UCLA won 74-62 at Arizona State earlier this season thus easily covering as a 5.0-point favorite. Give me UCLA minus the points. |
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03-02-23 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +4.5 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Wisconsin +4.5 (5*) The highly touted Boilermakers aren’t exactly playing their best basketball during the final stretch of regular season action while going 2-4 in their last 6. Additionally, Purdue is 0-3 in their last 3 on the road. Wisconsin is coming off an 87-79 loss at Michigan. However, the Badgers 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss in their previous game. If Wisconsin wants to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive then a win here is imperative. I’m banking on the fact that even if they fall short, the Badgers will take Purdue right down to the wire in their final regular season home games of the season. Give me Wisconsin plus the points. |
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03-01-23 | Texas +3 v. TCU | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Texas @ TCU 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Texas +3.0 (5*) TCU is coming off an 83-82 win at Texas Tech. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS during its previous 6 following a win. TCU has won 2 games in a row since 1/24 and has done so just once since 1/4. Texas is coming off an 81-72 loss at Baylor. Nevertheless, Texas hasn’t lost 2 consecutive games all season. The Longhorns are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Texas has also gone 8-0 in their last 8 regular season games against TCU. During their previous 5 games, Texas has made an excellent 41.9% of their 3-point shot attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. Give me Texas plus the points. |
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03-01-23 | Penn State v. Northwestern -3.5 | 68-65 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Northwestern -3.5 (5*) Northwestern is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played. On a positive note, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS this season following 2 straight losses. The Wildcats are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home with wins coming over #5 Purdue, #15 Indiana, and Iowa. Conversely, Penn State is 2-6 in their last 8 Big 10 away games with their only victories coming over Ohio State and Minnesota who have a combined conference record of 5-30. Give me Northwestern minus the points. |
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02-25-23 | Virginia v. North Carolina -3 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: North Carolina -3.0 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have an unranked North Carolina team which has lost 5 of its last 7 games as a favorite over the #6 ranked team in the country. They’re begging you to take the underdog in this spot. I’m not falling for the bait. Give me North Carolina minus the points. |
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02-25-23 | West Virginia v. Kansas -9 | 74-76 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
02-25-23 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
02-24-23 | South Alabama +4.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 64-74 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ UL-Lafayette 9:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5*) Yes, I know UL-Lafayette is a perfect 13-0 SU at home this season and already won by 3 at South Alabama earlier this season. However, throughout their previous 5 contests they allowed 75.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 47.6%, 37.1% from 3-point rank, and permitted an alarmingly high 24 free throw attempts per game. South Alabama has gone a sizzling hot 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and outscored their opponents by an enormous average of 23.4 points per game. During this current win streak, the Cougars have only allowed 55.2 points per game and opponents shot a combined 37.1%. Conversely, they’ve also been very good offensively during this winning run while shooting 53.7% and making an excellent 44.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. That recent 3-point shooting prowess can’t be ignored since UL-Lafayette is dead last statistically in 3-point shooting defense at 37.9%. Furthermore, beyond this current unbeaten streak, South Alabama is also an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9. Give me South Alabama plus the points. |
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02-22-23 | Iowa v. Wisconsin +1.5 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Wisconsin +1.5 (5*) Iowa is a poor defensive team. As a matter of fact, they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in 11 of 16 Big 10 Conference games this season. Furthermore, throughout their previous 5 contests they’ve allowed 75.4 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 52.1% and make 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts. Wisconsin is coming off a 58-57 home loss to Rutgers. However, the Badgers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss. The Badgers have made an outstanding 39.9% of their 3-point shot attempts at home while averaging 8 makes per game. |
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02-22-23 | South Alabama -2.5 v. Texas State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Texas State 8:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: South Alabama -2.5 (5*) Texas State is just 3-7 SU at home this season when facing Division 1 opposition. They also suffered a home loss versus Division III Mary Hardin-Simmons. South Alabama has gone 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. That includes 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with a enormous average victory margin of 27.0 points per game. During their current win streak, they shot a combined 55.8% and averaged 79.3 points scored per game. They’re also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a favorite with an average victory margin of 20.3 points per game. South Alabama will be out to revenge a home upset loss to Texas State earlier this season. Give me South Alabama on the money line. |
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02-22-23 | Duquesne v. La Salle +2.5 | 91-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Duquesne @ LaSalle 7:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: LaSalle +2.5 (5*) Duquesne is 19-8 but just 8-6 inside their own conference. They we also beneficiaries of playing an extremely soft non-conference schedule. Duquesne is 2-5 SU in their last 7 true road games. LaSalle is arguably playing their best basketball of the season during this final stretch of regular season action. The Explorers have won 5 of its last 6 and cover in 7 consecutive games. They’ve also gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and won by an average of 10.3 PPG. Give me Lasalle plus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State -2.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Michigan State -2.5 (5*) Despite their stellar 19-8 record, Indiana has gone just 3-6 SU in true road games this season. The 17th ranked Hoosiers also have a huge rivalry game up next at Purdue. Michigan State has gone 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home with their lone setback coming by 1 against #5 Purdue (24-4). The Spartans will also be out for revenge stemming from 82-69 loss at Indiana earlier this season. This is a classic example of an unranked favorite facing a nationally ranked opponent in late season action. I trust the oddsmakers much more than the so-called College Basketball experts that vote in those Top 25 Polls. Give me Michigan State minus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Marquette v. Creighton -5.5 | 73-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Marquette @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Creighton -5.5 (5*) Marquette is a more than respectable 5-3 in Big East Conference away games. However, those 5 wins came over teams with a combined Big East Conference record of 25-59 (.298) this season. The 3 they lost on the road came versus #18 Connecticut, #16 Xavier, and #20 Providence. Now they find themselves in a conference away game versus #19 Creighton. I’m sure by now, you see my rationale. Creighton has gone 9-1 SU in their last 10. Their lone loss during that stretch came in double-overtime at #20 Providence. The Bluejays are also 8-0 SU in conference home games and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Among those were wins over 3 conference nationally ranked opponents in Connecticut, Providence, and Xavier. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 76-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*) My antennas went up when I saw the opening point-spread on this matchup. We have an unranked Virginia Tech team that’s 6-10 in ACC action as a favorite over #13 Miami with a 13-4 conference record. Furthermore, Miami has gone a sizzling hot 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked underdog in this matchup versus an unranked opponent. Many more times than not what appears to look this easy is not. I trust the oddsmakers much more than poll voters. Give me Virginia Tech minus the points. |
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02-18-23 | Duke v. Syracuse +1.5 | 77-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Duke @ Syracuse 6:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Syracuse +1.5 (5*) Duke has gone 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games with their only win coming over a terrible Georgia Tech team. As a matter of fact, Duke is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in ACC road games this season. Syracuse has got better as the season has progressed. The Orange come into this contest brimming with confidence after going 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 contests including a home win over #23 NC State in their previous outing. Syracuse has a very respectable 9-6 ACC record and went an extremely profitable 9-3-3 ATS in those contests. It’s worth noting, they lost 5 of those 6 conference games by 7 points or fewer. The Orange have lost each of their previous 7 meetings versus Duke. Yet here the oddsmakers seem undeterred by those results based on this current line. Give me Syracuse. |
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