Free NFL Prediction: Patriots vs Dolphins
Week 17 NFL betting sees the New England Patriots taking on the Miami Dolphins on Sunday January 3 at the Sun Life Stadium Miami, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
New England Patriots (12-3) at Miami Dolphins (5-10)
Date: Sunday January 3
Time: 1 PM
Venue: Sun Life Stadium Miami, FL.
ATS Betting Lines: Patriots -10.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: OFF strong>
NFL Betting Total: 47
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The Patriots still have something to play for in the last game, as with their loss they still have not locked up the #1 seed in the AFC playoffs. However, they already have a bye and will the beat-up Pats play Tom Brady and other starters?
The Dolphins have lost 3 straight games and in their last 2 games their offense has struggled to move the ball.
They are a double-digit home underdog in this game and they were embarrassed losing by 29 points in their earlier matchup with the Patriots in New England.
In their last games the Patriots lost to the New York Jets 26-20 in OT and the Dolphins lost to the Indianapolis Colts 18-12.
On the season the Dolphins are 2-5 at home and the Patriots are 5-2 on the road.
I think Brady will play in this game and while his WR corps is really banged up he still has found a way to get it done.
Rob Gronkowski is having another solid season and he may sit out this game as well. No matter who plays QB for the Pats they have a chance to put up some good numbers facing a Miami pass defense that only ranks 24th in the league.
The Pats only rank 29th in the league in rushing yards per game, but they may lean on the run if Brady is one the sidelines.
The team’s leading rusher in LeGarrette Blount has been decent in the last couple of games, but he will share snaps with the other RB’s for New England. The Dolphins only rank 30th in the league in run defense.
The Patriots have lost their last 2 games facing the Dolphins in Miami.
After giving QB Ryan Tannehill a big contract he has regressed this season and leads a Miami offense that only ranks 22nd in the league in passing yards per game.
Jarvis Landry is his main target and with the struggles with the Dolphins in the rushing offense as of late Tannehill may have to have a big game for them to pull off the upset.
The Miami RB duo of Lamar Miller and Jay Ajayi has rushed for only 93 yards on 39 carries in their last 2 games. In their earlier blowout loss to the Pats in New England this season the Fish only managed 15 rushing yards.
New England ranks 11th in the league defending the pass and 8th defending the run.
The Dolphins have lost their last 2 home games.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Patriots have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Dolphins are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
- Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Over 47
The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 AFC East rivals, but that trend will not continue. Miami has failed to cover in their last 4 games at home and that trend will continue.
NFL Free Score Prediction: New England 35 – Miami 17
I think Brady and company will play to lock up the #1 seed in the AFC playoffs and they will do that with a win in Miami where they will also cover the 10.5-point spread.
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