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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -8 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Vikings -8.0 (5*) Backing the Vikings at home since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach in 2014 has unequivocally paid huge dividends. During that time, the Vikings have gone 31-12 ATS (72.1%) at home. Even more compelling during that stretch was Minnesota going 15-0 ATS in games 1 through 13 as a home favorite of 11.0 or less. The Vikings are coming off last Sunday’s 21-16 loss at Green Bay. However, once again with Zimmer as their head coach they’re a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division favorite following a straight up loss, and their average victory margin was a decisive 15.3 points per contest. Oakland jumped out to a 10-0 lead at home last week against Kansas City, but they allowed 28 unanswered points in a 28-10 home loss. Since John Gruden became the Raiders head coach last season, Oakland is 0-3 ATS as an away underdog of 9.5 or less and they lost by a convincing 21.7 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 31 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Arizona State 10:00 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Arizona State -7.0 (10*) Colorado is coming off a 30-23 home loss in overtime to Air Force. That defeat thwarted the Buffalos from starting 3-0. This will be Colorado’s first road test of the season. They’re a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or greater. They’ve allowed 30 points or more in each of their first 3 contests, and they’ll be facing an Arizona State team which has allowed exactly 7 points in each of its first 3 games on their way to a 3-0 start. Former New York Jets head coach Herman Edwards has done a more than admirable job since taking over at Arizona State. The Sun Devils have gone 10-5 in regular season games under Edwards and that includes 6-1 at home. Arizona Sate is coming off a 10-7 upset win at Michigan State last Saturday in a game they were a sizable 16.0-point underdog. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home versus Colorado since the Buffaloes joined the PAC-12 and with an enormous victory margin of 26.0 points per contest. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 62 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Illinois 8:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Nebraska won last season’s meeting 54-28 in Lincoln and that game went over the massive total of 72.5. I expect more of the same on Saturday night in what will be the Big 10 opener for both teams. During their last 2 games Nebraska has averaged 37.5 points scored and 492 yards of total offense per game. Illinois is 2-1 and is averaging 34.7 point scored and 407 yards of total offense per game. Nebraska has allowed 21.0 points per game on their first 4 contests. Conversely, Illinois has given up 20.0 points per game in their first 3 games. This statistical data qualifies for a very successful college football totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 that involves teams allowing 16 to 21 points per game, resulted in those contests going 30-6 (83.3%) over the total since 2010. The average total in those 36 contests was 59.2 and there were a combined 73.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Ohio | 45-25 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Ohio 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette is averaging a robust 8.1 yards per offensive play on their way to a 2-1 start. As a matter of fact, in their last 2 games they amassed 593 and 748 yards of total offense during blowout wins over Liberty and Texas Southern. Ohio has begun the season 1-2 and is allowing opponents to average 6.4 yards per offensive play. Any road team (UL-Lafayette) that collected 575 yards or more of total offense during each of its last 2 games, and they’re averaging 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, versus a team (Ohio) which is allowing opponents to gain 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, resulted in those road teams going 30-1 straight up (96.8%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance because they back the road underdog in this instance. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Michigan is 2-0 but failed to cover each contest by 17.0-points or more. They narrowly escaped with a 24-21 home win over Army in overtime and didn’t come close to covering as a 22.0-point favorite. Wisconsin is 2-0 while covering both games as a favorite and holding each of their opponents scoreless. They outscored South Florida and Central Michigan by a combined score of 110-0 and covered each of those contests by 26.0-points or more. Since 2004, Wisconsin has gone a superb 90-12 (.882) at home. Considering how small a spread we’re being asked to cover, that outstanding record at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin takes on special significance. Any conference home favorite of 5.5 or less (Wisconsin) that coming off 2 straight covers as a favorite in which it held their opponents scoreless, and they covered each of those contests by 11.5-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1981. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-19 | Utah v. USC +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
Utah @ USC 9:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: USC +4.5 (5*) USC was caught in a trap game last week. They had just come off an emotional 45-20 win over Stanford in their PAC-12 opener and was set to host #10 Utah next. In between those pair of PAC-12 contests was a non-conference road game at BYU. The Trojans fell to BYU 30-27 in overtime as a closing 5.0-point favorite. USC will also be out to revenge a 48-17 blowout loss at Utah last year. Backup quarterback Kedon Slovus has more than held his own while replacing injured starter J.T. Daniels. In 2 plus games, Slovus is 58-75 (77.3%) passing while throwing for 5 touchdowns. Utah is coming off a 31-0 home win over Idaho State who plays at the FCS level. The Utes failed to cover that contest as a 36.5-point favorite. Since 2015, Utah is 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference road favorite of 7.5 or less when facing an opponent off a straight up loss by 17 points or fewer. The Utes lost those 4 contests by an average of 9.3 points per game. Any conference home underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in game 2 through 9 of their season, coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 3 points or more in which they failed to cover by 8.0 or more, versus an opponent (Utah) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Those home underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 38.5 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Titans @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 38.5 (5*) These AFC South rivals have witnessed 5 of their previous 7 meetings going over the total. Last week’s NFL schedule saw 13 of 16 games played going under the total. NFL betting history has proven throughout the past 3 decades, that when a lopsided trend such as the previously mentioned on occurs, it tends to go in an opposite direction during the following week’s action. I firmly believe that will be the case in Thursday night’s game. The Jaguars rookie quarterback has Gardner Minshew has been impressive after being thrown into the fire due to Nick Foles going down with a broken clavicle. Minshew has gone 45-58 (77.6%) passing for 488 yards for 3 touchdowns and just 1 interception. He’s also shown a surprising ability to run the ball with 7 rushing attempts for 62 yards. The Jaguars are coming off a 13-12 divisional loss at Houston this past Sunday. Tennessee is coming off a 19-17 home loss to Indianapolis. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any NFL team (Jaguars) with a total of 37.5 to 42.0, coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer in which they scored 22 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Titans) coming off a game that they scored 10 points or more, resulted in those contests going 33-5 (86.8%) over the total since 2008. Here’s an additional NFL totals betting angle. Any Thursday night home team (Jaguars) with a total of 35.0 to 43.0 that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Titans) who’s coming off a straight up loss, resulted in all 9 of those contests going over the total since 1993. The average combined points scored in those 9 games was 52.6 per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Tulane -4.0 (5*) Houston is a team that’s run the ball on 61.2% of their offensive plays in 2019. During its first 3 games, Tulane’s experienced defense has allowed only 95 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per attempt. The Green Wave matches up very well in this game and will also be out to revenge last year’s 48-17 loss at Houston. Tulane is coming off last week’s 58-6 home win over Missouri State in a game they easily covered as a 31.5-point home favorite. Houston is coming off last Friday’s 31-24 home loss to Washington State. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle which is exhibited below. Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or more (Tulane) that’s coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 45 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Houston) that scored 19 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2001. Bet on Tulane minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets OVER 45 | 23-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Browns @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 289-290 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) Since 2017, the Jets have seen 7 of their 8 games as a home underdog go over. Furthermore, if there was a total of 43.0 or greater then all 5 of those contests went over with a combined 60.2 points scored per game. The Jets will be without 2 of their defensive studs in LB C.J. Mosely and rookie DT Quinnen Williams who started in last week’s 17-16 home loss to Buffalo. The Browns are coming off a humiliating 43-13 home loss to Tennessee in their season opener. Since 2017, Cleveland has gone over in 6 of 7 on the road when there’s been a total of 40.0 to 47.0. Those 7 contests averaged a combined 57.4 points scored per game. Since 2010, any NFL underdog (Jets) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off a division loss by 7 points or fewer during its previous contest, versus a winless opponent (Browns), resulted in all 8 of those games going over the total. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 54.1 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 18 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Falcons 8:15 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Falcons +2.0 (5*) The Falcons are coming off a dismal performance in last week’s season opening 28-12 loss at Minnesota. After last year’s very disappointing campaign, Atlanta can ill afford to start 0-2 from a confidence standpoint. Philadelphia overcame a 17-0 deficit at home last week to defeat Washington 32-27 but failed to cover as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. Although it’s very early, urgency and desperation should clearly be in favor of Atlanta in their home opener. Additionally, the Eagles allowed an alarmingly high 370 yards passing last week. That’s concerning when considering they’ll be facing an all-pro caliber quarterback in Matt Ryan and a terrific group of Falcons receivers on Sunday night. Bet on the Falcons plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos OVER 40 | 16-14 | Loss | -109 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
Bears @ Broncos 4:25 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: Over 40.0 (5*) Dating back to last season, Chicago has gone under 6 times in a row while Denver has done the same during their previous 10 games. As a result, at the time of this writing 77% of betting tickets have been placed on the under in this contest. It’s rarely that easy folks. The Bears opened their season with a 10-3 home loss to Green Bay in the annual Thursday NFL opening game of the season. Conversely, Denver fell 24-16 at Oakland last Monday. Any NFL game involving a team that played their previous game on Monday (Broncos), and they’re facing an opponent (Bears) coming off a Thursday contest, resulted in those games going 26-3 (89.7%) over the total since 1992. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders +7.5 | 28-10 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 9 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Raiders +7.5 (5*) The Chiefs are coming off a season opening 40-26 win at Jacksonville last Sunday while easily covering as a 3.0-point favorite. Now they’re installed as an away favorite again this week which creates a rare betting situation siding with the home underdog. Any NFL away favorite playing in their second game of the season, and they covered their opening contest as an away favorite, has gone 0-4 ATS since 1986. Furthermore, those road chalks lost 3 of those 4 contests straight up. Additionally, NFL away teams playing in game 2 of their season and they opened on the road have gone a dismal 2-14 straight up and 1-15 ATS since 2015. Oakland is coming off an impressive 24-16 home win over Denver this past Monday night and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. Their improved speed on defense was apparent while allowing Denver’s only touchdown with just 2:08 left to play. Derek Carr was brilliant in the win while going 22-26 for 259 yards passing. Moreover, rookie running back Josh Jacobs out of Alabama ran for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns in his NFL debut against a stout Denver defense. They’ll be facing a Kansas City defense that was torched by a rookie quarterback last week. The Chiefs stop unit continues to be a lingering issue and ultimately cost them a trip to the Super Bowl last season. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Jaguars v. Texans -8 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 11 m | Show |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Texans -8.0 (10*) Jacksonville took a huge hit for their chances of contending for a playoff spot this season after their prized offseason acquisition Nick Foles suffered a broken clavicle. Their chances now ride on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew out of Washington State. Minshew was impressive in relief last week while going 22-25 passing for 275 yards during a 40-26 home loss to Kansas City. However, the Texans will have ample time to prepare for Minshew in addition to tape on him while the Chiefs didn’t have that luxury. Houston lost a heartbreaker 30-28 at New Orleans last week with the winning points coming via a 58-yard field goal as time expired. I look for a huge effort out of the Texans in their season opener. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or more that’s coming off an away straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 8.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contents came by a massive average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State +9.5 v. Western Michigan | 10-57 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Georgia State @ Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 177-178 Play On: Georgia State +9.5 (5*) Western Michigan turned in a dismal performance last week during a 51-17 loss at Michigan State while not coming close to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. They surrendered an alarmingly high 582 yards of total offense to the Spartans who failed to reach 300 yards in their season opening win over Tulsa. It’s apparent in year 3 of the Tim Lester era, he’s not close to the master recruiter that former head coach P.J. Fleck (Minnesota) is and was, and the steady decline of talent has been obvious. Georgia State opened their season with a 38-30 massive upset win at Tennessee as a 24.0-point underdog. As to be expected, they were flat during last week’s 48-42 home win against Furman in a game they failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. On a positive note, they rallied from a 20-3 first half deficit in that contest and displayed plenty of character while doing so. With their 2-0 start, the Panthers have already equaled its win total from a season ago. Any college football away underdog of +1.5 to +13.5 that’s coming off a non-conference home win in which they scored 45 points or more but failed to cover, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2011. Those road dogs also won 11 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | Memphis v. South Alabama +19 | 42-6 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Memphis @ South Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: South Alabama +19.0 (5*) Memphis opened their season with an emotional 16-10 home win over Ole Miss. They followed that up with last week’s 55-24 home win over Southern University who plays at the FCS level. Now they go on the road for a first time this season and are laying a substantial number to boot. Keep in mind, up next for Memphis is their conference opener at home versus Navy, and they’ll be out to revenge last year’s 22-21 upset loss at Annapolis. This appears to be a potential flat spot and trap game for the Tigers. South Alabama deserved a better fate during its season opening 35-21 road loss at Nebraska. The Cornhuskers scored 2 touchdowns via interception returns and another on a punt return. South Alabama held a formidable Nebraska offense to just 276 yards in that loss. The won their home opener last Saturday over Jackson State by a score of 37-14 and held them to a mere 265 yards of total offense. The Jaguars will also be out to avenge last season’s 52-35 loss at Memphis while covering comfortably as a 31.5-point underdog. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -3 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Wake Forest 6:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Wake Forest -3.0 (5*) North Carolina a dismal 1-9 in their last 10 and 0-7 during its previous 7 conference road games. Dating back to last season, Wake Forest enters this week with a modest 4-game winning streak. Wake Forest is coming off last week’s 41-21 win at Rice. North Carolina has opened the season with 2 consecutive straight up wins as an underdog, and the last of which came over ACC rival Miami. These results set up an extremely strong college football ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any conference home favorite of -2.0 to -31.0 that’s coming off a road win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more win in a row, and they’re last victory came as a conference home underdog by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those conference home favorites going 28-3 ATS (90.3%) since 1981. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 55 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Panthers 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 49.5 (5*) Since 2016, these NFC South Division rivals have seen 5 of their 6 meetings go under the total. Furthermore, if there was a total of 53.0 or less, all 5 contests stayed under with a combined 33.2 points scored per game. Additionally, Carolina has witnessed 7 of their previous 8 division home games go under when the number was 54.0 or less, and there was a combined average of 37.8 points scored per contest. Tampa Bay is coming off a 31-17 home loss to San Francisco in a game in which they were a 1.0-point favorite. The 48 points scored were extremely deceiving. Both teams had less than 300 yards of total offense. There were 3 interception returns for touchdowns with the 49ers accounting for 2 and Tampa Bay the other. Carolina held the Rams explosive offense to just 349 yards in their season opening 30-27 loss at home. The Panthers were plagued by 3 turnovers which directly led to their demise. Any NFL team (Tampa Bay) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more has gone 47-19 (71.2%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Raiders 10:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) I’m not sold on quarterback Joe Flacco and I’m not on the bandwagon that predicts Denver’s offense will dramatically improve because of him. He lost his starting job to rookie Lamar Jackson in Baltimore a season ago and for good reason. Denver has gone 1-8 during its last 9 division away games and scored 23 points or fewer in each of those contests. Each of their 3 division road games last season stayed under the total. One thing I am sold on in respect to Denver is their defense. The Raiders offense will be average at best this season and will hard pressed to move the ball with any consistency tonight. Denver went under in all 12 games last season when there was a total of 43.0 or greater. Besides that compelling statistic, the Broncos went under in their last 9 games in 2019 regardless of the total. The Last 5 meetings between these AFC West rivals have all gone under the total, and there was a combined average of only 34.2 points scored per game. The average total during those 5 contests was 42.2. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Texans @ Saints 7:10 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Texans +7.5 (5*) You may be surprised to know that New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in season openers since 2014. Furthermore, they’ve gone 0-4 SU&ATS during their last 4 home openers and lost by an average of 8.0-points per game. All those contests came under the guidance of current head coach Sean Peyton. The Saints were also a favorite in each of those contests. New Orleans was a favorite in all 9 of their home games last season and went just 3-6 ATS in those contests, and that includes 1-5 ATS when they were -6.5 to -10.0. Houston began last season by losing their first 3 games, and then went on to finish regular season action by winning 11 of its next 13. Both teams won their division titles a season ago with Houston finishing regular season action at 11-5 and New Orleans was 13-3. Since 2008, any NFL away underdog of 5.5 to 9.5 that’s playing in their opening game and won 11 games or more the year before, versus an opponent that won 11 or more regular season contests the season before, resulted in those away underdogs going 6-0 ATS. The underdogs also won 3 of those 6 games straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 14 m | Show |
Steelers @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Patriots -5.5 (5*) Betting against the Patriots at home during the past 4 seasons has been a recipe for claiming bankruptcy. New England has gone an extremely profitable 26-9-3 ATS in Foxboro since 2015, and that includes an even better 12-2 ATS (83%) when they closed as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New England has also had the Steelers number in recent seasons. Specifically, since 2013, the Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 head to head meetings versus Pittsburgh, and they also went 4-1-1 ATS in those contests. Those results include New England going 3-0 at Gillette Stadiums while winning by a decisive average of 16.7 points per contest. Counting the postseason, New England went 14-5 a season ago. Conversely, Pittsburgh went 9-7 and didn’t qualify for postseason actions. Those 2 records sets up a successful NFL season opener betting angle listed below. Any NFL team (New England) playing in their season opener that’s a home favorite of 7.5 or less, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that won 12 games or fewer during the previous year, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 11-0 ATS since 2005. The average victory margin in those 11 contests was 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -3.5 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 72 h 0 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Vikings -3.5 (5*) Atlanta is a dismal 1-5 ATS during its last 6 games as an underdog of 2.0 or more. The Vikings have been very profitable at home in recent years by going 27-10 SU&ATS in their last 37 at Minnesota, and that includes 11-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 4.5 or less. They won those 11 home contests by a comfortable average margin of 10.4 points per game. Furthermore, the Vikings are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 home openers. Lastly, since 2014, Minnesota is 10-0 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 4.5 or fewer and won by an average of 11.4 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars OVER 51.5 | 40-26 | Win | 100 | 72 h 59 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Over 51.5 (5*) The Chiefs offense remains virtually intact from the explosive unit they were a season ago. Kansas scored 30 points or more in 14 of 18 games last season, and their lowest scoring output came during a 26-14 home win over Arizona. Furthermore, Kansas City saw 7 of their 8 road contests go over the total, and there was a combined average of 72.9 points scored per game. On a negative note, Kansas City allowed 34.6 points per away game. I don’t see them being vastly improved on that side of the ball. Jacksonville has endured their fair share of struggles offensively in recent years with former quarterback Blake Bortles as their starter. Nevertheless, they go into this season with a significant upgrade at that position after Nick Foles came over in an offseason trade from Philadelphia. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
Rams @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Panthers +3.0 (5*) The defending NFC champion Rams will enter this season with a target on their heads. They will certainly be in tough as a small road favorite against a very good Carolina team. Panthers head coach knows how to get the most out of players in home openers which is evidenced by Carolina going 5-0 straight up and 4-0-1 ATS during the past 5 seasons. As a matter of fact, the Carolina defense allowed 8 points or fewer during 3 of those last 5 home openers while allowing an average of just 12.4 points per game in those contests. Additionally, Carolina is 8-2 straight up and 7-2-1 ATS during their first 2 games of the season since 2014, and all those contests were played with current head coach Ron Rivera in charge. Bet on the Panthers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | Western Michigan +16.5 v. Michigan State | 17-51 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Michigan @ Michigan State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Western Michigan +16.5 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a listless 28-7 home win over Tulsa in their season opener and failed to cover as a 22.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Spartans have now gone a dismal 0-5 ATS as a home favorite. Their defense certainly has held up its end of the bargain and did so once again in their season opener. However, the offense continues to struggle as they amassed just 303 yards gained against Tulsa. They’ll be facing a Western Michigan defense that returns 10 starters from a season ago. This looks like a trap game for the home favorite. The Spartans will host Arizona State in their next game. They will be playing with revenge after suffering an upset loss at Arizona State last year. After that it’s their Big 10 schedule for the rest of 2019. Michigan State has gone just 14-8 over its previous 22 games. Western Michigan is coming off a 48-13 win over Monmouth and they covered as a 26.5-point home favorite against their FCS opponent. Any college football non-conference away underdog of 4.5 or greater (Western Michigan) that’s coming off a home favorite of -15.5 or more ATS win, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that’s coming off a straight up win, and they’ve won 8 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-0 ATS since 1988. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 55.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
LSU @ Texas 7:30 PM ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Both starting quarterbacks are coming off impressive performances during their team’s season opener last Saturday. Joe Burrow of LSU was extremely sharp while completing 23 of 27 pass attempts for 278 yards and 5 touchdowns in a 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Burrow exited the game early because of the Tigers huge lead. He gave way to backup Myles Brennan who threw for an additional 72 yards on 12 pass attempts. It’s quite apparent the Tigers switching to a fast tempo spread offense has paid early dividends. The LSU defense was dominant against a one-dimensional Georgia Southern offense that relies heavily on its triple option rushing attack that ran the ball on 39 of their 43 offensive plays from scrimmage. That won’t be the case when facing Texas on Saturday. Texas is coming off a 45-14 rout of Louisiana Tech. The Longhorns star quarterback Sam Ehlinger was 28-38 for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns. Like Burrows, he was pulled from the game early because of the lopsided score and airing on the side of caution to prevent possible injury. Texas also runs an up-tempo spread offense that ran 73 offensive plays in last week’s victory. On a negative note, the Longhorns defense allowed 340 yards passing to Louisiana Tech. The accelerated pace of this game will lead to much better than average offensive possessions for both teams. We should see somewhere between a combined 150 to 160 offensive plays run in this contest. Both quarterbacks are capable of amassing huge passing yards. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska v. Colorado +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Colorado 3:30 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Colorado +4.5 (5*) Nebraska hardly looked like a Top 25 team during their season opening 35-21 home win over South Alabama. The Cornhuskers didn’t come close to covering as a 35.0-point favorite. They only scored 2 offensive touchdowns in that victory and amassed only 276 yards of total offense. Dating back to 2017, Nebraska has lost 7 straight on the road and allowed an average of 45.4 points per game while doing so. Colorado is coming off a season opening 52-31 win over Colorado State and easily covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Buffaloes have a solid senior quarterback in Steven Montez. Any college football non-conference home underdog of 5.0 or less (Colorado) that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nebraska) that’s coming off a straight up win by 5 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 22-7-1 ATS since 1982. Those home dogs also won 20 of those 30 contests straight up. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri -13 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
tWest Virginia @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Missouri -13.0 (5*) West Virginia narrowly escaped with a 20-13 win against James Madison. I expect this inexperienced Mountaineers team to suffer through some early growing pains with former Troy head coach Neal Brown in his 1st year in Morgantown. Since 2015, West Virginia is 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and lost all 6 contests straight up by a decisive average of 22.7 points per game. Missouri is coming off a 37-31 upset loss in their season opener at Wyoming and did so as a sizable 15.5-point favorite. Since 10/21/2017, Missouri has gone 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 9.0 or more and won all 7 games straight up by a substantial average of 31.2 points per contest. I look for former Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant to have a huge game for the Tigers. Any college football non-conference double-digit home favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 37 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a massive 39.6 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-06-19 | Marshall +11 v. Boise State | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
Marshall @ Boise State 9:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Marshall +11.0 (5*) Since 10/24/2015, Boise State has gone a lousy 5-15-1 ATS as a home favorite, and that includes 0-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 to 17.0-points. The Broncos are coming off a stirring 36-31 upset win at Florida State last Saturday in which they overcame a 31-13 deficit. Now they return home on short rest to face a very respectable Marshall team that has no problems in their season opener last week during a 56-17 home win against overmatched VMI. I firmly believe Boise State will suffer some type of emotional letdown from last week’s huge comeback win on the road. Marshall is a good enough team to stay inside this current point-spread with all being considered. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears -3 | 10-3 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 28 m | Show | |
Packers @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Bears -3.0 (5*) Since 12/17/2017, Green Bay has gone 1-9 straight up on the road, including 0-7 SU and 0-6-1 ATS as an underdog of 7.0 or less. Since 2017, the Packers are a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS during division away games which includes 0-3 SU&ATS last year. Chicago went 7-1 SU&ATS at home during last year’s regular season schedule. Their only loss at Soldier Field came against eventual Super Bowl champion New England by a score of 38-31. As a matter of fact, they were a perfect 6-0 ATS as a regular season favorite and they won by a decisive average of 13.8 points per game. Since the beginning of the 2005 NFL season, opening game Thursday night home favorites of 7.5 or less have gone 9-1 ATS and 10-0 SU while winning by an average of 12.8 points per game. Bet on the Bears minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville | 35-17 | Push | 0 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 217-218 Play On: Notre Dame -18.0 (5*) Louisville finished last season by going 0-7 SU&ATS while losing by an average of 34.3 points per game. During that futile 7-game stretch, they allowed an enormous 57.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since 2016, the Cardinals are 0-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog and lost by an average of 38.8 points per game. Former Appalachian head coach takes over the reigns at Louisville. I think he’s an excellent hire, but it will take time for him to turn things around at a program which has gone 8-22 during its last 22 games. He’ll have the unenviable task of facing a Top 10 team in his head coaching debut at Louisville. Notre Dame returns 13 starters from a team that went 12-1 a season ago. Their lone loss came in the College Football Playoffs semifinal game to eventual national champion Clemson. Since 2017, the Irish went 5-1 ATS as an away favorite of 6.0 or greater and won each of those contests straight up by an average of 20.0 points per game. Since 1992, any college football away favorite of 7.0 or greater (Notre Dame) that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Louisville) who’s won 6 or more of their previous 22 contests, resulted in those away favorites going 5-0 ATS. Those 5 road chalks won by an average of 35.4 points per game. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | Oregon +4 v. Auburn | 21-27 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Auburn 7:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Oregon +4.0 (5*) Auburn’s true freshmen starting quarterback Bo Nix has drawn comparisons to former Texas A&M Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel. Before we get carried away, let’s see how he fares against an Oregon defense that possesses a ton of talent and has a chance of being very good. By the way, Oregon signal caller is senior Justin Herbert is projected to be the first quarterback taken in the 2020 NFL draft. He may have even been a first round choice this year if he had forgone his senior season. Herbert will be protected by one of the best offensive lines in the country. He’ll also have the luxury of a gifted group of wide receivers. This has all the makings of a game that goes down to the wire. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Oregon win straight up, but I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | 30-14 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Pittsburgh +3.0 (5*) Virginia seems to be the popular pick to win the ACC Coastal Division. Now they open the season as a road favorite against the defending Coastal Division champion Pitt Panthers. Pitt finished last year by going a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games. On the other hand, Virginia is an abysmal 5-31 SU on the road since 2012, and that includes 1-8 SU since current head coach Bronco Mendenhall took over in 2017. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | SMU v. Arkansas State -2.5 | 37-30 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
SMU @ Arkansas State 7:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Arkansas State -2.5 (5*) With this small of a point spread, picking the straight up winner is nearly as import as covering the spread. As a matter of fact, college football teams that were +2.5 to -.2.5 that won the game straight up have gone 2636-76 ATS (97.2%) since 1980. Furthermore, this is a SMU football program which has gone 1-33 SU as a non-conference away under since 1997. Additionally, the Mustangs are 0-11 SU&ATS as a non-conference away underdog of 9.5 or less since 2014 while losing by 22.7 points per game. Conversely, Arkansas State is 39-8 at home since 2012. Additionally, during that exact time frame, the Red Wolves went 16-1 SU and 14-2 ATS as a home favorite of 2.0 to 14.0-points. Bet on Arkansas State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa v. Michigan State UNDER 48 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Tulsa @ Michigan State 7:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 48.0 (5*) Both teams return 8 starters on defense. Tulsa went a dismal 3-9 a season ago but they allowed fewer than 30 points 8 times. The Golden Hurricane has gone under in 10 of its last 13 as an underdog and 7 of their previous 9 away games. Tulsa average just 19.0 point scored per game in 6 road contests in 2018, and they’re about to face a defensive powerhouse on Friday. Michigan State’s offense was terrific a season ago and figures to be even better in 2019. Their offense returns 9 starters from a unit that was anemic last year. The Spartans have scored 19 points or fewer in 8 of their last 12 home games. Michigan State also finished 2018 by going under in 8 straight and those contests averaged only a combined 26.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-29-19 | Florida International v. Tulane -2.5 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
FIU @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Tulane -2.5 (5*) FIU went 9-4 last season under head coach Butch Davis and they return 16 starters. However, they faced only 3 teams that finished with a winning record. As a matter of fact, their 2018 regular season opponents finished with a dismal 53-82 (.393) record. Will Fritz is set to begin his 4th season as head coach at Tulane. The Green Wave have improved in every year with Fritz in charge. They started 2-5 a season ago and finished by winning 5 of its last 6 games to finish 7-6 which included a 41-24 bowl win over UL-Lafayette. It marked just a 2nd time in 14 seasons that Tulane finished with a winning record. Any home favorite of 7.0 or less that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 7 or more games during the year before, versus an opponent that won 9 games more fewer in the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 14-2 ATS (87.5%) since 2010. Bet on Tulane minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL +7.5 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Miami Fla. 7:00 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Miami Fla. +7.5 (5*) Miami has gone 14-1 in their last 15 home games. They’re also 16-0 straight up and 12-4 ATS in their previous 16 non-conference home games. The Hurricanes have also gone 31-2 in their last 33 home openers and that includes winning its last 12 home debuts. Miami has gone 22-6 straight up in their last 28 at home. Any college football home underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s won 22 or more of its last 28 at home and they’re playing in their season opener has gone 7-0 ATS since 2008. Those underdogs also won 6 of those 7 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Patriots vs. Rams 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Rams +3.0 (10*) New England has unequivocally more postseason experience let alone Super Bowl experience than the Rams do. However, I firmly believe the Rams are the more talented team on both sides of the ball, and that will trump all on Sunday. It’s also worth noting, since last season’s Super Bowl, New England has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS as a favorite of 2.0 to 9.0-points when not playing at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. New England was outscored in those 5 contests by an average of 11.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 105 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Chiefs 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Patriots +3.0 (5*) Bill Belichick is one win away from his 11th Super Bowl as head coach of the New England Patriots. Andy Reid’s postseason record as head coach in Philadelphia and Kansas City is a mediocre12-13. Only one of Reid’s team has advanced to the Super Bowl and that was Philadelphia who was ironically enough beaten by Bill Belichick and the Patriots. Tom Brady is going to be a first ballot Hall of Fame inductee. His quarterbacking adversary will be 2nd year pro Patrick Mahomes who’s enjoyed a terrific season. Nevertheless, Brady’s big game experience clearly gives New England the edge in that department. Despite last week’s Divisional Round win over Indianapolis, Kansas City is 2-11 in their last 13 postseason games and that includes 1-5 at home. Conversely, New England is an outstanding 28-9 in postseason games under Bill Belichick. Bet on New England plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Rams @ Saints 3:05 PM ET Game#311-312 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off last week’s Divisional Round 30-22 home win over Dallas. The Rams covered their closing point-spread line of -7.0. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0-points or fewer (Saints) that’s facing an opponent (Rams) m coming off a playoff game in which they covered as a home favorite by 6.5-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-1 ATS (91.7%) since 1988. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Cowboys +8.5 (5*) Despite Rams management spending an enormous amount of money on their defense, they still allowed a lofty 24.0 points per game during its regular season slate. As a matter of fact, the Rams have allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 4 home games. The Rams have also gone 1-5-2 ATS during this NFL campaign versus opponents that finished their regular season slate with a winning record. During the past 3 seasons, Dallas has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in away games against teams that were allowing 24.0 or more points per game. The Cowboys are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or more, and they won 10 of those 19 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
Colts @ Chiefs 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Colts +5.5 (5*) Kansas City has gone an abysmal 1-11 SU&ATS in their last 12 playoff games and that includes 0-5 SU&ATS when playing at home. There’s no denying how explosive the Chiefs offense has been this season. However, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Chiefs are allowing 26.3 points and 405.5 yards per game this season. Furthermore, over their last 5 games, they’ve allowed an alarming 167.8 yards rushing per contest. That’s especially concerning considering the Colts have run for 146.3 yards per contest throughout their previous 4 games. Sometimes the best defense is a clock controlling offense that can run successfully and limit the opposition’s offensive possessions. Additionally, the Colts are a red-hot 10-1 in their last 11 games and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS versus teams that finished regular season action with a winning record. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Clemson +6.0 (5*) Clemson has outgained their opponents on the ground this season by a decisive average of 164 yards per game. Since 2014, any college football underdog that’s playing on a neutral field (Clemson), and they’re rushing for 100 yards or more per game than their opponents for the season, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 35-10 ATS (77.8%). The average point-spread during those 45 games was 6.1. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager. I think Clemson’s top ranked defense will be the deciding difference in this game. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Clemson get the outright upset, but I won’t get greedy and will gladly take the points. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 58.0 (10*) Both defenses are capable of dominating games. Clemson has allowed a mere 12.9 points per game which is tops in the country. Conversely, Alabama is giving up only 16.2 points per contest which ranks 5th nationally. Since the start of last season, Clemson has gone 8-1 under the total when facing opponents with a win percentage of .750 or better. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 43.9 points scored per game. Since taking over as head coach at Alabama, Nick Saban’s teams have gone 32-17 (65.3%) under the total against teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. By the way, Clemson is averaging 257 yards rushing per game this season. Relative to the current total of 57.5, I look for this game to be a lower scoring affair. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -103 | 52 h 30 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Bears 4:40 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Bears -6.5 (5*) Chicago has been money as a home favorite this season which is evidenced by them going 6-0 SU&ATS when cast into that specific role. The Bears are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and 9-1 SU&ATS during their previous 10 games overall. The Bears have forced an enormous 36 turnovers this season. That’s not good news for an Eagles team which had a turnover differential of -7 during regular season action. Furthermore, Chicago sacked opposing quarterbacks 50 times this season which was 2nd most in the NFL. On the other hand, the Eagles permitted their quarterbacks to get sacked 40 times during their regular season slate. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 57 m | Show |
Chargers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Baltimore -2.5 (10*) Baltimore is #2 in rushing offense and #1 in total defense in the NFL. When it comes to playoff football, that’s unequivocally a recipe for success. The Ravens have won their last 4 at home and 6 of their last 7 overall. They also dominated the Chargers in a Week 16 road win in which they held a potent Los Angeles offense to less than 200 yards. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 43 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 43.0 (10*) Seattle saw their last 3 regular season games all go over the total. They also went over their total during their previous 3 road games and there were a combined 57.7 points scored per contest. The Seahawks have scored 20 points or more in 14 of 16 games this season and have allowed 24 or more during 5 of its 7 true road games. Since 2015, Dallas has gone 8-2 over at home when the total was 42.0 to 45.0. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-19 | Colts +1 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
Colts @ Texans 4:35 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Colts +1.0 (5*) This is a red-hot Colts team which has won 4 straight and 8 of its last 9 games. Indy is outgaining its opponents this season by 45.8 yards per game. The Colts offense has collected 402 and 436 yards of total offense during their last 2 regular season games. The Houston Texans team that despite their stellar 11-5 record is only outgaining their opponents by an average of 19.5 yards per game. Since 2016, Houston is a dismal 1-8 ATS after game 8 when facing an opponent with a winning record and has been outscored by a decisive 13.3 points per game. Any NFL team (Colts) that’s playing after game 7 and they’re outgaining the opposition by 40 to 100 yards per game, and they’ve amassed 375 yards or more of total offense during each of their previous 2 contests, versus an opponent (Texans) that possesses a yard per game differential of +40 to -40, resulted in those teams going 42-6 (87.5%) straight up since 2014, and that includes a perfect 9-0 this season. Considering this NFL straight up betting angle favors the underdog in this contest, the results take on even more significant betting value. Bet on the Colts for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-19 | Texas +12.5 v. Georgia | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Texas +12.5 (5*) Texas put together a 9-3 regular season with their 3 defeats coming by a combined 9 points. The Longhorns did fall to Oklahoma 39-27 in the Big 12 Championship Game in a contest that was much closer than the final score indicates. Georgia is coming off a bitter disappointment from a 35-28 loss to #1 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game during a contest they squandered a 14-point lead. Then was snubbed by the college football playoff committee thus resulting in a New Year’s 6 Bowl Game appearance. During my experience as a professional sports handicapper that spans close to 2 decades, teams like Georgia are flat more times than not after enduring such disappointment leading into a bowl game. Bet on Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Washington vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Washington +7.5 (10*) Washington was one of my 4 predictions to make the college football playoffs before the season began. Obviously, they fell short in that regard. However, this is an experienced Huskies team with an imposing defense which allowed just 15.5 points and 301.8 yards per game on their way to a 10-3 season and PAC-12 title. Conversely, Ohio State’s defense is a major concern and that was especially evident late in the year. The Buckeyes allowed 38.0 points and 451.3 yards per game during its last 3 contests against Maryland, Michigan, and Northwestern. The also gave up 49 points and 539 yards to Purdue during their lone loss of the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky +7 v. Penn State | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Kentucky vs. Penn State 1:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Kentucky +7.0 (5*) Penn State is 9-3 but doesn’t have a single win against a team that’s currently ranked in the top 25. Conversely, Kentucky has beaten #10 Florida, #23 Missouri, and #18 Mississippi State while 2 of those wins came on the road. Additionally, they lost in overtime at #19 Texas A&M. Kentucky’s offensive strength is running the ball as evidence by them churning out 201 yards rushing per game. The #14 Wildcats have ran the ball on 64% of their offensive plays this season. That’s concerning for Penn State’s defense considering that they’ve permitted 6 opponents to run for 188 yards or more this season. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | 40-32 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
LSU vs. Central Florida 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Pick: Central Florida +7.5 (5*) For starters, Central Florida has won 25 straight games and they’re also an extremely profitable 17-8 (68%) ATS during those contests. Yet, despite being currently ranked #8 by the college football playoff committee, they’ve never really been seriously considered to be part of that 4-team gala. Last year while playing with a monumental chip on their shoulder, the Golden Knights knocked off Auburn 34-27 in a New Year’s Day bowl game and did so as a 10.5-point underdog. On a positive note, LSU had a successful 9-3 regular season campaign and was rewarded with a New Year’s Day bowl game invite. On the down side, I’m not sure how motivated the #11 Tigers will be to play against a team from outside the Power 5 Conferences. My educated guess is very little. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -6.5 | 27-22 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Iowa vs. Mississippi State 12:00 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (5*) Despite Iowa putting up impressive offensive numbers in their last few games, they’re very limited on how they can attack opposing defenses. They rely heavily on their power running games and their best receivers are both tight ends. Furthermore, Iowa has struggled offensively this season against “Power 5 Conference” teams that currently have a winning record. This will unequivocally be the best defense that Iowa has faced all season long. Mississippi State has allowed only 12.0 points and 268.4 yards per game. As a matter of fact, the Bulldogs have allowed 13 points or fewer in 9 of their 12 games this season. The only 4 losses that Mississippi State has suffered this season have come against #1 Alabama, #10 Florida, #11 LSU, and #14 Kentucky. At the time of this writing, those 4 teams have combined to go 42-9 (.824) this season. Moreover, since the start of last season, Mississippi State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 34.5 or less when facing non-conference opponents, and they won by an average of 36.8 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-18 | Northwestern v. Utah -6.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Northwestern vs. Utah 7:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Utah -6.5 (5*) Both teams will be missing key personnel due to injuries. However, I just can’t ignore the fact that Utah has won 13 straight bowl game appearances and went an extremely profitable 10-3 ATS during those contests. Additionally, Utah has won 23 straight games against non-conference opponents and covered in 17 of those 23 contests. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-18 | Pittsburgh v. Stanford -4 | 13-14 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh vs. Stanford 2:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Stanford -4.0 (5*) This will be the 4th consecutive year that Pittsburgh has reached a bowl game. The Panthers have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in the prior 3. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU&ATS since 2003 when playing in a bowl game against a “power 5 Conference” opponent. They also have dropped their last 2 games of this season to Miami and Clemson while be outscored by a combined 66-13. Stanford closed their regular season slate with 2 straight wins and outscored their opposition by 16.0 points per contest. The Cardinal enter this Sun Bowl matchup with an 8-4 record. Their only 4 losses came against Notre Dame (12-1), Washington State (11-2), Washington (10-3), and Utah (9-4). Those 4 teams have combined to go 42-10 (.808) this season. Bet on Stanford minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Cincinnati -5.5 (10*) Cincinnati has averaged 238 yards rushing per game on their way to an impressive 10-2 regular season campaign. That’s not good news for a Virginia Tech defense that’s surrendering an alarming 206 yards rushing per game this season. ASA a matter of fact, since 2016, Virginia Tech is a dismal 0-7 ATS when facing an opponent that’s averaging 230 or more rushing yards per game and they were outscored by 12.6 points per contest. Cincinnati finished their regular season slate with a 56-6 blowout win over East Carolina. The Bearcats average an enormous 8.2 yards per offensive play during that victory. Cincinnati is averaging 458.2 yards of total offense per game. They’ll be facing a Virginia Tech defense which has allowed 436.7 yards per game during regular season action. The combination of all the previously mentioned statistical data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Cincinnati) that averages 440 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’re coming off a game in which they averaged 6.75 yards or more per offensive play, versus an opponent (Virginia Tech) which is allowing 390 to 440 yards per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-8 ATS (80.5%) since 2009. The average point-spread was -7.9 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 15.0 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Tennessee 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Tennessee +3.5 (10*) The uncertain status of Tennessee starting quarterback Marcus Mariota has already been factored into the current point-spread. Tennessee enters this final week of regular season action on a 4-game winning streak and with their playoff hopes on the line. Tennessee has gone an outstanding 16-3 during its previous 19 home games and that includes a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS (+10.7 PPG) when facing a fellow AFC South team. Conversely, the Colts are a dismal 4-12 in their last 16 away games which hardly bodes well for a road favorite of better than a field goal. Any NFL regular season home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s playing after game 6 and is coming off 4 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent (Colts) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 1981, and they won 13 of those contests straight up. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-18 | Chargers v. Broncos +7 | 23-9 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Denver 4:25 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Denver +7.0 (5*) Denver is coming off last Monday night’s 27-14 loss at Oakland in a game in which they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. The Broncos enter this regular season finale having gone 19-13 in their previous 32 home games. Since 2015, Denver has gone a money-making 8-3 ATS as a home underdog and won 7 of those 11 contests straight up. They also upset the Chargers 23-22 earlier this season as a 7.0-point road underdog. Denver is also won their last 5 home games against the Chargers. Any home underdog that’s playing in their final regular season home game and is coming off a loss by 10 points or more in which they failed to cover by 15.5 or more, and they’ve won 15 or more of its last 32 home games, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-1 ATS (93.7%) since 1988. The home underdogs also won 12 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-18 | Browns +7 v. Ravens | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Baltimore 4:25 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (5*) Baltimore is coming off a huge effort during last weeks 22-10 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers. I just haven’t seen enough consistency from the Ravens this season to believe they can duplicate that impressive of a performance in consecutive weeks. Cleveland has a chance to finish with a winning season and it comes on the heels of going a combined 1-31 in the prior 2 campaigns. The Browns have won 3 straight and 5 of its last 6. Cleveland is 7-7-1 but were a few plays from being 10-5 or 11-4. Lastly, Cleveland is a +9 in the turnover department head into the final week of regular season action while Baltimore is -5. That’s certainly lays a foundational base for home underdog betting value. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -126 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Washington 4:25 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Washington +7.5 (5*) Philadelphia kept their playoff hopes alive last Sunday with a thrilling 32-30 home win over Houston. However, since 12/15/2013, the Eagles are 1-9 ATS as an away favorite following a straight up win. As a matter of fact, Philadelphia is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall following a win and lost 5 of those contests straight up. Furthermore, the Eagles are a poor 2-7 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.0-points or more. Conversely, since 9/20/2015, Washington is 11-4 ATS as a home underdog and won 10 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 58 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Clemson 4:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Under 58.0 (5*) This game has all the signs of a low scoring affair in relation to the total. Notre Dame has allowed 27 points or less in each of their games this year on the way to a perfect 12-0 undefeated regular season record. Notre Dame has outscored their 2018 opponents by an average of 16.5 points per game. Conversely, Clemson has allowed 10 points or fewer in 8 of their 13 games this season. Clemson has gone 8-0 under the total during the past 2 seasons when facing a team which is outscoring their opponents by an average of 10.0 or more points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-18 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 41-15 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Under 51.0 (10*) Any neutral field team with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s playing after game 6 of their season and they’ve won 3 of its last 4 games, versus an opponent (Michigan) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 34-7 (82.9%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 41 contests was 52.9 and there were a combined 42.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-28-18 | Iowa State v. Washington State -2.5 | 26-28 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. Washington State 9:00 PM ET Game# 247-248 Play On: Washington State -2.5 (5*) I don’t like the way Iowa State finished the regular season. They narrowly escaped with a 4-point home win as a double-digit favorite against a Kansas State team that finished with a losing record. Then in their regular season finale they averted total disaster as a 40.0-point home favorite by scoring a late go-ahead touchdown to defeat an FCS team in Drake 27-24. Washington State is coming off a surprisingly successful 10-2 regular season campaign. Their only losses came at USC by 3 and in their regular season finale against 2018 PAC-12 champion Washington. The Cougars were an impressive 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in games played away from Pullman, Washington. Bet on Washington State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -3 v. West Virginia | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Syracuse vs. West Virginia 5:15 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Syracuse -3.0 (5*) Syracuse is coming off a huge turnaround season that saw them go 9-3. The Orange were a money making 8-4 ATS as well. Syracuse finished the season with a convincing 42-21 win at Boston College (7-5). The Orange have an impressive +14 turnover ratio heading into their bowl game. Speaking of bowl games, this will be Syracuse’s first such appearance since 2013 so it will be a team that will be very inspired. Since 2012, West Virginia has gone 1-4 in 5 bowl appearances and failed to cover on each occasion. Bet on Syracuse minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | 63-14 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Purdue vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: Purdue +3.5 (5*) Purdue began the season 0-3 and then went on to win 6 of its last 9 regular season games to finish at 6-6. The Boilermakers saw 4 of their 6 losses come by 4 points or less and they also handed #5 Ohio State their lone loss of the season. Furthermore, Purdue was 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season and won 2 of those contests straight up. They will be facing an Auburn team whose quarterbacks completed 60.4% of their passes this season. Purdue is 9-1 ATS the past 2 seasons when facing an opponent that has a pass completion rate of 58% or better and they outscored those teams by 11.2 points per game. Bet on Purdue plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt v. Baylor UNDER 55.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt vs. Baylor 9:00 PM ET Game# 239-240 Play On: Under 55.5 (5*) After being involved in many high scoring games during the first 2/3 of the regular season, Baylor has gone under the total in each of their last 4 contest, and there was a combined 48.0 points scored per outing. Conversely, Vanderbilt went under the total during 9 of its 12 regular season games, and that included 3-0 under (44.0 PPG) versus non-conference FBS teams. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple -3 | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
Duke vs. Temple 1:30 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Temple -3.0 (5*) Duke began the season 4-0 then went 3-5 to close out its regular season slate. Duke allowed 35 points or more during 4 of their last 5 games. The Blue Devils were an awful -11 turnover differential over their previous 9 games and that’s certainly not a winning formula. Temple lost their first 2 games and then preceded to go 8-2 over its last 10 regular season contests ands that includes winning each of their previous 3. During their current 3-game win streak they’ve averaged 47.7 points scored per game and had a combined +8 turnover differential. Bet on Temple minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver @ Oakland 8:15 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) Denver has seen each of their previous 7 games stay under the total. The broncos have also witnessed their last 4 games against Oakland all staying under and there was only a combined 32.5 points scored per contest. Denver is also 4-0 under this season when facing fellow AFC West teams. Since 2016, Oakland is 8-2 under the total during the final 4 weeks of regular season action, and that includes 5-0 under (36.0 PPG) when facing fellow AFC West teams. The Raiders are also 11-2 under in their last 13 division games and that includes 5-0 under when there’s a total of 45.0 or less. Since 2011, NFL Monday night division home underdogs playing after game 5 of the season and they possess a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those contests going 10-0 under the total. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 34.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Seahawks +2.5 (5*) I have huge issues with Kansas City’s defense and firmly believe it sets them up for another postseason disappointment. During the Chiefs 3 losses this season they have scored an average of 35.3 points per game, but they also allowed 42.0 points per contest during those defeats. Kansas City has also won 4 games this season while allowing 27 points or more. That’s not a recipe for success during this late part of the season when facing quality opposition. The Chiefs are coming off a gut wrenching 29-28 home loss to the Chargers last week. By the way, Kansas City is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as an away favorite of 10.0 or less following a straight up loss. Conversely, since 1/2/2011, Seattle is 7-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of between 2.0 and 5.0-points. Furthermore, the Seahawks have gone 18-2 straight up in their last 20 at home following a loss in their previous game. Bet on the Seahawks plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 53 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Saints 4:25 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Under 53.0 (5*) The high-powered Saints offense has stalled during their last 3 games. During that time, they averaged just 16.7 points and gained only 273.3 yards per game. On a positive note, the saints defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 6 games. Pittsburgh has gone under the total in each of their last 5 road games this season. Moreover, the Steelers are 18-1 under the total in its last 19 away games when facing non-division opponents, and if there was a total of 46.0 or greater in those contests it improved to 14-0 under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +5 | 14-9 | Push | 0 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Bears @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: 49ers +5.0 (5*) The Bears are coming off an emotional home win last week over their bitter rival the Green Bay Packers. They not only defeated Green Bay for the first time in 9 tries at Soldier Field, but it also clinched its first NFC North crown since 2010. My professional experience has led me to firmly believe that on most occasions teams in this situation suffer from a huge emotional letdown in their following game. Despite putting together an outstanding 2018 regular season campaign thus far, we can’t ignore the fact that since 2016, Chicago is 5-17 on the road. The 49ers will be playing in their 3rd home game in as many weeks. They’re coming off straight up underdog wins in their previous 2 games versus Denver and Seattle. Additionally, since Kyle Shanahan became the 49ers head coach in 2017, they’ve now gone a perfect 6-0 straight up during the last 4 weeks of regular season action. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 46.0 (10*) Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less. New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis -3 | 37-34 | Loss | -114 | 64 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis vs. Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET Game# 221-222 Play On: Memphis -3.0 (5*) Memphis star running back Darrell Henderson declared for the 2019 NFL Draft and in doing so will not play in this Bahamas Bowl Game. Granted, Henderson was a huge part of the success this explosive Memphis offense has had this season, but there’s still plenty of talent at the offensive skilled positions. After all, this is a Memphis team which is averaging a robust 43.6 points scored and 534.3 yards gained per game. They’ll be facing a porous Wake Forest defensive unit which is surrendering 33.2 points and 465.3 yards per game this season. Memphis went 8-5 this season and advanced to the American Athletic Conference Championship Game. They suffered 2 of their losses against #8 and undefeated Central Florida (12-0). Play on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida +3 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
Marshall vs South Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: South Florida +3.0 (10*) South Florida won their first 7 games and then when on to lose its last 5 regular season contests. Before jumping to conclusions, keep this in mind, any team entering a bowl game that lost 5 or more games in a row has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. By the way, all 4 of those contests occurred since 2011. The average margin of victory was 13.5 points per game. In the Bulls defense, the 5 losses were to Houston (8-4), Tulane (7-6), Cincinnati (10-2), Temple (8-4), and Central Florida (12-0). Those 5 teams are currently a combined 45-16 (.737) this season. This 2018 Gasparilla Bowl will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is South Florida’s home field. Moreover, teams playing in a bowl game on their home field have gone 21-12 straight up and 20-13 ATS since 1998. If those teams were an underdog and faced an opponent with a win percentage of .636 or better, they improved to 6-1 ATS and 5-2 straight up. Marshall enters this bowl game having finished 8-4 (.666) during regular season play. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
Ohio vs. San Diego State 8:00 PM ET Game# 213-214 Play On: Ohio -2.5 (5*) San Diego State started the season by winning 6 of their first 7 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 1-4 to finish their regular season schedule at 7-5. Additionally, all 6 of the Aztecs wins against FBS opponents this season have come by 8 points or less. They also sustained bad home losses to Eastern Michigan as a 10.0-point favorite and against UNLV (4-8) as a mammoth 24-point chalk. Despite not making it to the 2018 championship game, Ohio was arguably the best team in the MAC down the final stretch of regular season action. As a matter of fact, they were 7-2 in their final 9 games and the 2 losses came by a combined 5 points. They also easily defeated a very good 10-3 Buffalo team 52-17 in November. During their previous 6 games played, Ohio was a +13 in the turnover department, and they scored 49 points or more 5 times. Earlier this season they faced quality non-conference opponents in Cincinnati (10-2) and Virginia (7-5). They were very competitive on both occasions and their offense had no issues moving the ball on each occasion. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:15 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Carolina +7.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 28-14 road win over Tampa Bay in their previous game. That win improved the Saints season record to 11-2 (.846) and they’ve also gone 23-9 during their previous 32 games played. Carolina has gone 25-7 in their last 32 home games and that includes 10-1 during its previous 11. Since the start of last season, Carolina is 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Any NFL home underdog of 7.0-points or less that’s won 25 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .750 or better that’s coming off a win by 7 points or more, and they’ve won 24 or fewer of their previous 32 games played, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-1 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Those home underdogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -12.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Rams -12.5 (5*) Stick a fork in the defending world champion Eagles because they’re deflated and done after last week’s overtime loss at Dallas. Not to mention, the earlier week’s news of Carson Wentz being out for the season due to a back injury. Since 2016, Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 4.0-points or more when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or better. They lost those 4 contests by a decisive 16.3 points per game. The 11-2 (.846) Rams certainly qualify in that regard. Since the start of last season, the Rams are a perfect 3-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite and they won by a whopping 24.7 points per game. Any regular season double-digit home favorite (Rams) with a win percentage of .571 or better, coming off an away favorite of 2.0-points or more straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Eagles) with a losing record, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was a substantial 23.9 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Steelers 4:25 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Steelers +3.0 (5*) Pittsburgh is in a rare home underdog role. Since the turn of the century, the Steelers have been a home underdog on 18 separate occasions and have gone a very profitable 11-5-2 ATS in those games. Pittsburgh enters this week on a 3-game losing streak but those defeats occurred by a combined 13 points and that includes the previous 2 each coming by a narrow 3-point margin. Pittsburgh was 7-2-1 at one time and appeared to be a mortal lock to be in the playoffs. Now they find themselves in a desperate situation against the most domination NFL franchise over the past 20 years. On a positive note, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home this season but are a very beatable 3-4 during away games. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Vikings -7.5 Sometimes it’s better not to overthink a situation and to keep things simple. That’s exactly the case for me when handicapping this contest. Miami has gone an awful 1-0 in their last 11 road games dating back to last season, and they failed to cover on 9 of those 11 occasions. Furthermore, during that exact stretch of road futility, they were 0-6 SU&ATS as a road underdog of 8.0-points or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or worse. Currently, Minnesota is 6-6-1 (.500). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 16-1 ATS in their last 17 regular season games as a non-division home favorite of 11.0-points or fewer. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Packers @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Packers +6.0 (5*) Despite their disappointing 5-7-1 record, the Packers are very much alive in the race for the final NFC wild card berth. However, it all starts with them winning their final 3 regular season games. Considering their last 2 games come against the Jets and Lions, Sunday’s game at Chicago will be far and away their toughest challenge. Packers backers can be optimistic in knowing that their team has won each of their last 8 trips to Soldier Field in Chicago. They’ve also beat the Bears in 10 of its last 11 and 15 of their previous 17 meetings overall. The Bears offense has been far from dynamic over their last 4 contests while gathering 308 yards or less on each occasion. The Bears defense has been their calling card and that’s especially evident by forcing an enormous 34 turnovers through 13 games. However, Green Bay has been very good at protecting the football. The Packers have committed 1 turnover or less in 10 of 13 games. They also turned the ball over only a combined 2 times throughout their last 5 games. The Bears have a comfortable 2.5-game lead in the NFC North with just 3 games left to play. Urgency and desperation will be the Packers cashing in as an underdog. Bet on the Packers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Don’t look now but the Cowboys are on a 5-game win streak while improving to 8-5 and have a commanding 2.0-game lead in the NFC East with just 3 regular season games remaining. They also have the security of knowing if they lose on Sunday their final 2 games are against the Buccaneers (5-8) and Giants (5-8). Additionally, the 2 teams that are the closest to them in the standings in Washington and Philadelphia have recently lost their starting quarterbacks (Alex Smith, Carson Wentz) for the season. On the other side of the table is an Indianapolis team which is 7-6 (.538) and playing for their playing for their playoff lives. The Colts are in a 4-way tie with Baltimore, Tennessee, and Miami for the final AFC wild card spot. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Colts) that’s playing after game 12, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Cowboys) that have won 2 or more games in a row, and they have a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 38-9 ATS (80.9%) since 1983. Bet on the Colts minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Ravens 1:00 ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Baltimore -7.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 2-14 in their last 16 away games and that includes 1-7-2 ATS if they were an underdog of 9.5-points or fewer. As a matter of fact, after winning their season opener at New Orleans, Tampa lost their next 5 on the road and allowed a enormous 39.8 points per game while doing so. Baltimore has maintained a strong home field advantage since John Harbaugh has taken over the head coaching duties. Under the guidance of Harbaugh, Baltimore is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 5.5 to 10.5 points when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. They won those 7 contests by a substantial 20.6 points per game. Baltimore’s playoff hopes will be hanging in the balance during the final 3 weeks of regular season action. They can ill afford to lose a game like this against a Tampa team that struggles on the road and comes in with a lousy 5-8 record. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 6 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State vs. Appalachian State 8:00 PM ET Game# 209-210 Play On: Middle Tennessee State +7.0 (5*) Middle Tennessee State lost to UAB by 2 points in the Conference USA Championship Game on 12/1. The Blue Raiders are 14-2 during its last 16 and 10-1 in their previous last 11 following a loss in their preceding game. Included in those results following a loss is 4-0 SU&ATS when they were an underdog 3.0-points or more and they won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. I also look at senior quarter Brent Stockstill as being an “X factor” in this contest. The southpaw passer is a 4-year starter for MTSU and has amassed 12,165 yards passing while completing 65.5% of his attempts for 105 touchdowns against just 33 interceptions during his illustrious college football career. MTSU enters this New Orleans Bowl with an 8-5 record. However, 3 of those defeats came on the road versus SEC opponents (Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Georgia) that will be participating in bowl games with 2 of those teams currently being nationally ranked. Bet on Middle Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 16 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Denver 8:20 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Denver -2.5 (5*) Cleveland’s win at Cincinnati on 11/25 snapped their embarrassing 25-game road losing streak. However, they regressed in a lopsided loss at Houston during the previous road game. Considering what the current point-spread is on Saturday in Denver, I would be remiss to ignore Cleveland’s road futility despite their marked improvement of 5-7-1 this year compared to a pathetic 1-31 record over the prior 2 seasons. Denver’s 3-3 home record is extremely deceiving. Their 3 home defeats came against the Chiefs, Rams, and Texans. Those 3 teams have combined to go 31-8 this season. Furthermore, those 3 home losses were by a combined 9 points. At 6-7, Denver is still alive for the final AFC wild card berth. The only thing within their control is to win its remaining 3 games and let the chips lie where they may. Bet on Denver minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Georgia Southern | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 38 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern 5:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.5 (5*) Georgia Southern went an impressive 9-3 during their regular season slate. However, just 2 of those 9 victories came over an FBS opponent that currently has a winning record. They did manage to not get totally blown out during a 38-7 loss at #2 Clemson, but their other 2 non-conference games came against inferior opponents in Massachusetts and South Carolina State who plays at the FCS level. They’re far from a dynamic offense that relies heavily on their triple option rushing attacks that accounts for 76% of their yardage gained this season. As a matter of fact, there are as one dimensional as they come which is evidenced by 84.5% of their offensive plays being rushing attempts. Eastern Michigan enters this Crampton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama sporting a 7-5 record. Nevertheless, 4 of their 5 defeats came by a combined 16 points with all 4 of those coming by 7 points or fewer, and they also own a quality road win at Purdue. Their only defeat that came by more than one possession came against #22 Army 37-22. It must be noted, they held Army’s explosive offensive rushing attack to less than 4.0 yards per attempt and 104 yards below their season average per game. That’s a good sign since they’ll be facing a very similar offensive run game from Georgia Southern. Eastern Michigan’s defense was dominant during its final 3 regular season game while allowing just 11.3 points and 205 yards per contest. EMU has trailed at the half in only 1 of their last 6 games. Conversely, Georgia Southern trailed at the half in just 3 of their 12 games and each time it resulted in a loss. Putting that into perspective, the Georgia Southern run heavy offense isn’t built to play from behind. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -104 | 70 h 24 m | Show | |
Texans @ Jets 4:30 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Under 41.5 The Jets enter this week sporting a disappointing 4-9 (.307) record. They’ll be facing a Houston team that’s going under the total in 7 straight away games when the total is 40.0 to 47.5 and after failing to cover in their previous contest. Since 2016, Houston is 19-2 (90.5%) under the total during the final 4 weeks of the regular season when there’s a total of 40.0 or greater. Any home team (Jets) with a total of 40.5 to 48.5 and they have a win percentage of .615 or worse, resulted in those games going 41-6 (87.2%) under the total since 2014. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 9 m | Show | |
North Texas vs. Utah State 2:00 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: North Texas +8.5 (5*) Despite losing their regular season final at Boise State 33-24 that cost themselves a berth in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, Utah State finished with an outstanding 10-2 record. Nonetheless, the Aggies only faced 2 FBS teams all season that currently have a winning record and lost both of those contests against Michigan State (7-5) and previously mentioned Boise State (10-3). North Texas enters this New Mexico Bowl matchup with a shiny 9-3 record of their own, and their 3 lone defeats came by only a combined 11 points. That’s surely a powerful prerequisite for underdog betting value. Since 10/31/2015, North Texas has gone an unscathed 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 5.0-points or more when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. The Green Wave won those 5 contests by a decisive 12.8 points per game. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (North Texas) that’s playing after game 7 of their season, and they own a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off a conference road loss in their previous game, and they (Utah State) have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 15-1 ATS since 1994. Those underdogs also won 9 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +3.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -106 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette vs. Tulane 1:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.5 (5*) Tulane managed to win 4 of their last 5 regular season games to finish at 6-6 and become bowl eligible. Nevertheless, the Green Wave have gone 0-4 ATS and just 2-2 straight up this season as a favorite of 3.0-points or more when facing an FBS opponent. Their only 2 straight up wins in those 4 games came against Navy (3-10) 29-18 and over East Carolina (3-9) 24-18. UL-Lafayette is much better than their mediocre 7-6 record may indicate. They’ve seen 5 of their 6 losses come against Appalachian State (10-2) twice with one of those occurring in the Sun Belt Championship Game, #1 Alabama (13-0), #17 Mississippi State (8-4), and Troy (9-3). Those 4 teams currently have a combined 40-9 (.816) record this season. They’ve also gone an extremely profitable 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 | 29-28 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
Chargers vs. Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Chiefs -3.5 (5*) Since 9/22/2016, Thursday NFL home favorites have gone an extremely profitable 21-5-2 ATS. If those contests were played after the opening week of the season then the results improved to 21-3-2 ATS during that precise time frame. The Chargers have won their last 9 games against the Chargers and covered in 7 of those contests. Kansas City has also gone a dominating 20-1 straight up in their last 21 games against fellow AFC West teams and that includes 9-0 at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a division home favorite of 7.0 or less and won by a decisive 13.8 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 46 | 7-21 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Over 46.0 (5*) Seattle’s defense has allowed 475 and 452 yards during its last 2 games. The Seahawks have seen of their previous 4 contests go over the total and there were a combined 58.5 points scored per game. Furthermore, Seattle has scored 27 points or more in each of its last 4 and 7 of their previous 8 games. The Vikings currently a 3.0-point road underdog in this contest and there’s a total of 46.0. Since 2016, Minnesota has gone 7-0 over the total during its last 7 road contests when their point spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and there’s a total of 47.5 or less. Those 7 contests averaged a combined 54.0 points scored per game. The Vikings defense allowed a substantial 471 yards in last week’s 24-10 loss at New England. Any team (Seattle) that’s allowed 375 yards or more in each of its last 2 games and is facing an opponent (Minnesota) who allowed 450 yards or more in their previous contest, resulted in those games going 35-10 over the total since 2014. The average total in those 45 contests was 48.8 and there were a combined 54.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears +3 | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Rams @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Bears +3.0 (5*) As good as the 11-1 Rams have been this season, they’re just 2-5-1 ATS in their previous 8 games. The Bears are 5-1 SU&ATS at home this season with their only defeat coming against New England. Furthermore, the Bears have forced 30 turnovers on their way to an 8-4 record. That serves well for a prerequisite to home underdog value. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Bengals v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Cincinnati enters this contest with a 5-7 (.416) record. The maligned Bengals defense will be facing a Chargers offense that averages gaining 399.4 yards per game. Under the tutelage of current head coach Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati is 10-1 under the total after game 8 of their season when facing an offense that averages 375 yards or more per game. The LA Chargers are coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games over Pittsburgh and Arizona. The Chargers defense has allowed 19 points or fewer in 5 of its last 7 outing, and that includes 10 or less when facing a team with a losing record. The Chargers are 5-0 under (33.6 PPG) the total in their previous 5 games following SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 contests. Since 2014, the Chargers are 13-3 under the total during the final 4 weeks of the regular season which includes 9-0 under (39.8 PPG) if there was a total of 44.5 or more. Any regular season home team (Chargers) playing after game 7 with a total of 44.5 to 49.0 who’s win percentage is .750 or better and is facing an opponent (Bengals) that has a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those games going 16-0 under the total since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns UNDER 48 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Under 48.0 (5*) Cleveland has played its last 2 games on the road against Cincinnati and Houston. The last of which resulted in a 29-13 loss to the Texans. Carolina began the season 6-2 but has since lost 4 straight games and now find themselves at 6-6. Any NFL home team (Browns) that’s playing in the final 4 weeks of the regular season which is coming off away games in each of their previous 2 contests, and there’s a total of 41.0 to 48.5, resulted in those games going 46-12 (79.3%) under the total since 2014. If those homes team allowed 28 points or more in their previous game, and if they were facing an opponent (Panthers) that possess a win percentage of .833 or worse, this exact betting angle improves to a perfect 20-0 under the total during that precise time frame. |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -4.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Green Bay -4.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a shocking 20-17 loss to Arizona last Sunday in a game they were an enormous 13.5-point home favorite. That defeat was a final straw for long time head coach Mike McCarthy who was fired less than 24 hours later. Green Bay will be out to revenge last season’s 34-23 loss at Atlanta. The Packers are an extremely profitable 15-2 ATS since 2010 as a home favorite of 10.0 or less while playing with revenge. Atlanta is a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS during away games this season. Any home favorite of 8.0-points or less that’s playing after game 6 of their season and is coming off a home favorite of 9.5 or greater straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since 1983. Bet on the Packers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Giants @ Redskins 1:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Giants -3.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 overtime win over Chicago. The Redskins are coming off road losses in each of their last 2 games at Philadelphia and Dallas. The Redskins are down to their 3rd string quarterback Mark Sanchez who’s been with the team for less than 3 weeks. Any NFL road favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points that’s coming off a home game in which each team scored 24 points or more, versus an opponent (Redskins) that lost their last 2 games with both taking place on the road, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2008. Those road favorites won by a decisive average of 17.7 points per game. Bet on the Giants minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Dolphins +9.0 (10*) You may be very surprised to know that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against New England, and that includes winning 4 of the last 5 meetings straight up. Miami has been awful on the road this season but has fared extremely well at home. Miami is 5-1 SU&ATS at Hard Rock Stadium in 2018. Conversely, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home but a beatable 3-3 on the road. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-08-18 | Navy +8 v. Army | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Navy vs. Army 3:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Navy +8.0 (5*) We have a 3-9 Navy team facing #23 Army who’s 9-2, yet, Army opened as just a 6.5-point favorite in this contest. This line has since moved to 8.0 due to the public’s money being wagered heavily on Army. Besides their near upset of #4 Oklahoma this season, Army has played an extremely weak schedule. Case in point was their final 2 regular season games against Colgate and Lafayette. Conversely, Navy plays in the very respectable American Athletic Conference in which they faced #8 Central Florida (11-0), and they also had a non-conference game against #3 Notre Dame (12-0). This is a battle tested Navy team despite their uninspiring record. The Midshipmen will also being playing with revenge after losing the last 2 against Army by a combined 5 points. This will also be the first time since 2001 in which Navy will be an underdog in this annual classic rivalry game. Bet on navy plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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