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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-27-19 | Louisville v. Boston College OVER 140 | 59-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Louisville has been struggling to score of late, but this is a good opportunity to get some posiitve offensive production as Boston is a team that has allowed 72.1 ppg at home this season. The Cardinal beat the Eagles 80-70 back on the Jan 16 this of this season, and now Im expecting a similar offensive output in the rematch. BOSTON COLLEGE is 16-3 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 11-1 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON COLLEGE is 17-4 OVER as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. LOUISVILLE is 6-0 OVER in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CBB home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 104-61 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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02-27-19 | Oklahoma State +15 v. Texas Tech | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Ok Texas tech has shown that they are a fine team, there is no arguing that, but after exerting a pile of energy vs Kansas last time out, in a big DD win, Im betting they will be in a natural letdown state and wont be as inspired here today vs a Oklahoma City side that they smashed 78-50 the last time they played Feb 13 at Oklahoma State. Meanwhile, the Cowboys with very little left to play for this season, will be out looking for revenge and will get a chance to be alot more competitive this time around. Note: OKLAHOMA ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Considering the circumstances I see value here with taking the points. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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02-26-19 | Syracuse +12 v. North Carolina | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
The Tar Heels are off a huge 88-72 win last time against Duke and will now be in a letdown spot here against Syracuse tonight and with Florida State up next NC could easily be distracted and deflated all at the same time. From the Orange s perspective Im betting they will be ready to play here in revenge mode for being knocked out of last seasons ACC tourney by the Tar Heels.. I t must also be noted that HC Boheim's five returning start group is 5-2 ATS on the road this season while Roy Williams is just 2-5 ATS in his last seven conference games at the Dean Dome. SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. ( Lost to Duke by DDs last time out) Syracuse is also 11-3 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 48-89 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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02-26-19 | Dayton v. Massachusetts +6 | 72-48 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Recent home wins vs St.Jospehs, Davidson and Rhode Island and their lack of turnovers with the ball give credence to Mass being a viable home dog here tonight vs visiting Dayton. The Flyers have been shooting the lights out of late converting at a 48% FB clip or better in 3 straight games and are off a home win, which has not been a good omen for their betting backers in the past . Note: DAYTON is 0-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is 3-19 ATS off a home win over the last 2 seasons. DAYTON is 1-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons. DAYTON is 15-28 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Mass has also performed well vs disciplined teams as this trend would indicate. MASSACHUSETTS is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons. Play on Mass to cover |
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02-26-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The third-ranked Blue Devils play at No. 20 Virginia Tech in an ACC game in Blacksburg, Va tonight without their star player Zion Williamson, who is out with a injured knee. They found a way to beat Syracuse in revenge mode last time out, but if the Blue Devils win again, Im betting it will not come so easily vs a side that is 12-2 SU at home this season. Note: HC Williams in his L/27 games as a home underdog or pick as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH has seen average point differential in those games click in a 2.1 ppg. With Duke playing its third game in seven days on tired legs they will be wobbly chalk here in this spot play. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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02-26-19 | Central Michigan +3 v. Eastern Michigan | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Riding a three-game winning streak, Central Michigan will head go on the road vs MAC West and in-state rival Eastern Michigan in a game that favors the road team to cover according to my power rankings numbers. Note:C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season- C Michigan is 8-0-1 ATS L/9 overall. Central Michigan ranks as upper echelon team in four major statistical categories -- No. 3 in free throw attempts (734), No. 9 in free throws made (491), No. 16 in scoring offense (83.2 ppg) and No. 17 in 3-point field goal defense (30.0). Also Over the last three games, opponents are shooting just 18% (8-of-44) versus CMU from 3-point range The Chippewas won the first meeting this season, 86-82, in McGuirk Arena, snapping a six-game losing streak to EMU. C MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Murphy is 8-20 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25or mroe free throws/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN. CBBRoad teams as an underdog or pick (C MICHIGAN) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 127-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Central Michigan to cover |
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02-25-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas -3.5 | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Kansas was humbled at Texas Tech this past weekend in a DD 91-62 debacle, and now will be primed for redemption this week against Kansas State.QUOTE: “We’ll put this one behind us,” Self said. “It’s not going to do us too much good to watch this film. But we’ll get this behind us. We were talking — not putting it behind us because the game was over — but talking about that as early as halftime (with KU down to Tech by 25 points). We would have had to come out in the second half, in the first eight minutes, and cut it to 15 (point deficit), or something like that, to probably have a chance to put some game pressure on them and we didn’t do that. So, therefore, the whole deal was that for the last 12 or 14 minutes we were just trying to get our guys to the finish line so we have rested bodies for Monday: END QUOTE Add to that the home team has revenge on board for a 74-67 loss at KSU a few weeks ago and we have a motivated team to back this week.. Kansas is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS the last six meetings when playing with revenge in the series and are 12-0 L/12 and 23-1 SU in the L/24 meetings here at Allen Field House and are undefeated at home this season overall. Bottom line is this is a must win situation for Bill Selfs troops if they have any chance at Big 12 Championship .With that said, Im betting he finds a way to turn the trick and get us the cover in the process. KU is 786-113 (.874) L/ 64 seasons and 248-13 (.950) in the 16-year Bill Self era here at this venue. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 29-143 SU L/22 season for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential of +7.4 ppg. Play on Kansas to cover |
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02-25-19 | Northern Colorado v. Montana -6.5 | 74-72 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Northern Colorado got spanked by Montana earlier this season by a 88-64 count and just dont matchup well vs this red hot home team that has won 10 straight games and the last 5 meetings in this series the L/3 seasons.During Montana's 10-game winning streak, that started with the above mentioned win vs the Bears the Grizzlies have held six of their opponents below 70 points. They're shooting better than 50 percent overall and have a plus-13 scoring margin. Hey I know this is an important game for both teams as they are one and two in the standings, but here on their own home floor the Grizzlies are dominant and Im betting they take care of business again and more importantly get us the cover . Play on Montana to cover |
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02-25-19 | Howard v. Morgan State | 75-69 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Bears last four games have been decided by an average margin of 2.3 points with the Coppin State, South Carolina State, Savannah State and now Norfolk State games coming down to the final possession. Plain bad luck that Im betting comes to end here tonight vs Howard. The Bears rank No. 1 in the league in turnover margin (+3.52). Play on Morgan State |
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02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 130.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This is going to be a behemoth and very physical conference battle involving two stop tier defensive teams that dont like each other very much. The Spartans love the run and gun out of transition , but Michigan is a team built to slow the most explosive sides in the nation down. With all the Spartans injuries, I doubt they will be is fluid as usual and instead be hell bent on delivering heavy elbows in the paint and trying to find a way to win by making life difficult for Teske and drawing him into foul trouble. This Im betting will see a much lower scoring tilt than then the linesmakers and public expect. MICHIGAN ST is 9-0 UNDER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals this seasonMICHIGAN is 9-1 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more) are 55-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-24-19 | Villanova v. Xavier OVER 136 | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
This is the second and final regular-season meeting between the teams. Villanova won 85-75 on its home court Jan. 18 and Im expecting a out put of at least 142 points here according to my projections , which is a full 6 points higher than this offered Total which makes for a strong value call here to the OVER. Note: Four of the L/5 meetings here at Xavier have gone OVER. The OVER is 5-1 in Musketeers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 39-18 in Musketeers last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. XAVIER is 18-5 OVER L/23 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games with a combined average score of 153.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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02-23-19 | Kansas +5.5 v. Texas Tech | 62-91 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Kansas despite of being banged up and having to deal with suspensions has still won 14 consecutive conference titles, behind Bill Selfs tut-ledge are always a dangerous opponent for all comers. In addition, the Jayhawks have dominated this series in the past vs TexasTech and are 18-1 SU in L/19 meetings. These teams are tied in the standings and to break the lock Im betting this will be a harder fought affair for the Red Raiders than the home chalk designation is indicating. Kanas beat Texas Tech convincingly back on Feb. 2 79-63 and Im betting the swing on this line is to much based on the last matchup. Kansas coach Bill Self in his career as a conference dog from Game 25 out, is 10-0 ATS against hoops programs he beat by 3 or more points in the most recent meeting. KANSAS is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kansas to cover |
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02-23-19 | VMI v. Western Carolina OVER 156.5 | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on Jan 19, they took part in a high scoring affair, that resulted in a 91-83 output of 174 points. Im betting on a similar back forth high scoring affair here today that eclipses this Total. W CAROLINA is 9-1 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 169.5 pig scored with a combined average of 162.9 ppp going on the board. VMI is 13-3 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VMI is 8-0 OVER after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (VMI) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 100-62 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-23-19 | Duke v. Syracuse +5 | 75-65 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Duke will be playing without injured star Zion Williamson, the leading candidate to win the National Player of the Year Award. That should help Syracuse be confident enough to be competitive here today behind what is expected to be a gigantic crowed tonight. I know HC Boheim was in a fatal car crash earlier this week that killed a pedestrian, but he will be on the bench and has the type of personality that will help him deal with this sad event. Look for his team to respond to his situation in a big way and provide a competitive effort. Also I know Syracuse (18-8, 9-4) won the first game between the teams 95-91 in overtime, and Duke has revenge on board, but from empirical standpoint these competing systems matchup much more evenly than many might expect. SYRACUSE is 13-4 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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02-23-19 | Auburn +7.5 v. Kentucky | 53-80 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Im betting Kentucky gets tested here tonight against Bruce Pearls high flying run and gun Auburn squad.Auburn lives and dies by the 3-point shot and by easy buckets off turnovers and when their in top form like they are here tonight, their not going to be easy to beat. Yes, not even here at Rupp Arena. Kentucky turns the ball over a lot and they defend in close much better than at the down town line curve. Im not saying Auburn pulls off a win in one of the hardest venues to win at in the nation, Im just betting that they make a game of this and get us a cover . Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-23-19 | Virginia v. Louisville +6 | 64-52 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Methodical Virginia one of the best coached teams in the country from a systems stand point is not invincible like some might think, as was the case when they lost to Duke earlier this season, and when they were unceremoniously knocked out of the NCAA tourney in the first round of last year. Today against their host Louisville Im betting their conservative ways and dependence on 3 point shooting for big leads will be tested as the home crowd makes life difficult for the visitors cohesiveness. Add to that the Cardinal have revenge for a loss in the ACC tourney last season you have a very motivated opponent to deal with. Note: The Cards are 32-7 SU with conference revenge at the KFC Yum! Center. I know Louisville has struggled a bit of late, but Im betting that won't be the case here as redemption is at hand.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-23-19 | Tennessee v. LSU +2 | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
LSU hosts Tennessee at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center this Saturday afternoon. The top tier Vols go against a LSU team off an upset loss at home last time out by Florida, but it must be noted that the Tigers have been good bounce back side especially at home where they have not lost back-to-back home games this season and wont be easily defeated here today, making getting points in my humble opinion a very good betting option. LSU is 11-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and s 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. LSU is 8-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season. Play on LSU to cover |
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02-22-19 | Harvard v. Brown +2 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
A couple of weeks ago Harvard demolished Brown by a 68-47 walloping. That was a strange game considering these are the leagues two top scoring teams.. The low scoring domination by the Crimson Im betting was an outlier and that this game will be more true to form, with the revenge minded home team getting the advantage taking points as their opponent will Im betting get caught looking ahead to a big game with Yale tomorrow. Play on Brown to cover |
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02-22-19 | Dartmouth +9.5 v. Yale | 59-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
When I look for underdogs one of my criteria is find a team that can shoot threes consistently and convert on FTs from the charity stripe. The Big Green are one of those pups , as their shooting percentages include 71.7% for free throws and 38.4% for three point percentage so far this season. Their hosts Yale, shooting percentages include 69.5% for free throw percentage and 36.9% for three point percentage at this point of the campaign. Yale is the superior overall team, but they do have a big game against Harvard tomorrow, and could easily be overlooking this opponent and if Bulldogs have a big lead , could also easily take their foot of the pedal and allow an opportunity for a back door cover. DARTMOUTH is 17-2 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1997(which was the case against Princeton last time out in a 1 point loss) DARTMOUTH is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. McLaughlin is 8-1 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH. Big Green are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Big Green are 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss.Big Green are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Ivy LeagueRoad team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Yale. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (YALE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% for bettors on the blind. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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02-22-19 | Bowling Green -4 v. Ohio | 87-92 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Ohio looks like they have packed it in for the season as is evident by having lost 6 straight games SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Bowling Green is 11-2 in conference play and wont let up Im betting until they cross the finish line. BOWLING GREEN is 10-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. OHIO U is 4-18 ATS in all games this season.OHIO U is 1-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. OHIO U is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 10-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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02-21-19 | Hawaii +3.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 61-79 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Hawaii has revenge on board here tonight for a ugly DD loss as 3-point home favs to Santa Barbara la couple of weeks ago and have responded by winning 3 of their L/4 and will be primed for pay back here vs a side that has lost 3 straight games. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 18-33 ATS L/51 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games .Ganot is 11-3 ATS in road games in February games as the coach of HAWAII. HAWAII is 9-2 ATS after playing a home game this season. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 2-8 ATS against conference opponents this season. CBB team (HAWAII) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 101-56 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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02-21-19 | Idaho +12.5 v. Northern Arizona | 54-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
This line according to projections is bloated and should be closer to -9 t for the home team thus giving us line value of more than 1 possession , which makes for a viable advantage player proposition. Back on Feb 2 N.Arizona bombed Idaho by DDs, and now the visitors have revenge on board. Im betting they stand tall here, and make a better effort in the rematch and get us the cover. Verlin is 30-15 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of IDAHO.ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 55-21 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-21-19 | UL - Lafayette +3 v. Texas-Arlington | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Top seeded Lafayette was dramatically upset in the semifinals of their conference tourney last by UT Arlington, 71-68 after looking like they would be going to the NCAA tournament towards the end of late season. Now with huge revenge on board I expect a Louisiana side that is a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 when seeking revenge for a LTKO conference tourney loss the previous season to get us the cover here today. I know the Mavs are a strong team despite of being on a 2 game losing streak but the Cajuns are battle tested after brutal non conference schedule , that seen them play Power 5 programs Indiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Texas, plus top-5 ranked Gonzaga. CBB team (LA-LAFAYETTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 75-27 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary OVER 145.5 | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections have made this total closer to 149.5 -150 this according to my estimates we have value on this offered totals number. Both these teams are lighting it up offensively of late, and nothing Im betting will change tonight. Coll of Charleston has scored 83 or more points in 4 straight games. William Mary has scored 84 or more points in 3 of their L/4 overall. WM & MARY is 8-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 180.1 ppg scored.WM & MARY is 9-0 OVER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 173.3 ppg scored. WM & MARY is 12-0 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with. combined average of 175 ppg scored.WM & MARY is 14-2 OVER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 172.5 ppg scored. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-3 OVER versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.6 ppg going on the score board. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-20-19 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -2.5 | 81-60 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Greg Marshall’s Shockers basketball program is down quite. few notches this season, for past incarnations, and are far from the dangerous opponent they have been in the recent past as they're AAC 12-11 SU would indicate. The Shockers have played better of late, but Im sure their in an emotional letdown spot after tangling with the Cincinnati Bearcats in a hard fought loss last time out and susceptible to a down effort in what will be back to back road games. Meanwhile Frank Haith’s Tulsa team is out looking for revenge for a DD loss as visitors to Wichita earlier this month. It must be noted that the Canes are 14-1-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Considering Wichita State is 0-16 L/16 SU in this series when made underdogs I like our odds here for cashing a ticket on short chalk line. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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02-20-19 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech UNDER 128.5 | 65-73 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Gtech plays basketball at a methodical pace, behind a offence that can't produce with any consistency, and thus their games consistently go under as is evident by 9 of the L/10 staying below the offered totals number. Meanwhile, Pittsburghs strength is their ability to play decent defence, and have allowed just 67.2 ppg on the road this season while their offence has converted for under 67 ppg on the road while shooting a lowly 39.4 % from the Field. These teams most recent meetings have all stayed below this offered Total with a combined average of 118.6 ppg scored, and Im betting a similar output tonight. PITTSBURGH is 20-6 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 20-8 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 10-1 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season with a combined average of 122.9 ppg scored. Pastner is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of GEORGIA TECH with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. 818 Georgia Tech / Pitt UNDER |
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02-20-19 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 128 | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Northwestern is ranked first in the Big Ten and 12th nationally in three-point field goal defense, holding teams to 29.6 percent, with Ohio State sporting two top 15 down town shooters in their lineup this will be a pivotal factor in muting a lot of the Buckeyes scoreboard out put, which in turn will directly contribute to this being a lower scoring game than the lines makers expect. Note: Northwestern D has allowed 59 points exact in 3 of their L/4 games and should once again be hard to score on here behind top tier rebounding work. Ohio Stats D, is also in top form having allowed 52,63-62 respectively in their L/3 tips to the hardwood. with all three going under the set total. Tonight Im betting this will be a hardcore physical defensive battle that stays under the set total. NORTHWESTERN is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 126.2 ppg scored and s 6-0 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season with a combined average 121 ppg scored. NORTHWESTERN is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.4 ppg going on the board. CBB Home teams against the total (OHIO ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 38-17 UNDER L22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 814 Ohio State /Northwestern UNDER |
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02-20-19 | Arkansas +12 v. Auburn | 56-79 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Razorbacks have struggled a little bit over the past week and have lost their last three games, but overall this team has been competitive and have tremendous talent on their bench thanks to one of the better recruiting classes in the nation and are viable dogs here at explosive Auburn. Razorbacks are 12-13 SU at Auburn, but the 12 wins ties for second-most by the Razorbacks victories against any SEC team.The teams split the last four meetings but the Razorbacks have won 10 of the last 12. Head coach Mike Anderson is 8-2 versus Auburn as Arkansas head coach. In the last three meetings between these sides the Hogs have started quickly and outscored the Tigers by almost 7 points going into the 2nd half.Im betting they will be all over the Tigers again, making them very solid underdogs here in this spot if my projections are correct. Some key matchup stats suggest Arkansas must not be disrespected here as underdogs. Arkansas is third in the SEC in turnover margin (2.6) and ranks second in turnovers forced (16.48) — which ranks 19th nationally. Arkansas (1.17) and Auburn (1.16) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assist-to- turnover ratio, Arkansas (406) and Auburn (379) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assists. Auburn (9.1 avg) and Arkansas (8.1 avg) rank among the NCAA top 25 in steals. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 31-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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02-19-19 | UNLV v. Wyoming +5.5 | 66-56 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
UNLV enters the game dumping the cash for their supporters on a regular basis of late , failing to cover 6 of their L/7 . Meanwhile, Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games , and viable bets here vs a poor travelling Rebels squad that is 5-6 SU/ATS on the road this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 away. WYOMING is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. UNLV is 9-22 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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02-19-19 | Alabama -1.5 v. Texas A&M | 56-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Avery Johnson’s Alabama enters this game with one goal and that is to get a win here, because if they lose this game their tournament chances are probably gone. After two ugly blowout losses they are desperate. With the Tide playing with a sense of urgency Im betting they cross the finish line ahead of the Aggies and get us the win and cover here tonight. ( note: TexasA&M beat Alabama 81-80 as road dogs about a month agao and now the Tide have revenge on board) . ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Johnson is 11-1 ATS after scoring 55 points or less as the coach of ALABAMA. A&M is 9-18 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ALABAMA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite 37-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Alabama to cover |
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02-19-19 | Vanderbilt +18.5 v. Tennessee | 46-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Vols come off a lopsided loss vs Kentucky that abruptly snapped their undefeated SEC streak this past weekend and are now expected by the public to angrily come storming out here tonight and hand out a beating on hapless Vanderbilt. The Vols might snatch the win , but how motivated they will be after that big time clash and negative result is something that Im questioning, as its never easy getting back the same energy levels immediately after having taken part in a proverbial heavy weight battle for any competitor. Especially if that competitor was knocked out and humbled in the process. Add to that the the price on the line offered seems a little exuberant , considering this is a rivalry game that has seen Vandy cover 6 of the L/7 meetings. I know Im playing physiologist here in my perception of this matchup, but from an empirical standpoint my numbers also suggest we have a mathematical edge on the line no matter what the situation and thus offers up line value for advantage players. I know it's not easy betting against the Vols, and backing a struggling side like the Commies but its all about edges, and win or lose this methodology must always be in place in my humble opinion. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. Drew is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-19-19 | St. Peter's v. Siena OVER 116 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on January 3rd they combined for 125 points. Im betting on a similar output here today. It must also be noted that Siena is off a 107-100 offensive slugfest last time out, and could easily still be a run and gun mood here vs a St.Peters team allowing more than 70 ppg on the road this season. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SIENA) - off a home loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 35-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (ST PETERS) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +6.5 | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
West Virginia is down quite a few notches thanks to inconsistent backcourt, from past Huggins program incarnations, while Kansas State is proving that they are a Big 12 contender. Earlier this season, the Mounties lost a hard fought 71-69 battle on the road in this series, and will be primed for pay back here in the rematch at home despite of being short handed and in a complete tailspin. Note: The Wildcats are expected to be without Dean Wade and Cartier Diarra. Bob Huggins hasn’t lost to K-State at home since 2013, and despite of what their records might indicate are plausible home dogs in this spot. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-18-19 | North Carolina Central +2 v. Howard | 98-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Bison host North Carolina Central in their home finale Monday (Feb. 18) for Senior Night, and will be primed to perform but according to my projections , the wrong team is favoured , and the line should be flipped. Each team is coming off of a loss this past Saturday. Howard lost 85-81 at home to NC A&T, while NC Central fell 75-71 in overtime at Norfolk State. NC Central is a senior dependent side with seniors. Raasean Davis, Zacarry Douglas, Jibri Blount and Larry McJr. accounting for 56 percent of the team's scoring this year and 59 percent of all Eagles points over the team's last five game. Im betting these older guys will be key to us getting a cover here tonight behind a D that has allowed 63.4 points per game in 12 conference games. That will be key against a Howard side, that leads the league in ppg. Play on North Carolina Central to cover |
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02-18-19 | Florida A&M +2 v. South Carolina State | 54-57 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
MEAC foes meet as FAMU squares off against SC St. Florida A&M has won its last three road games, scoring 74 points, while allowing 70 per game.Florida A&M has been playing shut down defence allowing opposing teams to 67.2 points per game, the second-lowest ppg among all MEAC teams. The Rattlers have allowed just 63.1 points per game against conference opponents.Look for their defense and key offensive cogs Justin Ravenel, Isaiah Martin and Tracy Hector who have collectively accounted for 42 percent of the team’s scoring this season and 71% of all the Rattlers points over the last five games to be the catalysts for cover here on the road. Rattlers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-Eastern Athletic. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. MEC. Play on Florida A&M to cover |
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02-18-19 | Idaho +15.5 v. Eastern Washington | 57-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The local rivalry is back on Monday afternoon, with Idaho making the trip up to Cheney to take on Eastern Washington. Idaho (4-20, 1-12 BSC) defeated Eastern Washington (9-15, 7-6 BSC), 74-71, in the first meeting in Moscow and actually matchup well in head to head systems analysis. IDAHO is 34-19 ATS in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game .E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS in all lined games this season. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 46-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-18-19 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6.5 | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Hokies are off two straight wins vs Georgia Tech and then Pittsburgh this past Saturday and now are primed to play a game they have had circled for a long time vs their instate rivals the Virginia Cavs. The Hokies are particularly motivated here thanks to being pounded by a 81-59 count last month by the merciless Cavs and will be out for payback here tonight. I know its never easy going agains the Wahoos, but this situation offers some clear value based on past trends and point spread mathematics. Note. Virginia Tech is 15-5 ATS log in its last 20 home games when playing with revenge and 8-1 ATS at home with revenge in the series.Virginia Tech is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Virginia Tech is also 13-0 ATS L/13 at home as a dog when seeking revenge. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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02-17-19 | Missouri State v. Loyola-Chicago -6 | 65-61 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
LUC after last years huge run that took them deep into the NCAAA tourney has become a distant memory for most, but despite of not being as prolific as last season still lead the MVC with a 9-4 record . Today they could summon up what made them great last season vs a Missouri State team that embarrassed them back in January by a unbelievable 70-35 blowout score that stung more than a locker room wet towel to the cannolis. Now with huge revenge on board Im betting on a huge effort and payback scenario . It must be noted that Missouri State is just 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games and despite of that above mentioned victory are just 2-7 ATS mark in this series of late, and have failed to cover 4 of their 5 as visitors. MISSOURI ST is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 season.LOYOLA-IL is 21-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSOURI ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Loyola Chicago |
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02-17-19 | Houston v. Tulane OVER 140 | 85-50 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
In its most recent action, Tulane (4-19) dropped an 80-57 decision against Tulsa in New Orleans on Thursday. there D, was atrocious in that game, and Im betting Houston(24-1) will light them up here today, and Tulane will chase , which in turn will make for a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. The last two meetings in this series went over the total, and 7 of the L/9 meetings overall. TULANE is 11-2 OVER after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more and is 8-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 pp scored.HOUSTON is 21-9 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 45-11 OVER L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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02-16-19 | Pacific v. Santa Clara | 59-64 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
According to my projections Pacific in their current form are the superior side and get the nod here on a pickem line in a revenge scenario. The Tigers dropped , 57-69 decision at home on January 19, 2019 to Santa Clara, Pacific led for nearly 30 minutes in its first game vs Santa Clara, but ran out of gas. they will be much more prepared to keep the pedal to the medal this time around.SANTA CLARA is 0-6 ATS in home games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 3 season whihc was the case last time out. PACIFIC is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 season. PACIFIC is 8-1 ATS in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PACIFIC) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 41-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pacific to cover |
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02-16-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska UNDER 131 | 50-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Both these teams can play hardcore defense , as is evident by the Cats ranking 36th in the nation allowing 64.8 PPG, and 18th vs the downtown 3-ball at 29.7%.On offence Northwestern ranks 300th ranked scoring offense and will once again struggle to score here vs a Huskers side that are ranked 18th in the nation allowing teams to score only 63.4 PPG, and rank 29th in the nation allowing the opposition to make just 40.2% of their FGs. Everything points to this being a fairly low scoring affair base don my own totals projections. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. NORTHWESTERN is 23-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 season.NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 10-3 UNDER against conference opponents this season.NORTHWESTERN is 20-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. 740 Nebraska/ Northwestern UNDER |
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02-16-19 | Tennessee +4 v. Kentucky | 69-86 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Vols are 4-point underdogs in this spot-- which makes for a greatly value wagering situation behind the nation's No. 1 team . Tennessee is 11-0 in the SEC and winning league games by an average of 16.6 points per contest, but yet here we are getting points with them, as they face a behemoth public favourite. Don't get me wrong I have all the respect in the World for the Cats, but this is strictly a mathematical play, with a group that is every bit as good as the home side if not better. I know LSU is off a loss vs LSU, and are primed to bounce back and show the world the SEC is still theirs for the taking, but the Vols will not be an easy out, which makes for a viable wagering proposition.The Vols' 23-1 SU record features five wins over top-50 KenPom teams -- most notably neutral-court victories over Gonzaga and Louisville and will not give-up a 19-game winning streak easily vs Kentucky. Note:TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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02-16-19 | Harvard +2 v. Pennsylvania | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
This 5-returning starter Harvard squad played last night and got a win vs Princeton and are in top form. These kids play smart, and will be ready to grab a victory on back to back nights and are 6-2 ATS in the last eight matchups with Penn when playing without rest. With Harvard out looking to get revenge for a loss in last seasons Ivy tournament 68-65 you can payback will be a priority here and a rally call for the Tide. Note:HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. HC Donahue of Penn is 9-22 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games in all games and is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of PENNSYLVANIA. Play on Harvard to cover |
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02-16-19 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3.5 | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Iowa has had most of this week off and could be rusty here vs a pesky Rutgers side that is capable of upsetting anyone in the Big 10 in their current form.Note: HC McCaffery is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of IOWA and is 4-12 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights in took out Iowa 80-64 home win on Jan. 17, 2018 and get my support again getting points. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-16-19 | Winthrop -1 v. Gardner-Webb | 60-64 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Eagles enter the game on a three-game winning streak vs Gardner-Webb a strong home team that is undefeated there this season. But Winthrop is a strong enough group to come out of this with a win. Winthrop is 4-1 on the road in league play and has won five of the last seven away from home and have to be respected. Winthrop is the league's top scoring team at 85.6 ppg and Gardner-Webb is third at 80.0. Eagles lead the all-time series 22-9 overall and have won 10 straight in the series and get the nod again in a key conference game. Play on Winthrop to cover |
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02-16-19 | Ohio +7.5 v. Central Michigan | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
analysis to follow-thank you for your patience Ohio to cover |
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02-16-19 | Iowa State +3 v. Kansas State | 78-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas State has won nine consecutive Big 12 games, is at the top of the conference standings and are ranked in the top 20. but because of those lofty numbers and stats opponents see a big target on their backs and are coming at Kansas State with a lot of motivation. Kansas, Baylor and Texas came at the Wildcats with some huge intensity levels in each of the last three tilts. The Wildcats trailed at halftime in all three of those games and had to exert a tremendous amount of energy to come back, and now Im betting all that tenacious work could easily go against them here, vs a Iowa State team that also has endless amounts of energy.The Cyclones are two games behind Kansas State in the standings and need a victory in this game in order to stay in the Big 12 race so they won't be easy outs here. Iowa State to cover |
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02-16-19 | Indiana +4 v. Minnesota | 63-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Richard Pitino's Minnesota is ranked 13th in the Big Ten in conference in points per possession allowed, at more than 1.08. The Gophers don't force turnovers, they don't defend FG shooting well and their weak around the rim. Minnesota has lost its last four games and are down trending in my power rankings making desperate Indiana a pick here for today getting points. INNESOTA is 7-23 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 42-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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02-16-19 | The Citadel v. Western Carolina | 82-103 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Western Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Western Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
THE CITADEL is 10-2 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.HC Baucom is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game as the coach of THE CITADEL. THE CITADEL is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 11-22 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (W CAROLINA) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 767 Citadel to cover /win |
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02-16-19 | Texas A&M +4 v. South Carolina | 77-84 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
The Aggies (10-3, 3-8) have rebounded with consecutive victories including 3 straight covers and have been competitive in recent losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee. Today in this Southeastern Conference basketball battle Im betting the Texas A&M are primed to be competitive here today vs a South Carolina side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Im betting senior post Christian Mekowulu, who has recorded 30 points and 25 rebounds in the last two games to be the key to this game and a Aggies cover. 623 Texas A&M to cover |
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02-16-19 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 64-53 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference team that they maybe overlooking . But hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are 27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-16-19 | Oklahoma +6 v. TCU | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned Frogs on the road in Fort Worth. OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS in all games this season. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-15-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -1 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
The second place Wright State hosts the first place Northern Kentucky Norse to the WSU Nutter Center Friday night.The Raiders, are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won seven of the last eight. The Raiders are 11-2 overall and 5-1 in league games at home and haven't lost at the Nutter Center since the overtime slip to UIC on Dec. 28. The visiting the Norse won the first meetings between these rivals by a 68-64 count at NKU on Jan. 11. In that game and will be primed for revenge. The Raiders won both meetings last year, 69-67 at home, and 84-81 at Northern. WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Nagy is 25-8 ATS in home games in February games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (N KENTUCKY) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5) are 37-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Wright State to cover |
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02-15-19 | Marist +3.5 v. Quinnipiac | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Marist has four of the MAAC's top 12 in three-point %: Isaiah Lamb (5th, .421); David Knudsen (7th, .413); Ryan Funk (11th, .390); and Aleksandar Dozic (12th, .385 and can hang with Quinnipac MAAC leading 3 point totals (10.3 per game) CBB A favorite (QUINNIPIAC) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 46-80 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Marist to cover |
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02-15-19 | Brown v. Cornell | 66-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Brown is a team that must be respected when they have revenge on board behind 5-returning-starters in their lineup.Brown ranks second in the Ivy League in scoring offense (75.1 ppg), scoring defense (68.9 ppg) and field goal defense (.414), while leading the league in 3-point FG defense (.301).Last season this group took a couple of losses vs Cornell and will now be out get some payback, Meanwhile, the Big Red, are 3-9 SU this season vs winning teams like Brown of late and in the past have been a bankroll draining 8-23 ATS in this series . Play on Brown to cover |
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02-15-19 | Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
After winning a pair of road games last weekend at Rider and Saint Peter's, the GoldenGriffins return home this weekend for a pair of MAAC games on well rested legs. The Griffs beat Fairfield 73-68 earlier this season, and matchup well against them and have the edge here at home in the rematch. FAIRFIELD is 1-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (FAIRFIELD) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11 ppg. Play on Canisius to cover |
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02-14-19 | BYU v. San Diego -3 | 88-82 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
San Diego is a solid team with 4 returning starters back from last season, and have shown flashes of brilliance this season. With revenge on board for a being knocked out of their conference tourney vs BYU last season they will come here primed to give back some payback. The Cougars are a god awful 2-8 ATS in away games from Provo this season. BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BYU is 1-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. San Diego to cover |
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02-14-19 | Northern Arizona v. Portland State UNDER 151 | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Portland State has revenge on board for a 82-75 loss back in January to Northern Arizona . In the past PORTLAND ST is 7-1 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average score of with a combined average of 145.5 ppg. PORTLAND ST is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5. Under is 5-1 in Lumberjacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 Thursday games.Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 vs. Big Sky.Under is 19-7 in Vikings last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Vikings last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland St..Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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02-14-19 | Illinois v. Ohio State -8 | 63-56 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
After winning three straight and four of the last five games with a pair of upsets over Top 25 teams Illinois is gaining respect, but the Illini still don't have a true road victory and are 0-6 in visitors role this season. With that said, Im betting Illinois road troubles will continue vs a Ohio State team up trending and on a 3 game win streak, The Buckeyes took the first game in this series this season by 10 points on the road, and are capable of turning the trick again as -8 chalk as hosts. ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -10.2 ppg. ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential -10.8 ppg. CBB underdog vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 0-44 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin loss differential clicking in at -12.2 ppg. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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02-14-19 | Hofstra v. College of Charleston -1 | 99-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
A Valentine's Day showdown between the College of Charleston (20-6, 9-4 CAA) and Hofstra (21-4, 11-1) will showcase the Colonial Athletic Association's schedule today.Charleston has rattled off six-straight victories since its mid-January 0-2 road trip to Northeastern and Hofstra and are playing their very best hoops at home as is evident by a 11-1 mark here, as compared to Hofstras 7-4 road record. CofC is 4-2 lifetime when playing at home in the series and get the nod again. Play on College of Charleston to cover |
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02-13-19 | Arizona State v. Colorado -1.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Colorado has big time revenge on board tonight for a ugly 83-61 loss at Tempe last month and will be very motivated to get some payback vs an Arizona State side off an emotional win vs Washington last time out and could easily be in letdown spot. With that said, Im betting a energized group of Buffaloes now playing their best hoops of the season will avenge that previous loss and extend their current 3 game win streak.CU is 7-1 all-time against the Sun Devils in Boulder, including four straight wins. ARIZONA ST is 5-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.Hurley is 11-21 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of ARIZONA ST. ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.Boyle is 18-4 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of COLORADO. Play on Colorado to cover |
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02-13-19 | Syracuse +3 v. NC State | 58-73 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their current campaign that saw them go 13-1 SU NC State with the easiest non conference schedule in the nation has cooled off quite a bit. , losing 6 of their L/9 while covering just twice during that time. Considering the series host is just 2-7-1 ATS I wont be surprised when Boheim and company cover and or pull off the SU upset vs a side that has become very inconsistent. Note: North Carolina State won the first meeting between the teams under new head coach Kevin Keatts, winning 74-70 in the Carrier Dome last year, and now the visitors will have the extra motivation of looking for payback here. Matchup analysis: North Carolina State full-court defense and transition offense Im betting will have some issues when they push the tempo vs Syracuse methodical 2-3 zone. The Wolfpack can fight for rebounds in the offensive zone, but they are one of ACC’s worst defensive rebounding teams and that's where Im betting they will get in trouble. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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02-13-19 | St. Louis v. George Washington UNDER 130 | 73-58 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
St. Louis was blown out last time out vs St.Jospehs 91-61 and now Im betting they get back to playing a more solid brand of defence here this Wednesday night vs a George Washington side that averages 64.2 ppg in offence this season. SAINT LOUIS is 6-0 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 114.4 ppg. SAINT LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons . 784 George Washington /St. Louis UNDER |
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02-12-19 | St Bonaventure +1.5 v. St. Joe's | 76-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Up-trending St. Bonaventure travels to Philadelphia looking for a sweep of this year's series with Saint Joseph's Tuesday night.St. Bonaventure has won its last three Atlantic 10 road games, winning at UMass, Richmond and Duquesne.St. Bonaventure dominated St.Josephs in the first game and led from start to finish by a final score of 73, 47. Now St.Josephs is being made home favs here. While they might want revenge, St.Josephs looks like they don't matchup well vs this current group of Bonnies and in my opinion false favorites. The Bonnies have won the last nine of the last 10 meetings and get the nod again. .ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons CBB underdog (ST BONAVENTURE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 62-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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02-12-19 | Purdue v. Maryland | 56-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Purdue currently on a 8 game win streak held Maryland to 28.6 percent shooting in second half of 62-60 win on Dec. 6. That matchup showed me how well the Boilermakers matchup against Maryland and gives me credence backing them to win and cover here tonight on the road in the rematch . Also since that victory All of the data shows 12th-ranked Purdue is a different team than when its Dec. 6 win over Maryland and could be even more ferocious this time around. Purdue has won the last 5 meetings in this series. Note: Maryland has not scored more than 70 points in over a month which is not a good omen vs a Purdue side that is ranked fourth nationally in offensive efficiency. Maryland is ranked last in the Big 10 in turnover diff. Purdue has won three straight Big Ten road games by a combined 25 points. PURDUE is 11-3 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.( Maryland is ranked No.1 in Big 10 rebounding margin at 8.9 pg) Play on Purdue to cover |
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02-11-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1 v. Alabama A&M | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling but according to my power rankings and system vs system data, the visitors are actually the superior team on a short line. My personal line for this game makes the wrong team the favorite in this spot play. Play on Arkansas Pine Bluff to cover |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina +2 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Roy Williams North Carolina's owns an explosive offence that can hang with Virginias offence and also give hem issues defensively, much like Duke proved last Saturday when they took out Cavs in front of their own fans. Here on the road, vs the Tar Heels, an emotionally spent Cavaliers will once again find themselves in trouble in a very unfriendly atmosphere. Add to that the Tar Heels have revenge on board for a 71-63 loss to Virginia in the 2018 ACC Championship game and Im betting you have a recipe for the Cavs suffering their second consecutive loss. Home team is 10--1 ATS L/11 meetings in this series. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 10-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. NC is 18-1 SU as a host i in this series when they own a win percentage of .666 or greater. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. Play North Carolina to cover |
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02-10-19 | Stanford v. Oregon -6 | 46-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Stanford currently on a three game win streak earned a 35-point win (96-61) at Maples Pavilion in the lone meeting last season and you can bet Altman and company have had this game circled on their calendars for a while and will be prepared to return the favour in front of their own fans . Im betting Oregon winners of 3 of their L/4 overall get their revenge and cover according to my own projections that suggest the Ducks are being under valued as favs. My line is -8 points favouring Oregon on their own home floor. Under coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a 52-21 record (.712) during the second half of Pac-12 play. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 10-0 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oregon to cover |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Northwestern enters this game having limited opponents to shooting just 29.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, the best mark in the conference and 12th best nationally. Iowa their Big 10 hosts tonight have made 37.3% of their three-point attempts and has attempted the fourth-most threes in the conference. This Im betting will be key to Northwestern staying close vs Hawkeyes' big town town game. My own projections estimate that Northwestern will score 67+ points or more, whihc sets up well for us covering, as NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. CBB underdog (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-10-19 | Maryland-Baltimore County -2 v. Maine | 67-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
The UMBC (14-10, 6-3 America East) looks for its third consecutive road win in America East when they go against the inconsistent Maine Black Bears (5-19, 3-6) this Sunday. UMBC had a 5 game losing streak come to end last time out, but will be very ready to rebound here today, behind a solid D, that leads the league in scoring defense at 63.3 points per game.UMBC has won nine consecutive games in the series and are 5-0 at Maine since the 2014 season and get the nod again. Maryland Baltimore to cover |
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02-09-19 | Washington v. Arizona State -1 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I know the Sun Devils might not look like a viable choice for public bettors to beat a team on 12 game win streak. But it must be noted that Arizona State is one of the few teams that can handle a 2-3 zone defense like Washington owns. Also the Huskies after a hard fought win vs Arizona last time out on the road will now have a hard time rising to the occasion again, and may actually be emotionally drained against a reved up team ready to play hard and garner an upset. ASU tenacious ball snatching work will go a long way to them getting us the win here. The Sun Devils are the Pac-12 leader in rebounding margin (+6.6), has outrebounded 18 of 22 opponents this year. ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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02-09-19 | Sam Houston State +3.5 v. Abilene Christian | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the Southland Conference will toe when the first-place Sam Houston State Bearkats travel to second-place Abilene Christian at Moody Coliseum. This promises to be a barn burner but Sam Houston according to my power rankings is the superior teams and viable bet getting points.Sam Houston is currently one of just 10 teams in the country with an unbeaten record within conference play. The Kats 11-game win streak is tied with defending national champion Villanova and Pac 12 leader Washington for the third-longest current win streak in the nation, only trailing No. 1 Tennessee (16 games) and No. 4 Gonzaga (12 games). Take the points wit Sam Houston to cover |
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02-09-19 | Duke +1.5 v. Virginia | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Almost a month ago both these teams took part in a ferocious battle and now Duke and Virginia are back at it in another Top 5 matchup Saturday.Both teams are tied with North Carolina atop the ACC standings at 8-1 in conference play so this is a key game for them . Virginia is depending way to much on their 3-point shooting , and Duke is the kind of team that can make them take bad threes as was evident when , the Cavaliers went just 3-for-17 (17.6 percent) from deep in the previous meeting.Duke because of their size and strength don't need to pound threes and make a majority of their scores from in close . Virginia Im betting is susceptible to being manhandled in in the paint here tonight and with Tre Jones back from injury the Blue Devils look hard to handle. I know Virginia is on a 27-1 run at home, but I won't be surprised if a 2 is added into the loss column after this final buzzer goes off today. VIRGINIA is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games. Play on Duke to cover |
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02-09-19 | Florida +11 v. Tennessee | 61-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Gators pushed Vols Jan. 12 in Gainesville before falling 78-67 and actually matchup well vs this top ranked team form a empirical power ranking viewpoint.... based on system vs system analysis. Tennessee has allowed SEC opponents to make at least 10 3-pointers in five of nine league games this season so far. It must be noted that Florida made 12 in the teams’ first meetings, tying Texas A&M for the most 3s the Vols have surrendered to an opponent all season and it will be the Gators 3 point shooting Im betting that will keep them close in this affair and get us the all important cover. CBB road team (FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 352-240 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-09-19 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -1 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
South Carolina got hammered by Kentucky last time out and now have to taken a red hot Arkansas side on a 4 game win streak. However, despite of how downtrodden the Gamecocks might seem, they still have beat Mississippi State, Florida and Auburn, with the conference losses coming to Kentucky , LSU, and Tennessee. Now in desperation mode I expect the home team to play big here this afternoon and notch a win vs a side that is surprising me and over rated according to my matchup projections and systems. Note: In SEC home contests this season, Carolina is averaging 80.5 points per game, 44.2 percent from the field and 70.9 percent from the free throw line. ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS L/31 in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. ARKANSAS is 1-8 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was a the case in a 69-66 win vs Vanderbilt last time out. Play on South Carolina to cover |
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02-09-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cleveland State | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Cleveland State, has struggled with injuries and illness, but will be primed to seek a measure of revenge against Milwaukee after the Panthers rallied to win the first game of the season between the two teams 83-76 in Milwaukee on Jan. 3. The Phoenix are on a 4 games losing streak, and very much look like a desperate home team can handle, especially behind the incentive of revenge on their sides. CLEVELAND ST is 7-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cleveland State to cover |
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02-09-19 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +5.5 | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
UK enters this SEC fray vs Mississippi State on a 9-0 SU run and in their last game trounced South Carolina by DDs. The Cats also beat todays hosts the Bulldogs 76-55 at Lexington during that above mentioned win streak and will now have to face a team with revenge on board , as they themselves have a big target on their backs at the moment, because of their torrid top tier play .Note:MSU as a home dog with same-season loss revenge, are 6-0-1 ATS L/7 when the loss was by 14 or more points . Miss State HC Howland is no pushover , and will have his troops ready to stand tall and extend on a 11-1 ATS as home underdog in his career here and are 3-0-1 ATS as a home dog in this series. This is a huge game for Mississippi State as they are slumping after a hot start, but are now 4-4 in SEC games and are in desperate need of a big win to keep their NCAA Tournament dreams alive. Mississippi State to cover |
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02-08-19 | Princeton v. Yale UNDER 139.5 | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Yale hosts first-place Princeton on Friday in a game I have projected as staying under this offered total. Yale ranks high in the nation in field goal percentage defense (35th, 40.4 percent). Meanwhile, Princetons key to success this season, has been by playing physical defence and conservative type of transition basketball, that has resulted in most ly low scoring offensive outputs by themselves and their opponents. Princeton has really stepped up their defensive play of late , as is evident by allowing an average of 58.3 ppg in their L/6 games with all of them staying under the total. Today against a viable offensive threat in theBulldogs, Im expecting the visitors to be even more vigilant and will make a concerted effort to turn this into a mud wrestling affair in the trenches. This Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines-makers might expect. PRINCETON is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season . YALE is 9-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PRINCETON is 11-2 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. Yale/ Princeton UNDER |
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02-07-19 | San Diego -1 v. Loyola Marymount | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The lines makers have made the Toreros short road favs here, and those assessments are correct according to my power rankings. San Diego beat Loyola Marymount 71-58 at home earlier this season in conference play, and matchup well vs the Lions. I know the Lions have been potent at home this season, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate, but San Diego has won the last two meetings here at the Gersten Pavilion and are a viable side. It must be noted that San Diego are a well conditioned team that gets stronger as games progress. The Toreros have outscored opponents 932-824 during the second half this season, while shooting 51 percent from the field and 41 percent from 3-point range. SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 24-11 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Diego to cover |
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02-07-19 | Portland State +8.5 v. Northern Colorado | 62-80 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland State comes off a narrow loss at Idaho State on Saturday, 69-67. The Vikings had won three straight prior to that, including a win at Weber State last Thursday as they continue to play solid competitive basketball, making them viable road underdogs here in this spot vs Northern Colorado. I know NCU has done well of late and the lines makers respect them, but now their getting a little bit to much respect vs a hardworking opponent . N COLORADO is 4-17 ATS L/21 after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite . Play on Portland State to cover |
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02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona -1 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Wildcats are in desperation mode after having list 4 of their L/5 overall. Biut tonight according to my power rankings have system they matchup well against and have an edge at where they have won four straight home games against Washington and nine of the past 10 hosting the Huskies. The Wildcats are 95-5 at home in their last 100 home games, which dates back to the 2012-13 season. Arizona's 92-5 mark at home since the start of the 2013-14 season is tops nationally. Im betting the Wildcats ability to limit mistakes will be key to taking down the visitors tonight.The Wildcats are averaging 11.3 turnovers per game, which is the fewest of any team in the Pac-12. and overall has a turnover margin of +3.8, which leads the Pac-12, and is 15th-best in the country. CBB team (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 59-19 ATS L5seasons for a 77%conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to cover |
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02-07-19 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Grand Canyon UNDER 136 | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
GCU (14-7, 7-1 WAC) enters the game against UTRGV (12-12, 4-4 WAC) on its best roll of the season. The Lopes have won five games in a row, posted four consecutive double-digit victories and return to an arena where they have a 16-game regular-season home winning streak.GCU is 7-1 in WAC play because of its defense, ranking first in the conference for points allowed per game (60.9) and opponent field goal percentage (40.8) to easily have the top scoring margin (plus-14.9) after playing each team once.I expect they will once again play lock down defence, which will effect the total score to the down side here this evening in a game that I have projected to stay under the set total. Grand Canyon /UT Rio Grande Valley UNDER |
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02-07-19 | Arkansas State +5 v. South Alabama | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Red Wolves have played four overtime games this season, and despite of a negative record are almost always competitive. There is sharp money all over Arkansas State and Im not blaming my colleagues one bit for taking the points here in a game that have handicapped at closer to 3 points , thus we are getting the value of a one possession game according to my projections. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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02-07-19 | Houston v. UCF +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars have been on a tear this season but tonight against a revenge minded UCF team Im betting they're in trouble. Last season, UCF had their proverbial butts kicked by a 84-56, count in the first round of last year’s AAC tourney by the Cougars and UCF has had this game circled their calendar for a while now. Add to that Houston is off a game with Temple last time out and are in a natural letdown situation and also are in a precarious look ahead situation with Cincinnati on deck.With UCF almost always playing their best hoops at home as is evident by a 36-8 SU record as hosts under HC Dawkins), the Knights look like solid underdogs in this spot. UCF is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Play on UCF to cover |
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02-07-19 | Monmouth v. St. Peter's UNDER 125 | 53-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
When these teams met earlier this season they took part in a very low scoring defensive affair, with a combined 105 points going on the board. Behind the rim protection of Samuel Idowu, KC Ndefo, and Derrick Woods, Saint Peter's leads the MAAC in blocked shots, rejecting 4.6 shots per game and play a defence first style of basketball that is slow in transition. Through the first five MAAC games, Saint Peter's did not allow an opponent to score more than 63 points in a game (Siena – 60, Monmouth – 61, Fairfield – 60, Marist – 63, Manhattan – 58) and more of th same action is on board for tonight vs a Monmouth side that averages just 63.3 ppg in offence on the road. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is my call here and a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MONMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.ST PETERS is 6-0 UNDER off 3 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons with. combined average of115 ppg scored.
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02-07-19 | Campbell v. High Point -1.5 | 56-57 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
High Point has won seven of the last eight matchups in this series vs Campbell and get the nod again behind a hard core rebound group that leads the Big South Conference and is 12th in the nation with a rebounding margin of +7.8 rebounds per game. This tenacious High point squad have held a rebounding edge in 17 of their last 18 contests. There in close and physical inside style of play has seen the Panthers score 60.0 percent of their points from 2-point FG, the second-highest ratio in the nation. Im betting Tubby Smiths gritty take no prisoners style of hoops will put them in a positive situation here on their own home floor vs Campbell. Play on High Point to cover |
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02-06-19 | Wisconsin -2 v. Minnesota | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has revenge on board for a loss thye suffered to Minnesota about a month ago at home, and will now be hell bent on getting even here. Minnesotas HC Richard Pitino has seen his team go just 1-7 /0-8 ATS L/8 in conference situation vs a avenging side like the Badgers. With that said, Im betting on a Badgers team that is 4-1 SU in conference road games this season to deliver the cash for us tonight. Wisconsin to cover |
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02-06-19 | Texas A&M +9 v. Ole Miss | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Ole Miss after a quick start to their campaign are coming back down to earth and have lost 4 straight games, and 5 of their L/6 and are wobbly favs at this time. I know Texas A&M do not inspire bettors in their current form, but its not like their incapable of pulling off upsets as was the case vs Alabama and Kansas State already this season . Also after playing against Tennessee last time out this will seem like a proverbial walk in the park for the Aggies. note: A&M owns a 6-2 lead in the all-time series between the schools and has won each of the last three meetings. TEXAS A&M is 10-2 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
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02-05-19 | San Diego State -1.5 v. New Mexico | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Aztecs are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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02-05-19 | NC State +11 v. North Carolina | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.) UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82. - NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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02-05-19 | Valparaiso v. Illinois State UNDER 132 | 69-53 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these teams play defence first basketball systems and both do a minimal amount of damage offensively. Valpo won the most recent meeting 58-56 win at the ARC for Valpo on January 2 and Im betting on another low scoring hard fought affair here in the rematch. VALPARAISO is 9-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 126 ppg scored.ILLINOIS ST is 16-5 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-05-19 | Pittsburgh -2 v. Wake Forest | 76-78 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. Pittsburgh key advantage will come via their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 % shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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02-05-19 | Miami-OH v. Kent State -3.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO in a matchup the linesmakers once again expect to be close. KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kent State to cover |
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02-04-19 | Southern Utah v. Idaho +4 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC). Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight in revenge mode against a Southern Utah team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset. Note: Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference. In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-04-19 | Louisville +4 v. Virginia Tech | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-03-19 | New Hampshire +9.5 v. Maine | 53-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover. Play on New Hampshire to cover |
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02-03-19 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 155 | 65-77 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The last three meetings in this series, has seen Villanova eclipse the 80 point plateau in point production , and they scored 97 and 88 points in the two most recent meetings vs Gtown. Currently Villanova has scored 80 points for more in 5 straight while Georgetown has scored 83.2 ppg on a average this season, and has allowed 78.1 ppg in a uptempo take no prisoners style of play. The Hoyas have eclipsed the 80 point plateau in 9 of their L/11 and have a couple 100+ outputs. The Wildcats have dropped in 32 from beyond the arc in their last two games and their hitting on all cylinders and will come at Georgetown on all cylinders here, and Gtown will have no choice but to reciprocate with some fireworks of their own or be blown off the court in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. VILLANOVA is 11-1 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. GEORGETOWN is 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 163 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (VILLANOVA) - a top-level team (80% or better) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 93-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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02-02-19 | Alabama v. Auburn -9.5 | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This game has been circled Auburn’s HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record. Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-02-19 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +12 | 93-76 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M. TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. Texas A&M to cover |
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02-02-19 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 158.5 | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Sometimes when handicapping games we put to much into the current form of both defences and offences, rather than certain matchup situations, such as system vs system analysis and the need by individual teams to be more offensively or defensively aggressive. This matchup features a Central Michigan team the that struggles at both ends of the court, vs a home team that lies to run and gun. these two alternative systems, have proven in the past to be good under wager opportunities using certain criteria. Note: CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - a very good team (+8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a win by 6 points or less are 28-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.( Central Michigan is off a hard fought 86-82 win vs E.Michigan last time out, and will be in an a natural letdown situation vs a side that I sure their not inspired by which Im betting results in a tilt with a lot less offensive fireworks the some might expect). W MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. Hawkins is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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