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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-16 | Texans v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #356 Take Green Bay Packers over Houston Texans (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Packer defense showed some signs off life last week against Philadelphia and now they face a much easier challenge this week against Houston. The Texans have struggled on the road being outscored by an average of 14 points per game (27-13). Green Bay still has a path to the playoffs by winning the division and for them to accomplish that this is a must win game. QB Rodgers picked apart the strong Philadelphia defense last Monday and Houston has been playing without JJ Watt for the entire season leaving a major void in the front seven. This is the first home game for Green Bay since November 6th and it now appears that this season is not lost for them. The Packers just have a major edge at the quarterback position with Rodgers compared to Brock Osweiler, who has struggled mightily this season. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. |
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12-03-16 | Heat +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Portland is a very public play tonight but we will side with the sportsbooks in this one. The Blazers can score, but they can’t defend. But defense is what Miami does so well, and the Heat will be able to keep this one within striking distance on the strength of their defense. The Heat have actually scored 100+ in four straight games, so we think they can hang offensively here tonight. The same probably can’t be said for the Blazers defense. This Portland team is just not very good right now and they have covered in just three of their last 10 games. We expect a very close game here, and either way we should be fine getting this many points. |
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12-03-16 | Colorado -4.5 v. Portland | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #807 Take Colorado over Portland (10 pm) The Buffaloes are coming off their worst loss of the season getting pounded by their in-state rival Colorado State. Now they are on the road and expect them to take out their frustrations against the Pilots. Colorado is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against WCC teams. |
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12-03-16 | Bulls v. Mavs +3.5 | 82-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Dallas has covered and won in three of the last four meetings in this series. This is a real bad spot for the Bulls, They beat the Cavs last night and gave everything they had in that game. We feel it will be tough for them to come out with fire against this lesser opponent. Dallas is playing hard every night and they have covered in three straight games. We feel they will challenge for the win tonight against a weary Bulls squad. |
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12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -1.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #334 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 8 pm FOX) This game has lost some luster since neither Ohio State or Michigan made it to Indianapolis. Both teams struggled in the first half last week against inferior opponents but I just feel the defense of Wisconsin will be the difference in this game. Wisconsin has quarterback issues going into this game but those two are very similar and I expect production regardless if it is Bart Houston or Alex Hornibrook. The favorite has won this game three of the last five years. The Badgers defense is allowing over 100 yards less per game than their opponents are averaging. Penn State in their last 7 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-03-16 | Lakers +2.5 v. Grizzlies | 100-103 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Many of the key players are out here for Memphis, and this line is more because of the recent reputations of these teams than the teams they will field on the court tonight. The Lakers are on a back-to-back after getting blown out in Toronto, but this team is young and proud and we don’t think they will play bad two nights in a row. Especially with such a winnable game here. The Lakers are 7-3-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series and we think they have a great chance for the straight up win here. |
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12-03-16 | Nevada v. Bradley +6.5 | 91-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #794 Take Bradley over Nevada (8 pm ESPN 3) Nevada has struggled to put together two strong halves of play and I just do not see a blowout in this true road game. The Wolf Pack is without Elijah Foster and this will be their second true road game of the season. Their only other road game they lost by 18 points to Saint Mary’s. The Braves have played a weak schedule thus far but I just do not believe Nevada is good enough to by laying this many points on the road. Bradley has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. Nevada is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams. |
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12-03-16 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #813 Take Gonzaga over Arizona (5:30 pm ESPN) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. It is now or never for this Gonzaga team against Arizona. The Bulldogs have lost three straight times to Arizona including blowing double digit leads in the last two meetings. But this just is not the same Arizona team as in years past. They are likely only going to have seven scholarship players for this game with Parker Jackson Cartwright (high ankle sprain) and Allonzo Trier (eligibility) very questionable for this game. Gonzaga just reloaded despite losing some top frontcourt players from last season. They picked up three transfers from power five conferences that allowed them to play the same style and not miss a beat. Even in the games they have been challenged (Florida & Iowa State), they were in control of those games only to let their opponent back in late. I think they have learned from those games and will not make the same mistake with Arizona today. This game means a lot to Mark Few as Gonzaga is starting to get some tournament success and wants to be considered as the top team in the West. Playing in Los Angeles at a spot Arizona has not had good success should also benefit the Zags. Arizona is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Gonzaga is 14-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or under. |
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12-03-16 | Dartmouth v. Boston College -7 | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #728 Take Boston College over Dartmouth (1 pm ACC Network) Boston College has been a doormat in football and basketball over the last half decade. This is an important year for Jim Christian as this is his third year in the program and he needs to show some progress this season. That starts during the nonconference season beating bad teams at home. Dartmouth is certainly a gimme win that I am talking about, as they are 0-5 on the season including losses to Fairfield, Marist, and Longwood. The Big Green are 16-38 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 nonconference games. |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State v. TCU -4.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -102 | 91 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #310 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Kansas State is coming off a lackluster performance against Kansas last week in which the Jayhawks moved the football on them and shutdown their running attack at times. Expect TCU to load up the box to make Kansas State beat them through the air. TCU has struggled at home this season and Coach Patterson knows he needs to right the ship on senior day. Kansas State is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. TCU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning road record. Just was not that impressed with Kansas State last week and believe they will struggle to keep up with TCU on Saturday. |
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12-02-16 | Wolves +1 v. Knicks | 114-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
We are going to take another shot at the Timberwolves here. This team has kind of been our achillies heel this season but when we think there is value we think there is value, so we aren’t going to back off because we think this team will start performing soon. We think this is a great spot for the road team. These teams played Wednesday in Minnesota and the Knicks won a close one. Revenge normally doesn’t play into our handicapping that heavily, but it does when teams play a home-and-home like this as the team that lost normally gives a lot better effort, and that is what we expect from Minnesota tonight. |
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12-01-16 | Rockets +11.5 v. Warriors | 132-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Warriors have been playing great basketball lately, but they haven’t been as consistent as last year and the line for their games have risen. They are 8-9-1 ATS this season They have dropped two straight ATS and they will have two nights off heading into this game. We think that might stifle their momentum a bit. Houston is one of the best ATS teams in the league this season at 12-6 and they are 9-3 ATS in road games. They have covered in seven of their last nine overall. They have an offense that is playing well and can match up with the Warriors and Golden State isn’t dominating on defense yet at this point of the season. |
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12-01-16 | Clippers +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 113-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Clippers have lost three straight, including a blowout loss at Indiana and an inexplicable OT loss at Brooklyn last time out. We just think that this team had a little loss of focus but we think this is a great spot for them to bounce back, and we still think that this is one of the best teams in the NBA right now. They should be as focused as ever to avoid a four-game losing streak and get back on track. We think this is a high priority game for LA while this is just another big TV game for the Cavs. All media reports indicate LA is in a good mental state despite the losses, and Blake Griffin will be fresh here since he sat out the Brooklyn loss for rest. Even after dropping three straight ATS the Clippers are still 10-9 ATS, a much better mark than the Cavs at 6-9-1. Doc Rivers went ballistic after a tech in the Brooklyn game and was ejected. He ripped into his team in the press afterwards. We think the squad will respond with an inspired effort here. We had this game at PK with a lean to the Clippers at that number, so we think getting this many points adds a lot of value as we see the road team getting the win. |
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11-30-16 | St. Mary's -3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #579 Take Saint Mary’s over Stanford (11 pm PAC-12 Network) The Cardinal finally have a competent coach but Maples Pavilion is no longer a tough venue to play in. Stanford played in Orlando over the weekend and that cross-country trip will take its toll on them. The Gaels have been in the Bay Area the last couple of weeks taking care of lesser opponents at home and they know the importance of this game with regards to receiving an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament. Stanford has been one of the most disappointing teams over the last decade and it will take new coach Jerod Haase more than a season to change this culture. Saint Mary’s is loaded with talent especially on the offensive end of the floor and they have had only one competitive game this season. That was against Dayton, a game which they led big only to let the Flyers back into the game. That will not happen tonight, as the Gaels will cruise to a double-digit victory. Saint Mary’s is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against PAC-12 teams. Stanford is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a greater than .600 winning percentage. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-30-16 | Hawks v. Suns +5.5 | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
The Suns have been great in this series, covering in 11 of the last 15 matchups and in five of the last seven in Phoenix. The Hawks have not played well on this long road trip, having lost three of four, and this is the last game of the trip and no doubt they will be thinking of home. This is just a bad spot for the road team and they are laying too many points here. The Suns have been a feisty club at 10-8 ATS this season. They have been playing better than oddsmaker expectations and they have had two nights off heading into this contest while the Hawks will be playing their third game in four nights. A lot of signs here pointing to a Suns cover, not to mention that this line is inflated in the first place because the Hawks are the “name” team here while no one but sharps want to bet on the Suns. |
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11-30-16 | Knicks v. Wolves -3.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves have not been very good to start the season, but we do think there is value in this line as we had this one handicapped at -7. The Knicks have been a really bad road team this season. They are just 1-6 on the road this year. They are just 4-7 ATS as an underdog, and this is not a good role for them. Minnesota is going to turn things around at some point and we think they will eventually become an ATS cash cow. They had a tough last couple of games but we think they go all out for a strong win in this one against an overrated team. |
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11-29-16 | Rockets v. Jazz +1.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Utah played last night (a win for us on the betting line) but we think they are being penalized too much on the line here for the back-to-back. They played a great game at Minnesota and we think they will put up a similar effort here. Yes, they are on a back-to-back, but they had two nights off before the T-Wolves game so they should be in good shape here. This team has now won three straight and they are playing with a lot of confidence right now. Houston has been playing well too, but we think they are overrated in this matchup as we had the Jazz as a slight favorite on our handicapped line. |
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11-29-16 | Buffalo v. Creighton -19 | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #738 Take Creighton over Buffalo (8:30 pm FS1) Creighton is legit this season and Greg McDermott and finally gotten out of the Doug McDermott shadow. They are 6-0 on the season and only their first game of the season was competitive. Buffalo is coming back from the Great Alaskan Shootout over the weekend and their jet lag will hurt them in a big way on Tuesday. Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against Big East teams. Creighton is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-29-16 | Cavs v. Bucks +7.5 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
We think this is a pretty public line tonight. The Cavs are a huge public betting team and even though they are playing great on the court they have not been able to cover the majority of their spreads. The opposite kind of team will be on the other side of the court tonight as the Bucks are a team that no one wants to bet on. They haven’t been good ATS either, but they are not saddled with extra points like the Cavs are on a nightly basis. We thought this line should be closer to 5, so getting this number on the other side of the key NBA betting number of 7 provides some nice value. |
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11-29-16 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5.5 | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Revenge doesn’t usually play a big role in our handicapping but it can if the game in question was recent and the loss was bad for one team. And that is the situation we see here tonight as the Lakers and Pelicans link up for the second time this season in New Orleans. The last meeting was ugly for the home team as the Pels lost by 27 and the Lakers shot better than 55 percent both from the field and 3-point distance. But the Pelicans are playing a lot better now. They have won four straight at home and covered in all those games and they have covered in six of eight overall. This line is a bit short in our opinion. |
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11-29-16 | Princeton v. VCU -5 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #726 Take VCU over Princeton (7 pm) VCU has played a tough schedule thus far and unlike last year that have gotten through it with only 1 setback to Baylor. They are a different team at home and they will win this game by double digits. The Tigers have not looked great to start the season losing by nine points to BYU and Lehigh. I believe VCU is better than both of those teams and if they get ahead early in this game Princeton will struggle to come back. Princeton is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. VCU is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games when they are favored. |
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11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles -4 | 27-13 | Loss | -106 | 122 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #276 Take Philadelphia Eagles over Green Bay Packers (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Eagles should be able to move the football against Green Bay this week much better than they did last week at Seattle. Green Bay has a paper soft defense now as injuries have taken its toll on this team. Green Bay also cannot run football at all as they have had numerous injuries at the running back position. QB Rodgers will make some plays in the passing game, but they will get worn down in the second half and the Eagles will pull away late. The Eagles play much better at home (4-0) than they do on the road, and expect them to win this game by 7-10 points. The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of November. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday Night Football games. |
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11-28-16 | Jazz -3 v. Wolves | 112-103 | Win | 102 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wolves are a team that we have liked this season but this team is not in good form right now and they enter this one having lost four of five. Utah is another team we like and this squad is rounding into form and they have won two straight in blowout fashion. The Jazz have really clamped down on defense and this team has played some of the best D the NBA has seen this season in their last two. We feel they will play well here, too, and this is just a mismatch as the Jazz are a strong playoff type team in their current form while the Wolves are still learning how to play together. The Jazz have also dominated this series lately with four wins and covers in the last five meetings. |
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11-28-16 | Hornets -1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Charlotte has won two of the last three meetings and they have covered in three of the last four. They have revenge here as the Grizzlies came into Charlotte last week and won by 15. The game was out of hand early and we have no doubt the Hornets want to make up for that bad performance. The Hornets have had a tough schedule lately and have lost a couple OT games, but this team is much better than the Grizzlies and we think they should be favored by 4.5 or 5.0 in this matchup. Both teams are somewhat banged up on this matchup but the Hornets should get Nic Batum back tonight, and he will give the Hornets a shot in the arm. |
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11-28-16 | Kings +5 v. Wizards | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a case where an overrated favorite (5-10 ATS) hosts a solid underdog (Sacramento is 10-6-1 ATS this season), and the line seems to be inflated. The Wizards haven’t been good here in the favorites role and they are 1-4 ATS when laying three or more points this season. Sacramento is being penalized too much for the back-to-back here, and we like the tenacity this team has displayed this season as they seen to fight hard even in a losing effort. They have covered in six of their last seven games overall and this is another spot where the line looks too big for the underdog. Could definitely see the Kings winning this one SU. |
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11-27-16 | Pelicans v. Mavs +5 | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost eight straight. This isn’t a good team. But they are not THAT bad. Six of those eight games were on the road. Three of those road games were against the Spurs, Warriors and Celtics. They also played the Clippers at home. They have the Spurs coming up next and then are at Charlotte. This is really the best chance to stop the losing streak, and we expect their best effort tonight. The Pelicans have been playing better lately but we just don’t like this team in the road favorite role, and this team is 0-4 ATS overall as a favorite this season. We expect a close game and for Dallas to challenge for the win. |
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11-27-16 | Clippers -11 v. Pacers | 70-91 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Clippers are coming off a rare loss last time out against the Pistons and now they have a great opponent to bounce back against. We just like the mentality of this Clippers team this year as they are playing their best overall basketball of the BG/CP3 era. They know they have to keep winning to keep pace with the Warriors and we expect an inspired effort after the loss last time out. The Pacers hosted a similar type of team recently in the Warriors and lost by almost 40. There’s no reason to think that this won’t be a blowout with a motivated Clippers club. |
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11-27-16 | Virginia Tech -6 v. Nebraska | 66-53 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #745 Take Virginia Tech over Nebraska (4 pm ESPN U) The Hokies gave away their game against Boston College on Friday but Buzz Williams style of aggressive play should bode well in this game. Nebraska was a one hit wonder a few years ago making the NCAA Tournament but this is not a top tier team by any stretch of the imagination. Virginia Tech is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Nebraska is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-27-16 | Ball State v. Valparaiso -9.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #722 Take Valparaiso over Ball State (2:30 pm ESPN 3) This battle of Indiana will go the way of the home team. Both teams have played numerous common opponents and the advantage favors the Crusaders in most of those situations. Ball State is 6-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games against teams from the Horizon League. Valparaiso is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Sunday. |
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11-27-16 | Iowa State v. Gonzaga -4 | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #734 Take Gonzaga over Iowa State (1:30 pm ESPN) The Bulldogs are loaded again this year and should have an easier time against Iowa State than they did with their true road game on Friday against Florida. The Zags have a big advantage in the paint and Iowa State lost most of their strength from last season. Gonzaga has barely had a competitive game this season and this will be close to a 7-10 point victory. Iowa State will have their moments but in the end Gonzaga will claim the championship. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. |
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11-27-16 | Titans -5 v. Bears | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 18 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #254 Take Tennessee Titans over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Bears have been decimated by injuries this season and this is likely the last month and a half for QB Jay Cutler and HC John Fox. Tennessee did not play well last week in Indianapolis (place they never win) but should find it much easier to put points on the board in Chicago on Sunday. Chicago is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games and they are just playing out the string hoping against hope they can keep their remaining players healthy. Tennessee is scoring over 31 points per game in their last seven games and Chicago will have trouble keeping up with them. Chicago is 3-11 ATS when playing a home game following a loss in their previous game. The Bears did not score a point in the last 30 minutes at MetLife Stadium and I do not see things getting any better today. The crowd will not be engaged early and I just do not see the Bears giving them a reason to cheer. |
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11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 102 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #222 Take New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN U) I feel there will be a great power in this game allowing New Mexico to win straight-up. The MWC really wants Boise State to face San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game next Saturday but for that to come to fruition, the Cowboys must lose this game. Wyoming is coming off a shocking victory last week against San Diego State but I do not believe that will be able to focus in this game after such a high. New Mexico has dominated this series going 11-5 straight-up and 11-5 against the spread in the last 16 meetings. This is the same Wyoming team that lost to UNLV two weeks ago, on the road and with all the pressure on their shoulders I feel they will fall apart in the second half. |
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11-26-16 | Buffalo v. Weber State -1 | 74-72 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #552 Take Weber State over Buffalo (9:30 pm) Both teams are looking for a win to leave Anchorage with a 2-1 winning record. The Wildcats have played a very challenging schedule thus far and their 2-3 record is misleading. The Bulls had a great chance to knock off Nevada last night but did not score any points in the final five minutes and thus their dream of advances to the finals came to a crashing end. Weber State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-26-16 | Pistons +4 v. Thunder | 88-106 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Thunder just aren’t playing well right now and have lost seven of their last 10. They have covered in only three of those games. This is a public team and they are kind of living on their reputation from last season and they just aren’t a very good team right now. The Pistons are flying sky high after beating the Clippers last night and this team is starting to round into form. They haven’t played well on the road but they come into this game with some momentum and they already blew out OKC in Detroit earlier this month so we know they match up well. |
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11-26-16 | Knicks v. Hornets -6.5 | Top | 102-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
We leaned Charlotte last night when these teams met up in New York and we are glad we didn’t pull the trigger as they lost in OT. Revenge is an overrated handicapping factor in the NBA, but it does come into play at certain times, and these back-to-back, home-and-home situations are definitely one of those where it does. When a team loses the night before then they play again, especially back at home, the team that lost before is normally almost an automatic play for us. And the line is just what we expected here for us to pull the trigger on the Hornets for a comfortable win. |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4.5 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #575 Take San Francisco over Sacramento State (6:30 pm) We will side with the undefeated team from the better conference in this neutral site game in Cheney, WA. The Dons have won back to back games by double digits and they have already beaten better teams on the season. The Hornets are 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against WCC teams. The Dons are 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 neutral site games. |
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11-26-16 | Kansas v. Kansas State -26.5 | 19-34 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #164 Take Kansas State Wildcats over Kansas Jayhawks (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Kansas won their Super Bowl last week beating Texas for the first time since the 1930s. Do not expect an encore in this game, as the Wildcats have not lost to Kansas since Bill Snyder came out of retirement. In fact Kansas State has won the last seven meetings by an average of 37 points per game. The Jayhawks benefited from six takeaways to beat Texas but I just do not believe the Wildcats will be that generous. Kansas is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas State is 44-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 66 Big 12 games. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -102 | 91 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #216 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 pm ABC) This is a defacto quarterfinal game for Ohio State, as if they win this week they will make the college football playoff. I just feel Ohio State is hitting their stride down the stretch and Michigan is hanging on for dear life now. Michigan has quarterback issues heading into this game and when you examine their body of work it is just not all that impressive. They had eight home games this season and just four road games. They pounded Penn State and most of the bottom feeder teams but they have yet to see a team an explosive as Ohio State is. The Buckeyes challenged themselves in the nonconference portion of the season and just had one collapse against Penn State with a breakdown of special teams. Ohio State has beaten Michigan eleven of the last twelve games and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games featuring single digit spreads. Michigan had Ohio State at the Big House last year and laid an egg and I just do not see them keeping this game in single digits in Columbus. |
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11-25-16 | Pelicans +5 v. Blazers | 104-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA right now and have won four straight. They have covered in six straight. The return of Jrue Holiday has really given this team a lift, and Anthony Davis is playing as well as anyone is in the league right now. This team beat the Blazers last week. That was a 12-point home win and it was part of a current 1-5 slide for the Blazers where their only win was against Brooklyn. Forget about revenge here. The Blazers are just trying to figure out what is wrong with their team, and with recent results considered the Blazers would have revenge coming for a lot of teams. We expect a close game here. |
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11-25-16 | Hawks v. Jazz -3.5 | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Utah has been good as a small favorite and they are 5-1 ATS this season when laying less than five points. That normally means when they are at home vs. a decent team or on the road against a bad one. That first scenario presents itself tonight, and we expect the Jazz to win this one pretty comfortably. Utah broke a 4-game losing streak last time out in a home blowout win against a pretty good Denver team and we think they have a renewed sense of confidence here. This is a team we think will be a factor in the west this year, and although they haven’t played like it yet we think this team will start seeing some better results and we think they match up nicely here on Friday. |
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11-25-16 | Raptors v. Bucks +3.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Bucks have had three nights of rest coming into this one and we think that will make all the difference tonight. Toronto is on the last game of a 5-game road trip and they have to be thinking more about home tonight than this opponent, and we don’t think they will give max effort in this game. This will be their fourth game in six nights and the last one on the road, and we don’t think this is a good spot for them. They have lost four of six overall and needed OT to get by Denver, so they are not in the best form right now. Milwaukee has been playing well at home with a 5-3 SU record, and we think they will challenge for the win here tonight as well. |
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11-25-16 | Boise State -8.5 v. Air Force | 20-27 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #129 Take Boise State Broncos over Air Force Falcons (Friday 3:30 pm CBSSN) Boise State has just been a different animal on the road this season and this is a must win for them to reach a New Year’s Six Bowl Game. Boise State has four road wins this season and all of them have come by double digits. They have struggled with the Air Force option in past years but I believe they have the front seven that can contain the Falcons this season. The Force has played a weak schedule thus season with only one victory against a fringe top 25 team in Navy. Their 8-3 record is inflated by cream puffs and that will not bode well for this game. Air Force is 0-6 in their last six conference games. |
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11-25-16 | Elon v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #768 Take Northern Illinois over Elon (2 pm) I just do not see Northern Illinois losing two straight home games during the NIU Showcase. They are coming off a tough loss to Cal Poly on Wednesday but expect them to regroup and get back on the winning track against Elon. The home team has a great advantage as this is not a resort area (DeKalb, IL) and Elon and Cal Poly could think of a ton of other spots they would rather be than here. Elon is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win in their previous game. Northern Illinois is 23-9 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 35 home games. |
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11-24-16 | New Mexico +4.5 v. Virginia Tech | 72-92 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #525 Take New Mexico over Virginia Tech (4:30 pm ESPN) When did Virginia Tech become good to warrant being favored over a traditional mid-major power? This line opened at -5 yesterday but has rightfully come down but the wrong team is still favored. New Mexico is the second-best team in the MWC and they return a ton of talent from last year. Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions -2.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #108 Take Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings (Thursday 11:30 am CBS) The Lions are the best team in the NFC North and they can take control of the division with a win Thursday in Detroit. Minnesota got back on track last week with a win against Arizona but this team is still reeling and their offense is terrible. All the ATS magic Mike Zimmer had early in his coaching career has gone out the window in recent weeks and he just does not have enough playmakers on offense to beat Detroit at Ford Field. Detroit has been a machine on Thanksgiving the last three years beating the Bear, Eagles, & Packers by a combined score of 119-41 (cover the spread in all three games). The Lions have covered the spread in four straight home games. |
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11-23-16 | Thunder v. Kings -2.5 | 101-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Thunder were hot out of the gate but the reality of LWD (Life Without Durant) is starting to creep in. This team hasn’t played well lately and is 1-5 ATS in their last six games. The defense has been bad and Russell Westbrook can’t do enough on his own to win games. The supporting cast for this team has definitely been hit or miss. Sacramento has covered four straight and six of their last seven. This team is playing hard every night and they are getting some solid coaching. This is a team that has been so bad for so long that the bookies are slow to adjust the lines here, and that is especially true against a traditional public team like OKC. |
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11-23-16 | Clippers -9.5 v. Mavs | 124-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won and covered in the last two meetings between these clubs and in three of the last four. We think this team will be up for this game as they want to stick it to Mark Cuban over the DeAndre Jordan fiasco two summers ago. Even though the Clippers have failed to cover in their last four, two of those games failed to cover by half point and one other was close, too. This is a major mismatch and we think this Clippers team will want to get off to a positive start to this road trip with a blowout victory here on Wednesday night. Dallas isn’t doing anything on offense lately and their defense isn’t strong enough to stop this Clippers offense, which is humming on all cylinders to start the season. |
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11-23-16 | Heat +5.5 v. Pistons | 84-107 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
We just think that this is too many points for the Pistons to be laying against any team. Miami is a live underdog here on Thanksgiving Eve. And we think this will be a hard-fought defensive battle. Both of these teams are among the tops in the league for points allowed and both offenses leave something to be desired. We expected this total to be in the low 180s and there is a lot of value here in the high 180s. And the lower the total goes the more valuable the points are for the underdog, and that is definitely the case tonight here in Detroit. The under has cashed in four straight meetings and Detroit is 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. |
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11-23-16 | Georgetown v. Oklahoma State -2.5 | 70-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #770 Take Oklahoma State over Georgetown (7:30 pm ESPN 2) Important game for both teams as neither wants to leave the island 1-2. Oklahoma State got run off the court last night against North Carolina but their style of play should be more effective against Georgetown. The Pokes have depth and that should also benefit them playing three games in three days. Georgetown has been a massive failure over the last couple of years and I see this year being no different. |
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11-23-16 | Blazers +12 v. Cavs | 125-137 | Push | 0 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Just think this is way too many points to be giving a Portland team that is struggling right now but that is very talented just the same. The Blazers haven’t been covering many lines lately, but the spreads keep growing for them. And Cleveland hasn’t been a good ATS team, either, but the value is drained from this team because the public will keep betting them whether they cover or not. Portland is better than they have been playing lately and they will be pumped to get back on track against the world champs. Without any major injuries we would probably take Portland plus double digit points every chance we get, and they have covered four of the last five meetings in this series. |
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11-22-16 | Bulls v. Nuggets +3 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver has dominated this matchup ATS with four straight covers and five of the last six. This is a team we really like to wager on as an underdog this season. They are 9-4 ATS on the year so far, so they have paid backers handsomely this far. Chicago has been great ATS thus far as well, but we think this is a lousy spot for them as they played both LA teams in back to back nights and have only had one day off then have to play in the high altitude of Denver in their third game in four nights. We think the home dog has a great chance to win this one straight up. |
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11-22-16 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Georgetown | 73-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #547 Take Wisconsin over Georgetown (8 pm ESPN 2) The Hoyas have never handled prosperity well and I believe they should make a change at the head coaching position. Wisconsin is stable and will be a top ten team all season long as they return their top seven players from last year’s Sweet 16 performance. The Badgers also have revenge on their minds with Georgetown, as the Hoyas beat them last year in New York City. Let’s not overreact to the Hoyas beating the Ducks yesterday, as Oregon has been struggling to open the season. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-22-16 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Hawks | 112-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
After a real slow start to the season the Pelicans are playing a lot better now. They have won three of four and covered in all those games. Yet the bookies are still lining their games like the team that started out the season slow. They have Jrue Holiday back in the mix now, and even though he isn’t a household name he is a big key for this team. New Orleans has covered in five of the last seven meetings in this series and that’s the way we see this one going in a close game. This is a bad spot for Atlanta as a lone home game sandwiched in between two road trips. |
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11-22-16 | Blazers +2 v. Knicks | Top | 103-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Portland has won and covered in two of the last three meetings and they have covered in six of the last eight in this series. Portland hasn’t covered many lines lately, but they got on track last time out with a win and cover at Brooklyn. They don’t have any travel issues here, going across town to play in MSG against the Knicks. Since the Blazers failed to cover in a string of games the bookies adjusted the total for this team too much. We had them as a slight favorite here and expect them to win this game straight out. |
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11-22-16 | Toledo v. Middle Tennessee -3.5 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #520 Take Middle Tennessee State over Toledo (7:30 pm) The Rockets have played a road heavy schedule to open the season and that will eventually catchup with them starting tonight in Murfreesboro. The Blue Raiders struggled in their last game against the Tigers but expect them to take out their frustration tonight on the Rockets. MTSU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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11-22-16 | Idaho State v. Eastern Kentucky -3 | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #542 Take Eastern Kentucky over Idaho State (3 pm) The Colonials should get back on the winning track today in Cancun against the Bengals. Idaho State is 0-2 on the season and every one of their losses has been by at least 9 points. Eastern Kentucky plays in a better conference and they have the best player on the floor in Nick Mayo. EKU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 nonconference games. |
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11-21-16 | Oklahoma State v. Connecticut +2 | 98-90 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #742 Take Connecticut over Oklahoma State (9 pm ESPN U) Both teams have yet to really challenge themselves early in the season. Thus, we will side with the better ranked team in the preseason with an established coach and system. Oklahoma State has a new coach and I think they will struggle to score points once they face a competent team. UCONN finally got into the win column beating LMU on Friday and expect them to play more relaxed in Maui on Monday night. UCONN is 37-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 54 neutral site games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-21-16 | Magic +6 v. Bucks | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Orlando has been playing great defense lately and we think they will be able to keep the scoring down from the Bucks in this one and cover the spread in a low-scoring game. Orlando has held four of their last five opponents in the 80s, and they are really locked in defensively right now. Their offense hasn’t been great, so they have to get it done on the defensive end. The Bucks have played in some high-scoring games lately but that has been mostly against high-paced teams, and we think Orlando will slow the game down for the under and the cover as an underdog. |
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11-21-16 | Celtics v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
The Timberwolves have been a bit up and down this season but we are sticking with them because we think this team will be pretty good ATS when all is said and done. We think this is a very winnable game for them tonight. They have won and covered in the last four meetings against Boston at home. This will be the third game in four nights for the Celtics, and after playing Golden State and Detroit this is probably a letdown spot against a out-of-conference opponent that isn’t a superpower. The Wolves have pretty much been alternating wins and losses lately and they are coming off a real bad performance against Memphis and we think this is a great spot for them to bounce back. |
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11-21-16 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -5 | 105-90 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won the last two meetings in this series and they have covered in three straight meetings. The Hornets are 7-4-1 ATS this season and this team holds betting value since they are very off the radar and play well despite big-named stars. This will be the third game in four nights for both teams, but since the Hornets are at home that benefits them big time in this scenario. The Griz have been on the road a lot and this team should be road weary tonight after a long road trip, one home game and then this being the first of two more on the road. Bad spot for the visitors and the line is too short here. |
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11-20-16 | Jazz +3.5 v. Nuggets | 91-105 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Utah has won five in a row and six of seven in this series. We think that trend continues here on Sunday. Utah is 3-0 on the road against sub-.500 teams and we expect them to challenge for the straight up win tonight. We have taken Denver a few times this season as a dog but we just don’t like them right now in the favorites role and we think the Jazz will go all out to win this game as they have dropped three straight, but all those games were tougher than the one they will face tonight. Defense gets the job done for Utah tonight! |
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11-20-16 | Raptors v. Kings +4 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
We like the Kings as an anti-public play here on Sunday. Sacramento has been underrated by the oddsmakers this season at 7-5 ATS. They are playing hard and their comeback against the Spurs the other night impressed us as in the past this team gave up in those situations a lot. The Kings have won and covered in the last three meetings between these teams, and they match up well here as well. Toronto has had a string of tough games and we think this is a classic letdown spot here. |
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11-20-16 | Eagles +6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -105 | 123 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #471 Take Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Seattle looked impressive last week against New England but that cross-country flight home from a Sunday night game will take its toll on them for this game. Their offensive line is still weak and they will face a much better defense today than they saw from the Patriots last week. Look for the defenses of both teams to dominate this game and that puts us in a good shape as we are getting close to a touchdown. The Seahawks have not been the same dominating team at home this year, as they have had close games against Atlanta, Buffalo, and Miami. Philadelphia is better than two of those teams and they have a quarterback that should be getting better with more experience. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. |
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11-20-16 | Dolphins -1 v. Rams | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 34 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #467 Take Miami Dolphins over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Jared Goff Era gets underway Sunday afternoon at the Coliseum and I expect it to be a spectacular failure. Jay Ajayi has been able to accumulate rushing yards and that is something Todd Gurley has failed to accomplish. Miami won at San Diego last week and they still have a good chance to earn one of the two wild cards in the AFC. This is a must win game for them to accomplish that. The Rams just do not have many offensive innovators on their staff and no quarterback has flourish under Jeff Fisher since Steve McNair left the Titans. The Rams are 3-10 ATS (1 push) in Week 11 over the last 14 years. Miami has covered the spread 4 straight weeks. |
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11-19-16 | Bulls v. Clippers -6.5 | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Clippers have covered in six of the last eight meetings in this rare series, and we think that is the way this one will shake out tonight as well. LA is coming in on a back-to-back but they played really well last night at Sacramento and they led that game by as many as 26 before letting the Kings come back a bit in garbage time. We think this Clippers team is being punished by the oddsmakers too much for the b-2-b situation but we think they are the clear play tonight. This is a very athletic and motivated club and we don’t think the back-to-back will affect them, especially at home. The Clippers offense is in mid-season form right now and they have scored 119 or more in three of their last four games. The Bulls have put up some good defensive numbers lately but those have been against mostly very poor defensive teams. |
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11-19-16 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming -3.5 | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #782 Take Wyoming over South Dakota State (9 pm) We went against the Pokes earlier this week but I was impressed with how they played at Montana. The Cowboys are always a tough out and now they are facing a team that is in major rebuilding mode. Throw in the fact that the Jackrabbits have had some weather delays getting to Wyoming and I expect them to lose this game by double digits. Wyoming returns experience with four of their five starters back from last year and they have adjusted well to their new coach and the loss of their best player. SDSU is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | 56-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #341 Take Oklahoma Sooners over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Two teams with slim hopes for a playoff berth are set to do battle in Morgantown under the lights. Oklahoma has yet to lose a game in the Big 12 and I expect them to run the table and finish a perfect 9-0 in league play. I just do not believe West Virginia has the tools on offense to attack this Sooner defense. Oklahoma will have their hands with this West Virginia defense but sooner or later they will figure it out and put points on the board. The Sooners just have too many weapons on offense to be held in check for sixty minutes. Oklahoma is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Big 12 games. West Virginia is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-19-16 | Wolves -3 v. Grizzlies | 71-93 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are a team we were real high on starting the season but they struggled out of the gate. They have won two of three, however, and are starting to play like that confident team that we envisioned before the season started. The Grizzlies are coming in on a back-to-back, and on the road that is always tough. This will also be their third game in four nights, and that is real tough for a physical team like Memphis. They managed only 80 points last night in the win over Dallas, and we think they will struggle on the offensive end here as well as the visitors pull away in the fourth quarter. |
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11-19-16 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #366 Take Vanderbilt Commodores +10 over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 8 pm SEC Network) This is just too many points to be giving on the road with a team playing their back-up quarterback. Vanderbilt has owned this series with regards to the spread going 12-4 (1 push) in their last 17 meetings with Ole Miss. The Commodores have also covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 times they have been a double-digit underdog. Look for the newcomer to struggle a little on the road and keep the deficit in single digits. Vanderbilt needs to win their final two games to earn a bowl invite and they make a run at that today. |
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11-19-16 | Arizona State +27 v. Washington | 18-44 | Win | 100 | 102 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #371 Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington Huskies (Saturday 4:30 pm FOX) The Sun Devils still need one more victory to become bowl eligible and it will likely not come on Saturday but I feel they can stay within this huge number. Arizona State has lost five times this season but all of them have come under today’s posted number. Washington and their fans are still shell shocked after what happened last week and I just do not see them being able to regroup and take out their frustrations in a big way on Saturday. This is the classic sandwich game for Washington coming off their loss to USC and must travel to Pullman for the Apple Cup next week. |
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11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -4.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 7 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #374 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) These are two of the surprise teams in the country and very similar styles on offense. They both like to score points as quickly as possible. Both teams control their own destiny to make the conference championship game but I have not been impressed with the Cougars road play of late. They struggled to beat Oregon State and Arizona State and will face a much better team today in Boulder. Colorado is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Colorado is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. |
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11-18-16 | Raptors v. Nuggets +4 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
We like the home dog here. The Nuggets have covered the last three meetings between these clubs and four of the last five. We think that trend will continue here on Friday. Denver is one of those teams that is undervalued by the oddsmakers. Despite a 4-7 record they are 7-4 ATS, and we think this team has a lot of value tonight. This will be the third game in four nights for Toronto, and after losses to Cleveland and Golden State they will have a tough time getting the win in the high altitude of Denver. Denver played two nights ago but before that they had two nights off, so rest is in their favor big time in this matchup. Denver has had a real tough schedule this season and it’s been road-heavy. But their offense can hang with Toronto and we see them pulling out the win here at home on Friday. |
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11-18-16 | New Mexico State v. New Mexico -7 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #596 Take New Mexico over New Mexico State (9pm ESPN 3) The Aggies are the little brother to the Lobos in this state and I do not see them keeping this deficit under double digits tonight at the Pit. New Mexico has not looked sharp in the early part of the season but they talent is there. These teams play home and home’s each season but New Mexico has dominated winning 8 of the last 9 match-ups (7-2 against the spread). NMS is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Mountain West teams. New Mexico is 15-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 21 games against WAC teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-18-16 | Monmouth +13.5 v. Syracuse | 50-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #575 Take Monmouth over Syracuse (7 pm ACC Network) The Orange continue their home heavy nonconference schedule tonight against Monmouth. Thus far the Hawks have not had the same road magic as last year, but they also learned that they still need to win their conference tournament in order to make the Big Dance. Thy took a similar South Carolina team to the wire this week and I just do not see them losing by double digits in this game. Monmouth is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Syracuse 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against MAAC teams. |
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11-17-16 | Connecticut -7 v. Loyola Marymount | 65-62 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #735 Take Connecticut over Loyola Marymount (10 pm) Playing on the road may be just what this Connecticut team needs after back to back losses at home to start the season. This is a true road game that UCONN scheduled on their way to Hawaii. LMU lost by 14 points at Nevada on Monday and that is also how I see this game going as well. UCONN is due for a good game where they put it all together and it will come tonight at Gersten Pavilion. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-17-16 | 76ers v. Wolves -11 | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a rare matchup of traditionally bad teams on TNT. But this matchup was put on TNT to feature the Timberwolves, and we expect them to shine on the national stage. This team has struggled a bit to start the season but when they have won they have covered and the wins have come in blowout fashion. The Sixers come in on a back-to-back and this will be their third game in four nights. They won at home last night vs. Washington and we think they will be in a letdown spot here. Minnesota has the ability to jump all over teams when they are playing well, and we think they will put forth their best effort in a rare national spotlight. |
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11-17-16 | Blazers +4.5 v. Rockets | 109-126 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Portland has covered in five of the last six meetings in this series and that is the way we see this one going as well. Houston comes in on a back-to-back after a hard-fought loss against the Thunder last night. This will be their third game in four nights. Portland hasn’t been great ATS lately, dropping their last five, but that won’t last forever and the odds have gotten pretty enticing for this team as we think there is great value in this matchup and we would probably put the Rockets at -1 here and we think the visitors have a great chance for the straight up win. |
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11-16-16 | Spurs v. Kings +6 | 110-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play #520 Take Sacramento +6 over San Antonio (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) This is another situation where a well-known team is not playing up to its potential yet in the young NBA season. The Spurs are fine at 8-3, but you can tell since this team has already lost three games at home that something is wrong here. We just don’t think this team is as good as year’s past, and definitely not as good as last year. The Kings have been playing well lately. They covered three of their last four games. In that last one they took the Blazers to OT, eventually losing on the road. But they have showed a lot of heart lately, and they have had a full four days off to get ready to play their best here. This team is rested and completely healthy. We think they challenge for the win tonight. |
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11-16-16 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -11.5 | 111-107 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play #522 Take LA Clippers -12 over Memphis (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Clippers have started off the season playing like the Warriors did last year. They are jumping all over teams and leaving nothing up to chance. That is a good team to back for ATS profits, and this team is 9-2 ATS and seems to cover any thread thrown at them except against OKC, the only two games they failed to cover so far. They were off yesterday and also are extra rested because their last game was a blowout against Brooklyn and starters got extra rest in that one. We think this Clippers team has learned that every game is valuable and that there can be no off nights if they want to wind up with a good seeding come playoff time. They have covered two straight in this series and we expect that trend to continue tonight. This Memphis team is not as good as the ones we have seen in the past, and the Clippers are a lot better this year. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-16-16 | UC Riverside v. UNLV -6 | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #536 UNLV over UC Riverside (10 pm) UNLV lost their opening game at home to South Alabama but this is a get-well game for the Rebels tonight at the Thomas & Mack Center. UNLV is in a complete rebuild mode but they are still able to get talent and Riverside has always been a bottom feeder team and this year should be no different. The Highlanders are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against MWC teams. |
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11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6.5 | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play #514 Take Toronto +6 over Golden State (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday) This is not the same dominating Golden State team as last season. Yes, they are very good. But they aren’t great. Yet. And they are overrated by the oddsmakers and the betting public for sure. They are just 4-6 ATS despite their 8-2 record. Toronto is 2-0 ATS as a dog of four or more points and we have no doubt they will be up for this game as every team tries to give their best effort against the Warriors. Toronto has covered in four straight games and six of seven so this is just a situation where one team is overrated by the bookies while one is underrated and we expect this to be a very close game on Wednesday. |
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11-16-16 | Rockets v. Thunder -2 | 103-105 | Push | 0 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
3-Unit Play #516 Take Oklahoma City -2 over Houston (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday) We think this line is short for the Thunder on Wednesday. This team has lost four straight but they are a better team than that. Their last game was a beatdown in Detroit and we think this team will go all out here at home against Houston to avoid a 5-Game losing streak. The Rockets are 4-3 on the road but most of those wins have come against feeble opponents. We like the Thunder defense to tighten up in this game and the Rockets can’t play defense so we think that will be the difference here on Wednesday and we expect Westbrook to have a monster game for the Thunder. |
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11-16-16 | Tulsa +22 v. Wichita State | 53-80 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #527 Take Tulsa over Wichita State (8 pm ESPN 3) Tulsa is in rebuilding mode but so is Wichita State to that extent. Seems like too many points to be giving considering Tulsa plays in a better conference and made the NCAA Tournament last season. Coach Frank Haith can keep the scoring down and allow Wichita State to win by 15-17 points giving us the cover with Tulsa. |
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11-16-16 | Morehead State v. Marshall -3 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #540 Take Marshall over Morehead State (7 pm) The Thundering Herd has a surprising season last year under Dan D’Antoni and finished in a tie for third place in Conference USA. They return four starters and should be even better this year. Morehead State returns just two starters and they are predicted to be just a middle of the pack team in the Ohio Valley. |
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11-15-16 | Nets +7 v. Lakers | Top | 118-125 | Push | 0 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
We went against Brooklyn last night and the Clippers rolled, but we are going to back them tonight here on Tuesday. They face a much lesser opponent tonight and this team has been very good ATS this season at 7-3 ATS. The Lakers have been strong as an underdog but we don’t like them laying a lot of points like this as while they are an improved team this squad is not ready for favorite status. This back-to-back situation isn’t that bad for the Nets as they will be playing in the same building as they did last night and this team is young so fatigue should not be a factor. Brooklyn has been better than expected this season and we expect them to keep this game close tonight. |
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11-15-16 | Kansas v. Duke -2 | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #744 Take Duke over Kansas (9:45 pm ESPN) These are two great teams but Duke is always a tough out in New York City and playing in Hawaii on Friday will catch up to Kansas in this game. Duke is banged up with most of their superstar freshman out but they play their starters most of their minutes and that should benefit them this early in the season. Kansas is electric in the Big 12 but not the same team outside of conference. Duke is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-15-16 | Wisconsin +1 v. Creighton | 67-79 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #733 Take Wisconsin over Creighton (8:30 pm FS1) Wisconsin is legit and a top ten team in the country. I am not totally sold on Creighton yet as an automatic team to make the NCAA Tournament. Wisconsin can beat you in a variety of ways and they thrive on going into hostile environments and coming out on top. They won a ton of road games last season including at Maryland and Iowa. Wisconsin is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games. |
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11-15-16 | Long Beach State v. North Carolina -21 | 67-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #724 Take North Carolina over Long Beach State (8 pm ACC Network) The Beach continues to overschedule during the nonconference portion of the season and will get the check for this game but also lose by 20+ points. Long Beach fell apart against a so-so Wichita State team on Sunday night and I expect them to pick up right where they left off tonight at the Dean Dome. UNC has covered the spread in five of their last six home games. |
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11-14-16 | Nets v. Clippers -14.5 | Top | 95-127 | Win | 102 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
The Clippers look like the best team in the NBA so far this season and they are looking like the Warriors did last season, just punishing opponents. We don’t see this team taking a club like Brooklyn for granted as they have learned a lot of lessons about this in the last couple of years and they know that this season they have the best squad the franchise has ever had and every game is important. LA has the best defense in the league and Brooklyn one of the worst, and even though this Nets team is 4-5 on the season they have had a pretty easy schedule. But make no mistake this is one of the five worst teams in the NBA. The Clippers have shown the ability to blow good teams out of the water but we think they should win this game by 20+. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #274 Take New England Patriots -7.5 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The rematch from Super Bowl 49 takes place tonight in Foxboro, MA. Since Tom Brady has returned the Patriots have won and covered the spread in all four games. Seattle is coming off a short week and they were outplayed by Buffalo last Monday. They now must make a cross country flight and this is just not the same team from that Super Bowl squad. New England has a bye last week and that has been a winning recipe under Bill Belichick going 11-2 straight-up and 8-5 against the spread. Seattle cannot run the football whatsoever and this will allow New England to just focus on defending the pass. The Patriots are 21-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 31 home games. |
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11-13-16 | 49ers v. Cardinals -13 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #270 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) We have gone against the 49ers in their last two games and look to complete the trifecta on Sunday. San Francisco is getting destroyed by teams in the second half and their lack of talent and time of possession is catching up with them. San Francisco cannot stop the run and they are allowing 37.1 points per game over their last seven games. Arizona already won at San Francisco this year by double digits with a backup quarterback. Things should go even smoother today for what is a must win game for Arizona if they have visions of making the playoffs. Arizona has won three straight games in this series by an average of 19 points per game. San Francisco is 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games against NFC West teams. Arizona is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-13-16 | Hornets +8 v. Cavs | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
This Hornets team is very under the radar but they have been great so far this season at 6-2, including a 3-0 mark on the road. The Cavs are 7-1 but they are only 3-5 ATS as this team is very often shaded by the oddsmakers. The public isn’t going to tough the Hornets here and the oddsmakers know that so they have to add points to the line, and we think this line should be closer to 6. Not a ton of extra value here but enough to make this a play, and we expect a close game here as the Cavs now have an even bigger bullseye on their back after winning it all last year and they will get the best from most opponents. Cleveland is 1-3 ATS at home against above-.500 teams, which just goes to show that they are overvalued in this spot. |
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11-13-16 | Rams v. Jets -2 | 9-6 | Loss | -102 | 119 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #258 Take New York Jets over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Jets played well last week and had a great chance to win at Miami. Los Angeles is a sinking ship having lost four straight games and this 10 am local time start will doom them in. Not much good can be said the way both teams have played this season but I just think the Jets have more weapons on offense. They key will be if they use them properly in this game. Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on field turf. Regardless of who plays quarterback for the Jets, they will emerge victorious. |
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11-12-16 | Colorado -15 v. Arizona | 49-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #213 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 10 pm FS1) We went against Arizona last week and had the easiest win on the docket and we will continue to fade them. The Rich Rod Magic is done at least for this year, as they have lost six straight games and will not be bowling. Only their fluke overtime loss to Washington starting this losing streak was the only game that was under double digits. CU-Boulder has had a remarkable turnaround and they control their own destiny to reach the conference championship game. Arizona is 1-8 ATS this year and this line should be in the twenties. |
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11-12-16 | Pistons +5.5 v. Nuggets | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The Pistons haven’t won on the road yet and that is a dubious distinction and we think they go all out to get that first road win against a very beatable opponent here on Saturday. They have had some pretty tough road games as two of their last three were at the Clippers and at San Antonio. This opponent tonight is nowhere near the caliber of those squads. Denver is a nice underdog team this season for sure, but we just don’t like them in this role as a decent-sized favorite and we think Detroit has a great chance to win this one outright. |
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11-12-16 | Grizzlies +3 v. Bucks | 96-106 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Memphis is heading on the road for 8 of their next 11 and this team will want to get off to a strong start to this trip with a win over a very beatable opponent in the Bucks. The Grizzlies have covered in the last three meetings in this series and they should win this one outright. The Bucks are reeling, having lost two straight to two pretty bad teams, the Mavs and Pelicans. That loss to New Orleans gave the Pels their first win of the entire season. Memphis has had a pretty tough schedule lately so we think they will take care of business here on the road against an inferior opponent. They are very well rested and this is a prime spot tonight. |
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11-12-16 | Clippers v. Wolves +5.5 | Top | 119-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
We think this is a bad spot for the Clippers coming off a hard-fought, down-to-the-wire battle against Oklahoma City last night. That’s a tough back to back to play in as the Thunder are a big, physical team. The Clippers have covered in only one of the last four meetings. The Wolves have gotten off to a slow start this season but this team is much improved this year. They will put it all together, and this would be a statement win for them. We think they bring their best game tonight, and they match up well with Los Angeles. They are coming off a confidence-building road win last time out and have had two days off to rest and prepare for this game. We think they have a very good chance for the straight up win here and we think it will be a very close game regardless. |
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11-12-16 | Boise State -17 v. Hawaii | 52-16 | Win | 100 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #193 Take Boise State Broncos over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) The Broncos are one of the most disappointing teams this season as they have struggled to play well on the blue turf. But they seem to play much better on the road blowing out three of their opponents (ULL, Oregon State, and New Mexico). All three of those teams are better than what they will have today in Hawaii. Boise State is a perfect 4-0 ATS against Hawaii and 32-14 when favored on the road. The Warriors have lost three of their last four games including a 55-0 pounding last week at San Diego State. This team is running out of gas but they still have a chance to get six wins as their next two games after this are winnable. Hawaii is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the island. |
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11-12-16 | West Virginia +2 v. Texas | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #197 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Texas Longhorns (Saturday 12 pm FS1) Charlie Strong is done at Texas and I do not see them going on a late season run to get to seven wins. His idea to tear down the program after Mack Brown left was a complete failure and it is just time to move out from this disaster. West Virginia still has a to make the college football playoff if they win out and they continue to fly under the radar despite being one of the two best teams in the conference. They are one of the few teams in the league that play defense and they also have the much better quarterback in Skyler Howard. The West Virginia – Oklahoma meeting stays significant as the visitor gets it done in Austin on Saturday. |
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11-11-16 | Illinois-Chicago v. San Francisco -5.5 | 80-82 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #766 Take San Francisco -5.5 over Illinois Chicago (11 pm) UIC has been a bottom feeder program and will struggle to keep this score under a double-digit deficit. The Dons should have new life with a new coach and thus much of the player turnover from year to year should end. The Flames have two decent players but everybody else on their squad is terrible. |
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