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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-17 | Indiana +4 v. Wisconsin | 60-70 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units Indiana defied its own history in the Big Ten Tournament on Thursday when it knocked off a higher-seeded team for only the fourth time in the 20-year history of the event. The 10th-seeded Hoosiers attempt to pull off another seemingly improbable task one day later when they square off against No. 2 seed Wisconsin in the quarterfinals Friday in Washington, D.C. Indiana showed no signs of the struggles that led it to drop eight of its final 11 regular-season contests during its second-round 95-73 rout of seventh-seeded Iowa, catching fire beyond the arc after halftime (6-of-8) en route to setting school tournament records with 12 3-pointers and in 3-point percentage (60.0). The Hoosiers improved to 3-10 in the Big Ten toiurney over the last 10 years as a result. |
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03-10-17 | Michigan State +1.5 v. Minnesota | 58-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating; 4 Units The Spartans ended a two-game slide with an emphatic 78-51 victory against 13th-seeded Penn State in Thursday's second round. The Spartans, who are fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives, can cement their 20th straight appearance in the Big Dance by beating Minnesota for the third time in a row after sweeping the season series. Michigan State advanced to the Big Ten Tournament semifinals in each of the last six years while winning it three times during that span, and hopes to live up to its reputation of peaking in March with another deep run. |
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03-10-17 | Georgia +10.5 v. Kentucky | 60-71 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Wildcats swept the regular-season series, winning 90-81 in overtime at home and 82-77 at Georgia, but the Bulldogs led in the final minute of regulation in both games. The Bulldogs played most of the second match up without big man Yante Maten, who injured his knee in the first two minutes and only returned to the lineup Thursday, scoring 12 points and grabbing five rebounds in 26 minutes off the bench. |
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03-09-17 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units Third-seeded Notre Dame finished the regular season with six wins in seven games and hopes to ride that momentum when it takes on sixth seed Virginia in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament Thursday in Brooklyn, N.Y. The 16th-ranked Fighting Irish scored at least 80 points in five of six contests before losing 71-64 on Saturday at Louisville. Notre Dame is 4-2 in ACC tournament play, including winning the championship in 2015. |
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03-09-17 | Creighton v. Providence +2.5 | 70-58 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units In a conference featuring the defending national champion and seven 19-win-plus teams among its 10 members, no one is hotter than Providence, which brings a six-game win streak into the Big East tournament. The third-seeded Friars will try to pad their roll Thursday night when they take on sixth-seeded Creighton in the quarterfinals at New York’s famed Madison Square Garden. Following a Feb. 8 road loss at Seton Hall, Providence had dropped four of five and was languishing with a 4-8 Big East record. But the Friars have not lost since, including wins over Butler (71-65), Xavier (75-63) and Creighton (68-66), and bring much momentum to the Big Apple. |
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03-09-17 | Indiana v. Iowa +2 | Top | 95-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units A roster laden with seven freshmen was supposed to be Iowa's major impediment from returning to the NCAA Tournament, and the team appeared to have little hope of making a fourth straight Big Dance until it ended the regular season by winning four in a row, including victories over then-ranked Maryland and No. 23 Wisconsin. The run began on Feb. 21 when the Hawkeyes ended a three-game losing streak with a 96-90 home triumph over Indiana behind 35 points from Big Ten leading scorer Peter Jok. The Hoosiers spent the bulk of the first half of the season ranked inside the top 10 - rising as high as No. 5 - before a season-ending injury to OG Anunoby and a three-game absence from leading scorer James Blackmon Jr. contributed to a 3-8 finish to the regular season. |
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03-09-17 | Duke +3 v. Louisville | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units Duke had lost three of four before opening the tournament with a 79-72 win over Clemson in the second round Wednesday, riding three 20-point scorers. ACC first-team selection Luke Kennard and freshmen Jayson Tatum and Frank Jackson were the three to reach 20 points in Wednesday's win and senior forward Amile Jefferson recorded his eighth double-double with 11 points and 10 rebounds. Louisville is 0-1 in ACC tournament play, having lost in the quarterfinal to North Carolina two seasons ago in its debut campaign in the conference. |
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03-09-17 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +1 | 83-92 | Win | 102 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units Iowa State also enters off a loss - 87-76 on Friday at West Virginia - despite 22 points and six 3-pointers from Nazareth Mitrou-Long as well as 17 points from Morris and Deonte Burton. The Cyclones have owned the series of late, winning nine straight contests. Cyclones' Monte Morris joined Evans on the All-Big 12 first team, averaging 16.2 points while sporting a NCAA-best 6.2 assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-08-17 | Celtics +8.5 v. Warriors | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Those who remember this matchup from a year ago will recall that Golden State was looking like it was ready to finish undefeated at home in the regular season before Boston pulled the upset in Oakland. Indeed, the Celtics played Golden State tough on both occasions last year, but they weren’t close on Nov. 18 at TD Garden in 16-point loss, when Klay Thompson (scored 28) was the star of the night. No Kevin Durant (who scored 23 in first meeting) in rematch, and this is a one-night home stand for Golden State, heading out on the road again tomorrow after returning from a long trip just for this game. Boston now has a bit of confidence in these sorts of high-profile games after last week’s win over Cavs, and note Celtics’ 9-4 road dog mark. |
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03-08-17 | Hornets v. Heat -4 | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The NFL regular season was still underway when Charlotte won and covered the first two meetings vs. Miami before New Year’s. But the Heat of those days bear no resemblance to the current version that has continued to roll after the All-Star break, winning and covering 17 of last 20 into last Friday vs. Orlando. More than half of those recent victims had scored less than a point per possession, suggesting some quality defense being played by Erik Spoelstra’s troops. And Pat Riley has been doing some good business, too; at nearly $20 million less than Dwyane Wade is earning this season, |
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03-08-17 | Stanford v. Arizona State +4.5 | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona State aims for its third win of the season over Stanford today when the teams meet in the first round of the Pac-12 tournament in Las Vegas. The eighth-seeded Sun Devils beat ninth-seeded Stanford 98-93 in Palo Alto to start the league season on Dec. 30 before posting a come-from-behind 75-69 win on Feb. 11 in Tempe. The Sun Devils shot 44.6 percent from 3-point range in the two games against Stanford and figure to rely on the shot again Wednesday against a Cardinal team that is next-to-last in the league in defending 3-pointers. |
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03-08-17 | Clemson +7 v. Duke | 72-79 | Push | 0 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fifth-seeded Duke begins its quest for a record 20th ACC tournament title after an eventful regular season when it takes on 12th seed Clemson in a second-round game today at Brooklyn, N.Y. The 14th-ranked Blue Devils lost three - all on the road - of their final four games while hampered by some nagging injuries and coach Mike Krzyzewski told reporters he is hoping they will be at their best in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. For Duke to become the first team to win four games en route to the ACC tournament title, it must first knock off a Clemson team that has been in almost every league game this season despite losing nine times by six points or fewer. |
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03-07-17 | Lakers v. Mavs -10 | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offshoot of the Lakers dealing away top scorer Lou Williams before the trade deadline is that their offense is now almost as bad as their defense. Nick Young certainly not helping much after shooting 9 for 37 from tripleville in recent four-game stretch. And for those very few who believe a turnaround is imminent in the new Magic Johnson-assupremo-era, consider that excess baggage such as Luol Deng, Timofey Mozgov and, now, Corey Brewer, are taking up a ton of future cap space. Comparably speaking, Dallas’ problems are few, and the Mavs have basically played at a decent .500 level since a slow 4-17 SU break from the gate. Moreover, Mark Cuban loves to beat the Lakers, which the Mavs have done easily in the first two this term and in all six meetings since the beginning of last season. |
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03-07-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +2 | 61-59 | Push | 0 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia Tech was picked to be 14th in the 15-team ACC entering the season, and some observers thought it would be challenged to win more than a couple of conference games, but the team opens the ACC tournament today at Brooklyn, N.Y. with an outside shot to reach the NCAA Tournament. The 11th-seeded Yellow Jackets meet 14th-seeded Pittsburgh in the tournament opener after a 17-win regular season that featured three upsets of ranked teams. One of GT's victories down the stretch was a 61-52 triumph over the Panthers on Feb. 28 in Atlanta, as Pittsburgh enters the conference tournament on a four-game losing streak. |
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03-07-17 | Boston College +13 v. Wake Forest | 78-92 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wake Forest comes into this one having lost three straight in the ACC tournament since a win over Notre Dame in the first round in 2014. In addition Wake Forest is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up win, 8-20 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games as a favorite, and 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win. |
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03-06-17 | Kings v. Nuggets -12.5 | 96-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Briefly circling the wagons after the DeMarcus Cousins trade, Sacto showed life in first game after the All-Star break and beat Denver by 16 at Golden 1 Center on Feb. 23. But Kings immediately went into a deep funk thereafter, blown out three straight at home, including vs. the lowly Hornets and Nets. Meanwhile, Denver went out on the road and won at Chicago and Milwaukee and appears capable of sustaining a push for the final West playoff berth. Nuggets have fared well vs. sub-.500 opposition this season and have stabilized with vet Jameer Nelson now getting most of the minutes at the point, with Emmanuel Mudiay having temporarily disappeared from view |
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03-06-17 | Pelicans v. Jazz -5 | 83-88 | Push | 0 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Anthony Davis will be glad to have some extra help from newly-added Boogie Cousins against a Utah side that throttled the Pels by 33 on Feb. 8 at Smoothie King. That night, Davis was held to 12 points and recorded a ghastly -36 on the +/-. But when NO finally won a game after the All-Star break, it was only vs. the disappointing Pistons last Wednesday, and Cousins sat out that one on yet another technical foul suspension. So far, the Pels have scored a paltry 96 points per 100 possessions with Cousins and Davis on the floor together, in part because Jrue Holiday has shot 29 percent and has almost as many turnovers (16) as assists (18) in the first three games since the trade. And though the opposition has been tough, that’s not the return on investment fans were expecting. Utah throws in a stinker once in a while (such as last Wednesday vs. the T-wolves), but Jazz are already familiar with Cousins, and Pel chemistry issues still a concern. |
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03-06-17 | Heat v. Cavs -8.5 | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a quick turnaround from Saturday night’s series meeting in Miami. The Cavs have won 7 of their last 8 SU at home and are 5-2 vs. the number in the last 7 at Quicken Loans Arena. The Heat haven’t won SU in Cleveland since LeBron was still wearing Miami gear, and the Cavs have covered last 5 as host in this series. First meeting was a 30-point Cleveland blowout win back on Dec. 9, when Cav PF Kevin Love scored 28 and grabbed 15 boards to lead the rout. The Heat won’t have to deal with Love, but Cavs are 9-4 L13 laying 9 or more points |
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03-05-17 | Thunder +1 v. Mavs | 89-104 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units OKC’s Russell Westbrook dropped 45 points on the young Dallas backcourt in a 109-98 Thunder win against Dallas Jan. 26, dealing Dallas its 9th loss in the last 10 series meetings. Westbrook has been a locomotive this season, and the Thunder are just 1½ games back of Utah in the hunt for the Northwest Division title, an important goal in gaining home court and avoiding Golden State or San Antonio in the first round of the playoffs |
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03-05-17 | Michigan -5 v. Nebraska | 93-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With UM probably needing one more win to feel comfy about it NCAA Tourney at-large chances, suggest laying several hoops vs. stagnating, inside-oriented Nebraska (converting only 5.8 triples pg; 303rd nationally), which is only 2-5 SU its last 7 in Big Ten home games. Look for high-impact efforts from the Wolverines’ potent inside-outside duo of evolving 6-10 soph F Moritz Wagner & mettle-tested 6-4 sr. G Derrick Walton Jr., who combined for only 7 of 20 from the field in their exasperating, last-second 67-65 setback at Northwestern on Wednesday. The “hot seat” under Huskers’ beleaguered HC Tim Miles increases in temperature following another defeat in Lincoln. |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota +8 v. Wisconsin | 49-66 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Perhaps not properly warned, Wiscy had all it could handle from Minnesota back at the Barn back on Jan. 21, as the Badgers barely escaped with an OT win. But developments since then (8 straight wins, 7-1 vs. the number) suggest the Gophers are hardly out of their depth, as Richard Pitino’s bunch has become the hottest Big Ten entry in recent weeks. The Gophers surely have sewn up a Big Dance bid. Meanwhile, Wiscy has been coughing and wheezing in recent weeks and had lost 4 of 5 entering Thursday’s game vs. Iowa, likely kicking away the Big Ten reg.-season crown and perhaps a chance at the desired Milwaukee sub-regional. The steadying influence of several vets in Pitino’s lineup has allowed touted 6-8 frosh wing Amir Coffey (12.2 ppg) to develop into a valued contributor without too much added pressure. |
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03-05-17 | Warriors v. Knicks +10.5 | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State wasn’t covering numbers before losing Kevin Durant to a knee sprain, as the Warriors were just 1-5 vs. the points in their last 6 prior to visiting Chicago on Thursday. Warriors have underachieved as big road favorites, covering just 5 of 18 chances laying more than 9 points. New York covered at Golden State back in mid-December, when neither Knick leader F Carmelo Anthony nor G Derrick Rose played. Steph Curry made only 3 of 14 shots in that one, but Klay Thompson had 25 pts. and Kevin Durant flirted with a triple double to key the victory. This time around Anthony and Rose are on their games, and it’s the Warriors who’re shorthanded. |
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03-05-17 | Pacers v. Hawks -2.5 | 97-96 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Indiana Pacers know they have lost most of their margin for error in the Eastern Conference playoff race, and look to break a 2-8 skid when they visit the Atlanta Hawks today in the fourth stop of a five-game road trip. The Pacers did upend Houston on Monday and had chances in the final seconds Wednesday before falling at San Antonio, but entered Saturday just two games ahead of Detroit for seventh place in the East. Atlanta leads the season series 1-0, getting 23 points and 21 rebounds from Howard in a 96-85 victory on Nov. 23 in Indianapolis. |
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03-05-17 | Cincinnati -6.5 v. Connecticut | 67-47 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consistently-underperforming, offensively-pedestrian UConn (67.3 ppg; only 43.2% from the field) will probably be sitting home for the postseason (unless it miraculously wins the AAC tourney) following its listless 66-62 defeat at marginal East Carolina on Wednesday. Therefore have no problem laying several hoops with the defensively-fierce Bearcats (61.1 ppg; 38.2% FGs), who still haven’t forgotten their painful 4-OT loss to the Huskies in LY’s conference tourney. Cincy’s agile 6-9 jr. F Kyle Washington (NC State transfer; 13.6 ppg, 7.2 rpg) will likely get UConn’s overaggressive 7-0 jr. C Amida Brimah in early foul trouble, while the Huskies’ funkridden 6-4 sr. G Rodney Purvis (10 of 41 from the field over the last 3 tilts) fails to shine on senior night. |
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03-04-17 | Nets v. Blazers -11 | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Portland Trail Blazers might have saved their season with their last victory and now look to win consecutive games for the first time since a three-game winning streak in late January when they host the Brooklyn Nets today. Portland outfought Russell Westbrook and the Oklahoma City Thunder 114-109 on Thursday as they keep attempting to make up ground on the eighth-place Denver Nuggets for the final Western Conference playoff spot. The Nets lost for the 28th time in 30 games when they suffered a 112-97 setback against the Utah Jazz on Friday. Brooklyn is 1-3 entering the fifth contest of its eight-game Circus Trip and stands just 3-26 on the road. The Trail Blazers are 35-6 all-time at home against the Nets. |
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03-04-17 | Grizzlies +8.5 v. Rockets | 108-123 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After losing the first two against Memphis this season, the Rockets came back with a 109-95 victory in Memphis in most recent meeting, on Jan. 21. The Grizzlies are just one game out of the 4th seed of the playoffs, and Memphis PG Mike Conley, who is scoring 19 ppg vs. the Rockets this season, is shooting 42% from 3-point range over his last 10 games. Memphis faced Dallas last night, but the Griz are 20-10 vs. the number the last 2 years when unrested. Houston is just 4-10 vs. the points at home when not favored by more than 9 points. |
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03-04-17 | Hornets v. Nuggets -5.5 | 112-102 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte is streaking in the right direction, posting 3 straight covers, including SU victories at Sacramento and the Lakers prior to stopping in Phoenix on Thursday. However, Denver has regained services of F Danilo Gallinari, and the Nuggets are 8-3 SU and vs. the points in their last 11 at the Pepsi Center. Charlotte is not getting enough points to outweigh the Hornets’ 10-21 SU mark on the road. |
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03-04-17 | Clippers v. Bulls +2 | 101-91 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chicago Bulls looked as though they were fading out of playoff contention and might trade their leading scorer a few weeks ago, but suddenly they are one of the hottest teams in the league. The Bulls, who beat the two conference leaders in a six-day span recently, go after their sixth win in seven games tonight when they entertain the struggling Los Angeles Clippers. |
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03-04-17 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks had their best offensive output since before the All-Star break in a 112-101 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo made 10-of-13 shots en route to 24 points as Milwaukee evened its home mark at 16-16. Three reserves combined to pitch in 47 points while shooting 71.4 percent from the floor Friday night, led by big man Greg Monroe. The seven-year pro matched Antetokounmpo in the scoring column while finishing 11-of-15 from the floor and chipping in five assists, more than twice his season average. Antetokounmpo is averaging 26 points, eight assists and seven rebounds through the first three games against Toronto in 2016-17. |
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03-04-17 | UNLV v. Fresno State -11.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV’s last gasp for the season probably came in its ugly midweek win over Utah State. Before that, however, the Rebs had lost nine in a row in what has already been the worst season in school history. Meanwhile, Fresno has been beating better UNLV teams in recent seasons. And the recent Bulldog surge has included a lot more than one game, with four wins and covers on the trot, including impressive successes on the MW road last week at San Diego State and Boise. Coach Rodney Terry is thanking his lucky stars that 6-6 Colorado transfer wing Jaron Hopkins (who has failed to score DDs just once in his last 12 games, and that was when saddled by serious foul issues Feb. 22 vs. the Aztecs) landed in his lap. Fresno will be properly focused for senior night at the Save-Mart Center. |
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03-04-17 | Pistons v. 76ers +5 | 136-106 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philly split first two with the Pistons this season, both played in Detroit, and Sixers didn’t have since-injured C Joel Embiid for either game. Philadelphia played last night, but the Sixers have covered 5 straight and 8 of their last 10 playing without rest. Meanwhile, Detroit’s road efforts have been lacking, as the Pistons are just 2-8 against the number in last 10 away from home. |
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03-04-17 | Boise State -3.5 v. Air Force | 98-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since BSU is seeking to stay ahead of Fresno State for 3rd place in the MW standings, willing to lay short price vs. sliding, defensively-yielding AF (74.3 ppg, 45.2% FGs; 244th nationally), which has dropped 8 of its past 9 tilts, with its only W coming vs. league co-cellardweller UNLV. No doubt the Broncos’ highly-effective 6-7 jr. G Chandler Hutchinson (17.4 ppg, 8.1 rpg) will be out for some serious redemption after canning a paltry 2 of 6 from the field to go along with six TOs in his squad’s 74-67 loss at Fresno State on Tuesday. Note that BSU has dropped back-to-back games only once since Nov. 18th. |
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03-04-17 | Charlotte v. UTEP -6 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units No reason to jump off the UTEP gravy train that has been tracking the rising Dow Jones Industrial Average in an 11-game cover streak heading into Thursday’s game vs. ODU. The Miners finally began to understand Tim Floyd’s various defensive schemes at midseason, and UTEP Gs Dominic Artis (16.6 ppg) & Omega Harris (15.3 ppg) have emerged as arguably C-USA’s top backcourt tandem. Charlotte is not going anywhere and has been almost as cold lately (2-6 SU last 8, 2-7 vs. line last 9 before UTSA on Thursday) as the Miners have been hot. |
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03-04-17 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -12 | 42-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Big-Dance bound Virginia (currently projected as a No. 4 seed) jacked-up to avenge its OT loss at Pitt back on Jan. 4, will “lay it” vs. still-unbalanced, chemistry-poor Pitt squad, which has “problems with coachability,” says 1st-year HC Gene Stallings. Meanwhile, the Cav offense has gotten a needed offensive spark from highly-regarded 6-3 frosh G Kyle Guy (chosen Indiana’s Mr. Basketball as a senior prepster in Indianapolis), who has taken some pressure off do-everything sr. G London Perrantes. UVA’s smothering, pack-line defense (allowing a nation’s-stingiest 56.3 ppg) will perform with extra fervor after allowing a season-high 88 points in that earlier defeat. |
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03-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +3.5 | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas will remember its humiliating 80-64 loss at Memphis back on Nov. 18, when the Mavs needed a 3-pointer as the last seconds ticked away to avoid their franchise-low of 62 pts., scored 20 years ago. The Mavs shot a mortifying 25% in the first 3 Qs. Since then, Dallas has regained the services of Dirk Nowitzki, and G Seth Curry has started playing like his brother (23.5 ppg, 61.5% on threes since the break). Clearly, the injury to G Wes Matthews (iffy with a hip problem) concerns HC Rick Carlisle, but overriding factor in this one is the Mavs’ 11-1 spread mark in last 12 home games. |
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03-03-17 | Clippers -4.5 v. Bucks | 101-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are 1-3 SU and against the points since the All-Star break, but the Clippers losses to Golden State, San Antonio and Houston are understandable. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has dropped 7 of its last 8 spread decisions at the Target Center, and is just 5-16 vs. the number since Jan. 12. The Clips have beaten the Bucks 3 straight and 8 of the last 9, and last season Buck F Giannis Antetokounmpo scored just 12 ppg and shot 39% against the Clips, while G Khris Middleton had a similar lack of success (12 ppg, 35%). L.A. Gs Chris Paul and J.J. Redick combined to shoot 55.6% and score 45 ppg in the two meetings vs. Milwaukee LY. |
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03-03-17 | Heat -3.5 v. Magic | 99-110 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando has been sliding since just after Christmas, going 10-18 vs. the points since Dec. 26. Miami has been headed in a much more positive direction (16-3-1 since Jan. 16), and the Heat are chasing the playoffs and in double-revenge situation against the Magic. While Orlando has surprised a few teams lately (Atlanta, Miami, Toronto), the wins come few and far between for a Magic side yielding 107 ppg in its last 10 outings. Magic just 10-20 SU and 9-20-1 vs. the points at home. |
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03-03-17 | Raptors v. Wizards -5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a quick turnaround from Wednesday’s meeting, when Washington rode the hot hand of trade-deadline acquisition Bojan Bogdanovic (6 of 7 treys; 27 pts.) to a 105-96 victory over Toronto. That win snapped the Wizards’ 5-game series losing streak, although Washington is 8-3 vs. the points in last 11 facing the Raptors. Although Washington has cooled a bit at home lately (just 3-4 vs. the number in last 7 at the Verizon Center), the absence of Kyle Lowry (23 ppg; out 4-5 weeks after wrist surgery) is bound to slow down the Raptors |
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03-03-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -10 | 80-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units CMU’s games have turned into a sideshow for national top scorer G Marcus Keene (29.4 ppg) and back court gunnery mate Braylon Rayson (20.7 ppg), whose green lights to shoot and their nearly 20 triple attempts pg between them have devolved Chippewa outings into near Harlem Globetrotter-like comedy. CMU (345th in the nation in defense) has now lost and failed to cover six in a row, with a Washington Generals-like refusal to offer resistance on the stop end being a main contributor to recent embarrassing efforts like Tuesday’s 109-81 home loss to Eastern Michigan. Meanwhile, WMU has been the MAC equivalent of Oklahoma State, surging toward the conference tourney at the “Q” with seven wins and covers in a row since a close Feb. 3 loss to the Chips...back when CMU was playing just a little defense and seemed more concerned about winning the game than padding the stats of its top scorers. |
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03-03-17 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State -5 | 82-87 | Push | 0 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BSU highly-charged to stay tied atop the MAC West (with Western Michigan) and notch its 20th victory of the campaign. So will gladly lay a handful of points vs. middling, sliding Northern Illinois, which is only 1-6 its last 7 vs. the spread, with its only cover vs. West doormat Central Michigan. Also, look for inspired efforts from the Cards’ vet duo of 6-6 F Franko House (13.2 ppg, 6.4 rpg) & 6-6 wing Ryan Webber (9.7 ppg, 3.0 rpg), who’ll be pumped for crowd-pleasing showings on Senior Night. NIU certainly not built to narrow any expected deficit, hitting only 5.0 triples pg (335th nationally) at a lowly 30.8% (328th). |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers -1.5 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home edge held in earlier meetings, as teams split first two. We’ll see how much Ok City upgraded its supporting cast for Russell Westbrook by adding Doug McDermott and Taj Gibson from the Bulls at the deadline. But given Westbrook’s tendency to dominate the ball, it might be a while before the new additions can properly fit into whatever mix Billy Donovan envisions. Portland a more dangerous team at home, and Blazers held Westbrook to 20 in easy Dec. 13 win at Moda Center before Russell scored 42 in return match victory for Thunder at the Peake on Feb. 5. Back at Moda Center, expect tougher sledding for Westbrook. |
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03-02-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Bulls | 87-94 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State has really laid it on Chicago in recently meetings, winning by DD margins in both clashes last season and then destroying Bulls by 31 in Oakland on Feb. 8. Chicago made some moves at the deadline, but did not send away Jimmy Butler, yet we’ll have to see if Chicago really helped itself by dealing off supporting cast members Doug McDermott & Taj Gibson, and if G Cameron Payne (acquired from Thunder) is indeed ready to assume PG duties. If Payne is to play significant minutes, he’s in for a rough ride tonight against Steph Curry & Co. Though Warriors have underwhelmed vs. the number on the road, they have usually saved special efforts for these TNT Thursday games. Doubt Chicago’s recent moves will alter series trends. |
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03-01-17 | Utah State -4 v. UNLV | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV has disappeared into the abyss, its losing streak at 8 (and 0-6-1 vs. the line its last seven) after its Feb. 22 humbling at Air Force. Mountain West sources now believe that HC Marvin Menzies actually worked some magic earlier in the season when guiding his talent-shy Rebs to 10 SU wins! The capable Utags already outclassed UNLV by 16 at Logan on Jan. 7 when F Christian Jones (17 points) was the only Rebel to score DDs. UNLV has few options these days, especially as its FG shooting has dipped below 40%. USU is now confident it can succeed on the conference road after last week’s impressive win at credible San Jose. |
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03-01-17 | Rockets +1.5 v. Clippers | 122-103 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston dominated the shorthanded Clippers in first meeting (no Blake Griffin or Chris Paul), winning 140-116, but expect repeat performance from road-warrior Rockets. Houston is 15-6 vs. the points visiting “A” and “B” teams this season, so, if L.A. PG Chris Paul isn’t back and in top form, the Clippers could be in trouble again. L.A. has dropped 4 of its last 5 against “A” teams prior to facing San Antonio Feb. 24. The Rockets are “A” material. |
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03-01-17 | Pacers +10 v. Spurs | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After Larry Bird deflected away interest from elsewhere at the trade deadline for Paul George, Indiana can go about solidifying its playoff position (Pacers sat 6th in the East queue at the All-Star break), which became some what in question with a 6-game losing streak into the break. Not sure Indy can nab a win here, but San Antonio has been a lessthan-reliable spread proposition for a while now, covering only 4 of last 11 through Feb. 23. That included a close win-but-no-cover at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Feb. 13 when Spurs needed a big effort from Kawhi Leonard (who scored 32) to survive. Recent Pacer skid more the result of an extremely-tough schedule stretch. We’ll see if Spurs even recall their AT&T Center digs after they have been away from home since Feb. 4! |
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03-01-17 | Wizards +4.5 v. Raptors | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto was limping at the All-Star Break, posting a 5-12 spread mark (2-6 at home) in its last 17 prior to facing Boston on Friday. Much has changed since the Raptors took a 113-103 decision at Air Canada Centre back in early November. Washington has recovered from a 6-12 SU start to go 28-9 from Dec. 5 through Feb. 23. The Wizards, who are 6-1 SU and against the points in their last 7 road games through Feb. 24, match up well. |
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02-28-17 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Boise State | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Streaky FSU is gunning for its first four-game winning streak of the season following its ego-boosting 63-55 upset at San Diego State on Wednesday. With BSU in the midst of a five-game spread losing skein heading into Saturday’s game vs. San Jose, will gladly “take” with the ball-thievin’ Bulldogs (8.5 spg; 13th nationally), who out rebounded the Aztecs by 10 and committed only 9 TOs vs. defensively tough SDS. The Broncos’ slumping defense, which has permitted a whopping 83.3 ppg over the last 3, will have trouble slowing down the FSU attack, bolstered by blossoming, homegrown 6-8 frosh F Bryson Williams (7.8 ppg), who has popped for a combined 32 points augmented by 16 boards over the last two outings. The bustling Bulldogs are a nifty 7-2 as a visiting underdog TY. |
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02-28-17 | Oklahoma State +3 v. Iowa State | 83-86 | Push | 0 | 30 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I didn’t see this coming with OSU, especially after the Cowboys dropped their first six out of the gate in Big 12 play. But the Cowboys have evolved into a UCLA-like offensive force now surging toward the Big Dance for first-year HC Brad Underwood (formerly SF Austin), as the Stillwater bunch had won 9 of 10 SU after last Wednesday’s recovery from a slow start at K-State. Note electric soph G Jawun Evans, who has caught fire and scored 24 ppg in recent wins over Oklahoma and KSU. It’s very a different OSU than the one that lost at home to ISU on Jan. 11. |
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02-28-17 | St. John's v. Creighton -9.5 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Big Dance-bound CU off a loss at Villanova, won’t hesitate to “lay it” with resilient Bluejays (4-1 vs. the spread following SU loss thru Feb. 24), highly-charged on Senior Night to avoid their first 3-game losing skein of the year. CU’s high-octane, accurate-gunning attack (84.3 ppg; 51.9% FGs; 41.1% from arc)—benefiting from sharper play making provided by 6-3 soph PG Khyri Thomas—gets open looks galore vs. soft SJ defense, permitting 85 ppg as visitor TY. Bluejays, led by dynamic 6-11 frosh C Justin Patton (13.6 ppg; 25 in 1st tilt), outscored the Red Storm in the paint, 52-24, in their 85-72 victory in Madison Square Garden on Jan. 4. |
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02-28-17 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 112-130 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis has hardly taken a deep breath while blasting Phoenix twice earlier this season in a pair of 19-point romps. That includes rather recent Feb. 8 beat down at FedEx Forum when Griz held Suns to 33% FG shooting. Mike Conley (31 ppg in the two previous meetings) was again in control as the game’s high scorer. Granted, there have been some positives lately for Phoenix, as since Jan. 1, Suns have scored 111.8 points per 100 possessions and are a plus-19 with Eric Bledsoe and Devin Booker on the floor together. None of that, however, manifested in the previous clashes vs. Memphis on Jan. 30 & Feb. 8. |
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02-28-17 | Nuggets v. Bulls -2 | 125-107 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Trading away one starter and another key rotation player in exchange for a pair of young projects might have been seen as the Chicago Bulls raising the white flag on the 2016-2017 season, but the team's recent results suggest otherwise. The Bulls will try to earn their fifth straight win and pull two games above .500 for the first time since mid-December when they host the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are clinging to the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and dropped three of their last four games after suffering a 105-98 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday. |
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02-28-17 | Jazz v. Thunder +2 | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City regularly dominates Utah at Chesapeake Arena and the Thunder look to post their 11th consecutive home victory in the series when they entertain the Jazz today. Utah's last win in Oklahoma City was a 120-99 rout on Oct. 31, 2010, when guard Deron Williams was the franchise's best player and Hall of Famer Jerry Sloan served as coach. Thunder point guard Russell Westbrook will be looking for his 30th triple-double of the season after producing 41 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists in Sunday's 118-110 home victory over the New Orleans Pelicans. Westbrook recorded a triple-double against the Jazz on Jan. 23, when he totaled 38 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in a 97-95 victory in Salt Lake City. |
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02-27-17 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -14.5 | 63-73 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has a national player of the year candidate in Frank Mason III, but it was a seldom-used reserve that helped it secure sole possession of its 13th consecutive Big 12 title on Saturday. The third-ranked Jayhawks hope to get another outstanding performance from forward Dwight Coleby when they host Oklahoma today. Kansas has won 33 straight home finales and Oklahoma hasn’t won in Allen Field House since 1993. |
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02-27-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech +1.5 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Junior forward Zach LeDay (16.6 points, 7.0 rebounds) comes off the bench but there is no doubt he is Williams' go-to scorer, shooting 52.2 percent from the field and 77.5 percent from the foul line. Virginia Tech is 3-1 since they lost forward Chris Clarke with a torn ACL thanks in large part to the play of his replacement Ty Outlaw (5.0 points), who has averaged 14.3 points on 75 percent shooting from the field in the last three games. The Hokies lead the ACC in field-goal percentage (49.1) and 3-point shooting percentage (40.6) with four players -- Seth Allen, Outlaw, Justin Bibbs and Ahmed Hill -- shooting between 40.1 and 47.9 percent from beyond the arc. |
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02-27-17 | Heat -1 v. Mavs | 89-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Dallas’ addition of Nerlens Noel at the deadline (costing oft-injured Andrew Bogut) suggests the Mavs are not yet waving the white flag and still believe they have a shot at sneaking into the playoffs as the West’s 8th seed. But not sure that move provides Dallas much of an upgrade, and Mavs also released Deron Williams, so not sure about Mavs in this spot. Remember, Miami won and covered in first meeting Jan. 19 at AA Arena at the outset of the Heat’s uptick that resulted in wins and covers in 14 of 16 into the break. Good news for Miami playoff hopes is that it has the easiest remaining schedule of teams six thru eleven in the East right now. |
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02-27-17 | Troy State v. Texas-Arlington -11 | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Movin’ Mavs are moving closer to locking up the Sun Belt regular-season crown. And, in this game, UTA gets a chance to avenge its biggest loss of the season, a 93-71 setback in Alabama January 14. Make no mistake, Troy is a potent foe. But the experienced Mavs (top nine scorers TY are back from LY) are undefeated in Arlington and eager for revenge, led by 5-11 PG Erick Neal (No. 3 in U.S. with 6.5 apg) and 6-7 jr. Kevin Hervey (17.2 ppg, 8.3 rpg). |
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02-27-17 | Raptors -3.5 v. Knicks | 92-91 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto hosted Portland yesterday. But note that the Raptors are a solid 29-18 the last three seasons against the points when un-rested. In the Raptors’ two wins at Air Canada Centre earlier this season, the Knick “triplets” of Fs Carmelo Anthony, Kristaps Porzingis and PG Derrick Rose combined for 64 ppg and shot better than 50%. Addition of PF Ibaka might help defend Anthony and/or Porzingis this time around, so favor Toronto. |
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02-26-17 | Blazers v. Raptors -5 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither of these teams was playing particularly well at the break, as the Raptors were 5-12 vs. the points from Jan. 17 through Feb. 23 and Portland was 4-11 from Jan. 13-Feb. 22. The difference being that while Portland appears to be sliding out of playoff contention, Toronto is in the thick of a fight with Boston for the Atlantic Division title and acquired Serge Ibaka to help boost its chances during the All-Star hiatus. Portland has been a terrible road dog (6-13), while Toronto is 15-9 this season laying 4 points or more at the Air Canada Centre. |
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02-26-17 | Houston -2.5 v. Memphis | 72-71 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston used a big second half to cool down sizzling Connecticut last game. The Cougars, looking to improve their NCAA Tournament resume, aim for their 20th win of the season when they visit Memphis in an American Athletic Conference game today. Houston won six of its last seven and boosted its RPI to 58 after defeating UConn 75-70. The Cougars got 25 points from Damyean Dotson and erased a double-digit deficit to notch the win and take over third place in the AAC. Memphis fell out of contention in the conference after dropping three straight games, including an 87-74 loss at No. 16 Cincinnati last time out. |
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02-26-17 | Jazz v. Wizards -1.5 | 102-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Solid technical case easy to make for Washington in this matchup. The Wizards are 16-7 vs. the points at home this season, while Utah is just 1-10 as a road dog. Washington has been playing well for 2½ months, recording 27-8 SU and 25-10 spread marks since Dec. 8 (prior to visiting Philly on Friday). Utah has struggled to cover numbers since the third week in December, logging a 9-20 record vs. the points prior to visiting Milwaukee. Wizards have won and covered last three hosting the Jazz, holding them to just 88 ppg in those meetings. |
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02-26-17 | Grizzlies +2 v. Nuggets | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis had little trouble in its last trip to the Pepsi Center, scoring a 119-99 victory over the Nuggets behind C Marc Gasol’s game-high 24 pts. helped by 14 pts. each off the bench from Zach Randolph and Vince Carter. To be fair, C Nikola Jokic didn’t play in that meeting, but he wasn’t much of a factor in the first meeting (12 pts., 5 rebs., in foul trouble). With Denver frontliners Ken Faried and Danilo Gallinari still a bit gimpy, look for Grizzlies to nab another road win (only Boston, G.S. and San Antonio have more than Memphis’ 16 away victories). |
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02-26-17 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State +3.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Play of the Day Michigan State looks to continue its push toward an NCAA Tournament bid when it hosts reeling No. 15 Wisconsin in a key Big Ten Conference contest today. Losers of three of their last four, the Badgers enter the matchup just one-half game behind Purdue for first place in the conference standings, while the Spartans are coming off a win on Thursday that has them within one-half game of a three-way tie for fourth in the league. |
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02-26-17 | Detroit v. Green Bay -10 | 81-89 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In this “Packers vs. Lions” Horizon clash, compelled to look at the payback angle for host Green Bay, which was ambushed at Detroit back on Jan. 29. That day the Fighting Phoenix might have still been celebrating their big win at Oakland two nights earlier. Although GB might be in the same situation if it beat the Golden Griz again on Friday, still see no reason to fear the erratic Titans. Detroit’s defensive numbers are among the nation’s worst (85.1 ppg allowed ranks a sickly 344th) and still allowed the Phoenix to hit 61% from the floor when springing the upset four weeks ago |
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02-25-17 | Wolves +12.5 v. Rockets | 130-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Although Houston has beaten Minnesota 12 of the last 14 SU, the Timberwolves have covered 5 of the last 6 of those. It’s unclear if Minny PG Ricky Rubio was relieved or disappointed he didn’t go to New York for Derrick Rose, but Timberwolf F Andrew Wiggins has been on fire of late (29 ppg, 52% in February). The Rockets haven’t been able to contain Minny C Karl-Anthony Towns this year, as he has scored 32 ppg and grabbed 17 rpg in the two meetings. |
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02-25-17 | Pacers v. Heat -4 | 95-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sizzling Miami is 8-1 vs. the number in its last 9 games at American Airlines Arena, and the Heat scored a 95-89 victory in only previous match against the Pacers. Miami played in Atlanta last night, but the Heat are 8-2 vs. the points when unrested this season and have an 8-4 mark at home when unrested the last three seasons. Miami C Hassan Whiteside had 26 pts. and 22 boards in first encounter, leading the Heat to a 58-38 edge on the backboards. Pacers yielded 116 ppg in last 6 games before hosting Memphis last night, and are just 2-10 vs. the points this season playing the 2nd of back-to-back games. |
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02-25-17 | 76ers v. Knicks -5.5 | 109-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Much to the chagrin of the national media and team president Phil Jackson, Carmelo Anthony is still a Knick. ‘Melo had 28 pts. in first meeting with Philly, played Jan. 11, but that wasn’t enough as Philly PG T.J. McConnell hit a buzzer-beater to give the Sixers a 98-97 decision. Look for New York to return the favor this time around, as the Knicks catch Philadelphia coming off a game at home against Washington. Sixer C Joel Embiid, who had 21 pts. and 14 boards in the first game, is out with a knee injury now, and Nerlens Noel (13 pts., 8 rebs. in first encounter) was shipped to Dallas. |
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02-25-17 | UTEP -2 v. Florida International | 90-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units —Compelled to continue backing UTEP until further notice. The surging Miners have won 10 of their last 12 SU and have covered ten straight after Thursday’s win at FAU, as UTEP has finally mastered HC Tim Floyd’s various defensive tricks, while Gs Omega Harris (16.7 ppg) & Dominic Artis (15.2 ppg) control the offense. FIU was UTEP’s first victim when the Miner season began its turnaround in mid-January, and the Golden Panthers have continued skidding, losing 13 of their last 15 after Thursday’s upset loss vs. UTSA. |
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02-25-17 | South Dakota v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 92-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Surging South Dakota, which catches host IUPUI in a letdown spot after the Jaguars scored a rousing 83-82 revenge win on Thursday vs. rival Fort Wayne. Now IUPUI must deal with a percolating Coyotes squad that stretched its SU win streak to 5 on Thursday vs. WIU. That was also the 17th cover in the last 22 spread decisions for USD, which includes an 11-point win over the Jags on Jan. 7 at Vermillion. The hot Coyotes have also cracked the 90-point barrier three times in their last four games, with sizzling Air Force transfer G Matt Mooney scoring 20 or more in 7 of the last 10 games. |
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02-25-17 | Hornets v. Kings +3.5 | 99-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte was on a 1-11 SU nosedive prior to visiting Detroit on Thursday, as a combination of G Kemba Walker’s poor recent shooting (40% L10Gs) and the absence of C Cody Zeller (team is 2-15 SU without him this season) has hosed the Hornets. Selling off C Boogie Cousins to New Orleans for Buddy Hield and “change” looks like just another horrible King move. Charlotte’s slump is deep, and after hearing how he wasn’t worth acquiring, Hield will want to silence some critics. |
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02-25-17 | Virginia Tech -5.5 v. Boston College | 91-75 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Big Dance-seeking VT (projected as a 9th-seed) determined to avoid any “bad losses” down the stretch, have no problem laying several hoops vs. fading, talent-thin BC, which has dropped 11 consecutive ACC contests, with 4 of the last 5 by DDs. Balanced, good-shooting Hokies (48.5% FGs)—who saw six players score 8 points or more in their hard-fought 71-70 home victory over Clemson on Tuesday—are gunning for their 4th straight cover on the hostile conference trail. Keep in mind, in earlier 85-79 win in Blacksburg, VT led by 18 before the Eagles’ 6-5 jr. G Jordan Chatman (8 ppg) got the hot hand, finishing with a career-high 30 off the bench. |
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02-25-17 | Penn State v. Minnesota -8.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units .While Penn State has stumbled a bit in the last five weeks (3-7 SU), Minnesota has apparently caught its second wind, winning six straight after a five-game losing streak. The Gophers (21-7) are now driving hard for their first NCAA tourney berth in four years. Minny’s unusual, raised-floor Williams Arena figures to disorient the Nittany Lions’ key freshman trio of G Tony Carr (12.9 ppg), F Lamar Stephens (12.5 ppg) and PF Mike Watkins (8.1 rpg) more than just a little bit. Meanwhile, Minny PG Nate Mason (15.1 ppg, 5.3 apg) is running the attack assertively, while 6-9 jr. Reggie Lynch (3.1 bpg) anchors the defense. Payback time. |
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02-25-17 | Illinois State -2.5 v. Northern Iowa | 63-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NCAA Tourney at-large hopeful Illinois State (RPI in mid 30s; slotted on Last Four In list) is seeking to tie a school-record for wins (25) in visit to Cedar Falls. So, in near pick ‘em scenario, compelled to go with the surprising Redbirds, who were missing previously-injured 6-7 jr. MiKyle McIntosh (12.7 ppg, 6.0 rpg) in their grinding 57-51 home series win on Feb. 1st. Speaking of McIntosh, we forecast a big, bounce -back game after he went 0-6 from the field in 50-46 home win over Southern Illinois on Wednesday. Offensively-stodgy, erratic-shooting UNI (62.4 ppg; 336th nationally; 40.3% FGs; 328th) winds up its forgettable reg.- season without a signature win! |
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02-25-17 | Ball State +3.5 v. Western Michigan | 55-80 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With veteran BSU needing a victory to stay alone atop the MAC West standings, strongly suggest grabbing a 2+ hoops with the road-proven Cardinals, who’re a notable 6-1 as a visiting underdog this term. Envision another strong offensive showing from BSU’s dynamic inside-outside duo of 6-6 sr. F Franko House (13.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg) & 6- 3 soph G Taylor Persons (15.8 ppg), who combined for 42 points in their 84-78 home series victory in late January. BSU, which hit an eye-popping 58% from the field in the first meeting, finds plenty of open looks again vs. WMU’s sieve- like defense, permitting 48.5% FGs (342nd nationally). |
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02-25-17 | Seton Hall -6 v. DePaul | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With bubble-riding Seton Hall (RPI in the high 40s) highly motivated to avoid any “bad losses” prior to the upcoming Big East tourney, have no qualms laying the small number vs. DePaul, which is likely feeling a bit giddy following its 67-65 upset win at Georgetown on Wednesday. The Blue Demons didn’t handle their rare success well in league play previously when they knocked off Providence in early January, followed by an 83-58 blowout loss at Marquette. The Pirates’ powerful 6-9 jr. F Angel Delgado (22 double-doubles; 2nd nationally) continues to control paint area, while usually-lethal 6-3 jr. G Khadeen Carrington (17.3 ppg) quickly regains his groove after a season-low 1 of 9 from the field in his team’s 71-64 home win over desperate Xavier on the same day. |
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02-25-17 | Wichita State -13 v. Missouri State | 86-67 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Offensively-explosive & defensively-smothering WSU (82.4 ppg; yielding only 62.9 ppg) is continuing to make a strong case for Big Dance at-large inclusion (if he doesn’t capture MVC tourney) with Gonzaga-like increasing string of lopsided victories in conference play. Hence, have no reservations laying the lumber vs. disheartened MSU, recouping from its 77-68 upset loss at lower-tier Bradley on Wednesday. The deep Shockers—who had 14 players score in their 109-83 home romp over Evansville on Tuesday—are greatly benefiting from the emergence of poised 6- 4 frosh PG Landry Shamet (11.0 pp, 3.3 apg), who’s ranked a lofty 13th nationally in assist-to-TO ratio. Keep in mind that Gregg Marshall’s WSU side is ranked second nationally in scoring margin (+19.6 ppg). |
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02-24-17 | Lakers v. Thunder -10 | 93-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Williams/Brewer trade isn't about to make the Lakers any better. Not anytime soon, at least. A 36-point loss at Phoenix, prior to the break, dropped LA to 7-25 on the road. Meanwhile, the Thunder are off an 11-point win against the Knicks. That brought them to 20-8 at home. I am looking for another double-digit win here. |
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02-24-17 | Heat +4 v. Hawks | 108-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta took first two against Miami this season, but the Heat rode a combined 47 points from Gs Goran Dragic and Dion Waiters for a win (and 6th straight series cover) in most recent meeting on Feb. 1. Heat C Hassan Whiteside (18 pts., 18 boards) completely outdid Hawk pivot Dwight Howard (just 6 pts.) that night. Miami has won and covered 6 of last 7 road games, while Atlanta is only 6-13 vs. the points in its last 19 at Philips Arena. |
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02-24-17 | Grizzlies +1 v. Pacers | 92-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis currently owns the West's No. 6 seed and if it stays away from falling lower, the Grizzlies would avoid Golden St or San Antonio in the first round. However, one of those two teams will be waiting for them in the second round and just who expects Memphis to be able to win a series against either of those teams? The Grizzlies have won seven of their last 10 games and have held their own on the road this season, going 16-13 SU and 15-14 ATS. |
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02-24-17 | Oakland +1 v. Green Bay | 85-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Defensively-sound Oakland (yielding only 40.2% FGs) is only one game behind league-leading Valpo. So, vociferously recommend the revenge-minded, surging Golden Grizzlies (7 straight wins; 5-2 vs. spread), who haven’t tasted defeat since their sour 80-72 home upset loss to Green Bay Jan. 27. Expect astutely-coached Oakland to take better care of the ball (19 TOs in first tilt) this time. And count on more formful gunning from the Grizzlies’ potent backcourt duo of 6-4 jr. Martez Walker (17.1 ppg) & 6-4 sr. Sharron Dorsey-Walker (12.6 ppg, 3.7 apg), who combined for a “brickish” 11 of 35 from the field (2 of 13 from downtown) in the earlier tilt. The defensively-lax Phoenix (76.5 ppg; 272nd nationally) are only 3-5 as home chalk TY. |
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02-23-17 | Rockets -3.5 v. Pelicans | 129-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans is 0-5 ATS their L5 games as a home underdog of 5 points or less. Home Dogs in the NBA that are coming off two wins as a road dog are a horrible 8-21 straight up and 10-19 ATS, covering only 34% of the time since 1996. Look for the Pelicans to try and work on their offense and for the Rockets to keep the pressure on. |
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02-23-17 | Georgia +4.5 v. Alabama | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hardly convinced we get a repeat of first meeting at Athens on Jan. 25, when Georgia provided little support for top scorer F Yante Maten (who scored 20), and Bama got a career-high 26 points from frosh F Braxton Key in unexpected 80-60 Tide romp. But Bama has not been able to put together more than a 2-game SU win streak in SEC play this season, and Avery Johnson’s bunch had covered just 1 of first 6 SEC games at Coleman Coliseum into Feb. 18 games vs. LSU. This is the type of spot to go with Bulldogs, who were 7-1 last 8 in preferred dog role prior to Kentucky matchup on Feb. 18. |
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02-22-17 | St Bonaventure -5 v. St. Joe's | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If not for bad luck, Phil Martelli would have no luck this season, as St. Joe’s is now down its top two scorers after the recent foot injury to G Lamarr Kimble (15.5 ppg) following the loss of top scorer Shavar Newkirk (20.3 ppg; went down with knee in early January). While we would be careful not to dismiss the shrewd Martelli, the matchups haven’t worked lately for the Hawks vs. Bona, as even Martelli’s Big Dance qualifier lost twice to the Bonnies a year ago. That depletion in the St. Joe backcourt creates real problems vs. G-heavy Bona and its dynamic duo of Jaylen Adams & Matt Mobley, who combine for nearly 41 ppg. The absence of Kimble robs Martelli of his top scorer from first meeting on Jan. 24. |
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02-21-17 | Davidson v. Richmond +1 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Regardless of the outcome of UR’s critical battle with A-10 co-leader/cross-town rival VCU on Friday, would still feel good about laying a handful with the Spiders (alone in 3rd place), who’ve covered 4 of the previous 5 at the friendly Robbins Center (prior to the Rams). Note, in first meeting, UR comfortably led 79-64 with 4:22 to go before Davidson made a late run in Spiders’ 82-80 upset road win on New Year’s Eve. Offense-minded but inconsistent-firing Wildcats (only 43.2% FGs; 33.6% from distance) have no adequate matchup for UR’s versatile 6-9 sr. F T.J. Cline, who had 19 points, 10 rebounds & 8 assists in earlier clash. |
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02-21-17 | Purdue -8.5 v. Penn State | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With nationally-ranked Purdue seeking to stay alive in the three-team race for the Big Ten reg.-season crown, will lay single-digits vs. out manned, undersized Penn State, lacking the needed momentum following a discouraging 82-66 setback at Nebraska one week ago. Envision the Boilers’ formidable frontline duo of 6-9 soph Caleb Swanigan (nation-leading 22 double-doubles) & 7-2 jr. C Isaac Haas (13.2 ppg, 5.3 rpg) doing plenty of business (again) in the paint, while sharp-shooting G tandem of 6-0 frosh Carsen Edwards (10.9 ppg) & 6-4 Dakota Mathias (9.9 ppg) prevent the stretched-out PSU defense from consistently collapsing inside. Matt Painter’s Purdue side 12-3 vs. the spread its last 15 in Big Ten action prior to Saturday’s game vs. Michigan State. |
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02-20-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia -10 | 54-48 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Miami having trouble playing .500 ball in the ACC and struggling to stay on the Big Dance bubble, the last team Jim Larranaga’s bunch needs to see is Tony Bennett’s Virginia. The Hurricanes have had trouble identifying a reliable third scoring option beyond Gs Davon Reed and Ja’Quan Newton, with 6-5 frosh Bruce Brown recently enduring an awful 1-for-12 night against VPI. The Cavs are seeking to give the home folks something to cheer about after a rare loss at Charlottesville last Wednesday at the hands of Duke. |
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02-19-17 | Loyola-Chicago +9 v. Illinois State | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big Dance-seeking ISU is tied with Wichita State for 1st place in the two-team MVC race. But, still unafraid of taking a generous number with veteran, dangerous Loyola-Chicago, a sterling 6-1 as a 1½-pt. or more underdog this term. Even though the Redbirds’ valuable 6-7 jr. F Mckyle McIntosh (13.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg; missed previous 5 games) returned from injury in the 67-66 win over Missouri State on Wednesday, ISU still struggles to pull away from the aroused Ramblers, itchin’ to regain respect following unsightly 81-59 home series loss on New Year’s Day (most lopsided defeat of year). |
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02-19-17 | Georgetown v. Creighton -7 | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NCAA Tourney-bound CU is now enjoying steadier PG play, thanks to fast-developing 6-3 soph Khyri Thomas, who’s running the attack with more self-assurance (according to Omaha sources). Therefore, must lay single-digits with the revenge-minded, normally good-shooting Bluejays (52.1% from the field; 2nd nationally), who hit a poor 1 of 18 from deep in the earlier clash when the team was still out of sorts due to the recent injury loss of star floor general Maurice Watson Jr. CU owns the most fluid big man on this court in gifted 6-11, 215-pound frosh C Justin Patton (13.7 ppg, 6.3 rpg), so look for Greg McDermott’s Bluejays to climb to 18-8-1 as home chalk since 2015-16. |
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02-19-17 | Maryland +6 v. Wisconsin | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There wasn’t much home edge when these two tipped off a season ago, when the road team won both meetings. That success on the Big Ten trail has continued this season for Maryland, which won SU in all six of its chances as a Big Ten road dog through last Wednesday’s latest success in the role (at Northwestern). Coach Mark Turgeon probably is a bit concerned that frosh supporting weapons F Justin Jackson & G Anthony Cowan have been misfiring more frequently in the past few weeks, though another freshman, 6-7 sharpshooter Kevin Huerter, hit 16 triples over a recent (College Forecast Continued on next page) 5-game stretch to prevent too much of the offensive load falling upon jr. star G Melo Trimble (17 ppg). |
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02-18-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Iowa State | 71-84 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units ISU is 16-9 and seems NCAA tourney bound, but isn’t there just quite yet. With a little revenge in mind and a 6-1 mark as a home favorite, the Cyclones—with their superior shooting—should creep closer in this one. ISU got a big game (18 points, 12 rebs., 2 blocks) out of 6-8, 240 freshman Solomon Young Wed. at K-State. The Cyclones out-shoot the Horned Frogs from the arc (239 converted triples to 185), a nice edge at raucous Hilton Coliseum in these days of over-emphasized metrics. |
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02-18-17 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota -8 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Summit sources have sounded the alarm on South Dakota, as the revved-up Coyotes have scored 83 or more in four of the last five outings, part of longer 8-3 SU and 15-5 spread upticks. Keying recent ascent has been explosive 6-7 sr. F Tyler Flack, who has scored 22 ppg since late January return to active duty from injury. Meanwhile, soph G Matt Money has scored 20 or more in five straight. Note that Flack missed the Jan. 18 loss at the Mabee Center, and not much has gone right since that win for ORU, recently mired in 5-game SU skid before minor upset over IUPUI. |
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02-18-17 | UCF -3.5 v. East Carolina | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UCF is eager to finish with a winning record in league play and be invited to a postseason tourney. So, strongly support the defensively-stifling Knights (allow just 60.9 ppg and a nation-low 35.6% from the field), who own more quality victories than ECU, which hasn’t won back-to-back AAC games this year. Count on more representative shooting from UCF’s potent inside-outside duo of 7-0 jr. C Tacko Fall (12.0 ppg, 9.8 rpg; 133 blocks L1+Ys) & 6-5 G Matt Williams (15.5 ppg), who combined for a season-worst 3 of 16 from the field in their grinding 48-45 home series win on Jan. 3. Pirates, who scored 78 with a plethora of transition baskets vs. perimeter-oriented Temple on Wednesday, meet significantly more resistance in this slower- paced contest |
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02-18-17 | Green Bay -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 80-56 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In heated “Packers vs. Brewers” rivalry, don’t mind laying short price with Green Bay side looking for third win in a row vs. its bitter in-state rival. Pack, er, Fighting Phoenix, desperate to regain momentum heading into fastapproaching Horizon Tourney, and perfect opportunity provided by host Panthers, who have lost last five SU. Significant scoring edge (80 ppg vs. 67 ppg) for Green Bay, which had five DD scorers in recent home romp past Horizon leader Valpo and has been getting good work from Bradley transfer G Warren Jones, who has scored DDs in seven of last eight. |
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02-18-17 | Evansville -2.5 v. Bradley | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In a near-pick ‘em scenario, urge an “investment” on surging E’Ville, gunning for its sixth straight spread victory (4-1 SU, only loss in OT at Indiana State). The Aces impressively had three players surpass 20 points (including Ohio transfer, 6-5 soph Ryan Taylor) in their 87-70 home romp over Drake on Tuesday. Thus, expect a strong performance from E’Ville, which clanked a season-low 23.5% from the field in its head-burying 74-63 home upset loss to BU on Jan. 4th. Note that the offensively-challenged Braves (only 64.2 ppg; 329th nationally) have managed to defeat only lower-rung Drake since Jan. 12. |
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02-18-17 | Notre Dame -5.5 v. NC State | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Big-Dance bound ND (projected as a 6th seed) is still in the hunt for the coveted ACC reg.-season crown, so have no qualms laying several hoops vs. fading NC State, in the midst of a 6-game spread losing skein. The Wolfpack continues to be plagued by poor shot selection. And the NC State players might have some trouble staying fully focused following the recent dismissal announcement of 6th-year mentor Mark Gottfried, who’ll coach the rest of the season. Plus, expect more formful shooting from the solid DD-scoring senior Irish duo of 6-8 V.J. Beachem & 6-6 Steve Vasturia, who combined for only 9 of 26 from the field in their come-from behind 84-76 victory at feisty Boston College on Tuesday. |
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02-17-17 | California v. Stanford +3 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Don’t look for this one to be a thing of beauty. Cal, under Cuonzo Martin, has become the stingiest defense in the Pac-12, while Stanford is seeking a little rivalry revenge after a 66-55 loss in Berkeley 2½ weeks ago. But, in a grind-it out affair, any points could prove valuable for the home dog, especially now that 6-9 F Michael Humphrey, 6-5 swingman Dorian Pickens, and streak-shooting G Marcus Allen (20 points last game) have joined in helping 6-8, 245 Cardinal star Reid Travis (17.2 ppg, 8.6 rpg) more frequently on the offensive end. With the Bears less than dynamic on the attack, the value lies with the home dog. |
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02-17-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Arkansas State -6.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The post-Chris Beard decline at UALR has been a steep one, as the Trojans have disappeared from the Sun Belt radar in their current 2-8 nosedive, not to mention burning thru the money of any remaining backers since mid-December, dropping 12 of their last 16 vs. the number. Among several shortcomings has been an inability to identify a reliable second scoring threat beyond G Marcus Johnson, Jr. (14 ppg), the only DD scorer in Little Rock’s lineup. Meanwhile, Ark State remains in contention for the top seed in the fast-approaching Sun Belt Tourney, and star G Devin Carter (16,3 ppg) should be excited after scoring his league season high 28 in ASU’s earlier win over the Trojans Jan. 14. |
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02-17-17 | Illinois-Chicago +1 v. Detroit | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UIC (13-13) is fighting for a winning record and a possible 2nd-level postseason tourney, a decent goal for a team that was 5-25 LY. So will gladly buck defensively-soft, low-rung Detroit, yielding 85.7 ppg (345th nationally) & 50.6% from the field. The Flames’ precocious frosh backcourt duo of 6-4 G Tarkus Ferguson & 5-11 Godwin Boahen are looking forward to this trip to the Motor City after combining for 25 pts., 12 rebounds & 13 dimes in their wire-to-wire 78-64 win over the timid Titans Jan. 6. UDM will think twice about driving into the lane recalling how UCI’s springy 6-9, 210 jr. Tai Odaise (11.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg; 172 blocks L1+Ys) swatted away 8 shots in that earlier tilt. |
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02-16-17 | San Diego v. BYU -15.5 | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Payback time for BYU, which absorbed an 88-75 shock loss to DD dog USD at the Jenny Craig Pavilion on Jan. 14. Of course, that was a bit of revenge for the Toreros after being hammered by 58 the last time they played the Cougs a season ago. But not sure USD is going to recover from their recent humiliation at the hands of Saint Mary’s, as the Toreros lost their offense and scored only 27 points (for the entire game!). USD has been held below 50 [points on three occasions in recent weeks, with its offense failing to provide a consistent third option beyond top scorers F Brett Bailey (16.3 ppg) & G Olin Carter III (15.7 ppg), now carrying too much of the offensive burden. The 82-ppg Cougs have the offense to pull away and have plenty of blowout wins on their ledger this term, and absence of injured PG L.J. Rose not much of a negative with several other capable options avaialble for HC Dave Rose. 1 |
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02-16-17 | UTEP -4 v. North Texas | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until further notice, I'm inclined to ride Tim Floyd's surging UTEP, which has made a dramatic turnaround from earlier 12-game SU skid by winning 6 of last 8 SU, and covering last six, thru Feb. 10. Floyd's various junk defenses confounding recent foes who had scored only 58 ppg in recent 6-game stretch. Prior to Feb. 9 win at erratic FAU, the Mean Green had not won SU since before Christmas (Dec. 20 to be exact), and recent loss of jr. F Jeremy Combs with ankle injury leaves beleaguered UNT HC Tony Benford with just one DD scorer (frosh G A.J. Lawson at 11.1 ppg). |
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02-16-17 | UAB v. Marshall -3 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home-loving Marshall (8-1 as a favorite in Huntington) is delighted to be back on its home floor after three straight road games. Yes, defense is often optional for HC Dan D’Antoni’s Thundering Herd. But UAB has lost three straight on the road and is only 1-4 as a visiting dog. Quick-shooting Marshall (87 ppg) should get its uptempo offense going in this one and gradually outscore the visiting Blazers. |
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