For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-26-13 | Southern Mississippi v. Tulsa +5.5 | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
598 Southern Miss at Tulsa
The Golden Eagles could be in for a major letdown spot here after riding in with an eight game winning streak and coming off a 56 point blowout of Marshall. But they haven't been overly impressive over the years away from home and have really struggled against this Tulsa squad. Southern Miss has dropped the last four meetings in this building. Tulsa is 7-1 SU at home this year and have traditionally been a very tough out on this court. The Golden Hurricane are a very good rebounding team which nullifies a major edge for the visitor. At 12-8 on the season this is a statement game for the host. PLAY TULSA |
|||||||
01-22-13 | Iowa v. Ohio State -11 | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
510 Iowa at Ohio state
Hawkeyes off huge upset victory over Wisconsin and 20 point road blowout win at Northwestern. But traditionally Iowa has not been a very good road team. Ohio State is 10-1 SU at home and has been an excellent pointspread proposition the past few seasons. The Buckeyes are off a close loss at Michigan State and have dominated Iowa the last two years winning by margins of 29 and 22 points. With only Penn State on deck the Buckeyes take out some frustrations on the Hawkeyes. PLAY OHIO STATE |
|||||||
01-19-13 | UNLV v. Colorado St -2.5 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
634 UNLV at Colorado State
The Rebels are just 10-19 ATS on the road the past three seasons but they are off an impressive win at San Diego State. That was the first time in four years the Rebels beat the Aztecs on the road. After losing at New Mexico that was a statement game for UNLV. Now they once again travel and they won't be facing the same style of play as they faced on the west coast. UNLV really struggles in the half court game, especially against the zone. The Rebels have also had problems rebounding against big teams. That wasn't the case last time out as San Diego State is a guard oriented team that plays man to man defense. You saw how the Rebels struggled to score after halftime when Coach Fisher saw that his team couldn't run with the Rebs. Colorado State has a huge home court advantage and they are an excellent rebounding team. It's also a team that plays an solid zone defense so we expect points to be hard to come by for UNLV. The Rams are a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season and they beat the Rebels as a home dog a year ago. The last two times Colorado State hosted UNLV they held the Rebels to less than 40% shooting. UNLV can't beat the Rams on the boards so this will be a very tough situation. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
|||||||
01-19-13 | Charlotte U v. Richmond -2.5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
596 Charlotte at Richmond
Charlotte is in a first place tie in the Atlantic 10 standings and its 15-2 record has been outstanding. The problem has been that the 49ers have played a very weak schedule. In the last 11 games they have been dogs just twice losing to Miami by 31 and beating Davidson by 4. Charlotte has 3-0 in conference Xavier on deck. Richmond sits at 1-2 in conference and it has been playing without one of its best players in Derrick Williams. This is a game the Spiders simply need to have to avoid falling too far behind in the standings. Richmond is 9-1 SU at home this season and 49-9 overall at home the past few years. As opposed to the 49ers this team has played a very touch schedule including Minnesota, Kansas and Butler. The Spiders have won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this series, and alter losses in 5 of the last 7 games this is a do or die game for the host with VCU on deck. PLAY RICHMOND |
|||||||
01-17-13 | Georgia Tech +16 v. Duke | 57-73 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
541 Georgia Tech at Duke
Many times going contrarian is the way to riches and that's exactly how we will approach this contest. The Yellow Jackets haven't been a very good road team for the last three seasons and they enter this game having lost three straight games overall. Georgia Tech has dropped 11 of the last 12 meetings in this series and it catches Duke off a rare loss. The public will play this game only one way and it's a featured nationally televised game on ESPN. So my question is this. Knowing all that why has this line dropped a full two points from the opener? It used to be that wise guys would wait until right before game time in order to take the ugly dog after the public all backed the better team off a loss. But that's just not the case anymore as you don't want your competition jumping in and taking your number before you do. Market reading and contrarian thinking have us going against a Duke team off a conference defeat, a spot where it is just 25-28 ATS the last 15 years. PLAY GEORGIA TECH |
|||||||
01-17-13 | Troy +8 v. Florida Atlantic | 59-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
513 Troy at Florida Atlantic
Quick revenge for the Trojans who just lost a 61-54 home decision to the Owls three weeks ago. That was a special game for the host as they dedicated the court to head coach Don Maestri in honor of he 30+ years of service at the university. Teams having special ceremonies are at a disadvantage after the presentation as the host comes out flat while the visitor focuses on the task at hand. Now off back to back victories we look for Troy to add to its 17-9 ATS record when avenging an in season conference loss. Florida Atlantic is in the thick of the conference race at 4-3 knowing a win here will tie them for second place in the Sun Belt. But they may have a letdown here after an upset win at Western Kentucky and knowing it has beaten the Trojans 3 of 4 contests the last two seasons with the only loss coming by a single point. PLAY TROY |
|||||||
01-17-13 | College of Charleston -4.5 v. Georgia Southern | 47-51 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
575 College of Charleston at Georgia Southern
The Cougars have simply been beasts in the Southern Conference when taking to the road. How's 3-1 ATS this year and 87-53 ATS the last 15 years sound? This is a powerhouse team that has won 19, 26, 22 and 27 games the past four seasons. Charleston is 6-0 SU on the road this year but lost in this building 63-58 a year ago. Georgia Southern is off a huge double digit upset win over Davidson as a 13 point home underdog. Now it is catching much less against a very comparable team. Charleston leads the Southern Conference South Division as it is tied with Davidson at 4-1 and the two do battle on Saturday. So naturally the lookahead could be in force. But that's been overly counted on in this line and as I mentioned the Cougars have revenge here. You know the coaching staff will have this team fully prepared as the Eagles just embarrassed Davidson on this court. We have the better team looking for revenge against an inferior opponent off a huge upset, and the price is a bargain. PLAY COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON |
|||||||
01-16-13 | UNLV v. San Diego St OVER 134 | Top | 82-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
801 UNLV at San Diego State
These two teams have really had some battles over the years with many games being decided in the closing minutes. But the makeup of the two teams is a bit different this year with offensive edges that can be exploited. UNLV for the first time in years has talented big men. They have the ability to take advantage of a smaller and less potent rebounding team in San Diego State. Also the Rebels have really struggled against the zone but that's not the style of play coach Fisher and his Aztecs prefer. San Diego State likes the playground style of basketball which fits right in with the way the Rebels want to play. Get out and run instead of half court sets. San Diego State has a major advantage in its backcourt as the Aztecs are extremely talented in that regard and its small forward could be the best player on the court. It will be tough for the Rebels questionable guards to keep up with San Diego State. While past games have tended to be low scoring these teams are far different from the past. Look for a fast paced game with both teams getting to the free throw line. This line is based on history and we take advantage. PLAY OVER |
|||||||
01-15-13 | James Madison v. George Mason -8 | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
518 James Madison at George Mason
Madison has split two conference road games this season with the win coming against cellar dweller Old Dominion by just three points. The Dukes are off back to back satisfying home wins but take on a fired up opponent tonight. George Mason lost outright as a 7 point road favorite Saturday at NC Wilmington. The same team that James Madison just crushed by 28 at home last Wednesday. While A + B may equal C in some equations it doesn't work that way when handicapping sporting events. Mason has dominated Madison winning 13 of 15 meetings in this building. Off an embarrassing performance the host knows it can have its way tonight. The Patriots have been terrific off a loss to a Colonial Conference rival cashing 49 of 86 and 6 of 8 the past three seasons. Entering this contest a full game behind the Dukes in the standings it's a must win contest for the host. PLAY GEORGE MASON |
|||||||
01-10-13 | USC v. Colorado -8 | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
548 USC at Colorado
In three true road games the Trojans lost by 8 at Georgia, by 8 at New Mexico and by 12 at Nebraska, USC is just 1-4-1 as an underdog away from home. They don't have a great deal of ability to create their own shot which is a major problem against a good offensive team like Colorado. Colorado is 10-4 on the season with losses at Wyoming, Kansas, Arizona and Arizona State. The Arizona loss was in overtime after a controversial ending to regulation. That would have been their first road victory over a top 5 team in over four decades. The team was devastated by that loss and slept through the Arizona State contest. Now back at home with a chip in its shoulder we expect a great game from the host. The Buffaloes are 3-1 ATS and undefeated here this season. Tonight we find a fired up host with great point spread value. PLAY COLORADO |
|||||||
01-10-13 | Montana State v. No. Colorado -7.5 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
586 Montana State at Northern Colorado
The Bobcats enter on a positive note having won three straight contests. The problem is that all three of those games were at home and now they must travel which has been a problem this year. Winless on the road this season and at a sizable disadvantage on the boards this team could really have an upward battle tonight. Northern Colorado had a major rebuilding job a season ago after winning 21 and 25 games the prior two seasons. They fell to just 9 victories last year with a young and inexperienced team. But BJ Hill returned four starters this year and despite a poor record this is a team with a high upside. The Bears have been severely tested with games on the road against Colorado State, Northern Iowa, Wichita State and Weber State. This is a club who has played 8 of the last 9 games on the road and finally return to the Butler-Hancock Pavilion. This Northern Colorado team has been through hell schedule wise this season but now we catch them with plenty of point spread value. Look for a Bears blowout tonight. PLAY NORTHERN COLORADO |
|||||||
01-09-13 | Virginia Cavaliers v. Wake Forest +5 | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
814 Virginia at Wake Forest
We see a letdown coming for the Cavaliers here after beating North Carolina in a nationally televised contest on Sunday. While the Tar Heels are down this year it's still a major accomplishment for a team like Virginia to beat one of the elite conference opponents. Virginia pounded Wake Forest last year by 24 points so they will be riding high coming into this affair. Virginia hasn't played a true road game since late November when they shocked Wisconsin 60-54 in a very tough venue. This team is highly likely to be overconfident here. Wake Forest has slipped from the Tim Duncan days but the Demon Deacons still have some talent. Off a blowout loss at Duke you know they will enter this game focused. Despite the double digit loss at Virginia last year this has been a different series in this building. Wake has beaten the Cavaliers 11 of the last 12 meetings here. The last team to enter these doors was a pretty good Xavier squad and Wake knocked them off 66-59. This is a dangerous spot for the Cavaliers and we're not sure they can overcome it. PLAY WAKE FOREST |
|||||||
01-06-13 | Northwestern +16.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 51-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
817 Northwestern at Minnesota
This game sets up similar to our Utah winner over Arizona last night. Once again we find the sizable favorite in a major sandwich situation. The Golden Gophers are off an impressive victory over Michigan State with Big 10 powerhouses Illinois and Indiana on deck. The last two times Minnesota hosted Northwestern they won by double digits, covering both instances. So what is the motivation here for the host? The last six meetings in this series have seen the line posted at 5 points or less, now the line is more than three times as large. Northwestern just got blown out by Michigan, a 28 point loss at home. These players will fight tooth and nail to distance themselves from that terrible performance. These teams have split the last six meetings in straight up fashion. While we are well aware of the Wildcats attrition problems this line is way overblown for the situation. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
|||||||
01-03-13 | Texas State v. Denver -18.5 | Top | 53-64 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
530 Texas State at Denver
Very tough situation for the Bobcats who make their first ever trip to Magness Arena. Not only is it tough to win in this building but the altitude change is extremely trying on a team not used to playing in these arenas. Texas State is playing its first season in the WAC so they are at a major disadvantage when playing at many of these foreign courts. The road games that they have played out of conference does not prepare them for what they will encounter here. Denver is off a 22 win season and are just 5-7 on the year, but they have played a very tough non-conference slate. California, Colorado State, Southern Miss, Stanford and Wyoming are just a few of the teams this team has played. The last three home games against this type of competition resulted in wins by margins of 25, 35 and 29 points. The Pioneers defense has held 4 of the last 6 opponents to 47 points or less. This is a statement game for the host. PLAY DENVER |
|||||||
12-31-12 | New Mexico +5 v. St. Louis | 46-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
735 New Mexico at St Louis
This will be a contrarian play in the eyes of some as we will take the Lobos here off the upset at Cincinnati. Coach Alford has really stressed the importance of road games since coming to New Mexico and it's paid off as they are rarely an easy out away from The Pit. While they do have the conference opener against UNLV on deck the game is more than a week away. St Louis is back to full strength after Kwamain Mitchell rejoined the team in the last game but he's still not 100%. He didn't start practicing until Wednesday and played just 17 minutes in his first game back. It will take some time till he is comfortable on the court and his return has helped to juice this line. We like to go against teams with key contributors returning until they become ingrained into the rotation. St Louis is also looking to avenge a close road loss last year at The Pit. That was a tightly contested low scoring game and we see a very similarly played game here. With defense at a premium and both teams playing the same style and sets, we can easily see this game finishing with the final possession deciding the game. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
|||||||
12-22-12 | Canisius v. UNLV -14 | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
652 Canisius at UNLV
The Golden Griffins were projected to be a bottom feeder in the Metro Atlantic this year but they have gotten out of the gate strong. Off a five win campaign a season ago they have already won 8 of 10 games. Canisius is off a huge upset at Temple winning 72-62 as an 11 1/2 point underdog. But tonight marks the ninth straight game on a different court and they don't play back to back at home again until January 5th. This is a team that has over performed so far but the lack of a bench could really hurt them here against a UNLV team that is very deep and likes to run. The Rebels have had a major home court advantage the past few seasons, and after back to back second half letdowns here against Hawaii and Northern Iowa we can expect an intense week of coaching from Dave Rice. The Rebels have a defense that can frustrate the Golden Griffins who rely on the long ball for success. UNLV does have North Carolina on deck but that game isn't for another full week. We expect the Rebels to extend tonight as they wear down Canisius. PLAY UNLV |
|||||||
12-17-12 | UNLV v. UTEP +7.5 | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
722 UNLV at UTEP
Living in Las Vegas we get to see this Rebel team on a consistent basis and make no doubts about it they are talented. But as of yet they haven't been able to play a complete game. The team still takes too many three pointers and doesn't handle the press well. Now with talented big man Khem Birch making his UNLV game tonight, the team has another major adjustment to make. Without veteran Mike Moser in the lineup because of injury this team has yet to play a game with all hands on deck. UNLV has struggled the past few seasons on the road and we saw early signs of continued struggles against a mediocre Portland team earlier. UTEP is a tough place to play and the Rebels will have their hands full tonight. Tim Floyd is an excellent coach and we saw how he slowed down the Rebels in Las Vegas in in the past. He takes the air out of the ball and frustrates the more athletic team who want to get out and run. He has the ability to win with lesser talent which is something UNLV hasn't been able to do in a long time. With style of play and home court advantage we look for this contest to come down to the wire. PLAY UTEP |
|||||||
12-08-12 | North Carolina-Wilmington +15 v. Georgia Tech | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
565 NC Wilmington at Georgia Tech
The Seahawks have struggled out of the gate after losing four starters to graduation. After winning just ten games last season the losses aren't nearly as heavy as expected. Just five years ago this was a team that reached the 20 victory plateau but it's been all downhill since. That said, an over adjustment has been made for this contest. After starting the year with blowout road losses at Richmond, Ohio U and Purdue, the team is starting to play better especially on the defensive end. Georgia Tech lost every starter from a year ago yet they have gotten off to a nice 5-2 start. But they are off a satisfying home win over in-state rival Georgia and may take the Seahawks for granted here. The Yellow Jacket offense hasn't been overly impressive which makes laying this type of number a risk. We will take the points with a team that's a bit under the radar here and look for a competitive contest. PLAY NC WILMINGTON |
|||||||
12-08-12 | Idaho State +23.5 v. Oregon | 35-87 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
631 Idaho State at Oregon
Normally you wouldn't get a lot of support for a team that has won 25 combined games the last three seasons, especially on the road. But wise money knocked this game down from the 24 1/2 point opener and we firmly agree. Despite a 1-5 SU start for the Bengals they have cashed 3 of those 5 games. An underrated team in our regard here against an Oregon team playing better than expected. Oregon enters this game at 7-1 and are off 17 and 21 point home victories. There is little motivation here for the Ducks to extend. With better teams on the horizon we can see Dana Altman getting some minutes for his bench players before the schedule toughens. PLAY IDAHO STATE |
|||||||
12-08-12 | Missouri State +17.5 v. Oklahoma State | 42-62 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
553 Missouri State at Oklahoma State
The Bears have held their own the last couple years with the Cowboys losing by 5 and 14 point margins. Missouri State is battle tested and has a solid backcourt. They have struggled shooting thus far but return three starters from a year ago. After winning 66 combined games the last three seasons they are rarely in this point spread range. Oklahoma State is 6-1 on the year and have played quality opposition. But there isn't this big of a talent edge in this game to see a line of this size. Purely a value play here with the visitor. PLAY MISSOURI STATE |
|||||||
12-06-12 | Vanderbilt +11 v. Xavier | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
709 Vanderbilt at Xavier
The Commodores have gotten off to a slow start this year after losing their entire starting lineup to graduation. In its only true road game this season Vandy was pounded at Oregon. But the line has gotten out of hand here in our opinion as we are now catching double digits with a Vanderbilt team who has won 19 to 26 games in each of the last five seasons. It's also a team looking to avenge an 82-70 loss to these Musketeers last year in a game they were out rebounded by a whopping 21 board margin. That shows lack of hustle which will be a main point of contention this week in practice. Off a double digit home loss to Villanova you know Kevin Stallings team will be primed. Xavier has been impressive in the early going but they too lost a lot of talent in the offseason. This team has already pulled off upsets of Butler, Drexel and Purdue and may take the Commodores lightly. Xavier has been at its best catching points and struggled somewhat the past few seasons as a favorite. Vandy on the other hand is 14-6 ATS as an underdog and rarely are they a dog of this magnitude. PLAY VANDERBILT |
|||||||
12-05-12 | USC +10 v. New Mexico | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
563 USC at New Mexico
When a game has such a low projected total playing the double digit underdog becomes a very strong play. With USC off a loss and New Mexico coming in undefeated we have a terrific situation to cash on the college hardwood. These two teams met last year in a total slugfest as the Trojans won 44-41. The total in that game was 115 1/2. Now we find USC getting double digits off three straight losses to Marquette, San Diego State and Nebraska. While New Mexico has gotten off to a great start they have been sizable favorites in every lined game. We look for an inspired effort out of the dog here with the game being an ugly show paced slugfest. The double digits cannot be ignored. PLAY USC |
|||||||
12-04-12 | SE Missouri St. +18 v. Missouri | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
755 SE Missouri State at Missouri
We will back the underdog Redhawks here in a game that means far more to them than its more highly regarded instate opponent. At 6-4 on the season and already battle tested with a game at Kansas this Ohio Valley entrant is on the rise. With excellent guard play which is essential against the Missouri press, the Redhawks have the ability to keep this close throughout. Missouri returns just one starter and is in the midst of four straight lesser opponents before facing off with Illinois on the 22nd. This is prime experimenting time for Frank Haith as he decides up the minutes to see what the bench players have to offer. PLAY SE MISSOURI STATE |
|||||||
12-01-12 | Delaware +20.5 v. Duke | 50-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
533 Delaware at Duke
Delaware has already been tested away from home against Kansas State, Pittsburgh and Temple. While they enter wilth a poor record they have been very competitive covering 5 of 6 lined games. This is a big game for the Delaware players who will be fired up to take on the NCAA elite Blue Devils. Duke is off tough games against Louisville and Ohio State. They haven't been anything special laying big numbers at home, including 0-2 in that role this year. PLAY DELAWARE |
|||||||
12-01-12 | Ball State +16.5 v. Butler | 53-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
559 Ball State at Butler
Big in-state matchup here for the Cardinals who have been relegated to second class citizens in the state of Indiana with all the success Butler has had as of late. Off a blowout loss at Indiana and dropping a home game to Cleveland State, this is a great spot for Ball State with only Holy Cross Indiana on deck. Butler is well tested off of Xavier, Marquette, North Carolina and Illinois. Off a 97-73 home win over Hanover they may take the Cardinals for granted here. The Bulldogs have been a poor sizable home favorite over the years posting a 2-7 spread mark the past three seasons in this price range. PLAY BALL STATE |
|||||||
11-27-12 | Minnesota v. Florida State -3 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
514 Minnesota at Florida State
The Golden Gophers have gotten off to a nice start to the season including winning 2 of 3 in the Battle 4 Atlantis in the Bahamas. Now before heading up north they have a quick stopover in Florida to take on the Seminoles. We have witnessed this situation many times over the years and it's a major negative for the traveler, especially after playing three games in three days. Florida State has played just once in the last nine days and played very well in the Coaches vs Cancer Tournament in New York. They took care of business on the 21st here against North Florida and remain home for the next five games. They have a major scheduling edge over the Golden Gophers here. We expect this line to rise so we will lock in this play at the current number. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
|||||||
11-13-12 | Florida Atlantic +6 v. Mississippi State | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
531 Florida Atlantic at Mississippi State
The Owls are a young team that has proven that they can compete in tough environments. They just played at North Carolina so they won't be intimidated here. The coaching staff feels that they have a much better team than many project and the betting markets agreed as this game is expected to be competitive. Mississippi State returns exactly zero starters from a season ago and Rick Ray has his hands full in his first year at the helm in Starkville. The backcourt is adequate but that's about all you can say about the talent level of this Bulldogs squad. We look for a big step back out of Mississippi State this year at least until Ray's system can be fully implemented. PLAY FLORIDA ATLANTIC |
|||||||
11-09-12 | Toledo +1 v. Loyola-Chicago | 50-62 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
559 Toledo at Loyola Chicago
The Rockets are the preseason favorite to win their division this year with all five starters returning. After back to back four wins seasons Toledo is finally back to where they want to be and big things are expected starting tonight. Loyola produced a 1-17 conference record last year in the Horizon League and are once again projected as a lower tier finisher. We feel the Rockets have grown enough to win away from home which is always a question early in the season. They have an edge in the backcourt and the number is very favorable. PLAY TOLEDO |
|||||||
04-02-12 | Kansas v. Kentucky -6.5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Kentucky & Kansas
While the number remains under the key fouling spread of seven we will back the Wildcats who in our opinion are clearly the better team. Our thoughts going into the Final Four were whoever won the battle of Kentucky would take home the crown. And after those Saturday match-ups nothing has changed our mind. Kentucky came into this season with high expectations and they had one goal, to win the National Championship. Their mission has yet to be completed. Kansas on the other hand was expected to be rebuilding this year and they have far surpassed their preseason goals of winning the Big 12 Conference. It's rare when the Jayhawks are not at a personnel advantage but that will be the case tonight. They have a very good team but are not in the same class as Kentucky. The Wildcats have the better defense and they have shown in this tournament that they are able to have success in the open court as well as the half court game. We were very impressed by their poise which becomes paramount in a game of this magnitude. Kentucky wins this one by double digits. PLAY KENTUCKY |
|||||||
03-31-12 | Louisville +9 v. Kentucky | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 55 h 27 m | Show | |
Louisville & Kentucky
Now with 9's popping up in Vegas and elsewhere it's time to step in here against the highly popular Kentucky Wildcats. It's pretty clear that Kentucky is the most talented team in the country as the experts as well as the man on the street are singing their praises. But while we fully admit they are the best team in this game we are not about to lay an inflated price on a public favorite. These two coaches know each other well and Louisville plays a brand of defense the Wildcats rarely see. Louisville isn't the most talented team but they play well together and the rivalry aspect in this game means much more to the underdog. Louisville is smart enough not to want to run with the Wildcats, so the value with the points is added. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
|||||||
03-31-12 | Louisville v. Kentucky UNDER 137 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 55 h 15 m | Show |
Louisville & Kentucky
The Wildcats have been running the opposition out of the building in this tournament and it makes a great deal of sense. If you have the more talented team your advantage grows with every extra possession. But Louisville and the coaching staff are way too smart to fall into that trap. They know the way to beat Kentucky is to limit opportunities and Louisville's ugly offensive play only helps the cause. This game is being played in The Superdome which provides unique sight lines, therefore producing lower scoring games. With the recent Kentucky contests sailing over the posted total the linemakers have been forced to post a higher line as they expect over action. With the general public not knowing the true value of the total they will in turn bet the over which gives us extra value on playing this one under the posted total. PLAY UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-12 | Florida v. Louisville OVER 131.5 | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Florida & Louisville
Short and sweet analysis on this one. We had the under in the last Louisville game as the contest was a brick fest and the game easily went under the number. The public saw the Spartans completely collapse offensively against this solid Louisville defense. That was a Michigan State team that many felt was heading back to the Final Four. Now the line is very reasonable to take a look at the over in this game because of the over-adjustment and the go against the public line of thinking. Florida has a much better shooting team from long range than anyone the Cardinals have played thus far in the tournament. The Gators are also a team that wants to get out and run, which should provide easier baskets. We take advantage of recent results and look for this game to fly over the posted total. PLAY OVER |
|||||||
03-23-12 | Xavier +6 v. Baylor | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
Xavier & Baylor
The Musketeers have plenty of experience in the Sweet 16 and are a dangerous underdog here. They have strong guard play and have the inside game that can give the Bears trouble. Unlike many teams Baylor faces Xavier has the height to compete underneath. We used Baylor as a big play in the last round when they pulled away late to beat Colorado. But that game was not as easy as the final score would indicate. The Bears were even heading into the final ten minutes of that contest as they struggled to put away a much weaker Colorado team just happy to make the dance. The Bears won't find the same complacency from the Musketeers. This one goes down to the wire. PLAY XAVIER |
|||||||
03-22-12 | Louisville v. Michigan State UNDER 125.5 | 57-44 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Louisville & Michigan State
Really wanted to play the Spartans here but never saw the line we were looking for. Thought about the money line but again with the side going up 1/2 point we were never able to get a qualifying money line play. So instead we will attack this game where we do believe we have value and that is with the total. Louisville is one of the worst shooting teams in college basketball but they play tremendous defense. The Cardinals rank 2nd in the nation in defensive efficiency while the Spartans rank 3rd. But it's the Louisville offense that we take advantage of here as they don't have the depth to make this a faster paced game. In our opinion it's a terrible offensive match-up for the Cardinals and Michigan State will have their own problems scoring against this Louisville press. The line has been bet up a point so the way we will play this one in under the total. PLAY UNDER |
|||||||
03-17-12 | Colorado v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
528 Colorado & Baylor
The dream finally ends for the Buffaloes after coming out of nowhere to win the PAC 12 Championship and knock UNLV out of the tournament on Thursday. The Rebels had open shots all night long against Colorado yet they couldn't find the bottom of the net. We were not impressed at all with the way Colorado played and if the Rebels were better coached the Buffaloes wouldn't even be playing today. Colorado is likely to be pounded on the boards here as Baylor not only is athletic but they are a very long team. The Bears are also a vastly superior free throw shooting team which is extremely important in a game with this line. Colorado has no shot blocking intimidation factor to keep Baylor away from the hoop and the Bears have the ability to hit from the outside. We expect Colorado to regress here as the better team wins by a margin. PLAY BAYLOR |
|||||||
03-17-12 | Murray State +5.5 v. Marquette | 53-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
521 Murray State & Marquette
This is a good match-up for the Racers who are a smaller team that shoots from the perimeter. Marquette likes to play fast and they don't have a major defensive presence in the middle. The Eagles are also not adept at stopping the three which is what Murray State does best. Unlike other teams who would prefer to slow the tempo Marquette would likely increase the pace which only helps the underdog. Too many points to give a team that hasn't tasted defeat very often. PLAY MURRAY STATE |
|||||||
03-16-12 | Long Island v. Michigan State -19.5 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
832 LIU Brooklyn & Michigan State
This is a terrible match-up for Long Island who needs to run to be successful. They averaged 85 points per game in conference play and they want to get out and run against the Spartans. The problem is that Michigan State won't let them run and if they do decide to open it up they own the better players at virtually every position. The Blackbirds have played an extremely easy schedule having played just eight teams ranked in the Top 130 in the nation. They played just two Top 100 teams losing to Old Dominion by 8 and Iona by 16, with both those games being played in November. Michigan State has a defense the Blackbirds have not come close to facing, and it's a team that turns the ball over on a regular basis. Long Island does do a good job of getting easy points at the line but without the Spartans running with them we can't count on many of those opportunities. Michigan State is a much taller team that is coached by the best in the business. If Long Island tries to run and they will, it will only expand the talent level in this contest. Most underdogs would prefer to slow the pace and limit possessions, the Blackbirds can't do that and be successful. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
|||||||
03-16-12 | Norfolk State v. Missouri -21.5 | 86-84 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
848 Norfolk State & Missouri
What do you get when you have a team that has played an easy schedule yet has had a terrible problem with turnovers, when they face the pressure defense of a top rated team? A likely blowout scenario which is what we expect on Friday. Norfolk State is 246th in the country in offensive turnovers while Missouri ranks 3rd in the country in turning the ball over. Turnovers mean extra possessions and those extra possessions lead to easy fast break baskets, which makes this current line a bargain for the Tigers. Missouri is the most efficient offense in the country and they have quickness advantages that Norfolk State hasn't seen in conference play. The Spartans are also one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the tournament which likely means many one and done trips to the charity stripe. In fact, the Tigers have a shooting edge at the line of more than 10% over the Spartans, you rarely see such a disparity. Norfolk State is 1-4 straight up this season against Top 100 competition and they haven't faced a Top 250 team since January 24th. The Tigers are not the type of team you want to meet in a step up game and we expect that early shocker to be a sizable one for the underdog. PLAY MISSOURI |
|||||||
03-15-12 | Colorado +5.5 v. UNLV | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
729 Colorado & UNLV
This one will be short and sweet since we've gone against the Rebels away from the Thomas & Mack all season. UNLV is not a good team away from home. They take bad shots, don't shoot well from the free throw line and they lack defensive intensity. We weren't looking to play Colorado when the match-ups came out, but now that we are seeing 5 1/2's out there we will back the team playing the far better ball at a juicy price. The PAC 12 was down this year and everyone knows it, which may be the reason for money coming in against the Buffaloes. But the fact remains that the Mountain West Conference has never fared well in the Big Dance. And UNLV would have never gotten an invite based on their play the second half of the season. Just too much value here to expect the Rebels to all of a sudden turn it around. PLAY COLORADO |
|||||||
03-15-12 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Syracuse -15 | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
712 NC Asheville & Syracuse
Money has come in on NC Asheville after the Syracuse big man has been suspended for the tournament. While that will hurt the Orangemen later in the tourney it doesn't change anything here. Melo is a shot blocker and a force down low but Asheville is a team that wants to get out on the floor and run. They are not the type of team to take advantage in the post against Syracuse. Besides, you will have a tough time finding a deeper team in the tourney than Syracuse. This is a #1 seeded team with a relatively short price that has gone down even further with the Melo suspension. We can now lay two points less from a seeding spot that has dominated throughout the history of this tournament. We expect an early action blowout on Thursday. PLAY SYRACUSE |
|||||||
03-15-12 | Montana +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 49-73 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
733 Montana & Wisconsin
The Grizzlies match up very well with the Badgers and they have an assistant coach who actually ran this Bo Ryan offense in his earlier playing career. That should be a strong advantage in what is expected to be a low scoring defensive game. With a total that currently sits at 118 1/2 getting 9 1/2 points is a huge advantage. Wisconsin isn't built to blow teams away and they need to get hot from outside in order to increase any margin. Despite the lesser schedule Montana has won 20 of the last 21 games they have played. Only twice all season have they been beaten by a margin this high. Montana is a team that isn't afraid to take it to the basket which could put the Wisconsin defenders in foul trouble. Keep in mind the Big 10 refs let the teams play physical, that won't likely happen here. Montana has the ability to take this one to the wire and we expect an easy cover. PLAY MONTANA |
|||||||
03-14-12 | Delaware +9 v. Butler | 58-75 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
653 Delaware at Butler
We can't see the Bulldogs being overly excited about this tournament. Keep in mind that this was the team who played the last two seasons in the National Title Game of the Big Dance. With a 20-14 record Butler can't even play for the chance to win 20 games since that goal has already been accomplished. So now after finishing third in the Horizon League they are not only expected to win here but do so by a margin. Delaware enters play having won 9 of its last 10 games in the Colonial Conference finishing fourth in the league. While Butler has gotten all the national pub the last two seasons the Colonial is a stronger league than the Horizon. In fact, VCU and George Mason themselves have made significant runs in the Big Dance. This game features a team that entered the year with far loftier expectations than the CBI and they must face a Delaware squad that hasn't played in the postseason in 12 years. Who do you think will have the higher motivation here? The sizable spread is an added bonus that may not be needed. PLAY DELAWARE |
|||||||
03-13-12 | Dayton +4.5 v. Iowa | 75-84 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
555 Dayton at Iowa
The Flyers are a #2 seed in this tourney while Iowa is a #7 seed, but because Dayton is hosting an NCAA regional this week the game is being played at the lower seeded location. Yet despite Dayton being a higher power rated team the Hawkeyes have been installed as 4 point favorites. Keep in mind that Iowa students are on break right now so the reduced crowd should lower any type of home court advantage for the Hawkeyes. Iowa is only 13-6 straight up at home this year and that includes games against the likes of Chicago State, North Carolina A&T, Northern Illinois and IUPU Fort Wayne, Central Arkansas and Brown. Iowa won only three league home games all season by more than four points. Dayton was 6-8 this year at neutral or true road sites. That includes a 16 point victory over Minnesota who is a higher rated Big 10 squad than Iowa. Iowa is weak down low which is an offensive strength of the Flyers. Dayton is also an excellent free throw shooting team which could very well be the difference maker in a game with this type of line. Catching the better team getting points is the way to go here. PLAY DAYTON |
|||||||
03-10-12 | NC State +9.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
521 NC State and North Carolina
The Wolf Pack hasn't produced a strong home court advantage this year but they have played well away from home. Just five losses away from home this year with just one coming by more than today's spread. Losses to Vanderbilt by 7, Stanford by 4, Duke by 5 and Clemson by 3 in overtime. The only bad loss was a 19 point defeat to these Tar Heels. In fact, the in-state rival dominated the Wolf Pack in two meetings this year. The victory yesterday over Virginia likely took the Wolf Pack off the bubble, but a win over arch rival North Carolina would be the icing on the cake. Roy Williams has never fared well in the ACC Tournament since coming to North Carolina. He is well aware that by playing three games in three days against the best of the conference is not the best way to prepare his team for its ultimate goal, winning the National Championship. A victory here would likely not be the best outcome for his team in the long run, especially if they will be facing Duke in the championship game. The two games with the Blue Devils were very intense. An even if the team wants to continue on in the tourney do they have the motivation to win by a margin against a team that has more motivation? PLAY NC STATE |
|||||||
03-09-12 | Oregon St v. Arizona -2.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
870 Oregon State & Arizona
The Beavers have no depth and today will mark its third game in three days. Yesterday the starters played all but 20 minutes of action and guard Jared Cunningham played the entire 40 minutes. In the previous game against Washington State he played 38 minutes. Arizona has beaten the Beavers 11 of the last 14 meetings including an 81-73 overtime win earlier in Tucson. As opposed to Oregon State, Arizona has nine players who have averaged double digit minutes this season. Arizona is a perfect 5-0 against Oregon State in Conference Tournament action. This is a cheap number for the better team with fresher legs. PLAY ARIZONA |
|||||||
03-08-12 | Wyoming +9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 48-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
767 Wyoming at UNLV
The home court edge goes to the Rebels who get to play this tournament at the Thomas & Mack. The longer they advance in this tourney the better their advantage. Once teams are eliminated their fans often sell their tickets to brokers, scalpers and locals as the visitors take in more of what Las Vegas has to offer. But that advantage in the later rounds is a detriment early on as every other team in this league wants to see the Rebels lose on its home court. Therefore the home court edge will be minimal at best for this first round of action. This is the third time these two teams have met each other over the last five weeks. Both teams won and covered at home with the Wyoming win going to overtime. But even in a revenge victory off a terrible loss at Colorado State the Rebels were only able to win by 11 over the Cowboys. That game occurred on Saturday so now it's the Cowboys who have revenge. Despite a 20-10 record Wyoming knows the only way they play in the Big Dance is winning this tournament, and they are fully capable. The Cowboys beat UNLV and Colorado State, two of the top four teams in this league. They also took San Diego State to overtime in an earlier defeat. UNLV on the other hand already knows they are going dancing regardless of the outcome to this tournament. It's rare a team that has lost 7 of 11 games is this big of a favorite over a team they split with in regular season play. We expect the Rebels to win but it won't be easy. PLAY WYOMING |
|||||||
03-08-12 | Oklahoma State v. Missouri -11.5 | Top | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
734 Oklahoma State at Missouri
The Cowboys are extremely short handed right now and they beat Texas Tech basically with five players getting 30 or more minutes of action. Now they must face the pressure tactics of a rested and more talented Missouri squad. The Tigers have split the season series with Oklahoma State so they won't take them for granted here. In the earlier loss to the Cowboys Oklahoma State shot a whopping 60% from the floor. Yesterday's Oklahoma State win was the first time the Cowboys beat a Big 12 opponent this year when not playing at home. We look for their luck to run out tonight as the Tigers take advantage of the short handed Cowboys. PLAY MISSOURI |
|||||||
03-08-12 | Illinois v. Iowa +2 | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
706 Illinois & Iowa
The Illini have come out as a short favorite in this game despite finishing two games behind the Hawkeyes in the conference standings. Well in that case it must be because Illinois is playing the better ball at the moment. That can't be the case because the Illini have dropped 11 of 13 games with one of the two victories coming by a single point. The only victory by more than a single point was against these Hawkeyes in a 65-54 home win. In that game Iowa shot just 37% from the field and were outrebounded by 10, that simply won't happen again. Going over year to date stats, the Hawkeyes are even if not better on the boards and they are the better shooting team. In fact, in BIG 10 action Iowa is the best offensive efficiency team in the league. Iowa is playing with revenge and they should not be the underdog in this contest. We are well aware of the Illinois seven game winning streak in this series but that ends today. PLAY IOWA |
|||||||
03-03-12 | Cincinnati -2 v. Villanova | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
539 Cincinnati at Villanova
The Bearcats are playing solid ball right now as they look to assure themselves of a quality seed in the Big Dance. They struggled to beat the Wildcats at home earlier in a game they were out-rebounded by 15. In the last three games Cincinnati has faced Marquette, South Florida and Louisville so this is a major step down in class for the Bearcats. It's senior day for the Wildcats who are one of the youngest teams in the country. In fact, they only have one senior on the roster and he's played just five total minutes of action all season. The campus has broken for spring break and the team comes in with a 12-17 record. How many Villanova fans do you really expect for an afternoon game? Cincinnati is playing well and they won't have to worry about a hostile crowd. It also helps the cause that the Bearcats have lost at this venue in all three meetings since 2007. PLAY CINCINNATI |
|||||||
03-03-12 | Northwestern v. Iowa -1.5 | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
550 Northwestern at Iowa
It's been said that Northwestern is a bubble team which gives us added value on Iowa here. Northwestern has dropped 11 of their last 18 games and only have two Big 10 road wins, at Penn State and Illinois. Northwestern is the better shooting team but they rely too much on perimeter shooting which is a major reason why they struggle on the road. Iowa is looking to avenge a 19 point loss at Northwestern. They are 5-4 the last 9 outings including an overtime loss to Michigan and a 2 point defeat last time out against Ohio State as they have been terrific in the spoiler role. Iowa is a deeper team that gives many more minutes to the bench than the Wildcats which is a big factor this time of year. The line is slightly higher than what we expected or this would have been a huge play for us. As it is there is still plenty of value on the avenging home squad. PLAY IOWA |
|||||||
03-01-12 | New Mexico State +3.5 v. Nevada | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
735 New Mexico State at Nevada
The last time these two tangled the Wolf Pack won 68-60 in Las Cruces. In that game the Aggies went to the free throw line 15 more times and they won the rebounding battle by 15, yet they lost on their own home court. The reason? Nevada shot 57% from the field including 41% from behind the arc. New Mexico State has won 2 of the last 4 visits to Reno in straight up fashion and they are looking to avenge one of only three losses in conference play. The only other revenging contest they faced this season resulted in a 42 point blowout of Hawaii. Nevada has a two game lead in the conference with two games to go, but there is still hope that New Mexico State can grab a share of that crown. Despite having two more losses in the WAC the Aggies actually own a higher conference point differential than the Wolf Pack, plus 10.4 to plus 7.5. We expected this game to open in the pick 'em range so catching this many points is an added benefit. PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE |
|||||||
03-01-12 | Virginia Tech v. Clemson -5.5 | 56-58 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
718 Virginia Tech at Clemson
Virginia Tech won the previous battle by two points in a game in which they held Clemson to just 12% from behind the arc and were out-rebounded at home by a 40-30 count. The Hokies started the season at 11-3 before completely falling apart when stepping up in class in conference play. Virginia Tech is just 4-11 in ACC action with wins by 2, 2, 1 and 1 with the later being in overtime. Only one of those victories came on the road. This is the last home game of the season for the Tigers who are 5-2 straight up here in ACC action. They have won 4 of their last 5 games overall with the lone loss coming to North Carolina, one of the top teams in the country. Clemson has had one in-season revenge game this year and they beat Virginia on this court by 12. We expect a similar margin as the four Tiger seniors go out in style. PLAY CLEMSON |
|||||||
02-29-12 | UNLV v. Colorado St +3 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
590 UNLV at Colorado State
Rebels continue its search for a quality road win in conference as it received a reprieve this week when New Mexico lost twice. Now in a three way tie for the conference title many will expect a supreme effort from UNLV here. But they still haven't proven worthy on the road and Colorado State has its own motivation for this contest. The Rams are still on the fringe of the NCAA bubble and a win here over UNLV would look good with the selection committee. Keep in mind the Rams are undefeated in conference on this court and it is looking to avenge an embarrassing 82-63 loss in Las Vegas. Colorado State has been beaten just once on this court all year and coupled with the Rebels without a conference road win in regulation, we are firmly on the host. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
|||||||
02-29-12 | Buffalo v. Akron -7 | Top | 74-70 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
540 Buffalo at Akron
As if often the case the Zips cashed in on its 20th victory only to have a letdown the following game in an 85-61 blowout loss to Ohio U. Off that embarrassment and with earlier 82-70 revenge against Buffalo, we look for a strong effort out of the host. Akron has won 6 of the last 7 home meetings in this series and it has put up the more impressive season in the MAC. The Zips have outscored league foes by about four points more per game than the Bulls, with the most efficient offense in the conference. Buffalo has lost to every Top 100 ranked team it has played since December with the lone exception being the home win over Akron. Buffalo has dropped 3 of its last 4 games and has only two somewhat quality wins away from home all season. The number is cheap enough for us to look for home revenge from the Zips. Akron is 14-7 ATS at home with same season revenge and this is the only time all season the Zips have played a revenge game of any kind. PLAY AKRON |
|||||||
02-28-12 | Central Florida v. Memphis U -11 | Top | 55-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
738 Central Florida at Memphis
The Golden Knights have had a fine season but they have yet to step up on the road against a Top 100 squad, with losses at Florida State, Tulsa, Marshall and Southern Miss. They also lost at a neutral site to Harvard in non-conference play. On Saturday they cashed in their 20th victory of the season and that's a negative for teams the next time out. Central Florida is an excellent offensive rebounding team but some of that success has to be attributed to their poor overall shooting ability. Memphis is looking to avenge an earlier 68-67 loss in Orlando. The Tigers are an outstanding 7-2 ATS with same season revenge. That earlier defeat broke a seven game winning streak in this series as the Tigers had won every other meeting since the two joined forces in Conference USA. In 3 of the 4 home contests Memphis won by 16 points or more. We look for a similar margin here as the Tigers start to assert themselves for their annual late season run. PLAY MEMPHIS |
|||||||
02-26-12 | Iowa v. Illinois -6.5 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
864 Iowa at Illinois
Letdown situation for the Hawkeyes here who are off back to back upset wins over Indiana and Illinois. But those two games were played at home and Iowa has only won outright on foreign courts twice all season. They have also lost six straight times to today's opponent. Illinois is a hungry team having dropped six straight games heading into this contest. With Michigan and Wisconsin on deck this becomes a must win contest for the host. We like to play on hungry teams facing an opponent they know they can beat, and Illinois is about as hungry as they can be. With a head coach likely out the door it's time for these players to make a statement for themselves. We will lay the points with the Illini as they get back into the winners circle. PLAY ILLINOIS |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Northwestern v. Penn State +1.5 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
658 Northwestern at Penn State
The Wildcats need every victory possible in order to get a Big Dance invite, which is why they are overpriced in this contest. Teams in must win situations always provide a nice go against opportunity. Not only have they proven in the past that they struggled to live up to expectations, but they are always overrated in the betting marketplace. Northwestern has won just two road games all season, at Georgia Tech and at Illinois, two of the most disappointing teams in college basketball. Penn State lost by double digits earlier at Northwestern so it's likely the Wildcats will take them for granted. What we will get out of the host is a gritty game and a huge rebounding edge. The Wildcats are too dependent on the three pointer which is a major reason why they have struggled so bad on the road. In the last five weeks Penn State has beaten Iowa, Nebraska and Illinois at home with the only loss coming to Wisconsin, a team that is a step up from both these squads. Look for the Nittany Lions to add the Wildcats to the list of home victories. PLAY PENN STATE |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Murray State v. Tennessee Tech +4 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
694 Murray State at Tennessee Tech
Murray State just played its two biggest games of the season, a Bracket Buster showdown win over St Mary's and its lone revenge game of the year against Tennessee State. The conference tournament is up next for the Racers and it already beat Tennessee Tech at home 82-74. Murray State has won 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series and its likely looking forward to the conference tournament. The Golden Eagles have the most efficient offense in the conference and it can score just as well as the Racers. Tennessee Tech has the better assist to turnover ratio and they can match Murray State on the boards. In the earlier meeting the Golden Eagles held the Racers to just 38% from the field and dominated on the glass. The problem was three players fouled out which weakened the bench. Riding wins in 5 of 7 games as of late we can see a raucous crowd giving the host that extra boost in a game we expect to go down to the wire. PLAY TENNESSEE TECH |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Villanova v. Georgetown -9.5 | 46-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
528 Villanova at Georgetown
The Wildcats are off grueling back to back home overtime losses and will likely run out of gas here. They are a poor shooting team from distance and Georgetown is a terrific team defending the three. In order to remain competitive on the road you have to have the comeback ability of the three pointer and Villanova simply doesn't have that. Defensively the Wildcats are one of the worst teams in the nation forcing turnovers which is also a bad component for road success. The Wildcats end the year with winnable games against Rutgers and Cincinnati, they are likely to fold the tent early here. Georgetown stumbled Tuesday after clinching its 20th victory of the season but we expect a rebound. The Hoyas have only been beaten on this court once all year and they have tough games ahead against Notre Dame and Marquette. Look for the Hoyas to take out some frustrations Saturday afternoon. PLAY GEORGETOWN |
|||||||
02-23-12 | Detroit v. Cleveland State -3 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
716 Detroit at Cleveland State
Two teams heading in different directions here as the Titans have won five straight while the Vikings have dropped five in a row. But despite the recent play Cleveland State is the better team. They have an RPI of 86 while Detroit's is 164. The Vikings have beaten the Titans 7 of 8 meetings here and they are by far the more desperate team. Three of the five losses for Cleveland State were by 4 or less points and the home loss to Drexel in the Bracket Busters game was a throwaway contest for the host. Detroit has the edges inside but the Vikings are by far the better shooting club, and they know the Titans don't have the ability to shoot from distance. Here we are getting a motivated home favorite with a history of success against this opponent, and best of all the price is cheap. PLAY CLEVELAND STATE |
|||||||
02-22-12 | Texas Christian v. Air Force -2 | 65-62 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
570 TCU at Air Force
We really like the way this Falcons team has played since they made the coaching change. The team is playing much more freely without the heavy hand of the departed coach. Now after upsetting San Diego State we come right back with a team that has plenty of value. Air Force matches up very well with the Horned Frogs who prefer the up and down game which worked so well in the home upset of UNLV. The problem for TCU is that the Falcons refuse to run. TCU is at it's best shooting from long range but that's the strength of the Air Force defense. The Falcons obtain the vast majority of their baskets underneath yet TCU is poor defending two point shots. In the previous meeting TCU shot 58% from two point range and yet they could only win by 3 points on its own home floor. Air Force has won 5 of the last 7 meetings hosting TCU and the number is cheap because of the Falcons upset victory last time out. Instead of penalizing Air Force for that victory we use it as a bye sign on the Flyboys. PLAY AIR FORCE |
|||||||
02-21-12 | New Mexico v. Colorado St +6 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
New Mexico at Colorado State
The Lobos are off its two biggest wins of the season, beating San Diego State on the road and avenging an embarrassing loss at UNLV with a big second half at The Pit. Now they go on the road to face a Colorado State team they beat by 33 points earlier in the season. To make matters worse, the last three road games for the Lobos resulted in double digit victories. The fans stormed the court after the victory over the Rebels and we can't find any reason to see New Mexico motivated here. The victory over UNLV virtually clinched the league championship and the Lobos are riding high right now. Colorado State only lost once all season on this court and that was way back in November against Southern Miss. Now sitting firmly on the bubble come postseason time the Rams hold their future in their own hands. They play in succession New Mexico, San Diego State and UNLV, three teams heading to the Big Dance. If they can knock off two of those squads they set themselves up for a possible invite themselves, a clean sweep and the Rams are in. This game sets the stage for Colorado State and they want nothing better than to put that embarrassment in Albuquerque behind them. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
|||||||
02-18-12 | Hampton +12 v. Delaware | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
649 Hampton at Delaware
Bracket Busters have arrived which are good for publicity but not necessarily good for the players. Teams get thrown out of their conference mode to play a game against a team they rarely if ever see. The preparation suffers and these games tend to go over as neither team gives these games full value. That said there are two successful situations that we can take advantage. Double digit underdogs and teams stepping up in class. We find both with Hampton here. Hampton sites at 9-16 on the season and 5-7 in the MEAC. The only chance they have on postseason play is winning the conference tournament. Therefore this is a game they likely point to as they are out of regular season conference chances. They are a veteran squad ranking 9th in the country in experience while Delaware sits at 324th in experience. The Blue Hens are 10-6 in the Colonial Conference and are very likely to sweep their two remaining CAA contests. They are likely to play in the postseason in one of the lesser conferences and they have a decent shot at winning the conference tourney and heading to the big dance. So this game has far less importance for the favorite. The team is also riding a five game winning streak so you know they aren't getting overly excited for this matchup. We will take the generous points with the more experienced and motivated squad. PLAY HAMPTON |
|||||||
02-18-12 | UNLV v. New Mexico -5 | 45-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
516 UNLV at New Mexico
This is a huge revenge game for the Lobos who were blown out earlier at UNLV. Despite the hot shooting of the Rebels New Mexico won the rebounding battle which should be key here. This is a must win for the Rebels after losing in overtime at TCU earlier in the week. But if you've followed UNLV this year you are well aware that they are 1-8 ATS on the road. Coach Rice has done a fine job this season but the Rebels refuse to drive the lane and get fouled, shooting way too many 3 point attempts. The UNLV defense is weak defending the three which is a major reason why they have struggled on the road. The Lobos are playing their second straight conference revenge game after winning earlier this week at San Diego State. The Pit is one of the toughest venues to win at for visiting clubs yet the Rebels have knocked off the Lobos here each of the last two visits. With New Mexico looking for blowout revenge and off two straight home court losses, we can see a very focused New Mexico squad this afternoon. UNLV has not played well in afternoon games this season. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
|||||||
02-18-12 | Marquette +3 v. Connecticut | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
511 Marquette at Connecticut
The Golden Eagles are 6-2 ATS on the road this year and 9-4 ATS in conference. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and only have Rutgers on deck, so no lookahead for the visitor. Marquette takes care of the ball much better than UConn and they do a much better job drawing fouls. Marquette ranks 3rd in the country in assisted field goals while UConn ranks 176th. The Huskies have the edge inside while the Golden Eagles own the outside game and the much better guard play. UConn beat Florida State and Harvard early on but they have failed to step up on a consistent basis since. Without the head coach on the sidelines the Huskies traditionally have struggled, and this season has been no different. Marquette is the proven commodity and we expect an outright upset. PLAY MARQUETTE |
|||||||
02-15-12 | Air Force +12 v. Wyoming | Top | 58-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
567 Air Force at Wyoming
This has been a tightly contested series in recent years with the Falcons winning 11 of the last 20 meetings. Wyoming won earlier this year at Air Force 64-53 but we're not so sure they should be a prohibitive favorite in the rematch. Air Force recently made a coaching change in mid-season which is not typical, especially considering they had a sizable buyout clause. The truth of the matter was the former coach was not liked by his players and there was a backlash brewing. Since the firing Air Force lost their only contest against Boise State who had revenge for an earlier loss to the Falcons. Wyoming could very well take Air Force for granted here. They recently upset ranked UNLV at home and they played New Mexico tooth and nail in The Pit. On Saturday they face off against a very good Colorado State team. The Cowboys own just one conference win by more than this number and with both teams preferring a slow pace this tariff looks awfully high. PLAY AIR FORCE |
|||||||
02-14-12 | UNLV v. Texas Christian +8.5 | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
UNLV at TCU
Rebels have won 13 of the last 14 meetings and beat TCU at home 101-78 earlier this season. In that game UNLV hit 52.4% from 3 point range while the Horned Frogs only managed 16.7% from long range. This is a terrible scheduling situation for the Rebels off a last second revenge win over San Diego State and a trip to The Pit on deck to face New Mexico revenge. TCU is 11-2 straight up at home including impressive wins over Colorado State and Wyoming. This game is much bigger to the sizable home dog while the Rebels likely take the Horned Frogs lightly. UNLV is only 1-7 ATS on the road. PLAY TCU |
|||||||
02-11-12 | San Diego St +10 v. UNLV | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
575 San Diego State at UNLV
This line is much too high in our opinion based on the revenge factor and how well UNLV has played at home this year. But despite the game being a sellout the Rebels just haven't been as impressive in these afternoon contests. Sure they beat up California here earlier in the season but we attended that game and the Bears were simply horrible. Likely the worst played game of the season for Cal. UNLV also doesn't match up well with the Aztecs, they haven't since Steve Fisher took over the program. The Aztecs have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, including 4 of 5 outright on this court. The lone UNLV win in the last ten contests was a 76-66 victory two years ago. The Rebels are ranked 11th in RPI while the Aztecs are ranked 19th. San Diego State is very familiar with this site since they not only play here once a year but the conference tournament is at the Thomas & Mack Center. The Rebels depend too much on the three point shot and San Diego State has been able to shut them down in that regard. UNLV is also a poor shooting club from the free throw line which is likely to come into play here. Overall laying double digits is too much for the Rebels based on series history. PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE |
|||||||
02-09-12 | St Mary's CA +3.5 v. Gonzaga | 59-73 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
765 St Mary's at Gonzaga
This has been a huge series in the past for league supremacy as these two have stood out from the rest in this conference. But if you have followed these two teams this year it's clear that St Mary's is the far better squad, yet the line on this game assumes everything is status quo. The Gaels beat the Zags earlier this year 83-62 as they dominated all facets of the game. We expect more of the same here despite the change of venue. St Mary's is 6-1 straight up on opposing home courts, outscoring the opposition by 9.3 points per game. The lone loss was the third game of the season at Denver. This is a team that has been a road underdog just once all season and they won that game outright by 14 points. Gonzaga is 18-4 on the season but they have lost to virtually every decent team they have faced. In addition to St Mary's the Zags have dropped games against BYU, Michigan State and Illinois, all by 7 points or more. They own wins over Notre Dame, Arizona and Xavier but those games were either played early in the season before the young teams had time to gel or in the case of Xavier coming off suspensions. Against Top 50 RPI teams St Mary's is 3-1 while Gonzaga is 0-4. St Mary's won the last meeting in this building and we look for that trend to continue. PLAY ST MARY'S |
|||||||
02-08-12 | Northern Iowa +10 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-82 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
587 Northern Iowa at Wichita State
The Panthers are coming in off a confidence building win over Creighton as they look to avenge an early home loss to the Shockers. Wichita State meanwhile has a first place showdown on deck against Creighton, knowing they have beaten Northern Iowa the last two meetings on the road. Now home in a building in which they have won 12 of 13 games this season, Wichita State may look past the Panthers as they prepare for a Creighton team that beat them outright in this building last year. The Blue Jays were one of only two teams to beat the Shockers this season in conference play. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
|||||||
02-08-12 | Penn State +14.5 v. Michigan State | 57-77 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
525 Penn State at Michigan State
Major sandwich game here for the Spartans who are a perfect 14-0 straight up at home and just beat in-state rival Michigan in a revenge contest. They also play conference leader Ohio State on Saturday. Michigan State pounded the Nittany Lions by 18 here last year and Penn State brings a four game losing streak into this contest. In what is expected to be a low scoring affair the double digit points become more valuable. PLAY PENN STATE |
|||||||
02-04-12 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +4 | Top | 58-52 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
562 Ohio State at Wisconsin
We were really expecting this line to come out much lower as we expected a line of Ohio State -1 here. Now that it has climbed all the way to -4 we will step in and take the home dog on an extremely tough home court. Points are more important the lower the total and this game is currently lined at 116. Wisconsin has beaten five straight Top 5 opponents at home and they have a defense than can stifle this Ohio State squad. They made a very good UNLV team look bad on this court. This game is for first place in the Big 10 Conference and the linesmaker is telling you that the Buckeyes are head and shoulders the best team in this league. While we respect that decision we disagree, as this line shows a huge disparity in talent that we don't agree with. We will back the best defensive team in the country playing on their own home floor. Ohio State has lost to Wisconsin nine straight times here, we see that number increasing today. PLAY WISCONSIN |
|||||||
02-04-12 | Detroit v. Butler -4 | 65-61 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
532 Detroit at Butler
The Titans beat the Bulldogs in the first match-up this year which was a rare victory in this series. The Bulldogs had won 10 straight games before that Detroit victory. The Titans are a strong team at home but they haven't had that type of success on the road. This team has now lost all 11 visits to Butler and you know the Bulldogs have some revenge on their minds. Butler's RPI is close to 100 spots better than that of Detroit and this young team is starting to come together. They can't afford to fall any further in the conference standings as they prepare themselves for the Horizon League Tournament. This looks to us to be a cheap number in a revenge spot for the Bulldogs. PLAY BUTLER |
|||||||
02-01-12 | Towson +13.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 49-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
749 Towson State at Hofstra
Now that the Tigers have snapped their extremely long losing streak we will back them in a positive momentum spot here against a team not worthy of laying this type of number. When you have as long a losing streak as Towson State had the pressure continues to build, for Towson and their opponents. The Tiger's pressure is obvious, but no opponent wants to be the one to lose to a team on that type of streak. Which is why you often see teams in this situation carry over that success in the following game. Hofstra for instance knows they won't make the national news now if they happen to lose this game. That said, the Pride has lost 9 of their last 10 games and they just want a victory. They don't care to win by a margin, just to win the game outright. That is the goal, get a victory. The pressure is on the host while the Tigers are playing with renewed confidence. We take the points in what should be a highly contested affair. PLAY TOWSON STATE |
|||||||
01-31-12 | Southern Illinois v. Northern Iowa -12.5 | Top | 49-58 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
524 Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa
The Salukis are one of the worst three point shooting teams in the country ranking 332nd, which isn't a good sign on the road against a superior foe. You either have to play stellar defense or be able to shoot from the outside to be a live underdog, and Southern Illinois simply hasn't shown those abilities. Northern Iowa returns home after losing at Missouri State and Indiana State and they face Creighton and Wichita State on deck. This is a must win game for the host who beat the Salukis by 20 in this building a season ago. We expect a similar outcome here as the Panthers are the more disciplined team with the stronger roster. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
|||||||
01-28-12 | San Diego St v. Colorado St +2 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
590 San Diego State at Colorado State
The Aztecs have been a major surprise after losing 4 of 5 starters a year ago. They are a very young team that has gotten off to a terrific start. But after winning on a last second shot over UNLV, winning outright in The Pit, surviving the always dangerous underdog Air Force and winning at Wyoming last time out, we expect a letdown here for the inexperienced Aztecs. Colorado State is 13-6 on the season and they are off back to back bad games against rival Wyoming and a 33 point blowout at The Pit. That was a must win game for New Mexico who already lost to the other two top programs in the league, San Diego State and UNLV. Now back home in their own must win situation we will side with the Rams who lead the league in shooting, especially from the perimeter which is how you beat San Diego State. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
|||||||
01-28-12 | Middle Tenn. St. +8 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
575 Middle Tennessee State at Vanderbilt
In-State contest that means more to the visitor who hails from the smaller Sun Belt Conference. Blue Raiders are a veteran crew with the top three scorers being upperclassmen. They have shown well when stepping up in class and are projected to be a dangerous team come Big Dance time. Vanderbilt came into the season highly thought of but they struggled out of the gate. The Commodores have picked up the pace as of late but not sure they are the better team here. The SEC as a whole has been a disappointment this year and Vanderbilt hasn't been overly impressive out of conference. PLAY MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE |
|||||||
01-25-12 | Notre Dame v. Seton Hall -7 | Top | 55-42 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
804 Notre Dame at Seton Hall
The Irish are fresh off their stunning upset victory over previously unbeaten and top ranked Syracuse. They have a quick turnaround revenge game on deck against Connecticut. In the meantime they face a Pirates team they have beaten the last two meetings by double digits. Despite the positive press these two teams are not even close, talent or schedule wise. Seton Hall is a much better team that has played a much tougher schedule thus far. They have a current RPI of 7 while the Irish sit at 98. The Pirates have a big edge on the boards and they will completely shut down the Irish from beyond the arc. Off back to back losses to Villanova and South Florida, the host is ready to put a hurting on this unsuspecting foe. PLAY SETON HALL |
|||||||
01-21-12 | Air Force +13 v. San Diego St | 44-57 | Push | 0 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
699 Air Force at San Diego State
The Falcons are a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this year with respectable showings at Drake, Gonzaga and Boise State. They lost by 2 to the Bulldogs, 10 to the Zags and won outright against the Broncos. Last year Air Force was a solid 8-5 ATS away from Colorado Springs and they actually match up well against a very young Aztecs squad. This is a huge sandwich game for the host who just knocked off their other two main conference rivals UNLV and New Mexico straight up as underdogs. On deck they face Wyoming who has gotten off to a tremendous start under Larry Shyatt. San Diego State has beaten the Falcons by 12 points or more in all four meetings the last two seasons. They are sure to take this disciplined team for granted. PLAY AIR FORCE |
|||||||
01-21-12 | Arizona v. Colorado -2 | 63-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
636 Arizona at Colorado
Tough spot here for the Wildcats who just blew away the shorthanded Utes on Thursday in Utah. Playing the second straight game in altitude is something Arizona simply doesn't do, and off an easy victory we expect the Wildcats to come in a bit overconfident. Colorado should have a sizable home court value this year in PAC 10 play. They are already 4-0 ATS in league action at home with solid victories over Arizona State by 15, Washington State by 11, Washington by 18 and Utah by 40 points. The betting public has been slow to react to this scenario and we take full advantage. PLAY COLORADO |
|||||||
01-21-12 | Arizona St v. Utah +4.5 | 43-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
686 Arizona State at Utah
Two shorthanded squads do battle Saturday night as both teams are playing without key starters either from injury or suspensions. Arizona State is playing their second straight game in altitude after coming up short by 15 at Colorado on Thursday. This is a team that has underperformed once again this year under Herb Sendek and we simply can't trust them in a win and cover situation on the road. Nobody is going to want any part of the Utes here after losing by margins of 26 and 36 points their last two outings. But keep in mind that Larry Krystowiak is molding this team into his image as he gets rid of anyone who is not a positive presence on this team. He is starting from scratch in his first season in Salt Lake City and we agree with the way he has handled this club. Utah started the season being embarrassed on a regular basis and they recovered to be a decent money maker for their backers. We expect the team to bounce back strong tonight against a beatable opponent. PLAY UTAH |
|||||||
01-18-12 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -10 | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
816 Northwestern at Wisconsin
The Wildcats are off that huge home upset win over Michigan State on Saturday. Prior to that they lost in overtime at Michigan. The game before that they lost by a point hosting Illinois. That's a stressful week of games for a middling program like Northwestern, and now they have to go on the road to face an angry Wisconsin bunch. The Badgers have struggled as of late beating Nebraska by just 5 at home and losing two of their last four contests overall. They have failed to cash 4 of their last 5 games with a straight up win at Purdue being the lone exception. That said, here we find the superior team playing at a tough home court who has beaten the Wildcats by margins of 15, 32, 7 and 10 the past two seasons. It's time for Bo Ryan's crew to take out some frustrations against a team they have owned as of late. PLAY WISCONSIN |
|||||||
01-17-12 | Iowa v. Purdue -10 | 68-75 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
550 Iowa at Purdue
The Hawkeyes struggled in the road dog role each of the last two seasons posting 3-6 and 4-7 marks catching points on the road. While to their credit they pulled outright underdog upsets at Wisconsin and Minnesota this season they also lost badly at Northern Iowa, Iowa State and Michigan State. Off a solid win hosting Michigan we feel the Hawkeyes will once again struggle at Mackey Arena tonight. Purdue is off a tough home loss against Wisconsin and they have been solid at home coming off a defeat. It also helps to know they crushed the Hawkeyes by 22 and 23 points here each of the last two years. We like to back superior teams off a loss against a team they are confident against, and this is a reasonable line for the host. As a double digit favorite this year Purdue is a perfect 3-0 ATS covering the spread by a combined 66 points. PLAY PURDUE |
|||||||
01-14-12 | Santa Clara v. Brigham Young -20 | 78-95 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
666 Santa Clara at BYU
Interesting year for the Cougars who should have a very wide home/road dichotomy this season. BYU plays in a huge arena that the rest of the West Coast Conference will be unfamiliar with. In turn, BYU won't be accustomed to the small high school gym size venues of the new conference. It's already played out that way when we take a look at BYU contests thus far. BYU crushed San Diego and San Francisco here by 36 and 25 point margins. They failed to cover at either St Mary's and Loyola Marymount, losing to the Gaels by 16 points in the process. Santa Clara is one of the worst road teams in college basketball. In four lined road games they lost at Santa Barbara by 33, at Washington State by 38, at Portland by 10 and at Gonzaga by 22. The Broncos failed to cover the number by a combined 74 points. This will be their toughest travel destination yet. This will get ugly in a hurry for the visitor. PLAY BYU |
|||||||
01-14-12 | Air Force +10 v. Boise State | Top | 74-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
625 Air Force at Boise State
We think we have a sizable advantage in the line here with an altitude team that won't be at a disadvantage playing in Boise. Colorado Springs is a high altitude city so the Falcons are well versed in knowing how to prepare in these types of venues. Look no further than the last two times they traveled to New Mexico to take on the Lobos. Last year as a 13 point dog they lost a close 66-61 contest, in the previous season catching 21 they lost by only 3 in a 59-56 defeat. While the Falcons have only played in two true road games this season they took the money at both Drake and Gonzaga, cashing by a combined 11 points. Boise State will have a large home court advantage this year in most of their games against Mountain West opponents in their first year in the conference, but this isn't one of those games. The Air Force style of play is tough to defend when you don't see it very often, so the visitor has an added advantage. Just check out how the Falcons have done out of conference vs inside conference action. The line is giving Boise a substantial edge for this court, but keep in mind they were a combined 9-17 ATS the last two years in Taco Bell Arena coming into this season. We look for this game to go down to the wire. PLAY AIR FORCE |
|||||||
01-14-12 | Kansas State -3.5 v. Oklahoma | 73-82 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
565 Kansas State at Oklahoma
The last time we saw K State coach Frank Martin he was badgering the post game interviewer after the Wildcats lost at home to Baylor. Martin is one of the most hated coaches in college sports but the guy gets the best out of his players. After losing to the Bears four days ago I'm positive his team will be focused on Saturday. After playing Missouri, Kansas and Baylor the last three games this is a step down for the Wildcats. I always like to play a fired up team when they are facing a club they know they can handle, and Kansas State has beaten the Sooners by 15 points each of the last two seasons. We love Lon Kruger as a coach and as a person, but he's got a lot of work to do in Norman. This team won just 13 and 14 games the last two seasons and they have lost to the likes of St Louis by 20, Missouri by 38, Kansas by 11 and Oklahoma State by 7 last time out. It will take some time before Kruger has success, but he will find success. Just not here against a better Kansas State squad. PLAY KANSAS STATE |
|||||||
01-14-12 | Kentucky -10 v. Tennessee | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
553 Kentucky at Tennessee
Wildcats are in a horrific downfall vs the Vegas line which gives us solid value here against a team they match-up well with. Kentucky swept a better and more veteran Volunteers squad last year winning by 12 at home and 6 in this building. Off a struggle as a 17 point road favorite last time out at Auburn we have a determined team off a poor performance. Tennessee is off back to back covers against Mississippi State and Florida. In fact, they upset the Gators the last time they took the court here in the Thompson-Boling Arena. But keep in mind that this is a team that lost by 18 at Memphis in a down year and lost outright hosting Pittsburgh in a big drop-off season for the Panthers. Tennessee with just a single returning starter is improving, but they aren't at Kentucky's level quite yet. PLAY KENTUCKY |
|||||||
01-12-12 | Middle Tenn. St. v. Florida Intl. +9.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
552 Middle Tennessee State at Florida International
The Blue Raiders just beat this team 71-66 two weeks ago in Murfreesboro. They beat them three times last year including a 73-38 win in the Sun Belt Tournament. In just two days Middle Tennessee State goes to Boca Raton to take on a Florida Atlantic team that they were swept by last season, including a double digit home loss. Kermit Davis' club has been outstanding this year and that game on Saturday is a contest we're sure they have circled on their calendars. We can't see them getting overly excited to face the Golden Panthers here off four straight satisfying wins in Sun Belt action. Florida International has had a hell of a preseason schedule facing the likes of George Mason, Virginia Tech, Georgia State, Maryland and Dayton. They are a well tested squad which has played just four true home games all season. This game is a big deal for this club and a win here would put them on the map. The Golden Panthers have held 6 of 7 opponents to 65 points or less. If they do that tonight we cash the ticket. PLAY FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL |
|||||||
01-11-12 | Kentucky v. Auburn +18 | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
782 Kentucky at Auburn
Despite the lofty ranking the Wildcats have been a disappointment to backers this season. Against teams on the regular rotation Kentucky has now failed to cover the spread in eight straight games. They have played one true road game all season and that was a straight up loss at Indiana. Kentucky beat the Tigers last year at home 78-54 so we see no reason for this club to have any extra motivation here. They face Tennessee on the road on Saturday and that figures to be the more important contest. Last year Kentucky was 1-6 ATS in the role of road favorite despite winning 29 games. Auburn is off back to back road losses to Vanderbilt by 30 and Florida State by 29, they are an ugly dog that won't hold much interest in the betting markets. But keep in mind that this is the biggest home game of the season for Tiger fans and they are 9-3 ATS in the home dog role the last three seasons. Until they host hated rival Alabama in four weeks this is the game that the fans and alumni want. With four returning starters we expect a supreme effort from the host. PLAY AUBURN |
|||||||
01-07-12 | Cal Irvine -2.5 v. UC Davis | 70-55 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
691 Cal Irvine at UC Davis
Irvine has been a strong money maker away from Bren Events Center this season cashing at Cal, San Jose State, Wyoming, LSU, Northridge and Pacific. The latter two games were outright victories as four point underdogs. This is a team that's staying under the public radar and the lines have yet to catch up. UC Davis is a bad basketball team. Coming off 10, 14, 13 and 9 win seasons it's looking like another long season in Davis. The Aggies enter play winless on the year with home losses by 20 to Idaho, 21 to Stanford and 8 to Sacramento State. Last time out they gave the poor traveling Highlanders of UC Riverside a scare but they found another way to lose in a 60-58 contest. If this game comes down to the last five minutes we trust the Anteaters far more than the win starved host. PLAY CAL IRVINE |
|||||||
01-07-12 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -11 | 49-58 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
640 Oklahoma State at Texas
This is just the second true road game of the season for the Cowboys who were just 1-8 ATS last season in the road dog role. They have struggled big time against the Longhorns losing by margins of 15, 18, 12 and 10 points the last two seasons. With in-state rival Oklahoma coming to Stillwater Monday we can see this being a very tough spot for the visitor. Texas is off a 77-71 loss at Iowa State as a small road favorite. This is a team that entered the year with plenty of talent but with zero returning starters. Now that they have gotten a taste of Big 12 basketball we look for an improved Longhorns squad tonight. Keep in mind this team as been tested by the likes of Temple and North Carolina in the last three weeks. PLAY TEXAS |
|||||||
01-07-12 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Cavaliers -7.5 | 51-52 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
616 Miami Florida at Virginia
The Hurricanes have been tested on the road playing at Purdue, West Virginia and Charlotte but they are running into a red hot Cavaliers squad on Saturday. Miami has been a disappointment in Vegas this year and they are still a ways away from competing against the upper echelon of the ACC. Virginia has stayed under the radar this year under Tony Bennett who has won everywhere he has been. His club has knocked off the likes of Michigan by 12, George Mason by 20, Oregon by 13 and LSU by 5 last time out. The Cavaliers have had this game circled after the Hurricanes knocked them out of the conference tournament last March. Playing with double revenge we look for the Cavaliers to make a statement here. PLAY VIRGINIA |
|||||||
01-07-12 | Troy v. Western Kentucky -4 | 67-65 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
610 Troy at Western Kentucky
The Trojans have struggled at this venue losing by 19 points last year and 18 the season prior. Troy has failed to step up on a regular basis away from Trojan Arena losing by 10 at East Tennessee State, 38 at Mississippi State, 23 at Belmont, 17 at Denver and 22 at North Texas. Western Kentucky is off a heartbreaking finish at home Thursday against Louisiana Lafayette. The Ragin' Cajuns got away with six players on the court for the game winning shot and the play was never reviewed. A very tough way to lose in overtime to an outstanding basketball team. But instead of sulking we expect the Hilltoppers to come out with a chip on their shoulder against a team they have dominated in this venue. PLAY WESTERN KENTUCKY |
|||||||
01-07-12 | Baylor v. Texas Tech +14 | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
562 Baylor at Texas Tech
Baylor has been road favorites 10 times the previous four seasons and they have yet to play that role this season. So why are they such a substantial chalk here? That's what national television will do for you as we have this game significantly lower. Baylor returns four starters and is one of the most talented teams in the country but this is a role they have yet to perfect. They have beaten Texas Tech handily on the road the last two seasons but they have a huge game on deck for Tuesday. The Bears travel to Manhattan to take on a Wildcat team they have lost to three times the last two seasons. For a team that only suffered 21 total defeats the last two years you know they have that game circled. Texas Tech has played a very easy schedule thus far which has worked out well for first year Red Raider coach Billy Gillispie. With just a single returning starter he needed to build the confidence in his team after a 13-19 season a year ago. Off a competitive start to the conference season at Oklahoma State earlier in the week we look for a hard fought contest from the host. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
|||||||
01-05-12 | Purdue v. Penn State +7 | 45-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
564 Purdue at Penn State
The Boilermakers are off a satisfying 75-60 home win over Illinois with Minnesota road loss revenge from last season on deck. Purdue has gone 8-14 ATS the last four seasons in the road favorite role and they beat the Nittany Lions outright the last two years here. Penn State on the other hand is coming off back to back losses on the road to Michigan and Northwestern. This is a team that is 8-5 ATS as home dogs the last four seasons. They should be the more inspired team here after being swept the last two seasons by the Boilermakers. PLAY PENN STATE |
|||||||
01-04-12 | Towson +21 v. Drexel | 27-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
765 Towson State at Drexel
This is a terrific spot for a huge underdog to stay under this number. The Tigers have held their last three opponents to 57, 57 and 65 points as Pat Skerry knows in order to compete he needs to take the air out of the ball. Towson has triple revenge against Drexel after losing all three meetings last year by 6, 3 and 6 points, the latter knocking them out of the conference tournament. After facing the likes of Kansas, Michigan, Belmont, George Mason and Virginia this team will not be intimidated. Drexel on the other hand knows they swept the Tigers last year and they have more important games on deck. They host VCU up next and the Rams knocked them out of the Colonial Athletic Conference Tournament last year. The Rams then went on a long run in the NCAA Tournament. With VCU and George Mason on deck this is a throwaway game for Bruiser Flint's crew. We gladly step in and take what we feel is an inflated number. PLAY TOWSON STATE |
|||||||
01-04-12 | Xavier -2.5 v. La Salle | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
741 Xavier at LaSalle
Now that the Musketeers are back to normal strength after the suspensions we look for a coming out party for the vastly more talented team. After playing three games shorthanded in Hawaii it was clear they would struggle their first game back on the mainland against Gonzaga. Now that they have had a game to recover from the trip we look for a strong effort on Wednesday. Xavier beat LaSalle by 38 last year and won by six the last time they played in this building two years ago. LaSalle has added some defense this season at the cost of a high intensity offensive game. But they have played virtually nobody in non-conference action coming off games against Hartford, Boston U, Central Connecticut State, Delaware, Army and Towson. LaSalle entered the season 3-14 ATS the last four seasons as home dogs. PLAY XAVIER |
|||||||
01-03-12 | Alabama -4 v. Georgia Tech | 73-48 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
563 Alabama at Georgia Tech
The Tide are the far superior team here even though they have yet to show it by Vegas' count. They have played a challenging non-conference slate including games against Wichita State, Purdue, VCU, Georgetown, Kansas State and Oklahoma State. They were 4-2 straight up in those contests including a 2 point loss to Georgetown. Georgia Tech has had a far easier schedule and enter this contest off cupcakes such as Fordham, Mercer, Alabama A&M and Savannah State. Believe it or not the Yellow Jackets only managed a 2-2 straight up mark in those games. They are far less prepared for conference play than Alabama. PLAY ALABAMA |
|||||||
01-03-12 | Cornell +8.5 v. Maryland Terrapins | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
557 Cornell at Maryland
The Big Red enter this game having dropped three straight as they play their fifth straight game on the road. They have been battle tested after playing at St Bonaventure, Illinois, Penn state and Bucknell. The last three being spread covering losses by 4, 7 and 3 points. With 4 returning starters the Big Red have a history of cashing in the road dog role. Maryland enters on a six game winning streak but they faced a schedule of weak competition. Samford, Albany, Radford, Florida International and Mt St Mary's. The only quality win on their schedule was over Notre Dame. Maryland was 3-7 ATS in the home favorite role last year and they have yet to impress us. Look for this game to go down to the wire. PLAY CORNELL |
|||||||
01-02-12 | Cal State Northridge +6.5 v. UC Riverside | 63-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
CS Northridge at Cal Riverside
Willing to take the points here with a Northridge squad that has been battle tested on the road. Games at USC, Boise State, Drake and Washington should well prepare the Matadors for this location. Riverside hasn't been overly impressive at the Student Recreation Center with a 21 point loss to USC and a narrow 2 point victory over San Jose State in their last home game. Just too many points for two very equal teams. PLAY CS NORTHRIDGE |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.