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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
The Raptors find themselves in a must-win spot here by virtue of losing Game 1, 102-96, in overtime at home this past Tuesday. A Toronto loss to Miami in this Game 2 could set up a Heat sweep with Games 3 and 4 in Miami. |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
First off, these are two outstanding defensive teams. Cleveland gave up the fourth-fewest points per game in the NBA while the Hawks ranked first in defensive field goal percentage and was the top-ranked defensive team since the All-Star break. |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -8 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
A mere 12 hours after dispatching the Chris Paul and Blake Griffin-less Clippers in six games, the Trail Blazers left for the Bay Area to meet Golden State for this Sunday matinee. |
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04-29-16 | Clippers +10 v. Blazers | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
No Chris Paul, no Blake Griffin. No chance for the Clippers. We know this. They know this. But the Clippers still have enough pride and talent to not go gently into the night against one of the weaker and more inexperienced playoff teams. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets -121 | 97-90 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won three in a row. The Hornets are playing far better right now than the Heat. Charlotte has confidence and is the fresher, deeper team. The Hornets also have home-court advantage and a chip on their shoulder, a hungry bunch determined to earn respect and attention, which they haven't gotten yet. This is their chance - and everything lines up in their favor, including a fair price in which to back them. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 190 | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
The last three games in this series have all gone under. Miami hasn't broken 90 points during these past three games. The result is the lowest opening total of the series - down some nine points from the closing Game 1 total. |
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04-28-16 | Hawks -123 v. Celtics | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Boston has a strong home-court. Granted. But the Hawks are the better - and healthier - team. That matters the most here. Stephen Nover's NFL Draft Props Usually you're paying high juice. But NFL draft props are beatable. The books are sitting ducks as updated - and key - information becomes available leading up to the event.Â
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04-27-16 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | 81-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
A lot changes with Stephen Curry out. The Warriors know they have to tighten their defense and change their style. Steve Kerr is a sharp enough coach and has the pieces to make the necessary adjustments with his team's versatility and depth. |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
I don't see upstart Charlotte beating the veteran Heat three straight times. Charlotte got back into the series by winning the last two - both at home.
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04-26-16 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 191.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
The first four games of this series have all gone under. The highest combined score between the two teams was 190 points in Game 1. So why buck the odds and go over for this Game 5?Â
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04-25-16 | Mavs +14.5 v. Thunder | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Down 3-1 to the Thunder, I don't see the Mavericks' proud veterans mailing in this game. Dirk Nowitzki and Co. have a lot of pride and are much better coached under Rick Carlisle than Oklahoma City is under rookie NBA coach Billy Donovan.Â
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 217 | 121-94 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Things are back to normal for Golden State with the return of Stephen Curry. That means a high-scoring game. |
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04-24-16 | Warriors -8 v. Rockets | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I expect Stephen Curry to play - and play well. He has recovered from his sprained ankle. The Warriors are due for a good shooting game. They averaged an NBA-best 48.7 percent from the floor during the regular season, but have shot just 42.9 percent in Game 1 and 43 percent in Game 3. Houston is not a strong defensive club. Only five clubs gave up more points per game than the Rockets. The Warriors received their wake-up call and the Rockets got their measure of respect during Thursday night's 97-96 Houston victory. Despite that loss, Golden State still has defeated Houston 14 of the past 16 times. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS following a victory. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs -11.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-87 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
No home-court isn't going to matter. Neither is better execution. The crippled Grizzlies are simply totally overmatched by the Spurs. It's not a fluke San Antonio has held the Grizzlies to an average of 71 points in jumping out to a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs are one of the greatest defensive teams ever.Â
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04-21-16 | Raptors -115 v. Pacers | Top | 101-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Paul George can't play any better. Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan can't play any worse going a combined 17-for-63 shooting from the floor for 27 percent. |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
Boston and Atlanta put up a combined 203 points in the Hawks' 102-101 Game 1 victory this past Saturday. Those teams reached that figure despite missing 116 field goal attempts and going 16-for-62 from 3-point range. The Celtics shot just 23.1 percent in the first half and didn't score a single fast-break basket.Â
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04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
This isn't your normal No. 1 versus No. 8 seed matchup. Cleveland has the big names - LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love - but the talent gap between these two clubs isn't as large as perceived. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 204.5 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta is underrated defensively. The Hawks were No. 1 defensively following the All-Star break in surrendering the fewest points (96.8) per 100 possessions. They have the defense and preparation to effectively stop Isaiah Thomas, the Celtics' major offensive weapon. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
Brad Stevens has gotten as much of his limited Celtics team as possible. The Celtics lack Atlanta's front-line talent - especially dealing with Al Horford and Paul Millsap - and lack the size to take advantage of the Hawks' rebounding weakness.Â
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04-16-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 195 | 100-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
It's easy to envision offense when thinking about Toronto because of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowery. But only San Antonio and Utah surrendered fewer points per game than the Raptors. Indiana is no slouch defensively, either, ranking eighth in fewest points per game. |
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04-13-16 | Spurs v. Mavs -4.5 | 96-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Spurs have no incentive to win here and will be holding out their main players, including LaMarcus Aldridge, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard. |
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04-11-16 | Kings v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
Phoenix actually is playing well winning back-to-back road games and covering four of its last five. |
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04-10-16 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 207 | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Charlotte ranks eighth defensively. Only seven teams give up fewer points per game than the Hornets. If you discount the Cavaliers scoring 112 points on them, the Hornets are giving up an average of 93.1 points per game during their last six games. They've held their past three opponents to 97 or fewer points. |
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04-08-16 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 183 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At last look the Jazz were favored by a dozen points against the Clippers. No, Karl Malone and John Stockton haven't suddenly been transported in time. Doc Rivers has said he'll be resting Clipper starters. Blake Griffin didn't even make the trip. Hence, such an out of whack point spread. |
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04-06-16 | Nets +15 v. Wizards | Top | 103-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
We know the Nets are playing the string out. But let's be realistic about the Wizards, too. They are three games below .500 and 3 1/2 games out of the final playoff spot in the East behind Detroit with five games remaining. |
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04-05-16 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 184.5 | Top | 88-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Sure on paper, this low total seems right where it should be. San Antonio is the best defensive team in the NBA and Utah is giving up less than 89 points per game during its last 13 matchups. |
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04-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | Top | 111-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
After 54 consecutive regular-season home victories, the Warriors finally lost at Oracle Arena knocked off by the Celtics, 109-106, in their last game two nights ago. How will Golden State respond? I believe they respond in a big way with a blowout home victory against Portland, a team that dealt the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season back in February. |
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04-02-16 | Villanova v. Oklahoma OVER 143.5 | Top | 95-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The total on this Final Four matchup opened 150. Now look where it is at. Is the oddsmaker that far off? He shouldn't be. Not in a game of this magnitude. There are certainly key factors why the over is the right play besides what has become excellent line value now. |
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04-01-16 | Raptors v. Grizzlies OVER 197 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Minus Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, the Grizzlies aren't the elite defensive team of past seasons. They have allowed at least 100 points in 11 of their last 14 games and an average of 104.2 points during their past four games. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Since Jan. 10, only Golden State and San Antonio own better home records than Portland's 16-3 mark. Not only do I believe the Trail Blazers are better than the Celtics, but they are home and in a better spot. |
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03-30-16 | Old Dominion v. Oakland -125 | 68-67 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The finals of the inaugural Vegas 16 Tournament pits Old Dominion versus Oakland. It's a total contrast of styles. The Monarchs are the seventh-best defensive team in the country while the Golden Grizzlies are the top scoring team in the nation. |
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03-30-16 | Warriors -5 v. Jazz | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors are chasing the 1995-96 Bulls for best record in a season. They are far superior to Utah. The spread is low enough to back Golden State. |
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03-29-16 | Oakland -6.5 v. E Tennessee State | Top | 104-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I have no doubt Oakland is superior to East Tennessee State. My hesitation about backing Oakland in this Vegas 16 Tournament - the most minor of all the post-season  tournaments - is how motivated will the Golden Grizzlies be after having their sights set on reaching the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2011. |
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03-28-16 | East Tennessee State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 155 | Top | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
East Tennessee State and Louisiana Tech are two of the highest-scoring teams in the nation ranking 36th and 58th, respectively. They should light up the scoreboard playing at a neutral site in Las Vegas in the inaugural Vegas 16 Tournament. |
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03-28-16 | Lakers +14 v. Jazz | 75-123 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
So when did the Utah Jazz turn into the Golden State Warriors? I haven't seen the Jazz laying this many points since the days of John Stockton and Karl Malone. |
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03-27-16 | Wizards -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Absolutely must-win spot. Revenge angle. Better team. All of those fit why I like the Wizards to steamroll the Lakers. |
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03-26-16 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 204 | 92-111 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
These teams met just two weeks ago and the line was 211 1/2. The Spurs won 93-85 at home. Now the total has been adjusted downward way too much - especially considering how many key players the Spurs will be missing. |
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03-26-16 | Pacers -4.5 v. Nets | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Paul George is iffy, but even if it doesn't play I like the Pacers to cover this number against the Nets. Brooklyn still could be in the clouds after upsetting the Cavaliers two nights ago. |
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03-26-16 | Oklahoma v. Oregon -120 | Top | 80-68 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
On paper, Oregon doesn't appear to be an elite team. Certainly the Ducks don't have a superstar like Oklahoma has with Buddy Hield. But this is a bad matchup for the Sooners. |
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03-25-16 | Gonzaga -4 v. Syracuse | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
These two were long shots entering the NCAA Tournament, but here they are in the Sweet 16. I believe Gonzaga is for real while Syracuse is a tier lower than the Bulldogs catching several breaks to reach this point. |
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03-25-16 | Magic +10 v. Heat | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Early marketplace activity has been on the Heat here, which is understandable since the perception is Miami will be fired-up after an embarrassing 112-88 road loss to the Spurs. The Magic should be up for this game, the last of a four-game road trip, against an in-state rival that has bullied them through the years. Orlando is 10-4 ATS following a defeat. The Magic also are 8-4 ATS in their past 12 games at this spread. |
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03-24-16 | Cavs v. Nets +8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
I'm going to fire now on the Nets anticipating that Tyronn Lue is going to rest some of his key Cavaliers, maybe even LeBron James, which would likely result in a lower number. The Cavaliers are playing for the fifth time in seven days and off a hard-fought 113-104 home win against Milwaukee last night with James and Kyrie Irving each logging at least 37 minutes. |
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03-24-16 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -135 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 64 h 27 m | Show |
When Texas A&M takes the court against Oklahoma in this Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup, the Aggies still might be hearing about pulling off the largest final-minute comeback in college basketball history. Their 92-88 double overtime win against Northern Iowa - coming from 12 points down with 34 seconds left in regulation - is one for the ages. |
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03-22-16 | Hornets v. Nets +6 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a natural letdown spot for the Hornets traveling to play a weak foe less than 24 hours after a stunning 91-88 home victory against San Antonio last night. The Hornets came from 23 points down to pull out the improbable win against the Spurs. There is a fatigue factor, too, for the Hornets playing for the fifth time in seven days. |
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03-21-16 | Vermont -4.5 v. Seattle University | 73-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
There is a reason why Seattle is a 4 1/2-point home 'dog to Vermont in this CBI Tournament game. The reason is the Redhawks just aren't very good and neither was their WAC conference this season. |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -7 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
A 94-85 home loss to Utah last night puts the Bucks 10 games under .500 and six games out of the last playoff spot in the East with a dozen games left. So, no, the Bucks aren't going to make the playoffs. |
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03-21-16 | Nuggets v. Cavs UNDER 213.5 | 91-124 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
This is too high of a total with Cleveland involved. The Cavaliers rank No. 3 defensively in fewest points allowed. Denver is minus its top scorer and go-to-guy Danilo Gallinari. |
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03-20-16 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Northern Iowa has a lot of things you look for in an underdog at this point of the season: The Panthers have NCAA Tournament experience, are well-coached, are hot with 13 wins in their last 14 games (12-1-1 ATS), rank 12th in the country defensively, rank 17th in free throw percentage and can make 3-pointers. They also have beaten a number of top teams, including North Carolina, Iowa State, Stephen F. Austin and Wichita State twice. Yet the Panthers are downgraded because they are a mid-major and because of their miraculous 75-72 first-round upset victory against Texas when Paul Jesperson hit a buzz-beater from beyond half court. Perhaps the Panthers don't have the fancy talent that some of the major conference teams have. But there are intangibles at work here. Ben Jacobson has been Northern Iowa's coach the past 10 seasons - and he's not going anywhere. He has honed an effective, close-knit system with excellent team work and chemistry. The Panthers are not about individuals. They fit well into a team structure. This might sound like a cliche, but teamwork can't be underestimated with an underdog at this late point of the season. Texas A&M had not been to the NCAA Tournament since 2011 until this season. The Aggies were lucky to meet Green Bay in the first round, a team that doesn't play good defense at this high level. Northern Iowa holds foes to 63.2 points a game. The Panthers are 8-0-1 ATS the past nine times playing opponents with a winning percentage above .600. |
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03-20-16 | Clippers -7 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The Clippers are in angry mood after Doc Rivers justifiably ripped his team following a 113-102 road loss to Memphis last night. The Clippers were beaten straight-up as double-digit favorites.Â
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03-20-16 | Iowa v. Villanova -6.5 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
The Big Ten has looked bad in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not a fan of Iowa either. The Hawkeyes survived rather than won their first round tournament game nipping Temple, 72-70, in overtime as seven-point favorites. It's the eighth time in their last nine games the Hawkeyes have failed to cover. |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs -3 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
As great as the Warriors are, they are trumped in this spot by San Antonio. |
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03-19-16 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Clippers are less awesome minus Blake Griffin. They don't have the star power to cover double-digit type road spreads in letdown spots, which this matchup is for them.Â
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Don't get caught overthinking this matchup. Yale is Yale and Duke is Duke. |
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03-18-16 | Michigan v. Notre Dame -150 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Forget Notre Dame's last game, a 78-47 loss to North Carolina. I see the Irish getting their offense back as Michigan is going to have problems defending Notre Dame big man Zach Augste. That's going to open things up for Demitrius Jackson and others. The Irish ranked 10th in the nation in offensive efficiency with Jackson running things. |
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03-18-16 | Blazers -110 v. Pelicans | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The record shows a 2-6 mark for Portland in its last eight games and just a 1 1/2 game lead for the Trail Blazers over Utah for the final playoff spot in the West. |
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03-18-16 | Stephen F Austin +8 v. West Virginia | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
There is tremendous parity in this year's NCAA Tournament, more than in most years. So getting this many points with an underseeded Stephen F. Austin team is excellent value. |
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03-18-16 | Pittsburgh v. Wisconsin -130 | Top | 43-47 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
I like taking a hot team that is being underrated because of a bad conference tournament loss. That team is Wisconsin, winners of 11 of their last 14 games but off a bad Big Ten Tournament loss to Nebraska. |
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03-17-16 | Providence -128 v. USC | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
I'm not sure how USC managed to sneak into the NCAA Tournament. But the Trojans are here - and they should be faded in this first-round matchup against Providence. |
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
The monster difference between the Big 12 - arguably the best conference in the nation - and the Ivy League doesn't merit this short of a spread. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers +3.5 v. Rockets | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Rockets are playing better. But don't put much stock in their 130-81 burial of the Grizzlies this past Monday in their last game. The Grizzlies are just a shell of themselves with multiple key injuries. The Rockets' history is to fall back once they start looking good. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers v. Rockets OVER 215.5 | Top | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
The Rockets are giving up the most points per game since 1988-89. But their offense is rolling averaging 114.4 points in the last five games while reaching triple digits in eight straight games. |
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03-16-16 | Princeton v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
There's enough of a class difference here where I feel comfortable laying this number. Virginia Tech is one of those schools happy to play in the NIT. It's the Hokies' first postseason tournament appearance in five years. |
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03-16-16 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Duquesne -4.5 | 112-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
First make note this matchup is in the College Basketball Invitational not the NIT. That's important because the CBI doesn't have any teams from the Power Five conferences, or the Big East, this season. Take away those conferences and it leaves the Atlantic 10 as the highest-rated conference according to RPI numbers. |
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03-15-16 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 55-79 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne is well rested and excited about making its first NIT appearance since elevating to Division I status 16 years ago. |
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03-15-16 | Ball State v. Tennessee State -140 | 78-73 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
To many the CollegeInsider.com Tournament is no big deal. But that's not the case with Tennessee State. The Tigers had the largest turnaround in the country going from 5-26 to 20-10 this season. Their reward is hosting a first round game in this tournament against Ball State. |
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03-15-16 | Akron +5 v. Ohio State | 63-72 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Akron will be sky high for this in-state rivalry matchup. Ohio State has far less enthusiasm. The Buckeyes had their course set for the NCAA Tournament. This is a big disappointment for them and their crowd count will be way down.Â
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03-14-16 | Pelicans v. Warriors -15 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Short-handed New Orleans is way overmatched to begin with and the situation makes it worse. |
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03-14-16 | Mavs v. Hornets OVER 209 | 107-96 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The over has cashed in 11 of the Mavericks' last 14 games. The Mavericks have an old roster and their wearing down on the defensive end surrendering triple-digits during each of their last 14 games.
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03-13-16 | Cavs v. Clippers UNDER 207 | Top | 114-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
It's easy to think star power with the Cavaliers and Clippers with names such as LeBron James, Chris Paul and Kyrie Irving. But these two teams actually are underrated defensively. Cleveland ranks fourth in fewest points allowed while only seven teams give up fewer points per game than the Clippers. |
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03-12-16 | Thunder +8.5 v. Spurs | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
OK here are the facts regarding San Antonio at home. The Spurs have won 40 in a row at AT&T Center, including 31 games this season. San Antonio has covered 67 percent of its last 43 home contests.
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03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Nearly decimated New Orleans gave it all it had before losing in overtime to Memphis last night. The Pelicans have lost five players for the season, including key cogs Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon. All but one of New Orleans' starters played at least 41 minutes last night. Anthony Davis logged 47 minutes. Top reserve Ryan Anderson went nearly 37 minutes. Point guard Norris Cole didn't play and is questionable for this matchup. |
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03-12-16 | Seton Hall +6.5 v. Villanova | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Seton Hall is coming on and can win this game straight-up sparked by its star sophomore guards Isaiah Whitehead and Khadeen Carrington. The Pirates are young but have steadily grown and are now peaking at the perfect time.Â
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03-11-16 | Colorado State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
Both teams have strong offenses, but Fresno State is better defensively and is the fresher team. The Bulldogs also are peaking at the right time winning nine of their past 10, including their last seven games. |
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03-11-16 | Wizards v. Jazz OVER 197.5 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
The Wizards have been a strong over team on the road. They've gone above the total in 15 of their last 22 away contests. The Wizards also have gone over the total in 20 of their last 26 games when having two days rest. |
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03-11-16 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 201.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
There is a lot of star power missing here. Chris Bosh is out and Dwayne Wade is questionable for Miami. On the Chicago side, Jimmy Butler is out and Derrick Rose could sit out, too. |
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03-11-16 | Illinois v. Purdue -10.5 | 58-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Boilermakers have the size, situation and revenge motive to steamroll the Illini.
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03-10-16 | Suns +8.5 v. Nuggets | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Nuggets as this big of a favorite when they don't have their best player, injured Danilo Gallinari. You have to go back to Dec. 11-15 to find the last time Denver won three in a row. |
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03-10-16 | UNLV v. Fresno State -125 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
I liked Fresno State to roll over UNLV before Wednesday's first-round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament - and I like the Bulldogs even more now. |
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03-10-16 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. UAB | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has covered five of its last six meetings versus Alabama-Birmingham. The past four get togethers have all been decided by seven points or less. This includes the Hilltoppers losing by four points on the road to the Blazers two weeks ago. This game is in Birmingham but not on the Blazers' home floor. |
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03-09-16 | Knicks +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix is 3-2 in its last five games and coming off an impressive 109-100 road win against the Grizzlies this past Sunday. But don't for an instant think the Suns are any good. They aren't. Neither are the Knicks. This is bad on bad and the point spread has become out of whack here. |
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03-09-16 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -2 | 71-72 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Neither Pittsburgh nor Syracuse is playing its best ball right now going into this second-round matchup of the ACC Tournament. But the Panthers match up well to Syracuse. This is proven in Pittsburgh winning the past four times, including going 2-0 this season versus the Orange with both victories coming by double-digits. The Panthers are 14-6 against the Orange since Jamie Dixon became Pittsburgh's coach. |
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03-08-16 | Pennsylvania +16 v. Princeton | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
Penn has depth and is much improved from last season. The Quakers nearly upset Princeton as seven-point home 'dogs losing 73-71 in overtime back in January. The Quakers blew an 11-point lead with four minutes left. |
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03-08-16 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 207 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Nets are playing up-tempo and at a faster pace since getting rid of Joe Johnson. The over has cashed in 14 of the Nets' last 20 games. The Nets, though, rank last in defensive field goal percentage and just allowed the Timberwolves to shoot a team-record 68.4 percent from the floor in a 132-118 loss this past Saturday. |
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03-07-16 | Magic v. Warriors -14 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
I want the Warriors off their most shocking and worst-played game of the season, a 112-95 road loss to the Lakers Sunday afternoon. The Warriors haven't shot as bad from 3-point range as they did against the Lakers - 4-for-30 - since December of 2013. |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. Cavs | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are being undervalued in this spot. It's understandable. They just lost to the Suns, 109-100, on Sunday while the Cavaliers are coming off a hugely-satisfying 17-point home victory against the Celtics this past Saturday in a big revenge spot. |
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03-06-16 | Wisconsin +6 v. Purdue | Top | 80-91 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Yes, Purdue is tough at home. But the oddsmaker isn't giving enough respect to Wisconsin with a line this high. The Badgers have won 11 of their last 12 games - losing only to Michigan State during this span - while going 10-2 ATS. |
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03-06-16 | Blazers v. Pistons | Top | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit played last night, but it's Portland that carries a high fatigue rating in this matchup. The Pistons were idle for two days before losing to the Knicks, 102-89, on Saturday. Now they return home where they have covered 64 percent of their games at The Palace of Auburn Hills. |
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03-06-16 | Mavs -3 v. Nuggets | 114-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Dallas can't afford to slip up here in its quest for a playoff quest. The Nuggets weren't good to begin with and they are not nearly as good now minus their top player Danilo Gallinari. He was the one player they couldn't afford to lose. The Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. |
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03-05-16 | Nets v. Wolves -5 | 118-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
Rarely do I care to lay points with the Timberwolves. This is one of those times. |
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03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
A month ago Avery Bradley hit a buzzer beater as the Celtics upset the Cavaliers in Cleveland, 104-103. The Cavaliers haven't forgotten. Not only is this a huge revenge spot for them, but it's a great situation, too. |
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03-05-16 | Oregon v. USC +3 | 76-66 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
My first look when it comes to the Pac-12 is to any home underdogs as the host school sports an 83 percent winning average. USC fits the bill on today's card. |
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03-04-16 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 192.5 | Top | 88-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Down big men Marc Gasol and Brendan Wright, the Grizzlies have altered their style. They are more up-tempo and giving extra minutes to wing players P.J. Hariston and Lance Stephenon. Gasol and swingman Tony Allen, who is likely to miss a seventh straight game due to a sore knee, are Memphis' top defenders. The Grizzlies are weaker defensively without those two. The Jazz are averaging only 95 points during their last three games. But all three of those matchups were against Eastern Conference foes. If you discount their last Western Conference game against San Antonio, the league-leader in defense, the Jazz have averaged 105.7 points in their last four contests versus Western Conference foes. |
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03-04-16 | Austin Peay v. Belmont -10 | 97-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Midnight is about to strike for Austin Peay, which has pulled off two upsets in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. This is the Governor's third game in three days. They came from 19 points down to edge Tennessee State last night. That game took a lot of energy out of Austin Peay, which did some heavy celebrating following the victory. Even with that win, the Governors are still 5-17 ATS following a straight-up victory. They are not a good team. |
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03-03-16 | Suns +14 v. Heat | 92-108 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
It's not so much the Suns that the Heats are dealing with today. It's a battle against human nature. After just facing the Warriors, Celtics, Knicks and Bulls - the last two of whom they beat - the Heat now draw the Suns at home. That's followed by consecutive games against the 76ers. Can you say letdown? |
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03-03-16 | Suns v. Heat UNDER 211 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Miami has been playing at a faster tempo since losing Chris Bosh. But that could start to change now that veteran Joe Johnson has become a primary addition. |
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03-03-16 | Austin Peay v. Tennessee State -4.5 | 74-72 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee State is much superior to Austin Peay and has a schedule advantage in this quarterfinal Ohio Valley Conference Tournament game being played in Nashville. |
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03-02-16 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | 107-117 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
No. Denver, at 14 games below .500, can't lay this many points especially minus its best player and maybe missing its second-best player, too. |
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03-02-16 | Pacers -130 v. Bucks | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Indiana is in stop-the-pain mode with four losses in its last five games, including the last three. Those defeats occurred to the Heat in overtime on the road, a one-point home loss to the Hornets, a nine point-home loss to the red-hot Trail Blazers - winners of 14 of their last 16 - and this past Monday to the Cavaliers, 100-96, on the road in a game that featured 25 lead changes, 17 ties and tough official's calls that went against Indiana. |
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03-02-16 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +24 | 97-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Now that plus 24 can be found, I'm going to hold my nose and take Rutgers. Yes, I know how bad the Scarlet Knights are. But this is a value play based on the return of Rutgers' star freshman point guard Corey Sanders and a look-ahead spot for Michigan State, which hosts Ohio State on Sunday. That will be Senior Day and the Spartans' final regular-season game. |
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03-01-16 | Nets v. Lakers -117 | Top | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Yes, the Lakers are in tank mode. But eight losses in a row are enough for them. They don't want to be embarrassed at home by the Nets. |
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