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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-20 | Twins -115 v. White Sox | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). It's Jose Berrios of the Twins vs. Dylan Cease of the White Sox. Berrios if 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA, while Cease is 5-2 with a 3.33 ERA. Minnesota though has a 4-2 edge over the White Sox in the seeason series and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this important set on Monday night. Both teams are on fire at the plate, but note that Berrios is an amazing 12-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 16 stars vs. the Sox, while Cease is 0-2 with a 16.71 ERA in two career outings vs. the Twins. Look for Minnesota to come out on top at the end of this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Twins. |
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09-13-20 | Reds v. Cardinals -104 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* SITUATIONAL BEST OF THE BEST). The Cards look to build off yesterday's 7-1 victory. St. Louis has now won six of nine in the season series and after splitting the first two of this one, I like the home side to dig deep here. Carlos Martinez is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA for the Cards. Martinez made his first start since having Covid and allowed four runs over 3 2/3's innings in a 7-3 loss to the Twins last time out. Martinez has big a upside and the track record and pedigree to return to form and that's what I'm definitely expecting here. Tyler Mahle is 1-2 with a 3.89 ERA for Cincinnati. Mahle has been decent over his last three starts, but note that he's 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Cardinals. Look for St. Louis to lay the hammer down in the finale of this important late-season series! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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09-12-20 | Angels v. Rockies -125 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10* TRADE-MARK). The Rockies broke a three-game slide with an 8-4 win in the opener of this series. The Angels had been on a win streak previous to that, but I think they'll predictably stumble again here. Colorado definitely has the superior starting pitcher on the mound tonight in Kyle Freeland, who is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA. Freeland went six scoreless vs. the Friars on Monday and I expect the veteran to carry that momentum over here. Jaime Barria (0-0, 3.65) allowed three runs over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Astros last time out. The 24 year-old Angels' starter bounced around last season and finished with a sub-par 4-10, 6.42 ERA and I think regression is imminent in this difficult road venue. Considering the advantage Colorado has in this starting pitcher matchup, I have no issues at all laying what I feel to be a very reasonable price. And that's the play, the Rockies to do it again on Saturday night! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Colorado. |
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09-10-20 | Braves v. Nationals +133 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (8* TRADE-MARK). This is a great situational/value play on the home side. The Braves avoided being swept at home by the Marlins last night by crushing the Fish 29-9. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here in the Nation's capital on Thursday night?! Both Austin Voth of the Nationals and Robbie Erlin of the Braves have been terrible this season, so let's call that department a wash. Note that ATL is a poor 2-8 in its last ten after scoring 15 or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. This one has "upset" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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09-10-20 | Angels v. Rangers +171 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (10* SITUATIONAL MATCHMAKER). Dylan Bundy has been a bright spot for the beleagured Angels this year and it's difficult to say too many negative things about him. I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Kyle Gibson hasn't been great for the Rangers this season, but he owns a respectable 3-3, 4.16 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Angels. Neither team will be in the post-season, but I like the Rangers to build off their 7-3 win last night and keep the foot on the gas in the finale of this three-game set between bottom feeders! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rangers. |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +120 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10*). I like the Jays to dig deep here and complete the three-game sweep of the Yanks. New York turns to a rookie starter in Deivi Garcia, who is a decent 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA. The Jays go with veteran Tanner Roark, who is 2-1 with a 5.74 ERA, but who owns a sharp 3.65 ERA in two career starts vs. the Evil Empire. New York is injured and reeling and Toronto is playing its best ball of the year. I love getting PLUS MONEY in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-05-20 | Reds -128 v. Pirates | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* HOME-RUN CRUSHER). These teams split a double header yesterday, but I think that this particular contest favors the visiting side. Cincinatti turns to Anthony DeSclafani, who is 1-2 with a 7.01 ERA. He most recently allowed seven runs over three innings in a blowout loss to the Cardinals. It was his first start back from paternity leave though and I think he'll settle back down here (note that he owned a 2.89 ERA post All Star break in 2019). Trevor Williams counters for Pitt and he's 1-5 with a 5.50 ERA. He most recenlty allowed five runs in a loss to the Brewers on Monday. Last year Williams was an unremarkable 7-9 with a 5.38 ERA overall and I expect this confirmed "gas can" to get the hook again early today. Expect the hungry Reds to take advantage! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Reds. |
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09-04-20 | Brewers v. Indians -136 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -136 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* HOME RUN CLUB). I think the Tribe are well worth the price of admission in this matchup. The Indians have won two in a row and 13 of their last 18 and with both the Twins and ChiSox breathing down their necks, they can ill afford to lay off the gas vs. this potentially dangerous interleague opponent. Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA for Milwaukee and while he does come off a dominant performance over the Pirates, doing the same thing vs. this red hot home side is going to be considerably more difficult. Frankly, I think he's poised for a letdown here. Carlos Carrasco is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA for the Indians and he's won both of his career starts vs. the Brewers, posting a 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in the process. Lay the price, expect a home side blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-03-20 | Blue Jays -121 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* DESTROYER). Toronto is playing well. The Jays starting pitching has been decent, their bullpen play has been decent and their sluggers have come a long way since last season. Would they truly contend over a 160 game season? I'm not sure about that, but we're already just a few weeks away from the playoffs, which means that Toronto will be putting the hammer down each and every night. The Jays would be in the postseason if the playoffs started today. The Red Sox won't be in the playoffs. Boston is injured. The Red Sox have gotten terrible starting pitching, poor bullpen play and inconsistent production at the plate. Taijuan Walker is 3-2 with a 4.00 ERA after allowing four hits and striking out four over six scoreless vs. the Orioles on Saturday in a win for the Jays and I expect the newcomer to also "keep the pedal to the metal." Boston's Martin Perez is 2-3 with a 3.45 ERA, but he owns a 4.58 ERA and 1.27 WHIP as a starter. I'm giving Walker the big nod in this matchup and the Jays' line-up as well and that's going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor here. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Blue Jays. |
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09-01-20 | Blue Jays -110 v. Marlins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Blue Jays look to start a new win streak after finally falling to the Orioles at "home" yesterday afternoon. Toronto is expected to start Julian Merryweather today and he's 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after dazzling in his first appearance vs. the Red Sox on August 26th, striking out three over two scoreless frames. Elieser Hernandez has been decent as well for Miami, but I think that the Jays' power hitters are going to feast in this park and during this series. All signs point to a winner of the "rocking chair" variety! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Blue Jays. |
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08-31-20 | Rays v. Yankees -136 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Yanks are dealing with injury issues to sluggers, but they just took three straight over the Mets and with their ace on the monund, I like them to deliver the goods here vs. the AL East leading Rays. Tampa goes with Tyler Glasnow, who is 1-1 with a poor 5.14 ERA. He comes in off a win over the Orioles, but I think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Cole is 4-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Cole comes in off his worst start in a long time, allowing three homers in a setback to the Braves. Starts like that have been few and far between for Cole though, who was brought to New York to dominate. Now Cole has a big chance to do just that at home vs. the division leader. I like Cole to be the main focal point of this contest and I think he's well worth the price of admission in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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08-29-20 | Indians v. Cardinals -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* MONEY-MAKER). I love the home side to bounce back this afternoon after yesterday's humbling 14-2 setback. The visitors go with the shaky Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and who has failed to go more than 4 1/3's innings in his last three starts, allowing 16 hits, nine walks and ten runs in that span. Jack Flaherty though is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA for St. Louis and after St. Louis comes in having dropped three straight, I believe he's going to help his team back into the win column. Most recently Flaherty comes in off five scoreless vs. the Royals. And finally note, St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in its last outing. Everything points to a swift response form the home side this afternoon! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cardinals. |
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08-28-20 | Padres v. Rockies -102 | 10-4 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Padres have won eight of their past ten games, but after playing a double-header at home yesterday I think they're going to stumble here in this difficult venue. Kyle Freeland has been dominant vs. the Padres throughout his career going 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA. I like the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 8-4 Rockies. |
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08-28-20 | Royals v. White Sox -140 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). Reynaldo Lopez is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA, but he enters off his best start of the year vs. the Cubs last Saturday, allowing two earned runs over 3.1 innings. Fortunately for Lopez he faces the anemic Royals and his line-up is red hot right now, leading the AL in home runs. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!" Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. |
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08-26-20 | Yankees +105 v. Braves | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). This is the second game of the double-header and it will feature New York's Masahario Tanaka vs. Atlanta's Max Fried. Tanaka is 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA and Fried is 4-0 with a 1.32 ERA. Tanaka is throwing on seven days rest and he's posted double-digit victories for The Evil Empire over his first six campaigns for them. Fried has been fantastic, but he now faces a next to fully healthy Yanks' line-up, with Aaron Judge back in slugging as well. I think Fried's numbers are unsustainable here and I like Tanaka to bounce back after a rough outing last time out vs. the Rays. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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08-25-20 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -118 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* DESTROYER). Toronto comes in off a big win in Tampa and I like it to keep the momentum rolling here. Boston is just 9-20 and even after having Monday off, I think the Red Sox are in trouble here. I also give a big nod to Chase Anderson in this matchup, who is 0-0 with a 2.79 ERA and eager to earn his first win for his new club. His counterpart is Kyle Hart, who is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA. Note that Hart has allowed seven walks over just 5 2/3's innings in his first two major league starts. I love Anderson to go deep into the latter frames and for Toronto to dominate from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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08-24-20 | A's v. Rangers +130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 130 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas Rangers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Oakland is 20-9 and has the best record in the AL at the halfway point of the season. The A's head to Texas for a four game series and I think they'll suffer a classic letdown here vs. the Rangers' "ace." Lance Lynn is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA and he most recently enters off a no-decision to the Padres on Wednesday, allowing tow runs and striking out six over seven innings. Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 3.67) went six scoreless vs. the D-Backs in his last outing, but note that the A's are just 2-7 in their last nine following an extra innings home victory in its previous outing (won 5-4 in ten frames over the Angels on Sunday.) I expect Lynn to be the focal point of this contest! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rangers. |
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08-23-20 | Marlins v. Nationals -155 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). After yesterday's 5-3 loss, I like the defending champs to dig deep here and find a way to win in the finale vs. the lowly Fish. This series shifts back to the Nation's capital. The Marlins win yesterday also came at a cost, as catcher Francisco Cervelli was lost to a concussion. The Marlins go with rookie right-hander Humbert Mejia, who is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA, while the Nationals go with Anibal Sanchez, who is 0-3 with an 8.50 ERA, but who has a big opportunity to bounce back here vs. a team he's dominated throughout his career, going 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Marlins. Expect Washington to respond! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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08-22-20 | Astros +109 v. Padres | Top | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Houston lost 4-3 last night, but I think it'll find a way to get back into the winners circle on Saturday. Brandon Bielak is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and he's easily been the biggest bright spot in the Astros rotation this season. Most recently he allowed one run off one hit with four K's over six frames in a 2-1 win over the Rockies. Zach Davies is 3-2 with a 3.25 ERA and he comes in off a win over the lowly Rangers, allowing three runs over five innings. Davies has been decent so far no doubt, but I give the slight nod to Bielak and in a situation like that, I think the Astros are the correct call! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Astros. |
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08-22-20 | Angels +132 v. A's | 4-3 | Win | 132 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8* TOP DECK DOMINATOR). I like the Angels to pull off the upset here after Friday's 5-3 series opening loss. Chris Bassitt is 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA for the A's and it's difficult to say too many negative things about him, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Griffin Canning is 0-3 with a 4.70 ERA for LA and clearly he won't be lacking for motivation here as he looks to "get off the schneid." I'll point out as well that LA is 6-2 in its last eight after a two runs or greater loss in which it scored three runs or less in; all signs point to an upset! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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08-21-20 | Rangers v. Mariners +109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 109 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Seattle Mariners have a worse record than the Texas Rangers, but I think they should in fact be the ones favored here. Texas is terrible right now, having lost five straight. The Rangers are in a transition mode right now , as they make some major roster moves, including putting outfielder Willie Calhoun and shortstop Elvis Andrus on the 10-day injured list. Kolby Allard is 0-1 with 5.25 ERA for Texas, while Nick Margevicius is 0-1 with a 3.14 ERA for the Mariners this year, coming off a hard-luck loss to the Astros after holding them to two runs over six frames. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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08-20-20 | Astros v. Rockies -103 | Top | 10-8 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10*). After losing three straight to the Astros, I think the Rockies find a way to deliver the goods in the finale. Cristian Javier is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA for the Astros and so far he's made the most of his time in the rotation, most recently going six scoreless vs. the Mariners. Facing the Mariners is one thing, but facing this hungry Rockies team at Coors is quite another obviously. German Marquez is only 2-3 this year, but he sports a sharp 2.25 ERA. Marquez has 30 K's over 32 innings so far and he was 9-5 at home last year. Great value on the hard-hitting home side! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Rockies. |
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08-19-20 | Phillies v. Red Sox +130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 130 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). I love the home side to pull off the slight upset here. Boston lost 13-6 last night and it's on the verge of its longest losing streak in club history. Suffice it to say, I believe the BoSox will collectively "dig deep" here and find a way to deliver. Kyle Hart is 0-1 with a 22.50 ERA for Boston, while Jake Arrieta is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA for Phillies. The Phillies have won four straight and are back at .500, but note that they're just 1-5 in their last six after three games or longer unbeaten streak. I'm banking on Hart matching Arrieta and for the desperate Red Sox to come through here finally. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Red Sox. |
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08-18-20 | Blue Jays -135 v. Orioles | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Jays won 7-2 yesterday without Bo Bichette in the line-up, as Randal Grichuk drove in four runs, while Cavan Biggio knocked in the other three. Nate Pearson is 0-0 with a 5.11 ERA for the Jays, while Wade LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 7.13 ERA for the Orioles. Pearson is a 6 foot 6, 250 pound rookie that throws the ball hard and I believe he's a "wash" here with LeBlanc (note though that LeBlanc is a devastatingly poor 0-1 with a 6.88 ERA in four games vs. the Jays lifetime.) Toronto is 8-4 in its last 12 after a four-run or higher victory and I look for that trend to extend here; lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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08-17-20 | A's v. Diamondbacks +101 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 101 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams come in red hot, but I think that Arizona will take the first of this four game interleague series. The A's go with Chris Bassitt, who is 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA. He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen who is 0-0 with a 2.72 ERA. Gallen comes in off a gem at Coors Field of all places, giving up just two runs over seven innings and I expect him to carry that momentum over here. Furthermore note that the A's are just 2-5 in their last seven interleague road games as the favorite. Round 1 of this four round fight goes to Arizona! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 D-Backs. |
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08-16-20 | Padres -114 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (9* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION.) These two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Padres once rosy start is in the rear view mirror now, as the team enters at 11-11 and on a four-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks are still under the .500 mark after their terrible start, but after four-straight wins, this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it in my opinion. Garrett Richards is 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA this year for San Diego and he's 2-0 with a miniscule 1.80 ERA in five starts vs. the Diamondbacks. Robbie Ray of Arizona is only 1-2 with a 10.59 ERA this year and he's a pedestrian 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA in 17 starts vs. the Padres. As stated off the top, this one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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08-16-20 | Rays v. Blue Jays +126 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* U OF THE U). Yonny Chirinos is 0-0 with a 1.04 ERA, but he comes in off a ten-day stint in the injured list. Chirinos looked great before his minor injury, but I'm still skeptical here, as I believe he'll be on a "short leash" from the Rays. The Jays go with Matt Shoemaker, who is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA. Shoemaker enters off a good start vs. the Red Sox, allowing three runs (only two earned) off three hits while striking out six over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision on Sunday. The rain delayed game works in favor of Toronto in this one as well in my opinion. All things considered, I absolutely love this play! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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08-15-20 | Rangers v. Rockies -157 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -157 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10*). Kyle Gibson is 0-2 with a 4.11 ERA. He looked decent in his team debut, but then took a step back last time out vs. the Mariners on Monday, allowing four runs off nine hits over 4.1 innings. In my opinion, a date at Coors Field is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked. The home side counters with German Marquez, who is 2-2 with a 2.08 ERA and who will be eager to return to form after allowing five runs to the Mariners over seven innings in his last outing. Note though that only two were earned. Marquez had a winning home record last year and he sports a great 27/6 K/BB already this year, along with the miniscule 2.08 ERA. Expect Marquez to get the better of Gibson and lay this price! T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Rockies. |
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08-12-20 | Twins v. Brewers +131 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Brewers came out on top with a 6-4 win last night and I believe they'll find a way to deliver on Wednesday as well. The Twins just got swept by Kansas City as this is a team which is now clearly trending in the wrong direction. Kenta Maeda is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA for Minnesota and while he's had success vs. the Brewers in the past, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Eric Lauer is 0-1 with a 9.53 ERA, allowing six runs in his only start this year vs. the Reds. That's not indicative of Lauer's over form in these spots though, as he posted a 3.08 ERA in all "home" situations. Look for the Brewers to build off yesterday's four home run performance and for Maeda to finally regress! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. |
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08-11-20 | Cubs v. Indians -135 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* TRADE-MARK). Jon Lester has been brilliant so far for Chicago, going 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA thus far. Everything has gone right so far for the veteran, but I think that he'll have a "hiccup" here sooner than later (also note, Lester was a far from spectacular 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA on the road, while also posting a 5.99 ERA after the All Star Break.) Mike Clevinger has been sidelined with covid protocol here, so Adam Plutko gets the nod and he's 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, most recently allowing two runs over six innings in a victory over the White Sox (note that Plutko was a sharp 4-2 with a 3.85 ERA at home last year as well). I think the tough road venue finally gets to Lester and I look for Plutko to edge his counterpart; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. |
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08-10-20 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -128 | 12-8 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Rockies return home off a 5-3 loss at Seattle, but the Rockies are 11-4 overall and I think they'll lay the hammer down here vs. this inconsistent D-Backs side. Jon Gray is 0-1 with a 3.31 ERA for the home side, while Robbie Ray is 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA for the visitors. Both veterans have had success against their respective opponents today, but clearly each enters on the other end of the spectrum as far as their current overall form is concerned. Combine that with the sluggish start that the D-Back are having at the plate (especially on the road!), and it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying on this red hot home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rockies. |
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08-10-20 | Twins v. Brewers +102 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (10* BEST OF BEST). I like the home side to prevail in this Monday night interleague matchup. Minnesota goes with Randy Dobnak, who is 2-1 with a 0.60 ERA, while the Brewers counter with Adrian Houser, who is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. Dobnak comes off a 5-2 win over th ePirates on Wednesday, going six innings. But after starting the season 10-2, the Twins have dropped four in a row. In fact note that the Twins' pitchers have a 6.12 ERA during the slide and now they face a Brewers side which just exploded for a 9-3 home win on Sunday. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. |
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08-09-20 | Yankees +106 v. Rays | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* U OF THE U). Tampa won 2-0 on Friday and the then New York won 8-4 yesterday. I think the Evil Empire will build off yesterday's performance and find a way to get the job done here as well. Morton and Paxton are a "wash" here in my opinion, but note that the Yanks are 7-2 in their last nine AL road games after scoring eight or more runs ina victory in their previous outing. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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08-08-20 | Rockies v. Mariners -110 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Rockies won last night, but I think the home side will dig deep and find a way to get the job done on Saturday. Ryan Castellani is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA has been called up to replace Chi Chi Gonzalez for the Rockies, who tore his biceps. This is Catellani's MLB debut after posting an 8.31 ERA and 1.95 WHIP over 10 starts at the Triple-A level last season. Nick Margevicius is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and while he's struggled with consistency early, I still give him a big nod in this particular matchup. Additionally note that the Rockies are just 2-7 in their last nine interleague games after a three runs or higher margin of victory in their previous outing. Great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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08-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -117 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres (10* U OF THE U). San Diego starter Zach Davies is 1-1 after two starts, allowing five earned runs with seven K's spanning ten innings. For his career he's 3-2 with a 4.13 ERA vs. the D-Backs. Davies hasn't been fantastic, but he's been grinding. Luke Weaver on the other hand has been an absolute "gas can" for Arizona, going 0-2 with a ballooned 14.73 ERA so far, allowing 12 runs off 14 hits over just 7 1/3's frames of work. I'm banking on Davies easily going longer than his struggling counterpart and that definitely swings the favor in the under-valued home side; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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08-06-20 | Reds v. Indians -112 | Top | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Cleveland won 2-0 last night and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here as well and win this four game series 3-1. Luis Castillo gets the nod for the Reds and he enters off a terrible start vs. the Tigers, allowing five runs off eight hits. Carlos Carrasco heads to the hill for the home side and he has so far allowed five runs over 12 innings of work this season. Carrasco has two quality outings under his belt and I think he continues his progression here. Note as well that the Reds are 0-4 in their last four as an underdog, while Cleveland is interestingly 6-0 in Carrasco's last six starts vs. the NL Central division. Overall, great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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08-05-20 | Dodgers -135 v. Padres | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers The Padres early big start to the season is starting to dwindle away. The Dodgers won 5-2 last night and I think the offer great value here to win again. Ross Stripling is so far 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA for LA, most recently allowing three runs off four hits over 5.1 innings in a victory over the D-Backs on Thursday. Previous to that he struck out seven in a win over the Giants. Garrett Richards is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and he most recently was rocked for four runs off eight hits with one walk over 5.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Rockies on Friday. Richards was dealing with injuries last year and he's yet to "get up to speed" in 2020 either. Expect LA to step up and take advantage tonight and lay this reasonable price! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers |
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08-04-20 | White Sox v. Brewers -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* U OF THE U). One of these starting pitchers has struggled to open the year, while the other has done well. I'm expecting these trends to continue on Tuesday night. Lucas Giolito is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA, putting together one lousy start and one great so far. Giolito was sharp in all day games last year with a 2.18 ERA, but it raised to 5.01 in all "night" contests. Brandon Woodruff is 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA and he comes off a gem in which he struck out ten opponents over 6.1 scoreless frames of work vs. the Pirates on Wednesday. Other than a two run home run in his first outing, Woodruff has been perfect and note that he was particularly tough at home last year by going 11-3 with a 2.93 ERA. Look for Woodruff to outlast his counterpart and lay this reasonable price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. |
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08-03-20 | Dodgers -133 v. Padres | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like Walker Buehler and the Dodgers to get the job done on Monday night. Buehler is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA, who gave up two runs over 3.2 innings while striking out three in a no-decision to the Astros on Tuesday. Buehler is now cleared to work a full game, which I believe will pay dividends for the Dodgers this evening. Chris Paddack is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA after allowing twor runs over five innings in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. The Padres come in having lost two in a row at Coors Field and I believe they'll struggle again here vs. the league's best. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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08-02-20 | Astros v. Angels +127 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Angels won 5-4 last night and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas in the closer of this three-game set as well. Josh James is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA for the Astros after allowing three runs off three hits over three innings while also walking five in a no-decision vs. the Mariners on Sunday. Shoehei Ohtani is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA and he also struggled in his first start of the year. Ohtani showed electric stuff in camp though and I expect him to settle down in this second start at home. Also note that LA is 7-2 in is last nine home games following a home victory by a single run. Good value on the hungry Angels! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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08-01-20 | A's -142 v. Mariners | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland A's Oakland fell 5-3 in the opener of this series yesterday, but with what I believe to be the superior starting pitcher on the mound today, I look for it to bounce back large on Saturday night. The A's are now 3-4 and the Mariners are 4-4. Mike Fiers (0-0, 9.00 ERA) allowed four runs over four innings vs. the Angels in his debut last week, but thanks to a five run lead in the first, Fiers avoided a loss. Fiers though was 15-4 with a 3.90 ERA last season and 11-2 with a 3.67 ERA in all "night" games. The M's go with the volatile Yusei Kikuchi, who was 6-11 with a 5.46 ERA last year and who was shelled for five runs and four walks over 3.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Astros on Sunday. Note that he was just 2-9 with a ballooned 5.79 ERA in all "night" games last year as well. After falling last night, look for the A's to respond on Saturday night! T.M. Prediction: 6-1 A's |
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08-01-20 | Dodgers -143 v. Diamondbacks | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (8* MONEY-MAKER). LA lost 5-3 yesterday, but I look for it to get back on track here. The visitors go with Julio Urias, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA after allowing one run while striking out three over five in a 3-1 loss to the Giants on Sunday. It was a mediocre start, however note that he did have ten swinging strikes on 78 pitches. Luke Weaver (0-1, 16.20) was horrible in his season debut though and I believe he'll struggle again here vs. the hard-hitting visiting side. Weaver was rocked for six earned runs off seven hits over 3.1 innings in loss to the Friars on Monday. Finally note that the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine NL road games following a road loss of two runs or more. I'm laying the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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07-30-20 | Padres v. Giants +165 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
MICHAEL'S 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE! I've located an underdog which is going to EASILY win outright at the ballpark on Thursday night! Hop on board to get the winning side RIGHT NOW! T.M. Selection: Giants (UNDERDOG U OF THE U). The Giants held on for a 7-6 victory last night and I look for them to get the job done at the end of the night here too. Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 1.80 ERA) gets the call for the Padres and he allowed one run off five hits while striking out eight over five innings in a win over the toothless D-Backs on Saturday. Lamet was limited to 80 pitches and he'll be under a count tonight as well. Kevin Gausman (0-0, 4.50) came on in relief in a loss to the Dodgers last week, allowing three runs (just two earned) over four frames of work. I think Lamet struggles in this difficult road venue and I expect this hungry home dog to step into the batters box and deliver a grand slam! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Giants. |
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07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves -134 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves (10* U OF THE U). The Braves and Rays continue their intense interleague series and after coming out on top at home last night, I believe the Braves are going to find a way to get the job done again here as well. Ryan Yarbough (0-0, 0.00 ERA) goes for the Rays opposite the Braves Max Fried (0-0, 3.60). Yarbough went five scoreless vs. the Jays in his opener, while Fried allowed two runs off two hits while striking out five over six innings in a 5-3 win over the Mets. Yarbough though is just 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances. He's also 0-3 in his last nine appearances since August 2019. Conversely, Fried is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three interleague starts. When you add it all up, I do definitely think we're getting great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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07-29-20 | Cardinals v. Twins -147 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (10* TRADE-MARK). Minnesota appears to be on a mission to open the new season as it continues to pound the ball, last night winning the opener of this series 6-3. I believe tonight's game will be an even bigger blowout. Daniel Ponce de Leon (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is filling in for the injured Miles Mikolas for the Cards today. Sure Ponce de Leon has shown plenty of promise, but he's being thrust into a difficult spot on short notice here and I believe he'll predictably struggle. Rich Hill (0-0, 0.00) was 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA last year. Hill was scratched from Saturday's start for no particular reason, so the veteran will clearly be extra rested and focussed here, benefiting from the home field advantage, despite no fans in attendance. This is a price in which I have no qualms whatsoever in laying! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Twins. |
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07-28-20 | Brewers -143 v. Pirates | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -143 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (10* GAME OF WEEK). Milwaukee held on for a 6-5 victory last night and I think it'll deliver here as well. Josh Lindblom (0-0, 0.00 ERA last year) completed a full spring tune-up and he won't have any limitations put on him to open the campaign. Lindblom has spent four of the last five years pitching in Korea. In fact over the past two seasons he's gone 35-7 with a 2.68 ERA in 56 starts and he won the KBO's equivalent of the Cy Young Award. Derek Holland posted a deplorable 8.10 ERA between the Giants and Cubs as a starter last year and a slightly better 4.83 ERA in 43 relief outings. This is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this line is suggesting. I'm laying the price with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Brewers. |
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07-27-20 | Braves +138 v. Rays | Top | 5-14 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves (10* U OF THE U). Both Mike Foltynewicz of the Braves and Tyler Glasnow of the Rays have "something to prove" this season. The Braves come in off a big win ove the Mets and the Rays come in off a big win over the Jays. Atlanta's hitting line-up has looked better over the first three games though and I think that'll play a factor. Foltynewicz (8-6 with a 4.54 ERA last year), taking a step back from a tremendous 2018 showing. Note though that he was his best on the road last season, going 5-3 with a 4.10 ERA. Also note that he was 6-1 with a 2.67 ERA after the All Star break. Glasnow (6-1, 1.78 ERA last year) gave up two hits and four walks over three innings in his final tune-up last week. Glasnow revealed recently that he had tested positive for Covid a few months ago, so it'll be curious to see if that effects him or not. Either way, I look for the hard-hitting Braves to get the job done in this one. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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07-26-20 | Braves v. Mets +100 | Top | 14-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NOTE: WRONG SIDE SELECTED. Please make note that the actual play on this game is on the BRAVES...the wrong side was unfortunately chosen during the pick creation stage. T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves The Braves broke out with a win last night and I look for them to carry that momentum over here. Rick Porcello (14-12, 5.52 ERA in 2019) gets the call for the home side. The Braves counter with left Sean Newcomb (6-3, 3.16 ERA in 2019). Edwin Diaz gave up a late home run to the Braves' Marcell Ozuna and then Atlanta would go on to score three more times in the top of the tenth. It's the same old story for the Mets though, who continue to get confounded at the plate. Porcello has had success against the Braves in the past (3-1, 3.00 ERA in four career starts). Newcomb though is 3-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 13 games vs. the Mets. Ultimately I think the Braves' line-up has severely underperformed to this point and I like it to finally break out in this favorable matchup. Look for Newcomb to get the better of his veteran counterpart. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Braves |
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07-26-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -109 | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres San Diego has easily taken the first two games of this series and I look for it to keep the pedal to the metal on Sunday afternoon as well. Zac Gallen (3-6, 2.81 ERA last year) was not good in his final spring tune-up, giving up five runs off four hits over 52 pitches. Garrett Richards is on the tail end of his career, but I think the wily veteran has more than enough in the tank to help his team move to a perfect 3-0 to open the campaign (note that he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career starts vs. Arizona as well!) This line could/should easily be much larger, great value on San Diego today! T.M. Prediction: 8-1 Padres |
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07-26-20 | Twins -122 v. White Sox | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Twins Minnesota destroyed the White Sox 10-5 in the opener, before then falling 10-3 yestreday. While I expect a much closer affair overall after those b2b blowouts, I do expect Minnesota to answer here in the finale. Kenta Maeda went 10-8 with a 4.04 ERA last season and he was sharp in his final spring training session, allowing three runs over six innnings, including seven K's off 85 pitches. Maeda's aggressiveness gives him the advantage here over his counterpart Reynaldo Lopez in my opinion, who was an unspectacular 10-15 with a 5.38 ERA last year. Lopez throws hard, but his command issues are going to be a major issue vs. this talented Twins line-up this afternoon. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Twins |
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07-25-20 | Brewers v. Cubs -135 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (10* STRIKEOUT). Yu Darvish left Texas to come to the Cubs and then injured himself and struggled. Many in Chicago wondered if he was going to be a complete bust, but all of a sudden at the all star break last year, Darvish finally found his groove, posting a 3.58 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and a 192:29 K:BB over his final 24 starts. He's looked pretty good in Spring training too. Corbin Burnes on the other hand was 1-5 with an uninspiring 8.82 ERA in 2019 for Milwaukee. Burnes is being pressed into the starting rotation out of necessity, with Brett Anderson starting the season on the IL. I'm not going to over think this one. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Cubs. |
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10-25-19 | Astros -135 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Astros Off B2B losses at home in the World Series, most people probably think that their hopes are done. The Astros will now turn to the future hall of famer in Zach Greinke. In one start against the Nationals this year, Greinke went 7 1/3 innings, while giving up only 2 hits. I expect him to dominate in this must-win Game 3. Take the Astros and expect them to not go home without a fight. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Astros |
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10-22-19 | Nationals +196 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 196 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals Two of the best pitchers in the entire league will take the mound in Game 1 of the World Series. Gerrit Cole has been nasty as of late. For his career, he has a 2.26 ERA in eight playoff starts. On the other hand, the Nationals will turn to their ace, in Max Schrezer, who comes in with a 1.80 ERA in the playoffs. I expect Max to get it done and shock the world in this one. Take the Nationals and expect an upset. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Nats |
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10-18-19 | Astros -140 v. Yankees | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (GOTW) T.M. Analysis: You know I'm not one to play favorites. This matchup is too juicy to pass up though. The Astros have the Yankees right where they want them. They're firing on all cylinders and have got a major edge on the mound with Verlander ready to go. Houston punches its ticket to the World Series. Tonight! T.M. Prediction: Astros 6-2 |
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10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees -125 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Yankees Off a rough loss on Tuesday Night, both of these teams return to their Game 1 starter. Zack Greinke, who has been awful, will get the nod for the Astros. In the postseason so far, he has a terrible 8.38 ERA with no wins. On the other hand, Masahiro Tanaka has been absolutely dominant, in each of his playoff appearances this year. Tanaka is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA. Expect Tanaka to dominate once again in this one. Take the Yanks T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Yankees |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals -125 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals Many may think that with the Nationals taking both the games in St Louis, the Cards would throw everything at Washington in Game 3. Well, it's true. It's a do or die situation for them. If they lose, it would take a miracle for them to come back from down 0-3. But, there is only one man in the way. Stephen Strasburg. That mean man right there, who has never lost in the postseason. Expect a destruction in this one. Take Washington with ease. T.M. Prediction: 6-1 Nationals |
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10-13-19 | Yankees +150 v. Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Yankees Game 1 saw a dominating performance from the New York Yankees. The final score ended up being 7-0 with Gleyber Torres leading the way. Houston's SP Justin Verlander got rocked last time out as he was trying to close out the ALDS. He only went 3 and 2/3 innings and allowed 4 ER's (7 hits.) Expect the Yankees to rock him again on Sunday Night. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks |
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10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves +105 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves Mike Foltynewicz is off a brilliant performance on Friday, where he threw 7 innings of dominance with only 3 hits given up. Now he'll face Jack Flaherty, who he beat on Oct. 4th. Atlanta is 51-32 with their home fans behind them on the year, and now they'll look to close out the 5-game series against a ST. Louis team who is 8-14 when playing with a day off. Expect home field advantage to come into play here. Play the Braves. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Braves |
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10-07-19 | Yankees -140 v. Twins | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees With the Yankees up 2-0 in the best of five series, it shifts to Minnesota. The Yanks will hand the ball to the two-time All-Star in Luis Severino, while the Twins give the nod to Jake Odorizzi. Severino has been dominant since coming back from the IL posting a slick 1.50 ERA in 3 starts. On the other hand, Odorizzi will be making his postseason debut with the Twins' season on the line. Expect the man they call "Pena" to be dominant once again as the Yanks look to sweep the Twins in extraordinary fashion. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Yanks |
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09-25-19 | Brewers -131 v. Reds | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers With Cincinnati eliminated from the playoffs, and the Brewers in the fight for the Wild Card spot, I believe that Milwaukee will play their guts out on Wednesday. The mighty Brewers are a sweet 17-4 in September (all without Christian Yelich!) They're also 56-37 YTD as a favourite of -110 or over. On the other hand, Tyler Mahle (Cincinnati SP) has been absolutely awful this season as he is 2-11 w/ a 4.93 ERA. Expect the better team to dominate this awful Reds pitcher. T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Brewers |
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09-24-19 | Braves v. Royals +136 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 136 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Royals Royals will relish spoiler role and they bring Duffy in off best start of season. 7 innings, 0 runs, 2 hits. Teheran walks a lot of hitters and he's given up 5 hrs his past 2 starts. KC brings it and begins week with an upset. Book it. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Royals |
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09-18-19 | Mariners +111 v. Pirates | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
Selection: Seattle Mariners (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates) Both teams enetr this matchup having a losing record. Although the record of the team might be not so good, Seattle is 17-11 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. On the other hand, the Pirates have been even worse. They're an embarrassing 26-42 since the All-Star break. Look for the absence of Josh Bell to hurt Pittsburgh tonight, and for Seattle to cruise to victory. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Mariners |
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09-13-19 | Reds v. Diamondbacks +105 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona DBacks Some of you may not be aware of this but back in 2009, Arizona pitcher Mike Leake was originally drafted (first round) by the Reds. He's never beaten them in nine career starts and is absolutely hungry to do so tonight. He's off a great start and he's 8-3 with a 3.74 ERA here at home. I say Arizona scores the upset. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Diamondbacks |
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09-11-19 | Royals +146 v. White Sox | Top | 8-6 | Win | 146 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Neither pitcher instills a ton of confidence, but I think that the Royals will bounce back here after last night’s loss. The visitors go with Glen Sparkman, who is 3-11 with a 5.97 ERA, while the home side goes with Reynaldo Lopez, who is 9-12 with a 5.17 ERA. Note that Sparkman threw his first ever shutout vs. the Sox in KC back on July 16th, striking out eight and walking only one. Lopez owns a 4.97 ERA in four starts vs. KC lifetime. Note though that KC is 16-10 in its last 26 vs. clubs with losing records, while Chicago is only 38-57 vs. right-handed starters. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Royals. |
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09-10-19 | Nationals +151 v. Twins | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Jose Berrios has been terrible. Anibal Sanchez has been terrific. I think the Nationals offer great value here to pull of the upset. Washington just lost three of four to the Braves, but salvaged the finale on Sunday. It can’t take the foot off the gas. The Twins on the other hand have a comfortable 5.5 game lead for the division crown and after this series they play out the remainder of the season vs. sub .500 teams. Sanchez is 6-6 with a 3.98 ERA in 23 career games vs. Minnesota. Berrios has just one win in his last six starts, most recently allowing six runs to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Great value on the visitors here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nats. |
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09-09-19 | Braves +126 v. Phillies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 126 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Phillies are in the mix for a wild card berth after a decent weekend. The Braves of course are looking to play spoiler and to add to their lead. Aaron Nola is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA for Philadelphia and he’s had plenty of success vs. ATL in the past, but note that he comes in off a poor outing vs. the Reds, getting shelled for five runs over four innings. in his most recent start. The Braves had won nine in a row before falling 9-4 to the Nats yesterday. Foltynewicz has endured an uncharacteristically difficult season, but note that he’s still 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 14 career games vs. Philadelphia (also note that he enters off a gem, giving up on runs over five innings in a victory over the Blue Jays.) All signs point to a slight upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Braves. |
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09-05-19 | Phillies +151 v. Reds | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Jason Vargas and the Phillies have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. Vargas is so far 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and he’ll square off against the Reds’ Sonny Gray, who is 10-6 with a 2.80 ERA. Gray was phenomenal in August, going 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA, but regression is imminent in my opinion. After last night’s 8-5 loss in Washington, the Phillies are now three games behind the Cubs. Vargas hasn’t been great at all for this new team, but he faced the Reds on April 30th and was dominant, allowing one run over six frames (five K’s.) Gray’s been great, but I believe his sparkling numbers are completely unrealistic and I think the fall back to mediocrity begins sooner, rather than later. Play on Philadelphia. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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09-04-19 | Giants +111 v. Cardinals | Top | 9-8 | Win | 111 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Madison Bumgarner is 9-8 with a 3.62 ERA for the Giants this year, while Michael Wacha is 6-6 with a 5.07 ERA for the Cardinals. The Cards have taken the first two games of this series, 3-1 and 1-0 and I expect the visitors to respond finally on Wednesday. Bumgarner comes in on top form, allowing just eight runs over his last 32 innings of work. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Giants. |
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09-03-19 | Phillies +115 v. Reds | Top | 6-2 | Win | 115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Phillies upset the Reds last night and I expect the visitors to find a way to get the job done here as well. Vince Velasquez is just 6-7 with a 4.86 ERA this season for Philadelphia, but he’s 2-0 over his past three outings, most recently scoring the 12-3 victory over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing two run over five frames. Lucas Sims (2-1, 4.99) will be called upon to make a spot start for the home side. As a reliever Sims is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA, but as a starter he’s 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA. The over night change greatly benefits the hungry visiting side. Lay the reasonable price. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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09-01-19 | Indians +171 v. Rays | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Tribe won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing five of the six meetings between the clubs this year. The Rays have taken the first two games of this series, but I expect the hungry visitors to find a way to get the job done on Sunday afternoon. The home side turns to Charlie Morton, who is 13-6 with a 3.11 ERA overall, but who fell to 0-2 in his last three starts after getting shelled for six runs off seven hits over four innings in a 15-1 loss to the Astros. The visitors counter with Adam Plutko, who is 6-3 with a 4.34 ERA this season and who is looking for a third win in his last four starts. All things considered, this is unreal value on a dangerous dog backed into a corner. Play on the Indians. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Tribe. |
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08-27-19 | Cubs +104 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (10* GAME OF WEEK) Marcus Stroman is 7-11 with a 3.18 ERA this year, while the Cubs’ Yu Darvish is 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA. Darvish comes in off his worst effort of the year, allowing seven runs over 5 1/3’s innings in what turned out to be a 12-11 Chicago win over the Tribe (that stat line is a little misleading though, as Darvish was staked to an early massive lead and he changed his tactics up a bit and instead just started peppering the strike zone.) Regardless note that Darvish is 1-0 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts vs. New York. Chicago though is already 16-12 (+4.3 units) after two or more straight losses this year, while New York is just 13-15 (-3.9 units) after a loss by two runs or less. I like Darvish to bounce back. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-26-19 | A's v. Royals +139 | Top | 19-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC Royals (10* SUPER SIDE) Homer Bailey is 11-8 for the A’s this year, despite sporting a poor 5.06 ERA. Brad Keller is just 7-13 for the Royals this season, despite owning a sharp 3.65 ERA. Based entirely on the starting pitching tonight, I definitely like the home side hurler in this matchup. Note as well that Oakland is already just 11-12 this year after two or more consecutive losses as well. Great value on the home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Royals. |
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08-25-19 | Nationals v. Cubs +109 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (10* MONEY-MAKER). After dropping the first two games of this series and now sitting 1.5 games behind the Cardinals, I believe the Cubs are going to find a way to avoid the series sweep. Stephen Strasburg is 15-5 with a 3.65 ERA for the Nationals and he’ll be opposed for Cole Hamels, who is 7-4 with a 3.73 ERA. Both pitchers are coming off victories. Granted Strasburg has had the stronger season and he comes in on top form (he’s also had plenty of success vs. the Cubs in the past), but as mentioned off the top I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Hamels has dominated the Nationals throughout his career as well. The writing is on the wall and a letdown is finally imminent for the Nats in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-21-19 | Indians +140 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* TRADE-MARK) After getting blown out in last night’s series opener, I think the hard-hitting visiting side will bounce back on Wednesday. The Indians go with Adam Plutko, who is 5-3 with a 4.67 ERA so far, while the home side turns to Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.21). Cleveland is the much more “desperate” team here, as it’s lost five of its last seven and its grip on the wild card is down to just a handful of games. There’s no room for error for Cleveland. New York is on a tear, winner in 11 of its last 12, but I think a letdown is now finally imminent. Stroman is 1-0 for his new team, but sports an unsightly 5.17 ERA in that span. Plutko is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in two appearances vs. the NL. I think the desperate Indians get back on track here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Indians. |
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08-20-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals +103 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 103 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Cards come in hot, having won five straight after last night’s series opening victory. St. Louis now has a half game lead over the Cubs and it’s three up on the Brewers. Michael Wacha is just 6-6 with a 5.44 ERA for the Cards this year, but he’s 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts vs. the Brewers this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances opposed. Wacha most recently allowd two runs over five innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. Gio Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA this year and in ten career games vs. the Cards he’s 3-4 with a 3.51 ERA. Most recently Gonzalez was shelled for five runs over three innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals. Great value on the surging home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cardinals. |
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08-19-19 | Nationals v. Pirates +118 | Top | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Nationals are in a furious race to the finish line for one of the Wild Card spots, but I think their Monday night game sets up as a “letdown” spot. The visitors go with Joe Ross on the mound and he’s so far 3-3 with a 5.91 ERA. The home side goes with Trevor Williams and he’s 5-5 with a 5.25 ERA so far. Ross comes in off his best start of the year, holding the Reds to one run over six innings on Tuesday. Ross has strung together three straight decent outings, but note that he’s still only 2-2 with a 5.76 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. I think Ross is “throwing over his head” at the moment and I think regression is indeed imminent. Williams the Pirates are out to play spoiler here. Williams is out to turn things around to finish off the 2019 campaign after a poor start to the season. As a reliever Williams is 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA, but as a starter he’s 3-1 with a 1.54 ERA. The stage is set for the upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Pirates. |
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08-18-19 | Twins v. Rangers -132 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -132 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
.M. Selection: Texas Rangers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Minnesota needs all the wins it can at this point as it tries to maintain its slim lead in the division. Texas of course would love nothing more than to play spoiler and I believe the stage is indeed set for that to happen in this one on Sunday afternoon. Martin Perez is 8-5 with a 4.57 ERA for Minnesota and he comes in off a strong start vs. the Brewers on Tuesday, allowing one run over six frames. Perez though comes in sporting a poor 2-3, 5.01 ERA in all “day” games this year. Lance Lynn is 14-8 with a 3.54 ERA for the Rangers this year and he enters off a tough luck loss, giving up one run while striking out six over five innings vs. the Jays on Tuesday. Lynn comes in highly motivated, as he’s lost back-to-back starts despite allowing just two earned runs spanning 12 innings of work (note that Lynn is a superb 9-1 with a 3.54 ERA at home this season as well.) I’m banking on the minor upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Rangers. |
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08-14-19 | Cubs +106 v. Phillies | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Phillies won yesterday’s series opener, but I think the visitors bounce back here with Cole Hamels on the mound facing his former team. Philadelphia won 4-2 yesterday and it had nine hits despite also striking out 15 times. The home side goes with Aaron Nola, who is 10-3 with a 3.67 ERA. Nola comes in off a “dud,” allowing three runs over five innings in a 5-0 loss to the Giants (Nola is 2-1 vs. Chicago despite a ballooned 5.11 ERA over four career starts.) Hamels is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA overall this year and he comes in off a poor start as well, allowing five runs to the Reds over three innings. Previous to that though Hamels had posted a minuscule 1.07 ERA. I believe the stage is now set for the Cubs to avenge yesterday’s setback and to pull off the slight upset here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-13-19 | Cubs v. Phillies +117 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 117 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) I absolutely expect Jason Vargas and the hungry home side to deliver the goods here. Vargas is 6-6 with a 4.09 ERA this season and he’ll be opposed by the Cubs’ Jose Quintana, who is 10-7 with a 4.23 ERA. Chicago though is just 23-35 on the road this year and it comes in having lost 11 straight road series in a row (Cubs have a poor 4.80 ERA on the road.) Note that Quintana is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three starts at Citizen’s Bank park. Philly is 34-26 at home this year and Vargas is 3-0 with a 3.95 ERA in seven career match ups vs. the Cubs. All things considered, a great deal on the home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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08-12-19 | Pirates +122 v. Angels | Top | 10-2 | Win | 122 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (10* TRADE-MARK) Rookie Mitch Keller is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA and he’s been recalled from Triple-A to make his fourth career start here for the Bucs. Luckily for Keller he faces rookie Jose Suarez, who is just 2-3 with a 6.22 ERA. Pittsburgh’s been out of the playoff picture for a long time now, but it’s still competitive after an eight game losing streak. Last night the Pirates lost 9-8 in St. Louis, after having a 6-3 lead late. Clearly Pittsburgh won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Angels had lost six in a row, before taking two straight off Boston, but I think a return home leads to complacency. I believe the “hungrier” team is poised to break its slide and score the minor upset on Monday night. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Pirates. |
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08-11-19 | A's v. White Sox +119 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK) The White Sox turn to their ace Lucas Giolito today to try and win the rubber match vs. the A’s. Giolito is 12-5 with a 3.44 ERA and he enters off a quality start and victory over Detroit on Monday, a win which snapped a five start winless skid. Oakland fell to 4-1 in this series after last night’s loss and I think it’s ripe for the picking here as well with Chris Bassitt on the hill. Bassitt has been hit or miss this year and he’s just 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA over 16 2/3’s innings vs. the White Sox. Giolito has been “money in the bank” all season in this spot as well, going 6-1 with a minuscule 1.77 ERA in all “day” games. Great value on the superior starter here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 White Sox. |
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08-07-19 | White Sox v. Tigers +101 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Tigers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Ivan Nova is 6-9 with a 5.10 ERA this year for the White Sox. Nova enters off a decent stretch, but note that he’s already been destroyed by Detroit earlier this year, allowing six runs off 11 hits over six innings on April 18th. In fact note that Nova is 0-3 in nine career outings vs. the Tigers (5.96 ERA.) Detroit rookie Tyler Alexander is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA over four starts, but he’s shown decent control by walking only two batters in two innings. Clearly he’ll be hungry here. This one has minor upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Tigers. |
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08-05-19 | Cardinals +159 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Dodgers have been far and away the best team in the league this year and they enjoy one of the league’s strongest “home field advantages.” that said, St. Louis won’t be rolling over here as it tries to chase down a wild card. The Cards hand the ball to Michael Wacha, who is 6-4 with a 5.15 ERA overall this season, who has been primarily used out of relief of late. And the switch has helped as Wacha has given up just two earned runs off 12 hits with a walk to go along with a 7:1 K:BB over his last 8.1 innings of work. And I now expect that confidence to be carried over here into this advantageous matchup which has the vet facing Dodgers’ rookie Tony Gonsolin, who is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and who make his second big league start tonight. I’m banking on Wacha delivering the goods. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cardinals. |
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08-04-19 | Angels +194 v. Indians | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Angels (8*) Jaime Barria enters off an unfortunate loss vs. the Tigers on Monday, allowing three runs (just two earned) over five innings with five K’s and no walks. Barria has now posted back-to-back strong performances and I think he has much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. Bieber is 10-4 with a 3.40 ERA overall this season and he’s coming off a strong start as well but if he’s had one clear weakness this season it’s actually been his play at home where he’s posted a pedestrian 4.32 ERA. Note as well that LA is 7-2 in its last nine road day AL contests in which it’s an underdog in the -175 to -200 range. Great value on an improving Barria here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Angels. |
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08-03-19 | Giants +108 v. Rockies | 6-5 | Win | 108 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco Giants (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Madison Bumgarner and the Giants are in the thick of a playoff spot now and I believe they’ll find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Colorado won the opener 5-4 on Friday, but the victory came at a cost with an injury to slugging outfielder David Dahl. Jon Gray gets the call for the home side and he’s a terrible 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA in nine games vs. the Giants. Bumgarner is 16-8 with a 3.07 ERA in 33 starts vs. the Rockies, including a highly respectable 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA at Coors Field. All things considered, great value on the Giants here in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 6-4 Giants. |
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08-03-19 | Mariners +170 v. Astros | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (10* MONEY-MAKER) Yes the Astros look great as the postseason approaches. Seattle’s completely out of the picture, but I think it has a serious advantage on the mound tonight. This play is based entirely around the current form of these starting pitchers. Seattle starter Marco Gonzales is 7-2 with a 3.30 ERA over his last nine starts, while Houston pitcher Aaron Sanchez is winless over his last 17 starts (0-13, 7.49), giving up 39 walks over 81 2/3’s innings while conceding a .901 OPS to opposing batters. Great value on the “superior” starting pitcher in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Mariners. |
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08-02-19 | Red Sox +105 v. Yankees | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Red Sox (10* TRADE-MARK) Boston took three of four from New York last weekend, but it dropped the finale of that four game set and it’s since lost three straight. The visitors clearly won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Yanks are scuffling as well as we come down the stretch, but with a 10.5 games lead, New York has room for error. The Red Sox though sit 3.5 games behind second place Tampa and clearly can’t let the division leaders continue to build up their lead. It’s basically now or never for Boston with a little under two months of the regular season left to go. Eduardo Rodriguez is 13-4 with a 4.13 ERA overall this year, but he’s posted a tiny 2.23 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 34:17 K:BB over his last six starts. His counterpart James Paxton is 5-6 with a 4.72 ERA and he most recently gave up seven runs off nine hits, including four homers in a loss to Boston last weekend. This one has “upset” written all over it in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Red Sox. |
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08-01-19 | Cubs +112 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (10* GAME OF YEAR) St. Louis won the opener 2-1 on Tuesday, before Chicago rebounded with a 2-0 win last night. These NL Central foes are now tied for first in the division. Chicago gets an offensive boost today after acquiring slugger Nick Castellanos from the Tigers. The Cards hand the ball to Jack Flaherty, who is 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA overall this year and who has posted a 1.48 ERA over his past four starts. Flaherty though is a sub-par 1-2 with a 4.90 ERA in seven career games vs. the Cubbies. Chicago starter Jon Lester is 9-6 with a 3.63 ERA this year and just went seven scoreless vs. the Brewers on Saturday. Unlike his counterpart though, Lester has enjoyed success vs. his opponent today, going 8-5 with a 2.99 ERA in 19 career starts vs. the Cardinals. I like Lester in this matchup and I expect Chicago to build off yesterday’s victory. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs GAME OF YEAR |
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07-31-19 | Mets v. White Sox +153 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10*) I think that Jacob deGrom and Lucas Giolito are a “wash” here. deGrom is 6-7 with a 2.86 ERA, while Giolito is 11-5 with a 3.52 ERA. Giolito comes in off a horrible outing, but he’s been great overall this year and I think he’ll be able to match deGrom inning for inning. That then swings the pendulum in favor of the underdog in my opinion. This one has all the makings of a classic upset. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 White Sox. |
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07-31-19 | Astros v. Indians +128 | 4-10 | Win | 128 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (8*) The hungry home side definitely offers great value in this spot. After yesterday’s 2-0 series opening loss, everything points to the Indians responding on Wednesday night. Cleveland’ rookie Zach Plesac is 5-3 with a 3.10 ERA this season and he comes in off a strong performance, allowing one unearned run off six hits over seven innings in an 8-3 win over the Royals on Friday. Houston goes with rookie Jose Urquidy, who is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA. So far Urquidy has been sharp, but clearly this is his stiffest test to date. Additionally note that Cleveland is a sharp 26-17 (+4.2 units) this season following a loss. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Indians. |
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07-30-19 | Astros v. Indians +105 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Indians had Monday off and this is the opener of a nine-game home stand. Despite having to face Houston ace Justin Verlander, I believe that Shane Bieber and the surging home side offer great value in this spot. Bieber most recently allowed one hit and struck out ten in a 4-0 shutout over the Jays on Wednesday. Verlander gave up one run over six innings in a 4-2 win over the A’s in his last start. But the Indians are a sharp 26-16 (+5.2 units) this year after a loss and I believe they’re going to find a way to get the job done here as well. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Indians. |
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07-29-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies +140 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 140 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Dodgers failed to complete the sweep in Philadelphia and I think they’ll stumble here in this difficult road venue. I believe the starters are a “wash;” the visitors go with Kenta Maeda, who is 7-7 with a 3.81 ERA, while the home side goes with Jon Gray, who is 9-7 with a 4.05 ERA. The Rockies are on the cusp of being “sellers” at the trade deadline after going 9-22, but I think they put it together here in this very favorable situational spot. Great value on the hungry home side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Rockies. |
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07-28-19 | Yankees +162 v. Red Sox | Top | 9-6 | Win | 162 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* U of U BOB) The Yankees have easily been the best team in the AL this year, but the Red Sox have easily taken the first three games of this four-game series. But I think that New York will bounce back and find a way to get the job done in the finale. Domingo German is 12-2 with a 4.03 ERA for the Yanks this year, while Chris Sale is 5-9 with a 4.00 ERA for Boston. Sale’s sure looked a lot better of late after a horrible start to the 2019 campaign. German comes in off his worst start of the season, getting knocked around for eight runs over three innings, he’s been decent throughout his career vs. the Red Sox by posting a 4.10 ERA over three appearances. But this pick is more about New York fighting for respect here after getting man handled so easily over the first three games of this series (note as well that the Yanks are already 5-1 this year when playing with triple revenge vs. an opponent.) This one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Yanks. |
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07-27-19 | Rangers +173 v. A's | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas Rangers (10*) Adrian Sampson is horrible. He’s just 6-7 with a 5.19 ERA this year. But so too is Oakland’s Homer Bailey, who is 8-7 with a 5.42 ERA. Besides Oakland comes in sputtering right now having lost three straight. Bailey looked decent in his debut for the A’s, but then he got blasted in an 11-1 loss to the Astros in his next outing. Bailey’s faced the Rangers twice this year (while with the Royals) and he’s been destroyed, posting a 10.13 ERA and losing both contests badly (16-1, 6-2.) Sampson faced the A’s in June and pitched his only complete game of his career in the 3-1 win. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rangers. |
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07-27-19 | Cubs +109 v. Brewers | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (8*) The Cubs’ Jon Lester has struggled of late, but I think there’s no need to hit the panic button. Overall Lester is 9-6 with a 3.87 ERA, but he’ll be confident here knowing that he’s 5-3 with a 2.35 ERA in nine career starts vs. the Brewers. Anderson has been great recently as well and he’s 5-4 with a 2.73 ERA in 12 games vs. Chicago, but note that the Brewers are already just 18-20 (-8.1 units) this year after having won two of their last three games. Conversely note that the Cubs are 112-76 (+12.8 units) the L2 years following a loss. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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07-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox +157 | 1-5 | Win | 157 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (8*) I think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the home dog. Chicago is looking to break a four-game slide. After becoming the fastest team to hit 200 homers in a season, I think the Twins take a step ack here after yesterday’s 6-2 win. Ivan Nova has had plenty of success vs. the Twins in the past and I think that he and Minnesota starter Martin Perez are more evenly matched than what this line would suggest. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done in the end. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 White Sox. |
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07-26-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals +145 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Hyun-Jin Ryu and the Dodgers will most likely win the World Series this year, but I think they’re going to stumble in the opener of this series in the Nation’s capital. Anibal Sanchez has been “lights out” for the Nationals, going 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last nine starts. The Nationals have only lost four of their last 17 at home and I expect Washington to get back on track after last night’s loss rare ninth inning loss to the Rockies. In my opinion, the stage is set for the slight upset. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nationals. |
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07-26-19 | Rockies +132 v. Reds | Top | 12-2 | Win | 132 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Rockies and German Marquez have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one despite facing Reds’ ace Luis Castillo. Marquez is 9-5 with a 4.99 ERA this year, while Castillo is 9-3 with a 2.36 ERA. Colorado won for just the second time in its last 11 outings after winning 8-7 in the ninth inning in Washington on Thursday. Both Marquez and Castillo come off strong outings, so I’m calling the starters a “wash.” Note though that Colorado is interestingly 9-5 (+5.8 units) already this season after playing six or more consecutive road games, while Cincinnati is just 1-6 (-5.3 units) this year off a one run loss vs. a division rival. This one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Rockies. |
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07-25-19 | Twins v. White Sox +135 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10*) Jose Berrios is 8-5 with a 2.96 ERA for the Twins, while Lucas Giolito is 11-4 with a 3.12 ERA for the White Sox. Berrios is 0-1 with a 3.45 ERA over three July starts. Giolito has been a bright spot for the Chi-Sox all season long and he enters off a gem vs. the Rays, allowing one run with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the victory. Note that he pitched five shutout frames vs. Minnesota on June 30th in Chicago already this year and I believe he’ll do it again tonight. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 White Sox. |
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07-25-19 | Padres +187 v. Mets | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres (8*) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry visiting underdog. Neither team has been mathematically eliminated. San Diego bounced back from a series opening loss with a 7-2 win on Wednesday and I look for it to build here. The Mets are tied with the Pirates for the second to worst record in the NL and they’re no ten games under the .500 mark. Jacob deGrom remains a bright spot for the Mets and while he’s 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA over his last 11 starts, the Mets are just 3-8 in those games. Eric Lauer has scuffled in July, so he certainly won’t be lacking for motivation either. I think New York is over-priced here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Padres. |
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