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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-15-21 | Bucks -4 v. Nets | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Great momentum for Milwaukee heading into Game 5 here with the series tied up. The Nets will likely be without two of their Big 3, and that is a problem with the way the Bucks have played the last two games of this series. They have all the momentum here, and the Nets have to figure out something quickly if they expect to win this one tonight. We don’t see it happening, and we think the Bucks go for the jugular this evening. Yes, the Nets have experience with playing without members of the Big 3 as they have done all season. And they have some role players that have the ability to step up. But we just don’t see where the points are going to come from for the Nets here tonight. They are really struggling offensively and have failed to reach the century mark in the last two games. The Bucks have the capability to score here, and we just don’t see the Nets being able to match that. Milwaukee has a strong betting history here in Brooklyn as they are 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings here. This Bucks team gets a mulligan from us for last season in the Bubble as they had some off-court issues going on, and a win tonight and putting the Nets on the verge of elimination would go a long way to put that failure in the rearview mirror. |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
We loved what we saw from the Clippers in Game 3, and we think that positive momentum will carry over here in Game 4. The Clippers have been in this situation before in a must-win game, and they have had success in this situation already in the playoffs. In Game 3 the stars for LA did what they were supposed to do, and the role players stepped up big time. Mitchell for Utah is banged up for this game. He might not be able to perform at his best. Utah benefitted from some great shooting in Games 1 and 2. They have cooled off, however, and that kind of shooting is unsustainable likely throughout the series. Also, the Clippers have been great in the favorite role as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Utah hasn’t done great as an underdog as they are 0-5 ATS in their last five in this situation. This has the look of a series that could possibly go the distance, and we see the Clippers evening things up tonight with a comfortable win. |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | Top | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
If Denver was going to make a big stand in this series, Game 3 was the place to do it. But they didn’t. At all. They got blown out. Again. Now the Nuggets are toast. And they know it. It’s virtually impossible to come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Playoffs. And Phoenix is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, and that’s saying a lot since they had a great regular season. But not only are they playing great, but they match up extremely well with Denver and this series looks like a total mismatch. Denver showed a lot of heart in their postseason comebacks last season, but this is a different season, and they just matched up with the wrong team in the second round. |
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06-11-21 | Suns +2 v. Nuggets | Top | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Denver looks totally outclassed in this series. Phoenix looks like they have barely broken a sweat and they have rolled in the first two games. This one looks like it could very likely be a sweep. We were unsure of the Suns in this postseason because of lack of experience, but Chris Paul has been playing lights out and this team seems dialed in and is playing great team basketball. We think they go for the jugular tonight and essentially put this series out of reach with a win and a 3-0 lead. We had the Suns as 3-point favorites here, and there is great value in the much better team getting points here tonight. We see the Suns putting up a big offensive number tonight, and the Nuggets won’t be able to keep up. |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Nuggets were blown out in Game 1. But they have done a pretty good job of bouncing back from a bad loss in these playoffs and we expect a much more competitive game in Game 2. The Nuggets have covered in seven of the last 10 meetings in this arena and 14 of the last 20 meetings overall. We just don’t trust Phoenix that much in this postseason and think the floor will fall out from under them at some point. Denver will draw on their playoff experience tonight. |
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06-08-21 | Clippers +4 v. Jazz | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
It’s rust vs. momentum here. We will go with momentum tonight. The Jazz didn’t play for almost a week while the Clippers closed out Dallas in Game 7 on Sunday. But LA didn’t look tired, and they are playing some excellent basketball. When this team is playing well, they could be the most talented team in the NBA, and we like them getting points tonight in what we feel is a coin flip game as to who wins. The long break has killed the Utah momentum while the Clippers have fresh momentum. We think the Clips will lock down on the defensive end here and that the Jazz may start the game a bit rusty. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks +1 v. Nets | Top | 86-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
We wanted to wait to see what went down in Game 1 before we made a move on the side in this series, and this one turned out exactly as we wanted to go with the Bucks in Game 2. Brooklyn won Game 1 and that gives the Bucks even more motivation here, and James Harden went down with an injury, which increases the Bucks chances to pull even in this series. The Bucks played a pretty lousy game in Game 1. This team doesn’t often have two bad games in a row. They are a more stable team than the Nets, who threw together a super team on the fly. We just don’t see the same chemistry for Brooklyn, and that is crucial in such a pivotal playoff game. We expect the Bucks to even this series up tonight with a much improved effort compared to Game 1. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
The NBA playoffs is all about stars and although the Mavs have one of the best in the business, the Clippers have two difference-makers on the court tonight. The road team has won every game in this series, and we think that trend will continue tonight. There hasn’t been much intrigue in the postseason thus far and you know the NBA wants a Game 7, so the Clippers might get the benefit of the doubt on some calls tonight. Regardless, we think the Clippers will step up with their excellent defense and do everything they can to slow down Doncic and make the rest of the team beat them. |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers -2 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
The Lakers were absolutely humiliated in their last game. With a proud team like LA, that isn’t going to cut it. We expect a spirited performance tonight from the home team. AD might be out here or seriously limited. But they still have LeBron. And they still have one of the best defenses in the NBA. We expect them to play D like their life depends on it tonight, and their playoff life basically does. They have shown they can win games on the defensive side, and we expect that to happen tonight. We just can’t get behind the Suns too much in this postseason because the lack of experience. |
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06-02-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
We doubt Luka Doncic is going to be anywhere near 100 percent here. The whole Dallas offense goes through him. He is like Steph Curry in that his play makes his teammates better when he is on the court. Even though these teams had an extra day off, not sure if that is going to help much. But, regardless, the Clippers put on a defensive clinic in Game 4 and we expect to see more of the same tonight in what is up to this point the pivotal game in the series. Dallas will make some defensive adjustments as well and we don’t see either of these teams putting up big numbers on offense. The stars will probably do their jobs but we think the role players will fall short. And the extra day off will ramp up the defensive intensity. |
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05-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +6 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
We think the Grizzlies have a great chance to win this one and even the series up. It should at least be a close game. Memphis has nothing to lose and they are playing with house money right now. All the pressure is on Utah here. Last game the Jazz got off to a hot start and outscored the Grizzlies 34-22 in the first quarter. The Grizzlies pretty much played even with them the rest of the way after that slow start. Of course they won Game 1 and they haven’t embarrassed themselves at any point in this series. Even though they lost by 10 last time out, they have covered their last four at home after losing by double digits. They know this is their last best chance to stay in this series, and we expect to see a spirited effort tonight. Plus, the refs should dish out some home cooking, especially since there are a lack of games coming up as many of the series in the East have been lopsided. |
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05-30-21 | Nets -7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 141-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Boston played great in Game 3. Tatum put the team on his back and scored 50 with a legendary effort. That’s doubtful to happen again, and the Nets should bounce back and comfortably win this one against an outmatched Boston squad. This Game 3 was typical of Boston all season as they will look like they are back on track and then fall on their faces. And it was typical of Brooklyn, a team that has been inconsistent. But we think that loss was a wake up call. And with the other top seeds in the East taking care of business quickly, there will be urgency for the Nets to make sure Boston doesn’t win another game and hang around as the competition will get much tougher in the coming rounds. |
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05-29-21 | Jazz -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Kudos to Memphis for winning Game 1. They caught Utah off guard and they got a great win. But Utah showed in Game 2 why they are the top seed as they dropped 141 points in a blowout. Sometimes good teams need a kick in the butt to get going, and it looks like that loss motivated Utah in a big way. That positive momentum should continue here. And Memphis would not even be a playoff team under the normal playoff format. This is a team on the way up but not there yet, while Utah is a true championship contender. And we think they get the job done again tonight. |
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05-28-21 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 220 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Dallas has been playing great in this series and they have been shooting the lights out. But they have made a lot of lucky shots, and that is undeniable. They also have some players that have unsustainable shooting percentages in this series, especially from long range. The Clippers were one of the best defensive teams all season. Their season is on the line tonight and we expect them to lock down on defense and play with massive intensity. And the Dallas shooting can’t stay this hot forever. We expect a much different look on the scoreboard after the final buzzer than we saw in Game 2. |
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05-27-21 | Bucks -1.5 v. Heat | Top | 113-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
We were hyped on the Bucks entering the postseason but also kind of apprehensive because of the fact that they fell on their face last postseason. Was that the Bubble or is this team a postseason underperformer? Well, Game 2 gave us a lot of confidence, and we think there’s a great chance this series ends up as a sweep. This team has unfinished business, and they looked focused and determined thus far in this series and Miami is just outmatched. |
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05-23-21 | Lakers +3 v. Suns | Top | 90-99 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 7 m | Show |
For most of the later part of the season we have been planning to fade the Suns in the postseason. This team has all the look of a regular season wonder but a postseason failure. They don’t have a lot of postseason experience. Chris Paul has a career of postseason disappointments. This team needs some experience before they are a true title threat. Unfortunately, they drew the Lakers in the first round. The Lakers almost never have betting value because they are one of the most public teams in the NBA. There’s no doubt the Suns are scared here. The Lakers are healthy and streaking. We think this line is more than fair for Game 1 and we actually had the Lakers as a slight favorite, so we love the value here for Game 1. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
This is what the Clippers played the season for. All the load management, different rotations and team building was intended to be in a good place for the postseason. And we think the Clippers are in a very good place. This team didn’t care about regular season records. All they care about is winning a championship. And this team looks much better than the one we saw flame out of the playoffs last season. Paul George was having some mental issues last season in the bubble but he has been great this season, and this team is pretty much fully healthy here for Game 1. A healthy and motivated Clippers team is on a different level than this Mavs squad, and we think this line is short on Saturday. |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Home teams have been dominant in this play in tournament, and we expect that trend to continue on Friday in the final play in game. The postseason is when stars shine the brightest, and although Ja Morant is a rising star, the Warriors have two established stars, including one of the best to ever play the game. We have seen time and time again that Steph Curry elevates his game to a different level when things matter the most, and the stakes couldn’t be higher here. He also makes everyone around him better when he brings his A Game, and we expect to see his best tonight. The Grizzlies wouldn’t have made the postseason in a normal format. This team is on the rise for sure, but we think they are a season away from being a true threat. With Curry, the Warriors can beat any team in the postseason if he elevates his game. Golden State has been a great bet lately as they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Memphis when playing in the Bay Area. The Warriors scored a double digit win in this same arena against the Grizzlies on May 16. We think there is a great chance they score a comfortable win tonight by 7+ points. |
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05-19-21 | Warriors +5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
This game features two of the most clutch players of all time facing off in an unprecedented game of two recent championship teams playing for the right to make the playoffs. But Steph Curry has been in fine form for a long time, while LeBron has been oft injured and is just getting back into rhythm for the postseason. This team just doesn’t have a lot of chemistry right now. They won five straight to end the regular season, but they covered only two of those games and they faces teams with questionable motivation while LA had all the motivation. But they will face an extremely motivated Golden State team tonight, and the Warriors are playing well and have covered six straight games. We had the Warriors as slight favorites here and we think it’s their game to lose. |
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05-18-21 | Wizards +2 v. Celtics | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
Just think this season is a wash for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown went down for the season. That seemed to take the air out of this Celtics team that looked off anyways. They have dealt with many injuries all season and never got to develop the necessary chemistry needed for a championship run. They lost five of six games to close out the season, and they didn’t reach the century mark on offense in three of those games. They are banged up heading into this game with key players nursing a variety of injuries. The Wizards got off to a slow start this season, but they have been playing as well as anyone in the NBA lately. They have been a covering machine as they have covered the majority of their games over the last month or so. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The last five meetings have all gone under the posted number. |
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05-16-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -9 | Top | 116-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Maybe both teams want the Blazers to win here? The Clippers sure looked like they tanked their last game to avoid the Lakers potentially in the first round or closer down the road. Now the Blazers are in that position. They have a chance to knock LA into the play in tourney. Denver doesn’t have any incentive to win and let the Lakers into the top 6 seeds. We see Portland going all out here and the Nuggets focusing on their first-round opponent, which could possibly be these Blazers, so why would they want to give too much away? |
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05-14-21 | Nuggets v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 104-91 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Despite a 20-50 record, the Pistons are 35-33-2 against the spread. They get too many points on a regular basis. This team is building something good, and the players play hard and play until the final buzzer. Do they get blown out from time to time? Sure. There is a lot of developing talent on this team. But they get an A most nights for hustle, and this has the look of a team that wants to finish the season on a positive note. This team is 26-16-1 ATS when getting five or more points this season, so they are a pretty safe bet as a big underdog. Denver has been overrated by the oddsmakers as they are 1-4 ATS in their last five. This team is pretty secure in their postseason positioning and we just think they have their eyes towards the playoffs now and they aren’t going all out here in Detroit. The Pistons have covered in five of seven meetings. We expect a close game here, and a SU win by the home team wouldn’t be shocking. |
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05-13-21 | Clippers -8 v. Hornets | Top | 113-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We were really impressed by the Clippers last win over Toronto. This has the look of a team that is getting healthy at the right time and wants to build some momentum heading into the playoffs. Ibaka is the only main player that will be out tonight. The Clippers have had a real light schedule down the stretch, so they should have plenty of energy here. And they have covered in four of the last five meetings. |
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05-11-21 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 102-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
The Magic have suffered two 30+-point losses in their last three games. This team is so wracked with injuries they are fielding a G League-level team right now. And this team stunk before all the injuries. Those big losses were to Minnesota and Boston, one team that stinks and one that is not playing well. The Bucks are in on a back-to-back, and they suffered one of their worst losses of the season last night in San Antonio. They lost by 20+ in what was obviously an off game. We like to back a good team after an embarrassing loss like that as they normally give a lot better effort in their next game. Even on a B2B they should have enough energy to beat this Magic team without breaking too much of a sweat. The Magic haven’t covered in the last six games in this series, and we think they run into a buzzsaw tonight against a Bucks team that will want to remove the bad taste their loss from last night left them. |
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05-10-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | Top | 125-146 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
The Bucks have been playing some ridiculously high scoring games lately. They have combined for 269 points or more in two straight games. Their offense is clicking very well and they are content to light up the scoreboard instead of bore down on defense. The Spurs are real close to missing the playoffs as they sit in the No. 10 spot in the West. They need a win here. They have not played well recently but we expect them to be competitive here in a must-win game. They should be able to score on the Bucks and we doubt this one will be a blowout so both teams should get their points. The over has cashed in this series for years as these teams don’t meet often, but the over is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings. We expect a barnburner tonight. |
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05-09-21 | Wolves v. Magic +8 | Top | 128-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
As bad as the Magic have been playing, the Wolves are not in a position of power to be laying more than seven on the road to anyone. This is the biggest favorite they have been all season. The Wolves have lost three straight and didn’t cover in any of those games. The Magic have won and covered in three of their last six games, so they aren’t playing that bad right now overall. There is more talent on the Wolves side for sure, but we think this is an inflated number. |
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05-07-21 | Celtics -4 v. Bulls | Top | 99-121 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Boston is rested. They had the night off Thursday, and before their 36-point domination of Orlando last time out, they had two days off before that. The Bulls are coming in on a back-to-back. They won last night but had dropped four straight before that, so they aren’t in great form right now. The Bulls are the more desperate team. They are four games out of the last spot in the playoff play-in, with six games left. They are done. And they have been playing like it. They are here in the spot out of the playoffs because they aren’t a very good team. Boston has a lot to play for as they are on the bubble of the play in tourney, but they are currently No. 6. They control their own destiny to avoid the play in. And most importantly, they have been a great bet in this series as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Chicago and 12-3 ATS overall in the last 15 meetings. The Bulls got a rare win in this series last month, but we don’t see it happening twice in a row. |
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05-06-21 | Lakers v. Clippers -8 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
The Clippers have been one of the best ATS teams in the league all season and the Lakers one of the worst. The Clippers haven’t been covering lately but they are as healthy right now as they have been in a long time, and they face their biggest rival tonight. The Lakers don’t really think of this as a big rivalry for them, but the Clippers do. That’s why the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Clippers didn’t play well last time out vs. the Raptors but still won. We think they were looking ahead to this game a bit. We expect their best performance tonight in what should have a playoff atmosphere. But the Clippers are healthy and the Lakers aren’t, with LeBron and several key players out tonight. |
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05-04-21 | Raptors v. Clippers -9.5 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
The Clippers are the healthiest they have been in awhile, and their two stars are expected to play tonight. They have lost three straight and they are desperate for a win right now. They have had two nights off to regroup and should be ready here. As of right now they are set to play the Lakers in the first round. They won’t say it, but they don’t want it. They will probably do their best to move up in the seeding, and they don’t have many chances to do it left. We think they give their best effort tonight and win this one by double digits. |
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04-27-21 | Thunder v. Celtics -11 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Boston is coming in off two straight losses, so this is a “get right” game for them. And they are playing just the right team to get back on track against. The Thunder have a rag tag group of players competing right now. They have been just god awful on defense as they have given up 119 or more in four straight games. We think Boston will put up a monster number on offense here and they should have no problem covering this big number. The Celtics are resting a couple key players, but that is why we are getting a value number here on Tuesday. |
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04-26-21 | Jazz -9.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
When you are one of the best teams in the NBA and you lose to the Wolves, you know you had an off game. That’s what happened to the Jazz on Saturday as they played very poorly at home and lost straight up. Now this is a quick turnaround rematch, and we just don’t see anything other than the Jazz brining their A Game. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings here in Minnesota. This is a team that can beat bad opponents by double digits without breaking a sweat. We think that loss on Saturday is a wake up call for Utah and they will put their best foot forward tonight. |
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04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings -3 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
The Kings have not been good lately, but they are still better than the Wolves. They are coming off a big win at Dallas, and this is a chance to start a rare winning streak. We think they will be up to the task. The Kings have been a disappointment, but they have had a much better season than Minnesota. The Wolves don’t play well on the road against bad teams as they are 0-4 ATS in their last four in this situation. This is also a revenge game as the Kings lost in Minnesota earlier this month. |
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04-19-21 | Bulls v. Celtics -6 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Boston has some players questionable for Monday and this line could move if some of those players were given the green light. We won’t be scared off by the line movement in that event. We think Boston has a great chance to win this one by double digits. This team has never been about individual players. They play great team basketball, and when they are playing well the system works even with some parts missing. The Bulls will be without LaVine again, and that hurts as he is one of their best players and this team isn’t deep. They snapped a five-game losing streak last time out with a win over Cleveland, but that’s nothing to write home about. That was their only cover in the last six games. Boston is playing their best basketball of the season and they have done it against a really difficult schedule. We don’t think they will overlook this opponent since every win matters after their slow start. When this team is playing well they have been one of the best ATS teams the past several years. This boils down to great coaching. Boston is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings and we expect them to get a very easy win tonight. And don’t forget, even though the Bulls were off last night, this is their third game in four nights as they had a B2B in that Cleveland game. |
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04-16-21 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 234 | Top | 107-106 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
We think the sky is the limit for this total. This should be a close game and both teams will get their points. Overtime is always a possibility, but we don’t think we will need the extra five minutes to cash this ticket. The Blazers average about 115 points per game. We aren’t worried about their offense. They are healthy now and they have scored 115 or more in four of their last six games. Most of those point totals were against better defensive teams than the Spurs. The over is 4-0 in the Blazers last four as a road favorite and 5-0 against a team with a losing record. So the question is if the Spurs can score enough to get this one over the total. We think so. They have scored 119 or more in three of their last four games. Their offense is playing very well at the moment. They have done this against some pretty solid defensive teams, and on the road no less. They have gone over in four straight and seven out of eight. Portland has the No. 26 defense for points allowed. They allow 115 a game. We think the Spurs can score more than that tonight. Betting the over when these teams meet has been one of the strongest bets in the NBA for years. The over is 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. It is also 7-1 in the last eight meetings in San Antonio. We expect a barnburner tonight! |
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04-15-21 | Celtics -6 v. Lakers | Top | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The Lakers are a bit of “fool’s gold” here as they have won four of seven but those wins were over Charlotte, Toronto, Sacramento and Brooklyn. Only one real quality win among those teams, and Brooklyn is a “work in progress” right now as this team is tinkering with a lot trying to have chemistry and stability once the playoffs start next month. And even the Lakers called that game the best win of the season. The Celtics have won six of seven. They DO have some quality wins there as they won in Portland and Denver in their last two. They also beat the Knicks, who are playing well now. This team is pretty healthy and has shrugged of their slow start. And this team has been one of the safest bets in the NBA the last few years as they normally have a great ATS mark. We think they hold the Lakers to a real low point total tonight. |
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04-14-21 | Magic +9.5 v. Bulls | Top | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Magic have been playing like dog poop lately, to be blunt. But there’s no way the Bulls should be laying this many points to any team. This is the most points the Bulls have given up all season. They have lost three straight games. They are back at home after a long road trip and have been on the road mostly for several weeks. This first game home is often tricky for the home team as the players have personal business to attend to and their minds might not be in the game. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road underdog. They are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning percentage less than .400. |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Pacers have won three straight. They are playing really good basketball right now and shooting the ball extremely well. They have shot the ball better than 50% in two of their last three games. The Pacers got off to a slow start to the season and they are in No. 9 place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They need to keep winning to avoid dropping out of play-in contention. The Clippers have been playing well. This seems like the type of game where they may slip up, however. They have been at home for a long time. This is their first road game since March 25. They are without three key players tonight in Kawhi, Pat Bev and Ibaka. The public is all over the Clippers in this one and we think the bookies have set the number to make LA appealing. We expect a high scoring game here and we think the Pacers have a great chance to win outright. |
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04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks OVER 205.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
The Lakers seemed hopeless once LeBron and AD went down. But things are looking up for this team. The role players on this squad have stepped up in a big way. They had one of their most impressive wins of the season last time out as they blew out Brooklyn on the road. They scored 126 in that win. Their offense has been coming together, and there is reason for optimism as they have a timetable now for the return of their two stars. After a big string of unders, they have gone over in three straight games. We think this total is too low tonight. The Knicks have the No. 1 defense in the NBA. They, however, played a very hard-fought, back-and-forth game on Sunday against the Raptors. Just not sure if they are going to have the energy to play shut down defense tonight. The Knicks are also trending to the over with three of their last five going over the posted number. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. We think this will be a close game, like the oddsmakers, and we expect both teams to get their points here. And overtime is always a possibility with such a small spread. We don’t think we will need the extra five minutes to cash this ticket, however. |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +13.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
This is a bad spot for the Clippers, who are coming in on a back-to-back after facing the Suns on Thursday. They have faced a who’s who of teams that will be in the WCF in recent games: Phoenix, Portland, LA Lakers and Denver. Throw in a recent game against potential Finals opponent Milwaukee, and we don’t think this Houston team is going to move the meter for the Clippers. They probably won’t have the energy to give 100% here even if they were inclined to, which we don’t think they will be. And who know who will take the court for LA as they often have a scratch in back-to-backs. Houston was off on Thursday. They have been playing much better lately and are coming off a win over Dallas and an easy cover against Phoenix. They are 3-0 ATS when getting this range of points as an underdog and 5-0 ATS on the road against above-.500 opponents. |
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04-07-21 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 222.5 | Top | 131-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
The Wizards are trending to the under with all four of their recent games going under the posted total. They will probably be without NBA scoring leader Bradley Beal tonight. They have some other key players questionable as well. They have scored more than 106 points only once in their last six games. They have scored 91 or fewer in two of their last three games. The Magic have a ton of injury issues, too, and we don’t know where the offense will come from with this team, which is No. 29 in the NBA for scoring offense. We don’t see either team doing anything special on offense. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Orlando. |
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04-05-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
We have been patiently waiting for the Raptors to turn the corner. This team has a solid roster and there is no reason this team shouldn’t be making a playoff push. Well, with that game last time out, the dominating win over Golden State that was one of the biggest wins of the season in the NBA, maybe now is the time they start to turn it on. Sometimes all you are missing in the NBA is confidence, and they should have plenty of that after dismantling the Warriors. The Wizards are going nowhere fast, and who know which games they choose to give max effort in. We get the feeling Toronto will be the more motivated team tonight. |
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04-03-21 | Magic v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 91-137 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Orlando’s offense isn’t anything to write home about. They really struggle to put points on the board on a nightly basis. But they have been playing very good defense lately and they give a lot of effort on that end. Both teams have been trending to the under lately, and we think this game can go one of two ways. If Orlando is competitive here it will be on the strength of their defense. If it’s a blowout, the No. 5-ranked Jazz defense will probably keep the Magic under the century mark, which has been a pretty common occurrence for this team. Either scenario puts us in a good spot to cash this ticket. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 48 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #802 Baylor over Houston (5:14p.m., Saturday, April 3 CBS) Baylor cleared a major hurdle by getting to the Final Four and expect them to play a more relaxed game against Houston. The Cougars are an outstanding defensive team, but I just do not believe that they will be able to match Baylor’s high-powered offense to keep the deficit in single digits. Baylor is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games when they are the favorite. Houston got all that they could handle from Rutgers in the round of 32 and I see do not believe they can keep up in scoring with the Bears. |
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04-02-21 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Both teams scored under 90 points in their last outing. We are willing to bet that the poor shooting and lethargic play carries over into this matchup. The Hornets have been an ATS covering machine lately, and that has been on the strength of their defense as their offense has been inconsistent. Seven of their last eight games have gone under the posted total, and the under is 26-7 in the last 33 meetings in Indiana. We think this is another total that has been posted too high and we had this one penciled in at 214. |
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04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Magic are playing well. They are coming off a confidence-boosting win in LA against the Clippers and they have covered in seven of their last nine games overall. This young team plays solid defense and lately they have been able to put together enough offense to stay competitive. The Pelicans have Zion and Ball on the injury report tonight. If one or both can’t go that will help us a lot. We think Orlando can keep this close regardless of the status of those players. The Pelicans have not been good as a big favorite this season. They are 1-5 ATS when laying 7.5 or more points. They could be in a letdown spot after one of their biggest wins of the season against Boston. They are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Orlando has also covered in all of the last four meetings. We expect a close game here. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #628 Michigan over Florida State (5p.m., Sunday, March 28 CBS) This is not as strong of Seminole team as they have been in the last couple of years. Michigan has had good recent success against FSU and expect that to carry over into this game as well. Florida State has some shaky losses this season to UNC, Notre Dame, and Georgia Tech (twice) and if Michigan can shoot it well from the arc they will take care of business. Florida State is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 neutral site games. Michigan is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games. This team has adjusted to life without Isaiah Livers and will make a deep run this weekend with a good chance to make the Final Four. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse +6 v. Houston | Top | 46-62 | Loss | -107 | 102 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #647 Syracuse over Houston (9:55p.m., Saturday, March 27 TBS) Syracuse is playing outstanding now and the same cannot be said for Houston. The Cougars needed a late run to put away Rutgers on Sunday and I do not see them blowing out the Orange in this game. The Cuse have won 5 of their last 6 games and playing against a 2-3 zone is something Coach Sampson has struggled with in the past. Syracuse is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 neutral site games when they are an underdog. |
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03-26-21 | Pacers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This Dallas team seems to be rounding into form after a real slow start to the season. They have had a real relaxed schedule lately so they should have a lot of energy for this game. They have wins over the Blazers, Clippers and Nuggets in their last six games, so they are battle tested. Indiana has covered only three of their last 10 games and this team just isn’t in top form right now while Dallas is playing their best ball of the season. Not to mention they have covered in six of the last eight meetings. |
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03-25-21 | Mississippi State -2 v. Richmond | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #611 Mississippi State over Richmond (6p.m., Thursday, March 24 ESPN2) Richmond had know business winning their first-round match-up against Toledo but they did and now find themselves up against a better team in Mississippi State. Richmond still has injury issues and that will not go away in this game. The Bulldogs are coming off an impressive win against Saint Louis last time out (a No. 1 seed) and they are better at 4 of the 5 positions on the court with Richmond’s current roster. The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. The Spiders did not perform well down the stretch losing their final 3 games before the NIT began and that included a loss to Saint Louis, a team Mississippi State just beat. |
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03-22-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
We had the Celtics as a slight favorite in this game so we think there is good value. Boston had a team meeting the other day and then came out and dominated an Orlando team that had been playing well on Sunday. They played earlier in the day, so the back-to-back here was not so brutal. Memphis had the day off Sunday but they are playing their third game in four nights just like the Celtics, so we think the rest factor is pretty even here. Memphis has lost four of their last six games, so they aren’t in top form right now. The game yesterday against Orlando for Boston might be a turning point as this team seems determined to save their season after a slow start. And you have to remember this is one of the best coached teams in the NBA and they have been one of the best betting clubs in the NBA for years. We could see them going on a run after a real slow start to the second half of the season. Boston has a strong history in this series as they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. |
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03-21-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 215 | Top | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
These are two Top 5 defensive teams. The Lakers looked awful on offense once LeBron left the court on Saturday. They will have to figure something out on the offense. We don’t see it happening tonight, however, and we think they will struggle to score and will have to rely on their defense to stay competitive here. We either think this will be a Suns blowout or a close, low-scoring game, and we think both scenarios bode well for the under. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and we expect a similar result here. |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-76 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #801 Wisconsin over Baylor (2:40p.m., Sunday, March 20 CBS) Wisconsin finally put together a complete game on Friday and expect that to carryover into Sunday against the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears. Baylor just has not been the same team since coming off a long pause and I do not see them blowing out this experienced Wisconsin team. The Badgers are getting better contributions from their guards and if they can make shots from the arc, they can win this game straight-up. Wisconsin is 15-5 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 22 NCAA Tournament games when they are an underdog. Baylor is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games when they are the favorite. |
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03-20-21 | Hawks +4 v. Lakers | Top | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
The Hawks have been playing great basketball lately and they have won seven straight games even though they don’t get the press as more popular teams around the league. They have really stepped things up on the defensive end and they are playing as a cohesive unit during this stretch. Sometimes coaching can make all the difference. The Lakers have been playing well also, but they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers and we think that is the difference here as the value lies with the visitors. We expect a low-scoring, close game here. |
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03-19-21 | Mavs -3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Dallas is quietly starting to play really well and they have won six of their last eight games overall. They are doing this pretty quietly as other stories dominate the news wire. But they are coming off a very impressive win over the Clippers on Wednesday. They also have wins over Denver and Brooklyn during this stretch, so they haven’t been playing only scrubs. Portland is coming off their rematch with New Orleans and will be playing their fifth game in seven nights. We think this is a real bad spot for Portland. |
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03-19-21 | Rutgers -1 v. Clemson | Top | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 78 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #753 Rutgers over Clemson (9:20p.m., Friday, March 19 TBS) NCAA TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR I just like the talent on Rutgers better than the talent on Clemson. The Scarlet Knights are the only higher seed to be favored against a lower seed and it is for good reason. Both teams lost games they should not have lost this season but feel Rutgers will be playing with a renewed confidence, as they broke the NCAA Tournament drought of 30 years in 2021. Rutgers has great balance on offense and played in a much better conference this season. Clemson did not do much damage away from home once ACC play started and I am just not sure they can score enough points to keep pace with Rutgers. The Tigers are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Wow we have come a long way to see the Celtics posted as decent sized underdogs at home. We will take it. The Celtics are finally getting healthy and cohesive. They have won five of their last six games. Utah has lost three of four and they aren’t playing like the dominant force that we saw earlier in the season. That’s not a knock on Utah – it’s tough to keep that level of performance up all season long and even the best teams go through down points of the season. We had this line handicapped at PK so we think there is real nice value in the home dog as we think this game is a coin flip as to who wins SU. |
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03-13-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #606 Alabama over Tennessee (1p.m., Saturday, March 12 ESPN) Alabama is the best team in the SEC this season and expect them to make the finals of the SEC Tournament in Nashville, TV. Tennessee may be without John Fulkerson, as he was taken to the hospital after a brutal foul in their game Friday against Florida. That is a big loss for this team if he is not 100% and Alabama will be able to take advantage of that. Tennessee has underachieved this season and just do not have much confidence in a Rich Barnes led team. When Alabama is making three-point shots they are one of the best teams in the country and they will enter having won 4 straight games with the last three coming by double-digits. Alabama is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | Top | 127-101 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
We think this is a great spot for the home team getting points tonight. The Sixers are a very average road team at 9-9 on the season. They are missing two of their top players tonight. The Wizards got off to a real slow start to the season and they lost confidence from a lot of bettors. But they have turned a corner and have been playing much better of late. They have won six of their last 10 despite a slip up last night. They normally play well in this series and have covered in five of the last six meetings. We had the Sixers laying a single point here so nice value tonight. |
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03-12-21 | Ohio State -0.5 v. Purdue | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #813 Ohio State over Purdue (2p.m., Friday, March 12 BTN) Conference Tournament Game of the Year Ohio State is just a better all-around team that Purdue in 2021. The Buckeyes had a brutal schedule down the stretch but were able to right the ship yesterday against Minnesota. Purdue had a much easier schedule to close out the regular season and they have not played a team has strong as Ohio State since January 22. They have been feasting on bad teams of late and thus they have an inflated conference record. Ohio State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. The favorite is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between Ohio State and Purdue. The Boilers will need to shoot it well form the arc to cover this spread and I do not expect that to happen. |
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03-11-21 | Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 223 | Top | 101-134 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks are an under machine this season at 23-14 on the year so far. This team has the No. 1 defense in the NBA and they bring it on that end of the court on a nightly basis. They are a true old-school defensive team as the offense leaves a lot to be desired and is one of the least productive in the league. This team regularly goes under the century mark on offense, which is very rare in today’s NBA. Luckily for us, the Knicks went on a bit of an over streak before the break. But they are rested and they have probably been looking forward to this game against one of the best teams in the East and this matchup will be a measuring stick to where they are at right now as a team. We expect them to lock down on the defensive end and for this to be a close game. Just don’t see the Knicks engaging in a shootout tonight. And there’s a good chance that after the break that these teams could start the game rusty on offense, especially New York. The under is 7-1 in the Knicks last eight road games. |
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03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Both of these teams can score. Only one can play defense, though, and that’s Memphis. And we believe that will be the difference in the game as we expect a rested Grizzlies team to make some stops down the stretch. Both teams are rested and that should help the defense instead of the offense, which could be out of rhythm early and rusty. Memphis is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. We think they are the better team at this point and expect the defense to step up and lead them to the win tonight. |
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03-10-21 | Iona v. Siena +1 | Top | 55-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #616 Siena over Iona (5p.m., Wednesday, March 10 ESPN+) The Saints are the No. 1 seed in the MAAC tournament this week in Atlantic City. They enter having won 4 of their last 5 games and should be able to take down the Rick Pitino led Gaels. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 games between Iona and Siena. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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03-07-21 | Texas v. TCU +7.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #738 TCU over Texas (7p.m., Sunday, March 7 ESPN+) Texas does not have much to play for in this game and thus I do not believe they will be all that motivated to play a Sunday night game in Fort Worth. Texas got blown out last year in their regular season finale in a shocking upset and I believe that this game will do down to the wire as well. TCU likes to keep games in the sixties and if they do that today they should be able to cover the spread. This will be the Longhorns fourth straight road game and that will eventually catch up with them and cause a flat spot. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Texas and TCU. Texas is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. TCU is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss in their previous game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-06-21 | Duke +3 v. North Carolina | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #651 Duke over North Carolina (6p.m., Saturday, March 6 ESPN) Duke just needs this game in the worst way and it would not surprise me if they get it. North Carolina does not shoot it well form the arc and I just do not believe they are good enough to beat Duke twice this season. North Carolina has lost 2 of their last 3 games and both came against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Duke and North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games against a team with a road winning percentage under .400. |
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03-04-21 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 220 | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
The Thunder have scored 102 or fewer points in four of their last five games. They went under the Century Mark in three of those games, and they are coming in on a back-to-back after scoring only 78 in a loss to Dallas last night. This looks like a team that wants the All-Star Break to start and we just don’t see them putting up a big point total tonight against a Spurs defense that is No. 11 leaguewide for points allowed. The Thunder have been playing solid defense lately, too, so it’s unlikely they will let the Spurs run crazy on offense tonight. Both meetings this season have gone well under the posted total. These teams played last Wednesday and the total was only 201. We either think this will be a blowout with the Spurs crushing a lifeless OKC offense or that the Thunder will step up on defense and it will be a low-scoring slugfest like the last outing was. Either scenario bodes well for the under, in our opinion. |
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03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Hawks have not been good on the favorite role as they are 0-4 in their last four as a lined favorite. They failed to top the Century Mark in their last two games against Miami, and now they face another good defensive team in the Magic tonight. Orlando has lost four straight after a three-game winning streak. This team is not as bad as they have looked at times this season, and this is a very winnable game for them as their problem is scoring and the Hawks aren’t in very good form offensively right now and we think they are ripe for an upset here. |
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03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It’s very rare we take the Lakers. We mostly look to fade them as they are often overvalued by the oddsmakers and bet blindly by public bettors. But this line tonight seems fair. The Lakers played well last two games in dominant wins. They have Schroeder back, and he is a big difference maker on this team. This squad went through a rough patch recently, and they want to keep this winning streak intact and they should be more focused. Seeding will be important in the West playoffs this season. The Lakers are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. |
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03-02-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -2 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #644 Purdue over Wisconsin (9p.m., Tuesday, March 2 ESPN2) Sill not sure why Wisconsin is getting this much respect from the oddsmakers. Now they travel to West Lafayette, a place they have not had much success at for decades. Purdue has won 3 straight games and they have solidified their spot in the NCAA Tournament and now have a chance to improve their seed for the Big 10 conference tournament with two home wins. Wisconsin had a great chance to beat Illinois on Saturday without Ayo Dosunmu, but they came out flat. The final score of 74-69 and the shooting stats are very misleading, as they never led in that game and Trice scored 19 points in the final 2:30 of the game to make their 3-point shooting stats better than what they appeared to be. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between Wisconsin and Purdue. The home team is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games. Purdue is 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games. |
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02-28-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 110-111 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We are going against the Wizards here just because they have had a brutal schedule lately. They are on a back to back while the Celtics are rested. They are playing their third game in four nights. They are coming off a tough road trip where they had success. But they also had a brutal back-to-back last week on Monday and Tuesday with the Lakers and Clippers. They got blown out of the building by LAC on the second end of that back-to-back, and we could see the same thing happening here tonight. The Wizards are 3-12-1 in the last 16 meetings here in Boston. Maybe the Celtics turned the corner in this season as they gutted out a win last time vs. Indiana that could be a springboard for this team to start playing better consistently. We just don’t see the Wizards having much gas in the tank for this one, and the Celtics should be extra motivated as they are coming off a bad recent losing streak. |
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02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #750 Kansas over Baylor (8p.m., Saturday, February 27 ESPN) The Bears were not impressive at all this week in the first game back after coming off a long covid pause. Kansas has been much better of late and should have beaten Texas on Tuesday in Austin. Just do not believe Baylor can run the table in the Big 12 and one of the next two games (or both) will trip them up. Iowa State is terrible, and they struggled to beat them in Waco, winning by just 5 points. The Jayhawks have won 5 of their last 6 games and I see them taking this game down to the wire with a great chance to win it. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between Baylor and Kansas. Kansas is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Timberwolves are a dumpster fire right now and they haven’t covered in six straight games despite some very generous odds from the linesmakers. These teams both got off to a slow start. The Wizards are a developing team that took awhile to gel, but they seem to have gotten there and lately have been playing playoff-worthy basketball though they have a lot of ground to make up, But they have covered in six of their last seven games. They are coming off a road trip that included wins over the Lakers, Nuggets and Blazers. Impressive. We had this line handicapped at 8, so there is really great value here as the home team is being lined according to record and not recent form. Not to mention the Wizards are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. |
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02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
We like to go with a good team that was embarrassed in their last game. We also like to go with the losing team when teams go against each other back-to-back this season. We have both scenarios tonight as these teams rematch from last night, where Memphis scored a near 30-point win. This Clippers team sometimes plays a bad game. This is the team that has looked like one of the best in the NBA many nights but yet lost to the Mavs earlier in the season by almost 50. It’s just one game. And the Clippers have shown the ability to bounce back after a bad game. This team has great depth and they are normally competitive when their stars are out or resting. The Grizzlies don’t have the same kind of depth. There are no indications that the Clippers won’t suit up their A Team tonight, and they should bring their A Game. The Clippers have been great in back-to-backs and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero rest. Great chance for a dominating effort by the road team tonight. |
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02-25-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing real well lately. They are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers. But LA is the second best team in the NBA right now and they were on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights and they were competitive to a point then just ran out of gas. But they are rested with Wednesday off and we think they will get back to the stellar basketball they have been playing, winning five of their last six, with some impressive wins on that resume. It has taken some time for this team to come together, but they are playing to their potential lately and we see them being competitive here in this road matchup as well. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +7 v. Lakers | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing well right now. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games. They won all those games SU, including matchups against Denver, Portland and Boston. No pushovers there. This is probably a game they have been looking forward to as almost all teams have their visit to the defending champs circled. The Lakers haven’t been playing up to oddsmaker expectations as they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. They aren’t in top form with losses in three of their last four. We think the Wizards come to play tonight and expect a close game. |
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02-20-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota +5 | Top | 94-63 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #658 Minnesota over Illinois (3:30p.m., Saturday, February 20 FOX) Top College Basketball Play of the Day The Gophers are just a different team when playing at the Barn. They are 13-1 at home this season and also have revenge on their minds after getting blown out by Illinois earlier this season. The Illini have won 6 straight games but 4 of those wins have gone right down to the wire and this game should be no different. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Illinois and Minnesota. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games as a home underdog. |
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02-18-21 | Nets v. Lakers OVER 232 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Lakers have one of the best defenses in the league, but they are missing Anthony Davis and his defensive prowess. The over has cashed in five of their last six games. We just don’t see how they slow down the Nets tonight as Brooklyn has averaged 130+ in their last three games. They are just playing very well offensively right now. They are 22-8 to the over this season, and the oddsmakers can’t seem to set a total high enough for their games. We see both teams getting their points, and overtime is a real possibility in what should be a close game. |
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02-17-21 | Rockets v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Rockets haven’t covered in six games. This team is dealing with a bunch of injuries, and they don’t have any firepower tonight. The Sixers are coming off a game where they were beaten pretty good by the Jazz, and we think they will come out with their A Game here tonight. This one looks like a blowout. The Rockets have failed to cover in all but one game in the last eight meetings. We see Houston getting a real low team point total in this game, and we think this should be a very easy win for the home team. |
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02-16-21 | Lakers -6.5 v. Wolves | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
If you follow our picks, you know we love to bet against the Lakers and rarely take them. But we think there is some value tonight. LA is coming off a bad loss to the Nuggets, one of their worst games of the year. They don’t want a repeat performance. A loss here would be bad as the Wolves are one of the worst teams in the West. LeBron will likely play here even though Davis is out for the foreseeable future. But this team has a lot more depth this season, and we think they will play a great team game tonight against an overmatched opponent. |
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02-15-21 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 119-131 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Both teams are trending to the under and the oddsmakers have been too slow to adjust. The Wizards have gone under in 6 of 7 and the Rockets have gone under in 5 of 7. During that stretch, the Rockets have scored 101 or fewer in five games. The Wizards have scored 105 or fewer in five games. Both teams have been going under the century mark regularly. Could these teams have a breakout offensive game tonight? It’s possible that one will but we just don’t see both teams breaking out offensively and this total just seems about five points too high. |
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02-14-21 | Lakers v. Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
Top end teams in the west will always get up to play the Lakers. But the Nuggets have a lot of extra motivation here on Sunday. Not only did LA dump them from the playoff last season, but the Lakers just crushed Denver in LA less than two weeks ago. Denver played well in the first half but then were totally embarrassed in the second half as they were outscored 68-35. That one had to sting and we are sure Denver will put together more of a complete game here at home. They have double revenge in this one while this is just another game for the Lakers, who get their best shot from teams every night. The Lakers are having about the best start of a season any fan could ask for at 21-6. But look at their ATS record: 13-14. This team is overrated by the oddsmakers and their lines are shaded in every game. We have Denver favored in this one. This is probably one of the Lakers toughest regular season matchups. |
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02-14-21 | Minnesota v. Maryland -2.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #826 Maryland Terrapins over Minnesota Golden Gophers (7p.m., Sunday, February 14 FS1) Big 10 Game of the Year Maryland will complete the season sweep of Minnesota at College Park, MD on Sunday. Both teams still have a shot to make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large and will be well rested for this game having not played since Monday. Minnesota has won two straight home games but before that lost three straight and were only competitive in one of those losses. Minnesota has not fared well on the road going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. I expect homecourt will start to matter more down the stretch before the conference tournament and Maryland will get the win on Sunday. |
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02-13-21 | Providence v. DePaul +2.5 | Top | 57-47 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #747 Providence over DePaul (8p.m., Saturday, February 13 FS1) Top College Basketball Play of the Day. Providence is coming off a nice win over Connecticut and now should be able two in a row with a road win in Chicago against DePaul. The Blue Demons sit at the bottom of the Big East Standing and they are just 1-8 in conference play. Providence has more talent than their current record would indicate and expect them to pull away late and win this game by close to double-digits. The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between Providence and DePaul. The Blue Demons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when they are an underdog. |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 222 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
These are two Top 10 defenses squaring off today in this matchup, and the Suns are really underrated defensively as they are No. 4 in the league for points allowed. Chris Paul is now running the show in Phoenix and he slows down the pace on offense and is very deliberate. When the Suns are facing off against the best teams, especially teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better, the under is 4-0, meaning the Suns normally up the defensive intensity in these games, and we expect that to be the case today. Both teams have played a couple high-scoring games lately and that has caused the bookies to raise this number, but we think it’s too high even though overnight action from the sharps brought this number down quite a bit already. Not low enough as we expect a playoff atmosphere here today. |
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02-11-21 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 221 | Top | 106-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto has been an over machine lately with seven straight overs. But they have played a lot of bad defensive teams during that stretch. They face a really good one tonight as Boston is No.6 for points allowed in the NBA. We think this total has been inflated about five points too high. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and when they meet it usually has a playoff atmosphere, and both teams will likely put some good effort on the defensive side of the ball. |
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02-10-21 | Thunder +11.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-114 | Win | 101 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
The Lakers are winning but not playing championship basketball right now. It was inevitable. They finished up the 2019-20 season what seemed like a month ago, and they were one of the teams that was against starting the new NBA season in December. But the Lakers came out of the gates strong and showed their Bubble championship was no fluke. But they have covered only two of their last eight games. They went to OT in their last two games, at home, against Detroit and this Thunder squad. They have been winning but haven’t looked great doing it, all while being overvalued by the oddsmakers like they always are. OKC led that game, on Monday, most of the way through. We think them keeping it close will motivate them to do better tonight, and it’s hard to beat the same team twice back to back even when one is one of the best teams in the NBA and one is one of the worst. But the Thunder, lacking talent, play good team basketball. They have a winning ATS record this season. Also, Anthony Davis is questionable again for tonight with an achillies injury. OKC has also covered four straight here in LA against the Lakers. |
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02-09-21 | Magic v. Blazers -6 | Top | 97-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
The Magic have covered in only one of their last six games. This team is just not playing well, and despite getting some favorable lines from the oddsmakers, they are still playing well below expectations. They face a tough test tonight in Portland. The Blazers have been up and down this season, but they have won two of three and covered in four of their last six. They are coming off a long road trip which saw them notch a win in Philly, so that is the type of win that can start things going in the right direction. Neither team has been good defensively, but the Blazers have one of the best offenses in the league, while Orlando has one of the worst, and that should be the difference tonight. |
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02-06-21 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -4.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #764 Georgia Tech over Notre Dame (8p.m., Saturday, February 6 ACCN) The Irish are 4-6 in ACC play, but those wins have come against the bottom teams in the league (BC, Miami, Pitt, & Wake). Georgia Tech is very experienced, and they have played better than their record would indicate. The last game against Louisville might have been the worst they have played all season long and expect them to bounce back in a big way at home. They could have easily beaten Duke and Virginis and dominated Florida State. Experience, better talent, and playing at home will allow Georgia Tech to win this game by double-digits. Georgia Tech is 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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02-05-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Heat | Top | 95-122 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
These teams played last time out and the Wizards won outright as a big dog without Russell Westbrook. He will be back tonight and this team should take care of business once again or at least keep this one close. The Wizards match up well here. The Heat have won one of their last eight games. So why are they favored by this much? Washington has a bad reputation with bettors and they have started off the season slow with Covid issues and getting a new star into the mix. But this is too many points for what should be another close game. |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 93-114 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a revenge game for the Nuggets, who lost in the Conference Finals to these Lakers last year. The Nuggets have won six of seven games, and this will be their first game of Feb so they are extremely well rested and have had plenty of time to focus on this game, which is probably their biggest of the season so far. The Lakers have covered in just one of their last five games. This team is always overvalued by the oddsmakers. Even in seasons where they are great SU, they often have a negative ATS record. We feel they are overvalued here as all the motivation lies with the Nuggets, while this is just another game for LA. And the Lakers are back home after a long road trip, which can often be a tricky situation for players who have personal business to attend to and could be distracted from the game. |
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02-02-21 | Clippers -1.5 v. Nets | Top | 120-124 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The Clippers are just getting to where they want to be. Last season they had chemistry issues and their main guys didn’t have an appropriate time to build together. Now the Nets are in that same situation, while the Clippers are playing their best basketball of the Kawhi era. The Clippers are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now, and they are covering too with a 7-2 ATS record in their last nine. This is probably a game they have had circled for awhile. The Nets are a darned good team, but they are still working out issues, and we think the better team will take care of business tonight. |
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01-30-21 | Lakers v. Celtics +2 | Top | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
The Lakers started the season better than we expected after winning the NBA Finals what seems like last week. But they have hit the wall lately, with consecutive losses, a legit one at Philly and then a concerning blowout at Detroit. Things don’t get easier tonight as they face one of their biggest rivals as the road trip drags on. Anthony Davis is questionable here, but even if he does play we think the Celtics have a great chance here. They always get up for the Lakers, when they come to town, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. |
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01-30-21 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma State -2 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #670 Oklahoma State over Arkansas (4p.m., Saturday, January 30 ESPN2) This play is about going against Arkansas, as they appear to be overrated again this year after playing a weak nonconference schedule. They have only beaten the bottom teams in the SEC, and I think they will struggle to make the NCAA Tournament. The Cowboys continue to improve and will enter this game having won 3 of their last 4 Big 12 games. Cade Cunningham is probable for this game and that will put them over the top and allow them to win this game by close to double digits. Arkansas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Oklahoma State is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played on Saturday. |
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01-28-21 | Clippers v. Heat UNDER 215 | Top | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Clippers are without three of their big guns, most likely through the weekend, in Kawhi, PG and Pat Bev. They managed only 99 points last time out with the limited roster in a loss at Atlanta. We don’t see them doing much tonight, either, on offense. Miami is not as good on defense this season as we are accustomed to, but their offense is among the worst in the NBA, so we don’t see them putting up a crazy total against a Clips team that has been playing stellar defense and has the players on the court tonight to continue that trend. |
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01-27-21 | Kings v. Magic -1 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Kings are 1-4 on the road this season. They are in for a tough task tonight to get their second road win. The Magic are off to a slow start. But this is a better ballclub than they have played so far. And they are better than the Kings. They have showed promise lately. They have won two of their last four, but they were very competitive in all those games, losing to the Pacers on the road in OT and losing to Charlotte by 3 in the first game of a back-to-back against them where they won by 9 the following night. The Kings have won one of their last five, against the Knicks, and they have covered in only two of their last 10 despite some very favorable lines from the oddsmakers. The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a home favorite and we think they are undervalued here tonight. |
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01-26-21 | Knicks +11.5 v. Jazz | Top | 94-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
Utah has been playing as well as anybody in the league lately, but we think the oddsmakers have overpriced them here. The Knicks are much improved this season and they have the No. 1 defense in the NBA for points allowed. They have covered in four of their last five games, so they are playing beyond the oddsmakers expectations right now but they aren’t on the radar of casual bettors. For Utah this is a bad spot. They are coming off a win against Golden State and have two matchups against Dallas upcoming. So they won’t be focused on an out of conference team that is not a playoff contender. They don’t need to give full effort here and probably won’t, and they can still win. But that Knicks defense should keep the score respectable and keep them within double digits. |
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01-24-21 | Thunder +13 v. Clippers | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
These teams played Friday and OKC was one missed free throw at the end of the game of covering. We expect them to get the cover tonight. The Clips have been playing as well as any team in the NBA. But we just don’t see them blowing out the Thunder in consecutive matchups. OKC was down big in that last game and fought hard to make it respectable. LA goes on the road after this and we think they will be distracted here and just don’t see them bringing their A Game today. We think OKC keeps this within double digits. |
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01-23-21 | Warriors v. Jazz -7 | Top | 108-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Utah is playing the best basketball in the NBA right now, and it’s not even close for second. They have won and covered in seven straight, and this team looks like it is playing with a chip on its shoulder. That chip should still be there tonight after they were embarrassed on live TV Thursday by the TNT crew. Utah always seems to have the Warriors’ number as they have covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. Golden State is better this year, but they are inconsistent, and they were spanked by the Knicks last time out so they are not in great form. |
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01-21-21 | Lakers v. Bucks -1 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Both teams are playing well but we think the motivation lies with the home team here. The Lakers are defending champs and they don’t have anything to prove. This is a marquee national TV game but just another matchup for them. After flaming out in the postseason last season, the Bucks have a lot to prove and they will want to show they are one of the best teams in the NBA. Plus, the bookies always shade the lines for the Lakers, and we think that is the case here as we had this line handicapped at 3.5. Milwaukee has covered in five of the last six meetings. |
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01-19-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -6 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Utah is quietly playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. They have won five straight and covered in all of those games. Four of those five were on the road. We think they are undervalued again tonight, especially under the key number of 7 for NBA betting. New Orleans has lost four of five and they didn’t cover in any of those losses. One of these teams is trying to figure things out, while one is in midseason form, and the number is more than fair here for the favorite. |
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01-18-21 | Suns v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Both of these teams have been strong to the under this season, and they have a combined 15-8 record for the under. We think this total has once again been inflated. The Suns play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA with Chris Paul running the show. These are two Top 7 defenses and neither offense lights up the scoreboard on a regular basis. We will take advantage of this high total as we think this one could come in under 210. |
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