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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-31-22 | Duke v. Notre Dame +5.5 | Top | 57-43 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Duke @ Notre Dame 7:00 PM ET Game# 883-884 Play On: Notre Dame +5.5 (5*) Notre Dame which has won 10 of their last 11 and is currently on a 4-game unbeaten streak will welcome the challenge of hosting #9 Duke. The Fighting Irish are not stranger to being a home underdog this season as they’ve been in that role twice already and fared well on both occasions. They defeated #4 Kentucky as a 4.5-points underdog and North Carolina as a 1.5-point dog. As a matter of fact, the Fighting Irish are a perfect 9-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 11.7 points per game. Despite their outstanding 17-3 season record, Duke is just 2-2 SU in true road games, and 2 of their 3 defeats came versus unranked opponents. Bet Notre Dame plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-29-22 | Tennessee v. Texas -3 | 51-52 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Texas -3.0 (5*) Tennessee is a perfect 11-0 at home this season. Nonetheless, they’re not at home in this one and the Volunteers have lost 5 times on a neutral floor or in a true road game. Texas is 12-1 at home this season and held their opponents to a paltry 49.3 points per game. The Longhorns need a signature win to catapult themselves back into the Top 25. This is the spot to do so. Keep in mind, it’s the unranked Longhorns who are favorite in this game over #18 Tennessee. The oddsmakers just aren’t that nice. Bet Texas minus the points. |
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01-29-22 | Mississippi State v. Texas Tech -7 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Texas Tech 6:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Texas Tech -7.0 (10*) This isn’t a good matchup for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 0-3 in true road game this season and they allowed 80 or more points on each occasion. They’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s 12-0 at home with an average victory margin of 23.7 points per game. Additionally, the Red Raiders are holding their visiting opponents to a mere 57.7 points per game and 37.8% shooting from the field. Mississippi State has faced just 1 team this season that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and it was an 8-point loss at Kentucky in their previous game. Conversely, Texas Tech has gone 4-4 this season versus ranked teams. Bet Texas Tech minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-29-22 | Baylor v. Alabama +3.5 | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Alabama +3.5 (5*) #4 Baylor (18-2) seems to have things fixed after going through a mini-2-game losing streak. Since that time, they’ve won 3 straight including 2 on the road. However, I’m convinced they’ll be walking into a hornet’s nest on Saturday against unpredictable Alabama. Which Crimson Tide team will show up? The one that suffered losses to the likes of Iona, Davidson, Missouri, and Georgia. The latter 2 are arguably the worst teams in the SEC this season. Or will we witness the Alabama team that beat #2 Gonzaga, #7 Houston, #18 Tennessee, and #19 LSU. This seems to fit the motus operandi of Alabama who falls to lesser teams but steps up when playing the elite of college basketball. Bet Alabama plus the points. |
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01-29-22 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State -2 | 85-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Florida State 3:00 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Florida State -2.0 (5*) Florida State will be in a sour mood after suffering a 75-61 upset loss at Georgia Tech in their previous contest. Despite that loss, the Seminoles are 8-2 in their last 10 and includes 4-0 at home. Virginia Tech is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3. The Hokies are also 1-5 SU&ATS in true road games. Bet Florida State minus the small number. |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Maryland 2:30 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Maryland +1.5 (5*) Indiana has been great at home this season but not so much on the road. The Hoosiers are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 true road games and they’re only SU win came over the Big Ten’s worst team in Nebraska. On the other hand, Maryland is coming off a pair of momentum building wins over #24 Illinois and at Rutgers. The Terrapins have also won 6 consecutive game at home versus Indiana. Bet Maryland plus the small number. |
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01-29-22 | West Virginia v. Arkansas -8 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Arkansas 2:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Arkansas -8.0 (5*) West Virginia limps into this contest having gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 and lost by a decisive average of 19.5 points per game. Conversely, Arkansas has won 5 straight with an average victory margin of 14.0 points per game. During their current win streak, Arkansas held opponents to 54.8 points per game and a combined 34.8% shooting. The Razorbacks are also a stellar 11-1 at home this season and they outscored the opposition by 17.5 points per game. Bet Arkansas minus the points. |
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01-28-22 | Akron v. Toledo -7 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Akron @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Toledo -7.0 (5*) Akron has gone 10-2 in their last 12 but they’ll be facing a sizzling hot Toledo Rockets team today. Toledo has gone an unscathed 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 with all coming versus conference opponents and there was an average victory margin of 16.7 points per game. Furthermore, the Rockets are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home with a massive average victory margin of 22.8 points per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests Toledo has scored 84.4 points per game, shot 52.5% from the field, made 40.0% of its 3-point shot attempts, and knocked down an amazing 87.5% of their free throws. Bet Toledo minus the points. |
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01-27-22 | Purdue v. Iowa +2.5 | 83-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Iowa 9:00 PM ET Game# 823-824 Play On: Iowa +2.5 (5*) #6 Purdue enters this matchup with a stellar 16-3 record. However, the Boilermakers are just 2-2 SU in true road games with losses coming against unranked Indiana and #11 Wisconsin. Iowa has a stellar 11-1 home record and they covered in 8 of those 12 games. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Iowa has gone 39-6 SU (.867) and 32-13 ATS (71.1%) at home. Throughout that 3-year stretch, the Hawkeyes have also gone 20-4 SU (.833) and 15-9 ATS (62.5%) during conference home games. Iowa will be playing with same season revenge stemming from a 77-70 loss at Purdue earlier this season, but they covered that contest easily as a 13.0-point underdog. Bet Iowa plus the points. |
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01-26-22 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -5.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Marquette @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Seton Hall -5.5 (10*) Marquette is a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests. That impressive winning run has catapulted them into the Top 25 for a first time this season at #22. Seton Hall spent most of this first half of the season as a Top 25 team. However, they just recently fell out of the Top 25 rankings and is coming off a terrible 20-point home loss to St. John’s on Monday. It’s redemption time for the Pirates tonight after losing by 1 at Marquette less than 2 weeks ago. It’s also time for a statement win after they’ve seemingly been sleep walking during recent losses. Bet Seton Hall minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-26-22 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Bet On: Virginia Tech -4.5 (5*) This opening and current line in this contest makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. Miami has gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games and both losses came versus Florida State with each by exactly a 1-point margin. Yet, here they are as an underdog versus a Virginia Tech team that’s 2-6 in conference play and is 5-9 during its last 14 games overall. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. I am going with a contrarian approach in this one. Bet Virginia Tech minus the points. |
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01-26-22 | Providence v. Xavier -7.5 | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Providence @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Xavier -7.5 (5*) This line caught my attention as soon as I saw it. We have #21 Xavier (14-4) as a sizable favorite versus #16 Providence (16-2). I have been saying for a couple of weeks now that Providence isn’t as good as their record or current national ranking indicates. The point-spread in this contest confirms that statement. All 4 of Xavier’s losses have come versus current nationally ranked teams but the only one that occurred at home was against #14 Villanova who has defeated them twice this season. Providence enters today having won their last 3 games and shot 50% or better in each contest. However, during 4 true road games this season, Providence has made just 34.7% of their field goal attempts. Bet Xavier minus the points. |
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01-26-22 | Florida v. Tennessee -9 | 71-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida @ Tennessee 6:00 PM ET Game# 675-676 Play On: Tennessee -9.0 (5*) #18 Tennessee has been excellent at home this season while going 10-0 SU, 7-3 ATS, and with huge victory margin of 24.1 points per game. Among those home wins was victories over #3 Arizona and #19 LSU. Florida has gone a poor 1-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season. The Gators have allowed 4 of their last 6 opponents to shoot 50% or better. Additionally, they’ve shot less than 40% in 3 of its previous 5 contests. That’s not exactly a winning recipe when you mix the two together. Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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01-25-22 | Nevada v. Colorado State -8 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Nevada @ Colorado State 9:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Colorado State -8.0 (5*) Despite owning an outstanding 15-1 record, Colorado State is no longer ranked in the Top 25. That’s inclined to leave a huge chip on a team’s shoulder with regards to lack of respect. The Rams can make significant progress in that regard with a lopsided win tonight against a Nevada program who gradually increased their brand in recent seasons. The Wolfpack are coming off a 77-73 win over Fresno State in their previous game. However, Nevada is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by a substantial margin of 17.3 points per game. Bet Colorado State minus the points. |
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01-25-22 | Auburn v. Missouri +13 | 55-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Missouri 8:30 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Missouri +13.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a statement win over #12 Kentucky which puts them on 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS run which includes covering each of its previous 8. As of Monday, Auburn was ranked #1 in the country for a first time in school history. Now they travel to take on one of the SEC bottom feeders in Missouri (8-10/2-4). With all being considered, this sets up to be a flat spot for Auburn. However, Missouri has steadily improved as the season has worn on including a home upset win as a 14.0-point underdog versus then nationally ranked Alabama. The Tigers are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. Missouri has also been offensively efficient over their last 5 while shooting 48.1% from the field, 37.7% from 3-point land, and 75.4% from the free throw line. Missouri is 3-0 in their last 3 which included a 25-point upset win over Ole Miss as a 7.5-point underdog. Bet Missouri plus the points. |
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01-25-22 | Kansas State +14 v. Baylor | 49-74 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Baylor 8:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Play On: Kansas State +14.0 (5*) Despite winning their last 2, Baylor has struggled offensively over their last 4 while averaging a mere 64.3 points scored per game which includes shooting a poor 40.3% from the field. I have a difficult time even pondering laying a double-digit number on a team that’s been less than efficient in recent games. Furthermore, 2 of those 4 games resulted in straight up home double-digit favorite losses to Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. Baylor is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in conference home games. Kansas State has gone 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS in conference road games. Their 2 straight up losses were to West Virginia by 3 and Oklahoma by 2. The Wildcats are 3-1 ATS this season including 3 consecutive covers versus teams currently ranked in the AP Top 25. Give me Kansas State plus the points. |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Illinois 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Illinois -4.5 (10*) This line doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. We have #24 Illinois (13-5) who lost their last 2 games as a sizable favorite versus #10 Michigan State (15-3). Additionally, Michigan State is coming off a convincing upset win at #8 Wisconsin this past Friday which made them 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference road games. Conversely, Illinois has suffered 2 home losses this season at the hands of #3 Arizona and #6 Purdue. It’s just rarely that easy. Give me Illinois minus the points. |
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01-22-22 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas -8 | Top | 73-76 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Arkansas 8;30 ET Game# 797-798 Play On: Arkansas -8.0 (10*) Arkansas rebounded from a recent 3-game losing streak by winning its previous 3 games and all in impressive fashion. One of those wins came by 7 on the road at #13 LSU in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. Texas A&M is coming off a 64-58 home loss to Kentucky which halted their 8-game win streak. Despite that defeat, the Aggies still possess a sparkling 15-3 record and includes 4-1 in SEC action. Yet, they’re a sizable underdog versus an Arkansas squad that’s just 3-3 in SEC play and 13-5 overall. If there’s a trap game for college basketball bettors on Saturday’s enormous card this is the one. This line makes no sense to me and when that happens, I oppose what seems obvious. Bet Arkansas minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-22-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 65-51 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Oklahoma 3:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Oklahoma +3.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Oklahoma has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home underdog and outscored those favorites by an average of 6.0 points per game. Oklahoma does enter on a 3-game losing streak, but 2 of those defeats came by a combined 4 points. The Sooners will be playing with revenge from a 10-point loss at Baylor just a little over 2 weeks ago. However, that game was much closer than the score may indicate as it was just a 4-point game with less than 2 minutes left. Despite their current funk, Oklahoma is still a more than respectable 12-6. Baylor broke their 2-game losing streak with a 9-point win over a mediocre at best West Virginia team. The Bears haven’t shot the ball well in recent games and Oklahoma is a better than advertised defensive team. Bet Oklahoma plus the points. |
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01-22-22 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Miami 2:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*) Miami has gone a red-hot 10-1 in their last 11 games. Their lone loss came by 1 at Florida State. The Hurricanes were fantastic their last time out in a 28-point blowout win over North Carolina. Florida State is on a 5-game win streak which included a huge upset win over #6 Duke earlier this week. The home court advantage and the inexperience of Florida State will be key factors in us easily attaining a cover. Bet Miami minus the small number. |
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01-22-22 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Auburn | 71-80 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Auburn 1:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Kentucky +3.5 (5*) #2 Auburn is 17-1 and their only loss came in triple overtime on a neutral floor versus #25 Connecticut. As a matter of fact, since that UConn loss the Tigers have won 14 consecutive games and covered on 12 of those occasions. Auburn is also a dominating 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS at home this season with substantial victory margin of 19.9 points per game. Yet, they find themselves as a short favorite versus #12 Kentucky. Since losing to Duke at Madison Square Garden in their season opener, Kentucky has won 15 of their last 17 games. The Wildcats are coming off a 64-58 win at Texas A&M which ended a 10-game Aggies winning streak. The Wildcats have been strong defensively this season, and that will be the determining factor in us cover this contest. Bet Kentucky plus the points. |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Michigan State +3.5 (10*) What’s not to like about Wisconsin’s recent play. They’ve won 7 consecutive games and covered each of their previous 5. However, they’ll be in for their toughest test to date versus a terrific Michigan State team that’s coming off a home upset loss to Northwestern. The Spartans are 2-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss while winning by 26.5 points per game. Michigan State is also an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in true road games this season with their average point-spread being -6.3 and an average victory margin of 11.7. Give me Michigan State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-22 | Toledo v. Ohio -4 | 87-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Ohio 6:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Ohio -4.0 (5*) Toledo enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak. Conversely, Ohio has strung together 9 consecutive wins in a row. Any college basketball home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Ohio) that’s coming 7 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent (Toledo) coming off 4 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home favorites going 27-3 ATS (90%) since the start of the 2017-2018 season. The average line in those 30 contests was 6.3 and the favorites outscored those underdogs by an average of 12.5 points per game. Additionally, Ohio is a perfect 8-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 11.4 points per game. Bet Ohio minus the points. |
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01-20-22 | Purdue v. Indiana +3.5 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Purdue @ Indiana 7:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Indiana +3.5 (5*) #4 Purdue is coming off a thrilling 96-88 overtime win at #17 Illinois on Monday night. Now they take on an unranked Indiana team that they’ve beaten 9 consecutive times. Furthermore, Indiana is a perfect 11-0 SU at home this season and they covered 9 of those contests. The Hoosiers have been solid defensively in their 7 Big 10 Conference games while holding opponents to 63.6 points per contest and only 39.2% shooting. Bet Indiana plus the points. |
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01-19-22 | LSU v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
LSU @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Alabama -3.5 (10*) This opening line and the ensuing movement jumped off the page at me. Alabama has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and fell out of the Top 25 for a first time this season. Yet, they opened as a 2.5-point favorite and is now -4.0 against #13 LSU. Speaking of LSU, they’re coming off a listless performance during a 7-point upset home loss to unranked Arkansas. I’m looking for Alabama to bounce back in a huge way in this matchup. Bet Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-22 | Duke v. Florida State +5.5 | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Duke @ Florida State 9:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Florida State +5.5 (5*) This is one of Leonard Hamilton’s youngest teams since taking over at Florida State. However, they have shown vast improvement as the season has progressed and enter today on a 3-game win streak. Furthermore, the Seminoles are a dominating 41-2 SU in their last 43 at home which also includes 27-1 SU in ACC action. This will be only Duke’s 3rd true road game of the season, and they went just 1-1 SU in the previous 2. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset tonight in Tallahassee, but I won’t get greedy and take the points. Bet Florida State plus the points. |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Texas Tech -7.5 (5*) Texas Tech will be in a sour mood after suffering a 62-51 upset loss at Kansas State in their previous game. The Kansas State loss ended a 3-0 SU&ATS run for the Red Raiders which included wins over #5 Baylor and #6 Kansas. Additionally, Texas Tech has gone a perfect 10-0 at home this season while outscoring their opponents by a massive average of 26.0 points per game. The Red Raiders will be out to revenge a 4-point road loss to Iowa State earlier this season. Speaking of Iowa State, they’re just 2-3 in Big 12 Conference play after going 12-0 in the non-conference portion of their schedule. Lastly, this current line tells me all I need to know when considering the lower ranked team in #18 Texas Tech is such a sizable favorite versus #15 Iowa State. The sportsbooks are attempting to lure you into taking the underdog. My reply to them is no thnk you. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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01-18-22 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +4 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Kansas @ Oklahoma 7:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Oklahoma +4.0 (10*) Oklahoma has lost 3 of their last 4 but all those defeats came on the road. The Sooners are 9-1 at home this season. I really like this Sooners team and think they’re much better than their 12-5 record indicates. Former Loyola-Chicago head coach Porter Moser was a great hire by Oklahoma, and he’s been involved in several high-pressured NCAA Tournament games and was quite successful in those games at his previous stop with a majority coming as an underdog. Kansas is just 1-1 in true road games this season and is coming off a narrow 1-point win over Iowa State in a contest they were a sizable 12.5-point favorite. Bet Oklahoma plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-15-22 | Arkansas v. LSU -6.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ LSU 2:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: LSU -6.5 (5*) #12 LSU is 15-1 and their only loss occurred at #4 Auburn. The Bayou Bengals are a dominating 10-0 SU&ATS at home this season with an average victory margin of 27.3 points per game. Arkansas is 0-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season. This will also be the Razorbacks first game this season versus a ranked opponent. Give me LSU minus the points. |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State +2.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas @ Iowa State 2:00 Game# 637-638 Play On: Iowa State +2.5 (5*) #21 Texas has a stellar 13-3 record but is just 1-2 in true road games. Conversely, #15 Iowa State is 10-1 at home and their lone defeat came by 5 versus #1 Baylor. The Cyclones are coming off a gut-wrenching 62-61 loss at #9 Kansas in a game they closed as a 13.0-point underdog. Look for the Cyclones to bounce back at home with a superb effort. Bet Iowa State plus the small number. |
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01-13-22 | Stanford v. Washington State -7.5 | 62-57 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Stanford @ Washington State 5:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Washington State -7.5 (5*) Stanford is coming off a huge upset win over then unbeaten and 5th ranked USC just 2 days ago. Now they find themselves on the road as a sizable underdog versus a 9-6 Washington State team that has already suffered 4 home losses. This falls under the category of a fishy line which is a trap to play the underdog. Give me Washington State minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Duke v. Wake Forest +6 | 76-64 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Wake Forest +6.0 (5*) This will be just the 2nd true road game for Duke this season. They were upset at Ohio State 71-66 as a 3.5-point favorite on 11/30/21 in their only other true road contest. In the you may be surprised to know category, since the 2019-2020 season, Duke is an abysmal 3-10 SU in their last 13 true road games. Duke is coming off a 2-point home upset loss to Miami in their previous game and they closed as a substantial 15.0-point favorite. Since the 2019-2020 season, Duke is a terrible by their standards 2-6 SU immediately following a conference favorite upset loss. Duke will be facing a Wake Forest team this evening which has gone an unbeaten 10-0 at home this season while outscoring those opponents by an average of 18.3 points per game. Bet Wake Forest plus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Villanova +1.5 v. Xavier | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Villanova +1.5 (5*) Villanova is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 versus Xavier and that includes a 13-point home win last month. Despite their 4 losses, Villanova is ranked #14 in the country, and that speaks well to the level of competition it has faced. As a matter of fact, their 3 non-conference losses came at #3 UCLA in overtime, versus #7 Purdue by 6, and at #1 Baylor. Their other defeat came at Creighton versus a Blue Jays team which is on the periphery of making the AP Top 25. They avenged that Creighton loss with a 34-point home win over them 3 weeks later. Furthermore, Villanova has won and covered each of their previous 4 Big East Conference games while allowing opponents to score only 57.5 points per game while shooting a combined 37.6%. Granted they will be facing #17 Xavier (12-2) this evening. However, they own 3 wins already this season versus ranked opponents in knocking off #20 Seton Hall, #22 Tennessee, and the previously mentioned home win over Xavier. Bet Villanova plus the small number. |
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01-11-22 | Auburn v. Alabama -3 | 81-77 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Alabama 9:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Alabama -3.0 (5*) The Crimson Tide faithful need something to feel good about today after watching their football team lose the National Championship Game last night. What better way to change the mood than a convincing home win on the hardwood over their bitter rival the Auburn Tigers. Auburn (14-1) is currently ranked #4 in the nation. The Tigers have gone a sizzling hot 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS since their only loss of the season which came in triple overtime to Connecticut. Nevertheless, they come up as an underdog against an Alabama team coming off a shocking loss at Missouri as a 14.0-point in their previous game. Which Alabama team is going to show up tonight? The one that has seen all 4 of their losses this season come versus teams that are presently unranked. Or the one that’s 3-0 versus ranked teams this season while posting wins over #2 Gonzaga, #11 Houston, and #21 Tennessee. My educated prediction is on the latter of those two scenarios. Bet Alabama minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Iowa State v. Kansas -12.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Kansas -12.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me as being extremely heavy. More times than not, that indicates to me that the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. This is a textbook example of such when considering Kansas is coming off an upset loss as a 7.0-point favorite at Texas Tech on Saturday, and Iowa State comes in ranked #15. Bet Kansas minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -6.5 | 64-65 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Florida State 8:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Florida State -6.5 (5*) So Miami enters today riding an 8-game win streak which includes 4-0 in ACC play. Furthermore, they’re coming off a huge upset win at #8 Duke in a game that closed as a mammoth 15.0-point underdog. Yet, here they are as a sizable road dog versus an unranked and 8-5 Florida State side. Give me Florida State minus the points. |
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01-11-22 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -11.5 | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Baylor 7:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Baylor -11.5 (5*) #19 Texas Tech is coming off a huge 8-point home win over #9 Kansas in a game they closed as a 7.0-point underdog. That certainly didn’t impress the oddsmakers considering they’re currently a double-digit road underdog tonight at #1 Baylor (15-0). The Bears have been a bit complacent over their previous 3 games and that’s been apparent with some uninspiring defensive efforts. I look for Baylor to turn up the defensive intensity tonight and pull away for a decisive win. Keep in mind, this is a Baylor team that owns wins over #14 Villanova by 21, #10 Michigan State by 17, and at #15 Iowa State by 5. Bet on Baylor minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -5.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma 6:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Oklahoma -5.5 (5*) Iowa State is 13-1, ranked #11 in the country, and their only loss was a 5-point setback versus #1 Baylor. Yet, they’re a 5.5-point dog versus an unranked Oklahoma (10-3) coming off a 10-point loss at Baylor. During their previous 5 contests Oklahoma shot 52.7% from the floor, converted on 40.7% of their 3-point attempts, and made 81.1% of its free throws. The Sooners are also an excellent defensive team that’s holding opponents to 61.8 points scored per game and 39.9% shooting. This is a fishy line to say the least. Gove me Oklahoma minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Colorado State v. San Diego State -2.5 | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Colorado State @ San Diego State 4:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: San Diego State -2.5 (5*) Colorado State is ranked #20 in the nation and has a perfect 11-0 record. Nonetheless, they’re currently a small underdog versus an unranked 9-3 San Diego State team. The Aztecs are a perfect 7-0 at home and are a terrific defensive team. They enter this contest on a 4-game win streak in which they allowed only 55.2 points per game and opponents shot an abysmal 35.7% from the field. Furthermore, San Diego State has faced a more difficult |
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01-08-22 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +4.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) #6 Kansas (12-1) has faced just 1 team this season currently in the Top 25 and that was in their season opener versus #10 Michigan State. Conversely, #25 Texas Tech (10-3) only 3 losses this season came at the hands of #16 Providence, #11 Iowa State, and #4 Gonzaga. The Red Raiders also own a win over #18 Tennessee. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, Texas Tech has gone 68-10 at home and that includes 8-0 in their current campaign. The Red Raiders are a terrific defensive team that is 9th nationally in field goal percentage defense and #11 in scoring defense. We have a team with a strong home court which holds opponents to less than 40% shooting, allows less than 60 points per game, and has an extremely strong court. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-22 | Marquette v. Georgetown +2.5 | Top | 92-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Marquette @ Georgetown 6:30 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Georgetown +2.5 (10*) Unranked Marquette is coming off a resounding 32-point home win over #16 Providence. We must keep things in perspective before overreacting to that blowout win which did indeed end a 4-game Marquette losing streak. Conversely, Georgetown is coming off a 80-73 home loss to TCY which put a halt to a 3-game Hoyas win streak. Marquette has played the much stronger schedule and has a better record than Georgetown. Yet, they’re just a tiny favorite in this matchup. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. Bet Georgetown plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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01-06-22 | USC v. California +5.5 | Top | 77-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
USC @ California 11:00 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: California +5.5 (10*) USC enters this contest with unbeaten 12-0 record and ranked #7 in the country. Nevertheless, they will be facing a red-hot California team which has won 5 straight and by an average of 17.6 points per game. During this current win streak, Cal is allowing just 52.8 points per game and held their opponents to a miserable 34.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, throughout their 5-game win streak Call has converted on a terrific 39.5% of its 3-point shot attempts and is a +10 rebound per game differential. Lastly, Cal was upset in their home opener by UC-Sam Diego, and since that time has reeled off 9 consecutive wins in Berkely while covering 8 of those contests. Bet California plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-06-22 | Ohio State v. Indiana -3.5 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Indiana 7:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Indiana -3.5 (5*) Ohio State is ranked #13 nationally yet find themselves as an underdog versus unranked Indiana. However, they will be facing a Hoosiers team which is a perfect 9-0 at home this season and covered 7 of those 9 contests. Indiana is coming off a 61-58 upset loss at Penn State in their previous game which dropped their season record to 10-3. The Hoosiers followed their previous 2 defeats by going 2-0 SU&ATS and with a substantial average victory margin of 20.6 points per game. The Hoosiers are an excellent defensive team which is allowing just 61.6 points per game this season. Indiana has allowed 64 points or fewer in each of its previous 6 games. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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01-05-22 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Notre Dame 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Notre Dame +2.5 (5*) North Carolina has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games. Their only setback during that time was a 98-69 blowout loss to #16 Kentucky in a game played on a neutral floor in Las Vegas. That was the same Kentucky team that just 7 days earlier lost at Notre Dame 66-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. By the way, Notre Dame is a perfect 5-0 at home this season. Bet Notre Dame plus the small number. |
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01-05-22 | Syracuse +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Syracuse @ Miami 8:00 ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Syracuse +2.5 (5*) Syracuse won their first 3 games this season and have gone a disappointing 4-6 since. Yet, they're just a 2.0-point underdog versus a Miami team that enters today on a 7-game win streak. I'm taking the contrarian approach in this one. Bet Syracuse plus the small number. |
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01-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -16.5 | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Ole Miss @ Tennessee 7:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Tennessee -16.5 (5*) This line jumped off the page at me as a heavy number. Granted Tennessee (9-3) is ranked #18 nationally. However, they'll be facing an Ole Miss team with a respectable 8-4 record. This appears to be a huge invitation by the sportsbooks to take the double-digit underdog in this SEC clash. They won't be receiving an RSVP from me. This will be the first true road game for Ole Miss this season. The Rebels have played 4 games on a neutral floor this season and went 1-3 SU&ATS in those contests. Tennessee is coming off a 5-point loss at #15 Alabama. Their only other 2 defeats this season have come versus #19 Villanova and #25 Texas Tech. The Volunteers are 2-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. The Vols secured a substantial win in their previous home game over #8 Arizona. This is certainly a substantial number to lay but justified. Bet Alabama minus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -12 | 74-84 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Baylor 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Baylor -12.0 (5*) Despite Baylor being ranked #1 in the country, this still seems like an extremely heavy line against a good Oklahoma team who enters today with an 11-2 record. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog in this spot. However, I am going the opposite way. The major contributing factor to covering this game is Baylor’s ability to force turnovers and Oklahoma’s high turnover rate thus far. Bet Baylor minus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Illinois -7 v. Minnesota | 76-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Minnesota 7:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Illinois -7.0 (5*) This line makes no sense whatsoever and when that occurs, I like to go against public perception. Minnesota is at home and is off to a terrific 10-1 start to the season. Yet they find themselves as a sizable home underdog versus an unranked Illinois team which is 9-3. Nonetheless, Illinois is 7-1 SU in their last 8 and their only defeat in that span came by 4 versus #8 Arizona. These teams met twice last season and Illinois easily prevailed on both occasions 94-63 and 92-65. Bet Illinois minus the points. |
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01-03-22 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -12.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Purdue 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Purdue -12.5 (10*) We have two nationally ranked teams squaring off in this matchup. The #3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1) enters this contest as a double-digit favorite versus the #23 Wisconsin Badgers (10-2). Purdue is 8-0 at home this season while winning by a substantial margin of 28.0 points per game. The Boilermakers have shot 50% or better in 10 of 13 games this season and have made an impressive 41.1% of their 3 point-shot attempts on the year. Purdue is also a dominant rebounding team at +14 per game in that category. The Badgers aren’t a great offensive nor rebounding team. Considering these are 2 ranked teams, this is a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Purdue minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Providence @ DePaul 3:00 ET Game# 651-652 Play On: DePaul +1.5 (5**) Providence enters this game nationally ranked and on a 7-game win streak. Yet, the oddsmakers deem this to be virtually an even game against unranked DePaul. The Blue Demons are coming off a 63-59 conference loss at Butler in their previous game. However, DePaul has gone an outstanding 7-1 SU&ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by 16.0-points per game. This looks like a prime spot for the home team to make a statement. Bet on DePaul. |
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12-30-21 | Michigan v. UCF +3 | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Central Florida +3.0 (5*) UCF will be out to atone for last season’s 80-58 blowout loss at Michigan. The Golden Knights have gone 8-2 thus far with its only defeats coming to Oklahoma by 3 and at #11 Auburn (12-1). As a matter of fact, UCF will enter today’s game on a 4-game win streak while covering 3 of those contests. The Golden Knights have converted on a terrific 79.4% of their free throws this season. Conversely, Michigan State has made just 66.8% of their free throw attempts. Additionally, UCF is #29 national in forcing turnovers and Michigan State is #332 out of 357 Division 1 teams in that identical category. Bet Central Florida plus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Western Illinois +18.5 v. Iowa | 71-92 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Illinois @ Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Western Illinois +18.5 (5*) This is a veteran Western Illinois team that’s gone 10-3 this season. Their 3 defeats came by a combined 14 points. They own a win over Nebraska in their season opener in a game they closed as a 17.0-point underdog. Iowa (9-3) recently fell out of the Top 25 after going through a stretch in which they lost 3 straight including go 0-2 versus fellow Big 10 opponents. With a conference game up next at home versus Maryland, look for the Hawkeyes to not not be at their sharpest tonight. Bet Western Illinois plus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Wake Forest v. Louisville -4.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Louisville -4.5 (5*) Wake Forest is off to an 11-1 start to the season but is still unranked. Now they find themselves as a road underdog versus a Louisville team with an uninspiring 7-4 record and coming off a 10-point loss at Western Kentucky. During the past 3 season, the Cardinals have gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home following a loss by 10 or more and they won by an average of 17.5 points per game. Additionally, Louisville is an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss with an average victory margin of 16.0 points per game. The sportsbooks and oddsmakers are begging you to take the road underdog in this contest. I’m not falling for the trap. Bet Louisville minus the points. |
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12-29-21 | Seton Hall v. Providence +1.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall @ Providence 7:00 ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Providence +1.5 (5*) This is a marquee game between #15 Seaton Hall (9-1) and #21 Providence (11-1). Providence is 8-0 at home this season while outscoring opponents by an average of 12.9 points per game. The Friars have posted quality wins over #25 Texas Tech, #24 Wisconsin, and over a solid UConn team that had been nationally ranked up until the most recent poll. Providence has been terrific defensively throughout their previous 5 contests while holding opponents to 56.8 points score per game and 35.8% shooting from the floor. Bet on Providence. |
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12-22-21 | East Tennessee State +3.5 v. Georgia | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State @ Georgia 7:00 Game# 745-746 Play On: East Tennessee State +3.5 (5*) The sportsbooks are begging you to take a Power Conference team over one from a mid-major in this matchup. We have an SEC team as a small home favorite versus an Ohio Valley Conference team? That will raise some of the sharp’s eyebrows including mine. The line becomes even fishier when considering that ETSU is coming off 2 consecutive losses heading into tonight while losing to the likes of UNC-Asheville and North Carolina A&T. Georgia is coming off a narrow 6-point home win over Western Carolina but failed to cover as a 11.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs sustained resume ruining losses already this season to George Mason and Wofford. I won’t be shocked whatsoever if ETSU is added to that list after this game goes final. But, let’s not get greedy and take the points with East Tennessee State. |
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12-21-21 | Utah Valley +6.5 v. Washington | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State @ Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Utah Valley State +6.5 (5*) Washington is an uninspiring 5-5 this season. The Huskies already suffered home losses to the likes of Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite, Winthrop as a 5.0-point favorite, and Wyoming as a 1.0-point favorite. Altogether, Washington is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at home thus far. The Huskies will have their hands full on the boards tonight against a UVS team that has a rebound margin of +8 per game this season while the Huskies are at -6 per contest. Furthermore, since 2019, Washington is 3-13 SU versus opponents with a rebound per game margin of +4 or better. UVS pulled off a shocking road upset earlier this season on the road when they defeated then nationally ranked BYU 72-65 as a 13.0-point underdog. UVS has held opponents to 38.6% shooting from the field this season and that includes 28.3% from 3-point territory. They’re also allowing their opponents only 13 free throw attempts per contest. That’s significant when considering Washington is shooting a horrible 35.6% during its 6 home games this season and 25.8% of their points have come from the free throw line in those contests. Bet Utah Valley State plus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Texas A&M -2.5 v. Oregon State | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Texas A&M -2.5 (5*) Texas A&M (7-2) isn’t a top caliber power conference right now by any stretch, but they don’t have to be in this matchup against the 1-9 Beavers. Oregon State opened the season with a win, and since that time, they’ve lost 9 games in a row. The Beavers are also 1-9 ATS in those contests as well. Furthermore, Oregon State is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home which includes losses to Samford (not Stanford), Cal-Davis, and Princeton. They were also blown out by 25 by #8 Arizona. Bet Texas A&M minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Oklahoma State v. Houston -8.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play Onn: Houston -8.5 (5*) Oklahoma State has gone 2-2 in their last 4 with their only wins coming by 1 at Oral Roberts and by 5 at home over Cleveland State. Now they’ll face #14 Houston who’s only 2 losses came by 1 at #6 Alabama and by 2 on a neutral floor versus Wisconsin. Many experts expected the Cougars to fall from grace after losing 4 starters from last season’s Final Four team, but so far, they’ve exceeded expectations, and then some. Houston has forced 18.3 turnovers per game throughout its last 6 contests. Conversely, Oklahoma State has committed 16 turnovers or more in 7 of 9 games this season. Not exactly a recipe for success for the Cowboys. Bet Houston minus the points. |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Alabama @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*) This game has trap written all over it. We have #6 Alabama coming off huge wins in their last 2 outings over #5 Gonzaga and #14 Houston who both were Final Four Teams last April. Then there’s Memphis who’s gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games after starting the season 5-0 and being nationally ranked. Yet, Alabama is a short favorite in this spot and would seem to be an obvious choice for novice bettors. Well, I’m not a novice and rarely does obvious choices in sports betting appeal to me. Bet Memphis plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +3 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Arizona @ Illinois 5:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Illinois +3.0 (10*) This line opened with #11 Arizona (8-0) being a 1.0-point favorite and now it’s -3.0 against unranked Illinois (7-2). Public betting has surely been influenced by Arizona not only being 8-0 but 7-1 ATS as well. Conversely, Illinois started the season 2-2 but has reeled off 5 straight wins since. They covered each of their previous 3 versus Notre Dame, Rutgers, and at Iowa. During their current 5-game win streak Illinois has averaged a robust 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51.6%, and converted on a superb 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Illinois also possesses an outstanding +14 rebound per game margin. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Illinois is 31-5 at home and has only been an underdog once. Bet Illinois plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | St Bonaventure +4 v. Connecticut | 64-74 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure vs. Connecticut 4:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: St. Bonaventure +4.0 (5*) After being ranked in the Top 25 for the first couple weeks of the season, St. Bonaventure dropped out after suffering their only loss to Northern Iowa by 10 at home. They followed that up with some uninspiring wins. A win here versus #15 UConn will assuredly catapult them back into the rankings. This game will be played at a neutral site which is the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The Bonnies are 3-0 on a neutral floor this season with wins over Marquette, Clemson, and Boise State. This will be the first time that St. Bonaventure will be an underdog and look for them to relish being in that role. The Bonnies are an experienced team that has enjoyed their fair share of success in recent years including a trip to the 2021 NCAA Tournament where they lost to LSU. The underdog will be up to the challenge today. Bet St. Bonaventure plus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Mississippi State v. Colorado State -2 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Colorado State 2:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Colorado State -2.0 (5*) Mississippi State was exposed and humbled in their last game which was a 5-point home loss to Minnesota in a game they were a large 11.0-point favorite. That’s exactly the type of loss that carries over to the next game and results in another defeat. Colorado State will have an agenda in this matchup. The Rams have begun their season 9-0 and outscored opponents by 17.9 points per game, but still haven’t cracked the Top 25 rankings. They’re in desperate need of a resume building win and they can do exactly that on Saturday. Looked for the Rams to make a statement in this one. Bet Colorado State minus the small number. |
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12-11-21 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Oklahoma 1:30 ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Oklahoma (Pick) 5* Unranked Oklahoma (7-2) plays host to #12 Arkansas (9-0) in this matchup. Yet there are currently some sportsbooks that have Oklahoma listed as high as a 1.5-point favorite. Besides the point, this is a Sooners team coming off an embarrassing 66-62 home loss to Butler in a game they were a sizable 11.0-point favorite. The #12 Razorbacks look like the obvious pick, right? Well wrong, it’s rarely that easy in sports betting and result will prove precisely that. Bet Oklahoma at a pick’em. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Ohio State -4.5 (5*) Wisconsin came from 22 points down at home on Wednesday to beat Indiana by 5 in their previous game. The Badgers expended a plethora of physical and mental energy to overcome a deficit that large. You can’t help but thing that will take its total in a road game just 3 days later. Additionally, they will be facing an Ohio State team that’s 5-0 at home including an upset of then #1 Duke. Ohio State has shot a red-hot 51.4% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. Conversely, Wisconsin is shooting just 40.7% as a team this season. Bet Ohio State minus the points. |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +8 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
DePaul @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: DePaul +8.0 (5*) Louisville is 3-1 at home thus far but failed to cover on 3 of those 4 occasions. Their lone home loss came to Furman by 8 as a 9.0-point favorite. This will be DePaul’s 1st game of the season not played on their home floor. However, we can’t ignore the fact the Blue Demons are 7-1 SU&ATS to start the season. Their only loss came by 4 to Loyola-Chicago who is a fringe Top 25 team. They also own a home win over Rutgers who just upset #1 Purdue last night. Bet DePaul plus the points. |
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12-09-21 | Iowa -5 v. Iowa State | 53-73 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Iowa State 9:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off losses in their last 2 games. Yet, here they are as a road favorite versus an undefeated and #17 Iowa State (8-0) team. Can you say trap? They’re begging you to take the ranked home underdog against an unranked team. Going back to Iowa’s 2 losses. One came at #1 Purdue by 7 as a 12.0-point underdog and the other was versus a Top 25 caliber team in Illinois. By the way, Iowa is 3-0 SU&ATS the past 3 seasons versus Iowa State and won each of those meeting by 14 points or more. Bet on Iowa minus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Michigan State -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Michigan State -7.0 (10*) Minnesota enters this contest with an unblemished 7-0 record. Yet, they received no votes in the latest college basketball AP Poll and for good reason in my opinion. They haven’t really beat anyone of note. The Golden Gophers will be playing its first game this season against a ranked opponent. The public will surely be enticed to take an unbeaten sizable home underdog like Minnesota against a 2-loss opponent. I on the other hand, look at this contest from a contrarian betting viewpoint. #19 Michigan State is 6-2 with their only losses coming to #2 Baylor and #9 Kansas in their season opener. They own a win on a neutral floor over #15 Connecticut and another coming at home by 9 over Louisville. The Spartans are unequivocally more battle tested of the 2 teams in this matchup and it will pay dividends this evening. Not to mention, they’ll be out to revenge an embarrassing 25-point loss at Minnesota last season. Bet Michigan State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-08-21 | Wagner +7.5 v. Penn State | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Wagner @ Penn State 7:00 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: Wagner +7.5 (5*) Don’t go to sleep on Wagner. They’re an experienced team and off to a 3-1 SU&ATS start to the season. One of their wins came by 14 against a solid VCU squad. Their only loss occurred at #23 Seton Hall which a far better team than the one they’ll face today. Penn State is off to an uninspiring 4-4 start which includes home losses to Ohio State and Miami Fla. In their last 2 games. Additionally, the Nittany Lions have a conference game at #19 Michigan State up next on Saturday. Sandwiched between these 3 games versus Power Conference teams is a matchup against tiny Wagner. This looks like a trap and flat spot for a home team that’s average at best to start with. Bet Wagner plus the points. |
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12-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Tennessee -3.5 | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Tennessee 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (5*) Both teams possess identical 6-1 records. However, my strength of schedule rating has #13 Tennessee at +9.2 over Texas Tech. In layman’s terms, The Volunteers have a played a significantly stronger schedule and especially when consider both are Power Conference teams. Tennessee suffered their only loss against #6 Villanova. The Vols do have a dominating 89-72 quality win over North Carolina. Tennessee is coming off a 69-54 win at Colorado in which they covered easily as a 6.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season at unranked Providence. The Volunteers are the more complete team in this matchup. Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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12-01-21 | Cincinnati v. Miami-OH +3.5 | 59-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET Game# 675-676 Play On: Miami-Ohio +3.5 (5*) Cincinnati will be facing an opponent today that has a super 17:10 assist to turnover ratio. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Bearcats have gone a dismal 2-8 SU versus opponents that average committing 12 turnovers or fewer per game. Cincinnati is coming off back-to-back SU&ATS losses and the last of which was a 61-59 home defeat versus Monmouth in a game they closed as a 10.5-point favorite. This is a better than advertised Miami-Ohio team which averages 85.3 points scored per game while shooting 48.3% this season and is an excellent free throw shooting club that converts at an excellent 75.6% clip. Miami returned all 5 starters from a season ago and it’s paid dividends during their 5-1 start and that includes a season opening upset win at Georgia Tech. The Red Hawks are 4-0 at home this season and have covered each contest easily as double digit favorite on each occasion. Bet Miami-Ohio plus the points. |
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11-30-21 | Duke v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Duke @ Ohio State 9:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) Duke is coming off a huge win over then #1 Gonzaga which catapulted them to the top spot in the latest AP Poll. Now thy find themselves as a short favorite on the road against an unranked Ohio State team that’s already suffered 2 losses this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the top ranked Duke Blue Devils. I am declining that invitation. Bet Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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11-30-21 | Florida State v. Purdue -11 | 65-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Purdue 7:30 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me. It’s been a long while since I can recollect a Leonard Hamilton coached Florida State team being this sizable of an underdog. After careful examination, I can fully understand why. The only game Florida State played versus a ranked team this season they were soundly beaten by 16 at #14 Florida. Furthermore, the Seminoles escaped with a 1-point win over Boston University in their previous outing an in a game they closed as a 17.0-point home favorite. Purdue is the real deal. The Boilermakers are an experienced team that’s 6-0 to start the season, covered 5 of those 6 contests, and have shot 50% or better in all those contests. Their lone non-cover came in a 92-67 win over Indiana State as an enormous 26.0-point home favorite. Purdue has also made an outstanding 43.5% of their 3-point shots and 76.1% of its free throw attempts. Additionally, the Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards with an off the charts +17 rebound per game advantage. Bet Purdue minus the points. |
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11-23-21 | Washington v. South Dakota State -6 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Washington vs. South Dakota State 9:30 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: South Dakota State -6.0 (10*) This line opened at 7.5 and is now down to 6.0. I’m of the opinion that public and not sharp money was the cause of the line move. After all, we have a poer conference team as an underdog versus an opponent from the Summit. Washington is coming off yesterday’s 77-74 upset win over George Mason in a game thy closed as a 4.5-point underdog. It was by far the Huskies best offensive performance of the year while shooting 48% and considering they shot 40% or worse in each of their first 4 contests. Washington is 3-2 and suffered resume killing home losses to Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite and Wyoming. South Dakota State is a terrific mid-major team. I was on them yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite when they blew out Nevada 102-75. The Jackrabbits are 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS in lined games. They’ve been superb offensively to start the season which is evidenced by them averaging 90.7 points scored per game while shooting an impressive 51.4% and a spectacular 44.1% from 3-point territory. The Jackrabbits only defeat came at #10 Alabama 104-88. Despite that loss, they still shot a stellar 48.6%. This is considered a neutral site game despite being played Sioux Falls, South Dakota as part of the Crossover Classic Tournament. Bet South Dakota State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-22-21 | TCU v. Santa Clara +3.5 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Santa Clara vs. TCU 10:30 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Santa Clara +3.5 (5*) Both teams are undefeated with Santa Clara 4-0 and TCU 3-0. Nonetheless, Santa Clara is the better money makes at 3-0-1 ATS versus 1-2 ATS for TCU. As a matter of fact, Santa Clara has covered their last 3 while winning by an average of 22.7 points per game. Santa Clara has some eye-opening wins by 16 over Stanford and 22 over Nevada. Santa Clara has an excellent 20/10 assist to turnover margin thus far while TCU is an uninspiring 15/16. Since the start of last season, TCU is a dismal 3-11 ATS versus teams that average 14 turnovers or fewer per contest and they were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game. Bet Santa Clara plus the points. |
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11-22-21 | Nevada v. South Dakota State -2.5 | 75-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Nevada vs. South Dakota State Game# 777-778 Play On: South Dakota State -2.5 (5*) South Dakota State is 4-1 and all their wins have come by 12 points or more. The Jackrabbits only loss came at #14 Alabama 104-88. This is an explosive offensive team from South Dakota State that averages 88.4 points scored per game, shoots 50.2% from the field, and that includes an extremely impressive 42.2% from 3-point land. Conversely, Nevada has allowed 80.0 points per game and their opponents have shot 47.5% from the field. Bet South Dakota State minus the points. |
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11-22-21 | Hofstra +9.5 v. Richmond | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ Richmond 7:00 ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Hofstra +9.5 (5*) Hofstra is 1-3 to start the season but covered 3 of those 4 contests. They turned in strong performances in losses by 2 at #20 Maryland and by 8 in overtime at #15 Houston. Richmond is off to a disappointing 2-2 start and is coming off a 73-70 loss at Drake. Bet Hofstra plus the points. |
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11-20-21 | Texas-Arlington v. San Diego State -19.5 | 62-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Texas-Arlington @ San Diego State 10:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: San Diego State -19.5 (5*) Texas-Arlington has gone 0-3 SU&ATS versus Division 1 opponents and lost by a massive 26.7 points per game. During those defeats they averaged a mere 50.3 points scored and committed 23.7 turnovers per game. San Diego State is 2-1 but has played a much tougher slate than Arlington. The Aztecs last 2 games as a 6-point loss at BYU and 2-point home win versus Arizona State. The Aztecs once again lives up to their annual tradition of being a stout defensive team. They’re allowing just 60.7 points per game and holding opponents to 38.3% shooting which includes 23.5% from 3-point territory. Bet San Diego State minus the points. |
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11-19-21 | Wichita State v. Arizona -9 | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Arizona vs. Wichita State 10:00 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Arizona -9.0 (5*) Although these teams enter this Roman main Event Tournament in Las Vegas with identical 3-0 records, my personal eye test tells me that Arizona is much the better side in this matchup. Wichita State has failed to cover in 2 of their first 3. They escaped with narrow wins at home versus Jacksonville State by 3 and South Alabama by 6. The Shockers have struggled so offensively while averaging just 63.0 points scored per game and shot a poor 39.1% while doing so. Arizona is 3-0 SU&ATS thus far with an average victory margin of 45.0 points per game. They held those 3 opponent to just 49.0 points scored per game and an extremely impressive 27.6% shooting. Furthermore, the Wildcats averaged 94.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.3%, and 39.5% from beyond the 3-point line. Even with that great shooting, Arizona still managed to average an impressive 13 offensive rebounds per contest. Bet Arizona minus the points. |
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11-19-21 | Ohio +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Ohio @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET Game# 827-838 Play On: Ohio +12.0 (10*) Kentucky is unequivocally the more talented in athletic team in this matchup. However, Ohio is an experienced and battle tested team. The Bobcats are the defending MAC Tournament champions and upset Virginia in the 1st Round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament as a #13 seed. Ohio has begun this season by going 3-0 SU&ATS. The Bobcats are averaging 12 three-point makes per game while converting on a solid 38.3% of those long-distance attempts. Look for that ability to knock down 3-point shots as a key contributing factor to us covering this game. Bet Ohio plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-18-21 | Rutgers v. DePaul +3.5 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Rutgers @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: DePaul +3.5 (5*) Rutgers is 3-0 but failed to cover in any of those contests versus Merrimack, NJIT, and Lehigh. Not exactly the blue bloods of college basketball. Conversely has started the season 2-0 SU&ATS with win over Coppin State and Central Michigan. However, they won those contests by an average of 29.0 points per game and they scored 98.0 points per contest. Additionally, DePaul dominated the boards in those 2 wins at +24.0 per game. Bet DePaul plus the points. |
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11-18-21 | Northern Illinois +14.5 v. Missouri | 37-54 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois @ Missouri 8:00 PM ET Game# 725-726 Play On: Northern Illinois +14.5 (5*) Missouri is coming off an 80-66 home loss to UMKC in a game they closed as an 11.0-point favorite. Northern Illinois opened the season with a shocking 71-64 win at Washington and as a 20.0-point underdog. They were handed a dose of reality in their last game at Indiana which resulted in an 80-46 loss. Despite that defeat, Northern Illinois made an impressive 41.2% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged 26 free throw attempts per game. The great equalizers for college basketball underdogs is their ability to shoot well from 3-point lead and getting to the free throw line in abundance. Bet Northern Illinois plus the points. |
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11-18-21 | Marquette v. Ole Miss -3 | 78-72 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Ole Miss -3.0 (5*) This game is part of the Charleston Classic and more importantly on a neutral floor. Ole Miss has opened the season with home wins over Charleston Southern 93-61 and New Orleans 82-61. On the other hand, Marquette’s last 2 games resulted in home wins over Illinois 67-66 and New Hampshire 75-70. Ole Miss is the more experienced and better team in this matchup. Any favorite coming off 2 home win that each came by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 home wins by 5 points or fewer, resulted in those favorites going 44-12 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. Bet Ole Miss minus the points. |
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11-17-21 | Toledo v. Oakland -2 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Oakland 7:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Oakland -2.0 (5*) Toledo has started the season with a pair of 8-point wins over Valparaiso and Detroit. Although Oakland is 1-1, they have a more impressive resume. They played each of their first 2 games on the road and performed remarkably well with all considered. They opened the season with a 7-point loss at West Virginia but easily covered as a 17.5-point underdog. It was one of the rare occasions in the Bob Huggins era that West Virginia was outrebounded, and in this case by a considerable margin of 48-33. They followed that up with a huge upset 56-55 win at Oklahoma State and did so as a sizable 17.5-point underdog. Oakland didn’t shoot the ball well in either game but made up for it with a combined 26 offensive rebounds which created numerous multiple possession opportunities. Oakland will also be playing with big time revenge after losing by 27 to Toledo last season. Bet Oakland over Toledo. |
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11-16-21 | BYU +4.5 v. Oregon | 81-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
BYU @ Oregon 10:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: BYU +4.5 (5*) #12 Oregon is only a 4.0-point home favorite against BYU? That means, if the game was being played at BYU, then the unranked Cougars would be a 1.5 to 2.5-point favorite. Like I’ve said time and time again, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers extensively more than those voting in national polls. The sportsbooks are begging you to bet the home favorite in this one. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Bet BYU plus the points. |
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11-16-21 | Hofstra +6.5 v. Iona | 74-82 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ Iona 7:00 ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Hofstra +6.5 (5*) Iona has opened the season with 2 home wins which have come over Appalachian State and Harvard. In their 90-87 win over Harvard, Iona allowed the visitors to shoot an alarmingly high 52.8% but were bailed out by 24 turnovers committed by the Crimson. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Iona is a dismal 1-6 SU following 2 consecutive home games. Hofstra shot a blistering 58% in their previous game which resulted in a 73-63 win at Duquesne. That win improved their season record to 1-1. Hofstra’s loss came at Houston by 8 in overtime and they easily covered that game as an 18.5-point underdog against a Final Four team from a season ago. Furthermore, since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Hofstra has gone an extremely profitable 19-6 ATS (76%) following a SU win. Bet Hofstra plus the points. |
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11-11-21 | Sacred Heart +15.5 v. Providence | 64-92 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Sacred Heart @ Providence 6:30 PM ET Game# 1227-1228 Play On: Sacred Heart +15.5 (5*) Providence is coming off an uninspiring 80-73 win over Fairfield in their season opener. The Friars were a 14.5-point home favorite, and at no time were they ever covering this contest with their largest lead being 12 points. Providence had a parade to the free throw line evidenced by an enormous 36 attempts but made good on only 66.7% of those opportunities. The Friars were a dismal 4-22 from beyond the 3-point line. Under current head coach Ed Cooley and since 2019, Providence has gone a poor 4-14 ATS in non-conference game. Sacred Heart is coming off an 86-81 overtime win at Lasalle in their season and did so as a 7.5-point underdog. That was a huge confidence building win and especially considering they over a 5-point deficit with just 0:05 left in regulation time and were behind 52-38 with 10:49 left to play. Bet Sacred Hear plus the points. |
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11-09-21 | Kansas -4 v. Michigan State | 87-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Michigan State 7:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Kansas -4.0 (5*) Michigan State has gone 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS in their first 9 games of the season over the past 2 years when playing away from home. The Spartans are coming off a disappointing 15-13 season and went a bankroll depleting 8-20 ATS in those contests. That includes the Spartans going 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.0 or less. This is an experienced Kansas club that returns 4 starters from a team that went 21-9 last season and advanced to the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament.The preseason power ratings that I trust indicates should be a 7.5-point favorite on a neutral floor versus Michigan State. It’s very seldom there’s that much disparity between my power numbers compared to the actual point-spread unless a key injury or pertinent miscellaneous factors are failed to be accounted for. Neither comes in to play for this Tuesday night premium matchup at Madison Square Garden in New York. Bet Kansas minus the points. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (10*) College Basketball fans have been waiting for this matchup to take place all season and appropriately it occurs in the National Championship game. I cashed in easily with Baylor as a 10* Top Play on Saturday in their blowout win over Houston. I really like this Bears team, but Gonzaga can beat you in a vast assortment of ways. The Bulldogs are coming off their thrilling overtime win against a game and resilient UCLA team. It was the first time in 28 games that Gonzaga had not won a game by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs will be inspired by seeking their first ever national championship and after coming up short in the title game versus North Carolina in 2017. Additionally, Gonzaga will look to be the first team to finish undefeated and win a national championship since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Bulldogs had their scare against UCLA and now they’ll get back to their dominant self tonight. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Houston vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -5.0 (10*) Houston is the first team in NCAA Tournament history that has won 4 straight games against double-digit seeds. However, they were lucky to escape with a 3-point win over Rutgers and nearly squandered a 17-point halftime lead before winning by 6 versus #12 seed Oregon State in their previous game. On both occasions they failed to cover. Conversely, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with wins coming over the likes of #8 seed Wisconsin, #5 seed Villanova, and #3 seed Arkansas and the average margin of victory was 11.0 points per game. They covered each of those 3 contests as a favorite and averaged just 6.2 turnovers committed per game. Furthermore, Baylor is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting at 41.1% and #3 in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.0 points per every 100 possessions this season. Not only has the top seeded Bears had a tougher slate than Houston during the “Big Dance”, they also played in a significantly stronger Big 12 Conference than the American Athletic where Houston competes. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
UCLA vs. Michigan 9:55 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Michigan -6.5 (10*) #1 seed Michigan (23-4/.852) takes on #11 seed UCLA (21-9/.700) in Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament East Regional Final. The Wolverines are coming off a 76-58 win over Florida State while covering with ease as a 2.0-point favorite. UCLA is coming off an overtime win over Alabama and did so as a 6.0-point underdog. Since the 1990 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that’s a favorite of 10.0 or less who possesses a win percentage of .851 to .944, and is playing after Round 1, and they covered their previous game by 4.5-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .771 or less and they are coming off an upset win, resulted in those top seeds going 12-0 ATS. The average line in those 12 contests was 8.8 and those #1 seeds won by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-21 | USC +8.5 v. Gonzaga | 66-85 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
USC vs. Gonzaga 7:15 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: USC +8.5 (5*) Besides Baylor, I believe that USC is the only other remaining team capable of giving Gonzaga a competitive game. The Trojans are excellent defensively. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins over Drake, Kansas, and Oregon, USC held those opponents 58.3 points scored per game and a combined 32.1% shooting. Furthermore, they have also averaged 83.0 points scored per game in the Big Dance and shot a sizzling hot 54.8% from the floor. I am not going to sit here and attempt poking holes in Gonzaga’s game. Quite frankly the Bulldogs have very few if any weaknesses to expose. Nevertheless, it’s all about beating the number and that’s my only concern. I am not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset. However, in my eyes there’s ample betting value on the sizable underdog USC. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Baylor 9:57 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Baylor -7.5 (10*) Baylor is coming off a 62-51 win over Villanova and covered as a 7.5-point favorite. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Baylor has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game. Furthermore, Arkansas averages a robust 65 field goal attempts per game this season which translates to playing at a lightning-fast tempo. However, Baylor is 9-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons versus opponents averaging 62 or more field goal attempts per game and outscored those team by a decisive margin of 20.0 points per contest. Simply put, attempting to play up tempo basketball plays right into the Bears hands. Arkansas barely escaped with a 72-70 win over #15 seed Oral Roberts in their previous game while failing to cover as an 11.0-point favorite. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 9.0 or less that’s playing after Round 1, and they’re coming off an ATS cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Arkansas) coming off game in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and that opponent has a win percentage of .687 or better, resulted in those favorites going 7-0 ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests was 17.7 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Houston 7:15 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Oregon State +8.0 (5*) When it comes to NCAA Tournament betting, it’s not just about who has the better record, higher ranking, or lower seed. It’s often about who is playing their best basketball at the right time. I think it’s safe to say that this recent surge by Oregon State is no longer a fluke. The Beavers have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 9-1 SU&ATS during its previous 10 games played. Additionally, Oregon State is 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 not played on their home floor and they were an underdog on 8 of those occasions. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins, Oregon State has allowed a mere 61.3 points per game, held opponents to an eye-popping 31.3% shooting, and had a +9 per game rebounding advantage. By the way, Houston’s last 2 wins have come over Rutgers and Syracuse, the Cougars shot just 37.2% and scored only 62.5 points per contest. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC -2 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. USC 9:45 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: USC -2.0 (5*) Oregon has gone 12-2 during their last 14 games. Nonetheless, since the start of last season, they have gone 0-5 straight up after winning 12 or more of their last 15 games and were beaten by 11.2 points per contest. The Ducks have shot the ball extremely well of late. However, they have also allowed their previous 5 opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 49.0%. Saying that USC has been stout defensively during the first 2 rounds of this NCAA Tournament is surely a vast understatement. The Trojans held Drake and Kansas to 53.5 points per game and a combined 29.2% shooting. Conversely, throughout their previous 4 contests, USC averaged 79.5 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 51.8%. The Trojans have also made an impressive 40.7% of its 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 outings. Bet on USC for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
UCLA @ Alabama 7:15 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama -6.5 (10*) History isn’t on the side of UCLA in this contest. Since the NCAA Tournament Play-In Round was established in 2015, no team has advanced from that round to a Regional Final. As a matter of fact, the only other team to even reach the Sweet 16 was Syracuse in 2018. The Bruins have been beneficiaries of a favorable draw in their NCAA Tournament wins while defeating #11 seed Michigan State, #6 seed BYU, and #14 seed Abilene Christian. They will be facing a whole other level of competition on Sunday when they square off against #2 seed Alabama. Alabama enters this Sweet 16 contest having won their last 8 and 22 of its previous 25 games. The Crimson Tide had a combined +37 rebounding advantage in the first 2 rounds versus Iona and Maryland. Alabama has the lethal combination of being a good 3-point shooting team and they defend the 3-point line extremely well (28.9%). The Crimson Tide has allowed their last 5 opponents to average a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Alabama enters this contest with a season record of 26-6 (.813). The Crimson Tide is coming off an impressive 96-77 win over Maryland in a game they easily covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They will be facing a UCLA team with a season record of 20-9 (.690). The combination of this data sets up an NCAA Tournament betting angle which has remained perfect since 2002 and is shown below. Any Sweet 16 favorite of 3.5 or more that’s a #2 seed (Alabama), and they possess a win percentage of .806 to .870, and they’re coming off an ATS win as a favorite in which they scored 68 points or greater, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of .685 or better, resulted in those #2 seeds going 12-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by 13.5 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +2.5 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
Florida State vs. Michigan 5:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Florida State +2.5 (5*) This the game that the loss of 6’7 senior forward Isaiah Livers (13.7 PPG/6.1 RPG) catches up with Michigan. Livers went out with a foot injury during the Big Ten Conference Tournament win over Maryland and has been ruled out for the season. Without Livers, Michigan is 2-1 and one of those wins came over #16 seed Texas Southern in a game the Wolverines failed to cover by a sizable 12.5-points. They were able to get by LSU 86-78 in 2nd round action. However, LSU is far from being considered a strong defensive team. Florida State presents a whole different challenge for Michigan and will matchup very well against Sunday’s higher seeded opponent. During the first 2 rounds of the “Big Dance” Florida State all 53.5 points per game and held their opponents to a combined 39-116 (33.6%) shooting. Additionally, throughout their previous 3 games, the Seminoles shot a sizzling hot 53.5%. This will be just a 3rd time all season that Florida State will have been an underdog which should serve as extra motivation. The Seminoles will be facing a Michigan team which has held their opponents to only 39.3% shooting this season. Florida State is 7-1 straight up this season when facing teams who hold their opponents to 42% or worse shooting. Bet on Florida State for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
Creighton vs. Gonzaga 2:10 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Gonzaga -13.0 (5*) Even for a #1 seed, this is a rare heavy number for them to cover from Round 3 and beyond. Nevertheless, those top seeds have been quite successful in doing so when cast into in this exact betting situation. Gonzaga is coming off wins over Norfolk State 98-55 and Oklahoma 87-71 during in the first 2 rounds while covering both contests as double-digit favorites. Creighton will be able to hang with Gonzaga early on before the #1 and undefeated Bulldogs will eventually pull away for the double-digit cover. Moreover, this will be the first ever Sweet 16 appearance for the Creighton men’s basketball program and the challenge will ultimately be too overwhelming considering the quality of opponent they’ll be up against. Since the 1990 tournament and after 2nd round action, #1 seeds that are favorite by 12.5 points or more and coming off a win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Creighton) with a win percentage of .733 or better, resulted in those #1 seeds going 6-0 ATS. The average point-spread in those 6 contests was 13.5 and the average margin of victory came by a dominating 25.4 points per game. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Houston | 46-62 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Syracuse vs. Houston 9:55 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*) The #2 seed Houston Cougars narrowly escaped with a 63-60 win over Rutgers to reach the Sweet 16. They failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite and at no time throughout the game were they doing so. Houston is a terrific team that will enter Saturday night’s contest on a 9-game win streak. However, they have not faced nearly as difficult a schedule as Syracuse. Saturday will be just their 2nd Sweet 16 appearance since the “Phi Slama Jama” teams led by Hakeem Olajuwon Clyde Drexler played in 3 consecutive “Final Four” appearances. Jim Boeheim has spent 40 plus years as head coach at Syracuse. Along the way his teams have enjoyed a high degree of success during NCAA Tournament action and especially when cast into the role of an underdog. Since the 1996 his Orange have gone 35-16 (.686) straight up and 30-21 (58.8%) ATS. Furthermore, since the 2003 “Big Dance”, Syracuse has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 3.0 to 9.5-points. Basically speaking, Boeheim has his teams playing their best basketball in March. This year is no different as Syracuse upset both #6 seed San Diego State and #3 seed West Virginia during the first 2 rounds. Additionally, since the 2016 NCAA Tournament, Syracuse is 9-2 straight up and 10-1 ATS as either a #10 or #11 seed. Additionally, Syracuse has gone 5-1 straight up and 6-0 ATS over their last 6 games. Their only setback during that time was when Virginia hit a buzzer beating 3-point shot against them in the ACC Quarterfinals, but they still were inside the number as a 5.5-point underdog. The Orange also held 5 of those 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting while converting 51.9% or more of its field goal attempts 3 times. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Villanova vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (10*) Villanova entered the NCAA Tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games. That funk coincided with them losing senior starting point guard Conor Gillaspie to a season ending knee injury during a 73-61 loss at Butler on 2/28. The Wildcats also had favorable matchups in the first 2 rounds against #12 seed Winthrop and #13 seed North Texas. Villanova will be facing a much different animal on Saturday in #1 seed Baylor (24-2). The Bears began the season 18-0 before COVID protocols shut them down for 23 days. When returning they were unimpressive in their first 2 games before gradually returning to form. Anything short of a national championship with this loaded roster would be considered a failure in Waco. This team seems to be more than capable of living up to those expectations and Saturday will be a statement game for them in that regard. Since the 1993 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed playing in a “Sweet 16” game that’s favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, coming off a favorite ATS cover, and they’re facing a #5 seed or higher with a win percentage of .687 or better, and that underdog is coming off ATS covers in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those #1 seeds going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was by a decisive 14.9 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +1 | 72-65 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech 10:00 PM Game# 617-618 Play On: Western Kentucky +1.0 (5*) This is a game that will be played between teams from Conference USA. Western Kentucky will look to avenge a 63-58 loss to Louisiana Tech on 1/9. However, they did defeat the Bulldogs the day before 66-64. Since joining Conference USA in 2015, Western Kentucky has never lost 2 games to Louisiana Tech. This is the same Western Kentucky team that pulled off a huge upset at #5 Alabama earlier this season. They also gave #11 West Virginia all they can handle before falling by 6 points on a neutral court. Conversely, he only game that Louisiana Tech stepped up in class this season they failed miserably during a 31-point loss at LSU. Western Kentucky is coming off a NIT 1st round 69-67 win over St. Mary’s and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Louisiana Tech enters this contest with a 22-7 (.759) season record. This sets up an unbeaten NIT betting angle which is displayed below. Any NIT team with a point-spread of 0.0 to 2.5 that’s playing a game in round 2 or beyond and is coming off a straight up underdog win by 9 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Louisiana Tech) with a win percentage of .700 or better, resulted in those teams going 7-0 SU&ATS since 2001. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by 7.3 points per game. Bet on Western Kentucky for a 5* wager. |
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