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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +3.5 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 0 m | Show | |
WISCONSIN @ PURDUE SIDE The Purdue Boilermakers pulled off a huge upset last week when they won 24-7 as an 11-point underdog at Iowa. The Badgers are aiming for their third win in a row following back-to-back victories over Illinois and Army. Wisconsin's defense is elite, but their offense is mediocre at best and they pose very little threat through the air. Quarterback Graham Mertz has 893 passing yards with only two touchdowns against seven interceptions. I think Purdue can hang around I would not be surprised if the home team wins this one outright. Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog. 8* play on Purdue Boilermakers. |
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10-23-21 | Northwestern +23.5 v. Michigan | 7-33 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 3 m | Show | |
NORTHWESTERN @ MICHIGAN SIDE The Michigan Wolverines are a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on the season and they figure to be fresh and well-rested coming off their bye week. Still, I think this is too many points to cover against a Wildcats team that is coming off an upset win against Rutgers. Northwestern is only 2-4 ATS on the season, but 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines are also at risk of getting caught looking ahead to their showdown against the Michigan State Spartans next week. Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, and in four of the last five games, the margin of victory has come by eight points or fewer. 8* play on Northwestern Wildcats. |
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10-23-21 | UMass v. Florida State UNDER 59 | 3-59 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
UMASS @ FLORIDA STATE TOTAL Florida State is 4-2 to the under on the season. The Seminoles are averaging only 26.7 points per game and their 68.0 plays per game rank 88th in the nation. The Minutemen average even fewer with 63.8 plays per game, which ranks 123rd of 130 teams. UMass has played three straight unders and they held UConn to 13 points when they snapped a 16-game losing streak two weeks ago. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-23-21 | Crewe Alexandra v. Wycombe Wanderers OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
5* play on OVER. |
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10-23-21 | Reading v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 2.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
5* play on OVER. |
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10-23-21 | Queens Park Rangers v. Peterborough United OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
5* play on OVER. |
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10-22-21 | Jazz -5.5 v. Kings | Top | 110-101 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT JAZZ @ KINGS NBA BASKET BRAWLER *BAILOUT PLAY* Both teams started the season with a win but in very different ways. The Jazz did not disappoint as they defeated Oklahoma City 107-86 as a 14-point favorite while Sacramento managed to win 124-121 as a 6.5-point underdog at Portland. The Jazz can clamp down on the defensive end in a way the Kings simply can not, and they have a much deeper team. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. They won all three of last season's matchups by an average of 29 points. 10* play on Utah Jazz. |
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10-21-21 | Canucks v. Blackhawks -125 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH The Blackhawks are still looking for their first win of the season. They outshot the Islanders 40-29 in a 4-1 home loss last time out, and they are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a home loss of three or more goals. I think they'll finally bag the elusive W here against a Canucks team that has opened the season with a 1-2-1 record. The Hawks will play their second straight at home while this will be the Nucks' fourth straight game on the road. The home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on Chicago Blackhawks. |
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10-21-21 | Broncos +1.5 v. Browns | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
BRONCOS @ BROWNS THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN Way too many injuries for Cleveland to not fade them in this one. QB Baker Mayfield has been ruled out and D'Ernest Johnson, who has carried three times for 11 yards this season, will be Cleveland's starting running back. Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. They look good to snap back from a 34-24 loss to Vegas last week. 8* play on Denver Nuggets. |
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10-21-21 | Mavs v. Hawks -138 | Top | 87-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
MIKE'S MAVERICKS @ HAWKS 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams return the same core as last season when Dallas won both meetings straight up while splitting ATS. I like the Hawks to be the team to open with a win though, and to cover the spread in the process. The Hawks are 12-3 ATS over the last 15 meetings though, including 6-2 ATS home in Atlanta where they're always difficult to beat. Hawks are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER Arkansas State has lost back-to-back games and they took a 52-20 loss as a 20-point underdog to Coastal Carolina last week. UL Lafayette on the other hand has won five straight games since opening the season with a loss. Last week, the Ragin' Cajuns put a 41-13 beating on App State as a 4-point underdog. Is there a risk of a letdown spot? Unlikely IMO as this is a Thursday night primetime game. The Red Wolves are allowing 47 points and 584 total yards of offense per game, 270 of that on the ground. UL Lafayette is averaging a solid 179.3 rushing yards per game, but they can also attack through the air. Arkansas State is coming off their bye, but note that the Red Wolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Ragin' Cajuns are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Ragin' Cajuns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 8* play on UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns. |
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10-20-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -2.5 | 98-83 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
WIZARDS @ RAPTORS SIDE The Raptors have lost point guard Kyle Lowry to Miami, but Fred VanVleet should be ready to take on more responsibility. Other key players like OG Anunoby and Pascal Siakam are still with the team and Goran Dragic and Precious Achiuwa, acquired from the Heat in the deal for Lowry, should have a positive impact. As for the Wizards, they're coming into the season with seven new players on the roster. I think it will take a couple of games for them to get the chemistry right.  8* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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10-20-21 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
BULLS @ PISTONS SIDE The Bulls are coming into the season with a very exciting team. DeMar DeRozan and Lonzo Ball have joined forces with Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic, and I hold them as a much better team than Detroit. The Pistons could have the youngest starting lineup in the league this season, and I think they lack the experience to compete with Chicago here in their season opener. Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. 8* play on Chicago Bulls. |
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10-20-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -125 | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
PACERS @ HORNETS SIDE The Hornets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, and I think they'll win and cover when hosting Indiana in their season opener on Wednesday. The Pacers are coming into the season banged up as both Caris LeVert (back), TJ Warren (foot injury) and Malcolm Brogdon (shoulder) are dealing with injuries. The Hornets are young and hungry, and they have serious talent in reigning NBA Rookie of the Year LaMelo Ball. Pacers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Charlotte. 8* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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10-19-21 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -113 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
JACKETS @ RED WINGS MONEYLINE The Blue Jackets are undefeated on the season, but I'm not sure about the merits of beating Arizona and Seattle at home. Detroit opened the season with an OT loss to Tampa Bay but they snapped right back with a 3-1 win against Vancouver. The Red Wings would've beaten two-time defending Stanley Cup champion Lightning if not for giving up two three-goal leads. I think the Blue Jackets are in a potential flat spot as they go into their first road game undefeated. 8* play on Detroit Red Wings. |
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10-19-21 | Nets +1.5 v. Bucks | 104-127 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
NETS @ BUCKS NBA BUCKET BREAKER The Bucks are coming into the season as the reigning NBA champions, but I think they'll come up short here in the season opener. I would not be surprised to see Milwaukee suffering from a championship hangover in the early stages of the season, and the Nets will be looking for revenge after losing to the Bucks in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals last season. The Nets' players will have to watch the Bucks receive their championship rings and raise their title banner before the game, and I think they'll be the hungrier team. 8* play on Brooklyn Nets. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NLCS MAJOR WAGER The Dodgers are not in do-or-die mode, but they're just one loss away from being there, after opening the series with a pair of losses at Atlanta. Now they get to return home to Chavez Ravine where they've been dominant all season long. The Braves are 0-5 as road dogs when the opponent is a favorite of -170 or more and veteran right-hander Charlie Morton was tagged with five runs in 4 1/3 innings when he faced the Dodgers with the Rays in Game 3 of the World Series last year. I think we're getting a terrific price on a desperate Dodgers team that can't afford to drop this one. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BILLS @ TITANS MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN I think the Tennessee Titans will keep this Monday night matchup reasonably close. Sure Buffalo is elite on both sides of the ball, but the Titans are among the best at running the ball, which means they can keep the Bills offense off the field while also keeping the clock moving to shorten the game, limiting the Bills' chances of pulling away. Additionally, Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill's weapons are getting healthier, and I think the Titans will put up a fair amount of points. We can also note that Buffalo has been fairly "lucky" with their opponents averaging 2.0 fumbles per game, and these things tend to even out. Lastly, this is a potential flat spot for Buffalo after blowing the doors off the Chiefs on the road at Kansas City Sunday night in Week 5, and Titans' coach Mike Vrabel is 13-5 (72%) ATS as a dog of three points or more. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-18-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers -129 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
KRAKEN @ FLYERS NHL BOOKIE BU$TER The Flyers came out flat in their season opener against Vancouver, but they battled themselves back into the game only to lose in overtime. I expect a much better performance from start to finish here in their second game of the season, and they'll face a Seattle team in a potential flat spot after recording the franchises' first-ever NHL win. 8* play on Flyers. |
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10-18-21 | Kaja Juvan -155 v. Anna Karolina Schmiedlova | 1-2 | Loss | -155 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
5* play on Juvan. |
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10-18-21 | Aleksandra Krunic -116 v. Bernarda Pera | 0-2 | Loss | -116 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
5* play on Krunic. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 2 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
CARDINALS @ BROWNS TOTAL The Cardinals are coming off a 17-10 win against San Francisco. I expect to see another low-scoring affair involving Arizona as they visit Cleveland in Week 6. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is dealing with a shoulder issue while the Browns will as usual focus on running the ball, which will keep the clock moving. Under is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 road games. Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 games as a favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers UNDER 46 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 42 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-17-21 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 45 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 78 h 40 m | Show | |
PACKERS @ BEARS TOTAL The Bears are 4-1 to the under on the season, much because of an offense that averages only 240 yards of total offense (32nd) and 16.8 points per game (30th). On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears have been a lot better and they held Vegas to nine points last week. The Packers have seen each of their last two games stay under the total and under is 6-2 in Packers last 8 games as a road favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-17-21 | Bengals v. Lions +3.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 38 m | Show | |
BENGALS @ LIONS SIDE The Lions are still looking for their first win of the season, but they are 3-2 ATS and I like their chances of keeping this close. Two of their last three games have been decided by long-distance, game-ending field goals, and the Bengals do not have the offensive firepower to get separation. Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 8* play on Detroit Lions. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 73 h 20 m | Show | |
CHARGERS @ RAVENS SIDE The Chargers have had an impressive start to the season, but I think they're about to come down to earth when visiting Baltimore on Sunday as they'll face a Baltimore team they match up pretty bad with. The Ravens boast one of the best rushing offenses in the league, and the Chargers are allowing an NFL-worst 157.6 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry. Sure, Justin Herbert and the rest of L.A.'s potent offense is clicking, but I think they're about to run out of steam after facing Dallas, KC, Vegas and Cleveland. 8* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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10-17-21 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 43.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
TEXANS @ COLTS TOTAL Houston is averaging only 17.8 points per game (29th) and 282.6 yards of total offense (29th). They have put up a grand total of 31 points through their last three games. Indianapolis is coming into the game as a double-digit favorite. I think they'll run away with the game early and then keep the Texans at a distance while eating a lot of clock. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-16-21 | Liberty -32.5 v. UL-Monroe | 28-31 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
LIBERTY BOOKIE BLA$TER Liberty has covered the spread in five of its six games on the season. In their last game, the Flames put a 41-13 beating on Middle Tennessee and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. 8* play on Liberty. |
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10-16-21 | BYU +5 v. Baylor | 24-38 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
BYU @ BAYLOR SIDE Baylor is coming off a dominant 45-20 win over West Virginia, while BYU took a 26-17 loss as a 6-point favorite against Boise State in their last game. The Cougars were an undefeated 5-0 up until that game, and I think this looks like a good bounce back spot while I would not be surprised if the Bears come out somewhat flat following their big win. Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Cougars are 23-9 ATS in their last 32games as a road underdog. 8* play on BYU. |
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10-16-21 | Florida -11.5 v. LSU | 42-49 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 56 m | Show | |
FLORIDA @ LSU NCAAF BOOKIE BLA$TER The LSU Tigers have dropped back-to-back games. Florida on the other hand snapped back from a 20-13 loss at Kentucky by absolutely demolishing Vanderbilt last week. The Tigers are severely banged up, and this is a big revenge game for the Gators after losing 37-34 to LSU at home last year. 8* play on Florida Gators. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 32-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) Texas held a 28-7 after one quarter in last week's matchup with Oklahoma. It all went downhill from there though as the Sooners came back to win 55-48. I think it will be tough for the Texas players to recharge mentally and physically after that battle, and here they'll face an undefeated 5-0 Oklahoma State team that already has a road win as an underdog at Boise State. Cowboys' running back Jaylen Warren rushed for 125 yards and two touchdowns on 36 carries in a 24-14 home victory over then-No. 21 Baylor on October 2, and he should have a big game against a Texas defense that's allowing 200+ rushing yards per game. Additionally, the Okie State has a big rest advantage coming off its bye week. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Texas. 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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10-16-21 | Auburn v. Arkansas -4 | 38-23 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
AUBURN @ ARKANSAS NCAAF BOOKIE BOMBER Arkansas is coming off back-to-back straight up losses, but it is still a solid 5-1 ATS on the season. Last week, they amassed 676 yards in a 52-51 loss at Mississippi, and I like the Razorbacks to keep scoring here against an Auburn team that took a 34-10 loss to Georgia last week. Arkansas is an undefeated 3-0 SU and ATS home at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. 8* play on Arkansas. |
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10-16-21 | Rutgers -125 v. Northwestern | 7-21 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
RUTGERS @ NORTHWESTERN SIDE Rutgers has suffered three straight defeats, but there's no shame in losing to Michigan, Ohio State, and Michigan State. Now they'll be well-rested following their bye week and must be looking forward to taking on a more beatable opponent in a Northwestern team that took a 56-7 loss at Nebraska last time out. Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. 8* play on Rutgers. |
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10-16-21 | RB Leipzig v. SC Freiburg OVER 2.75 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
8* play on OVER. |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* RED SOX @ ASTROS ALCS GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER The Red Sox have made it all the way from the Wild Card game to the ALCS, but I think Houston will prove too difficult, at least here in the first game of the series. Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (11-6, 3.14 ERA) was not at his sharpest against the White Sox in his ALDS start, but the team still won the game 9-4 and Valdez has posted a 1.59 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against the Red Sox. Boston lefty Chris Sale (5-1, 3.16 ERA) was lit up for five runs on four hits and a walk in just one inning against Tampa Bay in his last start. Sale made only nine starts this season as he worked his way back from Tommy John surgery. Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -13 v. Syracuse | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
TGIF CLEMSON @ SYRACUSE NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER LIVE @ ESPN Clemson has been a big disappointment, but I expect a big game from the Tigers. Coming out of their bye week, they've had time to make adjustments and they'll be healed up with fresh legs while Syracuse is coming off a hard-fought OT loss to Wake Forest. The two teams were trading punches throughout the game, and one must wonder how much gas they have left in the tank for this one. The Tigers have failed to cover the spread in each of their first five games of the season while the Orange is 5-1 ATS, and I think the oddsmakers have made an overreaction by asking the Tigers to lay less than two touchdowns. We should see a hungry Tigers team looking to make a statement in this nationally televised Friday nighter.  8* play on Clemson Tigers. |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ GIANTS NLDS GAME 5 *BEST BET* Giant's righty Logan Webb (11-3, 2.97 ERA) held the Dodgers to five hits and fanned 10 through 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win on October 8. Webb is 6-0 with a minuscule 1.96 ERA home at Oracle Park this season. Dodgers' left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) held the Giants to one run in three hits with five ks through five innings in his last start. Urias is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA on the road this season. I think runs will come at a premium for both teams, and I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 type final score for either team. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers -105 v. Giants | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
DODGERS @ GIANTS GAME 5 SIDE Giant's righty Logan Webb (11-3, 2.97 ERA) held the Dodgers to five hits and fanned 10 through 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win on October 8. Webb is 6-0 with a minuscule 1.96 ERA home at Oracle Park this season. Dodgers' left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) held the Giants to one run in three hits with five ks through five innings in his last start. Urias is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA on the road this season. I think runs will come at a premium for both teams, and I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 type final score for either team. I also think the value is on the Dodgers as they have the experience and the momentum after fighting off an elimination game. Additionally, the Dodgers also have the more rested relievers. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7.5 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
BUCS @ EAGLES THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER The Bucs put a 45-17 beating on the Dolphins last Sunday, but I think they're in for a tougher game here, playing on the road at Philadelphia on a short week. The Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Thursday night games. The Eagles rank no. 3 against the pass, and as Tampa Bay averages only 82.0 rushing yards per game (26th), they can really focus on stopping Brady. 8* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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10-13-21 | Rangers +115 v. Capitals | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
RANGERS @ CAPITALS NHL MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Caps and the Rangers split eight meetings last season, and I think we're getting good value on the visitors aa underdogs at Capital One Arena here in their season opener. The Caps will have to do without injured star center Nicklas Backstrom, and the Rangers should come out strong looking to give veteran head coach Gerard Gallant a win in his first game leading the team. 8* play on New York Rangers. |
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10-12-21 | Astros +107 v. White Sox | 10-1 | Win | 107 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
ASTROS @ WHITE SOX ALDS GAME 4 MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The White Sox and the Astros are expected to be able to resume play of this ALDS following a two-day rain delay. The Astros can now turn back to Lance McCullers Jr. (14-5, 3.04 ERA) who held the White Sox to four hits through 6 2/3 scoreless innings of a 6-1 win in the first game of the series. The White Sox hand the ball to their original Game 4 starter, left-hander Carlos Rodon (13-5, 2.37 ERA). Rodon had a terrific regular season including two solid outings against Houston, but he has not thrown a pitch in 11 days which might disrupt his rhythm. It's also worth noting that Houston is averaging 6.49 runs per nine innings against left-handers on the road. I think the Astros' playoff experience gives them an edge. 8* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY* The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly.  As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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10-11-21 | Brewers v. Braves -103 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
EARLY BREWERS @ BRAVES NLDS GAME 3 *TOP PLAY* The Braves stole Game 1 in Milwaukee. I think they'll defend the home-field advantage with a win here with right-hander Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA) on the mound. Anderson limited the Brew Crew to one run on two hits through six innings of a 5-1 victory on May 15. Anderson posted a 5-1 record in 11 home starts during the regular season and he was 3-0 with a 4.39 ERA five September starts. Milwaukee righty Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81 ERA) was just 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA in five September starts. The Brewers bats were cold down the stretch while Atlanta closed out the regular season as one of the hottest teams in baseball. I expect the Braves to run away with this. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 57 | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 35 m | Show | |
BILLS @ CHIEFS SUNDAY NIGHT PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN Two of the NFL's best offenses will clash at Arrowhead when Kansas City hosts Buffalo on Sunday. I think the oddsmakers have set the total a tad too high though. Buffalo ranks no. 1 for several defensive metrics like total defense, passing defense, and scoring defense. Additionally, no other team has more takeaways than the Bills' 10. Buffalo shut out Houston last week, and I would not be surprised if we see KC's offense comes out a bit flat after putting up 42 points at Philadelphia last week. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7.5 v. Cowboys | 20-44 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
GIANTS @ COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER The Cowboys have won three straight SU and ATS since losing their season opener at Tampa Bay. I still think the Cowboys are asked to cover too big of a number here against a Giants team that have played three close games since getting blown out by Denver in its first game of the season. Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games. Giants are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. 8* play on NY Giants. |
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10-10-21 | Titans -4 v. Jaguars | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 18 m | Show | |
TITANS @ JAGS SIDE The 0-4 Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread for the first time this season in their 24-21 loss at Cincinnati last Thursday, but I don't think they'll be able to keep it close when hosting Tennessee here in Week 5. The Titans saw a two-game winning streak come to an end with a shocking OT loss to the Jets last week, and at only 2-2 they can't really afford to lose to teams like Jacksonville. Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill should have a field day against a Jacksonville defense that has allowed 312 passing yards per game, and RB Derrick Henry should do plenty of damage on the ground. 8* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-10-21 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 48 | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 16 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-10-21 | Broncos v. Steelers UNDER 39.5 | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
BRONCOS @ STEELERS TOTAL The Steelers are averaging only 302 yards of total offense and 16.8 points per game. Denver has the second-best scoring defense in the league, and while it has admittedly mostly faced subpar offenses, It held Baltimore to 23 points last week. Denver is banged up on the offensive side of the ball, including quarterback Teddy Bridgewater who was knocked out of the second half last week after taking a hit to the helmet. Under is 13-3 in Broncos last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 23-9-1 in Steelers last 33 games as an underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-10-21 | Eagles v. Panthers UNDER 47 | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
EAGLES @ PANTHERS TOTAL The Panthers are 3-1 to the under on the season, and they are allowing only 252 yards of total offense per game (3rd) and 16.5 points per game (3rd). Sure, the only good offense they faced was Dallas last week when they gave up 36 points, but the Eagles are not the Cowboys. Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey is doubtful (strained hamstring) and quarterback Sam Darnold is not a guy who can carry this offense without backup. Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-10-21 | Jets v. Falcons -3 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY JETS VS FALCONS BOOKIE BU$TER @ LONDON Great spot to fade the Jets coming off their first win of the season, a 27-24 OT triumph against Tennessee, while the Falcons look to bounce back from a home loss to Washington. Matt Ryan threw four touchdown passes in the defeat and he should feast on a Jets defense that gave up 300 passing yards, although admittedly only one TD, to Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill last week. The Jets 27 points in their win against the Titans were more than it scored in its first three games combined, and it's worth noting they only had 16 first downs to Titans' 30 first downs. While the Falcons defense has its holes, I don't see the Jets keeping up with Atlanta's offense, so let's back Atlanta to get the win and cover in London, England on Sunday. Falcons are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Jets are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 8* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa UNDER 41 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
PENN STATE @ IOWA TOTAL Both Penn State and Iowa are 4-1 to the under on the season. The Hawkeyes rank no. 7 for total defense and they have the second-best scoring defense in the nation. Last week, they put a 51-14 beating on Maryland, but I don't see tem putting up a big number against a Penn State defense that shut out Indiana last week. Under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 18-7-1 in Hawkeyes last 26 games as a home favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-21 | West Virginia +3 v. Baylor | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 26 m | Show | |
WVU @ BAYLOR BIG 12 BOOKIE BOMBER Many oddsmakers are taking a clear stance for this contest, dropping the spread to under a field goal, which would suggest sharp money is coming in on the visitors. I'm happy to take the 3 points while available but would grab WVU at any number as I think they have a great chance of winning this one outright. Baylor (4-1) managed only 280 yards of offense in a 24-14 loss at Oklahoma State last week. The Bears are dangerous on the ground, but here they'll run into a West Virginia defense that is allowing only 87.8 rushing yards per game (11th) and 2.8 yards per carry (13th). The 2-3 Mountaineers could just as easily be 5-0. Even in last week's last-minute loss to Texas Tech, they outgained the Red Raiders by 78 yards while putting up 424 yards of total offense. Mountaineers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Mountaineers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games as a home favorite. Bears are 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 8* play on West Virginia. |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71 | Top | 17-66 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-21 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 44.5 | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
WVU @ BAYLOR BIG 12 UNDER Many oddsmakers are taking a clear stance for this contest, dropping the spread to under a field goal, which would suggest sharp money is coming in on the visitors. I'm happy to take the 3 points while available but would grab WVU at any number as I think they have a great chance of winning this one outright. Baylor (4-1) managed only 280 yards of offense in a 24-14 loss at Oklahoma State last week. The Bears are dangerous on the ground, but here they'll run into a West Virginia defense that is allowing only 87.8 rushing yards per game (11th) and 2.8 yards per carry (13th). The 2-3 Mountaineers could just as easily be 5-0. Even in last week's last-minute loss to Texas Tech, they outgained the Red Raiders by 78 yards while putting up 424 yards of total offense. In addition to WVU covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 10-2 in Mountaineers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 12-3-1 in Mountaineers last 16 games as a road underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-21 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -38.5 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
VANDERBILT @ FLORIDA BLOWOUT This is a lot of points, but I still expect no. 20 Florida to cover the number. This is a particularly favorable situation as the Gators should be fired up after losing two of their last three games, most recently a 20-13 setback at Kentucky, while the Commodores got their first win of the season last week. Vanderbilt is allowing 205 rushing yards per game, so this is a nightmare matchup against a Gators team that averages 292.6 rypg (3rd). The last time the teams played, Florida won 56-0 in 2019. 8* play on Florida. |
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10-08-21 | Braves v. Brewers -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE Atlanta and Milwaukee will open up their ALDS Friday afternoon, and I like the Brew Crew as a home favorite here in Game 1. Brewers righty Corbin Burnes (11-5, 2.43 ERA) will take the ball for this playoff debut, but there's little reason to believe he'll be anything but solid. Burnes was smacked for five runs on nine hits in four innings by Atlanta back in July, but I would not put too much emphasis on such a small sample. Also, the Braves still won the game 9-5 and Burnes finished the regular season with the lowest ERA in the majors. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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10-07-21 | Rams -129 v. Seahawks | Top | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 14 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - RAMS @ SEAHAWKS TNF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Rams to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Arizona while we also fade Seattle who avoided a three-game losing streak with an upset win at San Francisco. Additionally, the Seahawks have a ton of injuries which will make playing on a short week rather difficult. Seattle has the worst total defense in the league giving up 444.5 ypg, and the worst run defense, The Rams rank fourth in the league in passing (298.3 ypg) and sixth in scoring (28.8 ppg), and QB Matt Stafford just bounce back after having a season-low passer rating of 89.5 against the Cardinals. Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Rams are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros -131 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER I think we're getting a great price on Houston in this one, especially considering that the White Sox are only 5-18 SU (+39.4% ROI fading) as road dogs in 2021. Houston righty Lance McCullers Jr. (13-5, 3.16 ERA) has made two starts against the White Sox this year, holding them to three runs and four hits in 13 innings with 14 strikeouts. White Sox righty Lance Lynn (11-6, 2.69 ERA) gave up six runs on eight hits through only four innings in his lone start against the Astros this year. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* CARDS @ DODGERS NL WILD CARD SHOWDOWN The Cardinals closed out the regular season as one of the hottest teams in baseball, but now they'll face a Dodgers team that wrapped up the regular season by winning each of their last six games and averaging nine runs over its past five games. Their 106 wins on the season would have won every division except for their own NL West where they finished one game behind the Giants. Dodgers' right-hander Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA) has yet to take a losing decision (7-0, 1.98 ERA) since coming over from the Nats. While Cards' veteran Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA) has been terrific lately as well, I don't see him shutting down this Dodgers' team in a one-and-done type of game. The Dodgers went 29-15 against the runline (ROI of 17.5%) as home favorites of -200 or more during the regular season. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* YANKEES @ RED SOX AL WILD CARD TOP PLAY Both teams have potent lineups, but I expect runs to come at a premium for both the Yankees and the Red Sox here in the AL Wild Card game. Yankees' right-hander Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) owns a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts while Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA) has posted a 1.61 ERA in six career postseason outings (two starts). Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Fenway Park. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-05-21 | Yankees -120 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
AL WILD CARD SHOWDOWN SIDE Both teams have potent lineups, but I expect runs to come at a premium for both the Yankees and the Red Sox here in the AL Wild Card game. Yankees' right-hander Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) owns a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts while Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA) has posted a 1.61 ERA in six career postseason outings (two starts). Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Fenway Park. Additionally, note that the Yankees have won each of the last six meetings which should give them a nice psychological edge. Red Sox are 4-14 in their last 18 games as an underdog. 8* play on New York Yankees. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
RAIDERS @ CHARGERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER The Raiders are coming into this contest an undefeated 3-0, but I think they'll take a loss at LA Chargers Monday night. Las Vegas needed OT to beat Miami last week, and giving up 28 points to a Dolphins team with Jacoby Brissett under center is not a good sign. Now they'll face an explosive Chargers offense that dropped 30 points in an upset win at Kansas City last week, and even though the Raiders lead the league in total offense, they've played some soft defenses. I expect the Chargers to pull away to win and cover the spread. 8* play on LA Chargers. |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs -7 v. Eagles | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 56 m | Show | |
CHIEFS @ EAGLES NFL BOOKIE BU$TER I expect the Chiefs to show up big time here as they search for their first win since Week 1. The Chiefs are coming off back-to-back losses to the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers, but Philly should prove to be an easy victim. Philadelphia was completely outmatched on both sides of the ball at Dallas Monday night, and playing on short rest is far from ideal for the banged up Eagles. The Chiefs have been awful against the spread for quite some time, but I expect Mahomes and the rest of the Chiefs high-octane offense to run riot in this one and I don't see Philadelphia keeping pace. 8* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers +5 v. Cowboys | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 80 h 53 m | Show | |
PANTHERS @ COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Panthers are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS on the season, and while hardly any credit can be given for beating the Jets and the Texans, their underdog win against the Saints stands out. Their defense has held opponents to a league-best 191.0 yards per game, so if any team should be able to slow down the Cowboys' high-octane offense it's Carolina. Dallas has reeled off back-to-back wins since coming up just short in its season opener at Tampa Bay. In their last game (Monday night), the Cowboys put a 41-21 beating on Philly. Now they'll be playing on a short week, and perhaps in a letdown spot following that blowout win against a divisional rival. Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. 8* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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10-03-21 | Giants +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one. While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game. It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. 10* play on New York Giants. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
CFB MAJOR WAGER - TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Both Arkansas State and Georgia Southern are 1-3 SU on the season, but the Red Wolves are 3-1 ATS while the Eagles are only 1-3 ATS. I think the road team has a good chance at winning outright at Allen E. Paulson Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas State QB James Blackman has had a great start to the season, coming into this week averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt and the Red Wolves ranking 7th in the nation with 360.5 passing yards per game. Georgia Southern has struggled to stop the pass, and UL Lafayette QB Levi Lewis threw three touchdown passes in a 28-20 win at Georgia Southern last week. The Red Wolves have their issues on the defensive side of the ball, but I think their explosive offense will get them the W (at least ATS) in this one. Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Red Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. 10* play on Arkansas State. |
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10-02-21 | Oregon v. Stanford +8 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
OREGON @ STANFORD SIDE This looks like a good spot to take the points on the home underdog in a big rivalry game. Stanford QB Tanner McKee can sling it, and he's coming off a 19-for-32 with 293 passing yards and three touchdown passes against UCLA. The Ducks have a 35-28 upset win against Ohio State in Week 2 on their resume, but they have yet to cover the number as a favorite this season.  Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. 8* play on Stanford. |
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10-02-21 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech UNDER 58.5 | 52-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
PITT @ GEORGIA TECH TOTAL Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the over on the season, but I think Pitt will fail to cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring affair against Georgia Tech here in Week 5. The Yellow Jackets are coming off an impressive 45-22 upset win as a 14-point underdog to North Carolina. I doubt Georgia Tech wants to get into a shootout with Pitt though, so it'll focus on running the ball rather than throwing which will keep the clock moving. It averages a solid 199.5 rushing yards per game (38th) which could create trouble for Pitt. The Yellow Jackets slowed down Clemson on the road in a 14-8 loss two weeks ago, and I think they'll keep this one close. 8* play on Georgia Tech. |
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10-02-21 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +3 | 52-21 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 0 m | Show | |
PITT @ GEORGIA TECH SIDE Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the over on the season, but I think Pitt will fail to cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring affair against Georgia Tech here in Week 5. The Yellow Jackets are coming off an impressive 45-22 upset win as a 14-point underdog to North Carolina. I doubt Georgia Tech wants to get into a shootout with Pitt though, so it'll focus on running the ball rather than throwing which will keep the clock moving. It averages a solid 199.5 rushing yards per game (38th) which could create trouble for Pitt. The Yellow Jackets slowed down Clemson on the road in a 14-8 loss two weeks ago, and I think they'll keep this one close. 8* play on Georgia Tech. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas v. Georgia -16 | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
ARKANSAS @ GEORGIA SIDE No. 2 Georgia has the No. 1 scoring defense allowing only 5.8 ppg and the best total defense, holding opponents to 185.3 yards per game. The Bulldogs are coming off a 62-0 win at Vanderbilt, and I expect another blowout when they host No. 8 Arkansas in Week 5. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS on the season, but while they have a potent rushing attack, note that they average only 219 passing yards per game (80th). The Bulldogs have nine different players with at least one sack and they have allowed just one passing TD. 8* play on Georgia. |
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10-01-21 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks +109 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
ROCKIES @ DIAMONDBACKS SIDE The D'Backs have lost four straight and eight of their last 10, but they've won six of the last eight when hosting the Rockies at Chase Field. Colorado is just 25-52 on the road on the season and righty Jon Gray (8-12, 4.34 ERA) is 3-7 with a 4.73 ERA in his away starts. Gray is 1-2 with a 4.80 ERA in five 2021 starts against Arizona in 2021 and 5-7 with a 5.17 ERA in 17 career meetings. Arizona right-hander Humberto Castellanos (2-2, 4.28 ERA) held Colorado to just four hits over four scoreless innings when he faced them back in July. 8* play on Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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10-01-21 | Indians -116 v. Rangers | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
INDIANS VS RANGERS SIDE Cleveland righty Eli Morgan has allows only one run on seven hits over 12 innings in his last two starts. Texas righty Spencer Howard gave up four runs on six hits in four innings in his last start. 8* play on Cleveland. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* IOWA @ MARYLAND FRIDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BREAKER Both No. 5 Iowa and Maryland have started the season 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Terps have not really been tested since opening the season with an underdog win against West Virginia, but they've gotten the job done while putting up some solid numbers on both sides of the ball. Iowa opened the season with a couple of wins against two competitive teams in Indiana and Iowa State, but it has looked kind of sluggish in its last two games. Iowa had to claw back from a halftime deficit in last week's 24-14 win against Colorado, and the Hawkeyes put up only 278 yards of total offense, just barely outgaining the Rams. Maryland's explosive offense is averaging 519 yards of total offense per game, and while those numbers are skewed due to the strength of schedule, I do like the home team to keep this close. 10* play on Maryland Terrapins.  |
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10-01-21 | Mets v. Braves -151 | 4-3 | Loss | -151 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TGIF MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Braves will close out the regular season by hosting the Mets for a three-game series at Truist Park. Atlanta has been on absolute fire down the stretch, and I think the Braves will want to finish strong to keep the momentum. Mets' righty Tylor Megill (3-6, 4.78 ERA) has allowed 10 runs on 14 hits and six walks over seven innings in his last two starts. Braves' righty Huascar Ynoa (4-5, 3.98 ERA) was slapped around at San Diego in his last start, but now he's back in Atlanta where he has posted a 2.60 ERA this year. Mets are 5-26 in their last 31 vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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10-01-21 | Jagiellonia Bialystok v. Zaglebie Lubin OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
5* play on OVER. |
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09-30-21 | Phillies v. Braves -142 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB NL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Phillies have dropped three in a row, the last two here at Atlanta. The Braves have won nine of their last 10 and here they hand the ball to Ian Anderson (8-5, 3.60 ERA) who is a solid 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA home at Truist Park on the season. Anderson has faced the Phillies four times this year, holding them to eight runs on 19 hits with 24 strikeouts over 23 1/3 innings of work. The Phillies hand the ball to Kyle Gibson (10-8, 3.60 ERA) who is just 3-5 with a 4.29 ERA in his road starts. Gibson is a winless 0-3 (1-4 team record) over his last five starts, with 22 runs allowed over 27 2/3 innings of work. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-29-21 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
3-PACK - A'S/MARINERS UNDER Oakland righty Frankie Montas (13-9, 3.48 ERA) has posted a 2.60 ERA over his last three starts. Montas has 19 Ks against only 11 hits over 17 1/3 innings during that stretch. Seattle righty Logan Gilbert (6-5, 4.83 ERA) has posted a 3.44 ERA over his last three starts. Gilbert has 18 Ks against only 13 hits over 18 1/3 innings during that stretch. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-29-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3-PACK - YANKEES/JAYS UNDER Yankees' left-hander Gerritt Cole (16-8, 3.08 ERA) has a 2.81 ERA in eight career starts against Toronto (2.74 ERA in four starts this season). Toronto righty Jose Berrios (12-9, 3.48 ERA) owns a 4.79 ERA in four career starts against the Bronx Bombers, but note his 3.50 ERA in 11 starts with Toronto since coming over from Minnesota. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-29-21 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Pirates are averaging an MLB-worst 3.91 runs per game. Cubs' right-hander Kyle Hendricks (14-7, 4.81 ERA) owns a 3.69 ERA in 23 career starts against the Pirates who counter with Roansy Contreras who will make his MLB debut. Contreras has compiled a 2.64 ERA while pitching for Double-A Altoona and Triple-A Indianapolis this season. The reeling Cubs have lost seven straight. Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Pittsburgh. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-28-21 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR (AL TOTAL) Oakland right-hander Chris Bassitt (12-4, 3.16 ERA) held Seattle to one hit with four Ks through three scoreless innings in his last start since a 36-day layoff due to a shattered cheekbone. Bassitt has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts. Seattle left-hander Tyler Anderson (7-10, 4.48 ERA) will open in what will be a bullpen game for the home team. Oakland's bats have been cold lately, and I think the Mariners relievers can keep them in check. Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-27-21 | Nationals v. Rockies -164 | 5-4 | Loss | -164 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE NO-BRAINER The Rockies are 46-32 home at Coors Field, Washington is 29-49 on the road. Colorado righty German Marquez (12-10, 4.32 ERA) is 8-2 with a 3.49 ERA at home, Nats' rookie righty Josiah Gray (1-2, 5.92 ERA) has pitched a total of only 22 innings on the road. He has a 6.75 ERA in two career games against the Rockies. 8* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*) The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Seahawks v. Vikings +2 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game. Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams UNDER 55.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
BUCS @ RAMS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Bucs are averaging a league-leading 39.5 points per game and the Rams rank fifth with 30.5 ppg, but I think the total for this game is set too high. Tampa Bay has been able to run up the score against Dallas and Atlanta, but this Rams defense is something different than they've faced so far. QB Tom Brady will be under heavy pressure by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey and the Bucs' running game has not been much of a threat. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-26-21 | Falcons +3 v. Giants | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show | |
FALCONS @ GIANTS SIDE This contest will feature two desperate 0-2 teams looking to avoid starting the season 0-3, but I think the value is on the visiting team as an underdog. The Falcons have been humiliated in both of their first two games, getting outscored by 20+ points in each game. They put 25 points on the board and stood up fairly well at Tampa Bay last time out though, at least until giving up 20 unanswered points in the fourth quarter. The Falcons offense is starting to click, and I think they'll give the Giants a fight. The team with the ball in its hand last is likely to win the game? Give me the points. Give me Atlanta. 8* play |
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09-26-21 | Colts +5.5 v. Titans | 16-25 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 53 m | Show | |
COLTS @ TITANS SIDE The Colts are going on the road in search of their first win of the season following home losses to Seattle and LA Rams. QB Carson Wentz (ankle sprain) might miss the game, but I expect to see a reaction and plenty of desperation to avoid starting the season with three straight losses. As for the home team, the Titans are coming off a dramatic 33-30 overtime victory last week at Seattle. While they have a win to their name, their defense has been an issue with 400+ yards of total offense allowed per game and they have injury concerns in their secondary. Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Colts are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 meetings. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 8* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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09-26-21 | Bengals v. Steelers -2.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
BENGALS @ STEELERS SIDE The Steelers season has been an early rollercoaster after first winning on the road at Buffalo in Week 1 followed by a disappointing home loss to the Raiders. I expect Pittsburgh to snap back here against a Cincinnati team they have owned in recent years. Steelers' QB Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a pec injury, but I expect him to do everything he can to suit up against a Bengals team he has a 24-8 career record against. We should see a big game from the home team after coming out flat in its home opener last week. 8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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09-25-21 | Navy +20 v. Houston | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 70 h 59 m | Show | |
NAVY @ HOUSTON CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER Good spot to back a Navy team that is getting no respect whatsoever by the betting market, not all that surprising as they've been outscored 72-10 through their first couple of games. Houston has started the season 2-1 SU and ATS, outscoring its last two opponents 89-7 since losing its season opener to Texas Tech. All is not roses in Houston though as starting quarterback Clayton Tune left the last game in the first quarter with a hamstring injury. Navy has had an extra week to prepare, and I expect to see some kind of reaction following its pathetic start to the year. 8* play on Navy. |
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09-25-21 | Iowa State -7 v. Baylor | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 56 m | Show | |
IOWA STATE @ BAYLOR CFB BOOKIE BU$TER Baylor is a perfect 3-0 on the season, but it has closed as double-digit favorites in each game. Now the Bears are an underdog to a No. 14 Iowa State team that is coming off a 48-3 rout of UNLV Rebels. Iowa State is holding oppponents to a nation-best 194.0 yards per game, and while the Bears offensive numbers are impressive, they've seen nothing like Iowa State yet. Unlike Baylor, Iowa State has faced a tough test when it hosted Iowa on Sep. 11. The Cyclones lost that game, but they won't drop this one to a Big 12 foe. 8* play on Iowa State. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +5.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 28 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - NOTRE DAME @ WISCONSIN CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Notre Dame is coming into this contest an undefeated 3-0 on the season. This will be the Fighting Irish's first game as an underdog, but I like them to keep it close against a Wisconsin team that lost outright as a 5.5-point home favorite against Penn State on September 4. The Badgers are phenomenal against the run, but their secondary is vulnerable and Notre Dame QB Jack Coan can sling it, averaging over 300 passing yards per game with nine TD passes on the season. 10* play on Notre Dame. |
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09-25-21 | LSU -120 v. Mississippi State | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
LSU @ MISS STATE SIDE LSU is coming off a dominant win at Central Michigan, and I like the Tigers to get another W when heading to Mississippi State on Saturday. LSU quarterback Max Johnson threw five touchdown passes against CMU, and this is a big revenge game for LSU after taking a 44-34 loss as a two-touchdown favorite in the season opener for both teams last season. 8* play on LSU Tigers. |
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09-25-21 | Missouri -114 v. Boston College | 34-41 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
MIZZOU @ BOSTON COLLEGE SIDE Boston College is coming into the weekend undefeated, but I think Missouri will hand them their first L of the season. While the Eagles' defense has been dominant, it has hardly been tested all season, and now it'll face a Tigers side that ranks third in the SEC in total yardage, averaging 513.7 yards per game. Missouri QB Connor Bazelak has thrown seven TD passes in the last two games, and I don't see Boston College keeping pace with the visitors. 8* play on Missouri Tigers. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
PANTHERS @ TEXANS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER The Panthers' defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL for several stats like points allowed and yards allowed per play. Offensively, Carolina has kept running back Christian McCaffrey busy, but he played in only three games last season because of injuries so playing on short rest could prove difficult. As for Houston's offense, QB Tyrod Taylor has suffered a rib injury and rookie Davis Mills, who started just 11 games in his final two seasons at Stanford, will replace. I expect this to be an even lower scoring affair than the total the books have posted. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-23-21 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
GIANTS @ PADRES TOTAL Giants' right-hander Logan Webb (10-3, 2.79 ERA) has posted a 1.97 ERA over his last 17 starts, and he owns a 2.81 ERA in four career outings against San Diego. Padres' righty Yu Darvish (8-10, 4.13 ERA) is coming off seven shutout innings at St. Louis. He has a 3.19 ERA over 96 innings home at Petco Park in 2021. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-23-21 | Cardinals +110 v. Brewers | 8-5 | Win | 110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
CARDINALS @ BREWERS SIDE The red-hot Cardinals have won a season-high 11 games following a 10-2 triumph over Milwaukee on Wednesday. I like the price we get on them to complete the four-game sweep of this series with veteran righty Adam Wainwright (16-7, 2.89 ERA) on the mound. Wainwright is 19-12 with a 2.47 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and he is 9-1 with a 1.81 ERA in his last 12 starts overall. Milwaukee right-hander Adrian Houser (9-6, 3.43 ERA) has posted a 2.87 ERA over his last 17 outings (15 starts). Going against Houser isn't easy, but the Brewers bats are ice cold and we're getting a great price on the Cards. 8* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-23-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
CARDINALS @ BREWERS TOTAL The red-hot Cardinals have won a season-high 11 games following a 10-2 triumph over Milwaukee on Wednesday. I like the price we get on them to complete the four-game sweep of this series with veteran righty Adam Wainwright (16-7, 2.89 ERA) on the mound. Wainwright is 19-12 with a 2.47 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and he is 9-1 with a 1.81 ERA in his last 12 starts overall. Milwaukee right-hander Adrian Houser (9-6, 3.43 ERA) has posted a 2.87 ERA over his last 17 outings (15 starts). Going against Houser isn't easy, but the Brewers bats are ice cold and we're getting a great price on the Cards to prevail in a low-scoring affair. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-22-21 | Orioles v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - 10* IL TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH The Phillies have a .208 batting average over their last three games, and they've scored only five runs during that stretch. This looks like a good spot for Baltimore left-hander Keegan Akin (2-10, 6.93 ERA) to better his numbers, and he had a couple of solid starts prior to his last three outings. Baltimore has scored more than three runs in only one of their last eight games, and their .239 batting average for the season is one of the worst marks in baseball. Phillies' All-star right-hander Zack Wheeler (14-9, 2.83 ERA) is having a great year, and he has a 2.04 ERA in his three career starts against the Orioles. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-22-21 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
NATIONALS @ MARLINS TOTAL The Marlins took a 7-1 loss to Washington on Tuesday. I like them to snap back here in the rubber match of this three-game series. Miami right-hander Elieser Hernandez (1-2, 3.80 ERA) has posted a 3.47 ERA at home this season and he held Washington to two runs in five innings on Aug. 26. Nationals righty Josiah Gray (0-2, 6.24 ERA) has allowed a total of 22 runs through his last four starts. The Nats have lost each of his last five starts. I also like the over as I expect the Marlins bats to come alive, coming off a very disappointing game. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Over is 11-2-1 in Nationals last 14 during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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09-22-21 | Nationals v. Marlins -125 | 7-5 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
NATIONALS @ MARLINS SIDE The Marlins took a 7-1 loss to Washington on Tuesday. I like them to snap back here in the rubber match of this three-game series. Miami right-hander Elieser Hernandez (1-2, 3.80 ERA) has posted a 3.47 ERA at home this season and he held Washington to two runs in five innings on Aug. 26. Nationals righty Josiah Gray (0-2, 6.24 ERA) has allowed a total of 22 runs through his last four starts. The Nats have lost each of his last five starts. I also like the over as I expect the Marlins bats to come alive, coming off a very disappointing game. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Over is 11-2-1 in Nationals last 14 during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 8* play on Miami Marlins |
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