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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-09-20 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -1 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #840 Wisconsin over Ohio State (1p.m., Sunday, February 9 CBS) Wisconsin is a different team when playing at home and have only lost one time this season at the Kohl Center. Coach Gard has a knack for getting the big win when it needs it just like he did last Saturday against Michigan State. Ohio State has won 3 in a row but those wins came against fringe tournament teams and thus will be their third road game in their last 4 overall. Wisconsin beat Ohio State in Columbus earlier this season for one of their few road wins on the year. The favorite is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between Ohio State and Wisconsin. Ohio State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played on Sunday. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Sunday. |
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02-08-20 | Knicks -1 v. Pistons | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks have won three straight and are flat out playing harder than the Pistons right now. They have the same wins at 8 on the road as they do at home, so this New York team doesn’t have a real home court advantage. They can get the job done here tonight. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, and the oddsmakers are behind on this team right now. The Pistons come in on a back-to-back and this is not a good spot for them tonight. |
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02-08-20 | Arkansas v. Missouri +2.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #666 Missouri over Arkansas (3:30p.m., Saturday, February 8 SECN) I thought Arkansas would play well against Auburn on Tuesday, but game 2 without Isaiah Joe will prove to be much more difficult. Missouri is nothing to brag about but they have talent and getting points at home is too good to pass up. 5 of their last 7 games have come on the road and they are ready for some home cooking this afternoon in Columbia. Arkansas is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The underdog has covered the spread in 11 of the last 16 games between Arkansas and Missouri. Arkansas losing in overtime to Auburn last time out affects this today. Â |
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02-07-20 | Blazers +9 v. Jazz | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Utah has reverted back to their early-season ways and they are playing very poor basketball right now. They faced the same spread pretty much last time out vs. Denver and got spanked on their home court. Portland has won and covered in five of their last six games and they are in great form right now and playing some of their best basketball of the season. We just think this spread is way overinflated. Could Utah play their game and blow the Blazers out? Of course. But we have to go with recent form here and this line just looks way off to us. |
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02-05-20 | Seton Hall -3 v. Georgetown | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #829 Seton Hall over Georgetown (8:30p.m., Wednesday, February 5 FS1) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams likely have a key player out, but Seton Hall has better team from 1-15 and that will be the difference tonight. Georgetown has no business beating St Johns on Sunday and expect them to be down big in this game as well. Seton Hall is coming off a shocking home loss to Xavier by double digits last Saturday, but they are still 8-1 in Big East play. The Hoyas are 3-6 with 2 of the wins coming against St Johns. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Georgetown is 5-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog. Seton Hall is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Without Matt McClung, Georgetown lacks any depth and that will be the difference tonight in the district. |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 226.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
We were on the Grizzlies last time out against Detroit in what was one of the easiest wins of the year with only 178 points scored in that game. This one won’t be that low scoring. But Memphis has struggled on offense recently against good defensive teams. And Dallas has been playing very solid defense lately. They held their last two opponents to 103 or fewer points. We don’t see the pace here in this game being super fast, and we had this game total handicapped at 218, so we think there is some really nice value here. Several trends involving Memphis here point to the under as well. The under is 5-1 in the last six for Memphis following a 10+-point win. The under is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and the oddsmakers haven’t adjusted properly yet. Because of some massive scores in the NBA this season, bookies are scared to post too low totals, but there is value created as a result on the under leaguewide right now, and we think this game definitely falls into that category tonight. |
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02-04-20 | Blazers +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 99-127 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Blazers suddenly are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won four straight and covered in all those games. And it wasn’t any easy schedule, either. We think they come to play again tonight and we will ride the hot hand here on Tuesday. Portland has better rest coming into this game and we think they are primed for another solid performance. We expect a close game here, and the visitor definitely has a chance to score the upset. |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies UNDER 226 | Top | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
The Pistons are not only coming in on a back-to-back, but this is a super back-to-back for them after a rare win in OT yesterday against the Nuggets. We don’t think they have anything left in the tank here, and we just don’t see how they will put many points on the board tonight. Detroit has performed real poorly in back-to-backs this season at 1-7, 2-6 ATS and they have averaged only 104 PPG in these situations this season. We don’t see them having any offensive success today. The under is 6-0 in the Grizzlies last six home games, and that is the way we see this one going down on Monday night. |
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02-02-20 | Pelicans v. Rockets UNDER 247.5 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Both offenses have been really good lately, but we have to take a shot at the under here in what is one of the highest posted totals in the NBA this season. With a total this high, if there is a cold shooting streak by either team than this one will likely go under. If a crucial player goes cold, that’s good news for us. With a total this high there has to be fluid scoring and fast pace all throughout the game. The players could be distracted because of the Super Bowl. Also, the under is 31-15-1 in the last 47 meetings. |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -6 v. Blazers | Top | 107-124 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Utah has lost three straight, but it’s not time to panic. They had an off game against Houston at home where they didn’t play good. And then they lost at San Antonio, a very tough place for a visitor to get a win. Then on a back-to-back they had a strong game at Denver but faded in the second half on the backend of a back-to-back. They really have to choice but to play with a sense of purpose here. And now Portland is the team on a back-to-back. And they just played in an unprecedented emotional game in LA. They played with the Mamba Mentality and left everything on the floor. They won as 13-point underdogs last night. We were on Portland in this game. But we just think they will be spent and have nothing more to give tonight. Portland isn’t a deep team and they are 2-4-1 ATS on the second end of a back to back. And they spent so much effort last night. Against a very good team tonight, and a legit title contender desperate to end a losing streak. Also, Utah is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on Saturday. This just looks like a great spot for a dominating win tonight. |
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02-01-20 | Rutgers +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 63-69 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #711 Rutgers over Michigan (4:30p.m., Saturday, February 1 BTN) When Michigan agreed to play this game in New York City instead of Ann Arbor they could never imagine that Rutgers could be this good. The Wolverines will likely have Zavier Simpson back for this game, but it will not matter, as Rutgers is the better and more talented team. Michigan got back on track last game against Nebraska, but they still have lost 4 of their last 5 games and that included two home games to Penn State and Illinois. The magic during the nonconference season has worn off and there is a lack of talent and once can see why John Beilein left. Rutgers has won 4 of their last 5 games and playing this game in New York City should give them a big edge in the stands. Rutgers is 19-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 games. Michigan is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games. |
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01-31-20 | Blazers +13 v. Lakers | Top | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Since the game against the Lakers and Clippers was cancelled, bettors have been looking to this game as the first game after the Kobe Bryant tragedy where the Lakers will win one for Kobe. But as a result we knew this line would be inflated and it has come out even a couple more points than we expected. And it's not like Kobe didn’t have friends on the Blazers that will want to play hard in his honor. The Blazers aren’t going to roll over and let the Lakers win. We think they give everything they have tonight against a Lakers team that is still grieving. The Blazers have a strong history in this series (10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in LA and 45-22 ATS as a long-term trend). If the Lakers just play their game they will probably have success but we feel like they might try to hard or do something different than normal. We think there’s a great chance for a close game here. |
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01-30-20 | Jazz +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Despite identical records, we think the Jazz are the much better team in this matchup. Remember, they got off to a super slow start this season and since have turned it on and are playing as well as anyone in the league right now. And this is a very important game and should have a playoff-like atmosphere, and we just think the cream will rise to the top tonight. We like to back a good team after a bad loss, and the Jazz certainly fit the bill here as they had the floor wiped with them against the Rockets last time out and Houston was without Westbrook and Harden. Utah was a double-digit favorite and lost by 9. But they have had two nights off since then (Denver has had only one), and this game is more important, so win here and that loss is officially in the rearview mirror. After playing horrible defense last time out we are sure the focus for Utah has been strong defense, and we think the Jazz will lock down on that end tonight. The Jazz are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings, and we feel this is their game to take tonight. |
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01-29-20 | Thunder -3 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The Thunder are 32-16 ATS on the season and this team continues to hold value while some of the other teams in the NBA are grabbing all the headlines and respect from the oddsmakers. But Oklahoma City is quietly having one of the most surprising seasons in the NBA this season. They had a five-game winning streaked snapped last time with a double-digit loss to the Mavs, and we think they will come out in this one focused and hungry against a Sacramento team that has lost six of eight, with only wins over Minnesota and Chicago to their credit. |
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01-28-20 | Hawks +12.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-130 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
We think this is too many points. We think the Hawks match up well with Toronto. And the Raptors lines are starting to grow too big. These teams played a little more than a week ago in Atlanta, and the Hawks hung tough with the Raps all game long. It was a one-point game entering the fourth quarter and Toronto won by 5. Atlanta has been a good bet lately, covering in five of their last seven games. They are also 6-2 ATS when catching double digit points. We expect them to keep this one within double digits tonight. |
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01-27-20 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 221 | Top | 126-117 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Rockets will be shorthanded tonight. We don’t see how they will be able to put up enough points to eclipse this total. They are coming in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. We hate to bring tragedy into handicapping but we think some players and teams experienced an adrenaline rush when the news hit on Sunday but tonight might be the hangover from that rush, and we think the road team out here could come out real flat while shorthanded. Not to mention Utah is getting back to their defensive ways and is playing perhaps some of the best defense in the NBA right now. We think this total might be as many as 8 points too high tonight. |
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01-26-20 | Clippers v. Magic +4 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
The Clippers will for sure be without Paul George and we don’t know the status of Pat Beverly as of this writing, but even if he plays he probably won’t be anywhere near 100%. The Clippers are coming off their big win over Miami and then play the Lakers next, so this is a big sandwich game for them, and they don’t have their full complement of players. This game reminds us of the recent Hawks game, where we were also on the underdog, and they won outright. Just doesn’t seem like a spot for a full effort from the road team. |
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01-25-20 | Mavs v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Dallas has been playing very well and they are a legit team. But they are just not on the same level as the Jazz. Utah is a true championship contender, and they have been playing like it lately, while the Mavs are a year or two away from being a true contender. There is probably no team in the NBA playing as well as the Jazz right now, and they are not only winning but covering on a regular basis. This line has moved early with sharp action, but we still don’t think it moved enough as we had this game handicapped at -7.5 for the Jazz so we think there is some real good value here. Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games and we think they cover easy again tonight. |
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01-25-20 | Mississippi State v. Oklahoma +1 | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #638 Oklahoma over Mississippi State (2p.m., Saturday, January 25 ESPN2) The Bulldogs have won they have all come in Starkville against weaker teams in a suspect SEC Conference. They have lost their last two road games including getting blown out at Alabama. Oklahoma has lost just 1 game at home this season and that came against a Kansas before their suspensions happened last Tuesday night. They took Baylor to the wire last time out despite Kristian Doolittle not doing much in that game. Expect a much better performance from him today at home. Both teams need this victory if they have visions of making the NCAA Tournament and expect the home team to prevail by 6-8 points. Mississippi State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games following three or more consecutive home games. |
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01-24-20 | Rockets -5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 131-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
NBA handicapping can be very streaky. The Houston Rockets had lost four straight and people were wondering what was wrong with the team. Then they flexed their collective muscle in an extremely impressive home win over the Nuggets last time out. We think they will build on that positive momentum tonight against a very lousy Minnesota team. The Wolves have lost seven straight. They have covered in only one of those games despite some very generous lines courtesy of the oddsmakers. Houston is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these teams. We don’t think there is any chance of a letdown tonight since that losing streak is still fresh on the Rockets minds, and they need to take care of business, hopefully with an exclamation point, against a sub-par opponent. |
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01-18-20 | Suns v. Celtics -6 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
The Celtics come in off two straight losses, so they will be primed to get back on the winning track. And this is a great opportunity to do just that against a team they will have a talent advantage over. Over the last several years the Celtics have been one of the most trustworthy betting teams. They have covered in three of their last four despite the two straight losses, and we feel this line is short as well. Phoenix has covered in just one of their last six games. We think this is a great opportunity for a double-digit win for the Celtics. |
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01-18-20 | Auburn v. Florida -1.5 | Top | 47-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #634 Florida Gators over Auburn Tigers (1:30p.m., Saturday, January 18 CBS) The Gators opened as a favorite and an unranked team favored over a ranked team is usually a sign to play them. Auburn is a fraud this season and their 15-1 record is more about a weak schedule that they have played thus far. They got pounded last time out against Alabama, a team that will struggle to make the NIT. Now they are on the road for a second straight game against a team that has not played up to their talent at times this season. Florida has just as much talent as does Auburn and they need this one more to ensure they make the NCAA Tournament this season. |
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01-17-20 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -8 | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
We just love the way the Grizzlies are playing now. This isn’t a fluke, and they are playing playoff quality basketball right now and have a budding superstar in Ja Morant. They have won and covered in six straight games. And those games weren’t against all scrubs. They won at the Clippers and at home against Houston and San Antonio. They have scored 119 or more in all of these games, and with Cleveland allowing 128 in each of their last two games, we just don’t see them slowing Memphis down tonight. The Grizzlies aren’t really on bettors radars right now and they should be laying double digits here. |
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01-16-20 | Magic +12 v. Clippers | Top | 95-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
The Magic scored the win last night in LA against the Lakers. This is a back-to-back but they will be playing in the same building so no travel worries. And this is not some scrub team that will be happy with their win and not show up for this game. This team made the playoffs last season and has aspirations of getting back there this season. The Clippers are working out a lot of kinks right now and Paul George is out of the lineup again tonight. We think this will be a close game. |
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01-15-20 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 230 | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The Wizards went through a little scoring drought and an under run, but the last couple of games scoring is up again and this one looks like a probable barnburner. Washington is the worst defensive team in the league by many metrics and the Bulls have their moments of competence defensively but they also give up 115+ on a regular basis, and we think that will be the case tonight. We see both teams getting close to 120 tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and we just don’t see either team getting stops tonight and scoring should be fluid for all four quarters. |
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01-14-20 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -2.5 | Top | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #642 Wisconsin over Maryland (9p.m., Tuesday, January 14 ESPN2) Just do not believe odds makers have caught up to how good Wisconsin is with the addition of Micah Potter. Wisconsin has won road games at Ohio State, Tennessee, and Penn State and should have beaten Illinois last week for it not for late game struggles. The Big 10 has been dominated by home teams and Maryland is not a strong enough team that can consistently win games on the road. They got run over by Iowa last time out and they have not won a true road game this season. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Maryland and Wisconsin. Maryland is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. |
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01-13-20 | 76ers v. Pacers -2 | Top | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Sixers are without Embiid now and they haven’t been playing great basketball lately, losing five of their last seven games. They have been overvalued by the oddsmakers and covers are becoming more and more rare. We think they are overvalued again tonight and that this is a very public line. The Pacers are incredibly tough to beat at home where they are 15-5 on the season. We had this game handicapped at -4.5 for the home team so there is some decent value at this small number. |
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01-11-20 | Lakers v. Thunder +1 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
OKC has a favorable rest situation tonight as they had the night off while the Lakers had to play in Dallas. Playing two tough opponents on the road on consecutive nights is tough, especially at this point of the season where back-to-backs are serious business. The Lakers and Clippers are hogging all the NBA headlines these days, and quietly the Thunder are playing as well as anyone in the league lately. And they are criminally underrated by the oddsmakers right now. This team has now covered in 10 of 11 games. This team is now 26-12 ATS on the season. And they can hold value as long as they keep playing well since they aren’t on the public radar right now. OKC is playing great team basketball right now, and we think they have had this game circled and will come to play against a Lakers team that may or may not have AD.  It won’t matter as the Thunder win outright. |
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01-11-20 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Penn State | Top | 58-49 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #601 Wisconsin over Penn State (2:15p.m., Saturday, January 11 BTN) Penn State being ranked and favored over Wisconsin is not a situation you find often. Wisconsin has been playing much better of late and despite losing to Illinois last time out, they should be able to take this down to the wire. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Wisconsin and Penn State. The Nittany Lions are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games played on Saturday. The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Spurs are coming off very impressive wins against the Bucks and Celtics. But this team has been one of the most inconsistent in the league and they normally fall flat on their face once you think they have turned the corner. Even if they play their best this will be a tough game tonight. The Grizzlies have won four out of five and have covered in all those wins. This team has a legitimate budding superstar in Ja Morant, who is getting plenty of playing time. The Grizzlies always rise up against the Spurs and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. We also feel like this is a very public number intended to get the public to take the road team, which they are doing at a very high rate as of this writing. And we always like to be on the side of the sportsbooks, who will be rooting for the home team here tonight. |
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01-08-20 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 221 | Top | 89-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This total is so high because the Wizards normally play in a barnburner every time they hit the court. But this team is dealing with a lot of injuries tonight, and they have failed to score more than 103 points in five of their last seven games. Tonight they play an Orlando team that is No. 2 in scoring defense and No. 30 in scoring offense. They have held two of their last three opponents in the 80s. We don’t see the banged-up Wizards doing much on offense tonight, and we think this one has a great chance to wind up well under this posted number. |
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01-07-20 | Pistons v. Cavs +3.5 | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Both teams are very dysfunctional right now but we just don’t think the Pistons should be favored on the road over anyone. Blake Griffin could miss the season now and Andre Drummond is probably being shipped out of town soon. And the team is dealing with other injuries as well. The morale here on this squad is very bad right now, and we just don’t see them going on the road and winning big here. The Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings here in Cleveland. |
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01-05-20 | Knicks v. Clippers -8 | Top | 132-135 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
We don’t quite know who will be available for the Clippers this afternoon but we just think this is a good spot for a strong effort from the Clippers. They had their absolute worst game of the season yesterday in a head-scratching loss to the Grizzlies. The team did not give much effort at all and it was a real sorry game for the home team. Just don’t see any other scenario other than a max effort from the players who do take the court tonight. This is a very good team even if the two main players are out of the lineup, and this is a very winnable game against one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Clippers have been good in bounce back situations as they are 6-0 ATS after an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS after a loss of 10 or more points. This looks like a double-digit win for the home team to us. |
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01-04-20 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 223.5 | Top | 117-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Pelicans have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. They come in on a back-to-back after playing the Lakers last night and we just don’t see them playing much defense here. The Kings have played a couple strong offensive games lately, and we think they have a great opportunity to put up 120+ here tonight. Both teams are trending to the over, hitting the over in three of their last four games. We think both teams will get their points tonight. |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Things are looking up for the Pelicans. Team chemistry is starting to go well and they have won four straight against a tough schedule. They have Williamson joining the team likely at some point in the next couple weeks. They have really amped up the defensive intensity and everyone seems dialed in right now. They also have some former Lakers on the team who will want to play well against their old team. LA has covered in only two of their last nine games, and they are overvalued by the oddsmakers again tonight. |
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12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings +8 | Top | 105-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
The Kings have lost seven straight. They have been deceptively competitive during this stretch, however, despite a lack of covers. They have lost by double-digits only once during that stretch. During the dog days of the NBA season bad teams can take games off and you never know when it will happen. But the Kings are in desperation mode to stop this losing streak, and a win over the Clippers could really put that bad stretch in the rearview mirror. The Clippers have been dealing with the flu bug. That is normally an overhyped angle for handicapping because these guys are professionals and can play through it. But for a team like the Clippers that doesn’t really care about the regular season, they might not give their all here. And Pat Beverley is out here, and he is kind of the sparkplug for this team and a leader that doesn’t get the credit he deserves. We think that hurts the favorite tonight. LA’s last five opponents: Houston, San Antonio, OKC, LA Lakers, and Utah. This Kings team on a seven-game losing streak isn’t going to really move the needle for them. And we think this spread has been inflated as well. |
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12-30-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 209 | Top | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Young is out for the Hawks again and this team has really struggled on the offensive end. They have scored in the 80s in their last two games, which is almost impossible in the present-day NBA. Orlando is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA and has held two of their last three opponents under the century mark. We don’t see the Hawks achieving their offensive goals in this one, and this game looks like a potential blowout, and we don’t think the Hawks will be able to do enough to do their share for the total. |
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12-27-19 | Cavs v. Celtics -13.5 | Top | 117-129 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
The Cavs have won three straight against lousy opponents, and make no mistake about it: this team isn’t any good. These teams played earlier in the month, in this same arena, and the Celtics won by 22 without barely breaking a sweat. Really don’t see any reason why this game would be different. The Celtics played on Christmas while the Cavs have had extra time off, but Boston is at home and had the day off yesterday. This team is playing its best basketball since two seasons ago and they shouldn’t take anything for granted after the disaster that was last season. They have some of the best coaching in the NBA, and we think they will come to play today. Boston has traditionally been one of the best betting teams in the league (you can point to the coaching as a reason). They have won and covered all but two games this month. They should dominate this one today. |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Utah has gotten off to another slow start this season, as they did last season, but they turned it around last year and we are starting to see the signs it’s happening again as they have won five of six. Portland has won four of five also, but they have played a home-heavy schedule. They are 6-10 on the road this season while Utah is 11-3 at home. Portland is 1-5 ATS in their last six as an underdog, and when they are getting beat in these situations it’s normally well beyond the spread. Utah is just the better team despite the slow start and they have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. We think they roll tonight with a comfortable 7+-point win. |
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12-21-19 | Purdue v. Butler -2 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #722 Butler -2 over Purdue (2:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 BTN) TOP COLLEGE HOOPS PLAY Purdue lost a ton of scoring last year when Carson Edwards left, and they will have trouble keeping pace with Butler in this game. The Bulldogs have a ton of quality wins this season included bating Stanford and Florida. Purdue beat Virginia but they have struggled in their other big games losing to Florida State, Texas, Marquette, and Nebraska. Butler is better than all 4 of those teams. Butler dominated Indiana last year before losing on a freak play to end the game and they have a bad taste in their month from that Crossroads Classic. Butler is 45-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 67 neutral site games. Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
The Clippers are finally getting fully healthy and could very possibly have the full roster at their disposal tonight. This team has been kind of a work in progress with load management and injuries, but we think at full strength that this team is the best in the NBA. We think this is a game where they will want to flex their muscles a bit in front of a national audience. We think with these teams at their best, which we are likely to see tonight, that LA is the clear superior team. The Rockets have been winning, but they are overrated by the oddsmakers recently as they have covered in only one of their last five games. The Clippers, on the other hand, have covered in five of six and this team has been playing some of its best basketball of the season lately, a couple hiccups aside. Los Angeles doesn’t care much about the regular season, but this game for sure will be important for them and we think they put their best foot forward tonight in what we see as a comfortable win by the home team. |
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12-18-19 | Hornets +3 v. Cavs | Top | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
You have to look to play against the Cavs when they are favored against anyone this season. This is one of the worst teams in the NBA. They haven’t been favored many times this season but are 0-2 ATS when laying points. We think this is a very winnable game for the road team, who should have Batum back tonight. Charlotte has won and covered in four of their last five games. They are 5-1 ATS on the second half of a back-to-back, so the lack of rest doesn’t worry us too much tonight. |
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12-16-19 | Wizards v. Pistons -5.5 | Top | 133-119 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Pistons are kind of under the radar right now but playing well, winning three of their last four, including a big win at Houston last time out. Even though they can be inconsistent, they are clearly the better team here, and they are facing a Washington team that has dropped seven of their last eight and already has no hope for the season. Even with some injury concerns tonight we expect this Detroit team to take care of business and stay hot. |
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12-13-19 | Rockets v. Magic UNDER 222 | Top | 130-107 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA and one of the best defensive clubs, and you have to always look for the under when this team has a total in the 220s. Five of the last seven games they have played have gone under the posted total, and they average under 103 PPG on offense. The Rockets have played under in three of their last four, and we don’t expect a shootout here and it’s very likely this total finishes well under 220. |
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12-12-19 | Mavs -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 122-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This game is in Mexico City. Dallas has a lot of international players, so they should feel right at home here! The Mavs have been getting the job done in the favorite role as they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine when laying points. This team has been covering lines like crazy lately but are staying under the radar because of all the other big stories in the NBA this season. The Pistons are just so inconsistent, and we don’t think they will do well in this setting that they aren’t used to. We think there’s a great chance for a Dallas double-digit win here. |
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12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Phoenix started their season off hot then went into a bit of a lull. But they have got their groove back lately and this team has covered in four of its last five. After a four-game road trip they came back home in that tricky first game after a road trip and walloped the Timberwolves. Now they face an even bigger step down in competition against the Grizzlies. Memphis is a very bad team this season. They are getting a lot of points on a nightly basis from the oddsmakers but can’t cover any lines. They are coming off a win and a cover last time out against the Warriors, and they should be content tonight and won’t play desperate since not on a losing streak. This looks very much like a double-digit win for the home team. |
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12-07-19 | Pacers v. Knicks OVER 208 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
This total is low because the Knicks have a lousy offense, but with the Pacers coming in on a back-to-back after playing their blood rival Detroit last night, we don’t see their defense being up to snuff. We think the Knicks will have an opportunity to score the basketball tonight. The over is 6-1-1 when the Pacers are on the second end of a back-to-back. This will be the first game for the Knicks with their interim coach, and they might push the pace more than we have seen recently. |
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12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 91-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
When all is said and done we think the Clippers have a great chance to win the championship this season, and they will likely have to get through this Bucks team to achieve that goal. But at this point the Bucks are way ahead of the curve while the Clippers are still figuring a lot of things out on the go. The Clippers, smartly, don’t seem to care much about the regular season and are forward thinking with their gameplans for the playoffs. We just think the Bucks are in a much better spot for a big win tonight. |
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12-05-19 | Suns v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 139-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
The Suns were one of the strongest ATS teams to start out the season, but they have fallen off a cliff recently. They have covered in only two of their last nine games, and they are in a real tough spot here, coming in on a back-to-back after getting blown out in Orlando last night. This will not only be a back-to-back but their third game in four nights, and fatigue is starting to become a real issue at this point of the season. The Pelicans haven’t had great results, either, but they have played a very tough schedule with recent games against Dallas, OKC (X2), Lakers, Clippers and Jazz. Their last win was Nov. 21, against this same Phoenix team, in Arizona, and they won by 3. They are rested with the night off last night and at home in this matchup, and we think this is a great chance for a rare comfortable win. The Pelicans have covered in seven of the last nine meetings between these clubs, and we expect that trend to hold strong tonight. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Both teams trend heavily to the under this season with a 24-13 combined mark for the under. These teams are a combined 30-7 on the season and this is a massively huge matchup and could have an affect on playoff seeding, and we think both defenses will be in top form for a game that could have a playoff atmosphere. Only one of the last six meetings has gone over, and we just think the defenses will dominate in this crucial matchup. |
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12-03-19 | Michigan v. Louisville -5 | Top | 43-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #746 Louisville over Michigan (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 3 ESPN) NONCONFERENCE TOP PLAY Louisville is the No. 1 team in the country and are a legit final four team under year team with Chris Mack. Michigan has skyrocketed up the polls currently at No. 4 in the country after winning the Battle for Atlantis last week. They went from unranked to No. 4 in the country, but I am still not completely sold on them. This will be their first true road game of the season and I am always weary on teams traveling from out of the country over Thanksgiving. I have seen these teams come out flat and not have much energy and expect that to be the case this evening. Michigan has solidified their NCAA Tournament bid at the end of the season beating North Carolina and Gonzaga might not be that great of a victory, as a believe both of those teams are fringe top 20 teams. Louisville is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 games against Big 10 teams. They have a great frontcourt led by Joran Nwora, who will come up big tonight as the best player on the floor. Louisville wins this game by 8-10 points giving us another top play winner on Tuesday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-30-19 | Hawks +14 v. Rockets | Top | 111-158 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
The Rockets haven’t been good when laying big points as they are 1-3 ATS when laying eight or more points. The Hawks are a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting double-digit points this season, so they normally show up against the top teams. Atlanta has lost nine straight yet they have covered in three of their last four and lost to the Pacers in OT last time out. This team has talent and they will try hard tonight to stop the bleeding and we think this one has a great chance to come in under double digits. |
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11-27-19 | Thunder +3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-136 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Portland just doesn’t seem to have it this season. They are 6-12 on the season and, although they have played a road-heavy schedule so far, they are just 1-4 at home. They are just coming off a disastrous road trip where they went 2-4 with only wins over the struggling Bulls and Spurs. This will be the tricky first game home after a long road trip. This is a game where the home team sometimes struggles as the players often have their minds on their life off the court and there are plenty of distractions. The Thunder have been a good betting team at 10-6 ATS, and this new mix of players has had their moments. They have been playing strong defense for sure. This looks like a very winnable game for the road team, and with the day off tomorrow we think the Thunder will be the more focused team in this matchup, They also have revenge for an October loss in OKC in a game that was very close. We see this one as close also and think the road team will do what needs to be done to eek out a close win at the final buzzer. |
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11-26-19 | Wizards +10.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Washington has covered in five of the last six matchups, and they look primed for another cover tonight. This team is 9-4-1 ATS this season. That’s a great betting recipe for success when a team isn’t getting wins on the court but covering numbers. They can hold value for a long time since they escape the public’s radar. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS when getting four or more points this season, and it looks like they are being underestimated again tonight against a Denver team that is overvalued despite their 12-3 record as they are just 7-7-1 ATS. |
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11-25-19 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | Top | 96-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Philly hasn’t been any good on the road, where they are 4-5 on the season, while the Raptors are a perfect 6-0 at home. The Raptors were expected to take a step back this season after losing Kawhi Leonard, but they have way exceeded expectations so far. They are 11-4 and have been profitable ATS at 9-6. We think they are being undervalued here again by the oddsmakers. Some very nice value on an early-season line. |
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11-25-19 | Kings v. Celtics UNDER 205 | Top | 102-103 | Push | 0 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
These teams met last week and the total wound up under 200. We think there’s a great chance this one finishes with an even lower total. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA, and we have reason to believe the offenses won’t be up to snuff tonight. Sacramento is coming in on a back-to-back and this offense has been inconsistent. On their lone second night of a back-to-back this season they scored only 81 points. Boston is back home for the first game after a long road trip, which is usually a bad spot for the home team with family/personal obligations looming large. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the posted total. |
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11-23-19 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +7.5 | Top | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
We think this is a good spot for the Grizzlies on Saturday. The Lakers come in on a back-to-back after the second part of their home-and-home against the Thunder and this just feels like a letdown spot for them as they take a step down in competition. While the Lakers are coming in with no rest, the Grizzlies have had three nights off and they should be primed for a strong showing as an underdog. They had won three straight, including a win at home vs. Utah, so we know they can compete here if focused. But they come off two bad losses so they will likely be really focused on a strong performance here. We think they will get it. |
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11-22-19 | Hawks +6 v. Pistons | Top | 103-128 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The main reason we like this play is that the Pistons should not be laying this many points to anyone. This team has currently lost five straight and they haven’t covered in any of those contests. Atlanta has lost seven of eight. They have had a ridiculously tough schedule, however. In their last three games, they finished off a five-game road trip with visits to Staples to face the Clippers and Lakers and then came back home to face Miami. That’s probably the three best teams in the NBA. But now they are going way down in class tonight. They seem to normally play well against Detroit and have covered three straight meetings and five of six. This is the biggest favorite Detroit has been all season, and they are 1-3 ATS as a favorite at any number so far. |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls OVER 221 | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
We expect a barnburner here as these teams both allow around 112 points on defense. We have a feeling both teams will give up more points than that tonight. Both of the last two meetings have gone over the posted total. Four of the last five games for the Pistons have gone over the total. The Bulls have been trending to the over as well, with three of their last four games going over the total. Both teams have been struggling but we see the offenses doing well tonight. And the Pistons are getting g healthy and we think they are the stronger team tonight and we think they will win this track meet. |
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11-19-19 | Suns +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
The Suns are one of the best betting teams in the league at 9-3 ATS on the season. We think they are undervalued here again tonight. They are being punished too much by the oddsmakers are a back-to-back here, and this team is young and so is the season, so we don’t think it’s as big of a deal as the oddsmakers do. We just can’t help but remember the last time these teams squared off, last month, with one of the more one-sided second halves we have seen this season with the Suns outscoring the Kings 70-36 in the second half of a rout. We think Phoenix matches up well here tonight also.  They have covered in five of the last seven meetings. We think they have a great chance to win this outright, and we had the Suns, who we think are a better team, laying one point on our line. |
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11-18-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Pacers are just the better team in this matchup right now. Brooklyn gpt a lot of attention this offseason for some big moves, but they are being lined like a superstar team right now but Durant will not be here until likely next season. Right now they are just another decent team trying to find their way. Remember, Kyrie Irving never did much to lead his team to big places before he teamed up with LeBron. They have lost three of four coming into this game and they are just 5-7 ATS, which tells us the bookies have them overvalued. Irving is banged up right now but will probably go and LeVert is a key player for Brooklyn who has missed some time. Indiana has been pretty good even while they wait for Oladipo to rejoin the lineup. They have lost two straight coming into this game, but that was at Houston and vs. Milwaukee, and we think they have a much better chance to succeed here against lesser competition. The Pacers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in Brooklyn. They tend to play well here, and we see that being the situation again tonight. |
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11-17-19 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 215.5 | Top | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Four of the last six meetings have gone under the posted total. Both teams are playing pretty good defense to start the season, and Boston is will be one of the better defensive teams in the league when all is said and done. Sacramento has really struggled on offense the last couple games, and we don’t see them having a breakout on the offensive end today in this early Sunday start. |
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11-16-19 | Hawks v. Clippers -12.5 | Top | 101-150 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
This isn’t the biggest matchup for the Clippers this season, but this is probably the biggest game so far, because Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are expected to play together for the first time. Kawhi is fully integrated as the leader of the team now. And George seemed to fit in perfectly in scoring 30+ in his debut, even though it was a losing effort. Even if these guys don’t instantly click, which there is no reason to indicate that they won’t, after all Kawhi chose George as his preferred running mate, the rest of the team should rise up and play their best here. This team truly seems to be buying into the team mentality, and even though the Clips have gotten off to a slow start, at full strength we don’t think there’s a better team in the NBA. They are coming off two tough losses, at Houston in a game they didn’t play well in, and at New Orleans on the second of a back-to-back. They won’t take Atlanta lightly. The Hawks are on the fourth game of a rough road trip and were routed by a lesser Suns team last time out. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and we expect to see the best version of this LA team on Saturday night. |
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11-15-19 | Spurs +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
We are getting good value on the Spurs here in what is a very winnable game for them. They come into this one having lost three straight and five of six. They have had a very tricky schedule, however, and we think this team will be fine and there is no reason to panic. This team is one of the best coached in the league, and they don’t often go on extended losing streaks, and we have a feeling they will just come into Orlando and take care of business in a professional manner. They are certainly the better team in this matchup. If the Spurs had played to expectations so far they would be at least PK here. We have them as a slight favorite in this game, so getting this many points is just icing on the cake. And it’s not like Orlando has been dominating or anything, they have endured a lousy start to the season and are 4-7 so far on the year. Also, the Spurs always seem to play well here in Orlando, where they have covered in six of the last eight meetings. |
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11-14-19 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 235.5 | Top | 127-132 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a very high total. We think this will be a high-scoring game, but nowhere close to this posted number. The Clippers are going through a lot of transition tonight. Kawhi is likely going to sit here after playing 40+ minutes last night. Paul George is likely playing his first game in a long time and should be rusty. The Clippers are on a back-to-back so the players that played in the hard-fought game last night should be fatigued. The Clippers shots weren’t falling last night, and that could extend to this game. And the Clips should have more of a focus on defense after a poor showing on Wednesday. Six of the last eight meetings have gone under the posted number. |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets -2 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Clippers have played a home heavy schedule so far. They are just 1-2 on the road this season, and their lone win was against Golden State, which turned out to be not that special as the Warriors just aren’t good this season. This is their biggest road test so far. Westbrook is out for the Rockets, but this is still a very good team. It looks like Kawhi will play tonight for the Clippers, but George will probably debut for Los Angeles tomorrow, and it seems like this team has a bit of distraction for that situation heading into this game. The Rockets are a team that seems to care more about the regular season and seeding while the Clips want to be healthy for the playoffs. We think they will take this game far more seriously tonight, and we have a short line here for a Rockets team that has won four straight and is playing with a lot of confidence. |
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11-12-19 | Lakers -2 v. Suns | Top | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
We really like what we have seen from Phoenix so far this season and this looks like a legit strong team. Last year the Kings got off to a hot start and were in the playoff discussion until falling off a cliff later in the season. But this strong play looks sustainable for the Suns barring injury. But we think that they are in over their heads tonight against a Lakers squad that is one of the best three teams in the league and looks much more together at this early point in the season than we assumed heading into the new season. The Suns have had a fairly easy schedule thus far and we think the Lakers will come into this one with a sense or purpose after a rare home loss last time out against Toronto. An angry and focused LA team should be too much for this upstart Suns club tonight, and we expect them to score a comfortable victory. They have also covered in seven of the last nine in this series! |
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11-11-19 | Jazz -8 v. Warriors | Top | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Golden State was getting some very big lines there for awhile but they have covered three of four games and the bookies seemed to have backed off here a bit as we thought this one would come in at double digits. We think there’s a great chance Utah could win this one by 10+. After a two-game slide the Jazz are playing well again and they come in on a two-game win streak with impressive victories over the two best teams in the East, Philly and Milwaukee. Utah has covered in six straight meetings in this series, and we think they will take some pleasure in kicking the Warriors while they are down tonight. |
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11-11-19 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas A&M -15.5 | Top | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #742 Texas A&M over ULM (8p.m., Monday, November 11 SECN+) We will side with the home team in this battle of unbeaten teams tonight in College Station. The Aggies were not that impressive in their opening game and did not come close to covering the 27.5 number against Northwestern State. I expect a 20+ point victory tonight and that will be more than enough to cover this spread. ULM is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game. A&M is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-09-19 | Celtics v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The Spurs have covered in five of the last six meetings, and we think this line is short again today. We like both of these teams, but on their home court we think the Spurs are the better squad. The Spurs are healthy and they are 4-1 at home this season, and this team just is under the radar right now we think because we had this line handicapped at 4.5 and think there is nice value here at this small number. Boston is 3-1 on the road but the only legit team they played was Philly, and that was their lone loss. They beat New York, Cleveland and Charlotte, three of the NBA’s worst teams. We see the Spurs likely winning this one by 5+. |
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11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -7 | Top | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Orlando is off to a slow start this season but they have had just a brutal schedule. They have lost four straight, and that stretch of games was particularly tough. They lost to Milwaukee and Denver at home and then fell to OKC and Dallas on the road. But make no mistake, this is a solid club. They are just off to a bad start against a tough schedule. They have mostly taken care of business against lousy teams, and that is the case tonight as Memphis isn’t a good team. We had this game handicapped at 9 with a lean to the Magic even at that number so we are thrilled that the bookies are underestimating the home team tonight. The Grizzlies have been getting much better lines from the oddsmakers but still are playing under expectations. We think this is a get right game for Orlando and expect a double-digit win tonight. |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Spurs have covered in six of the last eight meetings in this series. While the Spurs may not be as good as they were during their peak years, this is a very stable franchise and they have one of the best home-court advantages in the entire NBA. OKC is going through a lot of changes in this transition season. The Spurs are coming off two losses so we are getting some nice value here as last season this line would have been about 3, but the Thunder aren’t close to the same team as last season with Westbrook out to Houston. The Spurs are 3-1 this season at home while OKC is winless on the road, and we think the Spurs have a great chance for a 7+-point win tonight. |
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11-06-19 | Bucks -5 v. Clippers | Top | 129-124 | Push | 0 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Kawhi is out tonight and we think these are the best two teams in basketball. But with their star out of the lineup, the Bucks are the much better squad. This is a chance to make a statement for them. It’s likely that Leonard is sitting out here and will play tomorrow in the more important conference matchup against Portland on TNT. While this Clippers team plays hard every night, we think they will really bring their best effort on Thursday while this move by Doc Rivers shows that this game is just not as important to the team, and that can have a mental effect on the squad as a whole. |
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11-05-19 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 119-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Boston has been one of the best defensive teams to open the season, and as a result they are 4-1 thus far to the under on the season. We don’t see Cleveland having much success on offense tonight, and in fact we think there’s a good chance for a blow out here, which would bode well for the under. Boston has been off for awhile and their offense could be rusty to start the game but their defense should be in top form with lots of energy from the time off. Great chance the Celtics hold the Cavs under the century mark tonight. |
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11-03-19 | Mavs -5 v. Cavs | Top | 131-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Dallas has had a tough schedule to open the season. They are coming off a tough OT loss to the Lakers. They should be highly motivated to get back on track here tonight against one of the worst teams in the NBA and the easiest matchup on their schedule so far. Every game counts in the West, especially for a team like Dallas that could be on the fringes of playoff eligibility in April. They are 2-0 on the road this season, so early indications are that this team is ready to compete in road games. We see them notching a comfortable win tonight. |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets -4 v. Magic | Top | 91-87 | Push | 0 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
We went against the Magic last night and they were blown out of the water at home by Milwaukee. Now they face a good team off an embarrassing loss. Denver was blown out in New Orleans last time out, giving the Pelicans their first win of the season. Mike Malone called his team out publicly for lack of effort. When your boss calls you out for lack of effort, you are going to give a better effort next time out… right? Me neither! But we think the Nuggets players will respond tonight. Good teams off a bad loss are normally a good bet in the NBA as they give better effort next time, and with their coach calling them out we think the Nuggets will bring their A Game. They were off Friday while the Magic were getting rolled by the Bucks, and you would think Orlando would want to play their best game against a conference foe. But this team has gotten off to a real slow start and they have covered only one line this season, but two points against the lowly Knicks. We think Denver will flex their muscles a bit in this one and they should cruise to a comfortable win. |
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11-01-19 | Bucks -4.5 v. Magic | Top | 123-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Orlando has gotten off to a real slow start for a team that is on the rise and they have covered in just one of their four games so far. Their defense has been good but this team just can’t generate any offense right now. Milwaukee is averaging 119 points on offense thus far. We don’t think the Magic defense will be able to slow them down, and we for sure don’t see their offense being able to keep up. Milwaukee should have extra motivation after losing by double digits last time out at Boston. A motivated Bucks team is by far the best team in the East, and we see them taking their frustrations out on a Magic team that still seems to be figuring some things out in the early going of the season. |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The Clips should have Kawhi back tonight to play against his old team, in case he needed any extra motivation after LA lost in Utah last night. The Spurs are 3-0 SU but 0-3 ATS, as the bookmakers have them overvalued at this point of the season. In the tough Western Conference, every game is important, and the Clippers will not want to lose two in a row to the teams they may be battling for seeding in the postseason. The Spurs are down this season from what we are used to, despite their current record, and the better team will get a comfortable win tonight. |
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10-27-19 | Warriors -2 v. Thunder | Top | 92-120 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
We don’t think the Warriors are as bad as they looked in their opener at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles was dialed in for that game and made the Warriors look bad. But they are the stronger team here, and they will anxious to get the season back on track. Kerr will devise a gameplan to give Golden State the best chance for success here, and Curry give his teammates on the court the best chance to succeed. And the Warriors have covered five of the last six in OKC. |
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10-26-19 | Clippers -9 v. Suns | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
The Clippers have covered in seven of the last eight meetings in this series. And they have their best team ever right now. To us this is the clear cut best team in the NBA and Paul George hasn’t even started playing yet. We can tell that this team wants to get off to a strong start to the season. We don’t see them having a letdown tonight. They have a very tough schedule coming up and they need to win games like this. This Clippers team seems very bought in to the team goals and is playing very unselfish team basketball. The Suns have some issues right now with No. 1 draft pick Ayton getting suspended for 25 games for violating the NBA drug policy. He might win his appeal, but he won’t be available here tonight. Like any team, the Clippers will face some adversity during points in the season. But for right now this team looks extremely motivated. And it seems they are having fun. Don’t think there’s a lot of joy in Phoenix right now. This looks like a double-digit win to us. |
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10-25-19 | Bulls -1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
The Bulls have covered the last four matchups between these teams, and they have their best squad now compared to the one the last couple years. We see this team as a playoff contender and for sure a team on the rise. Memphis is facing a major rebuild and this team won’t get many wins this season. Both teams bombed out in their first game, but we think the Bulls had an off game while we think the Memphis result showed more of what they are. We had this line handicapped at -5, so we think there is some very nice value here. We think there’s a great chance for a comfortable win, and a double-digit win wouldn’t surprise us. |
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10-24-19 | Clippers -1.5 v. Warriors | Top | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
It was just one game, but on Tuesday at Staples Center, the Clippers sure looked like the clear-cut top team in the league. Now they face one of their biggest rivals in Golden State on TNT tonight. The Warriors are way down from what we are used to with Durant gone and Klay out for the season. This team also has questionable depth. Curry and Draymond will surely lead them to a lot of wins, but we think they are outmatched here in this game against what should be a very motivated Clippers club that won’t hesitate to kick Golden State when they are down. |
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10-23-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 213.5 | Top | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
The last three meetings between these teams have gone over the posted total. We expect the same result here in the season opener for both teams. Both teams have new rosters and new philosophies. We expect the pace to be brisk here. These are known as defensive teams and we think the total is about four or five points too low for this game as we see both teams getting well over the century mark here on Wednesday. |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
There will be a lot of points in this game, but this total seems about 5 points too high. These are two of the NBA title favorites and there is a lot of pressure on both teams, and we just don’t see these clubs both excelling on offense right off the bat under the national spotlight. Both teams have a lot of new moving parts, and despite preseason results when the games matter things are different. We expect both teams to go through at least one cold shooting streak here in this game, which should be enough to keep the total under this posted number. |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 213.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Judging by this line it’s obvious that Durant is expected to take the floor tonight for the road team. That should help on the offensive end for Golden State. Toronto has been excellent in this series on the defensive end, but there has also been some poor shooting for the Warriors, and these guys won’t stay cold forever. And if Durant plays not only will he add to the scoresheet but that opens up a lot of things for the Golden State offense. And we don’t see Golden State slowing down Toronto much as they have been able to achieve their offensive goals on a regular basis in this series. |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
The Warriors can win this game and be right back in the driver’s seat for the series. They have been here before and had some scares in the postseason before, but they have so much experience and they won’t be scared and will just take care of business. They get some help tonight as Klay Thompson should be back in the lineup, and they know there’s a chance that Durant could be back for Game 5. They know there’s no reason to panic. We think scoring will be a lot better for the home team from Game 3 with Klay back here, and Toronto has shown they are hot on offense as well. But we think the Warriors will play with a purpose here with their backs against the wall, and we think they take care of business tonight. |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
The Warriors have gone through some big lulls this season as a team. We wondered at points in the season if this team was as good as previous seasons. But when we get down to the nitty gritty we just think they were bored at times. This team has accomplished so much and the desire didn’t seem to be there. But when they were challenged, either after a bad game or by facing some kind of adversity, this team normally responded very well. And we think with these injuries tonight the team is facing that the players on the court are going to play with a chip on their shoulder. When this team and Curry are motivated, good things normally happen for them. They have Toronto right where they want them having stolen a game in Canada. We think the Warriors will rely more on defense tonight since they are likely to be missing a lot of scoring. The numbers don’t show it because of the pace, but this is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. And we think Curry will lift his game up enough to cover this number. |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
When we set this total for the Game 1 matchup we came up with a number around 207. We think there is some great value in the under. The Raptors slowed the game down a lot in the Eastern Conference Finals, and we think they will employ the same strategy here. Both teams are fresh with a lot of time off, and that means they will have a lot of energy for defense. And with the extra time off, the offenses might be rusty. We expect some cold shooting, especially in the first quarter before teams get warmed up. And we just have to love the Warriors getting points here. They have all the experience. They know this might be their last chance at a championship as there are a lot of questions in the offseason with this roster. They are just flat out a much better team – throw the regular season results out as the Warriors barely cared this season during some stretches but they are in full playoff form now and playing some of their best basketball of the season despite injuries. |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -7 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Everyone remembers the last game in an NBA playoff series, and the Bucks were routed in Game 4 in Toronto. We will give this team a mulligan, however, as we think they just had a bad game. It happens to the best of teams. But if Game 3 had gone a little different, this could easily be an elimination game for the Bucks. We think this is a great spot for them to rebound, and we don’t at all think that the Raptors have the momentum in this series. The Bucks will play their best at home and have a chance to close it out in Game 6 in Toronto. We took the over last time out as these teams had just come off Double OT and were tired. They should be more well rested here, and we expect a lower-scoring game. We think the defenses will really step up as this is a crucial game in what is now a 3-game series. And we think there’s a decent chance this could be a blowout and that the Raptors will be held to a real low score. |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -3 v. Raptors | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
The advantage goes to the better team when two teams are tired, and after the long Game 3 with two overtimes we think that gives the Bucks the advantage here in Game 4. Toronto needed an almost superhuman effort to win Game 3, and we think the Bucks had an off game. But this team is focused and determined and we don’t see them losing this game. We saw what happened after the Denver/Portland four OT game when defense went out the window in the following game with tired legs. We expect to see a similar result here and we think the scoring will be way up from what we saw in regulation in Game 3. We expect more shots to drop, and we think Milwaukee will do everything they can to ensure that they have a chance to close this out in Game 5 back at home, especially now that their probable NBA Finals opponent is already waiting and resting after Golden State swept the Blazers (and they have major injuries they are hoping for extra time to heal). |
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05-20-19 | Warriors -3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
Golden State is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. Maybe some of these players hate Kevin Durant and want to win in spite of him, but they have rallied around each other and things have been working out great. Portland, at the end of Game 3, reminded me of the old Clippers team when they would be close in the playoffs at the end of a game. They just completely fell apart and had no control of the ball. They were just hoisting prayer shots up. They were basically panicking with their season on the line and the Warriors were cool, calm and collected. Portland needed that Game 3 to have any chance in this series. They are sunk now. And with a good chance to win heading into the fourth and with the way they played (and something isn’t right with Lillard right now), we don’t see how they can pick themselves up and be competitive here in this elimination game. |
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05-19-19 | Bucks +3 v. Raptors | Top | 112-118 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
The Bucks have now covered in six of the last seven meetings after covers in Games 1 and 2. We think that both conference finals series are kind of mismatches, but especially this one. The Bucks just seem like a team built for the postseason while the Raptors seem more like a regular season club. Just look at what happened with Toronto last season, getting swept by the Cavs when it looked like they had their best team ever and Cleveland struggled all through the regular season. But the Bucks haven’t really faced much adversity in these playoffs and they have made things look easy. We think there’s a good chance that this series could end in a sweep as well, and we think there is nice value here getting the plus points in a game that the Bucks could easily win outright. After their slow start in Game 1 they have looked like the clear superior team here, and we don’t think the change in venue will make a difference for Toronto. |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Game 3 is the most pivotal in a seven-game series. That is especially the case for the Blazers here as they are down 2-0. A loss here would be devastating to their chances in this series. We don’t think they have much of a chance to win this series, but the Warriors are without Durant and they are not as strong as they have been in past years. They have lost the competitive fire a little bit also, which is natural. Portland played well enough to win in Game 2, but the Warriors staged an epic comeback. But the home court will be kinder to the Blazers, and we expect them to win here tonight. These conference finals have been without much drama so far and we expect the refs to give the home team the close calls tonight. Sweeps in both series would be horrible for the bottom line. |
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05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
The Bucks were obviously rusty at the start of Game 1 and they went down big to the Raptors early before getting it all together and rallying for the cover. Toronto had come in in better playing form having finished their last series in seven games, but now the Bucks have shaken off the rust and we expect a more complete game from them. We expect the Bucks to have a lot better offensive night, and the total has been adjusted down from Game 1. We think there is value on the over, and we think there’s a great chance that the Bucks could win this one by 10+ if they play as well as they did in the second half in Game 1 all the way through here in Game 2. |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
We couldn’t be happier with this line. The number we had in our mind was around 9, but we knew the bookies would not open with that big of a number. We think the Raptors are getting a little extra shading with the line here because everyone and their mother saw Leonard’s amazing buzzer-beater on SportsCenter. But we think this Game 1 will be pretty one-sided. The Bucks have looked much more impressive than the Raptors in this postseason. They have been chilling for awhile while the Raps finished a grueling seven-game series on Sunday. The Bucks seem incredibly focused in this postseason so we don’t see them being rusty with the time off. But Toronto could sure use some more rest coming into this one. The Bucks won and covered in three of four meetings this season, and two of those games were blowouts. We think they have a very good chance to win this by double-digits. The Bucks were one of the best ATS teams in the NBA at home this season, and we think they are underrated once again tonight. We expect them to take a statement here tonight with a tour de force in Game 1. We also think this total is too high and we think this will be a low-scoring game like Games 1 were for these teams in the last round. |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 220.5 | Top | 94-116 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
Golden State seems to have found their scoring touch again and Stephen Curry broke out of his shooting slump in a big way against the Rockets in Game 6, having a big second half. With Durant out for this game, the Warriors go small ball and this is mostly the lineup that began the dynasty in the Bay Area. We just don’t see the Blazers slowing this team down tonight. Portland has a very strong offense and we don’t think they will have trouble putting the ball in the basket tonight. We feel like they are playing with house money in this series and the game should be free flowing and we don’t see a defensive matchup here. We may see more defensive games later in the series, especially if Portland manages to win a game or two and make this a series. But for tonight we expect a fast pace and some easy baskets for both teams. |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 210.5 | Top | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Even though four of the six games in this series have gone under, the last two have gone over. But we think there is a great chance this will be one of the most low-scoring games of the series. Both of these teams have massive expectations. Whichever team loses this game will have had a disappointing season. We just don’t see this as a free-flowing offensive game and we think both teams are really going to buckle down on the defensive end. We really think we could see a game like Game 2 where both teams finish well under 100. These teams don’t have a lot of experience in this situation and there will probably be some jitters that could affect early offense. And by the fourth quarter both teams will be fighting for their postseason life and we should see some great D. |
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05-10-19 | Warriors +7.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Kevin Durant has been playing out of his mind in the postseason and the rest of the Warriors supporting cast has been a disappointment most of the time. But this is the defending NBA champ and the current NBA dynasty, and they still have Curry, Thompson and Green, and a solid team all around. They also have a great coach. We think they will do what they can to make this a competitive game. Curry isn’t going to stay cold forever, and with more responsibility tonight we think he has a great game and takes control. We expect a close game here tonight. |
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05-08-19 | Celtics +9 v. Bucks | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Boston hasn’t played well in this series and this season has been a disappointment and there will probably be a shakeup once this team gets bounced in this series. But this team does have heart, and we don’t think they will roll over like some other teams would facing insurmountable odds. We can see the Celtics leaving it all on the court tonight in this elimination game. We have to think Coach Brad Stevens will have his team compete for four quarters and we just think this is too many points as this is the biggest value for Boston during this entire series. |
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05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 89-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Sixers have been very competitive in this series but Toronto gutted out a Game 4 win in Philly and now the series has turned into a best-of-3, with Toronto having two games at home. They were always our pick to win this series and they just have a deeper team and more experience in the postseason. The Sixers have not played well here in Toronto has they are 1-5 ATS in their last six visits, and we have a feeling the Raps will break this series open tonight with a comfortable win and put the Sixers on the brink of elimination. |
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