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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-19 | Duke -8 v. Louisville | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
637 Duke at Louisville With the Blue Devils off the big win at Virginia many will feel that this will be a letdown spot for Coach K’s squad. But the matchup clearly favors the road team. Louisville lives and dies by the three point shot, attempting 43.3% of its shots from long distance. But that plays directly into the Duke defense which only permits 33.8% of attempts from that area and just a 29.5% success rate. Duke takes 43.4% of its shots at the rim, which is much more predictable for success. PLAY DUKE |
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02-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -3.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
830 Cincinnati at Houston Huge matchup in the American Conference on Sunday. 20-3 Cincinnati, the first place team, heads to Texas to take on the Houston Cougars. Interesting matchup as the Bearcats are more than willing to let opponents shoot from behind the arc. Cincinnati is allowing opponents to take 44.3% of its shots from long range. Houston on the other hand takes 43.9% of its shots from downtown. That should mean many chances for three pointers from the host. The Bearcats shoot way to many midrange shots, 35.6% from that low percentage area. Houston’s defense forces opponents to take 29.5% from that part of the court, allowing just 30.4% accuracy. In this perimeter game we favor the host who is attempting to break the conference first place tie with the Bearcats. PLAY HOUSTON |
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02-09-19 | Long Beach State v. Cal Poly +3.5 | 76-68 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
758 Long Beach State at Cal Poly A down year for the 49ers is looking worse by the day as Long Beach brings a six game losing streak into this contest. This is a team that is 1-10 straight up on the road this season, and yet is favored here. Cal Poly forces opponents to attempt 29.1% of attempts from midrange, while for some reason Long Beach State takes a whopping 41.1% of its shots from that low efficiency area. That in itself tells us all about the wrong team being favored here. PLAY CAL POLY |
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02-09-19 | Utah +4 v. UCLA | Top | 93-92 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
685 Utah at UCLA The Utes have won four of five on the road as of late, with the lone loss coming by just three points at Arizona. UCLA has dropped five of seven overall, and four of seven here at home. Utah takes 45.4% of its shots from downtown, and UCLA allows 41.3% of opponent shots from that area. So the Utes should get plenty of good looks from its favorite spot on the floor. UCLA prefers taking shots at the rim, attempting 44.5% of its shots in that range. But Utah forces opponents out of that area, permitting just 31.9% attempts close to the basket. PLAY UTAH |
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02-09-19 | Dayton +2 v. Rhode Island | 77-48 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
679 Dayton at Rhode Island Flyers have only lost three road games this entire season, but the third came last time out at St Louis. In that game Dayton was held to a conference low in scoring in a 73-60 defeat. Rhode Island has dropped three of four as of late with the lone win coming against that same St Louis team. Dayton allows the opposition to shoot 42.9% of its shots behind the arc, but the Rams shoot a terrible 26.3% from that distance. The Flyers also force the opposition into attempting 29.5% of opponents shots from the least efficient area of midrange. Dayton itself shoots an excellent 73.9% at the rim while Rhode Island allows opponents to attempt 40.2% of its shots from that area. Very good matchup for the Flyers. PLAY DAYTON |
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02-09-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cleveland State | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
658 Wisconsin Milwaukee at Cleveland State Two teams with disappointing seasons playing out the conference string. This is the fifth straight road game for the Panthers, who have dropped five straight away from home. Milwaukee permits a whopping 45.5% of opponents shots to be taken from beyond the arc, while that plays right into the Vikings hands at home. Cleveland State takes 43.9% of its shots from downtown. Milwaukee also takes 29.2% of its shots from midrange, while only forcing the opposition to take 20.5% from that poor shooting area. PLAY CLEVELAND STATE |
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02-09-19 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. Clemson | 51-59 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
607 Virginia Tech at Clemson Tech off a rare home loss as Louisville beat them 72-64 on Monday. That’s the only home defeat for the Hokies this year. This is a very good matchup for the visitor as Virginia Tech forces the opposition to beat them from deep, something the Tigers haven’t fared well in doing. Opponents take 49.3% of all shots against the Hokies from 3 point range, but Clemson shoots just 32.2% from behind the arc. Clemson does shoot well from the paint at 64.7% but the Hokies only permit 28.2% of opponent shots to come from that range. PLAY VIRGINIA TECH |
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02-05-19 | Michigan State -10 v. Illinois | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
603 Michigan State at Illinois Short and sweet the Spartans have been excellent coming off of a loss. Now 61% ats after a defeat and the same 61% off back to back losses. This team has much more talent than the Illini, and the host's home court value is weak. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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02-01-19 | Yale +1.5 v. Harvard | Top | 49-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
857 Yale at Harvard Yale has won 11 of 12 as of late with the only loss coming on the road at Duke. The visitor should dominate at the rim shooting 67.7% on 40.2% of the teams shots. Harvard permits 95% shooting on dunks, and Yale averages 10.7% of their shots taken at that spot. Yale defends the 3 very well allowing only 31% shooting from long range, while Harvard takes a whopping 42.6% of its shots from downtown. PLAY YALE |
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01-31-19 | Connecticut v. UCF -7 | 67-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
638 Connecticut at Central Florida This is not a good matchup for the Huskies. It lost at home to the Golden Knights 65-53 earlier in January. The problem for the visitor here is It has major problems stopping the opposition down low. UConn permits 8.9% of opponents shots on dunks, and 42.2% of opponents shots at the rim. UCF on the other hand feasts down low with 13.3% of shots being dunks, and limiting opponents to shooting just 51.5% at the rim. Unless the Huskies dominate from behind the arc, in which UCF allows only 32.1%, the host should run right buy this line with plenty of time to spare. PLAY CENTRAL FLORIDA |
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01-30-19 | Illinois v. Minnesota -6 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
822 Illinois at Minnesota The Fighting Illini spanked the Gophers at home 95-68 two weeks ago. That’s one of two wins for Illinois in the past nine games. Minnesota is 11-1 straight up at home on the season. The host has a huge edge at the rim, attempting 42.8% of its shots there, while Illinois allows 66.3% from the field in that area. The Gophers force the opposition to shoot 29.8% of its shots in a low efficiency area of the court, and the Illini only shoot 30.5% from the area in front of the arc and outside the paint.Minnesota gains its revenge in a big way here. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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01-29-19 | Nevada -9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 87-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
639 Nevada at UNLV The Rebels just aren’t a good basketball team. The only reason it has gotten off to a decent start is because UNLV played the worst teams early in the schedule. This is a team that allows opponents to take 40.3% of its shots at the rim. Nevada shoots 67% at the rim on the season, so the Wolfpack should get any shot near the basket it wants. Nevada permits 41.7% of opponent shots behind the arc, but UNLV isn’t that accurate from long distance. We would much rather have a team that can dominate inside, as opposed to a team that would need a hot game from distance to be competitive. This is also a major revenge game for the Wolfpack who lost to the Rebels in a college football upset this year. PLAY NEVADA |
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01-28-19 | Duke -14 v. Notre Dame | Top | 83-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
851 Duke at Notre Dame Irish have dropped four straight and 6 of 7 as it hosts the most talented team in the country. This is a terrible matchup for Notre Dame who attempts 44.4% of its shots behind the arc. Duke holds the opposition to just 28.9% accuracy from downtown. Duke on the other hand takes 16.6% of its attempts on dunks and 44.3% overall at the rim. Once again, bad matchup for the Irish. PLAY DUKE |
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01-27-19 | Washington State v. Oregon OVER 144 | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
839 Washington State at Oregon We expect this one to be a shootout. The Cougars have permitted 90, 88, 92 and 85 points on the road the past four games, all in conference. Oregon is coming off its second lowest offensive output of the season. The Cougars shoot 43.9% on its shots from behind the arc, while Oregon allows teams to take 47% of its shots from 3 point land. That means long shot attempts a plenty for Washington State. Neither team forces opponents to shoot between the rim and the arc, which traditionally is the least effective offensive shots. Therefore both teams will be able to attack the basket and dish to waiting 3 point shooters. PLAY OVER |
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01-27-19 | Iona v. Fairfield +1.5 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
842 Iona at Fairfield Terrible spot for the Gaels who were good to us last time out against Rider. Iona is only 1-7 straight up on the road this season and now has been installed as a slight favorite. Fairfield has lost four straight games, and are on the road for three more games after this one. This should be an all in game for the host. Fairfield is a terrible shooting team from the dead range at just 24.3% away from the rim and inside the arc. But the Gaels don’t force the opposition to shoot from that range. In fact, Fairfield is a better shooting team everywhere else. Because of the importance of getting this win we will back the host Stags. PLAY FAIRFIELD |
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01-26-19 | UC-Santa Barbara -2 v. Long Beach State | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
753 Cal Santa Barbara at Long Beach State The Gauchos are 14-4 overall on the season, and have won by 56, 10, and 19 points after its first three losses. UCSB dropped an embarrassing 81-60 contest at Fullerton State last time out. Long Beach State has dropped two straight and has really struggled defensively as of late. In the past four games the 49ers have permitted 86, 92, 70 and 77 points. This team allows 37.5% of its shots at the rim. Opponents are making a whopping 62.4% from that short range. UCSB has feasted in that area with 63.2% field goals from around the rim. PLAY CAL SANTA BARBARA |
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01-26-19 | Charlotte +5 v. UTEP | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
751 Charlotte at UTEP Simply don’t trust this Miners squad laying points. This team has a severe lack of depth as seven players average at least 52% of the playing time minutes. This is also a team that take too many bad shots, as 37.2% of its offense comes from the dead zone. This team has also lost 6 of 7 straight up heading into this contest. The lone victory came by a single point. Charlotte is nothing to write home about, losing 12 of 15 overall. But this club has played better as of late with two wins in its last fiver games. Only one of those losses was by more than six points. Off a 45 point blowout loss to Texas San Antonio, no body wants these 49ers. That gives us great point spread value. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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01-26-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International -4.5 | 89-72 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
716 Florida Atlantic at Florida International Quick rematch for the Owls who just lost to FIU 78-74 on Wednesday. That’s four straight losses for Florida Atlantic, a team that just doesn’t have the talent to take easy shots. Just 25.4% of its shots is in the paint, while 29.5% are from the dead, zone, long two pointers. FIU on the other hand leads the country with just 8.2% of its shots coming from outside the paint, and inside the arc. We much prefer the FIU game than that of its in-state opponent. And the line is very favorable. PLAY FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL |
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01-26-19 | Marshall +1 v. Southern Miss | Top | 51-101 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
687 Marshall at Southern Miss The Thundering Herd takes much better percentage shots than its opponent today. 10.9% ducks, 38.9% at the rim and 42.3% from downtown. The Golden Eagles by comparison shoot 36.5% from what I consider the dead zone, long two point tries. That provides a huge efficiency edge for Marshall who is off back to back road losses to Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech. Southern Miss only has two wins over the Top 160 rated squads, and its most impressive win came in game two against SMU. PLAY MARSHALL |
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01-26-19 | Oakland v. Illinois-Chicago -4 | 80-67 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
684 Oakland at Illinois Chicago The Golden Grizzlies attempt 45.8% of shots from downtown, but the team just doesn’t take the ball to the basket. That’s a tough combination when playing on the road. Oakland is 4-7 SU on the road but just two of those victories came by more than two points. Illinois Chicago was good to us Thursday against Detroit, and we have no problem riding the Flames once again. This team is 8-2 SU at home this year, and has excellent offensive efficiency. Shooting just 14.5% of its shots from outside the rim and inside the three point line. PLAY ILLINOIS CHICAGO |
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01-26-19 | Hofstra -9.5 v. Towson | 84-61 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
629 Hofstra at Towson Want no part of Towson here who can’t get to the rim and doesn’t shoot enough from long range. Just 1.5% of its shots are dunks, while attempting just 29.1% of shots from three point range. The Tigers are coming off back to back wins, but dropped six straight before that. This team is just 3-4 at home this season, dropping 3 of the last 4. Hofstra has won 15 straight games, including six straight away from home. PLAY HOFSTRA |
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01-26-19 | VMI v. The Citadel -8 | 82-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
768 VMI at The Citadel The Keydets allow 37.5% success behind the arc. That’s a tough way to make a living, especially on the road. With The Citadel taking a whopping 54.1% of its shot from downtown, this could really be problematic for the road team. The Citadel is very efficient offensively shooting just 12.9% of its shots between the rim and the three point line. It’s the worst efficient shot on the basketball court. VMI is 1-9 straight up on the road this season, mainly because its so hard to win away from home when the opposition kills you from behind the arc. PLAY THE CITADEL |
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01-25-19 | Buffalo -8 v. Kent State | Top | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
853 Buffalo at Kent State Bulls coming in off a loss to Northern Illinois 77-75. Both of Buffalo’s losses this season have come on the road. While this team hasn’t looked quite as good since conference season started, there is now value on this clear MAC favorite. This team is fourth in the country in attempted shots from outside the paint and inside the arc, the lowest efficiency area on the court. Kent State is having a terrific season as well, but this is a step up game for the Golden Flashes. Kent’s adjusted defensive efficiency is the key here with a 106.0 as opposed to the Bulls defense of 95.2. Should be a good game to watch, but the Bulls have the much better talent. PLAY BUFFALO |
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01-24-19 | Tulsa +14 v. Cincinnati | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
623 Tulsa at Cincinnati The Golden Hurricane led the Bearcats by 6 points with just 1:16 left in the earlier meeting. Cincinnati stormed back and beat Tulsa 70-65 in overtime. Tulsa averages 40.7% of its shots in the paint vs the Bearcats 31.6%. What we really don’t like is that Cincinnati shoots way too many mid-range shots with 36.8% of its attempts coming outside the rim and inside the arc. Those shots are the lowest efficiency shots. Much prefer the visitor in a revenge setting. PLAY TULSA |
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01-21-19 | Virginia Tech +5 v. North Carolina | 82-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
855 Virginia Tech at North Carolina Huge pace dichotomy here as the Hokies are slow as possible and the Tar Heels want to run. Virginia Tech is excellent in the half court while North Carolina prefers easy baskets. The host doesn’t shoot a lot of threes and the visitor is very good at preventing points in the paint. The matchup favors the road dog here and the price is favorable. PLAY VIRGINIA TECH |
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01-19-19 | Southern Miss v. Old Dominion UNDER 124 | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
662 Southern Miss at Old Dominion Very low total here for a reason. Old Dominion limits opponents to just 44.9% effective shooting. Overall 6 of the last 8 home games have stayed under the total. Southern Miss is a high scoring team on the home, but when traveling the Golden Eagles can’t keep up the same pace. This team has posted a 1-4-1 under mark as of late away from home. The lines maker can only post total so low, and we feel these teams will struggle to reach 120. Plenty of value on the under. PLAY UNDER |
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01-18-19 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 143.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
860 Ohio U at Toledo These teams had much better offensive efficiency numbers a year ago and the pace ratings were higher. In the last time these clubs met a season ago 156 points were scored. But this is a different year especially for the Bobcats who simply struggle putting the ball in the hoop. Because of that Ohio has slowed the pace down while waiting til 19 seconds of the possession has gone off before averaging a shot attempt. That slow pace should keep them competitive here. Toledo played very fast in non-conference action, but has slowed the pace considerably in MAC play. We look for this game to stay under the posted total. PLAY UNDER |
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01-17-19 | Michigan State v. Nebraska UNDER 147 | Top | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
634 Michigan State at Nebraska Spartans a bit short handed tonight in what is considered a playoff type of game for the Huskers. Michigan State has been a big offensive scoring team by getting out on the break, but that success was in non-conference play. Now in Big Ten action these teams know what to expect from the Spartans. Therefore we expect a more physical lower scoring game. Nebraska can’t beat this team by trying to outscore them, the Huskers need to slow the pace and be physical in a show me type of game. PLAY UNDER |
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01-14-19 | Syracuse v. Duke -17 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
868 Syracuse at Duke The Orangemen have faltered when stepping up in class, playing a very weak overall schedule coming into league play. This is just the third true road game for Syracuse. We rate Duke three points better than any other team as of right now, and we catch them off a tooth and nail last minute come from behind victory over Florida State. That was the wakeup call the Blue Devils needed. The last time this team was in a battle was an 89-87 loss to Gonzaga, which was followed by a 21 point win over Indiana. We look for a big bounce back from the Blue Devils tonight. PLAY DUKE |
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01-10-19 | Green Bay v. Detroit +1.5 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
614 Green Bay at Detroit Wrong team favored here as we find a Detroit team that’s in the top 10 in three point attempts, taking on an opponent ranked in the 300s in three point defense. Green Bay has a winning record but have played poorly on the road with just two wins against the 273rd and 295th ranked teams. Detroit should be favored here and the Titans will played the preferred slow tempo. PLAY DETROIT |
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01-08-19 | Akron -1.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 86-88 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
607 Akron at Central Michigan The Zips have been a consistent frontrunner in MAC basketball for years now, making the postseason tournaments on a regular basis. This is the type of team we are looking to back in a near pick ‘em road contest. Central Michigan has an impressive record, but that has come against the 348th toughest schedule in the country. The Chips haven’t shown up very often when stepping up in class, and this will be a very tough spot for the host. With Central having what seems to be an impressive record, we are getting a great deal on the number here. PLAY AKRON |
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01-06-19 | Memphis v. Houston -8 | Top | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
824 Memphis at Houston The Tigers are one of the fastest paced teams in college basketball, which is great when playing at home in front of its home crowd. Pace doesn’t work so well on the road, especially when the more talented team is the host. Memphis has only played one true road game this season. Houston has the defense to dictate the pace and make the Tigers fight for points. PLAY HOUSTON |
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12-17-18 | Rider +3 v. Washington State | 80-94 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
777 Rider at Washington State We feel the opener of Rider being the slight favorite was the correct line, as Washington State has played the easiest schedule in the country. This Cougar team ranks 256th in defensive efficiency, which is really bad when playing such poor opposition. Rider is by far the best team in its conference, and is thrilled to be taking on a PAC 12 team on the road. Both teams prefer the fast pace but Rider has the better overall talent. This team has already played at Central Florida and West Virginia, so it won’t be intimidated here. PLAY RIDER |
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12-11-18 | Colorado v. New Mexico +5 | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
606 Colorado at New Mexico Great spot to take the Lobos is one of the strongest home courts in college basketball. It also helps that this team was beaten by a combined 60 points in its last two games. It’s also a huge game for the host as power five teams rarely travel to The Pit. If Manigault plays this line is an exceptional bargain, regardless we like the host. Colorado is 7-1 on the season, but six of those games came at home. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
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11-27-18 | Nevada v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 150 | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
524 Nevada at Loyola Chicago Sweet 16 rematch as the Wolfpack to look avenge its season at the hands of the host. But the teams are a bit different this year as the Ramblers don’t have the offense of a year ago. Therefore we look for the host to milk the clock more than the last meeting. This total is six points higher than that contest, yet the offenses aren’t quite as good. Let’s look for a low scoring affair. PLAY UNDER |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
812 Loyola Chicago & Michigan Heard some quotes from other coaches who made the final four as surprise teams. They all said that the situation is totally different from anything these teams have seen in the past. Because of all the hoopla all the timing of a regular season game goes out the window. Not enough time for a normal shoot around, in and out of the locker room in less time than normal, stadium views as opposed to regular 20,000 seat or less dimensions. Loyola will be going through that for the first time today, while the other three teams have been through it before. On the court Michigan has the athletes to really give the Ramblers trouble. This will be the first time in the tournament in which Loyola will be at a defensive disadvantage. PLAY MICHIGAN |
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03-25-18 | Duke -3 v. Kansas | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
721 Duke & Kansas The Blue Devils have been the best team in the country since going to a zone defense midway through the season. Duke has now held 12 straight teams to under 75 points. Duke allows just 46.2% effective field goals on the season. This team always recruits deadly shooters, and now with the team buying into the defensive end this team is extremely tough to beat. Kansas has won 11 of 12 heading into this contest, with the lone loss coming against Oklahoma State. But Penn, Seton Hall and Clemson has been one of the easiest roads in the tourney. We expect this line to climb, therefore lets lock in this number now on what we consider the clearly better team. PLAY DUKE |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech +6.5 v. Villanova | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
719 Texas Tech & Villanova Sharp books are trending toward the underdog here and we fully agree. Tech has one of the best effective field goal defenses in the country at 46.7%, and Villanova has been shooting unworldly in the tournament as of late. Since the Big 12 Tournament nobody has surpassed 69 points on this team. Villanova was able to shoot over the West Virginia press, but we can’t expect those type of numbers again here. This line is just too high. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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03-24-18 | Florida State +4 v. Michigan | Top | 54-58 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
515 Florida State & Michigan Smart money is on the Seminoles as the sharper books are lowering the number. We fully agree with that assessment. We only have these teams ranked 16 places apart in our power ratings, not nearly the difference to have a line this high. Florida State has played the better defense and faced a tougher schedule of Missouri, Xavier and Gonzaga. Michigan is coming off a blowout win over Texas A&M where the team just couldn’t miss from the field. That result has pushed this line up at least two points from where it deserves to be. Another reason for the inflated line is that the Wolverines are on a 12 game winning streak. Handicapping 101 tells you that you lose value on a streaking team as others blindly play on a hot squad. Right now 71% of the bets have come in on the favorite, yet the line is dropping. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
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03-23-18 | Syracuse v. Duke UNDER 132.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
876 Syracuse & Duke This is a very bad matchup for the Orangemen. Here we have two zone defenses with Duke switching to the zone half way through the season. In order to beat the zone you need to penetrate and dish. That would mean the ability to hit 3 point shots. Unfortunately for Syracuse the team has the worst 3 point shooting out of the Sweet 16 entrants at 31.7%. Duke only allows 31.9% from behind the arc. The Orange are also the slowest paced team, so it will take as much time as possible to take a shot. Syracuse does a nice job from distance defensively allowing just 32.1% shooting. The total in this game is on the low side, but it’s not low enough. These teams met in late February and Duke won 60-44. We expect another similar score here. PLAY UNDER |
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03-22-18 | Kansas State +6 v. Kentucky | Top | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
813 Kansas State & Kentucky Many will overlook K State here based on facing Creighton and Maryland Baltimore County in the first two rounds. But this defense has been very good as of late with only Kansas and Oklahoma surpassing 67 points over the past five weeks. Kentucky enters this game having won 9 of 10 with the only loss coming at Florida. These Wildcats are peaking at tourney time which is a staple of this program. But wins over Davidson and Buffalo haven’t changed our minds on this squad. Kentucky has underperformed all year as opposed to prior editions, and we can’t see this team being a contender. With what is considered an easy slate to the final four we can see these young players buying into all the hype, taking these fellows Wildcats for granted. PLAY KANSAS STATE |
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03-18-18 | Florida State v. Xavier -5.5 | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
720 Florida State & Xavier The Seminoles have staggered into the tournament having lost 6 of 11 games including the opening round win over Missouri. Three of those losses were to teams who didn’t make the Big Dance. Xavier only lost five games on the season, all to teams making the Big Dance. That includes two losses to Villanova and Providence. Better team with a cheap line. PLAY XAVIER |
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03-17-18 | Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
538 Buffalo and Kentucky As much as we like the Bulls, and we had them in the opening round, the price is too cheap not to take the Wildcats here. The MAC has been terrible in the postseason whether it’s football or basketball. The teams just don’t match up to higher athletic teams. While Arizona struggled down the stretch of the season, the Wildcats are peaking at the right time. PLAY KENTUCKY |
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03-16-18 | Georgia State +14 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 48 m | Show |
881 Georgia State and Cincinnati The Panthers are a tough matchup for the Bearcats with their excellent zone defense. Georgia State allows an effective field goal percentage of 47.1%. Cincinnati struggles offensively when facing a zone. The Bearcats just played three games in three days with every contest being decided by 10 points or less. In 3 of the last 4 contests Cincinnati scored 62 points or less. Tough to lay this type of number in what is expected to be a low scoring contest. PLAY GEORGIA STATE |
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03-16-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Purdue -20.5 | 48-74 | Win | 100 | 96 h 6 m | Show | |
874 CS Fullerton and Purdue The Titans major problem here is that it can’t defend from behind the arc, which is what Purdue does best offensively. This team posted a solid 20-11 record but only outscored the opposition by a single point a game. Because of the Big 10 playing its tournament early at Madison Square Garden, Purdue will have 11 days off before this contest. Will the team be rusty or refreshed? We feel the extra rest will be a benefit after playing in the physical Big 10 conference. Purdue had a 15.5 scoring advantage on the season and had no problem running up scores in non-conference action. PLAY PURDUE |
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03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +3.5 v. LSU | 76-84 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
615 UL Lafayette at LSU Rare opportunity for an in-state school to face the big boys in a tournament contest. With LSU having a disappointing season, we can see a good amount of this crowd cheering for the Rain Cajuns. Lafayette is 27-6 on the season and have a 4.2% effective field goal edge on the year. The Tigers lost to five teams who didn’t make the tournament. We can see this coming down to the final possession with he visitor cashing the ticket. PLAY UL LAFAYETTE |
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03-13-18 | Long Island +6 v. Radford | Top | 61-71 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
543 LIU Brooklyn and Radford The Blackbirds of Brooklyn enter the dance with just an 18-16 record. But it ended the season and the conference tourney by winning 12 of 17. Only one of the losses was by double digits, so even in defeat this team was competitive. The Radford Highlanders have the better 22-12 record but the team actually allows a higher effective field percentage than it generates itself, 49.5% to 49.4%. Brooklyn on the other hand has a 52.3% to 50% advantage. Radford doesn’t deserve to be this type of favorite tonight. PLAY LIU BROOKLYN |
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03-10-18 | Toledo v. Buffalo -6.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
538 Toledo and Buffalo The Bulls are on a terrific run right now establishing themselves as the clear best team in this conference. Can’t see any way to go against this club right now, especially knowing Toledo’s best player will likely miss this contest. Even if Fletcher goes for the Rockets, he will be severely hampered. Something the run and gun Bulls can exploit. PLAY BUFFALO |
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03-09-18 | Clemson v. Virginia UNDER 117 | 58-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
866 Clemson at Virginia Coming off a 90-82 win over Boston College the Tigers would likely have to play eight quarters against this Virginia defense to reach that number. In the prior meeting the Cavaliers defense completely shut down this team in winning 61-36. In the last month Clemson has been held to 57 against Duke, 58 against Virginia Tech and 52 against Syracuse. The Cavaliers are allowing an opponent effective field goal percent of just 43.5% on the season. Even in victory this team doesn’t put up a lot of points. Only reaching 69 points or better twice in 17 games. We look for another offensive grinder here with this game barely reaching triple digits. PLAY UNDER |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2 v. Virginia Tech | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
579 Notre Dame and Virginia Tech The Irish seemed to have sleepwalked through its game against the lowly Pitt Panthers yesterday. While it could be forgiven, this team just doesn’t have the justification to take anyone for granted. Because of lackluster play and injuries to key players, this team needs at least one more win to make the big dance. The Irish are the better team here and will look to avenge an earlier home loss to the Hokies. VT is already set for the tournament while Notre Dame needs this one. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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03-07-18 | Air Force +9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
591 Air Force at UNLV The Falcons have played much better ball as of late and this is always a tough team to beat this time of season. UNLV has been a major disappointment and despite playing at home we can’t see this team winning by a margin. Throw in the fact that this is an early start on a weekday, coupled with apathy from the home fans, and there will be little to no home court advantage. AIR FORCE |
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03-06-18 | South Dakota -1 v. South Dakota State | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
537 South Dakota and South Dakota State The Coyotes of South Dakota split the season series, winning 87-68 at home and losing 76-72 away. That road loss is the only game in the last nine games in which the Coyotes failed to win. That defeat came two weeks ago so the loss is fresh in the players minds. Our stats say this team is three points better on the road, and has the much better defensive efficiency numbers. With the line stating the winner covers we will back the Coyotes here. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA |
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03-04-18 | Michigan +3.5 v. Purdue | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
837 Michigan and Purdue Like last year the Wolverines are peaking at the right time of year. Winners of eight straight games and off an impressive win over instate rival Michigan State. Michigan has double revenge against the Boilermakers after losses by one and four points. Purdue has won five straight but it did so against the weaker teams in the conference. Penn State twice, Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers. Before that Purdue had lost three straight. This team peaked early in the season while Michigan is peaking now. Wrong team favored. PLAY MICHIGAN |
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02-28-18 | Fairleigh Dickinson +9 v. St Francis PA | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
773 Fairleigh Dickinson at St Francis PA The Knights have played much better as of late winning 7 of 11. Two of those losses came to this St Francis squad. The Knights own a better effective field goal defense in this matchup along with recent double revenge as both losses came in the last four weeks. The Red Flash enter this game fat and happy winning five straight games entering this tournament. This is a major flat spot for St Francis having to win by double digits to cash. PLAY FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON |
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02-27-18 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State -1.5 | 76-54 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
524 Tennessee at Mississippi State Must win game for the host who has been very good this season but needs a quality win to likely go dancing. The negative advantage of senior night isn’t a concern as this team simply has no seniors. This is a team that is 18-1 SU at home this season, and is favored over a ranked Tennessee team. Tennessee has lost 2 of 3 away with the only win coming at Mississippi, a team in total disarray right now. PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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02-24-18 | Portland v. Pepperdine -2.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
658 Portland at Pepperdine This is the last game for coach Wilson at Pepperdine, as he will be forced out at the end of the season. The Waves have cashed three straight after the announcement, all against the leagues elite. Now dropping down in class we will lay the points against a Portland team that has dropped five straight games, including three straight at home coming into this contest. It’s payback time for the host after a nine point loss up in Portland. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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02-21-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
716 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State The Red Raiders just had a seven game winning streak broken at Baylor 59-57 in a tightly contested contest. Tech already beat Oklahoma State at home 75-70 and have Kansas on deck at home on Saturday. The Jayhawks have revenge on its mind from a 85-73 home loss earlier this year. So this is a tough spot here for the visitor. Oklahoma State has lost two straight and six of eight overall. It is coming off a 20 point loss at TCU, tied for its largest margin of defeat on the season. We back the home dog here. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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02-18-18 | Canisius v. Rider -3 | 82-83 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
874 Canisius at Rider The Golden Griffins are 13-2 in conference and have won six straight heading into this contest. But this is the third game in seven days and have Niagara home loss revenge on deck. Rider also sits at 13-2 in the league and enter this affair on a nine game winning streak. This is only the second game for the Broncs in eight days. The last time these two met Canisius survived 77-76 back in December. We like the situation here and the line is a bit short with the host. PLAY RIDER |
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02-17-18 | Auburn v. South Carolina +6.5 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
540 Auburn at South Carolina At 23-3 the Tigers are now in line to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. This team is 11-2 in conference and just beat a team in Kentucky that has owned them over the years. On deck we have a home game against Alabama, not only the biggest rival of this team, but the Tigers are in revenge from a 76-71 loss on the road. South Carolina was fantastic last year but sits at 13-13 this season. The Gamecocks have lost six straight heading into this contest. Nobody wants anything to do with this team right now which is exactly why we find value on the host. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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02-15-18 | Ohio State v. Penn State | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
530 Ohio State at Penn State Buckeyes cruising along in the Big 10 with a 13-1 record with the only home loss coming to these Nittany Lions. But before we jump on the visitor here keep in mind it plays hated rival Michigan on deck. Penn State is 8-6 in conference but has won 5 of 6 as of late with the only loss coming at Michigan State. The last time the Nittany Lions faced Ohio State was off back to back losses to Minnesota and Northwestern. Now this team is in much better form. PLAY PENN STATE |
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02-11-18 | Duke v. Georgia Tech +8 | 80-69 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
836 Duke at Georgia Tech Off back to back road losses to St Johns and North Carolina, many will expect a bounce back game for the Blue Devils. But we don’t feel that way. Duke has dropped 3 of its last 4 games outright and haven’t impressed us on the road all year. This is a team that has dropped 4 of 8 true road games this season. Georgia Tech is having a poor season at 11-13 and just 4-7 in league play. It has dropped 6 of 7 heading into this contest. Other than a road game at Virginia, this is the only contest in which the Yellow Jackets can make a name for itself before the regular season ends. And you know it has a huge chip on its shoulder after losing to Duke last year by a whopping 53 points! You know this team has had this game circled, and the Blue Devils have proven themselves to be a beatable team on the road. PLAY GEORGIA TECH |
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02-10-18 | North Carolina -3 v. NC State | 96-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
551 North Carolina at NC State Coming off the statement win over Duke many will look for a letdown here vs the Wolfpack. But keep in mind that NC State just beat the Tar Heels 95-91 just two weeks ago in North Carolina. It’s one of two home losses on the season and the only chance this team has for home loss revenge. NC has dominated this series winning 16 of 20 outright and cashing 14 of those meetings. The line is short and the revenge is there. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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02-08-18 | Old Dominion v. Southern Miss +7.5 | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
544 Old Dominion at Southern Miss OD is a solid 8-2 in conference action and just knocked off a pretty good UAB squad. The Monarchs haven’t fared especially well against Southern Miss, splitting four games straight up and dropping three of those games ATS. The Golden Eagles are a full seven points better playing at home than on the road. In fact, Southern Miss is undefeated on this court this season. Off a confidence building win at Florida Atlantic we will take our chances on a solid home dog tonight. PLAY SOUTHERN MISS |
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02-07-18 | Texas A&M +7 v. Auburn | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
757 Texas A&M at Auburn Now that the best defensive team in the league is finally healthy, we expect the Aggies to be a bet on team. A&M has taken the last two meetings in this series and matches up very well with the Tigers. Auburn is a fan favorite squad as its been a cash machine thus far, which gives us plenty of value in this current line. The sharp books are leaning with the dog here and we agree. PLAY TEXAS A&M |
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02-06-18 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
554 Nebraska at Minnesota Huskers have been a major money makers this year posting a 17-6 spread mark. Nebraska has won three straight and enters tonight at 8-4 in Big 10 play. It beat Minnesota 78-68 at home in its earlier meeting. Minnesota is just 14-11 overall and 3-9 in conference. It enters this game having lost 8 of its last 9 games. Yet the line has moved from Minnesota -1 to -3.5, despite the fact that 68% of the bets and money have been on the underdog. Big money is on the host and we agree as fading early season money makers at this point of the season is the way to go. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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02-05-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -2.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
720 West Virginia at Oklahoma The Mountaineers have lost 5 of its last 7 games, with the only two victories coming at home. Our numbers say that this team plays a full 9 points better at home than away. West Virginia had success trapping and slowing down Trey Young in Morgantown, but we don’t expect the same type of success when playing on the road. Oklahoma plays 5 points better at home than on the road, and enter this contest having dropped 4 of 6 overall. But this is an unedited home court and the Sooners are looking for in-season revenge. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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02-03-18 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara +4.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
694 San Francisco at Santa Clara Home revenge game for the Dons, but with a 12-12 mark including 4-7 in conference, how much extra effort will San Francisco bring? After all it has dropped 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. Despite an 8-15 record the Broncos have been better in conference with a 5-6 mark. Coming in off four straight double digit home losses you know this club will be fired up for this contest. The number is favorable and we will back the Broncos here. PLAY SANTA CLARA |
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02-01-18 | Arizona State v. Washington +3 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
566 Arizona State at Washington The Sun Devils came out of the gate winning 12 straight games to become highly ranked. It was a major surprise for a team expected to be a low finishing team in the PAC 12. But since that time Arizona State has compiled a 4-5 mark, all in league action. Washington has put up a 15-6 seasonal mark mostly as an afterthought. But at 5-3 in the league the Huskies are in better shape right now than the visitor. At home the Huskies are 14-5 SU vs the Sun Devils, overall holding a 27-14 SU mark in this series. We will back the home dog here against a fading Arizona State squad. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-31-18 | Texas v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
760 Texas at Texas Tech While the Longhorns have dominated this series having won 15 of the last 20 meetings. We will side with the home favorite here. By our records the Longhorns have been over 5 points better at home than on the road. In fact, Texas has lost three straight on the road to West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Baylor. Off back to back wins, and hosting the talk of college basketball Trey Young next game, we can see this team lacking focus here. Texas Tech is 17-4 overall with one of those losses coming to this Texas team 67-58. It’s the first revenge game of the season for the Red Raiders. As with Texas the Red Raiders are more than 5 points better at home. This will be a home dominated series and Texas Tech gets its revenge. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-31-18 | Northern Iowa +1.5 v. Evansville | 49-57 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
745 Northern Iowa at Evansville Northern Iowa has beaten Evansville four out of the last five meetings. The Panthers were just blown out at Loyola Chicago 70-47 for its worst loss of the season. Evansville at 14-9 just beat Drake and Valparaiso, but is still 4-6 in conference. Nice spot here for a Northern Iowa squad we feel should be favored. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-30-18 | Ball State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
533 Ball State at Toledo The Cardinal are 3-7 SU on the road this year and the Rockets enter play here having won seven straight games. Yet the early money has been on the road dog, and we agree. Despite the 15-6 overall mark and 7-1 record in the MAC, we view this Rockets team as overrated. Toledo just blew out Bowling Green by 26 last time out, so we can see this team fat and happy here. But keep in mind most of the success for the Rockets has been on the road. We will follow the line move and back the Cardinals. PLAY BALL STATE |
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01-29-18 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Michigan | 47-58 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
713 Northwestern at Michigan The Wolverines have struggled somewhat as of late, dropping 3 of 6 entering this contest. It just played a barnburner at Purdue on Thursday, the second game against the Boilermakers this season. Michigan has beaten up on the weak teams in the conference, but we really like this Northwestern squad. The record is only 13-9 but the Wildcats faced the likes of Creighton, Texas Tech and Oklahoma out of conference. These two teams are closer in our ratings than this line suggests. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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01-28-18 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 47-70 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
837 Northern Iowa at Loyola Chicago At 11-10 and 3-6 in conference this has been a down season for the Panthers. But the team has won 3 of 4 entering this contest. The Ramblers are in a bad scheduling spot here. It plays lowly Northern Iowa and has big games on deck against Bradley and Missouri State, two 15 win teams. Currently on a six game winning streak, and having already beat Northern Iowa on the road, this is the spot to go against the better team. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | 51-64 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
625 Oakland at Wright State The Grizzlies are starting to make a run in the Horizon League. Now 6-3 in conference after winning its fifth straight game on Friday. That was good news for our clients and we expect a repeat here. Oakland has two home losses on the season, Northern Kentucky and Wright State. The Grizzlies revenged the Norse and now the Raiders are in their sights. Wright State sits at 8-1 in conference and is coming in off a 32 point blowout of Detroit. This line tells us the betting markets say Oakland is the better team, we agree. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-27-18 | Wake Forest +9.5 v. Louisville | 77-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
637 Wake Forest at Louisville A down season for the Demon Deacons has gotten worse as of late as it enters play tonight on a six game losing streak. But keep in mind it just played Duke twice, Virginia, NC State and Virginia Tech the last five games. Wake has been more competitive on the road this season. Louisville is 15-5 and just lost at Miami Florida. Most will assume a big bounce back from the Cardinals here, especially playing on a one loss home court. But Louisville has a date with Virginia on deck, and this team needs a signature win. Nice spot for the dog to take this one deep. PLAY WAKE FOREST |
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01-27-18 | Cal Poly +9.5 v. UC-Davis | 56-80 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
647 Cal Poly at UC Davis This handicap is quite simple. The Mustangs of Cal Poly have dropped 10 of 12 and sit 1-5 in the Big West Conference. They are an afterthought in the betting markets as well as for opponents. Off back to back double digit losses nobody will want any part of this team, which is where we step in. UC Davis is 13-7 on the season and 4-2 in league play. It’s right in the midst of playing Cal Poly here and a home and home against Cal Northridge, who they just beat 63-56 at home on Thursday. This is an undefeated home team that is all fat and happy heading into tonight. PLAY CAL POLY |
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01-27-18 | Georgetown +12 v. Creighton | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
641 Georgetown at Creighton The Hoyas played one of the easiest schedules in the country before league play started, and came into Big East play totally overrated. As expected Georgetown is now 3-6 in league play, having just dropped 2 of 3 at home. Now back on the road this team finally shows some betting value. Creighton is 16-5 on the season and undefeated on this home court. It already beat the Hoyas by 24 in Georgetown. Up on deck? The #1 Villanova Wildcats. Massive lookahead spot here for the host. PLAY GEORGETOWN |
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01-27-18 | Texas State +9 v. Georgia State | 50-54 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
547 Texas State at Georgia State Big battle in the Sun Belt Conference Saturday afternoon. The Bobcats at 7-2 in conference have played better ball away from home this season, an impressive 6-6 straight up mark. Only one of the losses was by more than todays spread. Georgia State is the hotter team having won six straight heading into this contest. But our numbers show the line to be inflated. We will take the points with the talented dog. PLAY TEXAS STATE |
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01-27-18 | Elon +8.5 v. Towson | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
539 Elon at Towson The Phoenix were once 3-1 in conference but have dropped three straight games. Now it heads on the road to play Towson, a team it beat at home 75-72. Towson enters play at 15-7 overall but loaded up on weaklings in non-conference play. The Tigers are just 5-4 in the CAA and are off an impressive win over William & Mary. Early start home games don’t have the sam home court edge as games played at night. Plenty of margin here for the road dog. PLAY ELON |
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01-26-18 | Oakland +7 v. Northern Kentucky | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
831 Oakland at Northern Kentucky The Grizzlies have had a great deal of success in the Horizon League over the years, and enter play at 5-3 in conference. It is looking to avenge an 87-83 home loss earlier this season. Oakland has only lost two home games all year, and enter here after winning four straight contests overall. The Norse have a 7-1 mark in conference with the only loss coming to Wright State. Northern returns home off back to back road wins against the two Milwaukee schools. With Oakland being two games behind in the conference standings and having already lost to the Norse, this becomes a must win game for the Grizzlies. We like this team and expect this contest to go to the wire. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-25-18 | CS-Northridge +13.5 v. UC-Davis | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
559 Cal Northridge at UC Davis Northridge lost 11 straight to start the season after winning against Life Pacific in its opener. Since that time the Matadors are 4-3 including winning its last two contests. In fact, all four of those wins were by 9 points or more. The Aggies return to the mainland after a 77-72 loss at Hawaii. After winning the last four meetings in this series the line is a bit inflated. We will back the improving Matadors to stay under this generous number. PLAY CAL NORTHRIDGE |
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01-24-18 | Mercer +9.5 v. East Tennessee State | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
775 Mercer at East Tennessee State Despite a 10-10 record Mercer has been a money during 4-9 ATS on the season. But the Bears have won 3 of 4 heading into this contest with the only loss coming by 4 to 14-5 NC Greensboro. On the season Mercer has a 3.9 average scoring margin per game. East Tennessee State comes into this contest on fire, winning 14 of 15, but has 14-5 Wofford on deck. Despite the records these two teams are closer in talent than this line suggests. PLAY MERCER |
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01-23-18 | Vanderbilt +11.5 v. Tennessee | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
519 Vanderbilt at Tennessee It has been a bad season for the Commodores entering here with a 7-12 mark on the year. It’s looked especially ugly on the road which is why this line is where it is. But this team has played well in this series winning straight up the last two times in this building. In fact, this has been a road dominated series the past three seasons. Tennessee just beat Vandy on the road by 9 just two weeks ago. No special reason for this team to get up here. It just beat South Carolina by 7, and has a road game at Iowa State on deck. We will take the generous points with a road dog everyone else has written off. PLAY VANDERBILT |
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01-23-18 | Providence +15.5 v. Villanova | 69-89 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
511 Providence at Villanova Friars playing much better ball as of late, winning four straight heading into this contest. The last two victories coming by double digits. Providence has cashed 4 of the last 5 in this series, including both meetings here the last two years. The Wildcats are 13-6 ATS on the season but just 3-3 ATS playing at home. Coming off back to back 20+ victories we can’t see the better team being up for this contest. PLAY PROVIDENCE |
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01-20-18 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +3.5 | 70-63 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
628 Tennessee at South Carolina Line here is a bit high in our opinion based on the lack of success by the Volunteers on the road. Just 3-2 SU away from home as this team has feasted on home cooking all season. Just once in five road games did Tennessee win by more than seven points. South Carolina had a huge comeback win against Kentucky last time out. That should be a positive momentum situation for a program that went deep into the tourney a year ago. Just one home loss for the Gamecocks on the season gives us even more confidence. PLAY SOUITH CAROLINA |
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01-19-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Davidson | 73-83 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
815 St Bonaventure at Davidson Very important game for the Bonnies who have lost all three road games in conference and enter here 2-3 overall. St Bonaventure is an excellent 3 point defending team which is what Davidson does best. This series is tied 4-4 and we actually rate St Bonaventure as the slightly better team. After facing Dayton, St Josephs and Rhode Island on the road the Bonnies have been tested. It’s also a veteran team that should bounce back here before a home revenge game against St Josephs. The Wildcats are a solid 4-1 in conference play, but none of its opponents currently have a winning mark on the season. Coming off blowout wins by margins of 30, 27 and 27 points, the Wildcats step up in class tonight. PLAY ST BONAVENTURE |
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01-18-18 | Pepperdine +10.5 v. Pacific | Top | 78-92 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
563 Pepperdine at Pacific The Waves have been bad this season with an 0-6 conference record and just 3-15 overall. It’s riding a nine game losing streak entering this contest, having lost by double digits in four straight. But as Lee Corso would say “Not so Fast”. Over the last five games the Wave have played teams with a combined 71-23 record. Tonights opponent is just 9-10 on the year. The Tigers are off three straight victories and face three heavyweights after this contest. St Mary, San Francisco and BYU. Terrible spot for the host while the visitor drops down in class. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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01-16-18 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -5.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
536 Drake at Northern Iowa Many will look at this game and see the 5-1 in conference Bulldogs catching points at the 1-5 Panthers as a lock. But there is much more than wins and losses in handicapping sports. Drake is just 11-8 on the season, while Northern Iowa is 9-9. But the Panthers faced the likes of North Carolina, NC State, Villanova, UNLV, Texas Arlington, Iowa State and Xavier. The coaching staff made a surprising move last time out putting a talented freshman in the starting lineup at center, and dropping its leading scorer to the bench. For a coach to do such a thing tells us that its the right move to spark this squad. Northern Iowa in turn beat Valparaiso 81-76, breaking a seven game losing streak. Now with its back against the wall we expect these Panthers to be on the prowl. Our numbers show the Panthers to be 48 places better than the Bulldogs, and because of the way these two started the conference season the line is cheap. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force +9.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
780 Unlv at Air Force The Rebels haven’t won at Air Force since 2014 and were crushed in this building a year ago. Because off all the instability in the program virtually all the players will be playing here for the first time tonight. UNLV likes to get out and run, which is why it was so successful early on in non-conference action. The Rebels played a vast majority of its games at home. Now that conference play has started the opposition isn’t letting the Rebels show its athleticism. Air Force is always tough at home and enters play tonight 0-3 in the Mountain west Conference. This is a club that is hard to prepare for because of the style of play it uses. This line is way too high for a struggling Rebels team to lay. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech +2 v. Oklahoma | 65-75 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
529 Texas Tech at Oklahoma While Tre Young got his points on Saturday against West Virginia, the Mountaineers really made him work for it. It was the first real defense Oklahoma faced and the Sooners despite giving their all were simply outworked. We look for more of the same here from an excellent Texas Tech defense that will look to slow down the pace and get physical with the young superstar. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-03-18 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -16.5 | 50-62 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
792 Western Illinois at South Dakota Western Illinois has played the 342nd toughest schedule, while South Dakota comes in at #154. The Leathernecks have beaten the likes of Lincoln Christian, Calvary University and St Mary’s Minnesota. A 25 point loss to Iowa State and a 61 point loss to Butler tell you all you need to know about this squad. Despite playing the tenth easiest schedule in the nation, the Leathernecks are being outscored by 4.4 points per game. South Dakota comes into play at 13-4 on the season while playing almost 200 spots stronger opposition. The four losses came against teams a combined 47-9. This one should be a blowout for the host. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA |
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01-03-18 | George Washington +1.5 v. Duquesne | 52-69 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
745 George Washington at Duquesne Big strength of schedule mismatch for the visitor as GW comes in at #113 while Duquesne sits at #335. The Colonials are 8-6 on the season but the losses came against teams with a combined record of 68-18. Despite playing such a strong schedule three of the six losses were by single digits, with the largest defeat coming by 20 points. The combined record of the teams the Dukes have lost to is just 30-27. Duquesne has beaten up on the Maryland Eastern Shores and the Delaware State’s of college basketball. This isn’t North Carolina A&T tonight. PLAY GEORGE WASHINGTON |
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12-30-17 | Georgetown v. Marquette -9.5 | 65-74 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
582 Georgetown at Marquette The Hoyas have played the 314th hardest schedule while Marquette sits at the 38th strongest. We’ve been looking for a nice spot to fade the 10-2 Hoyas and this is it. In 12 games Georgetown has played away from home just once, at Richmond. 11 of the 12 games were played on the Hoyas home court, not even a neutral site game on the schedule. Marquette has already faced Purdue, VCA, Wichita State, LSU, Georgia, Wisconsin and Xavier. Last time out it dropped a 91-87 home game to the Musketeers. Now this squad gets to face an overrated opponent before heading to the road to face Providence and Villanova. Great spot for the host. PLAY MARQUETTE |
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12-30-17 | Dayton -3 v. Duquesne | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
563 Dayton at Duquesne The Flyers have played the 93rd best strength of schedule in the country. Duquesne has played the 342nd. Dayton is 6-6 on the season while the Dukes are 9-4. This is a major step up in class for the host while Dayton has already faced the likes of Hofstra, Auburn, Mississippi State, Penn and St Mary’s. The Flyers are the superior team and have the better ball movement. They will find many open shots in this contest. PLAY DAYTON |
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12-29-17 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State -3.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
844 UL Monroe at Arkansas State The Warhawks come into this contest with a 6-5 record. But those wins have come against SE Louisiana, Rust College, Jackson State, Grambling State, Milksops and Centenary. All six of those victories were also played at home. All four road games resulted in losses by margins of 10, 18, 3 and 19. Arkansas State has a full week to get ready for this contest. Coming in with a lesser 5-8 record but facing a more potent schedule. The Red Wolves are 4-1 SU at home with wins by margins of 14, 14, 14 and 31 points. PLAY ARKANSAS STATE |
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12-29-17 | Texas State v. Appalachian State -3.5 | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
828 Texas State at Appalachian State The Bobcats have played a schedule 125 places weaker than that of App State. This is its 2nd of three straight road games after beating Rice 74-66 a week ago. App State has the lesser record but has faced a far superior schedule. Games against Iowa State, UTEP, James Madison, VCU and Ohio State have toughened up this Mountaineers bunch. Now back home after four straight games away, with a full eight days to get ready for this contest. Playing on an undefeated home court we will lay the small number with the better team. PLAY APPALACHIAN STATE |
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12-28-17 | Southern Miss v. Marshall -11 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
358 Southern Miss at Marshall The Golden Eagles have played a schedule 100 places easier than that of the Thundering Herd. Wins over the likes of Southern-New Orleans, Blue Mountain College, Rust College, Alabama A&M and William Carey will not prepare this team for league play. Marshall has taken on some cupcakes as well but did face Illinois, William & Mary and Xavier. This team is a perfect 8-0 SU at home and haven’t played since the 22nd. The Thundering Herd have scored at least 83 points in all but one home contest, six times reaching 90 or better. Despite the easy schedule Southern Miss is allowing 7.9 more points per game than it produces. Look for a big offensive game from the host. PLAY MARSHALL |
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12-22-17 | Texas State v. Rice +4.5 | 74-66 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
840 Texas State at Rice Texas State has played the 318th easiest schedule in the country while posting a 6-6 record. The Bobcats have already lost on the road at Air Force and Houston Baptist. Wins have come against the likes of Texas Pan American, Arkansas Pine Bluff, Texas A&M CC, McMurry and Ecclesia College. Despite such a cupcake schedule this team is outscoring the opposition by only 0.8 points per game. Rice comes in with a 3-9 mark but has played the likes of UNLV, Mississippi, Texas Tech and New Mexico. This is just the sixth home game for the Owls this season, and the only game here in a five game span. The Owls should give extreme effort in this one with Texas San Antonio and UTEP on deck. PLAY RICE |
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12-22-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Oakland -7 | 81-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
836 Eastern Michigan at Oakland What a strength of schedule mismatch. Eastern Michigan has the 307th ranked schedule with an 8-2 record, Oakland 76th with a 7-6 mark. The Eagles have won against Spring Arbor, Michigan Dearborn and Central State. Oakland has played the likes of Toledo, Syracuse, Michigan State and Kansas, all away from home. But the major reason we are backing the Grizzlies here is a 95-89 loss to these Eagles just 16 days ago. Eastern Michigan had three extra days to prepare in that game. It’s revenge time for the host who has been much more tested this season. PLAY OAKLAND |
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12-21-17 | Miami-OH v. DePaul -12.5 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
532 Miami Ohio at DePaul Seems like the entire MAC has been loading up its schedule against nobodies. And that includes this Redhawks squad. Wins against Fordham, Wright State, LIU Brooklyn, Midway, IPFW and Rio Grande. Now it takes to the road to face a solid team in DePaul. In road games this season Miami has lost by 21, 25 and 19 points. DePaul has won five of six with the lone loss coming on this court last time out vs Northwestern. You can be assured this team will be fully prepared tonight. With league action starting in six days this is one last try to pad the non-conference resume. PLAY DEPAUL |
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