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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -105 | 81 h 59 m | Show | |
Liberty and Mississippi State played four common opponents this season.... Austin Peay, Alcorn State, Alabama and Vanderbilt. Mississippi State smashed all of them, including a split against Alabama. Liberty lost to each of them. Mississippi State went 4-1 against the list with an average margin of victory of 16.4 points. Liberty went just 1-3, and all three losses coming by nine points. The one win was over Alcorn State by 22. State won that game by 23. According to Kenpom Mississippi State is the 21st best team in the nation with the 30th toughest strength of schedule and have a definite edge here. 822 Mississippi State to cover |
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03-22-19 | Georgia State v. Houston -11.5 | 55-84 | Win | 100 | 59 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK Houston is in a nasty mood entering this tournament after suffering a letdown and subsequent upset loss to Cincinnati in the AAC title game this past Sunday. I now expect them to come in here and lay down a beating on Georgia State for their 24th win and 26 games outside of their own conference.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season.HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. HC Sampson is 14-4 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in all games he has coached for Houston. Hunter is 13-25 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of GEORGIA ST. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-22-19 | Washington +3.5 v. Utah State | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Utah State is explosive offensively averaging 79.2 points a game, however, playing against the Huskies zone defense, and slow down offense their going to have their hands full. WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. UTAH ST is 10-23 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-22-19 | Oregon v. Wisconsin UNDER 118 | 72-54 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 43 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA Wisconsin has been a defence first team all season long, but have been even more staunch defensively of late, allowing 59.6 ppg in their L/5 while scoring just 64 ppg on average. Im betting they once again force their pace on the Ducks and will drag their opponent into a ugly affair that will stay on the low side of the total. Oregon has allowed just 64.2 ppg on the road this season, and will have no problem elbowing their way through this tilt. WISCONSIN is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114 ppg scored. Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-7 UNDER L22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-22-19 | Gardner-Webb v. Virginia OVER 129 | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Virginia were upset by Florida State by a 69-59 count in last week's ACC tournament semifinals. Now with a full week to rest and prepare and very healthy Im betting they come out like their hair is on fire and pound away with all guns blazing, which all by themselves will help this combined score go over the set total. Gardner Webb in turn will do just enough damage to get us to the promised land. Note:GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season with a combined average of 162.8 ppg scored . CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (GARDNER WEBB) - after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 23-4 OVER L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134,1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (VIRGINIA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 38-7 OVER L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-22-19 | Colgate v. Tennessee UNDER 150 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 93 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Colgate score just 57 points in a DD loss to Syracuse in their non conferenc schedule, and Im betting they will have issues scoring here vs Tennessee. My projections estimate a total combined score in the mid 140 range, this giving us value on the under. COLGATE is 9-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored.Langel is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better as the coach of COLGATE with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored. TENNESSEE is 10-2 UNDER in the first round of the NCAA tournament with a combined average of 138.5 ppg. TENNESSEE is 6-0 UNDER after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLGATE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in March games are 66-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-22-19 | Cal-Irvine v. Kansas State OVER 118 | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Kansas State can play a top tier of hoops but they will be tested by a UC Irvine team that can put points up in a hurry. In 3 of their L/5 fames thye had outputs of 110, 86, 92 points and could easily force Kansas State out of their comfort zone and into a faster paced game they would like, KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 155.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (KANSAS ST) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Friday are 26-4 OVER L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-21-19 | St. Mary's v. Villanova OVER 129.5 | 57-61 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - XL Center - Hartford, CT St.Marys might of shutdown Gonzaga last time out , for a huge 60-47 win, but Im betting they wont be able to the same thing to Villanova. Its one thing to play a tough defensive game in their own conference, against a team they were built to compete against, but limiting this Wildcats group will be more challenging and Im betting the Gaels will be forced to have to open up or get completely blown off the floor. I know the Gaels are a trendy pick here by public bettors after the above mentioned upset of Gonzaga, and that their defensive play is a key to this total being this low, but all of that will go out the window, vs a Villanova side that can knock treys down at a 35%+ clip against much stiffer competition in the Big East and that brain bang you with multiple looks. VILLANOVA is 11-4 OVER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 146.1 ppg. VILLANOVA is 13-4 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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03-21-19 | St. Mary's v. Villanova -4.5 | 57-61 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Thanks to StMarys looking good at the end of their season which culminated with an astonishing upset of Gonzaga for their conference championship, they are now a trendy pick for public bettors, thus giving us value on the line with the defending NCAA champion Wildcats. Im betting on key offensive cog and big game star of Villanova Phil Booth to be the catalyst behind them winning tonight and more importantly getting us the cover. Note: Booth in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 62-7 SU for a (.899) win %.Booth has made 16 consecutive free throws in NCAA Tournament competition, with his only miss coming in his only FT attempt in the 2016 Round-of-64 Game against UNC Asheville. Booth has 13 turnovers in 14 career NCAA Tournament games covering more 319 minutes of action for an amazing turnover ratio one turnover every 24.5 minutes of playing time. Booth is 5-for-6 (83.3%) from the three-point line in three NCAA Tournament Round-of-64 Games. His team has 12 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time. VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.VILLANOVA is 17-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons. ST MARYS-CA is 1-8 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-21-19 | Abilene Christian +23 v. Kentucky | 44-79 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL We have all heard about west Texas pride and tonight Im betting this dog has fight. This Abilene Christian hoops program has only been eligible for this tourney for only two years, and has an enrollment of about 3,600 making it an optimum small school success story entering the NCAA tournament.The Wildcats finished 27-6 overall with a 14-4 mark in the league and must not be underestimated here vs a young Kentucky team that has alot more pressure on them then their opponents. My projections make the Wildcats -18 favs here this giving us value on a slightly bloated public line. Play on Abilene Christian plus the points |
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03-21-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Charleston Southern OVER 141.5 | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - First Round These teams are trending under on a base line total that does not project properly according to a team system vs system matchup power rankings system that I use. The lines-makers know how the public perceives these types of team Totals trends and plays to public sentiment. 'Ill take a contrarian view based on my own estimations which lean to this Total being eclipsed. FLA ATLANTIC is 10-2 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 143.9 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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03-21-19 | Bradley +19 v. Michigan State | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA Bradely is a team that plugs the paint and that trys to make you beat them shooting 3s. They use a NBA-style philosophy on ball-screen defense that is highly efficient. they play tough and their 1-2-2 zone defence is a nightmare to play against. All I can say is that we have value with kind of team as a underdog vs a public team that has just to high a asking price on them at the moment. With that said, lets take the points. BRADLEY is 9-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 30-13 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival . Play on Bradley to cover |
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03-20-19 | Norfolk State v. Alabama OVER 143 | 80-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round Alabama is a team that averages nearly 72 points per game , and against this level of opponent Im projecting they will breach that total number in around the 77+ range. Meanwhile the Norfolk State Spartans are one of the top three points teams in the country from a conversion rate perspective, shooting 39.3 percent from 3-point range over the L/22 games (184-of-468). Another important factor for a over wager here is 551 free throws and 771 attempts are the second most in the D-I era and Im projecting them to score in the mid to upper 60s which translates to a total according to my estimations of a 145.5 or more giving us value with a over wager. Play on the OVER |
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03-20-19 | Harvard +6 v. Georgetown | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round- No. 3 seed Georgetown hosts No. 6 seed Harvard. Harvard has had a winning record in nine of the past 10 seasons under coach Tommy Amaker and has a experienced squad, with a never say die attitude and will not be easily defeated here. . Harvard is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.Georgetown University is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at homeHARVARD is 14-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.HARVARD is 21-9 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. GEORGETOWN is 2-9 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.GEORGETOWN is 5-16 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Harvard to cover |
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03-20-19 | North Carolina Central v. North Dakota State UNDER 135 | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 39 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH These teams play a controlled type of game, and if they were boxers they would be considered counter punchers. Im expecting a medium paced game especially in transition which will equate to a total combined score that remains on the low side of the total. NC CENTRAL is 17-6 UNDER in all neutral court games with a combined average of 125.6 ppg scored. NC CENTRAL in their L/25 in all tournament games have seen a combined average of 128.1 ppg scored.Moton is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of NC CENTRAL. with a combined average of 126.3 ppg scored.Moton is 16-4 UNDER off a win against a conference rival as the coach of NC CENTRAL with a combined average of 128.3 ppg. N DAKOTA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points with a combined average of 121.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N DAKOTA ST) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 24-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple +3.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH Temple is highly under rated as was evident when, beating Houston and had only one loss in the third-fourth quadrant (15-1 record). They barley got to the elimination game for the tournament but are highly dangerous in a game that is being lined as close and according to my rankings are dead even with Belmont thus giving us value on the line. Note: Temple is 9-2 SU in games decided by five points or fewer and are a perfect 4-0 in overtime games. TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (BELMONT) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 54-95 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 672 Temple to cover |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple UNDER 155.5 | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Buy in games with a total of 130 or over have gone under 72% of the time in th history of the NCAA tournament. Its a do or die-situation so teams have a tendency of being conservative and this one sets up for a closely contested lower scoring affair. BELMONT is 13-4 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.8 ppg scored.BELMONT is 9-1 UNDER after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. TEMPLE is 8-1 UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg scored. ( They lost their reg season finale 74-80) Play on the UNDER |
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03-19-19 | Cornell v. Robert Morris +1 | 89-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Robert Morris fell in the semifinals of the 2019 Northeast Conference Tournament with a 66-62 setback @ Fairleigh Dickinson and will be primed for bounce back here to start the CIT. This game is being lined a essentially a pickem, which gives an edge to Robert Morris as Head coach Andrew Toole owns the highest winning percentage (.615) in games decided by five points or less (minimum 50 games) during the KenPom era (2002 to present). In nine seasons under Toole, the Colonials have posted a record of 59-37 in games decided by five points or less. ROBERT MORRIS is 11-3 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.ROBERT MORRIS is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season. Play on Robert Morris to cover |
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03-19-19 | Campbell v. NC-Greensboro OVER 143.5 | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round Campbell has seen 4 of their L/5 games entering the NIT go over the total, with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at 149.2 ppg. UNC Greensboro has been explosive offensively at home this season averaging 78.6 ppg and from a matchup systems power rankings system I use for totals projections should be ready to pour down points again, with Campbell capably chasing which Im betting results in a higher scoring game then the lines makers are expecting. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CAMPBELL) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games are 69-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. OVER |
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03-17-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -4.5 | 69-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Houston according to my projections should be 7 point favs here thus we have value laying the short lumber here. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. In the 5 championship games in this series, Bearcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. American Athletic Conference.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Cougars are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cougars are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 vs. American Athletic Conference.Cougars are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cougars are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win.Cougars are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-17-19 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia State UNDER 137.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Championship Game - New Orleans, LA According to my projections this tilt sets up to be a real battle in the trenches which Im betting directly effects the offensive output of this tilt. GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 12-3 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. TX-ARLINGTON is 14-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. GEORGIA ST is 15-4 UNDER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CBBNeutral court teams against the total (TX-ARLINGTON) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better ) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ game are 107-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-17-19 | Auburn v. Tennessee UNDER 147 | 84-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Im betting this SEC championship game will be alot more physical and defensively conservative than what the lines-makers total is projecting, because both sides are on tired legs with this now being their 3rd game in 5 days . The public expects two explosive offensive teams to go head to head in a high octane event, but Im betting on chess like match that results in a combined score in the 142-144 range, thus giving us value on a slightly bloated line. Play UNDER |
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03-17-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Tennessee | 84-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Tennessee down by 7 points with under 5 minutes left yesterday came back with a tenacious effort to get the win vs Kentucky and will now be in a natural letdown spot . The Tigers also played a hard fought game vs Florida, but controlled most of the game until the end needing a big shot to win it for their 7th straight victory. Needless to say both teams are on tired legs . With that that said look for a grinding closely contested affair. Auburn is currently playing their best hoops of the season and defeated Tennessee to end the reg campaign, by 4 points, so they have the confidence knowing they can play with this Vols team and get my support getting points here in the SEC championship game. Auburn to cover |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky +1 v. Old Dominion | 56-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - Frisco, TX The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ own a 15-1 ATS record as postseason underdog and must not be underestimated in what my own projections estimate is a favourable matchup's for them from a system vs system power ranking chart I use. W KENTUCKY is 10-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game like Old Dominion over the last 2 seasons. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-16-19 | St. Louis v. Davidson UNDER 129 | 67-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played this season Davidson came away with a 54-53 win. Now in attempt to duplicate that last effort I expect St.Louis to try to slow this game down to a grind, as they try to take away Davidsons offensive flow, much like thye did vs St.Joes last time out allowing just 55 points .Im betting Davidson behind a solid defence of their own will comply with a physical stance in what will be a game of attrition with very little scoring. Davidson has kept 3 of their L/4 opponents to under 60 points or less. Play UNDER |
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03-16-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 | 82-78 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Both these teams won on their own home court in their 2 meetings this season. Now in a neutral court environment I like the experience of Calapari and company to prevail . Kentucky has been bolstered by the return of key post player Reid Travis, who had 11 points and eight rebounds in the victory over Tennessee. He was sidelined by a knee injury in the rematch, and Kentucky missed him a great deal, and he could be the difference maker again. Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wildcats are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games. Calapari knows how to win big games in the finals rounds of a tournament going 33-5 SU in the Semis and finals in his career. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-15-19 | Xavier +6.5 v. Villanova | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Big East Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY Xavier entered this tournament playing their best basketball of the season, winning 6 of their L/7 games, and then won game 1 of the big East tournament with 63-61 win vs Creighton. On Feb 23rd of this season Xavier proved they matchup well vs Villanova winning by a 66-54 count so they have confidence entering this tilt with their abilities to not only compete but to upset the Wildcats. Meanwhile, Villanova lost 5 of their L/8 games tilts entering the tourney, and despite of taking out Providence in their big East opener, just don't look as explosive as they did last season, mostly because of their youth and inexperience as compared to last years national championship team. It must also be noted Villanova has had a hell of time in game 2s of this tourney, going just 1-10 ATS L/11 opportunities. With that said, Im betting that if Villy wins here and advances it wont come easily, thus taking points will be golden. A potential NCAA Tournament berth hangs in the balance for the Musketeers. Xavier's currently No. 70 in the NCAA NET rankings and Creighton's up to No. 54 after winning five in a row. So from a motivational factor alone we have a desperate team to back. Play on Xavier to cover |
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03-15-19 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin UNDER 127 | 62-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Big Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Chicago, IL Im expecting a very physical Big 10 affair that stays on the low side of the Total. WISCONSIN is 9-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average odf123 pig scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (WISCONSIN) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday games are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Wisconsin/ Nebraska UNDER |
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03-15-19 | George Mason +3.5 v. St Bonaventure | 57-68 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY This line signifies a close game, which in effect makes my decision to take the points here valid considering that since the start of 2017-18, Mason is 13-3 in A-10 games decided by five points or less. That includes an 11-3 mark in the regular season and 2-0 record in the A-10 Tournament. Meanwhile, the Bonnies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (GEORGE MASON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 131-78 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on George Mason to cover |
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03-15-19 | Connecticut +10.5 v. Houston | 45-84 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Memphis, TN UConn men's basketball used a balanced attack and hot-shooting from the field to earn an 80-73 win over the USF Bulls and enter this game with momentum. The Huskies have covered 4 straight in this series and must be respected as underdogs in this spot vs Houston. CBB Neutral court teams (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 38-22 SU L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on UConn to cover |
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03-14-19 | UCLA v. Arizona State -4.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV Even though the grabbed a season-finale victory against the Arizona Wildcats this past Saturday, there is still a chance ASU misses the NCAA Tournament. Needless to say they need s wins and will come out here against UCLA like gang busters. Arizona State is Second in the Pac-12 in scoring (77.7) UCLA is 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. No.2 seeds are 11-2 ATS since 2014 when they are 6 pointer less favs. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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03-14-19 | New Mexico v. Utah State -13 | 83-91 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah State enters this game on fire having on 7 straight games and 14 of their L/15 overall and must be respected even as DD favs here vs an over matched New Mexico side. During its recent seven-game winning streak, Utah State is shooting 46.2 percent from the floor, 33.1 percent from behind the 3-point line and 74.2 percent at the free throw line. Utah is well rested after conference play, whihc is a good omen as they are UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing with 7 or more days rest with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with the average point diff clicking in at 17.9 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UTAH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah State to cover |
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03-14-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State +1.5 | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Florida State, the tournament’s No. 4 seed, takes on fifth-seeded Virginia Tech – which they beat in Tallahassee last week – at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and have the advantage again despite of the Hokies desperation factor. The Seminoles have a spot in the Big Dance guaranteed, having won 11 of their last 12 games and finishing fourth in the nation’s staunchest basketball conference. But despite of this they still are very motivated to get wins. QUOTE: “We want to make it as far as we can and then just use that as momentum going into the (NCAA) tournament,” junior guard Trent Forrest said. “So I would say we just want to stay locked in and continue to win games.” END QUOTE. Also the Seminoles will be very motivated for the rematch, regardless of any big-picture implications as when they played last week, they were taken to the brink by VTech and had to win in OT. The difference maker Im betting tonight will come via a very deep bench, while the Hokies’ rotation only goes about seven deep. Considering their starters played at least 28 minutes against Miami last time out – and now playing again today after playing yesterday will be on tired legs giving the Seminoles the edge. Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Seminoles are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Play on Florida State to cover |
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03-14-19 | NC State +11.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
NC State used a strong second-half surge to come back and defeat Clemson on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt vs No.1 seed Virginia and defending ACC champion . Note:defending champion in the ACC tournament is 4-13-1 ATS as a favorite in its first round game the following season since 2001 campaign.UVA posted a 66-65 overtime win at NC State this season, in a tilt that proved to me that the Wolfpack's style gave the Cavaliers alot of problems and Im betting they will irritate Virginia again today. NC State defeated Virginia 75-56 in the last meeting between the teams at the ACC Tournament in 2013. Take the points with the NC State to cover |
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03-14-19 | La Salle v. Rhode Island UNDER 137.5 | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY Both these teams have averaged under 70 points in offensive output this season, and both exhibit long stretches of below average FG conversion rates. With that being an early start game, Im betting those outputs will be exasperated and exaggerated in a physical low energy environment that will see this game stay under the set total. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (RHODE ISLAND) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential) are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 129.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-13-19 | DePaul +5.5 v. St. John's | 74-82 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - New York, NY The Blue Demons enter the 2019 tournament with six total games of BIG EAST Tournament experience on the active roster and must be respected as underdogs vs St.Johns. DePaul has outrebounded the opponent in 21 of 29 games and Im betting they have an edge again as they have won 15 of those 21 games SU. DePaul won both regular season meetings, three of the last four and get the nod to be competitive again and even pull off the SU upset. ST JOHNS is 1-8 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. CBB team (ST JOHNS) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games are 43-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on DePaul to cover |
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03-13-19 | Bucknell +4 v. Colgate | 80-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Bucknell goes for their third straight Patriot League Championship tonight vs Colgate as underdogs. Bucknell has won 8 straight Patriot League tournament games, and must be respected here as underdogs because of their pedigree and top tier coaching. Yes, this game is Colgate, and I know that Bucknell has lost 3 straight road games, but despite of this there is just to much value to pass up here with this type of team. Play on Bucknell to cover |
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03-13-19 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Louisville | 53-75 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC Bringing their depleted roster to Charlotte and entering the tournament on the heels of a seven-game losing streak, not much was expected of Mike Brey’s squad , but thye found a way to get by Georgia Tech and advance to this tilt vs Louisville. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite fo a decent record this season, struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their L/8 and have not been very consistent on the road this season and have won just five of 11 games. Im betting on the luck of the Irish to be prevalent today and for them to somehow find a way to be competetive. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a terrible shooting team (40%or less) are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion for bettors on the blind. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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03-13-19 | California v. Colorado UNDER 139 | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
California enters this game playing possibly their best hoops of the season, and have held their last two opponents 69, and 59 point outputs. In a surprising road victory vs the Buffs back in January the former Bad News Bears sprung the 68-59 upset and now have a success-full defensive blue print that should see this game played similarly to the first one and a total score that is also similar. COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CALIFORNIA is 12-1 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.8 ppg going on the board.
642 Colorado/ California UNDER |
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03-13-19 | Fordham v. Richmond -4 | 50-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Richmond is averaging 70.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season. Fordham averaging just 56.2 ppg in their L/5. Neubauer is 0-7 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of FORDHAM. FORDHAM is 8-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. FORDHAM is 4-14 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. Richmond to cover |
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03-13-19 | Arizona v. USC +2 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV My own projections make the wrong team the favorite here today. Defensively, the Trojans often use a 2-3 zone often, and held UA to under 30 percent shooting on Jan. 24. Rinse and repeat. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. USC is 36-19 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.USC is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. Play on USC |
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03-13-19 | Clemson v. NC State +2 | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC NC State closed the regular season in top tier fashion, going on the road to defeat Boston College, 73-47, and now have momentum entering this tilt against Clemson. The Pack's bench is averaging 30.6 points per game and has outscored the opponent's bench by 448 points this season and that will be the difference maker here today. Note: In ACC games, NC St shot better on the road than at home. NC State converted on 43.7% from the field and 38% from three-point range in conference road games this season. CLEMSON is 4-14 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997 NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season and is 7-1 AT in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season and also 8-2 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. 622 North Carolina State to cover |
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03-12-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
The N.Kentucky Norse are a team that can beat you with an explosive offense or a stingy D, while Wright State is more a defensive type team. The Norse averaged 80 points per game in the regular season, and was showcased in the quarterfinals in a 99-88 victory . They followed that with physical battle in a 64-63 win over Oakland in the semifinal and once again Im betting they have the edge here. Both teams split the seasons series, both winning on home court but on a neutral court my projections favor N.Kentucky by 3 thus according to my estimates we have value on a pickem line. Norse are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Play on N.Kentucky to cover |
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03-12-19 | Pittsburgh -1 v. Boston College | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Pitt had a horrendous game and shot just 29.0 percent (20-of-69) from the field in a nine-point loss at Boston College earlier this season, but this Pittsburgh team has shown alot of grit of late, and beat Notre Dame last time out, and now have the confidence to make two in row here against a side that is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. . Panthers lead the ACC with 16.4 made free throws per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here today against Boston College. Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.PITTSBURGH is 15-3 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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03-12-19 | Fairleigh Dickinson +4.5 v. St Francis PA | 85-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
The Knights captured a share of the NEC regular season title for the first time since 2006 and are set to take on SFU in a battle of the conference's top teams. The Red Flash and Knights were also picked No.1 and No. 2 in the conference preseason poll. With a championship title and a trip the NCAA tourney on the line Im betting on these teams fighting tooth to nail, and for the points to end being golden.The Knights are the top team in the NEC in field goal percentage (47.3%), three-point field goal percentage (40.0%), scoring margin (4.0), assist/turnover ratio (1.1), steals (7.8) and turnover margin (1.3). The Knights 40 percent conversion rate from behind the arc is fifth in the nation and their 47.1 percent field-goal percentage is 43rd. Look for their proficient shooting to the difference maker here tonight for the cover.
Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
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03-12-19 | Hartford -1 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 85-90 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Going 11-5 in America East play this season, UMBC's lone home loss came against Hartford and they lost the season series and Im betting they lose here again tonight. The difference maker will behind one of the schools all time greatLynch who has been red of late, as he enters the conference semifinals riding Hartford's longest active double-figure scoring streak at 13 gamesHe has been the catalyst for Hartford in his last seven games — a stretch that has seen the team go 7-2 — by averaging 19.4 ppg Lynch is shooting 55 percent shooting over his last nine, including a 26-for-49 clip (53%) from three. Maryland Baltimore has no answers for this top tier player. Hartford to cover |
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03-12-19 | Northeastern v. Hofstra OVER 145 | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Charleston, SC Hofstra is a prolific offensive teams averaging more than 83 ppg and wont be stopped here as Northeastern will have to open up something they are capable of doing as they average 78.3 ppg in conference action this season. HOFSTRA 8 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season a combined average of 152.1 ppg scored.HOFSTRA is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 165.5 ppg scored . Play OVER |
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03-12-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech OVER 126.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - First Round - Charlotte, NC Georgia Tech enters todays game against Notre Dame off two consecutive wins vs Boston College (81-78 in overtime at home) and NC State (63-61 on the road) . In an attempt to make of offense more productive, Georgia Tech returned to a one-post starting alignment for its last seven games, with James Banks III starting in the middle with four perimeter players. It has invigorated and buoyed the Yellow Jackets’ to their four highest point totals since Jan. 12 and three of its best shooting efforts since Jan. 22. Tech has averaged 64.0 points, hit 43.7 percent of hits field goals and 34.3 percent of its three-point shots in its last seven games, compared to 53.9 points, 38.2 percent from the floor and 23.8 percent on threes in the previous eight games and I expect them to push the pace again and make Notre Dame come out of their shell and put points on the board as well. Over is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 neutral site games. GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 OVER L/6 in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 142.7 ppg. GEORGIA TECH L/19 games when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons . as seen a combined average score of 133.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CBBNeutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (GEORGIA TECH) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a for 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-11-19 | Oakland +5 v. Northern Kentucky | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Horizon Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Detroit, MI - Detroit, MI The Golden Grizzlies head into the semifinals after defeating No. 6 seed Youngstown State, 88-84 in the quarterfinals at the Blacktop at the O'rena.Oakland after a sub par year compared to their usual standards are currently on fire entering this tilt vs N.Kentucky with 5 straight wins. I know on paper N.Kentucky looks like the superior side, but in a tourney game like this the obvious stats are off the table, and instead pedigree and coaching must be respected. Oakland has that in spades, and gets my support here plus the points. N KENTUCKY is 7-14 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.N KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Kampe is 21-7 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of OAKLAND. Play on OAKLAND to cover |
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03-11-19 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -2 | 61-43 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round Earlier this season, EMU came away with a thrilling 84-82 victory in double overtime in Muncie and overall thye matchup well vs Ball State. Eastern has held a firm advantage against Ball State in its MAC Tournament history, having won five straight post season meetings. E.Michigan at the Convocation Center in the MAC championship round are 6-2 lifetime . s versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Road teams as an underdog or pick (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 2-26 L/22 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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03-11-19 | Western Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | 67-81 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round Central Michigan won both regular-season matchups against Western Michigan this year by 21 and seven points in the W Michigan finale, and from a records perspective it might seem that there is an obvious edge here laying the points with the Chippewas. However, from a key power ranking post season system I consistently use, Im betting their is value with the under valued underdog. They played the Chips tough just the other day, in a strong 2nd half surge and had a 14-1 run at one point, and they now have confidence and the ability to be a headache for the Central Michigan again. Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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03-10-19 | East Tennessee State +6.5 v. Wofford | 72-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Asheville, NCWofford is a great team and could even be a NCAA dark horse candidate, but today Im betting they will be tested by a sleeper pick in Eastern Tenn St .East Tennessee State lost 79-62 at Wofford on Dec. 1, then gave the Terriers at 78-76 overtime scare in the rematch Feb. 7 in Johnson City, Tenn and now on a neutral court environment have an edge getting generous points. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.E TENN ST is 21-9 ATS in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.Terriers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Terriers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Play on E Tenn State to cover
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03-10-19 | Northern Iowa v. Bradley -1.5 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO In this tourney environment D, is of the most utmost importance and Bradely according to my cross reference rankings stands up well to a N.Iowa offense that has average just a little more than 63 ppg on the road this season. N IOWA is 11-28 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 9-21 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 season. BRADLEY is 13-3 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (N IOWA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Bradley to cover |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -2 | 85-69 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
No. 12 Houston visits 20th-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon bidding to capture its first outright league championship, but Bearcats will not go easily here on Seniors day, because if they win they get a share of the conference title. When these teams played last month the Cougars came up with a 65-58 win in bizarre game, that saw the Bearcats fail to score in the final 6 minutes of the game. Now Kevin Sampson and company travel to the Fifth Street Arena to face a hoops program that is 6-0 in their L/6 home games and 9-0 SU L/9 at home in this series. Also Mick Cronins group is 6-1 SU/ATS in same season home revenge tilts . With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be a key factor here today in the Bearcats delivering the cash to their backers. CBB home team (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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03-09-19 | Oregon +4.5 v. Washington | 55-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington has the No.1 seed in the upcoming PAC 12 tourney locked up, and could find themselves less motivated than usual vs Oregon Ducks teams fighting for tourney seeding and currently playing their best basketball of the season as they enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. I know its not easy playing against the Huskies 2-3 zone D, but after already seeing it once this season, should be much more prepared then they were the first time they played back in Oregon losing by a 61-56 count. Note: Oregon has won and covered its last two visits here. OREGON is 17-4 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, which was the case against Wash State last time out. Altman is 41-20 ATS in March games as the coach of OREGON. Play on Oregon to cover |
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03-09-19 | Tulsa v. Memphis -7.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Penney Hardaway and company have some big time pay back on board here on Seniors night, for a DD loss they suffered to Tulsa on the road back in late January, and will now be ready to hand out a similar merciless effort in this their home finale. It must be noted that Tulsa is just 1-12 ATS the last 13 in a loss vs a avenging side. TULSA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and is 31-10 ATS in home games in March games since 1997. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-09-19 | Wichita State -9.5 v. Tulane | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Wichita State in its regular season finale enters this tilt in top form having won 8 of their L/10 games, and 3 of their L/4 on the road and Tulane is not as they endure a 17 game losing streak and playing with little to no inspiration and will just want their pain to end here today. The Shockers will have no problem putting them out of their misery. Note: WSU is rebuilding this year behind 10 newcomers but has faced one of the nation's toughest schedules and is now reaping the benefits of tough schedule. WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season CBB Road teams as favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) - playing only their 3rd game in a week, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (20% or less) are 47-13 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wichita State |
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03-09-19 | Michigan +3.5 v. Michigan State | 63-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Michigan enters this game vs Big 10 and instate rival Michigan State with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Spartys a couple of weeks ago at home. The Wolverines HC Jim Beilein teams was uncharacteristically out of position alot that night , becasue Izzo changed up his D completely. However don't worry about old Jimmy as he is one of the best minds in the game and will adjust accordingly this time out. It must also be noted that the Spartys Cassisus Winston played a tremendous game in that above mentioned tilt, but is now dealing with wobbly knee issues that will hamper him. He's not the only injured Spartan, as their a few guys in the walking wounded lost, and this will hamper the home side tonight vs a physical top tier Defensive side ranked 3rd in the nation in adjusted D efficiency, out looking to get even. Note: Michigan States been shooting the lights out of late, but teams like the Spartys hitting at 50% or better in 3 or more straight games in March dating back 6 seasons are just 8-17-1 ATS at home. MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are just 25-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Michigan to cover |
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03-09-19 | UC Riverside +9 v. UC-Davis | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling as we come down to the finish line, and Cal Davis in their current form should not be this big a favorite , and my projections from a mathematical perspective is a edge and a must play for advantage players. US Davis has failed to cover 7 of their 10 home games this season. UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%) are just 35-68 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UC riverside to cover |
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03-09-19 | UCLA v. Utah -5 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah is an explosive offensive team averaging 83.4 ppf and rank first in the conference in effective field goal percentage , and have an advantage over a very average version of the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has lost 3 of their L/4 with their only win coming against lowly Cal in OT. This is not a good place to be playing sub par road ball making the Bruins fade material in this spot. UCLA is 7-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UCLA is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season. CBB team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ game are 42-75 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-09-19 | UCF v. Temple -1.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
The game also will mark the home coaching finale of Temple's Fran Dunphy, a Philadelphia legend who is stepping down after this season. Dunphy, 70, has gone 269-160 with the Owls and is 579-323 in his career. Im betting his team will be primed to give the old guy a top tier send off, and get him the win while at the same time bolstering their NCAA tournament qualifications. I know UCF is a very strong team, but Temple proved they could hang with them and lost a close one on the road to the Knights earlier this season, and have an edge as UCF is off two very hard fought emotional affairs and could easily be gassed entering this game. Play on Temple to cover |
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03-09-19 | Texas State v. Texas-Arlington -1 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Seeding On The Line When UTA Hosts Texas State In Regular-Season Finale and Im betitng the home team holds the edge.The Mavs have posted season highs in field goal percentage (56 & 52.7) and 3-point percentage (57.7 & 54.5) each of the last two games and are in red hot form at the perfect time.The Mavs currenty rank 22nd in the nation in 3-point percentage defense (30.4) and 57th in free-throw percentage (74.2). When these teams mets a month ago UTA playing on the road and, facing a team picking up votes in the national polls looked like the better overall side as, UTA knocked off Texas State in double overtime, 84-77 and actually matchup well vs this squad because of their ability to conquer good shooting sides like Texas State . TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Arlington to cover |
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03-09-19 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +2.5 | 80-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
ISU owns a top-10 offense nationally, and Im betting will give the visiting top tier Texas Red Raiders defence alot more than they can handle. Yes, I know that the Cyclones have struggled of late, but here on Seniors day their ability to play hard behind their boisterous crowd will lift them back up . Iowa Stat program has won 24 of their L/34 SU at home vs teams with better records and today Im betting they add to that number. ISU has won the last seven meetings in Ames, with Tech's last win at Hilton Coliseum coming in 2011. Texas Tech is 2-19 SU and 3-18 ATS against opposition playing Last Home Games. Iowa State is 21-7 L/28 home finales. IOWA ST is 21-9 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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03-09-19 | Long Island +5 v. St Francis PA | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
LIU does not deserve this big of a home court advantage vs Long Island as their home court advantage is listed at 304th in the nation according to kenpom. St.Francis has a inconsistent offense, while LIU shoots at a decent clip from beyond the arc, and has averaged 107 points per 100 possessions during a recent run , which is something I look for in a dog. Take the points with Long Island to cover |
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03-09-19 | Tennessee v. Auburn +3 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is alot better than their record would indicate and must not be underestimated here vs Tennessee. Outside of ugly DD losses to the Kentucky Wildcats and Ole Miss Rebels, they onlylost to the Duke Blue Devils by five points, the LSU Tigers by five points, the Wildcats by two points. The Tigers are also 35th in the country when it comes to three-point percentage at 37.5 percent per game and that what the Vols struggle against. With Auburn 14-2 at home they deserve our respect as dogs. The Vols haven’t faced Auburn since Jan. 2, 2018, when the Tigers lit up UT in a 94-84 win. I dont think history will repeat itself but Im betting we have enough value here with the home underdog to consider this an advantage play. Barnes is 13-30 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Auburn to cover |
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03-08-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio -1.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Ohio (13-16, 5-12 MAC) play their final game of the season tonight at Convocation Center one final t when the Bobcats host Mid-American Conference East foe Miami (15-15, 7-10 MAC) for the second edition of the 'Battle of the Bricks.Friday night's game will serve as Ohio's Senior Night, and I expect the Bobcats to be in top form. Ohio has registered an impressive 508-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968 and n four-plus seasons under HC Phillips, Ohio has gone 56-25 (.708) at home and get the nod again in revenge mode for the lopsided 79-59 loss they suffered earlier in MAC play on the road to the Redhawks. Note: OHIO U is 37-17 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mid-American. MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season.(Miami coming off of a 75-66 loss at home against Kent State on March 5 as chalk) home team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 40-30 SU 5 seasons for a 57%+ conversion rate last 5 seasons. Play on Ohio to cover |
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03-08-19 | Yale +1 v. Pennsylvania | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Yale despite of already clinching an Ivy League spot in the play off tourney is very much in the hunt for the Ivy League championship and the No. 1 seed in the four-team tournament. The Bulldogs, are guaranteed at least a share of the Ivy League championship with a pair of victories this weekend. The winner of the Ivy Tournament receives the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. The league champion is determined by the final regular season standings. so needless to say Yale is playing for something big here. Penn are no pushovers, but it must be noted that YALE is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Tenacious rebounding is the Bulldogs, calling card and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker in this key road game. Note: Yale also is second in the country in defensive rebounds per game (30.64), 29th in field goal percentage defense (40.6 percent) and 31st in rebounding margin (+5.3). The Bulldogs are 18-1 when they outrebound their opponents YALE is 8-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons PENNSYLVANIA is 0-6 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 2 seasons. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Ivy League. Quakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Friday games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Quakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Play on Yale to cover |
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03-08-19 | Brown +3.5 v. Princeton | 67-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Brown comes into the Ivy League's final weekend with the ability to control its own destiny in earning a berth in the four team Ivy League Tournament if they can notch two victories this weekend starting with the Tigers. With Princeton already in the tourney they are far from in desperation mode, and might be saving their best for tomorrows senior night finale and the conference championship round thus giving us value with a Bears side that needs and wants to win badly. Brown, who leads the Ivy League scoring defense (68.7 ppg) and 3-point FG defense (.302), and ranks second in the Ivy League in and field goal defense (.417) must not be underestimated here getting points in this type of situation. Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 6-2 ATS L/8 in this series. Play on Brown to cover |
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03-07-19 | Grand Canyon +2.5 v. Utah Valley | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lopes (18-10, 10-4 WAC) can finish alone in second place for the first time in their six-year WAC history if they sweep this week's road trip and will be playing hard tonight in the first of those two games against a tough team to beat at home in the Wolverines (27-2 L/29 at home) . However, if there is a team other than New Mexico State that matches up well vs Utah Valley its the Lopes. They get my money here tonight to cover in a game that should be a pickem. Grand Canyon to cover |
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03-07-19 | Pacific +1.5 v. Pepperdine | 53-61 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Pacific enters this tourney game with momentum from last week's 73-72 win at Pepperdine. That game was an indicator of how well the Tigers matchup against the Wave, thus getting my support in this the their opener in this conference tourney. PACIFIC is 12-4 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. PEPPERDINE is 4-12 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better over the last 2 seasons. Pacific has won 6 of the L/7 in this series and get the nod again. Play on Pacific to cover |
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03-07-19 | Fairfield v. Manhattan UNDER 121 | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
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03-07-19 | Cincinnati v. UCF UNDER 126.5 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
These teams have. along history of playing low scoring defensive affairs with 10 of the L/11 games going under the set total with the L/5 here in Central Florida all going under the set Total. Considering both teams have shut down defences there is no reason to believe that this game will also be fairly low scoring and stay under the number. UCF is 8-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 111.3 ppg scored.UCF is 15-4 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 124.1 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 120.3 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 34-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 610 Central Florida /Cincinnati UNDER |
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03-07-19 | North Florida +10.5 v. Liberty | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
In Liberty's first visit to UNF Arena, North Florida shot 60 percent from the field and rallied from 13 points down in the second half to earn the 75-70 victory against the ASUN leading Flames. while there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean, they are still more than capable of hanging tough here as they look for their fourth straight road victory.North Florida comes into Thursday's clash having won seven straight including handing the Flames their lone loss of the last nine games. This semi final conference tourney game is all about momentum, and the Ospreys have all kinds of positive mojo happening at the moment and Im betting wont go down without a big time fight and subsequent cover. Look for the Ospreys explosive 3 point shooting to keep us in this game. Play on North Florida to cover |
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03-06-19 | Fresno State +2.5 v. San Diego State | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Fresno State and San Diego State are likely playing for the No. 3 seed in next week’s Mountain West Conference men’s basketball tournament when they meet Wednesday night in San Diego. The last time these teams met San Diego State led by 20 points in the first half of the January meeting at the Save Mart Center and as the teams went into a timeout an Aztecs player walking past the Bulldogs bench loudly said, ‘‘This game is in the bag.” Well that ignited the Bulldogs, and they came back for a 66-62 win. The Aztecs have won 14 consecutive Mountain West home games. The last loss: Jan. 17, 2018, to Fresno State and I wont be surprised if this streak ends tonight against a very tough confident Fresno State group that has won its last four conference games and five of the last six when coming off a bye. FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.FRESNO ST is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season.FRESNO ST is 17-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. Fresno State has won and covered the last two meetings here vs San Diego State. 819 Fresno State to cover |
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03-06-19 | Wyoming -2 v. San Jose State | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these teams have struggled this season, but the Pokes matchup well vs the Spartans and took the first meeting of the season 59-46 in Laramie on Jan. 23. The Pokes have won seven-straight in the series vs San Jose dating back to March 2, 2016 and Im betting nothing changes tonight. |
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03-06-19 | St Bonaventure +6 v. Davidson | 46-64 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure enters this game on a red hot 6 game win streak against Davidson in a matchup of the second (Davidson) and third place teams in the Atlantic 10. The Bonnies remain in the hunt for a double bye in the A-10 Tournament and Im betting they hang in there with their powerful opponent Davidson tonight. Note: The Bonnies have also been hot on the road winning their L/6 road games and Im betting wont be easily disposed in this away tilt. Defence will be key to us grabbing the cheese . **The Bonnies held seven of their last eight opponents under 61 points and 38 percent shooting. . Schmidt is 61-48 ATS as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-06-19 | Florida International v. Marshall -6 | 78-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Marshall enters this game playing some very strong hoops at the moment, after three straight wins, and matchup well vs FIU as was evident when they beat them here at home 105-97 back in January . Both teams are run and gun specialists, and play similar aggressive offensive hoops, but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker. MARSHALL is 36-20 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. Play on Marshall to cover |
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03-06-19 | Marquette -2 v. Seton Hall | 64-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Golden Eagles were on the verge of a regular-season conference title until losing last week at Villanova and at home to Creighton and will be out looking to bounce back vs a desperate bubble team on a 3 game losing streak Seton Hall here tonight.Marquette held off Seton Hall 70-66 on Jan. 12 in Milwaukee and Im betting will get it done again here on the road. Marquette has now won three straight against the Pirates, and four of the last five. SETON HALL is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.MARQUETTE is 8-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. MARQUETTE is 7-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.SETON HALL is 1-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season. Play on Marquette to cover |
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03-05-19 | Purdue v. Minnesota +5.5 | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Purdue despite of an incredible season are just 4-2 conference road games with 2 OT wins , a blowout loss at Michigan State , a DD beatdown at Maryland and a 2 point win at Nebraska, and 2 point win at Indiana. Now we get a decent home dog line with Minnesota at home , which has underestimated value attached to it, because of how well they played the Boilermakers in West Lafayette earlier this season, staying close until the last part of the game (73-63). Look for Purdues inability to play disciplined ball to give Minnesota a chance at covering as they are one of the best teams in the conference for getting chances at the charity stripe. The Gophers surprised the Northwestern Wildcats last time out as underdogs and have momentum entering this home game. Note: MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog . PURDUE is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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03-05-19 | Kent State v. Miami-OH -4 | 75-66 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Kent State visits Miami O in a key Mid-American Conference tilt this Tuesday night. Kent State enters this game with the No. 3 seed and the RedHawks are in fourth and looking for a bye. Thus losing this game is not an option and they the Hawks will be primed to perform here tonight. Note: Miami O is 10-1 ATS L/11 in this series and 5-0 ATS L/5 as hosts. The Redhawks are also 15-2 SU L/17 season in home game finales and get the nod to get us the victory and cover here tonight. Senderoff is 0-6 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more as the coach of KENT ST .KENT ST is 1-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Play on Miami (O) to cover |
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03-05-19 | Rhode Island +2 v. St. Joe's | 86-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Both these teams have struggled this season at times, but both are current 2 game win streaks, and in a game that should be closer to a pickem getting points with a one possession spread makes for a value situation. Rhode Island has recorded 24 steals over its last two games, getting nine at Dayton Friday night and a season-high 15 steals in its win over George Washington nd Im betting their ability to disrupt the Hawks play will be the difference maker. Rhody has won two of its last three visits to Hagan Arena, including a 68-49 victory on March 1, 2017.ST JOSEPHS is 0-7 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season and s 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +2 | 64-52 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Horned Frogs after starting their season 12 -1 really struggled down the stretch and now will be playing for their NCAA Tournament lives against K-State . This TCU team when playing their best can compete with ay team in this conference including KState, as wins vs. Texas, Baylor, and a sweep of Iowa State would indicate. Im betting on the Frogs leaving everything on the floor here tonight and getting us the cover. TCU is 7-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game this season. CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 32-8 straight up L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are also 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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03-04-19 | Kennesaw State v. Lipscomb UNDER 147.5 | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. The Owls are last in the ASUN averaging 63.2 PPG, with my projections estimating a near 10 point drop off vs Lipscomb. The Owls dont have any chance here of competing against this explosive opponent unless they slow this tilt down to a crawl which Im betting effects the combined score to the low side of he offered number. Play on the UNDER |
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03-04-19 | Virginia v. Syracuse +7 | 79-53 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Jim Boehims 5 returning starters will primed to go out on a high note tonight in their final regular season home game vs the Cavaliers . I know Virginia is a behemoth opponent, but this Orange hoops program has been tough in their final home games of the campaign in the recent past cashing 12 of their L/15 opportunities, and are bankroll expanding 13-6 ATS this season vs conference opposition and must not be underestimated as home underdogs. SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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03-04-19 | North Alabama v. North Florida -8 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
North Florida has alot of experience, with all the starters averaging DD point outputs. As group the Ospreys have also played alot of minutes together this season, and are currently entering this tournament on a 6 games winning streak, and once again look like a viable team to back vs a North Alabama team that they manhandled in two meetings. With that said, look for a Ospreys side that ranks top 20 nationally in attempted treys, to come out here and lay down beatdown in their tourney opener . |
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03-03-19 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech -1 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Yellow Jackets, despite of struggling have been decent at home going 10-7 SU as hosts this season , and actually matchup well vs visiting Boston College side that is 1-7 on the road this season in conference play. The Ramblinwreck rank No. 14 in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 39.3% while the Golden Eagles rank 81st ranked Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 41.9 %. Look for the home team to finally capture a win in their home finale this Sunday night in a tilt that will mark the final regular-season home game for three Georgia Tech seniors – Brandon Alston, Abdoulaye Gueye and Sylvester Ogbonda. Note: GTs HC Pastner is 11-2 ATS in home games in March games in all games he has coached since 1997. TECH is 8-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. TECH is 6-2 L/8 at home in this series. Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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03-03-19 | Notre Dame +9 v. Louisville | 61-75 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Both Louisville and Notre Dame has looked vulnerable of late, and neither is playing very good hoops. Im betting on this being a close tilt between two teams that are not flowing, with the key coming via difference maker coming at the charity stripe as Notre Dame very rarely fouls, which is extremely important for a Louisville team scoring 21.8 percent of its points off free throws (33rd in the nation). HC Brey is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of NOTRE DAME with the average point diff clicking in at 0.5 ppg.( 1/2 point) CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 112-66 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate on the blind. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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03-03-19 | St. John's -1.5 v. DePaul | 83-92 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
St. John's (20-9, 8-8 BIG EAST) enters its final road trip of the regular season looking to avenge a loss in its home finale to Xavier at Carnesecca Arena and Im betting they do it here this afternoon in Depaul. Note: ST JOHNS is 11-0 ATS L/11 in road games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite . Playing without the services of Shamorie Ponds on Jan. 12, the Johnnies dropped a 79-71 decision to DePaul. It was a bad game for the St.Johns and now with revenge on board Im betting they will be primed and motivated for payback vs a side that has dropped seven of their last nine and have lost four in a row heading into Sunday's meeting with the Red Storm. DEPAUL is 0-8 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season.DEPAUL is 3-11 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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03-02-19 | Baylor +6 v. Kansas State | 60-66 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Im betting on Baylor really giving 16th-ranked Kansas State (21-7, 11-4) a run for their money here tonight. The Bears (19-9, 10-5) have won three straight down-to-the-wire games decided by a total of 12 points .Since losing six of their first nine games decided by single digits, the Bears are 6-1 in those games over the last 6 ½ weeks and in the Bears' only single-digit loss over the last 6 ½ weeks, they gave up a seven-point second-half lead in a 70-63 loss at home to K-State. The bears stayed alive for its first conference championship in 69 years on Wednesday, when the Bears rallied from a 19-point second-half deficit to defeat the Texas Longhorns, 84-83, in overtime and enter this game with a full head of steam. Drew is 7-0 ATS after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of BAYLOR. Play on Baylor to cover |
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03-02-19 | Morehead State v. Eastern Kentucky -3.5 | 78-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
E.Kentucky has played their best hoops at home this season going 9-4 SU. Meanwhile, Morehead State is just 4-12 on the road this season, and have the edge here according to my projections by 5 points or more making this a viable line to buy into. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MOREHEAD ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 60-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.8 ppg. Play on on E.Kentucky to cover |
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03-02-19 | William & Mary v. James Madison | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Tribe has won 10 of the last 12 meetings vs. JMU and get the nod again as thy keep they look to keep momentum alive entering the conference tourney .The Tribe key to success todayIm betting will center around their much improved defensive play in CAA as opposed to their non conference schedule. W&M ranks second in defensive efficiency (104.9) in league games and has held six opponents to a point or less per possession. JAMES MADISON is 1-8 ATS ( in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. JAMES MADISON is 4-11 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB home team (JAMES MADISON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 38-69 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on William Mary to cover |
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03-02-19 | Texas Tech v. TCU +4 | 81-66 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
TCU needs this game badly, and also have revenge on board for a ugly loss in Lubbock earlier this season. With this being seniors night Im betting we see the Horned Frogs come out here like their hair is on fire and to leave everything on the court. I know Texas Tech is looking like Big 12 champion candidates this season, but overall from a long term perspective the Raiders mens hoops program have only covered 10 of their L/32 as road chalk and have looked vulnerable away from home this season. I know TCU has struggled of late, after a quick start to their season, but this is still a fine team that deserves our respect as home dogs. TCU is 6-0 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. TCU is 11-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (TEXAS TECH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game are 47-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on TCU to cover |
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03-02-19 | Michigan State -6 v. Indiana | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Tom Izzo and his Michigan State Spartans, are now starting to make the noise I expected when I started to put my CBB power rankings together earlier this season. As the NCAA tourney gets closer you can bet this team will be merciless as they look for the possible No.1 seed.. Today a combination of motivation and revenge will be at play as the Spartans look for redemption for a 79-75 loss at home last month to this same Hoosiers team. I know we have to lay a decent amount of points here with the visiting Spartans, but the Hoosiers are in a tail spin having lost 12 of their last 14 games, and are an ugly 4-9 SU at home this season and despite of beating Wisconsin in OT last time out, just don't matchup well vs this version of the Spartans and could easily get smashed by DDs here. Michigan State is 10-4 ATS with revenge in this series and gets the nodes road favs. MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this seasonMICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season.MICHIGAN ST is 15-4 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-02-19 | NC State +8 v. Florida State | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The NC State (20-8, 8-7 ACC) takes on 18th-ranked Florida State (22-6, 10-5 ACC). The Pack have won 4 of their L/5 games, and are playing a top tier brand of basketball that actually matches up well vs the Seminoles. Thanks to Florida States impressive ranking and their overall play over the last month, lines are creeping up and now I see a value line to bet into with viable opponent on board. HC Hamilton is 20-47 ATS after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of FLORIDA ST. Both these teams have strong benches and Im betting this will be a really battle today making getting points a viable opportunity. Kevin Keatts teams have a record of 27-13 SU (.675) in regular season games in the months of February and March. 617 North Carolina State to cover |
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03-01-19 | Princeton v. Dartmouth +1 | 77-76 | Push | 0 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Six of the Big Green's eight conference losses this season have been by five points or fewer, and five have been one-possession games and their current 4 game losing streak have all come on the road. Here at home however, Dartmouth has been a tough out winning 8 of 12 home games this season.The Big Green are trying to earn a split of the series for the second straight year having lost a heartbreaker at Princeton two weeks ago, 69-68. The home gets the nod here tonight. Play on Dartmouth |
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03-01-19 | Quinnipiac -1 v. St. Peter's | 77-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Saint Peter's is 8-20 overall, going 5-11 so far in 2018-19 in MAAC action and not matchup that well against anyone in this conference in their current form and were smashed by 19 points to Quinnipiac earlier this season.Quinnipiac is currently 10-6 in MAAC play, sitting in second place in the league standings heading in to the final weekend of the regular season.Quinnipiac has won seven of its last 10 games dating back to Jan. 25. and have momentum entering a tilt vs a team they matchup well against.Quinnipiac is averaging 10.9 3-point field goals per game, which ranks No. 8 nationally and best in the MAAC.According to KenPom, 44.4 percent of the Bobcats offense comes via 3-pointers, which ranks No. 5 nationally.The Bobcats have converted on 10+ 3-pointers in 20 of 27 games this season. cats have converted on 10+ 3-pointers in 20 of 27 games this season.QUINNIPIAC is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.QUINNIPIAC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season. Play on Quinnipac to cover |
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03-01-19 | Pennsylvania +5 v. Harvard | 53-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Penn enters the weekend at 4-6 in Ivy league play and are one game out of fourth place behind Brown and Cornell.Harvard won the first meeting two weeks ago in Philadelphia, hitting a late three-pointer to tie things up in regulation and then pulling away in overtime for a 75-68 win. This game has alot of importance to it for Penn and Im betting they wont go down without a fight here making getting points a legitimate value ticket. It must also be noted that the Quakers—who went OT in three straight games from Feb. 15-22—are 1-4 in OT this season, and are a team that cant be underestimated getting points. CBB favorite (HARVARD) - off an upset win as a road underdog, on Friday nights are just 25-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( Harvard beat Yale last time out) Play on Pennsylvania to cover |
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02-28-19 | San Diego v. San Francisco -6 | 91-90 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
San Francisco has revenge on board for a road loss they suffered to San Diego last month to the Toreros. The Dons led by 14 points with 41 seconds left in the first half after over powering San Diego for 20 solid minutes. In the second half, the Toreros came back as the Dons lost interest for some reason, wiping out a 14 point USF lead, and eventually succumbing by a 67-63 score as they were upset as favs. Now with redemption at hand the Dons in their own building have been explosive going 23-2 SU in their last 25 home games dating back to last season and will be primed to lay a beat down on their opponents tonight and not take their foot of the pedal until the end . San Diego has not done well vs teams looking for same season revenge from a betting perspective as they have failed to cover 17 of their L/23 in these situations. Note: The Dons are 13-1 SU at home this season with their one loss coming at the hands of mighty Gonzaga - a game they actually led with less than three minutes to play. USF is averaging 80.0 ppg at home and holding opponents to 64.9 ppg. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite against opponent off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a conference rival are 31-11 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Francisco to cover |
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02-28-19 | Portland State v. Idaho +10 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Idaho is not a very good team, but this line according to my cross reference data is bloated by one plus possession and should favour Portland State by just 7.5 points. Considering my estimations we have value on the line which gives us an enough edges to take the points with the home dog. Note:Idaho (4-23, 1-15 BSC) is 14-13 all-time against Portland State (13-14, 8-8 BSC), including a 69-53 loss earlier this season. The Vandals has a ugly season but there is hope as redshirt freshman scored a career-high 28 points and tied his career-best with 11 rebounds last time out at Southern Utah and up trending.Verlin is 21-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of IDAHO.Peery is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of PORTLAND ST. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-28-19 | Mercer -5 v. VMI | 71-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Mercer has won 3 of their L/4 and are playing a up trending style of hoops of late, and very much look like viable road favs here vs a VMI team that despite of snapping a 8 game losing streak last time out, does not matchup well vs this type of opponent. VMI got clobbered by DDs in these teams first meeting at Mercer, (88-66) and have the guns to take advantage of a nasty VMI defence that ha allowed an average of 81.6 ppg game this season. Mercer has won 5 straight meetings in this series and 2 straight here and deserve our backing in this spot play. VMI is 2-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at - 17.1 ppg. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VMI) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games are 15-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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