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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-18 | Stanford v. California +3.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Stanford is being overrated by the linesmaker. This is a huge Pac-12 rivalry and California is the home team. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS as underdogs this season.  Both teams enter the matchup with two-game win streaks. I'm not impressed with Stanford's two victories against UCLA and Oregon State, though. The last time the Cardinal beat a team with a winning record was mid-October. Their defense has been disappointing while Cal's defense has yielded only 14.2 points per game during its last five matchups.Â
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12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State UNDER 45 | Top | 27-25 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 1 m | Show |
Look for defense to rule in this Conference USA title game. UAB ranks in the top nine in fewest yards per game and fewest points per game. Middle Tennessee State has a respectable defense ranking 51st in points allowed per game at 25.2.  The teams met this past Saturday and MTS won, 27-3. The Blue Raiders held the Blazers to 89 yards. That doesn't bode well for UAB in the rematch. The Blazers are ground-oriented. They were held to minus 1 yard rushing by MTS. The Blazers are not in good shape. Their quarterback is banged-up and they have multiple offensive line injuries.  MTS relies on the pass. The Blazers, though, own the best pass defense in Conference USA. The Blue Raiders aren't going to be helped by the weather with the forecast calling for heavy wind and rain.  The Under has cashed in 12 of the Blazers' past 15 road conference games and nine of their last 11 road games. The Under is 9-1-1 in MTS's last 11 home games.Â
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
Northern Illinois has lost two in a row, but the Huskies are laying in the weeds. They've been pointing to this matchup, the MAC title game. Note the game is at a neutral site, Ford Field in Detroit.  Buffalo has the better record and the flashier quarterback in Tyree Jackson. Northern Illinois, though, has the best defense in the MAC. Jackson is turnover prone and hasn't faced a defense this good. Jackson has a stud wideout, Anthony Johnson. But look for Northern Illinois to cause Jackson problems with its pass rush and linebackers.  The situation favors Northern Illinois, too. Buffalo played last week. Northern Illinois has been idle since Nov. 20. This also is the Bulls' third straight road appearance and fourth different venue in their last four games.  The Huskies nipped the Bulls, 14-13, at Buffalo last season.  The combination of the superior defense and running of Tre Harbison - who has rushed for 950 yards while averaging 5.4 yards a carry - should carry the Huskies to a cover if not an outright victory.Â
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -145 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
Utah State has been a monster surprise this season. The Utes deserve plenty of kudos. But I don't see them beating Boise State on the road. The Broncos are far more experienced in big games like this and have dominated this series defeating the Aggies nine of the past 10 times.  Boise State has won its last six games, including defeating Colorado State by 28 points. Utah State was fortunate to just nip the Rams, 29-24, last Saturday. Colorado State appeared to have won the game on a 34-yard touchdown pass with no time left, but the score was negated by a penalty.  The combination of veteran QB Brett Rypien and a strong defensive front are the winning keys for the Broncos. Just two weeks ago, the Broncos were short home 'dogs to Fresno State and they beat the Bulldogs by seven points. I don't see Utah State faring any better than Fresno State at this venue.Â
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11-24-18 | Troy +10.5 v. Appalachian State | 10-21 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 19 m | Show | |
Troy can hang in with defense. The Trojans have covered in 19 of their last 26 road games and are 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 Sun Belt Conference games. This a showdown matchup to decide the East half of the Sun Belt. Troy hasn't lost in Sun Belt play this season winning all seven games. The Trojans give up only 21.2 points a game.  The teams last met two seasons ago and none of the games were decided by more than four points. |
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11-24-18 | Texas Tech v. Baylor OVER 63 | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Both teams are off bad performances. Now they each step down in class against lower-caliber defenses. So I envision a loose, fast-tempo matchup where offense, not defense, rules. Texas Tech has firepower no matter who is behind center. The Red Raiders rank 17th in the nation in scoring at 38.5 points a game. Baylor has already been torched for 58 and 66 points during their last seven games. The Bears have come up with just one takeaway during their past four games. Look for the Bears to put up their share of points, too. Baylor has faced Iowa State and TCU in its last two games. Now they step down as Texas Tech ranks 107th in yards allowed. Charlie Brewer is in line for a big passing game as the Red Raiders have the 127th rated pass defense.Â
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Given the quality of these quarterbacks, it's not hard to imagine each team scoring at least 24 points.  Washington senior Jake Browning has 94 career TD throws. He has one of the top senior RB's in the country in Myles Gaskin. They've helped the Huskies scored 27 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Gaskin rushed for 192 yards and scored four touchdowns against the Cougars last season in the Huskies' 41-14 victory. Washington State senior Gardner Minshew II is putting up Heisman Trophy-worthy numbers, including throwing a nation-leading 36 TD passes. The Cougars are coming a 69-28 romp against Arizona where Minshew fired a school-record seven touchdown passes.Â
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11-23-18 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 60 | Top | 44-14 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
Buffalo ranks 28th in scoring averaging 34.5 points. The Bulls have scored 31 or more points in five of their seven MAC games and have gone Over in eight of their last 10 games. Bowling Green isn't going to be able to slow down the Bulls. The Falcons are terrible defensively surrendering 39.6 points a game to rank 122nd while rating 107th in yards allowed. Â The Over has cashed in six of the Falcons' last eight home games. It's a red flag for Buffalo that its defense surrendered 52 points and 646 yards to Ohio in its last game. |
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11-17-18 | Connecticut v. East Carolina OVER 69 | 21-55 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This might seem like a very high total until your realize Connecticut lost 62-50 to SMU last week. The Huskies could have the worst defense in the nation ranking last or near the bottom in yards and points given up.  East Carolina quarterback Holton Ahlers has looked very good the past three games proving to be an effective dual threat.Â
 The Huskies will put up their share of points against an East Carolina defense that gives up nearly 35 points a game and ranks 107th in scoring defense. The Pirates have surrendered 35 or more points in five of their last six games. |
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11-17-18 | Wisconsin +4 v. Purdue | 47-44 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
This has been a disappointing season for Wisconsin. But the Badgers shouldn't be a road 'dog against Purdue. Wisconsin has beaten Purdue 12 straight times, including the past seven at Purdue.  The Badgers have lost to strong competition. They might not have their starting quarterback, Alex Hornibrook, back either. He's questionable with a concussion.  But Wisconsin wins behind star running back Jonathan Taylor and one of the top offensive lines in the country. Taylor leads the nation in rushing with 1,548 yards.  The Boilermakers peaked when they upset Ohio State. They have lost two of their past three games losing by 10 to Michigan State and by 31 to Minnesota. Their lone win during the past three games came by two points at home against Iowa. The Boilermakers may be distracted by frequent coaching rumors surrounding Jeff Brohm their head coach.  Wisconsin has covered 12 of its last 16 road games.Â
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11-17-18 | Virginia +5 v. Georgia Tech | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
Even though this is a division game it's kind of a sandwich spot for Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a huge win against Miami and are at hated in-state rival Georgia next week. Virginia is playing well winning four of its last five games. The Cavaliers had a much easier game than Georgia Tech last week dispatching Liberty, 45-24.  Unlike Georgia Tech, Virginia has a balanced attack. Cavaliers QB Bryce Perkins is No. 1 in the ACC in points accounting for 26 TD's. The Yellow Jackets have a below average defense giving up 27.5 points per game.  The Cavaliers know how to defend Georgia Tech's unique option offense thanks to head coach Bronco Mendenhall. His teams are 9-2 SU and ATS when facing triple-option opponents.Â
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11-17-18 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State +7 | Top | 6-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
Kansas State is a must-win mode if it wants to make it nine straight years of going to a bowl game. The Wildcats have a strong history of covering as a 'dog under Bill Snyder and they surely won't lack motivation here with speculation this could be Snyder's final home game. He could be retiring after 27 years of coaching.  So this is going to be an emotional setting at Bill Snyder Family Memorial Stadium. Kansas State has lost three games by a combined nine points. The Wildcats have the superior rushing attack - led by Alex Barnes one the best running backs in the country - and better defense.  Texas Tech has been regressing. The Red Raiders have lost three in a row. They are likely not to have injured quarterback Alan Bowman available. He's recovering from a lung injury.  Kansas State has won the last three in the series, including winning 42-35 at Texas Tech last season.Â
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11-17-18 | UL-Monroe v. Arkansas State OVER 66 | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 111 h 8 m | Show | |
Defense? What defense. Not when these two teams meet. The Over has cashed five of the past six times they have met. Arkansas State beat UL-Monroe 67-50 last season. Both offenses are gliding along. Monroe has scored 38 or more in three of its last four games. Arkansas State is averaging 44 points in its last four games and going against the Warhawks' 96th ranked defense both in points allowed and yards allowed.
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +8.5 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -102 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
SMU has come on be tied for first in the AAC West Conference. Mustangs QB Ben Hicks is having a nice season with 1,919 yards and 16 TD passes of which 10 have come during the past four games. The Mustangs have a deep crop of running backs, too. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games and lacks the defense to cover this big of a road number. The Tigers' record has been fattened up by the weak foes they have played such as Mercer, Georgia State, South Alabama, UConn, East Carolina and Tulsa.Â
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -7.5 v. Ball State | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Back in Week 2, Ball State hung in against Notre Dame losing, 24-16. Since then, though, things have gone way downhill for the Cardinals. They are 2-6 since that close loss and out of conference and bowl contention. Their starting quarterback, Riley Neal, is out with a knee injury and their top running back, James Gilbert, has been demoted to second team after missing last week's game with a back injury.  Ball State has gotten blasted in its last two games losing, 52-14 to Ohio and 45-13 to Toledo. The Cardinals have two games left and their coaching staff has made it known they are going to be looking at younger players. There are inexperienced players in the secondary and in the offensive line.  Western Michigan needs this game to keep its MAC West Division title hopes alive and also secure a bowl bid. The Broncos buried the Cardinals, 55-3, last season. The Broncos are treating this as their most important game of the season.Â
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 10 m | Show |
Stop Georgia Tech on the ground and you beat the Yellow Jackets. Miami has done that in each of the last three seasons beating Georgia Tech three times in a row. The Hurricanes have a tremendous trio of three-year starting linebackers in Zach McCloud, Michael Pinckney and Shaq Quarterman. They've helped the Hurricanes rank No. 1 in the nation in tackles for losses, being No. 2 in total defense and 19th in scoring defense giving up 19.3 points per game. The last time Georgia Tech faced a defense this good was in Week 4 when it lost 49-21 to Clemson. No, Miami isn't nearly as good as Clemson. But the Hurricanes are good where it counts against this opponent, who they have owned the last three seasons.  Georgia Tech has no choice but to run the ball. They are a one-dimensional option offense. Hurricanes coach Mark Richt knows Georgia Tech's offense well from his days coaching at Georgia.  The key for Miami is getting good enough quarterback play. That should happen with the decision to go with N'Kosi Perry as the starter this week. He's more talented than Malik Rosier.Â
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11-10-18 | Michigan v. Rutgers +39.5 | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show | |
Michigan just got through beating Penn State, Michigan State and Wisconsin, all of whom were ranked teams at the time they played Michigan. The Wolverine are going to be hard-pressed to take Rutgers seriously. I envision a flat effort by the Wolverines - and I couldn't blame them.  The Wolverines are 0-7 ATS the past seven times they've been on the road playing a foe with a losing home mark.  Bottom line: Too many points for Michigan to lay.Â
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11-10-18 | Washington State -6 v. Colorado | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 38 h 29 m | Show | |
Washington State has won five in a row and has the best spread mark in the country at 8-1 ATS. Colorado is going in the opposite direction with four straight losses.  The Buffaloes have lost by 11, 14, 7 and 8 points in their last four games. Their defense is wearing down giving up 83 points and 1,025 yards in the last two games. Colorado has skill position injuries. The Buffs aren't going to be able to keep up with Washington State's high-powered attack. Cougars QB Gardner Minshaw leads the nation in passing yards per game and completions. He has three outsanding wide receiving targets and a versatile running back in James Williams. Colorado can't match that.
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11-10-18 | Troy v. Georgia Southern UNDER 45 | 35-21 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Defense should carry the day especially with a wind factor. Both teams rank in the top 40 in fewest points allowed per game. Troy hasn't permitted more than 21 points during its past five games. It's a red flag that Georgia Southern could manage only one touchdown on offense and 216 yards against UL-Monroe last week.  Georgia Southern has held three of its last five opponents to 14 points or fewer. The clock should keep moving with Georgia Southern running on 79 percent of its plays using a triple-option offense. Troy ranks 26th in run defense.Â
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
I certainly respect Michigan State's defense. But it is going to wear down against Ohio State's offense. There's a monster gap between Ohio State's skill position players - quarterback Dwayne Haskins, running back J.K. Dobbins and wide receivers Parris Campbell and K.J. Hill - and Michigan State's backfield personnel especially with the Spartans having ineffective Brian Lewerke at quarterback.   The Buckeyes won't lack motivation either still in the national title picture. They stomped the Spartans, 48-3, last season.Â
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
Fresno State has the best defense in the Mountain West Conference. That's helped make the Bulldogs a road favorite here. But that should come with a disclaimer: The Bulldogs haven't faced a decent quarterback or offense. Now they draw the Broncos and Brett Rypien, who is on the verge of becoming the Mountain West's all-time passing yardage leader.  Boise State ranks 21st in points per game and 22nd in yards per game. Fresno State hasn't won during its last nine tries at Boise State.  The teams last met at Boise State in last season's Mountain West title game. The Broncos were 10-point home favorites - a swing of nearly two touchdowns from the line on this game - and defeated the Bulldogs, 17-14.  Fresno State is good. But so is Boise State. The Broncos are just 5-15 ATS at home. But they haven't been a home 'dog before. And they shouldn't be here.Â
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State | 3-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
This is your classic sandwich spot for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are coming off a huge home win against Texas A&M and have Alabama on deck next week. So the Bulldogs aren't going to be taking this non-conference matchup too serious.  Mississippi State also isn't a good team to lay big points on. The Bulldogs rank 107th in passing yards. Nick Fitzgerald is more dangerous as a runner than thrower. Louisiana Tech's top defensive strength is its pass defense.  So Mississippi State is going to have to grind away on the ground, which eats a lot of clock. The Bulldogs' best runner is Kylin Hill, who is questionable after missing last week's game with a leg injury. It wouldn't be surprising if Hill sat out so he would fresh for Alabama.  Louisiana Tech is well-coached under Skip Holtz. Under Holtz, Louisiana has covered seven of its last nine road games as an underdog against the power-five conference teams. Tech is 8-2 ATS versus SEC foes. The latest example occurred in Week 3 when Tech hung in and covered a 19-point road spread against LSU, a team that beat Mississippi State, 19-3, just two weeks ago.Â
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11-03-18 | Houston -14 v. SMU | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
Houston wins because of its high-scoring offense. The Cougars have scored 40-plu points in eight straight games. They rank first in the country in total yards and No. 2 in scoring. Houston quarterback D'eriq King has had at least two passing touchdowns and one rushing TD in every game this year. The Cougars have an excellent track record on the road going 23-10-1 (70%) in their past 34 away matchups. SMU needs to play ball-control and have a balanced offense to hang with the Cougars. But the Mustangs don't have that. They are averaging 98.6 yards on the ground, which ranks 123rd. SMU is averaging fewer than 50 yards rushing in its last three games. The Mustangs are poorly-coached - 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games - and have given up eight-non defensvie touchdowns, including four pick-six interceptions off Ben Hicks. Â
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11-03-18 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest OVER 75.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -122 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Syracuse has only failed to score at least 30 points once all season. The Orangemen are averaging more than 43 points a game. Wake Forest's defense has fallen apart giving up 45.3 points per game during its past three matchups.  Wake Forest ranks 13th in rushing. This matches up to Syracuse's weak rush defense, which ranks 72nd. The Demon Deacons have hit 56 points twice in their last four games, including 56 at Louisville in their last game.  There were 107 points scored in last year's game won by Wake Forest, 64-43. Expect a simila score this time around, too.Â
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11-03-18 | Air Force v. Army OVER 42 | 14-17 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
Yes there is going to be a lot of running in this game. But this is a low total and the caliber of these team's rush attacks is very strong. Army ranks No. 2 in the rushing while Air Force rates No. 8.  This game is on turf not grass, too. The Over has cashed eight of the last 11 times Army has been on turf. Air Force has gone above the total in seven of its last nine games.Â
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11-03-18 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss OVER 65 | Top | 48-44 | Win | 100 | 113 h 40 m | Show |
Look for Mississippi's high-flying offense to take off again following a 31-16 home loss to Auburn two weeks ago. The Rebels were idle last week. The Rebels had scored a combined 107 points in their previous two games before losing to Auburn.  Mississippi has three outstanding skill position players in quarterback Jordan Ta'amu, running back Scottie Phillips and A.J. Brown, who could be the first wide receiver picked in next spring's NFL draft. Only four teams have gained more yards on the season per game than the Rebels.  South Carolina has enough offense to stay up there in points with Ole Miss, which ranks 124th in yards given up per game.  The Over has cashed in 10 of Mississippi's past 14 SEC games.Â
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11-02-18 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | Top | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
Western Kentucky has frustrated Middle Tennessee State for three straight years, including defeating the Blue Raiders, 41-38, last season in triple overtime.  Now the table is set for the Blue Raiders to get their revenge in a big way. The Hilltoppers are a dead team done in by the disastrous coaching of Mike Sanford. They have lost nine of their last 10 games. The Hilltoppers are not bowl eligible for the first time in eight years.  Middle Tennessee State senior quarterback Brent Stockstill has led the Blue Raiders to a 16-7 record since 2016 in games he has been healthy in. Yet he's 0-3 career-wise versus Western Kentucky. Stockstill is one of the better quarterbacks in Conference USA. The Blue Raiders trail Florida International by just one game in the East Division of that conference. Their offense has a good balance to it with the emergence of running back Terelle West.  Western Kentucky can't keep up averaging fewer than 20 points a game. The Hilltoppers give up nearly 30 points on defense. They've allowed 40, 37 and 38 points in their last three games. They can't match the Blue Raiders on either side of the ball.  Middle Tennessee State has a good history in these type situations covering six of the last seven times at home versus foes with a losing road mark.
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10-27-18 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
The Aggies were idle last week, get several key injured players back and have the top run defense in the SEC to contain Mississippi State's ground attack. If the Bulldogs can't run they are in trouble because Nick Fitzgerald has passed for fewer than 100 yards in his last three games. The Bulldogs lack the necessary passing attack to take advantage of the Aggies' vulnerable secondary.  Texas A&M gets back wide receiver Kendruck Rogers and right guard Keaton Sutherland from injuries. Rogers may be the Aggies' best wideout.  While Texas A&M had its bye last week, the Bulldogs were suffering a 19-3 road loss to LSU. Mississippi State is 1-3 in its last four games while averaging fewer than 10 points a game during this four-game span.Â
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10-27-18 | Georgia -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 44 h 1 m | Show |
Recall if you will last season after Auburn beat Georgia, 40-17. The Bulldogs came back from that beatdown to post four straight wins and covers to reach the national championship game. I see the Bulldogs bouncing back against Florida here. Georgia was idle last week after suffering its first loss of the season to LSU in its previous game.  LSU kept Georgia in check that game. But the Bulldogs offense is too good to be held down a second consecutive game. Florida ranks 73rd in run defense. The Bulldogs have a stable of outstanding running backs headed by D'Andre Swift. Georgia can beat Florida on the ground, or through the air behind Jake Fromm if the Gators bring their safeties into the box.  I don't see Florida's offense keeping up with a Bulldogs defense that gives up the 13th-fewest points per game at 16.3.  The Bulldogs crushed the Gators, 42-7, last season.Â
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10-27-18 | Oregon State v. Colorado UNDER 62.5 | 41-34 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
Oregon State is down to its third-string quarterback, sophomore Jack Colleto. The Beavers finished with seven points against Cal last week when Colleto replaced injured Conor Blount.  Colorado is coming off its two lowest yardage totals of the seasons, scoring just 33 points in its last two games. Laviska Shenault, the Buffaloes' star wide receiver, may not play because of toe injury.  There also is a weather element with winds in the 10-15 mph range being forecasted. All of this should result in an Under.
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10-27-18 | North Carolina +9 v. Virginia | 21-31 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Virginia is flying high posting upset victories against Miami and Duke during its past two games. North Carolina is 1-5. So this appears to be a letdown spot for the Cavaliers as it's difficult for a team to get up for three straight games especially when that team isn't dominant. Just don't be shocked if the Tar Heels pull the outright win. They are a very dangerous team now being healthy and having their suspended players back. North Carolina lost to Virginia Tech and Syracuse by three points apiece in its past two games with the loss to Syracuse coming in double overtime. The Tar Heels have covered six of their last seven ACC games and are 4-0 ATS in their past four visits to Virginia.  I find Virginia to be overrated. The Cavaliers are being overvalued here with this large of a spread. Jordan Ellis, the Cavaliers' leading rusher with 619 yards, is dealing with an ankle injury.    North Carolina has revenge for a 20-14 loss to Virginia last season. Before that, the Tar Heels defeated the Cavaliers seven consecutive times.  North Carolina quarterback Nathan Elliott is coming on. He threw for a career-high 321 yards and two touchdowns against Syracuse last week. He has gone 161 passes without an interception. The Tar Heels always have been able to run the ball ranking third in the ACC in yards per carry at 5.1.  There won't be a lack of points scored here. But North Carolina certainly will be able to keep up.Â
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10-27-18 | Army v. Eastern Michigan OVER 47 | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Army is averaging 41.6 points in its last three games. The Black Knights are the No. 2 rushing team in the country. Eastern Michigan ranks 111th in run defense.  The Black Knights have gone Over in 17 of their last 23 games against foes from the Mid-American Conference.  Eastern Michigan has picked up its offense averaging 35 points in its last two games.Â
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10-26-18 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +3.5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
There is plenty of value here with Boston College being this big of an underdog when it should actually be favored.  The facts are these: The Eagles are 4-0 at home and 5-2 overall. Their two losses have been to North Carolina State and Purdue. No shame in that especially since Purdue just upset Ohio State.  Boston College gets back star running back AJ Dillon from an ankle injury. Look for the Eagles' offensive line and ground game to control the line of scrimmage against the Hurricanes. This is the best running attack Miami has seen all season.  The warm-weathered Hurricanes will be playing in low 40-degree weather. They are are 1-4 in their last five road games and going up against an emotionally-charged Boston College and atmosphere. The game is being called "Red Bandanna/Service Day Game" to honor Welles Crowther, who was a former BC lacrosse player who saved the lives of several people during the 9-11 attacks before perishing.  Miami is going to have to contend with this road setting while still trying to get its quarterback situation settled. Malik Rosier is going to get the start after N'Kosi Perry's poor play in the Hurricanes' last game, a 16-13 road loss to Virginia. Rosier isn't a very good passer either. He's completing just 52 percent of his throws.Â
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10-20-18 | Vanderbilt +12.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
Kentucky is going through heady times right now ranked in the Top 25 for the first time in more than 10 years in football.  This has made the Wildcats overvalued in this rivalry matchup. Kentucky is at its worst in a favorite's role failing to cover the past eight times during the last two seasons.  Vanderbilt can play. Just ask Notre Dame, which is ranked higher than Kentucky. The Commodores lost to the Irish, 22-17. Vanderbilt has excellent skill position players with quarterback Kyle Shurmur, running back Ke'Shawn Vaughn and wide receiver Kalija Lipscomb.  I'm not a fan of Kentucky quarterback Terry Wilson. The Wildcats rely heavily on running back Benny Snell Jr. They are a one-dimensional team that the Commodores can handle.
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10-20-18 | North Texas v. UAB UNDER 55 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
North Texas has gone Under in all seven games this season. I'm going to ride that streak. Only once all season have the Mean Green allowed more than 24 points and that was 29 to Louisiana Tech.  UAB is a strong Under team, too, going below the total in 13 of its last 16 games. UAB has held opponents to just 14 points in three of its past four victories. The Blazers rank in the top-six in the country both in fewest yards allowed and fewest points given up.Â
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10-20-18 | Penn State v. Indiana UNDER 60 | 33-28 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
There are some talented skill position players involved in this matchup. But both defenses are decent and weather is going to factor heavily. The forecast in Bloomington this weekend is for winds in the 20-40 miles per hour range. Wind more than anything other weather element is the key for an Under. Penn State's offense went against Michigan State and Ohio State in its last two games and managed to average only 21.5 points against those quality opponents. Indiana's offense has cooled off since entering Big Ten play. The Hooisers have failed to score more than 26 points in any of their last four games.
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10-20-18 | Akron v. Kent State UNDER 52 | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show | |
Two struggling offenses meet in this matchup. Both team's have better defenses than offenses. Akron quarterback Kato Nelson is having a difficult time. The Zips have scored just 36 points during their last three games. They rank 125th in total yards. Kent ranks 115th in scoring. The Golden Flashes have broken the 24-point barrier only twice in seven games. They are averaging 16.6 points in their last five games.
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10-20-18 | Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU | 52-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Banged-up physically and mentally, TCU isn't going to be able to stay within double digits of Oklahoma.  The teams met twice last season and Oklahoma won by 18 points and 34 points, respectively. The Horned Frogs are worse this season. If it weren't for a close win against Iowa State, TCU would be 0-4 in its last four games. TCU quarterback Shawn Robinson has been plagued by turnovers. TCU has failed to break the 17-point barrier in each of its last three games. Oklahoma is primed for a strong defensive effort being idle last week after losing to Texas two weeks ago. Oklahoma has won 19 of its last 21 Big 12 road contests and is 6-0 ATS in this spot since Lincoln Riley took over. Kyler Murray can't be held in check by TCU.Â
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10-18-18 | Stanford -130 v. Arizona State | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
Stanford opened with four wins in a row. Then the Cardinal lost two in a row and everybody seems down on them. I'm not especially since they have Bryce Love back from his ankle injury.  The Cardinal losses came on the road to Notre Dame and to Utah when Love didn't play. Notre Dame is ranked fourth in the country. Utah has the best defense in the Pac-12.  When healthy, Love is the best running back in the country. He was a monster when Stanford beat Arizona State, 34-24, last season rushing for 301 yards and three touchdowns. Stanford has a strong offensive line that can open holes for Love against a Sun Devils defense giving up 227.3 rushing yards in their last four games.  Stanford has a coaching edge with David Shaw against Herm Edwards. This advantage is magnified with both teams coming off a bye.  The Cardinal have defeated the Sun Devils in five of the past six meetings. Stanford also has covered 14 of the last 18 times following a bye.Â
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10-13-18 | Wisconsin +10 v. Michigan | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
Jim Harbaugh has yet to prove he can really win a big game at Michigan. Wisconsin has lost by more than seven points only once it its last 26 road/neutral site games and that was to Alabama. So I'm taking the points.  The Badgers have the better offensive line and arguably the best running back in college, Jonathan Taylor. The key is Badgers quarterback Alex Hornibrook. He has been a steady force and actually has a strong 17-to-5 touchdown-to-interception road ratio.Â
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10-13-18 | New Mexico v. Colorado State -110 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This line is off. New Mexico was plus nine at UNLV last week. Now the line is around pick with the Lobos at Colorado State. I don't see it. I understand Colorado State has underachieved so far this season. But the Rams still average nearly 300 passing yards a game and their ground game picked up last week. The Lobos give up more than 33 points a game and rank 107th in total defense.  Colorado State also has defeated New Mexico eight consecutive times, including 27-24 on the road last season. The Lobos have failed to cover during each of their last five trips to Colorado State.  Don't expect the Rams not to be focused, though. They can't afford a home loss here with a road trip against Boise State looming next week if they want to make a bowl game.
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10-13-18 | Baylor +14.5 v. Texas | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Baylor has the ability to control clock and is good enough to take advantage of this flat spot to hang in against Texas. The Longhorns have won five in a row and are coming off a dramatic upset of Oklahoma last week. That's a huge rivalry game so the Longhorns' intensity figures to be down this week. They could take Baylor lightly knowing the Bears were beaten by Oklahoma, 66-33.  That's been a pattern of Texas this season playing to the level of its competition. The Longhorns failed to cover a 22-point spread against Tulsa winning by only seven points and they didn't cover against Kansas State the week before meeting Oklahoma, winning 19-14 as 8 1/2-point favorites.Â
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10-13-18 | Pittsburgh +22 v. Notre Dame | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh has casued Notre Dame problems in the past and is in a position to do it again. The Panthers have their confidence up after ending a two-game losing streak by defeating Syracuse, 44-37, in overtime last week. The Orange nearly had beaten Clemson the week before.  The Panthers have athletes. They shouldn't be outclassed especially considering the spot Notre Dame is in. The Irish are coming off emotional victories against ranked opponents Stanford and Virginia Tech. The Irish are idle next week and also facing mid-term exams. So their focus may not be all there.  Quarterback Kenny Pickett has been a disappointment for Pittsburgh. However, the Panthers have two solid runners, Quadree Ollison and Darrin Hall, to help maintain ball control. The two rushed for a combined 299 yards against Syracuse. |
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10-13-18 | Southern Miss v. North Texas UNDER 55.5 | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 6 m | Show | |
Southern Mississippi is much improved defensively yielding fewer than 19 points per game and ranking eighth in total yards.  North Texas has cooled off failing to break the 27-point barrier in its last two games, including scoring just 27 points against UTEP in its last game. The Miners have one of the worst defenses in the country.  But a big key to the Under here is weather. The forecast is 100 percent chance rain with winds in the 10 to 20 miles per hour range. Heavy rain and wind could force a lot more running plays. Neither team runs the ball well. The Golden Eagles rank 119th in the nation in rushing, while North Texas rates 87th.  Southern Mississippi also might be without its second-best wide receiver as Jaylond Adams is questionable with a leg injury.Â
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10-12-18 | Arizona +13.5 v. Utah | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
Utah was impressive in knocking off Stanford on the road last week. But that victory has made the Utes overpriced in this matchup against Arizona, which has come on to win and cover three of its last four games after opening 0-2 under its new coach, Kevin Sumlin.  Sumlin attempt to turn Khalil Tate into more passer than runner has drawn a lot of attention. What has been going under the radar is Arizona's defense, which is giving up 18.3 points per game during its first three Pac-12 Conference games.  Utah leads the Pac-12 in total defense and is No. 2 in scoring defense. Tate has had half the season to get comfortable as a dual threat. He has thrown 11 touchdown passes, but his rushing yards are way down. The Utes, though, still have to respect his legs along with those of J.J. Taylor, who is the third-leading rusher in the Pac-12.  The Wildcats are the No. 3 rushing team in the Pac-12. They can hang with Utah. The Utes have covered only once the past five times hosting Arizona.Â
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10-11-18 | Texas Tech v. TCU UNDER 62 | Top | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show |
TCU is fortunate not to have a three-game losing streak having nipped Iowa State in its last game on a field goal with 37 seconds left. The problem for the Horned Frogs, who were ranked 14th three weeks ago, is not their defense. That's still first-rate. It's struggling quarterback Shawn Robinson and an offense that managed just 16 points against Texas and 17 versus Iowa State in TCU's past two games.  Robinson has a 4-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last four games. He has failed to pass for more than 200 yards in all but one of TCU's five games this season. Darius Anderson, TCU's top running back, isn't helping either averaging 2.3 yards per carry in his last two games on 24 carries.  Texas Tech has a middle-of-the-road run defense. The Red Raiders can handle TCU's offense right now especially given Robinson's lackluster performances.  I also see TCU keeping Texas Tech's powerful offense in check just like last season when the Horned Frogs beat the Red Raiders in Lubbock, 27-3. TCU has the second-best scoring defense in the Big 12 yielding 20.8 points per game. The Horned Frogs also rank 12th in the country in fewest yards allowed per game.Â
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10-07-18 | Wyoming v. Hawaii -3 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 86 h 8 m | Show | |
Hawaii is better than expected this season especially quarterback Cole McDonald, who has already thrown for more than 2,000 yards and has a mind-boggling 24-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio.  Wyoming is bad this season. The Cowboys aren't getting the takeways like they did last season when they led the nation with 38 and they really miss Josh Allen. The Cowboys have failed to break 20-points in their last four games. They have just six takeaways and six sacks in their five games. Hawaii has a big home field advantage. The Rainbow Warriors also have a much superior passing attack and far more team speed. Hawaii won't take Wyoming lightly either after nearly losing to 1-4 San Jose State last week.Â
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10-06-18 | Colorado State -130 v. San Jose State | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show | |
This is far more of a fade on San Jose State than an endorsement of Colorado State although I believe the Rams are due to play better starting here.  San Jose State is 1-15 dating back to the start of last season. The Spartans are 0-4 this season and coming off a draining five overtime loss to Hawaii. Their defense, which ranks among the bottom-13 in the nation in yards, points and passing yards, is going to wear down fast after being on the field for more than 100 plays last week.  Colorado State is a cut above San Jose State even this season. The Rams have won seven or more games in each of the past five seasons. They defeated the Spartans, 42-14, last season outgaining them by nearly 300 yards. While the Spartans are off that five overtime loss, Colorado State was idle. The Rams are rested and ready to turn around their season. They are in a good starting position to do that with this patsy.
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10-06-18 | Indiana +27 v. Ohio State | 26-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Indiana is 4-1 and has the quarterback, running back and coaching to take advantage of a huge flat spot here for Ohio State. The Buckeyes pulled out a dramatic road victory against Penn State last week. The Buckeyes will be heavy favorites in their next three games , too, taking on Minnesota, Purdue and Nebraska following this game. So a letdown definitely is in store for the Buckeyes as they return home having staved off a major challenge by the upstart Nittany Lions. Indiana has covered in six of its last seven meetings with Ohio State. Peyton Ramsey leads the Big Ten in completion percentage and Stevie Scott is the fourth leading rusher in the Big Ten. Scott averages 6.8 yards per carry.Â
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10-06-18 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan UNDER 52.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm surprised to see a total this high when Central Michigan is involved. The Chippewas rank last in the nation in total yards and second-to-last in scoring averaging 16 points a game.  Buffalo has an above average defense ranking among the top 60 in fewest yards and points allowed. Central Michigan's puny attack should be easy for the Bulls to put down. The under has won in 10 of Buffalo's last 13 road games, too. Central Michigan has a far more respectable defense ranking sixth in pass defense and 26th in yards per play. Buffalo has a below average offensive line and running attack. So the Bulls will have to attack Central Michigan's strength.  There's a chance of rain in this matchup also, which would be a plus for the under.Â
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10-06-18 | Tulane v. Cincinnati -7 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Unbeaten Cincinnati has designs on making the Top-25. The Bearcats are yielding the second-fewest points in the nation at 12.2 and their offense is coming on behind quarterback Desmond Rider and running back Michael Warren.  I don't see visting Tulane slowing down the Bearcats. Tulane gives up nearly 30 points a game and ranks 108th in yards allowed. Cincinnati is averaging more than 600 yards of total offense during its past three games. The Green Wave have covered only of their last seven road games and are in a letdown spot after ending an 11-game losing streak to Memphis by upsetting the Tigers last week as 14 1/2-point home 'dogs.
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09-29-18 | UTEP v. UTSA UNDER 46.5 | 21-30 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 2 m | Show | |
The oddsmaker opened this total low - but not low enough given how putrid these offenses are and the slow tempo they play at.  Texas El Paso ranks last in the nation in scoring 13.5 points per game. Texas San Antonio isn't much better rating 123rd averaging 17.2 points. Both teams are among the bottom-eight in yards gained.  The defenses on these teams are much better than their offenses.  These are two of the worst teams in Conference USA so a conservative game plan should be in place with a chance for a rare win.  The Roadrunners have gone Under in their last seven Conference USA games. The Under also has cashed in four of the last five meetings. Â
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09-29-18 | Nevada v. Air Force OVER 64 | 28-25 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a large total, but not large enough for the game to go Under. Air Force beat Nevada, 45-42, last season. I can see a combined 80 plus points again in this season's matchup. The Wolf Pack's passing attack can do damage against an Air Force secondary giving up more than 290 yards through the air. Sparked by quarterback Ty Gangi, the Wolf Pack are averaging 40.8 points per game. Air Force lacks the pass rushers to slow down Gangi. Air Force, though, is going to be able to run on Nevada. The Falcons rank sixth in the nation in rushing. The Wolf Pack are used to going against throwing teams. The over has cashed in 25 of Air Force's last 37 games.Â
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09-29-18 | Old Dominion v. East Carolina -5 | 35-37 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 51 m | Show | |
Kudos to Old Dominion. The Monarchs stunned Virgina Tech, 49-35, as a 27 1/2-point underdog. The Hokies entered that matchup ranked 13th in the country. It was the biggest football victory in Old Dominion school history.  It also causes a monster letdown spot for the Monarchs especially going on the road. Before that stunning win, the Monarchs were 0-3 with losses by 42 points to Liberty, Florida International and Charlotte. The Monarchs failed to cover any of those games.  Old Dominion allows the sixth-most rushing yards in the nation and 35.8 points per game.  East Carolina has played a much more difficult schedule than Old Dominion. The Pirates pulled their own major upset during their last home games, beating North Carolina, 41-19, two weeks ago. The Pirates then hung tough as a 20-point 'dog last week in losing 20-13 to South Florida on the road. The Pirates defense is much improved, ranking 48th in scoring defense giving up 22.3 points. East Carolina ranks 51st in rushing offense.Â
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09-29-18 | South Alabama v. Appalachian State OVER 56 | 7-52 | Win | 100 | 31 h 60 m | Show | |
South Alabama has one of the worst defenses in the nation surrendering 42 points and 498 yards per game. The Jaguars offense, though, is coming on averaging 38 points in their last two games versus Texas State and Memphis. Appalachian State is sure to take advantage of South Alabama's shortcomings. The Mountaineers are the sixth-highest scoring team in the country at 51.7 points a game. Mountaineers quarterback Zac Thomas has a mind-boggling 195.2 quarterback rating.  I would not be surprisedi in the least if Appalachian State went Over this total by itself.
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09-29-18 | Purdue v. Nebraska +3.5 | Top | 42-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
No this isn't a misprint. Purdue really is more than a field goal road favorite against Nebraska. Perhaps the line is justified giving how disappointing Nebraska has been under Scott Frost opening 0-3 and that Purdue is coming off a 30-13 victory against previously unbeaten Boston College. That was the Boilermakers' largest win margin of a ranked opponent in 19 years.  But enough factors are at work here that I am confident in projecting Nebraska to win.  The Cornhuskers wouldn't look so bad if they were 2-1. But the final moments of their games against Troy and Colorado went against them. The Cornhuskers then laid an egg against Michigan during their first road game. Michigan played well and steamrolled Nebraska. I see the Cornhuskers bouncing back here at home.  Nebraska freshman quarterback Adrian Martinez has tremendous potential and is the right quarterback to operate the team's spread offense. This is the type of offense Purdue has trouble against. Martinez is a dual threat and has some of the best wide receivers in the Big Ten to throw to, including Stanley Morgan. He might be the No. 1 wideout in the conference.  On defense, Nebraska has the pass rushers to bother David Blough, who needs a clean pocket to be effective.Â
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado UNDER 59 | Top | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
To say that UCLA's offense has been a massive disappointment is still making an understatement. The Bruins rank 121st in the country in scoring at 17.3 points a game. They are 119th in yards at 319.7.  Sure it was going to take a while for Chip Kelly to install his offense and get it going. But this is borderline ridiculous. There is a quarterback controversy, but neither Wilton Speight nor freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson have been very good for UCLA. Turnovers, bad play-calling and horrible offensive line play have all factored, too. Things don't figure to pick up for the Bruins in this tough road setting in high altitude. Colorado leads the Pac-12 in sacks and tackles for loss per game. Buffaloes linebacker Nate Landman is averaging more than 11 tackles per game and has two interceptions in three games.  The Buffaloes are 3-0, but have played weak competition. I do believe Colorado quarterback Steven Montez is underrated, but his offensive line isn't that good and UCLA's defense will get turned around quicker than its offense. The Bruins are young, too, on defense, but have tremendous athletes and high level recruits manning the linebacker and secondary positions.Â
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09-22-18 | Arizona State +18.5 v. Washington | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
It's strange but true. Arizona State has won 11 of the past 12 games in this series, including winning last year. The Sun Devils have covered in their last eight visits to Washington.  The Huskies have the strongest defense in the Pac-12. Arizona State, though, is used to strong defenses having gone against Michigan State and San Diego in its past two games.  The Sun Devils have an explosive passing attack spearheaded by senior Manny Wilkins, who has thrown for back-to-back 300 yard games. He has dangerous receiving weapons, including N'Keal Harry, who I regard as the best wide receiver in the Pac-12. Washington hasn't seen receivers this good all season.  Washington has been just average on offense. I do like Myles Gaskin. However, the Huskies' offensive line isn't an elite unit and quarterback Jake Browning is overrated. He has four touchdown passes and four interceptions.  I think there is very good value in taking a number I consider inflated.Â
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09-22-18 | Rice v. Southern Miss OVER 53 | 22-40 | Win | 100 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
The last eight games in this series have gone Over. Look for that trend to continue. There were 77 points scored last season in Southern Mississippi's 43-34 road win.  Kwadra Griggs is back from a two-game suspension giving Southern Mississippi a pair of quarterbacks to torment a bad Rice defense as he joins Jack Abraham, who has moved the ball well but been hurt by turnovers. The Golden Eagles are averaging 37.5 points per game. They have experienced depth at wide receiver and facing a Rice defense that is among the bottom-20 in yards allowed and points surrendered at 38.7 per game.  Rice has yielded an average of 50.6 points in its last three games against Southern Mississippi.  Southern Mississippi has strong defensive numbers. But that's going against Jackson State and Louisiana Monroe. Rice has skill position talent, including quarterback Shawn Stankavage and running back Emmanuel Esukpa, who has topped 100 yards rushing twice in three games this season while averaging 5.4 yards a carry.
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09-22-18 | UNLV +7.5 v. Arkansas State | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show | |
Under Tony Sanchez, UNLV has received better coaching and recruiting. The Rebels have now reached borderline bowl status. They were right with USC on the road in their opener until the final couple of minutes and are off two confidence-building blowout victories.  The Rebels have the quarterback and ground game to hang with Arkansas State on the road. The Red Wolves have a strong tradition and also are historically well-coached. But their defensive front is nothing great and UNLV can attack it with dual-threat quarterback Armani Rogers and Lexington Thomas, one of the best running backs in the country. Only two teams average more than the Rebels' 346.7 yards on the ground. Arkansas State ranks 96th in stopping the run.  The weather forecast is in UNLV's favor, too. There is a chance of rain with wind in the 10-15 mph range. The Rebels are a running team while Arkansas State is the superior passing team.  The Rebels used to be patsies on the road. Not anymore under Sanchez covering eight of their last nine away contests. The Red Wolves have failed to cover in their last four home games.Â
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09-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +21 v. LSU | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 5 m | Show |
Louisiana Tech can put up points sparked by quarterback J'Mar Smith and running back Jaqwis Dancy. They've help the Bulldogs average 42 points.  Skip Holtz has taken the Bulldogs to a bowl game in each of the last four seasons. The Bulldogs have hung with other SEC foes during the past two seasons losing by one point to South Carolina last year and to Arkansas by one point two seasons ago.  This is an in-state game that Louisiana Tech is going to take far more serious than LSU, which is in a letdown spot and also caught in a division sandwich. The Tigers pulled out a one-point road victory against Auburn last week as a double-digit 'dog by scoring nine unanswered points in the fourth quarter.  LSU hosts Mississippi next week. That's an SEC matchup the Tigers will be pointing to not this non-conference game.  Note, too, LSU has yet to commit a turnover in three games. That's hard to sustain.Â
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09-22-18 | Pittsburgh -3 v. North Carolina | 35-38 | Loss | -119 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
This is turning into a lost season for North Carolina. The Tar Heels lost to California in their opener, were buried in Week 2 by East Carolina, 41-19, as 16 1/2-point road favorites and then didn't play last week against Central Florida because of Hurricane Florence.  The aftermath of this hurricane as made it very difficult for North Carolina to focus and prepare for this matchup. That won't be the case with Pittsburgh. The Panthers are in huge revenge mode. Their 34-31 loss to the Tar Heels cost them a bowl berth last year.  The Panthers have their confidence up after an impressive 24-19 home win against Georgia Tech last Saturday. Pitt has a good runner in Quadree Ollison and its quarterback, Kenny Pickett, played much better than he did earlier in the season. The Panthers shouldn't encounter problems going against a defense that yielded 510 yards of total offense to East Carolina.Â
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -3.5 | Top | 36-39 | Loss | -108 | 60 h 53 m | Show |
What is the oddsmaker trying to tell you by making USC, which is 1-2 and hasn't looked sharp, more than a field goal favorite against unbeaten Washington State? They are saying the Trojans are the superior team. I believe that, too. I envision the Trojans playing their best game of the season. Washington State has played far weaker competition than USC having beaten Wyoming, San Jose State and Eastern Washington, an FCS team. By contrast, USC has taken on Stanford and Texas during the last two weeks. Both of those losses came on the road. Now the Trojans are at the LA Coliseum where they have won 17 in a row, including 12 straight versus Pac-12 foes. This will be the fourth start for J.T. Daniels, one of the most highly recruited quarterbacks in the country. Daniels has tremendous talent and dangerous receivers. USC's running backs are better than they have shown so far especially Stephen Carr.  Washington State no longer has its star quarterback, Luke Falk. Gardner Minshew, a transfer from East Carolina, has done well as the Cougars' quarterback. But this is a real step-up game for him. The Trojans have an overall talent edge and bursting frustration that is ready to be let loose here.Â
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09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State UNDER 49.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 38 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona State is giving up 10 points per game and just held Michigan State to 13 points at home. The Sun Devils rank No. 1 in run defense and catch a break in that San Diego State will be without senior starting quarterback, Christian Chapman. He holds the most wins in Aztecs' history. Chapman suffered a knee injury last week and won't play.  ASU's defensive coordinator, Danny Gonzales, held that position last season for San Diego State. So he'll hold a lot of inside information about the Aztecs.  San Diego State is strong defensively, too. This is no surprise since the Aztecs are coached by Rocky Long. San Diego State ranked 21st in scoring defense last year. The Aztecs have held their past three home opponents to an average of 15.6 points a game. The Under has cashed in 71 percent of the Aztecs' last 29 home games.Â
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09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State +6 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 20 m | Show | |
Those who doubted Herm Edwards in his return to coaching - and college at that - are quiet these days after the Sun Devils reached the top-25 for the first time in four years with a tremendous 16-13 home upset of Michigan State this past Saturday.  The Sun Devils played their guts out coming from 10 points behind in the fourth quarter and were rewarded by beating the Spartans at the gun on a field goal. Up next for Arizona State following this game is a huge Pac-12 matchup against Washington. So this is just a terrible spot for the Sun Devils especially going on the road. San Diego State has no such look-ahead. The Aztecs host Eastern Michigan in a non-conference game next Saturday.  Early money has come on Arizona State despite its situation because San Diego State won't have senior starting quarterback Christian Chapman. He's more game manager, though, as the Aztecs rely on running back Juwan Washington. He's the third-leading rusher in the nation with 314 yards in two games.  This is Edwards' first road game with the Sun Devils. ASU is 6-13 ATS in its past 19 away contests.Â
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09-15-18 | UMass v. Florida International OVER 62 | 24-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
Flordia International rolled past UMass, 63-45, in the final regular season game last year. Now the teams are back at it and there will be plenty of scoring again. Perhaps not 108 points like last year, but enough to go above this total. UMass is bombs away. FIU can't stop the pass. So the Minutemen will pile up points. They play up-tempo, which is a huge plus for the Over. But the Golden Panthers also easily will score because they will control the line of scrimmage and have the skill position talent to light up a weak UMass defense.Â
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09-15-18 | UTSA v. Kansas State UNDER 47 | 17-41 | Loss | -113 | 117 h 15 m | Show | |
Through two games, Texas San Antonio statistically ranks as one of the worst offensive teams in the nation. The Roadrunners played Baylor and Arizona State. They are averaging 13.5 points and rank among the bottom three in total yards and rushing yards. The Under has cashed in seven of the Roadrunners' last nine games.  Kansas State is a running team that plays at a very slow pace. The Wildcats are dropping way down in class going from Mississippi State to this opponent. Kansas State has a much bigger opponent, West Virginia, on deck. So the Wildcats are not going to show anything fancy. This will be a grind out, type of win perfect for an Under play.Â
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09-15-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 15 m | Show |
Look for offenses to rule this game. Pittsburgh is not going to be able to stop Georgia Tech's running attack. The Yellow Jackets have rushed for more than 400 yards in each of their two games, including piling up 602 total yards last week against South Florida in a 49-38 road loss.  Georgia Tech quarterback TaQuon Marshall should be fine after missing some time in that game with a toe injury. Pittsburgh surrendered 44 points in the last 31 minutes of its last game, a 51-6 loss to Penn State.  The Panthers' passing attack and quarterback Kenny Pickett should be much sharper this week. Their ground attack did go for 245 yards versus the Nittany Lions. Georgia Tech allowed South Florida quarterback Blake Barnett to account for 293 yards and four touchdowns.Â
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09-08-18 | USC v. Stanford -6 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 55 h 39 m | Show |
Stanford just isn't Bryce Love. KJ Costello has become a star quarterback and he has one of the best wide receivers in the Pac-12, JJ Arcega-Whiteside.  The Cardinal rolled past San Diego State, 31-10, last week despite Love rushing for only 29 yards. Costello and Arcega-Whiteside made up for that teaming up for 226 receiving yards and three touchdowns.  Costello not only has great skill position weapons, but a strong offensive line. USC can't match that firepower with freshman J.T. Daniels making his first road start. The Trojans just led UNLV by five points in the fourth quarter before pulling away although failing to cover the spread.  Stanford was perfect at home last season. The Cardinal also have double revenge from last season. USC coach Clay Helton has a terrible record when taking points. The Trojans are 1-8 SU and ATS since 2015 as underdogs.Â
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09-08-18 | Cincinnati v. Miami-OH UNDER 51 | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 59 h 54 m | Show | |
Intensity should be up for this in-state rivalry matchup. The Under has cashed in four of the last five head-to-head meetings. There were just 38 points scored last season when Cincinnati won, 21-17. Defense should carry the day again this time around. Miami has an inexperienced offensive line and a predictable offense. Cincinnati limited UCLA to 306 total yards in upsetting the Bruins, 26-17, last week. Cortez Broughton had 3 1/2 sacks for Cincinnati in that game. He and fellow defensive tackle Marquise Copeland should allow the Bearcats to control the line of scrimmage.  UCLA had a number of players suspended in that game and doesn't have a strong defense. Yet the Bruins held Cincinnati to 285 yards. The Bearcats may be without their leading rusher from last season, Gerrid Doaks, for another week. He's dealing with a groin injury. The Bearcats still have an usettled quarterback situation.  Weather is another factor on liking the Under. The forecast is for winds around 15 mph and a strong possibility of rain.Â
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09-08-18 | Ball State +34.5 v. Notre Dame | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Notre Dame easily could overlook Ball State having just won a huge marquee game against Michigan last week. Ball State finished last season with nine straight losses. The Cardinals are underrated, though. Ball State set a school record in piling up 652 yards in a 42-6 victory against Central Connecticut State last Thursday. The Cardinals got huge games from quarterback Riley Neal and running back James Gilbert, both of whom missed the last nine games with injuries last year. They make Ball State a better-than-perceived team.  The Cardinals should be more excited about this matchup than Notre Dame. This is the first meeting between the two Indiana-based schools. Ball State also has covered nine of its last 11 games in September.Â
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09-07-18 | TCU v. SMU OVER 58.5 | Top | 42-12 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
This total has come down enough where I'm going to get involved strongly believing that there are going to be a lot of points scored here. There is around a 40 percent chance of rain, but very slight wind. I'll take that in order to get a total this low on this matchup. There were 92 points scored in last year's matchup won by TCU, 56-36. The Horned Frogs could put up 60 by themselves. SMU gave up 36 points through three quarters to North Texas in its opener, losing 46-23.   TCU shouldn't have any problems against this defense with a balanced attack and quarterback Shawn Robinson looking good last week in a 55-7 opening win versus Southern. Robinson threw for three scores completing 17 of 24 passes and also ran for two more. SMU surrendered 444 passing yards to North Texas State. That doesn't bode well for the Mustangs.   I'm not a fan of SMU coach Sonny Dykes. He is offensive-minded, though, and the Mustangs will be throwing a lot as they aren't going to be able to run the ball against TCU. SMU quarterback Ben Hicks can put up points with his passing. Hicks has thrown the most touchdowns in SMU history. He threw for 3,569 yards and 33 touchdowns last season.  SMU constantly is going to be attacking through the air, something I want an underdog to be doing when I'm going Over a total. I also like that the game is being played on a fast track at Gerald Ford Stadium, which uses FieldTurf. Â
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09-01-18 | Old Dominion v. Liberty OVER 58 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
I see both these teams scoring a lot of points based on their offensive strengths, which fit the opponent's defensive weakness.  Old Dominion should pile up the rushing yards with Jeremy Cox running behind an experienced and talented offensive line.  Liberty has an outstanding passing game led by quarterback Stephen Calvert. The Flames have nearly all of their top receivers back, too. Old Dominion has a vulnerable defensive backfield.Â
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09-01-18 | Boise State v. Troy +10 | Top | 56-20 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 8 m | Show |
Troy lost some key people from a year ago, but the Trojans are home in a revenge spot and dangerous in an underdog role. They proved that upsetting LSU as a 20 1/2-point road 'dog last season.  The Trojans have won a combined 21 games the past two seasons under Neil Brown. This is a solid program under Brown that has a strong recuriting base. So the talent is there.  Boise State figures to struggle initially with its passing game and Troy has a top-notch secondary.  Boise State is making a long trip and going into high southern heat.Â
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09-01-18 | Texas State v. Rutgers -16.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
Rutgers is going to relish a chance to bury an opponent and built up its confidence. The Scarlet Knights have had the defense. Now they have the makings of a decent offense to accomplish this against an overmatched opponent. Boston College transfer Jon Hilliman leads a good crop of Rutgers running backs that includes talented Raheem Blackshear and Jerome Washington is one of the better tight ends in the country. Freshman quarterback Art Sitowski was an "A" level recruit.  How bad is Texas State? The Bobcats have won three games the past two years. Texas State didn't intercept a pass last season and only once in two seasons did its offense produce at least 14 points in non-conference FBS play.Â
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08-31-18 | Western Kentucky v. Wisconsin OVER 52.5 | 3-34 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 47 m | Show | |
Wisconsin should come close to covering this total by itself. The Badgers have maybe the top runner in the country, Jonathan Taylor, a decent quarterback in Alex Hornibrook and all five returning starters on their offensive line.  Western Kentucky surrendered 30 or more points during each of its last six regular season games last year. The Badgers should have no problem wearing this defense down.  The Hilltopppers are going with a more up-tempo offense with head coach Mike Sanford calling the plays. Sanford's strength is running an offense. Western Kentucky's ground attack should be much improved, too, with a deep set of runners and athletic fifth-year senior Drew Eckels at quarterback.Â
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 46.5 | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 36 m | Show | |
New Mexico State could manage only 135 yards - 93 of which came during a final touchdown drive in garbage time - and seven points in losing 29-7 at home to Wyoming this past Saturday. Now the Aggies go on the road to face Minnesota, a Big Ten team that ranked 36th in scoring defense last year giving up 22.8 points per game.  I don't see the Aggies having nearly enough time to straighten out their offensive line woes especially while going against a better defense.  Minnesota, though, doesn't figure to put up many points either. The Gophers are going with a true freshman at quarterback, Zack Annexstad. So don't expect the Gophers to come out throwing. They have a solid running back in senior Rodney Smith. He should get lots of carries, which will eat clock.  New Mexico State's defense was much improved last season under second-year defensive coordinator Frank Spaziani. The Aggies should be able to hold their own against Minnesota's bland offense.  Weather could play a factor, too. The forecast is for wind in the 10 mph range with a chance of thunderstorms.Â
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State UNDER 58 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
Opening college football games, especially in this Week 0 before the first full week kicks off next weekend, can be tricky. This matchup, though, projects to be lower-scoring that the oddsmaker anticipates. Hawaii averaged just 17.6 points in its last five road games. The Under has cashed in its last six Mountain West Conference games.  The Rainbow Warriors are going with a run-and-shoot type of offense featuring lots of quick-hitting short passes. This isn't the best offense to play an Under on. However, Hawaii has a lot of inexperience. The Warriors are going to go through growing pains with this offense. They aren't to be in sync this early in the season. Hawaii is breaking in a new quarterback after Dru Brown transferred to Oklahoma State. The Warriors also lost Dylan Collie to BYU. Collie led Hawaii in receiving last year.  The Rainbow Warriors' attack may not have its full concentration either because of the damage Hurricane Lane is causing in Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors also have to deal with a four-hour time difference and higher elevation. Note, too, the game is being played on a grass field, which is slower than a turf field.  Colorado State has good linebackers and its secondary has some key returners. Where the Rams took a massive hit was in their offense. Gone are three of their best players in school history - quarterback Nick Stevens, receiver Michael Gallup and running back Dalyn Dawkins. Colorado State lost four of its top five wide receivers and is breaking in three new offensive line starters.  So I envision both offenses being off-kilter. If Colorado State were to grab a big lead, I could see the Rams calling off the dogs and playing very conservatively knowing they meet in-state rival Colorado on the road next Friday.Â
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01-08-18 | Alabama -4 v. Georgia | 26-23 | Loss | -108 | 132 h 57 m | Show | |
I want Alabama going for me here. The Tide beat Clemson in impressive style while Georgia had to launch a monster comeback to defeat Oklahoma in double overtime.  The Tide had the less taxing bowl playoff game and a shorter distance to travel back home from New Orleans. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are coming off a very dificult game in which they came back from a 31-17 halftime deficit and had to return all the way back from the West Coast having defeated the Sooners in southern California.  Alabama and Georgia shared common opponents Auburn, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt and Tennessee. Combining those games, the Tide came out with a plus 279 yardage mark against those four common foes to Georgia's plus 115. The Tide also recorded the better offensive and defensive yards per play statistics.  Note, too, that Georgia coach Kirby Smart was Nick Saban's defensive coordinator before becoming the Bulldogs' head coach last season. Former Saban assistant coaches have squared off against their mentor 11 times - and are 0-11. Each of Alabama's victories against these coaches was by 14 or more points. Â
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 45.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -115 | 132 h 56 m | Show | |
Alabama is the best defensive team in the country. The Crimson Tide went into their playoff bowl game against Clemson ranked No. 1 in scoring defense, total defense and run defense. They then proceeded to hold the Tigers to six points. Clemson entered that game averaging 33.3 points a game. Alabama has held nine of its 13 opponents to 10 or fewer points.  Georgia finished the regular season ranked fifth in scoring defense and sixth in total yards. The Bulldogs gave up 14 points or fewer to 10 of their 13 regular season opponents. But a wild 54-48 double overtime game against Oklahoma last week may have influenced the oddsmaker to open this total too high.  The Bulldogs are stepping way up in defensive class taking on Alabama instead of Oklahoma. Georgia coach Kirby Smart was Nick Saban's defensive coordinator before taking over as the Bulldogs coach. He knows the Tide and should have a solid defensive game plan in place. Â
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01-01-18 | LSU v. Notre Dame +3.5 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
I see these teams as near even with Notre Dame slightly better. So I'll gladly accept points here. I like Notre Dame's running back depth better and offensive line where they have two projected first-round draft picks. Guard Quenton Nelson is expected to be the first offensive linemen selected in the draft. I also prefer Brandon Wimbush to Danny Etling at quarterback.  The statistics of these two teams are very close. Notre Dame, though, has a clear edge in averaging 6.4 yards per run while allowing 4.0 yards compared to LSU averaging 4.9 and 3.9 defensively. The key is who runs the ball better and that's another checkmark for Notre Dame, which rates seventh-best in the nation.  Strength of schedule also favors the Irish. This was not a great year in the SEC. LSU had its worst losses against Mississippi State and Alabama. The Tigers also were shocked by Troy. The Irish are the healthier team, too, especially at linebacker.  The line is shaded towards LSU because Notre Dame lost late games against Stanford and Miami both on the road. The Irish are refreshed and have regrouped now. They are the team worth backing.Â
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin v. Miami-FL UNDER 45 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
I like both of these defenses very much. But it goes farther than that. The Badgers are a running team that plays at a very slow tempo. The Badgers aren't going to get caught up in any type of track meet or passing game. Not with Alex Hornibrook at quarterback. Wisconsin learned its lesson in the Big Ten title game loss to Ohio State when its offensive line got whipped at the line of scrimmage.  Miami has an excellent defensive line and is highly opportunistic. The Hurricanes have forced 22 turnovers during their last seven games. Hornibrook has been picked off 15 times this season. The Badgers will stay on the ground even if they fall behind.  How good is Wisconsin's defense? It ranked No. 1 in fewest yards per game and in run defense. The Badgers also surrendered the third-fewest points per game in the nation just 13.2.  Miami is going to struggle to move the ball. Hurricanes quarterback Malik Rosier isn't a high percentage passer completing less than 55 percent of his throws.Â
 The Hurricanes averaged just 8.5 points in their last two games against Pittsburgh and Clemson. |
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12-29-17 | NC State -6.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 52-31 | Win | 100 | 93 h 28 m | Show |
North Carolina State is a superior team to Arizona State. Now throw in the Sun Devils coaching upheaval and I see North Carolina State winning this game by more than a touchdown.  The Wolfpack were in national playoff contention, but couldn't beat Notre Dame and Clemson. No shame in that. The Wolfpack aren't in that elite class. But they are a level higher than Arizona State.  North Carolina State has bowl experience winning bowl games in two of the past three seasons. The Wolfpack field one of the most experienced teams in the country with 22 seniors. These seniors have accomplished going to a bowl three straight seasons so they want to end their college careers on a high note.  Ryan Finley threw for more than 3,000 yards for North Carolina State this season while completing nearly 64 percent of his passes. He has a deep group of receivers, who can take advantage of Arizona State's 118th pass defense. The Sun Devils ranked 88th in scoring defense allowing 31.2 points per game.  North Carolina State's defense is much stronger giving up fewer than 25 points per game and ranking 28th in run defense. The Wolfpack have a stout defensive line and ASU allowed the 10th-most sacks in the country.   The kicker here is Arizona State's coaching situation. The Sun Devils fired Todd Graham and hired Herm Edwards, which was a bizarre hire in my opinion. The Sun Devils' offensive coordinator, Billy Napier, and defensive coordinator, Phil Bennett, then left the program. Napier departed to accept the head coaching job at Louisiana-Lafayette and Bennett left for personal reasons. So newcomer Edwards doesn't have either of his coordinators.Â
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12-28-17 | Stanford +3 v. TCU | Top | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
These are two strong defensive teams. Stanford is holding foes to 21.5 point a game, 25th-best in the country. The oddsmaker, of course, knows this. That's why we have a relatively low total here. So points matter. And I'll gladly accept them with Stanford, who I rate as better than TCU. Stanford has gone to a bowl game nine straight seasons. The Cardinal has won their last three bowl games. I really like them as underdogs in the David Shaw era as they've covered 80 percent of the time in 15 games in that role under Shaw. Stanford beat Washington by eight points and Notre Dame by 18 as an underdog this season while also covering as a 'dog against USC in the Pac-12 championship game.   TCU quarterback Kenny Hill has failed to step up in big games. His worst games came away from home, too.  I prefer Stanford's power ground attack headed by speedster Bryce Love. The Horned Frogs are not used to facing this type of offense. They play an unorthodox 3-3-5 defense. This defense is geared to stop the numerous spread offenses in the Big 12 not the type of offense Stanford employs.Â
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12-27-17 | Missouri v. Texas +3 | Top | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
Missouri is overrated and Texas' Tom Herman is one of the great underdog coaches.  The Tigers haven't beaten a good team all season. All of their SEC victories were against sub .500 teams.  Texas has a much better defense than Missouri and I like Herman far more than Tigers coach Barry Odom.  If you go back to when he was Ohio State's offensive coordinator and go through when he was the head man at Houston and now at Texas, Herman is an astounding 15-1 ATS (94%) as an underdog. The Longhorns rank sixth in the nation in run defense. They held five opponents to 14 points or less.  Texas' defense will be able to handle Missouri's spread attack having faced multiple spread offenses this season along with great quarterbacks Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph. Texas went 3-0 ATS against those quarterbacks holding USC to 24 points in regulation, Oklahoma to under 30 points and Oklahoma State to 10 points in regulation, which was 36 points under the Cowboys' season average.  The Longhorns have their quarterbacks healthy and are facing an inferior defensive team. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -3 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
I like South Florida's defense and its quarterback, senior Quinton Flowers. These strengths provide South Florida a strong enough edge to cover this short number.  Flowers is a dangerous dual threat with his passing and running ability. The Red Raiders faced three elite quarterbacks this season - Baker Mayfield, Mason Rudolph and Will Grier - and lost to all three of them.   Texas Tech doesn't have the offense to trade points with South Florida especially going against a rugged Bulls defense that ranked 37th in scoring defense, 28th in total defense and 22nd in run defense. Texas Tech Nic Shimonek was ineffective enough to get pulled late in the season.  The Red Raiders earned their bowl berth by getting to six wins with a 27-23 victory against Texas to finish the regular season. That victory likely saved Kliff Kingsbury's job. I doubt the Red Raiders can reach the same level of intensity now that Kingsbury is safe and the team achieved their goal of making a bowl game. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 14-37 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen gets the publicity. That's partly why the Cowboys are favored here. But Allen is a better pro prospect than college player. I find him to be overhyped due in part from a drop in statistics from his junior season plus having a mediocre offensive line and lack of playmakers surrounding him. He's also not 100 percent bothered by a sore shoulder.  The Cowboys' leading rusher produced just 474 yards and they had only one receiver with more than 27 receptions.  By contrast, Central Michigan quarterback Shane Morris is surrounded by skill position weapons. The Chippewas improved as the season went on. They enter this bowl game playing their best ball winning and covering their past five games. Central Michigan averaged 41.2 points in its past five games. The Chippewas beat good MAC teams, too, during this stretch defeating Northern Illinois, Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan by a combined 26 points. The spot isn't bad either for the Chippewas. They are more excited and motivated to be traveling to a bowl game while this venue is a letdown for Wyoming, which played in the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego last season.  I consider Central Michigan to be the superior team. So getting points is a nice bonus. Â
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International OVER 57 | 28-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 2 m | Show | |
You can toss the season statistics out when handicapping this matchup. Both offenses for Temple and Florida International are better than their season numbers. Both offenses have gotten hot down the stretch and I see that continuing in this Gasparilla Bowl to be played in sunny, 75-degree weather in St. Petersburg, Fla. Temple is coming off a 43-point performance against Tulsa. The Owls' offense picked up after a quarterback switch to Frank Nutile. If you discount their game against Central Florida, the Owls averaged 34.8 points in their last five games once Nutile became the established quarterback.  Florida International closed out its season averaging 52 points during its final two regular season games in victories against Western Kentucky and Massachusetts. The Panthers scored 30 or more points in four of their last six games. They also led the nation in scoring percentage inside the red zone going 39 for 40. Temple has one of the worst red-zone defenses in the country.Â
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech +5 v. SMU | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
I like both team's offenses. But Louisiana Tech has the better defense and has far more bowl experience. SMU also is going through a coaching change making this an awkward spot.  Chad Morris led the Mustangs to their first bowl game since 2012. But Morris resigned after three season at SMU to become coach at Arkansas. This was less than two weeks ago. Morris took most of his offensive staff with him leaving new head coach Sonny Dykes to go over bowl preparations. I'm not a fan of Dykes. I prefer Louisiana Tech coach Skip Holtz much more than Dykes.  Louisiana Tech has been to a bowl game each of the last three seasons - winning each time. This is the inaugural Frisco Bowl, which is being played in Frisco, Texas. It's less than 30 miles from Frisco to Dallas. So SMU could have bigger crowd support. On the other hand, it has to be boring for the Mustangs not getting to go anywnhere for their first bowl appearance in five years.  Louisiana Tech has experience in this region, too. The Bulldogs won the Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth last year and also was victorious in the Heat of Dallas Bowl in 2014.  SMU allowed 35.5 points a game. The Mustangs ranked 122nd in total defense and 113th in scoring defense. SMU enters this matchup going 1-3 in its last four games with the lone winning during this span coming at home, 41-38, against Tulane in a game it failed to cover. The Mustangs have covered only one of their last seven games.  Louisiana Tech ranked 66th in total defense and scoring defense giving up 26.7 points. The Bulldogs are good at forcing turnovers, too, tying for 11th in interceptions with 16.Â
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State OVER 61.5 | Top | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 279 h 7 m | Show |
The oddsmaker thought he set a high enough total on this game. He didn't. Middle Tennessee State's overall offensive statistics are skewed because its star quarterback, Brent Stockstill, missed around half the season.  Stockstill returned four games ago and Middle Tennessee State averaged 36 points in those games.  Arkansas State has one of the most potent offenses in the country ranking 11th in total yards at nearly 500 a game, sixth in passing yards and 15th in points averaging 38.5 per game.  Neither team is strong defensively against the pass. So it's easy to forsee a shootout between Stockstill and Justice Hansen. The Red Wolves rank 91st in pass defense.  Another plus for the Over is that each team plays at a fast tempo.Â
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Sharp money has come on Georgia and I can understand why. The Bulldogs are in a huge revenge spot and Auburn is coming off a huge home win against Alabama.  The Bulldogs have the best running attack in the SEC with Nick Chubb and Sony Michel and a defense that gives up the fourth fewest yards per game in the country. I don't see Auburn stopping the Bulldogs on the ground like it did in the first meeting. |
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12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC UNDER 59 | Top | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 58 h 28 m | Show |
USC rushed for 302 yards in beating Stanford, 42-24, back in early September. That's the most yards Stanford has allowed since David Shaw became its coach in 2011. I don't see that happening again in this rematch, which will decide the Pac-12 championship.  Stanford hasn't allowed more than 24 points during its last eight games - seven games against Pac-12 opponents in a wide open throwing conference and powerful Notre Dame. During this span, the Cardinal are giving up an average of 15.6 points a game. The Under has won in seven of these last eight Stanford games.  Stanford has the pass rushers, particularly senior Harrison Phillips, to bother Sam Darnold and also will be very aware of the run knowing how USC dominated on the ground in the first meeting. Phillips is No. 1 in the country in tackles for losses with 16 1/2.  Note, too, that the first meeting was played at USC. This one is at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, which is known for having a very loose and slippery grass field.  I see the Trojans doing well on defense also. The Cardinal is now going with redshirt freshman quarterback K.J. Costello. He's averaging 130 yards passing a game. The Cardinal relies heavily on running back Bryce Love, who isn't 100 percent because of an ankle injury. Stanford is very methodical on offense, which runs clock.  |
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11-25-17 | Colorado +10.5 v. Utah | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm very surprised this line is so high. Both teams will be sky high for this matchup with bowl eligibiity at stake for each squad. Recent history indicates a close gamed as the last six meetings have all been one-score finals with the average victory margin being 5.3 points.  I really like Colorado's balanced attack with running back Philip Lindsey, who ranks No. 2 in the Pac-12 in yards from scrimmage, and quarterback Steven Montez, who has come on throwing for more than 300 yards during the past three games. Lindsay has scored 14 touchdowns and three Colorado receivers have more than 500 yards receiving.  Utah is coming off a disappointing 33-30 road loss to Washington in which the Utes blew the game by allowing 10 points in the final 58 seconds. That dropped Utah's record to 1-6 in Pac-12 games. The Utes have lost at home to Washington State, Stanford and Arizona State as a 10-point favorite.  Colorado, on the other hand, has had two weeks to prepare for this game after a much needed bye last week. Utah last had a bye in September. So I'm expecting the Buffaloes to be the fresher team and certainly well prepared.Â
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11-25-17 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 48.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Sparked by star running back Ray Lawry, Old Dominion has taken its offense up a notch scoring a combined 61 points during its last two games. Lawry has rushed for 278 yards and scored three touchdowns during this span. Middle Tennessee State can't just key on Lawry either because the Monarchs have a balanced attack. The Blue Raiders are going to get their share of points with Brent Stockstill back at quarterback. He's facing an Old Dominion defense that yields nearly 31 points a game. |
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11-25-17 | Duke +11.5 v. Wake Forest | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Duke needs to win to keep its bowl hopes alive. Wake Forest already is bowl eligible.  The Blue Devils are 5-5 with four of their defeats coming by seven points or less. Duke stopped the bleeding with an impressive 43-20 win against Georgia Tech last week as a 6 1/2-point home 'dog.  This is the first time Duke hasn't been favored in this series in five meetings. Only one of the last 10 games in the series has been decided by more than 11 points. That was Duke's 41-21 victory against the Demon Deacons in 2014. Wake Forest has a strong offense. But Duke's defense should keep them in this game. The Blue Devils are 25th in scoring defense surrendering more than 24 points just twice.
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11-24-17 | Western Kentucky -135 v. Florida International | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -135 | 52 h 10 m | Show |
Not only is Western Kentucky the superior team and playing better than Florida International, but the Hilltoppers have tremendous motivation. Western Kentucky is trying hard to gain a foothold in recruiting Florida players. So they really want to look good here. A possible bowl bid is at stake, too, for Western Kentucky.  Quarterback Mike White came up huge for Western Kentucky last week throwing for 485 yards and five touchdowns in a 41-38 triple overtime victory against Middle Tennessee State. White is a native of Pembroke Pines, Fla., which is only about 25 minutes from where this game is being played. White is one of 11 Florida players on Western Kentucky.  Florida International lost to Middle Tennessee State, 37-17. The Golden Panthers also lost 37-30 at home to Old Dominion, a team Western Kentucky defeated 35-31 on the road earlier this season.  The Golden Panthers are not playing well. In the last two weeks, they've not only lost to Old Dominion, which averages a meager 21 points a game, but also to Florida Atlantic, 52-24. Florida International yielded 333 yards rushing in that loss.  The Hilltoppers have covered four of the last five against the Golden Panthers, including wining 49-21 last year.Â
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11-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan -13 | 31-34 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm expecting very little from Bowling Green, which is 2-9 SU and ATS. Mike Jinks hasn't done a good coaching the Falcons. It wouldn't shock me if he was out after this season.  Eastern Michigan is far better than its deceiving 4-7 mark. The Eagles have lost six games by a total of 23 points. Three of their losses occurred in overtime. They are 18-6 ATS during their past 24 games, a solid money-maker. The Eagles have superior coaching with Chris Creighton their defense is much better than Bowling Green's. The key comes down to motivation. I see the Eagles, with many seniors, wanting this game more than Bowling Green.The Falcons gave a strong effort for a half against rival Toledo last week before giving up in the second half and getting buried.Â
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11-18-17 | New Mexico State v. UL-Lafayette +4.5 | Top | 34-47 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
This has been an underdog series with the 'dog getting the money in seven of the past eight meetings.  That should be the case again this year as I see no justification for making New Mexico State a road favorite against Louisiana Lafayette. The Aggies were road favorites against Georgia Southern and Texas State. Those two teams are a combined 2-17. The Ragin' Cajuns are a clear cut above those bottom feeders.  Each team is 4-5 trying hard to get two more victories to become bowl eligible. Lafayette still has a chance to claim a share of the Sun Belt Conference title and has a much better pedigree than New Mexico State having gone to a bowl game in five of the last six seasons. This also is Lafayette's homecoming game.  The Aggies have a poor November history, too, failing to cover 17 of the past 25 times during November. The Ragin' Cajuns are off a bad road loss to Mississippi, but had four players suspended for that game, including their starting running back and leading rusher Trey Ragas. They will have them all back for this matchup. Ragas will be fresh, too.  New Mexico State has the better passer in Tyler Rogers. But he's thrown 15 interceptions. That's more than twice as many interceptions as the Ragin' Cajuns quarterbacks have thrown.Â
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11-18-17 | Syracuse v. Louisville UNDER 73 | 10-56 | Win | 100 | 40 h 12 m | Show | |
Syracuse has a good offense - and its high totals like this reflect that. The Orange, though, have gone Under in 11 of their last 13 ACC games. Syracuse QB Eric Dungey missed the last game with a leg injury. So his status and condition could be a factor that favor the Under.  Louisville is playing better defense. The Cardinals held Virginia to 21 points, 277 yards and had four sacks last week.  Another key factor here is weather. Heavy winds are forecast along with around a 70 percent chance of rain. That could mean more running plays. Syracuse isn't a great running team and Louisville's defense is better versus the run.Â
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11-18-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern UNDER 47 | 0-52 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 47 m | Show | |
South Alabama has gone Under in eight of its last nine games. It's not a shock. The Jaguars have one of the top defenses in the Sun Belt Conference, but only average 22.1 points a game, which ranks 107th in the nation. |
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