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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston @ Baltimore 8:30 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Houston +7.5 (5*) Baltimore is coming off a 23-0 win at Green Bay in their previous game, and easily covered as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ravens are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a non-division home favorite of 4.0 or more, and they lost 4 of those contests straight up. Baltimore has gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. Houston is coming off a 31-21 home win over Arizona, and they covered as a 2.5-point favorite. The Texans are just 1-3 on the road this season, but they’ve managed to cover in 3 of those 4 contests. Any away underdog of 12.0-points or less (Houston), coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.0-points or less, versus an opponent (Baltimore) coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.0-points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1983. The away underdogs also won 12 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
Seattle @ San Francisco 4:05 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: San Francisco +7.0 (10*) The 49ers are coming off their bye week, and it was preceded by 31-21 home win over the Giants. It marked the first victory of the season for San Francisco. However, the 49ers have been more competitive than its 1-9 record may indicate. They’ve lost 5 games this season by 3 points or less. One of those narrow defeats came at Seattle when they fell to the Seahawks 12-9. Seattle is coming off a tough 34-31 home loss to Atlanta last Monday night. The Seahawks are now 6-4, and their defensive secondary has been ravaged by injuries. Any regular season division home underdog of 5.5 to 10.5 points (49ers) that’s coming off its bye week, possessing a win percentage of .400 or worse, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1987. The underdog also won 8 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-26-17 | Dolphins +17.5 v. Patriots | 17-35 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Miami +17.5 (5*) Miami is coming off a 30-20 home loss to Tampa Bay in their previous game. On the other hand, New England is coming off a 33-8 rout of Oakland during their previous outing. The win improved the Patriots record to 8-2 (.800). Any underdog of 10.5 or more that’s playing a divisional opponent prior to Game 16 of the season, and they’re coming off a loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (New England) who scored 30 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those double-digit underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 2008. Furthermore, they won straight up on 3 of those occasions. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-17 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Under 38.0 (5*) Both these teams are anemic offensively. Cleveland is averaging a mere 15.0 points per game, and it’s a major reason for their 0-10 record. Conversely, Cincinnati’s offense averages just 16.9 points and 265.6 yards gained per game. Despite these AFC North rivals having a combined 4-16 record, their defenses have performed respectfully. Cincinnati is 14-4 under the total in its last 18 division games, and that includes 8-1 under if there’s a total of 45.0 or less. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 14-5 under the total during their previous 19 division games, and that includes 3-0 under this season. These teams have seen 6 of their last 7 meetings go under the total. The Browns scored a paltry 10 points or less on 6 of those 7 occasions. I’m not going to allowing this low number to scare me away. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-17 | Bucs +10 v. Falcons | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Game# 259-260 Play On: Tampa Bay +10.0 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a 34-31 win at Seattle last Monday night, and they did so as a 1.0-point underdog. The win improved the Falcons to 6-4 (.600) this season. That was a huge win for the Falcons. Following their game on Sunday, Atlanta will take on NFC heavyweights Minnesota and New Orleans in its next 2 games. This is more than a potential flat spot for the reigning NFC champs. Tampa Bay has won each of their previous 2 games, and they’re now sitting at 4-6 (.400). The Bucs have an impressive +7 in the turnover department during their last 3 contests. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-17 | Colorado v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
Colorado @ Utah 10:00 PM ET Game# 187-188 Play On: Utah -10.5 (10*) Utah has lost each of their last 2 games and is currently 5-6 (.454) The Utes must win their regular season finale on Saturday to become bowl eligible. Colorado is coming off a 38-24 loss to USC in its previous game. Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 19.5-points, and they have a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 31 points or less. resulted in those home favorites going 27-6 ATS (81.8%) since 2008. If those home favorites are coming off 2 straight losses, they improve to 10-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin in those contests was 28.2 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-25-17 | Iowa State +3 v. Kansas State | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Kansas State 3:30 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Iowa State +3.0 (5*) Iowa State is coming off a 23-13 win over Baylor. That victory improved their season record to 7-4 (.636). Kansas State is coming off a 45-40 upset win over Oklahoma State, and did so as a 19.5-point underdog. Any team (Iowa State) playing in a conference away game when they’re +3.0 to -3.0, and they have a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .510 to .600, result in those away teams going 25-6 ATS (80.6%) since 2008. Those away teams also won 23 of those 31 games straight up. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 5* wager. |
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11-25-17 | Duke v. Wake Forest -11.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Duke @ Wake Forest 12:30 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Wake Forest -11.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a 43-20 upset win over Georgia Tech, and they did so as a 6.5-point underdog. Wake Forest is coming off a 30-24 win over NC State, and the Demon Deacons covered as a 2.5-point favorite. Any home favorite of 4.0 to 17.5-points (Wake Forest), coming off a conference SU&ATS win in which they scored 22 points or more, versus an opponent (Duke) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, resulted in those home favorites going 59-13 ATS (81.9%) since 1985. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Texas 8:00 ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Texas -9.5 (5*) Texas Tech enters their regular season finale on Friday having gone 1-5 SU&ATS during its last 6 games. Their only win in that sequence came against a hapless 1-10 Baylor team. The Red Raiders are coming off last Saturday’s 27-3 home loss to TCU, and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. Texas Tech will be looking to revenge last year’s 45-37 home loss at the hands of Texas. Texas is coming off a 28-14 win at West Virginia and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. The win improved Texas to 6-5 and made them bowl eligible. Texas is much better than their record may indicate. The Longhorns lost to nationally ranked team Oklahoma by 5, Oklahoma State by 3, and USC by 3. Any conference home favorite of 7.5 to 15.5 points, possessing a win percentage of .400 or better, and they’re coming off an away underdog straight up win by 12 points or more, versus an opponent (Texas Tech) coming off a home underdog loss and is playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those contests was 24.4 points per game. Bet on Texas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-17 | Western Kentucky -2 v. Florida International | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 9 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ FIU 7:00 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Western Kentucky -2.0 (5*) Western Kentucky is coming off a 41-38 win over Middle Tennessee State in their previous game. The win improved the Hilltoppers season record to 6-5. Additionally, they’re 15-7 during its last 22 games. FIU is coming off a 52-24 blowout loss at FAU last Saturday. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 (.600). Any conference road favorite of 3.0 or less that has a winning record, and they’ve won 14 or more of their last 22 games, versus an opponent possessing a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those road favorites going 16-4 ATS (80%) since 2009. Bet on Western Kentucky minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-17 | South Florida +11 v. Central Florida | 42-49 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
South Florida @ Central Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: South Florida +11.0 (5*) Despite being a terrific 10-1 (.909) this season, South Florida has failed to cover in each of their previous 4 games. Central Florida enters this week with a perfect 10-0 record. Any road underdog (South Florida) that failed to cover their last games, and both teams have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 2009. The road underdogs won 8 of those 20 games straight up. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-17 | Giants v. Redskins -7 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
NY Giants @ Washington 8:30 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Washington -7.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a 12-9 upset of Kansas City in their previous game, and they did so as a 10.0-point home underdog. Despite that victory, the Giants are still a dismal 2-8(.200) this season. Washington is coming off a gut wrenching 34-31 overtime loss this past Sunday at New Orleans. That defeat dropped their season record to 4-6. Any home favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s playing in game 10 through 15 of the season, and they’re coming off a straight up loss in their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .250, and they’re (NY Giants) coming off a home underdog straight win in their last game, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1983. The average line in those 16 contests was 7.9, and the favorites won by a massive average of 26.9 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
LA Chargers @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: LA Chargers (10*) Dallas is coming off an embarrassing 37-9 home loss this past Sunday night to their division rival the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys are now 0-2 SU&ATS without their suspended star running back Ezekiel Elliott and were outscored by a combined 64-16. Since the start of the 2013 season, Dallas is 0-4 SU&ATS at home following a loss by 14 points or more. The Chargers jumped out to a 37-7 halftime lead last Sunday at Buffalo on their way to a 54-24 blowout win. That win improved their record to 4-6 and moved them within 1.0 game of the final AFC wild card spot. The Chargers are much better than their record may indicate. They’ve suffered 4 of those 6 defeats by 3 points or less, and can very easily could be 8-2 at this juncture. Any team (Chargers) that lead at the half by 14 points or more in their previous game, and is facing an opponent (Cowboys) who allowed 35 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 25-3 (89.3%) straight up since 2013. Bet on the Los Angeles Chargers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 44.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Detroit 12:30 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) Detroit enters this week with a 6-4 (.600) record and averages 27.1 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2015 season, Minnesota has gone 6-0 under the total when facing an opponent that average 27.0 or more points scored per contest, and there was a combined 31.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, during that identical time frame, Minnesota is 8-1 under when going against an opponent with a win percentage of .600 to .750, and there was an average of 31.5 combined points scored per game. The Vikings have allowed 17 points or less in 7 of its last 8 games, and they coming into this week with a stellar 8-2 (.800) record. Since the beginning of last season, these NFC North rivals have met 3 times and each of those games went under the total (28.7 PPG). One of those meetings took place earlier this season in Minnesota, and Detroit came away with a 14-7 win. Any team (Minnesota) that’s playing with same season revenging stemming from a loss by 7 points or less, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those games going 22-4 (84.6%) under the total since 2013. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Chicago 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Chicago +3.0 (5*) I have been on the Chicago home underdog bandwagon for the past 2 seasons, and there’s no sense in jumping off it now. Since the start of last season, the Bears are an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS as a home underdog and that includes a perfect 4-0 ATS when facing a fellow NFC North Division team. Conversely, Detroit is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an away favorite of 3.0-points or more following wins in each of their previous 2 contests, and they lost straight up on 3 of those occasions. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints -7.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: New Orleans -7.5 (5*) New Orleans has won 7 in a row and they’re clicking on all cylinders in all phases of their game. The Saints are coming off last Sunday’s 47-10 blowout win at Buffalo, and covered easily as a 3.0-point favorite. Any home favorite of 16.0-points or less, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 32.5-points or more and they scored 40 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin during those 8 contests was 22.9 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-17 | Rams v. Vikings -2.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
LA Rams @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Minnesota -2.5 (10*) The Vikings have been extremely good at home during recent seasons. Specifically, the Vikings are 18-6 SU&ATS in their last 24 regular season home games. During that exact time frame, the Vikings are a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS as a regular season non-division home favorite of 4.5 or less, and they won by an average of 10.8 points per game. The Rams have won each of their previous 3 games while covering as a favorite on all those occasions. Any home favorite of 4.0 or less that possesses a win percentage of better than .666, and they’re facing an opponent coming off 3 straight covers as a favorite, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 2001. The average victory margin in those 10 contests came by a decisive 15.3 points per game. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-17 | NC State v. Wake Forest -1.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
NC State @ Wake Forest 7:30 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Wake Forest -2.0 (10*) Wake Forest is coming off a 64-43 away favorite ATS win at Syracuse last Saturday. The win improved their record to 6-4 (.600) and made them bowl eligible. The Demon Deacons offense has caught fire over their past 3 games while scoring 37 points or more on each occasion. NC State escaped with a narrow 17-14 win at Boston College last week which put an end to a 2-game losing streak. The Wolfpack benefitted from Boston College losing starting quarterback Anthony Brown to a 1st half injury. Any conference home team with a win percentage of .444 or better that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they scored 60 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 32-4 (88.9%) straight up since 1987. The straight up results in this betting angle takes on added significance due to the tiny number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Wake Forest for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Rutgers @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Indiana -11.0 (5*) Rutgers is coming off a 35-6 loss at Penn State in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 4-6 (.400). Indiana comes off a 24-14 win at Illinois last Saturday which snapped a 4-game Hoosiers losing streak, and it improved their season record to 4-6 (.400). Despite both teams having identical season records, and Rutgers having a better conference record, Illinois is still tabbed as a double-digit favorite. This line tells me all I need to know. Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points, possessing a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .125 or better, and they’re (Rutgers) coming off a loss by 31 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 2008. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-17 | SMU v. Memphis -12 | 45-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
SMU @ Memphis 12:00 PM ET Game# 373-374 Play On: Memphis -12.0 (5*) Memphis is coming off a 41-14 win at Tulsa in their previous game, and they covered as a 14.5-point away favorite. The win improved the Tigers record to 8-1. Memphis will have the luxury of having last week off. Meanwhile, SMU was a 43-40 loser at Navy last Saturday in a game in which they closed as a 1.0-point favorite. Any regular season conference home favorite that has a win percentage of .500 or better, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, versus an opponent (SMU) coming off am away favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 15-1 ATS since 1989. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-17 | Texas v. West Virginia -3 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Texas @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 341-342 Play On: West Virginia -3.0 (5*) Since 2015, Texas has gone 0-5 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 14.0 or less, and lost by a lopsided 26.2 points per game. Meanwhile, since 2015, West Virginia is 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 16.5 or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or less. Texas enters this week with a disappointing 5-5 record. West Virginia is coming off ATS covers as a favorite in each of their last 2 games, and the last of which came in 28-23 victory at Kansas State. The Mountaineers are now a stellar 16-6 in their last 22 games.  Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or less that’s coming off favorite ATS covers in each of its previous 2 games, they scored 24 points or more in their last game, and they’ve won 9 or more of its last 22 games, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 31-4 ATS (88.9%) since 1994. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7.5 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Pittsburgh 8:25 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Tennessee +7.5 (5*) This game pits 2 teams against one another who are both currently on a 4-game win streak. Tennessee enters this contest at 6-3 (.666) while Pittsburgh finds itself at 7-2 (.777). The Titans previous 2 wins have both come at home. Since the start of last season, Tennessee is a respectable 6-6 in away games, and that includes a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS when facing an opponent with a win percentage of better than .666. Any non-division away underdog of 5.0 to 10.0-points (Tennessee), coming off home wins in each of their previous 2 games, and has a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those road teams going 31-6 ATS (83.7%) since 1994. The away underdogs also won 18 of those 37 games straight up. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins +9 v. Panthers | 21-45 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami @ Carolina 8:30 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Miami +9.0 (5*) Carolina is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 3.0-points or greater. As a matter of fact, the Panthers lost 5 of those 7 games straight up. Conversely, Miami has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points. Carolina is coming off a 20-17 home underdog straight up win over their division rival Atlanta. The win improved their season record to 6-3 (.666). Miami has lost 2 straight games, and now sits at 4-4 on the year. Any away underdog that possesses a win percentage of .200 to .625, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win over a team from within their own division, and they have a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1981. The underdogs also won 10 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
Dallas @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Atlanta -3.0 (10*) Atlanta is coming off 2 straight games in which they failed to cover as an away favorite. The Falcons lost 20-17 last Sunday at Carolina. Surprisingly, the defending NFC champions enter the 2nd half of their season with just a 4-4 record. It’s about that time in which they go on a winning run and resemble the team we saw a season ago. Any home favorite of 13.5-points or less (Atlanta) that’s failed to cover as an away favorite in each of their previous 2 contests, and they’re coming off a straight up loss by 9 points or less in its last game, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive 17.6 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-12-17 | Vikings -1.5 v. Redskins | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (5*) The Redskins have been plagued by injuries that has really tested their depth. They came away with a gritty upset win at Seattle last Sunday. However, I truly believe it will be too much to overcome against a quality opponent in 2 consecutive weeks. The Minnesota Vikings have gone 5-1 during their previous 6 games, and they allowed 17 points or less in each one of those contests. Any NFL point-spread favorite (Minnesota) that’s allowed 17 points or less in each of their previous 4 games has gone 26-2 straight up (92.9%) since 2013. Considering this current point spread, the straight up results in this betting angle take on added significance. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills +3 | 47-10 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Buffalo 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Buffalo +3.0 (5*) Buffalo is coming off a disappointing effort during a 34-21 loss to the Jets in their previous game, and it occurred with them being a 3.0-point away favorite in that contest. Despite that loss, if the season were to have ended today, Buffalo would qualify as a playoff team based on its 5-3 (.625) record. The Bills have suffered all 3 of their defeats on the road. Nevertheless, they’ve gone 4-0 at home thus far. Furthermore, Buffalo has gone a very profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 4.0-points or less following a straight up loss. The Bills will certainly have their work cut out for them against a New Orleans team which is 6-2 (.750). However, the Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an away favorite. Any home underdog of 7.5 or less playing after Game 3 of the season, coming off an away favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 32 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .333 or better, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .700 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The home underdog won all 9 of those contests outright and did so by an average of 7.6 points per game. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-17 | Boise State v. Colorado State +6.5 | 59-52 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
Boise State @ Colorado State 10:30 PM ET Game# 159-160 Play On: Colorado State +6.5 (5*) Colorado State is coming off back to back straight up favorite losses against Air Force 45-28 and then last Saturday was defeated by Wyoming 16-13. Nonetheless, Colorado State is a stellar 19-6 (.760) in their last 25 home games, and that includes 17-8 (68%) ATS. Any conference home underdog of 18.0-points or less with a win percentage of .200 or better, coming off straight up favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games, and their most recent defeat came by 17 points or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS since 2010. The home underdog won those 8 contests by an average of 10.6 points per game. Bet on Colorado State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-17 | TCU +7 v. Oklahoma | 20-38 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
TCU @ Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET Game# 159-160 Play On: TCU +7.0 (5*) TCU enters this week with an outstanding 8-1 record and they’ve allowed 14 points or less in each of their last 2 games. Since 11/6/2013, TCU 10-2 ATS as an underdog and that includes 4-0 ATS in addition to 3-1 straight up when they’re an underdog of 6.0 to 11.0 points. Any road team (TCU) which has suffered at least 1 loss, coming off 2 straight game in which they allowed 14 points or less on each occasion, and they’re playing before Game 12 of the season, resulted in those road teams going 40-12 ATS (76.9%) and 38-14 (73.1%) straight up since 2008. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET Game# 177-178 Play On: Mississippi State +14.0 (5*) I’m not going to sit here and right about how Alabama has any flaws. Quite frankly, there are none that have been apparent during their 9-0 start. Mississippi State enters this week on a current 4-game win streak which has improved their season record to 7-2 (.777). Mississippi State is coming off a lackluster 35-23 home win over Massachusetts last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs are 11-0 in their last 11 during the 2nd of back to back home games, and that includes covering each of their last 6 with an average margin of victory by 32.3 points per contest. Any home underdog of 11.0 to 20.5-points, coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .636-.800, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .600, resulted in those home underdogs going 23-2 ATS (92%) since 2005. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-17 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Boston College +3.0 (5*) NC State is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Clemson in their previous game. Boston College is coming off wins of 41-10 at Virginia and 35-3 over Florida State during their previous 2 contests. Any team (Boston College) coming off 2 straight wins that each came by 31 points or more, versus an opponent (NC State) that allowed 37 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 72-6 straight up (92.3%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance due to this betting angle supporting the home underdog. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Stanford +6.5 (5*) I’m not going to waste time trying to poke holes into a very good Washington team that’s currently ranked #9 and sports an outstanding 8-1 record. This is all about home underdog betting value in this contest. Since 2008, Stanford is 54-8 (.871) straight up and 39-23 ATS (62.9%) when playing at home. That includes a perfect 4-0 in 2017 and they covered on 3 of those occasions. The Cardinal are 6-3 overall this season, and 2 of those losses each came by exactly a narrow 3-point margin. This game will go down to the wire, and I’ll take a calculated risk on the home underdog. Bet on Stanford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-09-17 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +6.5 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 35 h 50 m | Show | |
Seattle @ Arizona 8:25 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) You may be surprised to know that Seattle has been a fade as a road favorite in recent years. Specifically, the Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road chalk, including 0-4 ATS and 1-3 straight up if they were facing an opponent with a win percentage of .333 or better. The Cardinals are coming off last Sunday’s 20-10 win at San Francisco, and they covered that contest as a 2.5-point favorite. That victory evened their season record at 4-4. Recent history has shown Arizona to be an excellent home underdog bet, and regardless of who’s been at quarterback. Since 2009, Arizona is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 or less following an ATS cover in their previous game. Furthermore, since 2013, Arizona has maintained a strong home field edge by going 26-9-1 straight up at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Ohio 7:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Ohio +3.0 (5*) Since 2011, Ohio has gone a stellar 32-10 (.762) at home under the guidance of current head coach Frank Solich, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. The Bobacts will enter this game with an impressive 7-2 record, and they’ve won and covered in each of their previous 2 games while being a home favorite on both occasions. That sets up a rare but perfect college football ATS betting angle that clearly points toward the home underdog in this exact situation. Any home underdog of 6.0-points or less playing after Game 3 of the season, coming off back to back home favorite ATS wins, and they possess a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1988. If they were a home underdog of 3.0 to 6.0-points the betting angle improves to 6-0 SU&ATS since 1988, and there was an average victory margin of 11.5 points per game. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-17 | Raiders v. Dolphins +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 33 h 31 m | Show | |
Oakland @ Miami 8:30 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Miami +3.0 (5*) Miami is coming off a humiliating 40-0 loss at Baltimore in their previous game. Since that game was played on a Thursday night, they’ve been afforded 3 more days of rest than Oakland will have. The Dolphins are still a somewhat respectable 17-15 during their last 32 games played. Oakland is coming off last Sunday’s embarrassing 34-14 loss at Buffalo in a game they were dominated in all 3 phases of the game. That defeat dropped the Raiders record to an unexpected 3-5 (.375)). Any home underdog of 3.0-points or less that’s won 9 or more of their last 32 games played, coming off a non-division road SU&ATS loss in which they allowed 40 points or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .333, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 1983. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City @ Dallas 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Dallas -2.0 (10*) Dallas has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. The Cowboys have won 2 straight and now find themselves with a 4-3 record. Kansas City is coming off last Monday night’s 29-19 win over Denver. That victory improved their season record to 6-2 (.750). Any home team possessing a win percentage of .500 or better, coming off 4 straight games in which they scored 30 points or more on each occasion, versus a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .800 or less that scored 33 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 26-0 straight up since 1993. The straight up numbers take on added significance due to the current point-spread on this contest. Bet on Dallas minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-05-17 | Redskins +7.5 v. Seahawks | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington @ Seattle 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Washington +7.5 (5*) Washington is coming SU&ATS losses at the hands of division opponents in Dallas and Philadelphia during their previous 2 games. The Redskins record now sits at a disappointing 3-4 (.428) on the year. Meanwhile, Seattle is coming off a thrilling 41-38 win over Houston last Sunday, and it improved their season record to 5-2 (.714). Any non-division away underdog of 7.5-points or less with a win percentage of .600 or less, playing after Game 4 of the season, and is coming off back to back division SU&ATS losses, versus an opponent (Seattle) coming off a straight win in their previous game, resulted in those road underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1987. The underdogs also won 11 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-17 | Redskins v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington @ Seattle 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) Washington has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 contests, and there was an average of 53.3 points scored per game. Since 2015, Washington is 12-3 over the total as a road underdog, and that includes 10-1 over in their last 11 when cast into that precise role. Furthermore, since 10/18/2015, Washington has gone 15-1 over in non-division games when the total is 49.5 or less. Seattle averages a robust 370.3 yards or total offense per game this season. Since the start of last season, Washington has gone over the total in all 10 of their games when facing an opponent that averages 350 yards or more of total offense per contest, and there was a combined 55.0 points scored per outing. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-17 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Miami 8:00 PM ET Game# 341-342 Play On: Miami (5*) #8 Miami enters this week with a perfect 7-0 record. The Hurricanes are also riding a 12-game home winning streak. Conversely, #13 Virginia Tech will enter this contest with a stellar 7-1 (.875) record. Any undefeated home team playing after Game 7 of the season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .875 or less, resulted those unbeaten home teams going 209-31 (.871) straight up since 1982. The straight up numbers take on added betting value when considering the point spread in this contest. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-17 | Texas v. TCU -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
Texas @ TCU 7:15 ET Game# 379-380 Play On: TCU -6.5 (10*) TCU will be in a sour mood after last week’s 14-7 upset loss at #14 Iowa State. What better way to bounce back from their first loss of the season than with a convincing win over in state rival Texas. Meanwhile, Texas is coming off a 38-7 road favorite ATS win over winless Baylor. Any home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 21 points or less, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1982. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a substantial 27.7 points per game. Bet on TCU as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-17 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -3 | 42-35 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Texas Tech 7:15 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (5*) Kansas State is coming off a lackluster 30-20 win over hapless Kansas last Saturday and failed to cover as better than a 3-touchdown favorite. They allowed the lowly Jayhawks to rack up 482 yards of total offense in that contest. As a matter of fact, during the past 5 games, Kansas State’s defense has allowed an average of 359.2 yards per game in the air. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing a Texas Tech offense which average a robust 348 yards passing per game. The Red Raiders will also be out to revenge last season’s 44-38 defeat at the hands of Kansas State. Play on Texas Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-17 | Marshall +7 v. Florida Atlantic | 25-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Marshall @ FAU 6:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Marshall +7.0 (5*) Marshall is coming off a 41-30 loss as a 15.0-point home favorite to FIU. The loss dropped Marshall to 6-2 (.750) on the season. FAU enters this week with a respectable 5-3 record. Any conference road underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points with a win percentage of .300 or better, coming off a conference home double-digit favorite straight up loss, versus an opponent that has at least 1 loss on the season, resulted in those road underdogs going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 1991. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-02-17 | Navy -8 v. Temple | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Navy @ Temple 8:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Navy -8.0 (5*) After starting 5-0 and being ranked in the Top 25, Navy has dropped each of their last 2 games. However, those defeats came at the hands of #15 Central Florida (7-0) 31-21 and at #22 Memphis (7-1) 30-27. Since the start of 2014, Navy is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a conference favorite of 4.0 or more. Temple is 3-5 and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. They’re an unimpressive 2-2 at home with their only wins coming against Villanova 16-13 and Massachusetts 29-21. They were upset in their last game at home by UConn 28-24 in a game they were a 10.5-point favorite. Any conference road favorite of 4.0-points or more (Navy), possessing a win percentage of .583 or better, and they’re coming off back to back conference losses in which they allowed 27 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent (Temple) with a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 23.2 points per game. Bet on Navy minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-30-17 | Broncos +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 34 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:30 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Denver +7.5 (10*) Denver is coming off a 21-0 road loss against the Chargers. That defeated dropped the Broncos season record to 3-3 (.500). Kansas City is coming off an excruciating 31-30 loss at Oakland in their previous game. The Chiefs enter this week with a 5-2 (.714) record. Any away underdog of 10.5-points or less playing before Game 9 of the season, possessing a win percentage of .538 or less, and they’re coming off an away loss by 21 points or more, versus an opponent coming off an away loss, and they have a win percentage of less than .750, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1986. The underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins +2 | 33-19 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Washington +2.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a 40-10 rout of San Francisco last Sunday, and they covered easily as a 6.0-point favorite. The win improved Dallas to 3-3 (.500). Washington is coming off a 34-24 loss at Philadelphia in their previous game, and they now have a 3-3 (.500) record as well. The Redskins are 7-2 SU&ATS since 9/20/2015 as a home underdog, and that includes a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS (+14.0 PPG) if they lost their previous game. Any home team that’s +3.0 to -3.0, Playing in games 5 through 9 of the season, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 21.0 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 43-14 SU&ATS (75.4%) since 1985. If that home team had a win percentage of better than .428, they improved to 23-6 SU&ATS (79.3%) during that precise time frame. |
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10-29-17 | 49ers +13 v. Eagles | 10-33 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Philadelphia 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: San Francisco +13.0 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off a Monday night 34-24 win over its NFC East Division rival Washington. Despite last week’s 40-10 blowout loss to Dallas which dropped their record to 0-7, 5 of the 49ers 7 defeats have come by 3 points or less. I look for this game to be more competitive than most would expect. Any underdog of 10.5-points or more that’s coming off a loss by 14-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a game in which they scored 33 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 20-3 ATS (86.9%) since 2008. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-17 | Georgia Tech +14 v. Clemson | 10-24 | Push | 0 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Clemson 8:00 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Georgia Tech +14.0 (5*) Clemson is coming off a 27-24 shocking upset loss at Syracuse in a game they were a 23.0-point road favorite. Syracuse exposed weaknesses in a Clemson defense that had looked invincible to that point. Clemson will be facing a Georgia Tech team that’s a modest 4-2 this season. However, both of their losses each came by 1-point against Tennessee in overtime and at undefeated Miami-Florida. Facing Georgia Tech’s vaunted triple option attack can be a frustrating and extremely difficult task. This is a rushing offense that’s racked up 403 yards or more on 4 separate occasions this season. Any conference underdog of 14.5-points or less that playing before Game 11 of the season, and has a win percentage of better than .333, versus an opponent coming off a conference away favorite of 10.0 or more straight up loss, resulted in those away underdogs going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 1994. Bet on Georgia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-17 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 7:15 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Mississippi State (5*) Mississippi State has allowed 155 and 29 yards respectively during its last 2 contests. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has been outgained on the ground by 161 and 159 yards during its previous 2 games. Any road team that’s allowed 125 yards or less rushing during each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent which has been outgained on the ground by 150 yards or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those road teams going 24-2 SU&ATS (92.3%) since 2008. |
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10-28-17 | TCU v. Iowa State +7 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
TCU @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Iowa State +7.0 (5*) TCU is coming off a 43-0 lopsided win over Kansas last Saturday. The Horned Frogs held a massive 475-21 total yards advantage while coasting to that victory. However, TCU is a poor 1-8 ATS since 2015 following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 225 yards or more. Additionally, the #4 undefeated Horned Frogs have in state rival Texas and #10 Oklahoma up next. Iowa State is 5-2 and enters this week riding a current 3-game win streak. The Cyclones have cracked the Top 25 for the first time this season after last Saturday’s 31-13 upset win at Texas Tech. Keep in mind, this is also the same Iowa State team that knocked off then unbeaten and #2 Oklahoma as a 31.0-point road underdog. I look for the Cyclones to give TCU all they can handle and then some. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-17 | Florida State v. Boston College +4.5 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Boston College 8:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Boston College +4.5 (5*) Boston College is coming off conference straight up underdog wins by defeating Virginia 41-10 and Louisville 45-42. Those victories improved their season record to 4-4 (.500). Florida State will enter Friday night’s game with a disappointing 2-4 (.333) record. Any conference home pick or underdog of 6.5 or less, coming off back to back conference straight up underdog wins, and they covered their previous game by 8.0-points or more, and they have a win percentage of less than .600, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .714 or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1988. Those underdogs won all 10 of those contests outright and did so by a convincing 17.0-points per game. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-17 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 7:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Eastern Michigan +7.5 (5*) Eastern Michigan enters tonight’s game on a current 5-game losing streak. However, all 5 of those defeats have each came by 7 points or less. As a matter of fact, the previous 4 losses each came by 5 points or less, and came against opponents that have a combined 22-8 (.733) record headed into this week’s action. My point is simple, Eastern Michigan is a much better team than their 2-5 record would indicate. Furthermore, since 9/23/2016, Eastern Michigan is a perfect 10-0 ATS as an underdog of 2.0-points or more, and won 4 of those contests straight up. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as a home favorite of 14.0-points or less. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | Top | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 4:25 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Pittsburgh -5.0 (10*) Cincinnati started the season 0-3 and has since rebounded to win 2 games in a row. The Steelers will enter this AFC North showdown with a season record of 4-2, and have also gone 22-10 in their previous 32 games played. Any home favorite of 4.0 to 7.0-points with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’ve won 17 or more of their previous 32 games played, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more straight up wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .454 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests came by 16.6 points per game. Bet on Pittsburgh -7.0 for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-22-17 | Cowboys -6 v. 49ers | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
Dallas @ San Francisco 4:05 ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Dallas -6.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a bye last week. The Cowboys were a 35-31 loser at home to Green Bay in their previous game, and that made them a disappointing 2-3 (.400) this season. San Francisco is off to a rough to a terrible 0-6 start to the season, and they’ve played each of their previous 3 games on the road. Since 10/6/2016, the 49ers are 0-5 SU&ATS as a home underdog when facing an opponent with a losing record. They lost those 5 contests by an average of 14.6 points per game. Any non-division road favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points that’s coming off their bye week, and they possess a win percentage of less than .750, versus an opponent coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those road favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1991. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was 16.3 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-17 | Ravens +5.5 v. Vikings | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Baltimore @ Minnesota 1:00 ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Baltimore +5.5 (5*) Baltimore enters this week with a mediocre 3-3 (.500) record. However, the Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an away underdog when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .200 to .750. Minnesota is coming of last Sunday’s 23-10 win over Green Bay in a game they were a 3.0-point home underdog. The Vikings will enter Sunday’s upcoming game with a 3-2 (.600) record. Any non-division away underdog (Baltimore) with a with percentage of .200 to .800, versus an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they covered by 28.0-points or less, and they possess a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1981. Bet on Baltimore plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-17 | Panthers v. Bears +3 | 3-17 | Win | 110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Chicago 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Chicago +3.0 (5*) Carolina is coming off a 28-23 loss to Philadelphia in a game they were a 3.0-point home favorite. The loss dropped their record to 3-2 (.600). The Panthers are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as an away favorite when facing an opponent coming off a win. Chicago a 27-24 upset winner over Baltimore last Sunday, and they accomplished the task as a 5.0-point road underdog. The victory improved their record to 2-4 (.333). Since the start of the 2016 season, Chicago is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS as a home underdog. Any non-division home underdog of 1.5 to 4.5-points (Chicago) that’s coming off an away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of .333 or better, versus an opponent (Carolina) coming off a straight up favorite loss, and they possess a win percentage of .545 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The underdogs also won 7 of those 9 games straight up, and their only 2 losses were by exactly 2 points on each occasion. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-17 | Wake Forest +5.5 v. Georgia Tech | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 60 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech 7:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Wake Forest +5.5 (5*) Georgia Tech is coming off an agonizing 25-24 loss at #10 Miami, and next week will be facing defending national champion Clemson. In between they’re facing lightly regarded but underrated 4-2 (.66) Wake Forest. This is certainly a potential flat spot for the Yellowjackets. That defeat dropped Georgia Tech to 3-2 (.600) on the year. Any underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Wake Forest) that possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) coming off a straight up loss by 3 points or less and they scored 24 points or less, resulted in those underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1993. Bet on Wake Forest plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-17 | LSU v. Ole Miss +7.5 | 40-24 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 41 m | Show | |
LSU @ Ole Miss 7:15 PM ET Game# 405-406 Play On: Ole Miss +7.5 (5*) LSU is coming off a 27-23 win over Auburn and did so as a 6.0-point home underdog. That improved their season record to 4-2 (.666). The Tigers have gone 14-8 over their previous 22 games played. Ole Miss is coming off a 57-35 win over Vanderbilt, and they covered easily as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory evened their season record at 3-3 (.500). Any conference home team (Ole Miss) that -18.0 to +9.0, coming off a conference SU&ATS win in which they covered by 18.5 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .44 or better, versus an opponent coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or more straight up win, and they have a win percentage of .181 or better in addition to winning 8 or more of their previous 22 games played, resulted in those conference home teams going 19-0 SU&ATS since 1995. Bet on Ole Miss plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-17 | Oregon +7 v. UCLA | 14-31 | Loss | -130 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
Oregon @ UCLA 4:00 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Oregon +7.0 (5*) Oregon is coming off an embarrassing 49-7 loss at Stanford in their previous game. The Ducks are now 4-3 (.571) in 2017. UCLA is coming off a 47-30 loss at Arizona in their previous game, and now finds themselves with a very disappointing 3-3 (.500) record. Any conference road team (Oregon) who’s +7.5 to -7.5 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, coming off a conference loss by 24 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of less than .666, resulted in those road teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by 11.6 points per game. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-17 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State -11 | Top | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 47 h 29 m | Show |
Kentucky @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Mississippi State -11.0 (10*) Mississippi State is coming off a 35-10 win over BYU. The Bulldogs covered in that contest as a sizable 22.5-point favorite. Kentucky is coming off a 40-34 home win over a Missouri team that’s 0-5 against FBS opponents this season. That win improved the Wildcats season record to 5-1 (.833). Any conference favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Mississippi State), coming off a favorite of 10.0 or more ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Kentucky) with a win percentage of .500 or better, and they are coming off a home game where both teams scored 31 points or more, resulted in those conference favorites going 25-0 ATS since 1995, and they won by an average of 26.6 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-17 | Louisville +7 v. Florida State | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 43 h 28 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET Game# 397-398 Play On: Louisville +7.0 (5*) Louisville is coming of a shocking 45-42 loss to Boston College in a game they were an 18.5-point home favorite. Florida State will enter this game with a vastly underachieving 2-3 (.400) record. Any conference road underdog (Louisville) of 4.0 to 10.0-points, coming off a home favorite of 10.0 or more straight up loss, versus an opponent (Florida State) possessing a win percentage of less than .800, resulted in those road underdogs going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1991. Bet on Louisville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-17 | Memphis +3 v. Houston | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Houston 8:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5*) Memphis is coming off last Saturday’s 30-27 home win over then undefeated and #25 Navy. However, they failed to cover that contest as a 3.5-point favorite. The win improved the Tigers season record to 5-1 (.833). Despite a disappointing 2016 campaign, Memphis still a very respectable 14-8 over their past 22 games. Houston entered last Saturday game at Tulsa as a substantial 14.0-point favorite, and were victims of a shocking 45-17 loss against the then 1-5 Golden Hurricane. Any road team (Memphis) with a win percentage of better than .666 that’s won 14 or more of their last 22 games, and is coming off a home straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a road straight up loss by 28 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 70-5 (.933) straight up since 1982. Since that stellar straight up record sides with the underdog in this game, it certainly takes on added significance, and creates a plethora of betting value. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-17 | Colts +7.5 v. Titans | 22-36 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Colts @ Titans 8:30 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Colts +7.5 (5*) The Colts are coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in their previous game. The victory improved their season record to 2-3 (.400). The Titans are coming off a 16-10 loss at Miami last Sunday. They’re also 2-3 (.400) to start the season. Any Monday night away underdog of 2.0 or more (Colts) that’s coming off a non-division straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, versus an opponent coming off a straight up loss by 21 points or less, and that opponent has a win percentage of .750 or less, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 29-0 ATS since 1990. Those road underdogs also were a stellar 24-5 (.828) straight up in those contests. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Chiefs 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Over 46.5 (5*) Pittsburgh is coming off an embarrassing 30-9 home loss to Jacksonville. Pittsburgh has seen their last 5 games all go over the total following a contest in which they scored 10 points or less. There was a combined average of 60.4 points scored per game during those 5 contests. Kansas City has covered in each of their last 4 games and all were as a favorite. The Chiefs are coming off last Sunday night’s 42-34 win at Houston.  Kansas City have gone over the total in all 4 of their games this season when going against non-division opponents, and there was a combined average of 60.3 points scored per contest. Any team (Chiefs) with a winning record playing in regular season action after Game 4, coming off 3 straight ATS wins as a favorite, and they allowed 10 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Steelers) with a winning record, resulted in all 16 of those games going over the total since 2005. There was a combined average of 58.4 points scored per contest during those 16 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-17 | Rams +2.5 v. Jaguars | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
Rams @ Jaguars 4:05 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Rams +2.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off last Sunday’s impressive 30-9 win at Pittsburgh, and it improved their record to 3-2 (.600). That’s the good news. The bad news, they’re 4-20 in their last 24 games following a win, and that includes 1-14 in its previous 15 if that victory came by 5 points or more. Hardly a sparkling resume for a team being tabbed as a favorite in this contest. The Jaguars are also a dismal 1-8 SU&ATS in their last 9 home games, and that includes 0-6 SU&ATS when facing a non-division opponent. The Rams are coming off a disappointing home favorite 16-10 loss to Seattle, and it dropped their record to 3-2 (.600). This is a Rams team which has gone 2-0 on the road this season while scoring 41 and 35 points in those contests. Any non-division away pick or underdog (Rams) playing before Game 14 of the season, coming off a division home favorite straight up loss, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Jaguars) coming off a straight up win by 7 points or more, and they (Jaguars) have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those road teams going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory came by 9.4 points per game. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-17 | Bucs v. Cardinals +2 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Cardinals 4:05 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Cardinals +2.0 (10*) Since 2013, the Cardinals are 7-0 SU&ATS at home when they’re +2.5 to -2.5. Since 2014, Arizona is 19-7-1 straight up at home, and that includes 11-0-1 during Games 5 through 13 of the season. Sunday will mark the Bucs 34th road game since 2013, and it’s only the 2nd time they will be installed as a favorite. Saying they’re entering unchartered waters would be a vast understatement. The Bucs are 0-2 SU&ATS in its first 2 games on the road this season. The Cardinals are coming off a humiliating 37-7 road loss at Philadelphia. The defeat dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is coming off a 19-14 Thursday night home loss to New England, and they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. The combination of this data leads us to a rare but perfect NFL ATS betting angle. Any home team (Cardinals) with a win percentage of .333 or better that’s facing a non-division opponent (Buccaneers), and that opponent is coming off a Thursday home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 9.0 points or less, resulted in those home teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The home teams won those contests by the convincing average of 16.2 points per game. |
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10-15-17 | 49ers v. Redskins -11 | 24-26 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
49ers @ Redskins 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Redskins -11.0 (5*) The 49ers are an abysmal 2-19 straight up and 6-15 ATS during their last 19 road games. Furthermore, they’re 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 games as an away underdog of 7.5 to 13.0-points, and they lost by an average of 20.6 points per contest. Washington is coming off a Monday night 29-20 loss at Kansas City in their previous game, and they failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. The 49ers are 0-5 this season. The combination of this data sets up a rare but highly successful NFL ATS betting angle. Any non-division home favorite of 6.0-points or more (Redskins), coming off a Monday night away underdog ATS loss, versus an opponent that’s lost each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1983. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by substantial average of 24.8 points per game. Bet on the Redskins minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-17 | Auburn v. LSU +7.5 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Auburn @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: LSU +7.5 (5*) Auburn is off to a very good 5-1 start to the season, and they’ve held 5 of those 6 opponents to 14 points or less. However, Auburn is 0-9 SU&ATS in their last 9 away games when facing a fellow SEC team that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a straight up win. Auburn lost those 9 games by a decisive average of 26.7 points per contest. LSU has gone a superb 47-4 in their last 51 home games versus teams not named Alabama. LSU has defeated Auburn 8 consecutive times during games that were played on their home field in Baton Rouge. LSU will also be out to revenge last season’s 18-13 loss at Auburn. Furthermore, LSU rebounded nicely from an embarrassing home loss to Troy 2 weeks ago by knocking off Florida 17-16 in Gainesville last Saturday. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-17 | Oklahoma -9 v. Texas | Top | 29-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Texas 3:30 PM ET Game# 181-182 Play On: Oklahoma -9.0 (10*) Texas has vastly underachieved thus far by going just 3-2. They won their last 2 games over Iowa State 17-7 and Kansas State 40-34. The Longhorns are 0-4 SU&ATS during their last 4 games after back to back wins, and they lost by 18.3 points per contest. You may be surprised to know that Texas hasn’t put together a 3-game win streak since 11/15/2014. Oklahoma is coming off a stunning 38-31 loss to Iowa State last Saturday, and especially since the Sooners were a 30.0-point favorite in that contest. Oklahoma has gone 35-3 straight up in their last 38 games following a loss, and that includes 26-12 ATS (68.4%). If they were facing a conference opponent in those contests their record improved to 22-7 ATS (75.9%), and that includes 9-0 ATS as a favorite of 11.5 or less. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-14-17 | Kansas v. Iowa State -22.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Iowa State -22.5 (5*) Kansas has gone 0-43 straight up and 10-33 ATS during their last 43 away games. If they were a road underdog of 39.0 or less in those contests while playing with revenge, and allowed 24 points or more in its previous game, versus an opponent that scored 23 points or more in their previous game, it resulted in the Jayhawks going 0-10 SU&ATS. Kansas lost those 10 contests by a massive average of 38.5 points per game. Iowa State is coming off a huge 38-31 upset win at then #2 Oklahoma last week, and they did so as an enormous 30.0-point underdog. Any college football home favorite of 11.5 to 25.0 points who’s playing before game 8 of the season, coming off a straight up win as an away underdog of 10.0 or more points in which they scored 35 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1994. The average margin of victory in those contests was a substantial 30.7 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-17 | Texas Tech +4 v. West Virginia | 35-46 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Texas Tech +4.0 (5*) #24 Texas Tech is 4-1 (.800) on the season and their only loss came at the hands of #14 Oklahoma State by a score of 41-34. West Virginia comes in at 3-2 (.600) and was a 31-24 loser at #5 TCU last Saturday. The Mountaineers only other defeat came at #15 Virginia Tech by an identical 31-24 score. West Virginia has gone a stellar 16-6 during its last 22 games played. Any conference away underdog of 4.0 or less (Texas Tech) with a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (West Virginia) coming off a conference straight up loss by 7 points or less, and that opponent also has a win percentage of .600 to .800, and they (West Virginia) won 13 or more of their last 32 games played, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-2 ATS (88.2%) since 1990. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 57 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Panthers 8:25 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Panthers -3.0 (5*) Philadelphia was a 26-24 winner at San Diego in their previous away game played in in Week 4. Nevertheless, the Eagles are just 2-8 straight up in their last 10 away contests, and that includes 3-7 ATS. After a very rough start to the season, Cam Newton has resembled a former MVP during the past 2 weeks. During that time, he was 48-62 (77.4%) passing, while throwing for 671 yards and 6 touchdowns against only 1 interception. The Carolina defense is allowing just 18.8 points and 274.0 yards per game thus far in 2017. The Panthers are coming off 2 straight road wins over New England and Detroit. They captured both those contests while being an underdog on each occasion. Philadelphia is coming off 34-7 home win over Arizona last Sunday. Any home favorite of 12.0 or less (Panthers), coming off away underdog straight up wins in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Eagles) coming off a straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive 17.0 points per game. Bet on the Panthers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-17 | South Alabama v. Troy -16 | 19-8 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Troy 8:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Troy -16.0 (5*) South Alabama has gone 0-4 against FBS opponents this season while allowing 38.5 points and 483.5 yards per game. South Alabama is also a miserable 0-6 SU&ATS during its last 6 away games when facing conference opponents. Troy is coming off a huge 24-21 upset win at LSU as a 20.5-point underdog in their previous game. After losing their season opener 24-13 at Boise State, Troy has reeled off 4 straight wins. Since the start of last season, Troy is a stellar 7-1 at home against conference opponents. Any home favorite of 14.0 or more that’s playing in game 2 through 7 of the season, coming off an away underdog of 10.0 or more straight up win, and has a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1994. The average margin of victory was a massive 35.3 points per game. Bet on Troy minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +4 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Bears 8:30 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Bears +4.0 (5*) Minnesota has gone a dismal 1-6 SU&ATS during its last 7 away games, and that includes 0-3 SU&ATS when facing division opponents. The Vikings are also an awful 1-7 straight up in their previous 8 games at Soldier Field in Chicago. Sam Bradford will be back at quarterback tonight after missing the last 3 games due to injury. However, the loss of star rookie running back Delvin Cook to a season ending injury last week was a huge blow. Since the start of last season, Chicago is 7-1 ATS as a home underdog, and that includes 6-0 ATS when they’re +3.5 or more. The Bears are coming off a Thursday 358-14 loss at Green Bay. Since John Fox took over as head coach in 2015, Chicago is 6-0 ATS following a road loss by 14 points or more. Furthermore, Monday night home teams coming off a Thursday game are 4-0 SU&ATS since 2010, and won by an average of 17.5 points per contest. The Bears defense has played much better than their 26 points per game allowed would indicate. They’ve allowed just 306 yards per game. The bottom line is, they’ve been plagued by an offensive unit that has committed 10 turnovers through their first 4 games. Removing Mike Glennon as the Bears starting quarterback is a step in the right direction in terms of resolving their turnover issues. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-08-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -2 | 35-31 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
Packers @ Cowboys 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Cowboys -2.0 (5*) For starters, Dallas will be out to avenge last season’s home playoff loss to Green Bay. Since 2016, Dallas is a stellar 8-1 at home regular season home games when facing non-division opponents. Considering the small point spread in this contest, that recent straight up record in Arlington is certainly a noteworthy observation. Green Bay has enjoyed the luxury of playing 3 of their first 4 games at home this season. Dating back to last season, The Packers are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games against an opponent that scored 23 points or more in their previous contest. They lost those 4 contests by a lopsided margin of 18.5 points per game. Dallas is coming off home favorite 35-30 straight up loss to the Rams last Sunday. The Cowboys are now 17-15 over their previous 32 games. This sets up a never lost betting angle pertaining to this matchup, and it clearly sides with the home favorite in this identical situation. Any home favorite playing in games 2 through 11 of the season, coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, and they’ve won 15 or more of their last 32 games played, resulted in those home teams going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a substantial 20.4 points per game. Bet on the Cowboys for a 5* point spread wager. |
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10-08-17 | Seahawks v. Rams -1 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Rams -1.0 (10*) As bad as the Rams have been in recent years, they’ve gone 3-1 during the past 2 seasons against Seattle, and have also defeated the Seahawks the previous 3 times when playing at home. The Rams are coming off back to back wins in which they scored 35 points or more on each occasion. Seattle is coming off a 46-18 home win over Indianapolis, and it improved their record to 2-2. However, they’re 0-2 SU&ATS on the road thus far. As a matter of fact, the Seahawks are 0-6 ATS and 1-5 straight up in their previous 6 away games which dates back to last season. As good as Seattle has been during the past 4 season, they’re only a mediocre 16-16 in their last 32 games on the road. Any home team coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 35 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent that has at least 1 loss on the season, and they’ve won 17 or less of their last 32 games played on the road, resulted in those home teams going 66-8 (89.2%) straight up since 1984. Considering the point spread in this contest, the straight up records take on added significance. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-08-17 | 49ers v. Colts -1 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
49ers @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Colts -1.0 (5*) San Francisco has begun their 2017 regular season campaign by losing its first 4 games. They’ve lost each of their last 3 games by 3 points or less, and that’s further evidence they still need to learn how to win close games. Furthermore, the 49ers have gone a dismal 2-18 during their previous 20 away games, and that includes 0-7 SU&ATS (-18.9 PPG) in its last 7 when facing a non-division opponent. The Colts have been dismal in their 2 road games this season, and that includes last Sunday’s 46-18 drubbing at Seattle. However, they’ve gone 1-1 at home, and their only loss came in overtime against Arizona. As a matter of fact, Indianapolis is 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 home games when +2.0 to -7.0, and if they’re coming off a loss in their previous outing. This game also presents a very rare betting situation which can’t be ignored. Any pick or underdog (49ers) coming of 3 straight losses which each came by 3 points or less, resulted in those teams going 0-4 SU&ATS since 2000. Those teams lost those 4 contests by an average of 18.5 points per game. Bet on the Colts for a 5* point-spread wager. |
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10-08-17 | Panthers v. Lions -2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Detroit -2.5 (5*) Since 2018, the Lions are a solid 18-8 at home. Additionally, they gone 7-0 straight up and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against non-division opponents when the they’re +2.0 to -4.0. Although Carolina is off to a very good start to 2017, they have allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 2 games. They’ve also scored 13 points or less on 2 other occasions. That adds up to a lack of consistency, and a little bit of luck to have a good a record as they have. Both teams enter this game with identical 3-1 (.750) records. Detroit is coming off a 14-7 win at Minnesota and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. Any home team (Lions) which is +4.0 to -4.0 playing after game 4 of the season, coming off a straight up underdog win in which they allowed 31 points or less, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Panthers) with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home teams going 21-2 SU&ATS (91.3%) since 1980. Bet on the Lions for a 5* point-spread wager. |
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10-07-17 | Washington State v. Oregon +3 | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Washington State @ Oregon 8:00 PM ET Game# 377-378 Play On: Oregon +3.0 (10*) Oregon is coming off a 45-24 home win over California last Saturday. That victory improved the Ducks season record to 4-1 (.800). A win over a nationally ranked opponent would go a long way in putting Oregon back on the national radar. I look for the Ducks to be sky high on Saturday and turn in their best performance to date. Washington State is coming off a 30-27 upset win over USC which came as a 5.0-point home underdog. I just don’t see how the Cougars can possibly come close to match the intensity they displayed last week in that huge win, and especially so when playing on the road. A letdown is in the forecast. Any home team (Oregon) with a win percentage of better than .750, coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (USC) coming off a conference home underdog straight up win by 8 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 38-0 straight up since 2000. Considering this straight up betting angle sides with the underdog, it certainly adds significantly to the betting value. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-17 | Minnesota +4 v. Purdue | 17-31 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Minnesota +4.0 (5*) I respect the fact that Purdue seems to be much improved under this new coaching regime. However, the fact remains, since 2014, Purdue has gone an abysmal 3-31 (.088) when facing fellow Big Ten Conference teams, and that includes 1-16 (0.59) at home. Hardly a stellar resume for a team that’s a conference favorite of better than a field goal on Saturday. Minnesota is coming off an extremely disappointing 31-24 loss to Maryland, and it came in a game in which they were a sizable 13.0-point home favorite. The defeat dropped their season record to 3-1. On a positive note, the Gophers are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. Any conference road underdog of 3.0 to 5.0-points, coming off a conference home favorite of 8.0 or greater upset loss by 6 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1991. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-17 | Duke v. Virginia -2 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Duke @ Virginia 12:20 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Virginia -2.0 (5*) Duke is coming off a 31-6 loss to Miami as a 5.0-point home underdog in their previous game. The defeat dropped their record to 4-1 (.800). The Blue Devils will be out to avenge last season’s 34-20 home loss to Virginia. Conversely, Virginia is coming off a huge 43-24 win at Boise State last week, and did so as a sizable 14.0-point underdog. Any conference home favorite of 9.5 or less, coming off an away underdog straight up win in which they covered by 12.0 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or less, and they’re (Duke) playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was a lopsided 22.8 points per game. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs OVER 53.5 | 19-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
New England @ Tampa Bay 8:25 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Over 53.5 (5*) The Tampa Bay defense has been stout against the run so far. However, defending the pass has been a whole different story. The Bucs permitted their first 3 opponents to pass for 315.7 yards per game. That’s not good news when considering that New England has passed for 328.3 yards per contest. Since 2013, Tampa Bay has gone over in all 4 of their games as a home underdog after scoring 20 or more pints in their previous outing, and there’s a total of 44.0 or more. Those contests averaged a combined 58.0 points scored per game. The total is this high for good reason. The Patriots have scored 27 points or more in each of their first 4 games. With that in mind, it’s not surprising to know that all those contests went over the total, and there was a combined 64.4 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, New England is 5-0 over the total when scoring 25 points or more in each of their previous 3 outings, and there was a combined 61.8 points scored per game. Finally, the Patriots defense has been atrocious during their 2-2 start to the season. They’ve allowed 32.0 points and 456.7 yards per game. Any team (New England) with a total of 49.5 or more that’s averaging 27.0 or more points scored per game, and they’ve scored 25 points or more in each of their previous 4 contests, resulted in those games going 25-6 (80.6%) over the total since 2013. The average total in those 31 games was 54.2, and there were a combined 64.3 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs -7 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington @ Kansas City 8:30 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Kansas City -7.0 (5*) Washington is coming off a 27-10 home underdog straight up win over Oakland in their previous game. That victory improved their season record to 2-1. In the you may be surprised to know category, Kansas City has gone a superb 26-6 during their last 32 games, and that includes 25-4 in its previous 29 regular season contests. The Chiefs are coming off last week’s convincing 24-10 SU&ATS win over the Chargers, and that made them 3-0 on the season. Any non-division home favorite of 4.0 or more (Kansas City) with a win percentage of .666 or better, coming off a SU&ATS win, and they’ve 20 games or more of their last 32 played, versus an opponent with a winning record, and that opponent (Washington) is coming off a home underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1984. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive average of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-17 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
Eagles @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Eagles +2.5 (10*) The Chargers are off to a disappointing 0-3 and 2 of those contests were played at home. As a matter of fact, dating back to last season, they’ve lost 6 straight at home. The most recent of which came last Sunday 24-10 against division rival Kansas City. The Eagles are coming off a thrilling last second win over the Giants via a made 60-yard field goal. The victory improved their record to 2-1. Since 2012, Philadelphia has gone 12-5 SU&ATS as an underdog or favorite of 2.5 or less, and that includes 6-2 SU&ATS during away games. Any team (Philadelphia) possessing a winning record, versus an opponent coming off a home loss by 14 points or more, and they (Chargers) have a win percentage of .250 or less, resulted in those teams going 46-4 straight up since 2008. The straight up results take on added significance considering Philadelphia is an underdog. Bet on the Eagles plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Ravens +3.0 (5*) The Ravens are coming off an embarrassing 44-7 loss as a 3.0-point favorite to Jacksonville last Sunday. The setback dropped their season record to 2-1. On a more encouraging note, Baltimore is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games against Pittsburgh. Furthermore, dating back to last season, the Ravens have won 6 consecutive home games. Additionally, they’re a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 home games when facing fellow AFC North teams. Baltimore is just 15-17 through its previous 32 games. The Steelers enter this contest sporting a 2-1 record, and are coming off a shocking 23-17 upset loss at Chicago in their previous outing. Any home team (Baltimore) coming off a straight up favorite loss by 4 points or more and they allowed 35 points or more, and they’ve won 19 or more of their previous 32 games played, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) possessing a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 18-1 SU&ATS since 1980. Bet on the Ravens plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-17 | Panthers +9 v. Patriots | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Panthers +9.0 (5*) The Patriots needed another Tom Brady led game winning drives with less than a minute left to win 36-33 over Houston, and avoided being upset as a substantial 13.0-point home favorite. One thing that’s been very apparent to me from watching the Patriots is their defense is far from championship caliber. During their first 3 contests, New England is allowing 31.7 points and 461.0 yards per game. Fading a large NFL favorite who possesses this porous of a defense certainly appears to be a viable option. Despite the Panthers struggling on offense thus far in 2017, their defense is unequivocally capable of keeping them in this game. Carolina is allowing just 13.3 points and 251.7 yards per contest. On a positive note regarding the offense, Carolina has had a dominating time of possession average of 34:01 per game. The Panthers will be able to run the ball in this contest and in doing so limit New England’s offensive possession with time consuming drives. Bet on the Panthers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-17 | Titans -2.5 v. Texans | 14-57 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Titans @ Texans 1:00 ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Titans -2.5 (5*) The Texans are coming off a disheartening 36-33 road loss at New England last Sunday. After dropping their season opener, Tennessee has won each of their last 2 games, and covered as a favorite on both occasions. Their most recent victory was a 33-27 triumph over Seattle in a contest they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. You may be surprised to know that the Titans are a very respectable 18-14 during their last 32 games played. Any division favorite of 1.5 to 4.0-points (Titans), coming off 2 consecutive SU&ATS wins as a favorite, the last of which came as a favorite of 7.0 or less, and they’ve won 25 games or less during its last 32 played, versus an opponent (Texans) that scored 6 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those road favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1987. Bet on the Titans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-17 | Arizona State v. Stanford -17 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Stanford 4:00 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Stanford -17.0 (10*) Arizona State is coming off a shocking 37-35 upset of undefeated Oregon, and they did so as a 15.5-point home underdog. That win evened the Sun Devils record at 2-2. The Sun Devils have surrendered 30 points or more in each of their 4 games this season. Arizona State has gone 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 road games following a straight up win. Stanford has gone an extremely profitable 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or more when facing an opponent that allowed 32 points or more in their previous game. The Cardinal won all 8 contests straight up and did so by a massive 33.0 points per game. Stanford is coming off a momentum building 58-34 conference home win over UCLA which ended a 2-game losing streak. Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 21.0 points that’s coming off a conference game, versus an opponent coming off a conference win by 3 points or less, and they (Arizona State) possess a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2007. The average margin of victory in those contests was 30.9 points per game. Bet on Stanford minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-30-17 | Indiana +18.5 v. Penn State | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Penn State 3:30 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Indiana +18.5 (5*) After opening the season with a loss to Ohio State, Indiana has won their next 2 games by a cumulative score of 86-34. Penn State needed a touchdown in the waning seconds of the 4th quarter to defeat Iowa 21-19, and barely avoided being upset as a 12.5-point favorite. The win improved the Nittany Lions season record to 4-0. Any conference underdog of 12.0 to 20.5-points which is playing with revenge, coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off a win by 32 points or less, and they (Penn State) possess a win percentage of .900 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 28-2 ATS (93.3%) since 1993. Those double-digit underdogs also won 12 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -13 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Minnesota 12:00 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Minnesota -13.0 (5*) This will be Maryland’s first conference road game of the season. The Terrapins were a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference away underdog a season ago, and lost by an average of 26.7 points per game. After beginning this season 2-0, Maryland was humbled during last week’s 38-10 blowout loss to Central Florida in a game they were a 4.5-point home favorite. The P.J. Fleck era at Minnesota has begun with a bang as his Gophers are off to a fast 3-0 starts. Minnesota is coming off a 34-3 win over Middle Tennessee State and covered easily as a 14.0-point favorite. Any favorite of 28.5 or less that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, the last of which they covered as a favorite, versus an opponent which allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 32-8 ATS (80%) since 2008. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-17 | BYU v. Utah State +3 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 32 h 27 m | Show | |
BYU @ Utah State 8:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Utah State +3.0 (5*) After opening the year with a 20-6 win over an FCS team (Portland State), things have gone completely south for BYU. They’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games with all of them coming as an underdog, and scored 13 points or less in each of those defeats. The Cougars will also be without senior starting quarterback Tanner Mangum on Friday night who’s out with an ankle injury. Utah State is coming off a resounding 61-14 win at San Jose State last week, and handedly covered as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2012, the Aggies are 25-6 (.806) at home, and that includes 7-0 if they’re off a win versus an opponent coming off a loss. Any home team (Utah State) coming off a straight up win in which they scored 28 points or more, versus an opponent that’s gone 0-3 SU&ATS as an underdog during each of their previous 3 games, and they (BYU) scored 13 points or less on each of those occasions, resulted in the home teams going a perfect 23-0 straight up since 1982. The straight up records take on added significance considering what the point-spread is in this contest. Any home team that’s playing with revenge, and is coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 57 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 34 points or less in their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 19-1 SU&ATS since 1988. Bet on Utah State for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | 14-35 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Green Bay 8:25 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 45.5 (5*) Chicago is coming off a 24-17 upset win over Pittsburgh and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. The Bears have gone under the total during their first 3 games this season, and they’re averaging a mere 15.7 points scored per contest. Green Bay’s defense has been rather stout during its first 2 home games by allowing 16.5 points and 263.0 yards per outing. Since 2015, Green Bay has gone 12-6 under the total at home. The last 5 times Chicago has played at Lambeau Field saw 4 of those contests go under the total. Green Bay is coming off a 27-24 home overtime win against Cincinnati but failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Any team (Chicago) with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a straight up underdog win, and is facing an opponent coming off a win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those games going 58-22 (72.5%) under the total since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Arizona 8:30 PM ET Game# 8:30 PM ET Play On: Arizona +3.5 (5*) Arizona has been a strong home team in recent years, and been very profitable in the isolated times they’ve been tabbed as a home underdog. As a matter of fact, since 12/11/2011, the Cardinals are 9-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 4.0 or less, and won by an average of 7.9 points per game. This will also be the Cardinals home opener, and they split their first 2 games on the road. Monday Night Football ATS betting history strongly favors home underdogs in the identical situation that Arizona is in. Any Monday night non-division home underdog with a .500 or better win percentage has gone 19-4 ATS (82.6%) since 1986. Furthermore, if they were an underdog of between 2.5 to 4.0-points, the numbers improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%). Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins +3.5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show | |
Oakland @ Washington 8:30 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Washington +3.5 (5*) Washington is coming off an impressive 27-20 road win over the Rams last Sunday. The Redskins ran for over 200 yards in that contest against a better than average Rams front 4. This is a Washington team that finished 9-7 a season ago. Oakland is coming off a 45-20 lambasting of the hapless New York Jets. The combination of this data sets up an extremely strong NFL ATS betting angle. Any home underdog of 3.5 or less that’s playing in either Game 2 of Game 3 of the season, coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they won 8 or more games during the season before, versus an opponent coming off a win in which they scored 35 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-24-17 | Bengals +8 v. Packers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Green Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 485-486 Play On: Cincinnati +8.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off home losses to Baltimore 20-0 and Houston 13-9 to start the season. Those abysmal offensive performances resulted in the firing of their offensive coordinator Ken Zampese. On a positive note, Cincinnati’s defense played very well in both games, and held their opponents to just 266.0 yards per contest. Despite those extremely disappointing results, NFL ATS betting history strongly favors the road underdogs in these types of situations. Green Bay is coming off a 34-23 loss at Atlanta. The Packers have shown very little semblance of a running game thus far, averaging only 71.5 rushing yards per game and 3.3 yards per carry. Any away underdog of 9.5 or less (Cincinnati) that’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they scored 9 points or less on each occasion, and they’re facing an opponent (Green Bay) coming off a loss in which they allowed 16 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-1 ATS (94.7%) since 1990. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Carolina -5.5 (10*) Carolina and Cam Newton has had their way with New Orleans in recent games. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5 meetings with their division rival while averaging 34.0 points scored per game. Carolina amassed 406 or more yards of total offense in 4 of those 5 contests. Based on the New Orleans’ defense allowing their opponents to rack up 512.5 yards per game thus far, and have failed to force a turnover, I look for Carolina’s offense to once again dominate against them on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Panthers defense has allowed 3 points in each of their first 2 games, and allowed a mere 196.5 total yards per contest. Carolina has opened the season with 2 straight wins, and is now 18-14 during their last 32 games played. Conversely, New Orleans has dropped its first 2 contests and failed to cover on each occasion as an underdog. The Saints are now 14-18 during their previous 32 games played. These results and past records fit nicely into a rare but never lost NFL ATS betting angle that’s illustrated below. Any division home favorite of 9.0 or less (Carolina) that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they’ve won 11 or more of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off 2 straight underdog ATS losses, and they also won 11 or more of their previous 32 games, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those contests was a substantial 20.4 points per game. Bet on Carolina minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-17 | Washington v. Colorado +12 | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Washington @ Colorado 10:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Colorado +12.0 (5*) Colorado has begun the season with 3 straight wins, and each of those victories has come by 17 points or more. Since the start of last season, the Buffaloes have gone a perfect 8-0 on their home field in Boulder. Colorado is also a very profitable 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and all those games took place since 10/24/2015. Washington is coming off a 63-7 win over Montana and defeated Fresno State 48-16 in each of the past 2 weeks. Any conference home team (Colorado) playing in Game 4 of their season, and they won each of their first 3 games by 17 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 33-2 (.943) straight up and 26-9 ATS (74.3%) since 1997. Any home team (Colorado) coming off 2 straight wins in a row, and each of those victories came by 17 points or more, versus an opponent (Washington) coming off 2 consecutive games in which they scored 42 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 37-12 SU&ATS (75.5%) since 1991. Play on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-23-17 | Alabama v. Vanderbilt +19.5 | 59-0 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Vanderbilt 3:30 PM ET Game# 379-380 Play On: Vanderbilt +19.5 (5*) Let’s talk about the betting value that can be had on the sizable home underdog in this contest. Vanderbilt is 3-0 and has allowed a grand total of 13 points on their way to doing so. The Commodores defense has allowed a mere 198.3 total yards per game. Their most impressive performance came in a 14-7 upset win over Kansas State last Saturday. As a result, Vanderbilt has now gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as a home underdog, and all those contests transpired since last season. On the flip side, Colorado State racked up 401 total yards of offense in last week’s 41-23 loss to Alabama. That production proves that the Crimson Tide defense isn’t invincible like many believed going into that contest. The Tide didn’t cover in each of their previous 2 games, and failed to do so by a combined 25.0 points. Any conference home underdog of 14.5 to 19.5-points which has a winning record, and is coming off 2 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home underdogs going an extremely profitable 18-1 ATS (94.7%) since 2002. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-17 | NC State +12.5 v. Florida State | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
NC State @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: NC State +12.5 (5*) Florida State will be playing in their first game since opening their season 3 weeks ago with 24-7 loss to Alabama. The Seminoles not only failed to cover that game as a 7.5-point underdog, but they lost starting quarterback Deondre Francois to a season ending knee injury. With James Blackman making his first career start under center, and with the Seminoles being potentially rusty after such a long layoff, it shapes up as a dangerous spot for the home favorite. NC State was upset 35-28 by South Carolina in their season opener despite outgaining the Gamecocks in total yards by a decisive 504-246 margin. The Wolfpack has since bounced back with 2 straight wins, and they’ve amassed 485 or more total yards in each of their first 3 contests. They will be out to revenge last year’s narrow 24-20 home loss to Florida State. Any conference away underdog of 7.0 to 15.5 points (NC State) that’s playing with revenge, and they’re coming off a non-conference game, and they won 7 games or less during the previous season, versus an opponent (Florida State) coming off a non-conference underdog ATS loss, and they won 11 games or less in the year before, resulted in those away underdogs going 25-3 ATS (89.2%) since 1986. Play on NC State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rams @ 49ers 8:25 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: 49ers +3.0 (5*) Despite a significant upgrade to their offensive personnel this season, the Rams aren’t exactly an ideal road favorite to wager on. For starters, since 2011, they’re a dismal 14-33 (.298) in road games. Furthermore, they’re an abysmal 0-5 SU&ATS as a division favorite of 3.5 or less since 1/2/2011, and 2 of those defeats came against San Francisco. By the way, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games played against the 49ers, and 1-7-1 straight up in their previous 9 at San Francisco. The Rams have generated 78% of their total yards on offense via their passing game. Despite the 49ers struggling to score points in their first 2 games, they’ve been stellar on the defensive side of the ball, and particularly against opponent’s aerial attacks. The 49ers held Seattle and Carolina to 17.5 points and 176.0 yards passing per game during its first 2 contests. Meanwhile, San Francisco amassed an impressive 151 yards rushing last week against an excellent Seattle defense. Conversely, a highly thought of Rams defense allowed Washington to run for 229 yards during last Sunday’s 27-20 home loss to the Redskins. Any home team that between +5.5 to -5.5, and is coming off 2 straight games in which they scored 9 points or less, and they’re facing a division opponent that scored 34 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 11-0 SU&ATS since 2008. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests came by a decisive 16.8 points per game. Bet on the 49ers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Lions @ Giants 8:30 PM ET Game# 289-290 Play On: Under 42.5 (5*) Detroit has gone under the total in 19 of their last 25 away games. They’ve also gone under during each of its last 10 road games when the total was 45.0 or less. Those 10 contests averaged a paltry 30.7 points combined being scored per game. Detroit allowed a very good Arizona offense to just 309 total yards during their season opening 35-23 win, and forced 4 Cardinals turnovers while doing so. New York has seen 9 of its last 11 games against non-division opponents go under the total. The Giants has a mere 233 yards of total offense in last week’s 19-3 loss at Dallas, and displayed no semblance of a running game. Monday will be the Giants home opener, and they finished last season by going under the total in its last 4 home games. These teams met last season with New York came away with a 17-6 home win, and that contest easily went under the total of 42.5. I’m looking for a similar type of game tonight where both defenses will dominate. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -2.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -119 | 48 h 33 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Rams -2.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a disappointing 30-17 home loss to Philadelphia in their season opener. The Redskins defense allowed Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz to throw for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns. Meanwhile the offense was held to 256 yards and was guilty of 4 turnovers. Conversely, the Rams are coming off a 46-9 home blowout victory over Indianapolis in their 2017 debut. The Rams defense was especially impressive in their first game with new coordinator Wade Philips. They returned 2 interceptions for touchdowns, produced a safety, and had 4 sacks. The Rams offense wasn’t too bad either while piling 373 total yards. There’s a noticeable difference in the play of 2nd year quarterback Jered Goff in terms of confidence. Goff threw 306 yards last week and completed balls to 8 different receivers. Any NFL home team that’s coming off a home win, and is facing an opponent coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those home teams going a terrific 43-6 (.878) since 2007. Considering the small number that we’re being asked to cover, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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