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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine UNDER 143.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Liberty v. Purdue -9.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Liberty is coming off the best season in program history, going 30-4 (before their season was shut down) But now they lack enough front court offensive prowess because of personal losses to be able to compete here. Even last year the Flames ran a slow paced grinding attack behind a slow duo of guards, and the Boilermakers will have no problem dealing with that . With that said, Im betting on a Boilermakers side that brings back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation to deal with a side that will take time to jell. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-25-20 | Oklahoma State -8 v. Texas-Arlington | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State basketball enters this season led by Associated Press Preseason All-American Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys welcome the nation's No. 4 ranked recruiting class onto the floor and look very much like viable favs here in this spot vs Texas Arlington. The Pokes are 11-1 in the series with wins in the last five meetings and get the nod again as short single digit favs. Note:three Cowboys hail from Arlington including key cog Cunningham and Im betting they play lights out here. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -3 | 81-63 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia won just one road game this season vs Vanderbilt, and just dont look like viable options here vs Ole Miss. The Dawgs have a nasty defence, that ranks last in adjusted defensive efficiency ratings and have allowed SEC opposition to convert at a 55.2% rate from 2 point range, where the Ole Miss offense thrives. When these teams met back in late January the Rebs came out with a 70-60 road win. This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Kansas City, MO Oklahoma State is playing its best hoops of the season having won 3 straight and 6 of their L/8 and have a great deal of momentum and confidence on this sides as they face an inconsistent Iowa State hoops program. The Cyclones have not won on the road since November, and Iowa ranks dead last in conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage opposition conversion rate , and also 2P% and 3P% opponent conversion rates. Also with Cylcones key starter Rasir Bolton dealing with a concussion his time on the court if any should be limited, giving the Boyz a big edge here. IOWA ST is 7-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. OKLAHOMA ST is 28-13 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) since 1997. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State -5 | 81-62 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals Georgia State enters play holding opponents to just 28.7 percent shooting from 3-point range which ranks No. 7 in the country and first in the Sun Belt Conference. Georgia State is also holding opponents to just 40.1 percent shooting from the floor which ranks No. 42 in the NCAA. This will be the key to cover against Georgia Southern tonight.This will mark the third time in the last five years Georgia State and Georgia Southern meet in the conference tournament. The Panthers have won both previous match-ups in 2015 and 2018. The Panthers are averaging 78.6 points per game, among the top 5 best averages in program history and currently ranked No. 20 in the NCAA. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Minnesota | 57-74 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Big Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Indianapolis, IN The Northwestern Wildcats will be looking to ride the momentum created by their win against then 20th ranked Penn St. in their regular season finale on Saturday. I know they may not inspire bettors, because of some pitiful metrics, but this line is still to big for a neutral court tourney game, and has value attached to taking the underdog. Note: Dating back 15 seasons, underdogs of 6.5 to 19.5 points have gone 125-91-4 for a 58% ATS conversion rate in the first round of conference tournaments. NORTHWESTERN is 15-5 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997. Northwestern to cover |
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03-11-20 | Utah v. Oregon State -3.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State’s shown an ability to beat up on sub par teams like Utah this season. Today Im betting on more of the same behind star senior Tres Tinkle,who has registered three 23+ point performances in his last four trips to the hardwood.UTAH is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less after 15+ games this season. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season and is 0-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season.OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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03-10-20 | Alcorn State v. Jackson State -6.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
In the meetings in this series this season, Jackson State won by scores of 86-57 at home and 76-65 on the road and matchup very well against Alcorn State. JACKSON ST is 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. ALCORN ST is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALCORN ST) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 12-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -9 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Las Vegas, NV St.Marys played a brutally physical game against BYU last time out, and pulled of the 51-50 upset. Now a bit banged up, Im betting they have problems with a explosive Gonzaga team that they have owned recently as is evident by a 90-60 at home on Feb. 8 and and a 86-76 victory at Saint Mary's on Feb. 29. ST MARYS-CA is 19-34 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997.Bennett is 4-12 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of ST MARYS-CA. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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03-10-20 | Northeastern +1.5 v. Hofstra | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Washington, DC Northeastern has had a sub par season, despite of being picked to be the No.1 team in the conference this season after a delivering a conference championship last season. They disappointed with a 17-15 record overall, but must not be underestimated here against No.1 seed Hofstra. Coen is 30-16 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Northeastern to cover |
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03-10-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 62-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago owned Wright State (74-43) in the Horizon League tournament semifinals, with a start to finish covering as underdogs . It was the Flames tenacious rebounding that was the difference maker. Considering their size advantage pounding Northern Kentucky on the glass will not be a surprise, as will getting us the cover. IL-CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Illinois Chicago to cover |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. BYU | 51-50 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Both these teams own 24-7 records on the season. St.Marys last 3 losses have come twice to Gonzaga, and once to BYU by a 81-79 count, and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Cougars of BYU. Both games between these teams came down to the wire in this series this season, with Gaels winning the first meeting 87-84 in OT. This game looks to a repeat of the first two games, making getting points a viable wagering opportunity. BYU is 11-27 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997. Play on St.Mary;s to cover |
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03-09-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -8 | 81-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Second Round The Eagles took both meetings in the regular-season series against Louisiana, with Ike Smith and Quan Jackson combining for 48 points in the most recent contest on Feb. 8 at the Cajundome. Georgia Southern won the first meeting in Statesboro on Jan. 11, 71-51, as a short-handed Louisiana squad posted season-lows in both points and field goal percentage (28.6 percent). Even here fully healthy the Cajuns are a distinct disadvantage. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots this season. GA SOUTHERN is 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Southern to cover |
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03-09-20 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Wright State | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
It will be the third meeting of the season between the Flames (17-16) and Raiders (25-6). UIC was the first team to hand WSU a loss in Horizon League play when it took down the Raiders at Credit Union 1 Arena on Jan. 12, 76-72 and are one of the few teams in the conference that can hang with Raiders, thanks to a tough defensive rebounding group. IL-CHICAGO is 14-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (IL-CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 136-79 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Illinois Chicago Illinois |
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03-09-20 | Wofford +6.5 v. East Tennessee State | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Asheville, NC My own projections make this game closer to -4 , which gives us value with a Wofford side that must be respected. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons. WOFFORD is 8-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (WOFFORD) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 45-14 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Michigan State Im betting will come out here ready to play for a share of the Big Ten title on Sunday by getting a win, and a conclusive one at that.Michigan State was tabbed the preseason No. 1 nationally but fell in the rankings because of some inconsistent performances, but make not mistake this is a top tier team that must be respected with Tournament time now here.MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with an average DD margin ppg diff .MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Mich State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-07-20 | St Bonaventure +6.5 v. St. Louis | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
St.Louis is playing pretty good hoops at the moment, but they are going against a team that according to my power rankings that matches up well against them. Also with the Billikens doing so well, we are getting a bloated line to bet into with the Bonnies the recipients of a value edge getting points. ST BONAVENTURE is 9-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. SAINT LOUIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St.Bonaventure has covered 8 of their L/9 visits to St.Louis. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAINT LOUIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 14-36 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-07-20 | SMU v. South Florida | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Smu has won just one time in conference play this season on the road, and once again do not look like a vial-be option here based on their current metrics and performance charts as visitors. SMU is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. Jankovich is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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03-07-20 | DePaul +10 v. Providence | 55-93 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars have been red hot of late and thats why we are getting such a bloated line here to bet into with DePaul It must be noted that the Friars are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points this season. It must also be noted that the Friars beat DePaul back in January on a free throw at the end of the game, and won as 1.5 point underdogs and that matchup does not jive with this line, and is according to my projections to much of a swing. With that said, we have value getting points with DePaul. DePaul to cover |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall +3.5 v. Creighton | 60-77 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pirates are 7-1 SU on the road in Big East play a perfect 4-0 SU as an underdog with wins against Marquette, Villanova, Xavier and Butler . If Seton Halls wins outright here they will gain the reg season conference title, so their is plenty of motivation to play hard here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Creighton team that is getting way to many accolades from the media pundits in my opinion. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5 | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | 66-62 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is in my opinion in a must-win situation here vs Kansas after losing three straight games which has made a borderline at-large team to get into the Big Dance. Im betting on a big effort here at home from Texas Tech, especially on the boards . Note: The Red Raiders out rebounded the Jayhawks 36-33 in their first meeting of the season. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - excellent defensive team (40% or less ) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (>=+6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Texas Tech to cover |
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03-07-20 | Long Island +5.5 v. Robert Morris | 66-86 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Long Island is a under rated explosive offensive team that does alot od famage with three-point shots . The Sharks average 9.2 made three-pointers per game (26th nationally) which always makes them a dangerous back door cover side, and even a SU dog shocker. LONG ISLAND is 7-0 ATS in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less. LONG ISLAND is 14-4 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Take the points with LIU |
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03-07-20 | La Salle v. St. Joe's +1 | 78-77 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's enters Saturday with 70 victories over the Explorers, the most by the Hawks over a single opponent in program history. Rinse and repeat history maker. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LASALLE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Joes to win |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia -1.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Baylor after a torrid start to their season, are just 2-2 and 1-3 ATS in their L/4 games, and now go against a West Virginia side that has revenge on board for a loss in 70-59 loss in Waco last month. With said, Im betting on the Mounties getting their revenge and turning the trick for the 7th straight time at home in their L/home game of the season. W VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky (24-6) is coming off a 81-73 home loss to Tennessee last time out, as they looked to be in a key letdown spot after a big revenger vs Auburn the game before that. Now Kentucky needs to get back some mojo even though they have clinched the SEC regular season title . Im not a big fan of this version of the Wildcats because of how soft they play, but I do recognize how talented this team is, and Im betting they bring their A game to this tilt and hang tough vs a very inconsistent Florida side that goes to sleep for extended periods of time.KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS in road games after a conference game this season. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-07-20 | Marquette -1.5 v. St. John's | 86-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
The Marquette Golden Eagles (18-11, 8-9 Big East) will face the St. John’s Red Storm (15-15, 4-13 Big East) on Saturday in Queens, NY.These two teams saw each other back on January 21st, where Marquette was able to come out with an 82-68 victory which showed me the better team. I know St.Johns must not be over looked at home, but Marquette will be wide awake here as conference seeding for the Big East tourney is on the line . ST JOHNS is 2-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Marquette to cover |
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03-07-20 | Wisconsin v. Indiana -2 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +2 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Indiana State enters this tournament with alot of momentum winning 4 straight games, including a win vs No,.1 seed Northern Iowa. The under rated Sycamores are a top tier shooting side that run an efficient offence as is evident by converting at 52.1% eFG% clip (ranked 65th in the nation), while shooting 38.1% from the land of the trey which ranks them 10th in the nation. Note: Indiana State's starting five has outscored the opposition's top five 20 times this season and have earned the win 17 times in those situations, Missouri State has gone 2-2 in their L/4 games, and overall struggles defensively eFG% (193rd) and has problems defending against treys from downtown ranking 225th in the nation. With that said, Im betting the wrong side is favored . MISSOURI ST is 1-9 ATSL/10 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Play on Indiana State |
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03-06-20 | Boise State +9 v. San Diego State | 68-81 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Boise State 19th-ranked 3-point defense , allowing a 29.4% clip to the opponents this season is key here my recommendation taking points and going agains the public. In the tilt against San Diego State earlier this season, the Aztecs lit them up from beyond the arc, but doing it two times in row Im betting will be a difficult task in the rematch, as Boise Im sure will adjust. From a size comparison the Broncos are bigger and stronger, and if they get physical which Im betting they will their No.1 ranked MWC rebounding will come into play, and then eventual charity stripe chances, with Boise State holding the edge in efficiency ranking 79th in the nation. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-06-20 | VCU +5 v. Davidson | 65-75 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams look for the season sweep when they visit the Davidson Wildcats for an Atlantic-10 regular-season finale on Friday night. Whether they get or not Im not sure but what Im betting on is that keep it close enough to cover vs a side they matchup well against according to my power rankings. VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Rhoades is 17-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts in all games.Rhoades is 20-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of VA COMMONWEALTH. Play on VCU to cover |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois +5.5 v. Bradley | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
SIU's 10 MVC wins represent the most ever by an MVC team that was picked last in the preseason. This program has over achieved every step of the way this season and Im betting they once again keep up their high standards despite of being listed as underdogs today. Value with Southern Illinois vs a strong but inconsistent Bradley side.Note: Bradley took a 69-67 decision in their last meeting during this campaign, and another close game is my call. S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. |
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03-06-20 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | 77-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
The Northern Iowa Panthers enter this tournament as the top seed, finishing the year with a 14-4 record in conference play as part of their 25-5 SU overall record this season and are head shoulders above todays competition Drake in my humble opinion based on my projections. Missouri Valley tournament No. 1 seeds in this tourney are 30-0 SU and 21-8-1 ATS and get my support here today . In the two meetings in this series this season, N.Iowa won both by 70-43 and 83-73 counts. Rinse and repeat. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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03-05-20 | California Baptist v. New Mexico State -9.5 | 50-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Aggies' dominance in the WAC as of late has resulted in any number of impressive winning streaks for the squad. New Mexico St to cover |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1 v. Oregon State | 65-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Stanford winning 4 straight and currently playing their best hoops of the season, while Oregon State has lost 4 straight with 3 of the losses coming by DDs. Momentum means alot in most sports but I find its an important aspect in College Hoops. Advantage: Stanford. Stanford Cardinals when the line is within three points of pickem are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU with the one loss coming by 1 point. CBB underdog (STANFORD) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-05-20 | Wichita State v. Memphis -2 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis and Wichita State are over rated in so many ways, but Im betting the desperate home team has the Edge. Im calling the Tigers desperate because they have no chance at an large bid and need to get into the first round and win the AAC tourney or the Big dance will be but a dream. Also Memphis has revenge on board for a road loss earlier this season at Wichita. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WICHITA ST) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or les on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 16-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-05-20 | Houston v. Connecticut +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The UConn Huskies play their best basketball at home as is evident by their 12-1 SU record as hosts and now Im betting that because of their strong home court dichotomy that they will give No. 25 Houston a run for their money in this spot. Note: Houston is 0-5 ATS in their L/5 as road chalk and UConn is 8-1 ATS L/9 at home as dogs. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover |
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03-05-20 | Boise State +2.5 v. UNLV | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Mountain West Tournament UNLV star guard Elijah Mitrou-Long scored 16 points against Boise State last week in a win. He has been red hot during the Rebels’ five-game winning streak, averaging 17.6 points per game, but he took a series looking knee injury in a 92-69 victory at San Jose State The Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that Mitrou-Brown has a “severe knee contusion,” and his status for Thursday’s game against the Broncos is unknown and if he does play will be at less than 100%. Advantage : Boise State. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-04-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The Seminoles are one of the nations top teams but they have hard problems with this Notre Dame program in the past, at least from a betting perspective as is evident by a 0-6 ATS run in their last six meetings with the Irish, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite , and 0-3 ATS/SU L/3 here at the Purcell Pavilion. When these teams met earlier this season, Florida State pulled off a 85-84 win at home with the Irish missing a late buzzer beater, and Im betting this will be another close game with home court holding the balance. Keys to this game is discipline and ball control : Notre Dame leads the country in least amount of fouls committed per game (12.4). Notre Dame leads the country in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.74. Notre Dame is first in the country in least amount of turnovers committed per game (9.5). CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-8 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.( Notre Dame fell asleep at the wheel last time out and lost to Wake Forest and now according to long term trends a bounce back should be in the cards here in this spot) Notre Dame to cover |
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03-04-20 | Canisius +1 v. Marist | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Marist plays a deliberate extremely slow style of basketball, and because of this have problems putting significant points on the board, as is evident by concurrent 56,50, and 52 outputs in their L/3 trips to the hardwood. Im betting Canisius finds a way to outscore their opponent here tonight in a place where they have won their L/2 visits. CANISIUS is 15-6 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team (CANISIUS) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 58-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis v. George Mason +3.5 | 69-57 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals/sides selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-04-20 | Minnesota +4 v. Indiana | 67-72 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals/sides selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-03-20 | Tennessee +9 v. Kentucky | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Kentucky was off a big revenger vs Auburn last time out, and will now be susceptible to a letdown performance. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team (80% or more) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 67-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Tennessee to cover |
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03-03-20 | Purdue v. Iowa -5 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Matt Painter’s Boilermakers crew smashed the Hawkeyes, 104-68, in West Lafayette last month which was Iowa HC Fran McCaffery worst career loss. It was an embarrassing event that will have the home team motivated today to hand out some pain of their own vs a poor traveling Purdue side. IOWA is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.9 ppg. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.3 ppg. PURDUE is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season with the average ppg diff registering at -7.2 ppg. IOWA is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Iowa to cover |
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03-03-20 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama UNDER 159.5 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-03-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama +1 | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
South Alabama enters this game in a 7 game win streak and have momentum entering this home game on Seniors night . Meanwhile, Texas State is off a triple OT game last time out and on tired legs as four of their starters played 40 plus minutes. Advantage Jaguars. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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03-03-20 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Illinois-Chicago -7.5 | 59-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Illinois-Chicago owns a top tier defense rankings No.1 in adjusted defensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, defensive rebounding, and 3P% allowed in Horizon league play and are built for play off basketball. Tonight against a IUPUI program that has lost eight of its last nine games including four consecutive straight losses they are a definite disadvantage.IL-CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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03-03-20 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Penn State | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is ramping into top form as tournament time arrives as is evident by their current 3 game win streak, while Penn State is starting to show chinks in its arm-our after having lost 3 of their L/4 overall. Momentum really means alot which the Spartans have on their side, including a lot of motivation to get revenge for a loss they suffered to Penn State back on Feb 4th. Mich State has won 13 of their L/15 trips here and get my support as short road chalk. Mich State as on a line of 3 points or a pickem and off a game where they had 70% of their baskets assisted are 10-0 SU/ATS L/10 times. ( This was the case last time out vs Maryland in a DD 78-66 road win) MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN ST is 15-4 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 2 seasons. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-03-20 | Wisc-Milwaukee +5 v. Youngstown State | 57-63 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round These teams just played 4 days ago . In that tilt Milwaukee, led with just 40 seconds remaining in the game and then got beat late. Its an emotional roller coaster, but now with redemtpion close at hand , you can bet Wis. Mil will come out here and play hard in what Im betting is another close affair , with the points proving golden. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 0-6 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season. Play on Wis Milwaukee to cover |
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03-02-20 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +1 v. Howard | 60-62 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Shore (5-24, 4-10 MEAC) will be playing Howard for the second time this season on Monday. The Hawks came out victorious on Jan. 4 inside the Hytche Center by a score of 78-66 and have proven to me that matchup well vs Howard . I know the bison have dropped their last three games to North Carolina Central, North Carolina A&T and Delaware State, but this team played those three games without the services of much of their rotation due to illness. Maryland Eastern Shore is back to full strength now as the calendar has turned to March and have an advantage vs a side that is just 2-27 this season, and dont have a win , in conference play this season despite of having the leagues all time leading scorer in the lineup Charles Williams. He currently a one man band, and just not able to get things done all by himself, behind a poorly recruited group with very little chemistry. Play on Maryland Eastern Shore to cover |
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03-02-20 | NC State v. Duke -12 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Duke (23-6, 13-5 Atlantic Coast Conference) has lost two games in a row and in the process went from a would-be No. 1 seed for the ACC Tournament to holding the fourth-seeded spot entering the final week of the regular season. Now needless to say the Blue Devils need an impressive win here to get back some lost momentum and Im betting they come out here like their hair is on fire and and play a complete game for a win and cover vs a feisty but not ready for prime time North Carolina State program. Yes, I know NC State upset the Blue Devils a couple of weeks ago, but thats going to make them work even harder here tonight in revenge mode. Duke Blue Devils when they off a game in which they had a low BAP of 40.7 or less are 13-0 SU/ATS in their followup with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 24.5 ppg. Play on Duke to cover |
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03-02-20 | NC State v. Duke OVER 152.5 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-01-20 | Minnesota +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Minnesota looked good against Maryland last time out and had a 47-31 edge going into halftime, and despite of falling apart late showed me they can hang here as well. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. WISCONSIN is 3-13 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota to cover |
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03-01-20 | Colorado v. Stanford -1 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
No. 21 Colorado visits Stanford in a key Pac-12 game. Stanford has held 12 of its 13 non-conference opponents below 70 points and has limited its Pac-12 foes to an average of 64.1 points per game, which leads the league. The Cardinal own the best overall scoring defense in the Pac-12 (61.6), and the 11th-best nationally and this will be key in what Im projecting as a home victory here vs a Colorado team not scoring with the same consistency they did earlier this season. COLORADO is 6-16 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. STANFORD is 23-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.STANFORD is 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Haase is 16-5 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-01-20 | Michigan +4 v. Ohio State | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
No. 19 Michigan and No. 23 Ohio State each are looking to climb the Big Ten standings and improve their seeding, not only for the conference tournament but also the NCAA Tournament thus Im betting this will be a hard fought affair with the points proving golden. MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Ohio State in March games are just 2-18 ATS off a win and 0-10 ATS off a road game and 1-19 ATS off being favored in previous game. Michigan to cover |
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03-01-20 | Creighton v. St. John's +5.5 | 71-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
The Red Storm, who split their home games between their Queens campus and Madison Square Garden, sport a 9-2 record at Carnesecca Arena, with both losses coming by two points. They have a decided advantage there, outscoring opponents 80.9-65. ST JOHNS is 11-3 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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02-29-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -13 | 76-86 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Gonzaga has owned St.Marys going 16-3 L/19 meetings and just clobbered them by a 90-60 count a short road favs in in their first meeting last time out. Even if the Gaels find a way to be more competitive, in the end Im betting on Dogs to easily cover the number here on their own home floor on Senior Night. Gonzaga at home off a home game in which they outshot their opponent by double-digits ( Beat San Diego last time out 94-59 ) are 12-0 SU/ATS with the average margin of victory coming by 37 ppg. Every game beating this side number easily. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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02-29-20 | South Carolina v. Alabama -5 | 86-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Alabama has owned this series at home winning 10 of the L/11 meetings here and according to my projections should be closer to 7 point chalk here giving us line value with the home side. ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. CBB underdog (S CAROLINA) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 315-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Alabama to cover |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +5.5 | 83-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
San Diego State has looked exhausted their last few times on the court after playing tenacious hoops for most of the season as they built on at one point was a perfect season. But their lack of depth and bench talent is now becoming evident. Now against a Nevada side with a under the radar 6 game win streak entering this game, a top teir perimeter D, and a front line player in un heralded Jalen Harris we have a possible upset brewing. Nevada has won 20 straight conference games over the past three seasons in Reno and even against the mighty Aztecs must be respected getting points in the home underdog role. Nevada to cover |
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02-29-20 | BYU v. Pepperdine +7.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
BYU upset Gonzaga last week and will now be in a letdown spot . With their NCAA tournament ticket in hand already Im betting we wont see them at their best, while Pepperdine will be primed to pull off an upset of their own on their own home floor vs a ranked team on seniors Day. Play on Pepperdine to cover |
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02-29-20 | VMI v. Samford +1.5 | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Samford Bulldogs beat VMI last month as two-point underdogs and have won each of the last 10 meetings overall in this series. This is a great opportunity for Samford to end a precarious 10 game overall losing streak to a hoops program they matchup well against. Earl is 18-31 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of VMI. Play on Samford to cover |
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02-29-20 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan +2 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The N.Illinois Huskies trailed the E.Michigan Eagles by as much as 17 points last time out before rallying back to earn the two-point victory as senior Eugene German hit a three-pointer with 8.9 seconds left, giving the Huskies their first lead of the contest and the subsequent win and will now be in a letdown state and susceptible to being upset in a place they have not won in since 2006 , (13 straight times). Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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02-29-20 | Auburn +6.5 v. Kentucky | 66-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played it was obvious at least from my perspective that Bruce Pearls group was more tenacious than Kentucky and actually looked like grown men as compared to how fragile and young Kentucky looked and the final score told the story. Hey I know Kentucky has an array of extremely talented individuals on their team, but their is something missing and thats grit and self determination. With that said, Im betting on the more physical side, finding a way to cover vs a team that might be looking for revenge but in some ways unable to deliver it conclusively, especially if this tilt becomes physical which should be the case.Pearl is 18-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached. Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-29-20 | Akron v. Buffalo -1 | 86-73 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
In MAC games only, this is a meeting of two of the three highest scoring teams. Buffalo is first in league play at 76.67 points per game, while Akron is third at 74.53 points per MAC contest. Both can put points on the board, but the difference maker will come behind Buffalos tenacious rebound which ranks as one of the nation's leading rebounding teams averaging 42.50 and second in the country in offensive boards at 14.86 .BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. AKRON is 1-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 season. BUFFALO is 6-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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02-29-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +1 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
The past week was not good for Tennessee basketball. A tough loss to Auburn then a blowout loss to Arkansas has basically erased any hope for an at-large bid in the NCAA tournament. But if anyone thinks this Rick Barnes team is just going to lay down here for incoming Florida Im betting their wrong. FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in road games on Saturday games this season. TENNESSEE is 30-11 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. TENNESSEE is 3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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02-29-20 | Florida State v. Clemson +3.5 | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers will look even its league record in the ACC and win its fourth game in the last five contests and if they lose here vs Florida State Im betting it wont come without a dog fight and a cover for the home side.The Seminoles have already have locked up a double-bye in the upcoming ACC Tournament so they could easily be going through the motions here and more interested in staying healthy and rested.CLEMSON is 17-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Clemson to cover |
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02-29-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State +12 | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
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02-29-20 | NJIT v. Kennesaw State +8 | 76-55 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
The Kennesaw State men's basketball team closes out the 2019-20 season at home Saturday, hosting NJIT at 1 p.m. for Senior day in the Convocation Center.The Owls are one of the top teams in the conference from the free throw line, ranked third with a 69.8 shooting percentage which is important when looking for a cover from a big home dog. Play on Kennesaw State to cover |
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02-29-20 | Penn State +4.5 v. Iowa | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
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02-28-20 | Washington State v. Washington -9.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington State Cougars have struggled offensively of late averaging just 55 points in the past three games without starting point guard and second-leading scorer Isaac Bonton. He is questionable tonight, but if he does play he will be less than 100%. I know Washington has had a disappointing season despite of their talent levels, but tonight this is a huge chance for redemption against their instate rivals and Im betting the Huskies will be primed to play with momentum off a 87-52 win vs California last time out. Washington St Cougars when they are off a double-digit loss in which they scored a significant fraction of their points from the beyond the arc (33.3%) are 0-20 ATS in their followup game. ( Lost to Stanford 75-57 last time out). WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.4 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-28-20 | Siena v. Marist +6 | 52-50 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Marist Red Foxes despite of a sub par record have been competitive this season as is evident by having lost four games by five points or less and another two tilts in overtime. Marist is a defence first team, and embrace a slow grinding style of play, which is opposite to Siena hoops, and their inconsistent and mostly negative defensive performances, that has them ranked 255th ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. I know Marist has the better overall record, but are just 3-10 SU on the raod this season and getting just a little to much respect her, which gives us value on the home dog line. SIENA is 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. Marist to cover |
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02-28-20 | Harvard v. Columbia +8.5 | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Harvard is the better overall team in this matchup with last place Columbia, but in the past this Columbia program has done well in this series going 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 meetings, 6-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I know Harvard has a great reputation, but they have not been as dominant as the linesmakers have expected recently, as is evident by their 3-11 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. HARVARD is also 2-8 ATS against conference opponents this season overall, and is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season which happened against Penn in revenge mode, which could easily see them experience an emotional crash and subsequent muted effort. Harvard key starter and senior guard for the Crimson is still sidelined with a foot injury . HARVARD is 0-9 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 0.3 ppg. Play on Columbia to cover |
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02-28-20 | Davidson +10.5 v. Dayton | 67-82 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Davidson has enough offense and top tier rebounding behind a tenacious mindset to hang tough with one of the most explosive mid major team in the nation Dayton.The last time the two teams met on Feb. 19, 2019, the Wildcats trailed 63-44 with 9:38 to play. Davidson stormed back with a 27-8 streak capped by a Grady steal and two-handed jam to tie the score 71-71 with 1:11 remaining .Dayton squeaked by with a 74-73 win.Doing so they proved they can match up with the flyers , and are capable of pulling off a SU upset. Remember Davidson has 5 starters back from last season team and Dayton 3 so, the teams are very close to the the same . The Flyers, are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DAVIDSON) - off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are 63-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Davidson to cover |
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02-28-20 | Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -3 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
The Norse are 21-8 overall and 11-3 at home, while Wright State is 24-6 overall and 8-3 on the road. Northern Kentucky enters this allowing their opposition to just 65.3 points per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. The Norse have held each of their last two opponents under 60 points and Im betting they will once again be hard to score here at home where they are are 5-1 in their last six home tilts. Thje Norse were clobbered by Wright State 95-63 earlier this season and now with big time revenge on board Im laying the lumber here with the hosts. |
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02-27-20 | Oregon State v. Oregon -10 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Oregon can really smack an opponent down with a their downtown shooting converting at red hot 38% rate which ranks 14th in the nation. At home they explode with the trey knocking down 41% from of their beyond the arcs attempts . Meanwhile their instate rivals here in this Civil War battle , Oregon State, are giving up a 34.2% 3 point defensive conversion rate , which ranks ninth in the Pac-12. This Im betting is the key component in what Im betting will be a one sided beat down for the Ducks at home. where they are a perfect 14-0 SU this season. OREGON is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 20 ppg. Play on Oregon to cover |
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02-27-20 | Arizona v. USC UNDER 139 | 48-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-27-20 | Eastern Illinois -4.5 v. SE Missouri State | 72-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
EIU squeezed past SE Missouri on Jan. 25, winning 61-59 in a game that was not decided until Alex Caldwell’s 3-pointer hit the rim at the buzzer. that game could have gone either way and was a wake call for Eastern Illinois, and has been a frequent topic in practices and film sessions. So you can bet the superior visiting side here will be wide awake tonight and taking nothing for granted. CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 84-130 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. E.Illinois to cover |
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02-27-20 | Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 133 | 74-66 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-27-20 | Marshall v. UAB -1.5 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The Marshall Thundering Herd is 4-8 SU in road games this season, including a 61-50 loss to UAB on Jan. 11 and Im betting they are at a disadvantage again tonight. MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Play on UAB to cover |
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02-26-20 | Maryland v. Minnesota +1 | 74-73 | Push | 0 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Minnesota Im betting will use Ohio State blueprint for beating the Terrapins. Last time out the Terps were shut down by Buckeyes, and I expect the Gophers to get it done as well on their own home floor where they are 10-5 this season. Golden Gophers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Terrapins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-26-20 | Indiana State v. Southern Illinois -2.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Indiana State is a different team on the road then they are at home as is evident by recording a 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS record dating back to last season, including 1-6 ATS during this campaign. Considering Indiana State struggles in this series vs Southern Illinois , going 3-13 SU and 1-7 ATS away it wont be a hard decision to take a SIU side that despite of having clinched a first-round bye in the MVC Tournament but with a a win over Indiana State, SIU would clinch a top-four seed. Note: SIU has held 11 opponents under 40% shooting this season. Key to victory: SIU's overall defensive efficiency ranks 81st nationally, which is second-best in the MVC to Loyola. In MVC games, SIU's defensive efficiency leads the league. SIU ranks 9th nationally (of 353) in scoring defense, allowing just 60.9 points per game. SIU also ranks top-55 nationally in fewest fouls per game (10th) and 3-point field goal percentage defense (51st) and are 12-2 at home this season. Play on Southern Illinois to cover |
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02-26-20 | East Tennessee State v. Wofford +4 | 60-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Wofford is on a five-game losing streak , and despite of being home court underdogs here vs a top tier opponent (E.Tenn State) they are always dangerous as hosts and must not be underestimated getting points in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that Wofford when coming off a road loss and coming home are 23-1 SU L/24 opportunities and have cashed 16 straight times. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Wofford is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WOFFORD) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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02-26-20 | East Carolina v. South Florida UNDER 128 | 68-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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02-26-20 | Rutgers +5 v. Penn State | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
Penn State's offense was the main problem in Sunday's 68-60 defeat at Indiana and tonight against a Rutgers team that predicates it successes and failures with their defense first mind set , Im betting the Nitanny Lions have problems putting points on the board again, exposing their biggest weakness. Note: Rutgers allows just 62.2 ppg . RUTGERS is 13-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-26-20 | St. John's v. Villanova -12.5 | 60-71 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Villanova Im betting takes their fifth consecutive victory when it hosts St. John's on Wednesday.The No. 12-ranked Wildcats improved to 21-6 overall, and 10-4 in the Big East, following an impressive 64-55 win at Xavier on Saturday and look like viable favs here again vs a side that owns a ugly 3-11 Big East record and off a 81-65 beatdown to host Seton Hall on Sunday.VILLANOVA is 16-4 ATS off a road win over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15 ppg. Play on Villanova to cover |
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02-25-20 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has played their best hoops at home this season where they own a 12-2 SU record and now with revenge on board for a DD beatdown as away dogs earlier this season will primed to get some redemption here tonight. Home court advantage and motivation in revenge mode will be the catalysts here tonight vs a Alabama side in a letdown spot coming off a big 103-78 win vs Ole Miss last time out on the road. Note: Alabama has not won back to back games since late January and Im betting on regression here after their big output last time out. With four games left in the regular season, Mississippi State probably has to win out and go 4-0 in order to feel confident about their NCAA Tournament future. Needless to say they will be leaving everything on the floor here tonight. MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season.MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 in home games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better which happened last time out vs Texas A&M CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 28-4 ATS L/23 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Mississippi State to cover |
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02-25-20 | Memphis v. SMU -4 | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Memphis is coming off a huge one-point home victory over a banged up Houston team last time out, and now going on the road in an emotional letdown situation I expect this inexperienced squad to suffer a loss . SMU is 10-1 L/11 at home SU in this series. CBB underdog (MEMPHIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU to cover |
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02-25-20 | DePaul +7 v. Xavier | 67-78 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
DePaul is off a big win vs Georgetown last time out that halted a ugly losing streak. This Demon Deacons team is talented and much better than their conference record indicates. The Blue Demons are 72nd in the NCAA NET rankings and have victories vs Butler, Texas Tech, Iowa, Georgetown and Minnesota. DePaul's capable of putting together 40 minutes of winning basketball behind a big, athletic starting lineup and must not underestimated vs what my own rankings suggest is a over rated Xavier side. I know Xavier clobbered the Deacons when they met earlier this season, but it must be noted that the visiting team has won the last three meetings in the series. XAVIER is 3-10 ATS in home lined games this season.XAVIER is 2-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on DePaul to cover |
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02-25-20 | Miami-OH +10 v. Kent State | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
This past weekend Kent State played a back and forth Double OT affair vs Buffalo and lost 104-98 and now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown situation vs a Miami team that matches up well against them as was evident earlier this season when. , Miami O took a 77-74 tilt on their own home court. Also key Flashes forward Pippen is not 100% with back issues.Advantage Miami 0. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. KENT ST is 0-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.Senderoff is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Miami 0 to cover |
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02-25-20 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M +6.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
No. 8-ranked Kentucky hits the hardwood Tuesday night to tangle with the suddenly surging Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena and my projections make the young Blue Devils and over rated commodity in this spot laying points. Calaparis troops have struggled at times thanks to injuries to Nick Richards (ankle), EJ Montgomery (ankle), Johnny Juzang (illness), Nate Sestina (fractured wrist) and Ashton Hagans (thigh contusion) as well as the departure of heralded freshman Kahlil Whitney. They do however remain at the top of the standings thanks to their coaches prowess and their deep bench, but will face a fast improving Buzz Williams coached team that must not be underestimated. TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are just 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Texas A&M |
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02-25-20 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-25-20 | Dayton v. George Mason +12.5 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Flyers 25-2 (14-0) are getting a little much respect from linesmakers in this spot. Hey their looking like a viable NCAA tournament team, but this line is bloated thanks to their success, so in. my usual contrarian fashion I will take the points here on a value line. George Mason upset the Flyers 67-63 earlier this season, but just because the road team wants revenge it doesn't mean they will get it and or cover the number. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 59-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Mason to cover |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas | 58-83 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Kansas is off a huge road win vs Baylor last time out in a hard fought affair that will have them in an emotional letdown situation vs a side that Im sure their over looking. This will give us an edge taking points, with Oklahoma State. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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02-24-20 | Alcorn State v. Alabama State OVER 135.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-24-20 | South Carolina State v. Florida A&M -5 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Florida A&M has proven they love home cooking as is evident-by their 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS conference record at home this season and tonight on a short line Im betting they get the job done again. Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (S CAROLINA ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 6-68 SU dating back 23 seasons losing by an average DD count which qualifies under a ATS metric wager. Play. on Florida A&M to cover |
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02-24-20 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 145.5 | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
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02-24-20 | Norfolk State -1 v. Bethune-Cookman | 55-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Norfolks offense has shown itself to be of the top tier variety in MEAC play , The Spartans rank first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 3P%. and third in offensive rebounding and second in team free throw percentage conversion rate. Meanwhile,Bethune Cookman is a team that is an inconsistent offensive force converting at just 45.5% via their inside FG shots ranking a ugly 321st overall in the nation. In the end I look for the more consistent offence to come out on top and get us the win and cover. BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (NORFOLK ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 150-95 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Norfolk State to cover |
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02-24-20 | West Virginia v. Texas +5.5 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
West Virginia embarrassed Texas 97-58 in their first meeting this season and now Im betting Shaka Smart and his Texas Longhorns will be ready to respond. Smart is 3-0 ATS in revenge for a loss of 20 points or more in his career . Texas now in desperation mode needing a win to remain viable for a NCAA tournament appearance, will leave everything on the floor tonight .Texas snapped a four-game losing streak by beating TCU at home in front of about 4,200 people in the 16,000-seat Erwin Center. Then UT built on that by smashing Kansas State 70-59 at Bramlage Coliseum. The fan base looks like they have given up on them, and Im sure Smart is aware of this as his tenure in Texas either winds down or is extended based on these late season performances. While I know its not always a good idea to proverbially attach yourself to a drowning man, I do believe getting five or more points with someone trying to save their own lives is a viable wager. Play on Texas to cover |
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02-23-20 | USC v. Utah +1 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Utah lost to UCLA last time out for only their 2nd home loss of the season, which was on the heels vs a couple of road losses against a very strong Oregon side and Oregon State previous to that , so they may have been in a letdown situation and on tired legs . Whatever, the case Im betting on the Utes bouncing back vs a USC Trojans team that is slumping after having lost 5 of their L/7 overall. UTAH is 13-4 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (USC) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 55-107 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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