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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals v. 49ers -9.5 | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
Arizona at San Francisco 4:05 ET 49ers (-) over Cardinals- Hey you saw it, we all did, the phone rang and it was 'Mario' for Jimmy! My goodness it is hard to get the image of Garoppolo dropping the ball just before the half and then each and every chance he had after that. Well, it seemed that way to me. The Cardinals have been a great 'take' (7-3 ATS) and the 'public' seems to be riding them once against this week. Arizona kept it close Halloween night 28-25 with a back-door cover...not so lucky this week. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | 7-41 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston at Baltimore 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Ravens- This might be the best game of the board as it pits the two most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL with Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson. The Ravens have captured the eye of the public with their serge winning the last five games going 3-0 ATS in their last three. But, this 'price' looks a bit cheap to me and I can see Watson out-shinning Jackson. Either way it should be a good one! The Ravens 1-6 ATS in their last 6 home games while the Texans are 1-5 ATS following an ATS win. Take the TEXANS! |
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11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns -2.5 | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at Cleveland 8:20 ET Browns (-) over Steelers- I hate to have Cleveland here on so many levels I can't believe that I'm actually 'on' them again. The first thing that bothers me is that 'we' will be fading the Steelers who have been so good to 'us' winning five-of-six. The Browns on the other hand have been and still are a disaster with the worst ATS record in the NFL 2-6-1and lead the league in penalties. To add to the matters Pittsburgh has dominated the series to an extent that they have gone 7-0-1 SU the last four years including the last four winners. The Men of Steel are 8-1 ATS in their last eight as underdogs including 4-0 this year. But, here's the thing, everybody hates the Browns right now as the media and public are all over Mayfield and Kitchens as well as their other underachievers and discipline issues. (Callaway was benched last week for being a no-show at practice, al-la Anthony 'Big Chest-Small-Brain' Brown) But, this is the time to take-em...when there is blood in the streets. Take the BROWNS! |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Seattle at San Francisco 8:15 ET 49ers (-) over Seahawks- This NFC West matchup will pit two of the three top Super Bowl contenders (Green Bay) from the conference. For San Francisco this is new territory while the Seahawks with favored MVP candidate Russell Wilson leading the way has been contending for the Super Bowl berth since his arrival. Both clubs average nearly 400 yards on offense with the Niners 171 yards rushing leading the league. But, for the most part the biggest difference is on defense where San Francisco allows only 241 yard per start while the Seattle surrenders 381 yards per contest. The home team is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh 4:25 ET Steelers (+) over Rams- Last week we had the Steelers pegged right because of a lot of luck, but is a design of hard work. Know what, I expect that 'we' will need more luck this week as the Rams are certainly a formidable foe Super Bowl losers had a week off after pounding powers like Atlanta and Cincinnati. Pittsburgh offense has been its shortcoming but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall and 8-2-1 after and ATS win. Its still scary because the Rams are still 10-3 ATS in their last 13 overall including 6-2 ATS this year. But...it's PITTSBURGH! |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (-) over Bills- This may be Custer's last stand for the Browns if they don't come away with a win, any kind of win, and that's what bothers me here. Like last week while posting Tampa Bay I warned everyone (and myself) and it turns out it's our only loss (5-1) in overtime, I feel Cleveland could screw us by just getting by. But, truly they are in need of a 'Big' win to actually regain their full confidence. There is plenty of season left and the second half starts here for them. Take CLEVELAND! |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals +12 | 49-13 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Cincinnati 1:00 ET Bengals (+) over Ravens- By all instincts I have be on the Bengals here. Granted Cincinnati is winless (0-8) and starting...who are they starting! It won't matter because it is the Ravens that are going to give this one away. Getting to 6-2 is one thing but another is the fact that the defeated the Patriots in grand style and watching the tapes of the Bengals will not bring much concern, and that will be their downfall. Maybe not straight-up but these Tigers have got to be hungry and have had two weeks to get ready. Talent wise no contest, but prepared mentally this week I don't see it...take CINCINNATI! |
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11-10-19 | Chiefs v. Titans +6.5 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
Kansas City at Tennessee 1:00 ET Titans (+) over Chiefs- The Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes in charge may have the best offense in the NFL but if he isn't at full strength they can be just ordinary. No longer do teams believe they are invulnerable and the three losses attest to that. Now, speaking of teams with quarterback issues the Titans are right up there with the lot of bad teams. But, the Tennessee defense can get up and surprise us every once and again. The Titans are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and Kansas City is 1-4 ATS on the road in their last five against teams with a losing record. Take TENNESSEE! |
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11-10-19 | Giants v. Jets +3 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
N.Y.Giants at N.Y. Jets 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Giants- Officially this has been labeled the Gotham Sewer Bowl as it most likely will be professional football at its worst! There is no doubt in my mind that the betting public will be on the Giants...they always are. NYC is a Giants/Yankees town as opposed to Mets/Jets, every other pro team is an also fan in the fans eye even when they are the better team. Now, I in no way would say that the Jets are a better team then the Giants as they average 157 yards passing and only 66 yards rushing (that's pretty bad). The media had been unbridled with praise for the Giants Dave (Turnover Machine) Jones while Sam 'What am I doing here' Darnold saw ghost chasing the ball in the end zone as he froze on the Dolphins safety last week. None the less, I have been and always will be a Giants fan and season ticket holder and I say...LET”S GO JETS! |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders +1.5 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
San Diego at Oakland 8:20 ET Raiders (+) over Chargers- Kudos to the Chargers for improvising us with another 'Highest-Rated' 5$Megabucks win over the Packers completely dominating play. Oakland was a winner as well but was very lucky in the process as the Lion's ineptitude in crucial monument handed the victory to the Raiders. So what...a winner is a winner in this league and if you can't or don't execute too bad for you. Oakland won again and there is a positive attitude with this club that was missing prior to Gruden arrival. Still, not confident that LA has turned the corner...Take OAKLAND! |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | 37-18 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas at New York Giants 8:15 ET Giants (+) over Cowboys- It looks like New York's future star is beginning to dim after four straight Giants' losses. Dallas with Dak Prescott has lead the Cowboys to five straight wins over New York both SU and ATS including the 35-17 win to open the season. The 'Boys seem to be ready for NFC East play as they are 13-3 ATS versus the NFC Easy in their last 16 meetings. The Giants are totally inconsistent going 5-17-1 ATS after a point spread win. Having been out-scored 38-0 in the first quarter of their last four games the Giants will get off to better start at home on a Monday night. Take NEW YORK! |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
New England at Baltimore 8:20 ET Ravens (+) over Patriots- Truly an interesting game with plenty of side plots and storylines. Starting with quarterback comparisons when it is difficult to do because they both Tom Brady and Lamar Jackson have such contrasting styles. Results are probably the best measure and one guy comes in 8-0 with plenty of defensive help and they others resume is still on its opening page. As invulnerable as New England appears there is one obvious Achilles Heel...they are on their third place kicker of the season cutting both Mike Nugent for Nick Folk. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings but the Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games...that streak ends tonight. Take BALTIMORE! |
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11-03-19 | Browns v. Broncos +4.5 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland at Denver 4:25 ET Broncos (+) over Browns- Oh what fun could we have here...Mayfield against the World and a starting quarterback of the home team that is so obscure even NFL films is not aware of who he is. But, my research team found out that it is Roy Hobbs! Yep! 'We' let everyone know during the preseason to ignore the 'hype' and 'fade' the Cleveland Browns. All show and NO substance! So, far so good to the point where they are imploding because their lack of professionalism and class and they lead the NFL in penalties and turnovers. Broncos come to play together as a team at home and get it done. Take DENVER! |
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11-03-19 | Packers v. Chargers +4 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
Green Bay at L.A. Chargers 4:25 ET Chargers (+) over Packers- Okay, I'm trying to keep calm until game time but this has to the 'Major Shocker' of the day. Green Bay comes rolling into Los Angeles winning their last four scoring 73 points in their last two taking down a pair of AFC West teams in Oakland and Kansas City. This week they have drawn the regrouping Chargers who had just 231 yards total offense in their 17-16 win at Chicago. Series history buries LA as the Packers have won the last seven and 10-11 meetings overall. With little fan sport the home Chargers are just 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS as 'hosts.' LA (HA) has made a change at OC and maybe Los Angeles will score some goals in this diminutive soccer stadium. Take the CHARGERS! |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +5 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay ay Seattle 4:05 ET Buccaneers (+) over Seahawks- 'Toughest game on the board to bet', if your side is the Buccaneers! So, 'we' will have them with the understanding that 'business' must be done. There is no 'straight' way that Jamis 'Turnover Machine' Winston can defeat Pete Carol and the Seahawks defense any other way. The price of this game less than a TD and missed extra point a winner. The best I can figure is that all week watching film the Hawks were laughing and talking about the facing undefeated 49ers in Frisco next Monday night. Who knows for real...this has got to be a set-up game for us to win and we will! Take TAMPA BAY! |
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11-03-19 | Colts v. Steelers +1 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh 1:00 ET Steelers over Colts- I'm getting a lot of resistance with this one as some are afraid of Pittsburgh's offensive question mark quarterback notwithstanding as all-purpose runner/receiver James Conner some an important part of the Steelers offense will be missing. Yeah, I get it, but 'teams' win games and although they looked like crap Monday night against Miami, that they are closer than you might think. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the underdog is 5-2 in the last seven meetings and the Steelers could be both by game time. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
San Francisco at Arizona 8:20 ET Cardinals (+) over 49ers- San Francisco is running roughshod over their opponents with the emphasis on running. The Niners a balanced offense led by emerging start Jimmy Garoppolo management and 185 yards rushing per game. Arizona my have won just three of their eight games but the are 5-3 ATS and have one of the most exciting players in the league with Kyler Murray leading the offense. The Cardinals seem to get ready for the 49ers as they have limited them to 18 points of less in the last four meetings. San Fran on a roll but will come-back somewhat and the Cardinals look forward to being a Thursday night host after last weeks dismal performance in New Orleans. Take ARIZONA! |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers -14 | 14-27 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Miami at Pittsburgh 8:15 ET Steelers (-) over Dolphins- Pittsburgh's quarterback Mason Rudolph has been cleared from concussion protocol and will be behind the center tonight as the Steelers host the winless Dolphins. Miami has covered their last two and it usually is a good idea to play 'on' a winless team later in the season but that is 'usually' the play. They will start veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB and that doesn't help their 31st ranked rushing defense. Miami surrenders over 35 points per game and score just 10.5. The rout is on...the PITTSBURGH! |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +5.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Green Bay at Kansas City 8:20 ET Chiefs (+) over Packers- Okay, no Mahomes, so now what? So, now the Chiefs are expected to play defense to make up for the MLP's absence. I last impression I have of the Chiefs is them shutting down the hapless Broncos 30-6 last Thursday which really doesn't say that much. But, it was still an impressive performance as they did dominate. I am surprised that the Packers are this big a favorite on the road as Matt Moore is getting very little regard. Still, the Chiefs have the No. 3 offense and plenty of other explosive weapons. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Oakland at Houston 4:25 ET Raiders (+) over Texans- Okay, so Oakland is on an endless road trip which has taken them to far corners of the globe (London at least) and they still long to see that warm California sun (does it shine in Oakland?). Meanwhile, Houston continues to do their thing and blow games because of a weakness in coaching, the talent is there but...alas. Now, the Raiders are w work in progress and being on the road where they are forced to be together can be a great learning and bonding experience. It is how many MLB teams get it together, they are forced! Take the RAIDERS! |
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10-27-19 | Browns +11.5 v. Patriots | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Cleveland at New England 4:25 ET Browns (+) over Patriots- I'm really happy that 'we' pulled the tigger with the Patriots last week mopping up the Jets 33-0 and I keep wonder is there ever a time when they are a go-against. Cleveland started the season the 'darlings' of the media and now they finding it difficult to mention anything good or positive. The Browns, so brash and cocky are 2-4 and ready to fall into the Abyss if the don't turn it around soon. The question can they and can the measure up tp New England Brady and Mayfield and all. They are just 2-5 ATS at New England but they are 8-1 ATS following a loss. Take the BROWNS! |
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10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers -4 | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Carolina at San Francisco 4:05 ET 49ers (-) over Panthers- This is a 'late' posting as being in this business one becomes aware of 'dealings' in front of and behind the counter. I could give you a bunch of stats and trends but I don't have time for that as I want to get this winner out there. Kylie Allen is 4-0 as a starter and that comes to an end today. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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10-27-19 | Broncos +5.5 v. Colts | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver at Indianapolis 1:00 ET Broncos (+) over Colts- This game should have horses running up and down the field as the Colts and Broncos fit the bill. Indianapolis moved solidly into first place after taking down Kansas City and Houston in the past two weeks. Without Andrew Luck the Colts have been one of the better 'plays' going 4-1-1 ATS while struggling Denver is 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS. The Broncos are 29th in scoring at just 16 points per game and have never really play well at Indy going 1-6 ATS in the last seven but that was Luck-ago! Take DENVER! |
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10-27-19 | Chargers v. Bears -3.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
L.A. Chargers at Chicago 1:00 ET Bears (-) over Chargers- Neither of these two clubs look too hot so far and a loss here would only help burry an already struggling team which ever it is. At 2-5 Los Angeles has already lost more regular season gamest than they did all of last season, while the Bears are looking to 'move-up' in the draft to get a quarterback. Chicago's ground game in virtually non-existent ranking 28th and with an inept passing attack they have little offense to speak off. But, this is spot for need. The Chargers were never together this year with Gordon's holdout and can't find whatever it is they had 'last year.' The Bears are 4-0 in the series at home. Take CHICAGO! |
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10-24-19 | Redskins +17 v. Vikings | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Washington at Minnesota 8:20 ET Redskins (+) over Vikings- How dreadful the NFL has become that we have so many favorites of two touchdown or more and as the competition level sinks. Washington (1-6) has one victory this season over winless Miami and have managed to get just their second 'cover' when getting shutout by San Francisco last Sunday. Minnesota has reeled off three straight wins and 'covers' since Kirk Cousins apologized for his poor play. These two clubs have virtually exchanged quarterbacks as Redskins start Case Keenum who was 11-3 as a Vikings started before Cousins who was drafted and played for Washington took over. Not to go crazy but...take REDSKINS! |
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10-21-19 | Patriots -9.5 v. Jets | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
New England at New York Jets 8:15 ET Patriots (-) over Jets- The last time these two met New England was a 20-point home favorite and won 30-14 for the non-cover victory. At that time the Jets were starting 3rd string quarterback Luke Falk who since has been released and tonight they will have Sam Darnold back for the second straight week after missing three games because of the 'Kissing Disease.' His counterpart Tom Brady has eight TD passes and no interceptions in the last three meetings against the Jets but they haven't fared well against the points at New York. The Pats are 1-5 ATS in their last six visits to Gotham and the Jets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine at home games against teams with winning road records. But there is one factor that I have to mention...the Jets have been out-gained in EVERY game. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys -2.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Dallas 8:20 ET Cowboys (-) over Eagles- Four weeks ago after having defeated three of the league's weakest and winless teams (Giants, Redskins and Dolphins) and Dak Prescott was considered the 'best Cowboys quarterback ever. Then reality set in as the Cowboys came back to earth when they had to play real football teams and have now dropped three in-a-row. They return home as the favorite against the Eagles and the favorite is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, also Dallas is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against the NFC East. The need it bad...take DALLAS! |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears -4 | 36-25 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
New Orleans at Chicago 4:25 ET Bears (-) over Saints- New Orleans behind replacement Teddy Bridgewater has reeled off four straight wins while averaging just 218 yards passing and allowing the defense to be the major factor in their wins surrendering just 40 points in three games. The Saints have won four straight in this series but here we have the Bears favored with one of the worst rated quarterbacks in the NFL returning to action as Mitch Trubisky comes back from a dislocated shoulder. He averages just 230 yards passing but has a defense led by Khalil Mack has 10 sacks in nine home games as Chicago's defense take over with the Saints Alvin Kamara sidelined. Take Da' BEARS! |
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10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins +10.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco at Washington- Redskins (+) over 49ers- There is no question San Francisco in making their presence felt especially after they way the dominated last season's NFC's Super Bowl representative last February. Washington posted their first win of the season last week against the hapless Dolphins and are still looking for their first home win and are 0-3 both straight-up and ATS as hosts. Although the road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings this is the first time that the visitor has been favored in six years. Expect a let down from the Niners while the Redskins scrap for every morsel. Take WASHINGTON! |
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10-20-19 | Vikings v. Lions +2.5 | 42-30 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota at Detroit 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Vikings- I must admit that the Lions are a lot better than I expected but they still always seem to manage to blow second half leads. Officials calls did them in against Green Bay Monday night as they once again let another win slip threw their fingers. Detroit's Matt Stafford needs just 87 yards passing to become the faster player to 40,000 yards in just 147 games although most of them have been losses. Although the Viking have won the last three meetings they are a different squad on the road. Take DETROIT! |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Giants | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Arizona at New York Giants 1:00 ET Cardinals (+) over Giants- Doesn't this 'price' look cheap to you...it does to me. Both clubs are starting rookie quarterbacks with Daniel Jones replacing Eli Manning for New York and Kyler Murray the No. 1 overall draft pick leading Arizona to a 2-3-1 record whereas New York is 2-2 behind Jones. The Giants are expecting to return of both running back Saquon Barkley and tight end Evan Engram. The Cardinals have won their last two and unlike New York are scoring points. Jones is just at 52% completions and the Jints have lost their last two meetings against Arizona. Take CARDINALS! |
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10-20-19 | Rams v. Falcons +3.5 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (+) over Rams- After a 3-0 start the Rams have dropped their last three and were dismal on offense in last weeks loss to the 49ers. Atlanta has on the other hand been putrid this entire season as Dan Quinn as been searching to want-ads. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS despite have the No. 2 passing game in the NFL with Matt Ryan going 30-36 for 356 yards and four touchdowns in last weeks loss but leading the league in TD passes with 15. Atlanta has won four straight against the Rams and with LA's injury list growing they will struggle here as the Falcons fly high. Take ATLANTA! |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Denver 8:20 ET Broncos (+) over Chiefs- Two games ago both of these clubs had a zero in their win/loss records with Kansas City being 4-0 and the Broncos were 0-4. The ebb and flow of the football season started three weeks ago with the Chiefs falling to Indy and Houston at home while Denver was posting a pair of victories at LA Chargers and shutout Tennessee last week at home. The 'Wild Horses' are bucking with confidence...Take BRONCOS! |
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10-14-19 | Lions +4 v. Packers | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroit at Green Bay 8:15 ET Lions (+) over Packers- Green Bay looks like a totally different team this season as opposed to last year as their play has a better tempo this season. Detroit (2-1-1) has been a shock to some as having only lost to Kansas City in four games thus far this season. The Lions have defeated the Packers four straight times and have won three of the last four in Green Bay including a 31-0 win to close the 2018 season. Although the favorite has dominated this series going 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings...Take DETROIT! |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +7.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
Dallas at New York Jets 4:25 ET Jets (+) over Cowboys- Okay, Sam Darnold is back after his courageous right against mono and the Jets are happy to have him back no matter how mediocre he is because his replacements are putrid. Dallas took on three of the weakest clubs in the NFL defeating the Giants, Redskins and Dolphins before having to pay real football against the Saints and Packers and loss them both as Dak Prescott keeps falling short. New York had a team 'bonding' meeting and all is well according to Le'Veon Bell who averages 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. Surprise...it works. Take the J-E-T-S! |
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10-13-19 | Falcons v. Cardinals +2.5 | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Atlanta at Arizona 4:05 ET Cardinals (+) over Falcons- These two birds flying in opposite direction and the Cardinals are flying high with their number one pick Tyler Murray leading the way while the Falcons have been grounded and with a losers mentality that they can not overcome. Blame it on that Super Bowl loss and the coaching of Dan Quinn. Fade Atlanta whenever you can like right here. Take ARIZONA! |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -3 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Minnesota 1:00 ET Vikings (-) over Eagles- Both clubs at 3-2 are expected to make it into the playoffs with the edge according to oddsmakers and the general public is that Philadelphia is a little better than the Vikings. The Eagles are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings but, Minnesota is home here where they are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 as hosts. The Eagles average just 339 yards on offense and the Vikings allow just 292.4 Yards per contest. Take MINNESOTA! |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +1.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
Seattle at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Seahawks- We all saw it...the Browns totally dominated by the 49ers 31-3 with Cleveland getting out-gained by 266 yards and a 8-22-and 100 yards performance out of Baker Mayfield. Meanwhile it's the same-old, same-old with Seattle winning the close ones especially on the road where they are 2-0 both SU and ATS this season winning 3-of-4 by two or less points. That plays well into this week match-up where the Browns are 0-2 both SU and ATS at home this season, are they that bad...I don't think so. At home where hosts are 3-0-2 in the last five meetings the Browns get a much needed win. Take CLEVELAND! |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Cleveland at San Francisco 8:15 ET 49ers (-) over Browns- The past three seasons these two clubs have been the NFL's biggest losers and now they both are full of optimism while the rest of the league looks at them with skepticism. San Francisco is 3-0 and have had an extra week to prepare after taking down the Steelers 24-20 two weeks ago. Cleveland at 2-2 is off of a 40-25 win at Baltimore but there are internal struggles that play out on the field at time. The Browns huge ego's take another hit tonight. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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10-06-19 | Colts +12.5 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Indianapolis at Kansas City 8:20 ET Colts (+) over Chiefs- What you see is what you get as Patrick Mahomes continues his trek through NFL defenses and Kansas City remains undefeated (4-0). The Chiefs average 34.8 points with Mahomes leading the way with 69.8%, 10 TD's with zero interceptions. On the other side the Colts have Jacoby Brissett who settled into the quarterbacking position with ease. This one has the earmarks of a high scoring game on Sunday night to showcase the skills of these players in 'Prime-time' but that goes for both sides. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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10-06-19 | Packers v. Cowboys -3 | 34-24 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Dallas 4:25 ET Cowboys (-) over Packers- Dallas went from being an offensive juggernaut could manage just 15 first downs and only one touchdown last time out at New Orleans. Green Bay meanwhile was exposed in their home loss a week ago Thursday night by the Eagles and have had 11 days to get ready for this one in Dallas. The Cowboys had just 45 yards rushing last week but will face the NFL's 26th ranked rushing defense here and Ezekiel Elliott (8 yards rushing) will revert back to his All-pro form along with Dak Prescott. Packers will be without top receiver Davante Adams. Take DALLAS! |
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10-06-19 | Broncos +6 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver at L.A. Chargers 4:05 ET Broncos (+) over Chargers- It has not been pretty for Denver as they are 0-4 for the first time in 20 years as they dropped their second 2-point loss of the season late week to Jacksonville. Los Angeles has been a bit underachieving with a pair of losses and just 1 1-2-1 ATS record. Melvin Gordon will return this week but I don't expect him to be real effective until he gets a game or two under his belt. These two split their season series last year but the broncos seem to have the Chargers number winning 12 of the last 16 meetings. Take DENVER! |
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10-06-19 | Vikings v. Giants +6 | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota at New York Giants 1:00 ET Giants (+) over Vikings- After posting the Redskins against New York last week I hope that I don't get caught in the 'switches' so to speak. Playing 'against' Minnesota last week kept 'us' in the win column and I first thought I would be backing them and fading the Giants here but...that's too easy. The Daniel Jones era is underway in New York and his teammates have picked up their level of play. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take NEW YORK! |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders +6 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Chicago vs. Oakland (London) 1:00 ET Raiders (+) over Bears- Ugly upon ugly is the best way to describe both these clubs. This game in London is just part of the trek that will have the Raiders on the road until the first weekend in November a length of six weeks. I'm sure that the media will make a big deal of Chicago's Khalil Mack getting to play against his former club for the first time since being traded last September. The Bears lost QB Mitch Trubiskey to a shoulder injury and that can only help the Bears tame offense with Chase Daniels now leading the charge. Oakland behind John Gruden will keep this close enough to possible stealing a win at the end. Take the RAIDERS! |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 3-27 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 8:15 ET Bengals (+) over Steelers- Most likely one of these team will be 0-4 before the end of the night and it would seem more than likely it would be the Bengals. Pittsburgh has dominated this series for decades and is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings as hosts to Cincinnati. The Bengals seem to have turned have things around now that Marvin Lewis is gone from the coaching ranks although they have yet to win a game. Mason Rudolph who passed for a meager 174 yards in Pittsburgh's loss at the Niners last week will be pitted against the Bengals Andy Dalton who is second in passing yards (979) entering the week. The fact is that the Steelers surrender 442. yards per game and produce only 269 yards per game on offense. Take CINCINNATI! |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +5.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Seattle at Arizona 4:05 ET Cardinals (+) over Seahawks- As expected the 'public' is all over the Seahawks filing to believe that they will lose two-in-row (especially to the league worst team). Arizona's quarterback Kyle Murray and Seattle's Russell Wilson have many similar traits including quick feet a strong arm speed and good judgement. The Cardinals are just 0-2-1 but are 2-1 ATS to date and are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings and they underdog is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take ARIZONA! |
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09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills +7.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
New England at Buffalo 1:00 ET Bills (+) over Patriots- This is a battle of the 'old' versus the 'new.' The quarterback comparison at this point is all one way with 72 year-old Tom Brady leading the Patriots charge against second year hurler Josh Allen. New England has dominated this series to the tune of 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings including 4 fo their last five ATS. The Patriots have played three patsies and have yet to allow a rushing or passing touchdown. That all changed to day. Take BUFFALO! |
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09-29-19 | Redskins +3 v. Giants | 3-24 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington at New York Giants 1:00 ET Redskins (+) over Giants- Okay, so the 'Danny-Boy Jones' era has begun in New York and it started with an 18-point 32-31 comeback win over Tampa Bay. Washington of course is winless (0-3) and have trouble even being competitive as they have lost eight of their last nine straight-up going 2-7 ATS. When it comes to this the Giants are 0-3-1 ATS at home last four while the Redskins are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after a double-digit loss. Take WASHINGTON! |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs v. Lions +7.5 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Kansas City at Detroit 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Chiefs- A pair of undefeated clubs clash in Detroit where the 2-0-1 Lions and 3-0 Chiefs meet with reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes who has passed for over 350 yards in his first three games without an interception. I have shouted as much as I could about what a horrible job coach Matt Patricia is doing as another failed Belichick disciple. But, not so fast as Matt Stafford is being to look like he can finally defeat a team with a winning record. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +4.5 v. Packers | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Green Bay 8:20 ET Eagles (+) over Packers- It is just not a good look...the Eagles ground game and injury list. Green Bay under 'new' management are 3-0 and have the top passing defense. Philadelphia had to cancel a practice this week because of the number of sidelined players. The Eagles have trouble in the air allowing almost 300 yards per game and are 0-5 ATS in their last five overall and is 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. The Packers are just 5-11-1 ATS against the NFC East and the home team is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.Take PHILADELPHIA! |
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09-23-19 | Bears -5 v. Redskins | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Chicago at Washington 8:15 ET Redskins (+) over Bears- You have to go back to 18 years to 2001 to find the last time Chicago defeated Washington as the Redskins have won the last eight meetings straight-up. The Bears have yet to show any offense scoring just one touchdown in two games while losing to Green Bay and beating Denver on a fluke. Washington is projected as the worst team in the NFC and are 0-2 after losing to a pair of the leagues best clubs and Division foes Dallas and Philadelphia. But, the 'Sins are a horrid 2-15 in its last 17 MNF appearances as are even worse at home going 1-16 SU dating back to 1998. So, what do you want an inept offense run by Chicago's Mitchell Trubisky or the inept Redskins offense that averages 2.5 yards per run. Take CHICAGO! |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at Cleveland 8:20 ET Browns (+) over Rams- The storyline of course in Baker Mayfield and his crew of underachievers (to date) is what to make of what we've seen so far. Weakness in the offensive and defense for the Browns but for the Rams it's a different story. It looks like Todd Gurley II is back but LA has fallen short of last years offensive pace (33 pts). This is a big game for Cleveland's 'Dog Pound' and they might bite! Take CLEVELAND! |
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09-22-19 | Texans v. Chargers -3 | 27-20 | Loss | -113 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Houston at L.A. Chargers 4:25 ET Chargers (-) over Texans- I just don't get this one. I mean from what I've seen the 'action' has been on the Texans and it has been steady...why? They are poorly coached and have no offensive line and rarely perform well in the clutch because of a lack of organization. San Diego looks to rebound from their shameful loss at Detroit and will have Rivers leading the way. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in the last-6 meetings and they are 5-0 ATS after a SU loss. Houston is 2-9 ATS last-11 on grass! Take the CHARGERS! |
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09-22-19 | Saints +5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
New Orleans at Seattle 4:25 ET Saints (+) over Seahawks- New Orleans without question is my A-Play of the week even without Drew Brees. There is something about a good team that loses a key player that makes them bond and perform better as a unit. (see Brewers without Yelich) Now, understanding the QB position is a unique position but teams win championships not individuals. Seahawks 2-0 on road return home and disappoint. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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09-22-19 | Panthers +2.5 v. Cardinals | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
Carolina at Arizona 4:05 ET Panthers (+) over Cardinals- Carolina's Cam Newton a great running back that revolutionize the QB philosophy might be done and has been ruled out here. But, any replacement will be an improvement from what we've gotten out of Cam the past three seasons. Arizona has been made a 'false' favorite here as the may have gotten better but just how much...not enough! Take CAROLINA! |
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09-22-19 | Bengals v. Bills -7 | 17-21 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Buffalo 1:00 ET Bengals (+) over Bills- So, now that Buffalo has opened with a pair of outright underdog wins many see them as a threat against the Pats...forget that! Both wins came in New York against two of the NFL's lowest bottom feeders and now the Bills have become the 'fav' of the week. The Bengals (0-2) have a new 'look' and are throwing the ball 75% of the time as Andy Dalton is 2nd in NFL passing yards with 729 and 4 TD's with 1 INT. Cincinnati has won four of last five meetings including the last two in Buffalo in 2013 and 2015. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in last-5 road games but just 4-9 ATS last-13 meetings. Take CINCINNATI! |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars +2 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Tennessee at Jacksonville 8:20 ET Jaguars (+) over Titans- I don't see it, at least not what the general opinion of this matchup between a pair of AFC South rivals. Tennessee is a slight road favorite and I guess that is because of the Jaguars having to go with rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew and their impressive road win at Cleveland or maybe because they are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Jacksonville troubles seem to be more than injuries but player dissatisfaction. But, the Titans are 1-4 ATS vs. the NFC South and 4-12-1 ATS their last 17 road games while the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets +7 | Top | 23-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Cleveland at New York Jets 8:15 ET Jets (+) over Browns- After game the NFL opening week it appears that the Cleveland Browns have been reading their own press clipping as they were not ready to play on the field as they were completely dominated by Tennessee. Cleveland committed 18 penalties last week as their focus was elsewhere. . This week the Browns travel to New York as Odell Beckham Jr. returns to MetLife Stadium since being traded by the Giants and he says that he will wear his watch (in order to get his timing down I guess) and I'm interested in how the NFL will handle the issue. Regardless, New York will have a healthy Le'Veon Bell and will have Trevor Siemian who was 13-11 as a starter for Denver in 2016-17. It was the Jets that the Browns defeated last season when Baker Mayfield got his first start and ended a 19-game winless streak. This time take the J-E-T-S! |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Atlanta 8:20 ET Falcons (+) over Eagles- Oh my goodness, I believe I see a 'set-up' here. After posting Minnesota (Power Play winner) over the Falcons last week as the 'dirty-birds' were grounded by the Vikings. They were never really in it and put up a pair of meaningless scores at the end. Philadelphia put on a huge comeback after spotting the Redskins an 18 point lead to win outright but they allowed a score in the final moments to give up the back door cover. The Eagles might be grounded here as another pair of receivers are gimping around and their quarterbacks isn't in tune yet. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the Falcons are 4-0 the last four years in game-2. Take ATLANTA! |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +2.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Chicago at Denver 4:25 ET Broncos over Bears- Both these clubs started on a sour note and neither of them showed much offense at all. From what I saw Denver didn't look so hot on offense but Chicago was just brutal. We saw it in the NFL Playoffs against the Eagles as their double-bonker field goal attempt left them short, but they had only one offensive score that day as well. Chicago is 1-5 ATS on the against teams with losing records and the underdog is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Truly the quarterback position is weaker than the Bears are willing to admit and even with a great defense they won't be able to overcome Denver and the 'Mile High' advantage. Take the BRONCOS! |
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09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders +7.5 | 28-10 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Oakland 4:05 ET Raiders (+) over Chiefs- Kansas City and their 'High Powered' offense invade Oakland with some nagging injuries hampering key players for this weekend encounter. Pat Mahomes sprained his ankle last week in Jacksonville but will be ready Sunday and speedster Tyreek Hill will miss six weeks with a collar bone issue. The Raiders man-handled Denver last week 24-16 and have gone 4-0 both ATS and SU in their last four at home and the home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take the RAIDERS |
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09-15-19 | Chargers v. Lions +2 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
L.A. Chargers at Detroit 10:10 ET Lions (+) over Chargers- Okay, I have said a number of times that this coach (? in name only) Matt Patricia is a hoax and here I am supporting this bum and his crew of under achievers. Matt Stafford has turned into the biggest bunch of meaningly numbers which still always spell L-O-S-S. The way the Lions blew an 18-point lead to Arizona last week was an NFL disgrace (we had the winner) and it was all coaching. So, why Detroit on this Sunday and that is it...on any given Sunday. Remember they did defeat the Packers 41-0 to end last season. The trends are all Chargers so I won't tell you about them as I don't want you to get 'cold feet'...but San Diego has won seven of the last eight meetings and the Lions are 4-12 ATS against a team with a winning record. Like I said take DETROIT! |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins +6.5 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
Dallas at Washington 1:00 ET Redskins (+) over Cowboys- Do you really think Dak Prescott is as good as he looked against the Giants...of course not, but with that kind of time to throw and receivers that wide open even Tim Tebow would look good. Of course the return of Zeke Elliott three days before the game and then preform the way he did says to us how important pre-season is for skilled players. Washington was in position to pull off the first major upset of the season but folded when it counted most as the Eagles prevailed 32-27 as the Skins (+10) got the money. Although Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to DC the underdog is 27-11 ATS in this hard hitting rivalry. Take WASHINGTON! |
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09-12-19 | Bucs +7.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at Carolina 8:20 ET Buccaneers (+) over Panthers- Both of these NFC South clubs seem to be heading south opening 0-1 with one being even less impressive than the other staring 0-1 ATS. The headliners here at one time had to be Cam Newton for Carolina and Jamis Winston for the Buccaneers, but times change and the best player on the field (by far) will be Christian McCaffrey who had 208 yard form scrimmage in a losing cause against the Rams. Tampa Bay's performance against San Francisco wasn't as bad as it appeared as the out-gained the Niners both on the ground and through the air. They just need Winston to stay under control and no turn the ball over. Moving toward each other this one should be close with the Buccaneers having a chance to pull it out in the end. Add that the road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Denver at Oakland 10:20 ET Raiders over Broncos- Well, the clown show is over in Oakland but there really won't be much difference in the team make-up. Releasing Antonio Brown really had no affect on the Raiders as he attended only two practices where he participated and that was under a limited basis so this team has been together without AB since day one. But, the Raiders number one concern shouldn't be on offense where Brown would have contributed but their defense which was ranked last in points scored last season allowing an NFL most 29.2 points per game. John Gruden will have his guys ready...take OAKLAND! |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | 59-10 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Miami 1:00 ET Dolphins (+) over Ravens- Really now, are the Dolphins that bad, so bad that they keep beat a one-dimensional quarterback with the points at home. The Miami humidity will help and so will experience quarterbacking in Ryne Fitzpatrick. The trends are so one sided that it would be impossible for me to make a case of any sort for Miami mas the Ravens have dominated the series to the tune of 8-0 both nSu and ATS in the last eight meetings including 5-0 ATS in Miami. But the Fins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight at home and although Miami has made the playoffs in over a decade they have won their last five openers 5-0 ATS. Take MIAMI! |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +2.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
L.A. Rams at Carolina 1:05 ET Panthers (+) over Rams- Well, we just saw what happens to teams that don't play any of their starters during the pre-season as the Bears managed just a field goal. Los Angeles has taken that same prima donna approach this per-season and now expect their talent to turn it on in Charlotte where the Panthers and a fresh Cam Newton are lying in wait. Take CAROLINA! |
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09-08-19 | Bills +3 v. Jets | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Buffalo at New York Jets 1:00 ET Bills (+) over Jets- Everything is 'new' with the Jets who have Adam Gase head coach leading the charge and Le'Veon Bell running and catching the pigskin with second year pro Sam Darnold heading the offense. Buffalo has a second year quarterback Josh Allen who many believe has a brighter future than his New York counterpart. The Bills have won three of their last five trips the NYC and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven against the AFC East. Buffalo is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 openers while the Jets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 oVerall. Take BUFFALO! |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -3.5 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Atlanta at Minnesota 1:05 ET Vikings (-) over Falcons- Man, now tis is my favorite of the day ...no not my favorite game of the day but my lone favorite release of the day. Vikings 7-2 SU and ATS in nine September home games under Zimmer 37-14 non-division contest including 21-5-1 ATS at home. Atlanta finally broke their 13-game pre-season losing streak beating Jacksonville 31-12 but are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Take MINNESOTA |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 40-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
Kansas City at Jacksonville 1:05 ET Jaguars (+) over Chiefs- Although the 'books' are heavy on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl and heavy with the 'public' money so far in this encounter but aware the 'Sharps' in Las Vegas keep taking the hook (+3.5) and it will be tough to get more than +3. Straight-up if that's the way you want me to play it maybe the remnants of hurricane 'Missed-Ya' will leave the field soggy and muddy and the Kansas City passing game will suffer. Okay, well, if not Jacksonville will run the ball right at them and play strong pressure defense. Either way or another the Jags get it done. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears -3 | 10-3 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Chicago 8:20 ET Bears (-) over Packers- Including their 15-16 loss at Philadelphia and Chicago has now lost 4-of-5 both straight-up and ATS having been out-rushed in all four preseason games. Meanwhile, the Packers just took care of business against Kansas City last time out and are 7-2 ATS in their last meetings in Chicago. I feel like Green Bay has been playing possum with relations between the new head coach and the veteran quarterback. But, the truth of the matter is that it has been the Bears in hibernation and they are ready to roar as they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven against the NFC North while the Pacers are 0-4 in their last four versus the NFC North and they are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take CHICAGO! |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 35 m | Show |
Los Angels Rams vs New England 6:30 ET Rams (+) over Patriots- I had to get this out sooner then later because I don't want to be distracted by any 'October Surprise' so to speak. 'We' have been riding the Patriots throughout the playoffs against the Chargers and two weeks ago again at Kansas City. In both instances the 'public' was against New England and now their attitude has changed and 'they' are overwhelmingly on Tom Brady and crew. The speak I keep hearing is how Los Angeles shown't even be here or that they don't belong here. Well, guess what they are here and the Saints couldn't hold the lead with two minutes to go, so boo on them. The Rams come into this fray 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four while the Patriots have scored 78 in the past two playoff games and any team that scores 70 or more points in two playoff games as a favorite is 0-6 ATS. In Las Vegas the 'sharps' are buying the Rams every time the game moves to +3 as they are jumping on what they consider value as LA did open -1.5. I can't help it and I believe this is a really strong play for the most part because people don't believe the Rams belong. Take LOS ANGELES! |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3.5 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
New England at Kansas City 6:40 ET Patriots (+) over Chiefs- This one (game) is just how you perceive the matchup. Do you see it as the 'Young Gunslinger' taking over against the wily veteran or will experience tell. Others may see how New England has struggled on the road (3-5) and others how the Chiefs closed 1-6-1 ATS before their season final win over the Raiders. The Patriots who are 2-5 in the last seven meetings won the last meeting in week six 43-40 as Kansas City won the 'money' but not the game. You know what the same thing can happen here as Chiefs are 8-1 straight-up at home and 5-4 ATS. But, for the most part I am a guy that will go with the proven winner and wily veteran over a first-timer. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -112 | 41 h 28 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at New Orleans 3:05 ET Saints (-) over Rams- A pair of great offensive teams with the exact same record (14-3) will be playing in 'perfect' conditions but one of them with have a huge advantage, and that is a raucous fan base. The Saints at home have already beaten L.A. 45-35 the first week in November. In that contest New Orleans went off as an underdog (+1.5) and now the oddsmakers believe that they are 5-points better (by-the-line) now than then. I could talk of the experience advantage at quarterback and combine that with the Saints having won their last seven home playoff games six with Brees at the helm alone with the home team going 7-0 in the last seven meetings. One last thing to pee on the Rams, LA is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six against teams with winning records. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at New Orleans 4:40 ET Saints (-) over Eagles- What is going on here? There are a number of conflicting factors surrounding this game which can cloud what 'we' are trying to do. From what I have gathered the overall general consensus is leaning to Philadelphia but as kick-off approaches the 'line' keeps rising. New Orleans has had two weeks to regroup after their final game lay-down 33-14 loss against Carolina as they closed the season 0-3 ATS. These two met in mid-November and the Saints crushed the Eagles 48-7 gaining 546 yards from scrimmage while Philly was held to 196 total yards. I do fear the Nick Floes factor...Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Chargers at New England 1:05 ET Patriots (-) over Chargers- Los Angeles (really now, that still doesn't look right) has turned into the betting darlings of the public not just this week but certainly last week in their win over Baltimore. (My AFC GOY loser...now 13-2 87%) They have had a great season on the road going 8-1 both straight-up and ATS with their lone loss to the Rams 35-23 in September. New England comes limping into this contest with a pair of December losses going 1-3 ATS in their final four, but are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings ( two of which were playoff games) and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Phillip Rivers as great as he is (some question that) is 1-5 lifetime against the Patriots and that one win came while Brady was sidelined with a knee injury. Enough said...take NEW ENGLAND! |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams -7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Dallas at Los Angeles Rams 8:15 ET Rams (-) over Cowboys- Okay, so Dallas has won a playoff game and Jason Garrett's job is secure until this one becomes a final (unless Jerry loses it before the half). The Cowboys will try and continue to slam the ball with Ezekiel Elliott the NFL's leading rusher with 1,434 yards but, Los Angeles will counter with the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Todd Gurley. Dallas -125 came through on the money-line (as posted) Game of the Year winner over Seattle and this week they will not be able to sustain their momentum. Take the RAMS! |
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01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Kansas City 4:35 ET Chiefs (-) over Colts- I think by now all have realized that Indianapolis has won 10-of-11 since their 1-5 start the best record in the entire NFL the past 12 weeks. Kansas City just hasn't been the same since the release of Kareem Hunt as they have gone 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games with the lone ATS win in the final game against Oakland 35-3 which makes me think that was their 'tune-up' game. Chiefs first-year starter Pat Mahomes had 50 TD passes and threw for over 5,000 yards and they storyline for this matchup is about Andrew Luck. But, the Colts luck has run out! Too much attention to Indy and I keep hearing how KC is 0-4 Su and ATS in their last four playoff games as host. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Chicago 5:00 ET Eagles (+) over Bears- The Bears enter there first playoff game in eons with best ATS record in the NFL 12-4 and are 7-1 SU and ATS at home. It's been a task for Philadelphia as the Super Bowl hangover lasted through week 10 and then they won five of six with the loss at Dallas in overtime. Chicago closed winning 9-of-10 with their lone loss in overtime at the Giants. The question just might be how confident will Chicago be after getting punished by the Eagles last Nov. 26, 31-3. Philadelphia has won the last three meetings by a combined score of 114-28. Philadelphia under Nick Foles is brimming with confidence and they believe the Bears haven't made up that much ground. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the Eagles are 6-2 ATS in road playoff games while the Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home playoff games. But guess what the Bears defense growls...take CHICAGO! |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
San Diego at Baltimore 1:30 ET Ravens (-) over Chargers- Okay gang, which is the storyline that will remain prevalent in people's minds concerning this game. Will the populace be thinking that San Diego with Phillip Rivers who has the talent and 16 years experience to lead the Chargers to victory against the Ravens rookie quarterback who is better off running than throwing the football. These two hooked-up two weeks ago in San Diego and Baltimore (+4) won 22-10 as they held the Chargers to 198 yards total offense. One of the illusions of this contest is that San Diego has a more diverse (yes) and potent offense but, Baltimore actually has a slight advantage in total offense. There are trends to support either side as the road team is 4-0 ATS in last four meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. But, they don't stand up to Baltimore being 7-0 ATS in their last playoff games including 5-0 ATS in Wildcard games. The believe the overall money will be too strong for the Chargers to over-come. Take BALTIMORE! |
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12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 16 m | Show |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' AFC 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks Indianapolis at Tennessee 8:20 ET Titans (+) over Colts- The Colts coming galloping into Nashville riding a three-game winning streak and eight of nine and that makes this one easy as the winner is in and the loser is out! After starting the season 1-5 Andrew Luck and the Colts have shocked the entire NFL community with his and their performance this season and he brings a 10-0 record against Tennessee to the table. Luck is second behind Mahomes in TD passes (36) in the AFC and we know he will under center on Sunday. On the other side we are no so sure and I don't even know if it matters because Marcus Mariota has under 200 yards passing the past two weeks (combined) and hasn't thrown a touchdown in three weeks. The Titans have won their last four and are second in scoring defense 18-pts and have allowed one touchdown the last three weeks. Take TENNESSEE! |
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12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -126 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Washington 4:25 ET Redskins (+) over Eagles- Washington must feel-like they have been skinned alive at the quarterback position as they are down to their fourth starter of the season. Philadelphia will have to keep their focus on the Redskins as opposed to the scoreboard where the results of the Vikings game will be posted. The NFL has wisely moved all games that can affect playoff spots start at the same time. Both these games have been moved to later afternoon contests. The Eagles come flying into D.C. winning four of five with their only loss at Dallas in overtime on a tipped pass. The Redskins have dropped five of their last six and have had injury problems since the pre-season and it hasn't stopped as they are now behind Josh Johnson (13-23, 153 yd 2 Ints last wk) who for years has been known as one of the most inaccurate passers never to win a games (as bad as Hackenberg from Penn State). None of that matter as it is just about one conference rival giving it everything they have to pull off the upset. Somehow, the Eagles' get Skinned...Take WASHINGTON! |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -5 | 24-10 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
Chicago at Minnesota 4:25 ET Vikings (-) over Bears- This essentially a playoff game for Minnesota, win and they are in and a loss they are history for the season. Chicago can treat this like an elimination game by ousting the Vikings now and not have to contend with them again later in the playoffs. I usually don't 'back' clubs that need to win but this seems like a healthy number considering Chicago has won three straight and eight of their last nine (darn those Giants) and are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings this becomes a 'very' healthy number, to rich for what we have seen on the field as this must be the coming out party for Kirk Cousins as this is why they paid him the big bucks. I can close with this and note that the home team is 23-9 ATS in the last 32 meetings and they win here. Take MINNESOTA! |
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12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -6 | 36-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Dallas at New York Giants 1:00 ET Giants (-) over Cowboys- Yeah right, Jerry, I trust you...not. This game is not about players but 'numbers.' Promises from owners aren't as convincing to me as the Giants being posted as 6-point favorites. New York has been pitiful at home going 1-5-1 ATS defeating only the Bears as a 4-point underdog and this is the largest they have been favored in over two years. Hey how about this the Cowboys are 4-18 ATS in road season finales and the Giants actually played a lot better the second half of the season and would love to provide a home win for the faithful. Take NEW YORK! |
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12-30-18 | Jaguars +7 v. Texans | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville at Houston 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Texans- I fine it really difficult to believe that a team that started 0-3 with the coach they have would not only make it to the playoffs and a home field game with a win here. The Texans to a man have already started congratulating each other because regardless they re playoff bound. Jacksonville is giving Blake Bortles the start and I'm looking forward to hi having a really good game. The disappointing Jaguars had lost nine of 10 before defeating Miami last Sunday and would like to close this nightmare season with a meaningless win. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Denver at Oakland 8:15 ET Raiders (+) over Broncos- What a paradox as a team as 'dark and sinister' as the Raiders who will host this game in the 'Black Hole' on Christmas Eve. Oakland is in the running for the worst NFL record and the first draft pick and will be moving to Las Vegas (Stadium issues) but most likely will play next season in San Francisco. After rising up at home and defeating Pittsburgh the Raiders reverted back to form and were taken out 30-14 in Cincinnati last week. Denver meanwhile has dropped their last two to fall out of the AFC wild card hunt and will most likely end up in the middle of the pack. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and gets it done here. Take OAKLAND! |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' NFL Power Play Winner Kansas City at Seattle 8:20 ET Seahawks (+) over Chiefs- Both these clubs had a shot at clinching a playoff spot last week but failed as the Seahawks went down to the Niners and the Chiefs were handled by San Diego. Kansas City may be 11-3 but they have struggled of late and I believe the absence of Karim Hunt has taken more out of them than most realize as they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven contests. They still lead the league in total yards behind Mahomes 4,543 passing yards and of course 45 tD passes. Seattle definitely was caught in a look-ahead position last week and will be more focused at home against the Chiefs. Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games on field turf while KC is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. I know the Seahawks have their limitations but I also know they will be well prepared. Seahawks 4-1-1 ATS at home and win here. Take SEATTLE! |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +5 | Top | 14-9 | Push | 0 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' NFC 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks Chicago at San Francisco 4:05 ET 49ers (+) over Bears- Having used the Niners last week as a Power Play Best Bet 'outright' winner over Seattle I have no problems coming back with them this week. The Bears are in the same position as a number of others that have failed in the same situation, the week after they have clinched a playoff spot (Rams, Saints, and Chiefs) they all were beaten and I expect the same to happen here. If a team isn't ready mentally it doesn't matter who they put out on the field and coming off a win against Aaron Rogers doesn't help. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last five games in San Francisco and this season all four of the Niners wins came at home. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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12-23-18 | Bucs +7.5 v. Cowboys | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay at Dallas 1:00 ET Buccaneers (+) over Cowboys- Dallas had reeled off five straight wins before being annihilated 23-0 at Indianapolis last week and they joined two other clubs that failed in their bid to clinch. Tampa Bay has dropped their last two after winning the previous two and are 4-1 ATS on the road in their series. But, make no mistake the Cowboys own all the trends 11-1 SU at home against the Bucs, they have the fourth ranked scoring defense while Tampa Bay's defense is 30th. Jameis Winston had a career low 157 passing yards last week without a touchdown his worst career performance start to finish. Tampa Bay is 3-3-1 ATS on the road and I give them more then a fair chance to get the money here. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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12-23-18 | Jaguars +4 v. Dolphins | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Jacksonville at Miami 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Dolphins- At 7-7 the Dolphins are still alive in the AFC wild card hunt and they get to host the reeling Jaguars who are 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS on the road. But, my first thoughts are 'who will be quarterbacking who? Miami should start Ryan Tannehill who was sacked nine times last week in Minnesota but Jacksonville didn't have a quarterback when Blake Bortles was starting anyway. The Jaguars have gone with Cody Kessler and have scored 13, 9 and 6 points in their last three games yet the Dolphins are a meager favorite and they are 1-9 SU in their last 10. Miami is 6-1 SU and ATS at home and this number is way too low no matter who is quarterbacking. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-23-18 | Vikings v. Lions +7 | 27-9 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Money Game Winner Minnesota at Detroit 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Vikings- Although Chicago has clinched the division the disappointing Vikings at 7-6-1 are very much alive in the NFC Wild Card hunt with a half-game lead for the final spot. There is no question what Minnesota's game plan will be as they record 10 sacks against the Lions on Nov. 4 and nine last week against Miami. Detroit of course will look to get the ball out of Matt Stafford's hand as quickly as possible. Often the trouble with that for the Lions is that Stafford sometimes will just 'bail' and throw up 'jump balls.' The inconsistent Vikes are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Somehow, it's the Lions...take DETROIT! |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Money Game Winner Baltimore at L.A. Chargers 8:20 ET Ravens (+) over Chargers- There are a few what I consider 'key' factors that are supporting my position on the contest. To start with the Chargers have already clinched a playoff spot and that has been a death nil the next time out for teams that clinched I.e.-Rams, Pats, Saints and Chiefs all lost after clinching a spot. Just in general with L.A. Coming off ending a nine-game losing streak against Kansas City there has to be a feeling of satisfaction, inflated ego and contentment, all this plays into the Ravens hands. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five as well as the road team 4-1 ATS in last five meetings. This will be a match of strengths as Baltimore will try and control the ball on the ground averaging over 200 yards since Lamar Jackson took over at QB. But, LA's strength is their rushing defense and Melvin Gordon on offense as well as a seasoned Phil Rivers at QB. The clinching in the clincher. Take BALTIMORE! |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +6.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
New Orleans at Carolina 8:15 ET Panthers (+) over Saints- Carolina's year has been a 'Tale of Two Seasons.' It was five short weeks ago the halfway point in the season and the Panthers were riding high on the arm and legs of Cam Newton and they have lost five straight four of which were on the road. New Orleans has already clinched the division and is battling the Rams for the conference lead. Carolina will close the season at New Orleans and will need to start here first. They are 5-1 SU at home and the underdog is7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take the PANTHERS! |
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12-16-18 | Eagles +14 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at L.A. Rams 8:20 ET Eagles (+) over Rams- Hey, haven't we seen this before, I mean it's about Nick Foles once again as he replaced Carson Wentz for the struggling Eagles. Last December Philadelphia went to LA in week 15 and took the Rams out 43-35 but as of now Los Angeles is undefeated (6-0) at home and are off losing at Chicago last Sunday. The Eagles lost a heartbreaker in Dallas where all the key calls and plays went the Cowboys way. The Rams have already clinched the West and they do not seem inclined to run up the score if capable but they are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings and 1-4 AST against Philly in Los Angeles. Too many points... Take the EAGLES! |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 30 m | Show |
Chip's 'Guaranteed' AFC Game of Year (9-1 90%) New England at Pittsburgh 4:25 ET Steelers (+) over Patriots- Pittsburgh had a shaky start to the season opening 1-2-1 and then reeled off six straight wins to take command at 7-2-1. But, since then, they have dropped three straight and now hold just a half-game lead over the charging Ravens. New England of course is still steady and it took a freaky last play of the game touchdown to beat them last week in Miami. Tom Brady always seems to be at his best when up against 'name' quarterbacks and is 5-0 the last five meetings including twice last season and has 25 TD's and only four interceptions in 10 career games against Pittsburgh. Find and good, but, the Steelers are 8-1 ATS at home as an underdog off a loss. New England is just 3-4 SU and ATS on the road go down here. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +4 | Top | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
Seattle at San Francisco 4:05 ET 49ers (+) over Seahawks- Now let me step back and get a good look at this scenario. From what I've seen out of Seattle the past four weeks is nothing but wins and 'covers.' the Seahawks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games including a 43-16 beatdown of San Francisco two weeks ago at home. The Niners have struggled once again although they gone the outright win over Denver last week they are were 1-5 ATS in the pervious six. Then I look at the series between these two and see the Seahawks with nine straight wins and wonder why this line opened so low and got lower. With Kansas City up at home next week Seattle will get caught peeking. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Miami at Minnesota 1:00 ET Vikings (-) over Dolphins- If I see another disgusting play as we are all aware of Minnesota's short-comings. But, circumstances dictate a 'play' on them. Having lived in south Florida and even have season tickets for the Dolphins (Nick Sabin era) I am acutely aware of how intense it games in Miami when the Patriots arrive and year after year this is the biggest game on the schedule and they have done well, Last week of course with the 'Miami Miracle' the Dolphins have been riding high all week and them some. At 7-6 that was Miami second straight win while the Vikings fell flat on Monday night at Seattle. It's time for Minnesota the 'Cowboy-up' and beat a team with a winning record as they are 0-4 in their last four chances. Although Miami has won the past three meetings they are in a low point mentally for this contest while the Vikings will be highly motivated. Take MINNESOTA! |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas at Indianapolis 1:00 ET Colts (+) over Cowboys- 'How about them Cowboys'...after opening the season 3-5 they are one win away from the NFC Division crown. Since acquiring Amari Cooper including a bye week Dallas has gone 5-1 and most say he is the difference in the offense, but remember the defense isn't too bad either. The Cowboys are third in the NFL in run defense while Indianapolis is eighth. The 'Boys have won the last three meetings and are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a win. Take the COLTS! |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
Cleveland at Denver 8:20 ET Broncos (+) over Browns- Okay, here we go...I kept hearing that the Browns are closing in on a playoff spot despite their 5-7-1 record. A mighty improvement over the past few years as they finally dumped their 'dead-weight' coach Hue Jackson who is now helping with the dismantling of the Bengals. Denver is also in the mix after three straight wins but the loss to the Niners last week have them is dire need of a win here. A win last week for Cleveland was their third in four games but they have followed five wins by going 1-4 ATS the next time out. Denver is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings...take the BRONCOS! (PS- Don't miss Chip's AFC Game of the Year (9-1 90%) on Sunday! |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets +7 | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston at New York Jets 4:30 ET Jets (+) over Texans- After starting the season 0-3 the Texans reeled off nine straight wins before being upended by the Colts 24-21 last Sunday but still hold a 2-game lead over Indianapolis in the AFC South. New York ended a streak of their own last Sunday as they ended a six-game slide by coming from behind to defeat Buffalo 27-23. The Jets Sam Darnold was 16-of-24 for 170 yards last week and New York is beginning to expand his play calling. Houston who has played three straight home games will find conditions in New York a but testy. Note that the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the Jets are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take NEW YORK J-E-T-S! (PS- Don't miss Chip's AFC Game of the Year (9-1 90%) on Sunday! |
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