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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-21 | Twins v. Tigers +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tigers (+1.5) 8* MONEY-MAKER). The Tigers won their opening series, but they came out flat and fell 15-6 in yesterday's series opener with the Twins. Suffice it to say, I think the home side will put up a much better effort here this afternoon. Casey Mize was 0-3 with a 6.99 ERA last year, but the second-year pro is coming off a decent Spring: "He's made a lot of major league hitters look bad this spring," manager A.J. Hinch said. "There's going to be some growing pains, and if we expect him to be perfect, then we're setting him up for failure. So, the growth that needs to happen is going to have to happen at the big leagues." JA Happ gets the nod for the visitors. He's 3-2 with a 5.14 ERA in 12 career starts vs. the Tigers. This one is going to come down to the wire, so I'm grabbing the 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Detroit. |
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04-05-21 | Dodgers -152 v. A's | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (6* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Dodgers are 3-1 and the A's are 0-4. LA has a clear pitching advantage with Dustin May on the mound, as he was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA last year. May's fastball was topping 100 MPH in Spring. Frankie Montas was 3-5 wth a 5.60 ERA for the A's last year. The A's were just 4 fo 28 with runners in scoring position in their first series, and they also saw their bullpen allow 19 earned runs over 16 2/3's innings of work. Oakland will get its act together soon, but not tonight. Lay the price on the superior pitcher! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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04-04-21 | White Sox v. Angels -124 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* SITUATIONAL MONEY-MAKER). The Angels have won two of the first three in this series. The White Sox are picked by many to advance far into the playoffs, if not contend for a World Series title, but so far they have been overrated to this point. The Angels feature just as much hitting potential, if not even greater in the line-up. These teams are more even than what many are trying to lead us to beleive. I think Cease and Ohtani are a wash, but note that LA is 7-2 in its last nine home games after holding its previous opponent to three runs or less. Great value on the red hot home side in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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04-03-21 | Twins +110 v. Brewers | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Twins lost their opener thanks in part to a blown save and three runs given up in the ninth inning. I expect the visiting side to respond here though and avenge that loss. Minnesota has to be feeling confident with Jose Berrios heading to the hill, as he's 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career vs. Milwaukee. Corbin Burnes has had success against the Twins and he'll be on the mound for the Brewers, but note that Minnesota is 21-10 in its last 31 following an off day. Berrios has been one of the best pitchers in MLB the last three years and at this price, I think he's definitely the correct call in this particular matchup; the play is the Twins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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04-03-21 | Indians -159 v. Tigers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -159 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Indians lost their opener here two nights ago 3-2. I think they'll bounce back though with Zach Plesac on the hill. Plesac was dominant last year, going 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He was also 2-0 with a 0.51 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Detroit. The home side counters with the volatile Julio Teheran, who was 0-4 with a 10.05 ERA for the Angels last year. Teheran is off a decent Spring, but I still give Plesac the huge nod in this matchup. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in my opinion; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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04-02-21 | White Sox v. Angels -114 | 12-8 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8*). The Angels held on for the 4-3 win last night and I think they offer great value to do it again on Friday. I would classify Chicago starter Dallas Keuchel and Angels' starter Andrew Heaney as a wash in this contest, meaning that other variables come into play here. And note, LA is 5-1 in its last six at home and an amazing 23-6 in its last 29 in this series at home, while Chicago is now 1-8 in its last nine on the road. I think the White Sox are still getting way too much respect from the bookmakers and general betting public; the play is LA! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Angels. |
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04-02-21 | White Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels/White Sox OVER (8*). The Angels held on for the 4-3 win last night and I think they offer great value to do it again on Friday. I would classify Chicago starter Dallas Keuchel and Angels' starter Andrew Heaney as a wash in this contest, meaning that other variables come into play here. I have a play on LA as part of my three-game report, but after yesterday's lower-scoring "duel," I'm also expecting a much higher-scoring game this time around as well. As note that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 road games in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it scored three or less runs in; this number is low, time to hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Angels. |
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04-02-21 | Rays v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Marlins OVER (8*). I have nothing negative to say about either Rays' starter Ryan Yabrough or Marlins' starter Pablo Lopez. Each is coming off a decent campaign from last year and both had efficient spring showings. This pick isn't based on the starting pitchers. This number is just a little too low and after yesterday's low-scoring 1-0 win for Tampa, everything points to this one being a much higher-scoring contest on Friday night. Because note, the Marlins have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 interleague home games when the total in the contest is set between 7.5 and 8. The Rays have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 17 when playing with no days rest and off a shutout victory the day before. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Rays. |
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04-01-21 | Rangers +1.5 v. Royals | 10-14 | Loss | -140 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rangers +1.5 (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Rangers were only 22-38 last year. They struggled offensively, so to say they'll eager to get out to a better start in 2021 would be an understatement. Texas is going to have to put up some runs today as well with volatile right-hander Kyle Gibson on the mound, who posted a poor 5.35 ERA over 67.1 innings last year. Gibson though will be confident here as he's dominated the Royals in the past, going 9-5 with a 3.24 ERA over 135 innings faced. Brad Keller was sensation for the Royals last year, but the sample size was small. KC's offense was terrible last year too. I think the Rangers on the RUN LINE is the correct call here for sure! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Texas. |
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04-01-21 | Braves -103 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Braves (8* BLOWOUT). These starters are a "wash." I could easily write a convincing argument for either of these starters to win this game. Max Fried went undefeated last year. Aaron Nola is making his fourth straight Opening Day appearance for the Phillies. The difference though for me comes in Atlanta's strong bullpen and its hitting line-up. Philly is just 7-20 in its last 27 as an underdog, while ATL is 13-6 in its last 19 on the road. Philly's bullpen was dead last in the major last year with a 7.06 ERA. Great value on perhaps the best team in baseball on opening day; play the Braves! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 ATL. |
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04-01-21 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians -1.5 (10* RUN-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK). The Indians got rid of a bunch of players in the off-season and added a couple new faces. Detroit comes in with a young pitching staff and hitting line-up. This is a major mismatch on the mound. Shane Bieber was 8-1 with a 1.63 ERA and 122 K's with 21 walks last year. Matt Boyd was terrible last season, going just 3-7 with a ballooned 6.71 ERA for the Tigers last year. Detroit is also a putrid 25-68 in its last 93 at home, while Cleveland is 37-14 in its last 51 as a road favorite. The Indians not only win here, they win BIG! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Tribe. |
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03-27-21 | Cubs v. Reds -129 | 6-3 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds (8* ELITE OF THE ELITE). I like Cincinnati ace Luis Castillo to get the better of Shelby Miller here. Miller has been strong so far in the Spring (1.00 ERA, 12 K's), but these sparkling numbers are unsustainable and I expect regression for sure. Castillo has been named the Opening Day starter as well after finishing with a 3.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 70 innings last season. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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03-27-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -140 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Jack Flaherty will look to shake off an up-and-down spring in his final home tune-up before the real thing. He allowed three earned runs to the Marlins last time out, while also striking out five. Sandy Alcantara is expect to start for Miami and he's been great in the Spring, but he'll be on a short leash here. Advantage St. Louis! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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10-27-20 | Rays v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNDER 4.5 Rays/Dodgers (8* TOTAL BASE-CLEANER). For the most part this series has been dominated by these line-ups, as all but one game so far has flown over the posted total. Game 6 though I think will be a very tightly contested affair. The Dodgers' lineup has its work cut out for it today facing Blake Snell, who has a 3.45 ERA in the playoffs and who has been one of the best and most consistent AL pitchers over the last couple of seasons. I look for Snell to help in driving this total under the number over the first five innings! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Rays. |
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10-27-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -150 | 35 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This has been an interesting series and I'm predicting that it'll go one more game. Tampa finished ten games ahead of the next closest competitor in the American League and I'm not convinced at all that the Dodgers are the better team in this fight. And certainly Tampa has to be liking its chances today by sending its ace to the mound in Blake Snell. Snell will face Tony Gonsolin, who may only see one inning before making way for a slew of bullpen pitchers. Note that LA is just 1-5 in its last six playoff games as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range and only 1-4 in Gonsolin's last five starts as a favorite, while Tampa is 5-0 in Snell's last five starts and 5-0 in its last five after scoring five runs or less in its previous outing. Pay the price, grab the extra 1.5 runs just in case! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I had a play on the Dodgers in Game 4 and while that was an unfortunate setback, I look to bounce back here in this important Game 5 matchup. It's been each team's dynamic offenses which have been in the spotlight in the early going, but I expect a classic pitchers duel here between Dodgers' ace Clayton Kershaw (who gave up only one run and had eight K's in the Game 1 victory) and the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (who gave up four runs in the Game 1 loss, but who previously was arguably the hottest starter in the playoffs up to that point.) Tampa has also seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-24-20 | Dodgers -164 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -164 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (10* GAME OF MONTH). I had the Dodgers in Game 1, the Rays in Game 2 and then the Dodgers in Game 3. I like LA to once again find a way to get the job done in Game 4 as well. Jose Urias and Ryan Yarbrough are a "wash" in this contest, but LA's dynamic hitting line-up is the difference here. The Dodgers are also 4-0 in their last four interleague contest vs. clubs with winning records. The Rays are going to have to turn to their bullpen early and I can't see it holding up to this hard-hitting Dodgers line-up. Look for Urias to get the win here! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers -155 v. Rays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Dodgers to bounce back in Game 2. Walker Buehler has been fantastic for LA during the playoffs. So too has Charlie Morton for the Rays. The difference maker for me though lies in the stats/trends today, as note that the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine after a loss and a day off. I'm banking on LA's hitting depth to be the difference once it's all said and done. Great value on the Dodgers in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Dodgers UNDER (9* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). Blake Snell has been one of the best pitchers in the American League over the last three years. He's faced some stiff competition, including facing the daunting New York Yankees many times. Snell isn't going to be intimidated here, note that he's 2-2 with a 3.20 ERA and 19 K's so far in this postseason. Tony Gonsonlin will get the call here for the Dodgers and while he's allowed seven runs over 6.1 innings in the playoffs, note that LA has seen the total dip under the number in 11 of its last 17 after scoring 8 or more runs in its previous outing, while also winning by four or more runs. This number is high considering the circumstances and listed information above; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. |
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10-21-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I had a play on the Dodgers on the run line in Game 1 and that provided a small plus-money return. In Game 2 though, I'm going to suggest laying this reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Blake Snell has arguably been the best pitcher in the AL over the last two years and he's already had to face the power hitting lineup of the Yankees all season. Snell brings veteran leadership and poise to this moment and after four straight victories, I think the Dodgers finally come back down to Earth here. Note as well that the LA is just 2-5 in its last seven after a four runs or greater victory in which it scored seven or more runs in. I'm laying the price for the 1.5 runs, but I would NOT be shocked by the straight up victory either! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Rays. |
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10-20-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* RUN-LINE GAME OF WEEK). If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you know the story lines. I don't think I need to tell you the strengths and weaknesses of each team. So if you want a "recap" of how these teams got here, or who is playing what position, or what the batting percentage or ERA of a player is, there's lots of places you can go to get that basic information. I'm here to tell you WHY the Dodgers are going to win Game 1. But, not only win it, but win it BIG time. I like Clayton Kershaw in this matchup against Tyler Glasnow. Kershaw had one hiccup in his performance last time out, but overall he's been fantastic this season and in the playoffs. I think his veteran presence will be the difference for LA and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable cover and victory in Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. |
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10-18-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Dodgers have all the momentum after the Game 6 victory and I believe they'll figure out a way to complete the come back after going down 3-1 to start. Ian Anderson has been incredible in the playoffs for the Braves, but I don't see him having that much of an advantage over Dodgers' projected starter Tony Gonsolin. Whoever gets the start for LA, I think the Dodgers' deep bullpen will help in delivering the goods here as well. Jansen has been great closing out games for the Dodgers as well. Sorry ATL, you had your chance and blew it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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10-17-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | 2-4 | Loss | -185 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros +1.5 (8*). I'm not going to talk about individual player matchups here, or what happened in Game 6. If you're wagering on this game, you know the story lines and cast of characters and all of their strengths and weaknesses. "Momentum" is a very real factor in sports and especially in the playoffs. The Astros are once again rolling with confidence and while I do think they can win this one outright and advance to the World Series, I'll suggest laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Astros. |
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10-17-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -145 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (8*). I had a play on the Dodgers on the "run line" last night and I expect the NL champs to find a way to get the job done here as well. Max Fried was good vs. LA in Game 1, although received a no-decision vs. it. Fried is 0-2 with a 4.66 ERA lifetime vs. the Dodgers. Walker Buehler has faced the Braves four times in his career and gone 2-0 with a 4.03 ERA. LA is also 7-2 in its last nine after a win by three or more runs in its previous outing. I'm banking on the more desperate team to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-17-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (8*). Walker Buehler and Max Fried were not perfect in Game 1, but the total in that contest was the only one that's gone under the number so far. After four straight overs, I do finally expect this one to fall under. Note that the Braves have seen the total drop under the number in 14 of their last 21 after a three runs or greater setback in which they allowed six or more runs in. This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-16-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* RUN-LINE BANKROLL BUILDER). With their season on the line and with the vastly superior starting pitcher on the hill for them, I like the Dodgers to find a way to win here. But not only win, win BIG! Dustin May was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in ten starts this year for LA. In three appearances in the playoffs, spanning 4.1 innings, May has allone just one hit. The Braves turn to their bullpen to get the job done by committee, but I think that strategy will fail. Look for the NL champs to bounce back again here with another convincing victory. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. |
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10-15-20 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). After two straight overs, I expect this Game 4 total to stay well under the number. Wow, 11 runs in the top of the first inning for the Dodgers in Game 3! LA wasn't fooling around! After scoring 18 runs in Game 3 though, this Game 4 matchup absolutely sets up as a lower-scoring affair. Clayton Kershaw has been great for the Dodgers in the playoffs, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA so far. The Braves will start with Bryse Wilson on the mound and while he posted a 1.13 ERA over eight innings in two starts in teh regular season, the Braves are fully expecting to move to their bullpen very early. Atlanta has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 after allowing 12 or more runs in a loss to an opponent as well. This one has "duel" written all over it; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-15-20 | Rays v. Astros +128 | 3-4 | Win | 128 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros (8* MONEY-MAKER). Facing elimination, the Astros played their best game of the ALCS in Game 4 and came away with the 4-3 victory. Now I expect them to carry that momentum over here. I think these pitchers are a "wash," but note that Houston is 7-2 in its last nine following a victory of one run or more. Look for the "hungrier" team to find a way to deliver in the clutch again! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Astros. |
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10-14-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 15-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers RUN LINE (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Enough is enough! The Dodgers haven't lost three games in a row all year and I don't expect that to happen here. Kyle Wright has been great in the playoffs so far, but so too has Julio Urias for the Dodgers. These starting pitchers are even, although Urias has more experience at this level and that does definitely work in favor of LA here. LA was down big and rallied to pull close, but it eventually fell 8-7 in Game 2. Look for the Dodgers to finally get back on track here and lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. |
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10-13-20 | Rays v. Astros +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -159 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Astros enter desperate, eager to avoid an 0-3 hole. Houston came into this series as one of the hotting hitting line-ups, but the southpaws of the Rays have so far been up to the task. I think these starting pitchers are very evenly matched. Ryan Yarbrough and Jose Urquidy are going to go deep in this one, but note that the Astros are 8-1 in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, while the Rays are only 2-4 in their last six after a five-games or longer unbeaten streak. Look for ATL to finally drop a playoff game here. The play is the Astros on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Astros. |
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10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The reason I like the under here? Simple, the starting pitchers. I look for these two studs to battle deep and ultimately I expect that will help in driving this total well under the number once it's all said and done. Ian Anderson was 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA in six starts in the regular season for the Braves and he has so far pitched 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. The Braves' bullpen has given up just one run over 23.1 innings and posted a 0.39 ERA in the process. Dodgers' starter Tony Gonsolin made ten regular season starts and posted a 2.31 ERA and 0.84 WHIP along with 46K's to just seven walks over 46 2/3's innings of work. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-12-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either team. The Dodgers have met all expectations to this point and anything short of a World Series will be a major disappointment. The Braves have also met expectations, as they enter as the No. 2 team in the NL. Both starters are sharp tonight and enter in good form. Both teams have awesome bullpens and strong and experienced hitting line-ups. This really is one of those series where it's an "any given Sunday" type of thing. Either team could easily win, they just have to step up here and do it. In Game 1 though I think these starters will take center stage and battle deep and in a contest like that, I think the value swings to the dog. Just in case though, I'm going to lay the price for the extra insurance. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Braves. |
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10-12-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston RUN-LINE (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Astros uncharacteristically made base running mistakes yesterday and they also left ten men on base. Houston struggled against the lefty Snell, but now it faces the right Morton. Morton has been terrible vs. Houston throughout his career (4-6, 6.28 ERA lifetime), while Lance McCullers Jr. has been decent against the Rays (1-2, 3.79). Houston has the experience to bounce back here and I think it has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. However, let's lay the price for the 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Astros. |
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10-11-20 | Astros +136 v. Rays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The bottom line on this one is I think that the Astros' Framber Valdez will be able to match the Rays' Blake Snell inning for inning to open Game 1. Houston has been the better team offensively and I think that's going to matter in Game 1. Note as well that the Astros are 8-0 in their last eight as an underdog and 42-10 in their last 52 following an off day. I love getting the "plus money" here on this undervalued underdog! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Astros. |
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10-08-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). The Rays dominated this series in the regular season and they now have a 2-1 lead in this playoff series as well after an 8-4 win on Wednesday. Tampa goes with relief pitcher Ryan Thompson to start this one, he finished 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in the regular season, but he'll be on a short leash and make way for the bullpen pretty quickly. So far the Tampa pitching staff has posted a 3.80 collective ERA in the playoffs. Besides, New York starter Jordan Montgomery was just 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA in the regular season. And in six career starts vs. the Rays he's an even worse 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA. New York hasn't pitched well in this series and I think it'll be letdown by the mound again tonight. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tampa. |
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10-07-20 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves RUN LINE (10* TOP PAY-OUT PLAY!) The Fish had a 3-2 lead in the sixth inning, but Atlanta won Game 1 by a score of 9-5. Miami's bullpen is trash and the Braves' is elite. These two starting pitchers faced off in September and while Pablo Lopez did get the win in that game (4-2,) Anderson's numbers were better after the regular season ended. The Braves' bats were stymied early in Game 1, but then the entire line-up started to rake. Expect that trend to carry over in Game 2 and expect a complete lop-sided blowout from start to finish. The play is the Braves on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Braves. |
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10-06-20 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Padres UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). There's no love loss between these clubs. LA won six of ten in the regular season series. Walker Buehler gets the start in Game 1 for the Dodgers and he's pitched just twice since September, but he did go four innings in the wild-card round vs. the Brewers. Zach Davies was 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA in the regular season, but he got knocked around hard by the Cards in the wildcard round, allowing four runs over two innings, fortunate to escape with a no-decision. Those types of outings have been few and far between for the veteran though and there's no reason not to think he won't be considerably better here. Note as well that San Diego has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six after three or more days of rest. This number is high, play on the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rays RUN LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Rays went 8-2 against the Yankees in the regular season. Both Gerrit Cole and Blake Snell enter this contest red hot, so we can absolutely call these starting pitchers a "wash." I like Tampa's bullpen though and its depth down its line-up will prove to be too much for New York's pen to keep up with down the stretch. I'm banking on the Rays finding a way to take Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tampa. |
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10-05-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Chris Bassitt did great in the regular season and was fantastic in his lone wildcard start last week. He also had success vs. the Astros in the regular season. Lance McCullers Jr. though has plenty of experience at this level and he has a major advantage here in having not thrown since September 26th. I think McCullers can easily match Bassitt inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I love the underdog. Especially this experienced Astros hitting line-up, that overwhelmed the Twins completely in the Wildcard round. The A's needed all three to advance. Grab the 1.5 runs, but don't be shocked by an outright upset either! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Houston. |
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10-02-20 | Marlins v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs RUN LINE (10* MONEY-MAKER). This game was postponed due to rain yesterday. Miami won Game 1, but I like the home side to bounce back here and deliver. I think the delay benefits the home side, as the players are able to adapt easier. I love Yu Darvish as well. Darvish finished with a 2.01 ERA and while he's struggled in the past in the playoffs, his current form leads me to believe that he's about to shake off those past troubles. This is a dream matchup facing the Marlins, who continue to over-achieve. Sixto Sanchez has been good in his limited time for the Fish, but clearly he's in unchartered territory here. I expect Chicago to not only win this game, but I expect it to win BIG. Lay the 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs. |
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10-01-20 | Reds v. Braves -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* MONEY-MAKER). With a chance to move into the bubble format in LA, I like the Braves to dig deep here and eliminate Cincinnati. I'll call Castillo and Anderson a "wash" here. The Braves prevailed in 13 innings last night, but I expect the home side's line-up to be much better this time around, as note that ATL is 7-2 in its last nine after scoring one or less runs in a home victory in its previous outing. This line is way out of whack. The Reds are in over their head here. Lay the price, expect a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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09-30-20 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Brewers UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The bottom line is, I think these two starters will battle deep and I think that will ultimately help in driving this total well under the posted number. Walker Buehler was 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA and he's backed by the best bullpen in the NL with a 2.74 ERA. Buehler has faced the Brewers once in his career and he allowed one run over seven innings. Milwaukee starter Brent SUter was 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA this year and the Brewers finished sixth in the NL with a staff ERA of 4.16 (Milwaukee though struggled offensively, batting .223 collectively, ranked 26th.) The stage is set for a classic "duel." This number is high, play the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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09-29-20 | Yankees -102 v. Indians | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). As good as Shane Bieber has been this year, I think he and Yanks' starter Gerrit Cole are a "wash" here. Bieber has been unbelievable, but honestly it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either one. Look at this line, clearly the oddsmakers also think these teams are completely evenly matched and that the "home field" is not an advantage whatsoever. But New York has its sluggers back in the line-up and I think they're ready to tear the cover off the ball here. While the Yanks did struggle at times in the regular season, expect them to finally live up to expectations now that the playoffs are here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yankees. |
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09-29-20 | Blue Jays +141 v. Rays | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays I like Toronto to pull off the upset in Game 1. Tampa did win six of the ten in the regular season series over the Jays, but four of those victories came by a single run. Blake Snell finished 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA for Tampa, while Matt Shoemaker was 0-1 with a 4.71 ERA for Toronto. Shoemaker last pitched on September 21st where he allowed one run over three innings in a no-decision vs. the Yankees. The Jays were sharp in this spot all year as well, finishing 6-3 as a road dog in the +155 to +205 range. I like this hard-hitting Jays line-up to find a way to get the job done. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox -135 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). After six straight losses, I think the White Sox are going to bounce back here finally in the second to last regular season game of the year. The White Sox trail the Twins by a 1/2 game now and are tied with the Indians with two to go for the division title. The Cubs won't be rolling over, but starter Lester owns a pedestrian 4.91 ERA lifetime vs. the White Sox. Dane Dunning is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA and clearly the rookie won't be lacking for motivation here. I think Chicago finally finds a way to break the streak as it looks to head into the playoffs on a high-note. Lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. |
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09-25-20 | Reds v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins RUN LINE (10* MONEY-MAKER). Each team enjoyed a day off on Thursday and each has major playoff implications surrounding this final series of the regular season. Tyler Mahle is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA for the Reds and he's been sharp of late, but I still give a big nod to the Twins' Jose Berrios, who is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA overall this year and who is 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA in four September starts with 22 strikeouts and just six walks over 22 innings of work. The Twins have a slim lead in the AL Central, so I expect them to put the foot on the gas here; the play is the home side on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Minnesota. |
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09-25-20 | Red Sox v. Braves OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Red Sox OVER (10* TOTAL UPPER-DECK). Boston won't be playing in the post-season, but it's gotten hot at the end of the season. The Braves are still trying to lock down the No. 2 spot in the NL, so this is an important game and series as well for them. And guess what?! Two gas can starters head to the hill here in Boston's Chris Mazza, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and Kyle Wright, who is 2-4 with a 5.74 ERA. Finally note that the Braves have in fact seen the total soar over the number in 11 of their last 17 interleague road games when the total is set between 10.5 and 11. This number is a tad low! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Braves. |
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09-24-20 | Astros -118 v. Rangers | 12-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros (8* TOP-SHELF BLOWOUT). Yes, Lance Lynn has been great for Texas this year (he's 6-2 witha 2.53 ERA). But so too has Christian Javier for the Astros (he's 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA). Houston is 28-28, but it hasn't yet clinched a playoff spot. It's do or die for the Astros here and I think they'll bounce back after yesterday's loss in Seattle. Note that Houston is 8-2 in its last ten after scoring two or less runs in a loss in its previous outing. Look for the Astros to respond! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Astros. |
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09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Thee two teams are moving in opposite directions. The White Sox have lost four straight and they've now lost their grip on the division lead, sitting a 1/2 game back of Minnesota. The Indians have clinched a playoff spot, but the momentum they've been riding has been crazy (off back-to-back walk off extra inning victories over the ChiSox). These starting pitchers are both great, so I deem them to be equal here. Note though that Chicago is a disastrously poor 1-6 in its last seven as a road underdog in the +101 to +127 range. Considering the circumstances, I think this is the very definition of "great line value."Â T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-23-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +116 | 3-12 | Win | 116 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a great situational spot play on the home dog here. This is based primarily upon the fact the St. Louis is sending confirmed "gas can" Carlos Martinez to the hill to start and he's so far 0-2 with an 8.40 ERA. The home side counters with Danny Duffy, who is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA. I'm banking on Duffy getting the better of his counterpart, as KC looks to play the role of spoiler! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Royals. |
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09-23-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -158 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston (10* MONEY-MAKER). Boston rolled to an 8-3 victory yesterday and while it won't be in the playoffs, it's still trying to close out on a positive note. I like the home side to lay the hammer down here as well in this favorable matchup. Over the last five games Boston's starters have combined for a 1.04 ERA. Nate Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA this season and 5-1 with a 4.61 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the O's. Baltimore goes with rookie Dean Kremer, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA, but clearly the sample size is much too small and regression would seem imminent with these sparkling early numbers unsustainable over the long-term. The stage is set for a beatdown, so lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Red Sox. |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +116 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Royals won 4-1 over the Cardinals yesterday and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. The visitors go with Austin Gomber, who is 0-1 with a 2.37 ERA and who has had success against the Royals, but whose sample size is just too small to draw any firm conclusions from. I like Brady Singer here and the Royals, who appear to be loving playing the role of spoiler as the season concludes. Great value on the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Royals. |
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09-22-20 | Rays -127 v. Mets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -127 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Rays won 2-1 last night and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Tampa wants to keep the foot on the gas with the Yanks breathing down its neck. And with a tough three-game series at home against the Phillies to end the season, Tampa does not have the luxury to relax whatsoever. Blake Snell is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and I give him a big nod over his counterpart Seth Lugo, who is 2-3 with a 4.34 ERA. Lugo most recently was shelled for six runs off eight hits over one inning against the Phillies on Thursday. Lay the reasonable price, but expect a massive blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rays. |
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09-21-20 | White Sox v. Indians +101 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 101 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Indians have won three of their last four and they need to continue to win basically every game moving forward if they have any hopes at getting included into the field of eight playoff teams in the AL this year. Aaron Civale is 3-5 with a 3.80 ERA and he won't be lacking for motivation for the Tribe, as he's posted an 0-3 record over his last five trips to the hill. Dane Dunning (2-0, 2.33) has been excellent in his limited time for the White Sox, who are in race to the finish line as well. The White Sox are coming off a series loss in Cincinnati vs. a desperate Reds team and I expect the same to happen here vs. this hungry Indians club. Great value on Cleveland tonight! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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09-20-20 | White Sox v. Reds -103 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* MONEY-MAKER). The White Sox have clinched a spot in the playoffs. The Reds won their sixth straight game in yesterday's 7-1 win and I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas here with the finish line in sight. Dylan Cease is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA for Chicago, I simply feel he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The Reds are 26-26 and they go with Michael Lorenzon, who is 2-1 with a 4.16 ERA. The Reds though are 6-0 in their last six vs. right-handed pitching and 5-0 in their last five at home, while the Sox are just 1-2 in Cease's last three road starts. Look for the hungry home dog to deliver the goods! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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09-19-20 | Nationals -109 v. Marlins | 3-7 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). These teams split a pair of games in yesterday's double header. The Nats won't be defending their World Series title, but I think Patrick Corbin will get the better of Pablo Lopez today. And the reason is that Corbin is pitching on six days rest and that's very significant, as note that he has a 4.03 ERA when throwing on four days rest, a 3.83 ERA with five and when pitching with six or more days of rest between starts, he's 14-7 with a 3.40 ERA in 26 career such cases. Also note that he's 4-2 with a 3.36 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Fish. The Marlins are just 4-5 when Lopez pitches this year and he's a poor 1-2 with a ballooned 7.24 ERA in six career outings vs. Washington. I'm banking on a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nats. |
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09-19-20 | Blue Jays -141 v. Phillies | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -141 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* HOME RUN CLUB). This a "no brainer" in my opinion. The Jays are FOR SURE the hungrier "dog" in this fight. They're the favorite, but they should be a much bigger one here. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been fantastic for the Jays so far this year and he's had a lot of success vs. the Phillies throughout his career. Vince Velasquez is have a terrible season for Philadelphia and he has a 5.46 ERA over two career outings vs. Toronto. The Blue Jays were just swept in New York and they lost both games of yesterday's double-header and I think they'll come out completely focussed on the task at hand. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!"Â T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-18-20 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians RUN LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). The Indians got back on track with a 10-3 win in this series opener and with their playoff hopes on the line once again, I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. And because of that, I'm going to lay the 1.5 runs for the much more reasonable price. Zach Plesac is 3-2 with a 2.20 ERA for the Indians, while Michael Fulmer is a disastrous 0-2 with a 9.27 ERA for the Tigers. Considering the massive talent discrepancy and current form of these starting pitchers, I definitely love this hungry visiting to lay a severe whooping on this overmatched home side! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Indians. |
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09-17-20 | Indians v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 107 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians/Tigers OVER (10*) The Indians have lost eight straight and they're coming off another low-scoring loss at the Cubs just last night. Clearly this is a "do or die" series for the Tribe and while their ace Shane Bieber is likely going to dominate here, I think that Tigers' rookie starter Casey Mize, who is winless over his first six stars with a 5.85 ERA, will get the hook early in this one. Look for this one to fly WAY OVER once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Indians. |
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09-17-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays RUN LINE (10*). Yes Chase Anderson and the Blue Jays have been struggling of late, but I think that Toronto will dig deep here and deliver the goods in the finale. The Yanks have the first two games of this series and are on quite the roll, but regression does seem imminent. Note as well that Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine after two straight road losses. Just in case, I'll grab the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-17-20 | Giants v. Mariners +132 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (8*). Off yesterday's 9-3 setback, I like the Mariners to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done on Thursday. Tyler Anderson and Nick Margevicius are a "wash" here in my opinion. Note though that the Giants are just 2-7 in their last nine after scoring nine or more runs in an interleague victory in their previous outing. I think San Fran gets caught complacent here, great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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09-16-20 | Diamondbacks v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels/D-Backs over (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yesterday's series opener blasted past the posted number in the D-Backs 9-8 victory and I think a similar final combined score is in the cards in the second between these clubs on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Caleb Smith, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and who gave up one run over three innings in his debut vs. Seattle last week. Smith has always shown promise, but I think the larger workload here isn't going to help his peripherals one bit. Angels starter Dylan Bundy is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA and he's been one of the lone bright spots for the Angels this season. That said I find it interesting to note that the Angels have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 16 after allowing nine or more runs in a one run loss to an opponent at home in their previous outing. This number is a little, let's hammer the over! T.M. Prediction: 10-6 Angels. |
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09-16-20 | Royals v. Tigers +107 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tigers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think the visiting side is overpriced here, which swings the value in favor for the home side. The home side goes with rookie Tarik Skubal, who is just 1-2 with a 7.27 ERA. Skubal will look to shake off a shaky start by facing Brady Singer, who is 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Singer comes in off one of his best ever starts, taking a no-hitting into the eighth vs. Cleveland on Thursday. Can you say "letdown spot" here?! Note as well that the Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing five or more runs in a shutout loss to an opponent in their previous outing. I think great value on the home side in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tigers. |
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09-16-20 | Mets -125 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Phillies won yesterday's series opener, but after dropping four straight, I like the visitors to bounce back here with ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. Wheeler's been great this season, but so too has deGrom. deGrom is also 8-1 with a 2.16 ERA in 16 starts vs. the Phillies lifetime. Several key sluggers will be out for the home side today and I expect that to finally "catch up" to it this evening. Look for New York to capatalize! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mets. |
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09-15-20 | Indians +135 v. Cubs | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH). I like the Tribe to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. Cleveland is now in third place in the AL Central, but it still has a shot at the playoffs. Chicago sits atop the NL Central, so the pressure is off the Cubs right now. I think this'll be the difference maker in the opener of this interleague series. Yu Darvish is 7-2 with a 1.77 ERA this year for the Cubs and it's difficult to say anything negative about his bounce back season, but regression at some point does seem imminent. Also note that he's 1-3 with a 4.12 ERA in six career appearances vs. the Tribe. Carlos Carrasco didn't fare well in his only start vs. the Cubs, but note that Cleveland is 7-2 in its last nine interleague road games as an underdog in the +135 to +155 range. This one has "upset" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-15-20 | Blue Jays +150 v. Yankees | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* BEAST). Toronto took two of three from New York last week at home and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Toronto sends Taijuan Walker to the mound and I'll give him the slight nod over his counterpart Deivi Garcia. Garcia was sharp against the Jays last week, but the rookie has still only thrown in three big league contests and now that Toronto has gotten a good look at him, I believe that'll be the difference maker in the end. Great value on the hard-hitting visiting side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-14-20 | Twins -115 v. White Sox | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). It's Jose Berrios of the Twins vs. Dylan Cease of the White Sox. Berrios if 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA, while Cease is 5-2 with a 3.33 ERA. Minnesota though has a 4-2 edge over the White Sox in the seeason series and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this important set on Monday night. Both teams are on fire at the plate, but note that Berrios is an amazing 12-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 16 stars vs. the Sox, while Cease is 0-2 with a 16.71 ERA in two career outings vs. the Twins. Look for Minnesota to come out on top at the end of this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Twins. |
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09-13-20 | Reds v. Cardinals -104 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* SITUATIONAL BEST OF THE BEST). The Cards look to build off yesterday's 7-1 victory. St. Louis has now won six of nine in the season series and after splitting the first two of this one, I like the home side to dig deep here. Carlos Martinez is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA for the Cards. Martinez made his first start since having Covid and allowed four runs over 3 2/3's innings in a 7-3 loss to the Twins last time out. Martinez has big a upside and the track record and pedigree to return to form and that's what I'm definitely expecting here. Tyler Mahle is 1-2 with a 3.89 ERA for Cincinnati. Mahle has been decent over his last three starts, but note that he's 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Cardinals. Look for St. Louis to lay the hammer down in the finale of this important late-season series! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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09-12-20 | Angels v. Rockies -125 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10* TRADE-MARK). The Rockies broke a three-game slide with an 8-4 win in the opener of this series. The Angels had been on a win streak previous to that, but I think they'll predictably stumble again here. Colorado definitely has the superior starting pitcher on the mound tonight in Kyle Freeland, who is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA. Freeland went six scoreless vs. the Friars on Monday and I expect the veteran to carry that momentum over here. Jaime Barria (0-0, 3.65) allowed three runs over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Astros last time out. The 24 year-old Angels' starter bounced around last season and finished with a sub-par 4-10, 6.42 ERA and I think regression is imminent in this difficult road venue. Considering the advantage Colorado has in this starting pitcher matchup, I have no issues at all laying what I feel to be a very reasonable price. And that's the play, the Rockies to do it again on Saturday night! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Colorado. |
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09-11-20 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Braves OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). The Braves are tearing the cover off the ball right now. ATL came from behind to win 7-6 last night and I think an even bigger combined score is in the cards for Friday's contest. And that's because a couple of confirmed "gas cans" are squaring off against each other. The Braves Josh Tomlin has actually been decent, as he's 2-2 with a 3.77 ERA. It's interesting to note thought that ATL has had 25 games in which its starter has completed four or fewer innings. The Nats counter with Erick Fedde, who is 1-3 with a 5.29 ERA and who is 0-1 with a 17.36 ERA in three career appearances vs. the Braves. And note that ATL has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 7 or more runs in its previous outing, while also winning by a single run. This number is low, expect another slug-fest! T.M. Prediction: 9-7 Atlanta. |
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09-10-20 | Braves v. Nationals +133 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (8* TRADE-MARK). This is a great situational/value play on the home side. The Braves avoided being swept at home by the Marlins last night by crushing the Fish 29-9. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here in the Nation's capital on Thursday night?! Both Austin Voth of the Nationals and Robbie Erlin of the Braves have been terrible this season, so let's call that department a wash. Note that ATL is a poor 2-8 in its last ten after scoring 15 or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. This one has "upset" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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09-10-20 | Angels v. Rangers +171 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (10* SITUATIONAL MATCHMAKER). Dylan Bundy has been a bright spot for the beleagured Angels this year and it's difficult to say too many negative things about him. I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Kyle Gibson hasn't been great for the Rangers this season, but he owns a respectable 3-3, 4.16 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Angels. Neither team will be in the post-season, but I like the Rangers to build off their 7-3 win last night and keep the foot on the gas in the finale of this three-game set between bottom feeders! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rangers. |
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09-09-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (-1.5) 8* The Dodgers won 10-9 last night, but I expect a much more decisive victory here today. And that's because LA turns to Cy Young leading candidate and ace Clayton Kershaw, who is 5-1 with a 1.50 ERA and who is 18-10 with a 2.69 ERA in 35 career starts vs. the D-Backs. Taylor Clarke is 1-0 with a 2.96 ERA this season, but a poor 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA lifetime vs. the Dodgers. Expect LA to keep the foot on the gas and to win this one by a considerable margin! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +120 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10*). I like the Jays to dig deep here and complete the three-game sweep of the Yanks. New York turns to a rookie starter in Deivi Garcia, who is a decent 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA. The Jays go with veteran Tanner Roark, who is 2-1 with a 5.74 ERA, but who owns a sharp 3.65 ERA in two career starts vs. the Evil Empire. New York is injured and reeling and Toronto is playing its best ball of the year. I love getting PLUS MONEY in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-09-20 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tribe/Royals UNDER (10*). While yesterday's game sailed well over the number, I expect more of a "duel" on Wednesday. The Royals turn to Danny Duffy, who is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA, while the home side goes with Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA. Carrasco has to be feeling confident today as he's 12-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 26 career appearances vs. the Royals, including striking out ten over six frames on July 26th. Duffy faced the Tribe on July 24th and allowed two runs over five innings in the 2-0 setback. Expect these two starters to battle deep and look for this one to stay well UNDER once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Indians. |
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09-08-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* TRADE-MARK). EVERY team is "desperate" to make the playoffs. The Yanks have lost four straight, but the fact that they're "hungry" to get off the schneid doesn't matter in my opinion, as this New York line-up continues to be plagued by key injuries. The starting pitching has been poor as well and while JA Happ has had success against his former team in the past, that was then and this is now. Toronto's Taijuan Walker has been a rock since he was aquired from the Mariners and I believe he's a "wash" here with his counterpart. The Jays though are on fire offensively and I don't see anything changing here in this favorable matchup. I'm laying the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-07-20 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians RUN-LINE (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Brad Keller is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA for the Royals and it's difficult to say anything negative about the hard-throwing right-hander, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Zach Plesac is 2-1 with a 1.33 ERA for the Indians and he's 4-0 with a 1.98 ERA in five career starts vs. the Royals. The Tribe a 1/2 game behind the Twins, so look for them to make the most of this opportunity. I'm laying the 1.5 runs for the small plus money return! T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Indians. |
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09-06-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (RUN-LINE TRADE-MARK). Off a 5-2 loss on Saturday, I think the Dodgers are going to easily bounce back and in blowout fashion to close out this series. In fact, the talent gap on the mound between these starting pitchers is so vast, that I'm going to lay the 1.5 runs for the pick em price, as I expect this one to be lop-sided in nature once it's all said and done. Ryan Castellani is 1-2 with a 4.81 ERA for the Rockies, while Jose Urias is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA for the Dodgers. Castellani comes in on just three days rest as awell after a 26 pitch relief outing. I think this one sets up well for Urias and I look for him to make the most of it. T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Dodgers (RUN LINE). |
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09-05-20 | Reds -128 v. Pirates | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* HOME-RUN CRUSHER). These teams split a double header yesterday, but I think that this particular contest favors the visiting side. Cincinatti turns to Anthony DeSclafani, who is 1-2 with a 7.01 ERA. He most recently allowed seven runs over three innings in a blowout loss to the Cardinals. It was his first start back from paternity leave though and I think he'll settle back down here (note that he owned a 2.89 ERA post All Star break in 2019). Trevor Williams counters for Pitt and he's 1-5 with a 5.50 ERA. He most recenlty allowed five runs in a loss to the Brewers on Monday. Last year Williams was an unremarkable 7-9 with a 5.38 ERA overall and I expect this confirmed "gas can" to get the hook again early today. Expect the hungry Reds to take advantage! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Reds. |
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09-04-20 | Brewers v. Indians -136 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -136 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* HOME RUN CLUB). I think the Tribe are well worth the price of admission in this matchup. The Indians have won two in a row and 13 of their last 18 and with both the Twins and ChiSox breathing down their necks, they can ill afford to lay off the gas vs. this potentially dangerous interleague opponent. Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA for Milwaukee and while he does come off a dominant performance over the Pirates, doing the same thing vs. this red hot home side is going to be considerably more difficult. Frankly, I think he's poised for a letdown here. Carlos Carrasco is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA for the Indians and he's won both of his career starts vs. the Brewers, posting a 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in the process. Lay the price, expect a home side blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-03-20 | Blue Jays -121 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* DESTROYER). Toronto is playing well. The Jays starting pitching has been decent, their bullpen play has been decent and their sluggers have come a long way since last season. Would they truly contend over a 160 game season? I'm not sure about that, but we're already just a few weeks away from the playoffs, which means that Toronto will be putting the hammer down each and every night. The Jays would be in the postseason if the playoffs started today. The Red Sox won't be in the playoffs. Boston is injured. The Red Sox have gotten terrible starting pitching, poor bullpen play and inconsistent production at the plate. Taijuan Walker is 3-2 with a 4.00 ERA after allowing four hits and striking out four over six scoreless vs. the Orioles on Saturday in a win for the Jays and I expect the newcomer to also "keep the pedal to the metal." Boston's Martin Perez is 2-3 with a 3.45 ERA, but he owns a 4.58 ERA and 1.27 WHIP as a starter. I'm giving Walker the big nod in this matchup and the Jays' line-up as well and that's going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor here. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Blue Jays. |
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09-02-20 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros RUN LINE (10* DOMINATOR). The massive talent discrepancy on the mound justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the "pick em" price. Kolby Allard is 0-3 with a 8.32 ERA, most recently allowing two runs over 5.1 innings in a loss to the A's on Wednesday. Allard for the most part has been terrible and I believe he'll struggle in this difficult road venue. Cristian Javier is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA and he most recently earned a win over the Angels on Tuesday by allowing three runs over six innings with five K's. Over 31 innings of work Javier has a sharp 31/11 K/W and he's the difference maker for me in this selection! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Houston. |
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09-01-20 | Blue Jays -110 v. Marlins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Blue Jays look to start a new win streak after finally falling to the Orioles at "home" yesterday afternoon. Toronto is expected to start Julian Merryweather today and he's 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after dazzling in his first appearance vs. the Red Sox on August 26th, striking out three over two scoreless frames. Elieser Hernandez has been decent as well for Miami, but I think that the Jays' power hitters are going to feast in this park and during this series. All signs point to a winner of the "rocking chair" variety! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Blue Jays. |
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08-31-20 | Rays v. Yankees -136 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Yanks are dealing with injury issues to sluggers, but they just took three straight over the Mets and with their ace on the monund, I like them to deliver the goods here vs. the AL East leading Rays. Tampa goes with Tyler Glasnow, who is 1-1 with a poor 5.14 ERA. He comes in off a win over the Orioles, but I think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Cole is 4-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Cole comes in off his worst start in a long time, allowing three homers in a setback to the Braves. Starts like that have been few and far between for Cole though, who was brought to New York to dominate. Now Cole has a big chance to do just that at home vs. the division leader. I like Cole to be the main focal point of this contest and I think he's well worth the price of admission in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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08-30-20 | Dodgers v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). While yesterday's game flew well above the posted number, I expect more of a duel in the finale of this interleague series. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and it's not because he hasn't played, it's because he's thrown 14.2 scoreless innings so far this season for the Dodgers, posting a 12/2 K/W in the process. I love Gonsolin to continue his progression here. Kyle Gibson is 1-2 with a 4.73 ERA so far and he'll be eager to return to form here after getting shelled for the A's in his last start (note though that Gibson is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts vs. NL teams this year.) Additionally note that Texas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 after allowing seven or more runs in a home loss in its last outing. This number is a little high! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Dodgers. |
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08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Indians OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). While yesterday's game stayed well under the number in the Indians' 2-1 victory, I believe the finale of this interleague series is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Both Civale and Wainwright have been sharp for their respective clubs, but note that St. Louis has seen the total fly over the number in ten of its last 12 interleague home games after scoring one or less runs in a loss in its previous outing. This number is a little low! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 St. Louis. |
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08-29-20 | Giants +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Giants RUN LINE (8* U OF THE U). Analysis posted shortly. T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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08-29-20 | Indians v. Cardinals -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* MONEY-MAKER). I love the home side to bounce back this afternoon after yesterday's humbling 14-2 setback. The visitors go with the shaky Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and who has failed to go more than 4 1/3's innings in his last three starts, allowing 16 hits, nine walks and ten runs in that span. Jack Flaherty though is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA for St. Louis and after St. Louis comes in having dropped three straight, I believe he's going to help his team back into the win column. Most recently Flaherty comes in off five scoreless vs. the Royals. And finally note, St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in its last outing. Everything points to a swift response form the home side this afternoon! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cardinals. |
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08-28-20 | Padres v. Rockies -102 | 10-4 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Padres have won eight of their past ten games, but after playing a double-header at home yesterday I think they're going to stumble here in this difficult venue. Kyle Freeland has been dominant vs. the Padres throughout his career going 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA. I like the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 8-4 Rockies. |
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08-28-20 | Cubs v. Reds +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: REDS RUN-LINE (8* DESTROYER). Short on time today because of all the craziness going on in the Sporting World, so I'll keep this short and sweet. The Cubs are just 5-9 since winning 13 of their first 16. The Reds broke a four-game slide by sweeping yesterday's double-header with the Brewers. I think these starters a "wash." The value is the REDS on the RUN LINE! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Reds. |
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08-28-20 | Royals v. White Sox -140 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). Reynaldo Lopez is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA, but he enters off his best start of the year vs. the Cubs last Saturday, allowing two earned runs over 3.1 innings. Fortunately for Lopez he faces the anemic Royals and his line-up is red hot right now, leading the AL in home runs. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!" Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. |
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08-27-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Pirates UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Pittsburgh comes in off a 10-3 loss to the White Sox yesterday afternoon, while St. Louis had the day off. This is a make up game for an earlier postponement. The Cards have to be feeling confident here with Kwang Hyun Kim, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA so far. Kim threw six shutout innings in a 3-0 win over the Reds on Saturday. Cody Ponce gets the nod for the Pirates and he's 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA. Ponce makes his first start of the year here, but he's reportedly look great the Pirates' alternate training site. I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged visiting side mustering much offense here, this number is too high! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Cards. |
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08-26-20 | Yankees +105 v. Braves | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). This is the second game of the double-header and it will feature New York's Masahario Tanaka vs. Atlanta's Max Fried. Tanaka is 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA and Fried is 4-0 with a 1.32 ERA. Tanaka is throwing on seven days rest and he's posted double-digit victories for The Evil Empire over his first six campaigns for them. Fried has been fantastic, but he now faces a next to fully healthy Yanks' line-up, with Aaron Judge back in slugging as well. I think Fried's numbers are unsustainable here and I like Tanaka to bounce back after a rough outing last time out vs. the Rays. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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08-25-20 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Rockies UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The Rockies enter off a 3-2 win last night and I think another low-scoring "under" is in the cards on Tuesday night as well. German Marquez is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA and he comes in off a very uncharacteristicly poor start, getting rocked for ten earned runs off ten hits over five innings vs. the Astros on Thursday. It was one of the worst starts of his career and I'm not reading too much into it. Alex Young is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA for the Diamondbacks and he so far has nine K's over eight innings of work as a starters. With "Mad-Bum" still injured, Young has an opportunity to further showcase his potential and I expect him to make the most of it. This number is high, I'm hammering the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Arizona. |
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08-25-20 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -118 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* DESTROYER). Toronto comes in off a big win in Tampa and I like it to keep the momentum rolling here. Boston is just 9-20 and even after having Monday off, I think the Red Sox are in trouble here. I also give a big nod to Chase Anderson in this matchup, who is 0-0 with a 2.79 ERA and eager to earn his first win for his new club. His counterpart is Kyle Hart, who is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA. Note that Hart has allowed seven walks over just 5 2/3's innings in his first two major league starts. I love Anderson to go deep into the latter frames and for Toronto to dominate from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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08-24-20 | A's v. Rangers +130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 130 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas Rangers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Oakland is 20-9 and has the best record in the AL at the halfway point of the season. The A's head to Texas for a four game series and I think they'll suffer a classic letdown here vs. the Rangers' "ace." Lance Lynn is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA and he most recently enters off a no-decision to the Padres on Wednesday, allowing tow runs and striking out six over seven innings. Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 3.67) went six scoreless vs. the D-Backs in his last outing, but note that the A's are just 2-7 in their last nine following an extra innings home victory in its previous outing (won 5-4 in ten frames over the Angels on Sunday.) I expect Lynn to be the focal point of this contest! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rangers. |
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08-23-20 | Marlins v. Nationals -155 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). After yesterday's 5-3 loss, I like the defending champs to dig deep here and find a way to win in the finale vs. the lowly Fish. This series shifts back to the Nation's capital. The Marlins win yesterday also came at a cost, as catcher Francisco Cervelli was lost to a concussion. The Marlins go with rookie right-hander Humbert Mejia, who is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA, while the Nationals go with Anibal Sanchez, who is 0-3 with an 8.50 ERA, but who has a big opportunity to bounce back here vs. a team he's dominated throughout his career, going 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Marlins. Expect Washington to respond! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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08-22-20 | Astros +109 v. Padres | Top | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Houston lost 4-3 last night, but I think it'll find a way to get back into the winners circle on Saturday. Brandon Bielak is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and he's easily been the biggest bright spot in the Astros rotation this season. Most recently he allowed one run off one hit with four K's over six frames in a 2-1 win over the Rockies. Zach Davies is 3-2 with a 3.25 ERA and he comes in off a win over the lowly Rangers, allowing three runs over five innings. Davies has been decent so far no doubt, but I give the slight nod to Bielak and in a situation like that, I think the Astros are the correct call! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Astros. |
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08-22-20 | Angels +132 v. A's | 4-3 | Win | 132 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8* TOP DECK DOMINATOR). I like the Angels to pull off the upset here after Friday's 5-3 series opening loss. Chris Bassitt is 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA for the A's and it's difficult to say too many negative things about him, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Griffin Canning is 0-3 with a 4.70 ERA for LA and clearly he won't be lacking for motivation here as he looks to "get off the schneid." I'll point out as well that LA is 6-2 in its last eight after a two runs or greater loss in which it scored three runs or less in; all signs point to an upset! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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08-21-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Dodgers OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Jon Gray, who is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA and who comes in off his first win of the year, allowing three runs over seven innings vs. the lowly Rangers on Sunday. Gray though conceded two home runs and three earned runs over the first four innings, before settling down. The home side counters with Walker Buehler, who is 0-0 with a 5.21 ERA. Buehler looks terrible in the early going and I don't think he's going to be able to just "throw a switch" here. Note that he was shelled for five runs over 4.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Angels on Saturday. Recent form of these two "gas can" starters points to the OVER as the right move in this one! T.M. Prediction: 9-5 Dodgers. |
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