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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-11-16 | Vikings -3 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 1078 h 8 m | Show |
Minnesota is much superior to Tennessee in all facets except quarterback and that includes coaching. The Vikings have their sights set on reaching the Super Bowl. Their roster is very strong with lots of young defensive talent, Adrian Peterson to take the pressure off Shaun Hill, more wide receiving threats and an upgraded offensive line. |
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09-11-16 | Bears +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 1078 h 51 m | Show |
I'm skeptical of Brock Osweiler and a banged-up offensive line that is likely to be without star left tackle Duane Brown. I'm certainly not swallowing the hype on Osweiler. |
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09-08-16 | Panthers -3 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 276 h 26 m | Show |
I see the Panthers getting their revenge on the Broncos after losing to Denver in the Super Bowl. Carolina didn't lose the Super Bowl based on talent. The Panthers out-gained the Broncos by 121 yards and had 10 more first downs than Denver. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +4.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 324 h 5 m | Show |
Five times Denver has been an underdog this season. Five times the Broncos have covered winning four of those games straight-up. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers -3 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 156 h 27 m | Show | |
Carolina is a rising power that is ready to make the next leap having made the playoffs a third straight season. This is the Panthers' best team as evidenced by 16-1 record and eight players being named to either the first or second team Pro Bowl squad. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47.5 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 106 h 49 m | Show | |
These are the No. 1 and No. 2 scoring teams in the NFL. The offenses are healthy, but the defenses aren't. |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | Top | 18-20 | Loss | -115 | 153 h 10 m | Show |
Both defenses are very good. The difference - and it's huge - is quarterback. Tom Brady is 38, but remains in the argument for best quarterback in the league. No quarterback threw for more touchdowns. |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks v. Panthers -115 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 49 m | Show |
Early money has been on the Seahawks. It's a mistake. The Panthers are the better team and are in a much better spot. |
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01-16-16 | Packers v. Cardinals OVER 49.5 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 5 m | Show |
First off this isn't Minneapolis in January. The game is in the Arizona desert Saturday night with a weather forecast of about 60 degrees, no rain and very little wind. |
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01-10-16 | Packers -105 v. Redskins | Top | 35-18 | Win | 100 | 85 h 7 m | Show |
It's a break for Green Bay to draw Washington in the first round of the playoffs. Although they are struggling offensively, the Packers defense has been solid. The Green Bay secondary will get a huge boost, too, if cornerback Sam Shields can play for the first time since suffering a concussion in Week 14. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs -3 v. Texans | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 125 h 44 m | Show |
Kansas City is the hottest team in the NFL winning 10 in a row. The Chiefs beat the Texans by a touchdown at Houston in Week 1 and nothing has changed. The Chiefs still are the superior team. The Texans are just thrilled to have reached the playoffs courtesy only of being in the worst division. Prop Bet (Taken from Westgate) |
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
The Raiders have a history of playing their long-time hated division rival tough and I expect that to be the case again. Oakland has covered seven of the past nine times playing in Kansas City. The teams are 5-5 during their past 10 meetings. Only once in the last eight years have the Chiefs swept the Raiders. Unlike previous seasons, the Raiders under their first-year coach Jack Del Rio have showed resolve while playing much better on the road. They have a winning away mark and have covered in four of their last five road matchups. Not once have the Raiders lost by more than five points on the road this season. The Chiefs realize that Denver isn't going to lose to San Diego so they won't be winning the AFC South Division title. Both their game and the Broncos game kick off late so the Chiefs will be distracted doing some scoreboard watching. If the Broncos break out early against the Chargers - and they are double-digit favorites at some books - it wouldn't be surprising if Andy Reid starting resting starters in order to have them fresh for next week's playoffs. The Raiders really want to finish 8-8. All of their quotes this week point to that - and those quotes come across to me as sincere. I see the Raiders playing with a lot of energy and emotion. They are fortified with extra rest having played last Thursday. The Chiefs are banged up with their two best edge pass rushers, Justin Houston and Tamba Hali, questionable. Oakland led Kansas City by six points in the fourth quarter when they met four weeks ago. But Derek Carr had a meltdown with three turnovers and the Chiefs won by a misleading 34-20 score. Carr has proven himself this season making giant steps going from game manager to dangerous playmaker. I like him far more than Alex Smith. The Chiefs are 9-0 in their last nine games, 7-2 ATS. They also are plus 19 in turnover ratio during this time. They are more about precision and takeaways than some dominant opponent. The Raiders can definitely hang with them if not pull the outright upset. |
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01-03-16 | Jets -129 v. Bills | 17-22 | Loss | -129 | 31 h 24 m | Show | |
On paper this seems like a tough game for the Jets going against their old coach Rex Ryan. But the truth of the matter is the Bills have regressed under Ryan and the players aren't responding to him. Ryan's strength is that of a motivator not a tactician. He is far from the popular figure he was in the Jets locker room. |
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01-03-16 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 47 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
New England has been winning with defense not offense. Only once have the Patriots scored more than 28 points during their last eight games. But defensively the Patriots rank in the top eight in fewest points, total yards and rushing yards. New England has held its last three opponents to an average of 14 points during regulation. |
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12-27-15 | Packers v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 8-38 | Win | 100 | 145 h 9 m | Show |
Given Arizona's home field advantage, the line is short here. Arizona ranks with Carolina and New England as one of the three best teams in football. Those three teams are complete teams without a weakness. The Packers are at a "B" level closer to "C" than "A" with their struggling passing attack. The Packers have been outgained on the season. |
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12-27-15 | Steelers -10 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 35 m | Show | |
Surprised to see Pittsburgh a double-digit favorite at Baltimore? Don't be. Oh, the Ravens will play hard. John Harbaugh will see to that. But the Ravens simply don't have nearly enough healthy talent to compete against elite level competition. |
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12-27-15 | Colts v. Dolphins UNDER 44 | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 71 h 34 m | Show | |
Neither team has a dominant defense that's for sure. But their offenses are worse. The Colts are averaging 12 points during their last three games. The Dolphins haven't scored more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. |
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12-27-15 | Browns +11.5 v. Chiefs | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
On paper it seems hard to go against the Chiefs. They've won eight in a row outscoring their foes by an average of 17 1/2 points during their win streak. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show |
Only once in seven games have the Cardinals lost on the road. They have the passing attack and pass defense to easily cover this number against the Eagles and win their eighth consecutive game. |
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12-20-15 | Packers -3 v. Raiders | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
The Packers are playing very good defense and their offense is back in sync with Eddie Lacy running well - like he usually does late in the season - and Mike McCarthy calling plays again. |
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12-20-15 | Bears +5.5 v. Vikings | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
The Vikings are much improved under Mike Zimmer, but they are not an elite team and they are not built to cover margins of more than a field goal - especially against division foes - with a passing attack that ranks 31st. Only once has Teddy Bridgewater thrown for more than one touchdown pass in a game. |
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12-20-15 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 48 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
Not enough respect is being paid to Carolina's dominant defense with this high of a total. The Panthers rank in the top five in scoring defense, total yards, run defense and pass defense. They also are first in interceptions and third in sacks. |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 103 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas can't win with a quarterback as bad as Matt Cassel under center against a quality opponent such as the Jets. The Cowboys are 1-6 in Cassel's seven starts. All of the losses except one have been by more than three points. |
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12-13-15 | Patriots -3 v. Texans | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 135 h 21 m | Show | |
This game has been moved to Sunday night. The Texans are not prime time ready. New England certainly is. It's rare to get the Patriots off a loss. It's near impossible to ever get Bill Belichick and Tom Brady off consecutive losses. The last time that happened was 2002! |
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12-13-15 | Raiders +8.5 v. Broncos | 15-12 | Win | 100 | 83 h 58 m | Show | |
The Raiders have actually played better on the road where there is less of a winning expectation. Apparently this, perhaps subconsciously, has removed some of the pressure from their young players. |
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12-13-15 | Steelers +3 v. Bengals | 33-20 | Win | 100 | 80 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bengals took advantage of a rusty Ben Roethlisberger when they beat the Steelers, 16-10, in Week 8. Roethlisberger threw three interceptions in his first game back after missing four games because of a knee injury. |
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12-13-15 | Lions v. Rams OVER 40.5 | 14-21 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 54 m | Show | |
In today's pass-crazy, rules-favoring offense a total of less than 41 should be considered very low. This is especially so inside a fast-track dome, which this matchup takes place in. |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Look for a heavy dose of running between both teams with bad weather in the forecast. Heavy rain and gusting winds are predicted. The Redskins play far worst on the road. Even though they have failed to rush for 100 yards in seven games, the Redskins figure to stay on the ground a lot. That's Chicago's plan, too, given the weather conditions and Washington's below average run defense. The weather conditions are going to make it rough on both kickers, too. |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -125 | 105 h 22 m | Show |
Chicago is fired-up and angry after blowing a home game to San Francisco this past Sunday. I like the Bears' coaching edge and situation advantage against Washington, which is traveling on a short week following a home loss on Monday night to division rival Dallas. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals OVER 46 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona ranks No. 1 in the NFL in yards per game (419.5) and points (31.8) per game. Carson Palmer is on pace to throw for 4,924 yards and 39 touchdowns. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -7.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
It's difficult enough being the road team for a Thursday night game. It's especially difficult for the Vikings traveling to the desert following a mentally and physically draining 38-7 home loss to Seattle this past Sunday. |
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12-06-15 | Colts v. Steelers -7 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 54 h 54 m | Show | |
The Colts couldn't win a shootout last year against Ben Roethlisberger losing 51-34 at Pittsburgh. That was with Andrew Luck. I don't see the Colts keeping up with Roethlisberger and Pittsburgh's high-scoring offense this year with Matt Hasselbeck and a having a worse team than from a year ago. |
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12-06-15 | Broncos v. Chargers +4.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 28 m | Show | |
Denver is in a prime letdown spot traveling to sunny San Diego after upsetting New England at home in a prime time Sunday night victory at home in frigid conditions. The Broncos won in overtime exerting a lot of energy in coming back from two touchdowns down in the final quarter. |
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12-06-15 | Ravens v. Dolphins -4 | 13-15 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 7 m | Show | |
It's not that I'm in love with Miami. This handicap is far more of a fade on Baltimore. The Ravens are decimated without their quarterback, top running back, top wide receiver, top pass rusher and perhaps three starting offensive linemen. All together, the Ravens have lost a staggering 17 players for the season. |
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12-06-15 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 43.5 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
I like the two young quarterbacks on these teams a lot. |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals -5.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 148 h 30 m | Show |
The Cardinals have revenge for a frustrating 24-22 loss to the Rams in Week 4 when they had to settle for four field goals in four touchdown-less red zone trips. |
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12-03-15 | Packers v. Lions OVER 46.5 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
Detroit is going to get its points. So is Green Bay. |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
Both offenses are going to treat this matchup with a very conservative approach. New England has to because of a cluster injury problem it has at wide receiver and on the offensive line. The Broncos have to because of the inexperience of Brock Osweiler, making just his second NFL start. |
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11-29-15 | Rams v. Bengals -8 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show | |
The Bengals are anxious to return to their winning ways after losing the past two weeks in nationally televised losses to the Texans and Cardinals. Cincinnati is very tough at home where they have covered 17 of their past 22 games. |
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11-29-15 | Giants -139 v. Redskins | 14-20 | Loss | -139 | 58 h 46 m | Show | |
The Giants have dominated this series winning and covering the past five times, including 32-21 in Week 3. New York has won four of the past five games by double-digits. |
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11-29-15 | Bills +6.5 v. Chiefs | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bills are a gritty team whose defense has improved as the season winds down with the players becoming more familiar with Rex Ryan's schemes. |
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11-29-15 | Saints v. Texans UNDER 48 | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 58 h 43 m | Show | |
Houston's defense is playing extremely well giving up just two touchdowns during the last 14 quarters. J.J. Watt is having another MVP-type season with 11 1/2 sacks, including 7 1/2 sacks in his last four games. |
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11-29-15 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 58 h 44 m | Show |
So why back a San Diego team that is 2-8 and has lost six in a row as a monster 50-Dime play? A combination of Philip Rivers, a due factor and the Jaguars being overpriced. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Sometimes the best handicap formula is just the most obvious. Carolina is better than Dallas and it's not even close. |
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11-22-15 | Bengals +5 v. Cardinals | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show | |
Aside from the Patriots, the Bengals shouldn't be more than a field goal underdog to any team. The Bengals will be especially fired up to redeem themselves after being upset on Monday night at home by Houston. |
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11-22-15 | 49ers v. Seahawks -12 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
No, the 49ers can't stay within two touchdowns of Seattle. Not with Blaine Gabbert and not down to street free agents at running back. |
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11-22-15 | Broncos -115 v. Bears | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Two straight losses and all of a sudden the Broncos are in the pick range with the Bears? No, no way. |
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11-22-15 | Raiders v. Lions OVER 47.5 | Top | 13-18 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 56 m | Show |
The Raiders have a top-nine offense in both yards and points per game average. Derek Carr has emerged as a star with a 21-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. No quarterback has thrown more touchdown passes outside the red zone than Carr. |
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11-22-15 | Jets -3 v. Texans | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
Not only are the Texans on a short week in an emotionally distracting week following their Monday road upset win against the Bengals, but backup T.J. Yates is their quarterback for this game. |
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11-19-15 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 37 m | Show |
Both of these offenses are under the radar. There is a chance of rain for this game, but very little wind. |
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11-15-15 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 8 m | Show |
The Seahawks haven't lost a game coming off a bye since 2012. I don't see them losing at home either in this matchup. Seattle is 4-4. Arizona is 6-2. Obviously this is a must-win spot for Seattle. |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys +2 v. Bucs | 6-10 | Loss | -108 | 58 h 45 m | Show | |
The good news for the Cowboys is they finally get back Tony Romo next week. |
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11-15-15 | Browns +5.5 v. Steelers | 9-30 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
I can't see Ben Roethlisberger playing in this game. That puts the Steelers in peril for this heated, division rivalry game because the Browns, while not talented, can be ornery. They have an excellent track record as underdogs, too, 10-5-1 ATS since Mike Pettine became coach in 2014. |
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11-15-15 | Lions v. Packers OVER 47.5 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 3 m | Show |
The Lions rank last in the NFL in points allowed giving up 30.6 a game. The Packers' offense is ready to explode after consecutive road games against the Broncos and Panthers.Â
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego isn't nearly good enough to overcome its multitude of injuries to beat many teams by more than a field goal, including the Bears. |
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11-08-15 | Eagles -2.5 v. Cowboys | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas beat the Eagles, 20-10, back in Week 2. It was a costly victory as the Cowboys lost Tony Romo. They haven't won since going 0-5, 1-4 ATS. Dallas is averaging less than 15 points a game during its last four games. |
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11-08-15 | Falcons v. 49ers UNDER 44.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 32 m | Show | |
Atlanta is much improved defensively under Dan Quinn. The Falcons have been fortunate, though, to draw a number of terrible quarterbacks. |
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11-08-15 | Giants -126 v. Bucs | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 54 h 31 m | Show | |
First off, Tampa Bay can't win at home. The Buccaneers are 1-11 in their last 12 at Raymond James Stadium, 3-9 ATS. |
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11-08-15 | Giants v. Bucs OVER 47.5 | Top | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 106 h 31 m | Show |
This isn't an overreaction to the Giants surrendering 52 points and 608 yards to the Saints last week. The Giants defense is real bad. There is no pass rush with only nine sacks in eight games. The linebackers are slow and the safeties are extremely shaky. |
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4 | 35-38 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 25 m | Show | |
Bad spot for Oakland. Near desperation time for Pittsburgh. |
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11-08-15 | Titans +8.5 v. Saints | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 57 m | Show | |
Look for the Titans to come out fired-up playing harder and with more intelligence under new coach Mike Mularkey. |
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11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals -11 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
I can't see anything but a lopsided Bengals victory here. |
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11-01-15 | Packers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 10-29 | Loss | -123 | 105 h 38 m | Show |
Both teams are 6-0 and off byes. The Packers' 6-0 is real. The Broncos' 6-0 is bogus. |
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11-01-15 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 42 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Minnesota has Adrian Peterson and Teddy Bridgewater is coming off his best performance. Stefon Diggs has upgraded Minnesota's receiving corps and pumped up the offense. The Bears have a weak defense giving up 29.8 points per game, which ranks second-to-last. |
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11-01-15 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 46.5 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
I'm not a fan of Cleveland's skill position players. I regard them as among the weakest in the league. Making matters worse for the Browns is Josh McCown is limited by a sore shoulder. Backup Johnny Manziel has proven to be near worthless disdained so far by many in the Cleveland organization. |
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10-25-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Carolina Panthers OVER 45 | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
Chip Kelly's high-tempo offense finally is picking up. So is DeMarco Murray, who has scored a touchdown in each of his last two games and ran for 112 yards last week. Philadelphia is averaging 28.6 points in its last three games. The Eagles also have dangerous kick and punt returners so they are live, too, to score on special teams. |
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10-25-15 | New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -4 | 27-21 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
The Saints have the worst defense in the league and are on the road. Not a good combination. |
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10-25-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Kansas City Chiefs -145 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
Now that the pressure is off them, the Chiefs will play loose and win. They are better than their record having already lost to three unbeaten teams and blowing a game against the Bears over the shock of seeing Jamaal Charles suffer a season-ending injury. |
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10-25-15 | Houston Texans +5 v. Miami Dolphins | 26-44 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami got a boost with a new head coach and defensive coordinator last week steamrolling Tennessee. But the Dolphins are as mediocre as Houston and the Texans will be far better prepared now that they have film on what the Dolphins did under interim coach Dan Campbell and defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo. |
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10-25-15 | Cleveland Browns v. St Louis Rams -5.5 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 82 h 56 m | Show |
This is my Favorite's Play of the Month. I'm not surprised the line has gone up since I released the play as the Rams clearly are the right side. The Browns have gone hard three straight weeks losing 30-27 to the Chargers, beating Baltimore in overtime and losing in overtime last week to the Broncos. Cleveland doesn't have an abundance of talent. The Browns' skill position players are among the weakest in the league. It takes a supreme effort for the Browns to hang in against most opponents. |
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10-19-15 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 48.5 | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 14 m | Show |
Eli Manning is having an elite season, the finest of his 11-year career. The Giants are averaging more than 28 points per game during the last three weeks. They ranked seventh in scoring entering this week. |
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10-18-15 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts +10 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm fully aware of New England's strong history against the Colts during the past three years - a 4-0 record with four blowouts. |
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10-18-15 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
The Lions are at low ebb right now. But they finally are in a good spot. |
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10-18-15 | Arizona Cardinals -3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 13-25 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
Much credit to the Steelers for upsetting San Diego this past Monday. But I don't see the Steelers minus Ben Roethlisberger pulling off a second consecutive upset. |
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10-18-15 | Denver Broncos -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
This line has come down enough where I'm going to get involved with the Broncos. |
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10-18-15 | Houston Texans +1.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Now that Bill O'Brien has figured out what everybody else knew that Brian Hoyer is his best quarterback, the Texans are ready to improve. They start here against one of the worst teams in the NFL - the Jaguars. |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -119 | 98 h 26 m | Show |
The oddsmaker considers these teams even with this point spread factoring in the Chargers' home field advantage being worth a field goal. |
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10-11-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. NY Giants OVER 43 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 43 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a case of going over the total with a top 10 scoring team in the Giants against a buy-low underachieving 49ers offense that has talent and is facing the league's worst pass defense. |
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10-11-15 | Cleveland Browns v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither of these offenses impresses me. |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 44 | 18-17 | Loss | -108 | 86 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have a strong offense. Jeremy Maclin is a very good wide receiver. Jamaal Charles is a top three running back and Travis Kelce is a top five tight end. |
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10-11-15 | St Louis Rams +10 v. Green Bay Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rams have that winning combination with the best pass rushing defensive front in football and potential franchise back Todd Gurley to run the ball. |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 | Top | 18-17 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 55 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the frustrated Chiefs, who are much better than their 1-3 record indicates. The Chiefs have already gone against three undefeated teams - Broncos, Packers and Bengals. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Seattle's defense is rounding into championship form with the arrival of safety Kam Chancellor last week.Â
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10-04-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
The Saints are desperate at 0-3. They'll receive a huge lift with Drew Brees returning to the lineup. It's a Sunday night nationally televised game at home so the Saints will be super pumped. |
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10-04-15 | St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 42 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 78 h 18 m | Show |
Given how crisp their offense has been, the Cardinals can nearly cover this total themselves. |
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10-04-15 | Cleveland Browns +7.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show | |
Granted San Diego has a big edge at the skill positions. But the Browns have five Pro Bowl players combined in their offensive line and secondary. |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -130 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Atlanta is a surprising 3-0. The Falcons are fat and happy right now. |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens -143 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Take away Ben Roethlisberger and the Ravens are the better team. Much of the disadvantage of being the road team on a Thursday game is negated by the Ravens knowing the Steelers better than any team from their long-standing division rivalry and the short travel distance involved. |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos -3 v. Detroit Lions | Top | 24-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 3 m | Show |
There are reasons why Detroit is 0-2. Namely the Lions' offense isn't clicking and their defense is much worse than last season. |
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09-27-15 | Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 42 | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 14 m | Show | |
None of the last six games in this series have gone over the total. I see that trend continuing here. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 35-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
The Colts are out of the gates slow. But keep in mind they faced two of what I consider to be the top four defenses in football the Bills on the road and Jets where they suffered a turnover festival. |
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09-27-15 | Atlanta Falcons v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 39-28 | Loss | -108 | 40 h 7 m | Show | |
This total is too high. It would make more sense if the Cowboys had anybody worthy at the skill positions and this was the Falcons defense of a year ago. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans OVER 45 | Top | 35-33 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is my strongest totals recommendation of the season so far. Indy's offensive struggles were well documented this past Monday night in clear view of a national audience - and the oddsmaker. |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
The Colts really struggled in Week 1 at Buffalo. But that was due to a combination of going against a strong Bills defense on the road and dealing with unfamiliar cold, windy weather conditions. |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 146 h 43 m | Show |
This isn't just a normal game for the Packers. It's their Revenge Game of the Century. And that's saying a lot since they've been in the NFL since 1921! I've personally closely followed the Packers since 1963, being a native of Wisconsin, and have never seen a bigger revenge game. |
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09-20-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -5 | 20-10 | Loss | -107 | 119 h 50 m | Show | |
The Eagles finally got their offense in gear during the second half against Atlanta. Unfortunately for the Eagles, they had dug themselves into too big of a hole to recover. Still, they could have taken a late lead if not for a missed 44-yard field goal. |
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09-20-15 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 38 m | Show | |
The Bengals are better than perceived. They are solid on both sides of the ball without any major weaknesses. |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -5 | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
The Steelers are a much better team than San Francisco and catch a huge scheduling break. |
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09-20-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5 v. New Orleans Saints | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
The Saints are getting by on reputation considering how big of a spread this is. |
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09-20-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Chicago Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 48-23 | Win | 100 | 92 h 36 m | Show |
The Bears' defense has been franchise-history bad the past two years - and it's still very bad this season. John Fox and Vic Fangio have outstanding defensive backgrounds, but the players they have now don't fit their defensive philosophies. |
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