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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-14 | Florida State v. Miami (Fla) | 63-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
777 Florida State at Miami Florida
The Seminoles come at a cheap price tonight considering its season to date resume. 11-4 on the year with the only losses coming to Michigan, Florida, Minnesota and Virginia. The Seminoles took a step back last year under Leonard Hamilton winning just 18 games, but this is a talented team that has a solid upside. Florida State rarely turns the ball over which is what you want when playing on the road, especially in this pointspread range. Miami sits at just 9-6 on the season but the majority of those victories came against weak opposition. The most impressive wins are Arizona State on a neutral and North Carolina on the road last time out. But as we have seen all season that Tar Heel team is extremely volatile losing to much inferior opposition while at times pulling off a shocker. Off a competitive loss at Syracuse and a road victory against a storied North Carolina team we believe this Miami squad is a bit overrated with the full week off. Florida State has played the tougher schedule and it will dominate on the glass. This line is extremely cheap in a win and cover situation. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
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01-15-14 | San Jose State +7.5 v. Air Force | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
793 San Jose State at Air Force
The Spartans are just 6-10 on the season but they are much closer in talent to the Falcons than this number shows. San Jose State has played the tougher schedule as well as four less home games, yet is being outscored by less than 2 points more per game than Air Force. Coming into the season these two were expected to battle for the basement of the Mountain West Conference, but Air Force is now thought of as far superior because of recent victories over Utah State and UNLV. But we |
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01-15-14 | South Florida v. SMU -10 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
760 South Florida at SMU
Both teams may be down a player or two tonight but we still see this line being very cheap on the home favorite. SMU has played the much tougher schedule and the current records just don |
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01-14-14 | Boise State -2.5 v. Nevada | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
537 Boise State at Nevada
At 11-5 on the season and 1-2 in the conference this becomes a very important game for the Broncos. With losses to Kentucky, St Mary |
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01-14-14 | Butler v. Creighton -10.5 | 60-88 | Win | 101 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
532 Butler at Creighton
Now that the line on this game has dropped two full points it |
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01-14-14 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 37-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
510 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan
While both teams have comparable records, strength of schedule couldn |
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01-13-14 | Northern Arizona -8 v. Southern Utah | 70-36 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
731 Northern Arizona at Southern Utah
With just a 5-9 record Northern Arizona could be overlooked in this game as a sizable road favorite. But in our opinion that would be a mistake. The Lumberjacks are just 2-6 straight up on the road but every team it lost to are playing .500 or better on the season. Northern Arizona has played the tougher earlier schedule of these two and still own an 18.4 points per game advantage. Southern Utah could be the very worst team in Division 1 basketball. This is a club that is 1-11 with the lone win coming in the opener against Arizona Christian. At home the Thunderbirds lost to 5-11 Cal Riverside by 15, struggling UNLV by 22, and 5-8 Sacramento State by 28. Only one road loss was by less than 15 points. The Thunderbirds are averaging just 53.1 points per game on the season despite playing a strength of schedule ranked 259th in the country. Southern Utah has bad backcourt play and little depth, a poor combination in league play. PLAY NORTHERN ARIZONA |
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01-11-14 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -16.5 | 71-86 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
602 Central Michigan at Toledo
This Central Michigan program hasn |
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01-11-14 | Dartmouth v. Harvard -15 | 45-61 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
562 Dartmouth at Harvard
Dartmouth returned all five starters from a nine win team a year ago. This being a program that has won just 33 total games the prior five seasons. Currently 7-6 on the year under long time head coach Paul Cormier but the Big Green have beaten absolutely nobody. Wins over Lyndon State, Massachusetts Lowell, Maine, Jacksonville State, North Hampshire, Longwood and Lesley. Dartmouth rarely gets to the line and the 64.2 points per game allowed thus far is mostly a combination of bad opposition and style of play. Neither helps them in the slightest against Harvard. Harvard has been the class of the Ivy League the last four seasons winning 90 combined games. With four starters returning and a 13-2 record the Crimson are primed for another shot at the Big Dance. The only losses on the season for Harvard came against Colorado and Connecticut. the latter coming last time out. Off a loss and not playing again for another ten days we can |
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01-09-14 | Montana State +3 v. Portland State | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
599 Montana State at Portland State
The Bobcats of Montana State sit at just 7-6 on the season but this club has won 5 of its previous 6 outings. The only loss coming at a 10-5 UTEP squad. Montana State is a deep team with ten players averaging at least 9 minutes a game. Nobody on this club averages at least 11 points a contest which makes shutting down this offense very difficult. Despite playing the tougher schedule the Bobcats have a 2.6 points per game advantage over the Vikings. Portland State sits at 5-6 on the year but the victories have come against Pacific Lutheran, Loyola Chicago, SIU Edward, UC Davis and Evergreen State. The three Division 1 opponents they beat are a combined 15-30 on the season. Portland State returns just two starters from a team that won just eight games last season. Despite playing an extremely easy schedule thus far the Vikings permit an effective field goal percentage of 55.1%. This is a bad rebounding team that doesn |
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01-08-14 | Missouri State v. Bradley | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
763 Missouri State at Bradley
We |
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01-08-14 | Miami Ohio +2.5 v. Central Michigan | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
721 Miami Ohio at Central Michigan
Two of the less talented teams in the MAC get together to start league play on Wednesday. But while Miami Ohio comes in with the lesser 4-7 record they have played the far tougher schedule. The Redhawks have already faced the likes of Notre Dame, Arizona State, Xavier and Massachusetts. Miami |
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01-07-14 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Michigan State | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
541 Ohio State at Michigan State
While the Buckeyes haven |
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01-04-14 | Air Force v. UNLV -14.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
640 Air Force at UNLV
We |
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01-04-14 | Drake -4.5 v. Bradley | 57-68 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
627 Drake at Bradley
Not much was thought of Ray Giacoletti |
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01-02-14 | CS-Northridge v. South Dakota -4.5 | 75-76 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
586 Cal Northridge at South Dakota
We want no part of the Matadors here despite an 8-6 record. This is a team that not only has played cupcakes but they have yet to defeat a team with a current winning record. The RPI for Cal State Northridge has been in the 250 range each of the last four years and the Matadors still never won more than 14 games in a season. On the road in an unfamiliar place we won |
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01-02-14 | Jacksonville State v. Belmont -15 | 67-78 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
598 Jacksonville State at Belmont
The Gamecocks have a respectable 7-9 record but they have beaten virtually nobody. A who's who of who |
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01-02-14 | Oakland +6 v. Wright State | 64-76 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
527 Oakland at Wright State
The Golden Grizzlies are just 5-10 on the season but they have played a brutal schedule with games against North Carolina, UCLA, California, Gonzaga, Indiana and Michigan State. This is a program that has won 110 games the past five years. Oakland averages 14.5 assists per game and has won 5 of 8 after a horrendous opening schedule. Wright State is also an elite team in the Horizon League but despite an 8-7 record we feel the Raiders are a bit overrated to start conference play. Other than losses to Georgetown and DePaul this club hasn |
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01-01-14 | Utah State -9 v. Air Force | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
721 Utah State at Air Force
The Aggies of Utah State get their initial taste of the Mountain west Conference with a trip to Colorado Springs. Luckily for the visitor they get to take on a bottom dweller to start the league season. Utah State has won 20 or more games in 14 straight years and they look to be a contender for the upper echelon of the conference. This is a team that averages a whopping 17.6 assists per game and shoots an effective field goal percentage of 56.0%. The Aggies are a good rebounding team that has already won on the road at Cal Santa Barbara and Weber State. Being from Logan also reduces the altitude factor for the host. Air Force just isn |
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01-01-14 | Bradley v. Northern Iowa -12 | 46-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
726 Bradley at Northern Iowa
We went against Bradley last time out hosting South Florida and as we expected the Braves struggled down the stretch. Bradley has dropped 8 of 9 games with the lone win coming against Texas Pan American, one of the worst teams in the country. Bradley has a very tough time scoring and averages less than 10 assists per contest. This is a very weak basketball team. UNI has won 20 or more games in each of the last five seasons. This is a class organization led by head coach Ben Jacobson. The Panthers enter play at just 6-6 on the season but they have played the likes of Loyola Marymount, Maryland, Iowa State, VCU and Virginia. This is one club that is ready for action in the always tough Missouri Valley Conference. The class difference in these two teams right now isn |
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01-01-14 | Temple -2 v. Rutgers | 66-71 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
727 Temple at Rutgers
History shows the Temple Owls are not afraid to schedule the big boys. This is a tough team that always finds a way to beat the odds and after winning 125 games the last five years we expect another 20 win season from Fran Dunphy |
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12-30-13 | Tennessee-Martin +8 v. Jacksonville State | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
751 Tennessee Martin at Jacksonville State
Ohio Valley Conference action gets underway tonight in Jacksonville as the Gamecocks host Tennessee Martin. Jacksonville State is coming off a 17 win season and enters play at 6-9. But this team has yet to have a signature win and hasn |
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12-28-13 | South Florida v. Bradley | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
563 South Florida at Bradley
At 8-4 the Bulls are off back to back close losses to the likes of Mississippi State and Santa Clara in Las Vegas. This is a good defensive ball club with a solid inside presence on the defensive end. Bradley is not a good basketball team right now. Expected to contend in the Missouri Valley Conference this team has gotten off to a 5-7 start against a weak slate of opposition. The wins this season for the Braves have come against Jacksonville State, Alabama State, Central Michigan, Chicago State and Texas Pan American. Bradley not only scores just 66.9 points per game, just 9.5 of those baskets are assisted. In fact, it |
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12-28-13 | Furman v. California -23 | 60-90 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
598 Furman at California
The Paladins are coming off a seven win season after just two years prior reaching the 22 win plateau in Greenville. Sitting at 5-6 on the year they have feasted on bottom of the barrel competition. University of the South, Gardner-Webb, Brevard, Presbyterian, and Liberty represent the wins this year for Furman. This is a team that lost outright to Mars Hill and was battered by Clemson by 36 points. This is one of the worst teams in the nation yet they stand within a game of playing .500 ball. California is 8-4 on the year with losses coming to the likes of Dayton, Cal Santa Barbara, Syracuse and Creighton. This is a quality team that has been through a much tougher schedule. With conference action up next we look for the Bears to take out some aggression on an outmatched foe. PLAY CALIFORNIA |
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12-28-13 | Tulane v. Kansas State -13.5 | 41-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
554 Tulane & Kansas State at Brooklyn
We went against Tulane last time out as they took care of Northeastern at home, but we are not backing down from our thoughts on this being an overrated squad. This is a team with losses to Northern Kentucky, Colgate, Texas State and SE Missouri. The victory over Northeastern was the highlight of the season for the Green Wave. Averaging just 9 assists and allowing an effective field goal percentage of 55.6% is not going to get it done against quality opposition. Kansas State is 8-3 on the season, winners of six straight including a victory over Gonzaga last time out. After a slow start to the year the Wildcats are playing much better ball as of late. This is a good rebounding team that doesn |
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12-28-13 | Florida Intl. v. Georgetown -18 | 57-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
526 Florida International at Georgetown
The Golden Panthers are 8-5 on the season but have played nothing but cupcakes in the early going. Wins over the likes of Kennesaw State, Warren Wilson, Florida College and Texas Southern will not help their RPI rating. The most impressive win on the season was against 6-7 Florida Gulf Coast. The Golden Panthers are a good rebounding team but they average less than 10 assists a game. Georgetown is 7-3 on the season with losses to Oregon, Northeastern and Kansas. That Jayhawks loss was last time out in a nationally televised game. The Hoyas permit just 43.5% effective field goals so they will be able to hold down a questionable Florida Intl offense. It |
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12-28-13 | NC-Greensboro v. Virginia Tech -14.5 | 55-52 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
586 NC Greensboro at Virginia Tech
Somehow the Spartans have managed a 6-7 record on the season. Games against the likes of High Point, Chowan, Greensboro and Claflin will do that for a team. The most impressive win on the season came against 4-9 James Madison. NC Greensboro is being outscored by 9.9 points per game against a very weak schedule. They have no shot blockers inside and they permit an effective field goal percentage of 53.8%. This is not a good basketball team. Virginia Tech is 7-4 on the season but is off an embarrassing loss to in-state rival VCU by 30 points. With only Maryland Eastern Shore on deck you can believe that James Johnson will have his group in top form here. This is an excellent rebounding team who permits just 44.2% in effective field goals. The Hokies are a much better team than they showed a week ago and we expect this game to be well in hand by the half. PLAY VIRGINIA TECH |
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12-23-13 | Montana State v. UTEP -14 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
748 Montana State at UTEP
Montana State out of the Big Sky Conference has started the season at 5-5 but the wins have come against Central Michigan, Cal Northridge, Walla Walla, Portland and Southwestern Christian. This is a team that has really had a problem scoring against a very pedestrian schedule. The Bobcats don |
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12-23-13 | Loyola-Chicago v. Fordham -8.5 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
724 Loyola Chicago at Fordham
The Ramblers of Loyola Chicago enter play at 5-6 on the season but are projected to bring up the rear of the Missouri Valley Conference. This is a team that rebounded from a seven win campaign two years ago to claim 15 victories last year. But despite the decent record the wins have come against the likes of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Rockhurst, SIU Edward, Illinois Chicago and Campbell. This is a decent shooting team who gets pointed on the boards virtually every night. Not enough players on this team have the ability to create their own shots and the Ramblers lack an inside defensive presence. This team doesn |
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12-22-13 | Northeastern -5.5 v. Tulane | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
837 Northeastern at Tulane
Quincy Ford went down four weeks ago and the Huskies struggled. Losses to quality opponents Florida State, VCU, Harvard and UAB only strengthened the players resolve. But this team found the win column yesterday against a pretty good Wisconsin Milwaukee club and they won |
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12-22-13 | Wisc-Milwaukee -10 v. Alabama State | 67-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
835 Wisconsin Milwaukee & Alabama State in New Orleans
The Panthers really fell off the map last year winning just eight games after season wins of 20, 19, 20 and 17 the prior four seasons. At 9-4 on the young season the Panthers have already surpassed last years win total. The losses have come against some pretty good competition in Loyola-Chicago, DePaul, Wisconsin and Northeastern. After back to back losses we look for Wisconsin Milwaukee to make a statement against a weaker foe. This is a good shooting team with a 52.3 effective field goal percentage that has been tested on the road. While Alabama State enters play with a 4-4 record, the truth is the victories have come against poor competition. Mobile, Jacksonville State, Chicago State and Western Illinois. Alabama State is expected to fight to stay out of the cellar in the Southwestern Athletic Conference this season. The Hornets are a weak rebounding team who doesn |
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12-22-13 | Georgia State -11 v. Texas-San Antonio | 99-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
811 Georgia State at Texas San Antonio
The Panthers of Georgia State are a quality program that enters play at 6-6 on the season after 15 and 22 win seasons the past two years. Four starters return this year in one of the strongest Sun Belt teams in recent memory. This squad doesn |
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12-21-13 | Louisville -20 v. Florida Intl. | 85-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
569 Louisville at Florida Intl
The Golden Panthers bring in an impressive 8-4 record into this statement game with the Cardinals. But virtually every victory has come against bottom feeder clubs. Warren Wilson, Florida College, Texas Southern, Stetson etc. This is a team that may have played the weakest schedule in the country. Losses to the likes of Eastern Kentucky, Kennesaw State and Nova Southeastern do not help the cause. Louisville obviously is a huge step up for Florida International. The Cardinals do have Kentucky on deck but that game is a full week away. Louisville has already shown it has no mercy when playing weaker competition with six victories by 28 points or more already this season. This being the first true road game of the year we fully expect this team to come out prepared. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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12-21-13 | Western Carolina +8.5 v. Georgia | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
621 Western Carolina at Georgia
The Catamounts are 6-7 on the season but as usual it doesn |
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12-21-13 | NC-Greensboro v. Wake Forest -17.5 | 51-59 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
624 NC Greensboro at Wake Forest
The Spartans are 6-6 on the season against a schedule of basically nobodies. Wins over the likes of High Point, Chowan, Greensboro, Stetson and Chaflin. The victory over 3-9 James Madison last time out may be their most impressive win. The Spartans return just a single starter from a nine win team from a year ago. This from a program that has won 9, 13, 7, 8 and 5 games the previous five seasons. With a 6-6 record thus far the folks in the Greensboro Coliseum must be doing backflips. But this is a bad defensive team with no presence in the middle. Too many easy shots from the opposition will be a major problem tonight against a pretty good squad. Wake Forest returns 4 starters from a team that is trying to get back to previous editions in Winston-Salem. After 24 and 20 win seasons the Demon Deacons have captured 8, 13 and 13 win campaigns the past three years. At 9-2 on the year with a solid backcourt and quality rebounding, this is a club that can contend for a possible tournament bid. With the only losses coming to Tennessee and Kansas, Jeff Bzdelik has the horses to win this one in blowout fashion. PLAY WAKE FOREST |
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12-20-13 | Bradley v. Portland -3 | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
832 Bradley vs Portland in Las Vegas
It hasn |
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12-18-13 | Radford v. UNLV -14 | 62-81 | Win | 103 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
774 Radford at UNLV
The Highlanders have gotten out of the gate with an impressive 6-3 start but they have played a very weak schedule. When stepping up in class they have fallen against George Washington by 22, Virginia Tech by 25 and Santa Clara by 13. This is a team with no inside presence defensively and which struggles on the glass, not a good combination against the Rebels front court. We had no problem going against UNLV early in the season as the new faces to the program needed time to gel. But now that these talented transfers have some game time under their belts the Rebels are starting to take off. The 22 point victory Saturday at Southern Utah was a major confidence builder and a buy sign on UNLV. The Rebels have played a very tough slate of games to open the season, losing to the likes of Cal Santa Barbara, Arizona State, Illinois and Arizona. The five point loss at the soon to be #1 Wildcats gave this team a huge confidence boost. Now back home in the Thomas & Mack we can see this club taking advantage on the glass and limiting this Radford bunch offensively. PLAY UNLV |
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12-17-13 | Washington -7.5 v. Tulane | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
521 Washington at Tulane
While the records may look similar the strength of schedule between these two is wide. The Green Wave have feasted on the likes of NJIT, Southern, Loyola-Chicago, Cedarville and Jackson State. Tulane is a poor defensive team that allows a whopping 57% effective field goal shooting against a questionable schedule. Tulane averages just 8.3 assists per game as the offense has been stagnant. Washington has lost to some very good basketball teams this year, Cal Irvine, Indiana, Boston College and San Diego State, are all a step up in competition from what the Green Wave have played. While the Huskies, like Tulane have struggled defensively, they have done so against much tougher opponents. Offensively this club can put points on the board in a hurry, which is something the host simply cannot match. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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12-17-13 | North Florida v. Michigan State -24.5 | 48-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
562 North Florida at Michigan State
The Osprey sit at 5-6 on the season but a quick look at the opposition tells you all you need to know about North Florida. Wins over Arkansas Little Rock, Savannah State twice, Webber and Edward Waters. This team just lost to Ohio State by 35 and Alabama by 28. Now they take on a better team in Michigan State who is off back to back bad performances. The Spartans lost to North Carolina at home by 14 and then struggled here against Oakland before finally pulling away 67-63. Coach Izzo will work his players hard in practice so you know there will be no slouching here. The talent level in this game is night and day and the Spartans need an impressive performance. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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12-15-13 | Georgia Southern v. UAB -15 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
844 Georgia Southern at UAB
Not a good match-up for the Eagles who struggle on the boards and rely almost exclusively from downtown. They are a poor assist to basket team that doesn |
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12-14-13 | Central Michigan v. Dayton -17.5 | 58-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
528 Central Michigan at Dayton
The Chippewas come into this contest at 6-3 on the season but they have feasted on some of the worst teams in college basketball. Manchester, Texas A&M-CC, Jacksonville State, SIU Edward etc. This team isn |
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12-10-13 | Nevada v. California -14.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
532 Nevada at California
We had a chance to see the Wolf Pack play against UCLA and Missouri here in Vegas at the Orleans Arena, and we weren |
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12-07-13 | Iowa v. Drake +10 | 83-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
592 Iowa & Drake at Wells Fargo Arena
Spot play against the Hawkeyes here who returned from the Battle 4 Atlantis with a hard fought Big Ten/ACC Challenge victory over Notre Dame. This is the fifth game since November 28th including the traveling with two of those contests going to overtime. Drake getting the chance to knock off big brother in a large venue. The only Bulldogs loss thus far was by four points to St Mary |
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12-07-13 | NC-Greensboro +27 v. North Carolina | 50-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
615 NC Greensboro at North Carolina
Major sandwich game here for the up and down Tar Heels who are just coming off a very impressive showing against Michigan State. A 79-65 victory over the current top ranked Spartans. Now they face in-state NC Greensboro before taking on Kentucky. This is the biggest game on the schedule for the Spartans who will give a full effort throughout, while North Carolina will likely call it a day early. No way the Tar Heels get up for this game and we |
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12-07-13 | UNLV v. Arizona -16 | 58-63 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
578 UNLV at Arizona
First road game of any kind for a Rebels team with many new parts. Discount the previous UNLV win over a bad Tennessee-Martin squad who continued to run with the Rebels despite having far less talented players. Arizona is a major step up for UNLV and playing on the road will not be an easy chore. PLAY ARIZONA |
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12-04-13 | Tennessee-Martin v. Samford -6 | 89-73 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
768 Tennessee Martin at Samford
Bringing back four starters is usually a plus but that may not be the case for the Skyhawks. UT Martin has finished last in the Ohio Valley Conference each of the past two years in points per possession both offensively and defensively. This year they are ranked 343rd in the nation in field goal accuracy. After watching this team last week at UNLV we can see why. Not a single player on this team can create their own shot and there aren |
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12-03-13 | Massachusetts -6 v. Eastern Michigan | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
517 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan
The Minutemen are in the Top 25 now for the first time in a long time as they have been very impressive in the early going. Wins over Clemson, Boston College, LSU and Nebraska have prepared this veteran team well for their first true road game. Eastern Michigan played a very easy schedule until last time out in an 18 point loss at Kentucky. But that was a very young Wildcat team who is still learning to play together, so we aren |
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11-21-13 | Wofford +18 v. Minnesota | 57-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
755 Wofford at Minnesota
The Terriers are an experienced team coming off a bad season. But we like the way Mike Young |
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11-18-13 | Portland v. Michigan State -22.5 | 67-82 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
522 Portland at Michigan State
This may be the square play of the day but it doesn |
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11-12-13 | UC-Santa Barbara +10.5 v. UNLV | 86-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
PLAY Cal Santa Barbara
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11-08-13 | Portland State +16.5 v. UNLV | 48-67 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
PLAY PORTLAND STATE
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11-08-13 | Air Force v. Army -3 | 79-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Play Army
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03-30-13 | Syracuse v. Marquette +4.5 | 55-39 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
522 Syracuse & Marquette in Washington DC
In the Big Dance the Orangemen have taken advantage of teams that rarely see the type of zone defense they are famous for. That's not the case here as Marquette is very familiar with the 2-3 zone after facing Syracuse in conference action. In fact, Marquette has covered the last four meetings between these two. The last meeting resulted in a straight up underdog victory back in February. The Golden Eagles were outshot from the field and 3 point line in that contest and still won on the scoreboard. Marquette matches up very well against good defensive teams posting a 31-15 ATS mark against squads allowing less than 64 points the past three seasons. The Orangemen do not have an advantage in this contest and the straight up Marquette victory wouldn't be a surprise. PLAY MARQUETTE |
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03-29-13 | Fla Gulf Coast v. Florida -12.5 | Top | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
880 Florida Gulf Coast & Florida at Arlington
The FGC Eagles are 12-2 ATS the last three years, including a perfect 8-0 in March as they have been an under the radar team for more than the last two games. They have covered their five tournament games by a combined 70 1/2 points. The Eagles are producing 9 steals per game against opponents averaging just 7 steals allowed. While that's all great news for this Fort Meyers team and their backers the end of the road comes today. Keep in mind this is a team that lost twice to Lipscomb, a 12-18 team. While they surprised Georgetown and San Diego State the Gators have had a great deal of preparation time and Billy Donovan is a proven elite coach. Florida is an amazing 62-35 ATS in tournament games the past 15 years, as they have posted one of the most consistent winning trends in college basketball. Many talk about the Izzo's of the world but rarely is Donovan talked about for his tournament record. The Gators are shooting 48.3% on the season against teams allowing only 41.6%. That tells you just how good this Gator team is, and they are even better on defense. What we saw yesterday in the Syracuse victory will be even more extreme here. Florida Gulf Coast isn't prepared for this Florida defense and fast break points will be very hard to come by. PLAY FLORIDA |
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03-28-13 | Syracuse +6 v. Indiana | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
807 Syracuse & Indiana at Washington DC
While we admit that Syracuse hasn't performed overly well when stepping up in class, this is a great match-up for the Orangemen. The Syracuse zone is tough to crack for any team, but especially a squad who likes to run the court similar to the Hoosiers. Syracuse simply does not let the opposition dictate the pace and in doing so frustrates the opposition. Because they spread the court the opposition shoots just 28.9% from behind the arc against the Orangemen. So it's strength against strength in that regard as Indiana is a very good three point shooting team. But the problem for the Hoosiers is that a majority of their long range success has come in transition, which will be completely shut down by Syracuse here. Syracuse has held 8 of their last 9 opponents to 63 points or less. A similar effort here not only cashes the ticket but likely results in an outright victory. Indiana which has dominated on the glass this season will not have that advantage against a sizable Syracuse squad that forces outside shots. The points are a bonus here as the Orange have a very good chance to advance in this tourney. PLAY SYRACUSE |
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03-23-13 | Colorado St +10.5 v. Louisville | 56-82 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
517 Colorado State & Louisville in Lexington
Always have to find good reasons to go against a team playing in their own home state, and we believe we have. The Cardinals are the hottest team in the country right now and the betting markets are making you pay a hefty price to back them. On a tremendous winning streak with a major buzz coming from all the TV talking heads. But Louisville wins by pressuring the ball and forcing turnovers and the Rams simply don't turn the ball over. Colorado State averages just 11 turnovers a game and they have the best rebounding team in the nation. So what the Cardinals specialize in is exactly what the Rams thrive in. And to get a well disciplined team as a double digit underdog is something we will jump on. While the Cardinals will clearly have a large contingent of supporters compared to very few for Colorado State, the Rams are well versed in this situation having to play every year in "The Pit" in New Mexico. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
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03-22-13 | Oklahoma +3 v. San Diego St | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
829 Oklahoma & San Diego State
Lon Kruger is very familiar with Steve Fisher and his type of play at San Diego State from Kruger's time at UNLV. While Lon didn't fare all that well against the Aztecs, San Diego State had better teams in those years. In our opinion San Diego State is down this year compared to previous editions and it's gone unnoticed in the betting markets. Oklahoma under Kruger has improved greatly since he took over and the Sooners can play with this running and reckless Aztecs squad. The Mountain West hasn't performed well in the Big Dance and Boise State picked up right where this conference left off last year with a loss on Wednesday. Getting more than a field goal in this contest is a bargain. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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03-21-13 | Missouri v. Colorado St +3 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
710 Missouri & Colorado State at Lexington
The Tigers are getting way too much respect in this matchup as we have seen what this Missouri team does away from home. Just 6-10 SU on the road and the Big 12 didn't have the RPI that the Mountain West did this year. Missouri typically has a major rebounding edge but that's not the case here as Colorado State is the best rebounding team in the nation. Unlike Missouri, the Rams have a winning record on the road as this is a veteran team who has performed well in hostile environments. The Rams take care of the basketball which is always a concern against a defense like Missouri. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
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03-20-13 | Texas v. Houston +2.5 | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
656 Texas at Houston
The Cougars are happy to see the year extended as a win here would give them their 20th victory of the season. Tonight they have the rare opportunity of hosting in-state powerhouse Texas. The Longhorns haven't played at Hofheinz Pavilion since the 200-2001 season. Because of that we expect the home crowd to be more intense than what you would normally expect for a minot tournament home game. Houston is 13-4 SU at home this year while the Longhorns have won just two true road games all season, yet Texas enters this contest as the favorite. Both teams finished the season strong and a Texas win here would even their season record but it's clear in our mind the edges are with the host. Houston is a very young team and a win here against the in-state powerhouse would be a huge jumpstart for next season. The Cougars should not be the underdog here. PLAY HOUSTON |
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03-19-13 | Ohio v. Denver -6.5 | 57-61 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
556 Ohio U at Denver
While both teams are obviously disappointed from not making the Big Dance this is a terrible spot for the Bobcats. After losing to Akron twice during the regular season they led the Zips at halftime in the conference championship, only to get blown out in the second half. That was against an Akron team who had their starting point guard suspended for allegedly selling drugs. The Bobcats were a half away from eliminating the demons of Akron and getting into the NCAA field. Now just three days later the Bobcats must get on a plane and play a rare game in altitude against one of the strongest home courts in college basketball. Denver entered the conference championship with a great chance to advantage to the Big Dance, but they were embarrassed by Texas State as a whopping 16 point favorite. That loss broke an extended winning streak for the Pioneers who are 13-2 straight up at home. But that game happened five days ago and this team has had plenty of time to regroup, which cannot be said of Ohio U. PLAY DENVER |
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03-17-13 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Miami (Fla) | 77-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
887 N Carolina & Miami at Greensboro
Huge revenge game for the Tar Heels who have lost the first two meetings to the Hurricanes this year including an embarrassing 26 point loss in the last contest. In that game Miami threw an off the backboard pass that resulted in a dunk that North Carolina felt showed them up. The team to a man talked about that situation and how much they want to win this contest. After a gritty victory yesterday holding off Maryland in the final seconds this game couldn't come at a better time. Since going to a four guard lineup after that said game the Tar Heels have beaten everyone except Duke. Miami has had a wonderful season and they want this game as well as it would cap off an extremely surprising year. But in reality the Hurricanes feel they have a great chance to win the Big Dance and that thought may take precedence today. With the opening line posted we had a slight lean towards the Heels but now that this number has risen it's time to take the points with a team who is playing in this contest for the third straight year. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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03-16-13 | Cal Irvine v. Pacific -1.5 | 55-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
542 Cal Irvine & Pacific at Anaheim
Line looks a bit cheap for the Tigers who have won six straight games heading into this contest. Truth be told Irvine has won 8 of 9 with the only loss coming to these Tigers by 8 at Pacific. So while the revenge angle is there for the Anteaters the value remains with Pacific. We are well aware of the Tigers lack of success in this conference tournament but the line value is too much to ignore. We will lay the small number with what we consider the better team. PLAY PACIFIC |
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03-16-13 | Ohio v. Akron | 46-65 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
535 Ohio U & Akron at Cleveland
Double revenge motive here for the Bobcats who dropped 14 and 7 point decisions to the Zips. But that was when point guard Alex Abreu was on the court and now the only court he is going to see is the judicial one. Ohio had taken 3 of the previous four meetings heading into this year including a one point victory on this court in the tournament a season ago. Akron split with Kent State the two games following the Abreu suspension but the Bobcats have had this game circled. The Zips failed to cover both of those games against the Golden Flashes by a combined 16 points. It's the Bobcats time to celebrate. PLAY OHIO U |
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03-15-13 | Utah v. Oregon -7.5 | 45-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
870 Utah & Oregon in Las Vegas
The Utes have had a good ride thus far in this tournament but chances are it all stops here. We were expecting this line to come out about three points higher considering that the Utes will be playing their third game in three days. Oregon is playing with recent revenge for a 10 point loss at Utah less than a week ago. That broke a streak of 9 point or better wins for the Ducks in this series. We look for fatigue to be a factor as Oregon pulls away late. PLAY OREGON |
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03-15-13 | Maryland Terrapins +11 v. Duke | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
825 Maryland & Duke in Greensboro
The line on this game opened way too high and it's still providing value for the Terrapins. Sure Duke has revenge from an 83-81 loss earlier in Maryland, but this line has been over adjusted. While many will point to the red hot 60% shooting of Maryland in that game they will dismiss the 26 turnovers by the host, a full 14 more that that of Duke. We really like this Blue Devils team but they have been nothing special over the years in revenge. Maryland can play with Duke and they have proven that. The line should not be double digits here. PLAY MARYLAND |
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03-14-13 | Charlotte U v. Richmond -4.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -111 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
730 Charlotte & Richmond at New York
This is an early starting game that goes off at Noon Eastern. Richmond pounded Charlotte by 20 points earlier in the season and the Spiders have improved since that meeting while the 49ers have regressed. Richmond has beaten Charlotte in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Historically the Spiders have played very well in neutral court games while Charlotte has struggled. Richmond has cashed five straight games heading into play this afternoon while the 49ers are limping into tournament play. PLAY RICHMOND |
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03-13-13 | Air Force +9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
639 Air Force at UNLV
The Falcons have matched up very well with the more athletic Rebels taking UNLV to overtime in this building and winning in Colorado. The early start time lessons the UNLV home court advantage as the Rebels do not have their traditional evening time slot. UNLV has underperformed all season and we see no reason to back them here in a game they need to win by double digits to cover. The Rebels have had some recent fortunate situations which have masked their overall play. Two point victories over Colorado State and San Diego State on this court were less than impressive and the blowout at Wyoming was against a decimated host. Air Force knows it can compete with the Rebels and they need to win this conference tourney to advance to the big dance. We have a solid underdog here against an overrated favorite. Put us down on the Flyboys to make this one interesting. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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03-09-13 | Dayton v. George Washington -1 | 80-81 | Push | 0 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
552 Dayton at George Washington
Simply put in order to get the cover here the Flyers will need to win this game outright, and we just haven't seen that enough this season to expect it. Dayton is just 2-7 SU on the road this year and they are 3-8 SU in this building. Dayton comes in off three straight victories including a road victory last time out but we don't feel the Flyers have gotten any better than they have been all season. It's senior day for GW and they enter this contest with a four game losing streak. But this team is likely stepping down in class after facing St Joes, Richmond, LaSalle and Saint Louis. Plus the host has triple revenge after losing the last three meetings. We look for a strong game from GW here. PLAY George Washington |
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03-09-13 | Iowa State v. West Virginia +4 | 83-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
530 Iowa State at West Virginia
This line is just too high for a Cyclones team that is just 4-9 SU on the road this season. Teams tend to have a letdown after winning their 20th game and Iowa State accomplished that feat on Wednesday by beating Oklahoma State. That was a revenge game for the Cyclones. West Virginia is having a down year no doubt about it but it is senior day and the team should be pumped. The Mountaineers have dropped five straight games and they took Iowa State to the wire in an earlier contest. What has us intrigued here is the line. We rate Baylor and Iowa State virtually equal yet the Bears were favored by just 1 1/2 points here very recently. Now we are catching at least another bucket in a game that West Virginia should be pumped. We will go against the recent 20 game winner in a contest the Cyclones may not be fully prepared for. PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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03-07-13 | Oregon +3.5 v. Colorado | Top | 53-76 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
513 Oregon at Colorado
Revenge situation here for the Ducks who dropped a one point decision to the Buffaloes earlier in Eugene. In fact, since joining the Pac 12 Colorado has beaten Oregon 3 of 4 meetings with every victory coming by a single point. Not only does Oregon look to avenge the loss this year but the Ducks were knocked out of the Conference Tournament by the Buffaloes last year. While Colorado is 11-2 straight up in Boulder they have covered just 6 of 11 lined games. Oregon has won 5 of 6 overall heading into this contest including outright wins in 4 of 6 road games, including two straight up underdog victories. PLAY OREGON |
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03-05-13 | Southern Miss v. Marshall +6.5 | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
518 Southern Miss at Marshall
The Thundering Herd suffered one of the most embarrassing losses of the season the last time these two met when Southern Miss blew out Marshall 102-46 as a 10 point home favorite in January. That game came after a 21 point home win for Marshall over East Carolina. It was a shocking result that brought the Herd's 9-9 season to a screeching half as they have lost 8 of 11 games since. The Golden Eagles had revenge of their own in that contest as they had lost the previous two meetings including getting knocked out of the conference tournament last season. Southern Miss was motivated and it showed. But now Marshall is the motivated team in its final home game of the season. The Thundering Herd knows is has beaten Southern Miss outright in 4 of the last 5 meetings in this venue. After allowing 55% shooting from beyond the arc and 63% shooting overall we look for the Golden Eagles offense to regress here. Southern Miss revenge on deck vs East Carolina adds to our cause. PLAY MARSHALL |
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03-02-13 | Portland +26.5 v. Gonzaga | 52-81 | Loss | -119 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
599 Portland at Gonzaga
Zags are off a huge win at BYU that was key in their quest for a number one seed in the Big Dance. Now they only have to worry about winning the conference championship. Gonzaga is in for a major flat spot here playing a Portland team they have beaten 34 of 35 times including a 22 point spread covering game earlier at Portland. In the final game of the regular season we see the coaching staff giving extended playing time to the reserves. This number is too high when you take into account the situation. PLAY PORTLAND |
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02-28-13 | Arkansas State v. North Texas +4.5 | 50-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
516 Arkansas State at North Texas
The Red Wolves are hot having won 7 of 8 including beating the Mean Green 75-66 26 days ago. But this is also the 4th road game in 6 games and Arkansas State is just 4-7 ATS in true road contests. Despite an 11-19 record North Texas is playing pretty good ball right now having won 3 of the past 5 games. The Mean Green have beaten the Red Wolves here each of the last two years while splitting the last 10 meetings in the Super Pit. With this being the final home game we expect a superior effort from the host as they look to avoid their 20th loss on the season. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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02-27-13 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois +2 | Top | 53-41 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
766 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
The Eagles have been very strong at home this year but suspect on the road. Traditionally they have struggled away from Ypsilanti and this year has been no different. After blowing out the Huskies by 17 in the earlier meeting this team may take Northern Illinois for granted here. Northern Illinois well remembers the last meeting in which they became a national punchline by producing just 25 total points. Despite that embarrassment the Huskies have actually played this team very well, covering and winning 11 of the last 15 meetings in the Convocation Center. We are sure the host has had this game circled and Eastern Michigan is just 1-11 SU on the road this season. The Huskies get their revenge here. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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02-27-13 | William Mary v. North Carolina-Wilmington +2 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
725 William & Mary at NC Wilmington
The Tribe have won 3 of its last 4 games and are off a hard fought 60-58 spread covering loss at George Mason. William & Mary beat NC Wilmington 92-86 just two weeks ago in Williamsburg. The Seahawks have dropped 7 of 9 but 9 of their 10 wins this season have come in Trask Coliseum. NC Wilmington is 7-3 ATS at home this year and a solid 21-13 ATS here the past three seasons. With this being the final home game of the season we can see a strong effort from the host here. Keep in mind the Seahawks have beaten the Tribe here in 12 of the last 15 meetings at home. PLAY NC WILMINGTON |
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02-26-13 | Wake Forest v. Florida State -5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
538 Wake Forest at Florida State
Really tough spot here for the Demon Deacons after knocking off previously undefeated in conference Miami Florida. These two faced off on February 9th and Wake destroyed the Seminoles 71-46. So off that huge upset and with their own blowout revenge on deck against Maryland we may see the visitor take this Florida State team for granted. The Seminoles have beaten the Demon Deacons outright 8 of the last 12 meetings here. Florida State is not playing well right now but this is a chance for atonement. The number is about 2-3 points lower than we expected so there is plenty of value in the ugly host. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
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02-26-13 | Indiana v. Minnesota +6.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
518 Indiana at Minnesota
In our opinion there has been a major overreaction to how the Golden Gophers have struggled as of late. Losers of 8 of 11 Minnesota is being treated as if they are a lower tier team in the Big 10 Conference. But this is a statement game for Minnesota as they look to restart what was once a promising season. Minnesota has beaten Indiana outright here 9 of the last 12 meetings and they gave the Hoosiers a game earlier in Bloomington losing 88-81 as an 8 point road underdog. Minnesota was getting 8 points on the road now they are getting 6 points at home. That's too much of an adjustment. In the last two weeks both teams traveled to Ohio State with the Hoosiers closing a 1 point dog while the Golden Gophers were catching 6 points. With Minnesota off back to back double digit losses you know they will treat this game as a must win. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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02-24-13 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia Cavaliers -9.5 | 54-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
830 Georgia Tech at Virginia
Tech hasn't been anything special away from home the last 15 years and that hasn't changed this season. But the line is in this range because they did beat Wake Forest and Virginia Tech the last two times the Yellow Jackets hit the road. But that's about as far as this road streak goes as Virginia has revenge for an earlier 66-60 loss at GT. Virginia has been excellent at home this year cashing 11 of 13 and 25 of 37 the last three seasons. They are off back to back road losses which has been the Cavaliers downfall this season. Great at home and bad on the road has been the mantra of Virginia. But we expect a big bounce back here as the last two road losses followed by home games resulted in 29 1/2 and 14 point Virginia covers. This line is a bargain considering the home/road dichotomy of these two squads. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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02-23-13 | Ohio v. Belmont -6.5 | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
732 Ohio U at Belmont
Strictly a spot play here against the Bobcats who have this bracket buster contest right in the middle of a major winning run in MAC action. Ohio U has been on fire as of late and have a showdown for the divisional title on deck against Akron. A team that sits just one game ahead of Ohio U in the divisional standings. Also the only team that has beaten the Bobcats in conference play. In a league that will likely get just a single invite to the big dance the game on Wednesday has huge repercussions. Belmont has two middling teams left on the schedule after this contest and they know a victory here over a fellow 20+ win team could do wonders come postseason. They are 11-0 straight up at home and 6-2 ATS. This is a statement game for the host. PLAY BELMONT |
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02-23-13 | Georgetown v. Syracuse UNDER 124 | 57-46 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
550 Georgetown at Syracuse
Huge game in Big East action for these two teams who rely on defense as a staple of their game. We like to play these type of contests under the total as every possession is so meaningful for both teams and very often squads play very tight in this situation. It also helps us that the last time each of these two squads took the floor they put up peak offensive performances, Georgetown scoring 90 against DePaul and the Orange producing 84 vs Providence. When looking at how these teams do against good basketball teams in the second half of the season we see Georgetown going under 20 of 31 games the last three seasons and Syracuse doing so in 23 of 40 games during the same time span. We look for more of the same here. PLAY UNDER |
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02-20-13 | Colorado St v. UNLV UNDER 141.5 | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
788 Colorado State at UNLV
The Rams will run when playing teams with lesser talent but they slow the pace when taking on the upper half of the Mountain West Conference. Just take a look at recent play against New Mexico, UNLV and San Diego State. Total points scored of 127, 127 and 126. Colorado State is a team that rebounds the ball terrifically and makes you shoot the ball from distance in order to beat them. They are huge inside so the opposition doesn't get many easy baskets. All three of their main competitors in this conference lack shooting touch which is why the Rams are a major match-up problem. The Rebels just played its most intense game of the season against San Diego State and still didn't cover the spread in a 2 point home victory. Coach Fisher decided to run with the Rebels which falls right into the hands of the opposition. Colorado State won't make that same mistake. UNLV has really struggled as of late getting fast break points and it doesn't rebound well enough to get out on the break. We expect the Rams to dominate the glass and force the Rebels to shoot its way to victory. PLAY UNDER |
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02-18-13 | Notre Dame +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 51-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
703 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh
The Irish finally had a bit of a letdown last time out against Providence after back to back wins over DePaul and Louisville. That Cardinals game was the five overtime contest that would have taken the steam out of any team. Now after suffering a loss and with nine full days since that epic Louisville game we feel the Irish will be in a solid spot tonight at Pittsburgh. The Panthers are just 17-24 ATS the last three years at home and they continue to be overpriced in this building. Pitt laid 10 1/2 to Marquette and Connecticut here in the past few weeks, two teams with less of a record than the Irish. The Panthers failed to cover both of those games outscoring the opposition by just a single point. These two clubs have identical records overall and in conference. It's been proven that the home court value in this league is one of the lowest in college basketball. So why are we seeing a double digit spread here? History shows that these two clubs are evenly matched, in fact the Irish have cashed 15 of the last 22 meetings. This line is just too high as Pitt is being given way too much credit for playing at home. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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02-16-13 | San Diego St v. UNLV UNDER 136 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
646 San Diego State at UNLV
The first meeting this season saw 90 points being scored in the first half as our over play easily cashed in an 82-75 UNLV road victory. In watching that game it was clear that the Aztecs did not have the athletes to run with the Rebels. At halftime coach Fisher slowed down the pace and San Diego State got back into the game. Because of that we will switch course and look for San Diego State to slow the pace from the start as this game stays under the posted total. UNLV hasn't had a good offensive game since that matchup as the entire conference knows they can't let the Rebels run. Since that time UNLV's fast break points have been nonexistent as the opposition forces the Rebels to shoot from the outside. UNLV simply does not have the personnel to hit from deep and their best perimeter shooter was injured last time out at Air Force. San Diego State is known for getting up and down the court but Steve Fisher is too good a coach to fall into that situation again against these Rebels. Look for the Aztecs to play similarly to how they came out in the second half of the previous game. PLAY UNDER |
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02-16-13 | Colorado St v. Air Force +4 | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
552 Colorado State at Air Force
Both of these clubs made us money earlier in the week but now we have a nice overlay with a team staying under the national radar. Air Force is playing great ball right now and has cashed 6 of 7 lined games at home this season. This is the biggest rivalry in conference for the Flyboys and they are playing with 39 point revenge for a loss exactly one month ago to these Rams. Colorado State has had its way with Air Force as of late and they have this game sandwiched between San Diego State, UNLV and New Mexico. The Rams have solidified themselves as one of the top two teams in the league so the game means much more to the host. We feel the Falcons are staying under the radar of the betting markets and have a great shot of winning this outright. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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02-16-13 | Missouri v. Arkansas | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
560 Missouri at Arkansas
Missouri is now 66-88 ATS on the road since 1997. It is only 2-4 ATS in true road games this year but are off a huge 42 point blowout win at Mississippi State. While many will toss out history and see the Tigers as a team that solved its road woes we will back history and look for regression from the visitor. Missouri had lost the previous five games when taking to the road, twice in the road favorite role. Off that monumental victory and with embarrassing revenge on deck against Florida we can't see the Tigers coming fully focused here. Arkansas is a perfect 5-0 SU at home in SEC action including a victory over Florida, the team who beat Missouri by 31 points. Like Missouri the Razorbacks are a much better team when playing at home and they too are off a confidence building victory on the road. We prefer Arkansas here to continue its home dominance against a Missouri team that isn't used to road success. PLAY ARKANSAS |
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02-14-13 | Northwestern v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
514 Northwestern at Ohio State
The Wildcats become thiner and thiner as the weeks pass as injuries have taken a toll on this team. Northwestern has been easy pickings as of late on the road and they don't have the athletes here to keep this respectable. Ohio State is off back to back losses which is a major rarity in Columbus. Off Michigan and Indiana with Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan State on deck the Buckeyes have the ability to take out some frustrations here. Ohio State pounded the Wildcats in this building a season ago, we look for a repeat performance. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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02-13-13 | San Diego St v. Colorado St -5.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
810 San Diego State at Colorado State
This is a statement game for the Rams who lost in overtime at San Diego State in the first meeting of the season. Considered to be a bubble team, a home win over the Aztecs could go a long way in helping its cause. In the last 11 games the Rams have two losses, both on the road at San Diego State and New Mexico. Both of those contests went down to the wire which shows you just how good this Colorado State team is. San Diego State just played the four weakest teams on the road in Mountain West Conference action. In those games the Aztecs split while covering just once. Now in a step up game we feel San Diego State will have a very hard time against this Colorado State zone defense. The Rams are the better team and they get the win and cover here. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
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02-13-13 | North Carolina v. Duke -11 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
800 North Carolina at Duke
Tar Heel road losses have been to Miami by 26, NC State by 8, Virginia by 9, Texas by 18 and Indiana by 34. Its only quality road win was at Florida State by 5. North Carolina is 1-4 SU & ATS as a road dog losing by 12.4 ppg. Duke's only losses came at Miami and at NC State, in those games the opponents shot 47.4 and 50% from 3 point range. Duke is 12-0 SU & 6-6 ATS at home winning by 21.2 ppg. Its closest win in conference play was 10 points. Simply put Duke is a legitimate national championship contender while North Carolina could be the most overrated team in the country. PLAY DUKE |
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02-13-13 | UNLV v. Air Force +3 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
806 UNLV at Air Force
The Rebels are not a team we are looking to back when on the road. This is a team that seems to be in every game and yet finds a way to lose. With the line in this range its likely to come down to the wire and the Rebels will find a way to give this game away. For some reason Coach Rice doesn't use his teams athleticism in pressuring the ball. Because of this UNLV doesn't get any easy baskets and they are not a good shooting team. Air Force took UNLV to overtime in an earlier matchup but the Rebels were in a bad scheduling situation at the time. But since that game the Falcons have improved and the Rebels have drastically regressed. While UNLV is off a huge win over New Mexico the spot screamed Rebels who were off back to back losses. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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02-10-13 | Drake v. Evansville -7.5 | Top | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
836 Drake at Evansville
The Bulldogs knocked off the Purple Aces as a small home dog in the first meeting. That game occurred right after Evansville pulled off two outright upsets of their own against Wichita State and Northern Iowa. But now the tables have turned somewhat as Drake enters play after winning 2 of 3 games including an outright road win at Southern Illinois. Evansville on the other hand has dropped two straight at Missouri State and Bradley. This is a big game for the host who have lost four straight in this series, all by 9 points or better. After two straight losses this becomes a statement game for the Purple Aces. Drake is allowing 75.3 points per game on 47% shooting in true road games this season. Evansville is 11-2 straight up at home and they own the horses here. It's payback time in Evansville Arena. PLAY EVANSVILLE Top Opinions: Denver/Boston Over Oklahoma City Team Points Over |
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02-09-13 | West Virginia -7 v. Texas Christian | 63-50 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
571 West Virginia at TCU
The Mountaineers are playing better ball as of late on the road cashing 3 of 4 in conference action including outright victories over Texas Tech and Texas along with a two point defeat at Iowa State. West Virginia whipped the Horned Frogs by 21 earlier this year in conference play. TCU is off that incredible upset of Kansas as a 17 point underdog, but this has traditionally been one of the weakest home courts in college basketball. This year the Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS here and since 1997 they are only 74-110 ATS in this building. Before that Kansas shocker TCU had dropped eight straight games. We look for those losing ways to continue as West Virginia has it's way on Saturday. PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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02-09-13 | Northeastern v. Old Dominion +4.5 | 79-74 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
576 Northeastern at Old Dominion
Northeastern sits alone atop the Colonial Conference standings with an impressive 10-1 record. The Huskies are in the middle of three straight games against the lower half of the league standings. But while this team has been cruising this year it has had a hard time winning in this building. The Monarchs are 4-1 SU hosting the Huskies and have swept the last two meetings regardless of venue. We rode Old Dominion last time out after the coaching change and were awarded with a nice 24 point cover over Drexel. We still feel the Monarchs are undervalued. It's also telling that the line is two points lower than it was three days ago when Northeastern traveled to Hofstra, a team with a better record than Old Dominion. The betting markets are seeing a team who's talent exceeded the prior head coach and is a squad that's under the radar. And we firmly agree. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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02-07-13 | Old Dominion +12.5 v. Drexel | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
511 Old Dominion at Drexel
The Monarchs have a rich tradition in basketball but as of late it has been tarnished by poor play and questionable decisions from the coaching staff. The latter situation has been rectified with the firing of the head coach earlier this week. Traditionally changes at the top bring better play at least in the short run and that's exactly what we expect from Old Dominion here. Drexel is just 2-10 ATS when favored this year and the Dragons only own one victory all season by more than this spread. The home court hasn't been impressive and we just don't see Drexel being such a large favorite when looking strictly at talent. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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02-06-13 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -4.5 | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
750 Minnesota at Michigan State
Minnesota has been questionable on the road this year and their ability to out-board opponents will be put to the test tonight. Michigan State owns a double digit rebounding edge in home games and they owe the Golden Gophers from a 76-63 loss earlier at Minnesota. The Spartans are 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS hosting Minnesota. With plenty of time to prepare we expect Tom Izzo and crew to make a statement. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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02-05-13 | South Carolina +18 v. Kentucky | 55-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
539 South Carolina at Kentucky
The Gamecocks are still trying to regroup after a 39 point loss at Florida the last time they took to the road. But before that South Carolina performed pretty well on enemy hardwood. An outright victory at LSU and 4 and 6 point losses at Mississippi State and Missouri. Off a double digit home loss to Georgia the Gamecocks are a team that the public has given up on, which gives us extreme value. Kentucky on the other hand is a team that has won 5 of 6 and is a play on club in the minds of many. The Wildcats are extremely young and in the layman's eyes are a team about to mature. But we have questions about this squad which is overrated in our eyes off the past few Kentucky units. At just 2-6 in conference ATS the rest of the league knows it's payback time for the beatings each team has taken in prior years. Nobody knows about that more than these Gamecocks who have lost the past three battles by margins of 34, 15 and 39 points. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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02-02-13 | Nevada v. New Mexico -13 | 62-75 | Push | 0 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
648 Nevada at New Mexico
The Wolfpack are coming off a game against hated rival UNLV and now must travel to the toughest venue in the Mountain West in The Pit. Nevada doesn't defend well enough to beat a team of this caliber on the road and the points are in the same range as last game at UNLV. In our ratings we have the Lobos a couple points higher than the Rebels who have regressed in our opinion as of late. New Mexico has feasted on the lower half of the conference with wins and covers over Wyoming, Fresno State and Boise State. New Mexico beat Fresno State by 27 on this court and the Bulldogs aren't a whole lot worse than this Nevada team. After facing Colorado State, San Diego State and a trip to Laramie to face the Cowboys this is a major step down for the host. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
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02-02-13 | St. Johns +8 v. Georgetown | Top | 56-68 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
587 St Johns at Georgetown
The young Red Storm was overwhelmed by the Hoyas by 16 at home in mid-January but since that time this talented young team has been on the upswing. Five straight victories and four covers since that embarrassing loss including outright road wins at DePaul and Rutgers. St Johns is 4-2 ATS in true road games this year and they have been a money maker all season cashing 67% of the time regardless of venue. Georgetown is a very good defensive team and the last time these two tangles just 118 points were scored. Laying this type of number in a likely low scoring affair isn't something we cherish when backing the Hoyas. Look for this game to be decided late as the Red Storm take this to the wire. PLAY ST JOHNS |
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02-02-13 | Clemson v. Boston College +1 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
530 Clemson at Boston College
The Tigers are off back to back wins and four straight games in which the outcome was decided in the final minute. At 0-3 SU on the conference road we can't buy into the Tigers here in a building they lost at a season ago. Averaging just 53 points on the road this year in league play, Clemson can't be trusted with such a young cast. Boston College is just as green as Clemson but we would rather trust the Golden Eagles at home. Young teams play much better in their own backyard than on foreign territory. Off five straight losses we will back the host with two very young squads. PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE |
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01-30-13 | Kent State -7 v. Northern Illinois | 65-67 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
775 Kent St at Northern Illinois
Many will look to back the Huskies off an embarrassing 25 point output on Saturday against Eastern Michigan. There has to be value on a team after a performance like that they reason. But the truth of the matter is that this is a team that had scored just 34 points against Western Michigan two games before that. Northern Illinois had a great season on the gridiron but on the hardwood this team is really outclassed. They will have no home court advantage tonight and will be facing an angry foe. Kent State enters this contest having dropped three straight, but they are a far better team on the road than at home. The Golden Flashes have won 3 of the last 4 road contests by double digits. And they have owned the Huskies winning 8 of the last 9 meetings including a 34 point victory in their last meeting. Kent is the much better team with something to prove against a squad they have dominated. The home court certainly won't help the Huskies here. PLAY KENT STATE |
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01-26-13 | North Carolina +5 v. NC State | 83-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
643 North Carolina at NC State
The Tar Heels are playing its best ball of the season with three straight wins heading into this in-state rivalry. They have dominated the Wolfpack over the years winning 12 of 15 in this building and five straight overall in the series. While this game means more to the host and a win here could be a statement game, we are not sure the Wolfpack is the better team at this point of the season. Let's take a look a recent conference play. NC State beat Georgia Tech at home by 13, North Carolina beat the Yellow Jackets at home by 16. NC State lost at Maryland outright while the Tar Heels beat the Terrapins by double digits at home. The signature game for NC State this year was a 84-76 home upset of Duke, but after what has transpired for the Blue Demons this week, was this victory really that impressive? Duke simply isn't the same team without its best player. North Carolina has been favored by 6 or more points in each of the last five meetings. While the Tar Heels aren't as strong as in the past there isn't an 11 point differential from previous editions. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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