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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois +5.5 v. Duke | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Huskies, this makes it 9 bowls in 10 years, missing only in last year's 5-7 mark, after opening at 0-4. This year's 8-4 record includes 48-17 & 63-17 outbursts vs Bowling Green & Ball State. However, it is NIU's "D" that is front-&-center, ranking 18th in total, & 10th vs the run, leading the nation in tackles for loss, & is 2nd in sacks. Duke counters with QB Jones' 2,439 yards (56%, but just 12/11), & a combined 1,403 rushing yards from Wilson & Brown. Check finals of 48-34, 52-48, 36-31, & 44-41 (OT) in Duke's recent bowl run. Should be wild. |
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12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia +7 | 30-14 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Grier sidelined, redshirt sophomore Chris Chugunov started the Mountaineers’ regular-season finale against Oklahoma and went 10-of-20 for 137 yards in the 59-31 road loss, but the team made strong use of the Wildcat formation, featuring reserve tailback Kennedy McKoy who ran for a career-high 137 yards and three TDs in the contest. White is the top offensive play-maker after combining for 212 receptions, 2,988 yards and 30 receiving TDs. Defensively, senior linebacker Al-Rasheed Benton led the way with 102 total tackles, including 13 for losses, but the Mountaineers struggled for the most part, allowing 31.6 points (92nd nationally) and 452.5 yards (110th) per game. |
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12-25-17 | Raiders v. Eagles -10 | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last of our 3 Super Bowl rematches (SB XV: 27-10 Raiders). If you discount the Donovan McNabb era, the Eagles have won exactly two playoff games since the Raiders destroyed the birds. For Philly, Foles is doing it again, clicking on 24-of-38 for 237 yards & 4 TDs (no picks). Have to hand it to this franchise for getting him back, but that "D" has allowed 29.3 points per game the last 3 weeks. Raiders are on a 1-7-2 ATS run on the road, & have topped 17 points in only 4 of their last 12 games. Eagles soar again. |
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12-25-17 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | 107-112 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston’s long win streak had to end sometime and the Lakers finally caught the Rockets flat last Wednesday. But James Harden & Co. had won 14 in a row SU prior (covering nine of those) and have been a lot better bargain than OKC, which has put forth the occasional big effort but still entered last Friday’s game vs. Atlanta having covered just 4 of its last 18 games. Chris Paul could miss this one for Houston with a groin strain, and while Rockets have only lost once with Paul available, they were winning a lot before he returned to active duty in mid-November, too. Curiously, Thunder have seemed to rise to occasion vs. the better teams this season, but have not been executing at the same level as Houston, which also took out OKC on playoffs last spring. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home team has won 11 straight in this series, and Boston is 9-0 SU and against the point spread the last 9 hosting the Wizards. The Celtics haven’t been covering a lot of numbers lately, but Washington had dropped 5 of 6 against he spread prior to visiting Brooklyn on Friday. Wiz G Bradley Beal is nursing a gimpy ankle, while Boston might have PF Marcus Morris back in action after he sat out 7 games (thru Dec. 21) with a sore knee. Celtics tied for league lead in defensive efficiency, and Celtic PG Kyrie Irving shifted into high gear, scoring 27.5 ppg and shooting 51.3% in first 10 games in December. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +9 | 34-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Steelers in off sickening loss to the Patriots, on a TD reversal in the closing seconds. Now they know, in all likelihood, that they'll have to travel to New England to get to the Super Bowl. Not only that, but the status of Brown's torn calf is beyond crucial. Another fine performance from Ben: 22-of-30 for 281 yards & 2 TDs, but killed by that end zone pick in the closing seconds. Texans have a 192-104 pt deficit since Watson went out, & Savage is doubtful. Pitt is 1-6 ATS as a chalk of more than 7 points this season |
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12-25-17 | 76ers v. Knicks -2.5 | 105-98 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Christmas extravaganza begins! The Knicks and Sixers kick off the 12½-hour NBA holiday feast for hoops junkies, and have to look at the home team in this one. The host won all four encounters last year, and the New York is 13-5 vs. the points at Madison Square Garden (7-1 as a favorite). Knick F Kristaps Porzingis returned to action on Thursday, and should be good to go considering the Knicks have had two days off. Philly C Joel Embiid should be available, which is a plus for the Sixers, but Philly is just 2-10 against the points in its last 12 games through Dec. 20. |
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12-24-17 | Houston v. Fresno State +2 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Well, it didn't take the Bulldogs of Fresno State long to right their ship, after last season's 1-11 debacle (0-10 windup), by hiring Jeff Tedford, who served as OC for Washington. This is not his first rodeo, either. He was HC of California from '02-'12, taking the Bears to bowls in 7 of this first 8 years, after inheriting a team fresh off a 1-10 campaign. Such a turnaround came with being named as Pac10 Coach of the Year in both '02, & '04. He has again worked his magic, this time by turning last year's 1-11 Fresno squad, into the above 9-4 log |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 | 21-12 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units He's back. The Cowboys have turned it all around, with 3 straight wins (+42½ pts ATS), following their futility in their first 3 games without Elliott (7, 9, 6 pts), thereby keeping their postseason dreams alive & well. Remember, they covered their last HG by 24 pts. Seahawks are in off their worst loss in Pete Carroll's eight seasons. Completely dominated from the opening whistle vs the Rams. Wilson: just 14-of-30, with 7 sacks. The 'Boys are 8-1 ATS off a pair of wins vs a non-division opponent. It's Dallas. |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars -4 v. 49ers | 33-44 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jags in off their 7th win in last 8 outings, thereby clinching a post-season spot for the first time since 2007. They were an NFL-worst 22-74 over the previous 6 years. Check Bortles with a season-high 326 yards & the best QB rating (143.6) of his career, in rout of the Texans. He is 7/0 over the last 3 years. And note the Jaguar "D" holding 8 foes to 10 points or less. Three straight wins for the Niners, but just 1 TD (6 FGs) in win over the Titans. Garoppolo a career-high 381 yards. But going gets tougher |
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12-24-17 | Lions -3 v. Bengals | 17-26 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Well, that's it for Marvin Lewis. He never won a playoff game, as this year's Cincy squad is sinking fast, with 33-7, 34-7 losses in their last 2 games. Dalton last week: 11-of-22 for 113 yards. Bengals didn't cross midfield vs Minny until the final 3 minutes of the 3rd. Lions need 'em all to have a shot at landing a Wild Card slot. No TOs for Stafford in win over the Bears He has thrown for 3,920 yards, along with 25 TDs, & only 9 picks, & the chalk is on a 7-0-2 ATS run in Detroit games. No other way here. |
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12-24-17 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -10 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let's see. A division sandwich for both teams (Buffalo sandwich for Dolphins). The Chiefs have shaken their previous trend in which the visitor was king, as the host is now on a 7-1 ATS run in KC games. They seem to have recaptured their early season brilliance (5-0 start), & have now taken control of the AFC West with LW's convincing rout of the red hot Chargers. Smith: another 2/0, so now at superb 25/5, while Hunt chipped in with 155 yards. Miami has a 144-54 pt deficit in its last 4 RGs. It continues. |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -7.5 | 34-0 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Just 2 setbacks for Toledo, who are led by a triad of quality performers: QB Woodside, who has 3,758 passing yards, 65%, & 28/5; RB Swanson: 1,319 yards, & 14 TDs; WR Johnson: 1,257 yards, & 13 TDs. At season's end Toledo was smoking. Recall leading Akron 38-0, in the dying seconds of the 3rd, in Rockets' 45-28 win in the MAC title game. Toledo is at 39.4 points per game in 5 of its 6 bowl games since '10. Have to see revenge playing an important factor in this. |
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12-23-17 | Army v. San Diego State -6.5 | 42-35 | Loss | -115 | 142 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Competitive is Army's middle name, with 2 of their 3 setbacks coming by just 4 & 3 points, although 5 of their wins came by only 4, 1, 5, 5, & 1 pt. In this one, their overland game will be put to the supreme test as San Diego State ranks 8th the land in containing the run, as well as 16th & 11th in scoring & total defense. They've out rushed their last 4 opponents, 1,442-182, including holding New Mexico's 250 rushing yards per game offense to 82 yards. And, when they are on the attack, they own the nation's top rusher, with Penny's 2,027 yards (19 TDs), on heels of last year's 1,018 yards, as 2nd banana to Pumphrey, who led the land in '16, with 2,133 rushing yards. Thus, military schools do not have a monopoly on the running game, especially vs the likes of this Aztec squad. And check QB Chapman at 1,848 passing yards. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -2.5 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 139 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Week There has only bee two teams that have outplayed every one of their opponents this season, the mighty Sooners of Oklahoma, & the unnoticed Bulls of South Florida. So, moving the ball has hardly been a problem, especially since the prolific Quinton Flowers took over the leadership role in '15. He has amassed 11,201 yards the past 3 years, with USF compiling a 28-9 SU record, while gracing the Miami Beach & Birmingham Bowls, prior to this year's defense of the latter bowl. His worth is nearly impossible to overstate. Just check USF's season finale game with a perfect Central Florida, where he piled up 503 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and 1 interception along with 102 rushing yards, tying it on an 83-yard TD pass in the final 1:41, only to lose on a TD return of the ensuing KO. This marks the Bulls' 3rd straight bowl game, & 9th in the last 13 years. The line on this one is a bit perplexing, as the balanced attack of the Bulls seems to more than counter Tech's one-dimensional offense |
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12-22-17 | Southern Illinois v. Nevada -12.5 | 64-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With lots of alums in Clark County, Nevada usually gets good support for its near-annual pre-league visits to tourneys in the Las Vegas area (as is this one at the Orleans Arena). And local Wolf Pack grads and other backers have been waiting to get a look at Eric Musselman’s latest edition that has only stumbled narrowly away from Reno vs. ranked Big 12 contenders Texas Tech and TCU. SIU not in that category, and moreover the Salukis are not inclined to slow the pace, which invites disaster vs. go-go Nevada side scoring 83 ppg and hitting nearly 50% from floor (and almost 41% beyond arc). Musselman’s most-recent batch of transfers (the Martin twins from NC State, and ex-Purdue wing Kendall Stephens) all scoring in DDs alongside high-energy F Jordan Caroline (18.3 ppg & 10 rpg). |
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12-22-17 | William & Mary v. TCU -20.5 | 75-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big 12 sources report unbeaten TCU not likely to lose steam once into conference play. Until then, might as well continue to ride the rampant Frogs and their smothering defense, which should completely wreck a W&M side not built to compete at this level and obliterated by 35 at Ohio State on Dec. 9. Jaime Dixon’s well-coordinated offense can also stretch floor effectively with its 42% accuracy beyond arc, not to mention all five Frog starters scoring in DDs. Note how TCU shares the ball (20 assists pg!), with heady soph PG Jaylen Fisher (6.3 apg) providing much of the top-notch service |
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12-22-17 | Hornets v. Bucks -5 | 104-109 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte ace G Kemba Walker’s shooting woes are becoming a worry for Hornet stand-in HC Stephen Silas. Walker is shooting just 36% overall and 27% on threes this month. Interestingly, Charlotte is just 3-7 SU and against the points since HC Steve Clifford decided to step away from the team for health reasons. Milwaukee has won 8 of 10 at home SU and covered 3 of L4 at the Bradley Center, including beating Cleveland on Wednesday, while the Hornets have covered just 3 of 13 road games. Home team won and covered first 2 in series this season and Walker was held to 6-15 shooting first trip to Milwaukee. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 143 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last year, the 'Boys (+10) staged a comeback in the Poinsettia Bowl, vs Byu, turning a 24-7 deficit with 7:40 left, into a 24-21 loss, thanks to a pair of late TD passes from Allen. They entered that contest with an 8-4 SU record, while on a 7-2 ATS run. Similarities galore, as they stand at an exact same 8-4 SU, while currently on a 7-2 ATS streak, losing SU, as 19-pt favorites, to 2-11 San Jose. They live via the turnover (+19: 2nd best in the land), on the arm of Allen. Site favors Wyoming, which has done itself proud the past 2 years. |
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12-22-17 | UL - Lafayette v. Clemson -11.5 | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With offense-minded ULL off six straight emotionally-engaged games vs. teams from the Bayou State, suggest “laying it” with defensively-sticky Clemson (62.9 ppg; 40.5% from the floor) gunning for its seventh consecutive victory before commencing ACC play on Dec. 30th. The tenacious Tigers limited SEC power South Carolina to 2 of 16 from downtown in their resounding 64-46 home victory on Tuesday. And doubt Ragin’ Cajuns can cool off CU’s hot-shooting 6-3 jr. wing Marcquise Reed (16 ppg; 40% from tripleville), who poured in 25 points vs. defense-hounding Gamecocks. |
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12-22-17 | UAB +8 v. Ohio | 6-41 | Loss | -115 | 139 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In '14, the school higher-ups crunched the numbers, deciding that football was just too expensive to maintain at UAB. Thankfully, they've done an about turn, while miraculously, making it to a bowl in their first year back. No, the Blazers haven't turned into world beaters, but have, unbelievably, made it to a bowl. Many experts pegged them as doormats, but they've posted 8 wins, comfortably gaining bowl eligibility in just their 9th game. Their schedule is rife with nail biters, with wins of 7, 1, 2, & 5 points, along with losses of 4 & 1 pt. Junior QB Erdely is their trigger, throwing for 2,077 yards, 62%, & 16/4, while running for 289 yards. And RB Brown: 1,292 yards & 10 TDs. Lean to the Dog in this one. |
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International +7.5 | 28-3 | Loss | -125 | 123 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Panthers of Florida International, this marks just their 3rd bowl in school history, while their 8-4 record matches their best ever. Butch Davis took over the reins following 5 straight losing years, on the heels of back-to-back bowls in '10 & '11. Much like the Owls, FIU topped the 17-pt mark in just 1 of its first 4 games, before turning it around, averaging 39.8 ppg in 5 of its final 6 outings, behind QB McGough: 2,791 yds, 65%, 17/8. Note that the dog has covered 8 of FIU's last 10 games. We'll try it once more. |
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12-21-17 | Bulls +10.5 v. Cavs | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Finally, after losing all four vs. Bulls last season, and failing to cover first meeting of this term at the “Q” on Oct, 24, Cavs finally let Chicago have it by 22 at United Center on Dec. 4 when shooting 52% from floor. But still a bit reluctant to lay heavy points with LeBron & Co. at home, where Cleveland was just 3-12 as chalk prior to hosting Lakers last Thursday. And Chicago has made a move in the past week with four SU wins and five covers in a row thru Dec. 14. Even as Cleveland was compiling its recent 13-game SU win streak, it was not always covering numbers (Cavs in fact only 2-5 vs. spread last seven thru Dec. 13). |
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12-20-17 | Kansas State -8.5 v. Washington State | 68-65 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wazzu’s early success at the Wooden Legacy at Fullerton during Thanksgiving week must seem like a dream to those in the Palouse, as the Cougs lost their three subsequent games, not coming close vs. UC Davis, Idaho, and a UTEP team that saw HC Tim Floyd retire a week or so before. Coug becoming a big 3-point crazy in recent slump, hoisting more than 30 triples pg while hitting barely 30% beyond arc. Ernie Kent’s bunch also having troubles on stop end, and figures to have its problems vs. Bruce Weber’s well-balanced K-State with its four DD scorers. Cats can balance the floor with front line scoring force in 6-10 PF Dean Wade, hitting 56% of his FG attempts. |
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech v. SMU -4 | 51-10 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mustangs of SMU, is in their first bowl under HC Morris, as their steady rise continues on schedule: 2-10, to 5-7, to 7-5. Led by QB Hicks, they are one of only two teams in the nation with a 3,000 yard passer, a 1,000 yard rusher (Jones), & two 1,000 yard receivers (Sutton & Quinn). This offense has now topped 36 points in 14 of its last 17 games. |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic -22.5 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 97 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This season, has seen Akron with a 6-2 regular season SU windup, thus making it into the MAC title game, despite ranking a lowly 118th in both rushing & total "O". Defensively? Try 97th. Not the case with the Owls, & head coach Lane Kiffin, who covered 7-of-9 down the stretch, while averaging 46.3 ppg in their last 9 outings, including that 41-17 rout of NoTexas in the Conference USA title game (12½ pt cover), with a 281-81 RY edge. Thus, FAU ranks 8th, 6th, & 13th in scoring, rushing, & total "O". They are led by the indomitable Singletary (CUSA's MVP) who has run for 1,976 yds & 29 TDs, while breaking 7 Owl single-season marks. Remember, the Zips trailed Toledo, 38-0, in the final seconds of the 3rd in their MAC title match with Toledo, before the Rockets called off the dogs. Whatever FAU wants this to be |
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12-18-17 | Texas-Arlington +9.5 v. Creighton | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fast-moving UT Arlington fully should love a frenetic-paced track meet with go-go Creighton (90.6 ppg) exerting less energy on the stop end, allowing 75.6 ppg. Hence, must give ringing endorsement to the road-proven Mavericks, a highly-profitable 29-12 as a visiting underdog since 2013-14, including 3-0 mark TY, with spread covers at BYU, Alabama & Northern Iowa. Anticipate a redemptive performance from UTA’s star 6-9 sr. F Kevin Hervey, who had an uncharacteristic six TOs in his team’s 85-78 home upset loss in early December to Florida Gulf Coast, projected to win the Atlantic Sun Conference TY. Upset possible, even in Omaha |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Raiders | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these squads are fighting for their playoff lives. Dak was splendid in the 'Boys' rout of the Giants. He was 20-of-30, for 332 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions and Dallas is a game back in Wild Card chase. Ditto the Raiders, who are a game behind both the Chiefs & Chargers in the AFC West. Oakland was held scoreless until the final 9 minutes of their 26-15 loss to KC (140-yard deficit). |
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12-17-17 | Cavs +2.5 v. Wizards | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers will carry their phenomenal run into a road-heavy portion of the schedule when they visit the Washington Wizards today. James recorded his third triple-double in four games and the 60th of his career in a 109-100 win over Utah on Saturday, the Cavaliers' 11th straight home victory and 17th in 18 overall contests. |
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12-17-17 | Titans +3 v. 49ers | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 2nd of 3 straight out of conference games for both of these squads. Titans in off holding the Cards without a TD, but still losing. Now find themselves looking up at the Jags in the NFC South, with Mariota tossing more picks than TDs this year (10/14). He was 6-of-16 for 60 yards & 2 picks in the 2nd half of that one. It wasn't all bad for the Titans, as their "D" had 8 sacks vs the Cards. This is a must win for the Titans |
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12-17-17 | Rams v. Seahawks -1 | 42-7 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one has huge implications on the NFL West. Last week, after a horrific 3 quarters, Seattle's Wilson again showed his magic in the 4th, with TD tosses of 61 & 74 yards. However, it wasn't enough to stop the up-&-coming Jags, as his 3 picks eventually did them in. Only the 3rd time in his career that has happened. Last week, the Rams put quite a beating on Wentz, in that loss to Philly, even before they knocked him out of the game. Goff: only 199 yards |
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12-17-17 | Penn State -11.5 v. George Mason | 72-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A-10 scouts worried that this could get ugly for GMU, whose roster limitations were laid bare last Tuesday by Sun Belt Georgia Southern, which rolled to 23-point win in Fairfax. Match-ups look even worse vs. Penn State, which owns much more size and athleticism than Patriots. Nittany Lions equipped to extend margin with their five DD scorers led by 6-5 soph G Tony Carr (20 ppg), who has emerged as one of Big Ten’s premier weapons, while stifling “D” has helped result in 7-2 “under” mark to date. Nittany Lions also almost guaranteed to be fully focused after overlooking Mason a year ago in shocking 19-point loss (!) at Happy Valley |
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12-17-17 | Vanderbilt v. Arizona State -10.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona State is off to its best start since 1974-75 and has climbed to its highest ranking since 1981 following a 95-85 win at then-No. 2 Kansas last Sunday. The Sun Devils have scored at least 90 points in seven of their nine games. Arizona State will be the fourth top-25 opponent this season for Vanderbilt, marking the most ranked foes the Commodores have faced in non-conference play since 1988. Vanderbilt is 0-3 in its previous matchups with ranked teams. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals v. Vikings -12 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bengals face their former defensive coordinator, Mike Zimmer, here. Dalton is off a horrible 141 passing yards (1/1), in their embarrassing loss to the 3-win Bears, being more than doubled in first downs & total yards. Cincinnati's worst home drubbing since a 34-3 loss to Baltimore in '08. Minnesota's 8-game winning streak is history, although the Vikings did come back from an 11-point 4th quarter deficit. Minnesota defense has held 8 of its last 11 foes under 18 points. |
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12-17-17 | Ravens -6.5 v. Browns | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sure, we all know that the Ravens are normally a defensive force (7th in the NFL), but they've sure opened up that offense over the past couple of months, with a 189-98 point edge in their last 6 games. So 38 points & 414 yards vs the Steelers' 3rd-ranked offense, in last week's 39-38 crusher. Can things get any worse for the Browns, who blew a 2-TD 2nd half lead over the Packers, losing in OT? Kizer: 3 TD passes, but a killer OT pick. Cleveland is 3-8 ATS as a home dog of more than 3½ points, & is averaging 11.6 points per game in their last 5 home games |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What a game for a national TV audience. The top spot in the NFL West is on the line. Total domination for the red hot Chargers, in their rout of the 'Skins: 24-9 first downs, 174-65 rushing yards, & 488-201 total yard edges. So 4 straight wins for the Bolts, with a 151-53 point edge. Rivers: another 319 passing yards (2 TDs: now 23/7), passing Warren Moon for 9th place on the all-time NFL passing yard list. KC in off snapping 4-game slide. In their last 15 AFC West games, the Chiefs have won 14. But an L.A. call here. |
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12-16-17 | Arizona -15 v. New Mexico | 89-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After a couple of early encouraging efforts vs. lesser opposition, New Mexico has looked very much like the rebuilding situation it was supposed to be this season for new HC Paul Weir. Now the assignments becomes more challenging for the Lobos as top scorer sr. G Sam Logwood (15 ppg) has taken a leave of absence from the team. All bad news vs. an Arizona side finally back at full strength with return of soph G Rawle Alkins, who saw 22 minutes of floor time in return game last Saturday vs. Alabama. Meanwhile, ballyhooed 7-1 frosh Deandre Ayton (21 ppg & 12 rpg) more than living up to the hype. This one looks like a complete mismatch at the Pit |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State +3.5 v. Arkansas State | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Middle Tennessee State Raiders, this one marks the 7th bowl game in HC Stockstill's era (6 in last 9 yrs), & 3rd straight ('15 Bahamas & 16's Hawaii: 45-31 & 52-35 losses: -9½ & -23 pt losses). They got here, thanks to a 3-1 windup (lone loss in OT), both SU & ATS, with a combined 115-75 pt edge. However, note that those four represent the return of QB Stockstill, after missing 6 games (shoulder injury), as he is the heart of this program, altho Urzua filled in capably during his absence. In those bowl losses, the past 2 years, he has thrown for 759 yds & 7 TDs (3 picks). His return has been an elixir, so we back the squad which finished on a positive note. |
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12-16-17 | Marshall v. Colorado State -3.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Rams of Colorado State, this marks their 5th consecutive bowl season, which matches the longest such streak in school history (2-3 both SU & ATS from '99 thru '03). Currently, HC Bobo is the only coach in Ram history, to reach a bowl game in each of his first 3 seasons, with 3 of his first 4 resulting in 48-45, 28-23, & 61-50 finals. By the way, that 48-45 win in the '13 New Mexico Bowl represented one of the greatest comebacks in both CSt & bowl history, as the Rams overcame 22-pt deficit, scoring 11 pts in the last 33 seconds (FG at the gun). |
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12-16-17 | Oregon -7 v. Boise State | 28-38 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hebert's return has Oregon with a 117-38 pt edge the L2 games (+51 pts ATS). So OU is at 52.4 ppg with Herbert under center. RB Freeman just continues on (1,475 yds & 16 TDs), with the 'Ducks ranking 8th in overland production. A dangerous team, to be sure. For the Broncos of Boise State, this makes it 16 straight bowl years. Although not as overwhelming as some seasons, this is nonetheless their 15th double digit win campaign in the last 19 years. Rypien is a steadying hand at QB (63.5% & 14/4), while the Broncos come in at 22nd in total "D". However, their leading rusher, Mattison, is questionable, with an ankle injury, which can't help. |
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12-16-17 | Georgia -3.5 v. Massachusetts | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UMass still in an adjustment phase under 1st-year HC Matt McCall (former Chattanooga HC). So, must give full support to seasoned UGa (4 starters back), which has already notched a signature road win in 73-66 upset victory at Marquette in early December. Minutemen’s over-eager 6-11, 300-pound C Rashaan Holloway (disqualified twice already) likely to find himself in early foul trouble vs. the Dawgs’ solid forecourt, featuring NBA prospect 6-8 sr. F Yante Maten (18.5 ppg, 9.4 rpg). Meanwhile, UGa’s deep-shooting 6-4 jr. PG William Jackson II (13 ppg; 32 of 70 from distance; 46%) can stretch out the UMass “D’ with his deadly 3-point marksmanship. Unbalanced UMass overly-dependent on 5-11 soph G Lawane Pipkins (19 ppg), who is the sole Minuteman averaging DD-scoring |
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12-16-17 | Notre Dame -6.5 v. Indiana | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nice to see these two get together again and renew an old rivalry that really bubbled in the early and mid ’70s when Bob Knight and Digger Phelps were at the height of their respective powers. Current Irish HC Mike Brey will recall his Irish blowing a game vs. Hoosiers here in Indy two years ago and should have troops primed to avoid a repeat, as ND’s “smallball” featuring hard-to-cover 6-6 F Bonzie Colson (19.5 ppg) gives IU fits. Hoosiers have other defensive concerns with Irish hitting 51% from floor, and it’s still adjustment time for new IU HC Archie Miller, whose team has already lost five times and continues to look to replace several departed key cogs such as G James Blackmon, C Thomas Bryant, and & OG Aninoby, all DD scorers. Hoosiers only 32% triples, also well down from LY’s 38%. |
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12-16-17 | Georgia State v. Western Kentucky -6.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers of Georgia State entered this season with a combined 11-49 SU log over the previous 5 seasons, altho they did make it to this bowl with '15's 6-6 regular season record (3-9 LY). But 16 returning starters, including QB Connor, has them here, with a 6-5 record. However, those 6 wins came at the expense of squads with a combined log of 16-56. Panthers rank 117th in both scoring & rushing "O", so not much help for Connor |
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12-16-17 | Northwestern -4.5 v. DePaul | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With NW needing every pre-conference win to bolster its Big Dance portfolio, strongly recommend veteran Wildcats, who’ve regained their grittiness following a sluggish start to the 2017 campaign. DePaul will have trouble coping with NW’s balanced attack (four players avg. in DDs), smartly directed by unflappable sr. floor leader Bryant McIntosh (14 ppg, 5.8 apg). Erratic-shooting Blue Demons have difficulty playing catch-up, canning only 6.2 triples pg at 31.2%. Plus, Chris Collins’ Cats will have plenty of crowd support in Chicago land, with loyal NW fans gladly making the short 14-mile drive from Evanston. |
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12-16-17 | Oklahoma State v. Florida State -6 | 71-70 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since quick-reloading, nationally ranked, explosive FSU (87.1 ppg) is a perfect 7-0 vs. the spread TY, must buck depth-shy OSU, now that 1st-year HC Mike Boyton recently dismissed two contributing players, 6-5 jr. wing Davon Dillard & highly-regarded 6-3 frosh G Zack Dawson. Cowboys won’t be afforded many open looks vs. defensively sticky Seminoles, permitting only 37.5% from the field, while collecting more than six bpg (15th). Additionally, FSU’s respected HC Leonard Hamilton thrilled with the dramatic evolvement of late-blooming 6-6 sr. G Brian Angola-Rodas, who has bumped his scoring avg. from 4.6 ppg LY to 12.7 TY |
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12-16-17 | North Texas v. Troy -7 | 30-50 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is a huge gap on "O" as leading RB W lson (1,215 yards, 6.5 ypr, 16 TDs) is highly doubtful, after sustaining an ankle injury in a 52-49 win (FG in L 0:05) over Army, despite a 534-103 RY deficit (Fine: 4 TD passes). LY, the Green (+10½) lost 38-31 in OT to Army in the Heart of Dallas bowl. Trojans enter on a 6-game winning streak, making it to this bowl for the 3rd time in 10 years, & they've taken the measure of the Green in 7 of their last 8 meetings since '05. The deciding factor here, has to be the loss of Wilson |
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12-15-17 | Nets +12.5 v. Raptors | 87-120 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn has been on a very positive spread run (13-4 last 17 overall; 9-2 in last 11 on the road). At the same time, Toronto has won 8 straight against Brooklyn (6-2 vs. the points), while the Raptors are coming home to Air Canada Centre after spending 10 days on the road. Meanwhile, the improving Nets are out rebounding and out shooting their opponents over the last 10 games. Brooklyn played New York last night, but Nets covered 3 of first 4 when unrested. Brooklyn HC Kenny Atkinson is getting the most out of his team, and Nets are playing much-improved defense on the road, cutting 5 ppg of last season’s allowance. |
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12-13-17 | Thunder v. Pacers -1.5 | 100-95 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It was one of those handful of nights in the first two months of this season that everything went right for Oklahoma City when it rolled past Indiana 114-96 at the Peake back on Oct. 25. Curiously, the one piece of the Thunder puzzle that didn’t contribute much was Paul George (check status with calf), who scored only 10 vs. his former team, though ‘Melo and Russell Westbrook each scored 28 to more than offset a big 35-point effort from Indy’s ex-Thunder wing Victor Oladipo. Since then, however, Oklahoma City has proven unreliable and took a 1-8 spread mark its last nine into Dec. 7 game vs. Brooklyn in Mexico. Meanwhile, Pacers had won and covered 8 of last 11 into last Friday vs. Cavs, as Oladipo has continued to fire away (27 ppg and 59% FG shooting last week). Will George’s return to his old stomping ground light a fuse beneath underachieving Thunder? |
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12-13-17 | Villanova -8.5 v. Temple | 87-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In Nova’s re-emergence into nation’s elite status, Jay Wright has not forgotten about taking care of business at home...lest any Philly area rivals believe they are making up ground on Cats. Wright has thus made sure that Nova has been at its best vs. local Big Five foes, already walloping Penn by 28 and St. Joe’s by 41 before facing LaSalle on weekend. But Wright has saved some of better recent efforts vs. area foes for Temple, which was ripped by 21 last season and has lost by DD margins the past six vs. Nova, and not closer than 15 points the last six meetings. Emergence of jr. G Phil Booth (16 ppg last four thru Dec. 8) has given Wright a reliable third scoring option beyond jr. Gs Mikal Bridges & Jalen Brunson (combining for better than 36 ppg). |
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12-12-17 | Spurs v. Mavs +6 | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a light now at the end of the tunnel regarding Kawhi Leonard’s lingering quad injury , San Antonio might finally be back to at full strength. In the meantime, Dallas continues to offer resistance vs. Spurs, covering first two match ups this season after taking 3 of 4 vs. number a year ago. Rick Carlisle again making lemonade from the lemons on his Dallas roster, as Mavs have won SU in 4 and covered spread in 6 of last 7 thru Dec. 7. Even at advanced age, Dirk Nowitzki learning some new tricks (he’s turned into one of the best screeners in the league this season!), and like a year ago, Mavss showing signs of ripening after a rotten start. Recent S.A. covers at Memphis and Ok City only upped Spur road spread mark to 4-7 this season. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots -10 v. Dolphins | 20-27 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In both '13 & '15, Pats lost here late in the year, to relinquish home field to the Broncos. Both of those seasons ended with the Patriots losing the AFC title game in Mile High. Will history repeat, as they battle Steelers for home field advantage? Nope. Eight straight wins for New England, holding all 8 opponents below 18 pts. Contrast that to Miami in off snapping 5-game losing streak (allowing 34.2 ppg in that run). Pats took Dolphins, 35-14 here last year, as well as winning 35-17 in their earlier '17 meeting. Once again. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens v. Steelers -4.5 | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What a great series this has been in the 21st century, having played some classic battles, both in the regular season, & in the playoffs. The Ravens live via their defense (7th), & the TO (1st at +14), as their offense ranks ahead of only Tampa in the NFL. Check a point edge of 150-59 in their last 5 games, with Flacco finally even in TD/INT ratio (11/11). The Steelers are in off their Monday battle with the Bengals, & are the match for Ravens' "D" (4th) but also coming in at 7th on "O". Forget revenge factor. |
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12-10-17 | Mavs v. Wolves -8 | 92-97 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota cruised to a pair of win-and cover efforts against Dallas earlier this season, leading by 24 points. in the 4th Q before barely holding on for the cover with a 112-99 decision laying 12½ in Minnesota. The Timberwolves overcame a 12-point halftime deficit in Dallas Nov. 17, outscoring the Mavs 68-32 in the second half to pull away. Minnesota C Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 23 ppg on 57% shooting, while F Andrew Wiggins scored 21 points per game and shot 55% against the Mavs. |
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12-10-17 | Jets -1 v. Broncos | 0-23 | Loss | -117 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It just continues to amaze. How the Broncos could come from Super Bowl winners, to their current state is nearly impossible to grasp. An absolutely astounding 0-8 SU & ATS slide with a deficit of 241-108 points. I keep rewriting it, but it just extends their worst run in 50 years. Last week, they managed 9 points vs a Dolphin team that gave up 205 points in their prior 6 games (34.2 ppg). A 3-game stranglehold on the cellar of the AFC West. The Jets are in off posting 30 first downs & a time edge of 42:49-17:11 in win over Kansas City |
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12-10-17 | Celtics v. Pistons +2 | 91-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams coming off tough games, as Boston was in San Antonio Friday and Detroit hosted Golden State. The Celtics own the best spread record in the league, although they’ve cooled to 4-4 vs. the number in the last few weeks. Detroit has been reliable at home this season, settling in nicely at the Pistons’ brand-new Little Caesars Arena. Detroit put one of the blemishes on the Celtic record two weeks ago in Boston when Detroit F Tobias Harris made 11 of 16 shots and led all scorers with 31, while C Andre Drummond had 26 points. & 22 rebounds the 118-108 upset win. With Boston starters Jaylen Brown (eye) and PF Marcus Morris (soreness) not 100%, gladly side with home team. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings -2.5 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 might end up playing each other in January. This is the last of a brutal 3-game road trip for Minnesota, who just keep on winning, with their current SU run now at 8-0, with accompanying 7-1 ATS mark (only miss by ½ pt). Keenum in off yet another fine performance: 25-of-30, in throttling of the Falcons, allowing no touchdowns. Panthers covered their last home game by 16 points, but note the visitor is on an 11-4 ATS run in Carolina games |
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12-10-17 | Packers -3 v. Browns | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Another one of those "old school" classic NFL match ups: Brown, Hornung, Lombardi, etc. Well, you might know. Just 10 points for the Browns at the Chargers, but still managed to cover (to our dismay) a 2-touchdown spot vs a team which had scored 82 points in its previous 2 outings. Two more turnovers, so Cleveland leads the NFL (-19) in the all-important category. |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | 30-10 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Hard to believe that this one may end up being meaningless in the NFC playoff race (notice time change). Will Eli get the start, after seeing his streak of 210 games end last week, to Geno Smith, of all people. Cowboys got their first win without Zeke on Thursday night behind Morris' 127 RYs, & Dak got his first TD pass since Nov 5th, but still just 102 passing yards. And Dez broke Bob Hayes' club record for TD grabs (74). Dallas is 3-11 ATS as a division road favorite off a double digit SU win, vs an opponent off a SU setback |
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12-09-17 | Rockets -9.5 v. Blazers | 124-117 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston finished 12-1 in November, partially fueled by return to action of PG Chris Paul. The Rockets were 8-0 SU and 6-2 vs. the number when Paul had played prior to visiting Utah on Thursday. Blazers have been headed in a downward spiral since making a quick start, logging a 5-14-1 spread mark in its last 20 games. Rocket leader G James Harden and HC Mike D’Antoni want to “make hay while the sun shines” and extend its lead over Golden State while Steph Curry is sidelined |
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12-09-17 | Washington State -1 v. UTEP | 69-76 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Forward Robert Franks was the lone Cougars player to score in double figures (16 points) against Idaho, and he’s pacing the squad at 19.9 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. Sophomore guard Malachi Flynn (16.8 points) is the only player averaging double figures, but he’s totaled 28 points over the last two contests while losing eight turnovers and committing five fouls. Overall, the Cougars are in need of some better starts as they fell behind Idaho 22-6 scarcely five minutes into Wednesday’s game and have trailed by 17 and 19 at the half, respectively, in their last two contests. The Miners dropped six straight after a season-opening win and along the way lost six-year veteran coach Tim Floyd, who abruptly announced his retirement Nov. 27 following a 66-52 defeat to Lamar. |
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12-09-17 | Marshall v. Toledo -5.5 | 93-87 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marshall continues to show little interest in getting stops away from home, evidenced by its 114-104 setback at rebuilding Colonial rep William & Mary, its last away game on Nov. 29. Hence, eager to lay several hoops with uptempo UT, which drills 10.1 triples pg @ nearly 39%. Rockets’ hard-to-guard 6-7 wing Tre’Shaun Fletcher (18 ppg; team high 35 assists) has quickly found a home after transferring from Colorado, while improved 6-11 soph C Luke Knapke (12 ppg, 6 rpg; 16 blocks) will continue to be a force in the paint area vs. the Herds’ shorter, nondescript forecourt. Payback works for Rockets, who hit only 16 of 29 foul shots in LY’s aggravating 111-105 OT loss in Huntington. |
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12-09-17 | Heat v. Nets +2 | 101-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn probably more acclimated to the altitude in Mexico City than Miami after playing here on Thursday and seeing the sights yesterday. However, the Heat are stepping down in class after being beaten by Golden State and San Antonio in last two games. Miami has won 12 of the last 13 against the Nets, covering 10 of the last 11, but altitude might slow Heat in 2nd half, and C Hassan Whiteside didn’t make this road trip. Brooklyn has been on a roll of late, covering 8 of its last 9 overall and 8 of L9 away from home prior to facing Oklahoma City here Thursday. Addition of C Jahlil Okafor can’t hurt the Nets. |
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12-09-17 | Wizards -2.5 v. Clippers | 112-113 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After starting the season 4-0, a series of injuries pushed Los Angeles into a 4-15 nosedive. Washington took a serious injury of its own, losing PG John Wall for an indefinite period with a knee injury, but the Wizards have won 3 of last 5 (4-1 vs. the points) and G Tomas Satoransky has contributed double figures in his share of Wall’s minutes, and is shooting 57% in the last 5 games prior to visiting Phoenix (50% beyond the arc). Conversely, when the Clips lost PF Blake Griffin, the bottom fell out and they’ve lost all four (1-3 vs. the number) since. If Wizards can win in Portland and Minnesota in the last week, they can put a torpedo in the listing Clipper ship |
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12-09-17 | Army +3 v. Navy | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As we have noted these past recent years, moving this classic meeting to this date, has been a stroke of genius, thereby according these combatants the proper respect & attention that they so richly deserve, especially after being pretty much ignored, as just another contest on the weekly slate. The Middies owned the Cadets, with their last loss in this rivalry coming on Dec 1, 2001. But Army snapped that 14-game losing skein to Navy, with LY's dominating 21-17 win, as 5½ pt dogs. Right, "dominating" may not seem the proper descriptive of a 4-pt edge, but check Knights' 316-112 RY edge, as well as a 40:32-19:28 time edge. This year, they rank 1st & 2nd in the land in rushing offense. Against AF, Army won 21-0, with a 392-95 RY edge, while Navy won 48-45, with a 471-340 RY edge. Army is 5-1 ATS vs Mids of late |
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12-09-17 | Western Michigan -5.5 v. Detroit | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit, which has only managed to defeat talent-thin Div.II programs thus far, is still in a sieve on the stop end, permitting a whopping 92.1 ppg (349th). So, willing to lay a short price with veteran WMU, making the relatively short 140-mile bus ride to the Motor City. Broncos’ explosive, sharp-shooting 6-3 sr. G Thomas Wilder (19.2 ppg; 48% from deep) should go wild, while springy 6-5 sr. G Josh Davis (9 ppg; team high 49 rebounds) gets plenty of put-back opportunities vs. poor-boarding Titans, ranked a wretched 328th in rebound margin (-6.2 rpg). |
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12-08-17 | TCU v. Nevada +2 | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nevada’s unbeaten start to the season ended painfully on Tuesday at Lubbock when Wolf Pack blew late lead at Texas Tech and lost in OT. That prevented this one from becoming a battle of the unbeatens, as TCU brings 9-0 SU mark into Staples. And though Frogs have some impressive wins in past two weeks, they now face a foe that won’t at all mind playing at the faster pace that Jamie Dixon prefers. Nevada also has the size on perimeter to deal with TCU wings 6-5 Desmond Bane & 6-7 Kenrich Williams, both scoring at 14 ppg. Match-up problem for Frogs will be Pack’s high-energy 6-7 post threat Jordan Caroline (17 ppg), who should be hellbent to atone for season-low 6-point output in bitter midweek loss vs. Red Raiders. |
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12-08-17 | Colorado State v. Oregon -15 | 65-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units U of O in a very chippy mood after its long-standing 46-home win streak was snapped in 73-70 setback to surging Boise State last Friday. So, with 6 days to stew over that painful loss, look for determined Ducks to quickly get back on track vs. defensively-soft CSU, allowing 76.4 ppg (257th). Aggressive U of O defense should help fuel transition game vs. mistake-prone Rams, ranked a lowly 303rd in TO margin. Foresee a huge performance from Ducks’ skillful sr. G Elijah Brown (New Mexico transfer; 13 ppg), who hit only 6 of 15 from the field vs. Broncos. Rams likely fall to 0-3 as a visiting underdog after this anticipated double digit loss. |
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12-08-17 | Mavs +7.5 v. Bucks | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas hung a 32-point beat down on Milwaukee at American Airlines Center in first meeting this season, marking the Mavs’ 9th series win in the last 10 meetings. Dallas is playing well of late, posting a 4-3 SU record and 6-1 spread mark in its last 7. The Mavs are out shooting foes from beyond the arc lately and have covered L4 visiting Eastern Conference foes. The Bucks appear overrated based on their 6-11 spread mark since Halloween, and don’t fancy laying points with Jason Kidd’s bunch on revenge alone. |
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12-08-17 | St. John's v. Arizona State -5.5 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is Chris Mullin’s best team at St. John’s, but the Red Storm is still far from a finished product. Its offensive sets are often breaking down into Gs Shamorie Ponds (20.2 ppg, but only 23% triples) and Marcus LoVett (15 ppg) going rogue, with the latter’s status ? due to twisted ankle that has kept him out of last two games. More shine to the undefeated ASU ornament at moment, as go-go Sun Devils (also six straight covers) scoring at 93 ppg clip while shooting better than 53% from floor. Bobby Hurley now has some real front line scoring threats in 6-8 RS frosh OF Romello White (16 ppg & 69% from floor) & 6’10 juco De’Quon Lake (11 ppg and 79% Fgs!) to complement holdover hotshot Gs Tra Holder (22 ppg) & Shannon Evans (19 ppg). 1 |
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12-08-17 | Bulls v. Hornets -9.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte has covered 7 of first 8 as a home favorite, with G Kemba Walker scoring 24 ppg this season at the Spectrum Center. The Bulls are just 1-12 SU on the road this season and are only 2-6 vs. the points in their last 8 as a visitor, and potential return of PF Nikola Mirotic isn’t going to turn Chicago around |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +6 | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After beating Golden State back on Oct. 29, Stan Van Gundy’s Detroit side is 2-2 SU and 3-1 vs. the points in last 4 vs. the Warriors after losing the previous 9 straight in the series. This time around the Pistons catch G.S. without PG Steph Curry (out several weeks with an ankle injury), and possibly without PF Draymond Green (iffy with a sore shoulder). Revenge would work a lot better if Golden State was healthy, and the Pistons have covered 59% of the time at home the last 2+ seasons. |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons +1 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the beginning of some huge match ups in the NFL this weekend. Back in the '90's, taking the road team in this series was gold. Falcons came from averaging 33 points per game in previous 3 outings, to just 3 field goals in 14-9 loss to Minnesota. First time since in 2 years that the Falcons went without a TD, & Ryan's 30-game run with at least 1 TD pass, is now history. Saints 1-game up on Carolina, with last weeks balanced win (Ingram & Kamara: 145 rushing yards). So New Orleans is now at 31.2 points per game in their last 10 games. |
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12-06-17 | Nuggets v. Pelicans -4.5 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A little payback should be on the plate for New Orleans after being victimized by one of the season’s most puzzling scorelines on Nov. 17 at Pepsi Center when Nuggets dropped a 146-114 bomb on the Pels. New Orleans stopped playing “D” in second half that night when Denver rolled up 82 points en route to 63% FG shooting! All starters in double figures for Nuggets led by Jamal Murray’s 31 points. But that was one of the last games Paul Millsap was active for Denver, and minus him the Nuggets have absorbed some beatings on the road, losing by 30 at Houston and 29 at Utah. The Nuggets were bottom ten-ranked in both offense and defense in the first four games that Millsap missed, so Pels couldn’t have picked a better time to seek their revenge |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 71 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As usual, the Buckeyes of Ohio State have been in the mix for the collegiate playoff for just about the entire season, that is, until their 55-24 loss to Iowa, a 49-point ATS loss. So 2 losses & now 8th in the national polls. Despite that, can't help but note that they rank 5th & 4th in scoring & total offense, as well as 20th & 8th in scoring & total defense. No doubt still an obvious force, especially with Meyer on the sidelines. But the 2nd-ranked Badgers just win (11-0). Are 1st, 2nd, 2nd, 1st in run, pass, scoring, total defense, with solid combination in their backfield: seasoned QB in Hornibrook & nation's 3rd ranked rusher, in frosh Taylor. |
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12-02-17 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -9.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 70 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sure, the defending national champs aren't on the same page as last year's edition, offensively, that is. After all, there is only one Deshaun Watson (just ask the Houston Texans). However, defensively, they have few, if any, peers. A week ago, for example, it seemed as if the entire football world was on South Carolina, as a home dog vs CU. Result: 34-10 Tiger win, with a 27-10 first down edge. The 'Canes came crashing down in last weeks shocking loss to Pitt & its 86th ranked defense, managing a mere 14 first downs & 45 rushing yards. Miami has been streaky all season (+52 points ATS previous 2, but -26 points ATS last 2). Tigers! |
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12-02-17 | Memphis v. Central Florida -7 | 55-62 | Push | 0 | 62 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Match of the nation's top 2 scoring teams. The Tigers of Memphis did about as expected in last week's 70-13 destruction of East Carolina's sieve defense, with nearly a 300-yard edge. Memphis, behind QB Ferguson, is averaging 44.2 points per game in its last 5 outings, thus, the Tigers are the real deal. Only 1 loss. Right, that setback came at the hands of this week's opponent, in that 40-13 final in Sept. I've been on the undefeated Knights since the season's beginning, reaping a nice reward, and I'm not about to change. |
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12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 46 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second meeting for these 2 annual giants, with Trojans dominating first match, with over 300 yards in both rushing & passing. However, that meeting occurred in week 2, before Cards got in groove, while Troy followed with 6 straight ATS losses, with QB Darnold out of sync. But a solid windup, before squeaking past defenseless Ucla. Love is #2 in the land in rushing (168 yards per game; 8.6 yards per rush). Pac-12 North is 6-0 in title games. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins -1.5 v. Cowboys | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the 13th straight year, the NFC East will not have a repeat champion, which is truly amazing. Guess McNabb wasn't so bad after all. Third straight home game for the 'Boys, but little seems to matter, as this team has lost its last 3 games, by a combined score of 90-22 (-61 points ATS) with just 1 touchdown in its last 11 quarters. Check Dak with 5 picks in last 2 games. He threw only 4 a year ago. Another? Okay. Outscored 72-6 in 2nd half of those 3. Redskins a dangerous team, holding Giants to 7 first downs last week. I cannot back "Big D" |
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11-30-17 | 76ers +9 v. Celtics | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Boston win streak had grown to a Bird-McHale-like 16 in a row into last Wednesday vs. the Heat. Though this one still intrigues a bit because of Philly’s stirring. Remember, the Celtic win streak began way back on Oct. 20 at Wells Fargo Center, when Boston tied up both Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons (each held to only 11 points) in 102-92 win. But a bit more characteristic production from Embiid and/or Simmons could get Sixers (7-2 as dog through Nov. 26) closer in rematch. |
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11-30-17 | Notre Dame +6 v. Michigan State | 63-81 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maybe Mike Brey brings Coley O’Brien and Rocky Bleier along for moral support in East Lansing. But Brey’s “small-ball” working just fine in the early going, as LSU found out in Maui when the Fighting Irish burned the nets at 52% and drubbed the Tigers by 39. ND’s mobile 6-6 sr. PF Bonzie Colson (20.3 ppg in early going) could prove awkward for MSU bigs, especially touted 6-11 frosh Jaren Jackson, jr., who is having a devil of a time staying out of foul trouble (4 or 5 whistles in first three games) in November. Tom Izzo justifiably worried about protecting the glass (Duke 25 offensive caroms in recent Blue Devil win at Chicago) and with sloppiness (Spartans 17 TOs pg first three), not to mention recent twisted ankle suffered by star 6-7 soph wing Miles Bridges. |
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11-28-17 | Illinois +3 v. Wake Forest | 73-80 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Slow start at Wake, as the early departure to NBA of do-everything 6-10 John Collins has changed the Deacon dynamics. Yet to pick up the baton has been expected new go-to guy G Bryant Crawford, who’s taking the most shots of his career while shooting the lowest field goal percentage (34.9) in his three years. Danny Manning’s troops dropped 4 of their first 5, with two losses coming against a pair of teams (Liberty & Drake) ranked outside the top 150 on KenPom.com, (Liberty, Drake). Manning must stop this slide soon as Wake was playing its way out of the NCAA tournament pool before Thanksgiving. Meanwhile, new HC Brad Underwood already working some of his magic with the Fighting Illini, 4-0 out of the chute with handy wins over capable DePaul & Marshall, while tallying 88 ppg with five DD scorers led by emerging 6-7 jr. F Leron Black (15.5 ppg). |
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11-28-17 | Baylor v. Xavier -4.5 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big East challenger, high-powered & deadly gunning Xavier (94.5 ppg; 56.8% FGs) has been pining for rematch ever since stinging 76-61 setback in Waco last year, when defensively-stingy Musketeers (63.5 ppg) uncharacteristically suffered a nearly nine-minute drought without a FG. Therefore, have no qualms at all laying short price vs. BU bunch on the road for the first time facing loaded, veteran X-Men, spearheaded by future NBA draftee 6-6 sr. G Trevon Bluiett (25 ppg & 55% from arc; 6.8 rpg). Watch for a crowd pleasing, redemptive performance from Bluieitt’s complementary back court mate 6-5 sr. J.P. Macura, who hit a career-worst 2 of 16 from the field vs. the Bears. Payback is sweet at the Cintas Center. |
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11-26-17 | Texas A&M v. USC -2 | 75-59 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In a match-up we might see again in March, A&M seeking revenge for late blown lead last November at College Station. And while Ags have done absolutely nothing wrong while surging into the national rankings after their 4-0 break from the gate, match-ups are a bit tricky vs. SC, which has the size and mobility along the front line with NBA bound 6-10 Bennie Boatwright & 6-11 Chimezie Metu to cause uncommon angst for A&M 6-10 bigs Robert Williams & Tyler Davis, who usually aren’t looking at their opponents at eye level. Trojans in midst of making a fortress out of home Galen Center and have already shown they can come out of the crucible with a W, as recent rally from 10 down to win in OT at Vandy suggests. |
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11-26-17 | Nets v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 98-88 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn had a chance in the fourth quarter in each of its last three games - losses to the Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers and Trail Blazers - but could not make the necessary plays down the stretch. The bright spot for Memphis continues to be center Marc Gasol, who showed off his wide range of skills with a career-high 14 assists on Friday. However, the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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11-26-17 | Cal-Irvine v. UCLA -14.5 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If semi-rebuilding UC Irvine was unable to slow down Arizona State in 99-78 setback in Tempe last Sunday, doubt the Anteaters will impede a loaded, fast-paced UCLA quintet, buoyed by come-from-behind 72-70 upset win over Big Ten juggernaut Wisconsin in Kansas City on Tuesday. Bruins, who had five DD-scorers vs. Badgers, showing more toughness on the stop end, allowing a meager 5 of 22 from the arc vs Wisconsin. UCI will have no holiday defending UCLA’s dynamic 6-1 jr. G Aaron Holiday (17 ppg, nearly 6 apg),while highly-touted 6-3 G Jaylen Hands (12 ppg; 54% from 3-point line) displaying a deadly shooting eye. |
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11-26-17 | Jaguars -5 v. Cardinals | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Visitor continues to shine in Jag games, covering 7-of-8. Gift cover for Jacksonville at Cleveland, on a recovered end zone fumble in final 1:14. Fourth straight win for Jags, in sole possession of first place in AFC South, holding 6 opponents to 7 points or less. So lead division after 10 games, for 1st time since 1999. And 5 more takeaways for league's top ranked defense. Check Cards' Gabbert with 257 passing yards and career-high 3 touchdowns in his first start of the season. However, Arizona is allowing 30 points per game in their 6 underdog roles this year |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 69 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hard to believe that only 3 years ago, this may have been the best rivalry in the league. Just goes to show you what a great coach Jim Harbaugh is. For the Niners, the slump is over. They have won. Should have happened weeks ago, but it was nice to see Kyle Shanahan get his first W. Note that Goodwin's 83-yd catch was the longest touchdown for the 49ers, since Kaepernick's 90-yard run 4 years ago. San Francisco is 2-10 ATS vs Seattle, as well as 0-5 ATS off its bye |
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11-26-17 | Heat v. Bulls +6.5 | 100-93 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. While the Heat are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. To top it off, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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11-26-17 | Suns +11.5 v. Wolves | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota will remember the Nov. 11 loss in Phoenix and be out for revenge. Timberwolf defenders mostly stood and watched as Phoenix G Devin Booker and F T.J. Warren burned Minnesota counterparts Andrew Wiggins and Jimmy Butler repeatedly, scoring 35 points. each in a 118-110 upset. Sun defense the worst in the league, allowing 116 points per game. Expect Minnesota coach Tom Thiboudeau to give his men an earful about defense before this one...but how many is too many? |
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11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles -13.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A Dallas/Seattle sandwich for the Eagles. But does it matter? Are now on an 8-0 SU run, as well as a 7-0 ATS skein. A week ago, it was simply stunning how Philly turned a brutal first half war (9-7 deficit) into a 37-9 blowout. Averaging 32 points per game, with Wentz at a brilliant 25 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions. And how about its top-ranked run defense? One of Fox's greatest moments came here in the '03 NFC Title game, when his Panthers upset Reid's Eagles. Bears on 4-1-1 ATS run, but can they slow down the Eagles? Until it changes I say "No"! |
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11-26-17 | Bucs v. Falcons -9.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 66 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Finally a road win for the Bucs, who had dropped 6 straight as visitors, although their win over Miami's feeble offense (#31) saw Tampa with a 448-321 yard deficit (5-0 turn over edge). And before that one, note that the Bucs had allowed 34, 38, 30, & 30 points in the visiting role. So now must go it vs last years NFC champs. The Falcons entered their Monday Nighter with the Seahawks on a 1-5 ATS slide, as well as a 2-4 SU run. But Atlanta is 8-1 ATS off Monday games, & Quinn is 8-2 ATS off non-division, vs opponent off a road game. |
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11-26-17 | Bills v. Chiefs -9.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Many heavy favorites this week. Bills' QB change really worked. Five 1st half picks for Peterman on only 12 passes. Three straight losses for the Bills, who entered with the best turn over ratio in the NFL (+11), before 6-0 deficit vs the Chargers. The Bills' worst defensive half since 1977. Four losses in five games for the Chiefs, with no touchdowns in windswept loss to then 1-8 Giants. However, Kansas City is a perfect 8-0 ATS vs AFC East |
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11-25-17 | Magic v. 76ers -6 | 111-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Must be a little price sensitive here as, while Philly is a tremendous spread team (12-4 vs. number through Nov. 20), Orlando has been a solid winner as a road dog in recent seasons. Sixers have been favored by 7 or more once this season (a cover hosting Atlanta), but they catch the Magic coming off a game last night. Philly is rested, which means C Joel Embiid will be in lineup, and he, PG Ben Simmons (21 ppg, 9 rpg & 7 apg in L5) and F Robert Covington are a formidable trio. And Embiid will enjoy chewing up Magic Euro pivot Nikola Vucevic. |
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11-25-17 | Spurs v. Hornets +2 | 106-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte’s bench was outscored 64-16 in the Spurs 108-101 win-and-cover in first meeting, with Hornet leader G Kemba Walker being held to just 4 of 12 shooting. Spur HC Gregg Popovich put the “hack-a-Howard” plan into the mix, sending the Hornet pivot to the line 20 times (he made 10). Charlotte, which visited Cleveland last night, has been historically terrible vs. the number in the 2nd night of back-to-backs but covered first two this season. Revenge-minded Hornets catch Spurs walking off turkey dinner, and have Nicolas Batum available this time around. Spurs 1-6 vs. number on road thru Nov. 21, and have failed to cover 3 of L4 trips to Charlotte. |
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11-25-17 | Georgetown -3 v. Richmond | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Georgetown players quickly adapting to well-liked 1st-year HC Patrick Ewing (former Hoya A-A served as a 14-year NBA assistant), strongly recommend athletic, quick-jelling Hoyas, who should dominate glass vs. weak-boarding UR (-10.5 rpg; 330th). G’Town’s formidable 6-10, 270-pound jr. C Jessie Govan (21 ppg, 14.3 rpg) is clearly the premier “big” in this tilt. And good-shooting Hoyas (51% FGs, featuring marksman 6-7 jr. F Marcus Derrickson (14.3 ppg; 45% from arc), finds plenty of open looks vs. Spiders’ slow-rotating zone defense, permitting 51% from the field (ranked 333rd). |
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11-25-17 | Northwestern -16.5 v. Illinois | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 91 h 52 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Six straight wins for the 'Cats, while on an 8-1 ATS run. Check a 32-point cover at always dangerous Minnesota, doubling Gopher yardage output, & registering 5 take aways. On 16-5-1 spread run. Illinois in off 3-point cover at Ohio State, despite a 438-yard deficit, & 5 first downs. Nine straight losses |
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11-25-17 | Boise State -7 v. Fresno State | 17-28 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Four straight covers for Broncos, & 6-of-7. Have held 6-of-9 opponents to less than 15 points, while Rypien is now 14 touchdown with only 4 interceptions. Of course, the visitor is now 23-5 ATS in Boise games. Bulldogs held Wyoming scoreless until L2:25, ranking 12th in both scoring & total defense. But lost L2 home games by 36 points ATS. |
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11-25-17 | Florida Atlantic -21.5 v. Charlotte | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Florida Atlantic is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. While Charlotte 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. |
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11-25-17 | UTEP v. UAB -20 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 87 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units he UAB Blazers are 5-0 at home this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents. At home the Blazers are averaging 33.6 scoring. The Texas El Paso Miners are 0-6 while on the road this season, 0-7 against conference opponents and 0-4 against non-conference opponents. On the road, the Miners are averaging 9.2 scoring, and holding teams to 38.5 points scored on defense. |
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11-24-17 | Bulls v. Warriors -19 | 94-143 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Streaky Golden State had dropped 4 straight vs. the number prior to the Warriors’ visit to OKC on Wednesday, and G.S. is only 3-7 vs. the number in its last 10 laying double-digits at Oracle Arena. Couldn’t blame the defending champs if they relaxed a little against the lowly Bulls, who won just 3 of first 15 SU and failed to cover 5 of L6 before stopping in Utah Wednesday. Still, no-name Chicago will have trouble trading baskets and tend to self destruct quickly. Latest example was blowing a 19-point 3rd Q lead at the Lakers Tuesday. Warriors will force pace and score 120-125. |
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