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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-17 | Ohio v. Marshall -2.5 | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Marshall has won three straight and five of their last six entering this one against Ohio. The Herd have a great offense with three games over 100 and two others over 90. Jon Elmore, CJ Burks and Ajdin Penava are a great trio averaging nearly 60 points per contest. The defense is not very good, but it can be as they held Chattanooga and Akron to under 70 points at home already this month. The Bobcats have lost their only true road game at Maryland 87-62. They've struggled to keep up with higher scoring teams losing to Iona and Clemson. Their defense is pretty bad as well. Marshall is 25-13 against the spread the last three seasons as a favorite and 18-11 at home. Last year, they won 98-88 at home and have taken 7 of their last 12 at home in this series. I think they are the better team. |
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12-16-17 | Troy State v. Arkansas -18.5 | 63-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Troy hits the road to play Arkansas on Saturday. They are really a one player team with Jordon Varnado injured. Wesley Person is shouldering the load at 20.3 points per game. He doesn't have much help other Alex Hicks also averaging double digits. The Trojans lost by 18 at Southern Miss as a three point favorite and lost by 12 at home to UAB as a one point favorite. People will point to their eight point loss at Kentucky, but that was with Varnado. The Razorbacks are rolling especially at home where they have wins of 16, 26, 8, 28 and 39. There is no lookahead factor here and being off for a week spaces out the win over Minnesota that I'm sure they are really happy about. Arkansas has covered 23 of their last 41 games as a favorite. I think this is a blowout. |
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12-16-17 | Tennessee-Martin +16.5 v. Mississippi State | 61-92 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Skyhawks have won two straight entering this one against Mississippi State. They've also played Chattanooga (lost by 3) and Illinois (lost by 3) tough on the road. Matthew Butler and Fatodd Lewis average more then 10 points per game. Mississippi State is coming off a 65-50 loss to Cincinnati. They've gotten fat and happy off bad opponents this season. The problem with MSU is that they play down to their competition at times failing to cover at home against Dayton, Jacksonville State and Green Bay. I think the team out of the OVC can keep things close in this one. |
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12-16-17 | New Mexico State +5.5 v. Illinois | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Aggies hit the road to play Illinois on Saturday. Zach Lofton has been a huge pickup as a transfer as he's averaging nearly 19 points per game while shooting over 50% from the field. Jemerrio Jones, A.J. Harris and Sidy Ndir are also pretty solid players. New Mexico State has two wins over New Mexico to go with two victories over UTEP. The losses were to San Diego and St. Mary's. Illinois is most likely without LeRon Black again. They've lost four of their last six to UNLV, Maryland, Northwestern and Wake Forest. The Illini are beating the teams they are supposed to, but are not playing good basketball right now. Next up is the big game with Missouri so focus could be an issue. I'll take the "road" team in this neutral court game. |
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12-16-17 | James Madison v. Florida International OVER 141 | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
James Madison is getting so close to putting it together as they travel to Florida to play FIU. The Dukes have lost four of their last five, but those losses were by 3, 2, 4 and 1 with three of those on the road. The offense is getting better, but the defense is still porous. They've given up 69 points or more in every game except for one against Bridgewater in the opener. FIU is kind of the same team as JMU with an offense that has performed, but also a defense that has struggled at times against potent teams. North Florida put up 87, South Carolina 78 and Elon 95 already this season. The lower point spread means a tighter game late and foul shots and the even better chance to go over. The Golden Panthers have gone over in both their lined home games and 14 of their last 23 there. Give me the over in this one. |
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12-16-17 | Manhattan v. Tulsa OVER 144 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Manhattan has not gone over a single total yet this year. The Jaspers are shooting 46.3% from the field, but their defense has been leaky. They prefer their games in the 60s, but it's hard to install your tempo on the road. Manhattan has played just one true road game losing 70-57 to Fordham. They've scored 70 or more four times this season with a lot of contests played on neutral courts. Tulsa is quite the opposite as they want a faster game and don't mind shootouts. At home they've scored 77, 100, 92, 90 and 67 already this season. Their offense is quite balanced, and the defense can be quite leaky. Tulsa has gone over in 24 of their last 37 games as a favorite. Junior Etou and Sterling Taplin are a great duo. I think this one should go over that total. |
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12-16-17 | Appalachian State v. Ohio State OVER 152.5 | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Ohio State's looking to move their win streak to four after a 97-62 win over William and Mary last week. Their offense has been spectacular and there's a chance that Kyle Young and Micah Potter are available as well. They've played good defense as well this season. App State has no interest in playing defense especially on the road. They are coming off a 94-89 loss at Akron. They've also allowed 85 at VCU, 105 at James Madison and also gave up 104 to Iowa State on a neutral court. The good thing for them is that their offense is capable of scoring a bit. They've put up 70 or more in seven straight games. I think the Buckeyes crack the 80 or 90 point mark in this one. |
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12-16-17 | Oakland v. Michigan State OVER 150 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Michigan State takes on Oakland on a neutral court on Saturday. Sparty is averaging over 80 points per game and is shooting nearly 50% from the field. They play some fantastic defense although that has struggled against the better offenses they've played. Oakland has some talent with Martez Walker and Jalen Hayes accounting for over 40 points per contest. Their defense is terrible having allowed 102 to Kansas, 74 to Syracuse and 87 to Toledo. Sparty took this game last year 77-65 and 99-93 two years ago. I think Michigan State does a lot of the heavy lifting and this one goes over the total. |
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12-16-17 | Wright State v. Toledo OVER 139.5 | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Toledo is hosting Wright State on Saturday afternoon. The Rockets are getting Willie Jackson on the court for the first time and it will help an offense that has rock and rolled a lot this season. They've scored 70 points or more in three straight and four of their last five. Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Jaelan Sanford combine for 35.3 points per game. Wright State will add Cole Gentry to their lineup. They play fantastic defense and slow the pace down although it's been hard for both to occur on the road. The Raiders lost 78-60 at Western Kentucky, 73-67 at Miami-Ohio and 84-80 at Loyola-Chicago. Grant Benzinger is one of three double digit scorers with three others scoring nine points per game or more. Last year these two played a 82-78 game. I don't think we see that many points, but I do see it as an over. |
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12-15-17 | Dartmouth +7 v. Illinois-Chicago | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Dartmouth is 3-4 on the season and is coming off a 73-66 win at Maine last week. They lost star Evan Boudreaux right before the season and Guilien Smith recently as well. In Boudreaux's place we see four double digit scorers giving the Big Green solid balance on the season. They have a six point loss at Sacred Heart, a 13 point loss at Canisius and a 1 point loss at Quinnipiac on the road. UIC has just three wins on the season over Wisconsin-Parkside, Delaware State and NC Central. At home, the Flames have lost to Fort Wayne and St. Joe's. The offense isn't very good with Dikembe Dixson and Marcus Ottey leading the way. The loss of Tarkus Ferguson isn't good. UIC has been a favorite just 11 times the last three seasons, covering four of them. |
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12-14-17 | South Dakota v. Northern Arizona OVER 144.5 | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
NAU is one of the worst teams in college basketball. Teams are shooting nearly 50% against them this season. Their two wins have come against San Diego Christian and Cal-State Bakersfield. They lost by 12 at home to Embry Riddle who is not a division one program. Just once have they allowed less then 70 points so you have to think a potent South Dakota offense should find some success. The Coyotes are 9-3 this season with losses at Duke, TCU and against Northern Colorado. They've scored 75 points or more in all but two games so far this season. Their defense is pretty good although it has struggled on the road allowing 96 at Duke, 76 at TCU and 79 at Bowling Green. They've gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games. I think this one is an over too. |
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12-13-17 | Denver v. Northern Colorado OVER 140 | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Northern Colorado is 7-3 on the season and a lot of that is because of their offense that has scored 80 or more five times this season. They are averaging over 70 possessions per game which puts them in the middle of the pack. Denver has won three of their last four and can be efficient on offense themselves. They've scored 80 or more three times with none of those coming on the road. The Pioneers want to play a bit slower, but have been unable to do so in their two true road games losing 79-71 to Florida Gulf Coast and 89-62 to Colorado. Now, the Bears aren't as good as either of those two teams, but I think they can push the pace. Five of the last eight meetings between the two have gone over the total. Denver has gone over in 17 of their last 29 road games. I think this one is as well. |
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12-13-17 | Western Kentucky +7.5 v. Wisconsin | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
WKU is not the deepest team in the world but they have six double digit scorers. The Toppers have wins over SMU and Purdue already and an eight point loss to Villanova. The team's losses were to the Wildcats, Missouri State and Ohio which came last time out. Darius Thompson and Coleby are two grad transfers from major programs. The Badgers aren't quite themselves and have lost four of their last five with the win coming by one over Penn State. They've already lost at home to Marquette, Ohio State and Xavier. With Kobe King and D'Mitrik Trice both on the sidelines, more and more is expected for Ethan Happ who is one of the best big men in the country. |
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12-13-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Bradley UNDER 129 | 46-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
One of the better defensive teams plays one of the worst offensive teams as Bradley hosts UALR. The Braves are 7-2 and have gone under in eight games this season. It's because they are holding teams to 59.9 points per game and 36.4% shooting. They've gone under in 20 of their last 30 at home including all four lined games there this season. Bradley isn't exactly gifted offensively, but they are certainly better then the Trojans who are shooting 40.8% from the field and scoring 63.2 points per game. They've scored 54, 52, 51 and 62 in their road games this season. UALR has gone under in 18 of their last 22 games as an underdog and 20 of their last 29 on the road. This one is an under and a low scoring affair. |
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12-12-17 | Green Bay v. Indiana State OVER 144.5 | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana State hosts Green Bay on Tuesday. ISU is 4-5 on the season and you can point to it's defense as a reason why. They are averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 75.4. Opponents actually shoot better from the field then they do. They've gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 19 of their last 30 as a favorite. Wisconsin Green Bay is 0-4 on the road and are allowing teams to shoot almost 50% from the field and average 87 points per contest. They are one of the fastest teams averaging over 70 possessions per game. When the total is in the 140's they've gone over in 15 of their last 20. I think this is a bad line. |
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12-10-17 | James Madison v. Richmond OVER 141 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of two lesser teams in college basketball right now. The Dukes have wins over Charlotte, App State and Bridgewater this season. Their offense has put up 75 or more six times this season and has allowed that many points five times. Richmond is allowing opponents to shoot over 50% for the season and that trend figures to continue on Sunday. The Spiders offense is pretty pathetic, but they've had some success at home where they did manage to put up 76 against Georgetown. I think the extra day off will take some of the starch out of the crowd |
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12-09-17 | San Jose State v. Portland OVER 142.5 | 55-64 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
A pair of middling teams play in Portland. The Pilots have lost five of their last six and are pretty awful defensively. They've allowed 70 points or less just three times this season. Josh McSwiggan, Franklin Porter and Marcus Shaver Jr are the team's leading scorers. San Jose State has just two wins this season over Idaho State and Antelope Valley. They have just just one double digit scorer in Ryan Welage who needs help from others. The Spartans have also struggled on defense against their better opponents. Last year these two teams played a 79-66 game. I think we could see a similar effort. |
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12-09-17 | Bowling Green +13.5 v. Old Dominion | 46-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Falcons head to Virginia to play ODU on Saturday. They have good balanced scoring led by Justin Turner and Dylan Frye who account for over 30 points per game. There are two others who put up double digits. The Falcons have wins at Norfolk State, Campbell and Drexel already. I'm not quite sure about this line as I think they are a competent team. ODU is 6-3 on the season, but they don't really have that good of a win beating Richmond, MD-Eastern Shore, Dayton, Indy State, JMU and Towson. Because of their scuffling offense, they play a lot closer games for the most part. Four of their contests were decided by single digits. ODU has covered just 12 of their last 28 home games. I think this one is a bit tighter then expected. |
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12-09-17 | UC-Santa Barbara +1.5 v. Montana State | 91-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
We've made a ton of money off the Gauchos and I think they are in a good spot against Montana State. The Bobcats are playing their third home game and have two non division one wins this season. They are led by Tyler Hall who is a very good player. UCSB has a lot more balance led by Max Heidegger. The team has won road games at San Francisco and Pepperdine already with losses to Texas A&M and Pittsburgh. Both teams could improve defensively and for that reason I think we see a lot of points. |
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12-09-17 | St. Joe's +9.5 v. Temple | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
It's a Big 5 battle as Temple hosts St. Joe's. The Hawks are 4-4 on the season and are coming off an embarrassing 41 point home loss to Villanova. They've also lost to Harvard, Washington State and Toledo. SJU needs Lamarr Kimble and Charlie Brown, but there is still some talent left over offensively. Temple is a hard team to figure because they have some good wins, but losses to GW and La Salle whom they were better then. There's also a huge game with Villanova next so there might be a chance that focus is an issue. The Hawks have covered nine of their last 17 at Temple and these two have played close contests a lot. I think this is too big of a spread. St. Joe has covered 18 of their last 26 on the road. |
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12-09-17 | Valparaiso +2 v. Ball State | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Ball State has won four in a row with the fourth being a road win at Notre Dame. In that one they won 80-77 doing all the little things right despite allowing the Fighting Irish to shoot 48.1% from the field. The team has a very potent offense, but is still leaky on defense which you cannot say for Valpo who is coming off their first loss of the season and it was a big one at Purdue. The Crusaders have allowed just one team to score over 70 points and have done fantastic against long range shooters. Tevonn Walker leads a good offense as well with a pair of seven footers to patrol the middle. Ball State has covered just eight of their last 31 as a favorite and nine of their last 28 at home. I think the road team is worth a look. |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary +14.5 v. Ohio State | 62-97 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
It was a rough start to the William and Mary season having lost two of their first three. Since then, they have won five straight including two on the road. The Tribe has put up over 100 three times this season during this streak as they are one of the best long range teams in the country. Nathan Knight is a solid complement as well on the inside. The Buckeyes are coming off a sweep of their Big 10 opening weekend beating Michigan and Wisconsin. They have lost to Clemson, Butler and Gonzaga this season and are a mixed bag in terms of playing defense. They've also been vulnerable to the long range bombers. OSU has covered just 13 of their last 36 non-conference games. I think that trend continues on Saturday. |
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12-09-17 | Marquette +6 v. Wisconsin | 82-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Frustration is starting to set in for Wisconsin who is 4-6 on the season so far. They host Marquette for their usual rivalry game on Saturday. They won at the Kohl Center two years ago and blew a five point lead in the first half last year against the Badgers. Outside of Ethan Happ, they don't have a ton of talent. Brad Davison and D'Mitrik Trice are both a little banged up, but will be available for this one. Marquette's offense is fantastic although this will be their first true road game of the season. They have losses to Georgia, Wichita State and Purdue already this season. I think they are the better team and can get the win in this one. |
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12-06-17 | CS-Fullerton v. Portland OVER 134.5 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Portland looks to slow down a losing skid of four of their last five. The Pilots wins have been over Walla Walla, Oregon Tech and Multnomah Bible with none of those being division one victories. They did lose three times in the PK80 giving up 82 to DePaul, 93 to Oklahoma and 102 to North Carolina. This team has a ton of size and not much of a commitment to the defensive side of the ball. That's quite the opposite of Cal State Fullerton who has won three straight and four of their last five. The Titans prefer a lower scoring game considering they've gone under in all five games so far this season that have had a line. This is their first true road game since losses at St. Mary's and USC. Kyle Allman, Jackson Rowe and Khalil Ahmad are double digit scorers. Last year this game was 77-72 in California. I think we could see some scoring in this one. |
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12-06-17 | Illinois State v. BYU OVER 144 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
BYU is trying to play a more deliberate style and so far at home it's resulted in two overs in their two lined games. The Cougars have put up over 70 five times and have allowed that much three times. Yoeli Childs and Elijah Bryant are each putting up over 16 points per game. Illinois State has struggled on defense on in their two true road games allowing 98 to Nevada and Florida Gulf Coast. Their offense has some potential although they are a really young team. Keyshawn Evans, Phil Fayne and Milik Yarbrough average almost 50 points per game. These two teams should play with some pace and I think it'll be close which means FTs and an over. |
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12-06-17 | Cal-Irvine v. Utah State OVER 139.5 | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Utah State is looking to end a two game losing streak as they host UC Irvine. The Aggies are playing just their fourth home game of the season. They've scored 66, 83 and 81 there. The problem has been defense which has allowed 70 points or more five times. Koby McEwen is back and that helps them out as he's an important piece. UC Irvine is coming off a home loss to Nevada and has won just three games this season. Their once vaunted defense has been shredded the majority of the season. They allowed 87 at UCLA, 99 at Arizona State, 71 at Kansas State and 69 at Denver. Still, the Anteaters are averaging 75.4 points per game. Utah State has gone over in 27 of their last 39 home games where the total is in the 130s. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 as a favorite. I think this one is an over. |
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12-06-17 | Princeton +4.5 v. George Washington | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
George Washington has won two straight entering this matchup against Princeton. They beat Morgan State then pulled off the neutral court win over Temple in which they shot 60%. Pardon me if that's not going to sway me on how good they are as the team has losses to Rider and Florida State and close victories over Howard and Hampton. Yuta Watanabe is the straw that stirs the drink. Princeton has an ugly record, but they have lost to Miami, Lehigh, St.Joe's, BYU and Butler so I'm not that worried about how good they are. Of concern is their lack of defense, but they have the offensive talent to overcome it. Devin Cannaday, Myles Stephens and Amir Bell are not a bad trio to ride with. GW has covered just 15 of their last 38 games as a favorite. I like the road team in this one. |
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12-06-17 | Hofstra +5.5 v. Monmouth | 85-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
It's a big regional battle as Hofstra takes on Monmouth. Hofstra has wins over Molloy, Dayton, Kennesaw State and Army this season while losing to Siena, Auburn and Clemson. They go as Justin Wright-Foreman, Eli Pemberton and Rokas Gustys take them as each are a dangerous player. The Pride can score, but they need to tighten up on the defensive side of the ball. Monmouth has lost four of their last five and is scheduled to play Kentucky this weekend. They are coming off a tough three point loss at UConn to along with losses to Penn, UNC Asheville and Virginia. Their wins are by 1 over Bucknell, by 8 over Lehigh and Albany. Micah Seaborn is the only double digit scorer, but there's some balance there. Hofstra has covered 16 of their last 26 on the road while Monmouth is 11-15 ATS in their last 27 at home. I think the road team is a live dog. |
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12-06-17 | Tennessee Tech +9.5 v. Dayton | 66-79 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Tennessee Tech is 7-2 on the season and traveling to play Dayton. They are averaging 84.6 points per game while shooting nearly 50% from the field. The record is a bit hollow with the lack of great competition although they did go into the Pit and beat New Mexico 104-96. Aleksa Jugovic is their leading scorer and is shooting 49% from long range. Curtis Phillips Jr and Kajon Mack are also solid scorers. Dayton is led by Darrell Davis and Josh Cunningham, but they need Xeyrius Williams who probably won't play in this one. The Flyers have lost two straight and three of their last four. They barely beat Ball State at home to open up the year and they lost by 13 to Auburn at home. UD Arena is no longer a guaranteed win for them. They've covered just 16 of their last 33 there. I think the road team is viable in this one. |
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12-05-17 | Colorado State v. Arkansas OVER 154 | 66-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
There should be plenty of pace in this one as Arkansas is coming off an embarrassing effort last time out. The Razorbacks lost 91-65 at Houston and has lost two of their last three. The offense hasn't had the success they had to start and the defense continued to be leaky. They allowed 91 to the Cougars and 87 to North Carolina. Colorado State is feeling good after a 72-63 home win over rival Colorado. They've shown some offensive punch and have also failed at defense. CSU allowed 89 to New Mexico State and 90 to Florida State. To me, this is a get right game for Arkansas who shoots 53.2% at home where they are averaging 93 points per game. I think this is an over. |
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12-05-17 | Ball State v. Notre Dame OVER 150 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Ball State's offense hits the road to play Notre Dame and their stout defense. The Cardinals are putting up 80.5 points per contest while they allow 81.2. Unfortunately their defense is not very good with opponents shooting 45.6% from the field. Notre Dame is coming off a 71-53 home win over St. Francis of NY. They've embarrassed some bad teams at home putting up 105 against Chicago State and 88 against Mount St. Mary's. BSU's step up in competition resulted in a 95-71 loss at Oregon, 108-69 at Oklahoma and 78-77 at Dayton. They have won three straight though including a 93-85 win at Indiana State. The Cardinals have gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games and 25 of their last 37 in contests against teams with a winning record. I think this one is another over. |
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12-03-17 | Bradley v. San Diego State OVER 135.5 | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Bradley's stiff defense gets a test in this one against an Aztecs team that is scoring 81.5 points per game. Trey Kell is expected back for this one after missing last game with an injury. The Braves want to slow things down, but it's hard to do on the road. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 road games. San Diego State has gone over in five of their six lined games overall. At home they've scored 94 against EIU, 83 vs. McNeese State and 91 vs. SD Christian. I think this one is going to go over the lower total. |
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12-03-17 | Portland v. Boise State OVER 141.5 | 54-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Portland is 3-4 on the season with some of the losses coming to DePaul, Oklahoma and UNC. The Pilots offense isn't terrible with Franklin Porter and Josh McSwiggan being their double digit scorers. The problem has been on defense where they've allowed over 80 points four times. This is their first true road game of the season against a Boise team who probably won't be 100% focused after their huge win at Oregon. The Broncos have a very good offense that is getting better with several options. This is all happening with Chandler Hutchison not being at his best either. I think focus is an issue and that this one will be higher scoring. |
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12-03-17 | Tulane v. North Carolina OVER 158.5 | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Tulane is 6-1 on the season and playing one of the faster tempos in the league. They are scoring nearly 80 points per game and are playing good defense, but the competition steps up big time here. They allowed 96 points to Long Island who is nowhere near the talent of the Heels. UNC's offense is cruising for the most part outside of a poor effort vs. Sparty. We've seen the Heels struggle on defense at times so I think this one is going to see a lot of points. Things could loosen up towards the end when the game is no longer in doubt too. The Green Wave have gone over in 28 of their last 45 games as an underdog. |
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12-02-17 | San Diego v. UC-Santa Barbara -2.5 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
UCSB continues their tour through the WCC as they play San Diego. They've already knocked off San Francisco and Pepperdine on the road this season and are getting just their third home game. They've won those two games with the losses coming at Texas A&M and Pittsburgh. The Gauchos start four seniors and have five players averaging double digits. They can beat you in a lot of different ways. San Diego is coming off an emotional loss to San Diego State at home and have not gotten a lot lately from Cameron Neubauer who is dealing with an ankle issue. Isaiah Pineiro and Olin Carter III are among their threats. UCSB has covered 14 of their last 20 as a favorite. I think they get the win here. |
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12-02-17 | Charlotte +2.5 v. James Madison | 82-87 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The 49ers are playing just their second true road game of the season as they play at James Madison on Saturday. Charlotte has won two of their last three and is coming off an 85-70 loss to Davidson. Jon Davis, Andrien White and Najee Garvin are the team's leading scorers. They're traveling to play JMU who has just two wins over App State and Bridgewater. They lost in heartbreaking fashion to George Mason last time out as they coughed up a lead in the last 10 seconds. This is still a very young team who is probably continuing to look for answers. JMU has covered just 12 of their last 31 home games. I think they could struggle in this one. |
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12-02-17 | Old Dominion v. VCU OVER 136 | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Monarchs once trusted defense has shown some cracks this season especially away from home. They gave up 79 at William and Mary allowing them to shoot 58.3% from the field and 76 to Temple down in Charleston. The teams they've shut down were pretty weak offensively. ODU's offense has put up over 70 in three straight and VCU's defense has been leaky especially against long range shooters. At home, the Rams have allowed 72 to App State, 76 to UVA, 85 to North Florida and 65 to Grambling. Justin Tillman and Brandan Stith inside will be an interesting matchup. VCU wants to run at home and they'll probably be able to do so as the Monarchs struggle to set tempo away from home. They've gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. This one usually sees a ton of fouls which will help as well. I think this is an over. |
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12-02-17 | South Florida v. Appalachian State OVER 140.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
A contrast in styles as ASU wants to get up and down while USF is one of the slower teams in the country. The Mountaineers have scored 90 or more four times this season and have already knocked off Davidson at home this season. They've got a lot of weapons to throw at an underwhelming USF team. The problem is on defense where they've been mighty leaky allowing 105 to JMU and 104 to Iowa State. The Bulls have struggled on the road this season losing to Elon and Indiana while beating Stetson. They've shown flashes of offensive success with four efforts of 70 points or more. It is a concern that they've also had 60 or less four times, but I think they get more points on the road then at home. |
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12-02-17 | Richmond v. Wake Forest OVER 146.5 | 53-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I'll continue to pound the over in Richmond games as long as they continue to fail miserably on defense. The Spiders have allowed every team but one to put up at least 70 and every one shot 50% or better except UAB. They struggle with size and athleticism and Wake has both of those. From time to time, the Spiders offense shows up too although they don't have a ton of consistent scorers outside of De'Monte Buckingham. Wake has put up 80 or more three times all at home, but they've also struggled allowing at least 70 to everyone except Quinnipiac. Wake has gone over in 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one gets played in the 70s or 80s. |
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12-02-17 | UC-Davis v. Washington State OVER 138 | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
We played the over in the UCD/Washington game and it hit for us and I'm going to do so again in this one. The Cougars are 6-0 and are averaging 82.7 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field. They managed to put up 84 on St. Mary's vaunted defense and 93 on San Diego State. Robert Franks and Malachi Flynn average over 36 points per game combined and will be tough for Davis to handle. Chima Moneke and Siler Schneider have been really good for the Aggies who have had their issues putting their pace in place on the road. They lost 77-70 at Washington and 80-71 at Utah Valley State. I think both teams find some offense and this one goes over the total. |
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12-02-17 | Youngstown State v. DePaul OVER 155 | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Two teams not interested in any defense play as DePaul hosts Youngstown State. The Penguins are allowing teams to shoot 50.3% from the field and 82.1 points per contest. Two opponents, Canisius and Kent State, actually managed to go over 100 points on them. The offense is very inconsistent, but as you'll see DePaul can be pretty leaky. The Blue Demons have allowed four opponents to score 70 or more. Their offense will probably get on track for this one. YSU has gone over in 18 of their last 30 road games and 31 of their last 53 as an underdog. This one should be a track meet. |
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12-01-17 | Boise State v. Oregon OVER 145.5 | 73-70 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
The Ducks will be without Troy Brown for this one due to a concussion. The Ducks are scoring at will on most of their opponents putting up 80 or more five times this season. Payton Pritchard and Elijah Brown lead the way with Paul White and Victor Bailey Jr also helping out. They play with a good pace and have had issues with defense as of late as well. The Broncos have four double digit scorers themselves led by Justinian Jessup. This is their first true road game of the year so I expect the defense to struggle. These two have played some close games in their series. Last year it was a 68-63 game and I expect more scoring in 2017. |
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11-30-17 | Weber State v. Fresno State OVER 141 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Weber State has gone over in 18 of their last 25 road games and that figures to happen again in this one. They've been putting up some good offensive numbers at times this season with Jerrick Harding and Ryan Richardson leading the way. The Wildcats helped me out big time in their win over James Madison. They've been bad on defense certain times this season. Fresno State is a potent bunch offensively with just one effort less then 75 points on the season. The Bulldogs have also had their issues with defense and for some reason continue to get lower totals even though they've gone over in four of their last five. I think this one sails over the total. |
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11-30-17 | NC-Wilmington -1.5 v. East Carolina | 88-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
East Carolina's coach just resigned and the team has lost four of their last five. ECU has home losses to North Carolina A&T, Radford and Central Connecticut State. Their two wins are Cleveland State and Coppin State which don't inspire much hope. The offense is very mediocre and they don't play any defense. UNC Wilmington is 2-3 and has lost to Valpo, Loyola Chicago and Davidson. Their offense is so potent that if they ever figure out defense, it'll be a lot more wins in their future. Jordon Talley, Devontae Cacok and Ty Taylor II are solid offensively. The Seahawks have covered 15 of their last 26 road games. ECU is so awful that I think they lose this one. The question is if the motivation will be there now that Coach Lebo is gone. |
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11-30-17 | North Texas v. Oklahoma OVER 155.5 | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma is fourth in KenPom's adjusted tempo measurement and third in average possession length at 13.1 seconds. The Sooners have been steamrolling teams offensively with four efforts of 90 points or more. They've also been a little bit leaky at times on defense allowing 80 or more three times. They shouldn't be threatened too much in this one by a North Texas squad that isn't that good. The Mean Green have wins over Grambling, Rogers State, Bethune Cookman and Eureka. They've struggled against any of their better competition, but UNT has gone over in 27 of their last 41 games as an underdog. This one is going to go over the total. |
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11-30-17 | Harvard +2 v. Northeastern | 61-77 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a battle for Boston as Harvard takes on Northeastern. Both teams have been somewhat disappointing this season with each sporting a losing record. Bryce Aiken, Seth Towns and Chris Lewis are a solid trio for the road team to rely on. They've got wins over St. Joe's, UMass and MIT to go along with tough losses so far this season. Northeastern has lost four straight with their wins coming over Wentworth and Boston. Harvard won last year 86-80 at home as a 2.5 point favorite in this one. Northeastern has covered just nine of their last 22 home games. I think the road team is a good play here. |
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11-29-17 | Louisiana Tech v. Alabama OVER 143 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech has not lost yet this season, but their schedule hasn't exactly been filled with tough teams. They've beaten Texas-Tyler, SEMO, Montana State, George Mason and Evansville. The constant so far was good defense and an offense that has potential. Outside of the game against the MVC, they scored 70 points or more. Alabama made headlines for nearly knocking off Minnesota with three players. They've been an offensive juggernaut led by Collin Sexton who has been awesome as a freshman. They've scored 70 points or more in every game and have played good defense too. I'm guessing this lower total is going to assume that effort continues. The Bulldogs have gone over in 16 of their last 25 road games and 11 of their last 15 as an underdog. I think this one goes over. |
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11-29-17 | Michigan v. North Carolina OVER 145.5 | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Michigan is a fascinating team in terms of how they play. They are coldly efficient offensively at times while they also play good defense. They've scored 70 or more in all but two contests and will need to do so against a potent UNC team that is hurting after the loss to Michigan State. The Wolverines have been fantastic defensively. The Tar Heels have scored 86 points or more in every game outside of the stinker against Sparty. To me, games in Chapel Hill are always faster pace and it's harder to play slower in that environment. The Wolverines have gone over in 17 of their last 22 road games. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-29-17 | Air Force v. Indiana State OVER 143.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
It's the Mountain West/Missouri Valley challenge as Indiana State hosts Air Force. The Falcons have lost two straight after three early wins. This is their second straight road game after losing 81-69 at Colorado. The Air Force offense has struggled to score at times, but they should be able to find their footing in this one. The problem has been their defense against some of the better opponents. The Sycamores are 2-4 on the season and are playing their third straight home game. ISU has not been able to capture the magic they had at Indiana to open up the year. This team's defense has allowed over 90 points twice an the offense has done so twice as well. When the total is in the 140s, Air Force has gone over in 19 of their last 29. ISU has gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. I think this one is an over. |
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11-29-17 | George Mason -122 v. James Madison | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
It's an interstate battle with George Mason taking on James Madison. The Patriots aren't deep but they do have five guys averaging nine points per game or more. Otis Livingston II and Jaire Grayer are two of the better scorers on this team. They've got some good rebounders. James Madison has been fade material for me a lot this season. They don't have a good offense and their defense is leaky too. JMU's two wins were over App State and Bridgewater and they needed a big comeback to beat the Mountaineers. They've already lost at home to ODU and fell at Radford last time out. JMU is 6-17 against the spread the last three seasons in non-conference games. I'll take the road team in this one. |
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11-28-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. San Francisco OVER 141.5 | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
We've made a lot of money off UCSB this season and will try to do so this time with the over. The Gauchos are 4-2 this season and are playing their fifth game away from home. So far the defense has struggled at times giving up 70 or more times this season. The good thing is that their offense features several weapons and should be able to keep up in a shootout. San Francisco is 3-1 this season with the loss being to Long Beach State at home. The defensive numbers for the Dons are pretty good, but it's also a reduction in quality of opponents. Souley Boum and Chase Foster are a solid scoring duo. Last year these two played a 75-63 game in UCSB. I think we see more scoring in this one. |
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11-28-17 | Utah State v. Valparaiso -7.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Valpo is 7-0 this season and are led by the trio of Tevonn Walker, Bakari Evelyn and Markus Golder who put up almost 40 points per game. They've got size with a pair of seven footers and play fantastic defense. Valpo has beaten all but one opponent by double digits and has held all but one to 40% shooting or less. In comes Utah State who is playing their fifth straight game away from home. They will not have Julion Pearre, Brock Miller and most likely Koby McEwen who continues to deal with an ankle injury. The Aggies have been close in their losses losing by four to Portland State, 13 at Gonzaga and 6 at Weber State. The Crusaders have covered all four games as a favorite this season. I think they do so again on Tuesday. |
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11-28-17 | Brown +21 v. Rhode Island | 62-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Brown has won two straight and four of their six games overall. They've played four road games, winning two of them with the others being by 3 at St. Francis-NY and by 13 at Stony Brook. They are led by Brandon Anderson, Desmond Cambridge and Zach Hunsaker who average nearly 50 points per game combined. It looks like Rhody will be without Cyril Langevine and E.C. Matthews for this one. They are coming off a 70-55 loss to Virginia. The Rams have a huge game vs. Providence and Alabama coming up. The last two times the Bears have kept this game close. URI has covered just 11 of their last 32 non-conference games. I think they struggle in this one too. |
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11-28-17 | Iona v. Ohio OVER 151.5 | 93-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Ohio is 3-2 on the season and is coming off back to back 96 point performances over Mt St Mary's and Indiana State. They've played well this season with the losses coming to Dayton and Clemson. Jordan Dartis, Teyvion Kirk and Mike Laster all put up over 14 points per game. Iona is having a rough season considering they have not played a home game yet. They've lost to Syracuse, Northern Kentucky and Coastal Carolina so far. The reason is a struggle on defense despite a solid offense. Rickey McGill and TK Edogi are the leading scorers for the Gaels. Last year this was a 79-75 game at Iona because both teams are good offensively. Iona has gone over in 18 of their last 28 road games. Give me the over. |
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11-27-17 | Oakland v. Oral Roberts OVER 148 | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has lost five straight and one can point to their lack of defense as a main reason why. They have allowed 80 points or more four times already this season and each of those teams shot 50% or more from the field. Oakland's road trip continues after already playing at Toledo, Syracuse and Kansas. They've lost all three games, but have shown offensive spunk putting up 87 and 85 already this season. They've had issues with defense too so I think this one is going over the total. ORU has gone over in 13 of their last 21 at home and 17 of their last 34 non-conference games. |
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11-27-17 | Maryland +3.5 v. Syracuse | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Tyus Battle is not 100% and is a gametime decision in this one. He's been the main scorer for a team that has had way too many stretches of no scoring at all which is a problem considering Maryland has depth, size and a decent shooter or two. The Orange has skated by beating up on mid majors while the Terps have tested themselves at least against Butler. I'll take a chance Battle's not at 100% and take this spread. |
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11-26-17 | UC-Davis +8 v. Washington | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
UC Davis plays their fourth road game of the season as they take on Washington. The Aggies have road wins at Pacific and Northern Colorado this season. They are led by Chima Moneke's 22.8 points per game. Silas Schneider is one of their better three point shooters and they'll need him against the Huskies leaky 2-3 zone. Washington lost to Virginia Tech and Providence and have single digit home wins over Seattle and Belmont. Washington has covered just 16 of their last 34 home games. This one should be a bit close and probably high scoring. |
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11-26-17 | Portland v. DePaul OVER 142.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Portland has struggled with the step up in competition in the PK80. The Pilots lost 102-78 to UNC and 93-71 to Oklahoma. The one thing that's been constant is that their offense is working. They've scored 70 points or more in every game so far this season and are doing it with balance. DePaul has just one win and it came against Delaware State. They've struggled mightily shooting the ball from long range, but have the athletic advantage in this one. DePaul has scored over 70 points three times this season while the defense has been leaky as well. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-26-17 | Oregon State v. Marist OVER 146.5 | 65-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Oregon State and Marist are both looking for their first win in this Advocare Tournament. The Beavers lost to St. John's and Long Beach State in games that showed their lack of defense. OSU has four double digit scorers and not much after them. Marist got smoked by Nebraska after a close loss to West Virginia. The Red Foxes have allowed 76 points or more in all five of their games. Their offense has been pretty good outside of the 59 points scored against Nebraska. OSU has gone over in 14 of their last 19 games when the total is in the 140s. This one is going to feature a lot of points. |
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11-26-17 | Temple v. La Salle OVER 138 | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
It's a Big 5 battle as Temple takes on La Salle. The Owls have played just three games and have had some time off to prepare for this one. They are shooting 42.9% from the field and are cranking out the three pointers. Obi Enechionya and Quinton Rose are their leading scorers. The over has hit in 16 of their last 29 non-conference games. La Salle's offense has scuffled a bit other then BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell. The Explorers have been bad defensively especially during this recent losing stretch. Last year these two played a 97-92 game. It won't be that high scoring, but I think it goes over this lower total. |
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11-26-17 | Air Force v. Colorado OVER 145.5 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Colorado hosts Air Force on Sunday afternoon. The Buffaloes are 5-0 and are shooting 49.1% from the field. They are putting up 78 points per game and are led by McKinley Wright and George King. The Buffs play some good defense, but have also been leaky as of late allowing 70 to Mercer and 81 to Drake. There's also a matchup with Colorado State on deck so focus could be an issue. Air Force is 3-1 and is playing their first road game of the season. They've had two good defensive games and two stinkers against Pacific and Canisius. Air Force's offense is inconsistent, but they have been playing with pace from time to time. The Falcons have gone over in 18 of their last 28 when the totals are in the 140s. These two played a 75-68 game on the road. I think we get a similar game this year. |
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11-26-17 | Montana State v. Fresno State OVER 145 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Montana State took the title in the tournament they were in and are traveling to Fresno State. Tyler Hall has been part of a potent backcourt that has scored 80 points or more three times this season. The Bobcats have struggled on the road against the better teams losing at Utah State 81-73 and at Louisiana Tech 71-58. Fresno has scored 70 points or more in four of their five games. They've got a lot of weapons and their defense hasn't been that great either. MSU has gone over in 12 of their last 17 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one does too. |
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11-25-17 | Georgetown v. Richmond OVER 144 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
The Spiders have a quick turnaround from their three day stay in the Cayman Islands where they went 1-2. Georgetown comes to town and they figure to have some offensive success. Richmond has allowed all but one opponent to shoot 50% from the field. They allowed 75 points or more in each of those games. On the positive side, Khwan Fore is back so the team has another weapon for their own offense which has struggled. Jesse Govan leads a Georgetown team that has crushed each of their first three unlined opponents. They've played good defense in those games, but the teams weren't very good. To me, this is going to be a very physical game and I think it goes over the total. |
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