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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-27-16 | Rockets -6.5 v. Mavs | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
It's not a fluke Dallas is 0-3 versus the Rockets this season with the Mavericks' average loss being by 10 points. The Mavericks are the worst team in the NBA at defending the 3-pointer. The Rockets launch the most 3-pointers The teams just met 2 1/2 weeks ago in Houston and the Rockets won 109-87 connecting on 19 of 37 shots from beyond the arc for 51.4 percent.  The Rockets are playing well winning 12 of their last 14. Houston has the second-highest offense in the NBA at 113.5. Dallas ranks last in scoring at 94.4 points. Dallas has averaged even less than that, 92.3, in their three losses to the Rockets.Â
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12-27-16 | Grizzlies +7 v. Celtics | 103-113 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Memphis is the No. 2 defensive team in the NBA both in fewest points allowed per game and field goal percentage. They should not be a mid-sized underdog to the Celtics, who are a slightly above average defensive team and have covered just 33 percent of their home games.  The Grizzlies have revenge for an overtime loss to the Celtics last week. Memphis also should be fired-up after playing a terrible game last night in a 112-102 loss to Orlando. The good news about that game for Memphis was none of its players reached the 30-minute mark. So the Grizzlies still should be fresh especially after being idle the two previous days. Mike Conley is back from injury and has shaken the rust off sinking 15 of 25 shots during the past two games.  The Celtics have a bigger game on deck when they play the Cavaliers on Thursday.
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12-26-16 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4 | Top | 106-102 | Push | 0 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
It's strange to see the Nuggets a road favorite against the Clippers. But the Nuggets are rested while the Clippers played last night. Denver is such a strong road favorite, though, because the Clippers are going to be without three starters - Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and J.J. Redick.  Despite all this I like the Clippers to beat the Nuggets. The Nuggets remain a lottery team. Their defense ranks among the bottom-six in points allowed and shooting percentage. The Nuggets lack consistent scoring weapons. Their strength is rebounding and DeAndre Jordan can negate that.  The Clippers are going to be fired-up with their desperate injury situation and off an embarrassing 111-102 loss to the Lakers last night at Staples Center.  LA still is respectable in the backcourt with veteran Raymond Felton, Jamal Crawford and Austin Rivers.  The Clippers have beaten the Nuggets in six of the last seven meetings, including 119-102 six days ago at home. The Clippers were minus 8 in that game. Now we have a line change of 12 points. It's too much of an adjustment. The Clippers won that game without Griffin and totally dominated Denver's backcourt.Â
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12-25-16 | Clippers -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
Death, taxes and the Clippers beating the Lakers. Those are about the only sure things in life.  The Clippers have defeated the Lakers 11 consecutive times winning by an average of 22.6 points during the past 10 meetings.  The Lakers are listed as the home team, but both teams play their home games at Staples Center so that is negated.  The Clippers are furious after losing 90-88 at home to the Mavericks two days ago. They'll be ready here to pound a team they've long hated since LA has always been a Lakers town.  The spot is bad for the Lakers returning home after a seven-game, two-week road trip that didn't finish until Friday night.  The Lakers are not playing well after an early hot start dropping 12 of their past 13 going 3-10 ATS. They went 1-6 on their road trip. This is a cheap price to back the much superior, motivated Clippers.Â
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12-23-16 | Spurs -125 v. Blazers | Top | 110-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Not only is there a class difference here, but the Spurs are off a loss last night to the Clippers that ended a five-game winning streak so motivation shouldn't be a problem for them. The Spurs are 21-10 ATS following a defeat.  Portland has lost eight of its last nine games and is just 2-7 ATS during this span.  San Antonio is 15-2 on the road this season. Portland is 3-9 ATS the past 12 times playing an above .500 opponent.Â
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12-22-16 | Texas-Arlington v. Loyola Marymount UNDER 141.5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Texas Arlington and Loyola-Marymount are a combined 12-1-1 to the under this season. Texas-Arlington has the No. 1 3-point defense in the country. The under has cashed in 21 of the Mavericks' last 28 road games. Texas-Arlington showed how strong its defense is holding Saint Mary's to just 51 points two games ago. The Mavericks haven't surrendered more than 51 points during each of their last three games. Marymount isn't a good long range shooting team and the Lions also don't draw many fouls. Both teams turn the ball over a lot. The pace isn't going to be fast either for this match. The Mavericks are going to be hard-pressed to perform well at this small venue where Marymount held Connecticut to 65 points in a 65-62 loss earlier this season. |
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12-22-16 | Lakers v. Heat -4 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Heat are healthier these days and draw the Lakers playing in their fifth road game in nine days.  Miami has covered 11 of the last 14 times when hosting an opponent with a losing road record. The Lakers are 1-10 in their last 11 games and really dragging giving up an average of 118 points in their last two games. The Lakers just lost a key bench player, too, with Larry Nance Jr. suffering a knee injury during the Lakers' last game, a 117-113 loss to Charlotte two days ago.  The Heat rank eighth defensively holding foes to 101.6 points. That point total was just boosted up following a 136-130 Miami double overtime loss to the Magic this past Tuesday. The Heat certainly were not pleased with that outcome, nor surrendering that many points.  The Heat have defeated the Lakers in seven of their last eight meetings. Miami also is 6-2 ATS hosting the Lakers.Â
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12-22-16 | Warriors v. Nets +14.5 | 117-101 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Nets can be feisty at home where they have covered 61 percent of their games and have won straight-up the past two times defeating the Lakers and Nuggets by 10 and 5 points, respectively.  Of course Golden State represents a far stiffer test for the Nets. But the Warriors don't have a good track record covering in these type of situations and have much more challenging games on deck.  This is Golden State's first road game in more than a week. The Warriors come in fat and happy having just swept a three-game homestand destroying the opposition by an average of 29.3 points per game.  Following this matchup, the Warriors play at the Pistons on Friday and then an NBA Finals rematch against the Cavaliers in Cleveland on Christmas Day, which is the most anticipated and biggest game of the season. So the Warriors aren't likely to go all out here, nor play their star players a lot of minutes. This leaves the backdoor wide open for the Nets, who love to hoist 3-pointers and rank eighth in scoring at 106.6 points a game.  The Nets' backcourt is stable now with the return from injury of starting point guard Jeremy Lin, who is shooting well hitting 16 of 31 shots from the floor in his last three games.  The Warriors are 2-12 ATS the past 14 times playing opponents with a winning percentage below .400. They also have failed to cover eight of the last 12 times when laying double-digits. The Warriors beat the Nets in both meetings last season, winning by an average of 12 points. That's less than the spread here.  The Nets are off a 12-point road loss to the Raptors from two nights ago. Brooklyn is 8-0 ATS following a straight-up defeat.
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
The Jazz have the discipline and defense to blow out the Kings. The timing also is right for this to occur. Sacramento is coming off a thrilling and satisfying comeback home victory against the Trail Blazers last night. DeMarcus Cousins scored 55 points after nearly getting thrown out of the game. That was a tough battle for the Kings. Now they play for the third time in four days and without rest in high altitude. The Kings are playing without injured Rudy Gay, their second-best player, too. While the Kings are now 6-6 at home, they are 5-11 on the road. Their road spread mark is better at 7-9, but still .under 500. Sacramento also has failed to cover the last five times following a victory.  Utah usually takes care of business against lesser teams. The well-coached Jazz are 10-4-1 ATS the past 15 times they've played opponents with a winning percentage below .400. The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA. They surrender nine points fewer per game than Sacramento.  Utah should be fired-up after getting embarrassed, 104-74, at Golden State last night. The plus to that blowout was no Utah player had to log big minutes. Prior to that loss, Utah had won seven of eight, including four in a row. The Jazz have won 10 of their last 15 in Salt Lake City.
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12-20-16 | Pacers v. Knicks -5 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
New York has covered eight of its last 10 home games. The Knicks are well rested having last played on Saturday. They are expected to get back point guard Derrick Rose, too. He had missed New York's last two games with a back injury.  Rose isn't as good as when he entered the league with the Bulls because of injuries. However, he's still highly valuable because of his scoring and leadership. New York is 13-10 with him and 1-3 without him. Rose's presence not only gives New York a third scoring option to go with Carmelo Anthony and Kristaps Porzingis, but adds depth to the backcourt where backup point guard Brandon Jennings can come off the bench.  The Pacers are 4-10 SU and ATS on the road. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 visits to Madison Square Garden.  Indiana also carries a high fatigue rating. This marks their fifth game in seven days and second in two nights. The Pacers nipped the Wizards, 107-105, at home Monday night on a short jumper by Thaddeus Young with less than a second left. The Pacers' three best players logged big minutes in that victory. Paul George played more than 40 minutes. Jeff Teague played more than 39 minutes and Young logged more than 37 minutes. The Pacers are short-handed, too, with Monta Ellis out.  Indiana has failed to cover 20 of the last 28 times when playing without rest.Â
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12-19-16 | Troy State v. Wyoming -8 | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Troy has covered just two of its last eight road contests. It's Troy's third road game in six days. The Trojans are 2-8 ATS the past 10 times they've been underdogs. Troy nearly stunned USC, though, in its last game losing 82-77 as 22-point 'dogs on Saturday.  Wyoming has been home since Nov. 26. The Cowboys have won five straight. This is the final game of a six-game homestand. Wyoming should be back to full strength for this matchup as it was missing three plays during its last game reducing bench strength.Â
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12-16-16 | Long Beach State v. Oregon State UNDER 135.5 | 71-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Oregon State really misses injured forward Tres Tinkle, out with a broken wrist. The Beavers should play with great defensive intensity here after losing at home to Savannah State. The team held a fiery team meeting following that loss.  Both teams turn the ball over frequently. Neither team plays high tempo either. Long Beach State doesn't have great defensive numbers, but that's because it's played an extremely hard schedule.  Note, too, this game is being played in Portland, a neutral site. That's a plus for the under.Â
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12-14-16 | UC-Irvine v. Nevada -11 | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Nevada Reno has way too much offense and talent for Irvine, which has height and can play defense but is far too limited offensively. The Wolf Pack are averaging 19 more points per game than Irvine.  I like Reno coach Eric Musselman. He's proved especially strong in a favorite's role as the Wolf Pack are 14-3-2 ATS the past 19 times they've been chalk. They also are 14-3-1 ATS during their last 18 home games.  Cal Irvine has 23 more turnovers than assists. The Anteaters are shooting 41.6 percent from the field despite a tall front line and hit only 31.3 percent of their 3-pointers. Reno does a great job of not fouling. Irvine averages less than 17 free throw attempts per game.  Irvine has no backdoor ability to cover if it should fall far behind, which I expect.  This shapes up as a blowout win for the Wolf Pack. The opening number is short.Â
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12-14-16 | Lakers v. Nets UNDER 229.5 | Top | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Oddsmakers are anticipating a high scoring game such as the team's first meeting, which the Lakers won 125-118 last month. Circumstances are different this time around. A total this high doesn't make sense in my view.  The Lakers just aren't that high of a scoring team. They have scored 101 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games. Their top player, D'Angelo Russell, just returned to the lineup after being out 11 games with a knee injury. He's not playing big minutes yet and is still rusty.  The Nets have been scoring big points and allowing big points. However, their dynamics are going to change with point guard Jeremy Lin back from a hamstring injury that sidelined him 17 games. Lin played 20 minutes in Brooklyn's last game and his minute count likely will raise here. Not only is Lin's shooting rusty from being out for so long, but he's the lone Nets' legitimate point guard. Now the Nets actually can run plays and work for good shots instead of playing their helter skelter style of just throwing up 3-pointers from all over the court.  The Lakers have a realistic chance here to win, which would halt a seven-game losing streak. That should ensure a focused defensive effort.Â
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12-13-16 | Warriors v. Pelicans +10.5 | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
The record shows New Orleans to be 8-17. But the Pelicans are 5-4 when starting point guard Jrue Holiday plays. Holiday returned to the Pelicans' lineup this past Sunday after missing the previous three games and helped New Orleans end a five-game losing with an overtime road victory against Phoenix. Holiday scored 23 in the win.  That win and Holiday's return should put the Pelicans in a good spot here. They catch Golden State playing its fifth road game in seven days. The long road trip has taken a toll on Kevin Durant, who has made less than 38 percent of his shots from the floor during the last four games.  New Orleans has a frontcourt advantage thanks to Anthony Davis, the best big man in basketball. Davis can really put up monster numbers if Warriors starting center Zaza Pachulia has to miss a third straight game due to a wrist injury. Pachulia does a lot of the dirty work underneath for the Warriors receiving none of the publicity that Durant, Stephen Curry and Draymond Green draw.  Golden State doesn't have a good recent history in these type of matchups failing to cover eight of the last nine times when facing a foe with less than a .400 home winning percentage. The Warriors return home following this game to begin a three-game homestand so their focus may not be 100 percent.Â
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12-11-16 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Suns | Top | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Knowing they weren't going to beat the Clippers on the road last night, the Pelicans did the smart thing. They rested big man Anthony Davis. Davis should be in for a monster performance against the guard-oriented Suns. New Orleans isn't going to lack for motivation not only looking to put a halt to a losing skid but gain revenge for a 112-111 home overtime loss suffered to Phoenix last month. That may have been the Pelicans' toughest defeat of the season.  While New Orleans is playing without rest, the Suns are in action for the fourth time in six days. Phoenix is 3-6 at home and has failed to cover four of its past five games at home. The Suns have been favored four times this season. Not only have they failed to cover each time, but they were blown out in each instance losing to the Kings by 19 points, Nets by 18, 76ers by 15 and Nuggets by six.  |
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12-10-16 | Michigan +9 v. UCLA | Top | 84-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
UCLA has to deal not only with getting back down from the high of knocking off then-No. 1 Kentucky, but a rust factor, too. The Bruins haven't played since beating the Wildcats a week ago.  Michigan is a top-10 defensive club. The Wolverines have proven capable beating Texas.  The Bruins are in heady territory. Their youth and maturity could catch up to them here against this well-coached, tough Big Ten team. So I'll take this many points. Â
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12-10-16 | Temple v. DePaul UNDER 150.5 | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Notice the neutral site here. It's American Airlines Arena in Miami, a site neither team is familiar with. This also is a very early start time. Both factors are good for the under. Temple is traditionally a strong defensive team that plays a slow tempo. That's the case again this season.  DePaul isn't a face paced team either and the Blue Demons have been putting more emphasis on defense. They are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country. Â
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12-09-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas is lottery-bound. We know that. We also know the Mavericks are the lowest-scoring team in the NBA.  But the Mavericks still have a number of prideful veterans who are not injured - Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams and Harrison Barnes - and they will be motivated to perform at a high level at home here following an embarrassing 120-89 loss to the Kings two days ago. Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle held a team meeting immediately following that game. Carlisle told reporters that the Mavericks' play in the second half of that loss was inexcusable.  Now the Mavericks have a chance to make amends against the Pacers, who are 3-7 SU and ATS on the road and playing their fifth consecutive road game. The Pacers are off a 109-94 victory against the Suns on Wednesday. Indiana is 2-8 ATS following a victory. The Pacers could be distracted, too, returning home immediately following this matchup to host Portland on Saturday.  The Pacers rank 25th defensively so points shouldn't come so hard for the Mavericks. It's a big drop down in class, too, for the Mavericks. During their last nine games, the Mavericks had had to play the Spurs twice, Clippers, Cavaliers, Hornets twice and Bulls.Â
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12-09-16 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 207 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Bucks are an underrated defensive team. They rank first in the league in both defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defensive field goal percentage. |
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12-08-16 | Texas-Arlington v. St. Mary's UNDER 140 | Top | 65-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The pace is going to be slow here. St. Mary's milks the shot clock and Texas-Arlington is playing less up-tempo this season. The Mavericks have gone under in their last seven games and gone below the total in 19 of their past 26 road matchups. Arlington plays tough perimeter defense so St. Mary's is likely going to go deep into the shot clock before shooting. The Mavericks aren't a good free throw shooting team and St. Mary's doesn't draw many fouls. So look for defense to rule here.Â
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12-07-16 | Pacers v. Suns OVER 218 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Look for an up-tempo game here from two of the worst defensive teams in the league. Indiana gives up 108 points per game. Phoenix surrenders 113 points a game.  Only three times this season have the Suns held an opponent under 100 points. Paul George is getting untracked after returning two games ago from an ankle injury.  The Suns score the third-most fast break points in the league. The Pacers play less defense on the road where the over has cashed during Indian's past eight away contests.  Phoenix played last night, but it was its reserves who logged major minutes. The Suns go from the Jazz - the No. 1 defensive team - to the Pacers. It's quite a welcome relief. No Suns starter reached 28 minutes in the 112-105 road loss to Utah.  The Suns also have gone over the past four times playing with zero rest.Â
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12-06-16 | Suns +7.5 v. Jazz | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Phoenix will bring energy to this matchup having been idle the past two days. The Jazz played last night beating the Lakers on the road. The Jazz have a bigger game on tap against the Warriors, who they host Thursday. So this is a letdown spot for them. The Jazz have been without point guard George Hill the past three games. He's been out with a toe injury. The Suns have covered 10 of their last 12 against above .500 opponents.
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12-06-16 | 76ers +8.5 v. Grizzlies | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
In all honesty, I can't say this is a play on the 76ers. I am leery of them on the road. But the crippled Grizzlies can't be laying this many points against any opponent off a double overtime game last night.  Right now the Grizzlies are down Mike Conley, Vince Carter and Chandler Parsons. This is a huge letdown spot for them following their dramatic 110-108 two overtime road win against New Orleans. The Grizzlies, just like the 76ers, had to travel to get to tonight's game.Â
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12-06-16 | Brown +13.5 v. Providence | 57-95 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Brown takes this game much more serious than Providence. It's a very short trip - about one mile - so Brown will get fan support. Brown has covered 20 of the last 28 times going against foes with a winning home mark. The Bears are 6-1 ATS the last seven times taking 13 or more on the road. |
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12-05-16 | Blazers v. Bulls -4 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Bulls are proven at home. The Trail Blazers have proven to struggle on the road. |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers -6.5 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Portland plays much better at home and holds a huge backcourt edge. The Trail Blazers are well rested, too, having been idle since Wednesday. They've been home since before Thanksgiving.
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12-02-16 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5 | 128-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver has the rebounding to keep the Rockets from playing their up-tempo style. The Rockets are going to have dead legs, too, after last night's double overtime victory against the Warriors. That huge victory also puts the Rockets in a major letdown spot. This marks Houston's fifth game in eight days. |
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12-01-16 | CS Sacramento v. Pacific -10 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Sacramento State plays in the Big Sky, a very weak conference. The Hornets haven't covered a game all season. They're likely to get blown out here against a superior Pacific team that is looking to make a strong statement at home under first year head coach Damon Stoudamire. |
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12-01-16 | Heat v. Jazz -9.5 | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Kudos to Miami for pulling off a road upset against the Nuggets on Wednesday. That was a gutty victory by the Heat, who were down three rotation players with Dion Waiters, Justice Winslow and Josh Richardson all injured. None are going to play today. |
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11-30-16 | Spurs -8.5 v. Mavs | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I want San Antonio going for me after the Spurs played their worst game of the season in a 95-83 home loss to the lowly Magic Tuesday night. That loss snapped a nine-game San Antonio win streak and can't make Gregg Popovich too happy. Neither can the fact that the Spurs had their lowest-scoring game of the season and committed a season-high 19 turnovers.Â
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11-30-16 | South Alabama -4 v. Southern Miss | 78-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
I want the now road-tested Jaguars off a double-digit loss in their last game. The Jaguars are better than Southern Mississippi and have proven themselves away from home beating UNLV. South Alabama also traveled to Europe during the summer and played four exhibition games. |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies +14 v. Raptors | 105-120 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are facing life without Mike Conley. This is their first game since losing their leading scorer and assists leader to a back injury. Teams usually respond with a hard and motivated effort in their first game without their star player. That should be the case here. |
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11-29-16 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 201 | Top | 112-89 | Push | 0 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
These two teams are more about defense than offense. Detroit ranks No. 2 in fewest points allowed per game while the Hornets rank 11th. Â |
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11-28-16 | Hawks +13.5 v. Warriors | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
This isn't a fade on the Warriors. It's just my belief that there is some line value to the Hawks, who aren't used to getting this many points in a game. |
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11-28-16 | Thunder +1 v. Knicks | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
I see a class difference here. Derrick Rose is still getting acclimated to his new team while Russell Westbrook has become the new Oscar Robertson averaging 31 points, 11 assists and 9.9 rebounds. |
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11-26-16 | Spurs -7.5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Both teams played last night each winning. But prior to last night, the Wizards hadn't played in three days. They are the fresher team. The Spurs are playing for the third time on the road in four days. There's always the possibility of Gregg Popovich resting key players as he's done periodically this season |
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11-25-16 | Hawks +3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 68-95 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
My interest always is raised when I see the better team getting points. That's the case in this matchup. It's a series the Hawks have dominated beating the Jazz nine of the past 10 times. |
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11-24-16 | Quinnipiac v. Gonzaga OVER 154.5 | Top | 62-82 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Gonzaga should have no problem breaking triple digits here. The Bulldogs are averaging more than 100 points this season and have tremendous front line scoring with 7-footers Przemek Karnowski and Zach Collins. The Bulldogs have scoring depth, too. Quinnipiac gives up an average of 90 points a game. |
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11-23-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz -5 | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a circle-the-wagons game for the Jazz and they catch the Nuggets traveling off a pair of home wins playing for the third time in four days. |
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11-23-16 | Hawks -118 v. Pacers | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
I'll back the Hawks - the much superior defensive club hungry for a victory - catching the Pacers with possibly four key players out. Paul George, Jeff Teague, Myles Turner and C.J. Miles are all questionable. George, Teague and Turner are their three best players. |
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11-23-16 | Spurs -5 v. Hornets | Top | 119-114 | Push | 0 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The Spurs have won six in a row, but Gregg Popovich isn't happy calling out his players after they barely beat injury-racked Dallas, 96-91, two nights ago. |
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11-22-16 | Thunder -140 v. Lakers | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
The Lakers are improved. But they still are a lottery team several tiers below Oklahoma City. LA doesn't match up well to Oklahoma City either. The Lakers' biggest weaknesses are rim protection, rebounding and protecting the ball. |
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11-21-16 | Raptors +9 v. Clippers | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
It's a mistake for any team to lay this many points to Toronto. The Raptors did play last night losing in controversial fashion to the Kings in Sacramento. They are in a bitter mood following that loss when the referees waved off a game-tying shot by Terrence Ross at the buzzer. This is just a short trip from Sacramento to LA for the Raptors. |
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11-19-16 | CS-Fullerton v. UNLV -7.5 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rebels don't lack for talent and should play more relaxed after getting their first victory for new coach Marvin Menzies this past Wednesday. |
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11-19-16 | Celtics v. Pistons OVER 199 | 94-92 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Both teams are off bad offensive performances last night. Now, playing in the second of back-to-back games, there is a fatigue factor. I see that coming on defense with each team working hard to get their offense back in gear.
The Pistons have scored 102 or more points in all but one of their five home games. The over has cashed 12 of the last 16 times the Pistons have played without rest. |
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11-18-16 | Blazers -110 v. Pelicans | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Not only is Portland a better team than the Pelicans, who are tied for the worst record in the NBA, but there's a chance New Orleans could be minus Anthony Davis again. |
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11-18-16 | Pistons v. Cavs -8.5 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Early betting activity has driven this number down. The Cavaliers are 6-1 at home but are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games at Quicken Loans Arena. |
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11-17-16 | Connecticut -7 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 65-62 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Could Connecticut actually open the season 0-3? Nope. I see a focused Huskies squad shooting much better and having no problem with Loyola Marymount, an average at best team from the West Coast Conference. Â |
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11-17-16 | Knicks v. Wizards -145 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
When comparing results from last night it looks bad: The Knicks beat the Pistons, 105-102, at home while the Wizards fell on the road to the lowly 76ers, 109-102. |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 143 | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
There were 129 combined points when the teams met last November with Santa Barbara winning as a slight road 'dog. Look for a similar low-scoring game this time around. |
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11-16-16 | Warriors -5.5 v. Raptors | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors have won four in a row against the Raptors and the spot is ripe for them to continue that winning streak. |
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11-16-16 | Pistons v. Knicks -118 | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
The Pistons are unbeaten at home. However, they have been far less impressive on the road. Detroit is 1-5 away from The Palace at Auburn Hills. They have lost to the Nets and Suns and have lost by double-digits to the Raptors, Clippers and Spurs. The Knicks fall somewhere in the middle of those teams. The home club has won each of the last four meetings in the series. |
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11-15-16 | Nets +6.5 v. Lakers | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Nets have proven feisty this season usually providing a strong effort. They should be motivated here after getting blown out last night by the Clippers. Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS following a loss. The Nets did hold out Brook Lopez, their best player, against the Clippers and didn't have any player log more than 29 minutes. |
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11-15-16 | CS Bakersfield +17.5 v. Arizona | Top | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Cal State Bakersfield is underrated and getting too many points just based on playing a Pac-12 opponent. The Roadrunners are a tough, physical defensive team. They won the WAC Tournament and made the NCAA Tournament last year giving Oklahoma problems in the first round. |
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11-15-16 | Dayton +1 v. Alabama | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Dayton is the better team and the Flyers proved it last year burying Alabama, 80-48, early in the season. Not enough has changed to make me think Dayton isn't the superior team again. |
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11-14-16 | Louisiana-Monroe +18 v. Texas | 59-80 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Texas is very young with seven underclassmen in the rotation. The Longhorns were less than impressive in their opener beating Incarnate World, 78-73, this past Friday at home. Texas is 5-12 ATS during its last 17 lined non-conference matchups. |
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11-13-16 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA OVER 170 | 87-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Cal-State Northridge's offensive was impressive during exhibition play. The Matadors have a pair of excellent scoring guards.Â
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11-12-16 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 216.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Boston's defense has been dreadful. Brad Stevens realizes that. So he's made adjustments. Rookie Jaylen Brown goes back to the bench. Into the starting line-up goes Kelly Olynik and Marcus Smart, two defensive-minded players. They're joined by Avery Bradley, one of the best defensive guards. A Smart/Bradley backcourt is one of the better defensive tandems in the league. |
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11-12-16 | Toledo v. St. Joe's UNDER 153 | Top | 76-77 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Saint Joseph's lost 64 percent of its scoring from a year ago, including superstar DeAndre Bembry. Neither team played a fast tempo last season and that's likely to hold true especially for Saint Joseph, which also lost Aaron Brown and Isaiah Miles. |
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11-11-16 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 192.5 | 87-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah gives up the second-fewest points per game in the NBA. Orlando is last in scoring. The Magic just surrendered a season-high 123 points at home two nights ago in an embarrassing 16-point loss to Minnesota. |
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11-11-16 | Evansville v. Louisville -22 | 47-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
I like the Cardinals to blow out Evansville here. Rick Pitino has installed a new uptempo offense so the Cardinals are going to be playing very fast, which could catch their early-season opponents such as Evansville off guard. |
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11-11-16 | Evansville v. Louisville OVER 139.5 | 47-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
There's a perception Louisville's scoring could be down because its three top scorers from a year ago are gone. But Louisville is playing more up-tempo this season. That's going to translate into higher scoring games than the oddsmaker believes - at least at this beginning stage. The Cardinals scored 109 points in an exhibition game. |
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11-10-16 | Warriors -6 v. Nuggets | 125-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Golden State is enduring some criticism this season with some of it being that the team is in transition losing their rim protectors and adjusting to the presence of superstar Kevin Durant. |
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11-10-16 | Bulls v. Heat -138 | 98-95 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulls are playing without rest and in action for the fifth in seven days. As much as Dwayne Wade would like to shine in his return to Miami there's a major fatigue factor he and the team face. Wade is 34 and played 34 minutes in a hard fought Chicago loss to Atlanta last night. Â |
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11-09-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -8 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
The Rockets are playing in their fifth straight road game and just beat Washington last night. The Spurs haven't played in four days. I'd rather have Gregg Popovich than any other coach with extra prep time. The Spurs have used this time to get healthier. |
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11-08-16 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies -140 | Top | 107-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is an early-season pivotal game for Memphis. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row at home during their homestand that concludes with this game. Those losses were to the Clippers and Trail Blazers. Now the Grizzlies step down in class to face Denver. The Grizzlies need this victory because six of their next seven games are on the road, including four straight. |
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11-06-16 | Jazz v. Knicks UNDER 195.5 | 114-109 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
First, note the starting time. It's 9 a.m. West Coast time. That's very early for Utah. |
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11-05-16 | Kings v. Bucks -110 | Top | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Considering the circumstances and matchup, it's not too much to ask Milwaukee to beat Sacramento at home. |
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11-04-16 | Spurs -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 100-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Revenge and Gregg Popovich. That says it all here. I want the Spurs going for me and I'll lay a short road price to get them after Utah dealt San Antonio a 106-91 loss this past Tuesday at San Antonio. |
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11-03-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
This isn't the high scoring Thunder team of years past. The Thunder, minus Kevin Durant, are now a grind-out, physical team totally dependent on Russell Westbrook and erratic Victor Oladipo to make plays. They are below average offensively in the frontcourt. The Thunder should play hard against Durant in his first game against his former team. The Thunder know they aren't going to beat the Warriors by playing run-and-gun with them. |
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11-02-16 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | 81-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas is getting into dire straits at 0-3. This is a circle-the-wagons game for the Mavericks and they catch the Jazz in a letdown spot. |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Not surprisingly it is talking a while for the Warriors to get in sync with newcomer Kevin Durant on board. Golden State is 0-3 ATS beating the Pelicans by eight and Suns by six each on the road in its last two games. This is the last stop on the Warriors' three game road trip. They host Oklahoma City on Thursday, which is a much bigger game for Durant going against his former team. |
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11-01-16 | Bucks v. Pelicans -3 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
New Orleans is 0-3 desperate for a victory. The Pelicans are better than their record. Their last two games were against Golden State and San Antonio. New Orleans has the best big man in basketball, Anthony Davis. The Bucks have no answer for him.
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11-01-16 | Lakers +9 v. Pacers | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Pacers aren't playing well enough to lay this many points against an improved Lakers team that does have some young talent. Monta Ellis and Jeff Teague are a poor defensive backcourt for indiana. |
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10-30-16 | Lakers +8 v. Thunder | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Thunder are overrated. They are 2-0 but their wins have been against the 76ers by six points and Suns at home in overtime. |
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10-30-16 | Bucks +7.5 v. Pistons | 83-98 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Pistons aren't strong enough to lay this many points in a division matchup, especially being forced to use journeymen Ish Smith and Beno Udrih at point guard until Reggie Jackson returns from injury. |
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10-29-16 | Nets v. Bucks -6 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
Milwaukee is likely looking at being 0-3 if it loses this game. So motivation should be high. The Bucks' starters didn't play well with the exception of Giannis Antetokounmpo when they lost at home in their opener, 107-96, to Charlotte this past Wednesday. |
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10-28-16 | Magic v. Pistons -4 | Top | 82-108 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
Detroit has won and covered in its last six games versus the Magic, winning those games by an average of 15.5 points per game. |
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10-27-16 | Celtics -118 v. Bulls | 99-105 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
This early in the season it's an advantage to already have played a game. That's the case here where the Celtics dispatched the Nets last night. Chicago is making its season debut. |
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10-27-16 | Wizards +4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The Wizards are dangerous when motivated and their star backcourt is healthy. Both factors are in play here. |
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10-26-16 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 200.5 | 108-96 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Maybe the oddsmaker didn't quite comprehend who Orlando's new coach is when making this opening total. It's Frank Vogel. He's a defensive-minded, half-court style coach who doesn't want his team pushing pace. He won't have to concern himself with that happening in Orlando because the Magic aren't built to run. |
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10-26-16 | Heat +4 v. Magic | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Miami has won six of its last seven season-openers, including the past five. That's a nice history going into this matchup, but no longer do the Heat have any of their Big Three as LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh are all gone. |
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10-25-16 | Jazz v. Blazers -5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
Oddsmakers are high on Utah projecting the Jazz to win 47 1/2 games. Utah was 40-42 last season. Utah could very well be improved, but this isn't the time to jump on the Jazz. |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 44 m | Show |
It's my belief the Warriors are the superior team here when they have Draymond Green. He returns to action for this Game 6. |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
The Warriors have played in 20 postseason games - and this total opened the lowest of any of them.Â
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06-08-16 | Warriors -106 v. Cavs | Top | 90-120 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 19 m | Show |
Zig Zag can only work when two teams are close to even. That's not the case in this NBA Championship Series. Golden State clearly is dominant. The Cavaliers don't have the coaching, bench and versatility to beat the Warriors even in this must-win spot at home. |
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05-27-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196 | Top | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
The oddsmaker has opened this Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals with the lowest total of the series. I don't believe it's justified.
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05-26-16 | Thunder +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Yes, I know this is the Warriors' season and the Zig-Zag fully is in play here, which means Golden State is the side to play following two straight losses. Forget about last season when the Warriors won the championship. Forget the Warriors' record regular season. This is the present and simply put the Thunder are outrebounding, outshooting and even outhustling Golden Sate. The statistics for the series bear this out: The Thunder are shooting 45.6 percent from the floor to the Warriors' 44.4 percent, are plus 27 on the boards, plus six in steals, have 14 more blocked shots and have committed five fewer turnovers. Oklahoma City is the healthier team, has the momentum and its confidence level is at its highest. Contrast this with the Warriors, who are on the wrong end of an elimination game for the first time in Steve Kerr's two years. The Warriors are in uncharted waters. Their big men aren't playing well. Neither is Draymond Green. Stephen Curry isn't physically right, maybe playing at 70 percent since returning six games ago from a sprained right MCL. |
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05-24-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 222 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
Golden State and Oklahoma City are the two highest scoring teams in the NBA. But to reach this high of a total both have to be on their games. That hasn't happened yet in this Western Conference Finals. Through the first three games of the series, the losing team has averaged 99.3 points. |
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05-23-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
 OK, the Raptors got their measure of respect beating Cleveland, 99-84, at home in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Final series this past Saturday. |
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05-21-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 198.5 | Top | 84-99 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
I have no doubt the Cavaliers are going to put up their share of points here. They've scored triple digits in their last 20 games, are averaging 113.4 points during their last five games and 111.5 points during the first two games of this series despite taking the air out of the ball during the final minutes because of holding huge leads. |
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05-19-16 | Raptors +13 v. Cavs | Top | 89-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Never before have the Cavaliers blown out a team in the playoffs like they did Toronto in Game 1 winning by 31 points. The Cavaliers have yet to taste defeat in the postseason and they certainly can't be faulted for feeling overconfident in hosting the Raptors in Game 2. |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 221.5 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
The opening total in Game 2 of the Thunder-Warriors Western Conference Finals is down from Game 1 when the number was as high as 224. |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Thunder are getting a lot of kudos for knocking off San Antonio. But this is a bad spot for Oklahoma City. Remember what happened to the Thunder when they played at San Antonio in Game 1 of their Western Conference semifinal series? They were blitzed by 32 points. |
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05-12-16 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
I can understand a certain respect level for the Spurs and Gregg Popovich. But opening the Spurs a road favorite based on the past four games in this playoff series is just plain wrong.Â
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05-10-16 | Thunder +7 v. Spurs | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Since Game 1, the Thunder have outplayed the Spurs winning two of the last three. Oklahoma City has the most talented player, Kevin Durant, and is the better rebounding team. Steve Adams has turned into a strong wildcard proving to be highly effective inside against San Antonio. |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat OVER 189.5 | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
 If you count just regulation, all three games so far in this series have gone under the total. The Raptors have gone under in eight of their 10 playoff games. The Heat's gone under in seven of their last eight playoff games. So why go over? |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 211.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State and Portland have gone over the total in seven of their last eight head-to-head meetings. I expect that trend to continue here. |
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05-06-16 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 200 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
The teams last played back on Monday so expect lots of energy. |
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