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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-17 | Eastern Illinois -5 v. Western Illinois | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #749 Take Eastern Illinois over Western Illinois (8 pm) This directional school battle will go the way of Eastern Illinois. The Panthers return four starters from last season and should move up the standing in the Ohio Valley. Western Illinois is predicted to finish last in the Summit League and will lose this game by double digits tonight in Macomb. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-15-17 | Texas-San Antonio +6 v. Texas State | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #733 Take UTSA over Texas State (8 pm) The Roadrunners needed a regime change and they should be much better on defense this year. The Bobcats had trouble scoring against Air Force and I am not sure that they will be able to take advantage of a weak defense. Just do not see a blowout tonight and expect this game to go down to the wire. |
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11-15-17 | Wizards v. Heat -1 | 102-93 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Miami always seems to play well against the Wizards. In fact, they have won five straight in this series. And they have covered in four of those five games. We like them at home tonight against this short price. This is the first game of a home-and-home and these teams play Friday in the Nation’s Capital and the home team is normally a very strong play in the first leg of these situations. The Heat have been on the road for a long time but they have had two nights off heading into this rare home game and we think that the home crowd will be rocking for this one. The Wizards record has been pumped up by an incredibly easy schedule and any decent team with that slate should be better than 8-5. We think there is nice value in the home team tonight. |
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11-14-17 | Raptors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Houston has won six straight but they have played some pretty flawed teams during that stretch. Next to Cleveland this is the best team they have played during that stretch. We just think that this is too many points to give up to Toronto. The Raps haven’t been lined as this big of an underdog too much this season but they have covered every time they are getting decent points as they are 2-0 ATS when getting four or more. We see this as a very competitive game and we think that the Raptors are a very live underdog on Tuesday and they have a great chance to win this game outright, so getting this many points provides great betting value. |
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11-14-17 | Green Bay +6 v. Northern Illinois | 65-85 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #517 Take Green Bay over Northern Illinois (8 pm) The Huskies are predicted to finish last in the MAC West Division and just do not believe they are good enough to be giving points against Green Bay. The Phoenix have to replace a ton of talent from last season, but they always seem to be in the top half of the Horizon League Standing. Just feel this game will go down to the wire and getting this many points is hard to pass up. |
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11-14-17 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #528 Take Duke over Michigan State (7 pm ESPN) Michigan State seems to overschedule every year and in recent years they have had trouble winning these big games. Duke leads this match-up by a count of 11-2 and have beaten Michigan State six straight times. Duke has a ton of young talent to go along with Grayson Allen and I just do not see them losing to Michigan State tonight in Chicago. |
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11-13-17 | Rhode Island v. Nevada -1.5 | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #744 Take Nevada -1.5 over Rhode Island (11:30 pm ESPN U) This is a great mid-major battle that is flying under the radar as both teams are loaded with talent and made the NCAA Tournament last season. We will side with Nevada as they are playing at home and should have a great crowd on hand for this game. Nevada has lost just 4 home games under Coach Musselman and Rhode Island does not have the size inside to hurt Nevada’s lack of height. This is a game Nevada must win if it has any hopes of getting an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. This should be an exciting game that does down to the wire, but I feel Nevada will pull it out late by 6-8 points. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-13-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers +1 | Top | 82-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
We think this is a real good spot for the Blazers tonight. Denver has been very good lately but they have played their last six games at home and it hasn’t always been against the best competition. Portland has been playing pretty mediocre basketball to start the season and they enter this matchup at 6-6. But they have played a lot of close games and we think they are playing better than that record might indicate. The Nuggets have played a very home-heavy schedule to start the season but they are just 2-3 SU on the road and 1-4 ATS this season. We think after losing two straight really close games that the Blazers will go all out for the win tonight. We had this game handicapped at Portland -4 with a strong lean to the home team at that number so to get them as a slight underdog is a gift here. We think these teams are about equal but we give the nod to Portland because of their great home-court advantage tonight. |
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11-12-17 | Giants v. 49ers | 21-31 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #271 Take New York Giants over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Hard to make a case for a play on either one of these teams. San Francisco opened as a favorite but now the Giants are favored because of their quarterback. San Francisco suffered many more injuries last Sunday against Arizona and despite losing 20-10 they were never really in that game. Jimmy Garoppolo is not expected to start this game and without him they just cannot move the football on a consistent basis. New York has their own issues as well, but I believe they will play with pride after quitting and getting embarrassed last week against Los Angeles. Just like I said last week, covering big spreads is one thing compared to having to win straight up to cover the spread. The winner will also cover the spread and that will be the New York Giants. |
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11-12-17 | Packers +5 v. Bears | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 119 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #253 Take Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) This line jumped a couple of points after the Packers performance on Monday Night against Detroit. Now it is way too high as the Bears are not good enough to be favored by this many points against anybody in the league. Green Bay has won six straight games in Chicago (5-1 ATS) and this is the first time Chicago is favored at home against a divisional team in three years. QB Rodgers is out and everyone is licking their chops to play the Packers, but I do not believe they are at a quarterback disadvantage in this game. Both teams will play this game close to the best and I believe this game will be decided by a field goal. Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 10 of the regular season. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 10 of the regular season. |
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11-12-17 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #257 Take Los Angeles Chargers over Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Los Angeles is coming off of a bye and they will enter this game having won three of their last four games. The Chargers have won six straight against Jacksonville (6-0 ATS) including a 24-point victory last year. The road team has been the play in Jacksonville games this season as the visitor is 6-1 ATS in their last six games. The is another game that will go down to the wire and we will collect with whoever comes on top by a couple of points. Jacksonville is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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11-11-17 | Magic v. Nuggets -8 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Orlando is on a back-to-back here and playing their third game in four nights. That is really tough to do in the high altitude of Denver. The Nuggets had the night off on Friday and they should be primed for a big performance here tonight. The Nuggets have won four of five and they are playing really well, with their only loss during this stretch coming against the Warriors. This is the last game of a six-game homestand and if they get the win here tonight that will make it an extremely successful homestand. Denver has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series and they are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings at home in this series. |
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11-11-17 | Notre Dame -3 v. Miami-FL | 8-41 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #165 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Miami Hurricanes (Saturday 8 pm ABC) We will go against Miami again this week after losing with Virginia Tech last week. Notre Dame has much more to play for than did Virginia Tech and I see them controlling the line of scrimmage and going right at the Miami defense. The Hurricanes defense is very weak against the run allowing 170 yards rushing per game and three times teams have rushed for over 200 yards against them. That is the bread and butter for the 2017 Irish and they will cover their fourth straight road game this season. The Irish have played the better schedule thus far and sooner or later Miami will get exposed. That will occur Saturday night at Hard Rock Stadium. |
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11-11-17 | Alabama -14 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #177 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Mississippi State Bulldogs (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) Mississippi State is 7-2 this season but both of their two losses have been blowouts. Alabama has won nine straight in this match-up (6-3 ATS). The Bulldogs were likely looking ahead to this game as they struggled to put away UMASS last week, one of the worst teams in the country. Mississippi State will struggle to put points on the board in this game against the Tide’s defense and I expect Alabama to pull away in the second half to win this game by 21-24 points. Alabama has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 road games. |
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11-11-17 | USC -13.5 v. Colorado | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #183 Take USC Trojans over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 1 pm FOX) USC has righted the ship after losing to Notre Dame is embarrassing fashion. They have won two straight games (Arizona & Arizona State) and both of those teams have already beaten Colorado this season. The Buffaloes appeared in control last week against ASU but fell apart in the fourth quarter and expect a carryover effect into this game in Boulder. Colorado will have a tough time becoming bowl eligible as they must win one of their final two games (@ Utah on 11/25). USC is 11-0 against Colorado with a 22-point margin of victory in those games. USC needs to win out to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl Bid (will not be the Rose Bowl) but I still believe they are the best team in the conference. |
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11-11-17 | Pennsylvania v. Fairfield +4.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #740 Take Fairfield over Pennsylvania (1 pm) Penn did not have a good year in 2016-2017 going 13-15 and their backcourt is not very good. They are a middle of the pack team this year in the Ivy League and should not be laying points on the road. The Stags have Tyler Nelson who is back after averaging close to 20 points a game last season. This game will go down to the wire but I believe Fairfield will pull it out. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-10-17 | Pittsburgh v. Navy -4 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #576 Take Navy over Pittsburgh (9 pm CBSSN) This line does not make a lot of sense! Navy being favored against a team from the ACC? The line opened at -2 and is now above that so as the saying goes, “Somebody must know something.” We will not overthink this selection and just go with the trend, as Navy is playing at home on Veteran’s Day Eve. |
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11-10-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 94-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
With the last two games in this series being decided by a grand total of three points (and the Bucks covering in both games) you have to like Milwaukee here with the underdog points on Friday. The Bucks are off to a real slow start to the season but this is a stock to buy low as this team will be a force this season and it just seems to be a matter of time until they start cashing tickets on a regular basis and we expect that to start tonight. Both teams have had a couple nights off but the Bucks are even more well rested with a real light schedule lately and we think they will want to flex their muscle in this game not only to end a four-game losing streak but to test their mettle against one of the best teams in the west. |
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11-10-17 | Texas A&M v. West Virginia -6.5 | 88-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #518 Take West Virginia over Texas A & M (6 pm ESPN) Expect a foul fest in this game but I see West Virginia pulling away in the second half to win this game by 9-11 points. The Aggies have suspended Robert Williams for this game and that is a major void this offensively challenged team will have to fill. Texas A & M was not very good last season but should challenge for a tournament bid this year. I just do not believe they are up to the level of West Virginia. |
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11-09-17 | Thunder -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
OKC has won and covered four of the last five meetings in this series. The Nuggets have been playing real well lately but their record is somewhat Fool’s Gold as they have run into some of the worst of the worst in the NBA this season. OKC has had a shaky start to the season and they have lost three straight. But we just think that there is some nice value here as if this game were at the start of the season the Thunder would probably be 4 or 5 point favorites here and we think that is a more solid number than this short one posted by the bookies. We think the road team gets back on the winning track here in the TNT nightcap. |
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11-08-17 | Lakers v. Celtics -7 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston has won nine straight and now they are back at home after a three-game road trip. Actually five of the last seven have come on the road but that hasn’t slowed the Celtics down as they have covered in eight games of the winning streak. We think they are in store for another cover tonight. The Lakers are still figuring things out. They have covered four in a row (which has kept this line reasonable) but those opponents were all flawed and they face a very good team tonight. This Lakers team has played only three road games thus far this season and as a result they are a bit overrated and we expect a double-digit win from the home team tonight. |
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11-08-17 | Knicks +5.5 v. Magic | 99-112 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
We see this as a low scoring game and we think the underdog covers in this one. Orlando is banged up right now, especially in the backcourt, and they scored only 83 and 88 in their last two games, respectively. We don’t see them getting back on the offensive track until they get healthy again. They have now gone under in four straight games and in five of their last six. The Knicks are coming in on a back-to-back and this is their third game in four nights. We don’t see them putting a massive number on the scoreboard tonight although we do think they can do enough offensively to cover this line. New York is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 in Orlando. This should be an ugly game but it doesn’t matter as we expect to cash both tickets here. |
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11-07-17 | Grizzlies +3 v. Blazers | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
These teams have identical records but we think the Grizzlies are slightly ahead of the curve when you compare these two teams head to head. We think that they have a great chance to notch the straight up win tonight. Portland scored a big win over OKC last time out and as a result we think they are a bit overvalued in this game as we had this one as a pickem so getting the points here gives nice value to the underdog that we think is very live tonight and we expect the Griz to score the road win tonight. |
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11-07-17 | Clippers +4 v. Spurs | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
While the Clippers have had zero success lately against the Warriors they have fared much better against the other Western Conference top power, the Spurs. They have won and covered in four of the last six matchups. And who can forget that awesome playoff series a few years ago where the Clips won in Game 7. After a hot start the Clippers have lost four of five. But this is a better team than that recent record. They are embarking on a long road trip and this is the first game and we think they will bring their A Game tonight to start the trip off on the right foot against a team they have had a lot of success against recently. The Spurs are banged up right now and this team is more vulnerable than ever. |
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11-07-17 | Bucks +5 v. Cavs | Top | 119-124 | Push | 0 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Both of these teams have had slow starts to the season but the Cavs are normally overvalued by the oddsmakers and this team is a very poor 2-8 ATS this season. We think they are overvalued in this spot as well. The Bucks will want to play their best here and you get the feeling that this is just another game for Cleveland. These teams already played this season and the Cavs blew the Bucks out and that loss is probably still fresh on their minds. We expect a much better performance from the road team here in this matchup. Milwaukee is well rested here with three nights off and with that extra time we think they will be primed to end the losing streak here and even if they don’t we expect a close game here. |
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11-06-17 | Heat +15.5 v. Warriors | 80-97 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
We said we might cool off from fading the Warriors for awhile as we had a big play Saturday against them and they have been playing really well their last few games. However, when we saw this line we just had to throw a couple units on the Heat here as this line is just too large, especially for a Warriors team that hasn’t been good at covering lines in the regular season for the last year or so. We just think there is nice value here. This is the Miami freaking Heat not the Kings or the Bulls. The Heat have had a slow start to the season but they have covered four straight in this series and they will very likely give a lot of effort tonight against the defending champs. |
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11-06-17 | Celtics v. Hawks +8.5 | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta always seems to get pumped for this matchup and they have won and covered four of the last five meetings. The Celtics are playing great basketball right now and they have won and covered eight straight. But with that success comes inflated lines and this one sure looks inflated tonight. The Hawks are not very good this year but we expect this Atlanta team to be a plucky underdog in spots this year, especially at home. They haven’t yet won a home game this season and that won’t continue long and we think they give extra effort tonight in order to try and secure that first win against a team that has become a bit overrated by oddsmakers. We might throw a few bucks on the moneyline here but we think this many points is too good to pass up. |
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11-05-17 | Thunder v. Blazers +2.5 | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Portland always plays tough in this series and they have won and covered in four of the last five meetings. The Thunder have gotten off to a real slow start this season at 4-4. And when you look closer at their wins it looks even worse when you see that three of those wins were against the Bulls, Knicks and Pacers. They will face a much tougher test tonight in a Portland team that has been playing well to start the year with a 5-4 start. They have had a couple nights off heading into this game and they should be well rested to defend the home court. The Thunder are still figuring things out and we think they are a bit overvalued in this spot as a road favorite. |
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11-05-17 | Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 110-137 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah has a strong history in this series recently as they have covered three of the last four meetings, winning in all three of those games. The Jazz have been playing great basketball to start the season but they hit a roadblock last time out against the Raptors for their first home loss. They have yet to win on the road but two of those games were really tough matchups and they had that one loss against Phoenix that was just a head scratcher. But we think they will bring their A Game in hopes to get that elusive first road win and show the league that they aren’t only a good home team. Utah has been really good against the number this season at 6-3 ATS and we think that they are undervalued again here. Both of these teams have trended to the under this season but we think the oddsmakers have overadjusted the number here and it seems there is nice value on the over. |
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11-05-17 | Cardinals -1 v. 49ers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 124 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #465 Take Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Cardinals got old in a hurry and this appears to be a lost season, but I still believe that they have enough to be the 49ers. San Francisco just got a boast trading for Jimmy Garoppolo but he is not expected to start this week. Covering big numbers is different than winning games and the 49ers will likely have to win straight-up to cover this short number. QB Drew Stanton is played well in the past and he has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Arizona is dominated this series of late and look for that to continue Sunday. San Francisco wants a high draft pick and the only way to get that is the keep losing games. |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 121 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #454 Take New York Giants over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye week and I just do not see the Giants getting blown out in this game. New York has owned this match-up beating Los Angeles 7 straight times (7-0 ATS) with a 13-point average margin of victory. The Rams are a nondivisional road favorite for just the third time in 10 years. I believe the Rams are playing a little over their heads now and this will be their second cross country flight in three weeks (London Game two weeks ago). The Rams are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games against NFC teams. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-04-17 | Warriors v. Nuggets +8.5 | Top | 127-108 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
Denver is coming in on a back-to-back but they always play the Warriors tough and we expect the same on Saturday night. In fact, Denver won the last meeting, by 22 points, the last time these teams met in this building. They have covered the last two meetings and in seven of the last nine overall. The Warriors looked real good in their last two games in blowing out the Clippers and the Spurs, both on the road. But those are two of Golden State’s biggest rivals and we think they were pretty amped up for those games. But overall they are slogging through the first couple weeks of the season and they are just 3-6 ATS as they have not been bringing a championship effort every night. And teams are giving their best against them in just about every matchup. We think that will be the case here for Denver on Saturday night. |
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11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -4 | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #352 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (9 pm PAC-12 Network) Arizona State laid an egg last week against USC (we had the Trojans) but they should bounce back in a big way playing their second straight home game. Colorado is not USC and they are also nowhere near the team that they were in 2016. CU-Boulder is coming off a 16-point victory against California, but they have not done well against the top teams in the league. ASU is 21-11 ATS in their last 22 home conference games. The home team has also covered three of the last four in this series. I do not see the Buffaloes winning another game this season and ASU has beaten Colorado 7 of 8 times. They not only beat them in this game they also cover the spread. |
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11-04-17 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -1 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #334 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Northwestern Wildcats (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) Nebraska is coming off an exciting win against Purdue last time out and look for them to carry that momentum into Saturday in Lincoln. This is a game Nebraska must win to qualify for a bowl game and Coach Reilly has a knack of doing just enough to get to six wins. Northwestern is coming off an overtime victory of their own against Michigan State, but I am just not sold on them being a top team in the Big 10. QB Tanner Lee has been playing outstanding football of late with just one interception in his last four games. Northwestern is coming off back-to-back overtime victories and I wonder how much they have left in the tank. This will be a close game but in the end, I feel Nebraska finds a way to get it done. |
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11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #338 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Iowa State has been the talk of the Big 12 the last few weeks but I just do not see them going into Morgantown and leaving victorious. West Virginia has won the last three match-ups (3-0 ATS) and look for QB Grier to bounce back after throwing 4 interceptions in his last game against Oklahoma State. The Big 12 usually features a tough game every week and I believing Iowa State is playing a little over their heads now. West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. |
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11-03-17 | Raptors +2 v. Jazz | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Utah has been excellent this season and they are 5-0 at home. But we think that the Raptors are the better team here at this point in time and we had them as a small road favorite in this matchup. Toronto has won seven of the last eight in this series and they have covered in all eight of those games! That is a trend that has lasted for several years. Utah just played a string of Western Conference rivals and they have a game at Houston on deck and we think they might be in letdown mode tonight against this out-of-conference foe. We think there is great value tonight in going against this false favorite. |
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11-03-17 | Hornets v. Spurs -4 | Top | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
The Spurs have lost four straight, but three of those were on the road and last night they lost to a motivated Golden State team that is one of the best squads of all time. This Spurs team just does not lose multiple games that often and they want to end the losing streak tonight at home. Sometimes on back-to-backs Gregg Popovich may rest players. But they are already shorthanded with Leonard out and we think they give full effort tonight. We have taken the Hornets sparingly this season but for us mostly this is a team to fade until Nic Batum comes back as he is one of their key cogs. The Hornets have not beat the Spurs since 2016, losing 10 straight in the series. The Hornets have played well, but they have had a relatively easy schedule and it has been home-heavy as well. We think that the Spurs are being punished too much by the oddsmakers here for the back-to-back but I can’t see a team that will be more motivated to get a win here on Friday night. |
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11-02-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Spurs | Top | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Warriors have struggled to start the season. They are just 2-6 ATS through eight games. But their Monday win at LA Clippers showed that all they have to do is flip a switch and they can be back in championship form. They wanted that win badly against the Clippers and we think that they will be similarly motivated for this contest against the Spurs, arguably the second-best team in the west. The Spurs have started slow as well and they are banged up right now. We don’t think they will be able to have much success against a healthy and motivated Warriors team. Golden State might be a team to fade early season against sub-par opponents or laying big numbers. But with this game on the road and considering the quality of the opponent we think the price is right here and there is a good chance that this game will be a blowout. |
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11-01-17 | Kings +13 v. Celtics | 86-113 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
We were on the Kings last night and they put in a pitiful performance in a loss at Indiana. We just think that they will play harder tonight against what is already an inflated number. The Kings covered both meetings last season and they even blew the Celtics out in one game at home. The Celtics have had nothing but big games against marquee opponents this season so far but this is the first game against a pretty much meaningless opponent and it is probably human nature for this team to be in a letdown spot tonight. That is not a good place to be when laying such a massive number like the Celtics are tonight! |
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11-01-17 | Suns v. Wizards -12.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
The Suns have won three of four since their coaching chance but they face a much tougher test tonight against one of the best teams in the east. This Phoenix team is coming in on a back-to-back after a win last night in Brooklyn where they expended a lot of energy. Washington has had a couple nights off and they will be anxious for a big win here after coming back from a west coast swing where things didn’t go as well as they would have hoped. The Wizards have covered in three of four games and we think they are rested and poised for a massive blowout win tonight against a fatigued Suns squad that is in over their heads. |
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11-01-17 | Bucks +3.5 v. Hornets | 121-126 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
The Bucks are coming in on a back-to-back and they lost last night to the Thunder but this team faces a big drop off in competition tonight as they travel to Charlotte. Milwaukee has won and covered the last two meetings between these teams. The closest out of those contests was a nine-point win about a week ago. This is the start of a four-game road trip for the Bucks, and we think they will want to get off to a strong start in a very winnable game after getting blown out last night. We think they are the better team in this matchup. |
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10-31-17 | Kings +5 v. Pacers | Top | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The Pacers have been decent to start the season but there’s no way this team should be favored by this many points against any team in the league. The Kings have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four but the oddsmakers have overadjusted here. The Kings have had a very tough schedule to open the season but this is a real winnable game for them so we expect them to go all out. Their tough schedule up to this point will help them as they face this weaker opponent. Indiana is coming off a win against the Spurs and they play at Cleveland tomorrow so this is more of a meaningless game for them and we expect the effort to be with the road team here. |
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10-30-17 | Warriors v. Clippers +6 | 141-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
We almost always take the Warriors when they play the Clippers as this has been a one-sided rivalry lately. But we think that LA is in a great position to challenge the Warriors tonight and even maybe win this game. Golden State is 1-6 ATS this season and the oddsmakers are not adjusting to their slow start. They are on a back-to-back here after losing at home to the Pistons last night and now they face a big step up in competition against a team that is really going to play their best game against the team they want to beat the most. |
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10-30-17 | Magic +8 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Orlando is playing very well to start off the season and we think that this line is too steep. The Magic are averaging a full seven points more on offense than the Pelicans and their defensive points per game allowed is very similar to that of New Orleans. We think that this will be a close game and we think that this is a live underdog tonight. New Orleans just came off a big win at home against Cleveland and they have a tough game vs. Minnesota coming up next so we think they may look past this Magic team tonight. This Orlando team looks like a real scrappy ballclub that will cover some big lines this season as expectations are low and they have been playing beyond them so far this season. |
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10-30-17 | Spurs +3.5 v. Celtics | 94-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
San Antonio has a strong history in this series where they have covered six of the last seven meetings. The Spurs have dropped two straight games so we think they bring their A Game tonight to get out of this road trip with a split. The Spurs don’t lose three in a row often. Boston has been very solid in winning three straight games but they haven’t played anyone on the same level as the Spurs. San Antonio is 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston and we expect them to have success again in a building they have played so well in the past. |
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10-29-17 | Pistons +13.5 v. Warriors | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Warriors are 1-5 ATS this season thus far. This team we think is following more in the footsteps of teams like the Cavs and Spurs who don’t take the regular season that seriously and concentrate on the postseason. Golden State was not very good at the start of last season, either, especially against double-digit spreads. They are coming off that hard-fought win over Washington, a team they have a lot of history with, and they have road games at Clippers (tomorrow) and Spurs coming up. They are probably not concentrating that much on this opponent tonight and we think the Pistons will be able to keep this one close. Detroit is 5-1 ATS this season so it’s obvious they are a bit underrated by the bookies right now. |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets -4 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Charlotte has completely dominated this series, going 5-0 SU and ATS during the last five meetings. We think this line is short once again on Sunday. Both teams are coming in off a different side of a blowout as the Hornets lost big to Houston while the Magic upset the Spurs. That is why we are getting a nice line tonight but this is a whole new game and the Hornets are the better ballclub here. The Magic have had a nice start to the season for sure but we think that they will come back to reality tonight against a team they have not had much success against. Both teams have been playing pretty strong defense (Charlotte allowing less than 100 per game and both teams allowing around 42% shooting from the field). We think this will be a low-scoring game and the Hornets pull away in the fourth. |
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10-29-17 | Bears v. Saints -9 | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 23 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #254 Take New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Bears victory last week was fool’s gold and they are not a good team. Furthermore, their offense is terrible, and they will not be able to keep pace this week against New Orleans. The Saints did not even play well last week on the road and still won by 9 points against a team that already pounded the Bears. New Orleans defense is for real and when you pair that with QB Brees this is a team that can make some noise in the playoffs. The Saints have won four straight games via blowout and should have no problem winning this game against a rookie quarterback by double digits. QB Mitchell Trubisky has not done anything to make we believe he can win games on his own, as he is just completing 50% of his passes. If the Saints do not beat themselves, they will win this game going away. |
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10-29-17 | Chargers v. Patriots -7.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 118 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #266 Take New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Both teams enter on high notes, but I feel New England is just too tough for the Chargers playing in Foxboro. Both teams have a bye week on deck and that would seem to benefit the Patriots, who are 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 ATS over the last 8 years. New England has also beat Los Angeles three straight times (3-0 ATS). The Chargers have some defensive lineman that can pressure QB Brady, but this is a coaching mismatch and New England will pull away late to win by double digits. Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-28-17 | USC -3 v. Arizona State | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take USC Trojans over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday 10:45 pm ESPN) These two teams are heading in opposite directions and the public has really turned on USC. But the talent edge is still big in the favor on USC and they have pounded the Sun Devils the last two years winning by scores of 42-12 & 41-20. USC is 14-3 in the last 17 match-ups against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are coming off back-to-back upset victories, but I believe they are playing over their heads now and will come back down from that high. USC still controls their own destiny in the South Division and sooner or later they will get back on track. That will happen Saturday night. USC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-28-17 | Pistons +8 v. Clippers | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
The Pistons have been inconsistent and the LA Clippers are one of the last undefeated teams left in the NBA, but we have to say that this line is inflated here on Saturday night. This is a sandwich game for the Clippers. They are coming off a big game at Portland where Blake Griffin sank a buzzer-beating three at the buzzer for a one-point win, and then they play their arch enemy, Golden State, on Monday. There is a very good chance that they will overlook this Eastern Conference opponent tonight. And even if they play their best, the Pistons are not a pushover. They are coming off a 20+-point win over Minnesota and will be coming into Staples Center with a lot of confidence. We might throw a buck or two on the moneyline as well, but we think these points are too many to pass up. |
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10-28-17 | Nebraska +6 v. Purdue | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #117 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 7:30 pm BTN) Nebraska seems to play better on the road as they are away from their negative fan base. The Cornhuskers are coming off a much-needed bye after facing Wisconsin & Ohio State the previous two weeks. Purdue is coming off an embarrassing loss to Rutgers and that is the type of loss that can sabotage at team for the rest of the season. Nebraska is 16-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 road games. Purdue is 5-12 in their last 17 home games. Coach Mike Reilly has a knack for doing just enough to get into a bowl game and I just have a feeling Nebraska wins this game straight-up. |
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10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #206 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR. This is just a brutal scheduling situation for Penn State. They are coming off an emotional high by beating Michigan last week. This is a game their assistant coaches said they wanted to win big in the worst way. Now they must go on the road into a hostile environment against a team that must win out in order to make the College Football Playoff. Despite losing last year to Penn State, Ohio State has won 4 of the last 5 match-ups and Coach Urban Meyer is 24-10 ATS (1 push) with revenge for losing to a team in the last meeting. Since their loss to Oklahoma, Ohio State has won five straight games with their closest margin of victory 31 points. Some like to point out that all these opponents Ohio State has played have been terrible but who exactly has Penn State played this year? Michigan is way down and Penn State could have very easily lost at Iowa on September 23rd. The posted line tells me a great deal about this game, as it opened at 7 after Penn State looked dominating last Saturday. It seems to me that odds makers were begging people to put money on Penn State. We will not fall for that trap and take the better team playing at home. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last 4 games. |
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10-28-17 | Louisville -2.5 v. Wake Forest | 32-42 | Loss | -125 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #127 Take Louisville Cardinals over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Saturday 12:20 pm ACC Network) Louisville has been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season but they do have Lamar Jackson as their quarterback. That alone should allow them to beat Wake Forest for a fifth straight time. This was a close battle until Louisville pulled away big time in the second half last year winning by 44-12. That is how we see this game going as well. Sooner or later Louisville will get hot on offense and I do not believe Wake Forest will be able to keep pace with them. The Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 126 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #476 Take New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The Patriots have yet to play a complete game at home this season but I feel that will occur Sunday night in Foxboro. Atlanta has not looked that impressive in 2017 either having lost two home games and they could be 1-4 on the season for not some luck against Chicago and Detroit. Atlanta is not the same team away from the dome and I am not a fan of their new offensive coordinator. New England is 8-1 ATS off a victory in their previous game against non-divisional foes off a loss. |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +6 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #466 Take Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 1 pm FOX) QB Rodgers will not be playing in this game but I feel that the spread has been over adjusted. Green Bay would have been around this much of a favorite if they had their No. 1 quarterback. Having a week to prepare Brett Hundley and playing at home will benefit this team and I see this as a field goal game. I believe New Orleans is playing a bit over their heads especially on defense and I expect them to revert back to the norm in this game. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 101 h 48 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #402 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (7:30 pm NBC) Would have used this as an 8-unit play had the line come in under three but still believe it is a solid play. Notre Dame is a sleeping giant at the moment and they have a much better team that odds makers are giving them credit far. USC has a gauntlet of a schedule with no bye weeks until the end of the regular season and that has taken its toll on this team. QB Sam Donald has not played well this season and I still am not a big Clay Helton fan as a head coach. The Irish are coming off a bye week and they have covered the spread four straight week by an average of 14 points over the posted number. Notre Dame is getting the job done on both sides of the football giving up just 21 points per game. Both teams still have a shot at the playoffs and I expect Notre Dame to win by double digits. |
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10-21-17 | Michigan v. Penn State -9 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 46 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #356 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 7:30 pm ABC) Penn State got embarrassed last year at Michigan but they have not lost a regular season game since then. They are loaded and Michigan is still searching for answers especially on the offensive side of the football. The Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games as a favorite. Michigan still has a solid defense but this will be the best offense they have faced this season. I also believe that Coach Franklin will want to run up the score if given a chance in this game to make a statement. Michigan is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 13-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 16 games overall. |
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10-21-17 | Idaho v. Missouri -15 | 21-68 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #374 Take Missouri Tigers over Idaho Vandals (Saturday 12 pm SEC Network) Missouri has played much better the last two weeks with their offense finally getting it together and I believe they will outscore their way to a 20+ point victory in this game. Idaho led 20-0 last week against Appalachian State before giving up 23 unanswered points in a loss. Idaho is just 1-10 ATS vs Power 5 teams and Missouri tends to blowout Group of Five teams. Idaho is just coming for a check and I do not expect them to put up much of a fight. |
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10-20-17 | Air Force v. Nevada +6 | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #312 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (Friday 9:30 pm CBSSN) Nevada has put together back-to-back impressive performances in their last two weeks and I look for them to carry that over into their homecoming game on Friday night. Air Force is playing their third road game in the last four weeks and will struggle to defend the Air Raid offense of Nevada. The Pack have struggled to stop the triple option in the past but this is a new defensive scheme and I just do not see them getting run off the field at home. Air Force is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. This should be a field goal spread and getting this many points is too good to pass up. |
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10-15-17 | Bucs v. Cardinals +2.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 121 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #268 Take Arizona Cardinals over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) We have been very successful all season long picking teams that looked bad the previous week and we will again use that format. Arizona did not come to play last week at Philadelphia but they still have some talent on both sides of the football. Arizona blasted Tampa Bay last season by a score of 40-7 and this is a game they need in the worst way to keep their slim chances of a playoff spot alive. Arizona has yet to cover a spread this season but I feel the odds makers have over adjusted the spread in this game. Arizona should be favored since and homefield will give them a big edge in this game. |
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10-15-17 | Browns +11 v. Texans | 17-33 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #251 Take Cleveland Browns over Houston Texans (Sunday 1 pm CBS) This was supposed to be a battle of rookie quarterbacks with the same first name (different spelling) but Cleveland benched DeShone Kizer. I feel that will help the Browns on offense playing a team that suffered major injuries on defense. Houston put up a lot of points last week against Kansas City but they were never really in that game and most of those stats and points came in garbage time. Just feel Cleveland will be somewhat competitive and keep it as a one score game. Houston tends to play to their level of competition and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +1.5 | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #178 Take Arizona Wildcats over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 9 pm PAC-12 Network) Rich Rod deserves credit for turning around the Wildcats this season and likely saving his job. The same cannot be said for Jim Mora, as he has yet to elevate the Bruins to one of the top teams in the league. UCLA has owned this season of late but this is the final stretch over the last month of playing three road games. UCLA struggles to stop the run and that is what Arizona does best. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
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10-14-17 | Northern Illinois -4 v. Buffalo | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #127 Take Northern Illinois Huskies over Buffalo Bulls (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN 3) Just do not know how much the Bulls have left in the tank after a marathon 7 overtime loss against Western Michigan last Saturday. They have a coach that appears in over his head and NIU has owned this series going 9-0 in the last 9 meetings winning by an average margin of 29 points per game (7-2 ATS). The Huskies have played a brutal schedule thus far and should find it easier to move the football against the Bulls. Northern Illinois is 33-15 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 51 road games. |
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10-14-17 | Connecticut v. Temple -9.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -120 | 93 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #130 Take Temple Owls over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 12 pm ESPNN) No play against UCONN is a bad play as they have been getting bombed on the road and today should be no different. The Owls played their best game of the season last week against East Carolina and they should win this game big as well. Temple is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. UCONN is 8-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games as an away underdog. Connecticut struggles in pass defense and I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. |
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10-08-17 | Ravens +2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 121 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #469 Take Baltimore Ravens over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Raiders have never been a team that seems to handle prosperity well and become a consistent playoff team. They have looked terrible on offense the last two weeks and now must play a game without their QB Derek Carr. Baltimore looked terrible last week as well against Pittsburgh but should be able to move the football better against this Oakland defense. The Raiders are never a good play as a home favorite going 11-25 in their last 36 occurrences. This was a one-point game last year with Oakland winning and I just cannot see Oakland blowing them out with E.J. Manuel behind center. Baltimore cannot play as bad on offense as they did last week, can they? |
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10-08-17 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #463 Take Arizona Cardinals +6.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Cardinals have not looked impressive whatsoever to open the season but they are 2-2. Philadelphia is improved but they are not good enough to be laying this many points against a decent Arizona team. Sooner or later Arizona will put it all together and they still have weapons on both sides of the football. Arizona has covered the spread against Philadelphia in their last five meetings. This will be a game that goes down to the wire and we will cover with the underdog with whoever comes out on top. |
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10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado -6 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #372 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 8 pm PAC-12 Network) the Buffaloes have a two-game losing streak but this is a get well game for them in Boulder against a team that has a coach squarely on the hot seat. Colorado had to replace much of their talent from last year’s South Division Championship. The Wildcats have gone downhill in a big way since the Rich Rod tenure started with some early success. They do not have a quality win this season and turned over the football five times last week against Utah. CU-Boulder won this game by 25 points last year in Tucson and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Arizona is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games as a conference underdog. Colorado is well coached and this is a game they must get to keep confidence high for the entire 2017 season. They will get it by double digits. |
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10-07-17 | Missouri v. Kentucky -10 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #402 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm SEC Network) Missouri is a terrible team and we will go against them for a second straight week (Won big with Auburn in their last game). The Tigers have been blown out three straight games and only Auburn is a ranked team that they faced. Getting blown out by Purdue and South Carolina is a head scratching moment for a coach that is in over his head. This will be Missouri’s first road game and they are TERRIBLE on both sides of the football. They have nothing to hang their head on as their offense has not been able to move the football after their first game against an FCS team. Kentucky did not look that impressive against Eastern Michigan but they did hold the Eagles to just 20 yards rushing. Kentucky has a very solid rush defense and if they can make the Tigers one dimensional that should be enough to win this game big. We said two weeks ago that playing Missouri is a get-well game for the Auburn offense and the same thing will be true on Saturday for Kentucky. Missouri is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Kentucky has covered the spread in 8 of their last 9 SEC games. |
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10-07-17 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #388 Take TCU Horned Frogs over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 12:30 pm FS1) These teams are just heading in opposite directions this season. West Virginia had a replace a ton of talent from 2016 and TCU has most of their talent back. TCU has a huge advantage on defense compared to West Virginia, as the Mountaineers struggle to stop the run. Both teams are coming off a bye and TCU is 10-2 ATS when coming off a bye during the regular season. This is a consensus play among most of the weekly newsletters that come out and it has all the keys to indicate a blowout by the home team. Revenge and a weak home record in 2016 will make sure TCU has the full attention of West Virginia. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots -5 v. Bucs | 19-14 | Push | 0 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #303 Take New England Patriots over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Thursday 8:25 pm CBS) The Patriots have played just one road game this season and that was a 16 point victory at the New Orleans Saints. That is how we see this game going as well against another NFC West team. New England will put points on the board and I just cannot see the Tampa Bay Buccaneers keeping pace. Tampa Bay is missing some key players on defense and QB Tom Brady has a variety of weapons he can just to move the football. New England has god awful on defense last week against Carolina and I believe they can only go up from there. Not sure Jameis Winston can pick them apart the way Cam Newton did. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #276 Take Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) Oakland was exposed last week and I do not believe they will challenge to be the top team in the AFC. Now they are playing on the road for a second straight week against a divisional rival. Denver has won 8 of the last 10 games against Oakland. Denver has a bye on deck and the favorite has covered 8 of the last 9 games. Denver has a much better defense than does Oakland and playing in the Mile-High air should give QB Siemian some confidence. Denver is always a tough team to beat early in the season, especially at home and they get the job done against on Sunday afternoon. |
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10-01-17 | Giants +3 v. Bucs | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 122 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #269 Take New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Giants put forth a much better performance last week in Philadelphia but were done in by a 61 yard field goal as time expired. OBJ is getting closer to 100% and he gives the Giants a threat in the passing game that few teams in the league have. Tampa Bay is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when they are a favorite of more than two points. Sooner or later the Giants are going to put it all together and win a game. Now is as good as time as any. Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during Week 4. New York is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during Week 4. |
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10-01-17 | Panthers v. Patriots -8 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 14 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #254 Take New England Patriots over Carolina Panthers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Patriots have yet to look impressive at home but this is the game they will break out and win by double digits. Carolina was exposed last getting blown out by the Saints, a team New England has already beaten this season. New England is 14-5 ATS when playing at home despite failing to cover the spread in their last two home games. Carolina has yet to play anybody good this season with their first three games coming against San Francisco, New Orleans, and Buffalo. New England is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games. Carolina is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on fieldturf. |
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09-30-17 | Nevada +10 v. Fresno State | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #203 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (Saturday 10 pm AT&T Sportsnet) Fresno State is not good enough to be laying this many points against anybody in FBS. This line is more about how bad Nevada has been playing but on paper these are two equal teams. Nevada has had quarterback issues but they are starting the quarterback that gives them the best chance to win games. The home team is 0-6 ATS in this match-up the last 6 meetings. The Bulldogs have allowed 41+ points twelve times since the start of the 2015 season. Nevada will hang around in this game as we will collect with a nice underdog. |
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09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -3.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #146 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 4 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home losses but the stats in each of those game tell a different story as to how well each team played. Michigan State put up 496 yards of total offense last week against Notre Dame but were done in by three turnovers. Iowa lost the total yardage battle to Penn State, 579-273, yet was ahead until the last play of the game. Michigan State needs to clean up the turnovers and they should win this game by double digits. Iowa is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. If Michigan State protects the football they will win this game by double digits. |
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09-30-17 | Georgia v. Tennessee +8 | Top | 41-0 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #180 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) The SEC is a one team league and we have seen the other members go up and down and not be able to handle prosperity. Georgia is coming off a big win against Mississippi State and now must go on the road into hostile territory. The Volunteers have won two straight games against the Bulldogs despite trailing big in both of those games. Butch Jones is not a great coach but he has a habit of keeping the game close and he will accomplish this yet again on Saturday. The point spread has been over adjusted off Georgia’s game last week and we will take advantage of a favorable line. Georgia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-29-17 | BYU v. Utah State +3.5 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 78 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #110 Take Utah State Aggies over BYU Cougars (Friday, 8 pm CBSSN) The Cougars are coming off a bye week after getting destroyed by Wisconsin in Provo the previous week. The Aggies had a get-well game against San Jose State and that should give them confidence heading into this game. BYU is without QB Tanner Mangum and they do not deserve to be favored against anybody on the road. BYU has the 7th worst offense in the country and if Utah State does not beat themselves they will win this game straight-up. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Utah State is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played on Friday. |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | 27-33 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #481 Take Seattle Seahawks +2.5 over Tennessee Titans (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Hawks offense has looked terrible thus far in two games, but they still do have talent and sooner or later they will have a breakout game. Seattle has a big edge in coaching, and I see Tennessee struggling to move the football on offense. Tennessee is 0-13 ATS coming off a double-digit victory in their previous game. Seattle is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games as a road underdog. This will likely be a game that goes down to the wire, but I feel Seattle will come out on top. Getting points is just icing on the cake. |
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09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | Top | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #468 Take New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Jay Cutler is not David Carr and I just do not believe he will be able to pick apart the Jets like the Raiders did last week. Miami was lucky to get a win last week in San Diego needing a missed field goal as time was expiring. I usually believe that teams bounce back after getting embarrassed the week before in the NFL and expect that to be the case here. This is a tough travel situation for Miami, coming back from San Diego and they have to go to London next week. Miami is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during Week 3. |
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09-23-17 | Washington -10.5 v. Colorado | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #353 Take Washington Huskies over Colorado Buffaloes (Saturday 10 pm FS1) This is a rematch of the PAC-12 Championship Game last year and I expect a similar result to the 31 point victory by Washington last year. Washington has beaten Colorado five straight times (5-0 ATS) and their defense is much more preserved than the Buffaloes. The Huskies have rolled the last two weeks and they know they need to run the table to get back to the college football playoffs. The Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Huskies gave up a backdoor cover to the Bulldogs last week but they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-23-17 | Auburn -19 v. Missouri | Top | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #373 Auburn Tigers over Missouri Tigers (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN U) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR. Missou opens the 2017 season with 4 straight home games and after Saturday they will have recorded just 1 victory. Missouri has a terrible defense and this is clearly a get-well game for Auburn. Missouri has given up 66 points the last two weeks against two bad offensive teams in Purdue and South Carolina. They fired their defensive coordinator last week and still looked terrible. Auburn looked better than their total score indicated last week moving the ball up and down the field but were down in by 5 turnovers. If they protect the ball this week they will win big. Missouri is 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games played in September. |
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09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -11.5 | 44-31 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #384 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) The Pokes are on a tear and one must continue to ride them until they slow down. TCU is also 3-0 but they have not looked that impressive. Their 28-7 victory at a bad Arkansas team is very misleading. Oklahoma State has blown out TCU by 20 and 25 points the last two years. QB Mason Rudolph is one of the Heisman frontrunners and sooner or later he will pick apart this defense and get up by double digits and cruise from there. TCU will have some moments on offense as well but I just do not believe they will be able to keep pace in this game. TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 lined games. Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -2.5 | 43-50 | Win | 100 | 94 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #394 Take Texas A & M Aggies over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Both of these coaches are squarely on the hot seat but I just believe Kevin Sumlin has more talent on his side. A & M has won five straight conference games against Arkansas despite not covering the spread in many of those game. Now the spread is low and if they beat them for a six straight time the odds are they will also cover the spread. QB Kellen Mond is getting more confident since being forced into action and I expect him to play his best game of the season today. The Razorbacks have allowed 28+ points in 10 of their last 12 games. A & M is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games played during September. Arkansas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #302 Take San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (Thursday 8:25 pm NFL Network) The 49ers won just two games last year and both of those victories came against the Rams. The Rams have played a home heavy schedule opening with both of their first two games at the Coliseum. Los Angeles is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 division road games. The 49ers defense will keep them in this game and this is the weakest defense they will have faced thus far in the season (Carolina & Seattle). LA is 0-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against NFC teams. San Francisco is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against NFC West teams. San Francisco wins this game straight-up. |
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09-17-17 | Cowboys v. Broncos +2 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 122 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #284 Take Denver Broncos over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:24 pm FOX) Both teams are coming off home wins but we will ride the Broncos again to a hot start this year like what they did last year. New York looked lost without OBJ last week and Dallas will have a much tougher time containing the Broncos this week. Denver is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Denver is 7-0 in their past 7 home games during the first two weeks of the season. Denver has the better defense and we saw last week home far ahead the defenses are compared to the offenses in most cases. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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09-17-17 | Bears +7.5 v. Bucs | 7-29 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #275 Take Chicago Bears over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) This is just too many points to be laying considering the Bucs have yet to play a game and the Bears put forth a respectable performance against the Falcons last week. Tampa Bay is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Some are expecting a home field bump and an emotional performance since this area is recovering from a Hurricane but that certainly did not happen last week in Houston. Mike Glennon wants to play well against his former team and I believe this game will do down to the wire and just be decided by a field goal. Tampa Bay is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played during September. |
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09-17-17 | Titans -1.5 v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #261 Take Tennessee Titans -1.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The posted line tells you a great deal about this selection. Giving that Jacksonville looked like world beaters last week in Houston and Tennessee lost at home to Oakland one would expect the Jags to be a solid home favorite. That is not the case as the odds makers are begging you to take Jacksonville. Just do not believe the coach quarterback combination is good enough to win many games and this is just a 5-6 win team. Jacksonville is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games played during week 2 of the NFL season. |
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09-16-17 | Colorado State v. Alabama -28.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #178 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) This is the second straight MWC team the Tide will face and I expect another 30 point victory for Alabama this week as well. The Rams looked awful against Colorado and I do not see things getting any better in this game against another Power 5 team (maybe the best team in the country). Colorado State is 2-5 in their road opener the last 7 years. The Tide are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against team with a winning record. |
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09-16-17 | Oregon State +21 v. Washington State | 23-52 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #173 Take Oregon State Beavers over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 5:30 pm PAC-12 Network) I really believe that this line is inflated and at the start of the year this would have been a 11-13 point spread. We are now getting great value with a team that has disappointed through three games this season. The Beavers have won 12 of the last 17 games in this series. Washington State had to rally from 21 points down last week to beat Boise State and I just do not believe they will be able to jump on the Beavers early and put them away. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Mike Leach is never a good play as a favorite and Washington State seems to always play to the level of their competition. This is a conference game with a desperate team and I just do not see a bloodbath. Oregon State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 PAC-12 games. Washington State has failed to cover the spread in 4 straight home games. |
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09-16-17 | Wisconsin -13.5 v. BYU | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #153 Take Wisconsin Badgers over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) BYU has one of the worst offenses in the entire country. If Ty Detmer (offensive coordinator) were not a living legend at BYU he would have been replaced after the LSU game. I still believe there is a chance that may happen after this game. BYU has just produced two touchdowns the last two weeks and they came in garbage time against Utah last Saturday night. Wisconsin is coming off a lackluster performance in which they dominated the yardage (564-248) and time of possession but were did not cover the spread because of two turnovers. They will need to clean that up in this game. BYU will hold their own on defense but they will eventually wear down because of their lack of offensive efficiency. There seems to be a rift between the offense and the defense (including coaches) and this will be the best defense BYU has faced this season (Wisconsin beat LSU last year). Wisconsin has covered the spread in six straight road games. BYU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Badgers win this game by twenty points and we collect in the process as well. |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 123 h 54 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #482 Take Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (Monday 10:20 pm ESPN) It is now cool to trash John Elway for his apparent lack of finding a franchise quarterback after Peyton Manning retired. Denver won 9 games last season and that was 4 more than Los Angeles did in 2016. Denver has dominated this series of late winning 10 of the last 11 meetings. Wade Phillips is now with the Chargers but nobody seems to have lasting success with this franchise. Denver is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. Los Angeles closed on a sour note in 2016 losing five straight games against the spread. |
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09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #474 Take Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) These teams seem to meet every year with the home team dominating this series (5-0 ATS last five games). The Hawks lost in Green Bay by 28 points last season and by 10 points in 2015. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. The Packers have the better offense and QB Rodgers has enough weapons to attack this strong Hawks defense in a variety of ways. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September. |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Lions | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #461 Take Arizona Cardinals over Detroit Lions (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Just never been a big believer in Jim Caldwell as a consistent winning coach in the NFL. Arizona took a step backwards last season but do well in road openers going 8-1 ATS over the last nine years. Arizona went into Ford Field in 2015 and won by 25 points. Detroit is one dimensional and that will not work against an aggressive defense like Arizona. The Lions failed to cover the spread in five straight games to end the 2016. Arizona is favored on the road against a playoff team last year. That tells me all I need to know. |
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09-09-17 | Utah -1 v. BYU | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #395 Take Utah Utes over BYU Cougars (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) Utah has dominated the Holy War in recent years winning six straight and going 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Provo. BYU looked god awful against LSU especially on offense. They will be better in this game but I just do not believe Ty Detmer is a good offensive coordinator that can work to his quarterback’s strengths. The Cougars did not look that impressive against Portland State either two weeks ago. Utah is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 nonconference games. BYU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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09-09-17 | Toledo v. Nevada +10 | 37-24 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #370 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Toledo Rockets (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 3) The Wolf Pack did much better than expected against Northwestern last Saturday and could have won the game straight-up despite being a 24 point underdog. I believe they are again undervalued this week in the home debut of Coach Jay Norvell. The Rockets have not performed well when playing outside the eastern/central time zone going 1-7 straight-up in their last 8 games. Just not sold on the Rockets defense being able to hold up for 60 minutes. Both teams will put up points in this game by a do not see a double-digit deficit for the home team. Nevada held up well in the trenches last Saturday and they should be able to do that again on Saturday. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
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09-09-17 | Marshall v. NC State -24 | 20-37 | Loss | -101 | 101 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #368 Take NC State Wolfpack over Marshall Thundering Herd (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 3) We used Marshall last week and were lucky to be successful. In that game Marshall had two kickoff returns for a touchdown to go along with a pick-6. NC State dominated the yards against South Carolina but wound up with the loss. Both teams will come back to reality in this game and the result will be a 30 point victory for the home team. Marshall is 1-16 straight-up in their last 17 road openers (4-13 ATS). If they cannot move the football against Miami Oh they will not be able to move the football against a middle of the pack ACC team. Marshall is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS in their previous game. NC State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 nonconference games. |
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09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 99 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #364 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) It is not often a road team is favored in a true SEC home game but it is well warranted in this situation. TCU returns a ton of experience from last year and they also have revenge on their minds after blowing a late lead to Arkansas last year in Fort Worth. TCU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road openers winning those 9 games by an average of 18 points per game. Coach Gary Patterson is too good of a coach to be down for long and I expect TCU to come close to recording 10+ wins this season. Arkansas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. 61% of the early money is coming in on Arkansas yet the line keeps going up. That tells me the smart money is backing the road team. |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #210 Take Virginia Tech Hokies -4 over West Virginia Mountaineers (Sunday 7:30 pm ESPN) I do not believe West Virginia is a top 25 team this season. They must replace a ton of talent on both sides of the football including their quarterback from last year. The Mountaineers are just 3-9 against the Hokies and the are facing a team on the rise. It is important for Virginia Tech to get off to a good start as they have not performed well in neutral site games of late. That changes tonight and they will win this game by double digits. |
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09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #206 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Florida State Seminoles (Saturday 8 pm ABC) The Crimson Tide just seem to dominate these games and I see this one as no different. Alabama is 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 ATS in their opening neutral site games the last five years. The Tide also have an experienced quarterback for a change and that should bode well in this game for them. FSU was down big earlier to a lesser Ole Miss team in 2016 and if that happens again I cannot see Alabama letting them back into the game. Florida State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Alabama has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. |
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