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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-18 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt OVER 143.5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Kentucky has gone over in eight of their last 11 entering this matchup at Vanderbilt on Saturday. Coach Calipari has no real update on Quade Green and Tai Wynyard and they beat Texas A&M last time out at home 74-73 without them. This team is shooting pretty well right now, but the defense has struggled at times. They've played just two true road games losing at Tennessee 76-65 and winning at LSU 74-71. Vandy has lost three of their last four and is struggling terribly this season. They are coming off a tough loss to Tennessee at home in which they shot almost 52% from the field in an 92-84 loss. They have put up 70 or more in five of their last six. The problem has been on the defensive end where they aren't stopping the better opponents on the slate. Last year in Vandy, the Commodores lost 87-81 to the Wildcats. Two years ago they picked up a 12 point win over the Cats. I think this one goes over the total as both teams find some offense. |
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01-13-18 | VMI v. East Tennessee State -22 | 48-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a huge mismatch and this season I've faded the Keydets on the road as much as possible. They've been outscored by an average of 79.6 - 62.4 away from Lexington this season. They lost by 39 at Wofford, 10 at VCU, 23 at Davidson, 16 at Duquesne and 35 at NC State. Scoring is an issue and slow is slowing down their opponent. ETSU has won seven straight and 11 of their last 12. They have six straight double digit wins and 11 of them overall. This team plays stifling defense and has a potent offense as well. Last year the Bucs won this one 102-75 at home and 88-51 two years ago. I think this one is a huge mismatch. |
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01-13-18 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville -4.5 | 86-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech is shooting 52% from the field, but they are going to struggle to do so in Louisville. The Cardinals have a huge size advantage and have held their last few opponents at home to 51, 56, 68, 59 and 62. They have won eight of their last 10 and have some balance offensively led by Deng Adel, Quentin Snider and Ray Spalding. The Hokies have had their issues against the better defensive teams on their schedule. They lost 78-52 to UVA at home after falling 68-56 at Syracuse. The team is going to struggle to get in the lane and really only have Kerry Blackshear as the team's size. Last year, Louisville won at home 94-90 after beating the Hokies 91-83 in Blacksburg in 2016. I think the home team gets the win in this one. |
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01-13-18 | Towson v. William & Mary OVER 153 | 99-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Towson has gone over in five straight and six of their last seven games. They've lost five of their last seven as the defense has gotten suddenly very leaky. It's not good that they allowed Hofstra to shoot 50% from long range last time out with William and Mary next on the schedule. The Tigers do have the edge on the inside and can outphysical the Tribe who may be a bit spent after the furious comeback to beat James Madison. William and Mary is one of the best FT and 3pt shooting teams in the country and are on a five game streak of 84 points or more. They've been sizzling hot at home and have gone over in four of their last five. Last year WM won this game at home 83-79 in a game with a 155 total. These two have gone over in each of their last four matchups. I think this one is an over as well. |
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01-13-18 | South Carolina v. Georgia -4.5 | 64-57 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs return home where they are 8-0 this season as South Carolina comes to town. They are led by Yante Maten and William Jackson II who are putting up nearly 30 points per contest. The team has plenty of depth with Derek Ogbeide manning the middle and Juwan Parker in the backcourt. South Carolina has struggled as of late losing four of their last six as the offense continues to be an issue especially on the road. The Gamecocks have won just two true road games at FIU and Wofford with the losses coming by 14 at Alabama, by 5 at Ole Miss and by 16 at Clemson. They have a decent array of scorers led by Chris Silva and Frank Booker, but consistency from game to game has been a struggle. Georgia has covered four of their five home lined games and seven of their 10 contests against teams with winning records. They need to get some revenge after losing both matchups to them last year. I think UGA gets the win. |
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01-13-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 133 | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
It's the rivalry game as Michigan State hosts Michigan. Sparty enters this one averaging almost 86 points per game while shooting 51.9% from the field. Their trademark defense has struggled a bit as of late allowing 72 to Rutgers and 80 to Ohio State the last two contests. Still, this is a really potent offense that had a stretch of seven straight contests with 80 points or more scored. Michigan doesn't want to get into a track meet with their opponents but they've gone over in three of their last five contests. Their offense has scored 69 or more in six straight and seven of their last eight. The defense has struggled a bit at times against their better opponents. They allowed 71 at Ohio State and 86 at North Carolina. Michigan has gone over in 19 of their last 26 road games. Sparty has gone over in seven of their 11 lined home games with two pushes. Last year, MSU won at home 70-62 and lost at Michigan 86-57. I think this one is a bit tight and goes over the total. |
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01-12-18 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania OVER 151.5 | 61-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Cornell had their three game losing streak snapped last time out as they beat a non-division one opponent. The Big Red has struggled on the road giving up 98 at Auburn, 97 at Delaware, 84 at Northeastern and 98 at UMass-Lowell. Matt Morgan is a very good scorer putting up 24.9 points per contest. Cornell wants to get up and down the court especially since their offense isn't great in the halfcourt. Penn's offense has been fantastic scoring 70 or more in six straight and seven of their last eight. This season they've gone under the total just once in a lined game. There could be an unfocused effort from the Quakers this weekend and I think that would show up on the defensive end. |
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01-11-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Irvine OVER 139.5 | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Fullerton has won three of their last four and eight of their last 10 entering this matchup with UC Irvine. They are a high scoring team with four of their last five lined games going over the total. This is a highly efficient team with seven performances of 50% shooting from the field or better. Their defense could be a little bit better as they've allowed 80 or more in five of their last six. Irvine has never been known as the quickest team, but they are coming off an 86-73 win over Long Beach State at home. They've got some offensive issues, but they've also played just five true home games this season. I think things get a bit loosened up here and we see this one played in the 70s. The Anteaters have gone over in four of their five games when the total is in the 140s. |
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01-11-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -3 | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
College of Charleston looks to snap a two game losing streak at home as they host Northeastern. The Cougars are led by Joe Chealey, Jarrell Brantley and Grant Riller who average around 50 points per game. They had won four straight before losing two contests on the road. This is a team that has not lost at home yet this season. Northeastern has been an up-and-down team all season long. They are playing some good basketball right now, but they also have had a nice stretch of home games with seven of their last 10 there. On the road, this team has lost at St. Bonaventure, Ohio State and Stanford. Their defense is not as good as the home team's and it will have to be in order to win this one. I think Charleston bounces back nicely. |
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01-11-18 | Wright State +10.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Two of the better teams in the Horizon League play as NKU hosts Wright State. The Raiders have road wins at Oakland, Detroit, Georgia Tech and Toledo already this season. They have won five straight and eight of their last nine games. Grant Benzinger leads seven players who average seven points per game or more. Loudon Love is getting better as a big guy in the middle while the recent addition of Cole Gentry has stabilized the backcourt. NKU has won four straight after a two game losing streak. The Norse have been fantastic themselves and are blowing teams out at home. Last year NKU won all three matchups, but they all were close and Wright State is arguably better this season. I think they can hang around in this one. They've covered five of their eight road matchups overall. |
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01-11-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary OVER 158.5 | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
William and Mary is one of the best shooting teams in the country and JMU plays no defense so this one should see a ton of points. The Tribe are shooting 52.1% from the field and 46.2% from long range. They've got a balanced lineup with good shooters and Nathan Knight inside. Just nine days ago, WM won 84-76 in Harrisonburg in a game that saw them shoot over 50% from the field. These two have gone over in 16 of their last 30 lined matchups. At home, they've actually shot 60% or better a couple of times as well. JMU has lost five straight and have allowed 80 points or more in their last four overall. The Dukes offense will most likely be without Joey McLean which won't help the offense. JMU has gone over in 11 of their 15 games including eight of their 11 as an underdog. The Tribe went over in 17 of their last 23 home contests including all three lined ones this season. This one should see a ton of points. |
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01-11-18 | South Dakota v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 156 | 68-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
South Dakota's three game win streak was snapped last time out at home against North Dakota State. The Coyotes offense is pretty potent with 13 efforts of 80 points or more. They are very efficient and have several options to go to. Their defense has struggled at times on the road allowing 85 at UCLA, 77 at NAU, 96 at Duke and 79 at Bowling Green. The Dons are home where they've scored 92, 99, 88, 86, 99, 91, 85 and 114 points. They are led by Jon Konchar and Bryson Scott who are one of the better duos in the country. The problem has been defense as they have allowed several teams to shoot 50% or better from the field. Last year these two teams played a 93-82 game in Fort Wayne and have played high scoring contests quite a bit in this series. I think this one goes over the total as well. |
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01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force OVER 150.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
UNLV has gone over in five straight and 10 of their last 11 contests as they travel to Air Force. The Rebels are getting back to their running ways and have put up 90 points or more eight times already this season. Brandon McCoy and Shakur Juiston both average double doubles and Jovan Mooring as well as Jordan Johnson are double digit scorers as well. In a somewhat similar situation UNLV won 82-76 at San Jose State as a 14 point favorite with a similar total. They also won 81-76 at Pacific earlier in December as a 7.5 point favorite. The Air Force has lost three straight and six of their last seven as they are underwhelming athletically and offensively. The Falcons lost their last home game 86-75 to Nevada. Their motion offense can give some teams fits especially at home. The problem has been their defense has been awful. They lost at home to Pacific 83-71. These two played an 81-58 game last year in Colorado and a 79-74 one two years ago. This one should get ugly with UNLV picking up the easy win. |
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01-10-18 | Colorado State v. Utah State OVER 144 | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah State has won five of their last six as they enter this matchup with Colorado State. USU's offense put up 80 or more in those victories and is rolling with Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen and DeAngelo Isby leading the way. It looks like Alex Dargenton is returning as well after he missed a couple of games. This is a bit of a sandwich game as they have a road trip to Nevada up next so we may get an unfocused effort which would come on the defensive end. Colorado State has lost three of their last four after a three game win streak. Their defense has been pretty bad especially on the road where they've allowed over 90 three times. The team isn't as deep, but they do have some scorers in Prentiss Nixon and Jeremiah Paige who put up nearly 28 per game combined. CSU has gone over in seven of their eight games as an underdog and four of their five on the road. USU has gone over in 19 of their last 31 at home including four of six this season. I think this one continues all those trends. |
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will be without Bonzie Colson and Matt Farrell once again and Georgia Tech will take advantage of it. The Yellow Jackets have won two straight and three of their last four including a home victory over Miami. This team is being underrated because of a very slow start to the season. They are healthier with Josh Okogie, Tadric Jackson, Jose Alvarado and Ben Lammers representing a large part of the offense. The Fighting Irish won in Syracuse without their two best players because of a huge rebounding edge. Their offense was pretty awful as it was and I don't think that success will continue against the Jackets who will defend inside better and make the Irish work. I think the home team wins in this one. |
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01-10-18 | Rutgers v. Michigan State OVER 133 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Poor Rutgers has to face Sparty after they lost at Ohio State 80-64. Michigan State's defense was horrible and the offense shot below 40% for the second time this season. Earlier this year, they won at Rutgers 62-52 in a slower game. Things are a lot different in East Lansing though where MSU has gone over in six of their last nine lined games there. The team had a stretch of five straight games where they scored 90 points or more at home. Rutgers' defense doesn't travel very well as they've allowed 82 at Purdue and 89 at Minnesota. Those are the only two true road games that the Scarlet Knights have played. Before the matchup earlier, Michigan State had put up 93, 97 and 96 in their last three meetings with Rutgers. I think this one sails over the lower total as they score around 80 or 90 and do most of the heavy lifting. |
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01-10-18 | La Salle v. Massachusetts +1.5 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Minutemen are a hard team to figure out this season. They have home wins ove Georgia and Providence, but have also lost at home to George Mason and Georgia State. They are led by Luwane Pipkins and Carl Pierre who average nearly 29 points per game. The home team will be without Rashaan Holloway once again but C.J. Anderson returns after serving his suspension. La Salle has lost three of their last four and have fallen in three of their four true road games at Rhode Island, Bucknell and Villanova. This squad also lost to Towson, Drexel and Northwestern. BJ Johnson, the team's leading scorer returned last time out against VCU, but he's still not 100% and is day-to-day for this one. He shot 5-of-16 in the loss and just didn't seem like himself. Last year, the home teams held serve in their two matchups and the Minutemen have won their last two at home by double digits. Obviously I'd like this play more if Johnson wasn't playing, but I think we're getting some good value with the home team. |
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01-09-18 | Boise State v. Fresno State OVER 141 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Fresno State has gone over in nine of their 13 lined games so far this season and eight of their 11 as a favorite. The Bulldogs are averaging nearly 80 points per contest. They've gone over in two straight and have scored 70 points or more in all but two games this season. FSU has five double digit scorers and are led by Deshon Taylor and Bryson Williams among others. Boise State has gone over in six straight and seven of their last 11 contests. Their defense has been mighty leaky, but the offense has been spectacular. Chandler Hutchison is averaging over 18 points per contest and is fantastic inside. These two have gone over in two of their last three meetings. I think this one sails over the total too. |
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01-09-18 | Syracuse v. Virginia -9 | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Syracuse's offense is one of the worst in college basketball. They've shot 40% or worse in three of their last five games and are coming off a 49 point effort at home against Notre Dame. They aren't deep and they don't have a ton of weapons when it comes to the offensive side of the ball. UVA has had problems with bigs who can shoot from the outside and the Orange don't have that. The Hoos defense has held five straight opponents to less then 60 points and are picking up easy wins at home for the most part. This series has seen some weird scores with the Orange winning the last two meetings despite being underdogs. The last game in JPJ between these two was a 73-65 UVA win back in January of 2016. If Syracuse gets to 45 points, i'll be stunned. This one should be another easy win for the Hoos. |
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01-09-18 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 140 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost four of their last five as they host rival Central Michigan. The Eagles offense has been extremely hot and cold this season. They had a stretch of five straight games where they scored 80 or more points in early December, but have had some problems against the better opponents as of late. The Eagles are led by Elijah Minnie, Paul Jackson, James Thompson IV and Tim Bond. Central Michigan has gone over in two of their last three true road games. They allowed 85 at Kent State, 86 at UMKC, 86 at Southern Utah and 72 at Michigan. This team has scored 70 or less three times this season with one of those being 69 points. The Chippewas are led by Cecil Williams, David DiLeo and Shawn Roundtree. They have gone over in 18 of their last 28 as an underdog. These two played a pair of high scoring games last year 109-81 and 85-63. I think this one is going to go over as well. |
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01-09-18 | Dayton v. Richmond +2.5 | 87-81 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The Spiders lost two straight tough games on the road, but they return home to host Richmond on Tuesday night. Richmond's defense is getting a bit better although offensive consistency has been hard to find. This team is teetering a bit in terms of confidence. They are saying all the right things, but they blew a 10 point 2nd half lead at a mediocre St. Louis team. Dayton has alternated losses and wins for a large stretch of the season. They've lost at Duquesne, St. Mary's and Mississippi State already. The team's offense is very inconsistent and they don't have a ton of size to exploit Richmond's weakness. Darrell Davis and Josh Cunningham are a tough combination, but I think Richmond has some better scorers and more options as well. I think the home team is worth a look as they've played better at home. |
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01-09-18 | Georgetown +6.5 v. St. John's | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Hoyas and St. John's are both looking for a victory as they try and turn their seasons around. Georgetown has lost three of their last four, but do have a conference win at DePaul. The offense has been hot and cold, but the problem is on the defensive end. They've allowed 86, 91, 74, 81 and 90 to the better teams on their schedule. The Red Storm have lost their last four and it's their defense that has disappeared. They've lost at home to DePaul and Providence at home and at Creighton and Seton Hall during this streak. Marcus LoVett will not play and I don't know if they have the inside help for Jesse Govan of Georgetown. St. John's has failed to cover in 29 of their last 56 games against teams with a winning record. I think the road team is a live dog in this one. |
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01-07-18 | Temple v. UCF -4 | 39-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Temple comes to UCF in desperate need of a victory after losing their last four. The Owls are coming off a low scoring loss at home to Cincinnati and are now 7-7 on the season. They have the talent to beat anyone when they are on, but the team isn't deep and their coach isn't bright. UCF is 11-4 and has won seven of their last eight games. The four losses were by 5 at SMU, by 3 vs. Missouri, by 3 against St. John's and they were blown out by West Virginia. This team plays some incredible defense with just two of their opponents getting over 70 points. Their last five opponents scored 56, 39, 56, 64 and 55. Last year UCF won this game at home 77-53 in a contest where they held the Owls to 11 points at halftime. They also picked up a two point road victory after Temple blew a 9 point halftime lead. UCF has covered 20 of their last 28 as a favorite including four of five this season. I think they win this one rather easily. |
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01-07-18 | Davidson v. George Mason OVER 141 | 86-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The winner of this one gets to .500 as Davidson travels to Virginia to play George Mason. The Patriots offensively have struggled this season and that has carried over to the defensive side where they are allowing 73.1 points per game. Mason has gone over in 29 of their last 41 Atlantic 10 games. Their first two A10 games this season were an 80-72 win over UMass and an 83-64 loss to Rhode Island. Otis Livingston II, Jaire Grayer, Goanar Mar and Justin Kier are all double digit scorers. Peyton Aldridge and Kellan Grady are the two big scorers for Davidson who is struggling to string together victories. The Wildcats have lost four of their last six and have allowed 75 points or more seven times this season. They have the potential to top that as well against the right opponent. I think this one goes over the total.Â
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01-06-18 | Western Illinois v. Oral Roberts -7.5 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has won two straight and four of their last six as they start to click on the defensive end. They are coming off a 76-60 home win over Fort Wayne who is one of the more potent offenses in the country. The Golden Eagles are led by Emmanuel Nzekwesi and Albert Owens. They play some exotic defenses that teams find hard to prepare for. They've also covered in eight of their last 10 games. Western Illinois lost at South Dakota 62-50. The team may have a winning record but a lot of hollow victories over the likes of St. Mary's Minnesota, Calvary, Lincoln Christian, American and IUPUI. On the road they've put up 50 points or less three times already this season. ORU has covered all four of their lined home games. I think they win this one rather easily. |
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01-06-18 | The Citadel v. Wofford -16.5 | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Terriers are coming off a blasting of VMI 92-53. In that game they shot 59% from the field and have now won six of their last seven. Wofford has wins at home of 39, 59, 3, 3, 31 and 37. They are led by Fletcher Magee and Cameron Jackson who are scoring 36.6 points per game combined and are shooting over 55% from the field combined. The Citadel runs a "loot and shoot" type offense which wants a lot of possessions and very little defense. They are coming off a 107-67 loss at Furman as a 19 point underdog. Already this season the Bulldogs have lost by 40, 29, 10, 35, 19 and 39 on the road. They just don't score enough and their defense is horrible. Wofford has covered 16 of their last 22 at home. They should pick up an easy victory in this one at home. |
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01-06-18 | Old Dominion v. North Texas OVER 131 | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Old Dominion is a fascinating study as they still are one of the slower playing teams according to Ken Pomeroy's numbers, but they've played seven overs in their last eight games. The Monarchs have left their defense at home on the road giving up 75 at Rice, 77 at Fairfield, 82 at VCU and 79 at William and Mary. They've been able to score though with an offense that is led by BJ Stith, Ahmad Caver and Trey Porter. With better health this season, they've been able to withstand the nights that the defense isn't there. North Texas is also one of the slower paced teams, but they've got a pretty solid offense. The Mean Green are led by Roosevelt Smart and Ryan Woolridge who join Shane Temara and A.J. Lawson as players who average double digits. ODU has gone over in 20 of their last 30 road games and five of their last six games when the total is in the 130s. Last year this was a 73-67 win by the Monarchs in Denton Texas. Two years ago they won 76-70 so I think that trend continues. |
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01-06-18 | Fresno State v. Colorado State OVER 138 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Fresno State has been on my card a lot with either their spread or the over as this team's offense can do some good things. They've cracked the 80 point mark seven times already this season as they have several weapons. The problem for the Bulldogs has been their defense which has let them down in their last two losses to Utah State and Nevada. FSU has gone over in all four of their true road games this season. Colorado State lost a lot from last season, but still have some options themselves. They've gone over in four of their last seven and it's because they've had their problems on defense too. Both teams are moderately paced so there should be plenty of possessions. Prentiss Nixon will have his hands full with the Bulldogs who can put five double digit scorers out there. CSU has gone over in six of their seven games as an underdog. I think this one goes over the total. |
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01-06-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Georgia Southern -14.5 | 69-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern is finally glad to be home after a recent stretch of six straight on the road. They got healthy vs. Arkansas State just two days ago beating them 80-49. At home, GSU has wins of 31, 11, 36, 68 and 24. The Eagles have five scorers who average nine points per game or more and are led by Tookie Brown and Ike Smith. Little Rock has just four wins on the season and all were at home against the Ozarks, Louisiana Monroe, Central Arkansas and Norfolk State. On the road, this team has five double digit losses. Their problem is that they don't score enough and their defense is too leaky. Andre Jones is the team's only double digit scorer at 10.9 points per game. The Eagles should win this one rather easily on Saturday. |
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01-06-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 153 | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Wazzu looks for their third straight win in the Apple Cup on Saturday as they host Washington. The Huskies are playing their third straight road game as they look to bounce back after a 74-53 loss at UCLA. This is a team that is capable of scoring with seven performances of 80 points or more this season. They've struggled at times with the zone and could do so against a Cougars team that wants to bomb away from long range. Carter Skaggs shoots 52.1% from 3 while Robert Franks and Viont'e Daniels also can light it up too. Wazzu has lost six of their last eight because either their defense was too leaky (89 allowed to USC and 96 to UCLA) or their offense just wasn't up to snuff. This series saw a pair of games played in the 70's last year and in the 90's in 2016. I think this one is a tight high scoring game that the home team could win. |
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01-06-18 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio OVER 152 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio has gone over in all but one game so far this season. They've scored 84, 89, 80, 88 and 96 in five of their seven home contests with two clunkers thrown in as well. Mike Laster, Teyvion Kirk, Jordan Dartis and Kevin Mickle average nearly 60 points per game combined for the Bobcats who want to get up and down the court. Their defense has been an issue at times hence the overs. NIU has played four true road games this season with scores of 98-75, 79-70, 94-80 and 95-77. The team has several options on the offensive end and have had their own problems on defense. NIU is 16-4 to the over the last three seasons on Saturday. These two have gone over in five of their last six lined meetings in Ohio. I think the trend continues. |
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01-06-18 | VCU +3.5 v. La Salle | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
It's been a down year for the Rams in terms of record as they enter this one against La Salle. VCU is coming off an overtime loss at St. Joseph's and is playing just their third true road game of the season. Justin Tillman is a huge piece in the middle and will be tough for the Explorers to handle. The question is who else will step up and help him. Isaac Vann's return has been nice although his shooting percentage is just not there. There are several other guys who have scored double digits at one point this season, but the consistency isn't there. La Salle has lost four of their last six and may be without B.J. Johnson once again who is questionable with a knee injury. If Johnson doesn't suit up then this one should be in favor of the Rams. Pookie Powell is very good, but needs help offensively. La Salle's gym should be relatively empty and lacking a true atmosphere. The Explorers have covered just 16 of their last 49 games against teams with a winning record. They've gotten punked by the Rams the last two seasons and I think VCU is capable of getting the outright win on Saturday even if Johnson plays. |
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01-06-18 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 162.5 | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of teams who don't mind playing with pace play as Ball State hosts Buffalo. The Bulls first conference game was a 104-94 victory at home against Toledo. On the road UB has struggled with defense allowing 89, 81, 72 and 87. They've played three straight overs and six of their last eight have gone over as well. The addition of Wes Clark to the lineup has helped stabilize things and gives the team another shooter on the court. Ball State has scored 70 or more in every game except for one when they put up 69 at Oklahoma. The Cardinals defense has gotten better so that's a worry, but I think they'll struggle with Buffalo. The Cards have gone over in 26 of their last 40 games against teams with a winning record. Last year the road team won each game in this series with Ball State winning 92-77 while Buffalo took the later meeting 96-69. I think this one is close and sees a ton of points. |
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01-05-18 | James Madison v. Hofstra OVER 147 | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
James Madison's defense has been pretty awful this season. They've allowed 70 points or more in all but four games with one of those coming against a non division one opponent. They don't man to man well or zone and that's a problem against the potent Hofstra offense. The Dukes do have some scorers and have shown some offensive explosion themselves. They have scored 70 or more in seven of their last eight. Hofstra has allowed 80 or more seven times this season. They've played six overs in their last eight lined games. These two have gone over in six of their last 10 lined meetings in New York. I think this one is high scoring. |
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01-05-18 | Elon +4.5 v. Northeastern | 60-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Elon is on the road at Northeastern on Friday night in a game that won't feature too many fans if it's played at all considering the snow that the area is getting. Elon has won three straight and four of their last five. The Phoenix have road wins at Indiana State and Boston U with a close loss at Wisconsin Milwaukee. The team needs to tighten up the defense, but has five double digit scorers leading the way. Northeastern has lost two of their last three and is coming off a one point home loss to Hofstra. The Huskies have pretty much won the games they were favored in and struggled against the better teams. The Phoenix won in Boston the last two years 51-49 in 2016 and 71-67 in 2016. Northeastern is 5-22 against the spread in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. I think they struggle in this one. |
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01-04-18 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal Poly OVER 140.5 | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Cal Poly had their five game losing streak snapped last time out as they enter Big West play against my favorite team UCSB. Cal Poly has played five overs in their last six lined games as they've struggled horribly on defense against teams that are potent. The Gauchos are awesome offensively led by Max Heidegger and Leland King II. They've got three other scorers who average 7 points per game or more. They've gone over in eight of their 11 lined games. On the road the defense has struggled to slow teams down. They allowed 72 points at Sacramento State and 69 at mediocre Montana State. I think this one sees a lot of points and maybe an outright UCSB win. |
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01-04-18 | Charlotte v. North Texas OVER 145 | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Charlotte is 1-5 on the road and is being outscored almost 76-66 in those contests. In their first conference game they lost 89-58 in a game that showed how far away they were from their competition. This is their fifth straight road contest so weariness could occur. They are one of the quicker teams in the country in terms of pace. North Texas has won five of their last six and are playing their first home game in almost a month. At home they've been scoring well although against lesser competition. The slate in Denton has featured McNeese State, Indiana State, Grambling, Rogers State and UTRGV. They've got a lot more balance when it comes to scoring. The Mean Green has gone over in 18 of their last home games. These two played some high scoring games last year with scores of 82-81 and 101-76. I think we could see something similar potentially in this one. |
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01-04-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oral Roberts OVER 150.5 | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne has won five of their last six and it's because of an incredibly potent offense led by Bryson Scott and Jon Konchar. The Dons have gone over 90 points six times this season and the defense has struggled to be consistent as well. They've allowed over 80 nine times as well. They've played seven true road games with five of them going over the total. Oral Roberts has won three of their last five games. Their offense has been very good at home this season. They are coming off a 93-74 win at home against Omaha in a game that saw the two teams going back and forth. The team's defense is pretty bad too. Fort Wayne has gone over in 44 of their last 67 games overall including 24 of their last 35 in conference play. Last year this game was 87-83 on the road. I think the Dons win and this goes over. |
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01-04-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oral Roberts | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne has won five of their last six and it's because of an incredibly potent offense led by Bryson Scott and Jon Konchar. The Dons have gone over 90 points six times this season and the defense has struggled to be consistent as well. They've allowed over 80 nine times as well. They've played seven true road games with five of them going over the total. Oral Roberts has won three of their last five games. Their offense has been very good at home this season. They are coming off a 93-74 win at home against Omaha in a game that saw the two teams going back and forth. The team's defense is pretty bad too. Fort Wayne has gone over in 44 of their last 67 games overall including 24 of their last 35 in conference play. Last year this game was 87-83 on the road. I think the Dons win and this goes over. |
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01-04-18 | Texas-San Antonio +7.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech has not been the same since they lost Jalen Harris who is transferring. They've lost four of their last six and have already fallen twice at home this season to ULL and Stephen F Austin. The team's turnover issues have been killing them and are part of the reason they started out C-USA play at 0-2. The Roadrunners have won three of their last five and have played some close road games. They lost by 10 at Nebraska, by 12 at Oklahoma, by 8 at Utah Valley State and by four at Tulsa. Jhivvan Jackson and Keaton Wallace are their two leading scorers with five other players putting up seven points per game or more. The road team won both games in this series last year with UTSA covering in three of their last four in Ruston. I think they are a live dog in this one. |
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01-04-18 | VMI v. Wofford -15 | 53-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
It's a mismatch in this one as VMI could be one of the worst teams in the country. The Keydets five wins have come over Southern Wesleyan, Longwood, Charleston Southern, Ohio Valley and Presbyterian with one of those being on the road. They've lost by 10 at VCU, 23 at Davidson, 5 at American, 16 at Duquesne and 35 at NC State. The team is coming off a 30 point home loss to Furman in which the offense struggled to shoot. Five times this season they've shot 40% or less and that's an issue when your defense is that bad. Wofford has won five of their last six and is one of the better mid-major teams. They have a four point win over UNC already under their belts. They haven't played a true home game in almost a month. At home, they have lost just once and that was to South Carolina on opening night. VMI has failed to cover in 20 of their last 30 road games. Last year they lost by 18 at Wofford and by 32 two years ago. I think this one could be a blowout as well. |
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01-03-18 | Wyoming +11.5 v. Nevada | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
Things are not going well for Nevada right now who is dealing with a lot of players who are sick. Three quarters of the starting lineup as well as Hallice Cooke and Josh Hall are all sick and have struggled at times to get through practice without being winded too quickly. They struggled to close out New Mexico at home last time out and Coach Musselman is already talking about using his timeouts and subbing guys in and out quicker. Wyoming has a veteran bunch led by Hayden Dalton. The Cowboys have a road win at Oregon State to go with losses at South Carolina and Denver. Wyoming has won four of their last five games. They have covered 20 of their last 33 games as an underdog. The road team has had some success in this series. I don't think they win outright, but I think they could keep it close. |
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01-03-18 | Fresno State v. Utah State OVER 142 | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Fresno State is putting up nearly 80 points per game while shooting just over 50% from the field. They've gone over seven times already this season. The Bulldogs have played just three true road games beating Cal Poly 83-63, Long Beach State 106-70 and losing at Arkansas 83-75. They have an impressive group of scorers with five guys putting up double digits. The defense has been a problem at times especially away from home. Utah State has won three of their last four and have gone over in two straight home contests. They are scoring better right now and have played teams tough at home. Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen and DeAngelo Isby are their double digit scorers. Utah State has gone over in 18 of their last 30 home games including three of five this season. I think this one is an over. |
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01-03-18 | New Mexico v. Boise State -9 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
The Broncos have taken care of business at home this season and in comes New Mexico. Boise has a 22 point home win over CSU, 23 point victories over Sacramento State and Portland as well. They've covered five of their seven lined home games because of an awesome offense that is very hard to slow down. The team just needs to get better on defense because they've allowed 70 or more in four straight. New Mexico has just six wins over Air Force, Prairie View, Rice, Evansville, Nebraska Omaha and North New Mexico. They have struggled in road games with three double digit losses. The Lobos don't have a ton of options other then Sam Logwood and Chris McNeal. |
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01-03-18 | Valparaiso v. Bradley UNDER 135.5 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Valpo has lost three straight and six of their last seven. The Crusaders offense has struggled as they've failed to crack the 65 point mark in five of their last seven. The loss of Joe Burton has been bad for this team as he's the point guard and the guy who made things go. Tevonn Walker and Bakari Evelyn are the team's two biggest scorers, but there's not much help other then that. The Crusaders have been a team that has relied heavily on their defense in the past and for the most part they've been able to accomplish that. Bradey crushes it on the defensive end especially at home where they've allowed 53, 46, 56, 57, 47, 53 and 53. They don't mind a slower paced game and will grind possessions out if they have to. Their offense has been hit or miss this season, but at home it's been pretty good. This team has only gone over the total twice this season with one being at home and one on the road. To me, this one has a lower score coming. |
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01-03-18 | Clemson v. Boston College OVER 141 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
BC has been a huge surprise so far this ACC season with a win over Duke at home and then last weekend they lost by one at UVA. This is a team that has won every true home game this season and has scored 75 or more in all but one of those contests. Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman are as good a trio of scorers as you can find. Clemson's got five double digit scorers led by Marcquise Reed and Donte Grantham. This is Clemson's second true road game after winning 79-65 at Ohio State. The Tigers have cracked the 70 point mark in all but two games this season so scoring isn't an issue for them. Both of these teams play good defense, but I think they'll both light up the scoreboard. BC has gone over in 16 of their last 28 home lined games. I think this one's an over. |
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01-02-18 | San Diego State v. Colorado State OVER 143 | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Colorado State has won four of their last five entering this one and return home where they've been very good as an offense. The Rams have been awful defensively with six of their opponents shooting 50% from the field or better. Prentiss Nixon and Deion James are the team's best two scorers and they aren't deep as a team. The Aztecs are quite the opposite with four double digit scorers and a couple of other contributors. They are playing with a faster pace nowadays and are trying to beat teams with that. San Diego State has not played as well on the road where they have lost at Wyoming and at Arizona State. The defense has proven at times to be leaky and CSU is a bad place for that to happen. You can't look at too many historical trends considering how slow the Aztecs played under Coach Fisher. This time though I think they speed their way to a win potentially on the road. |
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01-02-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay -2.5 | 67-63 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Neither of these two teams are very good but the Phoenix are at least on a win streak. IUPUI's three victories are over Anderson (IN), Morehead State and Indiana-Kokomo. On the road they've lost by eight at Wright State and by 18 at Northern Kentucky in conference. They've played seven other road contests with only one being a single digit loss. The Phoenix have won four of their last six games including home victories over Detroit and Oakland in conference. They beat the Grizzlies last time out as 10 point underdogs. Sandy Cohen has been fantastic in his four games with the team. He's pairing off nicely with Khalil Small and Kameron Hankerson as offensive threats. I think I like the home team with the thin number. |
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01-02-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State OVER 149 | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan continues a stretch of road games at Ball State on Tuesday. The Eagles have played some high scoring road contests at Oakland, Long Beach State, North Florida and Indiana. EMU is led by the potent trio of Elijah Minnie, James Thompson IV and Paul Jackson who each average around 16 points per contest. After starting the year 1-4, Ball State has won eight straight games. In each of those victories they've scored 70 points or more and have done so in every game except one against Oklahoma in which they put up 69. The Cardinals are shooting it well, and have to considering their struggles on defense. The team has allowed 80 or more eight times this season. They have a lot more balance with six players who average 7.5 points per game or more. These two have played three overs in their last four meetings. It was a 79-72 contest at Ball State last year which was 2.5 points less then the given total. Ball State has gone over in 41 of their last 65 lined games including 17 of their last 29 home contests. This one should be close and a high scoring game. |
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01-02-18 | Hofstra +5.5 v. Northeastern | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Hofstra has played well on the road this season and traditionally in the past. The Pride has already won at Stony Brook, Rider and Monmouth and is coming off a tight loss at William and Mary. They are led by Justin Wright-Foreman and Eli Pemberton who put up nearly 40 points per game with Rokas Gustys and Joel Angus III representing two guys shooting over 50% from the field. Northeastern has won six of their last seven after a four game losing streak. The Huskies go as Vasa Pusica goes. He's the only double digit scorer on the team with four others averaging seven points per contest. Hofstra has won in Boston each of the last two years and has won four straight in the series. They have covered 18 of their last 29 on the road while Northeastern is 5-21 ATS in their last 27 games at home as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. I think the road team is a live dog in this one too. |
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01-02-18 | William & Mary +2.5 v. James Madison | 84-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
William and Mary has won 29 of their last 48 in this series and these two have split their last 20 in Harrisonburg. The Tribe has an incredible potent offense and has shot 50% or better from long range six times already this season. They played well at TCU in an 11 point loss and have road wins at George Mason and Savannah State. Nathan Knight is a very good inside guy with four others who also average double digits. JMU has lost six of their last eight games and have already fallen at home to Northeastern, George Mason and ODU. Their defense has been pretty bad allowing 80 points or more six times this season. William and Mary has covered in six of their seven lined games. JMU has covered 13 of their last 33 home contests. I think the road team is worth a look. |
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01-02-18 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington -3 | 87-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
It's been a terrible season for the Seahawks so far as they only have three wins this season. They have beaten UNC Wesleyan, Campbell and Greensboro College with only one of those being division one. They do have a little bit of defensive momentum though allowing 58 to Delaware in a loss and 60 to that Greensboro opponent. Devontae Cacok is very tough in the middle with Jordon Talley, Ty Taylor II and Jaylen Fornes other threats. The Dragons have lost four of their last five and are a hard team to figure out. Drexel has wins over La Salle and Houston, but have also lost to NJIT, Robert Morris and Loyola of Maryland. The team's offense has scored 65 points or less in three of their last five games. UNC Wilmington has won nine of their last 13 at home in this series. I think they win again on Tuesday. |
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12-31-17 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. Syracuse | 56-68 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a bad matchup for Syracuse as their offense continues to scuffle and Virginia Tech bombs away from long range. The Hokies are shooting 43.7% from long range this season and are putting up 91 points per game. They won't get to that number because the Orange play very good defense but it will be interesting to see how the zone adjusts to such a good shooting team. VT doesn't have the size to bother Syracuse so they should be able to win the battle of the boards. Last year, the Hokies won 83-73 at home in a game that saw them go 8-for-20 from long range. Virginia Tech has covered 28 of their last 40 ACC games and 27 of their last 41 as an underdog. The Orange's offense is like pulling teeth right now. I can't back them as a favorite and will almost certainly fade them in these situations. |
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12-31-17 | Memphis v. Cincinnati OVER 131.5 | 48-82 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Memphis is playing just their second true road game of the season. They lost their first one 71-56 at UAB. Against the better teams on the schedule, the Tigers have had problems allowing 71 to LSU, 81 to Louisville and 82 to Alabama. The offense isn't great, but with such a low total, I don't need as much help from them. Jeremiah Martin, Kyvon Davenport and Jimario Rivers are the leading scorers. Cincinnati's going to win this game. They've scored 81, 77, 77 their last three games and have averaged 87.4 points per game at home this season. The defense has been fantastic so I worry about how much Memphis scores. The Bearcats have gone over in 19 of their last 32 at home while the Tigers have gone over in 14 of their last 22 road contests. I think this one can sneak over the total with an 80 something to 50 something type score. |
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12-31-17 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama OVER 140 | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
South Alabama is coming off a great effort at home over Georgia State in which it won 86-64 as a seven point underdog. This is a team whose offense is very hit-or-miss. They've scored 73 points or more in three of their last four contests and have gone over in four of their last five lined games. Rodrick Sikes, Josh Ajayi and Jordan Andrews are the biggest threats for the Jaguars. Georgia Southern is playing their sixth straight road game and is coming off an 86-80 win at Troy. GSU's offense has scored 70 or more 10 times this season. The Eagles are a veteran group with four double digit scorers led by Tookie Brown. South Alabama has gone over in 25 of their last 42 Sun Belt games. Georgia Southern has gone over in 19 of their last 33 road contests. Both teams play with a modest pace so I think this one should go over the total. |
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12-30-17 | Utah State v. San Diego State OVER 142.5 | 59-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Utah State has won four of their last five contests entering this one against the revamped Aztecs. The Aggies want to run and have put up some good offensive numbers against lesser opponents as of late. On the road, they have played at Utah, Valpo, Portland State and Gonzaga already. One common thread is a struggle on defense in those games. San Diego State wants to play faster under their new head coach. They have certainly done so with eight efforts of 70 points or better this season. They are using their talent and getting it into space. The defense has been pretty good for the most part although they did just allow 82 points at Wyoming. This team has gone over in six of their 10 lined contests. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-30-17 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Oral Roberts OVER 152.5 | 74-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
These two teams play next to no defense so there should be plenty of points put up. The Mavericks have allowed 90 points or more five times already this season away from home with a few others being 86, 87 and 89. This roster was ravaged in the offseason and is now led by Zach Jackson and Daniel Norl. They have some offensive weapons so points on their end won't be an issue. Albert Owens gets some help with the Golden Eagles from Emmanuel Nzekwesi and Javan White. ORU has gone over in six of their last seven lined games and it's mostly because of a lack of defense. They have some interesting road wins but have struggled to defend homecourt. Last year, the home matchup between these two was a 103-86 affair. These two have gone over in four of their last six meetings. I think this one sees a ton of points. |
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12-30-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Kentucky -14 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
NKU has been fantastic against the spread so far covering eight of their 10 lined contests. They've covered all four home games and are blowing teams out this season. The Norse are led by Drew McDonald, Carson Williams and Lavone Holland II who combine for around 45 points per game. They have home wins by 18, 28, 37 and 18 over division one teams. The Flames have lost three of their last four and have road losses of 24, 21 and 28 that came last month. They've played better as of late, but are also playing their toughest opponent in awhile. Last year NKU won this game by eight at home and 17 on the road. This is a better team and I think they win easily on Saturday. |
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12-30-17 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International OVER 144 | 57-58 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Florida schools play on Saturday as FIU hosts FAU. The Golden Panthers have lost three of their last four after a three game win streak. They are coming off a headscratching 79-72 home loss to Hartford in which they allowed them to shoot 62% from the field. This is a team that has a pretty good offense led by Trejon Jacob, Eric Lockett and Brian Beard Jr who put up nearly 47 points per game. They want the game to go faster and have gone over in four of their six lined games with many others probably going over if there were lines. FAU has lost three straight falling at Minnesota, Texas Tech and Arkansas State. Their defense is pretty bad allowing 80 points or more in three of their last five contests. The offense probably needs work, but they did have a stretch starting at the end of November scoring 91, 93, 92 and 108. FIU has gone over in 15 of their last 24 home games. Three of the last four meetings between these two have gone over the total. |
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12-30-17 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -2 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
One of the most potent teams in the country is Marshall and they host Louisiana Tech who is trying to figure things out without their leading scorer. The Thundering Herd are led by Jon Elmore, CJ Burks and Ajdin Penava who might be one of the most underrated post players in the country. Burks missed last game with an illness but returned to practice on Friday so they hope he'll be ready. The addition of Rondale Watson has been good on the offensive end. Louisiana Tech is without Jalen Harris once again meaning more work for DaQuan Bracey, Jacobi Boykins and Derric Jean. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last five games as they struggle at times. Marshall has covered in 20 of their last 32 home games. With such a short spread, i'll take the home team. |
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12-30-17 | Air Force v. Fresno State -16 | 59-71 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs are hurting a bit after losing at home 80-65 to Nevada in an early big game in the conference. The team has lost two of their last three but should be able to flex their offensive muscle against Air Force. FSU has some huge wins at home by 26 over Ark Pine Bluff, 15 vs Bakersfield, 12 over Weber State and by 13 over Montana State. Fresno has five double digit scorers and Terrell Carter II who puts up 7.2 points per contest. The Falcons have lost four of their last five and have not been competitive in a lot of those contests. They are coming off a 29 point loss at New Mexico and have also recently lost to Army by 25 and to UC Riverside by 19 as a 3.5 point favorite. They don't have a great scorer and will struggle to get much going in this one. Fresno has covered in 41 of their last 68 contests including 17 of their last 29 at home. I think this one is a blowout. |
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12-30-17 | Davidson v. Richmond +6 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Spiders once again completed a horrendous non-conference slate going 2-10 against a mediocre slate. They don't play much defense allowing opponents to shoot 50.9% from the field. Richmond swept Davidson last year 84-76 and 82-80 in two games. They ironically played the Wildcats at their place on December 31st last year as their first conference game and won that game by after another horrendous start to the year. This is such a mediocre Davidson team outside of Peyton Aldridge. Their wins are over Akron, VMI, Charlotte, UNC-Wilmington and Charleston Southern. Davidson's defense might be worse then the Spiders in some ways as they've allowed 70 or more eight times. Richmond has shown flashes the last two games with their performances in spurts against BC and Bucknell. The problem is that they've coughed up leads in both games. De'Monte Buckingham and Nick Sherod need to shoot better from the field. I think the home team is worth a look in this one. |
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12-30-17 | Northeastern v. James Madison +3 | 81-70 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Northeastern has won five of their last six after a four game losing streak. The Huskies have lost at St. Bonaventure, Ohio State and Stanford this season with road wins at Kent State and Boston University. Offensively, this team is a mixed bag with some really good efforts at home, but they've also scored 65 points or less four times this season. JMU's record is ugly, but they are really close. The Dukes are coming off a really good effort at Florida where they lost by 9 points. The last five games they've beaten Charlotte and FIU while losing by two at The Citadel and by three at Richmond. They've got a win over App State at home last month. I like Stuckey Mosley and Joey McLean who are the team's two leading scorers. I think the break is a good thing to help this team continue their upward trajectory. JMU has covered 22 of their last 39 in conference games. JMU won this game at home last year as a four point favorite and lost at home by 1 two years ago. I think the Dukes can win this one outright. |
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12-30-17 | St. Louis +7 v. La Salle | 60-83 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
The Billikens have won two of their last three entering Saturday's game against La Salle. This will be their second true road game with the other being a 30 point loss at Butler. The Explorers are nowhere near as good as the Bulldogs and the losses SLU has had were for the most part against better teams. Javon Bess, Jordan Goodwin and Davell Roby are all double digit scorer with two others averaging at least eight. It looks like the home team will be without their leading scorer in BJ Johnson which means that Pookie Powell has to take over. There is not enough depth here as the team already lost to Bucknell. The Explorers have lost three of their last four with one of those being a headscratching loss to Drexel as a 12 point favorite. La Salle has covered just 17 of their last 39 A-10 games. These two split their home games last year. I think SLU can make it close on Saturday. |
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12-30-17 | Miami-OH v. Ohio State OVER 140 | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
We've seen a lot of blowouts by Big 10 teams in their last non-conference weekend and I think Ohio State joins the party. They've crushed the bad teams at home with wins by 29, 35, 25, 18 and 31 over lesser teams including the Citadel, William and Mary and Robert Morris. They are coming off a 14 point loss over North Carolina so there's a need for a really good effort here. The Redhawks are good enough to score some points and allow a ton more. They lost 83-66 at DePaul, 80-59 at Tulane and 70-51 at Missouri. This is a team that can score some points and play at a decent pace which will probably have to be quicker when they get down big. Miami-Ohio has gone over in 19 of their last 34 road games. I think this one goes over the total and maybe we see the Buckeyes join the 100 point Big 10 club. |
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12-29-17 | Colorado v. Oregon State OVER 141.5 | 57-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
A pair of the mediocre PAC-12 schools play as Oregon State hosts Colorado. Oregon State has won six of their last seven games after a slow start to the season. The Beavers have four double digit scorers and little else as injuries and other things have reduced the roster. They've scored 70 points or more in five of their last six games. The Buffs have lost four of their last six after an undefeated start to their season. The team has played just two true road games losing 96-69 at Xavier and 72-63 at Colorado State. The Buffs are similar in that they play at a similar pace and have a good offense that has problems on defense sometimes. Colorado has gone over in six of their seven games against teams with a winning record and all three games as an underdog |
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12-29-17 | Northern Illinois v. Iowa OVER 151.5 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
In another non-conference Big 10 game, Iowa hosts Northern Illinois. The Huskies have had some tastes of real opponents this season losing at Marquette 79-70 and at Iowa State 94-80. They are a high scoring team who also struggles on defense at times. NIU is a smallish team with good athletes and one decent guy in the post. Iowa has won four in a row after losing four in a row. They've done so against weaker opponents for the most part, but they've scored 80 or more in all of those contests. This is a team that is a mixed bag in terms of offense and defense with each struggling at some point this season. Any offense they've played with a pulse has been able to score on them. NIU has gone over in 19 of their last 30 games as an underdog. Iowa has gone over in 23 of their last 42 as a favorite. I think this one sees plenty of points. |
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12-29-17 | Cleveland State v. Michigan State OVER 139.5 | 61-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
This is going to be a massive blowout as Sparty is crushing teams and shooting 51.2% from the field. They are rolling right now with a 42 point win over Long Beach State (102-60), a 45 point win over Houston Baptist (107-62) and a 13 point win over Oakland (86-73). Michigan State beats up on the bad teams at home and scores a ton of points in the process. The worry here is Cleveland State's offense isn't very good. The Vikings lost at Cincinnati 81-62 which was hard to believe considering the Bearcats defense is pretty good. They also lost 78-67 at Western Michigan and 72-69 at East Carolina. The crowd won't be great for this one so maybe we don't get as motivated an effort. Still, I think the over is worth a look here. |
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12-29-17 | Toledo v. Pennsylvania OVER 146.5 | 85-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
Penn has won four straight and six of their last seven as they host Toledo on Friday afternoon. The Quakers are coming off a 105-52 win over Delaware State last time out. Their offense is very good with four straight efforts of 70 points or more. They've also put up 90 or more three times in November. Toledo has a potent offense and has had their problems on defense too. They've gone over in three of their last four lined games. On the road, the Rockets have allowed 86 to Detroit, 96 to Kansas, 80 to Cornell and 72 to Syracuse. Penn has gone over in seven of their eight lined games. Toledo plays with a decent pace. In an afternoon game, I think we get a light atmosphere and plenty of points. |
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12-28-17 | North Texas v. UTEP OVER 135.5 | 63-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
North Texas is 7-6 on the season and they've got four scorers who average 10 points per game or more. The Mean Green have already played at Georgetown, UT-Arlington, Oklahoma, Georgia Tech and Nebraska this season. Defense has been an issue in those contests for the most part, but their offense can get clicking too. In their 86-83 win at San Diego they shot almost 50% as a 10 point underdog. UTEP is expected to get Devin Wade back to a team that has won four of their last five. The Miners offense isn't great, but they've scored 70 points or more three times during this seven game homestand. The defense has been good, but the opponents have been. North Texas has gone over in 29 of their last 46 games as an underdog. These two played a 77-71 game last year. I don't know if that will happen again but I do think it's an over. |
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12-28-17 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 140 | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Betting overs in Bradley games has been a losing proposition for the most part this season as the under has hit in 10 of 11 lined contests. Traditionally though on the road, their fantastic defense has been a little lax as evidenced by the 17 overs in their last 29 contests. A quick look at some of the road unders this season shows that they were 1 basket short of a push at Ole Miss, 1 three pointer away from an over at SEMO and 5 points away from an over at San Diego State. The Braves offense has been fantastic this season scoring 75 or more in three of their last four already. They've got some balance and can come at you in many ways. Drake has gone over in five of their last six and seven of their 10 lined games this season. They are shooting it a lot better and are scoring at home with relative ease. The Bulldogs have put up 81, 93, 79 and 101 in their four true home games. Defense has been an issue at times as well which is another reason that the over has hit. Six opponents have shot 50% or better this season. Last year, these two played a 82-74 contest at Drake and a 79-72 game at Bradley. I think the over is worth the look. |
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12-28-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State -7 | 61-65 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago begins conference play after a rough non-conference slate. They have wins over Trinity Christian, Dartmouth, Wisconsin Parkside, Delaware State and NC Central this season. The Flames also have losses on the road by 6, 1, 24, 21 and 34. There is some talent there in Dikembe Dixson, Marcus Ottey and Dominique Matthews who average double figures. Wright State has won four of their last five and will be glad to be home where they've lost just once this season. The Raiders are coming off a win at Georgia Tech 85-81 and have victories over Toledo and Fairfield as well. Grant Benzinger and Justin Mitchell are a solid duo and the addition of Cole Gentry has worked out as well. Balanced scoring and defense are what this team does. At home the past couple of years, Wright State has won this game by 38, 31 and 14 shooting over 50% in two of those contests. UIC is 2-7 against the spread this season and 1-5 as an underdog. I think Wright State wins easily. |
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12-27-17 | Colorado State v. Boise State OVER 140 | 71-93 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
Boise State had their six game win streak snapped last time out before the holidays in an 86-63 road loss at SMU. The Broncos are 10-2 and are led by Chandler Hutchison and Justinian Jessup who average just over 15 points per game each. At home, they've scored 85, 77, 77, 87, 68, 90 and 104. The team is a mixed bag defensively with some good and bad efforts sprinkled in. Colorado State lost a lot of talent from last year, but has won three straight entering this one. Their defense is pretty bad on the road allowing 95, 92, 77 and 89 away from Fort Collins. Prentiss Nixon is their biggest threat with three others scoring 10 points per game or more. The Rams have gone over in 21 of their last 34 games as an underdog including four of five this season. This series has seen five straight overs in Taco Bell Arena. I think this one is an over as well. |
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12-25-17 | Princeton v. Hawaii OVER 134.5 | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Hawaii and Princeton try to pick up their second win in the tournament on Christmas. The host school beat Davidson 79-71 after losing 75-57 to Miami. Hawaii is a decently paced offense that has around 70 possessions per game. They've scored 70 or more eight times this season. Sheriff Drammeh leads six scorers who average seven points per game or more. Princeton is one of the slowest teams in the country and is coming off a 64-62 win over Akron. They also lost 69-67 against Middle Tennessee in this tournament. This is a Tigers team that is playing their fifth game on the road with two of those going over the total. They've struggled defensively sometimes away from home giving up 71 at St. Joe, 76 at Fairleigh Dickinson and 71 at GW. Devin Cannday, Myles Stephens and Amir Bell are a solid trio. Hawaii has gone over in 15 of their last 24 games when the total is in the 130s. |
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12-23-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Sacramento OVER 142 | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
UCSB has been on my card often because of a fantastic offense and the ability to cover on the road where they have gone 5-1 against the spread. They've also gone over in five contests because of a good balanced offense. Max Heidegger, Leland King II, Jalen Canty and Gabe Vincent average over 60 points per game and are a lot to handle. The Hornets have just three wins on the season beating CS-Northridge, Antelope Valley and Notre Dame De Namur. Their defense is bad allowing 70 or more in five of their last six contests. I think the Gauchos get the road win and this one is played with a bit of pace and some points.  |
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12-23-17 | Green Bay +19 v. Wisconsin | 60-81 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Green Bay is playing Wisconsin and now the Phoenix are a lot better with Sandy Cohen III on the court. He scored 16 points in their last game giving the team three double digit scorers with Khalil Small and Kameron Hankerson. The team did lose by three points at home to Bowling Green, but it'll take time for them to get Cohen involved. They have played some tough road games losing by nine at Mississippi State and by 11 at Belmont. They did get blown out at Missouri and Indiana State but that was pre-Cohen. Wisconsin has been off since a 1 point win over Western Kentucky. The Badgers have lost at home to Marquette, Xavier and Ohio State already. They have lost seven of their last 10 games and are not as good without Kobe King and D'Mitrik Trice. Green Bay has actually covered eight of their last 14 at Wisconsin in this series including last year when they lost by 14 and two years ago when they fell by five. |
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12-23-17 | Long Beach State v. Colorado State OVER 152 | 66-68 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Long Beach State plays their fourth road game over their last five as they travel to Fort Collins to play Colorado State. The 49ers play no defense allowing 102 to Michigan State last time out, 94 to Southern Utah, 91 to Arizona and 91 at West Virginia. Their offense has shown flashes as they had scored 70 or more in five straight before Sparty slowed them down. The Rams play with a decent pace and have gone over in three of their last five lined games. At home, they've scored 70 or more five times and they've struggled on defense against the better teams on the slate. Back in 2015, these two played an 83-77 game in Fort Collins. I think we see something similar on Saturday. |
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12-23-17 | Illinois State +102 v. Evansville | 72-66 | Win | 102 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
It's an early start to the Missouri Valley season. The Purple Aces are coming off a horrendous loss at Duke in which they fell by at least 60 points. It's what happens when Ryan Taylor, Dru Smith and Duane Gibson are all out. Taylor may come back and that's big considering he's the team's leading scorer. Even if he returns, it won't be 100%. ISU has won their last two games at Evansville. They have won their last two including a contest at Ole Miss. Keyshawn Evans, Phil Fayne and Milik Yarbrough are a huge trio to try and contain. I think the Redbirds are the better team and in a lesser atmosphere we are getting them nearly straight up. |
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12-23-17 | Richmond v. Boston College OVER 145 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
BC has won four straight including a victory at home over Duke. At home this season, they've scored 80 points or more in all but one contest. Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman are a fantastic backcourt who have had to do a little more without Deontae Hawkins. Their defense is pretty good holding seven opponents to less then 70 points. Richmond's offense has perked up a bit as of late scoring 78 against Bucknell and 74 against James Madison. They've allowed all but two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field this season. It's a team that can't stop anyone defensively and has to be low on confidence. These two teams should be able to top this lower total. |
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12-22-17 | Georgia Southern v. East Tenn State OVER 142 | 59-79 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State hosts Georgia Southern on Friday. The Bucs have won five of their last six with the loss being by two points at Xavier. ETSU's offense is clicking with six efforts of 80 points or more in their last eight contests. They've got some balance and don't mind playing with a little pace. Georgia Southern has won four of their last five. This is their fourth straight road contest, but they are veteran enough to handle that. GSU has balanced scoring and has scored 70 or more in four of their last five. ETSU has gone over in 20 of their last 28 at home. That trend continues on Friday. |
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12-22-17 | Bradley v. Ole Miss OVER 140.5 | 59-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Bradley hits the road for their third straight game away from home against Ole Miss. The Braves has won three straight and have lost just two games overall. They fell by one on a neutral court against Vermont and lost by 23 at San Diego State. Bradley is known for their defense, but the offense has scored 75 or more in three straight games. Ole Miss is not exactly known for their defense as they've allowed 101 to Illinois State, 83 to Virginia Tech, 99 to South Dakota State and 83 to Utah. They can score as well and have been very efficient at times. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 28 road games while Ole Miss has gone over in 25 of their last 39 home contests. I think the Braves struggle on the defensive end and we get another over. |
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12-22-17 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Syracuse | 60-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Syracuse is banged up and hosting a St. Bonaventure team with one of the better backcourts in the country in Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley. The pair average almost 36 points per game while getting help from Courtney Stockard who averages 11. Adams is almost a 48% shooter from long range. The Bonnies problem is a lack of true depth outside of a couple of players. Speaking of that, Syracuse doesn't have much of it and a lot of their players are banged up. Tyus Battle is among those not 100% but pushing through it because he has to. One of their bigs, Sidibe is dealing with knee issues and who knows on a day-to-day basis how he's going to react to it. Syracuse has covered just two of their six home games this season. The Bonnies aren't a bad team and yet the line is moving Syracuse's way. I think the Orange win but a tight one. |
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12-22-17 | Elon v. Indiana State OVER 138.5 | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Defense is a bit of an issue for Indiana State who is hosting Elon on Friday night. ISU is allowing teams to score nearly 75 points per game and their coach has said his team has an issue with scouting reports and doing the right thing consistently. They played a school called Indianapolis earlier this month and only won 79-75. They have gone over the total in three straight and five of their last six lined games. The offense isnt the issue, but the ability to stop opponents is. Elon is playing their fourth straight on the road having lost two of the first three. Their offense is very inconsistent especially if they are not hitting the three pointer. They play a mediocre pace, but this total is accounting for that. Their offense works at home and has worked on the road as well. ISU has gone over in 20 of their last 29 at home. This one should continue that trend. |
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12-21-17 | Tennessee Tech v. Indiana OVER 150.5 | 59-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Tennessee Tech may not be getting Indiana at a good time after they lost to Fort Wayne. Tech has lost three of their last four and has already played seven games away from home this season. They've got some balanced scoring with at least four guys scoring nine points or more. They've had their problems against the better teams on their schedule allowing 100 to TCU, 96 to New Mexico and 79 to Dayton. The Hoosiers allowed IPFW to shoot 51.7% from the field and scoring 92 points. They bounced back with an 86-77 win over Howard after an opening season loss to Indiana State. The Hoosiers have gone over in eight of their 12 contests. Their offense can be pretty good, but their defense is leaky as can be. I think we get a really focused effort out of IU and we see this one above the total. |
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12-21-17 | Cleveland State v. Cincinnati -28 | 62-81 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
It's a big spread for the Bearcats but traditionally they've taken care of business in this situation. Cincy has covered 10 of their last 16 games as a home favorite of 24.5 to 30 points. They are averaging 33 point victories at home this season outscoring opponents 88.5 to 55.3. Cleveland State's three wins have come over Notre Dame of Ohio, Arkansas State and Coppin State. In their only game against a power five school, they lost 70-38 to Rutgers and the Scarlet Knights are nowhere near as good as Cincy. The Vikes have covered just 10 of their last 34 road games and 17 of their last 51 as an underdog. This one will get ugly. |
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12-21-17 | Long Beach State v. Michigan State OVER 152 | 60-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Long Beach State continues to play one of the toughest schedules in the season. They played at Arizona (91-56 loss), at West Virginia (91-62), at Oregon State (89-81) and took on Missouri on a neutral court (95-58). The 49ers offense has played well for the most part this season although against some lesser competition. Their problem is on defense where they've allowed 90 or more five times. Michigan State has pounded on their lesser opponents with a 107-62 win over Houston Baptist, 88-63 over Southern Utah, 98-66 over North Florida and 93-71 over Stony Brook. They are shooting over 50% from the field and should be able to get whatever shot they want. LBSU has gone over in 29 of their last 43 games as an underdog. I think Sparty gets to 100 in this one. |
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12-21-17 | Tenn Chattanooga v. Jacksonville State OVER 128.5 | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Chattanooga is looking for their first road win of the season. They have struggled defensively and are coming off an 82-76 loss at Tennessee Tech. The team has been close with a four point loss at Marshall, five point loss at Akron and a 9 point loss at Wyoming. They don't play with a ton of pace, but the offense has been efficient at times as well. Jacksonville State has won five of their last six games. They are pretty good offensively having scored 70 or more in nine contests this season. One of those was a game against the Mocs at their place back on November 21st in a 77-75 win. Both teams shot at or near 50% for the game which helped. JSU has gone over in four of their six lined games and they are shooting better then 50% from the field. I know it's an early start, but I think we get a solid offensive effort and an over. |
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12-21-17 | Liberty v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 144 | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne is coming off their second straight win over Indiana and now has to fly to New Orleans to begin a tournament with Liberty. The Mastodons have one of the most potent offenses in the country while Liberty has one of the best defenses and is a lot more methodical. Focus has got to be an issue for IPFW who has been getting a lot of attention in the state after the win. Their defense was better then it has been in the past. This is a team that allowed 84 at home to Stetson and 81 at Miami Ohio. Liberty has some talent with wins over Georgia State and Wake Forest already to go with a close loss to Houston. They play good defense against the three pointer so Fort Wayne could struggle there. IPFW has gone over in 43 of their last 65 lined games. This is an intriguing game and I think it'll be close and higher scoring even on a neutral court that figures to be empty. |
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12-20-17 | Wofford v. North Carolina OVER 154 | 79-75 | Push | 0 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
UNC has Ohio State next but before then they get Wofford in a decent little sandwich. The Heels are coming off a 78-73 win at Tennessee so focus could be an issue in this one. They've played a lot of these home games against teams with big point spreads. It went over against Western Carolina, Tulane and Northern Iowa with the Bucknell game probably going over as well if there was a line. Wofford has played two power five schools on the road losing 79-65 at California and 79-56 at Texas Tech. The Terriers offense isn't that bad and UNC usually allows teams to score especially when the game gets out of hand. The Heels won't let them play slow in this one so that's where the over comes into play. I think we get some good pace and good scoring. |
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12-20-17 | Georgia State v. Massachusetts OVER 133 | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
A pair of defensively based teams play as UMass hosts Georgia State. The two squads have similar profiles with both averaging around 72-73 points per game while allowing around 66. Last year these two teams played in Atlanta with the Minutemen winning 74-65. The Panthers are coming off a tough 88-83 loss at Dayton as a six point underdog. They've also lost by five at Ole Miss 77-72. GSU has road wins in lower scoring games against Alabama A&M and Rice. UMass has won three in a row after a four game losing streak. They beat Georgia 72-62 and Providence 72-63 at home. They've also picked up home wins of 85-76 and 101-76 over Western Carolina and Niagara. This one should be a victory for UMass and probably an over in a close contest |
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12-20-17 | North Texas +9.5 v. Georgetown | 63-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mean Green have won three straight entering this one against Georgetown. They beat San Diego last time out on the road as a 10 point underdog and have close road losses at Texas Arlington and Oklahoma. Roosevelt Smart and Ryan Woolridge lead the way offensively for a team that is pretty balanced as a group. The big question is if Jorden Duffy will be playing. He averages seven points per game and was only expected to miss two games due to a knee injury. The Hoyas are coming off a tough overtime loss to Syracuse and have played the easiest non-conference schedule in the country. They've beaten up on most of the team's they've played so we really don't know how good they are. Georgetown dismissed Chris Sodom and he's 7'3 and a lot of size off the bench that is gone. They have not covered any of their home games and are 10-25 ATS there in their last 35 contests. To me, North Texas can keep this close. There won't be much of an atmosphere for this one. |
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12-20-17 | Bradley v. SE Missouri State OVER 141 | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Bradley is a defensive team and has played great D all season long holding opponents to 58.5 points per game. The Braves have played two true road games allowing 75 to San Diego State and 58 to Chicago State although they scored 84 in that one. You really can't set the total low enough for their home games. The offense is actually doing pretty well too. On the other side you have the RedHawks who wants to run and has scored 70 or more in all of their home games. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games because they don't play defense as well away from home. These two played an 84-78 game last November in a game that had a 134 total. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-19-17 | UC-Davis v. Nevada OVER 139 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
UC Davis has lost just three times this season falling at San Francisco, Washington and Utah Valley State. In those games they couldn't compete with the athleticism of their opponents allowing 74, 77 and 80 points. The Aggies want a slower game, but it's harder to do away from home. They've gone over in three straight and four of their last five. Chima Moneke is averaging nearly 20 points per game and he's fantastic. Nevada's offense is fantastic and have scored 80 points or more in all but four games this season. They are deep and want to run. They've gone over in seven of their 10 lined games. I think this one goes over the total. |
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12-19-17 | Stephen F Austin +13.5 v. Missouri | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Lumberjacks are 10-1 on the season and are coming off an outright win at LSU. Their only loss was by five points to Mississippi State. SFA is forcing opponents to turn the ball over on 29.3% of their possessions. Missouri has had 20.3% of it's possessions end in turnovers. TJ Holyfield and Kevon Harris lead the way for them. They are a bit undersized up front when it comes to playing the Tigers. Missouri has more balanced scoring but they also have the Braggin Rights game next so there's a chance that focus is an issue. Missou is blowing out a lot of teams at home, but I think they will get a challenge here. Stephen F Austin has wins at LSU, Rice, La Tech and Longwood to go with that loss to Mississippi State. I think they can keep things close in this one. |
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12-19-17 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas OVER 152.5 | 69-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has won two straight entering this one against Arkansas. The offense is picking up and that was without their best player Albert Owens who is back after serving a suspension. On the road, they've had massive defensive issues allowing 90 at Tulsa, 91 at Oklahoma State, 80 at Pepperdine, 86 at Penn State and 92 at UNLV. The Razorbacks are rolling offensively especially at home where they've scored 95, 92, 83, 101 and 95. ORU has gone over in seven of their 10 lined games and 24 of their last 37 road contests. This one should be an over. |
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12-19-17 | Wright State +9.5 v. Missouri State | 50-66 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Raiders have won three straight and seven of their last eight after a three game losing streak to start the season out. They are coming off a 77-69 win at Toledo as a five point underdog. Cole Gentry had his first action in that one and it's helped things out big time. This is a team that has struggled on the road, but students won't be there so it won't be as big of an atmosphere. The squad has six players who average nine points per game or more. Missouri State had their seven game win streak snapped last time out in a headscratching loss at Oral Roberts in which it was a 12.5 point favorite. Alize Johnson is a very good player and leads the way for Missouri State. They've covered just 12 of their last 30 home games. I think the road team is worth a look. |
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12-19-17 | The Citadel v. Ohio State -26.5 | 65-94 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
It's an absolute mismatch as Ohio State hosts the Citadel on Tuesday. The Citadel wants to run and shoot and doesn't concern itself with defense very much. They lost by 35 at Florida State 113-78 and by 39 at Virginia Tech 132-93. They even allowed 100 points at home to Marist and that's a bad recipe for the Bulldogs. The Buckeyes have a 35 point win over William and Mary, 25 vs. Northeastern and 31 points over Robert Morris. The only concern here is that UNC is next up, but the Citadel is so bad that I think Ohio State could sleepwalk their way to a 30 point win. |
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12-19-17 | Marshall +22.5 v. Xavier | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Xavier is dealing with a lot of injuries right now. JP Macura and Kaiser Gates are questionable while Elias Harden and Paul Scruggs may play after serving their suspension for an undisclosed violation of team rules. This means Trevon Bluitt will take on more responsibility. Marshall has won four straight and six of their last seven including a victory at Toledo. They lost by 10 at William and Mary, 17 at Illinois and 3 at Morehead State. The Thundering Herd is led by Jon Elmore, CJ Burks and Ajdin Penava who are averaging over 60 points per game. I think they can keep things close against a not deep Xavier team. |
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12-17-17 | Texas State v. Colorado State OVER 135 | 58-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Colorado State has lost six of their last eight as they host the Bobcats. The Rams have had some offensive issues as of late struggling to score on their last road trip through Oregon and Arkansas. At home, they've been very good putting up 72, 72, 80 and 72. Defensively, they've struggled against some teams. They've allowed five teams to shoot 50% or better from the field. Texas State has won three of their last five. They are one of the slowest teams in the league, but they've struggled at times to set that pace on the road. They won at Pacific 85-78 and allowed 72 at Abilene Christian and 71 at Houston Baptist. TSU has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. CSU has gone over in 20 of their last 31 as a favorite. I think this one is an over. |
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12-17-17 | Tenn Chattanooga v. Tennessee Tech OVER 140 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Tennessee Tech is finally home after a long time on the road. The Golden Eagles offense has been fantastic at home with wins over Lipscomb, Kennesaw State, Boyce and Midway in which they scored 80 points or more. They've done that seven times overall with four players averaging double digits. This is a balanced OVC squad that should be able to score on a Mocs team that struggles on the road. They lost 70-66 at Marshall, 75-70 at Akron, 89-47 at UAB and 74-65 at Wyoming. Offensively they aren't that good, but I think Tennessee Tech's defense isn't that great. These two played an 80-69 game two years ago. We could see something similar in this one. |
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