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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers -139 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). For arugments sake, let's call these starting pitchers a "wash." Kyle Hendricks is 10-4 with a 3.84 ERA for the Cubs, while Freddy Peralta is 7-2 with a 2.11 ERA for the Brewers. After a slow start though, the Brewers are playing their best ball of the season and I look for them to keep the foot on the gas here. Milwuakee has won five straight, and it's 7-2 in its last nine after winning five or more straight games in a row. I don't trust the Cubs' bullpen on the road. Advantage, Milwaukee! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Milwaukee. |
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06-27-21 | Nationals -124 v. Marlins | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Nats to bouce back after yesterday's slim 3-2 defeat. Max Scherzer (6-4, 2.19 ERA) is off a win over the Phillies on Tuesday, striking out eight and allowing one run over five innings. To go along with his crazy ERA, he also sports a minuscule 0.83 WHIP. The home side goes with Sandy Alcantara (4-6, 2.93), who comes in off a no-decision to theJays, allowing one run over eight innings. Hard to say anything negative about Alcantara, but I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time, as note that the Nats are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a one run road loss to an opponent. My money is on Scherzer! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Washington. |
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06-23-21 | White Sox -164 v. Pirates | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). Off yesterday's 6-3 loss, I like the White Sox here to bounce back here in what is a very favorable starting pitching matchup for it. Dylan Cease (5-3, 3.99 ERA) is out to atone for a poor outing himself for the White Sox, allowing seven runs over 3.1 innings in a loss to the Astros on Thursday. Those types of starts have been few and far between for Cease though, who is still an extremely sharp 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA in all day games this season. Chase De Jone (0-1, 4.26) is coming off a loss for the Pirates, allowing one run over four innings to the Nationals on Wednesday. The sample size is just too small here for De Jong, but note that the White Sox are 7-2 in their last nine IL games in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they conceded five or more runs in. This one has blowout written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). We don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers for the reasoning behind my play on Seattle today. Colorado sends the struggling Kyle Freeland (0-2, 9.58 ERA) to the hill. Freeland has a poor 12:11 K/W over 20.2 innings after returning from the IL. I think he'll struggle again here. Chris Flexen (6-3, 4.12) is ocming off a dominant outing, allowing no runs over eight innings and striking out seven in a victory over the Twins on Tuesday. Look for Flexen to keep "flexin" and lay this price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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06-22-21 | Braves -108 v. Mets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* TRADE-MARK). I don't think the Mets have any advantage here. Not as far as the starting pitchers are concerned anyways. Marcus Stroman (6-5, 2.34 ERA) of the Mets and Charlie Morton (6-3, 4.03) of the Braves are a "wash" for me here. These teams split a low-scoring double-header yesterday, with ATL winning the night-cap 1-0. Note that ATL is 7-1 in its last eight coming off a shutout win. Look for the Braves' hitting depth to win out here; the play is ATL! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Atlanta. |
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06-21-21 | Astros -153 v. Orioles | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). A lot of the public money is on the Astros in this game, but I feel its warranted. The public does win at times. But this is a matchup in which I believe Jake Odorizzi (1-3, 5.68 ERA), will make the most of. He most recently went four scoreless inning of relief vs. the Rangers on Tuesday. It was an encouraging start and I think he'll outduel his inconsistent rookie counterpart Keegan Akin. Akin (0-2, 5.76) has been pedestrian and seems to be regressing with the extra workload since being inserted into the rotation out of necessity. Over his last 19.1 innings of work he's now conceded 12 earned runs. Lay the price here and expect Odorizzi to make the most of it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Houston. |
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06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -109 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10* TRADE-MARK). Colorado won here 6-5 last night and I expect the Rockies to build off that victory with another here on Saturday night. Austin Gomber (6-5, 3.54 ERA) has been solid for the Rockies with a 75/23 K/W. Gomber enters on top form, having won three straight and all signs point to that progression rolling here going up against Adrian House (4-5, 3.62), who gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the lowly Pirates on Sunday. Houser has been great in all day games, going 1-1 with a 2.15 ERA, but he's been poor in all night contests, going 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA. Look for another high-scoring affair here, but one which the Rockies come out on top of because of Gomber! T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Rockies. |
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06-18-21 | White Sox -109 v. Astros | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* MONEY MAKER). Chicago has won seven of its last ten, but after yesterday's 10-2 defeat in the opener of this series, I think it'll bounce back in fine fashion here. Luis Garcia (5-4, 2.98 ERA) has been great for the Astros, but he's coming off a shaky start wher ehe allowed four runs over four innings in a loss to the Twins. Carlos Rodon (6-2, 1.89) is coming off a gem, allowing one run over seven innings with nine strikeouts. Rodon has been almost untouchable on the road, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Great value on the red hot Rodon here; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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06-17-21 | Cubs v. Mets -121 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* TRADE-MARK). The Mets have a golden opportunity to sweep this series over the Cubs, and I believe they'll do that with Marcus Stroman on the mound. Stroman (6-4, 2.33 ERA) comes in off a dominant win over the Padres, striking out eight and allowing one run over 6.1 innings. So far he has a 67/18 K/W over 77.2 innings of work and a 1.49 ERA at home. Kyle Hendricks (8-4, 4.46) looks primed for a letdown after six straight wins in my opinion. He beat the soft-hitting Cardinals in his last outing, but I think he's overmatched here by the red hot Stroman. A great price on the superior home pitcher; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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06-14-21 | Rays v. White Sox +100 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Tyler Glasnow (5-2, 2.57) has been superb for the Rays, but Lance Lynn (7-1, 1.23) has been otherwordly for the White Sox this season. Both teams have been playing well overall as well, but I think that Lynn is vastly undervalued in this spot. Chicago is also 7-2 in its last nine after holding its previous opponent to one or less runs in a victory (won 4-1 at Detroit yesterday.) At this price, I can't pass up Lynn and the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Sox. |
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06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -137 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I like the Cubs to build off yesterday's 7-2 win. I simply can't trust the erratic Carlos Martinez (3-6, 6.21 ERA) of the Cardinals here, as he's just 1-4 with a ballooned 7.15 ERA on the road this season. Zach Davies (3-3, 4.15) enters off his best start of the year against the hard-hitting Friars, allowing no runs over six innings with four strikeouts. Davies is much better at home as well, going 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA in The Friendly Confines. All things considered, this line could/should in fact be larger; the play is Chicago! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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06-13-21 | Yankees +119 v. Phillies | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* GOING YARD BLOWOUT). I think the Yanks offer great value here as an underdog to bounce back after yesterday's slim 8-7 defeat. Domingo German (3-0, 3.12 ERA) most recently allowed one run over six innings in a no-decision to Boston in his last outing. German has conceded no more than three runs in any of his ten starts this year and he's 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA on the road. Aaron Nola (4-4, 4.06), gave up four runs off seven hits over five innings in a no-decision to the Braves on Tuesday. Nola's better at home than on the road, but note that the Phillies are just 2-7 in their last nine after three or more straight victories in a row at home. I like German and the desperate Yanks to get the job done here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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06-12-21 | Rockies v. Reds -130 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I like the Reds to build off their big win yesterday. Yes, German Marquez (4-5, 3.91 ERA) has looked a lot better over the last month, but I still give the nod to Wade Miley (5-4, 2.96) at home in this matchup. Miley is went five scoreless in his last outing and he owns a tiny 2.55 ERA at home. The Reds are also 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring ten or more runs in a home victory in their last outing. Overall a great price on this red hot home starter; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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06-11-21 | Angels -130 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Angels have pounded out 40 runs over their last five games. THey're coming off a series sweep of the Royals and I think they're going to steamroll the Diamondbacks on the road in this favorable starting pitching matchup. Shohei Ohtani is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA for the Angels, while Merrill Kelly is only 2-6 with a 5.12 ERA for the home side. Considering the talent discrepancy on the mound tonight, I think that this line is WAY off. The value swings to the undervalued favorite; the play is the Angels! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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06-10-21 | Blue Jays -112 v. White Sox | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto's got a dangerous line-up that can give even the best pitchers difficulties. That was evident in its slight upset win in yesterday's 6-2 victory. I think the Jays can keep the momentum roling here as well in the finale in Chicago. Hyun-Jin Ryu is coming off his worst start of the year, but I say he bounces back here on the road and at least matches White Sox starter Dallas Keuchel inning for inning. Toronto is also 7-2 in its last nine after a four runs or greater road victory in its last outing. I like Ryu to bounce back! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -122 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Padres come in off back-to-back losses to the Mets, but they have to be feeling confident they can bounce-back here, as they're 7-1 in their last eight home games after suffering back-to-back home losses. This is a tight starting pitching matchup, but it's also one which I believe favors the home side. Adbert Alzolay (4-4, 3.62 ERA), beat the Padres at home last Wednesday, while Padres starter Ryan Weathers (2-2, 2.06) fell to the Cubs last Tuesday. It was Weathers worst start of the year, but he owns a sub 2.00 ERA at home. I think Alzolay takes a step back here and I like the Padres to snap this small two-game skid; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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06-06-21 | Mets v. Padres -136 | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (8* SLUG-FEST). This is the finale of a four-game series. After losing four in a row, San Diego won the first two games of this series, before dropping yesterday's matchup by a score of 4-0. Jacob deGrom continued his unreal season, but now the home side is in a prime position to bounce-back here in my opinion. I'll call these starting pitchers a "wash." It's hard to completely trust Marcus Stroman on the road, while Chris Paddack hasn't been at his best overall this season. That said, each has been decent, and as I said, I'll eliminate these two from the equation here and call them "even." The difference for me though is that the Padres are 7-1 in their last eight in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent. Great situational play here, lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 San Diego. |
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06-05-21 | Mets -110 v. Padres | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Padres held on for a 2-0 win in a pitchers duel last night and everything points to a similar competitive and lower-scoring "duel." And that's because it's New York ace' Jacob DeGrom going against the Padres Joe Musgrove. Musgrove has been unbelievable this year, he's 4-4 with a 2.08 ERA. deGrom is 4-2 with a 0.71 ERA. Both are dominating across the board, but I still give the slight nod to deGrom over Musgrove, who has shown signs of volatility this year. The clincher for me though is that the Mets are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a shutout road loss to an opponent. I'm laying the very reasonable price on the best pitcher on the planet in this revenge-scenario; the play is New York! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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06-04-21 | Nationals +104 v. Phillies | Top | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a great pitching matchup, featuring two red hot hurlers. Zack Wheeler is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.93 WHIP for the Phillies, while Max Scherzer is 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. These starters are evenly matched. I don't trust the Phillies' bullpen whatsoever though. I'll also point out that Washington is 7-2 in Scherzer's last nine road starts when playing as the underdog. I love Scherzer in this spot, the play is Washington! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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06-01-21 | Marlins v. Blue Jays -151 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I'm travelling today gentlemen, so I'm going to have to keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I usually do. Robbie Ray is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA for the Jays, while Sandy Alcantara is 2-4 with a 3.46 ERA for the Fish. Alcantara though has been terrible on the road this year with a ballooned 5.36 ERA. The play is Ray! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-31-21 | Twins -165 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins (9* MONEY-MAKER). This is a massive mismatch on the mound and it's one which favors the visiting side. No need to overthink this one today guys, I'm 100% basing this selection upon the starting pitchers, and as I just mentioned, this one definitely favors Jose Berrios (5-2, 3.67 ERA) and the Twins. Berrios has a strong 63/7 K/BB over 56.1 innings of work. He's actually been much better on the road this year as well, going 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA (compard to 3-1 with a 4.79 ERA at home.) His counterpart is the volatile Jorge Lopez (1-6, 5.80) who owns a much less impressive 45/20 K/BB over 45 innings. Lopez has now lost three in a row and note that he's been at his absolute worst in this spot all year, going 0-2 with an atrocious 7.71 ERA in all day games. This line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is the Twins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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05-29-21 | Padres -143 v. Astros | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Sometimes I completely analyze a pick and break it wide open, looking at every tiny detail. Other times I keep it simple and it give it the "eye test." That's the case here today, as I think Padres' ace Yu Darvish (5-1, 1.75 ERA) is definitely worth the price of admission here vs. Jake Odorizzi (0-2, 10.13), who returns after a long stay on the injured list. Odorizzi will likely only see a few innings, before making way for a battered bullpen; I'm laying the price on the red hot Padres! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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05-29-21 | Reds v. Cubs -116 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think the Cubbies will find a way to deliver here at home vs. Luis Castillo. Zach Davies is coming off his best outing so far this year for Chicago, going five scoreless against the Cardinals, and I expect him to build off that great effort. Castillo is struggling this year and when he faced the Cubs earlier, he allowed three runs over five innings. Davies earned a no-decision against the Reds this year, allowing two runs over five innings. Chicago though is 8-2 in its last ten at home, while Cincinnati is just 7-20 in its last 27 in Game 2 of a series. Great value on the undervalued home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs. |
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05-27-21 | Angels +142 v. A's | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams enter off victories. I think the visiting side offers great value to pull off the minor upset in this one. The Angels go with ace Shohei Ohtani, who is 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA, and I'm giving him the big nod here over Chriss Bassitt (4-2, 3.69). Ohtani is on a completely different level right now and I expect him to outduel his counterpart. As stated off the top, great value on the visitors here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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05-26-21 | Dodgers -138 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). At some point the red hot defending champs are going to have a letdown, but I don't expect that to be tonight in this favorable matchup and with what I believe to be the vastly superior starter on the hill for them. LA has won eight in a row, including a decisive 9-2 effort in the opener of this three-game interleague series last night. Houston comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost four in a row. Luis Garcia (2-3, 3.38 ERA), has actually been a bright spot for the Astros this season, but I still think he's dramatically overmatched here vs. the Dodgers' Trevor Bauer (5-2, 1.98 ERA, 0.76 WHIP.) Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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05-25-21 | Cardinals +125 v. White Sox | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Cardinals to bounce back from last night's 5-1 loss here in Chicago. St. Louis has lost three of four now, including two in a row. The White Sox had been in terrible form leading up to yesterday's victory, but their inconsistencies at the plate has still seen them lose six of their last ten. Lucas Giolito (3-4, 4.35 ERA) has not been sharp for Chicago this year. Jack Flaherty (8-0, 2.53), has been super sharp for the Cardinals. Look for St. Louis to get the job done here in this favorable starting pitching matchup! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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05-23-21 | Dodgers -126 v. Giants | Top | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). After a shaky stretch, the Dodgers have won eight of their last ten, including the first two in this series. The Giants had been rolling along until this series, and I think they'll struggle again here in the finale. We have a really good starting pitching matchup here between Anthony DeSclafani (4-1, 2.03 ERA) of San Francisco and Julio Urias (6-1, 3.04) of the Dodgers. Let's call these starters "even." LA is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back road victories and I expect the champs to keep that trend rolling strong here. All things considered, I believe this to be the very defintion of great line value; the play is the Dodgers! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). I love the Jays here. They're coming off a 9-7 defeat here yesterday to Tampa, and they've now lost three in a row. They won't be lacking for motivation facing Rays' rookie starter Shane McClanahan (1-0, 4.67 ERA), who earned his first win over three appearances so far last time out, despite allowing four runs over five innings in a 12-5 victory over the Mets. New York is a terrible hitting team, so giving up four runs in a victory to it has to be taken with a grain of salt. Duplicating that performance on the road against the hard-hitting Jays is another thing entirely though. Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.79), allowed four runs over seven innings with nine K's in a victory over the Phillies in his last outing. What's up with this line? Unload with confidence, the play is Toronto! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-20-21 | Astros v. A's +106 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The A's two-game win streak was snapped in yesterday's 8-1 setback. Oakland won the series opener 6-5. I think Cole Irvin and the home side offer great value to bounce-back here though. Irvin (3-4, 3.02 ERA), has a fantastic 39-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He most recently allowed one run over 6.2 innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Twins. Luis Garcia (1-3, 3.34), comes in off a decent outing vs. the lowly Rangers, going five scoreless, but note that he's yet to complete six innings in a start this year. Also note that Oakland is a sharp 7-2 in its last nine after a home loss in which it was held to one or less runs in; the play is Oakland! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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05-19-21 | Nationals -146 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Nats won't be lacking for motivation here, as they're last in the competitive NL East. Max Scherzer is 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA for Washington and he's been a bright spot whenver he's been on the mound. Note that he owns a ridiculous 30/2 K/BB, most recently going five scoreless vs. the D-Backs. Jake Arrieta is 4-2 with a 4.10 ERA. He has a less impressive 29/13 K/BB over 37.1 innings. I think that Scherzer isn't getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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05-18-21 | Rays -142 v. Orioles | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I absolutely love the pitching matchup here. Matt Harvery (3-3, 4.81 ERA) is coming off back-to-back poor outings, most recently getting rocked for seven runs by the mets on Wednesday over just four innings of work. Further regression is imminent in my opinion, as his early sparkling numbers were just a mirage. Luis Patino (1-1, 1.54) was handed a loss vs. the Yanks last time out despite allowing just one earned run over four innings. The Orioles are struggling at the plate as well, which doesn't bode well facing this red hot Tampa starter; great value, the play is Tampa! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tampa. |
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05-16-21 | A's +107 v. Twins | Top | 7-6 | Win | 107 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* TRADE-MARK). The A's let a late lead slip away to the Twins last night, but I think they'll bounce back today vs. this inconsistent Minnesota side. I absolutely love Chris Bassitt (3-2, 3.54 ERA) over Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.08) as well. Maeda gae up three runs over five innings vs. the White Sox on Tuesday and he's been consistently inconsistent all season. Bassitt on the other hand just keeps getting better with each start. He has a sharp 53 to 12 strikeout to walk ratio over 48.1 innings and he comes in off a dominant win over the Red Sox, striking out ten and givin gup two runs over seven innings. In my opinion, this is the very definition of great line value! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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05-15-21 | Indians v. Mariners +100 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (10* SHOCKER BEST OF THE BEST). The Mariners broke a five-game slide in yesterday's 7-3 series opening win vs. the Tribe, and I look for them to build and carry that momentum over here in a favorable starting pitching matchup. Justus Sheffield is just 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA for the Mariners, but he's been at his best at home, going 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA, comapred to 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA on the road. Trison McKenzie isn't anything to write home about for the Indians. That said, he comes in off a great start vs. the Royals on Thursday, going five scoreless. Previous to that he was shelled for five runs over two innings. Look for McKenzie's inconsistencies to come back and haunt him here again! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Seattle. |
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05-14-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -143 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* TRADE-MARK). Vince Velasquez (1-0, 4.18 ERA) of the Phillies goes up against Steven Matz (5-2, 4.86) of the Jays. These starters are a "wash" right now in my opinion, although I'll give the slight nod to Matz, who has done better over a longer period of time. The Phillies are poor on the road, and in interleague contests. The Jays are four games above .500 for the first time this season. Toronto has much better bullpen. All things considered, I believe this line should definitely be a lot larger; pull the trigger, the play is the Jays! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-13-21 | Yankees -134 v. Rays | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). The Yankees will have no mercy on Tampa. New York has been stifled by the Rays over the last couple of years, so it will always look to kick Tampa when it's down moving forward. After a very slow start as well, New York is finaly starting to hit its stride, as it enters having won four in a row and eight of its last ten. Tampa is trending the other way now, loser of four of its last five. Jameson Taillon (1-2, 5.02 ERA) and Rich Hill (1-1, 5.17) are a "wash" as far as the starters are concerned, but look for New York to improve upon its 7-2 record in its last nine after three or more straight vicotries in a row; great price on the red hot Yankees! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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05-12-21 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -131 | 3-2 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs (8* MONEY-MAKER). Whoever the Marlins decide to go with today, I like Arizona and Zac Gallen to get the job done here. NOTE: this play is based upon the fact that as of writing, the Marlins are still undecided who is pitching. WHOEVER gets the start in this one, I like Gallen. He's 1-1 with a 3.04 ERA. He has a sharp 32/14 K/W over 26.2 innings of work. Arizona smashed Miami 11-3 yesterday and everything points to a similar blowout victory here as well; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Arizona. |
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05-12-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -167 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
TM Selection: Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis took the series opener by a score of 6-1 in extra innings yesterday, so I expect the home side to respond here. The Cards are 22-14 and the Brewers are 19-17. But after four-straight wins, I think St. Louis is going to finally stumble here vs. the revenge-minded home side. John Gant walked six mets over four innings in his last start as well for the Cardinals. He's a veteran reliever, and I think he'll struggle in this difficult road venue. Brandon Woodruff counters for the home side and he's dominated the Phillies in his last start, allowing one run off tow hits with 11 K's over six innings. Bank on the Brewers bouncing big in this favorable matchup! TM Prediction: 5-2 Brewers |
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05-11-21 | Angels +136 v. Astros | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8* MONEY-MAKER). Lance McCullers (2-1, 3.58 ERA), gets the nod for the home side, while the visitors counter with ace Shohei Ohtani (1-0, 2.41). MCullers has a 1.39 WHIP, while Ohtani has a 1.16 WHIP. LA enters off back-to-back wins, including yesterday's series opener by a score of 5-4. Look for the red hot Angels to keep the foot on the gas and for Ohtani to easily get the better of his counterpart. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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05-11-21 | Rangers v. Giants -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* TRADE-MARK). San Fran has won three of four, including yesterday's game vs. the Rangers by a score of 3-1. While I do expect a few more runs to be plated this time around, I still think the value lies on the surging home side. I'm going to lay the price. Lance Webb (1-3, 5.34 ERA), is coming off a poor loss, allowing six runs over 3.2 innings to the Rockies. The start came at Coors though, as note that he's a red hot 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three starts at home this season. Jordan Lyles (1-2, 7.09), and while he does come in off a decent outing vs. the Twins, note that he's a poor 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA at home this season. Expect Webb to bounce back in friendly confines; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Giants. |
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05-10-21 | Reds -134 v. Pirates | Top | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Pirates managed to snap their three-game slide with a 6-5 win at Chicago, but I think they'll make an immediate return to mediocrity here. The Reds two-game streak was broken with 9-2 loss at Cleveland on Saturday. The Reds have the better in form starting pitcher in the opener of this series, and I expect that to be the difference maker. Tyler Mahle (1-1, 3.23 ERA) is coming off a poor start vs. the Cubs, giving up six runs and striking out six over six innings in a no-decision. Overall he's been sharp thoug, and so is his 41/11 K/W thus far. Mitch Keller (2-3, 6.29 ERA), enters off his best start of the season, going five scoreless vs. the Padres. Previous to that, Keller has been a complete disaster, so expect a return to the norm tonight after his most recent overachieving gem last time out. I'm laying the price, and expecting a decisive victory! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves +101 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Both teams have similar offensive and defensive numbers. Both are equally as hungry for a win here. The value lies on the home side in my opinion, based upon the struggles of Aaron Nola on the road. Nola is a much better pitcher at home, while Huscuar Ynoa has been lights out at home. Nola is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA overall, but 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA on the road. Ynoa is 2-0 with a 1.58 ERA at home. The value lies on the home side here for sure! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Atlanta. |
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05-08-21 | Blue Jays +130 v. Astros | 8-4 | Win | 130 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Steven Matz (4-2, 4.78 ERA) hasn't been perfect for the Jays, but he's been very good considering. Christian Javier (0-0, 1.75) has been nearly perfect for the Astros in his limited time. Matz though offers great value to bounce back here though. And Javier's sparkling numbers are just a little TOO good and I think that he'll start regressing sooner, rather than later. Houston pulled away for the victory last night, but Toronto has gone 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed ten or more runs in; the play is Toronto! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-07-21 | White Sox -149 v. Royals | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK!). The White Sox have been trading wins/losses over their last six games. Off a 1-0 loss at Cincy two days ago, I think they'll open up this new series with a victory in this favorable matchup. The Royals have lost five in a row. In their most recent three-game series loss to Cleveland they managed just 7 runs total. Carlos Rodon (4-0, 0.72 ERA) is going to have a letdown at some point for the Chi-Sox, but I don't expect that big drop off game to happen here. Brad Keller (2-3, 8.06) has been a disaster for KC. All things considered, this price should/could in fact be much larger; lay it with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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05-07-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -139 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Zach Davies (1-2, 8.22 ERA) has struggled for Chicago, but a date vs. the hapless Pirates is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track this afternoon. Davies clearly isn't as terrible as his record would indicate. And fortunately for him, his counterpart is Trevor Cahill (1-3, 7.40). These two teams and starting pitchers have all struggled to open the year, but Davies benefits from the friendly confines. The Cubs are playing their best baseball of the season, off three straight wins over the Dodgers, scoring 17 runs in the process; this is the very definition of great line value, so lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs. |
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05-06-21 | Blue Jays -139 v. A's | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues Jays (10* BEST OF THE BEST). With its ace on the mound Hyun Jin Ryu, I like Toronto to build on yesterday's 9-4 victory. Ryu is 1-2 with a 2.60 ERA, and his counterpart is Mike Fiers, who is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA. Fiers is in the starting rotation out of necessity, so I'm giving a huge nod to Ryu in this matchup. And honestly, it's as simple as that for me. The Jays are hammering the baseball these days, which does not bode well for Fiers; lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-06-21 | Brewers -113 v. Phillies | 0-2 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (8* MONEY-MAKER). After losing the first two games of this series, I like the hard-hitting Brewers to bounce back in the finale. Milwaukee turns to the red-hot Brandon Woodruff, who gave up two runs and struck out six over six innings in a win over the Dodgers on Saturday. Through 35 innings he has a ridiculous 40/9 K/W. Zack Wheeler has been decent as well for the Phillies, as he's 2-2 with a 3.49 ERA. He's coming off a poor outing though, allowing four runs off seven hits over seven innings in a 5-4 loss to the Mets, fortunate to earn a no-decision. Milwaukee is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge B2B losses to an opponent as well; great value on the revenge-minded visiting side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Brewers. |
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05-05-21 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -133 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marlins (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Marlins pulled away late for a big win last night, and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this favorable starting pitching matchup. The home side goes with Pablo Lopez (2-0, 2.34 ERA), who has a sharp 34 to 10 strikeout to walk ratio over 34.2 innings of work. Luke Weaver (1-2, 4.91), gave up three runs off five hits over four innings in a no-decision vs. the Rockies. His 4.99 FIP points to further regression here in this difficult park as well; all things considered, a fantastic price on the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Miami. |
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05-02-21 | Mets -103 v. Phillies | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Mets broke a three-game slide with a 5-4 win last night and I think they offer great value to make it two in a row here. The visitors hand the ball to David Peterson, who comes in off a loss, despite it being his best effort of the season thus far, allowing two runs off four hits with three K's over six innings in a 2-1 loss to Boston. His ERA is undermining a very strong 21/7 K/W though and I believe he's in for a big days here vs. this inconsistent Phillies line-up. Zach Efflin is 1-1, but he comes in off his worst start of the season, allowing five runs off nine hits over six innings. Efflin has a strong 27/2 K/W, but further regression is imminent in my opinion. Bank on New York building off yesterday's win with another one here! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 New York. |
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05-02-21 | Marlins v. Nationals -133 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationsl (8* MONEY-MAKER). The bottom line is, this is a major pitching mismatch between starters here and I like the home side and Max Scherzer to take advantage. Scherzer is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA. He's coming off a loss to the Jays, giving up seven runs while striking out five over five innings. Starts like that though have been few and far between for Scherzer and he has the track record and pedigree to make an immediate return to form. Someone who's been pitching "over his head" of late though is Trevor Rogers of the Marlins, as he's 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA. He most recently went six shutout innings vs. the Brewers. The sample size is simply too small here though for the rookie flamethrower and I'm unconvinced that he can maintain these "lights out" numbers. All things considered, great value on Scherzer in this bounce-back spot! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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04-28-21 | Padres -157 v. Diamondbacks | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). These teams are playing just a two-game set. The Friars lost the opener 5-1 last night, but I think they'll bounce back here in this favorable position. The Padres lead MLB with a 2.75 ERA. Ryan Weathers is 1-0 with a 0.59 ERA for the visiting side. Taylor Widener is 1-0 with a 2.82 ERA for the home side, but note that Arizona is just 2-7 in its last nine after holding its prevoius opponent to one or less runs in a victory. The Padres are also 13-3 in their last 16 vs. right-handed pitching. Everything points to regression from Arizona here; lay the price with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 San Diego. |
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04-28-21 | Angels -127 v. Rangers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* MONEY-MAKER). LA won the opener 9-4, then dropped yesterday's contest 6-1. I like the Angels to get back on track here though in this favorable matchup. LA won't be taking anything for granted, as it's still only 3-6 against the division. Alex Cobb and Dane Dunning are a "wash" on the mound, so that's not a factor for me personally here. I don't trust the Rangers' offense to produce back-to-back, and note that LA is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less runs in. Great value on the superior visiting side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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04-27-21 | Padres -148 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -148 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10*). Neither Merrill Kelly (1-2, 7.71 ERA) of the D-Backs, nor Chris Paddack (1-2, 5.50) of the Padres have looked great this year. I'm going to call them a "wash" and take them out of the equation. I think these team's bullpens are similar as well. The Padres just took three of four from the Dodgers though, and note that they're 7-2 in their last nine after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in their last outing. I like Paddack to get back on track here and for the red hot Padres to give him more than enough support. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 San Diego. |
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04-27-21 | Twins v. Indians +103 | 4-7 | Win | 103 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indians (8*). The Tribe are off a nice 5-3 win over the Twins yesterday and I like them to keep the foot on the gas here as well. The Indians have now won two in a row after a five-game slide. Minnesota is a disaster thi syear, as it's lost eight of ten, including three in a row. Can't just "flip a switch" and expect things to change over night. Aaron Civale is 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA for Cleveland, while Kenta Maeda is 1-1 with a 6.11 ERA for the Twins. Great value on home side for sure! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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04-26-21 | A's -113 v. Rays | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the A's to bounce back off their 8-1 loss to Baltimore. The Rays are off a 1-0 loss to Toronto. I absolutely love Sean Manaea (2-1, 3.04 ERA) in this matchup vs. Rich Hill (1-0, 8.82). Previous to their latest loss, the A's had won 13 in a row. Oakland will now look to quickly get back to its winning ways with the superior starter on the hill. Tampa has lost three of its last five and it's struggling with offensive consistency. It's also just 1-5 in its last six at home, while Oakland is 6-1 in its last seven on the road and 4-0 in its last four in the first game of a series. All things considered, a fantastic price here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 A's. |
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04-25-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -114 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10*). After back-to-back losses to the Nationals, St. Louis comes in looking for the sweep here at home over Cincinnati. At this price, I love the Cards to do just that. At some point the Reds will get back into the winners circle, but after six straight losses, I think they'll struggle again here. Luis Castillo and Joe Flaherty are a "wash," but note that St. Louis is 7-1 in its last eight as a home favorite in the -115 to -125 range. Great value on the surging home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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04-25-21 | Blue Jays -121 v. Rays | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (8*). Toronto is looking to bounce back after yesterday's 5-3 loss to Tampa. The Jays have to be feeling confident with their ace Hyun Jin Ryu on the hill, who is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA so far for Toronto. Ryu enters with a monster 19:2 K:BB ratio. Whoever the Rays send to the mound today (undecided as of writing), my play is based upon Ryu's dominance. The play is Toronto! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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04-24-21 | Brewers -108 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* TRADE-MARK). Off yesterday's 15-2 loss, I like the Brewers to bounce back here. Right-hander Freddy Peralta is coming off a win over the Pirates, allowing three runs over five innings. The Cubs go with Adbert Alzolav, who is coming off a loss vs. these very Brewers, conceding four runs off four hits over five innings. The Cubs' offense has been consistently inconsistent to open this season and after yesterday's big offensive outburst, I'm calling "letdown" for sure here. The play is on Peralta and the Brewers! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Milwaukee. |
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04-21-21 | Twins v. A's -105 | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: A's (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Minnesota has lost three straight now, including both games of this series to open. I like the A's to find a way to get the job done here as well. Frankie Montas and Kenta Maeda are a "wash" here in my opinion, but the A's are a near-perfect 6-1 in their last seven home games after shutting out their previous opponent (won 1-0 last night!) Minnesota is struggling in every facet, while the A's continue to fly under the radar here. Great value on the undervalued home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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04-20-21 | Blue Jays +105 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). Off a series loss to the Royals, I like the Jays to bounce-back here in the Opener of this series in Boston. Toronto has to be feeling confident as well here in handing the ball to ace Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is coming off a solid outing vs. the Yanks, going seven shutout innings, allowing four hits, one walk and posting seven K's. The Red Sox hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who also comes in off a good outing, going five innings vs. the Twins, allowing one run off five hits and three walks though. Rodriguez though is yet to be tested. Look for Ryu to easily get the better of his suspect counterpart and hammer the Jays! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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04-18-21 | Astros v. Mariners +111 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 111 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). Houston is 7-7 and Seatlle is 9-7. The Astros have been playing terrible lately, but they broke a six-game slide with a tight 1-0 win last night. Jake Odorizzi gets the start for the visitors and he's 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA. He was called up just before his debut, so the veteran is still not even close to being in form. Seattle has been playing well overall lately. Nick Margevicius was roughed up in his last outing, but note that the Mariners are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were shutout in. Great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Mariners. |
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04-17-21 | Blue Jays -105 v. Royals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams are "hungry," but Toronto has the vastly better starting pitcher in this opening game and in this shortened double-header scenario, I think that's going to pay dividends for Steven Matz and the Jays. Matz is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and who has allowed just two runs over his first 12 innings of work. Volatile Mike Minor gets the nod for the Royals, and he's 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, earning a no-decision in his last outing vs. the White Sox on Sunday. I love Matz in the opener of this double-header on Saturday afternoon; lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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04-14-21 | Red Sox v. Twins -138 | 7-1 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins (8*). I'm playing on the Twins in the second game of their double-header. I believe the second game always benefits the home side. Jose Berrios gets the big nod as starting pitcher as well over Eduardo Rodriguez. Berrios is 2-0 and struck out eight in his last start. Rodriguez has a 5.40 ERA and allowed thre runs over five innings in his last outing. I think this line could/should be much larger; the play is Minnesota in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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04-14-21 | Angels -119 v. Royals | 1-6 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8*). This three game series is tied 1-1 after the Royals 3-2 win yesterday. LA is off to a great start at 7-3 overall though. Yesterday it left 20 men stranded on base. Don't expect that to happen again. Griffin Canning allowed four runs over six innings in a loss to th eJays in his last outing. I still like Canning here though over Brad Keller, who was shelled for four runs over three innings in a loss to the White Sox in his last start. I love the Angels in this matchup, and expect a decisive victory in the end. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA |
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04-13-21 | Mariners +130 v. Orioles | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). This game was postponed yesterday. Seattle enters having won two in a row though, most recently an 8-6 victory at Minnesota. The Orioles lost 14-9 to Boston in their most recent action. Seattle averages 4.12 RPG. Justus Sheffield is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA for the Mariners, while Dean Kremer is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA for the Orioles. These young starters are a "wash." Despite dropping Sheffield's first start of the year though, note that the M's are 4-1 in his last five starts. Baltimore on the other hand is now 0-4 in Kremer's last four starts. Great value on the "hotter" team; the play is the Mariners! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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04-11-21 | Padres -155 v. Rangers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* MONEY-MAKER). Adrian Morejon (0-0, 4.50 ERA) gets the call for the Padres, and I think he'll have more than enough in the tank to get the better of the erratic Mike Foltynewicz (0-1, 9.00.) San Diego has won two of its last three, and despite having some injury issues to some sluggers, its still has the better and more potent hitting lineup. Texas has lost six in a row in this series. The Rangers hitting has been decent, but starting pitching is their issue. The Rangers are also just 1-5 in their last six interleague home games, while the Padres are 9-0 in their last nine interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is the Padres! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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04-08-21 | A's v. Astros -144 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* MONEY-MAKER). Houston rolled over the A's in four straight on the road to open the season. Christian Javier got roughed up in his opener vs. the A's, but Cole Irvin was destroyed by Houston. I expect a similar outcome here as well. The A's are coming off their first win of the year, a 4-3 OT win at home over the Dodgers and they absolutely looked primed for an immediate letdown on the road here after that emotional "monkey off the back." All things considered, I do indeed believe that this line could/should in fact be much larger; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Houston. |
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04-07-21 | Giants v. Padres -147 | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Giants took the first game, but San Diego bounced back with a 3-1 win last night. I think the home side offers great value in this spot to earn a series victory. Clearly the book is still out on these line-ups, but this is a pitching matchup which favors the home side for sure: Blake Snell whiffed eight in his Padres debut, and he'll benefit in facing this "on again, off again" Giants offense. Kevin Gausman gave up just one over 6.2 innings in a win over the Mariners in his first start, but note that the Giants are just 2-7 in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they scored one or less runs in. Great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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04-05-21 | Dodgers -152 v. A's | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (6* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Dodgers are 3-1 and the A's are 0-4. LA has a clear pitching advantage with Dustin May on the mound, as he was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA last year. May's fastball was topping 100 MPH in Spring. Frankie Montas was 3-5 wth a 5.60 ERA for the A's last year. The A's were just 4 fo 28 with runners in scoring position in their first series, and they also saw their bullpen allow 19 earned runs over 16 2/3's innings of work. Oakland will get its act together soon, but not tonight. Lay the price on the superior pitcher! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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04-04-21 | White Sox v. Angels -124 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* SITUATIONAL MONEY-MAKER). The Angels have won two of the first three in this series. The White Sox are picked by many to advance far into the playoffs, if not contend for a World Series title, but so far they have been overrated to this point. The Angels feature just as much hitting potential, if not even greater in the line-up. These teams are more even than what many are trying to lead us to beleive. I think Cease and Ohtani are a wash, but note that LA is 7-2 in its last nine home games after holding its previous opponent to three runs or less. Great value on the red hot home side in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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04-03-21 | Twins +110 v. Brewers | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Twins lost their opener thanks in part to a blown save and three runs given up in the ninth inning. I expect the visiting side to respond here though and avenge that loss. Minnesota has to be feeling confident with Jose Berrios heading to the hill, as he's 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career vs. Milwaukee. Corbin Burnes has had success against the Twins and he'll be on the mound for the Brewers, but note that Minnesota is 21-10 in its last 31 following an off day. Berrios has been one of the best pitchers in MLB the last three years and at this price, I think he's definitely the correct call in this particular matchup; the play is the Twins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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04-03-21 | Indians -159 v. Tigers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -159 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Indians lost their opener here two nights ago 3-2. I think they'll bounce back though with Zach Plesac on the hill. Plesac was dominant last year, going 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He was also 2-0 with a 0.51 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Detroit. The home side counters with the volatile Julio Teheran, who was 0-4 with a 10.05 ERA for the Angels last year. Teheran is off a decent Spring, but I still give Plesac the huge nod in this matchup. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in my opinion; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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04-02-21 | White Sox v. Angels -114 | 12-8 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Angels (8*). The Angels held on for the 4-3 win last night and I think they offer great value to do it again on Friday. I would classify Chicago starter Dallas Keuchel and Angels' starter Andrew Heaney as a wash in this contest, meaning that other variables come into play here. And note, LA is 5-1 in its last six at home and an amazing 23-6 in its last 29 in this series at home, while Chicago is now 1-8 in its last nine on the road. I think the White Sox are still getting way too much respect from the bookmakers and general betting public; the play is LA! T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Angels. |
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04-01-21 | Braves -103 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Braves (8* BLOWOUT). These starters are a "wash." I could easily write a convincing argument for either of these starters to win this game. Max Fried went undefeated last year. Aaron Nola is making his fourth straight Opening Day appearance for the Phillies. The difference though for me comes in Atlanta's strong bullpen and its hitting line-up. Philly is just 7-20 in its last 27 as an underdog, while ATL is 13-6 in its last 19 on the road. Philly's bullpen was dead last in the major last year with a 7.06 ERA. Great value on perhaps the best team in baseball on opening day; play the Braves! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 ATL. |
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03-27-21 | Cubs v. Reds -129 | 6-3 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds (8* ELITE OF THE ELITE). I like Cincinnati ace Luis Castillo to get the better of Shelby Miller here. Miller has been strong so far in the Spring (1.00 ERA, 12 K's), but these sparkling numbers are unsustainable and I expect regression for sure. Castillo has been named the Opening Day starter as well after finishing with a 3.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 70 innings last season. Lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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03-27-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -140 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Jack Flaherty will look to shake off an up-and-down spring in his final home tune-up before the real thing. He allowed three earned runs to the Marlins last time out, while also striking out five. Sandy Alcantara is expect to start for Miami and he's been great in the Spring, but he'll be on a short leash here. Advantage St. Louis! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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10-24-20 | Dodgers -164 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -164 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (10* GAME OF MONTH). I had the Dodgers in Game 1, the Rays in Game 2 and then the Dodgers in Game 3. I like LA to once again find a way to get the job done in Game 4 as well. Jose Urias and Ryan Yarbrough are a "wash" in this contest, but LA's dynamic hitting line-up is the difference here. The Dodgers are also 4-0 in their last four interleague contest vs. clubs with winning records. The Rays are going to have to turn to their bullpen early and I can't see it holding up to this hard-hitting Dodgers line-up. Look for Urias to get the win here! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers -155 v. Rays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Dodgers to bounce back in Game 2. Walker Buehler has been fantastic for LA during the playoffs. So too has Charlie Morton for the Rays. The difference maker for me though lies in the stats/trends today, as note that the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine after a loss and a day off. I'm banking on LA's hitting depth to be the difference once it's all said and done. Great value on the Dodgers in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Dodgers. |
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10-18-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Dodgers have all the momentum after the Game 6 victory and I believe they'll figure out a way to complete the come back after going down 3-1 to start. Ian Anderson has been incredible in the playoffs for the Braves, but I don't see him having that much of an advantage over Dodgers' projected starter Tony Gonsolin. Whoever gets the start for LA, I think the Dodgers' deep bullpen will help in delivering the goods here as well. Jansen has been great closing out games for the Dodgers as well. Sorry ATL, you had your chance and blew it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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10-17-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -145 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers (8*). I had a play on the Dodgers on the "run line" last night and I expect the NL champs to find a way to get the job done here as well. Max Fried was good vs. LA in Game 1, although received a no-decision vs. it. Fried is 0-2 with a 4.66 ERA lifetime vs. the Dodgers. Walker Buehler has faced the Braves four times in his career and gone 2-0 with a 4.03 ERA. LA is also 7-2 in its last nine after a win by three or more runs in its previous outing. I'm banking on the more desperate team to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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10-15-20 | Rays v. Astros +128 | 3-4 | Win | 128 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros (8* MONEY-MAKER). Facing elimination, the Astros played their best game of the ALCS in Game 4 and came away with the 4-3 victory. Now I expect them to carry that momentum over here. I think these pitchers are a "wash," but note that Houston is 7-2 in its last nine following a victory of one run or more. Look for the "hungrier" team to find a way to deliver in the clutch again! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Astros. |
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10-11-20 | Astros +136 v. Rays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The bottom line on this one is I think that the Astros' Framber Valdez will be able to match the Rays' Blake Snell inning for inning to open Game 1. Houston has been the better team offensively and I think that's going to matter in Game 1. Note as well that the Astros are 8-0 in their last eight as an underdog and 42-10 in their last 52 following an off day. I love getting the "plus money" here on this undervalued underdog! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Astros. |
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10-01-20 | Reds v. Braves -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* MONEY-MAKER). With a chance to move into the bubble format in LA, I like the Braves to dig deep here and eliminate Cincinnati. I'll call Castillo and Anderson a "wash" here. The Braves prevailed in 13 innings last night, but I expect the home side's line-up to be much better this time around, as note that ATL is 7-2 in its last nine after scoring one or less runs in a home victory in its previous outing. This line is way out of whack. The Reds are in over their head here. Lay the price, expect a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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09-29-20 | Yankees -102 v. Indians | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). As good as Shane Bieber has been this year, I think he and Yanks' starter Gerrit Cole are a "wash" here. Bieber has been unbelievable, but honestly it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either one. Look at this line, clearly the oddsmakers also think these teams are completely evenly matched and that the "home field" is not an advantage whatsoever. But New York has its sluggers back in the line-up and I think they're ready to tear the cover off the ball here. While the Yanks did struggle at times in the regular season, expect them to finally live up to expectations now that the playoffs are here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yankees. |
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09-29-20 | Blue Jays +141 v. Rays | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays I like Toronto to pull off the upset in Game 1. Tampa did win six of the ten in the regular season series over the Jays, but four of those victories came by a single run. Blake Snell finished 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA for Tampa, while Matt Shoemaker was 0-1 with a 4.71 ERA for Toronto. Shoemaker last pitched on September 21st where he allowed one run over three innings in a no-decision vs. the Yankees. The Jays were sharp in this spot all year as well, finishing 6-3 as a road dog in the +155 to +205 range. I like this hard-hitting Jays line-up to find a way to get the job done. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox -135 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). After six straight losses, I think the White Sox are going to bounce back here finally in the second to last regular season game of the year. The White Sox trail the Twins by a 1/2 game now and are tied with the Indians with two to go for the division title. The Cubs won't be rolling over, but starter Lester owns a pedestrian 4.91 ERA lifetime vs. the White Sox. Dane Dunning is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA and clearly the rookie won't be lacking for motivation here. I think Chicago finally finds a way to break the streak as it looks to head into the playoffs on a high-note. Lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. |
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09-24-20 | Astros -118 v. Rangers | 12-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Astros (8* TOP-SHELF BLOWOUT). Yes, Lance Lynn has been great for Texas this year (he's 6-2 witha 2.53 ERA). But so too has Christian Javier for the Astros (he's 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA). Houston is 28-28, but it hasn't yet clinched a playoff spot. It's do or die for the Astros here and I think they'll bounce back after yesterday's loss in Seattle. Note that Houston is 8-2 in its last ten after scoring two or less runs in a loss in its previous outing. Look for the Astros to respond! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Astros. |
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09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Thee two teams are moving in opposite directions. The White Sox have lost four straight and they've now lost their grip on the division lead, sitting a 1/2 game back of Minnesota. The Indians have clinched a playoff spot, but the momentum they've been riding has been crazy (off back-to-back walk off extra inning victories over the ChiSox). These starting pitchers are both great, so I deem them to be equal here. Note though that Chicago is a disastrously poor 1-6 in its last seven as a road underdog in the +101 to +127 range. Considering the circumstances, I think this is the very definition of "great line value."Â T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-23-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +116 | 3-12 | Win | 116 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a great situational spot play on the home dog here. This is based primarily upon the fact the St. Louis is sending confirmed "gas can" Carlos Martinez to the hill to start and he's so far 0-2 with an 8.40 ERA. The home side counters with Danny Duffy, who is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA. I'm banking on Duffy getting the better of his counterpart, as KC looks to play the role of spoiler! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Royals. |
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09-23-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -158 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston (10* MONEY-MAKER). Boston rolled to an 8-3 victory yesterday and while it won't be in the playoffs, it's still trying to close out on a positive note. I like the home side to lay the hammer down here as well in this favorable matchup. Over the last five games Boston's starters have combined for a 1.04 ERA. Nate Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA this season and 5-1 with a 4.61 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the O's. Baltimore goes with rookie Dean Kremer, who is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA, but clearly the sample size is much too small and regression would seem imminent with these sparkling early numbers unsustainable over the long-term. The stage is set for a beatdown, so lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Red Sox. |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +116 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Royals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Royals won 4-1 over the Cardinals yesterday and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. The visitors go with Austin Gomber, who is 0-1 with a 2.37 ERA and who has had success against the Royals, but whose sample size is just too small to draw any firm conclusions from. I like Brady Singer here and the Royals, who appear to be loving playing the role of spoiler as the season concludes. Great value on the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Royals. |
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09-22-20 | Rays -127 v. Mets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -127 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Rays won 2-1 last night and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Tampa wants to keep the foot on the gas with the Yanks breathing down its neck. And with a tough three-game series at home against the Phillies to end the season, Tampa does not have the luxury to relax whatsoever. Blake Snell is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and I give him a big nod over his counterpart Seth Lugo, who is 2-3 with a 4.34 ERA. Lugo most recently was shelled for six runs off eight hits over one inning against the Phillies on Thursday. Lay the reasonable price, but expect a massive blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rays. |
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09-21-20 | White Sox v. Indians +101 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 101 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Indians have won three of their last four and they need to continue to win basically every game moving forward if they have any hopes at getting included into the field of eight playoff teams in the AL this year. Aaron Civale is 3-5 with a 3.80 ERA and he won't be lacking for motivation for the Tribe, as he's posted an 0-3 record over his last five trips to the hill. Dane Dunning (2-0, 2.33) has been excellent in his limited time for the White Sox, who are in race to the finish line as well. The White Sox are coming off a series loss in Cincinnati vs. a desperate Reds team and I expect the same to happen here vs. this hungry Indians club. Great value on Cleveland tonight! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tribe. |
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09-20-20 | White Sox v. Reds -103 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* MONEY-MAKER). The White Sox have clinched a spot in the playoffs. The Reds won their sixth straight game in yesterday's 7-1 win and I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas here with the finish line in sight. Dylan Cease is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA for Chicago, I simply feel he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The Reds are 26-26 and they go with Michael Lorenzon, who is 2-1 with a 4.16 ERA. The Reds though are 6-0 in their last six vs. right-handed pitching and 5-0 in their last five at home, while the Sox are just 1-2 in Cease's last three road starts. Look for the hungry home dog to deliver the goods! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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09-19-20 | Nationals -109 v. Marlins | 3-7 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). These teams split a pair of games in yesterday's double header. The Nats won't be defending their World Series title, but I think Patrick Corbin will get the better of Pablo Lopez today. And the reason is that Corbin is pitching on six days rest and that's very significant, as note that he has a 4.03 ERA when throwing on four days rest, a 3.83 ERA with five and when pitching with six or more days of rest between starts, he's 14-7 with a 3.40 ERA in 26 career such cases. Also note that he's 4-2 with a 3.36 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Fish. The Marlins are just 4-5 when Lopez pitches this year and he's a poor 1-2 with a ballooned 7.24 ERA in six career outings vs. Washington. I'm banking on a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nats. |
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09-19-20 | Blue Jays -141 v. Phillies | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -141 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* HOME RUN CLUB). This a "no brainer" in my opinion. The Jays are FOR SURE the hungrier "dog" in this fight. They're the favorite, but they should be a much bigger one here. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been fantastic for the Jays so far this year and he's had a lot of success vs. the Phillies throughout his career. Vince Velasquez is have a terrible season for Philadelphia and he has a 5.46 ERA over two career outings vs. Toronto. The Blue Jays were just swept in New York and they lost both games of yesterday's double-header and I think they'll come out completely focussed on the task at hand. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!"Â T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-17-20 | Giants v. Mariners +132 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (8*). Off yesterday's 9-3 setback, I like the Mariners to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done on Thursday. Tyler Anderson and Nick Margevicius are a "wash" here in my opinion. Note though that the Giants are just 2-7 in their last nine after scoring nine or more runs in an interleague victory in their previous outing. I think San Fran gets caught complacent here, great value on the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mariners. |
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09-16-20 | Royals v. Tigers +107 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tigers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think the visiting side is overpriced here, which swings the value in favor for the home side. The home side goes with rookie Tarik Skubal, who is just 1-2 with a 7.27 ERA. Skubal will look to shake off a shaky start by facing Brady Singer, who is 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Singer comes in off one of his best ever starts, taking a no-hitting into the eighth vs. Cleveland on Thursday. Can you say "letdown spot" here?! Note as well that the Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing five or more runs in a shutout loss to an opponent in their previous outing. I think great value on the home side in this one! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Tigers. |
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09-16-20 | Mets -125 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Phillies won yesterday's series opener, but after dropping four straight, I like the visitors to bounce back here with ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. Wheeler's been great this season, but so too has deGrom. deGrom is also 8-1 with a 2.16 ERA in 16 starts vs. the Phillies lifetime. Several key sluggers will be out for the home side today and I expect that to finally "catch up" to it this evening. Look for New York to capatalize! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Mets. |
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09-15-20 | Indians +135 v. Cubs | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH). I like the Tribe to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. Cleveland is now in third place in the AL Central, but it still has a shot at the playoffs. Chicago sits atop the NL Central, so the pressure is off the Cubs right now. I think this'll be the difference maker in the opener of this interleague series. Yu Darvish is 7-2 with a 1.77 ERA this year for the Cubs and it's difficult to say anything negative about his bounce back season, but regression at some point does seem imminent. Also note that he's 1-3 with a 4.12 ERA in six career appearances vs. the Tribe. Carlos Carrasco didn't fare well in his only start vs. the Cubs, but note that Cleveland is 7-2 in its last nine interleague road games as an underdog in the +135 to +155 range. This one has "upset" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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09-15-20 | Blue Jays +150 v. Yankees | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* BEAST). Toronto took two of three from New York last week at home and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Toronto sends Taijuan Walker to the mound and I'll give him the slight nod over his counterpart Deivi Garcia. Garcia was sharp against the Jays last week, but the rookie has still only thrown in three big league contests and now that Toronto has gotten a good look at him, I believe that'll be the difference maker in the end. Great value on the hard-hitting visiting side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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