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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-28-18 | UC-Irvine +6 v. St. Mary's | 80-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Anteaters have a 6-1 record and road wins at Santa Clara and Texas A&M already under their belts. Irvine has been shooting the ball poorly which is a concern, but their defense has been fantastic with just two teams shooting better then 40% from the field this season. Irvine doesn't beat you with one scorer, but they have five guys who put up between nine and 10 points per game. This is a team that is very deep and doesn't play anyone that long so no one gets tired. The Gaels have lost three straight including last time out when they failed to cover as nine point favorites at home against Harvard. This team's defense has actually been bad for them as of late. Jordan Ford and Malik Fitts are the two scorers to watch out for but the secondary pieces are not doing their part. The last three years St. Mary's has covered just 13 of their last 33 at home. With a better team last year, they won this game by 7 at home. |
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11-28-18 | Pacific v. Fresno State OVER 141.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
I really like Fresno State and so far they've been 3-2 with three overs in four lined games. They have a ton of talent led by Braxton Huggins and Deshon Taylor. The Bulldogs have scored 75 or more in four of the five contests. Pacific is 5-3 on the year and has mixed some overs with some unders. The team has played four road games with two of those going over the total. They allowed 96 to UNLV and 83 to Nevada in looser games. The Tigers have four double digit scorers and have also struggled on the defensive end against teams with talent. I think this one is another over. |
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11-28-18 | Cleveland State v. DePaul OVER 145.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
DePaul is back home after a 95-70 loss to Notre Dame on the road. The Blue Demons had won their first three against Penn State, Morgan State and Bethune Cookman. In those games they scored 72, 91 and 80 with some good defensive numbers mixed in as well. The problem with those numbers are they are a bit hollow considering the competition. Cleveland State has a modest offense and a true lack of want to play defense. They've allowed 80 or more four times with two of those being on the road at Ohio State and Davidson. The Vikings are led by Tyree Appleby and Stefan Kenic along with four others who average 7 ppg or more. DePaul is 10-6-2 to the over in their last 18 as a favorite. I think this one is played with some pace and there's some scoring. |
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11-28-18 | VCU +4 v. Old Dominion | 52-62 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
I've been very impressed with VCU this season who is off to a 5-1 start. They have wins over Hofstra and Temple as well as a one point loss to St. John's which could have been a win with proper officiating. The team is clamping down defensively and is overwhelming teams with turnovers at times. Marcus Evans is a difference maker. Issac Vann is playing well and they've got size to throw at the Monarchs. ODU's offense doesn't scare me. They've scored more then 70 just once and just don't have a ton of depth. Ahmad Caver is a solid player, but how much do they have behind him. VCU has won a few straight in this series and should be able to take advantage in this one. Also, I think the Rams fans travel and the homecourt advantage won't be as strong. |
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11-28-18 | Wyoming v. Evansville -3.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Wyoming is 2-4 on the season and hasn't really been that impressive. The Cowboys wins are by two over Richmond on a neutral court and by eight at home over Grambling. The team has been somewhat uncompetitive in a few others losing by 10 at home to UCSB, 19 at Oregon State, 12 to Boston College and five at home vs. Niagara. We'll see if Hunter Thompson can continue to be a solid complementary scorer to Justin James who desperately needs help. Hunter Maldonado and Jake Hendricks aren't bad pieces. Evansville is 2-0 at home with wins over Texas Southern and Kentucky Wesleyan with competitive road losses at Xavier and Ball State. The Purple Aces have five double digit scorers and haven't had much of an issue scoring the basketball. I think they play well at home in what will be a long trip for the Cowboys. Home team worth a look here. |
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11-27-18 | Southern Illinois v. Colorado State OVER 141 | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
Southern Illinois has won three of their last four and they continue their road trip at Colorado State as part of the MWC/MVC challenge. The Salukis play good defense and want to play a slower game although that's harder to do on the road. They played two overs in their three games outside of Carbondale. The Salukis have six scorers of eight points per game or more. They have a very efficient offense and will be challenged by CSU on defense. The Rams have seven players who score double digits per game or more making them absolutely deadly. Colorado State has scored 100, 92 and 81 in their three home games. Their defense leaves a little bit to be desired as well. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-27-18 | Boise State v. Drake OVER 144 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
This is the MVC/Mountain West Challenge and it's a good opportunity for Drake to get a solid opponent at home. Boise State is a hard team to figure out because they have a ton of talent but have started 2-3. Justinian Jessup, Zach Haney, RJ Williams, Cam Christon and Alex Hobbs are all banged up to some extend although the team's leading scorer will play in this one. Drake is 3-1 and has seven players who score eight points per game or more. They are led by Nick Norton and Nick McGlynn. Boise State was in the Cayman Islands and is now dealing with this adversity of injury as well. Drake has gone over in 17 of their last 24 at home and 20 of their last 31 when the total is in the 140s. Give me the over. |
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11-27-18 | Boise State v. Drake +4 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is the MVC/Mountain West Challenge and it's a good opportunity for Drake to get a solid opponent at home. Boise State is a hard team to figure out because they have a ton of talent but have started 2-3. Justinian Jessup, Zach Haney, RJ Williams, Cam Christon and Alex Hobbs are all banged up to some extend although the team's leading scorer will play in this one. Drake is 3-1 and has seven players who score eight points per game or more. They are led by Nick Norton and Nick McGlynn. Boise State was in the Cayman Islands and is now dealing with this adversity of injury as well. I think this one is played a little looser and the Over is worth a look besides the underdog. |
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11-26-18 | Santa Clara v. California OVER 134 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
California hosts Santa Clara on Monday night in a game that won't put any ripples in the college basketball world. The Golden Bears beat Hampton 80-66 in their only win of the season. In their losses, they've struggled to score and have had defensive issues. This team has actually lost 76-59 twice already. Paris Austin, Justice Sueing, Darius McNeill and Andre Kelly are the team's double digit scorers. Santa Clara is coming off a 71-63 win at San Jose State. They've had defensive issues against several teams this season giving up 80 or more to Minnesota, Washington and Prairie View. They've been on the road for the past 11 days so maybe there is some road weariness. This is a really low total and I just think that both of these teams could play a little bit of a looser game. Give me the over. |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State is 5-1 and playing without four of their players right now. They are coming off a tournament appearance where they beat San Diego State and Illinois while losing to Arizona. ISU has scored 80 or more in three of their last four and that's because of the likes of Marial Shayok, Michael Jacobson and Talen Horton-Tucker. The Mavericks are 3-3, but have won two straight beating Montana State and Bethune Cookman. This team has had some issues on defense against the better opponents allowing 79 at Colorado and 104 at Minnesota. Zach Jackson and JT Gibson are averaging 35 points per game combined and there's five other guys who average at least 7 ppg. A lot of the trends say this one is an under, but I think we'll see plenty of points on both sides in this one. |
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11-26-18 | Wofford +9 v. South Carolina | 81-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
South Carolina is 3-2 on the season with wins over GW, Norfolk State and USC Upstate. The Gamecocks were large favorites in all three of those games. They've only covered just once this season and have lost to Providence and Stony Brook. AJ Lawson and Chris Silva are the top two scorers for the home team. Wofford is 4-2 and has already played at Oklahoma and hosted North Carolina. The Terriers wins have come over Mars Hill, Coppin State, Carver Bible and High Point. They go as Fletcher Magee and Cameron Jackson go as they are the team's two biggest threats. Wofford has covered 17 of their last 28 road games. South Carolina has covered 13 of their last 31 at home. I think this one is a tighter game. |
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11-25-18 | Northern Illinois v. Oakland OVER 144.5 | 92-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Oakland has very interest in playing defense and they've shown it this season. They've actually been getting good offensive production too. The team has scored 70 or more in all but one contest and that was at UNLV which was their only road game. Xavier Hill-Mais is averaging 25 points per game with Jaevin Cumberland adding 15. NIU is also an over team scoring over 70 in every contest. This total is curiously low for two teams who struggle at times on defense and can light it up. Give me the trap then and let me have the over. |
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11-25-18 | Oral Roberts v. James Madison OVER 143 | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has been terrible on defense giving up 87 points in both games so far in this tournament. James Madison has been really good offensively and should be able to do what they want on ORU. This one should be played in the 70s. I think it's an up and down affair at noon. |
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11-24-18 | Houston v. BYU -1.5 | 76-62 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
I think we are getting a good price with the home team as BYU hosts Houston. The Cougars are led by Yoeli Childs, TJ Haws and Jahshire Hardnett with a couple of others chipping in. I'd really like to see BYU shoot better from long range, but that could happen in this one. They are holding their opponents to just 37% shooting on the season. Houston is only 3-0 with three blowout wins at home against lesser opponents. The road Cougars have a real good trio of Armoni Brooks, Corey Davis Jr and Galen Robinson Jr but their inside game isn't as strong. I'm going to take a shot with the home team in this one. |
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11-24-18 | Dartmouth v. San Francisco OVER 142 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a really big number for Dartmouth to cover considering they've already won at Loyola Maryland and nearly knocked off Davidson. Yes, they got blown out by Buffalo, but that's a tough place to play and they played no defense whatsoever in that one. The Big Green have four guys shooting 50% or better from the field and six players who score eight points per game or more. San Francisco is undefeated this season, but they've also beaten no one and not left home either. They have a really good group of scorers as well. Their best aspect is the defense which has clamped down on all five opponents. The problem is that all five opponents have not presented the challenge that Dartmouth will. I think this one is higher scoring and the underdog has a shot to cover. |
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11-24-18 | St. Joe's v. William & Mary OVER 155.5 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
William and Mary has gone over in 19 of their last 21 home games and 24 of their last 39 against teams with a winning record. The Tribe has allowed three of their last four opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. They've given up 80 or more in each of those contests and could do it once again against a St. Joe's team that has the ability to score a ton with the likes of Funk, Brown and Kimble. The Hawks have had no problems putting up points on everyone outside of UCF. They've also struggled at times to stop their opponents with their last two opponents shooting it really well. I used to make a lot of money on Tribe overs so we'll try it again here too. |
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11-24-18 | Evansville v. Ball State OVER 145 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Evansville is feeling good on a two game win streak having beaten Texas Southern and Kentucky Wesleyan. The Purple Aces have scored 60, 85, 92 and 85 this season. They have been rather porous on the road allowing 99 to Illinois and 91 to Xavier. Evansville has five double digit scorers and a little bit of depth behind that. Ball State's offense is very good with a 94 point output against App State and 75 against Purdue. They also scored 86 vs. Indiana State in the opener. The over has hit in four of their five contests overall. The Cardinals are led by Tayler Persons and KJ Walton who average nearly 33 points per game combined. Ball State has gone over in 24 of their last 35 as favorites and 17 of their last 22 lined non-conference games. |
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11-23-18 | Northern Iowa +7.5 v. Old Dominion | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
These two teams just met earlier this week with the Panthers taking the game 54-53 in the Paradise Jam. It's been an odd week for the Monarchs who were stuck in the airport for awhile as they tried to get home from the tourney. They are 2-3 on the year, but are shooting just 37.3% from the field. The defense is there and that will always keep them in ballgames. Problem is that their opponent UNI is also good on defense. The Panthers also have a few more solid offensive weapons. The Monarchs have covered just 13 of their last 27 at home. Seven points is a lot in a game that should be tight throughout. |
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11-23-18 | James Madison v. Oakland OVER 143.5 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
James Madison had their four game win streak snapped last time out in an 91-82 home loss to the Citadel. This team has a very good offense scoring 70 or more in all but one contest. Darius Banks leads four double digit scorers with several others chipping in as well. Oakland's lost a ton of talent, but is still managing to score with some pace. They've put up over 85 points three times this season. Xavier Hill-Mais is their number one weapon by far and he's shooting almost 70% from the field. This one has over written all over it. |
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11-23-18 | Southern v. Western Michigan -9 | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Broncos have won three of their five games with losses to Cincinnati and Ole Miss. Western Michigan has a 47 point win over Aquinas, an 8 point win over Oakland and a 13 point win over Detroit. They rely heavily on Seth Dugan, Josh Davis and Michael Flowers who put up over 40 points per game. Southern is 0-4 this season with a 20 point loss at Alabama, a 27 point loss at Baylor, a 50 point loss at Louisville and a 4 point loss at George Mason. They don't score it very well and don't defend very well. Give me the team out of the MAC in an easy win. |
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11-22-18 | Seton Hall v. Grand Canyon +5 | 82-75 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a huge opportunity for Grand Canyon who is looking for their first ever win against a power five school. They've got a decent shot against a Seton Hall team that is 1-2 on the season with a 40 point win over Wagner and losses to St. Louis and Nebraska. The Pirates problem is that they rely heavily on Myles Powell who averages over 20 points per game and everyone else is a mixed bag. They've got four others who score six points per game or more. A lot was expected from Taurean Thompson and he's only scoring 3 ppg in 10 mins. The Antelopes have the better offense and have covered three of their four games. They have wins Arkansas State, Jacksonville and Delaware State to go with a close loss to South Dakota State. They've got more balance with five guys who average nine points per game or more. This team should have more fans at this neutral site. I'll take the points with the better team potentially. |
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11-22-18 | La Salle v. Miami-FL OVER 143.5 | 49-85 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Miami's offense is a lot better then La Salle's and so is their defense. Chris Lykes is having a fantastic season and he's getting help from Dejan Vasiljevic and Anthony Lawrence II. The Canes have scored 78, 96 and 83 so far this season while allowing 70, 58 and 62. It was against weak competition so maybe those numbers get adjusted a little bit. La Salle's defense has been terrible allowing 75, 77, 82 and 89 with that last number coming against Drexel at home. The Dragons offense isn't that good. La Salle is led by Pookie Powell and Isiah Deas who average double digits. The two of them are going to have their hands full with the Canes. The Explorers have gone over in 20 of their last 30 when the total is in the 140s. Miami trends to the under, but I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Boston College OVER 140 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago is coming off an efficient 82-66 win over Richmond down in Fort Myers Florida. The Ramblers are relying on their big three to carry them the year after a final four appearance. They've shot 50% or better in four of their five games this season scoring 75 points or more in each of the contests. BC's win in this tournament was 88-76 over Wyoming. The Eagles have struggled at times losing 76-59 at home to IUPUI two contests ago. Ky Bowman will be the best player on the court, but not having Nik Popovic will be tough. I think this one will be tight with some free throws late to push this thing over. BC has gone over in eight of their last 10 games when the total is in the 130s. |
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11-21-18 | Dartmouth v. Buffalo OVER 151 | 71-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Dartmouth takes a step up in competition as they play at Buffalo. The Big Green have wins over Newbury, Loyola Maryland and Elms College scoring 100 or more in two of those games. The team did lose 79-76 at Davidson earlier in a game that saw them nearly outshoot the Wildcats. The team has six guys who score nine points per game or more and have several long range threats which will make things difficult. Buffalo already has wins over West Virginia, Southern Illinois and St. Francis of PA. The Bulls have played some solid defense although in game one they allowed SFA to shoot 50% from long range. You can't let that happen against Dartmouth. CJ Massinburg has been fantastic so far this season. He's averaging nearly a double-double with 20.3 ppg and 9.3 rpg. Buffalo has gone over in 26 of their last 44 games against teams with a winning record. I think this one sees a ton of points. |
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11-20-18 | Washington -3 v. Texas A&M | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a bit of a curious line and I'll bite on it. Washington has been really solid this season with a 14 point win over Santa Clara, a 3 point win over San Diego and an 18 point win over Western Kentucky. I really like what I've seen from Jaylen Nowell and Noah Dickerson so far this season. They aren't the deepest team, but offense seems to come easier for these guys. The Aggies have some talent, but man there are times when it's like pulling teeth to see them score. They have lost to Minnesota, Gonzaga and UC Irvine already and have a win over Savannah State who plays no defense. I think the Aggies will struggle with Washington's athleticism. I'll take the team out of the PAC 12. |
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11-20-18 | Wright State +7 v. Penn State | 59-77 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
There's a lot to like about this Raiders team that is shooting the ball well and rebounding it well. They've got really good balance with Billy Wampler, Loudon Love, Cole Gentry and Skyelar Potter. They've got wins over North Florida, Toledo and Western Carolina with a 19 point loss at Murray State. Penn State is going to have the best player on the court with Lamar Stevens. They lost to DePaul last time out 72-70 to go along with wins over Jacksonville State and North Florida. Wright State has covered 20 of their last 27 games against good offensive teams. I think they have a chance to steal this one outright. |
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11-20-18 | South Carolina State v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 162 | 68-72 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
I love taking the overs in Fort Wayne games because they have a really potent offense and their defense is leaky at times. In five games this season, they've scored 71, 112, 61, 111 and 80 this season. Jon Konchar is their best player, but he's only been the team's leading scorer twice so that tells you about the depth that they have. South Carolina State has lost four straight after a season opening win over a lower level opponent. During this losing skid the Bulldogs have allowed 74, 89, 84 and 89 points. Yes, the offensive production was lacking in those games, but I think this one goes up and down a bit. Damni Applewhite and Janai Raynor Powell are the team's leading scorers. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-20-18 | California +7 v. Temple | 59-76 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
California showed a lot in their loss to St. John's last time out. This is a young team that should have a little bit of confidence despite the 1-2 record. They are led by Paris Austin and Justice Sueing who combine for about 33 points per game. Darius McNeill shot it well from long range last game as well. The Golden Bears have a win over Hampton to go along with a 17 point loss to Yale. Temple is coming off a tough 57-51 loss to VCU in which they fought back from a big early deficit to make things interesting before succumbing in the end. The Owls go as Shizz Alston and Quinton Rose go. Nate Pierre-Louis has been a decent scorer as well, but he's inconsistent like the rest. It was a grueling game for Temple last night and it's a quick turnaround. I think this is a big number so give me the underdog. |
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11-20-18 | Western Carolina v. Jacksonville State OVER 144 | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State is looking for their first win of the season as they begin the Cancun Challenge. The Gamecocks have losses at Samford, Penn State and Bradley on their resume. The team has struggled offensively allowing two of those opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I like the offensive potential of these guys though with transfers Detrick Mostella and Ty Hudson mixing in with Jason Burnell and Marlon Hunter. They can come at you in a lot of different ways. Western Carolina has losses to Wright State, Charleston and SMU to go with a 94-55 win over Hiwassee. The Catamounts play with a little bit of pace and have three double digit scorers led by Matt Halvorsen, Kameron Gibson and Carlos Dotson. Western Carolina has gone over in all three lined games. I think this one does too. |
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11-19-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tulsa OVER 140 | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Little Rock is 2-1 on the season with wins over Tennessee State and SE Oklahoma State. The Trojans have given up 80 points or more in two of those contests and are playing their third straight road game. They have four double digit scorers led by Rayjon Tucker and Markquis Nowell who put up over 30 points combined. Tulsa has their own quartet of double digit scorers led by DaQuan Jeffries. The Golden Hurricane has scored 70 points or more in all three contests and is coming off a narrow three point win over California Baptist 82-79. Tulsa has gone over in 20 of their last 31 games as a favorite and 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one is an over too. |
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11-19-18 | UL-Lafayette v. Colorado State OVER 154.5 | 91-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Louisiana is looking for their first win of the season and one can understand why they are 0-2. The team has lost 87-65 at Tennessee and 89-76 at Kansas. The Ragin Cajuns have a trio of scorers of JaKeenan Gant, Justin Miller and Malik Marquetti. Colorado State has five really good scorers with some depth elsewhere. The Rams have wins over Montana State, Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian scoring 80 points or more in every game. They are embracing the new system that is being run. Yes, it's a neutral court, but these two offenses should be able to score. I think this one goes over. |
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11-19-18 | Hampton v. Bowling Green -4 | 79-81 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Bowling Green is 2-2 entering their matchup with Hampton on Monday. The Falcons beat NC Central and Tiffin and had losses at St. John's and VCU in which they were competitive. The Falcons are a veteran bunch led by Justin Turner, Demajeo Wiggins and Dylan Frye. They won't care about this game being played away from home as much. Hampton's win was against Atlanta Christian with losses at VCU and California. They rely heavily on the scoring duo of Jermaine Marrow and Kalin Fisher. I think BG is a lot better then their opponent. |
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11-19-18 | St Bonaventure v. Georgia State -3 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
LaDarien Griffin and Courtney Stockard look like they won't be available for this tournament and for their first game against Georgia State. The Bonnies have already lost to Bucknell and Niagara with their only win coming against Jackson State. The defense has not been very good and that will be a tough one to swallow considering how good Georgia State is. They have wins over Mercer and ETSU to go with a tough seven point loss at Montana. D'Marcus Simonds and Jeff Thomas are a very good duo for the Bonnies to corral. The A-10 has been off to a rough start as a conference. I think that misery continues here on Monday. |
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11-19-18 | Old Dominion v. Northern Iowa +4.5 | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
UNI takes on Old Dominion for the first of two straight games on Monday. UNI is 2-2 on the season with wins over Bemidji State and Eastern Kentucky to go along with losses to UT-Arlington and Penn. ODU is also 2-2 with wins over Navy and Kennesaw State to go with losses to St. Joe's and Oregon State. UNI has nice balanced scoring with five guys who average nine points or more. The Monarchs offense has some nice pieces but is really inconsistent. I really think that the Panthers are more consistent and I think they are worth a look. |
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11-19-18 | Hartford +1.5 v. Utah Valley | 65-72 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Hartford was expected to challenge Vermont in the America East, but has struggled out of the gates. Their lone win came last time out against Quinnipiac 68-54. The team has struggled defensively, but they did face Mississippi State, Utah State and Central Connecticut State. John Carroll and Jason Dunne are your leaders in terms of scoring. The Wolverines are not as deep scoring-wise it seems. Jake and Conner Toolson are their leading scorers. Outside of a 96-71 win to Westminster, this team has been pathetic offensively. They scored 65 against BYU, 63 against St. Mary's and 46 against Utah State. I think Hartford wakes up and wins this game. |
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11-18-18 | Northern Arizona v. Hawaii OVER 141.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
Hawaii is 2-1 on the season with wins over Portland and Humboldt to go with a loss to North Texas. The Mean Green successfully slowed them down at home. The other two games were a little bit higher scoring with the home team getting 82 and 90. Hawaii is led by Zigmars Raimo and Jack Purchase who average double digits. They have three others who chip in at least 8. The Lumberjacks have six guys who average eight points per game and have spent quite a bit of time on the road. Their defensive numbers aren't very good and you can see why. Their wins were 76-66 at Omaha and 97-82 over Jacksonville with the loss coming at South Dakota 90-74. The road weariness could get to them a little bit in this matchup on the defensive side of the ball. I think this one goes over this total with a small chance that the underdog is worth a look. |
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11-18-18 | Texas A&M v. Minnesota -5 | 64-69 | Push | 0 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Golden Gophers enter SEC play briefly as they take on Texas A&M in Vancouver. Minnesota has five double digit scorers and has been in sync offensively. They've pounded Omaha 104-76 and beat Utah 78-69 at home. Next up is an Aggies team that has lost two straight to Cal-Irvine and Gonzaga. They got undressed by the Zags losing 94-71. The team's only win was against Savannah State 98-83 in a game against a squad with a really loose defense. The Aggies have several scoring options themselves, but are missing Admon Gilder who didn't make the trip with the team up north. They are a bit fragile right now considering their recent performances. I think the Golden Gophers are the better team and should win this one rather easily. |
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11-18-18 | Weber State -3 v. CS Bakersfield | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
I like Weber State in this one against CS-Bakersfield on Sunday. The Wildcats offense is smoking hot right now with 88 points per game and 49.2% shooting from the field. Jerrick Harding, Cody John and Zach Braxton are a damn good trio of scorers and Bakersfield is struggling on defense. Weber has wins over Central Michigan, San Jose State and Bethesda with a 17 point loss at San Diego. Bakersfield has wins over San Jose State (by 1) and Antelope Valley to go with losses to Central Michigan and TCU. I think the potent Wildcats get the win in this one. |
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11-18-18 | VMI v. Kentucky -33 | 82-92 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
It's a large number but it's quite warranted. Kentucky has won two straight since getting undressed by Duke in their opener. The team last beat North Dakota 96-58 which is good for a 38 point win. The Keydets are 3-1 on the season with wins over Goucher, South Carolina Update and another lower level team. Their lone loss was by 39 points at Pittsburgh who has nowhere near the talent of the Wildcats. VMI's going to struggle to score in this one and if you look the past couple of years they've gotten blasted by their better opponents. Last year, they lost by 35 to NC State on the road and by 39 at Wofford. There's no lookahead factor here so I think the Wildcats unfortunately bludgeon the Keydets who will take their paycheck and say thank you very much. |
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11-18-18 | Northeastern v. Davidson -1 | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Northeastern's defense has been very porous this season allowing teams to shoot almost 50% from the field. Kellan Grady and Jon Gudmondsson should be able to take advantage of that. My only real worry is if the Wildcats have enough inside to match up with the Huskies. I just think Davidson is the better team and I'll take them in a straight up situation. |
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11-18-18 | Miami-OH v. Pepperdine +4 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are 2-2 this season. The Waves have wins over Towson and California-Dominquez with losses against Georgia Southern and Northern Colorado. I really like the trio of Colbey Ross, Kameron Edwards and Darnell Dunn to go along with Eric Cooper Jr. I think the Waves will be a solid team come conference play. The Redhawks have wins over North Dakota State and Midway to go with losses to Montana and Butler. Miami-Ohio has a great duo in Nike Sibande and Dalonte Brown. Neither of these teams play great defense, but I like Pepperdine in this one as a slight underdog. |
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11-18-18 | St. Joe's v. West Virginia OVER 143 | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
It's been a rough start for West Virginia who is 1-2 on the year with losses to Western Kentucky and Buffalo. The team couldn't make the stops against the Bulls and couldn't get enough offense vs. the Hilltoppers. Coach Bobby Huggins talked about how the press isn't working and how they may not use it much more. Esa Ahmad is doing the legwork with James Bolden and Sagaba Konate chipping in double digit points. Offense has not been an issue for the Hawks who are 3-1 and have scored 79, 78, 89 and 57 this season. They've been led by Charlie Brown, but also have Kimble and several others who can get buckets for them. Their problem has been in the defensive side of things allowing everyone to score 63 points or more. To me, they are the perfect elixir for WVU to get some things going on offense. I think this one is an over. |
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11-17-18 | St. Louis +6 v. Seton Hall | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
The Billikens are 3-0 on the season and are doing it despite some underwhelming offense. SLU has wins over North Alabama (69-58), Troy (62-58) and SEMO (75-65). In those games St. Louis played good defense. The problem has been free throw shooting and that'll need to get tightened up in the team's first road game of the season. Seton Hall is 1-1 with a 40 point win over Wagner and a 23 point loss at Nebraska. The Pirates are a young team that will get better as the season goes along. Myles Powell, Michael Nzei and Taurean Thompson are a decent trio although Thompson is struggling terribly. I think the road team is worth a look here. |
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11-17-18 | Drexel +10.5 v. La Salle | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
It's a Philly battle as Drexel takes on La Salle. The Explorers have yet to win this season falling to Florida, Lafayette and Temple. The Explorers are allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field. They are struggling to shoot themselves. Pookie Powell is their best player, but he doesn't have a ton around him. Drexel is 1-2 with an offense that is shooting nearly 50% from the field. They have a close loss to Eastern Michigan and a loss to Rutgers along with a big win over a lower level team. Drexel has a lot more balance then La Salle does with their scoring. La Salle has covered just 22 of their last 59 games. Give me the road team. |
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11-16-18 | Towson v. Pepperdine -1 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Towson and Pepperdine play in the Bahamas on Friday night. The Waves have a 100-66 win over Cal-Dominquez and an 88-80 loss to Northern Colorado. They've shown a propensity for offense this year as you can see led by Kameron Edwards who put up 22 last time out. They've got five double digit scorers and some depth behind it. Towson has only two double digit scorers and are trying to replace a lot of talent from last year. Towson beat Wesley 93-66 but lost to UVA 73-42 in their first game. I don't trust their offense and I don't trust the younger team to not celebrate too much being in the Bahamas. Give me the more veteran team. |
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11-16-18 | Louisiana Tech v. LSU OVER 155.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
LSU has been rolling offensively so far with six guys averaging nine points per game or more this season. Naz Reid has been fantastic shooting 61.1% from the field while averaging 19 points and six rebounds per contest. Skylar Mays and Tremont Waters are pretty efficient from the field. They've scored 85, 97 and 94 points this season. The problem has come on the defensive side of the ball where they've allowed 76, 91 and 63. Louisiana Tech is 3-0 with wins over Wichita State, Sam Houston State and Harding. The big question will be if DaQuan Bracey will play after he has missed the last two contests with an ankle injury. Still, they've scored pretty well while playing some good defense. This is a rare meeting between schools in the same area. I think this one will be a bit of a track meet. |
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11-16-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cincinnati UNDER 133 | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are continuing their tradition of great defense this season as they hold opponents to 57.5 points per game. After giving up 64 points to Ohio State in the season opener, they held NC Central to 51 in a 73-51 win. Outside of Jarron Cumberland, they don't have a ton of scoring options. Cane Broome has been a little disappointing so far averaging just 2.5 points per game. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 0-3 so far and have been rather anemic offensively. They scored 53 points at Boston College and 60 at home vs. North Dakota. Yes, this team blew up with 80 against FIU, but that's to be expected against the Golden Panthers. Cincinnati has gone under in 38 of their last 68 games and nine of their last 11 lined November games. I think this one is an under too. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Richmond OVER 144 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Richmond is 1-1 with two completely different efforts this season. The Spiders lost 63-58 to Longwood in their opener but followed it up with an 88-66 win over St. Francis NY. They go as Gilyard, Golden and Sherod go. This team wants to run a bit whenever they can and they play pretty awful defense. IUPUI has won two straight since falling 82-69 to Xavier in game one. Since then they beat Eastern Illinois 71-65 and won at Boston College 76-69 just a few days ago. Camron Justice, Evan Hall and Jaylen Minnett are the Jaguars leading scorers. Richmond has gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 23 of their last 37 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is an over. |
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11-16-18 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Northern Kentucky -16.5 | 50-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Norse are rolling early with five double digit scorers and a team that is crushing opponents at home. NJU has two lower level wins by 40 and 64 to go along with a three point victory at Northern Illinois. In each of those games they shot 49% or better from the field and played good defense as well. UNC Asheville has lost all of their starters from last year and are struggling to find consistency. They have a 40 point win vs. St. Andrews and a 51 point loss at NC State. NKU has been a very good favorite as of late and is covering games at a nice clip. I think they get another blowout win on Friday. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Dayton OVER 152.5 | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Mastodons are an over team and have done so in all three of their lined games. They are shooting almost 47% from the field and are allowing opponents to do the same. Jon Konchar is one of the best players in the country that people just don't know much about. They have scored 71, 112, 61 and 111 points this season. The problems have come on the other end allowing 107 to Ohio State and 96 to UCLA. Dayton will get Josh Cunningham back in the lineup. They beat Coppin State 76-46 and North Florida 78-70. Yes, the Flyers defensive nature scares me a bit in this one, but I think Fort Wayne will do a lot of the heavy lifting on both ends of the court. Fort Wayne has gone over in 18 of their last 25 games with the total in the 150s. I think that trend continues here. |
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11-16-18 | High Point v. South Dakota -7 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
South Dakota takes on High Point in a tournament. The Coyotes have a 16 point win over Northern Arizona and a 25 point victory over York-NE. This team has four double digit scorers led by Triston Simpson and Tyler Peterson. They are a very efficient team shooting well from the field. High Point is led by a potent duo of Brandonn Kamga and Jahaad Proctor who average over 32 points per game. High Point has lost by eight at home to Wofford and by 10 at William and Mary. South Dakota is a great favorite covering 27 of their last 40 games and 40 of their last 61 overall. I think they take care of business in this one. |
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11-15-18 | CS Bakersfield v. Central Michigan OVER 144.5 | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
A ton of returning talent is in this game as Central Michigan and Bakersfield play on a neutral court once again. Last year these two played a 75-72 CMU win in which both shot over 50% from the field. The Chippewas are running and gunning to the tune of over 90 points although the competition has been garbage so far. CMU has gone over in 39 of their last 59 contests. Bakersfield lost a low scoring game to TCU and then came back and crushed a lower level opponent. They've brought back all five starters from a team that struggled last year. The neutral court is a bit of a scary thing for this wager because it could take time to get used to the rims. UCSB has gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. I think we see a ton of points in this one. |
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11-15-18 | St. Joe's -3.5 v. Wake Forest | 89-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Hawks take on the Demon Deacons on a neutral court game on Thursday. Wake Forest beat North Carolina A&T 90-78 at home as a 21.5 point favorite. They got a balanced effort with six players scoring in double digits. This is a young team that has a ton of athleticism, but not a ton of depth. I'm also not a Danny Manning guy and will use that against this team in close games. The Hawks have wins already over ODU 79-64 and Monmouth 78-63. I really like the duo of Charlie Brown and Lamarr Kimble. He's got some help from the likes of Pierfrancesco Oliva and Taylor Funk. I like their depth and I like Coach Martelli in this matchup. Give me the team out of the A-10. |
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11-14-18 | Montana State v. Colorado State OVER 152.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is the rare combination of a good offensive team against a really bad defensive team. Colorado State is averaging 96 points per game and is shooting 53% from the field. They have six guys who average double digit points in wins over Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian. They want to get up and down the court and so far they have. Montana State's best player is Tyler Hall. They've lost 80-35 at Indiana and 101-71 to Utah State. The team's only win was 83-68 to a school called Presentation. I think we see both teams score tonight and this one sail over the total. |
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11-14-18 | Jacksonville State +7.5 v. Bradley | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The two teams are going in different directions record-wise, but the talent levels are about the same. The Gamecocks have lost 92-72 to Samford and 76-61 to Penn State. They are led by double-double man Jason Burnell with transfers Detrick Mostella and Ty Hudson also picking up the load. Bradley is 2-0 with wins over SEMO and Wisconsin Parkside. They play a lower scoring style with a really good defense. I think JSU can keep this close so give me the underdog in this one. |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Duke OVER 149 | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Duke is going to be a hard team to put down offensively. They could struggle a little early against the 2-3 zone of EMU, but the Eagles don't have the athletes or the talent to keep up. The Blue Devils are shooting over 50% from the field and are averaging over 100 points per game. They will get up and down the court with relative ease against the lesser opponents. Their problem is going to be a commitment to defense which they struggled in the first half against Army. EMU has a decent offense with some returning talent. They have beaten up on two lower level teams along with Drexel. They are averaging 80 points per game. I think we could see Duke crack 100 again and get this easily. |
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11-14-18 | Toledo v. Wright State OVER 143 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The money move is on the under, but I think there's some value now with the over considering how potent Toledo is. The Rockets are averaging 93 points per game while shooting nearly 56% from the field. They have a problem with defense as well so a team like Wright State who prefers a lower scoring game to put up some points. WSU has a 96-73 win over Western Carolina and is coming off a 73-54 loss at Murray State. I think this is a bit of a back and forth affair so I want to be on the over with late foul shooting potentially coming into play. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Oakland OVER 152 | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has struggled mightily on the defensive end so far allowing 83 points per game over their first two contests. The offense has come up a little bit short although the loss was at Ole Miss. Josh Davis, Bryce Moore and Seth Dugan are a solid trio of players who will stress the Golden Grizzlies. Oakland is replacing a bunch of their top scorers from last year so it's on the likes of Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais to take over. Oakland beat Kalamazoo 99-45, but lost to Toledo 87-86 last time out after the Rockets shot 60% from the field. Oakland is traditionally an over team and I think this trend continues on Tuesday. |
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11-13-18 | Rhode Island v. College of Charleston -1.5 | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cougars have begun the season 2-0 with an 85-73 win over Presbyterian and a 77-74 win at Western Carolina. Charleston has the potent duo of Grant Riller and Jarrell Brantley back along with senior point guard Marquise Pointer who may see the court for the first time this season. Last year they lost at Rhody 68-62 in a tight game throughout with both teams putting up close to the same stats across the board. Rhody put up an easy 97-63 home win over Bryant. They have lost a lot of talent from a 26 win team last season and have Jeff Dowtin and Fatts Russell to build around in the backcourt. At this point in the season, I'll lean to the more veteran Charleston team although Rhody could be better by the end of the year. |
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11-13-18 | Harvard v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
It's a battle for Boston as UMass hosts Harvard. The Minutemen have an eight point win over UMass-Lowell and a 29 point victory over New Hampshire. They have a really good inside-outside combo with Rashaan Holloway and Luwane Pipkens with Carl Pierre adding some stuff as well. The team has shot over 50% in both of their contests. Harvard has a 12 point win over MIT and a 10 point home loss to Northeastern. This is a squad that will be really good once Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns join the lineup but both are out indefinitely due to knee injuries. Their defense lacks a little bit of punch and the offense could struggle to keep up in this one. These two have played close games the last two seasons with Harvard winning by three at home in 2017 and UMass winning by four at home in 2016. I think they do it once again in 2018. |
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11-12-18 | UC-Davis v. Arkansas -15 | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
It was a tough one to swallow for Arkansas who lost 73-71 to Texas on the neutral court on Friday. The overtime did not treat the Razorbacks well in that one. They played some great defense at times holding the Longhorns to 31.3% shooting in the loss. Daniel Gafford is questionable with a neck problem, but I think he'll play in this one. Now they come home to face UC Davis who just lost by 34 and 19 at home to the likes of San Francisco and San Diego. They scored 57 and 42 points in those games with some horrific shooting and even worse from long range. This UC Davis team is really bad and should get swamped in Walton Arena. This will be a blowout. |
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11-12-18 | Troy State v. Pittsburgh -5 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
The Panthers are 2-0 in the season with two blowout victories. Pittsburgh is shooting 56.1% from the field while holding opponents to just 30.2%. Granted the victories came over VMI and Youngstown State, but I don't think Troy is that much better then them if they actually are. Troy lost by four at St Louis and has a 35 point win over Fort Valley State at home. Jordon Varnado is a very good player, but his help isn't that good. To me, Vegas is underwhelmed so far by the Panthers. I think they are underrating them a bit. I realize they were embarrassing last season, but there's new blood with Coach Capel at the helm. I think they take care of business in this one at home. |
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11-12-18 | Detroit v. Butler OVER 151.5 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
To me, this seems like a rather easy over for us to hit. Butler won their first game 90-68 at home shooting 60.3% from the field. The Bulldogs are replacing a bunch of players from last year so they are still trying to work things out. In comes Detroit who has allowed an average of 86 points so far this season. Opponents are shooting nearly 47% from the field against them. The one thing I really like about the Titans is Antoine Davis who scored over 30 against Temple. He's instant offense. Butler has gone over in 20 of their last 31 home games. I think this one is an over with these two scoring at will on one another. |
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11-11-18 | Appalachian State v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Alabama beat Southern 82-62 in their first game of the season. In that one we saw a balanced effort with four players putting up double digits led by Donta Hall's 20 points. John Petty chipped in with 17 while Tevin Mack and Galin Smith each added 10. App State beat Mars Hill 125-62 in their opener with Justin Forrest, Ronshad Shabazz and Adrian Delph all doing their part. This team is a veteran bunch that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. The Mountaineers have the balance and the depth to push the pace and make this closer then people would think. Over half of the Crimson Tide's roster is freshmen and sophomores. I think this total is a little low and the underdog might be worth a look too. |
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11-11-18 | Appalachian State +14 v. Alabama | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Alabama beat Southern 82-62 in their first game of the season. In that one we saw a balanced effort with four players putting up double digits led by Donta Hall's 20 points. John Petty chipped in with 17 while Tevin Mack and Galin Smith each added 10. App State beat Mars Hill 125-62 in their opener with Justin Forrest, Ronshad Shabazz and Adrian Delph all doing their part. This team is a veteran bunch that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. The Mountaineers have the balance and the depth to push the pace and make this closer then people would think. Over half of the Crimson Tide's roster is freshmen and sophomores. I think this total is a little low and the underdog might be worth a look too. |
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11-11-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Ohio State OVER 151.5 | 61-107 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
The Mastadons are an over team because they score and they play literally no defense. The team beat Earlham College 112-51 after allowing a boatload of points to UCLA. Now Ohio State, doesn't necessarily want to run, but I think they'll find it rather easy to get to the basket. They played a very low scoring game with Cincinnati as their opener so at home, they'll want to open things up a bit. The starting five features four guys who put up double digits in their first contest. This one should go over the total with OSU potentially hitting in the 80s or 90s. |
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11-10-18 | Ball State v. Purdue OVER 145 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are coming in off wins last time out. Purdue crushed Fairfield 90-57 in a game that saw the Stags struggle to score and the Boilermarkers flashing their depth. Ball State picked up an 86-69 win and will be a team I'll be on often this year. They've got several returning starters in Tahaj Teague, Taylor Persons and more. They like to get up and down, but struggle a bit on the defensive end because of that. Ball State has gone over in 35 of their last 57 games including 16 of 26 when the total is in the 140s. They've also gone over in 14 of their last 18 lined non-conference games. Purdue will try to slow this game down a bit, but I think they'll find it easy to get some buckets. I think this one is an over. |
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11-10-18 | Western Michigan v. Ole Miss OVER 144 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Michigan picked up a win 89-76 over Detroit Mercy already this season. They'll take a step up in competition when they travel to Oxford to play Ole Miss in their first game under Kermit Davis. The Broncos have a lot of talent to make this interesting. Seth Dugan and Josh Davis are a pretty solid duo in the front court. Bryce Moore is the third starter, but he's out until December. Ole Miss won their exhibition game 101-52 over Fayetteville State and went 3-1 in Canada in August. Kermit wants his teams to play defense, but don't mind to run when possible. I think this one goes over the total with a chance that the underdog may be worth a look. |
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11-10-18 | Evansville v. Xavier -19 | 85-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Evansville is in for a long and rough year this season. They are coming off a 99-60 loss to Illinois last time out as the Illini shot 56.3% from the field in the win. The Purple Aces lost a ton of talent from last year and will look to get running behind Walter McCarty who is the team's new head coach. Xavier won their first game 82-69 over IUPUI. Tyrique Jones and Ryan Welage did a lot of the work in that one. There's a chance that Quentin Goodin could make his season debut and he's a point guard to help the offense run smoother. November has been good for the Musketeers who have covered 11 of their last 15 in the month. They should be able to get whatever they want and gather some momentum entering a matchup with Wisconsin. |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro v. LSU OVER 144 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
LSU is feeling good after a 94-63 win to start out the season. The Tigers shot almost 50% from the field and held their opponent to just 18 points in the first half. This is a deep team with Tremont Waters and Naz Reid out there. They want to get up and down the court whenever they can. UNC Greensboro was one of the slowest teams in the country last year, but they won their first game 74-66 against North Carolina A&T. They were losing in the first half and played better in half #2. This is a veteran team that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. They struggle to get their pace on the road where they've gone over in 15 of their last 28. I think this one is an over. |
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11-09-18 | VMI v. Pittsburgh -13 | 55-94 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
The Panthers picked up a win in their first game 69-53 holding their opponent to just 26.9% shooting from the field. Pittsburgh's offense was a little bit balanced and while I don't see much of a season for them, I think they should beat up on the bad teams on their slate. VMI got an 89-56 win over their lower level opponent. Still, I don't see them getting consistent scoring from a lot of guys. Last year the Keydets lost by 35 to NC State, 16 to Duquesne, 23 to Davidson and by 10 at VCU. I think this one is around there and Pitt gets the cover. |
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11-09-18 | Detroit +20 v. Temple | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
I know Detroit isn't that good, but they can score with Josh McFolley, Gerald Blackshear Jr and Antoine Davis. They lost 89-76 at Western Michigan so the lack of defense they had last year has continued into 2018. Temple is coming off a 75-67 win at home against La Salle in which the defense had it's issues. Shizz Alston and Quinton Rose had a solid game and should be able to find theirs. Temple has covered just 11 of their last 28 home games and has been a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points just 14 times since 1997. They aren't exactly a team that blows opponents out that much. I feel like they can win this one easily, but maybe to the tune of 10 or 12...not 20. |
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11-09-18 | Toledo v. Oakland OVER 155 | 87-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
It's game one for two of the higher scoring teams in the country from 2017 on Friday. These two played an 87-74 game in Toledo last season. Oakland has lost most of it's top talent from last year and will be building around Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais along with Brailen Neely. This team loves to get up and go and even with less offensive talent, I still think they'll do so. They've struggled with defense in the past and will do so against Jaelan Sanford and Luke Knapke who will be patrolling the middle once again. This one should see some fantastic pace so the over is worth a look. |
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11-09-18 | Missouri +6.5 v. Iowa State | 59-76 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Iowa State won their first game 79-53 to Alabama State this season. They got a balanced effort from their team, but will be without Zoran Talley and Cameron Lard who were suspended for a month. Lard is a pretty nice inside player who would be needed in this matchup. Lindell Wigginton is dealing with a foot injury meaning three starters could be out. Missouri won 68-55 despite getting only two points from Kevin Puryear. The Tigers have the advantage on the inside with Tilmon and because of that it could open up some shots for the other guys. Iowa State has only covered 13 of their last 27 home games. I think Missou is worth a look on the road. |
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11-09-18 | Wichita State v. Providence -4.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Wichita State may become a better team later on in the season, but for now im fading them whenever I can. The Shockers lost at home 71-58 to Louisiana Tech in a game that saw them shoot just 37% from the field. It's Markis McDuffie and everyone else as far as I'm concerned. We'll see how good of a coach Gregg Marshall is with how this team develops. Providence beat Siena 77-67 at home scoring 50 points in the first half. There are some question marks with the Friars but for one game they answered them. They are led by Alpha Diallo and Emmitt Holt. As I said, i'm fading the Shockers early on until they figure it out. |
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11-08-18 | Chicago State v. Notre Dame OVER 148.5 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Chicago State's defense leaves a lot to be desired. They gave up 104 points to the Hoosiers last time out and could see that kind of output from the Irish who are running a free easy style of offense. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-06-18 | South Alabama +20 v. Auburn | 58-101 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jaguars enter this one with four starters back led by Rodrick Sikes and Josh Ayayi. They also have a couple of solid transfers coming in in Kory Holden and Tashombe Riley. If they can fix their turnover issues and take better shots then they should be able to hang in there with the Tigers. Auburn has some injury concerns and will be without Danjel Purifoy for this one. Samir Doughty may play, but who knows how effective he'll be. Bryce Brown and Anfernee McLemore are their leading scorers and should be tough. There's a small chance they'll be looking ahead to nationally ranked Washington in game two. USA has covered 15 of their last 27 road games. I think this one is close and high scoring. Give me the underdog. |
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11-06-18 | SE Missouri State v. St. Louis -19 | 65-75 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
The Billikens are getting a ton of hype thrown their way as the team returns the core and brings in several transfers and freshmen to add to their depth. St. Louis won this game 78-48 at home last year and it was against a better Redhawks team as well. They had Denzel Mahoney who has transferred to Creighton. This means it's now Ledarrius Brewer's team and he's just a Sophomore. They've covered 19 of their last 30 home games and 12 of their last 17 as a favorite. This is a big number, but I think SLU kills the competition in this one. |
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11-06-18 | Louisiana Tech +10 v. Wichita State | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech comes into this one as the more experienced team despite having only one senior. Derric Jean leads the way with a healthy DaQuan Bracey in the backcourt. The team has some good size inside and won't be that intimidated by this hostile atmosphere. The Shockers lost a ton of talent with just four scholarship players. The leader is now Markis McDuffie who showed in the exhibition game that he has some stuff to learn still. We'll see if Teddy Allen gets clearance for this one, but it looks like he won't. Wichita State has covered just once the last three seasons when the total is in the 150s. Their offense could struggle to keep up if their defense doesn't hold the Bulldogs done. The road team is worth a look in this one. |
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11-06-18 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 147 | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Defense was not really the calling card for either Temple or La Salle last season although the Owls did flash some at times last season. The Explorers return Pookie Powell who was one of their best scorers averaging almost 17 points per game. Traci Carter gets involved as well after coming over from Marquette. Isiah Deas, Saul Phiri and Jamir Moultrie are some other weapons. Temple has more returning talent led by Quintin Rose and Shizz Alston. They'll have the backcourt advantage, but the questions come in the front court where they'll have to replace Obi. Last year this game was a 87-83 Explorers home win with the two teams playing a 97-92 game at Temple in 2016. Temple has gone over in 22 of their last 34 games as a favorite. La Salle has gone over in 19 of their last 28 contests when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is close and higher scoring. |
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11-06-18 | Chattanooga v. Charlotte UNDER 143 | 80-69 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Ron Sanchez comes over to coach a very young Charlotte team who saw a lot of talent depart. He is going to bring the pack line defense to the team and a much much slower pace. He realizes that they don't have the talent to keep up with most teams unless he reduces the number of possessions. Chattanooga is another young team that wouldn't mind playing a slower game. These two played in Chattanooga in December of 2017 with the Mocs winning 64-50. Chattanooga has gone under in 16 of their last 28 on the road. I think this one goes under the total. |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 103 h 28 m | Show | |
Villanova has been steamrolling opponents throughout this tournament and are doing so with an offense that hasn't even been at their best and a defense that has been maligned at times this year. The Wildcats have wins of 12, 12, 23 and 26 in this tournament so far and that's even with them struggling to shoot in two of the victories. The common thread has been holding opponents to under 42% shooting from the field. Jalen Brunson and Mikal Bridges have gone back and forth this season being the best player on the team and they are two of SIX double digit scorers. Omari Spellman has shown a lot as the team's big man along with Eric Paschall on the inside. It's very hard to shut them down, because so many players are threats on the roster.
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5 v. Michigan | 57-69 | Loss | -101 | 101 h 49 m | Show | |
Two efficient offenses will take the court first on Saturday against two very good defenses. Michigan is shooting 47% from the field while averaging 74.1 points per contest. Their opponent is hitting shots at a 50.9% rate while averaging 72 points per game. Both of these teams have done it all season long so this really shouldn't be a surprise.
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1 v. Kansas State | 78-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago continues to be a great story in the NCAA Tournament. The Ramblers have lived a bit on the edge with all of these close victories, but it's made them tougher to beat because their confidence has to be high. They've got extreme balance with a bunch of go-to players who are all deadly from various parts of the court. Kansas State has a bit of a South Carolina feel from last year as they rely on their defense to get them through games. To me, I'm going with the underdog in this one. The Ramblers have covered 20 of their 26 games against teams with a winning record. Dean Wade has tried to play for KSU, but has done so only in spurts. If he was fully healthy, then I'd probably go with Kansas State, but since he's not, I'm going with the underdog out of the MVC in this one. |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. Michigan | 72-99 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
The Aggies have looked very good winning five of their last six. People forget how good they were back in November and have had stretches where injuries and suspensions prevented them from being full strength. They outmuscled North Carolina and have shot 50% or better in each of their tournament wins. This team has the size advantage and if they get Moritz Wagner in foul trouble, they should feast on John Teske. The guard play has been very good too and we're finally getting the A&M we expected. Michigan needed a miracle shot to get by Houston after knocking off Montana. The Wolverines offense has had it's issues, but the defense continues to be strong. I expect this to be a lower scoring game and like to side with the underdog in that situation. |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Nevada | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
The Ramblers out of the MVC continue to play the way they did to get to the tournament as they knocked off Miami and Tennessee. They got two buzzer beaters in order to knock off their Power 5 opponents. Loyola-Chicago shot it really well from the field and held both the Vols and the Canes to just 62 points. The team does it with balance with five different double digit scorers. They have more depth then Nevada who has to be feeling good after a huge comeback win over Cincinnati. Nevada relies on the Martin brothers as they play just six players total. The Wolf Pack prefer a higher tempo game, but I don't think they will get that in this one. They shot the ball well in each game, but Texas and Cincy didn't do much to stop them. The Ramblers haven't been an underdog a lot this season, but they've covered in a lot of those situations. I think they can win this one outright on Thursday. |
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03-18-18 | Clemson +1.5 v. Auburn | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
Short of it was that I was not impressed with Auburn against Charleston. If the Cougars had cleaned up the turnovers, the Tigers would have lost by a ton. Auburn's lack of size is going to hurt them here as Clemson will pound the glass. I think the ACC's Tigers are the better team and will get the victory so any kind of points are good. |
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03-18-18 | Texas A&M v. North Carolina OVER 151 | 86-65 | Push | 0 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
UNC plays with a ton of pace and wants this game to be an up and down affair. I also think they have a weakness on defense that can be overcome with their good offense. The Aggies prefer the slow down game, but have been sped up at times by teams who want to push. Both teams have a lot of weapons so I like the over. |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island v. Duke OVER 149 | 62-87 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Quick writeup. URI will struggle with Duke's bigs while the Blue Devils will struggle to slow down the likes of Terrell and Matthews. Neither team minds playing with some pace so I think this one goes over the total with the underdogs worth a look if the line goes up. |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Auburn has lost four of six and five of its last nine games entering the tournament. The Tigers just haven't been the same team without Anfernee McLemore, who represented a lot of the team's size. Now this is not to discount their guards because the group is fantastic, but a lot of times size is where the differences are between the major and the mid-major teams. The defense has been horrible down the stretch and that's not good against a Charleston team that can score. Now, it's a concern that the Cougars have had their issues defensively and I don't know if they can keep up in a higher-scoring game. Still, with a spread this large, I think we're getting a bit of a cushion. I really like Grant Riller, Joe Chealey and Jarrell Brantley as a trio. I like the underdogs in this one. |
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03-15-18 | Buffalo v. Arizona OVER 158 | 89-68 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Buffalo takes a major step up in competition in this matchup with the Pac-12 regular-season and tournament champions. The Bulls have been strong on offense this season, scoring at least 70 points in every game but two (St. Bonaventure, Cincinnati). Buffalo has four double-digit scorers and will want to push the pace. The problem is that they really don't have anyone to match up with Wildcats freshman phenom Deandre Ayton. That means they'll probably try to double him which should lead to open shots and easy scoring opportunities for his teammates. Arizona has a nice under stretch as of late because of its defense. When the Wildcats have played some of the faster-paced conference games, the team didn't mind running step for step with their opponent. I think we can pencil them in for 80-90 points which means Buffalo doesn't have to do as much heavy lifting. This one should go over the total. |
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03-15-18 | Alabama v. Virginia Tech OVER 141 | 86-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is one of the most intriguing matchups in the first round as the Hokies are a fun team to watch and Crimson Tide point guard Collin Sexton is absolutely killing it as of late. Virginia Tech is averaging almost 80 points per game while shooting 49.8 percent from the field. Justin Robinson has a bunch of shooters around him and very little size as well. The team's defense has been hot and cold as evidenced by the great first half against Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament followed by a horrible second half. The Hokies are in the midst of a stretch of nine straight unders so I think we're getting a value in terms of the total. Alabama goes as Sexton goes. The heralded freshman is averaging 19 points per game while Donta Hall and John Petty also chip in with more than 10 per contest. The Crimson Tide have lost six of their last eight entering this one. Their offense is capable of scoring and their defense certainly has struggled down the stretch. I think we're getting a close game and an over on the total. |
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03-15-18 | Davidson +5.5 v. Kentucky | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm going to take the chance with the Wildcats out of the A-10 in this one. Davidson has won four straight and eight of its last nine and it's because of an improving defense and the likes of Kellan Grady and Peyton Aldridge. Grady may be one of the more underrated freshmen in the country seeing as though he's coming out of the A-10. Coach Bob McKillop also deserves a lot of credit and you know he'll have his team ready. Kentucky is the youngest team in the country and these Wildcats are hard to figure out. Yes, they just ran through the SEC, but can we depend upon them to be consistent? They'll have the athletic edge in this one but the loss of Jarred Vanderbilt will hurt a bit. They won three straight at the end of January, but then lost four straight before righting the ship again. Kentucky is 12-12 against the spread as a favorite this season. I'll take a chance with the upstart team to punch the favorite in the mouth. |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State +8 v. Ohio State | 73-81 | Push | 0 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
I think the Jackrabbits are a really scary team. They have won 11 straight and are playing some incredible basketball right now. Mike Daum is averaging a double-double with 23.8 points and 10.4 rebounds per game. He can beat you in so many ways and is not a bad from the free-throw line either. David Jenkins Jr. and Reed Tellinghuisen are other double-digit scorers with several other threats as well. Early on in the season, they lost by only 10 points at Wichita State and picked up wins away from home against Ole Miss and Buffalo. Ohio State has lost three of its last five with two of those defeats courtesy of Penn State. The Buckeyes have plenty of talent of their own, but they've also struggled with small forwards this season. They've only covered 11 of their 24 contests this season against teams with a winning record. I just think this could be a closer game with the potential for an upset. |
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03-14-18 | BYU v. Stanford -2.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
The Cardinal have won five of their last seven entering round one of the NIT as they host BYU. Stanford has only played two home games since February 8th so they'll be glad to be home where they've won six of their last seven. Reid Travis, Dorian Pickens, Daejon Davis and Kezie Okpala are the team's double digit scorers. I like the Cardinal's balance as a whole. BYU has split their last six games and have struggled on the road where they lost at San Diego, Loyola Marymount and Pacific. The Cougars really don't have too many tournament quality wins this season. They have some decent scorers, but I think Stanford is happy to be in the NIT. I'll take the home team in this one. |
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03-13-18 | Florida Gulf Coast +10.5 v. Oklahoma State | 68-80 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Another pair of teams that are disappointed are playing in Oklahoma State as the Cowboys host Florida Gulf Coast. Reading articles, FGCU is definitely disappointed but they are turning the page and are excited to get a crack at Oklahoma State. The Eagles have some talent in Brandon Goodwin, Zach Johnson and Christian Terrell. They are really athletic and shoot nearly 50% from the field. FGCU already has played at Rhode Island, Wichita State, Texas Arlington and Middle Tennessee this season. The Cowboys coach has been making the rounds on ESPN TV and radio complaining about not making the tournament and if he's frustrated then you've got to think that his players will be too. I'm expecting a decent atmosphere as the fans try to give them motivation. Still, I think this is a lot of points for a live underdog who will be excited to play this one. |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +7.5 v. Louisville | 58-66 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky has to be disappointed to be in the NIT after their early loss in the Horizon League tournament. The Norse fell to Cleveland State in that one. Still, the team has won eight of their last 10 and gets a crack at a Louisville team that reportedly voted against playing in the NIT due to an emotionally draining season. They didn't really want to play anymore and wanted to go into the offseason. Quite often in the NIT, you get home teams who just don't want to be there and it shows on the court. NKU probably would have fit that category but playing an ACC school will be motivation enough. Drew McDonald, Lavone Holland II and Carson Williams are a very good trio. The Norse lost by six at Texas A&M and by two at Memphis earlier in the season. I think they can keep it close in this one as well. |
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03-11-18 | Texas-Arlington +2 v. Georgia State | 61-74 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Sometimes conference tournaments give underpeforming teams a chance to get back to what they were supposed to be. The Mavericks have won five straight and eight of their last 10. They were supposed to run away with this conference with the likes of Kevin Hervey and Erick Neal. Johnny Hamilton comes over from Virginia Tech and is solid in the middle. Kaelon Wilson is another double digit scorer for them. The offense is rolling right now and one of those wins came over GSU 89-81 at home on 2/24. They did lose to them on the road on 1/25 81-75 in a game that saw them shoot pretty poorly. The Panthers are led by D'Marcus Simonds and his 21.4 points per game. Georgia State has won three straight after a stretch of four losses in five games. The Panthers defense was not very good over that stretch. |
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03-10-18 | USC v. Arizona -3 | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the better team that I perceive in this matchup. Arizona has won four straight and has dealt with a lot this season on and off the court. It seems like they are dealing with it well and are embracing almost the heel role that they have. The team did go into overtime last night so that's a bit of a concern, but I think they can handle it. They've won three straight by double digits and already own an 81-67 win over USC back on February 10th. With Trier, Alkins and Ayton they will be tough to handle especially if Ayton can stay out of foul trouble. USC has played well in their two games against the Oregon schools in this tournament. It's a shame they lost Bennie Boatwright as this is a pretty good roster. They pride themselves on their defense and that's what they'll use to stay in this game. I think the Wildcats are the better team though so I'll take them to win the PAC-12 tournament. |
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03-10-18 | Grand Canyon v. New Mexico State OVER 133 | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
It's meeting number three between these two schools with New Mexico State taking the first two 74-70 at home and 70-59 on the road. In each game we saw the score at halftime be 74 points which means the two teams were able to score the ball. The Aggies crushed GCU on the boards winning 50-25 and 56-37 in the two contests. That means New Mexico State will be able to get some easy buckets inside. The Aggies rely heavily on Zach Lofton and Jermerrio Jones who are the two double digit scorers. Jones in particular dominated on the inside this season averaging 13 rebounds per contest. Their two WAC tourney games were 84-79 and 97-70 scores so they can get up and down the court a bit. The team has scored 78 or more in five straight and six of their last seven. Grand Canyon has five guys who put up eight points per game or more per contest. The Antelopes have played two games in the WAC tourney with them being 75-60 and 77-74 scores. Both play with a medium pace according to KenPom. I think we could see this one go over the total. |
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