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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-21 | Magic +10.5 v. Hawks | Top | 111-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MAGIC @ HAWKS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Hawks snapped a six-game losing streak with a dominant 20-point win against the reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Massive flat spot warning here as they take on a 3-10 Orlando team that is very easy to look past, especially with a tougher opponent in the NY Knicks on deck. I expect to see the Hawks playing down to the competition in this one and that the Magic will keep this close until the very end. 10* play on Orlando Magic. |
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11-15-21 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 200 | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY We saw only 190 points when theese two teams clashed here at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse a couple of days ago. The total for that game closed at 202 points, and I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. Up until this point of the season, only one contest has closed with a total of 200 points or lower. That was back on November 10 when Cleveland hosted Washington, a game the Cavs lost 97-93. The Cavs boast the second-best scoring defense in the league, and they are in the bottom 10 for pace with only 99.3 possessions per game while Boston is right there as well with 99.1 possessions per game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-14-21 | Texas State v. Vanderbilt UNDER 134 | 60-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
TEXAS STATE @ VANDERBILT NCAAB TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER Texas State is 2-0 to the over on the season, but the Bobcats put up only 59 points in a loss to LSU last time out. Vanderbilt opened the season with a 91-72 win over Alabama State, but I doubt they can run up the score like that here against a Texas State team that usually plays at a slow tempo. Under is 5-2 in Bobcats last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 Sunday games. Under is 13-5-1 in Commodores last 19 Sunday games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-14-21 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week, and they are expected to get Russell Wilson back under center after missing more than a month with a fractured middle finger. The Packers on the other hand spent a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss at Kansas City last week with backup QB Jordan Love. Rodgers was absent for the loss while in the league's COVID-19 protocol after testing positive, and even if Rodgers is back for this game, he would be reinstated until Saturday at the earliest and as such having spent quite some time in quarantine. Seahawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
SAINTS @ TITANS SIDE This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 8* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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11-14-21 | Lions +9 v. Steelers | 16-16 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
LIONS @ STEELERS SIDE The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. 8* play on Detroit Lions. |
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11-14-21 | Saints v. Titans UNDER 44 | 21-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
SAINTS @ TITANS TOTAL This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-14-21 | Lions v. Steelers UNDER 41 | 16-16 | Win | 101 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
LIONS @ STEELERS TOTAL The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the reserve/Covid-19 list and he is ruled out for this game. I really don't see Pittsburgh putting a lot of points on the board, and in addition to Detroit covering the spread, I also like the under. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL -2.5 v. Florida State | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Miami-Florida Hurricanes are playing well at the moment. They've won three in a row straight up, including upset wins against NC State and at Pittsburgh, and they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games. The Hurricanes are averaging a solid 454 yards of total offense per game (24th) and QB Tyler Van Dyke ranks 19th in the nation and fifth in the ACC with an average of 268.1 passing yards per game. He has thrown for 1,100+ yards and ten touchdowns and no picks over the last three games. Florida State is trending in the opposite direction, having lost back-to-back games and failed to cover the number in both. FSU's starting QB Jordan Travis missed last week's 28-14 loss to North Carolina State due to a flu bug, and although he's expected to get the start here, who knows what kind of shape he'll be in. 10* play on Miami-FL Hurricanes. |
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11-13-21 | Rutgers +7 v. Indiana | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
RUTGERS @ INDIANA SIDE The Indiana Hoosiers are only 2-7 ATS on the season, and I think the visiting Scarlet Knights will give them a scare as a touchdown underdog here early Saturday afternoon. I expect to see a fired up Rutgers team after getting humiliated in a 52-3 home loss to Wisconsin on Saturday. Indiana has lost five straight games, and last week's 29-7 setback at Michigan dropped the Hoosiers out of bowl consideration. Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Scarlet Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. 8* play on Rutgers Scarlet Knights. |
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11-13-21 | Northwestern +25 v. Wisconsin | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
NORTHWESTERN @ WISCONSIN SIDE The Badgers boast the No. 1 defense in the country, but this is not a team that is built to blow the doors of their opponents. Sure, they won 52-3 at Rutgers last week, but you don't see that very often and if anything, the recency bias is making the betting market overvaluing Wisconsin this week. The Badgers should have good success running the ball, but they could be without leading rusher Chez Mellusi, who suffered a left knee injury in the win over Rutgers. They average only 155.6 passing yards per game (121st) and Northwestern is giving up only 189.3 passing yards per game (18th). 8* play on Northwestern Wildcats. |
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11-12-21 | Wolves +3.5 v. Lakers | 107-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT NBA CONTRARIAN CRU$HER The Lakers are severely banged up, and each of their last two games has gone to overtime. I would not be surprised to see them gassed out and coming out completely flat here in this Friday night matchup with Minnesota. The Timberwolves have lost six straight games straight up and they are only 2-8 against the spread on the season, but I think they'll bring their A-game here to take advantage of this shorthanded Lakers team. Lakers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. 8* play on Minnesota Timberwolves. |
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11-12-21 | Oregon State v. Iowa State OVER 140.5 | 50-60 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
OREGON STATE @ IOWA STATE TOTAL Iowa State opened the year with an 84-73 triumph over Kennesaw State. The Cyclones shot 53% from the field, but also allowed the Owls to shoot 43% and to take 36 free throws. Oregon St. opened the season with a 73-64 win against Portland State. They shot 26 free throws, and I think they'll make plenty of trips to the charity stripe for easy points here if they keep attacking the paint. Over is 13-6 in Cyclones last 19 games as a home underdog. 8* play on OVER. |
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11-12-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Chicago State OVER 141 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
SIU-EDWARDSVILLE @ CHICAGO STATE TOTAL SIU Edwardsville opened the season with an 88-77 loss at Marquette, and it's quite impressive of them to put up that many points despite shooting 2-for-14 (14%) from behind the arc. They should have better success here against a Chicago St. team that allowed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies to shoot 13-for-32 from three-point land in a 77-72 victory on Tuesday. I expect to see both teams having success shooting the ball here. 8* play on OVER. |
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11-12-21 | Abilene Christian v. Texas A&M UNDER 131 | 80-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
ALBILENE CHRISTIAN @ TEXAS A&M TOTAL Abilene Christian took a 70-56 loss at Utah in its season opener while Texas A&M held North Florida to 34% shooting from the field in a 64-46 Aggies win on Wednesday. I think the Wildcats will struggle big time to get points in this one, and I think the bookmakers have set the total too high. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-12-21 | Bucks v. Celtics +2 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
BUCKS @ CELTICS SIDE The shorthanded Bucks will have to do without star Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, and Donte DiVincenzo while Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as probable after tweaking his ankle during Wednesday night's 112-100 win over the Knicks. Boston will be without Jaylen Brown who will miss his second straight game with a hamstring strain. The Celtics have been heating up though, winning three of their last four outright and covering the spread in four straight games. The Celtics are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games as a home underdog and I'm happy to take the points on the home team in this matchup. 8* play on Boston Celtics. |
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11-12-21 | Knicks -115 v. Hornets | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to fade the Hornets who ended a five-game skid with a 118-108 upset win at Memphis on Wednesday. The Knicks meanwhile have alternated wins and losses over their last four games, and I think they'll come through with a good game here coming off a home loss against Milwaukee. Knicks are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Hornets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. 10* play on New York Knicks. |
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11-12-21 | Illinois State v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 138 | 98-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
ILLINOIS STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN TOTAL Eastern Michigan lost but covered the spread as a 24-point dog at Indiana in their season opener. The game closed with a total of 144.5, but the two teams ended up combining for only 128 points in a 68-62 Hoosiers win. Illinois State opened the season with a 68-63 win against UNC Wilmington, with the total closing at 147.5 points. I expect this to be another low-scoring affair. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-12-21 | Northern Colorado -120 v. Hawaii | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
SUPER LATE 12 AM ET - NORTHERN COLORADO @ HAWAII MIDNIGHT MADNESS Northern Colorado defeated Pacific on Wednesday, and I like them to take down Hawaii as well here the following night. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout win against Hawaii-Hilo, but this will be a much tougher test. While the game takes place at Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, the home court advantage for Hawaii is reduced as this is where the Bears played the Tigers yesterday as part of the Outrigger Hotels Rainbow Classic. Northern Colorado is returning 83.5% of its minutes from last season while Hawaii is returning only 45% and losing three key players. 8* play on Northern Colorado. |
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11-12-21 | Northern Colorado v. Hawaii OVER 136 | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
NORTHERN COLORADO @ HAWAII TOTAL Northern Colorado defeated Pacific on Wednesday, and I like them to take down Hawaii as well here the following night. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout win against Hawaii-Hilo, but this will be a much tougher test. While the game takes place at Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, the home court advantage for Hawaii is reduced as this is where the Bears played the Tigers yesterday as part of the Outrigger Hotels Rainbow Classic. Northern Colorado is returning 83.5% of its minutes from last season while Hawaii is returning only 45% and losing three key players. In addition to Northern Colorado winning and covering the spread, I also like the over as we might see some sloppy defense with both teams playing on no rest. 8* play on OVER |
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11-11-21 | Raptors +2 v. 76ers | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* RAPTORS @ SIXERS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Raptors will play on no rest, but I think they'll snap back with a strong performance after taking a beating at Boston last night. They came into that game on two days rest, so one could argue that the Sixers are in a tougher scheduling spot as they'll be playing their third game in four nights. Additionally, Philly is shorthanded with several players sidelined, and I think the Raptors have a good chance of winning this one outright. 10* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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11-11-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Evansville UNDER 135 | 40-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
IUPUI @ EVANSVILLE CBB TOTAL Neither IUPUI nor Evansville broke 50 points in their season opener, and I think it'll take a couple of games more for them to find their shooting. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-11-21 | Air Force v. South Dakota UNDER 135.5 | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
AIR FORCE @ SOUTH DAKOTA TOTAL Air Force is returning only 51.9% of its starting minutes from last season while South Dakota is returning 81.6% of its minutes. Air Force in particular is likely to need some time to find its rhythm when on the ball but I also think the Falcons can lock down on the defensive end. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-10-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ GRIZZLIES NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Charlotte Hornets have dropped five straight games SU and ATS, but I think thye're undervalued here as they wrap up a five-game road trip to the Western Conference. They showed good fight in an OT loss to the Lakers last time out, and the Grizzlies are in a potential flat spot after winning three of their last four SU and ATS. 10* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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11-10-21 | Raptors +2.5 v. Celtics | 88-104 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
RAPTORS @ CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Raptors are an undefeated 4-0 on the road this season. They won 115-83 here at TD Garden on October 22, and I think they'll do it again here less than a month later. I think we'll see a reaction from the Raptors after dropping back-to-back home games to Cleveland and Brooklyn. The Celtics had won back-to-back games prior to a 107-104 loss at Dallas on Saturday, but they're still struggling to find their rhythm and note that the Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite while the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 8* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS LATE NIGHT TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET START The Clippers and the Blazers clashed twice in October, which the teams recording one lopsided win each. What was true for both contests was that the teams barely combined for 200 points, and yet we're seeing a total in the 220s here for the third head-to-head of the season. While both teams have the potential to explode and put 120+ points on the board, I think this will be yet another low-scoring affair between two familiar foes. Under is 5-2 in Clippers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. Under is 7-3 in Blazers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-21 | Hurricanes +129 v. Lightning | 2-1 | Win | 129 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
HURRICANES @ LIGHTNING NHL BOOKIE BU$TER I think we're getting a great price on the 9-1-0 Carolina Hurricanes to snap back from their first loss of the season. Tampa Bay is a tough team to beat, but the Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest while the Hurricanes are 9-4 in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest. 8* play on Carolina Hurricanes. |
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11-09-21 | Belmont -3 v. Ohio | 80-92 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
COLLEGE BASKETBALL OPENING NIGHT HARDWOOD HAMMER Belmont is returning pretty much all of their key players from last season when they went 26-4. Ohio picked up 17 wins in 25 games last season, but the Bobcats have lost their top overall player in Jason Preston. I don't see Ohio State keeping up with a Belmont team that averaged 81.3 points per game last year, the 13th best scoring average in the nation. 8* play on Belmont. |
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11-08-21 | Hawks +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HAWKS @ WARRIORS LATE-NIGHT SHOWDOWN The Golden State Warriors are off to a red hot 7-1 straight up and 5-3 against the spread start to the year, and they're coming into this contest riding a three-game winning streak SU and ATS. The Atlanta Hawks meanwhile have won only four of 10 games on the season, and they have dropped each of their last three SU and ATS. This looks like a good spot to back Atlanta to get a W though. The Warriors will be playing on no rest after blowing the doors of the Rockets in a 120-107 triumph Sunday night while Atlanta has had a day off since opening a four-game road trip out west with a loss at Phoenix on Saturday. I think the betting market has overreacted to recent results, the Hawks are not this bad and I think they'll be fired up for this one. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-08-21 | Heat -125 v. Nuggets | 96-113 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
HEAT @ NUGGETS SIDE The Heat are 9-3 ATS as road favorites of fewer than four points dating back to the start of the last season and 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite overall. The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog, and they are going through a rough patch. I don't think they can keep this one close. 8* play on Miami Heat. |
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11-08-21 | Bears +7 v. Steelers | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
BEARS @ STEELERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SHOWDOWN Pittsburgh Mike Tomlin is a coach I'm happy to back as an underdog, but I just find it hard to trust him as a favorite, especially when asked to cover this kind of number. Additionally, while Chicago's offense is awful (dead last for total offense and second to last in scoring offense with only 15.4 points per game) note that the Steelers are only marginally better with their 18.9 points per game. Chicago's defense has been decent, especially against the pass, and Pittsburgh poses very little threat on the ground (3.7 yards per carry, 28th). Additionally, the Bears can actually move the ball on the ground, averaging 136.6 rushing yards per game (6th), and it's not all due to volume as they rank 10th with 4.6 yards per carry. Lastly, Chicago coach Matt Nagy is expected to return to the sidelines following a one-game absence in the NFL's COVID-19 protocol, and reports suggest that running back David Montgomery could be activated off injured reserve. Montgomery (69 carries for 309 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.5 yards per carry) was off to a good start prior to suffering a knee injury in Week 4. 8* play on Chicago Bears. |
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11-07-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TTIANS @ RAMS SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN The Tennessee Titans are traveling to Los Angeles riding a four-game winning streak, and they have won six of their last seven straight up and against the spread. For this game they'll be without NFL's leading rusher Derrick Henry, but I still think the Titans can keep this one relatively close. The Rams have won four in a row, but they have failed to cover the spread as big favorites in their last two games. Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rams are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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11-07-21 | Packers +7.5 v. Chiefs | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 91 h 38 m | Show | |
PACKERS @ CHIEFS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER I think we've seen too big of an overreaction to the news that Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is out after testing positive for COVID-19. Jordan Love is in line to make his first career start in Rodgers' absence, but its' worth noting that he got all the No. 1 quarterback reps during the offseason while Rodgers skipped all team activities. Additionally, the Packers defense has really stepped it up i recent weeks. The Chiefs have been a major disappointment this season and they are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. 8* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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11-07-21 | Browns +2.5 v. Bengals | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
BROWNS @ BENGALS SIDE I'm happy to take the points on the underdog Cleveland in this divisional matchup. Sure, the Browns will be without a weapon in Odell Beckham Jr. who will officially be released Monday. I expect the rest of the Browns to come together as a team and prove they are a lot better than what they've shown lately with three losses in their last four games. Especially QB Baker Mayfield should have a chip on his shoulder after getting criticized by Beckham Jr's. father on social media. The Bengals took a loss to the lowly New York Jets last week, after winning at Baltimore the week before. They are not a team you can trust, especially not as a favorite. Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. 8* play on Cleveland Browns. |
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11-07-21 | Texans +6 v. Dolphins | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
TEXANS @ DOLPHINS SIDE OK, the Houston Texans are just 1-7 straight up on the season, but so are the Dolphins as well and the Texans are 4-4 ATS while Miami is only 2-5-1 ATS. The metrics for both teams are close, and I don't think Miami should be this kind of favorite against anyone in the league right now. Texans' rookie quarterback Davis Mills has really struggled under center, but Tyrod Taylor is expected to be back for this one and he looked pretty sharp in the first few games of the season before being injured. He could not ask for a much easier opponent to make his comeback against with Miami giving up 291 passing yards per game. Additionally, the Texans are off for 14 days following this contest, so I'm sure they'll put in a good effort before their bye week. 8* play on Houston Texans. |
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11-07-21 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 41.5 | 27-25 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
FALCONS @ SAINTS TOTAL The Saints will start Trevor Siemian under center as Jameis Winston must undergo season-ending surgery to fix a torn ACL. It's not a massive blow with the team averaging only 180.9 yards per game, but I think it will have an impact as Atlanta can really focus on stopping the run. Atlanta gave up only 19 points against Carolina last week but managed only 13 points and 213 yards of total offense themselves. Under is 29-11 in Falcons last 40 games in November. Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games in November. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-06-21 | LSU v. Alabama -28.5 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 43 m | Show |
LSU @ ALABAMA NCAAF GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Home teams off a bye and favored by at least 22.5 points are 31-16-1 (66%) against the spread dating back to the start of the 2018 season. "We had a really good bye week," Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban said. "I think we got some players rested up. We got some guys healed up. We also got three good workdays in where the players responded really well. I was pleased with the way last week really went." The Tigers are also coming out of their bye week but they are missing several key players because of injuries. 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State -2.5 v. West Virginia | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 77 h 45 m | Show | |
OKLAHOMA STATE @ WEST VIRGINIA BOOKIE BU$tER I'll gladly take the No. 11 Oklahoma State at unranked West Virginia here in Week 10 of the College Football season. The Cowboys are 7-1 straight up on the season and they have covered the spread in six straight games. They rank no. 7 for total defense in the nation with only 295.0 yards allowed per game and they held Kansas to a field goal, seven first downs and fewer than 150 yards of total offense in a blowout win as a big favorite last week. West Virginia is in a potential flat spot following back-to-back upset wins, first at TCU and most recently a 38-31 triumph over Iowa State. The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. 8* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL) I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10 | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NETS @ PISTONS TGIF NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Pistons took a home loss to Philadelphia last night. They failed to cover the spread, which sets up a favorable situation here against Brooklyn Friday night. Home teams that are underdogs of eight points or more and on a three-game losing streak against the spread are 25-15-1 (62.5%) ATS since the start of the 2016 season. Additionally, the Nets tend to play down to lesser competition, going only 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on Detroit Pistons. |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons +6 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
SIXERS @ PISTONS NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER The Pistons are a poor 2-5 ATS on the season, but I like their chances of even winning this one outright as they'll face a shorthanded Philly team that will be playing on no rest after defeating the Bulls last night. Ben Simmons has yet to take the floor for the Sixers this season, and it was announced on Wednesday that Tobias Harris has tested positive for COVID-19. Additionally, they'll be without starting wing Danny Green (left hamstring tightness). I think Detroit is undervalued due to their poor start to the season while one must wonder how much gas is left in the tank for Philly after taking down the Bulls last night. 8* play on Detroit Pistons. |
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11-04-21 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-5 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
RED WINGS @ BRUINS NHL PUCKLINE BOOKIE BREAKER The Detroit Red Wings look like a good play on the puckline when they visit Boston Thursday night. While the Wings have dropped three straight, but they have covered the puckline in two of those games and they are 7-3 against the puckline on the season. As for the Bruins, they have won by just one goal in two of their last three wins. 8* play on Detroit Red Wings +1.5. |
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11-03-21 | Pelicans +5 v. Kings | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
PELICANS @ KINGS NBA BAILOUT PLAY The Pelicans will be playing on no rest after blowing a 20-point lead in a 112-100 loss at Phoenix last night. I still think they'll be able to regroup and have enough gas left in the tank to challenge the Kings in Sacramento on Wednesday. The Kings tend to do better against the spread as underdogs rather than favorites, and they will also be playing on no rest after battling the Jazz in Utah last night. 8* play on New Orleans Pelicans. |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
NUGGETS @ GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS on the season, but I think the betting market got the spread for this game wrong. Sure, the Grizzlies defeated the Nuggets 106-97 here at FedExForum on Monday, but it's hard to beat this Nuggets team two games in a row, and they should be able to adjust and have a better plan for how to stop Ja Morant this time around. 10* play on Denver Nuggets. |
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11-03-21 | Bulls +3.5 v. 76ers | 98-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
BULLS @ SIXERS SIDE The Bulls are off to a red hot 6-1 start, including wins at Toronto and Boston. The Sixers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and I think there's a chance they come out flat here in the final game of a four-game homestand. Joel Embiid is expected to return to the lineup Wednesday after being rested in Monday's 10-point triumph over Portland but they will be without Danny Green (hamstring) and Tobias Harris who is out due to health and safety protocols. 8* play on Chicago Bulls. |
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11-03-21 | Raptors +3.5 v. Wizards | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
RAPTORS @ WIZARDS SIDE The Raptors are an undefeated 3-0 on the road this season with wins at Boston, Indiana and New York. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog, and here they'll be looking to avenge an opening-night home loss to Washington on October 20. They're coming into this game riding a four-game winning streak and they have won four straight head-to-heads in Washington. 8* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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11-03-21 | Celtics -6.5 v. Magic | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
CELTICS @ MAGIC SIDE Great spot to back the Celtics to snap back from three straight losses SU and ATS. They've owned Orlando in recent years, winning six straight meetings straight up while covering the spread in five of those contests. The Magic are in a potential flat spot after putting an end to a four-game skid with a blowout win at Minnesota in their last game. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Magic are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. 8* play on Boston Celtics. |
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11-02-21 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 218 | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT ROCKETS @ LAKERS NBA BAILOUT The total closed at 224.5 points when the Lakers and the Rockets clashed in LA just a couple of days ago. The teams ended up combining for only 180 points, and while the total for this game is significantly lower than for the lats game, I don't think the market has adjusted enough. The Rockets are 6-0 to the under on the season as they're playing surprisingly good defense while lacking talent on the offensive end. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-21 | Rangers -120 v. Canucks | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT NHL MONEYLINE MASSACRE The New York Rangers are off to a red-hot start to the season. They have reeled off five straight road wins since taking a loss at Washington in their season opener, and here they'll visit a struggling Vancouver team with zero momentum coming off three straight losses. The Canucks have scored a grand total of only four goals over their last three games and the Rangers are a top-five defensive team. 8* play on New York Rangers. |
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11-02-21 | Kings +9 v. Jazz | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
TOP-RATED KINGS @ JAZZ NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Jazz are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season but I think they are asked to cover too many points in this matchup with the Kings Tuesday night. This is a potential flat spot for Utah who is coming off a 107-95 win at reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Sacramento on the other hand will be looking to snap back from a loss at Dallas. The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. 10* play on Sacramento Kings. |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
KINGS @ JAZZ TOTAL The Jazz are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season but I think they are asked to cover too many points in this matchup with the Kings Tuesday night. This is a potential flat spot for Utah who is coming off a 107-95 win at reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Sacramento on the other hand will be looking to snap back from a loss at Dallas. The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. In addition to Sacramento covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 19-6-1 in Kings last 26 road games. Under is 9-1 in Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-01-21 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 211 | 113-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT NBA BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL The Knicks have the second-best scoring average in the NBA at 117.0 points per game, but here they'll face a tough and slow team in Toronto. In fact, neither team is likely to drive up the tempo with the Raptors averaging only 93.4 possessions per game (19th) and the Knicks even fewer at 92.7 possessions per game (23rd). The Knicks have an offensive efficiency rating that is due to regress, and I expect to see this one stay under the total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Blazers v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
BLAZERS @ HORNETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to fade the Blazers who are coming off a massive revenge win over the Clippers after getting humiliated in LA earlier in the week. The Hornets on the other hand should come out with more motivation after taking a 15-point loss at Miami in their last game. Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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10-31-21 | Jaguars v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 103 h 14 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL) The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots +4.5 v. Chargers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS SIDE The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week. 8* play on New England Patriots. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots v. Chargers UNDER 49.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS TOTAL The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets UNDER 43 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
BENGALS @ JETS TOTAL The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | 49ers -4 v. Bears | Top | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Bears are averaging an NFL-worst 255.4 yards of total offense per game, and this looks look a bad matchup against a San Francisco team that ranks no. 6 in total defense and no. 5 against the pass. Offensively, the Niners are getting slightly healthier again and QB Jimmy Garoppolo should be sharper than he was in last week's 30-18 loss to Indianapolis. The Niners are a winless 0-4 in their last four games, but they've played a rather tough schedule and they should be able to get the job done against Chicago. Additionally, we can note that Bears head coach Matt Nagy is on the Covid-19 list, so special teams Chris Tabor will serve as head coach and outside linebacker Kahlil Mack has been ruled out due to a foot injury. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets +11 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
BENGALS @ JETS SIDE The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. In addition to the under, I also like the Jets to cover the spread as this is a huge number for a team like Cincy to cover on the road. This game also has a massive flat spot potential for the Bengals after hanging 41 points on division-rival Baltimore last week. 8* play on NY Jets. |
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10-31-21 | Steelers +4.5 v. Browns | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
STEELERS @ BROWNS SIDE The Steelers are 23-14-2 as underdogs of a field goal or more under Mike Tomlin. Cleveland is expected to get Baker Mayfield back under center, but running back Nick Chubb who has missed two games due to a calf injury was limited in practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. Additionally, the Steelers will be well rested coming out of their bye week. 8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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10-30-21 | Washington v. Stanford -2.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
SUPER LATE NIGHT WASHINGTON @ STANFORD BAILOUT The Washington Huskies are sitting on a disappointing 3-4 record, and they are an even worse 1-6 against the spread. The Cougars have lost two games as favorites, and while Stanford is also only 3-4 straight up, the Cardinal have a couple of impressive underdog wins against USC and Oregon. The Cardinal are the better side this season IMO, and history is also on their side as the Huskies have lost their past six trips to Stanford. 8* play on Stanford Cardinal. |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
CELTICS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY These two teams battled it out in Boston just a couple of days ago, a game the Wizards won 116-107. That game went under by the hook, and I think we'll see an even lower scoring affair here as the teams have had a chance to get familiar with each other. The Wizards have allowed 104, 107 and 111 points over their last three games and under is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games as a home favorite. Additionally, under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-21 | Colorado +24.5 v. Oregon | 29-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
COLORADO @ OREGON SIDE Oregon is 6-1 SU but only 2-5 ATS and five of the Ducks' seven games on the season have been decided by a touchdown or less. The Buffaloes seem to play down to their competition which will make this massive spread hard to cover. The Buffaloes have been atrocious on the offensive side of the ball all season, but the backdoor cover should be wide open in this one. 8* play on Colorado Buffaloes. |
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10-30-21 | Purdue +7.5 v. Nebraska | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
PURDUE @ NEBRASKA SIDE Purdue is allowing only 16.3 points per game (9th) and 160.4 passing yards per game (5th). The Boilermakers are 6-1 to the under on the season, and I think they can contain this Nebraska offense to stay within the number and keep the final score under the posted total. Offensively, the Boilermakers can throw the football but they rarely have much success running the rock. In their last game, the Boilermakers took a 30-13 home loss to Wisconsin but they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. The Cornhuskers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games. 8* play on Purdue Boilermakers. |
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10-30-21 | Purdue v. Nebraska UNDER 53.5 | 28-23 | Win | 101 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
PURDUE @ NEBRASKA TOTAL Purdue is allowing only 16.3 points per game (9th) and 160.4 passing yards per game (5th). The Boilermakers are 6-1 to the under on the season, and I think they can contain this Nebraska offense to stay within the number and keep the final score under the posted total. Offensively, the Boilermakers can throw the football but they rarely have much success running the rock. |
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10-30-21 | Stetson v. Presbyterian -3 | 56-14 | Loss | -132 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
5* play on Presbyterian. |
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10-30-21 | Maine +6.5 v. Rhode Island | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
5* play on Maine. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 51 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers v. Illinois UNDER 42 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
RUTGERS @ ILLINOIS TOTAL Illinois is averaging only 18.0 points per game and the Hoosiers are 6-1-1 to the under on the season. Rutgers has been held to under 14 points in four straight games, a 21-7 loss at Northwestern last time out included. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-21 | Hampton v. Robert Morris +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
8* play on Robert Morris |
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10-30-21 | Columbia v. Yale -3.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 1 h 56 m | Show | |
8* play on Yale. |
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10-29-21 | Kings v. Pelicans UNDER 220.5 | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
KINGS @ PELS TOTAL The Kings are 3-1 to the under and the Pels 4-1 to the under. New Orleans is averaging only 100.8 points per game and it has the third-worst offensive efficiency rating with 98.6 points per 100 possessions. Under is 17-5 in Kings last 22 road games. Under is 16-5 in Pelicans last 21 games as an underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -106 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S WORLD SERIES BEST BET The Braves and the Astros have the World Series tied at one apiece after splitting two games at Houston. I like Atlanta to take game 3 home at Truist Park. Astros righty Luis Garcia is 1-1 with a 9.64 ERA in three starts this postseason and he has been pitching a lot better at home than on the road all season. Braves' righty Ian Anderson is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three outings in the current playoffs and he is 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA in seven career postseason starts. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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10-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Heat | 99-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
HORNETS @ HEAT SIDE This will be a very interesting matchup between a Charlotte team that is averaging an NBA-best 121.2 points per game and the best defense in the league. Through their first four games of the season, the Heat have held opponents to 95.0 points per game, but they are allowing opponents plenty of three-point attempts and Charlotte has the players to take advantage. Heat are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 8* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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10-29-21 | Navy +10.5 v. Tulsa | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 106 h 27 m | Show | |
TGIF NAVY @ TULS NCAAF BOOKIE BLA$TER The Navy Midshipmen are only 1-6 SU but 4-3 ATS on the season, 4-1 ATS as double-digit dogs. They lost by only seven as a 28.5-point underdog to Cincinnati last week, and actually outgained the Bearcats by a 308-271 margin. I think they can keep it close at Tulsa Friday night. Navy will as always focus on running the ball (they rank 19th nationally in rushing offense with 215.5 ypg) which will keep the clock moving and reduce the Golden Hurricane's time with the ball. In what's expected to be a low-scoring game taking the points sure looks like the right move. Additionally, note that Navy has covered the number in three of the last four meetings. 8* play on Navy Midshipmen. |
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10-29-21 | Magic +8 v. Raptors | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
MAGIC @ RAPTORS SIDE The Magic are only 1-4 SU and ATS on the season, but I think they're getting way too many points to pass on at Toronto Friday night. The Raptors are coming off a 118-100 win over Indiana, but they have looked far from impressive through their first five games, and they are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games while the Magic are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 8* play on Orlando Magic. |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5 | 104-101 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
GRIZZLIES @ WARRIORS THURSDAY NIGHT BAILOUT Tough spot for the Grizzlies who battled the Blazers in Portland on Wednesday. Now they'll have to take on of the few undefeated teams in the NBA, and I don't see the Grizzlies being able to compete with the more rested Warriors. Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. 8* play on Golden State Warriors. |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
PACKERS @ CARDINALS THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN This is of course a less than ideal spot for the Packers with wide receivers Davante Adams and Allen Lazard placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. While Green Bay is 6-0 through the last two seasons when Adams doesn't play, I still think they'll find it difficult to win this one outright. I do however think the market has overreacted and that the visitors have a good chance of covering this inflated number. The Cardinals are not at full strength either as J.J. Watt has already been ruled out because of a shoulder injury and DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) is also is on the injury report. Defensively, the Packers are doing just fine, and they are much like Arizona 6-1 ATS on the season. 8* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
HAWKS @ PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Hawks lost their only road game of the season so far (at Cleveland), but I think they match up well against this Pelicans team. New Orleans has the 26th worst offensive efficiency rating in the league while Atlanta has the fifth-best defensive efficiency score, allowing only 92.8 points per 100 possessions. The Pels are struggling without injured forward Zion Williamson, and without him, they do not have enough star power to compete with Trey Young and the rest of the Hawks. Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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10-27-21 | Orlando City SC v. Columbus OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
SOCCER MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S MLS GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) Orlando is 18-13 to the over 2.5 goals on the season and Columbus is 17-14 to the over. Orlando's games have seen an average of 2.9 goals over the season, the third-highest mark in MLS. We saw five goals when these two teams faced off last month, and this should be another high-scoring affair. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-27-21 | Hornets -6 v. Magic | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
HORNETS @ MAGIC NBA BOOKIE BU$TER Charlotte has opened the season with a solid 3-1 SU and ATS record. They lost to Boston in OT last time out but this looks like a good spot to snap back against an Orlando team that has lost three of its first four games on the season. Magic are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Hornets are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Orlando. 8* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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10-27-21 | Bruins +113 v. Panthers | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
BRUINS @ PANTHERS NHL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Panthers are putting a 100% perfect 6-0 record on the line when they host Boston Wednesday night. I like the Bruins to come through with an upset. They'll be playing on two days rest since defeating San Jose on Sunday while Florida has had only one day off since defeating Arizona last time out. The Bruins are one of the most disciplined teams in the NHL when it comes to penalty minutes and giveaways. I like the price on the dog in this matchup. 8* play on Boston Bruins. |
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10-26-21 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | Top | 110-122 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT NUGGETS @ JAZZ NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT Both Utah (no. 2) and Denver (no. 8) rank top 10 for defensive efficiency and they are 23rd and 24th respectively for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). They are a combined 5-0 to the under on the season and Denver has the worst turnover ratio in the league. The Nuggets will be playing on no rest after taking a 99-87 home loss to Cleveland on Monday. I think they'll do everything they can to make this game as slow as possible. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-25-21 | Bulls v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 111-108 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
BULLS @ RAPTORS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER The Raptors are 3-0 to the under on the season. They are averaging only 97.7 points per game while hitting just 26.4% of their three-point attempts. Both teams rank in the top six for defensive efficiency and the Raptors rank 27th for pace with 101.2 possessions per game. Under is 12-2 in Bulls last 14 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 road games. Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-25-21 | Bulls -125 v. Raptors | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
BULLS @ RAPTORS SIDE The Raptors are 3-0 to the under on the season. They are averaging only 97.7 points per game while hitting just 26.4% of their three-point attempts. Both teams rank in the top six for defensive efficiency and the Raptors rank 27th for pace with 101.2 possessions per game. Under is 12-2 in Bulls last 14 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 road games. Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games. In addition the under, I also like the Bulls to keep their perfect SU and ATS records intact. They swept the three-game series against the Raptors last season and the Bulls are an even better team this year while Toronto has gotten weaker IMO. 8* play on Chicago Bulls. |
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10-25-21 | Stars -123 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
NHL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED GAME OF THE WEEK Great spot to back the Stars who have had two full days of rest since defeating the Los Angeles Kings on October 22, their second straight win. The Blue Jackets will be playing on only one day of rest since taking a 5-1 beating by Carolina on October 23. The Blue Jackets only goal came on a power play, and now they'll face a Dallas team that has been one of the best teams in the league on the defensive end. The Jackets are 6-21 in their last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. 10* play on Dallas Stars. |
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10-25-21 | Celta de Vigo v. Getafe CF | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
5* play on Celta Vigo PK. |
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10-24-21 | Colts v. 49ers -4 | 30-18 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 48 m | Show | |
COLTS @ NINERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL SHOWDOWN The Niners have suffered three straight defeats SU and ATS, but I think they'll snap the skid when hosting Indianapolis here in Week 7. San Francisco is allowing only 217 passing yards per game (7th), and Colts' QB Carson Wentz could be in for a reality check after putting up big numbers against Baltimore and Houston. Additionally, wideout T.Y. Hilton's status is uncertain as he's dealing with a quadriceps injury. As for the Niners' offense, all signs point to QB Jimmy Garoppolo returning from a calf injury. Coming out of their bye, the whole team has had time to get some rest and heal up. I think we'll see a big game from the home team. 8* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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10-24-21 | Celtics -4.5 v. Rockets | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
CELTICS @ ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER Great spot to back the Celtics as a road favorite. They should come into this one with a chip on their shoulder as they're still looking for their first win of the season. The Celtics took a 115-83 loss as a 7-point home favorite against Toronto in their last game while the Rockets are coming off their first win of the season, a 124-91 triumph over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Rockets are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Celtics are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. 8* play on Boston Celtics. |
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10-24-21 | Bears v. Bucs UNDER 47 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans +5.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team +9 v. Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 30 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON @ GREEN BAY SIDE Washington is only 1-5 ATS on the season while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS, but that's also a reason why we're getting a couple of extra points on the underdog in this matchup. I would not be surprised to see the Packers coming out flat following a 24-14 triumph over NFC North rivals Chicago, a game that was a one-score game with less than five minutes to go. Washington is dealing with injuries, but I think the Football Team will step up after getting completely outplayed by Kansas City last week. 8* play on Washington. |
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10-24-21 | Falcons -124 v. Dolphins | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
FALCONS @ DOLPHINS SPREAD Good spot to back the Falcons who have had a week off since defeating the Jets in London. The Dolphins are not granted that same luxury as they're coming off straight off a 23-20 loss to Jacksonville across the pond last week. Miami has really struggled to put points on the board lately while Atlanta's offense has been heating up. 8* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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10-24-21 | Jets v. Patriots UNDER 43 | 13-54 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans OVER 57.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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10-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -3.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
LATE-NIGHT GRIZZLIES @ CLIPPERS NBA *BAILOUT PLAY* The Clippers opened the season with a 115-113 loss as an underdog at Golden State on Thursday. I think they'll pick up their first win of the season as a home favorite against Memphis on Saturday. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 47-22 ATS in their last 69 games following a straight up loss. The Grizzlies opened the season with a 132-121 win as a favorite against Cleveland. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 8* play on Los Angeles Clippers. |
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10-23-21 | Mavs -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Tough spot for Toronto who will be playing on no rest after blowing the doors off the Celtis in Boston last night for their first win of the season. The Mavs are in a bounce-back spot after coming out completely flat in a 113-87 loss to Atlanta in their season opener. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on Dallas Mavericks. |
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10-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 63 | Top | 40-48 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-23-21 | Avalanche v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
AVALANCE @ LIGHTNING BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL Both the Lightning and the Avs have been among the worst defensive teams in the league with both sides allowing 4.3 goals per game. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings and I expect this to be another shootout between two defensively inept teams. 8* play on OVER. |
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10-23-21 | Buffalo -12 v. Akron | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
BUFFALO @ AKRON SIDE Buffalo snapped a two-game skid with a 27-26 win against Ohio last week. While the scoreline was close note that the Bills had 26 first downs to Ohio's 16. Buffalo is averaging 199 rushing yards per game (35th) and this is a great matchup for them, facing an Akron defense that is allowing 216 rushing yards per game (122nd). 8* play on Buffalo. |
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