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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-27-17 | Kings +4.5 v. Pacers | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Kings have been one of the better road teams against the spread at 13-11 ATS on the season. We think that they are getting too many points here once again tonight. Sacramento is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams, and we think they match up well here. Sacramento has covered three straight games and they should come into this game with a lot of confidence after road wins over Detroit and Cleveland in their last two games. They had the night off while the Pacers are on a back-to-back here. The Pacers are one of the worst in the NBA in these situations at 1-7 SU and ATS! |
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01-26-17 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State -7 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #754 Take Long Beach State over Fullerton (10:30 pm) The 49ers have played a brutal schedule this season but they will make some noise in Big West play and will enter this game having won two straight games. The Titans have lost two straight games and this will be their third road games in their last four games. Fullerton is 9-23 ATS in their last 32 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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01-26-17 | Suns +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 120-127 | Push | 0 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Denver has played well lately but this team is not worthy of being a seven-point favorite over any NBA team. The Suns are playing well too but this team is more under the radar, but they have covered in five of their last six games and they should play their A Game here tonight in what is a very winnable game. The Nuggets haven’t been big favorites too often this season, but when they are they are just 1-2 ATS and we expect a close game here. |
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01-26-17 | Manhattan v. Niagara -3 | 70-69 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #762 Take Niagara over Manhattan (7 pm) Both teams have similar records but the Purple Eagles are much better in conference play as they look to even up their record at .500 in MAAC play. They also have revenge as the Jaspers beat them earlier this season as one of their two conference wins. The Jaspers have lost three straight games and all three of them have been blowouts and that is how we see this game going as well. Manhattan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games. |
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01-25-17 | 76ers v. Bucks -11 | 114-109 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Sixers are on a back to back and they will be without Embiid tonight. They have not been good at all in back to back situations and are just 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS. They got a home win over the undermanned Clippers last night and that has kept this line down but we thought that this one should be closer to 14. The Bucks haven’t been playing well. They had a recent five-game losing streak. But the NBA is streaky and they dominated Houston last time out and that should give them a lot of positive momentum that will continue here on Wednesday night. One of those losses during that losing streak was in this same building to this same Sixers team. Not only does this create a great revenge spot, but Embiid had a monster game there and he won’t be on the floor tonight. We see a very different outcome tonight. The Bucks haven’t been a great ATS team thus far but we expect that to change and they should be in the plus by the end of the season. |
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01-25-17 | NC-Greensboro +2 v. Wofford | 74-93 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #585 Take Greensboro over Wofford (7 pm ESPN 3) Simply looking at the records of both teams (overall & conference) tells us all we need to know about this selection. The Spartans have won six straight games and should challenge for a conference championship come March. The Terriers have lost three of their last five games and have been a bottom feeder in the Southern Conference for most of their existence. Greensboro is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Greensboro already has three road wins in conference this season and will complete the superfecta on Wednesday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-24-17 | Wolves +1 v. Suns | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Minnesota has won and covered both meetings this season and they match up extremely well here. They have had their share of bumps in the road this season but their six road wins is only one less than the Suns at home, and the Timberwolves are playing a lot better lately, having won five of their last seven games overall. The Suns are a scrappy team that we have played in certain spots as a big underdog, but this team is 0-4 ATS as a small favorite this season and we just think that this is a game the Wolves have a big talent edge in and we expect them to take this game seriously as they don’t have a lot of room for error after their slow start to the season. |
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01-24-17 | Jazz +2.5 v. Nuggets | 93-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Utah is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings and we love them getting points tonight and think that the wrong team is favored here. The Jazz have to play in the high altitude here and they have played a heavy schedule lately but they are 7-4 SU and 5-5-1 ATS in back-to-backs this season so we aren’t too worried about that since this team has shown they can play in these situations. This will be the third game in four nights for Denver as well so that kind of evens things out, and Utah has a health advantage tonight with several Denver players banged up. Utah is just playing great basketball lately and we think they have a great chance to win this one outright. |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. #740 Take Syracuse over Wake Forest (8 pm ACCN) The Orange still have a shot at making the NCAA Tournament since they play in a loaded ACC. That being said this is a must win game to keep their at-large hopes alive. Wake Forest is playing their second straight road game and that usually catches up with teams especially fringe tournament teams in the ACC. All of Syracuse’s conference wins have been blowouts and this is just a much better team when playing at home. Wake Forest is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a victory in their previous game. Syracuse has covered the spread in 4 straight home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports. |
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01-24-17 | Clippers -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 110-121 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Sixers covered in the last meeting last season but the Clippers had covered in eight straight meetings in this series before that last game (the Clips won by six against a nine-point spread). LA should get Blake Griffin back tonight. Although he won’t play full minutes he should give this team a huge boost both emotionally and on the floor as well. You can kind of tell that this team played like they knew the cavalry was coming last time out in a 10-point win at Atlanta as this team just has not historically done well with Griffin and Chris Paul out of the lineup. We think their star will give them a big boost tonight and Embiid is not expected to play for Philly and they are not as strong without him. |
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01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks +5.5 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Love the Bucks in this spot. They have lost five straight but all that means is that the value is back with this team. They are much better than their recent record and we think they will bring their A Game back at home. Four of the losses have been on the road. Their one home loss was to a Philly team that has been playing really well. This is a revenge spot for the Bucks since these teams played recently in Houston, a Bucks blowout loss. But the Bucks are 7-3 ATS this season at home against winning teams, and we think they play really well here tonight and we give them a more than decent chance for the straight up win. |
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01-23-17 | Spurs -11 v. Nets | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
The Spurs have won and covered the last three games in this series, and none have been close. In fact, the Spurs have won all three games by an average of 28 points. And we are getting the shortest line they have faced in any of those games. The Spurs are being punished here by the oddsmakers because Tony Parker and Pau Gasol are out, but this team is less about the players than the system, and they have plenty of solid players to pick up the slack. The Spurs have been great at covering big lines and they are 17-11 ATS when laying six or more points this season. This team doesn’t let up in the fourth quarter with a big lead and that is why they are such a great team to bet on. |
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01-23-17 | Warriors -12 v. Heat | 102-105 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Warriors haven’t been a great team to bet on this season as they started the season slow and were overvalued by the oddsmakers. But they have covered five straight and this team is playing as well as they have all season. We think this team is coming on big time and that they will start wrecking teams on a nightly basis. Remember, despite inflated lines this team was the best ATS team in the NBA last year and they have an even better squad this season. We like them in this spot on the road (lower line) against a way inferior opponent. The Heat are just 4-7 ATS at home against above-.500 teams this season. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 125 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #314 Take New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 6:30 pm CBS) Neither team looked that impressive last week but playing on the road for the second straight week will eventually doom the Steelers. New England will face a lesser defense this week in Pittsburgh than they saw from Houston last week. The Patriots are almost unbeatable at home going 33-4 and 26-9 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 4 years. New England also has an advantage with rest also playing at home on Saturday night compared to Pittsburgh playing on Sunday night in Kansas City. QB Tom Brady has put up incredible numbers this season with 30 touchdowns compared to just 4 interceptions. Pittsburgh has not faced an explosive offense since November and that will be their undoing in this game. New England is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-22-17 | Lakers +6 v. Mavs | Top | 73-122 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
We like the way the Mavs have been playing lately and we have been on them in certain games, but we just don’t think they are ready to be favored by this many points over any team. This is the biggest favorite they have been all season, and we think this will be a close game. The Lakers definitely have a chance to win this one. They have lost 12 straight to the Mavs and that ups the urgency to go out and get a win here. And the Mavs teams that won most of those games against the Lakers is not as good this season and the Lakers are improved, and we think they come to play here on Sunday. |
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01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | 21-44 | Loss | -105 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #311 Take Green Bay Packers over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 3 pm FOX) The Packers continue to get little respect from the oddsmakers and the public and us will be all over Green Bay for a second straight week. This will be a shootout as both offenses have a major advantage of the defense and it might take forty points to win this game. That being said, we will side with the franchise that has done it before in Green Bay. QB Aaron Rodgers is playing at an extraordinary level and I believe he is even better in a dome compared to playing in the elements at Lambeau Field. Atlanta is just 4-5 ATS in their 9 home games this season. This is a franchise that has not had much postseason success and I expect that trend to continue Sunday. Green Bay has already knocked off the No. 1 seed in Dallas and they also beat No. 1 seed Atlanta on their way to a Super Bowl Championship in 2010. Green Bay has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record. Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. |
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01-21-17 | Colorado State v. Utah State -3.5 | 64-56 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #672 Take Utah State over Colorado State (9 pm Campus Insiders) The Rams are a sinking ship at the moment and we will continue to fade them with these low numbers when they are on the road. The are down to eight scholarship players and are without Kimani Jackson, Che Bob and Devocio Butler, who failed to qualify academic for the second semester. They have been blown out in two straight games including on Wednesday at Fresno State. They still have bad karma from their game against New Mexico last week when an altercation occurred in the parking lot postgame. Utah State has struggled this season as well but they are a much better team at home. They also have the best player on the floor in Jalen Moore and this is a much need win to get things back on track and even their record at 9-9 on the season. The Aggies are still an explosive team that can score points in bunches and I just do not believe Colorado State will be able to keep pace with them. Utah State leads the all-time series against Colorado State, 57-36, and has won five of the last six. The Aggies are 17-6 against the Rams in Logan. |
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01-21-17 | Spurs +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
We are not a big fan of this Cavs team and there probably isn’t a more overrated squad in the east. Yes, they are the best in the east by far, but they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers (18-21-2 ATS this season) and we don’t think they stack up well against the best teams in the west. Anytime you are getting points for the Spurs you really have to take notice, and that is the case here tonight. The Spurs have covered in five of the last seven meetings in Cleveland, and we think they win this one straight up tonight, but we will take the points instead of the moneyline in case it’s a close game. The Spurs have been dogs only twice this season, and of course they are 2-0 ATS in these situations. Make that 3-0 tonight. |
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01-21-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Duke -9 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #674 Take Duke over Miami (8:15 pm ESPN) Duke needs a win in the worst way. They have yet to win a conference road game but they are still undefeated at home. Duke has suffered from injuries much of the season but they still have talent and I feel they win come ready to play in a big way on Saturday night with the College Gameday Crew on hand. Miami is just a shell of their former selves and they have been blown out by Wake Forest and Syracuse. Miami is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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01-21-17 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +1.5 | 119-95 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Memphis matches up well here and they have covered in five of the last seven meetings. They won the last two straight up. Houston is on a real tough back-to-back here after tangling with the Warriors last night, and that game didn’t go well for them. In fact, they haven’t been playing well lately and have covered in only two of their last seven games. These teams played recently in Houston and the Griz won by five. Forget about revenge here as the Rockets were focused on the Warriors last night and this game will not be as crucial to them and this is a real bad spot for the visitors tonight. |
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01-21-17 | Wizards v. Pistons +1 | 112-113 | Win | 102 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Wizards are just one of those teams that can’t play basketball away from home. They are 5-13 on the road this season and just 7-11 ATS. They have been playing well lately but have had a home-heavy schedule and we think they are overvalued on this line. Detroit has won two straight and they have looked good doing it, and they are looking for revenge after suffering a beatdown in Washington last month. But they are 10-4 ATS in this series in the last 14 meetings in Detroit and we expect them to take care of business by a comfortable margin tonight. |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Minnesota | 78-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #601 Take Wisconsin over Minnesota (4:30 pm BTN) Wisconsin is far and away the best team in the Big 10 this season and we will continue to use them when these two numbers come about. Richard Pitino has yet to make the NCAA Tournament as a head coach and this win would go along way to him accomplishing that feat in 2016-2017. The Badgers have only lost to three ranked teams this year and they already have wins at Indiana and at Marquette. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Big Ten games. |
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01-20-17 | Oakland -2.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 79-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #869 Take Oakland over Northern Kentucky (7 pm ESPN 3) The Golden Grizzles laid an egg last week at home against inferior competition but I now believe this line is an overreaction to that. Oakland is still one of the top teams in the Horizon League and Northern Kentucky is not. Oakland already beat the Norse by 11 points this season and I believe getting out of Michigan will help them in this game (less pressure). Oakland is 23-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 33 road games. Northern Kentucky is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-19-17 | UAB -6.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #733 Take UAB over Florida Atlantic (8 pm) We used the Blazers twice last week and won easily both times and we will look to complete the trifecta on Thursday. UAB is on the road this time but it comes against very weak competition as the Owls have lost five of their last six games. FAU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. |
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01-19-17 | Mavs +2.5 v. Heat | 95-99 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams have played to the under in four straight meetings, and the last three got nowhere near this posted total. We think this will be a low-scoring game. Dallas is trending to the under as seven of the last nine games they have played have gone under, and they are doing it on the strength of their defense. These teams have similar records, but the Mavs have dealt with many injuries this season and now they are relatively healthy. We think they are clearly the better team on the floor in this matchup. They are very confident after three straight wins and we think their defense gets the job done tonight here in South Beach. |
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01-18-17 | Pacers v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 106-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Year. This is the last game of a seven-game homestand for the Kings. It hasn’t gone well. They have only one win during that stretch. We think that makes them a very desperate team tonight in a very winnable game. They are on the road for eight straight games after this game tonight, and they better get a win here at home against a very beatable opponent because if they lose this one they are in trouble. There isn’t much such a thing as a must-win game at this point in the season, but this one is close. If you look at the opponents the Kings have played in this recent homestand you start to think that maybe this team is not playing as bad as their recent results indicate. Opponents included the Clippers, Warriors, Cavs and Thunder. That’s about as tough as a four-game stretch as a team can have. They won against Detroit. The only bad loss during that stretch was against Miami. They took Cleveland to OT and covered against the Warriors. They played OKC pretty close too despite the non cover. Indiana has had a lot easier recent schedule. They are 6-1 in their last seven games, with wins over New Orleans (Anthony Davis had limited minutes), New York, Brooklyn, Detroit, Orlando and Chicago. And most of these games were at home. We are confident the Kings could have played just as well with that schedule, and the Pacers are overvalued as a result. But the Pacers just stink on the road, where they have won only five games this season. They are 5-13 ATS on the road, so when they lose they normally fail to cover as well. Sacramento is 4-1 ATS as a small favorite this season (less than 4.5 points) and the Pacers are 3-9 ATS as an underdog of less than 4.5 points. |
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01-18-17 | Knicks v. Celtics -9.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Sharp bettors took some of the early value out of this line by pounding Boston, but we think there is a great chance that the Celtics win this one by double digits. Boston has covered in three of the last four meetings and in six of the last nine. We can’t think of another team that has more internal problems as the Knicks right now and this team is really struggling and has won only two of their last 13 games. The Celtics are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games and are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. Noah and Porzingis are both questionable for the Knicks tonight, but we don’t think it will matter if they play or not as we see the Celtics rolling here. |
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01-18-17 | Blazers +5 v. Hornets | 85-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Just think this is too many points for the road team tonight. Portland has covered in six of the last nine meetings in this series and we expect them to put up a fight tonight. The Hornets have just one win in their last eight games. They just finished up a long road trip and they lost every game. Normally teams struggle with their first game back after a long trip, and that should be even more so the case for the Hornets who have no confidence right now. The Blazers haven’t been playing great, either, but they have at least split their last four games, and we think they will keep this one close tonight. |
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01-18-17 | VCU -11 v. Fordham | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #523 Take VCU over Fordham (7 pm SNY) The Fordham Rams are not good and they have won just two games since November 24th. The somehow won at Davidson last Wednesday but that is just a fluke evident by the fact they followed that up with a 20-point home loss last Saturday. This is going to be a 20-point game for the VCU Rams. VCU is always one of the top teams in the Atlantic 10 and they are eager to get back onto the court after suffering their first loss in conference on Saturday. This is a much more talent team that Fordham, a team that has lost three straight home games. Fordham got blown out by Saint Joes without their best player and VCU is fully stocked and ready to get back on the wining track. Fordham is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games. VCU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. |
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01-17-17 | Mavs +5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Dallas has won and covered in two straight games and this team is playing with some confidence right now. The Bulls have eight more wins than the Mavs this season but Dallas has dealt with a lot of injuries all season and these teams aren’t as far apart as you might think. We just don’t think the Bulls are good enough to be laying this many points to any team coming off of two wins. Chicago has not been a good team to back as a favorite as they are 4-9 ATS when laying four or more points this season and we think they are overvalued here once again. Dallas plays in the Western Conference and they play tougher teams on a nightly basis and that is a big reason for such a disparity in these teams records, plus the injuries for Dallas. The Mavs have won three straight in this series and they have won and covered in four of the last five. We think they have a great chance for the straight up win here tonight. |
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01-17-17 | Bowling Green v. Toledo -8.5 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #726 Take Toledo over Bowling Green (7 pm) The Rockets are a completely different team on the road compared to when they play at home. The Falcons have been blown out in two straight home games and I do not see things getting any better on the road for them. Bowling Green is 5-13 in their last 18 MAC games. Toledo will pull away late in the second half and win this game by 13-15 points. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-16-17 | Jazz v. Suns +6 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah is playing pretty well lately and even though they had the night off last night this will be their third game in four nights and we think they should struggle to play here on the road like they have been recently, especially against a plucky Suns squad that is back from Mexico and flying high after a win over the Spurs last time out. The Suns have covered in six of their last eight games and this team has been playing hard every night lately. They are 8-2 ATS at home against top teams and this squad normally gets fired up and plays well when a good opponent comes to town. |
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01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
We just think the Warriors are a much better team in this matchup. Yes, the Cavs won the finals last season, but we think the Warriors were out of gas late in that series after (stupidly) trying so hard for the regular-season wins record. And Cleveland got the win on Christmas when these teams played but they caught the Warriors at the end of that game and we thought Golden State controlled most of that game. Now the venue changes as the Warriors are back home for this one and we think they have a big game here as they should be very very motivated and this team plays its best with a chip on its shoulder. |
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01-16-17 | Monmouth -2.5 v. Canisius | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #547 Take Monmouth over Canisius (7 pm) This line has been skyrocketing since it opened and it is for good reason tonight in Buffalo. Monmouth is looking to complete the season sweep of Canisius as they already beat them once this season in New Jersey. I see a similar game tonight with the visitor winning by 6-8 points. Canisius is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. Monmouth is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-16-17 | 76ers +9 v. Bucks | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Philly has been a really hot ATS team and they have covered in six of their last seven games overall. We like their chances to cover this big number today. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS when laying four or more points this season so they just haven’t been a good play as a big favorite. The Bucks have won nine straight in this series but this is the first meeting of the season and Philly now has the type of team that can be competitive here. We think they give top effort here to end this losing streak and we think they will keep this one close. |
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01-15-17 | USC v. Colorado -3 | 71-68 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #886 Take Colorado over USC (8:30 pm ESPN U) I believe USC is the more talented but they are in freefall now and they are an automatic fade especially when playing on the road. They have lost three of their last four games and their weak nonconference schedule is starting to catch up to them. Colorado is in desperate need of a conference win after losing four straight but three of them were on the road and they lost to UCLA on Thursday. The Bruins are one of the best teams in the country and there is no shame in that. USC is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Colorado is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games played on Sunday. |
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01-15-17 | Packers +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #307 Take Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) The Cowboys were clearly the best team in the NFC this season but they are facing a juggernaut in Aaron Rodgers that will pick apart this Dallas defense like nobody has this season. During this seven game winning streak QB Rodgers has a 19-0 touchdown to interception ratio. Dallas was just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. If Green Bay can stop the running attack that will put enormous pressure on the Dallas coach and quarterback that have not had any postseason success (1 win against Detroit in recent years). Green Bay did not miss a beat without Jordy Nelson last week against a much better Giants defense. If Green Bay can stabilize this game early I truly believe it will go down to the wire with the Packers coming out on top. The Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight playoff games. Dallas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. |
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01-14-17 | Utah State v. San Diego State -9 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #668 Take San Diego State over Utah State (10 pm ESPN 3) The Aztecs are going to go on a winning streak and I believe the seeds of this have been planted in their last game out. San Diego State beat San Jose State by 15 points on Tuesday in a game they led by 20+ for most of the evening. Now they face another bottom feeder team at home and expect another 15-18 point victory. The Aggies are just not the same team when playing on the road and they already have losses at Air Force & Wyoming. San Diego State is much better than both of those teams and they are going to make some noise in the conference sooner or later. Utah State is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. |
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01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #303 Take Houston Texans over New England Patriots (Saturday 8:15 pm CBS) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. The Texans are a huge underdog in this game despite having one of the best defenses in the league. New England is solid to good on both sides of the football but I just feel Houston is due to put forth a good performance against New England. The Texans have a lot of coaches with New England ties and they were gutless in the meeting against the Patriots this year. Only twice in their last thirteen postseason games have the Patriots won a game by more than 13 points. Houston has enough talent to hang around and I just do not see a 20+ point victory in this game. New England is 11-1 ATS since the return of Tom Brady and sooner or later the law of averages will have to even out. The same thing happened with Temple covering 12 straight games before losing outright to Wake Forest in the Military Bowl. I am not predicting a straight-up win for the Texans but I feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. |
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01-14-17 | 76ers v. Wizards -9.5 | Top | 93-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
The Wizards are one of those teams that has no clue on the road but is great at home. They are 15-6 at home this season and have covered in nine of their last 10 here in DC. Philly will likely be without Rookie of the Year frontrunner Embiid as he normally rests on the second end of a back-to-back. That’s probably a big reason that the Sixers are 1-6 in back-to-backs this season. The Wizards just play great on their home court and they have had two nights off coming into this one. Philly has been playing pretty great lately but this team still has a long way to go and we see a blowout win for the home team here tonight. |
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01-14-17 | UCLA -3 v. Utah | 83-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #635 Take UCLA over Utah (6 pm PAC-12 Network) Just do not believe Utah is that good this season and they are playing the most talented team in the country on Saturday afternoon. UCLA has just won loss and that came at Oregon on a buzzer beater. Utah is not Oregon and they just do not have that high of a ceiling because of their lack of talent. It is always tough to win in Salt Lake City but that along should not keep the spread this low. Every top 20 team Utah has faced this season they have lost big! Just not that impressed with their dominating victory over USC this week as the Trojans are a sinking ship now. UCLA can beat you in a variety of ways and expect them to take care of business tonight by 8-10 points. UCLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Utah is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a greater than .600 winning percentage. |
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01-14-17 | Lakers +11 v. Clippers | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
It used to be that the Clippers dominated this series but the Lakers are getting better as a team and they are taking this rivalry more seriously and they have actually now covered in five of the last six matchups. And we think they will keep it within double digits here on Saturday. The Lakers are coming off a couple embarrassing losses and we think they will give their best effort today against a team they normally play well against. The Clips haven’t been good at covering the big lines and they are 9-13 ATS when laying six of more points this season. We think this line is 3-4 points too large and we expect a close game here. |
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01-14-17 | Marshall v. UAB -2.5 | 78-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #554 Take UAB over Marshall (1 pm) We have good fortune in Conference USA when it comes to picking winners and will look for that to continue Saturday. We easily collected with the Blazers on Thursday and look for more of the same on Saturday. Marshall is just not the same team on the road and their style of play greatly benefits them at home. UAB beat them both of their meetings last season and I see this being another close game that the home team pulls out by 5-8 points. Marshall is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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01-14-17 | Richmond v. St. Joe's | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #531 Take Richmond over Saint Josephs (12:30 pm NBCSN) The Hawks were in rebuilding mode this year after making the NCAA Tournament last year. That become almost impossible now for them to compete without Shavar Newkirk and his 20.2 points per game. Since his lost they are just 1-2 with only a victory against bottom feeder Fordham on their resume. They have been blown out by Rhode Island and lost at home to a shaky George Mason team last time out. They just do not have much punch and will struggle to win any game this season. Richmond has underachieved during the nonconference portion of the season but they seemed to have put things together winning four straight games during Atlantic 10 play. They have a variety of offensive weapons and they have been playing their best basketball of the season lately. These teams met only once last year and the Hawks won a hard-fought game by 4 points in Richmond. Expect the Spiders to return that favor on Saturday in Philadelphia. St. Joes is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-13-17 | Pistons +11 v. Jazz | 77-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
We think that this line is kind of a joke. Yes, Detroit is on a back-to-back here and they haven’t been good in this situation but you are going to tell me they should be an underdog by almost the same point total as they were in Golden State last night? Yes, they didn’t cover last night but the Jazz are not the Warriors. This one has a real low point total and we like the under and with a low-scoring game the points with the underdog are more valuable, especially when you are getting double digits. Detroit has covered in four of the last five meetings and they have won two straight in the series, and we expect a close, low-scoring game here tonight. |
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01-13-17 | Cavs v. Kings +7.5 | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
We are always looking for spots to go against Cleveland as they are a poor ATS team at 16-20-2 and this team always has their lines shaded by the oddsmakers. And we certainly think that is the case tonight. We had this line at Cavs -4 so we think there is nice value here. Sacramento has been a great underdog play and they are 8-3 ATS when getting five or more points this season. Cousins is about to get a fat contract extension and he should be motivated to play a strong game tonight against the defending champs. The Cavs have a huge game upcoming at Golden State and they are probably focused on that more than Sacramento tonight! |
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01-13-17 | Celtics +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Boston is a little banged up but this team is better than Atlanta and we think it’s a gift to get points in this matchup tonight. We fully expect the Celtics to win this one. Atlanta is playing really well right now but this squad has had a super easy schedule and San Antonio is the only real quality win they have in that time. We think this one would qualify as a quality win but that’s not going to happen. This is another game where we had the underdog as a slight favorite and we think that the Celtics will take this one on the road here on Friday. |
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01-13-17 | Thunder v. Wolves +2 | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Even though the Timberwolves are 2-2 in their last four they have played four pretty strong games in a row and we think the Thunder are a very public play tonight. Minnesota has covered three straight games and we had them as a slight favorite in this game tonight and we expect them to win this one. OKC has covered only 3 of 11 meetings in Minnesota and the Wolves normally match up well in this series. You are starting to see the confidence shine through with this Minnesota team and this squad is very talented and we think they will continue to cover tonight. |
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01-12-17 | Pistons +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 107-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
We have found that fading the Warriors when laying big points is becoming a solid trend. This team is just not playing as well as last year consistently this season and they shouldn’t be giving that type of effort on a nightly basis because look at how that worked out for them last year as they lost to Cleveland in the NBA Finals and looked gassed there at the end of Game 7. The Warriors are just 12-22 ATS this season when laying seven or more points. They are 10-19 ATS when laying double digits. Not only do they not have the same killer instinct as last season but they also are getting their best games from opponents on a nightly basis. Detroit actually played them tough already once this season in a six-point loss in Detroit and they won the meeting before that in Detroit last year. They have covered in three of the last four meetings, and they lost by 14 the last time in GS and were close to covering the spread. We think they come to play again tonight and all indications show they match up well. |
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01-12-17 | Bulls v. Knicks -3.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
There is a lot going on with the Knicks right now and this team has dropped nine of 10. But bettor confidence is at an all-time low with this team and this spread just offers some nice value. The Bulls are without their best player tonight in Jimmy Butler. The flu is going around this team right now. Like the Knicks, the Bulls have their share of issues right now and we think this is a great spot for New York to get a much-needed win. They have covered in four of the last five meetings in this series and we think they will shake off the issues and play a strong game here against another flawed ballclub. Bonus Play #509 Take Dallas -2 over Phoenix (10 p.m. EST, Thursday) This game will be played in Mexico City. The Mavs have been streaky lately and they followed three ATS covers with three ATS losses, and one of those losses was to this Suns team a week ago tonight. Revenge doesn’t play a big part in our NBA handicapping but it does play a role when teams have played each other recently, and that is the case here, and we think the Mavs will get the job done here. These teams have similar records but the Mavs have dealt with more injuries and they are relatively healthy right now. They have also won four of the last five meetings and covered in three of the last four. |
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01-12-17 | Western Kentucky v. UAB -8.5 | 54-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #546 Take UAB over Western Kentucky (8 pm) The Hilltoppers are coming off a 12 point home loss to Old Dominion in this last game and I do not see things getting any better tonight in Birmingham. WKU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss in their last game out. |
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01-12-17 | Pelicans v. Nets +4.5 | 104-95 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Anthony Davis is banged up here and left the Pelicans last game and is questionable here. You have to think that he won’t be anywhere near 100% even if he plays, and Davis is one of the most important players in the league to his team’s success. Brooklyn has been good against sub-.500 teams and they are 7-3 ATS against these types of clubs this season. They have also been great as small underdogs, posting a 6-2 ATS record as a dog of less than 5.5 points. Brooklyn has had a pretty tough schedule lately and we think this is one of the more winnable games they have played in awhile and we think they give top effort here and challenge for the win. |
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01-11-17 | George Washington +10.5 v. VCU | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #713 Take George Washington over VCU (6 pm ESPN 2) We used this play last year as a top play with a similar number and won that game straight-up with the underdog. Expect history to repeat itself on Wednesday night in Richmond. VCU is not a great offensive team and they have been beating up on bad teams of late. George Washington has the better shooting team and if they can take care of the basketball I expect them to take this game down to the wire. Out of the Colonials seven losses only one of them has come over today’s posted number. That was against Florida State, a team that just pounded Duke yesterday. Most of the stats point to around a 4-7 point game and that will be good enough to cash this ticket. In fact both meetings went down to the wire last year with the games being decided by 3 and 4 points (both teams won one of the games). Tyler Cavanaugh is the best offensive player on the floor and he will come up big for us tonight. George Washington is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. VCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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01-10-17 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -12 | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #562 Take San Diego State over San Jose State (11 pm ESPN U) The Aztecs need a conference win in the worst way and the Spartans are the perfect team for them to accomplish this in blowout fashion. The Spartans are a little better this season but they are still a bottom feeder team and lost by 25 points in the only conference road game this season. Fresno State self-destructed against them over the weekend with two technicals with under a minute to play in a close game. SJSU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. SDSU get a win in blowout fashion and we collect in the process as well. |
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01-10-17 | UNLV v. New Mexico -9.5 | 71-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #558 Take New Mexico over UNLV (9 pm ESPN 3) By now you probably know that New Mexico blew a 25 point lead to Nevada over the weekend and lost in overtime by one point. I am not expecting them to come out pissed about that loss, however they have enough talent to beat UNLV convincingly. The Rebels are in major rebuilding mode and they have been blown out in their last two games against team that are not as good as the Lobos. New Mexico has just lost one game at the Pit and they will win this game by double digits. UNLV is 1-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 road games. |
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01-10-17 | Bucks v. Spurs -10 | 109-107 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Spurs have covered in seven of the last nine meetings in this series. The Spurs are playing at a championship level right now and they will be too much for the Bucks to handle tonight. San Antonio has covered in seven of their last eight games. The Spurs have always been really good at covering big lines and this year is no different as they are 15-8 ATS when laying six or more points. This team just has that killer instinct and they don’t let up at the end of the game even when up big. The Bucks are banged up while the Spurs are pretty healthy. We think this one is a mismatch even though we like this Bucks team but they are in over their heads tonight. |
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01-10-17 | Hornets v. Rockets -9 | 114-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The Hornets are a team to fade as long as Nic Batum is out as he is one of the most unheralded players in the league and the No. 2 player on this team. But they really lose a lot with him out of the lineup and they head into a buzzsaw tonight in Houston and don’t expect much from the visitors tonight. Houston just keeps getting the job done and they are 8-0 in their last eight games and they have covered in six of those. The Hornets have dropped four of five and aren’t playing too well right now and times should continue to be tough until Batum comes back. Houston is 7-2 ATS when laying nine or more points so they usually get the job done as big favorites. |
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01-10-17 | Auburn -1 v. Missouri | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #539 Take Auburn over Missouri (7 pm SEC Network) Both teams are searching for their first victory in conference but I just feel that Auburn has more upside than does Missouri. The Tigers just have not gotten it done under Kim Anderson and we will likely be replaced come seasons end. They are 5-9 on the season and they have yet to beat anybody of significance this season. Auburn will go on a run at some point and put this game out of reach. Missouri is 17-35 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 55 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Auburn being favored tells me all I need to know in this game. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #151 Take Clemson Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is just too many points considering Clemson has the much better offense and a couple of playmakers on defense. The spread is solely based on Nick Saban and the respect everyone has for him. He is great but as we saw last week with Urban Meyer, the head coach alone cannot will his team to a victory. Alabama has yet to see an explosive offense like Clemson that can beat you on the ground or through the air. The SEC was way down this year in terms of talent on offense and Deshaun Watson will pick them apart like he did last year. He has not played very many clean games in 2016 but I believe this will be a breakout performance that will propel him up the draft board. Throw in the fact that Clemson has revenge and I really believe Clemson wins this game straight-up. Clemson has covered the spread in six straight bowl games. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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01-09-17 | Pelicans +4 v. Knicks | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The Pelicans have won and covered the last two meetings in this series, including about a week and a half ago when the Pels scored a 12-point win in New Orleans. The Knicks were overrated to start the season and they have been playing some of their worst basketball of the season in losing seven of eight, and they had to mount a big comeback in their one win during that stretch. New Orleans is 6-3 ATS as a small dog this season and this is one of their best roles. We think they keep this game very close with the chance for the straight up win, and we think this is an inflated line tonight for the home team. |
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01-08-17 | Magic +2.5 v. Lakers | 95-111 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Orlando already destroyed the Lakers by 19 in Orlando last month and this is just the better team taking the floor tonight and we had the Magic handicapped at -1 in this game and think there is some nice value here with this underdog line as a result. Orlando has had a really tough schedule lately and this is their most winnable game in awhile. We think they will give their best effort. The Lakers are only 2-5 ATS as a favorite this season and we think they will fail in this role again here Sunday night. |
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01-08-17 | Wake Forest +11.5 v. Virginia | 62-79 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #541 Take Wake Forest over Virginia (8 pm ESPN U) Sunday night hoops features a struggling Cavalier team looking to even their conference record at 2-2. Virginia is its usual self trying to win games solely on the defensive side of the floor. That makes it hard to cover these big numbers and that will hold true again. Wake Forest has some strong offensive weapons that should be able to keep this game close. Wake Forest is 19-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 28 games played on Sunday. Virginia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on Sunday. |
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01-08-17 | Giants +4.5 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -107 | 123 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #107 Take New York Giants over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) We have been riding the Packers down the stretch to great success but finally feel the value has gone to the other side. This is the most complete team Green Bay has seen since late October and beating up on the NFC North is just not that impressive. These two teams met on October 9th with Green Bay winning by seven points in a game that neither team played well. Eli Manning is just a different player in the postseason and has won in Green Bay twice in the playoffs. Green Bay still has major holes on defense and will struggle to run the football in this cold weather game. New York is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road playoff games. |
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01-08-17 | NC State +13 v. North Carolina | 56-107 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #555 Take NC State over North Carolina (1 pm ESPN) NC State has some weapons and this is a lot of points for a very streaky North Carolina team. ACC has been wild thus far and I just do not see a blowout in this postponed game. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-07-17 | Nevada v. New Mexico -1.5 | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #876 Take New Mexico over Nevada (11:15 pm ESPN 2) Not many are saying it but the MWC will be a one bid league for the second straight year with the lone representative being whoever wins the conference tournament in March. Both of these teams have visions of getting an at-large bid but that will not be the case. Despite that I feel these are the two best teams in the league and we will side with the Lobos as they are unbeaten at the Pit. The Wolf Pack have had very little success in Albuquerque and that will continue tonight. The Lobos have two dynamic players in Brown and Williams and they will score over 40 combined points in this game. If Nevada can lose at Fresno they can certainly in Albuquerque. |
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01-07-17 | Hawks v. Mavs +2 | 97-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Mavericks have covered in three of their last four games and this team is finally getting healthy and we think they are a better team than their record and also the public perception of this club is skewed, and that provides betting value. The Hawks are playing very well but they are in the middle of a four-game road trip, having won the last two, and they aren’t going to sweep this thing so there is a decent chance they lose tonight. Especially considering this will be their third game in four nights against an opponent that will not inspire their competitiveness. Kyle Korver is on the way out of town and won’t play here. Atlanta has dominated this series but this looks like a bad spot for them tonight. |
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01-07-17 | Hornets v. Spurs -11 | Top | 85-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Hornets need all the help they can get against the Spurs on the road but they will be without Nic Batum here and he is really one of our favorite players in the league and he’s a very important player for this team. We feel they will slide a bit with him out of the lineup. And they are in tough tonight in San Antonio. Many good teams have trouble covering big lines, but not the Spurs, who are 10-7 ATS when laying seven or more points. We expect that percentage to rise as the season wears on as the Spurs have that killer instinct that a lot of other teams don’t possess. The Spurs are completely healthy and had the night off while Charlotte is playing their third game in four nights in a very tough building for opposing teams. |
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01-07-17 | Knicks v. Pacers -7 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
The Knicks have covered only one of their last eight games in Indiana. Carmelo Anthony is banged up and questionable here. Reports say the injury is so bad that he needs “around the clock” treatment. That doesn’t bode well for a team playing their third game in four nights, and on road back-to-backs no less. The Pacers have won and covered four in a row and this team is playing extremely well right now. They are 14-5 at home this season while the Knicks are just 6-12 on the road. New York got a rare win last night but they have been struggling overall and we just think this is another bad spot for them with an injured superstar. |
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01-07-17 | St. Peter's v. Siena -4.5 | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #908 Take Siena over St. Peters (7 pm ESPN 3) The Saints have been one of the most disappointing teams this season. That being said, they have talent and one has to figure they will put it together at some point this season and hopefully for us it starts tonight. The Peacocks are coming off a surprising win against Monmouth last time out but this is not the team that can string together very many winning streaks in the MAAC. They have lost four of their last six games including a 15-point loss to Houston Baptist. Siena is due to have a night where everything comes together and that will be Saturday in Albany. |
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01-07-17 | Fresno State -3 v. San Jose State | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #801 Take Fresno State over San Jose State (5 pm) The Spartans have been a door mat in basketball since joining the MWC and anytime you see this low of a number it should be an automatic play. Fresno State made the NCAA Tournament last year and beat Nevada last week in Fresno. This same Wolf Pack team beat the Spartans by 25 points a week and a half ago. It can be dangerous to make these types of comparisons but it hold value in this case. SJSU has already lost three home games this season to Colorado State, Portland, & Denver and the Bulldogs are better than all three of those teams. Fresno State has played three of the top teams in the league thus far (New Mexico, Wyoming, & Nevada) and held their own winning two of those games and taking the Lobos down to the wire at the Pit. Fresno State is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. San Jose State is 15-38 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 55 home games. Nuff Said! |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -3.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102 Take Houston Texans over Oakland Raiders (Saturday 4:35 pm ABC) We went against the Raider last week in Denver and easily collected on that ticket and will do so again in Houston on Saturday. The Raiders are limping into the playoffs and are likely using Connor Cook in this game. Houston also has quarterback issues but I still believe Brock Osweiler has some talent and will win this game at home. The Texans went 7-1 at home this season and were leading against a healthy Derek Carr in Oakland earlier this season. Oakland lost the one player they cannot afford to lose and because of this they will be a quick out in the 2017 Playoffs. Houston wins this game big and we collect in the process as well. |
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01-06-17 | Grizzlies +13.5 v. Warriors | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have covered in two of the last three meetings and they scored a 21-point home win last time these teams met, holding the Warriors to just 89 points. We don’t expect that kind of result tonight, but we do think the Grizzlies will play hard and keep it close. This series has developed into a rivalry and Memphis should give their best effort. Golden State has covered in only one of their last six games and they just aren’t giving full effort on a nightly basis and they normally have to play their best to cover the massive points they are laying on a nightly basis. This team is 10-16 ATS this season when laying 10 or more points. |
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01-06-17 | Rockets -5.5 v. Magic | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston is one of the best ATS teams in the league and they are playing a Magic team that has been a solid big underdog on the road but has failed miserably ATS at home with a 5-13-1 ATS mark at home. We aren’t worried about the back-to-back here as the Rockets are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back. They average 121+ points on the second night in these situations! The Magic started off the season playing strong defense but now they have fallen off the cliff in that regard. For every decent game they play defensively they allow 110+ a couple of times, like they have done in three of their last four games, and the Rockets have the type offense that will make them pay. |
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01-05-17 | Montana State v. Eastern Washington -5 | 64-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #802 Take Eastern Washington over Montana State (9:05 pm) The Eagles have played four straight road games and are ready for some home cooking tonight in Cheney. Eastern Washington is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. The Eagles currently have the top RPI in the Big Sky and should be able to take care of business tonight against an inferior opponent. Montana State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-05-17 | California v. UCLA -10 | 71-81 | Push | 0 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #750 Take UCLA over Cal (9 pm ESPN) UCLA is the best team in the country and they will win this game going away. The Bears have some talent but they will not be able to keep with the Bruins for 40 minutes. UCLA has a ton of blowout victories on their resume and they will add to it tonight. UCLA has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 home games. Cal is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. |
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01-05-17 | Hawks v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 99-94 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta is on a back-to-back here, on the road no less, while the Pelicans have had two nights off. Rest definitely favors the home team here. New Orleans is hot and they have won and covered in four of their last five games. Their only slip up was an eight-point loss at Cleveland. They have also covered in six of the last eight games in this series. The Pelicans are playing a lot better after a bad early start and with the Hawks on a back-to-back we had this game handicapped at Pelicans -6 so we think there is great value here and we think there’s a good chance they win by more than seven tonight. |
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01-05-17 | Thunder +9 v. Rockets | 116-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
We have gone against OKC quite a bit this season but this time we think the value has swung the other way as this line is way too large tonight. The Rockets are the better team, but not that much better. The Thunder come in on a back-to-back and we can understand the oddsmakers punishing them for that, but this line still looks about three points off the mark. And you know Russell Westbrook and his big ego will want to have a big game in a marquee matchup like this against an old teammate, especially after an off night last night. The Thunder have lost two in a row and they will go all out to avoid a three-game slide. |
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01-05-17 | Jazz +5.5 v. Raptors | 93-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Utah has been pretty good on the road and they actually have one less win on the road (10-7) than the Raptors have at home (11-5). We think this will be a competitive game that the Jazz have the chance to win straight up. This is a crucial road trip for Utah and they had a bad loss last time out at Boston and we just think they will play a lot better in this matchup. Toronto is one of the best ATS teams this season but they have started to become overrated by the oddsmakers and they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games, with the only ATS win coming in a blowout at the Lakers. This is their first game home after a long road trip and history says that is a bad spot many times for good teams. |
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01-05-17 | Old Dominion v. Marshall -2.5 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #728 Take Marshall over Old Dominion (7 pm) Hard to go wrong playing the Thundering Herd at home. They are a dynamic offensive team that will put a run on the Monarchs sooner or later and win this game by double digits. Marshall is coming off two straight road wins and they took Pittsburgh and Cincinnati to the wire on the road as well. Marshall is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite. |
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01-04-17 | San Diego State v. Nevada -3.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #582 Take Nevada over San Diego State (11 pm ESPN 2) It is now or never for Nevada against San Diego State. The Pack have the more talented team this year especially on the offensive side of the ball. They have yet to beat San Diego State since joining the MWC but that will end tonight. The Aztecs have been a mess this season coming off a home loss to New Mexico their last time out. They are 0-3 in true road games including losses at Grand Canyon and Loyola, teams that are much worse than Nevada. The Aztecs haven’t shot well from the field (42.4 percent, second worst in the MW) and is last in the conference in free throws attempted (248). Nevada can score points in a variety of ways and that will be the difference on Wednesday. Nevada is undefeated at home and they are 16-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 22 home games. San Diego State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Nevada pulls away late to win this game by double digits. |
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01-04-17 | Blazers v. Warriors -15.5 | Top | 117-125 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
It’s not often we want to lay this many points in an NBA game, but the Warriors are definitely a team that can cover a line like this, and we think they are primed for a top performance tonight. Golden State has won the last two meetings by 45 and 23 points, respectively, and Damian Lillard was in the lineup for Portland in those games. He has missed four straight games and is doubtful tonight, and we think this one could get very ugly. Portland just stinks on defense and they are the third-worst team in the NBA for points allowed. They can compete against other poor teams but they can’t outscore the Warriors, and they haven’t held Golden State to less than 125 in the last four meetings. With or without Lillard we don’t think they will be able to do anything differently tonight, and since the Warriors haven’t been covering lately this line is manageable as we thought it would be a bit higher but we love it at anything less than 20 as we see this one as a total bloodbath. Golden State has covered in 20 of the last 26 meetings at home in this series! |
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01-04-17 | Hawks v. Magic +2.5 | 111-92 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Hawks have not been good in the favorites role and they are 6-10 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points, which obviously they find themselves in here tonight. Atlanta normally follows up a solid game with a stinker, and they are 1-8 ATS after an ATS win, another situation they find themselves in tonight. We also think they may come in here a bit overconfident after beating the Spurs last time out. Orlando has won and covered in three of their last five and they have covered in nine of the last 12 meetings in this series. We expect them to compete for the win here tonight. |
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01-04-17 | Thunder v. Hornets | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Thunder have won 10 straight in this series. But this is not the same OKC team in the past, and we actually think that the Hornets have surpassed the Thunder in terms of being a better all-around team. But because they don’t have any big-name stars they don’t get a lot of attention from the betting public. But we think they will go all out to avoid losing their 11th straight in this series. The Hornets have won five of their last eight but come into this one having lost two straight, which makes this a great bounce-back spot against a beatable opponent. The Thunder are 0-5 ATS as a small dog this season! |
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01-03-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU -9.5 | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #750 Take TCU over Oklahoma (9 pm ESPN U) TCU is going to be a tough out at home all season long. Oklahoma has fallen off a cliff this season after reaching the Final Four last year with a senior laden team. They may be without Jordan Woodard again tonight and that is a major void they will not be able to overcome. The Frogs have been winning big at home all season long and gave Kansas a good battle last Friday night. This team has a chance to make the NCAA Tournament but this is a must win game for them to accomplish that. Oklahoma is 7-22 ATS in their last 29 Big 12 games. TCU has covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-03-17 | Wizards v. Mavs +1.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Wizards are hopeless on the road. At 3-11 the Mavs have double the wins at home than Washington has in road games. The Wiz are 5-9 ATS on the road and we think they are overvalued in this game tonight. Dallas is finally getting healthy and this team has played better than expected thus far even dealing with some key injuries. But they have been playing pretty well lately and have covered in four of their last six games. They are also 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. We expect the home team to come up big tonight and think the wrong team is favored. |
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01-03-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Boston is 5-0-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series in Boston and 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall. We are thrilled to get them at less than the key NBA betting number of 7 here. The Celtics have covered in seven of their last nine with one push, and we think they match up well in this contest tonight. We expect them to get a comfortable win. This is their first game since 12/30 and they are well rested tonight while Utah has had a pretty busy schedule, and they are not as good on the road as they are at home. We expect the Boston defense to come up big here and the Utah D will keep the Celtics to a reasonable score, but not enough to keep this game close. Both teams trend to the under when the total is 200 or higher. |
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01-03-17 | Wisconsin -1.5 v. Indiana | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #739 Take Wisconsin over Indiana (7 pm ESPN) Tom Crean just cannot stay off the hot seat. Indiana has already lost four times in-state this season and this is the second-best team that they will have faced this season. Wisconsin does not have a win against an NCAA Tournament quality team this season but they have experience and have had great success against Indiana in recent years. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games. |
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01-03-17 | St. Joe's v. Rhode Island -11.5 | 58-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #736 Take Rhode Island over St. Josephs (7 pm CBSSN) The Hawks were already having a rebuilding year to start the season and now with the loss of Shavar Newkirk (over 20 points per game) I do not see things going well during A-10 play. The Hawks have yet to record a quality win on the season and they will get blown out in this game. Rhode Island lost both games to them last year and the Rams need to put together a winning streak to keep them at-large bid hopes alive. They have the three best players on the court in this game and expect them to pull away in the second half and win this game by around 17-20 points. St. Joes is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Rams are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 7 to 12.5 points. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -3 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 151 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #282 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Auburn Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/2 8:30 pm ESPN) Bob Stoops loves to beat up on the SEC in meaningless bowl games and he will get another chance to accomplish this on Monday night. Auburn was not the same team down the stretch losing two of their last three games and now they must face a team that ran the table in the Big 12. Baker Mayfield just has too many weapons on offense for Auburn to keep up. This was not a typical Auburn offense as the Tigers relied more on their defense to win game. OU wins their 10th straight game as we collect in the process as well. Auburn will have their moments but just cannot match Oklahoma score for score. |
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01-02-17 | Thunder v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
The Bucks finished off a 4-game road trip by winning two of three and covering in both wins. We had them last time out against the Bulls and really liked what we saw in a blowout win. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS this season as a small dog (four points or less) and they have thrived in his role we see them in again tonight. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS as a dog of three or less, meaning they tend to struggle in a situation like this. The Thunder are a public team here while the Bucks are a team that bettors don’t like to wager on, and we thought this spread should be closer to 4.5 with a lean to the Bucks at that number so we think there is some nice value here tonight. |
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01-02-17 | Western Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 143 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #278 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Western Michigan Broncos (Cotton Bowl, Monday, 1/2 1 pm ESPN) Wisconsin has too much beef for this mid-major to stay within double digits in the Cotton Bowl. Wisconsin will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen all season long as they are No. 8 in the country in total defense. Some feel that Wisconsin and their fans are not excited about being in the Cotton Bowl but that is not the case. Wisconsin always travels well and they will have a good crowd in the stands come Monday. The Broncos are just average at stopping the run and expect Wisconsin to exert their strength in this area. |
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01-01-17 | Packers -3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-24 | Win | 105 | 127 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #309 Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) Nobody will be giving the Lions a chance to win this game and we will be in that boat as well. Detroit has not performed well in two consecutive games and now likely face a winner take all on Sunday Night Football. The Lions have not win a division title since 1993 and they have never made it to the Super Bowl in their franchises existence. Green Bay has beaten Detroit 20 of the last 25 meetings and they are just functioning much better now. Detroit got picked apart by the Dallas passing attack on Monday night and I just do not expect their corners to be able to slow down the Packer wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers is now able to use his feet and that makes him the best dual threat quarterback in the league. Green Bay has won five straight games and Clay Matthews is playing at a high level making this one of the better defensive teams in the league. Detroit is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 divisional games. Green Bay is 23-11 ATS in their last 34 divisional games. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #274 Take Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/31 7 pm ESPN) The wrong team is favored in this game and expect Clemson to win straight-up. The Tigers have won both meetings with the Buckeyes including the 2014 Orange Bowl as an underdog like they are here. Ohio State just does not see teams as explosive as Clemson is from the Big 10. DeShaun Watson is due for a breakout game and like last year he will get it in the semi-finals of the College Football Playoff. Both teams are young but Clemson has the experience from last year to propel them onto the Championship game. |
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12-31-16 | Nevada -1.5 v. Fresno State | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #589 Take Nevada -2.5 over Fresno State (8 pm ESPN 3) If Nevada is truly the best team in the MWC this season these are the type of games they must win. Nevada is just playing much better than Fresno State thus far and they have a big edge inside the paint. The Bulldogs have yet to record a quality win on the season and they had to replace three starters from the NCAA Tournament squad last year. Nevada is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 MWC games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-31-16 | Wyoming +1 v. UNLV | 75-81 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #574 Take Wyoming -1 over UNLV (4 pm) No bet against UNLV is a bad bet this season. They are in complete rebuild at the moment and will struggle to win any conference games. Wyoming has been the most surprising team in the league and they will enter this game having won 8 of their last 9 games. Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. UNLV is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. |
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12-30-16 | USC v. Oregon -8.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #752 Take Oregon over USC (10 pm FS1) The Ducks finally put a complete game together on Wednesday against the best team in the country. They beat UCLA on a buzzer beater and now look to knock off USC and end their unbeaten streak as well. The Trojans are winning games but not covering the spread going 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Oregon is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games played on Friday. Oregon has the momentum and they will win this game by double digits. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-30-16 | 76ers +11 v. Nuggets | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
We had the Sixers last night in Utah and they were very competitive through three quarters before the bottom fell out in the fourth. But now Joel Embiid will be on the court for this one and he makes this team so much better. And now they play a worse team than they faced last night. This team is young and they shouldn’t be hurt too much from a back-to-back and they should want to put on a good performance after flailing late last night. Philly has covered seven straight in Denver. The Nuggets are on an 0-4 ATS slide and a team that is struggling like this one shouldn’t be a double-digit favorite over anyone. |
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12-30-16 | Pistons +3 v. Hawks | 98-105 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
We have been burned lately a lot by the Pistons but we have to roll with them here as we just think there is value here. This team played Atlanta early in the month and rolled to a nearly 40-point win. So we know they match up well. Atlanta has been bad as a favorite in this range as they are 5-10 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points. They get too much credit from the oddsmakers and this is not the team that we have known in the past few years. Detroit has some mental issues but this is a pretty good team and we think they bounce back well here after a sub par performance last time out against the Bucks. |
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12-30-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -1 | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #728 Take Michigan State over Northwestern (6 pm BTN) Northwestern may have more talent at the moment I just do not believe they can win back to back road games to open up conference play. Michigan State is coming off a come from behind win at Minnesota and they have now won five of their last six games after a brutal start to the season. Northwestern will give them a game but in the end Coach Izzo will find a way for his players to do just enough to win this game. Michigan State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games. |
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12-30-16 | Nebraska v. Tennessee -4 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #264 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Music City Bowl, 12/30 3:30 pm ESPN) The Vols return to Nashville looking to make amends to their loss last game out against Vanderbilt. Nebraska started off hot but as usual they folded down the stretch and there is no guarantee that QB Tommy Armstrong will play in this game. Nebraska lost three of their last five games including a blowout loss to Iowa to close out the regular season. Tennessee was one of the most underachieving teams this season but they still have talent and they blew out a Big 10 team last year in a bowl game. Tennessee has a huge edge in special teams and that will allow them to win this game by 10-13 points. |
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