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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-14 | Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos -14 | 14-47 | Win | 102 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
Oakland at Denver 4:25 ET Broncos (-) over Raiders- I usually don't feel comfortable laying double-digits in an NFL game as each side no matter what has some quality players. But, I am coming off wins last week with the Raiders outright over the Bills and the Bengals outright over the Broncos so I believe I have a 'feel' for the winner here. Denver can lose the #2 seed with a loss here and Oakland is off a huge win and is 0-7 on the road. A few factors help support my cause as Denver is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss and Oakland is 0-5-1 in their last six meetings. That's enough for me...LAY IT! Take DENVER! |
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12-28-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
San Diego at Kansas City 1:00 ET Chiefs over Chargers- Yes, I know! Alex Smith is done for at least this game if not for the season and Chase Daniel will get the start for Kansas City. Now, I understand that there is nothing better then experience but it must be noted that the Chiefs are a ground orientated team that has zero touchdown passes to their wide receivers on the season. (That's right ZERO) So, just how much of a drop off with the their passing game suffer. San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers is also have health issues as he was held out of practices this week because of a bulging disk in his back. While Chargers running back Ryan Mathews will miss his third straight game Jamaal Charles who is going to the pro bowl needs just 21 yards to get to 1,000 rushing yards on the season. The pressure is all on San Diego because with a win and their in the playoffs. Somehow that usually doesn't workout. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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12-22-14 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 | 28-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
Denver at Cincinnati 8:30 ET Bengals (+) over Broncos- The Denver Broncos have already won the AFC West and can clinch a first round bye with a win Monday Night. Cincinnati who can clinch a playoff spot with a win here have a half-game lead in the AFC North. There is talk among many NFL 'insiders' that the reason the Broncos have gone to C.J. Anderson and the running game of late is that Peyton Manning is have shoulder difficulties and has lost some zip on his passes. Even if that's true his play calling more then makes up for the problem. Anderson has rushed for 478 yards in his last four games and Manning still has 37 TD passes. The Bengals will counter with Jeremy Hill who rushed for 148 yards last week against the Browns. At home, on a Monday night Cincinnati just needs it more. Take the BENGALS! |
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12-21-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Oakland Raiders +7 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Oakland 4:25 ET Raiders (+) over Bills- Last week 'we' used the Buffalo Bills 'On-Top' and they provided our only win on Sunday as they defeated the Green Bay Packers 21-13 at home. The Oakland Raiders have only two wins this season both coming at home and were with four points of the Chiefs last week in the third quarter before Kansas City pulled away. Rookie quarterback Derek Carr has more yards passing and more touchdown passes then his counter-part in the Bills QB Kyle Orton. With the Patriots on deck and a long way from home Buffalo will struggle here off their huge win against Green Bay. Take OAKLAND! |
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12-21-14 | Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears +9.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Detroit at Chicago 1:00 ET Bears (+) over Lions- Can the Chicago Bears look any worse then they did on Monday night (I'm not looking for an answer). So bad that the highest paid player in football is being benched for a journeyman (Jimmy Clausen) that has yet to show anybody anywhere, anytime that he can play in this league. But, it seems that the rest of the team is pleased with the move. Now, lets look at the Lions who are 0-9 in road division games under Matthew Stafford who had a quarterback rating of 18.5 last week against Minnesota. How about this (Thanks to Playbook) the Lions are 2-14 ATS on the road against a team off a straight-up loss. As ugly as it seems...Take CHICAGO! |
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12-21-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Houston Texans +6 | 13-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Ravens- Baltimore has won their last two and four of their last five to put themselves in playoff position in the AFC while the Texans are barely alive with a remote change of qualifying. Te Ravens are a half behind Cincinnati and tied with the Steelers but Pittsburgh has the tie-breaker advantage. The Texans are on their fourth quarterback as they re-signed last years starter Case Keenum who is battling Thad Lewis who was signed Thanksgiving weekend. Houston has five more wins than last years disastrous season and has a defense that can keep this one close. Take the points with HOUSTON! |
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12-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 12-20 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Pittsburgh 1:00 ET Chiefs (+) over Steelers- The Pittsburgh Steelers can clinch a playoff berth with a win at home against the Chiefs while Kansas City needs to win their final two games to have a shot at the playoffs. Pittsburgh has been out of the playoffs the past two seasons but have put themselves in contention with an offense led by Big Ben Roethlisberger and LeVeon Bell along with Antonio Brown. The Chiefs have yet to complete a touchdown pass to a wide receiver and like to pound the ball with Jamaal Charles who is 50 yards away from another 1,000 yard rushing season. Take the CHIEFS! |
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12-20-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +9 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 42 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Washington 4:30 ET Redskins (+) over Eagles- Two weeks ago the Philadelphia Eagles were contending for the #1 seed in the NFC and now they are in a 'must-win' situation for the playoffs and on the outside looking in. It's been 12 weeks since these two met when the Eagles stormed back from a 10-point deficit and defeated the Redskins 37-34 when Kirk Cousins got his first start of the season for Washington. The Redskins who have lost six straight have lost three of their last four at home against Philadelphia and have gone from Colt McCoy starting at quarterback because of injury to the disappointing Robert Griffin III who has yet to win any of his coaches approval. Look for DeSean Jackson who was released by the Eagles to gain a measure of revenge against his old mates as Washington pulls it together with a big effort at home. Take the REDSKINS! |
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12-18-14 | Tennessee Titans +3.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | 13-21 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Jacksonville 8:25 ET Titans (+) over Jaguars- Two of the NFL's worst will battle it out with back-up quarterbacks in a game that might determine who get the #1 draft pick in 2015. Tennessee will be going with quarterback number three Charlie Whitehurst as Jake Locker and rookie Zach Mettenberger are sidelined and Jacksonville with go with Chad Henne who started two games last season and has starting experience with the Dolphins in place of injured Blake Bortles. The Titans have gone two straight games without a touchdown as the change might not be that dramatic unless you consider that he led the team in rushing last time out with 38 yards. This time it's the TITANS! |
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12-15-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Chicago Bears +3 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
New Orleans at Chicago 8:30 ET Bears (+) over Saints- A pair of 5-8 teams that with huge differences in their motivation. The New Orleans Saints currently sit on top of the NFL South while the Chicago Bears with the identical record are sitting in the cellar in the NFC North. These two clubs have the two worst defenses (scoring wise) in the NFC with the Saints ranking 31st among all 32 teams allowing 398.7 yards per game. Chicago who allowed 50 points in back-to-back contests played better in wins against Minnesota and Tampa Bay then allowed 75 points in loses to Detroit and Dallas. Trends for the Saints just don't look good as they are 0-3 on the road on Monday nights against non-division foes and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight as road favorites. Cutler has lost a league high six fumbles but is having a great passing season. Look for the Bears to give New Orleans fits. Take CHICAGO! |
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12-14-14 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +5 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
Denver at San Diego 4:05 ET Chargers (+) over Broncos- The Denver Broncos can clinch the division with a win here and claim their fourth straight title AFC West title while San Diego is scrambling for a wildcard berth. The Chargers were shut out in the second half against New England against the Patriots as they let a 14-3 lead slip away. Phillip Rivers is 30-7 straight-up in December including 6-1 ATS after a straight-up loss. Take SAN DIEGO! |
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12-14-14 | Miami Dolphins +8 v. New England Patriots | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
Miami at New England 1:00 ET Dolphins (+) over Patriots- I realize that playing against New England when they have revenge on their minds is not a winning proposition but this Miami team just seems to match-up well against the Bean-towners. The Patriots can clinch their division with a win here but the Dolphins are desperate for a win to enhance their wildcard dreams. The trends and factors point toward the Pats but this contest is so much more important to Miami. Take the DOLPHINS! |
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12-14-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Atlanta Falcons +3 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (+) over Steelers- It's hard for me to believe that the Steelers are at 8-5 and are part of the AFC playoff equation and the Falcons lead their division at 5-8. The 'numbers' here tell me that the home club has an advantage (except that they stink) as Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS on the road and Atlanta is 6-0 ATS after a Monday night game. Matt Ryan is 39-12 all-time at home and the points are a bonus here as the Steelers are just not the same on the road. Take ATLANTA! |
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12-14-14 | Washington Redskins +7 v. NY Giants | 13-24 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Washington at N.Y. Giants 1:00 ET Redskins (+) over Giants- Washington enters this contest losers of five straight and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 and have scored more then 13 points only twice in their last five and are willing to start Colt McCoy in a wheelchair over RG3. This is a game between two bitter rivals and the underdog has is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Giants pounded Washington back in September 45-14 and have won the past three meetings but the Foreskins have stopped jerking off for this one. Take WASHINGTON! |
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12-14-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Buffalo Bills +5.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
Green Bay at Buffalo 1:00 ET Bills (+) over Packers- Boy, I really 'hate' going against Aaron Rogers but we were able to collect with the Falcons on Monday night so here we go again. Remember one thing Green Bay is unbeatable at home 7-0 but just another team (3-3) on the road. The Packers enter this game with five straight wins while the Bills have 'covered' their last three contests including a 'back-door' points spread win last week at Denver. Both teams create turnovers and the Packers lead the NFL at +16 and Buffalo is + 9. The Bills defense leads the NFL in sacks and held the Broncos to a season low yardage last week. Also the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and Green Bay has NEVER won or covered in Buffalo (0-5). Take the BILLS! |
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12-11-14 | Arizona Cardinals +4.5 v. St. Louis Rams | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Arizona at St. Louis 8:25 ET Cardinals (+) over Rams- These two clubs rely on defense to set up their offenses and St. Louis is coming off two consecutive shutouts over the Raiders (52-0) and Redskins (24-0). Arizona is allowing 18.3 points per contest while the Rams allow 21.9 points per game. The Cardinals are the 'injured' party here as they have now lost their running back Andre Ellington for the season as well as they already sidelined quarterback Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald is questionable. The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games while Arizona is 8-1 ATS on the road against teams with a losing home record and they are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take ARIZONA! |
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12-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons +14 v. Green Bay Packers | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Atlanta at Green Bay 8:30 ET Falcons (+) over Packers- How 'bout that NFL! Here are the Atlanta Falcons at 5-7 fighting not only for the playoffs but for the NFC South Division title while the NFC North Division leader the Green Bay Packers are 9-3 and are unbeaten (6-0) at home. The Falcons offense has been banged-up all year and yet lat week they put up 361 yards in beating a good defensive team in Arizona. Green Bay is averaging 44 points at home and are playing a squad that is last in yards allowed at 403 per contest and are off a huge win over the Patriots. Atlanta has improved the past four weeks winning three of four while giving up only 19 points per contest in their last four. Somehow, The Falcons keep it close. Take ATLANTA! |
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12-07-14 | New England Patriots v. San Diego Chargers +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
New England at San Diego 8:30 ET Chargers (+) over Patriots- The New England Patriots had their seven game win streak stopped in Green Bays (Megabucks Winner) last week and haven't dropped two straight since September 2012. San Diego has now won three straight after having dropped the previous three games and a win here would put them back in the AFC playoff hunt. The Patriots decided to stay the week in SanDiego and not fly back to the East coast and that laid back lifestyle of California will have them off their game. Phillip Rivers is 30-6 straight-up in December. Take SAN DIEGO! |
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12-07-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Philadelphia Eagles | 24-14 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Seattle at Philadelphia 4:25 ET Eagles over Seahawks- What I keep hearing from just about everyone is that the Seahawks are back and their top ranked defense (286 YPG) which has allowed only six points the last two weeks. Let me retort with this Eagles offense is 'head-an-shoulders' above the Cardinals and 49ers both clubs with quarterback problems. Philadelphia is with Mark Sanchez at quarterback but that doesn't seem to be a problem. Seattle has major advantage in turnovers as the Eagles a league-worst 28 while Seahawks have just nine. Still, Sea-birds just 3-3 on the road. Take PHILADELPHIA! |
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12-07-14 | St. Louis Rams v. Washington Redskins +3 | 24-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
St. Louis at Washington 1:00 ET Redskins (+) over Rams- Just a really good spot for Washington if they are going to win any games at all. They enter this fray losers of their last four while St. Louis comes in off a 'true laugher' with their 52-0 win over the Raiders. Trends lead on Rams as they are 5-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. With Colt McCoy off a career high 392 yards passing and the club finally behind their quarterback it sparks huge effort. Take WASHINGTON! |
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12-07-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Cleveland Browns +4 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Colts- I've had my eye on this contest from the moment I saw the pairing. To start with when ever you 'play' against Andrew Luck you are in for a tough fight. Indianapolis is 9-3 ATS on the season and you have to be ready to play defense. Cleveland as we know have questions at quarterback but there is no questioning their defense and their ability to rally around each other. Look, if Hoyer stalls the Browns have no problem inserting Manziel. I like the spot. Take CLEVELAND! |
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12-07-14 | NY Giants v. Tennessee Titans +1 | Top | 36-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
New York Giants at Tennessee 1:00 ET Titans over Giants- How 'bout those Giants!' Last week 'we' used Jacksonville as a Best Bet and we were rewarded with the outright victory. So, why not again, the Giants have no heart or defense and their quarterback is willing to throw it anywhere. Combined these two clubs have lost 13 straight with seven for the Titans and six for New York and the Titans won the last five meetings but nothing has been played since 2010. The Giants have decided to play just the first half of games and then take the second half off so even if New York grabs an early lead do not panic. Tennessee may be short-handed but they do have the heart to post a win. Take TENNESSEE! |
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12-04-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears +4 | Top | 41-28 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
Dallas at Chicago 8:30 ET Bears (+) over Cowboys- Five weeks ago the Cowboys were the toast of the town on top of their division and now they are in a fight for their playoff lives. Dallas is off their Thanksgiving debacle a 33-10 loss to the Eagles and I think that have have had reality hit them in the face and they realize that they 'aren't that good.' They are lucky to play the Giants twice and haven't been too successful on Thursday nights going 0-4 ATS last four outings. Chicago has won three straight in the series and Ican see it happening again tonight. Take the BEARS! |
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12-01-14 | Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets +7 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Miami at New York Jets 8:30 ET Jets (+) over Dolphins- Have you ever seen an NFL team look worse then the New York Jets last Monday night in Detroit. You remember the 38-3 beat down by the Buffalo Bills in the game that was moved because of the snow in upstate New York. This is the first meeting between the two AFC rivals this season as they meet again in Miami in two weeks. Both clubs are off losses with the Dolphins blowing a late lead and of course the Jets never showing up in Detroit. It has been an embarrassing year for the Jets and major changes are expected to be made in the off-season, but if there is any professionalism at all left within that franchise the players will respond with a huge effort. Miami is 0-5 ATS in their last five Monday night appearances while New York has lost nine of 10 with only two 'covers.' But, tonight it's J-E-T-S. |
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11-30-14 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 | Top | 29-16 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
Denver at Kansas City 8:30 ET Chiefs (+) over Broncos- A great Sunday night match-up to finish the Thanksgiving weekend as the division leading Denver Broncos visit Kansas City. Denver has had their way in this series of late going 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to KC and have won the last five meetings straight-up. But, things are not all that gloomy for the Chiefs even though they will be playing with heavy hearts and figure to rally around safety Eric Berry the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Chiefs are off their outright loss (as predicted) the Raiders and will turn their entire focus on the Broncos and Peyton Manning. In an emotional effort the Chiefs win here. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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11-30-14 | New England Patriots v. Green Bay Packers -3 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
New England at Green Bay 4:25 ET Packers (-) over Patriots- Wow...what a match-up! First time meeting between two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks as Tom Brady and Aaron Rogers face each other on the 'frozen tundra' that is Green Bay. Since their embarrassment at Kansas City the Patriots have reeled off seven straight wins going 6-1 ATS including the last four. Green Bay meanwhile has been a juggernaut at home out scoring their opponents 128-9 in the first half of their last four games as hosts. These are the NFL's two highest scoring teams and the site of this encounter in key. Green Bay is 5-0 at home while New England is 3-2 on the road. So, take the PACKERS! |
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11-30-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Atlanta Falcons +1.5 | Top | 18-29 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
Arizona at Atlanta 4:05 ET Falcons (+) over Cardinals- I've stated all along how much I like this Arizona squad even with Carson Palmer down but I think that they are in a bad spot here. The 4-7 division leading Atlanta Falcons can cause plenty of damage to the Cardinals hopes with a critical home win here. Arizona (9-2) still holds a 1½ game lead in the division and will face an offense that averages almost 24 points per contest. The Cards posted a 27-13 win over the Falcons last season and this Atlanta defense is last in yardage allowing 410 per game. But, somehow the Falcons will get it done. Take ATLANTA! |
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11-30-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay 1:00 ET Buccaneers (+) over Bengals- You will most likely see just what an imposter the clawless Bengals really are after they go down here. Cincinnati is playing their third straight on the road and have shown heart by winning at New Orleans and Houston and bring a respectable 6-4-1 ATS record. The Buccaneers were stilling pretty at the half last week in Chicago and then committed three quick turnovers and the slide began. Josh McCown threw for 341 yards against Chicago but two interceptions and a lost fumble did him and the Bucs in on his return to the Windy City. With the division leader at 4-7 the Buccaneers still believe “We are in the playoff hunt” according coach Lovie Smith. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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11-30-14 | NY Giants v. Jacksonville Jaguars +3 | Top | 24-25 | Win | 105 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
New York Giants at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Giants- the question here is which of these two clubs is in better shape mentally, psychologically and physically. The Jacksonville Jaguars have one win this season with a rookie quarterback that is making huge strides while earning his stripes. The Giants meanwhile are using a quarterback that has regressed in the last two seasons and really isn't performing to his expected level. The fact that the odds-makers opened New York as less then a 3-point favorite tells you where they think the Giants are mentally. They know they really aren't very good and played and lost their biggest game of the season against Dallas last week and then entire team is dishearten by the loss. The Giants got the money but have now lost six straight and could care less then to be inJacksonville. Jaguars pounce on dis-spirited New York. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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11-27-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
Seattle at San Francisco 8:30 ET 49ers over Seahawks- At 7-4 both clubs have their backs against the wall as far as qualifying for the NFC playoffs because a sub-.500 team from NFC South Division as both Atlanta and New Orleans are 4-7 but one will get into the playoffs. There are some strange 'numbers' surrounding this contest as Seattle is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings but have not won in San Francisco since October 2008. add that the favored is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings but who knows who will be favored by kickoff? While the Seahawks have won four of their last five the 49ers have now won three straight be it by a margin of 12 points. Seattle is just 2-3 away from home and the Niners defense will rise here. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-27-14 | Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. Dallas Cowboys | 33-10 | Win | 111 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Dallas 4:30 ET Eagles (+) over Cowboys- Hard to believe that 'we' are taking Mark Sanchez over Tony Romo in a match-up of these 8-3 teams. Dallas is off a tough division win Sunday night against the Giants in New York where they trailed 21-10 at the half while Philadelphia cruised against the Titans winning 43-24 and 'covering' an 11-point spread. Two trends conflict in this contest as Dallas is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings but the road team and underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five. The Eagles won the final game of the year at Dallas last season to clinch the East title and I see them doing that again. Take PHILADELPHIA! |
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11-24-14 | NY Jets +3 v. Buffalo Bills | 3-38 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
New York Jets vs Buffalo 7:00 ET (at Detroit) Jets (+) over Bills- The Jets have had two weeks yo saver their win over the Steelers while the Bills have dropped their last two since pummeling the Jets 43-23 four weeks ago. Most trends have been sidelined with this game being played on a neutral site but there is one that I can mention and it's that New York is 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS win. The Jets are seeking their first road win of the season and have a confident Michael Vick who now 'feels' like the starter while Buffalo has an ailing Kyle Orton who has just one TD pass in his last two games. Odd place for them both but advantage goes to New York looking for revenge. Take J-E-T-S! |
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11-23-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants +4 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
Dallas at New York Giants 8:30 ET Giants (+) over Cowboys- Oh now I get it. The Giants were just waiting for the Cowboys to come to town before they started playing football. Dallas was expected to finish late in the division and come into this contest 7-3 while New York is 3-7. The Giants have lost five in-a-row both straight-up and ATS but have lost to Dallas three of the last four games in New York. Eli Manning who threw five interceptions last week has nine touchdown passes and only three interceptions in the last three meetings. The Giants who are dead last against the run will come up big against the leagues leading rusher in DeMarco Murray. Take NEW YORK! |
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11-23-14 | Washington Redskins +10 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
Washington at San Francisco 4:25 ET Redskins (+) over the 49ers- Man-oh-man what are the Foreskins going to do. They have a quarterback who is loved by the owner and hated by everyone else in the organization from the coaches, players down to the ball boys. San Francisco after winning in New Orleans were very lucky to escape with a win out of New York as Eli Manning threw five interceptions, three of which were in the 'red zone.' Although the Favorite is 4-0-2 ATSin the last six meetings the road team is 3-1-2 ATS. Things are so bad in Washington (Not just the White House) that I 'must' have them. Take the REDSKINS! |
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11-23-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 v. Chicago Bears | 13-21 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay at Chicago 1:00 ET Buccaneers (+) over Bears- The storyline here is the return of Lovie Smith and Josh McCown to Chicago where one was head coach and the other played quarterback. (Guess which did what) McCown filled in for the injured Jay Cutler at mid-point last year and had 13 touchdown passes and only one interception. The Bears had a good defensive performance last week allowing only 13points against Minnesota winning 21-13 but, they are 0-6 ATS in games after allowing 15 points or less the previous week. Finally, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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11-23-14 | Detroit Lions +8 v. New England Patriots | Top | 9-34 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
Detroit at New England 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Patriots- Gee, was it just six weeks ago when all the experts had written off New England and thought Tom Brady was finished and since then they have only gone 6-0. Now, after last week's performance by Jonas Gray the Patriots have reacquired running back LaGarrette Blount who was their leading ground gainer last season. Detroit on the other hand may have Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson but couldn't muster a touchdown against the Cardinals last week but bring in a stellar defense. Still the Lions are tied at the top of their division with Green Bay and will come to play Sunday. Take DETROIT! |
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11-23-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +9 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
Green Bay at Minnesota 1:00 ET Vikings (+) over Packers- Well, The Packers have scored more then 50 points the past two games after crushing the Eagles 53-20 last week. Their will be a measurable difference between last week and this week as the Vikings actually tackle people. Minnesota has struggled with running backs as we are all aware Adrian Peterson is gone for the season and Matt Asiata and Jerick McKinnon are ailing, so they signed Ben Tate this week and he should see some action. Green Bay has dominated the series of late going 8-1-1 straight-up in the last 10 meetings but the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Minnesota is also 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning record. Take the VIKINGS! |
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11-20-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders +7.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Oakland 8:30 ET Raiders (+) over Chiefs- it was been over one full year and 16 straight games since the Oakland Raiders last won a game on November 17, 2013. The Broncos are on top of the AFC West and are traveling to Oakland where they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 trips. The Raiders are last in the NFL with only 63 rushing yards per game and are facing a club uses the 'power' game as their mantra. Rookie quarterback Derek Carr is progressing but needs more support. Denver may look past the lowly Raiders as they have Denver and Arizona on deck. The key factor in Oakland's corner is that the underdog is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the RAIDERS! |
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11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans +7 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at Tennessee 8:30 ET Titians (+) over Steelers- Oh man, who this dogs have been getting pounded on Thursday and Monday nights and here once again it looks like a one-sided affair. I really am not too happy about backing a rookie starting quarterback in Zach Mettenberger against venerable veteran Ben Roethlisberger. Tennessee is 0-4 ATS at home this season and a Monday Night showcase is as good a time as ever for them to 'cover' a spread. I have believed all season that the Steelers are over-rated and struggle here. Take the TITANS! |
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11-16-14 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts -3 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
New England at Indianapolis 8:30 ET Colts (+) over Patriots- After starting the first eight weeks with Sunday Night winners I broke a wheel the past two weeks but am over-joyed with this weeks match-up. Two of the AFC's best hook-up in Indianapolis where the Colts with Andrew Luck host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. It's difficult to saying anything negative about either club and the last time they met was in the AFC Playoffs in New England where the Pats won 43-22. Luck has the Patriots it in doors this time and they have revenge on their minds. Take the COLTS! |
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11-16-14 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals | 6-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Detroit at Arizona 4:25 ET Cardinals over Lions- Oh Lory...please give me the strength to may a 'solid' investment on the Cardinals, not only here but in NFL futures to Win the Super Bowl. Try to get 20-1 before this kickoff. I'm not kidding about that! Both these clubs are riding win streak with the Lions at four and Cards at five Now here's the skinny, Detroit is 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings and the home team is 9-0 ATS in the last nine. Don't worry about Stanton the Arizona players have great confidence in him. Take ARIZONA! |
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11-16-14 | Philadelphia Eagles +6 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 20-53 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Green Bay 4:25 ET Eagles (+) over Packers- I mean really who do you want leading your team in 'pressure' games, Marc Sanchez or Arron Rogers? No need to answer. Except, have you seen this 'not with the Jets or Rex Ryan' version of Marc Sanchez...he looks totally different. Very confident, poised and not afraid to make a play. This 'line' has become inflated with the public expecting the least out of Sanchez and the most from Rogers. Kelly, will have Philly ready. FLY EAGLES FLY! |
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11-16-14 | Denver Broncos v. St. Louis Rams +10.5 | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Denver at St. Louis 1:00 ET Rams (+) over Broncos- Great spot for St. Louis as the whole free world and most of the third world and oppressed opinions love the Denver Broncos. Hey why not. Key trend and factor here is that the Rams are 10-1-1 ATS as home underdogs of 7 or more points. Also we see that the Broncos are 0-4 ATS on turf while the rams are 7-1-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. St. Louis has shown that they are capable beating both Seattle and San Francisco. TAKE...RAMS! |
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11-16-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. NY Giants +4.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
San Francisco at New York Giants 1:00 ET Giants (+) over 49ers- I moment I saw this match-up I was 'in love' with the Giants, seeing them as I saw the Jets last week against Pittsburgh. Here are the Niners fresh off a division win over the Saints in New Orleans winning in dramatic fashion in overtime while the Giants were getting spanked in Seattle by the Seahawks. Somehow New York seems to manage a great effort against San Francisco going 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. After surrendering over 350 yards rushing last week you would think the 49ers would have their way with the Giants porous defense. Nope...Take NEW YORK! |
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11-13-14 | Buffalo Bills +6 v. Miami Dolphins | 9-22 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Miami 8:30 ET Bills (+) over Dolphins- Both these 5-4 AFC East clubs are off late heartbreaking losses but are still in the hunt for a playoff berth even with New England just moving away from the pack. Trends conflict entering this contest as the Bills (-1.5) already crushed the Dolphins in Buffalo 29-10 and have won the past three meetings. But, here where the clash begins the favorite is 6-1 ATS, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five but, the Bills are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Finally from Playbook QB Kyle Orton is 8-2 ATS in his career as a dog of 4 or more points off a straight-up loss. Take BUFFALO! |
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11-10-14 | Carolina Panthers +7 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Carolina at Philadelphia 8:30 ET Panthers (+) over Eagles- The NFL quarterback wheel keeps turning over as Marc Sanchez takes over the helm for Nick Foles who broke his collarbone and may be done for the season. Last year LeSean McCoy lead the NFL in rushing and after a slow start he has run for 100-yards in two of his last three games. The Eagles have won four of the last five meetings but Cam Newton has been outstanding on Monday Nights going 2-0 with five touchdown passes and no interceptions. On national TV I expect a close contest. Take the points with CAROLINA! |
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11-09-14 | Chicago Bears +8.5 v. Green Bay Packers | 14-55 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
Chicago at Green Bay 8:30 ET Bears (+) over Packers- How bad have the Bears and Jay Cutler been...okay stop yelling! OMG, really except for that sending half against San Francisco they really have been awful. Green Bay meanwhile after a slow start have rebounded nice with four win in five after a 1-2 start. The Packers are coming off our Sunday Night Game of the Year winner against New Orleans a 44-23 blasting. Both clubs are off bye weeks and brutal losses. There are some ugly numbers for the Bears here as Cutler is 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS against Packers and Aaron Rogers is 11-3 SU and ATS vs. Chicago. Because it's Sunday night I look for a close contest. Take CHICAGO! |
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11-09-14 | Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders +12 | 41-17 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Denver at Oakland 4:05 ET Raiders (+) over Broncos- I know how can that be I don't believe it myself but, this game will be all about effort. Being winless in the NFL is a heavy burden to bare and the Oakland Raiders at 0-8 may not have a realistic chance at winning this one on the field but the Broncos after their shellacking by the Patriots may not see the Raiders as a formidable opponent. I truly expect Denver to 'sleepwalk' through this contest while Oakland will work on not be embarrassed. Take the RAIDERS! |
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11-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +1 | 17-13 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Buffalo 1:00 ET Bills (+) over Chiefs- I'm sure that their will be plenty of 'wise guy' action on the Bills as this has all the earmarks of a home win. Last season Kansas City came to Buffalo as a 3 ½ point favorite and came away with a 23-13 win in a game where the Bills out gained the Chiefs 470-210. I remember the painful loss and what revenge! Nah...there are other factors that helped our side, the Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings and they are1-7 ATS on the road against non-division foes. Take BUFFALO! |
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11-09-14 | San Francisco 49ers +6 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
San Francisco at New Orleans 1:00 ET 49ers (+) over Saints- Okay, so Jerry finally admits that 'his boy' Colin Kaepernick just doesn't execute very well in the red zone or under pressure (14th ranked passer) and this sure looks like it's a pressure game for the 49ers. At 4-4 San Francisco can see their playoff chance diminish with an outright loss here. The Saints have the NFL's 2nd ranked offense the and are 20-3 straight-up and 19-4 ATS under Payton when playing a team with a winning record. Those are so powerful numbers to buck and I will. Defense and running game will be the difference. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-09-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. NY Jets +6 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at New York 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Steelers- Oh my goodness, the turn around by Ben Roethlistbeger and the Pittsburgh Steelers who were written-off by many after their dreadful start. Big Ben as you are all aware has thrown 12 touchdowns in the past two games with six in each. The Jets of course are a complete mess as they have dropped eight straight and are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 overall. There are many reasons to stay away from New York except one...they will 'cover.' My friend ML tells me that a 'non-division road favorite off three straight home games favored on the road are 3-18 ATS. Take J-E-T-S! |
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11-06-14 | Cleveland Browns +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland at Cincinnati 8:30 ET Browns (+) over Bengals- There are number of strong trends that surround this contest and they swing both ways. For example the Cincinnati Bengals unbeaten at home are 13-0-1 straight-up as hosts over the last three seasons. Other factor to consider is that the home team may be 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings but, the underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The Bengals opened the season 3-0 ATS but have gone 1-3-1 ATS since. Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last four Thursday games. The Browns have lost 17 straight AFC North games on the road. Still, rivals on National TV...take the BROWNS! |
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11-03-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Indianapolis at N. Y. Giants 8:35 ET Giants (+) over Colts- The New York Giants could not be happier to see their bye week arrive off two division losses to the Eagles and Cowboys. Indianapolis who started their season 0-2 and then ripped off five straight wins before running into the Steelers last week getting crushed 51-34. Eli Manning is 2-0 on Monday nights and the Giants will be ready outdoors for the Colts. Two huge trends favor the Giants here, first, New York is 12-4 straight-up after a straight-up loss as a favorite and teams after Pittsburgh are 18-39-1 ATS including 8-28-1 against sub .500 opponents. Take NEW YORK! |
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11-02-14 | Denver Broncos -3 v. New England Patriots | 21-43 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Denver at New England 4:25 ET Broncos (-) over Patriots- When I first eyed this match-up my thought were that I would love the Patriot at home with the points, I mean Tom Brady has been at his best for a month now. Then, I started thinking, (oh no not that) yes I did and I thought that if New England and Brady are playing so well by are they an underdog at home, Vegas seems to thing and for good reason that the Broncos behind Peyton Manning are that much better. But, really, to open at 4 and 3 ½ seems way to much for my liking so I;m on the Broncos. Take DENVER! |
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11-02-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Dallas Cowboys -1 | 28-17 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Arizona at Dallas 1:00 ET Cowboys (-) over Cardinals- Plenty of questions still to be answered about this Dallas club as Tony Romo is a game time decision and DeMarco Murray has to learn to hold on to the ball. Yards or no yards you can't win if fumbles end a long drive. Brandon Weeden will start for the Cowboys if Romo can't go and he will be more then capable if Murray runs for his usual 100-yards and holds on the the football. It was 15 years since the Cardinals won in Dallas and they won't win this time out either.! Take COWBOYS! |
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11-02-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Houston Texans +2 | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Eagles- I sense that there is something amiss in Philadelphia and I think that there is more cracked then the 'Liberty Bell.' The Eagles offensive line has had its problems this season as they had yet to unleash any kind of running game and Nick Foles seems to have lost his 'mojo.' These problems will multiply as No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney returns too aid A.J Watt and apply more defensive pressure. Eagles are 2-11-1 ATS after allowing more then 350 yards the previous game. Take TEXANS! |
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10-27-14 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys -9 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington at Dallas 8:30 ET Cowboys (-) over Redskins- The dismal 2-5 Washington Redskins will be starting former Texas Longhorns star Colt McCoy at quarterback (third string) his first start since December 2011. The riding-high Dallas Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings with the 'Skins but are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the NFC East. Dallas has won 5-of-6 against the points while Washington has dropped their last four ATS. The largest favorite for the Cowboys in this series in the last 10 years had Dallas as a 7-point favorite and they won 17-0 five years ago. More of the sane here. Take DALLAS! |
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10-26-14 | Green Bay Packers v. New Orleans Saints -1 | Top | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 31 h 4 m | Show |
Green Bay at New Orleans 8:30 ET Saints over Packers- After week three of action it was Aaron Rogers of the 1-2 Packers that told everybody to 'just relax' and they have since gone on to win four straight games. Well, this time around it is Drew Brees that is saying 'don't panic' about the 2-4 Saints. The fact is that New Orleans who is 0-4 on the road after blowing a 13 point lead with 3:30 remaining at Detroit last week have won their last 10 at home with playing to a 117.9 passer rating. It's their turn again. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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10-26-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 | Top | 34-51 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh 4:25 ET Steelers (+) over Colts- We had the Pittsburgh Steelers Monday night as the used a 3 and a half minute blitz to humble the Texans. I am wondering if you saw something special in their performance other then that short segment before the first half ended. I sure didn't and in the meantime the Indianapolis Colts were dismantling the Bengals 27-0 in a game that wasn't that close. One thing seems to happen in the NFL that when a team has an easy walk-over game like the Colts win on Sunday they come back to earth their next time out. Remember when the Falcons crushed on a Thursday and then fell to the Vikings on the road the next week. Same here. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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10-26-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Carolina Panthers +6 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Seattle at Carolina 1:00 ET Panthers (+) over Seahawks- Can we dare go against the Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks for the third straight week...sure why not they are in trouble. Russell Wilson saying that there are no hard feeling between him and Percy Havin, well maybe not be he is left with a divided house because he is just not 'black enough' for some of his teammates whose jealousy will destroy this club quickly. Marshawn Lunch hasn't had a 100-yard effort since their opening Thursday night win over Green Bay and he won't get another one here. Look for a spirited effort from Carolina as this one goes down to the final gun. Take the PANTHERS! |
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10-26-14 | St. Louis Rams +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 7-34 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
St. Louis at Kansas City 1:00 ET Rams (+) over Chiefs- The fans in Kansas City have had plenty to cheer about of late as the Royals make their run through the World Series and the Chiefs have dominated their AFC competition. The Chiefs have won five straight in this series and are off an impressive 23-20 road win at San Diego. St. Louis finally held on to a lead (blew 21-0 lead against Dallas and a 14-0 lead against the 49ers) and used some risky and ballsy play calling to insure their second win. Look for a much closer game then expected. Take ST. LOUIS! |
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10-26-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Jacksonville Jaguars +7 | 27-13 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Miami at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Dolphins- Last week we had the winners on both these sides as Miami took apart the Bears and the Jaguars won their first game of the season over Cleveland. At 3-3 the Dolphins depend on their 4th ranked NFL defense and they will be up against rookie signal caller Blake Bortles is maturing quickly. The Jaguars are hungry and improving every week. Take the home team with the points. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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10-23-14 | San Diego Chargers +9 v. Denver Broncos | 21-35 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Chargers (+) over Broncos- An AFC West match-up of the conferences two top quarterbacks as the All-time passing touchdown leader Peyton Manning and the John Unites clone Phillip Rivers are sure to fill the air with footballs as Rivers has 1,961 yards, 17 TD's and 3 INTs while Manning is at 1.848, 19 TD's and 3 INTs in one less game. After the way the Chiefs took over in the second half last week against the Chargers and how the Broncos just man-handled the 49ers, I expect both clubs to move toward the center. The Chargers should play better and Denver should take a step down. There are two things that bother me about this contest one is that the line is so 'strong' (don't get me wrong, I'll take as many points as I can) the other thing is call Payton Manning. But, I'll take the points with SAN DIEGO! |
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10-20-14 | Houston Texans v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Houston at Pittsburgh 8:30 ET Steelers (-) over Texans- Houston who won only two games all of last season are at 3-3 right now as is the Steelers. Both clubs rely on the running game as LeVeon Bell of Pittsburgh is second in the NFL rushing and Adrian Foster of the Texans is third both behind DeMarco Murray. Defense for these teams has been disappointing as Houston even with A.J. Watt (Jadeveon Clowney is expected to play) is ranked 27th and the Steelers have been giving up the big play all season. The Texans have had problems throwing the ball with six interceptions in the last four games and Ben Roethlisberger had a season-low 64.4 rating his last time out against Cleveland. Pittsburgh is 25-2 at home on Monday nights and 8-0 at Heinz Field. Take the STEELERS! |
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10-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Denver Broncos -6.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
San Francisco at Denver 8:30 ET Broncos (-) over 49ers- After the way the Broncos beat 'us' last week with a pick-six touchdown return on the final play of the game takes a little away from my enthusiasm to come back with Denver but the 49ers comeback against the Rams on Monday night sets this up fine. Peyton Manning with have the stage to set the NFL record for career touchdown passes passing Brett Favre. San Francisco will be without two of their three linebackers but they remain the number 2 defense in passing and total yards. It what could become a 'classic' take DENVER! |
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10-19-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Oakland Raiders +4 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
Arizona at Oakland 4:25 ET Raiders (+) over Cardinals- Changes are a-happening in Oakland as the 'Commitment to Excellence' finally gets going with a home win Sunday. Arizona is doing it with mirrors so far as they have been out gained by 77 yards per game and yet they lead the division. The Cardinals have struggled against the AFC West as they are 3-11 both straight-up and against the points. They Raiders are 3-2 straight-up and 4-1 ATS in their last five against Arizona and win here for their 'new' coach. Oakland hasn't started 0-6 since 1962 while the Cardinals haven't been 5-1 since 1976. The beat goes on as Oakland ends an 11-game losing streak. Take RAIDERS! |
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10-19-14 | NY Giants +7 v. Dallas Cowboys | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
New York Giants at Dallas 4:25 ET Giants (+) over Cowboys- How could I have anybody else in this contest. Dallas is coming off an up-set win against the Super Bowl Champs in Seattle while the Giants are off a dreadful performance against the Eagles Sunday Night. This is one of those games that somehow, someway the Giants are supposed to 'cover.' New York behind Eli Manning has had great success in Arlington going 4-1 ATS in their last five. After getting embarrassed 27-0 New York will come to play. Take the GIANTS! |
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10-19-14 | Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 0-27 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
Cincinnati at Indianapolis 1:00 ET Bengals (+) over Colts- There will have to be some turn-a-rounds in this contest for the Bengals to be competitive. The Colts behind Andrew Luck have the No.1 offense in the league while Cincinnati has surrendered 80 points and 936 yards the past two weeks. Indianapolis leads in scoring 31.5 points and 444 total offensive. The Colts are 16-10 all-time in this series but the Cats have won the last two with Andy Dalton bringing a 116.4 passer against the Colts. This is a tough one but the Bengals need it more. Take CINCINNATI! |
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10-19-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. St. Louis Rams +7 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Seattle at St. Louis 1:00 ET Rams (+) over Seahawks- This game must be a winner as I have tried three times unsuccessfully to write this game up and lend a rational as to why we shout take the Rams. So. I'll start with Seattle who with all the defensive departures in the off-season and multiple injuries at the same position have exposed some cracks in their performance. The Seahawks are also having locker room problems as egos clash and they just jettisoned their most explosive player Percy Harvin to the Jets. St. Louis has been competitive with Austin Davis maturing each game at the helm. Take ST. LOUIS! |
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10-19-14 | Cleveland Browns v. Jacksonville Jaguars +6 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
Cleveland at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Browns- Lost in the NFL buzz this week are two things concerning this 0-6 Jaguars who 'covered' for the first time this season (1-5 ATS) last week against Tennessee and the other factor is Blake Bortles throwing for 336 yards changing the entire Jacksonville offense. With Cleveland now favored on the road the dynamics of their approach to this game changes. The Browns have not been this big a road favorite since 1996 and they are ready to stub their toes. This week the Jaguars who hold a 10-5 series advantage win outright here. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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10-16-14 | NY Jets +10 v. New England Patriots | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
N.Y. Jets at New England 8:30 ET Jets (+) over Patriots- Can any team look worse then the New York Jets who ranks 30th in total offense behind their fraud is a quarterback Geno Smith who has at least one interception in every game and has led this Jets offense with 12 turnovers. New york is ranked sixth in total defense but 25th in scoring defense because of the poor field position they have left the team to deal with. New England has had two huge games since their Monday Night beat down at the hands of the Chiefs in Kansas City three weeks ago. The Jets have believe it of now have covered three of the last four between these two and three of four at New England. Take JETS! |
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10-13-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. St. Louis Rams +3.5 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
San Francisco at St. Louis 8:30 ET Rams (+) over 49ers- If I get confused and call either of these teams the Giants or Cardinals I hope you understand. After the beating took Sunday I not sure how to approach the 'Strongest Play' of the weekend. Most of the story-lines surrounding the 49ers of late have little todo with football, player arrests,drug suspension a plenty and of course the weekly circus following Jim Harbaugh. The Rams really haven't played well at all but if there is one team that they ready themselves for it is San Francisco. St. Louis is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games against a team with a winning record and the home team in the series is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings. Take ST. LOUIS! |
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10-12-14 | Washington Redskins +3.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | 20-30 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington at Arizona 4:25 ET Redskins (+) over Cardinals- The 3-1 Arizona Cardinals have a list of injuries that seems to increase day-by-day, they have just one of their original front seven able to play. Washington is without Robert Griffin III and has lost four of five and they are going with Kirk Cousins who has lost all six of his career starts. The quarterback spot is also in question for Arizona as it still might be Palmer, Stanton or rookie Logan Thomas. The Redskins should be able to move the ball on the ground and cause the 'Birds' problems. Take WASHINGTON! |
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10-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 | 48-17 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Tampa Bay 1:00 ET Buccaneers (+) over Ravens- The 1-4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers are still winless at home but shown they can play in this league with two straight big-time performance in their win over the Steelers and overtime loss to New Orleans. The Buc's offense looks like it has picked-up under Mike Glennon at quarterback scoring 29 points per game 12 more then when he took over. Here's one for ya, the Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last five against a team with a losing record. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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10-12-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
Green Bay at Miami 1:00 ET Dolphins (+) over Packers- The Packers are off two huge division wins and now take to the road against a Miami team that won in London over the Raiders and is now off a bye week. The last time the Dolphins played hosts the Chiefs came in there and just dismantled the 'Fins. Green Bay enters this contest winning only three of 13 meetings and the Dolphins expect the return of Knowshon Moreno along with center Mike Pouncey and safety Reshad Jones. This is the time of the season when the Miami heat and humidity has the most effect. Take DOLPHINS! |
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10-12-14 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +3 | Top | 37-22 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
New England at Buffalo 10:00 ET Bills (+) over Patriots- Okay, so you tell me. Are the Patriots back? You saw it, they just totally dominated the Bengals last Sunday night as Brady looked like the man we are used to seeing the football. New England has been in command when playing in Buffalo going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 visits. I don't expect the sale of the Bills this week to have any effect on the out-come. But, I do think that with veteran Kyle Orton (30-43 308 YP) leading the offense and a tough pass defense that only allows 196 yards per game passing. Good spot for the Bills...take BUFFALO! |
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10-12-14 | Denver Broncos v. NY Jets +10 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
Denver at New York Jets 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Broncos- The Broncos return to the scene of their Super Bowl debacle in February and the Jets return home to the debacle that is their football team. Seriously folks, this is a totally non-functional unit. From the ownership and general manager and coaching staff which has as it's OC the only 0-16 NFL head coach, their head coach has a foot fetish and their quarterback still plays like a 'deer caught in the head lights.' Still, they have a chance here as the Broncos are probably laugh themselves silly when viewing the film. Too much over and over-lay...Take the J-E-T-S! |
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10-09-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Indianapolis at Houston 8:00 ET Texans (+) over Colts- A pair of 3-2 (Both 4-1 ATS) clubs that a year ago would have had the Texans as favorites, but now has Andrew Luck leading Indianapolis into Houston. The defending Division champion Colts have won nine straight against the AFC South dating back to 2012. Indy has dominated the series winning the last three and 20 of 24 all-time. The last time they met was in December last season and the Colts crushed 25-3 as a 6-point favorite. Although the Colts are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take HOUSTON! |
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10-06-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +8 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle at Washington 8:30 ET Redskins (+) over Seahawks- There will be a clash of trends that surround this Monday night affair as the Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks visit the Nation's Capital to play Washington. Seattle has won each of their last eight appearances on Monday Nights while the Redskins hold a 11-4 all-time regular season series advantage. Washington leads the NFL in sacks and their plan will be to pressure quarterback Russell Wilson and for Kirk Cousins to win his first start in his last six attempts. Washington has won the last six meetings straight-up and could possible pull this one out as the Seahawks are just not the same on the road. Take REDSKINS! |
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10-05-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. New England Patriots +1.5 | Top | 17-43 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Cincinnati at New England 8:30 ET Patriots (+) over Bengals- This is the game that will define the Patriots season. If you missed their performance Monday night against the Chiefs in Kansas City you are better off. New England didn't enjoy watching it this week in the film room either. This might be the beginning of end of the Belichick/Brady era. The Pats were pushed around in week one when 'we' had the Dolphins as a best bet, they then defeated a Vikings team that was in turmoil and barely escaped the lowly Raiders. Cincinnati enters this fray 3-0 both straight-up and against the points while New England is 1-0 at home with a non-cover win over Oakland. Tonight it's the PATRIOTS! |
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10-05-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. San Francisco 49ers -5 | Top | 17-22 | Push | 0 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Kansas City at San Francisco 4:25 ET 49ers (-) over Chiefs- After watching the Colin “The Hoax” Kaepernick give away one opportunity after another (delay of game penalties twice when it's 3rd and 1 at the goal line). Kansas City comes off one of their best performance in recent memory in their total dismantling of the Patriot on Monday Night and will find the going a little tougher when Alex Smith returns to San Francisco. The Niners are holding opponents to an NFC low of 69.8 yards rushing per game. Under Hargaugh San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last five games in October. Take 49ers! |
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10-05-14 | NY Jets +7 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
New York Jets at San Diego 4:25 ET Jets (+) over Chargers- Oh this looks sickening...the 'Green Slime' on the board again. There will be a clash here as San Diego brings a perfect spread record (4-0) into this matchup while the Jets have yet to get paid. New York is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in San Diego and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Phillip Rivers has just been named AFC Offensive Player of the Month and that is always a jinx. The Jets have allowed an NFL-low 63.3 yards rushing a game and they will pressure Rivers. Take NEW YORK JETS! |
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10-05-14 | Chicago Bears v. Carolina Panthers -1.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Chicago at Carolina 1:00 ET Panthers (-) over Bears- A pair of 2-2 NFC clubs that the 'public' has different opinions on meet with both teams struggling on either side of the ball. For some reason (maybe it's Cutler) they continue to take Chicago and that's a mistake here. The Bears are 2-0 on the road defeating the Jets and 49ers but this time more is expected of them. The major concern here for Carolina is the status of quarterback Cam Newton after starting 2-0 the Panthers couldn't move the ball on the ground and lost both games. Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take PANTHERS! |
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10-05-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +7 | 17-9 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Steelers- The Steelers like the Niners may be living on borrowed time as the season moves forward and they regress. The man that most resembles Ben Roethlisberger in size and style Blake Bortles will be making his second NFL start on Sunday. Pittsburgh is 2-2 straight-up and Jacksonville is 0-4 both straight-up and against the points but they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings while the Steelers are 1-4 ATS in five meetings in Jacksonville. Somehow, the Jaguars get it done. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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10-05-14 | St Louis Rams +7 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
St. Louis at Philadelphia 1:00 ET Rams (+) over Eagles- The thought of taking the Rams makes me want to throw-up as I used them as my Top-rated Vegas Insiders releases two weeks ago only to see them blow a 21-0 lead against the Cowboys. Last week 'we' played against Philadelphia as the 49ers pushed them all over the field in San Francisco and escaped with a 26-21 win after allowing the Eagles three (3) return touchdowns. Two negative trends clash as St. Louis is 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings while the Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four NFC contests. Philly is still pretty banged-up and the Rams have had two weeks to stew. Take ST. LOUIS! |
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09-29-14 | New England Patriots -2.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 14-41 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
New England at Kansas City 8:30 ET Patriots (-) over Chiefs- This is a tough Monday Night call as the Chiefs are getting plenty of respect and the Patriots seem to have lost their offensive mojo. Tom Brady who needs just 219 yards to reach 50,000 passing yards has yet to thrown for 250 yards this season. Kansas City will be without Joe McKnight and that will hurt who already is a limited offense. If we measure the coaches against each other the Pats will as Bill Belichick is 4-0 over Andy Reid and New England is 11-2 straight-up and 9-4 ATS on Monday Nights. Take the PATRIOTS! |
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09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys +3 | 17-38 | Win | 105 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
New Orleans at Dallas 8:30 ET Cowboys (+) over Saints- After having the Rams blow a 21-0 lead to these Cowboys you don't know how much I hate playing on-them this week. Last season these two met right here and the Saints murdered Dallas in 'Jerry's House' 49-17 and the home folk remember. With less and less pressure on Tony Romo because of the effective running of DeMarco Murray who leads the league with 385 yards and has five rushing touchdowns. Dallas has enough offense to keep this one close enough to win against a Saints defense that is still their weak link. Take COWBOYS! |
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09-28-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Minnesota Vikings +3 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 110 | 26 h 36 m | Show |
Atlanta at Minnesota 4:25 ET Vikings (+) over Falcons- Wow, is this line short or what? Minnesota who has a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start. Atlanta is coming off the second biggest win in franchise history a 56-14 thrashing of Tampa Bay last Thursday. The Vikings has scored just 16 points in the two games without Adrian Peterson but they do rank 11th in total defense. Falcons will find the going a little tougher against this bunch of hungry, angry and hostile Vikings. Take MINNESOTA! |
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09-28-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers -4.5 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show |
Philadelphia at San Francisco 1:25 ET 49ers (-) over Eagles- Another over-inflated line that attracts my attention as the struggling 49ers are favored over the soaring Eagles. Philadelphia has lit up the scoreboard with 101 points going 3-0 straight-up and 2-1 ATS. San Francisco has dropped their last two while scoring only three points in the second have this season. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in last five games against the west. The Eagles have trailed by double-digits in all three games and still won...that won't happen this week. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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09-28-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh 1:00 ET Buccaneers (+) over Steelers- Now, you and I understand that the Steelers can break this team in two. They probably can break their will as professionals...ah professionals. Expect to see a totally different team this Sunday then the one you saw last Thursday night get overwhelmed by Atlanta. The Falcons had 35 points before the Buccaneers had a first down. But the fact is that NFL teams that lose by 40 points or more are 12-4 ATS their next time out. Pittsburgh crushed the Panthers in a 'Perfect Storm' and may be a little cocky facing this lowly opponent. Beware...take TAMPA BAY! |
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09-28-14 | Detroit Lions v. NY Jets +2 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
Detroit at New York Jets 1:00 ET? Jets (+) over Lions- I don't know what to say about the Jets and Geno Smith after watching them last Monday Night against the Bears in their 27-19 defeat. So, are the Lions supposed to get their sputtering offense (16 points last 2 games) together against the tough New York Jets defense. It is more likely that the Lions can benefit from Smith's mistakes as Stafford remains a mystery. Rex Ryan does have the Jets ready in the back-to-back home games as they are 15-2 ATS in that roll. Take the JETS! |
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09-28-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +2 | 38-17 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Chicago 1:00 ET Bears (+) over Packers- After watching both these teams play last week I am surprised that there even be a winner here. Sure, Chicago beat the Jets on Monday Night but, the 'Green Slime' had twice as many yards as well as a huge tome-of-possession advantage...the just didn't win. The Packers meanwhile look to be in a whole lot of trouble and seem to be whistling in the wind as Aaron Rogers claims there in 'no panic' here. That is the second straight inside-out win for the Bears, this time they win everywhere. Take CHICAGO! |
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09-25-14 | NY Giants +4 v. Washington Redskins | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
New York Giants at Washington 8:30 ET Giants (+) over Redskins- Thursday Night NFL contests have been a blast for the favorites as they sit at 3-0 SU and against the points after the Falcons crushing of Tampa Bay last week. This time around the dog will have its day as the Giants invade the nation's capitol to play the Redskins. A few key trends have turned by head in this encounter and they tell me that Washington has lost seven straight division games and that New York has won six of the last eight meetings including two wins last December. Here is wild one for ya, Tom Coughlin is 14-4 straight-up and 12-4-2 ATS off his initial win of the season. Take the GIANTS! |
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09-22-14 | Chicago Bears v. NY Jets -2.5 | Top | 27-19 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Chicago at New York Jets 8:30 ET Jets (-) over Bears- Last week these two clubs came from opposite directions with differing results. The Bears erased a 17-point deficit in San Francisco last Sunday night for a come-from-behind 28-20 victory while the Jets blew an 18-points (21-3) lead at Green Bay and were defeated 31-24. Jay Cutler better be at his best because the Jets defense has been fierce against the run. New York is number one in rushing defense allowing just 52.5 yards per game on the ground while producing the top running game in the NFL with 179 rushing yards per game. This does not bode well for Chicago as they lost five starters on defense to injuries. Take the JETS! |
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09-21-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 37-19 | Win | 109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at Carolina 8:30 ET Steelers (+) over Panthers- The undefeated Carolina Panthers (2-0) have allowed just 21 points on the season in beating Tampa Bay 20-14 and Detroit 24-7. It doesn't appear that they have missed suspended Pro Bowl defensive end Hardy because of his domestic abuse conviction. Pittsburgh was pounded by Baltimore their last out on Thursday night and will have a huge effort here to atone for their national embarrassment. Part of he 0-2 Steelers problems are that they have yet to create a turnover and have given it away four times. Trends say Pittsburgh as they are 17-6 ATS as a dog when facing a team off a straight-up win (Thank you ML). Take PITTSBURGH! |
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09-21-14 | Denver Broncos +5.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver at Seattle 4:25 ET Broncos (+) over Seahawks- This is not easy to do. I mean going against the Seahawks at home. We had no problem last week taking the Chargers in San Diego but at home they are a completely different animal. They have already destroyed Green Bay on opening night but they are 7-1 ATS as favorites against the AFC. Oddly enough this isn't a true Super Bowl rematch as these two met during the preseason as the Broncos prevailed 21-16 as a one-point dog at home. Still, Denver carries the sting of their last year Super Bowl loss (43-8) and will not get embarrassed again. Take BRONCOS! |
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09-21-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. St Louis Rams +1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Dallas at St. Louis 1:00 ET Rams (+) over Cowboys- so, now that the Dallas Cowboys have won a game the 'public' will jump back on them again and pay for their move. Trends surrounding this contest tell me Dallas is in trouble at St. Louis. Here some of the 'facts' involved here; for some reason the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS after playing Tennessee, Going from a road dog to road favorite is now good for Dallas as they are 4-11-1 ATS in that roll. They are not only 1-7 ATS off a straight-up win but they are 6-15-1 ATS as favorites off a straight-up underdog win. Austin Davis gets his second start for the Rams at quarterback and already has one win under his belt. Take ST LOUIS! |
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09-21-14 | Tennessee Titans +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals | Top | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
Tennessee at Cincinnati 1:00 ET Titans (+) over Bengals- Cincinnati provided a huge win for 'us' last Sunday and now they host Tennessee after beating the Falcons and that is not necessarily a good thing for the Bengals as they are 0-5 both straight-up and against the points after playing Atlanta. The Titans pass defense has been the toughest in the league and now with game-breaker A.J. Green most likely be sidelined the Bengals may not have that explosive factor on offense. Although the Bengals have won 10 straight at home they will have trouble covering the number here. Take TENNESSEE! |
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09-21-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns +2 | 23-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Ravens- I hope that Im not a week too late with Cleveland this week but there are plenty of good reasons to take them here. To start with the Baltimore Ravens (you know the former 'Cleveland Browns') are off a huge national TV win over the Steelers and they have been patting themselves on their backs for 10 days now. And get this 'teams that are laying points after playing Pittsburgh is 16-38-1 ATS. Line seems short and Cleveland has motivation and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four September games. Take the BROWNS! |
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09-15-14 | Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Indianapolis 8:30 ET Eagles (+) over Colts- Both these clubs opened their season by seeing their opponent jump out to 17-0 leads before they gat going as both the Eagles and Colts came from behind for points spread victories. The final difference is that Philadelphia scored 34 straight points for the win while Indianapolis scored just enough to 'cover.' The Colts will be without the NFL sack leader for 2013 as linebacker Robert Mathis torn his Achilles heel and will be lost for the season. Against these high flying Eagles he will be missed as Philadelphia's offense will be difficult to stop. Take the EAGLES! |
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