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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-14-23 | Hawks -4.5 v. Pistons | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HAWKS/PISTONS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER This looks like a good spot to back the Atlanta Hawks to bounce back from a 117-109 loss to Miami as a 7-point favorite. They had won five of their past seven games but have failed to cover the spread in their last three, which makes me think they're "due" for a big night here against a struggling Detroit team. The Pistons are coming into the game on an eight-game losing streak, through which they are 2-6 ATS. The Hawks are 3-2 on the road, and the Pistons are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Pistons are 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5. Atlanta star Trae Young is dealing with a personal matter, and it is unknown if he will play. If he doesn't, I expect the rest of the team to step up. 3* PLAY ON ATLANTA HAWKS. |
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11-14-23 | Bruins -144 v. Sabres | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Boston Bruins to bounce back from an OT loss in Montreal on Saturday. They're an NHL-best 11-1-2 for the season and they've yet to lose consecutive games. The Buffalo Sabres are 4-2 as favorites on the season but 3-6 as underdogs. Boston is a dominant 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. 4* PLAY ON BOSTON BRUINS. |
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11-14-23 | Golden Knights -146 v. Capitals | 0-3 | Loss | -146 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$CRE The Vegas Golden Knights are 12-2-1 on the season. They took a 4-1 loss to the Kings on Nov 8 but bounced back with a 5-0 win against the Sharks the following game. The Knights are 10-1 in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference and 13-3 in their last 16 games when playing as the favorite. The Caps are 8-24 in their last 32 games when playing as the underdog, and I like to fade them here as they're coming off back-to-back road wins as underdogs against the Devils and the Islanders. 3* PLAY ON VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS. |
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11-13-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Colorado Avalanche to snap back from back-to-back home losses, first a 4-3 loss to this very Seattle team followed by a humiliating 8-2 setback as a -220 favorite against the Blues. Since the beginning of the 2021 season, the As are 11-4 (+14.1% ROI) as a favorite coming off a pair of losses. They are 19-7 (+10.6%) ROI as a favorite off a loss when laying -170 or more. This is a decent amount of juice to lay on a 5* play, but I don't see Colorado losing this one. 5* PLAY ON COLORADO AVALANCHE. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-13-23 | Rider +15 v. Nebraska | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CBB BOOKIE BU$TER The Nebraska Cornhuskers are perfect 2-0 straight up and against the spread while the Rider Broncos are 1-1 straight up (0-1 ATS). This is a simple sell high/buy low spot with Nebraska off blowout wins of 25+ points while Rider took a 95-65 loss to Marquette in its last game. This is ugly, but that's also where you can find the most value. 3* PLAY ON RIDER BRONCOS. |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KNICKS/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER I like the New York Knicks to cover the number here as the Celtics might be caught looking ahead to their next game against a Sixers team that defeated them 106-103 in Philadelphia last week. Sure, the Knicks will be playing on short rest following a 129-107 home win over Charlotte on Sunday, but they are 22-10-2 ATS in their last 34 games playing on 0 days rest, 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 3* PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS. |
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11-12-23 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Rockets | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Houston Rockets have answered a season-opening three-game losing streak with five consecutive wins. Now they'll face the reigning NBA champions Denver Nuggets though, and I think the visitors will win this one comfortably. They'll come into this game well-rested with three days off since their 108-105 win over Golden State on Wednesday while Houston battled New Orleans in a close game Friday night. The Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest and Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. 3* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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11-12-23 | Stars -109 v. Wild | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
MIKE'S STARS/WILD NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Dallas Stars will be playing on short rest following a 3-2 win in Winnipeg last night, but that's also why we're getting them at this good of a price. The Wild are only marginally better off as this will be their third game in four nights after road losses at New York Rangers and Buffalo on Thursday and Friday night respectively. The Stars are 6-1-1 on the road this season. 3* PLAY ON DALLAS STARS. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 39 | Top | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-12-23 | Commanders v. Seahawks -6 | 26-29 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S COMMANDERS/SEAHAWKS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER This looks like a good spot to fade the Washington Commanders who are coming off a 20-17 win against the Pats in Foxborough, while we get the Seahawks in a big bounce back spot following their 37-3 loss in Baltimore. Seattle had won five of its past six games heading into that matchup and I expect them to oblitirate Washington today. 3* PLAY ON SEATTLE SEAHAWKS. |
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11-12-23 | Packers +3.5 v. Steelers | 19-23 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PACKERS/STEELERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-3 SU and ATS, but them being above .500 is almost nothing short of a miracle. They've been outgained in every game this season, and I'm not sure they should even be a favorite in this matchup against the Green Bay Packers (3-5 ATS, 4-4 ATS). I'll gladly take the points as insurance though. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Packers are 11-6 ATS as underdogs and 4-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5-9.5 points. The Steelers are 0-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5-9.5 points during that same time frame. 3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS. |
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11-11-23 | Oilers -120 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Edmonton Oilers (2-9-1) are 5-2 in previous meetings with the Seattle Kraken (5-6-3). The Oilers have had a terrible start to the season and could not even defeat the Sharks as a -340 favorite in their last game. Heading into the season, the Oilers were considered a Stanley Cup contender, and there's more talent on this team than the results would suggest. At this price, I'll gladly back the more talented team. 3* PLAY ON EDMONTON OILERS. |
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11-11-23 | Cavs v. Warriors -4 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Golden State Warriors (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS) Saturday night. The Warriors are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Both teams will be looking to bounce back from setbacks, with Cleveland coming off a 128-120 loss in Oklahoma City while Golden State will be looking to snap back from a 108-105 loss in Denver. The Warriors return home from a four-game road trip and this will be just their third home game for the season. I think they'll bring their very best effort here to put on a show for the home town crowd on a Saturday night. This is also a bad matchup for the Cavs who have been struggling to stop opponents from scoring from behind the arc. 5* PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. |
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11-11-23 | Hurricanes -109 v. Lightning | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Carolina Hurricanes will be playing on no rest following a 5-2 loss in Florida last night, but they do not have to travel far to face the Lightning tonight. I expect to see a strong effort from Carolina after the loss yesterday. Since the start of last season, the Canes are 5-1 (36.2% ROI) when playing on no rest off a loss. 4* PLAY ON CAROLINA HURRICANES. |
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11-11-23 | Washington State v. California -125 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WASHINGTON STATE/CAL CFB BOOKIE BOMBER The California Golden Bears (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) host the Washington State Cougars (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) in Berkeley on Saturday evening. Washington State is coming into the game on a five-game losing streak during which it has been held to single digits on the scoreboard three times. In their last game, the Cougars lost 10-7 as a 14-point home favorite against Stanford. Cal has lost each of its last four games, but all as sizable underdogs. Now, as favorites at home, I expect to see a strong outing from Cal. 3* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. |
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11-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Central Florida +2.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) following five straight wins straight up and against the spread. They won four of those games as underdogs, and it's so difficult to play at that level for multiple games in a row. In their last game, they upset Oklahoma 27-24 while the UCF Knights (4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS) snapped a five-game skid with a 28-26 win in Cincinnati last week. I'll take the points. 5* PLAY ON UCF KNIGHTS. |
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11-11-23 | Stars -115 v. Jets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Dallas Stars (8-3-1) are 5-1-1 on the road while the Winnipeg Jets (7-4-2) are 3-2-1 at home. This looks like a good spot to fade the Jets following three consecutive wins while the Stars will be looking to go on a run after ending a two-game losing streak with a 5-2 in Columbus Thursday night. Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing as the underdog. Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing as the favorite. 3* PLAY ON DALLAS STARS. |
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11-11-23 | Tulsa +24 v. Tulane | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TULSA/TULANE CFB BOOKIE BU$TER The Tulane Green Wave (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) have won eight straight games, but they've been struggling to cover the number, especially when laying double digits. The Tulsa Hurricane (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) have struggled to cover as favorites and underdogs, but I think they can keep this within the number as Tulane has yet to show anything to justify laying this many points. 3* PLAY ON TULSA HURRICANE. |
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11-10-23 | Jazz v. Grizzlies -4 | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JAZZ/GRIZZLIES NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Memphis Grizzlies (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) are off to a miserable start to the season, but here they'll face a Utah team that is in about just as bad shape as they are. The Jazz (2-7, 3-6 ATS) are having major issues on the defensive end and its worth noting that this is as big of a favorite as Memphis has been all season. In their last game as a favorite on Nov 5, the Grizzlies won 112-100 in Portland and covered the -3.5 point spread. This is also a revenge spot for the Grizzlies after taking a 133-109 beating as a 2-point underdog in Utah on Nov 1. 3* PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES. |
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11-10-23 | Hurricanes -120 v. Panthers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NHL PLAY OF THE DAY I love the price we get on the Carolina Hurricanes (8-5-0) as a modest road favorite in Florida Friday night. Since the start of last season, the Hurricanes are 10-4 SU with a +28.65% ROI as road favorites, laying no more than -130. The Panthers (7-4-1) are coming off back-to-back overtime wins over Columbus and Washington, but this is a big step up in competition. This is a big revenge spot for the Canes after getting swept by the Panthers in the Eastern Conference Finals last season.  4* PLAY ON CAROLINA HURRICANES. |
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11-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NHL PUCKLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Colorado Avalanche are perfect 4-0 SU at home, and they won all games by at least two goals. The Seattle Kraken are heading to Colorado off consecutive losses, the most recent a 3-2 OT setback in Arizona. The Avs won 4-1 in Seattle on October 17, and I think they'll get another easy win here, now at home. 4* PLAY ON COLORADO AVALANCHE -1.5. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run. As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS SIDE (SUBSCRIBERS ONLY) The Carolina Panthers are starting first-overall pick Bryce Young at QB while the Chicago Bears are starting undrafted rookie backup Tyson Bagent. Neither has had much success (which is why we have a 5* bet on the under), but at least Young is supposed to be the more talented of the two and Carolina has held opponents to a respectable 310.0 yards per game (8th). This will be ugly, and I could see either team winning 17-14 or 20-17 or something like that. As such, I'll gladly take the field goal and the hook. 3* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. |
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11-09-23 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 242.5 | 124-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BUCKS/PACERS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER Both teams will be playing on no rest, with the Milwaukee Bucks coming off a 120-118 win over Detroit while the Indiana Pacers are coming off a 134-118 win over Utah. We won with the over in Milwaukee as a free pick yesterday but lost with the under in Indiana as a premium play. For this matchup, I like the over as I think tired legs will have a bigger negative effect on the defensive end than the offensive end. Since the start of last season, the Pacers are 11-4 to the over when playing on 0 days rest, and they are 7-1 to the over overall this season. 3* PLAY ON OVER. |
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11-08-23 | Kings v. Golden Knights -128 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -128 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NHL PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams are off to hot starts, but I'll gladly back the Vegas Golden Knights (11-1-1) at this price against the 7-2-2 Los Angeles Kings. It must come as a surprise to no one to see the defending Stanley Cup champion Golden Knights dominating the league, while the Kings' early success might be a tad more surprising. Here we'll get the Knights off a 4-2 loss in Anaheim on Sunday, which was their second game of a back-to-back set after winning 7-0 in Colorado the previous night. Following a couple of days' rest, I'm confident they'll bounce back with a win at home. 4* PLAY ON VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS. |
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11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ARIZONA STATE/MISSISSIPPI STATE CBB BOOKIE BLA$TER The Arizona State Sun Devils have a new look with only three players returning from the team that reached the NCAA Tournament last season. Of those three returning players, forward Alonzo Gaffney is out injured. The Mississippi State Bulldogs on the other hand are returning a big majority (and all top five scorers!) of a team that also reached the NCAA Tournament last season. I think the continuity gives them the edge we need to back them here in the season opener. 3* PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS. |
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11-08-23 | Pistons v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Mike Lundin's Pistons/Bucks NBA Free Pick The Detroit Pistons are heading to Milkwaukee on a five-game losing streak, and they allowed 120 points or more in four of those losses. This is a bad time to face a Bucks team that is coming off a 129-125 win in Brooklyn. Defensively, the Bucks have had their issues in the early goings as well, as they rank only 25th with 119.7 points allowed per game. 2* FREE PICK ON THE OVER. Mike Lundin is coming off a 2-0 SWEEP with his NHL Tuesday. His TOP-RATED NHL premium picks are on a RED HOT 16-2 (89%) RUN with profits of +$13,960 for $1,000/game bettors! His 3-pack of premium picks for Wednesday features Mike's 4* NHL PLAY OF THE DAY and two basketball plays. |
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11-08-23 | Jazz v. Pacers UNDER 244.5 | 118-134 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JAZZ/PACERS TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The Utah Jazz are 6-2 to the over while the Indiana Pacers are 6-1 to the over, but only one of Utah's games has gone over than 244 points while four of Indiana's games have gone over 244 points. Sure, this will be a high-tempo, high-scoring affair, but the I think the total is inflated. It only takes one relatively slow quarter (or even a half of a quarter) to make this under a winner. 3* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-07-23 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NHL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The New Jersey Devils are 9-2 to the over on the season. They're averaging 3.9 goals per game while allowing 3.5 goals per game. The Colorado Avalanche are averaging a modest 3.1 goals per game, but there's a lot of talent on this team, and I think they'll be forced to score a lot here to keep up with the Devils. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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11-07-23 | Predators v. Flames -122 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Calgary Flames are only 3-7-1 on the season, while the Nashville Predators are 5-6-0. This looks like a good spot to back the Flames though, as they look to build on a 6-3 win in Seattle after six consecutive losses. They desperately need to built momentum, and the Preds are in a potential letdown spot after winning as a +175 underdog in Edmonton last time out. 3* PLAY ON CALGARY FLAMES. |
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11-06-23 | Oilers v. Canucks +100 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
MIKE'S OILERS/CANUCKS NHL MONEYMAKER The Edmonton Oilers are only 2-7-1 on the season while the Vancouver Canucks are 8-2-1, and yet we're getting Vancouver at this price? The betting market is obviously still high on Edmonton and low on Vancouver based to the power ratings coming into the season, but while I expect regression to the mean for both teams, I still don't think the Canucks are getting the credit they deserve. Some might say this looks like a trap, but I don't see any reason to overthink it. 3* PLAY ON VANCOUVER CANUCKS. |
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11-06-23 | Celtics -3.5 v. Wolves | 109-114 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Boston Celtics (5-0 SU, 2-1-2 ATS) head to Minnesota looking to stay undefeated, and they've dominated the Wolves in recent seasons, winning nine of the last 10 outright while going 7-2-1 against the spread. The Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) are coming off win over Denver and Utah but I don't think they stand a chance against this Boston team. 3* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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11-06-23 | Kings +2 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* KINGS/ROCKETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Sacramento Kings to bounce back from a humbling 107-89 loss here in Houston just a couple of days ago. Sure, they'll be without standout guard De'Aaron Fox (ankle) again, but they still have a lot more talent on the floor than the Rockets. The Kings are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up loss and 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 road games. The Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -130 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BILLS/BENGALS SUNDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER The Cincinnati Bengals started the season slow but have been playing better and better each week as Joe Burrow has recovered completely from injury. They're 3-0 ATS in their last three games and defeated the Niners 31-17 in San Francisco last week. The Buffalo Bills have split their last four games while going 0-4 ATS. The Bills enter with a little extra rest, but they're not firing on all cylinders like the Bengals. Additionally, QB Josh Allen is dealing with an injured right shoulder and did not practice on Wednesday. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 17-5 ATS against a team with a winning record during the regular season. 3* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS.  |
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11-05-23 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S WARRIORS/CAVS NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Golden State Warriors are 4-2 to the under on the season while the Cleveland Cavaliers have a 3-3 over/under record. The Warriors defeated the Thunder 141-139 Friday night, but note that the under is 2-0 this season when they scored 120+ points in their previous game. The Cavs put up 116 points in a loss in Indiana on Friday but they are averaging only 105.7 ppg (26th) for the season. Since the start of last season, the Cavs have a 17-26 over/under record as home favorites.  The Warriors average only 93.9 possessions per game (21st) and Cleveland 92.9 possessions per game (23rd). I don't see either team pushing the tempo. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Colts -125 v. Panthers | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S COLTS/PANTHERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Carolina Panthers are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS. The Indianapolis Colts are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS. I'm happy to fade the Panthers here as they're coming off their first win of the season, a 15-13 triumph over Houston. The Colts meanwhile will be looking to get back to their winning ways following three consecutive losses. The Colts have put up 20+ points in all eight games, but poor play on the defensive side of the ball has hurt them. but the Panthers lack the talent to exploit their defensive weaknesses. 3* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. |
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11-05-23 | Commanders +3 v. Patriots | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S COMMANDERS/PATS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The New England Patriots are 2-6 SU and ATS on the season. This will be their third game as a favorite, and the last time they closed as a favorite, they got shut out 34-0 by New Orleans. The Commanders are 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS for the season, but 3-1-1 ATS as underdogs. I'm not sure if the Pats should be favored against just about any team in the NFL right now, especially here as Washington QB Sam Howell has started to heat up with nine TDs against three picks over his last four games. As for the Pats QB situation, it's looking less and less likely that Mac Jones is the man to take the franchise back to its glory days. 3* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on. As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points. This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Rams +3.5 v. Packers | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAMS/PACKRS SIDE The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on. As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points. This feels like a 20-17 win for either team, and I'll take the points more often than not in games with a low total. 3* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS. |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 144 h 19 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany. The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia. The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO. Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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11-04-23 | Stars v. Canucks +112 | 0-2 | Win | 112 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE'S STARS/CANUCKS MONEYLINE MONEYMACHINE The Dallas Stars are 7-1-1 on the season, while the Vancouver Canucks are 7-2-1. i don't think the Canucks are getting enough respect here, especially considering the head-to-heads in recent seasons which Vancouver has dominated completely, winning each of the last six meetings. Special teams could be the difference in this game, with Vancouver converting on 34.3% of its power plays (2nd) while the Stars are converting only 12%. of its opportunities to play with a man advantage. 3* PLAY ON VANCOUVER CANUCKS. |
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11-04-23 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/NETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Boston Celtics are 4-0 SU and 2-1-1 ATS on the season. They've won their last two games 126-107 and 155-104, and here they'll face a Brooklyn team they've dominated in recent seasons, winning nine of 10 straight up while going 8-2 against the spread. The Celtics are 28-18 ATS following a game in which they scored 120+ points. This is a tough spot for the Nets who will be playing on no rest following a 109-107 win at Chicago last night. Additionally, they're just returning home from a four-game road trip. 3* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS. |
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11-04-23 | Kings -2.5 v. Rockets | 89-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KINGS/ROCKETS NBA HARDWOOD HAMMER This looks like a good spot to back the Sacramento Kings to snap back from a tight loss at Golden State Thursday night and fade the Houston Rockets following their 128-119 win over Charlotte on Wednesday, their first W of the season. The Kings are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS on the season, with both losses coming against Golden State. I think they're a much better team than Houston, and I like the spot.  3* PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS. |
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11-04-23 | Rangers +107 v. Wild | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RANGERS/WILD NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The New York Rangers are heading to Minnesota riding a six-game winning streak, and I like the price we get on the Rangers to pick up another win here against a reeling Wild team that is coming off four consecutive losses. The Wild are 3-4 closing at -100 or shorter on the season and while this will be the Rangers first game as an underdog, note that they are perfect 6-0 as favorites of -105 to -135. So what does that tell us? That the Ragners show up in what is expected to be evenly matched contests. The Rangers have allowed only 19 goals (1.9 per game) on the season, while the Wild have allowed 42 goals (4.2 per game). 3* PLAY ON NEW YORK RANGERS. |
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11-04-23 | Miami-FL -6 v. NC State | 6-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MIAMI-FL/NC STATE CFB BOOKIE BOMBER The Miami-FL Hurricanes are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS while the NC State Wolfpack are 5-3 SU and 2-5-1 ATS. This looks like a potential flat spot for NC State following an upset win against Clemson last week while Miami-FL is coming off a lackluster 29-26 win as a 19-point favorite against Virginia. 3* PLAY ON MIAMI-FL HURRICANES. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WASHINGTON/USC CFB BOOKIE BU$TER The Washington Huskies are 8-0 SU and 3-4-1 ATS. The USC Trojans are 7-2 SU and only 2-7 ATS. Over the last two weeks, the Huskies have won by only seven points as a 28-point favorite against Arizona State and a nine-point victory as a 27.5-point favorite at Stanford. USC has not impressed either lately and had lost two consecutive games outright before coming from behind to defeat Cal on the road last week. I expect to see a much more focused Trojans team tonight though, and the home field advantage gives them the edge I'm looking for. Over the last three seasons, the Huskies are 2-7 ATS as a road favorite and 6-14 after a conference game. 3* PLAY ON USC TROJANS. |
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11-04-23 | Bruins -133 v. Red Wings | 4-5 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Boston Bruins are 9-0-1 on the season while Detroit is 6-4-1. The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games, and they took a 4-1 loss to the Bruins in Boston last Saturday. The Bruins are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and I'm happy to lay the juice on them to get the win here. The Red Wings are coming off their first shutout loss of the season. Last season, they were 1-3 following a shutout loss. 3* PLAY ON BOSTON BRUINS. |
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11-04-23 | California +25 v. Oregon | Top | 19-63 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CAL/OREGON CFB GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a good spot to fade the Oregon Ducks who are 7-1 straight up and against the spread. The betting market will adjust, and here they're in a potential letdown spot after routing the Utes in Utah 35-6 as a 6.5-point favorite last week. The California Golden Bears put up a season-high 49 points in a tight loss as a 10-point underdog to USC last week. They're only 3-5 SU and ATS, but I think they can have success with their run-game against the Ducks, which will also shorten the game and make taking the points even more attractive. 5* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 62 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CFB BEDLAM TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Oklahoma Sooners are 5-3 to the over while the Oklahoma State Cowboys have a 4-4 over/under record, but I think this game will go under the posted total. Both offenses have been clicking, but the two teams are very familiar with each other and last season, the Sooners won 28-13 with a closing total of 69.5 here in Stillwater. 3* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-04-23 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 32.5 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK The bookmakers keep lowering the totals for the service academy games but never seem to be able to set them low enough. As for Army vs Air Force matchups, only one of the last six meetings went over this total. Air Force is allowing only 237.9 total yards per game (3rd) while Army ranks 71st with 378 total yards allowed per game. The reasoning for this under is simple: both teams will run the ball all game long, and the clock with keep ticking during long drives. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SUNS/SIXERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season. They're coming into this game riding a three-game winning streak through which they won each game by at least seven points. The Phoenix Suns are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS on the season. They're coming off back-to-back home losses to San Antonio and have been dealing with injuries to key players. Bradley Beal has yet to suit up and Devin Booker has missed three of the first five games with an ankle sprain. Booker is questionable for this game, and this is a tough 1 PM ET start for Phoenix.   4* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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11-03-23 | Mavs +6.5 v. Nuggets | 114-125 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Denver Nuggets took a 110-89 loss at Minnesota in their last game. Now they'll face a red hot Dallas team that has opened the season with four straight wins while going 3-1 ATS. The Nuggets looked like the team to beat until its misstep against the Wolves, but I'm not sure they'll bounce back with a big outing and this is the Mavs first chance to prove themselves against the reigning champs. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Mavericks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. 3* PLAY ON DALLAS MAVERICKS. |
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11-03-23 | Devils -150 v. Blues | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE This looks like a good spot to back the New Jersey Devils, who are 6-2-1 on the season and perfect 3-0-0 on the road. The St. Louis Blues are 3-4-1 for the season and 2-1-0 at home. ä The Blues have been held to two goals or fewer in six of their eight games, and they're averaging only 1.8 goals per game (31st) which is miles behind the Devils' 4.2 goals per game (2nd). The Devils have the best power play unit in the league, converting at 44%+ of their opportunities while the Blues are dead last with a 4.0% success rate on the power play. The Devils are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games when playing as the favorite. St. Louis is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing as the underdog. 3* PLAY ON NEW JERSEY DEVILS. |
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11-02-23 | Magic v. Jazz | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Orlando Magic are 2-2 straight up but 3-1 against the spread while the Utah Jazz are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. This looks like a good spot to back the Magic to snap back from consecutive losses and their first ATS loss of the season while at the same time fading the Jazz who are coming off a dominant 133-109 win over Memphis last night. I doubt they can give that kind of effort two nights in a row. Since the start of last season, the Magic are 11-5-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 10 points or more and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. 4* PLAY ON ORLANDO MAGIC. |
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11-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* LEAFS/BRUINS NHL PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Bruins are 8-0-1 straight up overall and 4-0-1 at home on the season. The Toronto Maple Leafs are 5-3-1 overall and 3-1-1 on the road. The Leafs are coming into this game off consecutive losses to Nashville and Toronto, not exactly the momentum you want heading into a matchup against the Bruins in Boston. The Bruins won all three meetings last season following the turn of the new year and the Bruins are are 5-2 SU in their last seven games when playing at home against Toronto. Additionally, Boston is 7-1 SU in its last eight games when playing as the favorite and 14-5 SU in its last 19 games played on a Thursday when playing at home. 5* PLAY ON BOSTON BRUINS. |
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11-01-23 | Hornets +2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Houston Rockets have opened the season 0-3 straight up and against the spread, while the Charlotte Hornets are 1-2 SU and ATS. If the Rockets were facing a better team here, I might be looking to back them here due to public perception and all, but against a Hornets team that has opened the season almost equally poorly, that does not apply here IMO. For all of the Hornets' issues, note that they have averaged a decent 112.0 points per game (14th), and they're sharing the ball well averaging 29.0 assists per game (4th). They just put up 121 points on Brooklyn, and I think they'll get their second win of the season here against a Houston team that has a lot of things to figure out. Additionally, note that the Rockets are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. 5* PLAY ON CHARLOTTE HORNETS. |
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11-01-23 | Sabres v. Flyers -105 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Philadelphia Flyers to bounce back from consecutive home losses to Anaheim and Carolina. The Buffalo Sabres are in a potential flat spot following an upset win as a +170 underdog against the Avs. 4* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA FLYERS. |
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10-31-23 | Predators v. Canucks -130 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Vancouver Canucks who had won three straight before coming up short in a 4-3 loss to the Rangers on Saturday. The Nashville Predators are in a potential flat spot following an upset win over Toronto in OT. The Canucks defeated the Preds 3-2 in Nashville back on October 24, and I like the price we get on them to repeat with a win at home. 4* PLAY ON VANCOUVER CANUCKS. |
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10-31-23 | Spurs +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SPURS/SUNS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Phoenix Suns are 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread on the season while the San Antonio Spurs are 1-2 SU and ATS. Since the start of the 2015 season, teams that have started the season 3-0 ATS are only 13-21-1 ATS in their fourth game of the season. This is also a good spot to back the Spurs to snap back after taking a 40-point loss to the LA Clippers in their last game. Last season, teams went 7-2 ATS off a loss of 40 points or more. I think we'll see max effort from the Spurs tonight. 4* PLAY ON SAN ANTONIO SPURS. |
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10-30-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/GRIZZLIES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Minnesota Timberwolves are 2-0 straight up and 1-1 against the spread. The Memphis Grizzlies are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. While the Grizzlies are still winless. note that their three losses all have been by seven points or fewer. The Grizzlies are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog while the Mavericks are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a favorite and 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win. 3* PLAY ON MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES. |
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10-30-23 | Rangers -117 v. Jets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NHL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Rangers are 5-1-0 on the road while the Winnipeg Jets are 2-2 at home. The Rangers success away from home is nothing new as they were road warriors last season as well, going 26-19 with a +9.2% ROI in all road games and 16-8 with a +11.2% ROI as road favorites. The Rangers are converting on a red hot 34.5% of their power play opportunities (2nd) while Winnipeg is killing off only 72.4% of its penalties (27th). I like the price we get on the Rangers as they look to complete a perfect five-game trip with another win. 4* PLAY ON NEW YORK RANGERS. |
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10-30-23 | Bulls v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago Bulls are 1-2 straight up and 0-3 against the spread on the season. The Indiana Pacers are perfect 2-0 SU and ATS, and I think they'll get another win and cover here. The Pacers have defeated Washington 143-120 and the Cavs 125-13 at Cleveland. Since the start of last season, the Pacers are 14-7 ATS coming off a game where they scored 125 points or more. The Bulls are 18-43-2 ATS in their last 63 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON INDIANA PACERS. |
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10-30-23 | Celtics v. Wizards +10 | 126-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/WIZARDS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Boston Celtics are 2-0 straight up but only 0-1-1 against the spread, and last season they were only 3-6-1 through their first 10 games on the season. The Washington Wizards are 1-1 SU and ATS. Since the start of last season, the Celtics are only 0-4 ATS as double-digit road favorites and the Wizards are 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings with the Celtics in Washington. 3* PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS. |
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10-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -154 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Boston Bruins are 7-0-1 on the season. They're allowing only 1.5 goals per game (1st), and here they'll face a Florida team that has struggled to find the net in the early goings of the season. Since the beginning of last season, the Bruins are 22-2 SU as favorites of -125 to -175. 3* PLAY ON BOSTON BRUINS. |
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10-30-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Lightning -150 | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Seattle Kraken are 2-5-2 on the season while the Tampa Bay Lightning are 4-2-2 (4-0-1 at home). The Bolts have won all four previous meetings with the Kraken and they're coming into this game well-rested as they've had three full days off since defeating the Sharks 6-0 on Oct 26. The Kraken last played on Saturday when they took a 3-2 loss to the Panthers here in Florida. 3* PLAY ON TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING. |
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10-29-23 | Warriors v. Rockets +4.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER
The Houston Rockets will be hungry for a win after opening the season with road losses at Orlando and San Antonio. The Golden State Warriors will be on the road for a second straight game after winning 122-114 at Sacramento Friday night. |
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10-29-23 | Sharks v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S NHL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The San Jose Sharks are 6-1 to the under on the season while the Washington Capitals are 5-2 to the under. The Sharks are averaging a pathetic 1.0 goals per game, and the Caps are only marginally better at 2.0 goals per game. I don't see either team running up the score here, and three goals should be more than enough to win the game. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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10-29-23 | Nuggets v. Thunder +3.5 | Top | 128-95 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S NUGGETS/THUNDER NBA GAME OF THE MONTH The Denver Nuggets have opened the season with wins over the Lakers and the Grizzlies. The Oklahoma City Thunder are also undefeated through road games at Chicago and Cleveland, and I think they'll keep rolling here in their home opener. Denver has superior talent, but I think this early-season matchup means a lot more for the Thunder who will be looking to take down the defending NBA champions. OKC has been shooting a red-hot 49.2% from behind the arc, and while not sustainable, for the moment I'd rather be on their side than bet against them. 5* PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER. |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9 v. Dolphins | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PATRIOTS/DOLPHINS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The New England Patriots upset Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog last week, and I think they'll come through with another big outing against a divisional rival this week. The Dolphins got schooled in Philadelphia on primetime last Sunday so they won't lack motivation, but I think the Pats are better than their early results would suggest, and we should see the results pick up as they're getting healthier. This is too many points for Miami to lay in a rivalry game. 3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. |
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10-29-23 | Eagles v. Commanders +6.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -104 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EAGLES/COMMANDERS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER This looks like it could be a potential flat spot for the Eagles following their dominant 31-17 win against Miami last week. The Commanders are only 1-4 in their last five games and looked awful in their 14-7 loss at the Giants last week, but they forced overtime when they played the Eagles in Philly on Oct 1 and I think they can keep this close as well. 3* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +100 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
MIKE'S VIKINGS/PACKERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER This looks like a great spot to fade the Minnesota Vikings after two consecutive wins, the most recent as a 6.5-point dog against San Francisco Monday night. Now they have to travel to Green Bay on a short week to face a divisional rival, a Packers team that is desperate for a win after going 0-3 straight up and against the spread in their last three games. This is a classic sell high/buy low spot, and it's also a spot where the Vikes typically come back down to earth following a couple of good results. 3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS. |
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10-28-23 | Heat +5.5 v. Wolves | 90-106 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HEAT/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Miami Heat will play on no rest after taking a 119-111 loss at Boston last night. Playing on no rest shouldn't be that big of an issue this early in the season, and I like Miami to keep this close. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog. The Heat are 16-8 ATS in their second straight game as underdogs. The Timberwolves are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. 3* PLAY ON MIAMI HEAT. |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -3 v. Raptors | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/RAPTORS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Raptors will play on no rest after battling the Bulls in Chicago last night. While the Sixers are on the road, they've had an extra day to make it across the border to Toronto following their 117-118 loss at Milwaukee Thursday night. Sure, playing on no rest this early in the season might not be as taxing as late season, but I still give the Sixers a solid edge in this matchup. 3* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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10-28-23 | Maple Leafs -136 v. Predators | 2-3 | Loss | -136 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Toronto Maple Leafs are heading to Nashville looking to wrap up a four-game road trip undefeated. The Predators lost 3-2 to the Vancouver Canucks in their last game. The Preds are killing off only 68.2% of their penalties (31st) while the Leafs are converting on 33.3% of their power plays (4th). With such a big edge on special teams (and overall talent), I'll gladly back Toronto at this price. 3* PLAY ON TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS. |
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10-28-23 | USC v. California +10.5 | 50-49 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
MIKE'S USC/CALIFORNIA CFB BOOKIE BREAKER The USC Trojans are 6-2 SU but only 2-6 ATS. The California Golden Bears are 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS. The Trojans have won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, but the ATS record is 5-5 during that stretch and Cal has covered the spread in four of the last five games. In last season's matchup, USC won only 41-35 as a 21-point favorite. USC has allowed 34 points or more in four straight games, despite being favorites by 20 points or more in three of those games. The Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, and I think Cal can hang around and get the ATS cover. 3* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. |
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10-28-23 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET NC State is 4-3 SU but only 1-5-1 ATS on the season, but I think we'll see max effort from the Wolfpack here as they're coming off their bye. The Wolfpack took a 24-3 beating at Duke in their last game, but at least they're coming into this game well-rested after a week off, unlike Clemson who will be on the road for a second straight week after a double-overtime loss at Miami-Florida last weekend. Much like the Wolfpack, the Tigers have struggled against the spread as they're heading into the weekend 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. 5* PLAY ON NC STATE WOLFPACK. |
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10-28-23 | UMass v. Army OVER 50 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH The over/under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' eight games this season and 4-3 in Army's seven games. The Minutemen will have fresh legs coming off their bye week, and they'll be eager to get back on the scoreboard after getting shut out in a brutal 63-0 loss at Penn State two weeks ago. Believe it or not, but Army is in even worse shape after getting shut out in back-to-back games(!) against Troy and LSU. This looks like a good spot for Army's running game to get going again against a UMass defense that is allowing 223.4 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry. No one expects a lot of points, but I think we'll see floodgates open here following the score-draught. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 239.5 | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK We won with the under as a free pick when the Warriors hosted Phoenix in their season opener. In the write-up, I mentioned how I expect the Warriors to play at a slower pace this season with Chris Paul in the team, and that turned out the be the case. The Kings opened the season with a 130-114 win at Utah, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair. Also, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -3 | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE's WARRIORS/KINGS SPREAD PLAY We won with the under as a free pick when the Warriors hosted Phoenix in their season opener. In the write-up, I mentioned how I expect the Warriors to play at a slower pace this season with Chris Paul in the team, and that turned out the be the case. The Kings opened the season with a 130-114 win at Utah, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair. Also, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. In addition to the under, I also like the Kings to win and cover as they look to avenge last season's postseason exit to the Warriors. 3* PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS |
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10-27-23 | Kings -126 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
5* MAX BET - MIKE'S NHL GAME OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Kings are perfect 2-0-0 on the road for the season and they've won five of hte last six meetings with Arizona, the most recent a 6-3 win home in Los Angeles on October 24. They are 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Arizona. The Kings are averaging an NHL-best 4.5 goals per game while Arizona is averaging a paltry 2.5 goals per game. Sure, the Yotes are a lot better on defensive end of the ice than the Kings, but not enough to make up for their inability to score goals. Also, note that the Kings are a sensational 17-2 SU in their last 19 games when closing as a favorite. The Coyotes are 0-6 in their last six games as a home underdog. 5* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES KINGS. |
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10-27-23 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 227 | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ROCKETS/SPURS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The San Antonio Spurs allowed a league-worst 123.1 points per game last year, and they took a 126-119 loss to Dallas in their first game of the season. The Houston Rockets scored only 86 points in a loss at Orlando in their season opener, but even the Rockets should be able to run up the score against this Spurs team. The over/under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The total has gone over in nine of San Antonio’s last 11 games at home. The total has gone over in five of San Antonio’s last six games played on a Friday when at home. 3* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
4* SIXERS/BUCKS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers will have to do without James Harden (personal reasons) in their season opener, but I still think they're spotted to many points to pass up on here against the Bucks. The Bucks have a bit of a new look this year with the addition of Damian Lillard and the loss of Jrue Holiday. Cameron Payne and Khris Middleton are questionable for tonight's game. I think Dame and Giannis will work well together over the season, but perhaps not from Game 1. Let's take the points. 4* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA 76ERS. |
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10-26-23 | Jets -115 v. Red Wings | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JETS/RED WINGS NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER Detroit is coming off a 5-4 OT loss to Seattle following five straight wins. I would not be surprised if they go on a losing streak now, and here they'll face a Jets team that is coming off back-to-back wins. 3* PLAY ON WINNIPEG JETS. |
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10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/SPURS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The San Antonio Spurs allowed a league-worst 123.1 points per game last year. They've added the No. 1 draft pick Victor Wembanyama to the roster, and it will be very interesting to follow him this season. Mavs superstar Luka Doncic is up in the air as he's recovering from a mild calf strain. I don't think he'll miss the season opener, and I think we'll see plenty of points for both teams. 3* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-25-23 | Pelicans -110 v. Grizzlies | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
4* PELICANS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I like the New Orleans Pelicans to open the season with a win at Memphis tonight. The Grizzlies will have to do without their suspended star guard Ja Morant for 25 games, and while they did well without him in the lineup last year I'm not sure I would trust that to happen here. Also, starting center Steven Adams will miss the season because of knee surgery which must've put a wrench in their overall game plan. The Pelicans on the other hand are healthy, which means we'll see both star forwards Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram as well as guard CJ McCollum on the court. 4* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS PELICANS. |
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10-24-23 | Seattle Kraken +122 v. Red Wings | 5-4 | Win | 122 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Detroit Red Wings are off to a 5-1 start while Seattle is only 1-4-1 on the season. I would not be surprised to see the Red Wings come out flat here though following five straight wins, the last three as underdogs. Heading into the season, Seattle was ranked higher than Detroit in pretty much all power ratings. Perhaps Detroit is better than expected, or perhaps it's just an early hot streak. Either way, I like the price we get on the Kraken in this game. 3* PLAY ON SEATTLE KRAKEN. |
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10-24-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The reigning NBA champions Denver Nuggets swept the LA Lakers in the Western Conference finals last year. This is admittedly a very different Lakers team, but I'm not sure if it's for the better, and neither AD nor LeBron is getting any younger. Denver is bringing back the same starting five that won them the title, and I don't expect a championship hangover here in the season opener. 3* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league. Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S ALCS TOTAL OF THE YEAR Game 7 of the ALCS, and with two elite pitchers and a ticket to the World Series on the line we should see a low-scoring game, right? I don't think so. Texas starter Max Scherzer gave up seven runs in three innings against Houston on September 6 and five runs in four innings of an 8-5 loss when he faced them last week. Houston starter Cristian Javier limited Texas to a pair of runs over 5 2/3 innings in that matchup, but both teams have proven they can score runs off the relievers, and the Rangers are coming off a nine-run outing. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-23-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 106 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NHL PLAY OF THE DAY The Buffalo Sabres are 5-1 to the under on the season. They've been averaging a disappointing 2.4 goals per game, and neither team has been able to capitalize when playing with a man advantage, with Montreal converting on 11.8% of their power play opportunities and Buffalo on only 6.3% of their power plays. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins +136 v. Eagles | 17-31 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
MIKE'S DOLPHINS/EAGLES S.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER This is a matchup between the No. 1 and No. 2 ranked teams for total offense. Philadelphia has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball when healthy, but they're coming into this game far from healthy. The last time the Dolphins played a quality opponent, they suffered a 48-20 loss at Buffalo. I believe they're heading to Philadelphia with a chip on their shoulder, looking to prove to themselves and the world that they are serious Super Bowl contenders. With such a high total, we can expect a lot of variance which effectively means points are less likely to matter; therefore, I think we're getting better value on backing Miami on the moneyline rather than against the spread. 3* PLAY ON MIAMI DOLPHINS. |
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10-22-23 | Flames -120 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NHL GAME OF THE WEEK The Detroit Red Wings are off to a 4-1 start to the season following an upset win at Ottawa last night. They were outshot 37-23 though, and here I think they'll find it difficult to match the intensity of a Calgary team that is looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss at Columbus Friday night. The Flames are only 1-3 in their last four games, despite outshooting each opponent by at least eight shots. It's only a matter of time before the results start going their way. 5* PLAY ON CALGARY FLAMES. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 41 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover. Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons. The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. |
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10-22-23 | Lions v. Ravens -2.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 52 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LIONS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER The Detroit Lions are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season and they're heading to Baltimore riding a four-game winning streak, but this is where I think it comes to an end. The Lions have played a soft schedule since beating KC in their season opener, and now they'll have to face a Baltimore defense that ranks 2nd in total defense and against the pass with only 163.2 passing yards allowed per game. Bad news for the Lions who may have to rely on their passing game a lot more than usual with top running back David Montgomery expected to be out for some time with a rib injury. 3* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +9 | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 14 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BILLS/PATRIOTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER We lost with the Pats ATS in the ugliest way possible last week and they are now only 1-5 SU and ATS on the season, but I think they can keep this one at least somewhat close. Buffalo has not been at its best lately either, and QB Josh Allen was limited in training this week due to a shoulder injury. 3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 41 | Top | 39-38 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S ALCS TOTAL OF THE YEAR These two pitchers faced off in the opener of the NLCS, a game Philadelphia won 5-3. Three of the first four games have gone over the total, but I like the under here in Game 5. The pitchers' home and away splits are in our favor, and Zack Wheeler has a 2.96 ERA in 11 career stats against Arizonw while Zac Gallen has a 2.22 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Michigan -24.5 v. Michigan State | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MICHIGAN/MICHIGAN STATE CFB BOOKIE BA$HER The Michigan Wolverines are perfect 7-0 SU and 3-3-1 ATS on the season. They're on a 3-0 ATS run through which they've outscored their opponents 149-24. The Wolverines are allowing only 6.7 points per game (1st), and Michigan State does not have the firepower to keep this close.  3* PLAY ON MICHIGAN WOLVERINES. |
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