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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-18 | Iowa v. Purdue -2.5 | 36-38 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Purdue Boilermakers (-) over Iowa Hawkeyes, Saturday at 3:30 ET: Game #324 |
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11-03-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -18.5 | 31-36 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Ohio State Buckeyes (-) over Nebraska Cornhuskers, Saturday at Noon ET: Game #334 |
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11-02-18 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Colorado Buffaloes (+) over Arizona Wildcats, Friday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #319 |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida OVER 60.5 | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Temple Owl at Central Florida Knights, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #313 |
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10-30-18 | Kent State +1 v. Bowling Green | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Kent State Golden Flashes (+) over Bowling Green Falcons, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET: Game #303 |
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10-27-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) over Texas Longhorns, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #180 |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -2.5 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Stanford Cardinal (-) over Washington State Cougars, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #162 |
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10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -7.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Houston Cougars (-) over South Florida Bulls, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #184 |
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10-27-18 | Georgia -6.5 v. Florida | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Georgia Bulldogs (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #167 |
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10-27-18 | Oregon State v. Colorado OVER 62 | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Oregon State Beavers @ Colorado Buffaloes, Saturday at 3 PM ET: Game #153 |
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10-25-18 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Virginia Tech | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+) over Virginia Tech Hokies, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #111 |
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10-20-18 | Ohio State v. Purdue +12.5 | 20-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Purdue Boilermakers (+) over Ohio State Buckeyes, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #334 |
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10-20-18 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -12 | 7-14 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Kentucky Wildcats (-) over Vanderbilt Commodores, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #312 |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State v. LSU OVER 45 | Top | 3-19 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #403 |
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10-20-18 | Cincinnati v. Temple -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Temple Owls (-) over Cincinnati Bearcats, Saturday at Noon ET: Game #314 |
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10-19-18 | Air Force -10 v. UNLV | 41-35 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Air Force Falcons (-) over UNLV Rebels, Friday at 10 PM ET: Game #309 |
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10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Arizona State Sun Devils (+) over Stanford Cardinal, Thursday at 9 PM ET: Game #306 |
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10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -6.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* USC Trojans (-) over Colorado Buffaloes, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #156 |
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10-13-18 | Georgia v. LSU +7.5 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (+) over Georgia, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET Game #198: Many will be set to jump off LSU’s bandwagon after they picked up their first loss of the season last week @ Florida. That result has helped the value here pushing this number above a TD. Last week’s game @ Florida showed a near even stand off on the stat sheet with Florida scoring on an interception return with under 2:00 minutes remaining to salt away the 27-19 win. LSU has been a home dog just 6 times since 2010 and they’ve won half of those games (3) outright. Georgia is a bit overvalued in our opinion. They are undefeated but have yet to be challenged. Their schedule thus far has been fairly weak as this will be by far their toughest test of the season. The Bulldogs have played just 2 road games this year and their most recent one @ Mizzou was a 14 point win with 2 non-offensive TD’s fueling that win in a game that was nearly dead even on the stat sheet. Another key point is UGA has yet to be in a stressful, close game situation due to their fairly easy schedule and we expect them to have some serious adversity for the first time this season in this game. Georgia has never been higher than a 1-point favorite @ LSU and now they are being asked to lay more than a TD. We like LSU to bounce back and play very well this week. We give them a decent shot at the upset so we’ll grab the points. |
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10-13-18 | Baylor +14.5 v. Texas | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Baylor Bears (+) over Texas Longhorns, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #187 |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon OVER 57.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Washington Huskies @ Oregon Ducks, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #159 |
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10-12-18 | Arizona +13.5 v. Utah | 10-42 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
ASA 9* Arizona Wildcats (+) over Utah Utes, Friday at 10:00 PM ET - The Utes are off of a big upset win at Stanford last week. Utah also has USC on deck. From a situational perspective, this game certainly sets up as a flat spot for the Utes. Also, Arizona has revenge from losing each of the last two meetings including last season's game which the Wildcats lost at home. The Cats are getting about two touchdowns in this spot and the big dog is offering significant line value. After dropping their first two games this season, Arizona is 3-1 SU and ATS their last 4 games. Even though Utah won last week at Stanford they were outgained in that game. Also, last season's match-up between these teams saw the Utes get outgained by over 100 yards by the Wildcats in a game that had a deceiving final score. We look for Arizona to improve to 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games with a total set between 49.5 and 52 points. Utah is 1-3 ATS this season in games played on turf. Bet ARIZONA |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State OVER 49 | 15-13 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
ASA 9* OVER – Georgia Southern @ Texas State, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET - Both teams run the ball very well and we just don't foresee either defense getting many stops in this game as each of these teams is also allowing a lot of yardage on the ground as well. The Bobcats, other than their lone game versus an FCS foe, have allowed an average of over 200 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles have allowed an average of 185 rushing yards per game their last 3 games. With both teams able to establish the run in this game that serves to open up opportunities downfield in the passing game as the front seven of the defense must respect the running game. That being said, there should be plenty of points in this game and we are getting extra value with this total as it has moved down from the low 50s to the upper 40s. In road games with a total between 42.5 and 49 points, Georgia Southern is 5-0 to the over. In games against teams with a losing record, the Eagles are 8-3 to the over. Texas State is 2-0 to the over in home games this season and, in recent seasons, is on a 6-3 run to the over in games played in Weeks 5 through 9 of a season. The Bobcats are scoring an average of 29 points per game their last 4 games. Georgia State, other than their game against Clemson's D (and Texas State D is at the other end of the spectrum compared to Clemson), has averaged 37 points per game in their other 4 games this season. Bet the OVER in Texas State Thursday. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +10.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
ASA 9* Arkansas State (+) over Appalachian State, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET - This is a case where perception doesn't meet reality. Yes Appalachian State is 5-0 on the season but they've played a much weaker schedule than Arkansas State has. Now, on the road, and in a primetime rare national TV game for Arkansas State at home, the Red Wolves are going to be amped up. Getting double digits at home in a situation like this is a great value and the Red Wolves are 7-0-1 ATS in October games. Also, Arkansas State is 3-1 ATS the last 4 times they've been a dog in a range of 3.5 to 10 points. All 3 of those wins were outright upset wins. The Red Wolves pass defense has been great except for when they played Alabama and who stops the Crimson Tide? That said, we feel the Mountaineers are going to struggle to get any type of significant margin in this Tuesday night road game against the Red Wolves. Play ARKANSAS STATE |
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10-06-18 | Utah v. Stanford -5 | 40-21 | Loss | -106 | 56 h 27 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Stanford Cardinal (-) over Utah Utes, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #364 |
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10-06-18 | LSU -115 v. Florida | 19-27 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 5 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #333 |
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10-06-18 | Iowa -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 48-31 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Iowa Hawkeyes (-) over Minnesota Golden Gophers, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #387 |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2 | 45-20 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
ASA 9* BYU (-) over Utah State, Friday at 9:00 PM ET - The Cougars are off a rough game @ Washington losing 35-7. It was a poor performance on both sides of the ball against one of the top teams in the nation so we expect a big effort at home in a game BYU needs to win. They come in with a 3-2 overall record but they’ve also played one of the toughest schedules in the nation thus far already facing the likes of Wisconsin, Arizona, California, and Washington. They are one of just 6 teams in the nation that have already faced 4 Power Five teams. They beat both Wisconsin & Arizona on the road so this team is definitely capable. The one negative we see with this game is they do catch Utah State off a bye which we’re not crazy about. However, USU has played a MUCH easier schedule. They played Michigan State tough in a 7-point loss to open the season. They were a little lucky to stay close in that game as they were outgained by over 100 yards and benefitted from a interception return for TD. Since that game the Aggies have played New Mexico State, Tennessee Tech, and Air Force. So while BYU has been playing a tough slate of teams to prepare them for this spot, USU has been padding their overall stats vs weak opponents. The Aggies offensive numbers are impressive, but the last 3 games they’ve faced the 103rd ranked defense (NMSU), 70th ranked defense (Air Force) and a Tennessee Tech defense that has allowed 51 PPG this year. These two met last year @ Utah State and BYU was a 1-point favorite in that game. Now a much improved BYU team is laying just 2 points at home. The Aggies won last year 40-26 at home but it was a misleading final score as BYU outgained them 396 to 288. BYU had a ridiculous 7 turnovers in that game which led to the USU win. Now Utah State will attempt to beat BYU in consecutive seasons for the first time since the 1974 season! It won’t happen here as the Cougars will be focused and play very well after their worst outing of the season. Lay this small number at home with BYU |
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10-04-18 | Georgia State v. Troy OVER 54 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
ASA 9* OVER – Georgia State @ Troy, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET - The Panthers erupted for 46 points in last week's win and will take advantage of a Trojans defense that has allowed nearly 400 yards per game in their 4 match-ups with FBS schools this season. The issue for Georgia State however is that, prior to beating a struggling UL Monroe team, the Panthers had given up over 500 yards in each of their 3 prior games. This Georgia State defense is unlikely to enjoy much success this week either as Troy comes into this one having averaged 41 points per game their past 4 games. Also, the Trojans have totaled over 450 yards of offense in 3 of their last 4 games. Troy is 4-1 to the over this season. Also, their non-road games (home or neutral field) are on a 6-1 run to the over dating back to last season. With the downward line move on this total it has fallen into our play range as we fully expect plenty of points in this one. Bet the OVER in Troy Thursday. |
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09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame OVER 52 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Stanford Cardinal, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #207 |
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09-29-18 | South Carolina +1 v. Kentucky | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 51 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* South Carolina Gamecocks (+) over Kentucky Wildcats, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #141 |
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09-29-18 | Florida v. Mississippi State -7 | 13-6 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Mississippi State Bulldogs (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 6 PM ET: Game #194 |
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09-29-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +15 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 23 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Northwestern Wildcats (+) over Michigan Wolverines, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET: Game #210 |
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09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane OVER 66 | 24-40 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
OVER – Memphis @ Tulane, Friday at 8:00 PM ET - The Tigers offense has scored at least 52 points in 3 of their 4 games this season. The Green Wave, before facing Ohio State last week, had averaged over 400 yards of offense per game so far this season. The Tulane defense is most certainly a weakness as they have allowed nearly 500 yards of offense per game so far this season. The Tigers D allowed 465 yards last week and 35 points and that was at home. Memphis, when on a SU winning streak of 2 or more games, the over is 28-10 long-term including 10-2 in recent seasons. Tulane, in weeks 5 through 9 in a season, are 6-2 to the over their last 8 games. Last year these teams combined for 82 points. This season Memphis games have totaled more than 80 points in 3 of 4 games. That is why, though this O/U is a big number, it is very likely to prove to not be nearly high enough. The Tigers offense is one of the tops in the nation for efficiency as they are averaging 8.7 yards per play on offense. Bet the OVER in Tulane Friday. |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -17.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes (-) over North Carolina Tar Heels at 8 PM ET Thursday - The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these ACC foes. Even though Miami has Florida State on deck, the Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 ACC openers. The Canes have been very strong on defense this season and while the North Carolina defense has struggled badly. With the line opening as high as 21.5 and now down to as low as 17.5, there is additional value here as this one does have the makings of a home blowout. The Tar Heels finally got into the win column last week versus Pittsburgh so this is the perfect spot to fade them off of the home dog upset. Combined edges above of 13-2 (87%) ATS in favor of a play on the big home favorite here. Lay the points with Miami |
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09-22-18 | Air Force v. Utah State -10.5 | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Utah State Aggies (-) over Air Force Falcons, Saturday at 10:15 PM ET: Game #392 |
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09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 10 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Oregon Ducks vs Stanford Cardinal, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #355 |
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09-22-18 | Michigan State -4 v. Indiana | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 50 h 46 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Michigan State Spartans (-) over Indiana Hoosiers, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #317 |
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09-22-18 | Clemson -15 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 46 h 43 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Clemson Tigers (-) over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #337 |
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09-21-18 | Penn State v. Illinois OVER 60 | 63-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
OVER – Penn State @ Illinois, Friday at 9:00 PM ET - The Penn State offense is clicking right now to say the least. After struggling a big in their opener vs App State (they still scored 38 points in regulation and 45 points for the game) the Nittany Lions have gone up and down the field at will the last two weeks. They scored 51 points on a solid Pittsburgh defense that allowed just 19 points to Georgia Tech last week with the Jackets scoring their final TD with just 35 seconds remaining in the game. Last week PSU topped that offensive performance by putting up 63 points and 643 yards Kent State. Head coach James Franklin has never been opposed to running up the score as witnessed last week when they scored 28 in the first half and 35 in the second half when the game was already well out of reach. The Illinois defense is allowing 21 PPG through three contests this year but those numbers could and should be much worse. That’s because the Illini are allowing almost 500 YPG and over 6 YPP to opposing offenses this season. Those numbers usually equate to many more points on the board than they have been giving up. On top of that, we’re talking about Kent, Western Illinois and South Florida doing that damage against the Illinois defense. PSU’s offense is on a whole different level. In last week’s 25-19 loss to USF, the Illini defense allowed 626 yards however the Bulls shot themselves in the foot with 3 turnovers, 13 penalties, and 3 missed field goals. Needless to say, USF should have had many more points in that game. The Illinois offense has actually been OK this year. They’ve put up 34,31, and 19 points. Their starting QB AJ Bush should be back this week and even if he doesn’t return his back up Rivers had a decent game last week and was able to get a game under his belt. Either way, we don’t think the Illinois offense will have to do a whole lot for this game to push over the total. PSU has the capability of getting to 50 by themselves. We look for some 2nd half success from the IU offense when the game is most likely out of hand. While we expect Penn State to score a lot, we simply don’t trust laying 4+ TD’s with PSU here, and feel the OVER is the much better play. |
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09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple -7 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
Temple Owls (-) over Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 7:30 PM ET Thursday - Temple off of the big win at Maryland while Tulsa continues to struggle with too many turnovers on offense. Some strong angles support a play on the Owls here. The Golden Hurricane have gone 1-9 ATS when they an underdog versus a team with a losing record that is off of a SU win by 10 or more points. That system fits perfectly with Temple just 1-2 SU on the season but off of a blowout win over the Terrapins. Also, the Owls are 10-0 ATS when they are facing a team that is off of a SU loss as a favorite. Tulsa was favored last week but lost at home versus Arkansas State so that system is also set up perfectly here. We also like the fact that Temple is on a 7-1 ATS run in games against teams with a losing record while the Golden Hurricane have a 1-6 ATS mark in games against teams with a losing record. Long-term the Owls are on a 30-13 ATS run and we expect them to continue their run as a "covering machine" with a very manageable line posted on this Thursday night home game. Taking the best four systems / angles above it combines for a 32-3 (91%) mark in favor of the home favorite. Lay the points with Temple |
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09-15-18 | Washington -4.5 v. Utah | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington Huskies (-) over Utah Utes, Saturday at 10 PM ET: Game #205 |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* TCU Horned Frogs (+) over Ohio State Buckeyes, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #204 |
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09-15-18 | LSU +10.5 v. Auburn | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (+) over Auburn Tigers, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #153 |
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09-15-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh OVER 54 | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Saturday at 12:30 PM ET: Game #135 |
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09-14-18 | Georgia State +28 v. Memphis | 22-59 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 37 m | Show | |
Georgia State Panthers (+) over Memphis Tigers at 7 PM ET Friday - With Georgia State off of an embarrassing loss at NC State everyone is jumping on Memphis here. That said, value has been created with the big dog as, keep in mind, the Tigers didn't exactly look sharp in their one point loss as a touchdown favorite at Navy last week. In weekday match-ups, Memphis is on a poor 1-7-1 ATS slide as a home favorite and the Tigers certainly are a pricey home favorite in this one. Also, Georgia State is 6-0 ATS when they are an underdog and facing an opponent that lost outright as a favorite in their prior game! The Panthers are also 6-0 ATS when they're facing a non-conference opponent that is off of a SU loss in their prior game. With this line up around 4 touchdowns the value is with the large underdog in this match-up that, just like the favorite, is looking for a better performance this week. Grab the big points with Georgia State |
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09-13-18 | Old Dominion v. Charlotte OVER 40 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
OVER the total – Charlotte vs Old Dominion at 4 PM ET Thursday - The first numbers popping up on this total were in the mid-40s. Now it is down to a 40 as of Wednesday evening. Of course this game was moved up because of the hurricane approaching the Carolinas but that weather event is going to have have no impact on this Thursday game. With that said, the drop on this total likely had a lot to do with some poor performances on offense for these teams. The problem with that analogy is that it is not taking into account that both of these teams have had some major issues on defense. Charlotte has allowed nearly 300 passing yards in EACH of its first two games. Yes 49ers QB Evan Shirreffs is out but he wasn't even expected to be the starting QB for this team as of a few month ago. Also, Charlotte is sure to take advantage of an Old Dominion defense that is allowing 540 yards per game so far this season. The over is on a 19-8 run in Monarchs road games. Also, Old Dominion is on a 10-3 run to the over when they enter a game on a SU losing streak of 2 or more games. Charlotte is 7-3 to the over in September games. OVER is the play. |
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09-08-18 | Michigan State -6 v. Arizona State | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 58 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Michigan State Spartans (-) over Arizona State Sun Devils, Saturday at 10:45 ET: Game #393 |
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09-08-18 | Virginia +7 v. Indiana | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Virginia Cavaliers (+) over Indiana Hoosiers, Saturday at 7:30 ET: Game #369 |
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09-08-18 | Baylor -15 v. UTSA | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Baylor Bears (-) over UTSA Roadrunners, Saturday at 7 ET: Game #349 |
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09-08-18 | Buffalo +4.5 v. Temple | 36-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Buffalo Bulls (+) over Temple Owls, Saturday at 3:30 ET: Game #345 |
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