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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-15 | Clippers -145 v. Suns | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
The Clippers are several levels higher than the Suns. But the line is short here because the Suns have been idle since Sunday and the Clippers are 1-3 in their last four games and playing without rest after losing, 118-108, on the road to Dallas last night. |
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11-11-15 | Spurs -7 v. Blazers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Not only are the Spurs far superior to the Trail Blazers, but the schedule lays out for them. The Spurs last played on Monday and won't play again until Saturday when they host lowly Philadelphia. |
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11-11-15 | Pistons v. Kings -120 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
The Kings are a much better team with DeMarcus Cousins in the lineup. Cousins is back after missing four games. |
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11-11-15 | Bucks v. Nuggets -144 | 102-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
The Bucks are without Michael Carter-Williams and O.J. Mayo. They also will be missing Jabari Parker, who is sitting this game out after playing last night. |
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11-11-15 | Clippers v. Mavs +7 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is the home game the Mavericks have had circled ever since DeAndre Jordan backed out of his word to come to Dallas. After Jordan verbally agreed to sign with the Mavericks in free agency, various Clippers personnel came to his home and convinced him to change his mind. |
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11-10-15 | Mavs v. Pelicans -123 | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Desperate, revenge, overdue. Any of those words fit the Pelicans' situation for tonight. New Orleans is 0-6. It's the Pelicans' worst start in 11 years. Now New Orleans hosts Dallas. The Pelicans just lost 107-98 to the Mavericks in Dallas this past Saturday. It's a short turnabout revenge spot. The Pelicans were missing Jrue Holiday, who is working his way back from a leg injury. He should play today. New Orleans has too much talent to stay winless with Anthony Davis, Holiday, Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson. Davis is unquestionably the best big man in the game averaging 25.2 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2.8 blocks. The Mavericks are in similar to the Pelicans in that some of their key veterans are rounding into shape coming back from injuries. They had a lot of players miss training camp and being on minutes restrictions. It's taking time for the Mavericks, with a bunch of new faces, to get acclimated. Dallas is down this season. The Mavericks are not the playoff caliber squad of past seasons. The Mavericks also have a huge look-ahead game as they host the Clippers on Wednesday. That's their home grudge match game of the year after the Clippers stole free agent DeAndre Jordan from them after Jordan gave his word he'd sign with Dallas. This is a circle-the-wagons game for New Orleans. The Pelicans' next three games are on the road starting Wednesday at Atlanta where they will be heavy underdogs. |
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11-09-15 | Bulls -7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
The winless 76ers are as bad as they have been during their last two tanking seasons. |
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11-08-15 | Lakers v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The records show the Lakers to be 1-4 and the Knicks 2-4.Â
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11-06-15 | Nuggets +18 v. Warriors | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
It's dangerous to step in against Golden State. But this is a clear flat spot for the Warriors. |
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11-05-15 | Grizzlies -4 v. Blazers | 96-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Portland is breaking in four new starters, has a weak bench and carries a heavy fatigue rating playing for the fifth time in seven days.Â
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11-04-15 | Kings +9 v. Suns | 97-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
Sacramento was rusty and minus DeMarcus Cousins when it lost, 103-89, to Memphis last night. The timing wasn't good for the Kings. They had been idle since Saturday, while the Grizzlies were super fired-up having been embarrassed by 50 points by Golden State on Monday night. |
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11-04-15 | Nets +8.5 v. Hawks | 87-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
The Nets won't be lacking for motivation. The Hawks eliminated them in the first round of the playoffs last season. Brooklyn played Atlanta tough in that series taking the heavily favored Hawks to six games while covering four times. |
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11-04-15 | Spurs v. Wizards +4 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
The Wizards finally proved they could beat the Spurs, winning 101-93 at home last Jan. 13. That ended a 17-game losing streak to San Antonio. |
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11-03-15 | Grizzlies -5 v. Kings | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
It's difficult to come back on the Grizzlies after they lost by 50 points to the Warriors last night to begin their season-long five-game, nine-day road trip. |
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11-02-15 | Grizzlies +9 v. Warriors | Top | 69-119 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
 Memphis has proven it can hang with Golden State taking the defending champions to six games in the playoffs last season, including winning Game 2 at Oracle Arena, 97-90. The Grizzlies have their same cast of rough customers that helped them to finish in the top five in defensive scoring each of the last four years. This figures to be a fierce, intense battle with the Grizzlies out for revenge. Memphis has covered in seven of its last 10 visits to Golden State. The Warriors haven't seen a defense this good yet. Golden State has looked good in going 3-0. But two of the victories came against 0-3 New Orleans, which ranks last in defense, has injuries and point guard Jrue Holiday playing limited minutes. The Warriors' other victory occurred against the struggling 0-3 Rockets, who rank 25th defensively and 28th in defensive shooting percentage. Steve Kerr has yet to return to the bench and big man Andrew Bogut is questionable. |
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11-02-15 | Thunder -2 v. Rockets | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
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10-31-15 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
The Pelicans have revenge for last season's playoffs when the Warriors swept them four games. New Orleans did cover three of those matchups, though. |
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10-30-15 | Blazers v. Suns -4.5 | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Look for a Suns bounce back after Phoenix was blasted by Dallas, 111-95, two nights ago. |
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10-30-15 | Jazz -7 v. 76ers | 99-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Utah closed as one of the hotter teams in the NBA last season going 21-11. The Jazz were the strongest defensive club in the league down that stretch. The Jazz's priority is to start fast this season. That didn't work out in their first game, a 92-87 road loss to Detroit. Utah plays again on the road in their next game. All together, the Jazz open with a brutal slate of eight of 10 road matchups. So this game has high priority for Utah. The 76ers, on the other hand, have a different priority. They have a young, short-handed roster - only nine healthy players and an extremely weak bench - and are in rebuilt mode again playing for the future. It was not a surprise the Celtics blew out Philadelphia two nights ago. The 76ers could have the worst offense in the league. It's a big concern of their coach, Brett Brown. Utah has won the last five in this series, holding the 76ers to an average of 77 points on 34.6 percent shooting in last season's two victories. |
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10-30-15 | Thunder v. Magic +8.5 | 139-136 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a dangerous, flat spot for Oklahoma City. The Thunder were impressive in beating San Antonio, 112-106, at home two nights ago. Up next for the Thunder following this game is a home game on Sunday versus 1-0 Denver followed by a road game against Houston on Monday. |
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10-29-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Let's not overreact to one game. The line is shorter than normal for this matchup because the Hawks lost their opener on Tuesday at home to the Pistons while the Knicks upset the Bucks on the road last night. |
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10-29-15 | Grizzlies -142 v. Pacers | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Memphis had an off-night last night. But the Grizzlies match up up extremely well to the Pacers, who aren't nearly as tall and physical without Roy Hibbert. The Pacers not only are small now, but they have chemistry issues and are getting readjusted to Paul George being back. So the spot is right for Memphis. |
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10-28-15 | Hornets +6.5 v. Heat | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Charlotte was impressive during preseason going 7-1. The Hornets traditionally are good in an underdog role. They have a healthy Al Jefferson and Kemba Walker. Those two missed a combined 37 games last season. |
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10-28-15 | Jazz -115 v. Pistons | 87-92 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jazz open their season tonight. Utah was one of the better teams after the All-Star break going 19-10. The Jazz put up the best defensive statistics in the league during that span. |
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10-28-15 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 198 | Top | 95-112 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The 76ers' offense is going to be way down early in the season. This is partly due to injuries to Robert Covington, Tony Wroten and Nik Stauskas. 76ers coach Brett Brown admitted his team's offense is going to be terrible admitting that his young team - no player in the rotation above 24 - needs to work more on studying than specific game planning. |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
The Pelicans have been waiting all offseason for this opening matchup after Golden State ended their season by sweeping them in the playoffs. New Orleans did cover three of the four playoff games and I see the Pelicans covering here, too. |
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10-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -150 | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a good spot for Chicago in Fred Hoiberg's coaching debut. The Bulls are home and in revenge mode after the Cavaliers beat them in six games during the Eastern Conference semifinals last season. |
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06-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 91-104 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
There is too much value to overlook here on the Cavaliers. The Warriors took advantage of Cleveland's tired legs to blow out the Cavaliers in Game 4. |
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06-11-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 193 | Top | 103-82 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
All three games in this NBA championship Series have gone under the posted total during regulation. It hasn't been that close either as they've gone under by an average of 13.3 points. I get that the series has been about outstanding defense, particularly Cleveland's defense. |
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06-09-15 | Golden State Warriors -113 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 91-96 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 36 m | Show | |
A combination of the Cavaliers winning Game 2 and now returning home has caused a seven-point adjustment in the line from Game 2. |
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06-09-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 194 | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -102 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
A drop of 10 points from Game 1's closing number helps put me on the over in this Game 3 matchup of the Warriors-Cavaliers. |
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06-07-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors -6.5 | Top | 95-93 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 47 m | Show |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 162 h 44 m | Show |
Golden State has been minus 9 1/2, or higher, in each of its eight home playoff games versus the Pelicans, Grizzlies and Rockets. The last time the Warriors were this low of a home favorite was Jan. 5. |
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05-24-15 | Atlanta Hawks +9.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
I don't believe it's a leap of faith to believe the Hawks can keep things close in this matchup. If the Hawks are going to win a game in this series this is their spot. |
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05-22-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 197.5 | Top | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
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05-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks -109 | 97-89 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
I don't see the Hawks getting into a hole right away by losing this Game 1 at home. Both teams have had ample time to prepare, but Kyrie Irving is hobbled. Â |
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05-19-15 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -10 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
Not only are the Warriors far superior to the Rockets, but the situation sets up well for them. |
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05-17-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 220 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show | |
All six games of this series have gone over the total. Once again we have the highest total of the series. It takes a lot of things to fall into place to exceed this high of a number. |
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05-17-15 | Los Angeles Clippers -125 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 100-113 | Loss | -125 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
What are the oddsmakers saying by making the Clippers a road favorite against the Rockets in Game 7? They're telling you the Clippers are the better team - and I agree. |
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05-15-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -145 | 94-91 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Forget that the Hawks went 60-22 during the regular season and Mike Budenholzer was named coach of the year. |
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05-14-15 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 220 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
All five games of this series have gone over the total. Now we have the highest total of the series in this Game 6. |
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05-13-15 | Washington Wizards +8 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
Atlanta played one its best game of the playoffs in Game 4 defeating the Wizards on the road, 106-101, two nights ago. The Hawks shot a series-high 47.1 percent from the floor and sank 9-of-19 3-point shots. |
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05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls +5.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The last two games have been decided on final shots. These teams are very close. |
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05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies +5 | Top | 101-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Maybe the oddsmaker considers the Grizzlies beating the Warriors in Game 2 AND Game 3 a fluke. I don't and have the statistics and matchups to back it up. |
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05-10-15 | Houston Rockets +7.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 95-128 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
Do I have concerns about the Rockets' lack of defense, basketball savvy and mental toughness? |
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05-09-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies +5 | Top | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
This isn't the regular season. The Warriors may be the best team in the NBA, but they have to prove it again. I don't see them having an easy run trying to accomplish it. |
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05-08-15 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 217 | 99-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
The zigs and zags of trying to master the NBA playoffs just don't come when playing sides. Totals also have to be considered. |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -125 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
The Cavaliers won their must-win home game on Wednesday. But now the scene shifts to Chicago - and things change. |
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05-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Perhaps the Bulls are better than the Cavaliers when Cleveland is minus Kevin Love and J.R. Smith. |
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05-05-15 | Washington Wizards +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 90-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Forget the Zig/Zag and the Hawks being the superior team. Neither is going to hold up here. |
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05-04-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | Top | 99-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
Despite missing Kevin Love and suspended J. R. Smith, I don't see the Cavaliers falling to the Bulls in Game 1. |
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05-03-15 | Washington Wizards +5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
Damn the perception. The fact is the Wizards are road playoff warriors. They've proven that the past two seasons going 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS. Now they catch a break with the scheduling of this game. |
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05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 204 | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
The Spurs are averaging 104.6 points during the last five games of this series. The Clippers are averaging 107.4 points in the series if you discount their Game 3 performance. |
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05-01-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 200.5 | Top | 111-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Fatigue is setting in as the Hawks-Nets head into today's Game 6. Atlanta played its starters a lot of minutes in Game 5, while Brook Lopez is hitting the wall for Brooklyn. The Nets' inside scoring takes a tremendous hit if Lopez isn't on his game. |
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04-30-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
I'm not convinced San Antonio is the superior team, let alone can cover this mid-range spread. The Clippers' stars are in their prime and in a must-win spot. Their NBA championship window can close as fast as aged San Antonio's in today's rapidly changing NBA.  NFL Draft Props |
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04-29-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 200 | Top | 97-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Forget the Nets' 120-115 overtime victory two nights ago. There is not going to be 235 points scored in this pivotal Game 5 matchup. I don't see the Nets and Hawks combining to break 200. |
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04-28-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -7 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Now that Dallas got its victory in Game 4 at home, I don't see the Mavericks showing up here. |
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04-27-15 | Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 115-120 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Take away the first quarter of Game 1 and you could say the Nets have been the better team during the past 11 quarters of this series. The Nets served a big wake-up call to the Hawks by finally prevailing in Game 3, 91-83, at home this past Saturday. Atlanta isn't playing nearly as well as it did earlier this season, averaging 10 points less per game so far in the playoffs than it did during the regular season. But I don't like the makeup of the Nets. Most of their best players are past their prime, they don't have a strong fan base with Barclays Center estimated to be only about 40 percent full at tip-off in Game 3 and Deron Williams isn't physically right. The Hawks are due to play much better. Their backcourt players missed 24 of 30 shots from the perimeter in Game 3. The open looks were there, for the most part, the shots just weren't dropping. Kyle Korver, Jeff Teague and Al Horford were only a combined 8-for-33 from the floor. The prideful Hawks are extremely well-coached and play with far more precision than Brooklyn. Atlanta's intensity is sure to be up. Cleveland is resting now after sweeping the Celtics and the Bulls are likely to close out the Bucks today. So the Hawks have a great deal of urgency to turn in their "A" game. They can't let this series get knotted at 2-2 and then face at least two more games. Williams is battling both injury and ineffectiveness missing 13 of 15 shots from the floor during the last two games while dealing with tendinitis.  |
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04-26-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Last Sunday, the Clippers opened their first-round series against the Spurs winning, 107-92, at home. |
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04-25-15 | Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Pelicans +7 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State wins games. But the Warriors don't cover point spreads. They are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games, 0-6 during their past six matchups. |
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04-24-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 204 | Top | 73-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
This total would make more sense if it were a regular season game. It's not, though. This is playoff basketball and it comes following an overtime game two nights ago. |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 | 113-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Bucks improved by 26 games from last season after finishing with an NBA-worst 15-67 record two seasons ago. They are well-coached, have a good bench and are past their early playoff jitters. This is an effort-team with heart. |
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04-23-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics OVER 203.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Boston doesn't have the height or any kind of defensive stopper to prevent LeBron James and Kyrie Irving from penetrating and either scoring inside or dishing off for open look jumpers. The Cavaliers have made 52 percent of their two-point shots in the series and that's with Kevin Love hitting only 8-of-22 from the floor. Love should pick up his scoring making Cleveland's offense even more deadly in this game. |
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04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -6 | Top | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Memphis beat Portland, 100-86, in Sunday's Game 1 playoff game. I see the Grizzlies winning again by double digits at home in Game 2. The Trail Blazers have a key injury, are suffering from lack of confidence and do not match well against the physical Grizzlies. The Grizzlies could have buried the Trail Blazers by even more as they led by 24 points entering the final quarter. Memphis owns Portland. The Grizzlies have won and covered all five meetings this season, winning three of them by double-digits. Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four visits to FedEx Forum.  This is where the Trail Blazers really miss Wesley Matthews, their highly underrated, all-purpose swingman. The Grizzlies are able to clamp down on Damian Lillard while their tall, bruising front court players keep LaMarcus Aldridge in check. The Trail Blazers don't have any other consistent scoring weapons. C.J. McCollum certainly isn't ready for prime time and Arron Afflalo has missed the past four games with a sore shoulder. Even if he plays today his shooting can't be relied upon. Not only did Mike Conley show he could deal with his painful right heel that had kept him out of the last four games of the regular season, but defensive whiz Tony Allen also played strong, too, in Game 1 for the Grizzlies in his first action since March 27. Allen had three steals. Conley should perform even better now that he knocked some of the rust off. Backup Grizzlies point guard Beno Udrih, meanwhile, has been playing extremely well. He had 20 points, seven assists, seven rebounds and did not turn the ball over in 24:12 minutes of action in Game 1. The Grizzlies ranked No. 2 in fewest points allowed per game during the season. Portland is a finesse team, extremely vulnerable to the physical Grizzlies. Lillard missed 16 of 21 shots from the floor and had only three assists in nearly 40 minutes. Portland could manage just six fastbreak points in Game 1 as the Grizzlies controlled tempo. That's not going to change here. If anything it's going to get worse judging by the matchup issues the Trail Blazers face and their sagging body language, which shows a realistic lack of faith against this opponent in this tough setting.   |
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04-21-15 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors OVER 191 | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
You would think each of these teams could reach 96 points. I do. . |
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04-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks +8 v. Chicago Bulls | 82-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Bucks are going to come hard at the Bulls here. The intensity level has risen. Points should be hard to come by. |
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04-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Bulls beat the Bucks, 103-91, in Game 1 of the series for a combined 194 points. There were 59 points scored during the first quarter. After that the teams settled down to average 45 points a quarter during the final three quarters. If the scoring pace for the last three periods of Game 1 follows form the combined total would be 180. |
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04-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 205 | Top | 92-107 | Loss | -115 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
The last time these teams met was at Staples Center on Feb. 19. The Clippers won, 119-115, for a combined 234 points. DeAndre Jordan missed 18 free throws in 28 attempts during that game. |
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04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show | |
Cleveland closed 33-9 and in my view is the best team in the Eastern Conference. Nothing less than a championship is the Cavaliers' goal. So Cleveland doesn't want to mess around with Boston. |
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04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 203 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Look for LeBron James and Kyrie Irving to take advantage of Boston's lack of size by aggressively driving to the hoop. Nobody goes to the hoop stronger than James - and the Celtics lack the interior defense to stop him. Cleveland basically scored at will versus Boston when James played against them this season. |
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04-18-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls -7.5 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
Much is being made of Derrick Rose's sore knee, but the Bulls don't need Rose to be on his "A" game to cover this number against the Bucks. |
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04-15-15 | Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks -4 | 105-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
On the surface this game is meaningless as both Boston and Milwaukee have clinched playoff berths. |
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04-15-15 | Detroit Pistons -6 v. New York Knicks | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Detroit is 14 games better than New York. The Pistons average seven more points per game than the Knicks. Â |
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04-14-15 | Toronto Raptors +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
First of all, this line has moved considerably since I first put it out. I like Toronto - even as a short favorite - but I would only recommend the Raptors as a one unit wager now since the early value has been lost. Here is my analysis on the game: Outstanding job by the Celtics this season to make the playoffs. But the young Celtics aren't better than Toronto and will be hard-pressed not to avoid a letdown after clinching a playoff spot last night when the Nets lost to the Bulls. |
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04-13-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
This is bad on bad, but the Lakers are worse than the Kings and really don't want to win due to lottery positioning. |
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04-13-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Utah Jazz -10.5 | Top | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Utah cares about this game - with triple revenge motivation and this being its last home game of the season. |
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04-12-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This matchup should have a playoff-type intensity with both teams desperately needing to win in their respective bids to earn a postseason berth - and I want the points with the Western Conference team. |
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04-12-15 | Sacramento Kings +10 v. Denver Nuggets | 111-122 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Sacramento has key injuries. DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay - the Kings' two best players by far - are both out. |
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04-11-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 213.5 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
All trends point to an under here and so does the situation. |
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04-11-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +14.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is an awkward spot for the Bulls. They just returned home following a three-game road trip that culminated in a satisfying victory two days ago against Miami. Following this game, the Bulls have a more challenging matchup on Monday at Brooklyn. This is Chicago's lone home matchup during a one-week span. |
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04-10-15 | Memphis Grizzlies -3 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is the first of a three-game road trip for the Grizzlies, who are locked into a close race for playoff seeding in the West. Memphis could tumble all the way from being the No. 2 seed to being the sixth seed. That could happen if the Grizzlies lose here. |
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04-10-15 | Phoenix Suns v. New Orleans Pelicans -9 | 75-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
It's official now. The Suns aren't making the playoffs for the fifth consecutive season. |
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04-09-15 | Chicago Bulls +1 v. Miami Heat | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Both teams have playoff incentive. Miami is favored because its home and Chicago is playing without rest. |
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04-08-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +17 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 91-116 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a cluster injury problem. The plus to that, though, is the Timberwolves have motivated youngsters playing for their futures with fresh legs. They also have probable Rookie-of-the-Year Andrew Wiggins, who has scored 20 or more points in seven of his last eight games, and veteran sharpshooter Kevin Martin, who scored 37 points last night. |
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04-08-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 | 74-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams, but the situation is ripe for Memphis. |
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04-08-15 | Atlanta Hawks +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The perception is the Hawks are going to roll over for the Nets. That's not going to be the case here. |
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04-07-15 | Los Angeles Lakers +17.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
These two teams just met this past Sunday and the Clippers blew out the Lakers, 106-78. That game opened as low as Clippers minus 11 1/2. Now look at where the point spread is. |
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04-05-15 | Los Angeles Clippers -12.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 106-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
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04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
A lot has changed since Duke defeated Michigan State by 10 points back on Nov. 18 in the Champions Classic. |
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04-03-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Sacramento Kings +6 | Top | 101-95 | Push | 0 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
All the attention and focus for this matchup is on New Orleans. The Pelicans have won three in a row and are battling hard with Oklahoma City for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. |
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04-01-15 | Chicago Bulls -4.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 91-95 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
The Bulls are in the hunt for the No. 2 playoff seed in the East. The Bucks are trying to hold on for a playoff spot. Not only is there a major class difference between these two teams, but the Bulls are in much better current form. |
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03-31-15 | Stanford -2 v. Old Dominion | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
I want the Pac-12 team going for me here at this short point spread range against Old Dominion of Conference USA. The Monarchs joined Conference USA just two years ago making the jump from the Colonial Athletic Association. |
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03-31-15 | Stanford v. Old Dominion UNDER 138 | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 20 m | Show |
This is too high of a total with Old Dominion involved even with the new shot clock rule in place. The Monarchs play at an extremely slow pace and are very strong defensively. Only seven teams in the country gave up fewer points per game than Old Dominion, which has held foes to 56.8 points a game.  |
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03-31-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 199 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Frank Vogel is one of the more underrated coaches in the NBA. The Pacers have always been strong defensively under Vogel. They rank fifth this season in giving up the fewest points per game and are fourth in defensive field goal percentage. |
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03-30-15 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 185.5 | Top | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Utah's defense has slipped. The Jazz are allowing an average of 98 points in regulation during their last five games. |
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03-30-15 | Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 195.5 | 116-104 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams are more about defense than offense. Both are digging hard to make the playoffs so I'm expecting an intense matchup with a lot of defensive emphasis. |
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03-29-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns -115 | 109-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is the Suns' season if they want to make the playoffs. Oklahoma City won't have the desperation Phoenix does with a 2 1/2-game lead on the Pelicans and three-game lead on the Suns for the final playoff spot in the West. |
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03-29-15 | Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 89-103 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
First off, this isn't a fade on San Antonio. The Spurs are making their move playing their best basketball with Kawhi Leonard healthy and Tony Parker at long last stepping up his game. |
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03-29-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +17 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 86-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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03-28-15 | Denver Nuggets +9 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
The Nuggets are a much improved team since Melvin Hunt replaced clueless Brian Shaw. Denver is 8-6 under Hunt and can prove dangerous in the right spot. |
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